Rolled over from 64.2k, pressing weekly-open support.
BTC squeezed to 64.2k midweek on short-covering but found no fresh demand, rolling into a sequence of lower highs since — the in-line CPI and hot NFP kept the higher-for-longer Fed read alive and capped the bounce near 62.6k. Price now sits below EMA20/50 and is grinding the 61k handle just above the weekly-open low at 60534, with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. The twin peaks around 64.1-64.2k mark a stalled top this week.
Support: 60,534.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,592.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 60534 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 60000 psych
Reclaim of 62592 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
PPI release in ~13h (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read; a hot print pressures the 60k support
23:02 UTC
Downtrend off week high, momentum heavy · RSI 44 · price 61,436.34
Lower highs since Tuesday peak.
BTC topped near 64,215 on Tuesday and has carved a sequence of lower highs since, slipping back under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) capped below 50 on each bounce. The rebound above 60k earlier in the week stalled at the 62,100 cap and price now sits mid-range between that supply and the 60,728 week low, in line with the soft on-chain demand and fading ETF-flow backdrop. Recovery attempts have been sold near 62,100 twice in the last sessions.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 60,728 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 60k psych level
Reclaim of 62,100 on a close would neutralise the lower-high structure
US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the 64.2k peak, probing the 60k floor.
BTC rolled over from the 64.2k week high in a sequence of lower highs, with the bounce capped near 62415 at the decline's midpoint before fading. Price now sits back below EMA20/EMA50 and is grinding into the $60K floor that's framed every test this week; in-line CPI and the blowout NFP have kept the macro backdrop heavy. The latest leg lower stalled around the 60.7k swing low.
Support: 60,728.00
Resistance: 62,415.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 60728 confirms a lower low and presses the 60k floor
Reclaim above 62415 negates the lower-high sequence
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
BTC spiked to the 64215 week high mid-window then unwound the entire move, with each bounce capped at a lower high as price now trades back near the $60K floor zone. The in-line CPI print yesterday left positioning fragile; the last few sessions show supply stepping in around 62800 and price slipping below both EMA20 and EMA50. Momentum is heavy with RSI sub-42 and no bullish divergence yet on the latest leg lower.
Support: 60,728.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 61,900.00, 62,800.00, 64,215.00
What it said to watch
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 60728 week low exposes the 60000 floor
Reclaim of 61900 EMA20 would stall the lower-high sequence
21:05 UTC
Downtrend after midweek peak · RSI 47 · price 61,754.99
Lower highs off 64.2K, holding above $60K.
BTC ran from Monday's ~60.4K open to a 64.2K peak on Tuesday, then unwound through Wednesday back toward the week low at 60.7K as an in-line CPI (4.2%) capped the move and hawkish-Fed repricing weighed. Price reclaimed the $62K pivot but the rebound to the 62.8K bounce high was rejected, leaving it oscillating just below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI sits mid-range near 47, reflecting the stall after the pullback.
What it said to watch
Loss of the swing low at 61,000 and a break of $60K opens accelerated downside
Reclaim of the 62.8K bounce high needed to challenge the 64.2K week high
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
BTC ran from the week's 60.4k base to a 64.2k high midweek before unwinding, and an in-line US CPI print capped the latest bounce around the 62k pivot. Price has printed successive lower highs (64.2k, 62.8k, 62.1k) and now sits back below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) near 61.8k. The 61k area is holding for now, with the 60k line flagged as bulls' line in the sand.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 61k exposes the 60k line
Reclaim of 62.8k swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since midweek peak, holding above week low.
BTC opened the week near $60.7K, ran to a $64,215 high midweek, then sold off into a $60,775 low before reclaiming $62K. In-line US CPI offered no fresh fuel; the relief bounce to $62,800 yesterday has since stalled and price is grinding back below $62K, capped by a string of lower highs while holding above the $60.7K whale-accumulation zone.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 60,775 confirms a lower-low and flips the dip-buying read
Reclaim of 62,600 needed to challenge the 63,100 shelf
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Recovery within broader pullback · RSI 49 · price 61,819.92
Double bottom near 60.7K, lower highs from week high.
