AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 10 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69519

Consolidation after fade from session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69644 session high and is now coiled in a 0.6950–0.6952 pocket on thin, low-volume bars into late NY. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips; no directional structure in play right now.

Support: 0.69485, 0.69425, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69578, 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69644 opens the path back toward the 0.69692 london high
  • Failure to hold 0.69485 exposes the 0.69425 prior low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:47 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69519

Consolidation after London rally faded.

London pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69692 before NY faded it back into a tight 0.6950–0.6957 band. Price is now coiling near 0.6952 on a thin late-session tail, RSI(14) flat around 49 with no directional impulse.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69423, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 swing high reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69500 psych exposes the 0.69423 swing low
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this pair

20:32 UTC

Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69511

Tight consolidation after lower high.

AUDUSD faded off the 0.69644 session high into the NY-Asia transition and is now coiled in a 0.6950–0.6952 band on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 44 with price pinned just under EMA20; no setup in play.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 day high, then 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.69420 swing low confirms a lower low
  • Volume dead into Asia — range likely holds until a fresh USD catalyst

20:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69511

Consolidation after fade from session high.

AUDUSD is coiled tight near 0.6951 into the late NY session after fading from the session high at 0.69644, RSI(14) neutral around 48. A softer USD near three-week lows underpins, but the pair has stalled inside 0.6945–0.6964 with no intraday setup in play.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 range high
  • Failure to hold 0.6945 exposes the 0.69353 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read via USD repricing

20:17 UTC

Drifting lower, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69522

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD faded off the session high at 0.69692 through NY hours and is now coiled tight around 0.6952 on thinning, late-session volume. RSI(14) neutral near 49; price sits just under EMA20/50 with the recent floor at 0.69500 holding.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6958, 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69644 swing high would reopen the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69500 recent floor exposes 0.69350 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69522

Tight consolidation after fade from session high.

AUDUSD is coiled in a 2-pip band around 0.6952 into the late NY session, volume drying up after fading from the 0.69644 session high. The earlier push to the 0.69692 day high was rejected and price has drifted sideways since; RSI(14) neutral near 48 with no momentum in play.

Support: 0.6951, 0.69424, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 day high
  • Break below 0.69510 range floor exposes 0.69424 swing low
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this range read

20:03 UTC

Pullback stalling into tight range · RSI 46 · price 0.69524

Faded from session high, coiling in lower half.

AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.69644 and is now coiling tightly around 0.69520 into late NY/Asia hours on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Move fits the soft-USD, range-bound AUD read; no fresh session low print, buyers holding the 0.69505 floor.

Support: 0.69505, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.6958, 0.69644

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69580 reopens the 0.69644 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69505 exposes the 0.69420 swing low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair

20:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69524

Consolidation below session high after rejection at 0.6969.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.69692 during the prior session then faded, and has since coiled into a tight 0.69504–0.69578 range through the Asia hours. Momentum has flattened with RSI(14) mid-range near 46; a softer USD into the fading Iran risk premium underpins, but 0.6969 rejection keeps the top capped.

Support: 0.69504, 0.69452, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69578, 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69578 range high reopens the 0.69644 prior high and 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69504 range low exposes 0.69452 swing low

19:47 UTC

Range, momentum fading late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.6951

Faded off session high, compressing mid-range.

London-NY push rejected the session high near 0.6969 (aligns with the 0.6980 cap flagged in the news), then bled back toward 0.6951. Late-NY bars are tightly coiled on thin volume around EMAs; RSI(14) neutral near 46, no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6934, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 reopens the 0.6980 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6942 swing low exposes 0.6934 session low then 0.6900 pivot
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this range read

19:47 UTC

Rebound stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.6951

Consolidation after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6933 to a session high near 0.6969 through the London-NY window, then got rejected and faded back to the 0.6950 fib midpoint on a softer USD. Price has coiled into a tight 0.6950-0.6952 range in late NY, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6943, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 0.6950 fib midpoint exposes 0.6943 then the 0.6933 session low
  • M15 close above 0.6969 session high reopens the 0.6980 range top
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read via USD repricing

19:32 UTC

Pullback within intraday range · RSI 46 · price 0.69515

Coiling below session high after rejection.

AUDUSD tagged the day high at 0.69692 mid-window then faded, rejected again at the 0.69644 session high before drifting to 0.69515. Late-NY volume has dried up and price is coiling around 0.6952, RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play as the softer USD keeps the pair pinned inside its intraday band.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 day high
  • Failure to hold 0.69410 confirms a lower low
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul could shift this read

19:32 UTC

Up-move stalled, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69515

Coiling below session high after failed push.

London drove AUD/USD from 0.6933 to a session high of 0.6969 on a softer USD, but NY faded it and price has drifted back to ~0.6951, sitting near the 50% retrace of that leg. Momentum has cooled into the close with RSI mid-range; the pair is coiling inside the broader 0.6900–0.6980 band.

Support: 0.69435, 0.69353, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69635, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69635 recent high reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69435 swing low confirms a deeper fade toward 0.69353
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.6951

Faded off day high 0.6969, drifting into 50% retrace.

AUDUSD faded from the day high at 0.6969 through NY hours back to 0.6951, settling on the 50% retrace of the London-NY up-move as RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. A softer USD (DXY at three-week lows) fuelled the earlier push, but the move has stalled below the 0.6980 range cap and lower highs are stacking.

Support: 0.6951, 0.6935, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6935 session low confirms a deeper pullback
  • Reclaim of 0.69644 session high reopens the 0.6980 cap
  • US CPI Tue could reset the USD tone driving this pair

19:17 UTC

Pullback after rejection near 0.6970 · RSI 41 · price 0.6951

Lower highs off session high, drifting to 0.6950.

NY session pushed to 0.69644 before sellers capped it, and price has bled steadily lower to sit right on the 0.6950 round number into the late session. RSI(14) near 40 with price under both EMAs confirms the near-term momentum has rolled over from the earlier rally.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6950 exposes the 0.69353 spike low
  • Reclaim of 0.69644 session high revives the upside toward 0.6970
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the key external catalyst ahead

19:03 UTC

Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69517

Lower highs after NY peak, holding 0.6951.

NY session topped at 0.69644 before drifting lower into the late-session hours, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Price is grinding along 0.69517, holding just above the 0.69509 recent low with a chain of lower highs capping bounces.

Support: 0.69509, 0.69411, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69509 opens the 0.69411 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69644 session high reopens the 0.69692 area
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst that could reset this range

19:03 UTC

Pullback off session high, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 0.69517

Lower highs into late NY after 0.69644 rejection.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69644 NY high to 0.69517, stalling near the 50% retrace of the late-session push off 0.69353. RSI(14) around 42 and price below EMA20 as the intraday move cools into late NY; 0.69500 round number is the immediate pivot.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69411, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69578, 0.69644

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69578 negates the pullback and re-exposes 0.69644
  • Loss of 0.69500 opens the 0.69411 swing low
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

18:47 UTC

Range, near-term drift lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69519

Lower high after session-high rejection, ranging.

NY session tagged a lower high at 0.69644 and faded, unable to retest the 0.69692 session high, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price is ranging in the upper 0.695s with buyers repeatedly defending 0.69510.

Support: 0.6951, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69510 exposes the 0.69420 swing low
  • US CPI Tue could shift this read once inside range

18:47 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69519

Easing off session high, lower highs into NY close.

AUDUSD pushed to a 2.5-week high near 0.6969 during London on a softer USD, then drifted lower through NY to mid-0.6950s with RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Chopping between 0.6950 and 0.6964, lower highs stacking into the close — no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.69485, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69485 confirms a lower low and opens 0.69420
  • Reclaim of 0.69644 needed to re-engage the session high
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

18:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.6952

Lower high after 0.6969 session peak, retracing.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high near 0.6969 then printed a lower high at 0.6964 during NY hours, fading to 0.6952 into late NY. RSI cooling toward mid-40s as price slips below EMA20 and stalls at the 0.6950 round number; the intraday rally has run out of steam without breaking below the 0.6942 swing low.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6942, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6964 negates the lower-high read and reopens 0.6969
  • Loss of 0.6942 swing low confirms a lower low, exposing the 0.6933 session low
  • US CPI Tue could reset this range

18:32 UTC

Pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.6952

Ranging after failed push to 0.6964.

NY session ran up to a session high at 0.6964 then rolled over, easing to 0.6952 into late NY hours with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Now ranging in the upper 0.6940s below EMA20, no fresh impulse in play.

Support: 0.6943, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6964, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6943 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6935
  • Reclaim of 0.6964 session high reopens the 0.6980 psych level
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Intraday pullback after NY push · RSI 44 · price 0.69523

Faded from session high, easing into range.

NY session pushed to a session high of 0.69644 then faded, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s as price eased back to 0.6952. Move stalled well under the 0.6970 day high; buyers last stepped in around 0.6948.

Support: 0.6948, 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.6970 day high
  • Loss of 0.69480 confirms a lower low into 0.6942
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69523

Higher highs into NY, now easing off session high.

NY session extended the grind higher to 0.69644 before rejecting and easing back to 0.69523, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. The prior climb tracked a softer USD after dovish-leaning Fed comments; price is now retracing about 40% of the 0.69353–0.69644 leg and holding just above the 0.6950 round number.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69644 reopens the path to 0.69692 and the 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.6950 exposes the 0.69420 swing low
  • 0.6980 remains the level to watch for rejection or break higher

18:02 UTC

Uptrend fading, easing off highs · RSI 45 · price 0.69529

Pullback after NY push to session high.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.69644 during NY hours then rejected, drifting back to 0.69529 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Softer USD near three-week lows underpinned the earlier rally, but momentum has stalled and price is now leaning on the 0.69522 session low.

