Briefings
The AI desk’s notes at the Asia, London and New York opens, the Daily Wrap after the close, and the Week Ahead and Week in Review.
Thursday, 12 November 2026
Daily Wrap: Gold drops 2.89% to a yearly low as Fed-hike bets keep the dollar on top
The dollar stayed in charge into the close.
New York Open: Dollar cools below highs into claims and Fedspeak; gold slides to 3937.62
London took some heat out of the dollar. USD's 24h strength score eased to 0.35 from 0.63 in the last note.
London Open: UK Q3 GDP lands into a firm dollar; USDJPY at 159.85 presses the 160.00 line
Asia added to the dollar's lead. USD tops the 24h strength table at 0.63, up from 0.58 in the last note, and NZD is now bottom at -0.43.
Asia Open: USDJPY idles at 159.629 under the 160 line as AUD inflation expectations open Asia
Little has changed in FX since the Daily Wrap.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Daily Wrap: Dollar ends the day at yearly highs as gold loses $4,000 and USDJPY sits just under 160
The dollar finished the FX day on top. USD leads our strength table at 0.55 with CHF bottom at -0.54.
New York Open: USDJPY pushes above its 159 range top as the dollar bid extends; no US data today
London extended the dollar bid. USD leads our strength table at 0.78, USDJPY is at 159.189, above the 159.032 D1 range top, and USDCHF is up 0.62% on the day with CHF last at -0.5.
London Open: Nikkei +1.9%, silver +2.9% in Asia; USD still on top into German HICP, Lagarde
Asia leaned risk-friendly. JPN225 rose 1.86% and NAS100 1.01% since the Asia Open note.
Asia Open: Quiet Asia open: USDJPY at 158.7 near range top as Bowman, Paulson speak
Little has changed since the Daily Wrap. USD still leads our strength table at 0.59 and AUD is weakest at -0.35.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Daily Wrap: Hot US CPI lifts the dollar across the board; gold -2.46% and silver -3.34% on day
US October CPI ran hot. Headline came in at 0.4% m/m vs 0.3% forecast and core at 0.3% vs 0.2%.
New York Open: US CPI at 08:30 ET: core seen at 0.2% m/m as Waller's hike warning weighs on metals
US October CPI lands at 13:30 UTC (08:30 ET).
London Open: WTI slips toward its $84.25 low and metals ease as FX coils into 13:30 UTC US CPI
Asia was quiet in FX, with EURUSD ranging 0.25x a normal day and USDJPY 0.28x.
Asia Open: NZD extends election bounce into Asia as WTI sits just above its two-month-low zone
Little has changed since the Daily Wrap. Ranges are well below normal (EURUSD 0.07x typical, USDJPY 0.1x), and US500 is +0.01% on the day after its 2.29% 24h gain.
Monday, 9 November 2026
Daily Wrap: WTI down 4.63% on Iran-deal hopes as USD sinks; US500 up 2.63% before Tuesday's CPI
Oil set the tone. XTIUSD fell 4.63% on the day to 86.67 after Trump called further Iran strikes 'highly unlikely' and Iraq secured US agreement to resume Hormuz exports.
New York Open: WTI drops 2.67% on Iran-deal hopes as USD stays weakest; Fed speakers and Bailey ahead
No high-impact US data in today's calendar.
London Open: Dollar slips across the board; NZD leads on coalition count, gold up 1.13%
USD is at the bottom of the strength table on -0.36 and NZD is at the top on 0.73.
Asia Open: NZDUSD up 0.4% at the open with no election result in our feed; China CPI next
NZD tops the strength table at 0.31 and USD sits at the bottom on -0.11.
Sunday, 8 November 2026
Week Ahead: US CPI on Tuesday tests 77% Dec Fed hike odds after NFP put the dollar back on top
The week turns on US CPI, Tue 13:30 UTC. Headline MoM is forecast at 0.3% (prior 0.6%) and core MoM at 0.2% (prior 0.3%); no YoY forecasts are in our feed.
Friday, 6 November 2026
Week in Review: Blowout NFP caps a week of oil flush and AI sell-off; dollar finishes on top
US payrolls rewrote the end of the week. NFP printed 165K vs 65K expected, wages ran 0.4% m/m and 3.1% y/y, and unemployment fell to 4.1%.
New York Open: Payrolls at 08:30 ET land on a risk-off tape: dollar leads, European stocks slide
The US jobs report lands at 13:30 UTC. NFP is forecast at 65K (prior 29K), average hourly earnings at 0.3% m/m and 2.9% y/y, and unemployment at 4.2%.
London Open: Dollar leads into payrolls as gold and Aussie slide; yen gives back wage-beat gains
The dollar has replaced the yen at the top of the 24h strength table, USD 0.83 vs JPY 0.59, with AUD last at -1.41.
Asia Open: Equity slide carries into Asia; yen firm as Japan wages land (f/c 3.8%)
The selling has not stopped since the Daily Wrap.
Thursday, 5 November 2026
Daily Wrap: Tech rout hits stocks: US500 -4.94%, USTEC -7.08%; yen leads FX; NFP next
Equities had their worst day in a while. US500 -4.94%, USTEC -7.08%, US30 -4.13% and JP225 -9.37% on the day, with US500's range 4.8 times normal.
New York Open: Dollar claws back post-midterm losses; BoE hikes 9-0 to 4%; US claims next at 13:30 UTC
The dollar has turned. USD was bottom of the 24h strength table at the London Open and is now top at 0.2.
London Open: XAUUSD +1.64% and JP225 -3.25% in Asia; BoE at 12:00 UTC sets the European day
Asia moved the story on from a flat open.
Asia Open: Asia opens flat after the midterm shock; BoJ minutes and Aussie trade data come first
Little has moved since the Daily Wrap. USDJPY is +0.02% at 158.412, AUDUSD holds 0.7005 and XAUUSD sits at 4063.06, with ranges well below normal (USDJPY at 0.14x a typical day).