BTC ran to a 64,215 week high mid-window before unwinding to a 60,728 double bottom, where demand around the $60K psych level absorbed the dip after an in-line US CPI print. The recovery stalled at the 62,796 bounce high and price is now drifting back to EMA20 with RSI mid-range. The move sits roughly 30% retraced of the 64,215–60,728 decline.
What it said to watch
Loss of 60,728 confirms a lower-low and flips the dip-buying read
Reclaim of 62,800 needed to challenge the 64,215 week high
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Pulled back from week high, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 61,841.89
Lower highs since the 64,215 peak, ranging sub-62K.
BTC ran from Monday's open near 60,600 to a weekly high of 64,215 mid-week before unwinding to a 61,000 swing low, with in-line CPI and Iran-driven risk-off capping the tape. The current bounce stalled at 62,800 in the NY session and price is now chopping just above EMA20 with RSI mid-range. Lower highs off the 64K peak frame a sub-62K consolidation between 61,000 and the 62,800 cap.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 61,000 swing low opens the path to 60,000 psych / weekly low
Reclaim of 62,800 recent high needed to retest the 63,800 rebound cap
Thursday 12:30 UTC US PPI could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Pullback after midweek peak · RSI 46 · price 61,841.89
Lower highs since 64.2K, holding above 61K.
BTC ran from Monday's 60.6K open up to a 64.2K week high midweek before rolling over, with the in-line US CPI print failing to extend the rally. Price has since printed lower highs and now sits near 61.8K, below EMA20, after a 62.8K rebound was capped and faded. The 61K area is being defended for now while supply holds at 62.8K.
Support: 61,000.00, 60,596.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,800.00, 63,800.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 61000 opens the path to 60596 weekly open and the 60000 psych level
reclaim of 62800 rebound cap needed to challenge the 63800 week high
Thursday PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 50 · price 61,980.74
Lower highs from week high, base near 60.7K.
BTC slid from the week high near 63.8K-64.2K toward a base around 60.7K, tracking the risk-off tone after the hot headline CPI and a no-cut Fed. A double bottom near 60.7-60.8K sparked a bounce to 62.8K before price eased back to ~61.9K, reclaiming EMA20 but holding below EMA50. RSI is mid-range after cycling through oversold at the lows.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 62.8K bounce high challenges the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 60.7K swing low opens the sub-60K psych zone
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, stabilising · RSI 51 · price 61,980.74
Lower highs off 64.2K, basing near 60.7K.
BTC has bled lower all week from the 64.2K high, sliding to 60.7K before stabilising — the move tracked the hot headline CPI print and a Fed now priced to hold/hike rather than cut. Two lows near 60.7K have held this week and price has recovered above EMA(20), but the 62.4K rejection during the prior NY session keeps the lower-high sequence intact below EMA(50). RSI(14) is cycling around the midline as the decline pauses.
Support: 60,750.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 62400 challenges the week's lower-high sequence
Loss of 60750 opens the 60000 psych level and the sub-60K scenario
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 64.2K peak, bouncing from week low.
BTC rallied to a 64.2K week high midweek before sliding back to a 60.7K week low as sticky US inflation and US-Iran risk weighed and rallies were sold under 63.8K. Into the NY session price has reclaimed the EMA20 around 61.8K and pushed to a 62.8K bounce high, but the sequence of lower highs off the peak is still intact. RSI(14) has lifted back toward 52 from oversold on the bounce.
Support: 60,728.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 63,800.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 63800 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 60728 / 60000 opens the capitulation risk flagged in the digest
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since midweek peak, holding 60.7K low.
BTC peaked near 64.2K midweek then slid to a 60.7K low as Iran-Hormuz risk and a higher-for-longer Fed read post-NFP weighed; an in-line CPI offered only a shallow fade. Price is now bouncing into the NY session, reclaiming EMA20 around 61.8K but still capped below the 63.8K prior high. Lower highs since the peak keep the weekly down-leg intact while 60K stays the pivotal floor.
Support: 60,000.00
Resistance: 63,800.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 63800 reclaims the prior high and breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 60000 confirms the next leg lower
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
BTC sold off from the 64215 week high through midweek down to a double bottom near 60750, then rebounded toward the 62k pivot as May CPI landed in line. Price has reclaimed EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-50s, but the 62400 pivot is the immediate cap and supply at 63500 still sits below the descending lower-highs.