Support: 0.69522, 0.6945, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69522 exposes the 0.69450 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 day high
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst for the next USD leg

18:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, easing off highs · RSI 50 · price 0.69529

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high at 0.69644 during NY hours before drifting back to 0.6953, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. Now consolidating between the 0.6949 swing low and the session high, no clean break in play.

Support: 0.6949, 0.6943, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69644 exposes the 0.69692 range high
  • Failure to hold the 0.69490 swing low opens the 0.69346 range low
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

17:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69558

Consolidation after intraday rally, drifting off session high.

AUDUSD ran up to a session high at 0.69644 during NY hours before easing to mid-0.6950s, holding above EMA20/50 on a softer USD read. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with no extreme; price is coiling between the swing low at 0.69450 and the 0.6970 area that has capped repeatedly. An earlier spike to 0.69353 was quickly recovered.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69692 unlocks the 0.6980 area that has capped the rally
  • Loss of 0.69450 exposes the 0.69353 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.69558

Range after intraday rally, lower highs forming.

NY session pushed to 0.69644 and was rejected, easing back to mid-0.695s as USD firmed off oil's recovery; RSI(14) neutral near 51 after the earlier run to the 0.69692 session high. Price now chopping between 0.69540 and 0.69644 with lower highs since the peak.

Support: 0.6954, 0.6945, 0.69411

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69450 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • Fresh Iran/USD safe-haven headlines could shift this read

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 0.69564

Higher highs into session high, pulling back.

NY session pushed to a session high at 0.69644 before easing back to 0.69564, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above intraday averages and sits mid-way in the recovery off 0.69353; the 0.6980 cap flagged in macro context remains untested.

Support: 0.69485, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 opens the path to 0.69692 and the 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.69485 negates the recovery off the session low
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst for the pair this week

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.69564

Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.

NY session extended the leg off 0.69350 up to the 0.69644 session high on a softer USD, then eased to 0.69564 as RSI(14) cooled from the highs. Structure still higher-high biased while price holds above the 0.69485 swing low; 0.69692 day high untested.

Support: 0.69485, 0.6943, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 exposes the 0.69692 day high, then the 0.6980 cap flagged in context
  • Failure to hold 0.69485 turns the intraday structure to a lower-low toward 0.69350
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant USD catalyst that would reset this read

17:17 UTC

Recovering, higher into NY · RSI 58 · price 0.69576

Range reclaim after sweep of lows.

AUDUSD swept the 0.69353 session low mid-NY then recovered to the 0.69644 session high, easing back to 0.69576 into late NY hours. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 58, cooling off the intraday push.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 opens the path to 0.69692 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69440 swing low re-exposes the 0.69353 session low
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD legs

17:17 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 0.69576

Recovery off 0.6935 spike low, higher lows into NY afternoon.

NY afternoon: AUDUSD grinding off the 0.69353 spike low, tagging a session high at 0.69644 before easing to 0.69576, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Broadly ranging 0.6935–0.6969 with a chain of higher lows, in line with the softer-USD tone.

Support: 0.6954, 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 opens the path to the 0.69692 prior high
  • Loss of the 0.69540 swing low exposes 0.69420 range low

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 0.69578

Higher lows into NY, capped near session high.

NY session ground higher after a sweep of 0.69353 during the London-NY transition, tagging a session high at 0.69644 before easing to 0.69578 into the afternoon. RSI(14) near 60 and cooling; price holds above the 0.69540 swing low, aided by a soft USD at three-week lows.

Support: 0.6954, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 opens the path to the 0.69692 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69540 swing low exposes the 0.69353 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69578

Higher low off spike, testing session high.

NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.69353 spike low to a session high at 0.69644, where it stalled and eased to 0.69578, helped by a softer USD sitting at three-week lows. RSI(14) near 58 shows momentum cooling after the recovery; the intraday uptrend holds while higher lows print.

Support: 0.6954, 0.69453, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69644 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69453 negates the intraday recovery and reopens 0.69353
  • Weekend Iran/Hormuz headlines could gap this read on the reopen

16:47 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69615

Higher lows since spike low, testing day high.

NY session bounced hard off a false break to 0.69353 and has ground back to the session high at 0.69644, RSI(14) around 61 with room left. Softer USD near three-week lows kept the Aussie supported; day high at 0.69692 is the next area to watch for rejection or break.

Support: 0.6954, 0.6943, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens the path toward the 0.6980 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69540 pullback low would stall the recovery
  • Break below 0.69430 swing low re-exposes the 0.69353 spike low

16:47 UTC

Range, recovering toward top · RSI 62 · price 0.69615

Range with higher low after sweep.

NY session recovered from a sweep of 0.69353 back toward the session high at 0.69692, AUD supported by a softer USD at three-week lows. Price grinding at 0.69615 into the range top with RSI in the low 60s — no fresh break yet.

Support: 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens continuation toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69353 sweep low reopens intraday downside
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant USD catalyst for the next sessions

16:32 UTC

Uptrend, retesting session high · RSI 65 · price 0.69636

Higher lows off 0.6935, pressing range top.

NY hours pushing AUDUSD back toward the 0.6969 Asian session high after price ranged 0.6942-0.6950 through London, helped by a soft USD at three-week lows. RSI(14) firm near 64, no extreme; buyers have stepped in repeatedly above 0.6942.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69644, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 opens the path toward the broader 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.6942 shifts price back into the London range
  • Iran/Hormuz weekend headlines could swing USD safe-haven bid and this read

16:32 UTC

Recovering, near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69636

Rebound off spike low, higher lows.

NY afternoon: price swept the 0.69353 low then recovered the full move to sit just under the 0.69692 session high, RSI(14) around 61. The spike lower looks like a false break; buyers stepped back in through the London-NY grind.

Support: 0.69353, 0.69485

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69692 opens the path toward the 0.6980 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69485 reopens the 0.69353 swing low
  • Repeated stalls at 0.6980 keep the range capped

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, recovering into session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69633

Higher lows off spike low, pressing prior high.

NY afternoon has walked AUDUSD back up to 0.69633, retracing most of the earlier drop into the 0.69353 spike low; RSI(14) near 64, room before hot. Aussie underpinned by a softer USD after dovish-leaning Fed comments, but the 0.69692 session high still caps.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens the 0.698 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6945 reopens the 0.69353 spike low
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 0.69633

Higher lows off spike low, testing session high.

NY session grinding higher after a quick sweep of 0.69353 was bought back, price now stacking higher lows toward the 0.69692 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. Softer USD backdrop is keeping the Aussie supported.

Support: 0.6954, 0.6945, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69540 breaks the rising-low chain
  • Iran/risk-off headlines could shift the USD read

16:02 UTC

Range with late upside lean · RSI 61 · price 0.69587

Consolidation between 0.6935 and 0.6970.

NY session has AUDUSD grinding back to 0.6958 after chopping between 0.6935 and 0.6957, the earlier spike to 0.6970 still unbroken. Softer USD at three-week lows underpins the bid, but supply keeps capping below the 0.6970 session high.

Support: 0.69353, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6970 opens the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.69353 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Range, mild recovery leg · RSI 56 · price 0.69587

Ranging 0.6935–0.6969, retracing spike low.

NY session swept the 0.69353 spike low mid-afternoon then recovered to 0.6959, RSI(14) back near 56 with no extreme. Price is boxed between the 0.69692 session high and mid-0.6940s, holding above EMA20/50 but capped well below the 0.6980 pivot.

Support: 0.69353, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens a retest of the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.69353 spike low confirms a lower-low
  • US CPI Tue could reset this range

15:47 UTC

Range, mild recovery · RSI 53 · price 0.69545

Ranging between sweep low and session high.

NY session recovered from a sweep of 0.6935 back to the mid-0.6950s, keeping the day's 0.6935–0.6969 range intact on a softer USD. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~8 pips.

Support: 0.69353, 0.6942

Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 session high opens fresh highs
  • Loss of 0.6935 sweep low confirms a lower low
  • US-Iran headlines remain the near-term risk-sentiment switch

15:47 UTC

Choppy, recovering after sweep of lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69545

Range 0.6935–0.6969, mid-range.

NY session swept the range low to 0.69353 then reversed sharply back to 0.69576, price now holding mid-range near 0.69545 on a softer USD at three-week lows. RSI(14) neutral around 55; the 0.6935–0.6969 band still contains price.

Support: 0.69353, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69353 confirms a lower-low
  • US CPI Tue and Middle East headlines could shift this read

15:32 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 57 · price 0.6956

Range 0.6935–0.6969, bouncing off lows.

NY session grinding back up toward 0.6956 after a spike-low sweep to 0.6935, RSI(14) neutral near 57. Price has been coiling 0.6935–0.6969 on the softer-USD/RBA-hawkish backdrop; session high at 0.6969 still caps and the 0.6980 macro pivot remains untested.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 opens the path to the 0.6980 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 confirms a lower low
  • US-Iran / Fed headlines the near-term risk-sentiment switch for AUD

15:32 UTC

Range-bound, choppy · RSI 55 · price 0.6956

Coiled between session high and low, sweep of lows recovered.

AUDUSD is stuck in a 0.6935–0.6969 range through the NY session on a softer USD, with a sharp sweep of the lows to 0.69353 quickly bought back to mid-0.6950s. RSI(14) neutral near 55; price back above the short EMAs after buyers stepped in at 0.6935.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6935, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to fresh multi-week highs
  • Failure to hold 0.6935 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6900
  • US-Iran / Fed headlines remain the risk-sentiment switch for AUD

15:17 UTC

Up-leg faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69512

Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.

AUDUSD ran to a session high 0.69692 during the London-NY window on broad USD softness, then faded into a 0.6942–0.6957 range. A sharp spike to 0.69353 was bought back within the bar, leaving a false break of the range floor; RSI(14) sits neutral near 53.

