BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Uptrend off week low, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 63,520.05

Higher lows since Jul-4 dip, now ranging below week high.

BTC rallied hard off the ~$61.3K week low on Jul-4/5 — a macro/liquidity bid on the dovish Warsh read and the NFP miss — printing a week high near $64.6K before stalling. Since then H1 has consolidated in a $63K–$64.2K band with RSI cycling neutral and price hugging EMA20; the prior $63K supply zone has flipped to a floor on this leg while $64.2K caps the upside.

Support: 62,950.00

Resistance: 64,200.00, 64,620.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Jul-8 18:00 UTC (~19h) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 62950 breaks the higher-low structure off the week low
  • Close above 64200 reopens the path to the 64620 week high

23:03 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 63,520.05

Consolidating below week high after sharp rebound.

BTC snapped back from the 61,293 week low mid-window and rallied to 64,617 before stalling, in line with the dovish-Warsh/NFP-miss bounce flagged in the digest. Price has since drifted into a 63,190–64,150 consolidation, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) reset to neutral. The 63K supply zone that capped earlier attempts is now acting as a floor into the close.

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Jul 8 18:00 UTC (~19h) could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 64,617 opens the path back toward the week high extension
  • Loss of 63,190 exposes 62,456 and reopens the lower-low structure

22:04 UTC

Recovery off week low, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 63,268.32

Consolidating under 64k after impulse.

BTC reclaimed the $63K area with a sharp rally off the 61293 week low into Wednesday's sessions, tagging 64617 before rolling into a lower-high consolidation. Price is now back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline as the move stalls under the week high; the $63K round level is the pivot the tape is balancing on. The bounce leans on the dovish Fed / soft-NFP macro read, but repeated rejection into 63800–64617 has capped follow-through.

Support: 63,000.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64617 week high needed to confirm the low is in
  • Failure to hold 63000 round level opens a retest toward the 61293 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near supply · RSI 48 · price 63,268.32

Higher lows into $64K resistance, consolidating.

BTC reversed a mid-week capitulation slide to 61293 with a sharp ~6% rally into 64617 during the NY session, driven by Warsh's dovish tone and the soft NFP miss. Price is now consolidating below the $64K supply wall, with a series of higher lows holding above 62900 but momentum stalling as RSI cools back toward neutral. The advance has slipped under EMA20 on this pullback, leaving the tape range-bound between the 62760–62900 demand shelf and the 64117 supply band.

Support: 62,900.00, 62,760.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 64,117.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 64617 opens the path back toward the week's extension
  • Failure to hold the 62900 higher low confirms a lower-low and reopens 61293

21:05 UTC

Uptrend off YTD low, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 63,724.82

Higher lows, consolidating below week high.

BTC snapped off the YTD low near 61,300 after the soft NFP print and dovish Fed read, running a ~6% rebound into 64,617 before stalling. Price has since coiled between 63,300 and 64,160, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range rather than extending. The $63K supply zone that capped early-week attempts now sits below price as a pivot.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64,617 week high opens the path back toward the range top
  • Failure to hold 63,000 exposes the 62,450 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

21:05 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 56 · price 63,724.82

Higher-lows into consolidation below week high.

BTC snapped back off the $61.3K YTD-low print and rallied to 64617 before stalling, with the soft NFP miss and dovish-Fed relief driving the bounce. Price is now consolidating above the $63K handle, holding EMA(20) on pullbacks while the 64150 supply zone has capped the advance. RSI(14) is mid-range around 56, momentum cooling rather than reversing.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 64,150.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64150 supply reopens the path to the 64617 week high
  • Loss of the 63000 handle exposes the 62456 prior low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steadying after pullback · RSI 57 · price 63,764.78

Higher highs and higher lows off the week low.

BTC reversed sharply off the 61293 week low, driving an impulsive leg into the 64617 week high before easing back. Buyers stepped in again near 62620 and price has reclaimed both EMA(20) and EMA(50), now retesting the 64163 prior high with RSI(14) mid-range. The ~$63K supply wall flagged in the macro read has been absorbed; the next friction sits at 64163–64617.