Support: 60,750.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,400.00, 63,500.00, 64,215.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 62400 reopens the path toward the 63500 supply zone
Loss of the 60750 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low toward 60000 psych
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the 64.2K peak, basing near 61K.
BTC spiked to a 64.2K high mid-window then bled lower into the NY sessions, printing a steady run of lower highs and parking around 61K. The latest leg is a relief bounce after the soft US core CPI MoM (0.2% vs 0.3%), with twin lows near 60.9K and RSI(14) recovering back toward mid-range. The 62,415 session high has capped the first push and price still sits below EMA50, so the corrective tone holds for now.
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 62,415 reopens the 63K shelf and the 64.2K week high
Failure to hold 60,900 confirms a lower low toward 60,000
PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:05 UTC
Downtrend, attempting a bounce · RSI 46 · price 61,577.19
Lower highs and lower lows since midweek peak.
BTC has shed ground all week, peaking near 64,215 before rolling into a steady sequence of lower highs and lower lows; the slide to 60,728 marked the week's floor. Price is bouncing off that low around the CPI print but holds below both EMA20 and EMA50, with resistance at 62,100 capping the rebound so far. The week's ~20% drawdown followed Friday's hot NFP reviving hawkish-Fed pricing.
What it said to watch
CPI (12:30 UTC) is the live trigger — an in-line/hot print keeps price capped below 62,100, a cool surprise could spark a relief bounce toward the 65K reclaim
Hourly close above 62,100 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 60,728 reopens the 60,000 psych floor and the capitulation narrative
12:03 UTC
Rally faded, back at origin · RSI 39 · price 60,971.85
Pulled all of Jun-9 advance, lower highs.
BTC rallied from Monday's ~$60.4K base through a $64.2K week high on Jun 9, then gave the entire move back into Jun 10 and is now hovering ~$61K, right back at the rally origin. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) sub-40 and supply capping each bounce near $62.1K. The fade comes as crypto traded defensively into today's US CPI print (12:30 UTC), the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 60,728.00, 60,000.00, 59,200.00
Resistance: 62,100.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is minutes away and can materially shift this read
Decisive close below 60000 round number / 60728 recent low opens the 59200 jun-5 low
Reclaim of 62100 supply needed to repair the broken structure
BTC's midweek rally peaked near 64,215 Tuesday before rolling into a clean sequence of lower highs, sliding back under both EMA20 and EMA50 to ~60,970 as the complex traded defensively into the US CPI release. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, confirming the downside momentum without yet reaching washed-out extremes. The pullback has retraced almost the entire week-rally impulse, with demand stepping in around 60,728.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Decisive close below 60,000 opens the path to the 59,200 jun-5 low
Reclaim above 61,700 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
11:03 UTC
Downtrend, momentum slowing near support · RSI 45 · price 61,341.45
Lower highs off week peak, basing above 60k.
BTC sliced from this week's 64,215 high back through EMA20/50 and is now hovering near 61,300, having defended the 60,728 week low with a mechanical bounce. The fade carries the broader risk-off tone — blowout NFP and ETF outflows have repriced the Fed hawkish — with RSI(14) parked in the low-40s and no sustained reclaim of EMA20 near 62,240. The 60k psych level and 59,200 5-June low frame the downside floor.
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~90m) is the dominant risk and can break this read either way
Clean H1 close below 60,000 opens the 59,200 5-jun low
Reclaim of EMA20 near 62,240 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
11:03 UTC
Downtrend off the weekly high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 61,341.45
Lower highs since the 64.2K peak, basing above 61K.