Support: 0.69353, 0.69434, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 lower high reopens the path to 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69353 spike low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6930
  • Range holds 0.6942–0.6957 until either edge closes through

15:17 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 0.69512

Range mid, spike low bought back.

AUDUSD ranging in the mid-0.6950s through the NY session after the earlier pop to a session high at 0.69692 on the softer USD faded. A spike down to 0.69353 was bought straight back, leaving price near the 50% of that up-leg; RSI(14) neutral around 51, no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.69353, 0.69432

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69692 opens the path to the 0.6980 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69353 swing low exposes downside below the range
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the week's key catalyst for USD direction

15:03 UTC

Faded from session high, ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69446

Consolidation below session high after rally.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.69692 on the broadly softer USD, then faded into a 0.6942–0.6952 consolidation. A sharp spike down to 0.69353 on heavy activity was quickly bought back to 0.69446; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price under both EMAs.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69525, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69525 opens a retest of the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of the 0.6942 range floor exposes the 0.69353 spike low
  • US CPI on Jul 14 could materially shift the USD leg of this read

15:02 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69446

Ranging below faded Asian high, sweep-and-recover at lows.

AUDUSD faded from the Asian-session high at 0.69692 and has ranged 0.6942–0.6953 through London and into NY, RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 46. The last bar swept down to 0.69353 before snapping back to 0.6945, keeping price pinned just under the 0.69532 swing high.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69532, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69532 reopens the 0.69692 asia high
  • Loss of the 0.69353 sweep low exposes the 0.6900 pivot

14:47 UTC

Range, mid-range drift · RSI 47 · price 0.69447

0.6935–0.6969 range, capped highs.

AUDUSD popped to a 2.5-week high at 0.6969 during London on a softer USD, then faded back into the 0.6935–0.6969 range and now sits mid-range near 0.6945. The last bar swept the 0.6935 low to 0.69353 and recovered into the NY afternoon; RSI(14) neutral around 46.

Support: 0.6935, 0.6942, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 opens the path to a range break higher
  • Loss of 0.6935 spike low exposes the 0.6900 pivot
  • US CPI Tue could reset this range read

14:46 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69447

Range under session high after impulse up.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.69692 on the broadly softer USD before fading into a 0.6942–0.6953 consolidation. The last bar swept the 0.69353 area on a volume spike and snapped back to mid-0.694s, leaving the range intact with RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69353

Resistance: 0.69532, 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 0.69532 swing high reopens the 0.69575/0.69692 zone
  • Loss of 0.69420 swing low exposes the 0.69353 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver

14:32 UTC

Range after failed rally · RSI 52 · price 0.69497

Consolidation in mid-0.6940s, prior push faded.

London-session rally to 0.69692 on the softer USD faded, and price has since ground back into a tight 0.69457–0.69530 range through the NY session. RSI(14) neutral near 52; supply capping at 0.69530 while dips into the mid-0.6940s keep finding buyers.

Support: 0.69457, 0.69411

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69530 range top reopens 0.69575 swing high
  • Loss of 0.69411 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • US-Iran / oil headlines the main risk-sentiment driver near term

14:32 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.69497

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD ran to a session high 0.69692 during the London-NY transition on a soft USD, then rejected and faded into a 0.69430-0.69530 range through NY morning. RSI(14) back near 51 with price coiling either side of EMA20; no fresh impulse in play.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69347

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69568 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69430 range low exposes 0.69347 session low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the next macro pivot for USD tone

14:17 UTC

Rally faded, now sideways · RSI 46 · price 0.69475

Consolidation below session high after retracement.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.6969 on a broadly softer USD before fading back into the mid-0.6940s, now sitting near the 61.8% retrace of that move. Price is consolidating between 0.6942 and 0.6953 through the NY session with RSI mid-range, no clear intraday direction.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6953 reopens the path to the 0.6969 session high
  • Loss of 0.6942 swing low exposes 0.6934 session low
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the next major USD driver for this range

14:17 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69475

Consolidation after rejection at session high.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.69692 on a broadly softer USD, then faded and is now consolidating in the mid-0.6940s. RSI(14) neutral near 47, price pinned to its EMAs with no clean intraday setup; the 0.6957 swing caps and 0.6942 is the near support.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69347

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69420 confirms a lower low toward 0.69347
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this range read

14:03 UTC

Consolidating below intraday high · RSI 46 · price 0.69471

Range after Asian-session rally, lower highs.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.69692 during Asian hours on a softer USD, then faded and has coiled between 0.69430 and 0.69532 through London, printing lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 46, price sitting just under EMA20/50 with no fresh momentum.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69532, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69532 reopens the 0.69692 session high, then the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.69430 exposes the 0.69332 session low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could break this range

14:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, easing off session high · RSI 49 · price 0.69471

Rally to 0.6969 then pullback into consolidation.

NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69692 on a softer USD before rejection dragged price back to mid-0.694s, RSI cooling to neutral. Now coiling between 0.6942 and 0.6957, holding a 61.8% retrace of the session leg with no fresh direction.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69420 confirms a lower low toward 0.69346
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

13:47 UTC

Recovering after Asia-session spike faded · RSI 55 · price 0.69509

Coiling in mid-range below the session high.

AUD spiked to a 0.69692 session high during Asia hours on the softer USD, then faded back to the mid-0.6940s. NY hours have ground price back toward 0.6950 into the middle of the range; RSI(14) neutral near 55, 0.69575 swing high still capping.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 session high and the 0.6980 cap
  • Loss of 0.69410 swing low exposes the 0.69332 session low
  • US Fed Monetary Policy Report (18:00 UTC) could shift this read

13:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69509

Coiling below session high after rejection.

Aussie ran to a 2.5-week high at 0.6969 through the London session on a softer USD, then was rejected and eased back to mid-0.6940s. Since then price has coiled 0.6943–0.6955 into NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.69431, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the path to the 0.6969 day high
  • Loss of 0.69431 exposes the 0.6933 session low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could inject USD volatility

13:32 UTC

Up-leg stalled, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.69493

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6933 to a session high of 0.6969 during the London session on a softer USD, then was rejected and has since coiled in the mid-0.6940s to mid-0.6950s. RSI(14) back near 51, price hugging EMA20/50 — no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.69575 then 0.6969 opens the path toward the 0.6980 breakout level
  • Loss of the 0.6943 range floor exposes the 0.69332 swing low
  • US CPI next week is the dominant catalyst; range likely holds until then

13:32 UTC

Pullback then consolidation after NY rally · RSI 53 · price 0.69493

Coiling below session high, holding mid-range.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high near 0.6969 in early NY on the softer USD, was rejected, and has since eased into a 0.6942–0.6953 consolidation. RSI(14) neutral near 53, sitting on both EMAs — no directional edge intraday.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69346

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69575 spike high reopens the 0.6969 day high
  • Loss of 0.69420 swing low exposes 0.69346 session low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant catalyst for the next USD leg

13:17 UTC

Up early, now stalling · RSI 55 · price 0.69503

Consolidation below session high.

AUD/USD ran to a 2.5-week high at 0.6969 during Asian hours on a softer USD, then faded through London into a 0.6942–0.6955 consolidation. Price is now hovering at 0.6950 with RSI(14) neutral near 55; the asia high held and buyers keep re-defending the range low.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69557, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6969 puts the 0.6980 breakout level in play
  • Loss of 0.6941 range low opens 0.6934 prior low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could resolve the coil

13:17 UTC

Range after failed push to day high · RSI 54 · price 0.69503

Coiling 0.6941–0.6957 post-rally.

London-into-NY rallied off 0.6933 to a 0.6969 day high on the softer USD, then rejected and settled into a 0.6941–0.6957 range. Price back at 0.6950 mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no session momentum extension in play.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 day high
  • Loss of 0.69411 range low exposes 0.69332 swing low
  • 0.6980 remains the pivotal breakout level flagged in context

13:03 UTC

Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69491

Consolidation after impulsive rally.

AUDUSD rallied to the day high at 0.69692 in the Asian session then eased back on a softer USD, now consolidating in a 0.6942-0.6955 band. RSI(14) neutral near 49 with price hugging EMA20 below EMA50; no setup in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 bounce high reopens the 0.69692 day high
  • loss of 0.69420 range floor exposes the 0.69340 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) the dominant USD catalyst ahead

13:03 UTC

Sideways after pullback from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.69491

Consolidation below 0.6957, holding 0.6943 floor.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high 0.69692 during Asia on a softer USD, then faded and has coiled between 0.6943 and 0.6957 through London-NY. Rejection at the 0.6957 swing high with RSI(14) neutral near 51; the 0.6943 range floor has held into NY hours.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6943 opens the 0.69332 session low
  • Reclaim above 0.69575 puts the 0.6969 session high back in play
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read

12:47 UTC

Faded off session high, ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69468

Coiling below 0.6957 after rally stalled.

Asia-session rally pushed AUDUSD to a 0.69692 session high on a softer USD, then faded through the London hours back into the mid-0.6940s. Price is now ranging roughly 0.6941–0.6957 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the 0.69575 swing high has capped the latest bounce.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the path to 0.69692
  • Loss of 0.69411 confirms a lower-low and shifts focus to 0.69332
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst that could break this coil

12:47 UTC

Pullback within range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69468

Coiling below session high after rally stall.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high near 0.6969 on the softer USD, then eased back into the NY session and is now coiling around the 61.8% retracement of that leg near 0.69468. RSI(14) sits mid-range at 49; price is hugging its EMA20 with no directional edge in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69420 confirms a lower low and breaks the coil down
  • Reclaim of 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • US CPI next week and today's Fed report are the dominant USD catalysts

12:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat after pullback · RSI 53 · price 0.69509

Consolidating below faded rally high.