Support: 62,620.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 64,163.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64163 opens the path to the 64617 week high
  • Loss of 62620 swing low reopens the 61293 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 63,764.78

Higher highs and higher lows since the sweep low.

BTC rallied hard off the 61293 sweep low into yesterday's NY session, tagging 64617 before easing back; the dovish Warsh/soft-NFP macro read has kept price working higher above both EMAs. The ~63k supply wall flagged in the digest has now flipped to a demand zone, with higher lows holding through the pullbacks. Momentum has slowed under the 64160 recent high, with RSI cooling from the impulse peak.

Support: 63,040.00, 62,760.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 64,160.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64617 week high extends the uptrend
  • Loss of the 63040 round-number support reopens 62760 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling at supply · RSI 54 · price 63,508.06

Higher lows since Sunday, capped under 64.2K.

BTC snapped ~6% off Sunday's YTD-area low near 61,300 on dovish Fed repricing after the soft NFP miss, reclaiming ground above 63K. Two attempts at the 64,160 supply wall have been rejected this session, pulling price back to 63,500 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. Higher lows since the base remain intact but the overhead $63K-plus supply zone is capping the rebound.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64,160 supply wall opens the path to the 64,617 week high
  • Failure to hold 63,000 exposes the 62,620 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:03 UTC

Uptrend off week low, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 63,508.06

Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from week high.

BTC has snapped back ~6% off the week's 61,300 low, reclaiming the mid-63Ks after a dovish rate repricing followed the soft NFP miss. The push into 64,617 (week high) drew a rejection and price is now retesting the 63,500 shelf, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the low 50s. The $63K supply wall the digest flags is exactly where this week's advance keeps stalling, capping into 64,163 twice.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64,617 extends the higher-high sequence
  • Loss of 62,910 swing low reopens the path toward the 61,300 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 64,037.48

Higher highs and higher lows since week-low rebound.

BTC rebounded roughly 6% off the week low near 61,300 through the NY session, tracking the dovish-Warsh, soft-NFP risk bid, and price now sits just under the 64,617 week high. Structure is a clean sequence of higher lows holding above EMA(20) around 63,400, with the 63,000 psych level the last defended shelf. RSI(14) near 63 confirms momentum without yet stretching into overbought.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64,617 week high opens continuation past the prior-high cluster
  • Failure to hold 63,000 psych reopens the pullback toward the week low near 61,300
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 64,037.48

Higher highs, higher lows since Thursday low.

BTC rallied hard off Thursday's YTD-low retest near 61300 and reclaimed the 63K supply wall, which has since flipped to intraday support on pullbacks. Price is now pressing the 64617 week high with RSI(14) holding in the low-60s through each dip, sitting comfortably above EMA20 and EMA50. The dovish-Warsh/soft-NFP backdrop underpinned the base, but the 63K wall breakout still needs to hold on a retest.

Support: 63,400.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63400 breakout level reopens the 63000 psych wall retest
  • Acceptance above 64617 week high extends the impulse
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:04 UTC

Uptrend, recovering off week low · RSI 61 · price 63,918.61

Higher lows after 61.3K sweep.

BTC swept the 61.3K low mid-week before a sharp NY-session impulse back through the 63K supply wall to a 64,617 week high, with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–62 band on pullbacks. Price has since consolidated above EMA20 and EMA50, holding the 63,300 shelf into the current NY hours after reclaiming ground on the soft-data macro backdrop. The 64,156 session high caps the latest push while 63K, the prior supply wall, now sits below as support.

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 64,617 opens continuation past the week high
  • Loss of 63,300 exposes a retest of the 62,456 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 63,918.61

Higher highs off the week low, above reclaimed 63K.

BTC rallied off the 61,300 week low into the NY session and reclaimed the $63K supply wall flagged in the macro read, printing a run to 64,617 before easing. Price sits back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) holding the upper half; the 63K level that capped earlier this week has so far flipped to support on the retest.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63,000 would negate the reclaim and reopen 62,456
  • A close above 64,617 opens the path toward the next round handle
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:03 UTC

Uptrend, rebound off week low · RSI 57 · price 63,852.68

Higher lows since 61293, capped under week high.