Price peaked near 64,215 early this week then bled lower through the NY sessions, slicing back under the EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the broad risk-off wave (blowout NFP, hawkish Fed repricing) weighed on crypto. Since then BTC has consolidated in a 61,000–61,900 band, holding above the 60,728 swing low with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. Lower highs off the peak keep the structure on the back foot into the US CPI print.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~90m) is the dominant near-term risk and could break this range either way
Hourly close below 61,000 then 60,728 opens the 60,000 psych level
Reclaim of 61,900 would break the lower-high sequence and challenge 62,250
BTC peaked near $64.2K mid-window and has unwound most of that rally, sliding under EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the $64K rejection cap held through the NY session. Price now hovers near $61.3K, holding just above the $60.7K swing low with RSI(14) subdued in the low-40s. US CPI in roughly 2.5h is the dominant near-term risk into a fragile, ETF-outflow-pressured tape.
Support: 60,730.00, 60,369.00
Resistance: 61,650.00, 62,250.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 near 61650 and the 62250 swing high would ease downside pressure
Loss of the 60730 swing low exposes the 60369 week low
US CPI in ~2.5h is the dominant near-term risk and could materially shift this read
BTC rallied from Monday's ~60.2K open to a week high near 64.2K mid-window, then sold the move back through later sessions into the low-61K zone, the worst week since the FTX collapse playing out on the chart. Price now sits below EMA(20) with RSI(14) pinned in the low-40s, consolidating above the 61.0K week low into today's CPI print. Two bounces have stalled below 61.95K, keeping the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 61,015.00
Resistance: 61,950.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 61015 week low confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 60.5K round number
Reclaim of the 61950 lower high would break the descending sequence
09:04 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back from week high · RSI 42 · price 61,258.54
Lower highs since the $64.2K peak.
BTC opened the week near $60.5K Monday and impulsed to a $64.2K high through Tuesday-Wednesday, but has since rolled over and now trades back at $61.3K, printing successive lower highs. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s; the 62k pivot has capped the last several attempts. Trade is compressing sub-$62K ahead of the US CPI release at 12:30 UTC, with the digest flagging a hot 4.2% print as the swing factor.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,540.00
Resistance: 63,000.00
What it said to watch
Loss of the 61015 recent low confirms a lower low toward the 60540 monday low
Reclaim of 63000 would repair the lower-high structure
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h) is a material catalyst for this read
08:04 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 44 · price 61,628.13
Lower highs since mid-week peak, testing 61K.
BTC rallied from Monday's ~60.2K base to a week high near 64.2K mid-week, then faded back to the $61K line as risk-off skew into a hot US CPI print and four weeks of ETF outflows weighed. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, having put in successive lower highs off the peak. The $60K–$61K zone has held repeated tests and remains the pivot for the week's structure.
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A clean break of the $60K–$61K support opens ~59.5K recent lows
Reclaim back above 62.1K and EMA20 would ease the lower-high sequence
08:03 UTC
Downtrend off week high, momentum heavy · RSI 44 · price 61,628.13
Lower highs since 64.2K, consolidating low-61Ks.
BTC rolled over from this week's 64.2K high, carving lower highs through the NY session and printing a swing low at 61015 as four straight weeks of ETF outflows and a hawkish-Fed lean kept risk heavy. Price is consolidating in the low-61Ks below EMA(20) with RSI(14) sub-45. The $60K psych line remains the pivotal floor flagged repeatedly this week.
Support: 61,015.00
Resistance: 62,240.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 61015 swing low opens the $60K psych line and ~59,500 lows
Reclaim of 62240 swing high needed to break the descending lower highs
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
BTC ran from Monday's 60.2K low to a 64.2K peak midweek, then rounded over and broke down through the 63K consolidation into the NY session, unwinding most of the week's gains back near 61.4K. Price now trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) capped in the low 40s, as record ETF outflows and risk-off into the CPI print weigh on sentiment. The 61.0K-60.8K band has held the latest leg lower.
Support: 60,775.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 60775 confirms a lower low and opens the 60000 critical line
Reclaim of 62300 needed to repair the broken range
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5.5h) is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
07:03 UTC
Downtrend off the week high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 61,411.37
Lower highs since mid-week peak, retesting range base.
BTC ran from the 60190 week low up to a 64215 week high through midweek, then rolled over and bled back toward $61K as ETF outflows and risk-off from US-Iran headlines and hawkish-Fed pricing capped the rally. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sub-50, having printed successive lower highs off the peak. The 61015 swing low is the immediate base, with $60K the critical line flagged into the inflation print.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,190.00
Resistance: 62,150.00, 64,215.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5.5h) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Loss of 61015 swing low opens the 60190 week low and the $60K line
Close back above 62150 prior high needed to challenge the descending lower highs
06:03 UTC
Rolled over from week high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 61,301.49
Lower highs since peak, testing 61k.