London session pushed to a 0.69692 session high on a softer USD before fading; price now coils around 0.6950, sitting near the 50% retrace of that rally. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~5 pips — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.6942 confirms a lower-low toward 0.69332
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

12:32 UTC

Up early, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69509

Coiling below session high after Asian rally.

Asian session pushed AUDUSD to a session high at 0.69692 on the softer USD, then the London session eased it into a 0.6941–0.6957 consolidation. Price sits back at 0.69509, RSI(14) neutral near 53, no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 0.69411, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 reopens the 0.6980 pivot
  • Loss of 0.69411 confirms a lower-low and shifts the range lower
  • USD remains the driver — a safe-haven bid would pressure the coil

12:17 UTC

Range, recovering off session lows · RSI 57 · price 0.69523

Range 0.6941–0.6969, mid-range bounce.

AUD firmed into the NY session on a softer USD, tagging a session high at 0.69692 during the London-NY transition before fading to 0.69411. Price is now recovering to mid-range near 0.6952, RSI holding the upper-50s; 0.69575 caps the current bounce.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69575 opens the path to the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69411 confirms a lower low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone

12:17 UTC

Recovery within intraday range · RSI 58 · price 0.69523

Consolidation under session high after London rally.

London session rallied off 0.6933 to a session high near 0.6969 before easing into a 0.6941-0.6957 consolidation, with a soft USD at 3-week lows underpinning the bid. The latest bar pushed back to 0.6958, RSI(14) mid-range around 58 — no extreme in play.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69575, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 session high opens the path toward 0.6980 context resistance
  • Loss of 0.69410 swing low exposes the 0.69340 asian low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the read

12:02 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69489

Lower highs off session high.

Asian session drove a clean rally to the 0.69692 session high before supply capped and price faded through London, now ranging 0.69411–0.69540 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Descending highs since the peak keep a lid on the topside; drift-back sits around the 50-61.8% retrace of the rally.

Support: 0.69411, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69540 reopens the path to the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69411 confirms a lower low toward 0.69300
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst that can override this range

12:02 UTC

Up leg stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.69489

Rally into 0.6969 then sideways consolidation.

London session drove AUDUSD to a 0.69692 session high on a softer USD, then price eased back into a 0.6943–0.6952 range, now trading 0.6949 mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Buyers stepped in around the 0.69430 range floor and it has held.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69411

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 0.69520 recent high reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold the 0.69411 swing low confirms a lower low

11:47 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 49 · price 0.69461

Faded off session high, consolidating.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.6969 as the USD softened, then faded back into the mid-0.6940s. Now consolidating 0.6942–0.6952 with a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) neutral near 48.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6937

Resistance: 0.69519, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • reclaim of 0.69519 lower high would re-open the 0.69692 session high
  • loss of 0.69420 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.69370 asia range

11:47 UTC

Faded off session high, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.69461

Consolidation after rejection at 0.6970.

Early London pushed to a 0.6970 session high — in line with the 0.6980 macro cap — then rolled over on a softer USD backdrop, with price now consolidating 0.6942–0.6952. RSI(14) mid-range near 47; momentum flat and no setup in play.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6937

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69520 reopens the 0.6970 session high
  • Break below 0.69420 exposes 0.69370 swing low
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst but outside the next 8h

11:32 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 0.69434

Lower highs off session high, basing mid-0.6940s.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.6969 during Asian hours on a softer USD, then faded through London back to the mid-0.6940s in a series of lower highs. Latest rejection at 0.6952 dropped price to 0.6943; RSI(14) cooling near 43, price now below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69520 reopens the path to the 0.6969 session high
  • Break below 0.69410 exposes 0.69340 prior low
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

11:32 UTC

Intraday pullback, momentum faded · RSI 45 · price 0.69434

Lower highs off 0.6969, consolidating near support.

Aussie pushed to a session high of 0.6969 in the Asian session on a softer USD, then faded through the London hours back to the 0.6943 swing low, with a chain of lower highs since. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 44 — pullback in play, 0.6980 range top untested.

Support: 0.6942, 0.69316, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69520 reasserts the topside toward 0.6969
  • Failure to hold 0.69420 exposes the 0.69316 Asian low
  • US CPI Tue 14 Jul is the pivot risk for USD-driven moves

11:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.69475

Range after Asia-session spike and retrace.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.69692 during Asia hours on a softer USD, then faded through London back into the mid-0.6940s. Now ranging 0.69410–0.69568 with price sitting on EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 51 — no directional setup in play.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69332, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69568 reopens the session high at 0.69692
  • Loss of 0.69410 range low exposes the 0.69332 swing low
  • USD CPI (Tue) is the primary risk to this read

11:17 UTC

Pullback within intraday uptrend · RSI 49 · price 0.69475

Faded off session high, now ranging.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.6969 on the softer USD before rejecting and fading back to the mid-0.6940s, where price is now stalling around the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 48; buyers held 0.6943 while 0.6969 caps the topside.

Support: 0.6943, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6969 reopens the path toward 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6943 exposes the 0.6933 range low
  • US CPI (Tue 14 Jul) the key upcoming USD driver

11:03 UTC

Sideways after pullback from session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69487

Consolidation under 0.6952 following rally rejection at 0.6969.

London session rallied to a session high at 0.69692 on a softer USD, then faded back into a 0.6942–0.6952 range where price now sits mid-band. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6942 while 0.6952 has capped the bounce; RSI(14) neutral around 52, ATR compressed near 3 pips.

Support: 0.69425, 0.69374

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6952 reopens the path to 0.6959 then the 0.6969 session high
  • Loss of 0.6942 swing low exposes 0.6937 range low

11:03 UTC

Uptrend faded into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 0.69487

Range under session high after rejection.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high near 0.69692 in early London on a softer USD, then was rejected and faded into a tight consolidation in the mid-0.6940s. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~3.5 pips, with buyers nudging price back toward the 0.69520 shelf into NY hours.

Support: 0.69423, 0.69347

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69520 opens the path back to the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69423 exposes 0.69347 swing low
  • USD/Iran headlines the main intraday driver in this data-light window

10:47 UTC

Recovering off pullback, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 0.69487

Eased from session high, consolidating mid-range.

Asian session drove AUDUSD to a 2.5-week high at 0.6969 before it eased back through London, unwinding the spike; price is now consolidating in the mid-0.6940s and recovering toward the 0.6952 recent high. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with USD's three-day slide underpinning the Aussie.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69518, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6952 recent high reopens the path to the 0.6969 asia high
  • Failure to hold 0.6941 swing low exposes the 0.6933 range low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the pivotal USD-direction risk for this pair

10:47 UTC

Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.69487

Pullback holding 0.618 of Asia rally.

Asia session pushed AUDUSD to a 0.69692 high before it was rejected, and London hours faded the move back to the 0.69410 swing low — roughly the 0.618 retrace of that rally — on a softer USD. Price is now recovering into mid-0.6940s/low-0.6950s with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no clean setup while it churns between 0.69410 and 0.69520.

Support: 0.6941, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69520 reopens the 0.69692 asia high
  • Failure to hold 0.69410 exposes the 0.69332 rally base
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read

10:32 UTC

Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 57 · price 0.69519

Pulled back into range, now grinding up off base.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.69692 before rejection, then faded into a 0.6941-0.6957 range as a softer USD kept the Aussie coiled. Price has recovered off the 0.6943 base to 0.69519 with RSI(14) mid-range; the swing low at 0.69411 held on the pullback.

Support: 0.69434, 0.69411

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69568 recent high reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold the 0.69411 swing low confirms a lower low
  • 0.6980 range cap remains the repeated rejection point above

10:32 UTC

Recovering after pullback from session high · RSI 56 · price 0.69519

Spike to 0.6969, pullback, now mid-range recovery.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.6969 on a softer USD before fading to 0.6941 and coiling in a tight 0.6941–0.6952 range. Price is now pressing back to 0.6952, sitting near the 50% retrace of that up-move with RSI(14) neutral around 56.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69347

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69692 session high reopens the path toward the 0.6980 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69411 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
  • US CPI (Tue) is the pivotal USD catalyst that could reset this range

10:17 UTC

Pullback from session high, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.69485

Range after rejection of session high.

London pushed to a session high 0.69692 on a softer USD then got rejected, unwinding to consolidate around 0.6948. RSI(14) sits near 50 with ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips — chop, no clear intraday direction.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 0.69540 minor high reopens 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold the 0.69411 swing low exposes 0.69332 session low
  • US Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone

10:17 UTC

Pullback after rally, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.69485

Session-high faded, ranging mid-0.6940s.

Asian session pushed to a session high at 0.69692 on a softer USD before London faded it back into the mid-0.6940s. Price now consolidating between 0.69411 and 0.69541 with RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69541 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69411 confirms a lower low toward 0.69332
  • US CPI Tue and Fed report today 18:00 UTC could shift this read

10:03 UTC

Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69458

Rejection at 0.6969, consolidating mid-range.

AUDUSD ran to a session high at 0.6969 — just under the digest's repeated 0.6980 rejection zone — on broad USD softness, then rolled back to the mid-0.6940s. Price is now consolidating between the 0.69411 swing low and 0.69520 swing high, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69373

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69520 swing high reopens the 0.69690 session high
  • Loss of 0.69411 swing low exposes 0.69373 prior low
  • US CPI (Tue) is the main external catalyst for the range

10:03 UTC

Pullback off session high, lower highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69458

Chain of lower highs, holding above 0.69411.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.69692 during the Asian hours on the broad USD slide, then rolled over into a steady chain of lower highs through London, now churning near 0.6945. Price is coiling in a tight 0.69411-0.69537 band with RSI(14) flat mid-range; the 0.69411 pivot has been defended repeatedly.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69537, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69411 confirms a lower low, opening 0.69332
  • Reclaim of 0.69537 needed to re-challenge session high 0.69692
  • US CPI Tue is the main external risk to this range read

09:47 UTC

Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69449

Consolidation under lower highs after rally.