BTC clawed back off the 61293 week low after a soft NFP and dovish Fed repricing, printing a sharp impulse to the 64617 week high before consolidating. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, but the 63K supply wall flagged in flow context and a series of lower highs into 64021 are keeping a lid on the recovery. Higher lows since the 61293 flush remain intact.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,620.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 64,021.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 64617 week high opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 63000 puts the 62620 swing low back in play

16:03 UTC

Uptrend, recovering after sweep · RSI 59 · price 63,852.68

Higher high after low sweep, consolidating below 64k.

BTC swept the week low at 61,293 before a sharp reclaim of the $63K supply wall and a push to the 64,617 week high during yesterday's NY session — a macro-driven bounce on dovish Fed repricing after the soft NFP. Price now consolidates below 64K, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling in the upper half. The $63K wall flagged as this week's ceiling has flipped to near-term support so far.

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 64,617 extends the week high and opens room higher
  • Failure to hold $63K wall reopens the 62,450 range and 61,300 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst that could shift this read

15:04 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 63,461.11

Higher lows off washout, consolidating below resistance.

BTC swept the washout low near 61293 mid-week then rebounded hard to a 64617 week high on the dovish Warsh/soft-NFP macro read. Price has since consolidated 62760–63800, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s. The $63K–$64K supply band remains the cap after two rejection attempts.

Support: 62,760.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 63800 opens the path back toward the 64617 week high
  • Failure to hold 62760 re-exposes the 61293 ytd low

15:03 UTC

Recovery off week low, stalling below supply · RSI 53 · price 63,461.11

V-rebound then consolidation under weekly high.

BTC flushed to a fresh week low near 61293 before a sharp NY-session rebound tagged 64617, then faded back into the 63k round-number zone where it has consolidated for the last day. The 63800 supply wall has capped attempts twice since the rally peaked, keeping price boxed between it and the 63000 pivot. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s, reflecting the stall after the impulse.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 63800 supply wall opens the path back to the 64617 week high
  • Loss of 63000 round number re-exposes the 62456 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 62,936.69

Pullback after impulse, lower highs.

BTC rebounded ~6% off the sub-$58K YTD-low zone this week after a dovish Warsh read and the soft 57K NFP, tagging 64617 before fading into a run of lower highs. Price has slipped back below EMA(20) and is now sitting on the 50% retracement of the week's impulse near 62950, with the $63K area now acting as near-term resistance. RSI(14) has cooled toward 44 as the advance stalls.

Support: 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,836.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 62456 confirms a lower low toward the 61293 week low
  • Reclaim of 63836 needed to re-engage the week high at 64617
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:03 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 62,936.69

Lower highs off week high after impulse.

BTC dipped to a fresh YTD-area low near 61293 Sunday before ripping ~6% to a 64617 week high, the leg fed by post-NFP dovish repricing and Warsh's softer inflation tone. Since that peak the tape has printed lower highs and unwound to the 50% retracement of the impulse near 62950, with the $63K supply wall capping the last bounce. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) fading through the mid-40s.

Support: 62,790.00, 62,138.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,400.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Hourly close below 62790 exposes the 62138 weekly open
  • Reclaim of 63400 needed to re-challenge the 64617 week high

13:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 63,365.22

Higher high off week low, now consolidating below 64K.

BTC ripped off the 61293 week low to tag 64617 in the NY session as the dovish Warsh tone and soft NFP repriced the tape, then stalled and has been consolidating in the 63000–63860 band since. Price sits right at the $63K supply wall around 63365, holding above EMA20 but rejected twice into 63860. RSI(14) has cooled back to the low-50s after the impulse, reflecting the pause rather than fresh drive.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,860.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Hourly close above 64617 reopens the path higher; failure to hold 63000 exposes the 62456 swing low
  • Loss of 61293 confirms a lower low back toward the 60K handle

12:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 63,326.26

Pullback from week high, consolidating above 63000.