BTC ran to a week high near 64,200 mid-window before rolling over on record ETF outflows and broad de-risking into US CPI, shedding the 62,250 band that had been support. Price now grinds along the 61,000 round number with RSI(14) pinned in the high 30s and trading below both EMAs, a sequence of lower highs capping each bounce. The week low at 60,190 and the 60,000 psych floor sit just beneath.
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 61,000 exposes the 60,190 week low and 60,000 psych floor
Reclaim of broken support at 62,250 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Lower highs off the week high, testing range support.
BTC spiked to the 64,215 week high mid-window before rolling over into a sequence of lower highs, and is now back at the 61,000 swing-support zone with price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The decline tracks the broader de-risking story — record ETF outflows and a hot-forecast US CPI keeping the tape heavy. RSI(14) sits near 40 with no bullish divergence as the retrace of this week's rally extends.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
An hourly close below 61,000 opens the path toward the 60,000 psychological floor
Reclaiming the 62,200 EMA20 area would ease the lower-high pressure
05:04 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 61,271.52
Lower highs since the 64,215 peak.
BTC rallied off the sub-$60K test early in the week to a $64,215 high before rolling into a steady sequence of lower highs; price now sits back at $61,271, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is cycling in the low 40s as the retrace stalls around the $61,000 area, having retraced most of the week's impulse. ETF outflows near $3B and a hot NFP keep the broader risk tone heavy ahead of today's catalyst.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 61,000 opens the path to the 60,000 psych line
Reclaim of 62,200 needed to challenge the descending lower highs
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off a double top, pressing recent lows.
BTC opened the week near 60,900, flushed sub-60K, then ran to a 64,215 week high mid-week before twin peaks capped the move and rolled it over. Price has since retraced roughly three-quarters of that rally and trades below the EMA(20) near 62,250, sliding back to a recent low around 61,000 with RSI(14) pressed near 40 on persistent ETF outflows and the post-NFP hawkish-Fed tone. Sequence of lower highs since the double top keeps supply capping each bounce.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can force the next leg
H1 close below 61,000 confirms a lower low and opens the week low at 60,190 / 60,000 psych
Reclaim of the EMA(20) near 62,250 would ease the downside pressure
04:04 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 61,513.26
Lower highs, leaning on 61k support.
BTC rallied from Monday's ~60,400 base to a week high at 64,215 before rolling over into lower highs; the slide back under 62,000 now leans on the 61,000 swing low. Price trades below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the low 40s after the ~10% weekly washout. Bounce attempts have stalled into the 62,200 pivot and the 62,800 cap.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9h) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can materially shift this read
H1 close back above the 62,200 pivot would ease the bearish slide
Failure to hold the 61,000 swing low opens the 60,000 psych level
04:03 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from week high · RSI 43 · price 61,513.26
Lower highs since midweek peak.
BTC rallied to the 64.2K area midweek before rolling over; lower highs into the NY session have dragged price back to the 61.2K swing low. Price trades below EMA(20) with the 62.5K trendline capping the latest bounce and RSI(14) sub-45. Sellers have defended into the 62.2K pivot while the 60.0K psych line marks the level below, consistent with this week's ~10% washout backdrop.
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 61.2K swing low opens the path toward 60.0K psych
Reclaim of the 62.5K trendline would ease the downside pressure
03:03 UTC
Downtrend off the week high, momentum heavy · RSI 42 · price 61,280.51
Lower highs since the 64,215 peak.
BTC peaked at 64,215 overnight and has bled back to 61,280, printing a clean sequence of lower highs and slipping below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The bounce off the 61,015 week low stalled at 62,241 before sellers reasserted, and RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s. Price is clinging just above the 61,000 line flagged in the washed-out, Extreme-Fear backdrop, with US CPI at 12:30 UTC the dominant near-term catalyst.
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 61,015 exposes the 60,000 psych line and the sub-60K lows
Reclaim of 62,147 would break the lower-high sequence
03:03 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 61,280.51
Lower highs since week peak.
After the relief bounce off the sub-$60K liquidation low early in the week, BTC spiked to a 64.2K week high then carved a sequence of lower highs back to 61.3K, now sitting on the 61.8% retracement of that impulse. Price trades below EMA20 (~61.9K) and EMA50 with RSI sub-50, and the wider tape is washed-out Extreme Fear ahead of today's US CPI. Demand has so far held the 61K swing low.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 61,900.00, 62,870.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 61015 swing low opens the 60000 psych line and the sub-$60K lows
Reclaim of EMA20 (~61900) and a close above 62870 prior high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US CPI 12:30 UTC (f/c 4.2% YoY) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
BTC rallied from Monday's base toward the 64215 week high, then shed roughly 5% as the impulse faded into a string of lower highs. Demand stepped in twice near the 61015 swing low and price is now consolidating just under EMA20 ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC. Two-way risk dominates with Fear & Greed washed out and the print framed as the near-term catalyst.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,147.00, 64,215.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close below 61015 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 60000 psych
Reclaim of 62147 swing high needed to challenge the lower-highs sequence
Lower highs since the 64,215 peak, holding above week low.
BTC ran from Monday's 60,100 base to a 64,215 week high before rolling over into a sequence of lower highs, slipping back under the EMA20 near 62,000. Price now sits on the 61.8% retracement of that week impulse around 61,700, with the 61,015 week low the line in the sand. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst into an already oversold tape.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above EMA20 near 62,000 would ease the lower-high pressure
Failure to hold the 61,015 week low confirms a lower-low
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
01:04 UTC
Downtrend off the week high, bounce attempt · RSI 47 · price 61,885.85
Lower highs since 64,200, range-bound 60K-64K.
BTC spiked to 64,200 mid-week before sellers faded the move, and price has bled back to the 61,015 swing-low area where a low-conviction bounce off the 60K shelf is underway. Trading below EMA20 (~62,200) after that level capped the latest recovery, with this week's chop boxed inside a 60K-64K range and a fresh bearish EMA cross. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the catalyst the context flags to resolve it.
What it said to watch
Loss of 61,015 swing low exposes the 60,000 psych shelf
H1 close back above EMA20 (~62,200) needed to challenge 63,000 prior high
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:04 UTC
Pullback from week high, momentum down · RSI 46 · price 61,885.85
Lower highs since the 64.2K rejection.
BTC spiked into 64.2K mid-window then rolled over, printing a sequence of lower highs and dropping back below EMA(20) and EMA(50). The slide bottomed at 61015 before a shallow bounce back toward 61885, with RSII(14) cycling in the mid-40s — recovery momentum is muted. Price now sits right on the 50% retrace of the week's 59.5K-64.2K impulse, with US CPI (12:30 UTC) the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,250.00
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 61015 exposes the 60000 psych shelf
H1 close back above 62250 negates the lower-high sequence
00:03 UTC
Pullback within near-term downtrend · RSI 43 · price 61,692.06
Lower highs off the week high.
BTC spiked to the 64215 week high midweek before unwinding the entire impulse, now parked near 61700 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s. The sequence of lower highs from 64215 through 63500 keeps the near-term pressure on, and the 61015 swing low printed yesterday is the immediate floor being defended. The broader washed-out backdrop — extreme fear and heavy ETF outflows — frames the chop, with price boxed in the 61000–62250 band.
Support: 61,015.00, 60,000.00
Resistance: 62,250.00, 63,500.00, 64,215.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 61015 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 60000 psych level
Reclaim of 62250 prior high needed to break the lower-high sequence
BTC ran to a 64.2K week high midweek then faded, with a sharp NY-session drop tagging 61.1K before stabilising near 61.7K. Price is holding below EMA(20) with RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s, and the 64K rejection has left a string of lower highs. The 0.618 retrace of the week's rally sits right around 61.3K — area to watch for a hold or break.
Support: 61,100.00
Resistance: 62,250.00
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 61100 confirms a lower-low toward the 60K psych level
Reclaim of 62250 would challenge the lower-highs sequence