Asian-session run to 0.69692 was rejected and unwound through London, price now grinding sideways in a 0.6942-0.6950 band with RSI mid-range. Softer USD ahead of next week's CPI is the backdrop, but the intraday move has stalled below the lower-highs line.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6934, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6942 opens 0.6934 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69568 needed to retest 0.69692 session high
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

09:47 UTC

Pullback from session high, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.69449

Lower highs after rejection at 0.6969.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.6969 on the three-day USD slide, then faded in a chain of lower highs back to 0.6945. RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s and price is flat below EMA20, consolidating just above the 0.69410 session low.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69410 confirms a lower low and opens 0.69330
  • Reclaim of 0.69540 needed to break the descending highs
  • Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone

09:32 UTC

Pullback from session high, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6943

Lower highs since 0.6969 peak.

London session pushed AUDUSD up to a 0.6969 session high before rejection, and price has since bled back to 0.6943 on a chain of lower highs as the soft-USD bid stalled. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44; the 0.6941 session low is the pivot holding the pullback.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.6952 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.6941 session low opens 0.6930
  • 0.6969 remains the near-term cap to watch for rejection or break

09:32 UTC

Pullback from session high, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 0.6943

Retracing after rally to 0.6969, grinding lower.

AUDUSD rejected the session high at 0.6969 in early trade and has since printed a chain of lower highs, now hovering 0.6943 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42. USD softness caps little here — the intraday tape is a controlled retracement of the earlier rally, holding above the 0.6941 session low.

Support: 0.6941, 0.6933, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6950 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6941 session low exposes 0.6933 then 0.6929
  • US CPI Tue is the week's dominant USD catalyst, out of this window

09:17 UTC

Pullback after Asian-session rally · RSI 41 · price 0.69443

Lower highs off 0.6969, basing near 0.6944.

Asian session rallied to a 0.6969 session high on a softer USD, then faded steadily through the London open with a chain of lower highs. Price now consolidating near 0.6944, holding just above the 0.6941 recent low; RSI(14) mid-range around 41.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69537, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69411 opens the 0.6935/0.69332 rally base
  • Reclaim of 0.69537 swing high needed to threaten the 0.6969 session high
  • US CPI Tue is the week's dominant catalyst, not imminent this session

09:17 UTC

Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69443

Lower highs after rejection at 0.6969.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.6969 into the London open as the USD stayed soft, then unwound steadily back toward 0.6944 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Lower highs are building through the London session and price is now hovering just above session lows.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69374

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69411 confirms a lower low, exposes 0.69374 swing low
  • reclaim of 0.6950 psych needed to re-challenge the 0.6969 session high
  • USD/China headlines the near-term driver on a thin AUD calendar

09:03 UTC

Pullback after intraday spike, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 0.69432

Rejection at session high, deep retrace.

Asian session drove AUDUSD to 0.6969 before a clean rejection, then faded back through the London open to 0.6943 on the softer USD/CPI-wait backdrop. Price has now unwound roughly three-quarters of that spike, RSI(14) cooling near 42 as the session low at 0.6941 is being probed.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6941 opens 0.6933 and confirms a lower low
  • Close back above 0.6950 reasserts the recovery toward 0.6969
  • Move is USD/China-driven with a light local slate — next-week US CPI is the dominant catalyst, not in this window

09:03 UTC

Pullback lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.69432

Lower highs, lower lows since Asia peak.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69692 during Asia on a softer USD, then ground steadily lower through the London open with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price sits at 0.69432, below EMA20/50 and holding just above the 0.69411 swing low, descending lower highs intact.

Support: 0.69411, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69497, 0.69555, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69555 (38.2% fib) would ease the pullback read
  • Loss of 0.69411 swing low opens toward 0.6900 psych
  • US CPI Tue could reset the USD tone driving this pair

08:47 UTC

Pullback after rally, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69429

Lower highs off session peak.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69692 during NY hours as the USD softened, then retraced almost the entire move, now grinding lower at 0.69429 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs; the swing low at 0.69411 is the last intraday floor holding.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69332, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69497, 0.69554, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69411 confirms a lower low, opens 0.69332 range base
  • Reclaim of 0.69497 recent high negates the pullback structure
  • US CPI Tue is the week's catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window

08:47 UTC

Pulled back off session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.69429

Lower highs since 0.6969, consolidating near lows.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.6969 in early London on the softer USD tone, then faded steadily through the London session and now sits near 0.6943, deep into the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s; price is capped by a chain of lower highs with buyers defending 0.6941.

Support: 0.69411, 0.69374

Resistance: 0.6947, 0.69555, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6941 opens the path toward 0.6937 and the base of the earlier range
  • Reclaim of 0.6947 / 0.6955 (38.2% fibo) needed to challenge the 0.6969 session high
  • US Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven tone

08:32 UTC

Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69432

Lower highs since 0.6969, holding range.

Asian session ran up to a session high at 0.6969 before fading through the London open; price has retraced most of that move back to 0.6943, printing lower highs with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Holding above the asian low at 0.6933 keeps this a pullback rather than a full unwind.

Support: 0.69423, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69423 swing low exposes the 0.6933 asian low
  • Reclaim of the 0.69540 swing high needed to re-challenge the 0.6969 session high

08:32 UTC

Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.69432

Lower highs since Asian peak.

Asian session rallied to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD softened, then faded through the London morning to 0.6943 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) cooled into the low-40s and price is back below the 0.69541 swing; the 0.69423 pullback low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 0.69423, 0.69332, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69423 session low opens 0.69332 swing low then the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69541 swing high needed to challenge the 0.69692 session high
  • US CPI Tue could reprice the USD and reset this range

08:17 UTC

Up-move faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69463

Lower highs off session high, consolidating.

AUDUSD rallied through the Asian session to a high of 0.69692 on a softer USD before rejection set in, fading roughly 61.8% of the move back to 0.6946. Price now consolidates below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 43; the prior high at 0.69568 caps for now while 0.69434 holds the base.

Support: 0.69434, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69568 prior high reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69434 swing low exposes the 0.69332 asia low
  • No AUD/USD data due next 8h — moves driven by USD tone into next week's US CPI

08:17 UTC

London rally fading, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 0.69463

Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.

London session drove a rally to 0.6969 on a softer USD, then faded ~25 pips into a pullback that stalled at 0.69430. Price now consolidating near 0.6946 with a series of lower highs capping under 0.69530.

Support: 0.6943, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6969

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69530 reopens the 0.69690 session high
  • Loss of 0.69430 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.69340
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the week's key USD catalyst

08:03 UTC

Pulled back from session high, short-term down · RSI 41 · price 0.69438

Rolled off 0.6969, lower highs into London.

AUDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.6969 late in the Asian session on a softer USD, then rolled over through London with a chain of lower highs back to 0.6944. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41, testing the 0.6943 base.

Support: 0.69434, 0.6940, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69400 reopens 0.69332 and the 0.6900 support
  • Reclaim of 0.69540 needed to re-challenge the 0.6969 session high
  • US CPI Jul-14 is the marquee catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window

08:02 UTC

Pulling back after London spike · RSI 40 · price 0.69438

Lower highs off 0.6969, testing pullback lows.

AUDUSD spiked into early London to a session high of 0.6969 on the softer USD, then faded through the morning in a chain of lower highs, now pressing pullback lows at 0.6944. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40 — momentum has rolled over from the spike.

Support: 0.69434, 0.69314

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69434 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69314
  • Reclaim of 0.69541 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
  • 0.6900 remains the wider coil floor per macro context

07:47 UTC

Rally stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69457

Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.

London session pushed AUDUSD up to a 0.69692 session high as the USD stayed soft, but the move stalled and price has bled back to the 0.69456 session low, now consolidating just above it. RSI(14) near 43 reflects momentum cooling off the highs; a chain of lower highs caps at 0.6954.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69540 needed to challenge the 0.69692 session high again
  • Loss of 0.69456 session low opens the 0.6940 round number
  • USD flows / Iran headlines remain the near-term driver on a thin AUD calendar

07:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend after Asia-session peak · RSI 41 · price 0.69457

Lower highs since 0.6969, testing session low.

Asia session spiked to 0.69692 then faded through London, printing a chain of lower highs back to the session low at 0.69456 where price now sits. The advance off 0.69332 has been ~65% retraced, RSI(14) cooling near 41 as the soft-USD bid stalls.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6937

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69540 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Sustained break below 0.69456 session low opens 0.69370
  • USD flows / Iran headlines the dominant driver on a thin AUD calendar

07:32 UTC

Pullback after London rally, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 0.69481

Consolidating below session high.

London open drove a rally into 0.69692 before sellers rejected it; price has since faded to the 61.8% retrace near 0.6947, where it is coiling in a tight 0.6947–0.6952 range. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the move stalled, consistent with the soft-USD, two-way AUD tone.

Support: 0.6947, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6952, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6952 reopens the path to the 0.69692 session high
  • M15 close below 0.6947 exposes 0.6940
  • Direction largely tied to USD flows into US CPI next week

07:32 UTC

Up-move faded, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69481

Pullback from session high, ranging.

Early-London rally pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69692 on softer USD, then faded back to consolidate near 0.6948. Price is holding above the 0.69456 swing low, capped by the 0.69541 pivot; RSI(14) around 46 after cooling from the highs.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69541 re-engages the move toward 0.69692
  • Failure to hold 0.69456 opens the 0.6940 psych level
  • US CPI Tue is the pivot risk for USD flows

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling on pullback · RSI 44 · price 0.69468

Post-peak pullback, lower highs off session high.