BTC based at the 61293 week low then ripped ~6% into the 64617 week high on the dovish Warsh/soft-NFP catalyst before running into the ~63K supply wall. Since the peak price has pulled back and is consolidating above the 63000 pivot with RSI cycling mid-50s and holding above EMA(20). The 63845 lower high has capped the recovery so far.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,760.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,845.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63845 needed to retest the 64617 week high
  • Close below 63000 pivot opens the path toward the 62760 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read

12:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in progress · RSI 51 · price 63,326.26

Impulse into week high, now consolidating below supply.

BTC ran from ~61,300 into a 64,617 week high after the soft 57K NFP and dovish Warsh comments, then rejected and pulled back to consolidate around the $63K supply wall. Price is pinned just below EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling near the midline as the impulse cools. The 63,850 supply band has capped the recovery so far.

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 64,617 reopens continuation higher
  • Loss of 62,760 swing low turns focus to 62,000 psych then 60,000 pivot
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this read

11:03 UTC

Recovery stalling below week high · RSI 47 · price 63,102.51

Pullback into $63K after impulse peak.

BTC spiked to a week high of 64617 on the soft-NFP/dovish-Warsh relief bounce, then bled back into the $63K supply wall flagged across desks, where it's now consolidating just above the pivot. RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral off overbought as price rolled under EMA20, printing lower highs from 64426 down to 63845. The 61293–64617 impulse is holding a shallow retrace, with $63K the line separating the bounce from a fade.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,845.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 63000 opens a retest toward 62456 then the 61293 week low
  • Reclaim of 63845 puts the 64617 week high back in play
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reprice this read

10:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after week-high · RSI 47 · price 63,195.40

Higher highs into 64617, now pulling back above 63K.

BTC ran from a sub-61300 low to a 64617 week-high after soft NFP and dovish Warsh commentary revived rate-cut bets, but the move stalled at the $63K supply wall region and price has since faded back to 63195, printing lower highs. Price sits below EMA20 while holding just over EMA50 and the 50% retrace of the week's impulse near 62955; the $63K handle is the reclaimed pivot. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-40s as the rally cooled.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,760.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 psych level exposes the 62760 swing low
  • Reclaim of 63800 prior high needed to re-approach the 64617 week high
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

09:05 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 62,981.64

Lower highs off the week peak.

BTC ran from Monday's ~61,600 open to a 64,617 week high before rolling over, and price is now retesting the $63K pivot flagged as a supply wall in the macro read. Lower highs have printed since the peak with price back under EMA(20) and RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The dovish-NFP relief bounce has stalled into the same $63K zone that has capped attempts all week.

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back above the 63,380 ema20 reopens the 64,617 week high
  • Loss of the 62,456 swing low confirms a deeper lower-low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling under supply · RSI 46 · price 63,047.57

Higher highs into 64.6K, now pulling back to mid-63K.

BTC ran a clean impulse off the 61.3K dip to a 64.6K week high yesterday on the dovish Warsh/soft-NFP relief bid, then rejected and unwound back to the mid-63K area where the ~$63K supply wall has capped repeated attempts. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that move, holding above EMA(50) but back below EMA(20) as RSI(14) cools toward the midline. The bounce is macro-driven and still wedged under 63.8K–64.6K supply.

Support: 62,450.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63800 reopens the 64617 week high
  • H1 close below 62450 breaks the week's higher-low structure
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

07:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 63,299.29

Pullback from week high, consolidating.

BTC ran from the ~61300 week low into 64617 through Monday and yesterday's NY session, riding dovish Warsh comments and the soft 57K NFP miss. Price was rejected near the 64617 week high and has since drifted back to consolidate around 63000-63300, slipping under EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled back toward the mid-40s as the leg stalls below the $63K supply wall the digest flags.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 63,845.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 63845 reopens the 64617 week high
  • Failure to hold 63000 exposes the 62456 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst and could reset this read

07:03 UTC

Recovery off week low, pullback in progress · RSI 51 · price 63,299.29

Higher high off week low, fading below week high.

BTC reversed sharply off the week low near 61,300 after the soft NFP and dovish Fed commentary, spiking through the 63K supply wall to a week high of 64,617 in yesterday's NY session before fading. Price is now consolidating back around the reclaimed 63K handle with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range from the peak. The 64.2k shelf has capped the pullback bounce so far.

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst for this read
  • H1 close back below 62,760 session low exposes the 61,300 week low
  • Reclaim of the 64.2k shelf reopens the 64,617 week high

06:04 UTC

Week-long uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 63,087.52

Higher highs into 64.6k, now lower highs off the peak.

BTC ran from the week open near 61.7k up to a 64.6k high in yesterday's NY session, the relief rally off dovish Warsh comments and the soft NFP print. Since that peak the tape has carved lower highs and slipped back under EMA(20) around 63.4k, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as price consolidates just above the $63K area. The 62.76k day low is holding for now.

Support: 62,760.00, 62,450.00

Resistance: 63,400.00, 63,800.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 62760 day low opens the path toward 62450 swing low
  • Reclaim of the 63400 ema20 and a break above 63800 needed to resume the week's advance
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

06:03 UTC

Uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 45 · price 63,087.52

Higher highs, retracing from week high.

BTC rallied hard off the 61293 spike low into a 64617 week high on dovish Warsh commentary and the soft NFP print, then faded back into the $63K supply wall flagged all week. Price is now retesting 63k from above, sitting below EMA20 but holding EMA50, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the impulse loses steam.

Support: 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 63800 reopens the 64617 week high
  • Loss of 62456 confirms a lower low and opens 61293 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

05:05 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 63,069.54

Higher highs, retesting broken $63K.

The week's dominant impulse ran from the 61293 low into the 64617 week high through the NY session, aided by soft NFP and dovish Fed repricing; price has since retraced roughly half that move back to the $63K supply wall flagged by macro. A string of lower highs off 64617 has capped the tape, and price now sits back on the $63K level it broke above, below EMA20 with RSI cooling off overbought.

Support: 62,600.00, 61,750.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back above 63800 negates the lower-highs sequence
  • Loss of 62600 opens the 61750 week low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this read

04:04 UTC

Uptrend pausing, pullback underway · RSI 48 · price 63,163.44

Impulse off week low retracing into supply.

A sharp NY-session impulse Monday drove BTC from the 61300 week low to 64617 on the dovish NFP/Warsh repricing, clearing the $63K supply wall in one move. Price has since faded, printing lower highs and slipping back under EMA(20) as the 64617 high was rejected. Now testing the 63000 psych area — the same $63K supply zone flagged as the week's pivot.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back above 63800 supply reopens the 64617 week high
  • Failure to hold 63000 psych exposes the 62456 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this range read

04:04 UTC

Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 49 · price 63,163.44

Higher high into 64617, retesting 63K zone.

BTC broke through the $63K supply wall and extended to a week high of 64617 during the NY session yesterday, the dominant leg after the dovish Warsh/soft-NFP repricing. Price has since faded back to retest the 63K zone with RSI(14) cooling toward 48 and slipping under EMA20. Holding above the 63K breakout area keeps the higher-high structure intact; a slip below 62456 reopens the week low at 61293.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 63,800.00, 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 turns the breakout into a false break and pressures 62456
  • Reclaim of 63800 keeps the path toward the 64617 week high open
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after impulse · RSI 55 · price 63,291.30

Higher highs into 64.6k, now retracing to 63k reclaim.

BTC ripped off a sub-61300 low to a 64620 week high through the NY session, a ~6% relief bounce tied to dovish Warsh comments and last week's soft NFP; the $63K supply wall that capped price earlier in the week was cleared. The last two hours have faded back to that 63k handle, with price now sitting on EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50) and RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The reclaimed 63k level is being retested as former resistance.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 64,620.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 puts the 62456 swing low back in play
  • Reclaim of 64620 week high resumes the advance
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read

03:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 63,291.30

Higher highs into week high, pulling back.

BTC ran from a sub-61.3K week low to a 64.6K week high, clearing the $63K supply wall on the dovish Warsh / soft-NFP relief bounce noted in the digest. The advance stalled at 64.6K and price faded through NY hours back to the 63K handle, holding above rising EMA20. RSI has cooled off its highs toward the mid-50s as the pullback develops.

Support: 62,456.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read
  • H1 close above 64617 week high would resume the advance
  • Failure to hold the 63K handle exposes the 62456 breakout base

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 62 · price 63,802.73

Higher highs, shallow pullback after impulse.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall in a fast NY-hours impulse off the 61293 week low, tagging 64617 before easing back to 63800 — the leg tracks the dovish Warsh/soft NFP relief tone from the digest. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-60s, and the current drift is a shallow pullback holding above the reclaimed 63000 shelf.

Support: 63,000.00, 61,293.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 63000 supply flip would negate the breakout
  • H1 close above 64617 week high extends the impulse

02:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 61 · price 63,802.73

Higher highs, breakout above 63k then pullback.

BTC broke through the $63K supply wall during yesterday's NY session on dovish Warsh comments and the soft NFP, tagging a week high at 64617 before easing back to 63800. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the high-50s to low-60s, and the pullback is so far retesting the 63000 breakout area. The advance is macro/short-covering led rather than fresh demand, and the 63K–64617 band is the immediate structural pivot.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 negates the breakout and reopens 62456 swing low
  • Acceptance above 64617 week high extends the impulse
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:05 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 66 · price 64,113.39

Breakout above 63k supply, testing week high.

BTC broke the $63K supply wall through the NY session and ran to a 64617 week high, extending a two-day bounce fuelled by Warsh's dovish inflation signal and the soft NFP miss. Price now consolidates just under the high with RSI stretched near 66. The former 63K cap has flipped to first support, with the week open at 61543 anchoring the deeper structure.

Support: 63,775.00, 61,543.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 64617 opens continuation past the week high
  • Loss of the 63775 breakout zone would put the 63k flip-support in play
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:05 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 62 · price 64,113.39

Higher highs, higher lows; broke $63K supply.

BTC extended a two-day bounce off the $57-58K YTD low and finally cleared the $63K supply wall, spiking to 64617 during the late session on the Warsh dovish signal and NFP-miss narrative. Price holds above rising EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s; the leg from 61293 has since paused, holding around 64100 after tagging the week high. The $63K prior supply now sits as the first structural pivot below.

Support: 63,700.00, 63,040.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 64617 week high — area to monitor for a lower high or range break
  • H1 close back below 63700 breakout would flag a failed continuation
  • Loss of 63040 returns price into the prior 63K supply zone
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read

00:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended after breakout · RSI 65 · price 63,986.53

Higher highs / higher lows off the 61.3K low.

BTC punched through the $63K supply wall during the NY session, tagging a week high at 64617 before easing back near 63990. The move followed the soft-NFP / dovish-Fed macro tilt, and price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s rather than overbought. The prior 63000 wall now sits below as a retest reference; buyers absorbed the pullback into 63500.

Support: 63,500.00, 63,000.00, 62,450.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 negates the $63K wall breakout and reopens the breakout base at 62450
  • Rejection at the 64617 week high would cap the impulse
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reprice this read

00:04 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 61 · price 63,986.53

Higher highs, breakout above 63k wall.

BTC cleared the $63K supply wall in the NY session and tagged a week high at 64617 before easing back to 63986, the rally fed by last week's soft NFP miss and dovish Fed rhetoric. Price sits well above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 61 after cooling from the impulse peak. The old 63k wall now sits below as the first pullback reference.

Support: 63,300.00, 63,000.00, 62,456.00

Resistance: 64,617.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 63000 negates the breakout of the 63k wall
  • Failure to hold above 63300 opens a return toward the 62456 swing low
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read

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