BTC/USD AI Live Scan, weekly chart, Friday, 10 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD weekly chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

19:05 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 36 · price 63,521.04

Lower highs, lower lows off Q4 peak.

BTC topped near 126K in Q4 2025 and has been in a persistent multi-quarter downtrend since, carving lower highs and lower lows. Price sits deep below the W1 EMA(50), confirming a bearish macro regime, and is now attempting to base around the 57.7K YTD low after a Warsh-dovish-driven bounce back toward the 63K supply wall. Rallies remain unsponsored per the ETF outflow backdrop, leaving price boxed between 60K and the 63.9K cap.

What it said to watch

  • Weekly close below 57,741 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the downtrend
  • Reclaim and hold above the 63K supply wall needed to challenge the lower-high structure
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:05 UTC

Downtrend from Q4-2025 peak · RSI 40 · price 63,521.04

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off YTD low.

BTC is in a macro downtrend since the ~126K peak in Q4 2025, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows and sitting well below the W1 EMA(50) — regime is decisively bearish. Price has bounced off the ~58K YTD low to reclaim the low-$60Ks but stalls into the $63K supply wall, a move the digest ties to dovish Fed signals rather than returning demand, with ETF flows still bleeding. RSI(14) near 40 is mid-range, offering no extreme signal at this timeframe.

What it said to watch

  • Weekly close above the $63k wall opens the path toward the $67k swing high
  • Loss of the $60k round number exposes the $58k ytd low
  • US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

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