NY session drove a clean rally to a 0.69692 session high before rejection dragged price back to 0.69468, a ~62% retrace of that move. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s and price is stair-stepping lower under a chain of lower highs; buyers last defended 0.69456.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69456 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.6940
  • Reclaim of 0.69541 re-engages the session rally toward 0.69692
  • USD flows on Iran headlines the dominant near-term driver

07:17 UTC

Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.69468

Lower highs off session peak, consolidating near lows.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69692 during Asia hours as the USD stayed soft, then got rejected and bled back to 0.69456. Price is now consolidating just off that low with RSI(14) cooling near 41, a chain of lower highs capping the recovery.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69456 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69692 re-engages the rally
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant near-term risk for this pair

07:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 0.69487

Rally into session high, now consolidating below it.

AUDUSD broke out during NY hours and ran to a 0.69692 session high before rejection dragged price back to 0.69456; a softer USD underpinned the move. Now consolidating around 0.6949, sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69456, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 reopens the path toward the 0.6980 bull trigger
  • Failure to hold 0.69456 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.69332 rally base
  • USD flows on Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the dominant near-term driver

07:02 UTC

Pullback after London rally · RSI 47 · price 0.69487

Faded off session high, consolidating.

London session rallied to a session high at 0.69692 before fading back to 0.69456; RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the mid-40s. Price now coils around 0.6949 between the session low and the 0.69541 swing high, with the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range still intact.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69541, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69541 reopens the path to the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69456 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6940 psych
  • US CPI Tue is the dominant USD catalyst for the pair

06:47 UTC

Pullback off session high, lower highs · RSI 48 · price 0.69481

Rally to 0.6969 then retrace, buyers near 0.6946.

Asia session pushed a rally to the session high at 0.69692 before rejection, with a series of lower highs since. Buyers stepped in near 0.69456 and price is recovering toward 0.69540, currently sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the impulse; RSI cooled back to mid-range.

Support: 0.69456, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6954, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69540 would break the sequence of lower highs off 0.69692
  • Failure to hold 0.69456 opens the path back to the 0.69332 rally base

06:47 UTC

Up-leg fading, pullback in play · RSI 51 · price 0.69481

Rally off 0.6933 stalled at 0.6969, now consolidating lower half.

AUDUSD ran from a 0.6933 base to a session high of 0.69692 through late Asia as the USD stayed soft, then rejected and slid back to 0.6947. Price now churns near 0.6948 with RSI(14) back around neutral; the session-high rejection caps for now while 0.6947 has held on the pullback.

Support: 0.6947, 0.69335

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 reopens the path to the 0.6980 bull trigger
  • Loss of 0.6947 exposes the 0.69335 range base
  • Thin AUD calendar next 8h — USD flows and Iran headlines dominate

06:32 UTC

Short-term uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69503

Rally then retracement into fib.

Late-NY leg drove AUDUSD from 0.6933 up to a 0.69692 session high as the USD stayed soft, then the Asian session retraced roughly 62% of that move where buyers stepped in near 0.69456. Price now hovers at 0.6950 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the 0.69568 swing high caps the bounce.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69568 puts the 0.69692 session high back in play
  • Close below 0.69456 opens 0.6940 then the 0.6900 pivot
  • US CPI Tue is the key USD catalyst but sits outside the next few hours

06:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling after rejection · RSI 48 · price 0.69503

Pullback from session high, holding above prior base.

London session drove a clean run from 0.6933 to a session high at 0.6969, where price was rejected and faded back to 0.6947. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback found footing above the 0.6947 swing low; price now hovers at 0.6950 between the rally leg's extremes.

Support: 0.6947, 0.6940, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6947 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.6940 prior base
  • Reclaim of 0.69692 session high reopens the upside toward 0.6980
  • Thin AUD calendar leaves USD/geopolitics newsflow as the near-term driver

06:17 UTC

Up-leg fading, pullback in play · RSI 48 · price 0.69513

London rally then retrace off session high.

London hours drove AUDUSD from the 0.69332 range base to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft, then price retraced ~60% to 0.6947 before bouncing to 0.69513. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits back below EMA20; buyers stepped in at 0.6947.

Support: 0.6947, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of session high 0.69692 opens the path to the 0.6980 range cap
  • Loss of 0.6947 swing low exposes the 0.69332 range base
  • US CPI (Tue) is the primary catalyst that could reset this range read

06:17 UTC

Up-leg cooling into pullback · RSI 48 · price 0.69513

Impulse high then ~50% retrace.

Asia session drove a clean impulse from 0.6933 to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft, then rejected there and retraced roughly half the move to 0.69513. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral and price sits just under EMA20; buyers stepped in around 0.6947 on the pullback.

Support: 0.6947, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69613, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69613 puts the 0.69692 session high back in play
  • Loss of 0.6947 opens the 0.6934 range base
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary near-term catalyst for this pair

06:03 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 0.69485

Lower highs off session high, retracing rally.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6940 range base into the Asia session and pushed to a session high of 0.69692 before rejection set in. Price has since carved lower highs and is retracing the rally, now back at 0.69485 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price below EMA20.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6957, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69456 exposes the 0.6940 range base
  • Reclaim above 0.69570 would question the pullback and re-open the session high
  • AUD stays USD/geopolitics-driven; US CPI (Tue) is the next major catalyst

06:03 UTC

Pullback after Asian-session rally · RSI 40 · price 0.69485

Retracing into breakout zone, lower highs.

Asian session pushed AUDUSD up to 0.69692 before rolling over; price has retraced the whole move back into the 0.6940-0.6950 breakout zone and now sits near session lows around 0.6948. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as the pullback prints lower highs.

Support: 0.69456, 0.6940, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69556, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69456 session low exposes the 0.6940 prior range
  • Reclaim of 0.69556 lower high would stall the pullback
  • Move driven by USD/geopolitics newsflow; US CPI Tue could reset the read

05:47 UTC

Intraday rally fading, pullback underway · RSI 45 · price 0.69474

Pullback from session high after rejection.

Asian session pushed AUDUSD up to a 0.69692 high before rejection, and price has since bled back to 0.69474 with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The move is retracing roughly 60% of the prior up-leg as the pair stays boxed inside its broader 0.6900–0.6980 range.

Support: 0.69456, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6957, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6957 (ema20) would reopen the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69456 exposes 0.6933 as the next intraday support
  • US CPI on Tue could materially shift this USD-driven read

05:47 UTC

Pullback off NY session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69474

Lower highs after rally rejection.

NY session rallied from the 0.69332 rally base to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD softened post-FOMC minutes, then rejected and rolled over into a string of lower highs back to 0.69474. Price now sits below the 0.6950 psych level, RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s and the 0.69456 session low is the immediate floor.

Support: 0.69456, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6950 psych would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • M15 close below 0.69456 session low confirms a lower low toward the 0.69332 rally base
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the primary near-term catalyst for this pair

05:32 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 0.69474

Rejection at session high, retracing.

Asian-session rally broke out to a session high of 0.69692 then rejected, and price has faded to 0.69474 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s. The pullback is retracing the up-move and is now leaning on the 0.69440 swing-low region.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6940, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69566, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69566 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69400 opens the path toward 0.6900 strong support
  • USD/geopolitics headlines set direction into the light AU calendar

05:32 UTC

Intraday rally fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.69474

Rejection at session high, retracing prior leg.

Asia session pushed AUDUSD from 0.69332 to a 0.69692 high before sellers capped it; price has since faded to 0.69474, right at the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as the pullback holds below EMA20, consistent with the 0.6900–0.6950 coil noted on the softer USD.

Support: 0.6943, 0.69345

Resistance: 0.69568, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69568 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69430 exposes the 0.69345 swing low
  • Light AU calendar; direction likely USD/geopolitics-driven near term

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.69531

Pullback after intraday breakout.

Late-Asia session pushed AUDUSD out of the 0.6935–0.6945 coil, spiking to a session high 0.69692 on a soft USD after divided Fed minutes. Price has since faded ~16 pips to 0.6953, ~45% back into the move, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward neutral.

Support: 0.69441, 0.6935, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69692 resumes the breakout toward 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69441 pre-spike area negates the breakout and reopens the 0.6935 range low
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the macro catalyst; near-term flow is USD/geopolitics-driven

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 51 · price 0.69531

Impulse then shallow pullback off session high.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6944 shelf and ran to 0.69692 into the London handover, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price drifted back to 0.6953. Pullback is orderly and holding above the breakout level; session high at 0.69692 caps for now.

Support: 0.69441, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 0.69441 breakout level negates the breakout read
  • A close back above 0.69692 reopens the 0.6980 repeat-fail zone
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the near-term catalyst that could break the 0.6900–0.6980 coil

05:03 UTC

NY rally fading, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.69535

Range break higher then retrace.

NY session broke the Asian range with a rally to 0.69692 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes, then faded steadily back to 0.69535 with RSI(14) cooling to ~44. Price is now retracing into the 0.69460 breakout zone, sitting just below EMA20 but above EMA50.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.6962, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69620 reopens the 0.69692 session high
  • Loss of 0.69460 negates the breakout and exposes 0.69400
  • US CPI Tue could materially shift this read

05:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, retracing · RSI 49 · price 0.69535

Pullback off session high, HL chain intact.

NY session ran the range from 0.6933 up to a session high of 0.6969 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes, then rolled over and is now retracing into the 50% fib near 0.6951, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral. Momentum has faded into the Asia handover with buyers still holding above the 0.6947 area.

Support: 0.69512, 0.6947, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.69566

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 0.69470 (61.8% fib) keeps the rally's HL structure intact
  • Close below 0.69332 swing low negates the breakout
  • Reclaim of 0.69566 swing reopens the 0.69692 session high

04:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 0.69541

Higher highs into session high, now retracing.

Asian session pushed AUD from the 0.6933 low up to a session high of 0.6969 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes. RSI(14) is cooling from the impulse and price is retracing to 0.6954, still holding above the 0.6944 breakout zone.

Support: 0.6944, 0.69332, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6944 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
  • Break above 0.6969 opens the path to the 0.6980 repeat-failure resistance
  • Failure to hold 0.6944 exposes the 0.6933 swing low

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 53 · price 0.69541

Higher highs into session peak, now retracing.

Asian session ran a clean leg from 0.6944 to a session high of 0.6969 on the softer USD after divided Fed minutes, then rejected and faded to 0.6954. RSI(14) has cooled back near mid-range as the pullback holds above the 0.69497 breakout shelf.

Support: 0.69497, 0.6944, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69497 breakout opens the path back to 0.6944
  • Reclaim of 0.69692 session high needed to resume the up-leg
  • 0.6980 remains the context resistance and repeat failure point

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 0.69567

Breakout above range, easing back.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6900–0.6940 coil during Asia hours, printing a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft after divided Fed minutes. RSI has cooled from the peak; price is easing back but holding above 0.6950.

Support: 0.69548, 0.6950, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6950 would negate the breakout and put the range base at 0.6940 back in play
  • 0.6980 remains the repeat failure point capping upside

04:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.69567

Higher lows into pullback off session high.

AUDUSD broke the Asian 0.6935–0.6950 band during late-Asia hours and ran to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft post-Fed-minutes. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought toward mid-range as price retraces to 0.69567, holding the 38.2% fib and above EMA20.

Support: 0.69548, 0.6950, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6962, 0.69692

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.69548 swing low keeps the higher-low sequence intact
  • Loss of 0.69500 round number opens the path back into the 0.6935–0.6950 band
  • Reclaim of 0.69692 session high would resume the breakout leg

04:17 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back after breakout · RSI 56 · price 0.6958

Range break to fresh session high, retracing.

AUD broke out of the 0.6930–0.6945 range during the Asia session, spiking to a session high of 0.6969 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes. RSI has cooled from overbought as price retraces toward the 0.6950 breakout area; EMAs remain below price.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout retest and reopens the 0.6930 range floor
  • Break above 0.6969 session high targets the 0.6980 repeat-failure point
  • Next-week US CPI is the dominant macro catalyst for AUDUSD direction

04:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 0.6958

Broke above range, now retesting breakout.

Price broke out of the 0.6934–0.6950 congestion during the Asia session, spiking to 0.6969 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes. RSI(14) has cooled from hot as the last four bars drifted back toward 0.6958, retesting the former range top at 0.6950.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6950 keeps the breakout intact; loss back below flags a false break into the prior range
  • 0.6980 is a repeat failure point above — area to watch for rejection or break
  • US CPI Jul 14 could materially shift USD tone and this read

04:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.69595

Breakout from 0.6938–0.6946 range, now pulling back.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6938–0.6946 range during Asian hours and ran to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft after divided Fed minutes. RSI(14) is cooling near 61 as price pulls back to 0.6960; breakout base sits at 0.6944.

Support: 0.6956, 0.6950, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and returns price to range
  • 0.698 is the repeat failure zone to monitor for rejection or break
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the next real catalyst for USD direction

04:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69595

Range break higher, pulling back.

Asia session broke above the 0.6935–0.6945 shelf that capped the prior 20 hours, printing a session high at 0.69692 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes. Price has since eased to 0.69595, RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels; the 0.69450 breakout base is the first area to watch on a retest.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6945, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 opens the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69450 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the next macro catalyst for the coil

03:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 0.69617

Breakout above range, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6935–0.6945 band during early Asia hours, spiking to a session high of 0.69692 before cooling, RSI(14) easing back from stretched levels. Buyers holding the 0.6961 pullback so far, with the breakout zone at 0.6944 as the pivot beneath.

Support: 0.6961, 0.6944, 0.6934

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69692 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6944 breakout negates the up move
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst that could reset this read

03:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 0.69617

Breakout above intraday range, HH/HL intact.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6930–0.6945 Asian/London coil during NY hours, running to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes. Price has since cooled to 0.6962 with RSI(14) rolling off from hot levels; the breakout base at 0.6944 has yet to be retested.

Support: 0.6960, 0.69441, 0.69316

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69692 opens the path to the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone
  • Failure to hold the 0.69441 breakout base negates the breakout read
  • US-Iran headlines could swing risk sentiment and this read intraday

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, strong intraday momentum · RSI 72 · price 0.69632

Range break, chain of higher highs.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6934–0.6945 Asian coil and rallied to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes, RSI(14) running hot near 72. Momentum is cooling into the 0.6963 pullback but the range break is so far holding.

Support: 0.6960, 0.69479, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69692 session high opens the path toward the 0.6980 prior high
  • Failure to hold the 0.6960 pullback low signals a fade back into the 0.69479 swing low
  • 0.6980 remains a repeat failure point on the wider range

03:32 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive leg · RSI 72 · price 0.69632

Breakout above range top, chain of higher highs.

Asia session broke cleanly above the 0.6950 range top, tagging 0.69692 before easing to 0.6963 as RSI(14) cooled from ~72. Move tracks the softer USD after divided Fed minutes; the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone remains overhead.

Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69610 pullback low would stall the breakout and threaten a retest of 0.6950
  • A close above 0.69692 session high opens the path to the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone
  • US CPI Jul 14 could materially reset this read

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 0.69641

Range break, fresh higher highs.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6935–0.6945 Asian coil, running to 0.69692 as the USD softened after divided Fed minutes; RSI(14) near 73 and cooling on the last two bars. Breakout above 0.69440 holding so far, with 0.6980 the repeat failure zone overhead.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6937

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69440 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range
  • 0.6980 remains the repeat failure point capping upside per prior rejections
  • RSI above 73 leaves the leg extended; stall near 0.6970 would flag exhaustion

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 70 · price 0.69641

Range break to session high, stalling.

Asia session broke out of the 0.6933–0.6945 range, driving to a session high of 0.69692 as the USD stayed soft after divided Fed minutes. RSI(14) near 70 and the latest bar a tiny doji — momentum stalling just under the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone.

Support: 0.6956, 0.6943, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 opens the path to a fuller range break
  • Failure to hold the 0.6956 breakout level would flag a false break back into range
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst that could reset this read

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, breakout momentum · RSI 80 · price 0.69672

Range break, extending higher off the 0.6934-0.6946 band.

AUDUSD broke cleanly above the 0.6934-0.6946 band that capped most of the last 24h, running to a 0.69692 session high during Asia hours as the USD softened post Fed minutes. RSI(14) near 80 is short-term stretched with the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone just overhead.

Support: 0.6946, 0.6934, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • 0.6980 area to watch for rejection or break — repeat failure point
  • M15 close back below 0.6946 negates the range breakout
  • RSI near 80 flags a short-term stretched move into resistance

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 76 · price 0.69672

Range break to the upside.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6930–0.6945 Asian coil, running to 0.6969 as the USD softened post-Fed minutes. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the vertical last-hour push; 0.6980 is the repeat failure point overhead.

Support: 0.6945, 0.69332

Resistance: 0.69692, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • 0.6980 is a repeat failure zone — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Loss of 0.6945 breakout shelf reopens the 0.6930 range
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 78 · price 0.69636

Impulsive break above prior consolidation, fresh session highs.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6935-0.6945 Asia consolidation into a steep rally, tagging session highs at 0.69638 with RSI(14) near 78 — short-term hot. Move follows broad USD softness after the divided FOMC minutes; buyers cleared the 0.69566 breakout level in one leg.

Support: 0.69566, 0.6944, 0.69383

Resistance: 0.69638, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold the 0.69566 breakout on a pullback signals a retest failure
  • Extension toward 0.6980 tests the repeat fail zone flagged this week
  • US CPI Jul 14 is the near-term catalyst that could reset this read

02:47 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 79 · price 0.69636

Range break, HH/HL chain.

AUDUSD broke out of the 0.6930–0.6946 Asian range with a sharp impulse to 0.6963, tracking the softer USD after divided Fed minutes. RSI(14) near 79 is hot but consistent with the momentum leg; the prior range top at 0.6950 now sits as first support.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6940, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6950 keeps the breakout intact; a reclaim below flags a false break back into range
  • 0.6980 is the repeat failure point — area to watch for rejection or extension
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next USD catalyst that could reset this read

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 76 · price 0.69594

Range break to the upside, higher highs.

AUD broke above the 0.6950 range top during the Asia session, running to 0.69616 as the USD stayed soft after the divided FOMC minutes. RSI(14) is hot near 76 and price is holding just under the session high, still short of the 0.6980 repeat-failure zone.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6940

Resistance: 0.69616, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 0.6950 would flag a false break of the range top
  • Push through 0.6980 opens the path toward the broader range extreme; that level has capped rallies repeatedly
  • USD / US-Iran headlines set near-term direction with a light AU calendar

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 76 · price 0.69594

Breakout from intraday range, fresh session high.

Asia session pushed AUDUSD sharply through the 0.6950 range top into a fresh session high at 0.69616, with the softer USD after the divided Fed minutes underpinning the leg. RSI(14) is hot near 76 as the last eight bars printed a steep HH/HL chain; the prior range top at 0.6950 now sits as first support.

Support: 0.6950, 0.69332, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69616, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69616 opens the path to the 0.6980 psych zone
  • Loss of 0.6950 range top negates the breakout and returns price to range
  • Move is extended into overbought — first pullback tests 0.6950 flip

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 75 · price 0.69565

Range break higher, HH-HL forming.

Asian session broke the 0.6930-0.6946 coil, pushing through 0.6950 to a session high at 0.6957 as the USD stayed soft post-FOMC minutes. RSI(14) is hot near 74 into the move; broken range top at 0.6950 now the pivot below spot.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6940, 0.6933

Resistance: 0.6957, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 0.6950 keeps the breakout intact; loss back into 0.6930-0.6946 negates it
  • 0.6980 is the repeat failure zone from the broader range
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst for the coil

02:17 UTC

Breakout higher, momentum hot · RSI 77 · price 0.69565

Range break above 0.6950.

Asia session pushed AUDUSD out of the 0.6930–0.6950 coil, tagging 0.6957 with RSI(14) hot near 77 as the softer USD post-FOMC minutes underpinned the move. Prior range top at 0.6950 flips to support; 0.6980 remains the repeat failure point overhead.

Support: 0.6950, 0.6935

Resistance: 0.69571, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and reverts to range
  • 0.6980 area to watch for rejection or break
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the near-term catalyst that can reset this read

02:02 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum firming late Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.69481

Range break above 0.6950 cap after 20h of 0.6930-0.6950 chop.

AUDUSD broke the 0.6930-0.6950 coil late in the Asia session, tagging 0.69531 before easing to 0.69481, RSI(14) near 68. The pop follows a softer USD on a split-committee read of the Fed minutes; range cap at 0.6950 now flipped to first support.

Support: 0.6945, 0.6933, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6945 puts price inside the prior 0.6930-0.6950 range and negates the break
  • Acceptance above 0.69531 opens the path toward the 0.6980 area flagged by the digest
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro catalyst for this pair

02:02 UTC

Range, recent upside push · RSI 66 · price 0.69481

Coil breaking above range top.

AUDUSD pushed off 0.6935 through the NY-Asia transition, clearing the 0.6950 range cap to tag a session high at 0.69531 before pulling back to 0.69481. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; buyers stepped in around 0.6944 on the retrace.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6935, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69531, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69531 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6944 returns price into the 0.6930-0.6950 range
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro toggle for the pair

01:47 UTC

Mild uptrend into range top · RSI 58 · price 0.69437

Coiling near range cap, HL chain.

Asia session ground higher off the 0.6937 swing low, tagging a session high at 0.69506 before fading to 0.69437, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price stayed inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 coil the whole window; the 0.695 range cap capped the last push.

Support: 0.6937, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69506, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69506 / 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold the 0.6937 swing low re-exposes 0.6929 window low
  • Range read intact while price stays under 0.6950

01:47 UTC

Grind higher, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 0.69437

Range break attempt, pullback.

AUDUSD pushed to a session high of 0.69506 before fading back to 0.69437, RSI(14) cooling from the low-60s as the poke above 0.6950 psych failed to hold. Price is coiling near the top of the 0.6930–0.6950 range with USD soft on split-Fed-minutes read; buyers held 0.69332 on the last dip.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69332, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69506, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 psych opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 minor returns price into the 0.6930 range low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the next macro toggle for the range

01:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, grinding to range top · RSI 66 · price 0.69473

Higher lows into session high near range cap.

Asia session ground higher, tagging 0.69506 before easing back to 0.69473 as RSI(14) cools from the mid-60s. Price sits just under the 0.6950 psych cap with a chain of higher lows off 0.69332 intact.

Support: 0.69374, 0.69332, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69506, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69506/0.6950 opens the 0.6980 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69332 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Thin AU docket leaves direction to US CPI (Jul 14) / Mideast headlines

01:32 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 0.69473

Higher lows into session high, breakout of intraday range top.

Asia session ground higher through prior range top, tagging a session high at 0.69506 before a shallow pullback to 0.69473. Higher lows intact off 0.69346; RSI(14) near 66, firm but not stretched. Move fits the USD softening into the 0.6950/0.6980 range cap flagged in context.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69346, 0.69275

Resistance: 0.69506, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.69506 opens the 0.6950/0.6980 range cap area
  • Loss of 0.69400 prior range breaks the higher-low chain
  • Thin AU docket leaves US/Fed and Mideast headlines as the near-term toggle

01:17 UTC

Grinding higher toward range top · RSI 69 · price 0.69492

Chain of higher lows testing 0.6950 cap.

Asia session ground steadily higher, breaking above prior 0.69473 high with the last bar printing 0.69492 as buyers stepped in through the thin overnight hours. RSI(14) near 69 and price above both EMAs; the 0.6950 range cap flagged in context is the immediate wall.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69332, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69473

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69400 breaks the higher-low chain back into the range
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst — thin AU flow leaves USD in control

01:17 UTC

Grinding higher into range top · RSI 67 · price 0.69492

Range, testing upper boundary.

AUDUSD ground off the 0.69245 session low and pushed to 0.69492 late in the window, now testing the 0.6950 range cap flagged by the digest. RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not extreme; the move firmed after softer-USD flow on divided FOMC minutes.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69332, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69473

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range cap opens the path to 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 pivot returns price into the 0.6930-0.6950 range
  • US-Iran headlines / Fed repricing remain the dominant USD driver this session

01:03 UTC

Mild uptrend, coiling near range top · RSI 62 · price 0.69446

Higher lows into session high.

Asia session grinding higher toward the 0.69466 session high after a slow London-NY drift, price now pressing the range top at 0.69446. RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR just ~6 pips — muted, USD-driven chop as the broader 0.6900-0.6950 range holds.

Support: 0.69346, 0.69291

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69346 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI risk later this week is the main USD catalyst for this range

01:03 UTC

Range, mild upward drift · RSI 61 · price 0.69446

Coiled inside 0.6930–0.6950, grinding higher lows.

Asian session grinding higher into 0.69461 after a quick dip to 0.69332 was bought back; price sits at the top of a tight 0.6930–0.6950 coil. Momentum is modest with RSI(14) near 61, and the 0.6950 range cap flagged in the wider read remains untested.

Support: 0.69332, 0.6930, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69461, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens a run at the 0.6980 upside trigger
  • Loss of 0.6930 range floor exposes the 0.6900 pivot

00:47 UTC

Range-bound, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69407

Consolidation near range top.

AUDUSD chopping in a tight 0.6929–0.6947 band through the Asia session, pinned inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range flagged after divided FOMC minutes. Rally into 0.69466 stalled and price eased back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum edge.

Support: 0.69332, 0.69285, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69332 exposes the 0.69285 swing low
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 GMT) is the dominant catalyst for this range

00:47 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 50 · price 0.69407

Range-bound, mid-range.

AUDUSD is pinned in a tight 0.6929–0.69466 range through the last 24h, RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips into thin early-Asia trade. Buyers keep defending 0.69332 while 0.69466 caps; no directional break in play.

Support: 0.69332, 0.6929

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6942

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the path toward the 0.6950 range cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69332 exposes the 0.6929 range low, then the 0.6900 pivot
  • Volume thin in Asia — moves may not sustain until London open

00:32 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.69372

Consolidation inside 0.6930–0.6947.

AUDUSD is pinned in a 0.6930–0.6947 range through thin Asia hours, price drifting to 0.69372 on very low volume after tagging the 0.69466 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 43, price marginally below EMA20/50 — no intraday setup in play, consistent with the two-way cross-currents from divided FOMC minutes.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69296, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 range cap opens the path to 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69340 session low exposes 0.6900 pivot
  • US CPI (Tue) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

00:32 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.69372

Range-bound, mid-range drift.

AUDUSD ground sideways through NY into Asia, boxed 0.69300–0.69466 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. A late push to 0.69436 was rejected on thin Asian volume, leaving price drifting back to mid-range around 0.69372.

Support: 0.69345, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69466

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69300 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
  • US-side flow (Iran headlines, Fed pricing) the likely catalyst given thin AU calendar

00:17 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69392

Coiled near range top after intraday push.

London-NY drove AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.6946 before it stalled and coiled tightly around 0.6940 through thin Asia hours. A minor dip to 0.6938 on the last bars keeps price mid-range; nothing structural in play, consistent with the 0.6900-0.6950 coil the digest flags.

Support: 0.69347, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6946 opens the 0.6950 range cap
  • loss of 0.6935 session low exposes the 0.6930 round number
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could break the coil either way

00:17 UTC

Range-bound, flat momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.69392

Sideways range, thin Asia liquidity.

AUDUSD pinned in a 0.6935–0.6946 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed. The last bar rejected 0.6943 back to 0.69383, keeping price mid-range with no directional catalyst until US CPI.

Support: 0.69347, 0.69285

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens a test of the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69347 exposes the 0.69285 range low
  • US CPI (Tue) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range

00:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 58 · price 0.69429

Grinding higher lows toward range top.

Asia session drifting up on thin volume, pinned just under the 0.69466 session high after a slow grind off 0.69345. Price holds above EMA20/50 but ATR is compressed to ~3 pips — coiled inside the broader 0.6900–0.6950 range with no clean break yet.

Support: 0.69345, 0.6929, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens a test of the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69345 exposes the 0.6929 session low
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant catalyst — likely keeps this range pinned until then

00:02 UTC

Flat, consolidating after intraday grind higher · RSI 55 · price 0.69429

Range-bound, coiling near session high.

AUDUSD ground up from the 0.69245 session low through London-NY to tag 0.69466, then stalled into thin Asia hours with volume drying up around 0.6942. Price is coiling just under the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 55; broader 0.6900-0.6950 range still intact.

Support: 0.69386, 0.69316, 0.69245

Resistance: 0.69466, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69466 opens the 0.6950 range cap
  • Loss of 0.69386 swing low reopens 0.69316
  • US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant USD catalyst that would shift this range read

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal