BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Uptrend, extending · RSI 65 · price 64,996.42

Higher highs, pressing session high.

BTC ground higher through London after the soft US CPI miss, breaking the 64700 consolidation and tapping a session high at 65039 into Asian hours. Price now pins the 65000 psych level with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extended; the 64420 range base held on the last pullback.

Support: 64,420.00

Resistance: 65,000.00, 65,039.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 65000 opens the path back toward the $63K supply wall context noted in flow
  • Loss of 64420 range base would break the higher-low chain
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

23:47 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 64,996.42

Higher highs and higher lows, testing 65k psych.

BTC ground higher through the window, breaking the 64947 prior high to tag 65039 and now testing the 65000 psych level, riding the dovish CPI/Warsh risk-on tailwind. RSI(14) elevated near 63 without extremes; rising-low chain intact off the 64220 session low.

Support: 64,480.00, 64,220.00

Resistance: 65,040.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65040 session high opens continuation; rejection there caps the range top
  • Loss of 64480 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
  • Thin Asia liquidity into PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) — next macro risk for this pair

23:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 64,889.54

Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 65k.

BTC ran from ~62,000 to a session high of 65,039 through the NY session on the soft US CPI print, then stalled just under the 65k handle. Now consolidating into Asia hours between 64,400 and 65,000 with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse peak.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65,039 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 64,400 range low signals a deeper pullback
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 64,889.54

HH/HL chain, consolidating under session high.

NY session drove BTC off the 62K base to a session high of 65039 on the soft US CPI disinflation print, then stalled just under the $65K handle. RSI(14) cooling from the push while price holds a rising sequence of higher lows; buyers stepped in around 64400 on the last pullback.

Support: 64,410.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 65,039.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65039 / $65K psych opens continuation toward the 63K-63.5K supply wall clearing
  • Failure to hold 64410 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 64223
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:17 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 64,937.49

Higher highs, consolidating near 65000.

BTC ran from 62000 to 65000 through the London-NY sessions on the soft CPI print, then coiled in a 64400-65000 range before a fresh push tagged the 65039 session high. RSI(14) around 64 — firm but not stretched — with price holding above both EMAs.

Support: 64,500.00, 64,223.27

Resistance: 65,039.37, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65039 opens the path toward the $63K-plus supply zone extension
  • Loss of the 64500 range floor and a break below 64223 confirms a lower low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 64,937.49

Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high.

BTC ran from 62,000 to a fresh session high at 65,039 through London hours after the soft CPI print, then consolidated 64,400-64,900 before pushing higher into Asia. RSI(14) near 63, not yet stretched; the 65,000 handle is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 64,400 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Failure to hold 64,223 confirms a lower-low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 64,872.56

Higher highs, higher lows since CPI.

BTCUSD ripped from the low-62,000s on the soft US CPI print around the 12:30 UTC bar and has held the gains, printing a fresh session high at 65,039 before easing to 64,872. Price is chopping in a 64,510–65,039 band during Asia hours with RSI(14) mid-60s — extended but not stretched.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65,039 extends the breakout toward the 65,000+ handle
  • Loss of 64,510 breaks the rising-low chain and opens the 64,223 impulse low
  • Jul 15 12:30 UTC PPI cluster could materially shift this read

23:04 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 64,872.56

Higher highs, higher lows; break above 65000.

BTC ran a soft-CPI leg from ~62000 to ~65000 across the window, then coiled between 64450 and 65000 before tagging 65039 on the latest push. RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought; price eased back to 64870 into the current bar.

Support: 64,450.00

Resistance: 65,039.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65039 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 64450 puts the range floor back in play
  • PPI cluster Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:47 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 66 · price 64,906.52

Higher highs, higher lows since midday impulse.

BTC ran from ~62,000 on the soft US CPI print, breaking above the 65,000 psych level to tag a session high at 65,039 before easing to 64,906. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not stretched; rising lows off 64,223 keep the intraday structure intact.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 65,039 opens continuation toward the $63K-plus supply wall noted in the macro read
  • Failure to hold 64,480 exposes the 64,223 prior low
  • PPI cluster Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 64,906.52

Higher highs, higher lows since CPI leg.

BTC ran from 62.8K to 65K on the soft US CPI miss and dovish Warsh framing, then tagged 65039 before easing back to 64906. Uptrend intact above the rising 64.2K swing low; RSI cooling from the highs as the session consolidates the impulse.

Support: 64,223.27

Resistance: 65,039.37

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 65039 session high extends the impulse toward the 63K supply narrative resolution
  • Loss of 64223 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Jul 15 12:30 UTC PPI cluster and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 64,900.53

Higher highs after breakout, consolidating below session high.

BTC broke the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print, extending to a session high of 65039 before easing back to 64900. Since the impulse it has consolidated with a chain of higher lows, RSI cooling off the push rather than reversing.

Support: 64,223.27

Resistance: 65,039.37

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64223 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Sustained trade above 65039 session high extends the leg
  • PPI cluster Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, extending · RSI 67 · price 64,900.53

Higher highs, breakout from consolidation.

BTC ripped higher off the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, running from the low-62Ks to a 65039 session high through the NY session. Price then consolidated 64220–64860 for several hours before the last bar broke back above 64900, RSI(14) around 67 with room left.

Support: 64,510.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 65,039.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64510 range low would stall the breakout and reopen 64223
  • Sustained trade above 65039 session high extends the leg toward fresh highs
  • PPI cluster Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:17 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating after impulse · RSI 51 · price 64,525.94

Range-bound below session high, post-breakout digestion.

BTC ripped on the soft US CPI print (12:30 UTC), running from ~62900 through the $63K supply wall to a session high near 64950. Price has since consolidated 64400-64800 into Asia hours, RSI cooled back to neutral around 51. Mid-range at 64525 with no fresh directional impulse in play.

Support: 64,410.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,950.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64950 opens the path toward higher ground
  • Loss of 64410 range floor confirms a lower low toward 64223
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:17 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 51 · price 64,525.94

Range below session high after impulsive rally.

BTC ripped from 61830 to a 64947 session high through NY hours after the soft US CPI print, clearing the $63K supply wall. Price has since gone sideways, holding a 64380–64860 range with RSI(14) cooled to the low-50s.

Support: 64,380.00, 64,000.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 64380 range floor opens a deeper pullback toward 64000
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

22:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 64,598.86

Consolidation below session high after CPI breakout.

BTC ripped from the low-62Ks through the 63K supply wall into a 64947 session high during NY hours on the soft US CPI miss. Price has since consolidated between 64223 and 64860, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.

Support: 64,223.27

Resistance: 64,947.47

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64947 opens continuation of the CPI-driven leg
  • Loss of 64223 breaks the consolidation and signals a lower-low
  • PPI + Warsh testimony (Wed) are the next macro catalysts that could reprice this move

22:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 64,598.86

Consolidation below session high after CPI breakout.

BTC ripped from ~62,800 to a 64,947 session high on the soft US CPI miss, then stalled into the $65K supply wall and has been consolidating 64,380–64,860 since. RSI(14) has cooled off the surge into the low-50s as price coils below the session high.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64,947 opens the path toward the $65K supply wall break
  • Failure to hold 64,223 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the CPI pop
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

21:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,675.77

Consolidation near session highs after breakout.

BTC ripped ~2,000 off the soft US CPI print around 12:30 UTC, tagging 64947 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a 64380–64860 range through the NY-to-Asia handover, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but holding above 50.

Support: 64,384.00, 64,223.27

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.47

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 post-cpi high opens room higher
  • Loss of 64384 range low exposes 64223 swing low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

21:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 64,675.77

Impulse leg then consolidation near highs.

BTC ripped from 62.9K to a 64947 session high on the soft CPI miss around 12:30 UTC, clearing the 63K supply wall. Since then it's consolidated in a 64400–64800 range through the NY afternoon, RSI cooling to the mid-50s. Buyers stepped in twice near 64400 with the swing low at 64223 as the deeper floor.

Support: 64,400.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 64,800.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 session high extends the impulse
  • Failure to hold 64400 range low exposes 64223 swing low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could reshape this read

21:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,638.81

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

BTC ripped from ~62800 to 64950 as June CPI missed across the board, reviving the dovish trade. Since the 64950 print the tape has gone sideways between 64380 and 64660, RSI(14) cooling off the impulse; buyers stepped in near 64220 on the deepest pullback.

Support: 64,380.00

Resistance: 64,660.00, 64,950.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64950 opens continuation of the impulse
  • Failure to hold 64380 confirms a lower-low and stalls the rally
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

21:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 64,638.81

Consolidation below session high after impulse.

BTC ripped from the low-63K area to a 64950 session high on the soft US CPI dovish surprise, then stalled into a tight consolidation between 64380 and 64860. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the impulse digests just under the rally high.

Support: 64,380.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,950.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64860 reopens the 64950 rally high
  • Loss of 64380 puts the 64223 swing low back in play
  • PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could reprice this range sharply

21:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 64,585.87

Consolidation after impulsive rally.

BTC ripped from ~62500 to a session high of 64947 on the soft US CPI dovish surprise, clearing the $63K supply wall. Price has since gone sideways, coiling between 64400 and 64750 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 50s.

Support: 64,400.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,750.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Break above 64947 extends the impulse
  • Loss of 64400 range base opens 64223 swing low
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

21:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 64,585.87

Consolidation below session high after impulse.

BTC ripped from ~62,000 to a 64,947 session high on the dovish CPI misses, then settled into a 64,400–64,700 consolidation just below that high. A sweep of 64,223 during the pullback held and buyers stepped back in, with RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64,947 opens continuation
  • Loss of 64,223 negates the consolidation and marks a lower low
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC / Warsh testimony could shift this read

21:06 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 64,551.91

Consolidation below session high after impulse.

BTC broke sharply higher through the NY session on the soft CPI print, running from ~62.8K to a session high at 64947. Price has since gone sideways in a 64400–64750 band, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s after the impulse; the 64220 dip was bought back quickly.

Support: 64,400.00, 64,220.00

Resistance: 64,750.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64750 reopens the 64947 session high
  • Loss of 64400 range low exposes the 64220 session low
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC / Warsh testimony could reset this read

21:06 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 64,551.91

Impulse leg then sideways consolidation near highs.

BTC ripped from the $62K base to a session high of $64,947 on the soft CPI-driven dovish trade, then stalled and has been consolidating between $64,380 and $64,660. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the impulse; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but momentum has flattened.

Support: 64,380.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,660.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64660 range top reopens the 64947 session high
  • Break below 64380 range low, then 64223 swing low, confirms a lower-low
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read

20:48 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 64,446.03

Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.

BTC ripped from the low-62Ks to a session high of 64947 on the soft US CPI-driven risk bid, then stalled and rolled over into a series of lower highs. Price is now consolidating in the mid-64Ks, drifting toward 64384 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the impulse; the $63K/64K rally still holds its base but the near-term $65K supply wall capped the move.

Support: 64,384.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64860 reopens the path to the 64947 swing high
  • Break below 64223 session low confirms a deeper retrace of the rally
  • US PPI + Warsh testimony (Wed 12:30/14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read

20:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 64,446.03

Consolidation after impulsive NY leg up.

BTC ripped from 62,000 to a 64,947 session high through the NY session on the soft US CPI print, then stalled and is now consolidating between the 64,380 range low and 64,620 range top into late NY. RSI(14) has cooled back near neutral after the run, and price is sitting just under EMA20 while holding well above EMA50.

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 64,620 range top reopens the 64,947 session high
  • Loss of 64,223 pullback low confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30-14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

20:33 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 64,407.07

Consolidating below session high after impulsive leg.

BTC ripped from the low-62Ks to a session high of 64947 through NY hours on the soft-CPI macro tailwind, clearing the $63K supply wall. Price has since stalled and is chopping between 64223 and 64660, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range after the run.

Support: 64,223.00, 63,900.00

Resistance: 64,660.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64660 reopens the path to 64947 session high
  • Loss of 64223 confirms a deeper pullback into the 63900 breakout zone
  • US PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the next macro driver for this read

20:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 64,407.07

Consolidating below 64860 after impulsive rally.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print, peaking at 64947 before stalling. Price now drifting in a 64200–64860 range with RSI(14) cooled back near 47 as the impulse loses steam.

Support: 64,200.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64200 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the CPI leg
  • Break above 64860 reopens the path to the 64947 peak
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this move

20:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 64,428.05

Post-impulse range near highs.

The soft US CPI print sparked a sharp impulse from ~62900 to a 64947 swing high, after which price settled into a 64420–64660 range through the NY session. Price is now pressing the range low at 64420 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; upside momentum has stalled but the broader intraday advance holds above EMA50.

Support: 64,420.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,660.00, 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64420 exposes the 64223 swing low
  • Reclaim of 64660 range top reopens the 64860 session high
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 64,428.05

Consolidating below rally high after breakout.

BTC ripped from ~62800 to a 64947 session high during NY hours on the soft US CPI print, then stalled and has been chopping between 64220 and 64860 for the last few hours. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline as price drifts under EMA20; the breakout structure holds while 64220 is respected.

Support: 64,220.00, 64,000.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64220 breaks the consolidation floor and opens 64000
  • Reclaim of 64860 puts the 64947 rally high back in play
  • PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30/14:00 UTC could reset this read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 64,535.93

Post-CPI impulse, sideways range into late NY.

BTC ripped from 62900 to a session high near 64947 after the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then stalled into late NY. Price is now ranging roughly 64450-64860 with RSI cooled back to mid-50s after the impulse.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,220.00, 63,900.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 extends the CPI impulse toward the 63K supply wall being reclaimed higher
  • Loss of 64220 breaks the post-CPI range and reopens 63900
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next disinflation-confirmation risk that could shift this read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 64,535.93

Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg.

NY session ripped higher on the soft US CPI print, BTC breaking through 63K to peak near 64950 before cooling; RSI(14) has eased back to the high-50s. Price now consolidates 64450–64660 after a sweep of 64223 was bought back.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64860 session high reopens 65000
  • Failure to hold 64450 range low exposes the 64223 sweep low
  • PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30/14:00 UTC could reshape this read

19:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 64,519.94

Impulse leg up, now ranging just below session high.

BTC ripped ~$2,000 off the soft US CPI print during NY hours, peaking at 64860-64947 before rejecting. Price has since coiled in a 64450-64650 range, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s after the impulse; the pullback low at 64223 held.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 64860 opens the path to 65000
  • Loss of 64450 range floor exposes the 64223 pullback low
  • PPI + Warsh testimony (Wed 12:30/14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst window

19:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 64,519.94

Impulse up, consolidating below session high.

BTC ripped from ~62,800 to a session high of 64,947 on the soft US CPI risk bid, then stalled and is now consolidating 64,450–64,860. A sweep of the 64,223 low was bought back, but price has drifted back to the EMA20 as momentum cools.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64,947 reopens the upside toward the cited $63K-plus supply band
  • Loss of 64,223 sweep low would negate the consolidation and confirm a lower low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

19:33 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling into range · RSI 55 · price 64,516.95

Impulse leg then consolidation below session high.

BTC ripped from ~62,800 to a session high of 64,947 on the soft US CPI print, then got rejected and settled into a 64,449–64,668 range. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back near neutral as buyers held the 64,223 pullback low.

What it said to watch

  • Close below 64,223 pullback low opens the path to 64,000
  • Reclaim of 64,947 session high needed to resume the impulse leg
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read

19:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 64,516.95

Impulsive rally then consolidation below session high.

NY session ripped from ~62800 to a session high at 64947 on the soft US CPI print, then stalled. Price is now consolidating between 64450 and 64860 with RSI cooling back to the mid-50s after the impulse.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 64860/64947 session high opens the path higher toward the $63K-equivalent supply talked up in the digest
  • Loss of 64223 swing low negates the higher-low structure built off the CPI rally
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 64,572.89

Consolidation near highs after impulsive leg.

NY session ran an impulsive leg from ~62800 to 64947 after the soft US CPI print, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the move stalled. Price swept down to 64223 then buyers stepped back in around 64450, keeping it boxed in a 64450–64650 band below the session high.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64950 extends the CPI leg
  • Loss of 64450 range floor exposes the 64223 sweep low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 64,572.89

Consolidation below session high after breakout.

Soft US CPI drove a sharp leg up from ~62500 to a session high at 64947, RSI cooling from overbought as the move stalled. Price now consolidating 64450–64600, holding above the breakout zone with the session high untested since.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.27

Resistance: 64,947.47

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 session high extends the CPI rally
  • Loss of 64450 range floor exposes the 64223 swing low
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

19:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,553.91

Consolidation below session high after post-CPI breakout.

BTC ripped from ~62,900 to a session high near 64,950 on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then stalled and has been consolidating 64,450–64,650 through the NY afternoon. RSI has cooled to mid-range after the run, with buyers defending the rising 64,223–64,450 lows.

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64,950 session high extends the breakout leg
  • Loss of 64,223 swing low reopens the path to the 63,900 breakout level
  • PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the next macro risk

19:03 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating post-breakout · RSI 59 · price 64,553.91

Impulsive HH chain, now ranging near session high.

NY session ripped from ~62800 to a 64947 session high on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss, then stalled. Price is now consolidating 64350-64660 into late US hours with RSI(14) cooling off from the impulse peak; the breakout base at 63633 remains untested.

Support: 64,223.00, 63,633.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 64223 negates the post-CPI breakout
  • PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Fed-speaker tone could reset this read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 59 · price 64,579.88

Impulsive leg up, now consolidating below session high.

BTC squeezed from ~62800 to a 64950 session high on the soft US CPI print (12:30 UTC), then pulled back to consolidate around 64500 into the NY afternoon. A sharp 64223 sweep was bought back; price now chopping between 64450 support and the session high, RSI(14) cooling off the highs.

Support: 64,450.00, 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,950.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 64950 opens continuation; rejection there keeps the consolidation intact
  • Loss of 64223 pullback low signals the spike is fading
  • PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could shift this read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,579.88

Impulsive leg up, now consolidating below session high.

BTC ripped from ~62,900 to a session high of 64,947 on the soft US CPI print, RSI(14) unwinding from overbought as the leg matured. Price has since pulled back into a 64,450-64,600 range, holding above the 64,223 swing low with the ~64,860 prior high capping.

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and close above 64,860 reopens the 64,947 session high
  • Loss of the 64,450 range low exposes the 64,223 swing low
  • Warsh testimony and Bowman remarks in the next hours could shift this read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after impulse · RSI 55 · price 64,461.01

Post-breakout consolidation below session high.

NY session ran a sharp breakout on the soft US CPI print, driving BTC from ~62800 to a session high at 64947. Since the peak price is consolidating between 64223 and 64860, RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s after the impulse.

Support: 64,223.00, 64,000.00

Resistance: 64,860.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 resumes the impulse leg
  • Loss of 64223 opens the 64000 round number
  • Bowman speaking shortly; PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC could shift this read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,461.01

Impulsive rally, now consolidating below session high.

NY afternoon squeeze on the soft US CPI print drove BTC from ~62.5K to a session high at 64947, a clear break of the prior intraday range. Price is now consolidating 64223–64660 with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-50s after the run.

Support: 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,660.00, 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 64947 session high opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 64223 pullback low confirms a lower low
  • Bowman/Warsh Fed-speaker comments in the next hours could shift this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 64,471.00

Consolidation below session high after CPI-driven leg up.

NY session ripped from ~62,800 to a 64,947 day high on the soft US CPI print, then stalled into a 64,223–64,860 consolidation with RSI(14) off its highs. Price is holding above the 63,900 breakout shelf; buyers defended 64,223 on the pullback.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64,947 opens continuation on the CPI move
  • Loss of 64,223 confirms a lower low and threatens the 63,900 breakout shelf
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could shift this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 64,471.00

Impulse then consolidation below session high.

BTC ripped from the 62770 spike origin to a 64947 session high on the soft US CPI print (~12:30 UTC), a clean breakout run. Price has since stalled, chopping between 64223 and the 64517 prior high with RSI cooling off the highs; buyers defended 64223 on the pullback.

Support: 64,223.00, 62,770.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 64,517.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64947 reopens continuation higher
  • Loss of 64223 session low sets up a lower low
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 64,583.87

Impulse leg then high consolidation.

BTC ripped from the 62,900 base to 64,950 through the NY session on the soft US CPI print, RSI cooling from overbought as the leg matured. Pullback found demand at 64,223 and price is now consolidating in the 64,450–64,600 zone just under the session high.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 64,950 session high extends the breakout leg
  • Loss of 64,223 swing low signals a deeper pullback
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 64,583.87

Impulse leg then consolidation below highs.

Soft US CPI across the board fired a sharp NY-session leg from ~62800 to a session high of 64947, RSI cooling from stretched levels. Price is now consolidating between 64223 and the highs; the 64223 pullback low held on the first test.

Support: 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64223 confirms a lower low and stalls the leg
  • Reclaim of 64947 opens the path toward the 65000 psych level
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could shift this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 59 · price 64,479.99

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating below session high.

BTC ripped from ~62800 to a 64947 session high on the soft US CPI print (~12:30 UTC), clearing the $63K supply wall. NY session now consolidating near 64480 after a sweep down to the 64223 swing low; RSI cooling off the spike highs into the mid-50s.

Support: 64,223.27, 64,000.00

Resistance: 64,947.47

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 64223 swing low opens the 64000 round number
  • Reclaim of 64517 minor high and a push through 64947 session high extends the impulse
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could inject fresh volatility into this read

17:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 64,479.99

Impulsive breakout, first pullback.

NY session ripped higher after the soft US CPI print, BTC breaking out from ~62,800 to a session high of 64,947. Price was rejected there and has pulled back to 64,480 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; 64,223 marks the first higher-low pivot.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 64,947 reopens the breakout continuation
  • Failure to hold 64,223 confirms a lower-low and stalls the leg
  • Fed's Bowman (~19:00 UTC) could shift risk tone

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 64,464.01

Consolidating below session high after impulse.

Soft US CPI drove a clean NY-session breakout from ~62,800 to a 64,947 session high, RSI(14) cooling from hot near 60. Price is now consolidating just below the high after a dip to 64,223 found buyers; 64,000 psych level unbroken beneath.

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 64,223 opens the 64,000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 64,947 session high resumes the breakout
  • Warsh testimony continuation could shift risk appetite

17:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 64,464.01

Impulsive breakout, first pullback holding.

NY session ripped from a 62800 base to a session high of 64947 after the soft US CPI print, a clean disinflation surprise. First pullback found demand at 64223 and price is now hovering near the 23.6% fib, RSI cooling from overbought.

Support: 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 64223 opens the 38.2% fib near 64115
  • Reclaim of 64947 resumes the breakout impulse
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could reshape this read

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 64,589.87

Impulse rally then consolidation near highs.

BTC ripped from ~62800 to a session high of 64947 off the 12:30 UTC CPI beat, then stalled into the NY afternoon. Last bar swept to 64223 before recovering to 64590; structure holding above the rising support off intraday lows.

Support: 64,223.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64950 opens the 65000 psych level
  • Loss of 64223 sweep low negates the rally continuation read
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reprice the CPI-driven bid

17:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 64,589.87

Impulsive breakout, first pullback after the high.

BTC ripped through the 63K supply wall into the NY session on the soft CPI beat, printing a session high at 64947 before stalling. The last bar swept the 64223 low and recovered, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the rally consolidates below the session high.

Support: 64,223.00, 64,000.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 64223 sweep low opens the 64000 round number
  • Reclaim of 64947 session high resumes the breakout leg
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could reprice this move

17:05 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 67 · price 64,665.78

Impulse leg, now consolidating below session high.

BTC exploded from the ~62800 consolidation to a 64947 session high after the soft US CPI print (headline -0.4% MoM, core 0%) landed dovish around midday. Price is now digesting in a tight 64580-64860 band just below the high, with RSI(14) cooling off from overbought.

Support: 64,580.00, 64,463.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64580 opens a retrace toward the 64463 breakout base
  • M15 close above 64947 clears the session high and eyes 65000 psych
  • Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) and ongoing Warsh testimony today could shift this read

17:05 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 64,665.78

Impulsive HH/HL leg, consolidating near session high.

BTCUSD ripped from ~62,800 to a session high at 64,947 after the soft US CPI miss cleared the 63K supply wall. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price consolidates near 64,665; rally leg holds above the 63,700 breakout zone.

What it said to watch

  • Close above 64,950 session high opens the path toward 65,000
  • Failure to hold 64,176 swing low threatens a retest of the 63,700 breakout zone
  • Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) today could shift this read

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 66 · price 64,736.71

Chain of higher highs / higher lows, consolidating at highs.

BTC ripped from 62.7K to a 64947 session high after the soft US CPI print, clearing the old $63K supply wall on heavy candles. Price is now consolidating just under 64800 with RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels; higher-low structure intact off the rising support.

Support: 64,463.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64463 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • Break above 64947 opens the path to the 65000 psych level
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and today's Fed speaker slate could shift the read

16:47 UTC

Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 70 · price 64,736.71

Higher highs, higher lows post-breakout.

NY session breakout after the soft US CPI print drove BTC from $62.7K to a session high of $64,947, RSI(14) running hot near 70. Price is consolidating just under the high; the $64,463 swing low held on the last pullback.

Support: 64,463.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64463 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) today could shift this read
  • Loss of 64000 opens a deeper retrace of the breakout

16:32 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 73 · price 64,791.65

Impulsive HH/HL chain off CPI break.

BTC broke sharply higher through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print, rallying from ~62800 to a session high of 64947 in a clean impulsive leg. RSI(14) sits hot near 72 but sub-extreme; price holds well above EMA20/50 with buyers defending the 64460 swing on the last pullback.

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 64947 session high opens the path to 65000 psych
  • Failure to hold 64460 swing low would end the HH/HL sequence
  • Fed speakers Goolsbee/Cook/Bowman today could shift this read

16:32 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 75 · price 64,791.65

Impulsive breakout, chain of higher highs.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI miss, tagging a session high at 64947 before easing to 64791. RSI(14) is hot near 74 after a vertical NY-session leg; the prior wall at 63000 now sits as the reference level below.

Support: 64,176.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64176 swing low would break the higher-low chain
  • Reclaim and hold above 64947 opens the path toward 65000 psych level
  • Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) in the next hours could shift momentum

16:17 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 77 · price 64,664.79

Impulsive HH/HL chain, breakout extended.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall after the soft US CPI print, printing a session high at 64947 with RSI(14) hot near 77. Pullbacks held at 64165 during the NY rally; the impulse is extended but structure remains intact.

Support: 64,165.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 64165 swing low would break the HH/HL chain
  • Loss of 63000 supply wall reopens the $60K handle
  • Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) this afternoon could shift the read

16:17 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 69 · price 64,664.79

Breakout, HH/HL chain intact.

BTC broke clean through the $63K supply wall during NY hours after the soft US CPI print, extending from 62800 to a session high of 64947 before easing to 64664. RSI(14) hot near 69 but not extreme; the HH/HL chain off 63700 remains intact.

Support: 64,463.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 64463 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Close above 64947 opens continuation toward the 65000 psych level
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could shift the risk tone

16:03 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 78 · price 64,767.67

Impulsive breakout, unbroken higher highs.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall during NY hours after the soft CPI print, running a near-vertical leg from 62900 to a session high of 64947 before easing to 64767. RSI(14) is hot near 78 and the move is stretched from EMA20; the 64165 swing low marks the first shelf under price.

Support: 64,165.34

Resistance: 64,947.47, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 64165 would be the first lower-low and break the impulse structure
  • A 15m close above 64947 opens continuation toward 65000
  • Fed speakers from 16:40 UTC (Barr/Goolsbee/Cook) could shift this read intrasession

16:03 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 75 · price 64,767.67

Impulsive breakout, chain of higher highs.

Soft US CPI ignited a vertical M15 breakout from the $62K base through the $63K supply wall, price now pressing session highs near 64947 with RSI(14) hot around 74. The rally is one-directional with no meaningful pullback yet; 64165 is the last defended swing low.

Support: 64,165.00

Resistance: 64,947.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 65000 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 64165 signals first real pullback in the leg
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Goolsbee 17:00, Cook 17:30 UTC) could shift this read
  • PPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst

15:47 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 80 · price 64,776.66

Impulsive HH/HL chain post-breakout.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall during NY hours on the soft US CPI print, printing a fresh session high at 64947 with RSI(14) hot near 80. Higher lows held at 64165 through the last leg; pullbacks into the 63633 breakout zone are the near-term structure to monitor.

Support: 64,165.00, 63,633.00

Resistance: 64,947.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 64165 breaks the recent higher-low chain
  • RSI near 80 signals stretched conditions; loss of momentum could stall the drive at 64947
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could shift the risk tone
  • PPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is a disinflation cross-check that may reprice the move

15:47 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 79 · price 64,776.66

Impulsive HH/HL breakout above 63k wall.

BTC ripped from the 62.8k base through the 63k supply wall on the soft US CPI print, a clean impulsive leg to a session high at 64947 with RSI(14) near 79 — hot but consistent with the trend. Buyers stepped in twice around 63700–63900 on the way up; that shelf now underpins the move.

Support: 64,176.32, 63,511.06

Resistance: 64,947.47, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 64176 breaks the rising intraday structure
  • Loss of 63900 opens a retest of the 63511 prior high
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Goolsbee 17:00, Cook 17:30, Bowman 18:55 UTC) could shift this read
  • 65000 psych area to monitor for rejection or break

15:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 78 · price 64,503.96

Impulsive breakout, higher highs into session high.

BTC ripped from the 62,800 ceiling on the 12:30 UTC CPI miss (headline -0.4% vs -0.1% f/c), clearing the 63k supply wall and running to a 64,564 session high during NY hours. RSI(14) near 78 — hot but consistent with the impulse; price is pressing highs with no reversal signal yet.

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63,500 breakout base would put the CPI-driven leg into retrace
  • Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook) this afternoon could shift the dovish read
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst for this move

15:32 UTC

Strong uptrend, extended · RSI 76 · price 64,503.96

Impulsive breakout, chain of higher highs.

BTC exploded out of a multi-hour 62500-62800 shelf on the cooler-than-expected US CPI print, running from 62800 to a session high at 64564 with RSI(14) hot near 76. Price is pressing the highs into the NY session; the 63900 breakout shelf is the first pullback reference.

Support: 63,900.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 64,564.90, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63900 breakout shelf would flag a failed extension
  • A 15m close above 64565 opens the path toward the 65000 round number
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers could reprice this move

15:17 UTC

Strong uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 78 · price 64,183.32

Breakout, higher highs since CPI.

BTC broke out of a ~62500 range into the NY session as the cooler US CPI print (headline MoM -0.4% vs -0.1% f/c) hit, running from ~62800 to a session high 64374 with RSI(14) hot near 78. Buyers stepping in on dips toward 63700; last bar cooling just under the session high.

Support: 63,500.00

Resistance: 64,374.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63500 breakout base negates the breakout read
  • PPI Wed 12:30 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers could shift this read

15:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 64,183.32

Impulsive breakout, higher highs.

NY session ripped through prior range on the cool US CPI miss, BTC vaulting from ~62800 to a 64374 session high in a single impulsive leg, RSI(14) hot near 73. Price is consolidating just under the high at 64180 after the spike; the 63900 breakout shelf is the first area to watch on a pullback.

Support: 63,900.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 64,374.00, 65,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63900 opens a retest of the 62800 pre-breakout base
  • M15 close above 64374 extends the leg toward the 65000 psych level
  • Fed speakers this afternoon and PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could reprice this move

15:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 64,251.24

Impulsive breakout, higher highs.

NY session ripped from 62800 to 64300 after the soft US CPI miss cleared the $63K supply wall in one impulse, RSI(14) hot near 73. Price now consolidating just under the 64303 session high after an eight-bar vertical run.

Support: 63,745.00

Resistance: 64,303.00

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 64303 session high would cap the breakout; a close back below 63745 signals a stall
  • PPI Jul 15 12:30 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) are near-term wildcards
  • Loss of the rising intraday support line invalidates the breakout structure

15:03 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive breakout leg · RSI 75 · price 64,251.24

Range broken to upside, fresh session highs.

BTC ripped out of a 62000-62800 NY-session range and cleared the $63K supply wall after the soft US CPI miss (headline YoY 3.5% vs 3.8%) and dovish Warsh testimony, printing session highs at 64303. RSI(14) is hot near 74 as the impulse extends; the $63K wall now flips to first support on any pullback.

Support: 63,500.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 64,303.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63500 breakout base would signal the CPI impulse is fading
  • A close back below the $63K wall reopens the pre-breakout range
  • Fed speakers (Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday

14:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 63,983.54

Breakout above prior range, consolidating near highs.

Soft US CPI drove BTC through the $63K supply wall during NY hours, a vertical run from the 62,900 prior range to a 64,101 session high. Price now consolidates just under 64,000 with RSI(14) hot near 71; the breakout base at 63,510 has held so far.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 63,510 negates the breakout and reopens the 62,900 prior range
  • PPI (Jul 15 12:30 UTC) and afternoon Fed speakers are near-term wildcards after dovish CPI

14:47 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 63,983.54

Impulsive break above 63K, holding near session high.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft CPI miss and Warsh's dovish testimony, printing a session high at 64101 before stalling just under 64000. RSI(14) elevated near 74 but short of extreme; the 63500 breakout level is the near-term pivot.

Support: 63,500.00

Resistance: 64,101.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 64101 session high vs a clean break higher
  • Loss of 63500 breakout level opens a retest of the 63K prior wall
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr 16:40, Goolsbee 17:00 UTC) and PPI tomorrow could reshape this read

14:32 UTC

Uptrend after breakout, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 63,837.70

Sharp breakout, now consolidating below session high.

BTC ripped through the $63K wall on the soft CPI miss (core MoM 0%) and dovish Warsh testimony, tagging a 64100 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 63500–63950 band, RSI(14) cooling off from the impulse; the breakout zone at 63500 is holding.

Support: 63,500.00

Resistance: 64,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 63500 negates the breakout and reopens the pre-spike range
  • A close above 64100 session high extends the impulse
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) and PPI tomorrow could reshape this read

14:32 UTC

Uptrend post-breakout, momentum cooling · RSI 68 · price 63,837.70

Impulse leg then consolidation near highs.

BTC ripped ~1,300 off 62,800 into 64,101 as the soft US CPI print and Warsh's dovish testimony cleared the $63K supply wall. Price is now consolidating 63,500–63,920 with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; the breakout level around 63,500 has so far held.

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63,500 would put the breakout back in play as a false break
  • Reclaim and close above 63,920 opens 64,101 session high
  • Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) could shift the read
  • PPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next macro pivot for this move

14:17 UTC

Uptrend, sharp impulse then pausing · RSI 72 · price 63,806.73

Breakout above 63K, consolidating below session high.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft CPI print and dovish Warsh lean, tagging 64101 before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 63800 with RSI(14) hot near 72; the reclaimed 63K handle flipped to support on the way up.

Support: 63,000.00

Resistance: 64,101.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony live at 14:00 UTC — primary intraday driver, tone shift could reprice this move
  • Loss of 63000 would negate the breakout and signal a false break
  • M15 close above 64101 opens continuation past the session high

14:17 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout impulse · RSI 74 · price 63,806.73

Range broken to upside, HH established.

BTC ripped out of a tight 62,400–62,800 range into the NY session, spiking to 64,100 as dovish Warsh testimony reinforced the soft US CPI print. The move cleared the $63K supply wall in two impulse candles; RSI(14) is hot near 74 and price is holding just above the reclaimed level at 63,800.

What it said to watch

  • Pullback holding 63,000 would confirm the supply wall as retest support
  • Loss of 62,800 range top would negate the breakout
  • Heavy Fed-speaker slate through the session could shift this read

14:03 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive breakout · RSI 73 · price 63,841.69

Higher highs after clean range break.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print and dovish Warsh reaction, tagging 64101 before easing to 63841 with RSI(14) hot near 73. Prior resistance at 63000 now flips to first support as the NY-session leg holds its gains.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,740.00

Resistance: 64,101.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63000 would negate the breakout and reopen the 62740 base
  • Ongoing Warsh testimony can extend or fade this move within the next bars
  • Sustained hold above 64101 opens continuation toward higher session highs

14:03 UTC

Uptrend, post-breakout impulse · RSI 71 · price 63,841.69

Range break, expansion higher.

NY session ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft CPI miss and dovish Warsh read, printing a session high at 64101 before easing to 63841. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal in this kind of impulse; the reclaimed 63000 level flips to first support.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 64,101.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 63000 supply wall reclaim would signal the breakout is fading toward the 62800 range top
  • A close back above 64101 extends the session high
  • Warsh testimony / heavy Fed-speaker slate through the session can materially shift this read

13:47 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive breakout · RSI 71 · price 63,808.73

Range broken to upside, first pullback.

BTC broke out of the 61,700–62,900 range into NY hours, spiking to 64,101 on the cool US CPI print (core MoM 0% vs 0.2%) that revived the disinflation trade. Price is now consolidating around 63,800 after tagging the session high, RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme; the prior range top at 62,900 is the level to watch on any pullback.

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (imminent) is the primary intraday driver and could reset this read
  • Failure to hold 62,900 on a retest reopens the range interior
  • Acceptance above 64,101 extends the breakout toward the $63K+ supply zone flagged this week

13:47 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive leg extended · RSI 71 · price 63,808.73

Breakout above range into session high.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print, tagging a session high at 64100 before easing to 63808; RSI(14) near 71 after the vertical leg. Price now holds above the 63500 breakout base as attention turns to Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC.

Support: 63,500.00, 63,000.00

Resistance: 64,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC is the primary intraday driver and could shift this read
  • Loss of 63500 breakout base signals the impulse fading back toward 63000
  • Close above 64100 session high extends the leg

13:32 UTC

Sharp uptrend, freshly broken out · RSI 74 · price 63,890.64

Range break to the upside, holding highs.

BTC broke out of the 61700–62800 intraday range during NY hours, spiking to 64101 on the soft US CPI print as dovish repricing cleared the $63K supply wall. Price is now consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) hot near 74; the breakout base at 63511 is the pivot holding the move together.

Support: 63,511.00, 62,900.00

Resistance: 64,101.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC imminent — tone on inflation/rates can materially shift this read
  • Loss of the 63511 breakout base would negate the range break and reopen the prior range top at 62900
  • A close above 64101 session high extends the breakout

13:32 UTC

Sharp uptrend, freshly extended · RSI 74 · price 63,890.64

Range break to the upside.

BTC ripped out of the 62,000–62,800 range into NY hours, printing a 64,100 session high on the soft US CPI miss. Move is near-vertical with RSI(14) around 74 and price consolidating just under 63,930; the 62,900 breakout base has yet to be retested.

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 63,500 puts a retest of the 62,900 breakout base in play
  • Sustained trade above 64,100 session high extends the breakout toward the 63K supply wall zone flip

13:17 UTC

Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 80 · price 63,776.76

Range broken to the upside, fresh highs printed.

NY session ripped out of the 62400–62870 range on the soft US CPI miss, printing a session high at 63921 with RSI(14) stretched near 80. Price is consolidating just under the high around 63776; the old 62870 range top now sits as first structural support ahead of the 63000 psych handle.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,870.00

Resistance: 63,921.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (imminent) could sharply shift this read
  • M15 close back below 62870 negates the breakout
  • Failure to hold 63000 opens a retest of the 62870 range top

13:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum spiking · RSI 78 · price 63,776.76

Breakout above range top.

BTC ripped out of the 62400–62900 range on the soft US CPI print, clearing the $63K supply wall in three impulsive bars to a session high of 63921. RSI(14) near 78 flags a short-term stretch, and the current bar is stalling just under 63800. Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) lands imminently and is the immediate driver for follow-through or fade.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 63,921.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 63000 breakout base keeps the breakout structure intact
  • Loss of 62800 signals a false break back into range
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 63921 session high opens the path toward 64000

13:05 UTC

Sharp breakout higher, momentum hot · RSI 79 · price 63,825.71

Range broken to the upside on CPI.

BTC ripped out of a 62490–62870 consolidation on the US CPI print, clearing the $63K supply wall in three bars to a session high of 63920, RSI(14) running hot near 79. Move is extended — price now testing round-number resistance at 64000 with the reclaimed 63000 handle the immediate structural pivot below.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,870.00, 62,490.00

Resistance: 63,920.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 63000 would signal the breakout failing
  • RSI near 79 is extended into the move, prone to a pullback/retest of prior high

13:04 UTC

Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 81 · price 63,825.71

Range break, fresh higher high.

BTC broke the $63K supply wall on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, ripping from a 62800 consolidation to 63921 in three bars. RSI(14) is stretched above 80, so the move is short-term extended even if the breakout impulse is intact.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,800.00

Resistance: 63,921.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 62800 puts the breakout retest in play
  • Failure to hold 63000 psych voids the breakout read
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:47 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout momentum · RSI 84 · price 63,602.95

Range break to new session highs.

BTC snapped a ~61700-62870 24h range with a vertical post-CPI spike to 63633, clearing the 63K supply wall as the soft inflation read hit at 12:30 UTC. RSI(14) is stretched near 84 on the impulse; price holds just under the spike high into the NY session.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,870.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 63,633.00, 64,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained hold above 63000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 62870 signals a false break back into range
  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 63633 opens the path toward the 64000 psych level

12:47 UTC

Breakout, momentum surging · RSI 80 · price 63,602.95

Range break to the upside.

BTC broke a ~24h 61800–62900 range on the 12:30 UTC CPI print, ripping through the $63K supply wall to 63634 in two bars. RSI(14) is hot near 80 after the vertical move; the prior range top around 62870 now flips to a support reference.

Support: 63,000.00, 62,870.00

Resistance: 63,634.00

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 63000 fails the breakout and puts the old range top at 62870 in play
  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Holding above 63000 on a pullback confirms the range break

12:32 UTC

Uptrend, sharp acceleration · RSI 81 · price 63,379.20

Breakout above session range on CPI.

BTC ripped through the $63K supply wall on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, printing a session high at 63441 with RSI(14) stretched into the low-80s. The move cleared the 62760 prior-day high and the round 63000 handle in a single expansion bar; former resistance at 62900 is now the immediate breakout shelf.

Support: 62,900.00, 62,760.00

Resistance: 63,441.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • A close back below 63000 would negate the breakout and put price back inside the prior range
  • RSI above 80 flags short-term exhaustion — a stall near 63441 is the level to monitor for rejection
  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:32 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 76 · price 63,379.20

Range break to the upside on CPI.

The 12:30 UTC US CPI print snapped BTC out of a day-long 61,775–62,870 range, the final M15 bar spiking to 63,441 and clearing the 63K supply wall. RSI(14) is hot near 76 as the dovish reaction runs; 63,000 flips to first support beneath the move.

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 63,000 puts price back inside the prior range and negates the breakout
  • Hold above 63,000 keeps the CPI breakout leg intact toward the 63,441 spike high
  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

12:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 64 · price 62,782.86

Chain of higher highs / higher lows off the 61703 low.

BTC has ground higher through the second half of the window, printing HH/HL off the 61703 low and now testing session highs near 62870, RSI mid-60s with room before extremes. Move is running straight into the US CPI print — a binary two-way catalyst — so current structure is fragile at the top of range.

Support: 62,561.00

Resistance: 62,870.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC — binary two-way risk that can override this read within minutes
  • Sustained trade above 62870 opens the 63000 round number
  • Loss of 62561 breaks the higher-low chain and signals a rollover

12:17 UTC

Uptrend, extending into session high · RSI 66 · price 62,782.86

Higher highs and higher lows since the 61.7k low.

BTC grinding higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high near 62870 with RSI(14) around 66, hot but not extended. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 62490-62650 on pullbacks; the 61.7k low holds the base. US CPI lands at 12:30 UTC — a binary event that overrides the intraday structure.

Support: 62,650.00, 62,490.00

Resistance: 62,870.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is a binary two-way risk that can invalidate this read within minutes
  • Close above 62870 opens the path toward the 63000 handle
  • Loss of 62490 breaks the higher-low chain

12:04 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 66 · price 62,800.84

Higher highs and higher lows off the intraday low.

BTC ground higher through the session, printing a session high at 62870 and now consolidating just below it minutes ahead of the US CPI print. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched; buyers defended the 62490 pullback low earlier before the leg up.

Support: 62,490.00

Resistance: 62,870.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC — binary two-way risk within 30min, can override this read
  • M15 close above 62870 session high opens the 63000 round number
  • Loss of 62490 pullback low breaks the rising sequence

12:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 62,800.84

Higher highs / higher lows off the 61,700 base.

BTC has recovered off the 61,765 session low in a steady step-up, printing higher highs into the 62,870 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not stretched. Price hovering just under session high at 62,800, still holding above the rising intraday support.

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and binary — could materially shift this read within the next bars
  • Close above 62,870 opens the path toward the 63,000 handle
  • Loss of 62,500 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the rising support line

11:47 UTC

Uptrend, recovering into session highs · RSI 65 · price 62,803.83

Higher highs / higher lows since the mid-window low.

BTC has ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 61703 low to press a fresh session high at 62870 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 64 — hot but not stretched. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is a binary event that can reset this intraday structure within the hour.

Support: 62,490.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,870.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC — binary print, can override the current structure
  • M15 close above 62870 extends the session-high sequence
  • Loss of 62490 breaks the rising higher-low chain

11:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pressing highs · RSI 63 · price 62,803.83

Higher lows since London low, at session high.

BTC has ground back up from the 61703 session low to retest the session high at 62870, building a chain of higher lows through the NY session. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 62490-62640; RSI(14) around 63, hot but not extended. Note the final bar has negligible volume as US CPI (12:30 UTC) looms in under an hour.

Support: 62,640.00, 62,490.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,870.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is a binary two-way risk that can override this structure
  • M15 close above 62870 opens the path toward the 63000 handle
  • Loss of 62490 breaks the higher-low chain

11:32 UTC

Recovery, pressing session highs · RSI 63 · price 62,824.81

Higher lows off window low, retesting range top.

Price recovered off the 61776 window low and has fully retraced the early decline, now pressing the session high at 62861 into the cited $63K supply wall. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not extended. Rising support off the higher lows is holding.

Support: 62,440.00, 61,776.00

Resistance: 62,861.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 62861 opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold rising support / 62440 confirms a lower low

11:32 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 62,824.81

Higher lows off session low into resistance.

BTC carved a session low at 61703 mid-window then rounded back up, printing higher lows to retest the 62868 session high. Price is stalling just under that supply zone with RSI(14) around 62, not yet hot, and US CPI due in roughly an hour.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,130.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,868.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 62868 opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62490 breaks the rising support and reopens 62130

11:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 61 · price 62,757.89

Higher lows since overnight low, testing session high.

BTC recovered off the overnight low near 61765 and built a chain of higher lows through the Asia/London sessions, now testing the session high at 62861 with RSI(14) around 61. Price is wedged into the cited ~$63K supply zone ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 62,490.00, 61,765.00

Resistance: 62,861.00, 62,926.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is a HIGH-impact driver that could break this read either way
  • Sustained M15 close above 62861 opens the path toward 62926 prior high
  • Loss of 62490 rising support breaks the higher-low sequence

11:17 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 62,757.89

Higher lows off the window low, testing session high.

BTC carved a rounded bottom off 61703 and has ground back to the session high near 62861, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 61 — momentum firm but not extended. Grind is stalling into the 62861 supply shelf just ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 62,490.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,861.00, 62,926.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62861 opens the path toward the 62926 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62490 reopens the downside toward 61703 range low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum firm · RSI 57 · price 62,704.94

Higher lows since 61703, testing session highs.

BTC clawed off the 61703 swing low in a chain of higher lows and pushed into the 62860 session high, where the last bar was rejected back to 62704. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57, no extreme; structure constructive but capped at the session top.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,130.00

Resistance: 62,860.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~90m) is a two-way trigger that could override this read
  • Close above 62860 opens the path to the 63000 round number
  • Failure to hold 62490 reopens the downside toward the 62130 session low

11:03 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 56 · price 62,704.94

Higher lows since 61703 base.

BTC recovered off the 61703 session low and ground higher through London on a chain of higher lows, with the last push tagging 62861 before easing back to 62700. RSI(14) is mid-range and price holds above EMA20 and EMA50. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the imminent two-way trigger.

Support: 62,490.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,861.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~90 min) is the dominant two-way driver for this read
  • Close below 62490 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Break above 62861 opens the 63000 supply wall

10:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 62,756.89

Higher lows off session low, grinding into supply.

BTC recovered off the 61700 session low through London and is grinding higher into NY hours, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 60. Price is now testing the 62810 session high; the ~63K supply wall caps above. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate two-way trigger.

Support: 62,490.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~105 min) is the dominant driver and can override this structure
  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62490 reopens downside toward the 61700 session low

10:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 62,756.89

Higher lows building toward $63K supply.

BTC carved a rounded bottom off the 61703 session low and has ground back toward 62810 through the morning, in line with the dovish $60K reclaim theme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 62490; RSI(14) mid-range at ~60 with room before the $63K supply wall flagged in the news.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,130.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00, 63,051.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~105 min) is a two-way trigger that could override this read
  • M15 close above 63000 supply wall opens the path to 63051 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62490 swing low reopens the 62130 zone

10:32 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 62,636.02

Consolidation below session high after bounce from window low.

BTC bounced from the 61700 window low and is now consolidating in a 62440–62790 band through the London session, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 but has stalled under the session high with US CPI dead ahead.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,200.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,790.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) is a two-way trigger that can break this range
  • M15 close above 62790 opens the path toward the 63K supply area
  • Loss of 62440 exposes 62200 and reopens the 61700 low

10:32 UTC

Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 62,636.02

Intraday range in upper half after bounce.

BTC bounced off the 61703 window low through the London session and is now consolidating between 62440 and 62810, currently mid-range near 62636 with RSI(14) flat around 53. Both EMAs sit below price but the grind is directionless ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,440.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are two-way triggers that can break this range
  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path back toward the ~63K supply wall
  • Loss of 62440 reopens downside toward the 61703 window low

10:17 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 56 · price 62,674.98

Consolidation below session high after intraday recovery.

BTC recovered from the 61,700 swing low back to the mid-62,000s and is now consolidating between 62,490 and the 62,810 session high. Buyers stepped in near 62,490 on the last dip; the ~63K supply wall still caps overhead. Two-way risk into US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,810 opens the path toward the 63,000 supply wall
  • Loss of 62,490 swing low breaks the rising support and exposes 62,130
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.75h) could materially shift this read

10:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 62,674.98

Consolidating below session high after bounce from 61700.

BTC recovered from the 61700 session low and is now boxed between 62490 and the 62790 session high, capped by the cited ~63K supply wall. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 with price holding above EMA20/50 — no directional break into the London-NY transition.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,790.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI in ~2.75h (12:30 UTC) is the dominant risk and can break this range either way
  • M15 close above 62790 opens the path toward the 63K supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62490 exposes the 62130 swing low

10:03 UTC

Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 62,601.06

Range below supply, higher lows.

BTC based around 61770 through the Asian session then recovered to tag a 62810 swing high, and is now consolidating between 62490 and 62810 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price sits below the ~63K supply wall flagged in the tape, buyers holding higher lows into the CPI print.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,150.00, 61,770.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,030.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h) is the range-break catalyst
  • Close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63030 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62490 reopens the downside toward 62150

10:03 UTC

Recovery off the low, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 62,601.06

Consolidation after bounce from swing low.

BTC based twice near 61700 mid-window then recovered, and is now consolidating roughly 62440–62810 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price is wedged below the session high with the ~63K supply wall overhead ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,440.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,030.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI in ~2.75h (12:30 UTC) can materially shift this read
  • Close above 62810 opens the path back toward 63030 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62440 exposes the 61700 swing low

09:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 62,521.15

Consolidating below session high after V-recovery.

BTC recovered from the ~61700 session low back to ~62790 then eased, now ranging 62450-62790 with price hugging the lower half and RSI neutral near 48. Move sits below EMA20 but above EMA50; buyers stepped in twice near 62450. US CPI in ~2.75h is the dominant near-term risk.

Support: 62,450.00, 62,130.00

Resistance: 62,790.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.75h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 62790 opens the path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of 62450 range low reopens the 62130 swing low

09:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 62,521.15

Higher lows into a mid-range pullback.

BTC recovered off the 61703 session low set in the prior NY session, chaining higher lows up to 62789 before stalling. Price now drifts mid-range near 62520, RSI(14) back to neutral as the bounce loses steam ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,490.00, 62,310.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,789.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.75h) is the dominant risk for this read
  • Loss of 62490 exposes the 62310 swing low
  • M15 close above 62789 reopens the ~63K supply wall

09:32 UTC

Recovered off session low, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 62,616.04

Higher low from 61700, capped below session high.

BTC sold off through the Asian session to 61700, then recovered across London to a 62810 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 62600 below that high, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Two-way tone ahead of US CPI dominates the tape.

Support: 62,500.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • close above 62810 session high opens path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • loss of the 62500 range floor exposes the 61700 session low

09:32 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 62,616.04

Consolidation after intraday rebound.

BTC based near 61700 mid-window and ground back up through the London session, now consolidating 62440-62789 with RSI(14) neutral around 53. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 62440; the 62789 session high caps for now ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,789.00, 63,080.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the dominant risk and can break this range either way
  • M15 close above 62789 extends the recovery toward the 63080 prior high
  • Loss of 62440 opens a retest of the 62130 swing low

09:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 62,644.01

Consolidating below session high after V-recovery.

BTC bounced from the 61700 session low and clawed back above 62600, now consolidating in a 62440-62810 band into today's US CPI. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54, momentum flattening as price stalls under the session high.

Support: 62,440.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,050.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • Close above 62810 opens the path to the 63050 prior high / 63k wall
  • Failure to hold 62440 swing low exposes the 61700 session low

09:17 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 62,644.01

V-recovery, higher lows building below session high.

BTC recovered off the 61703 session low back above 62600 and is consolidating below the 62809 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54. The rebound tracks the digest's $60K reclaim story; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 62440 through the recovery.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,000.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the pivot — a hot core risks losing 62000 toward the session low
  • Close above 62809 opens the path to 63000
  • Failure to hold 62440 reopens downside toward 62000

09:05 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 62,644.01

Higher lows since low, consolidating below session high.

BTC recovered steadily off the 61700 session low, printing higher lows back to a session high of 62810 before stalling around 62650. RSI(14) near 56 as the bounce cools; price now consolidating in a 62440–62810 band into the US CPI print.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC — primary catalysts likely to break this range
  • Close above 62810 opens the path to the 63000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 62130 threatens a lower low back toward 61700

09:05 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 62,644.01

Higher lows since the 61700 base, now consolidating.

BTC sold off from 63000 into a 61700 double-bottom base during the NY session, then ground back to 62644 on a chain of higher lows overnight. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 with the recovery stalling just under the 62810 session high; buyers defended 62440 repeatedly on the way up.

Support: 62,440.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is the primary catalyst and could break this range
  • Close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63000 psych supply
  • Loss of 62440 exposes the 61700 double bottom base

08:47 UTC

Recovering off intraday low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 62,721.92

Higher lows since 61.7K bottom.

BTC bottomed near 61.7K mid-window and has ground back up in a chain of higher lows, reclaiming 62.7K and pressing toward the 62.8K swing high beneath the 63K supply wall. RSI(14) around 60 with room before overbought; the recovery is intact but capped by prior supply.

Support: 62,440.00

Resistance: 62,810.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC then Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the primary catalysts that could break this range
  • Close above 62810 swing high opens the path to the 63K supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62440 swing low negates the rounded-bottom recovery

08:47 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 61 · price 62,721.92

Basing off 61.7K low, grinding into session high.

BTC recovered off the 61.7K session low during NY hours and has ground higher through the Asian range, now pressing back toward the 62810 session high. RSI(14) near 61, both EMAs reclaimed as buyers step in on each dip. Move sits below the $63K supply wall flagged into today's US CPI.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,130.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst and can reset this read
  • Close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of 62440 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 62130

08:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 62,609.05

V-recovery stalling into consolidation near range top.

BTC sold off from 63200 to a 61703 session low, then carved a double bottom and recovered through Asia to 62809 before stalling. Price now consolidates 62442–62650 with RSI neutral near 51; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary catalyst into London.

Support: 62,442.00, 62,000.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62809 session high opens the path to the 63000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 62442 swing low exposes the 62000 psych handle
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst and could reset this read

08:32 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 62,609.05

Downtrend bottomed, now consolidating in upper half.

Overnight decline through the Asian session bottomed near 61700, and the London session drove a recovery to 62800 before stalling. Price now consolidating around 62440-62800 with RSI back to mid-range; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary risk sitting just ahead.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,800.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62800 recent high extends the recovery leg
  • Loss of 62440 recent low reopens the 62130 swing low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 62,515.15

Consolidation above reclaimed lows.

BTC recovered off the 61700 session low mid-window and has since spent the NY session consolidating 62440–62810, RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Price sits just below EMA20 while holding above EMA50, coiling into today's US CPI at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,050.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,030.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the binary that resolves this coil
  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path to 63030
  • Loss of 62440 exposes 62050

08:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 47 · price 62,515.15

Consolidation after bounce from 61.7k.

BTC recovered from the 61.7k window low through the Asia-London hours and is now consolidating in a 62440-62810 band, coiling into today's US CPI. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price hugging EMA20, no directional edge intraday.

Support: 62,440.00, 62,130.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,035.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is a binary that will likely break this consolidation
  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path back toward the 63035 prior high
  • Loss of 62440 exposes the 62130 swing low

08:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 62,503.17

Consolidating below session high after bounce.

BTC bottomed at 61700 overnight and clawed back to a 62810 session high before stalling, now consolidating around 62500 with RSI(14) neutral near 49. Price sits just under EMA20, holding above the recovery low structure while it coils into today's US CPI.

Support: 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,035.00

What it said to watch

  • close above 62810 session high opens path toward 63035 prior high
  • loss of 62130 swing low reopens the 61700 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 62,503.17

Consolidating below recent swing high after basing.

BTC sold off from ~63000 through the Asian session to a 61700 base, then ground back to 62810 during London before stalling. Now consolidating around 62500 with RSI(14) mid-range, coiling ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 62,460.00, 62,050.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break below 62460 session low reopens the 62050 area
  • Reclaim of 62810 swing high needed to resume the recovery

07:47 UTC

Downtrend attempt, now recovering · RSI 48 · price 62,512.16

Swept overnight low, retraced ~50%.

Asia session sold off from 63,200 into a 61,700 sweep low, then buyers stepped in twice to carve a base and grind back to 62,800 before fading to 62,512. Price now sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 48, coiling into the 12:30 UTC US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62,810 opens the path back to the 63,035 Asia high
  • Loss of 62,450 session low reopens the 61,700 swing low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this coil either way

07:32 UTC

Recovery off 61.7K low, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 62,562.10

Higher lows since double bottom, pulling back from session high.

BTC based twice near 61.7K overnight and recovered to a 62.8K session high before fading back to 62.5K, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price is coiling below the session high inside a 62.45K–62.8K band ahead of US CPI, with the ~63K supply wall untested.

Support: 62,450.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 62.8K opens the path toward the 63K supply wall
  • Loss of 62450 range floor exposes the 61.7K swing low

07:32 UTC

Recovery off day low, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 62,562.10

Higher lows off 61703, capped at 62810.

BTC sold off to a day low of 61703 mid-window before grinding back up through the NY session, printing higher lows into a 62810 cap. Price has since stalled around 62560, holding above the recovery trend but rejected under session-high supply; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.

Support: 62,130.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,130.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path toward 63130
  • Loss of 62130 reopens the 61703 day low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum slowing · RSI 49 · price 62,548.12

Higher lows off 61703 base, capped below 62810.

London session bounced off the 61703 base into a grinding recovery, but the leg is stalling below the 62810 session high with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Price is coiling around 62500 into the US CPI print at 12:30 UTC — no clean setup in play.

Support: 62,500.00, 62,200.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 62810 opens the path back to 63000 psych
  • Loss of 62500 range floor exposes the 62200 higher low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 62,548.12

Consolidation after intraday bounce.

BTC bottomed near 61765 mid-window then ground higher through NY hours to a 62810 session high, and is now consolidating around 62550 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the recovery leg; the 62500 shelf is holding as near-term support.

Support: 62,500.00, 61,765.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk — an outsized move either way is likely
  • Loss of 62500 exposes the 61765 swing low
  • M15 close above 62810 reopens the 63000 round number

07:03 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 62,556.11

Higher lows off 61700 base, pulling back from session high.

Price double-bottomed near 61700 during the Asia-London transition and climbed a chain of higher lows to a 62810 session high before fading. Now pulling back to the EMA20 near 62560, with RSI cooling to mid-range. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst into this recovery.

Support: 62,510.00, 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,035.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62510 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 62130
  • Reclaim of 62810 session high needed to extend the recovery toward 63035
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~5h out) can materially reset this read

07:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 62,556.11

Based at 61700, now consolidating below session high.

BTC recovered from a session low at 61700 back above 62500, then stalled under the 62810 session high with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating in a 62510–62810 band, holding above the rising support off the base ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,510.00, 62,390.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62510 breaks rising support and reopens 62390
  • Close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63000 psych level
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (headline 3.8% YoY f/c) is a binary catalyst that could override this range read

06:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 62,622.03

Consolidating below session high.

BTC carved a base near 61700 through Asia, then recovered to a session high at 62809 before stalling; price now chops around 62620 with RSI(14) mid-range. CPI at 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst and dominates the read into it.

Support: 62,400.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,200.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62809 session high opens the path toward the 63200 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62400 swing low reopens the 61703 range low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst and can override this structure

06:47 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 62,622.03

Higher lows since session low, consolidating below 62800.

BTC carved a rounded bottom off the 61765 swing low and climbed back to tag the 62809 session high before stalling; price now consolidates near 62620 with RSI(14) neutral around 53. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 62480 during the recovery, keeping the higher-low chain intact below the 63196 prior high.

Support: 62,480.00, 61,765.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • A close above 62809 opens the path toward 63196
  • Failure to hold 62480 exposes the 61765 swing low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:33 UTC

Recovering off lows, stalling into London · RSI 53 · price 62,650.00

Double bottom, higher lows building.

BTC recovered off a 61700 double bottom through the Asia session, retracing most of the prior drop from 63196 and grinding out higher lows. Now consolidating below the 62809 session high with RSI(14) mid-range as London hours open; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst.

Support: 62,235.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62809 opens the path toward the 63k supply wall
  • Loss of 62235 swing low reopens the 61700 session low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:32 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 62,650.00

Higher lows off 61,700, consolidating below session high.

BTC bottomed twice near 61,700 during the Asian session and clawed back to a 62,800 session high before stalling; price now consolidates around 62,650 on flattening RSI. The 63,000 supply wall caps the upside while higher lows hold the base.

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the primary catalyst and can reset this read
  • Close above 62,800 session high opens the 63,000 supply wall
  • Loss of 62,400 exposes the 61,700 session low again

06:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 62,612.05

Higher-low chain after V-recovery, pulling back from session high.

BTC recovered off the 61,700 session low through the Asian session, tagging 62,810 before easing back to 62,612. RSI(14) cooling near mid-50s as the pullback holds above rising support; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the live catalyst.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,810 opens the path to the 63,135 prior high
  • Loss of 62,130 swing low negates the recovery structure
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 62,612.05

Higher lows off session low, consolidating.

BTC clawed back from the 61703 session low to tag 62810 before stalling, now drifting around 62600 near the 61.8% retrace of the prior 63196-61703 drop. RSI cooling from the recovery high; price holding above EMA20/50 into the US CPI print.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could shift this read
  • Close above 62810 opens the path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62200 puts the 61703 session low back in play

06:03 UTC

Recovering, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 62,679.97

Higher lows off session low, capped at 62810.

Price sold from 63200 to a session low near 61700, then ground back up through the Asian session to stall at the 62810 session high before pulling back to 62680, RSI(14) mid-range. Chain of higher lows intact but the topside rejection at 62810 has capped the recovery.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00, 63,200.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 62810 session high opens the path to 63000
  • Failure to hold 62200 swing low confirms a lower low

06:03 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session lows · RSI 59 · price 62,679.97

Higher lows building after sweep of 61700.

BTC clawed back from a 61700 sweep mid-window and is grinding higher lows, now testing the 62810 session high with RSI(14) near 59. Move is macro-led into US CPI at 12:30 UTC — the live trigger given thin spot demand.

Support: 62,400.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,040.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path to 63040
  • Failure to hold 62400 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 62,673.98

Higher lows off 61703, testing session high.

BTC based out at the 61703 session low through the Asian session and ground back up to retest the 62809 session high, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s as the last two bars stalled. Price now consolidating near 62670 below that high, holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 62,480.00, 61,775.00

Resistance: 62,809.00, 63,135.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62809 opens the path toward 63135
  • Failure to hold 62480 threatens a lower low back toward 61775
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:47 UTC

Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 57 · price 62,673.98

Rising off session low, capped near 62810.

BTC based out at the 61703 session low through late NY and has ground higher lows back to the 62810 session high during Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Recent bars stalled just under 62810 with a slight pullback to 62674; grind is macro-tethered ahead of US CPI.

Support: 62,390.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,810.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 62810 opens the path to the 63000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 62390 swing low threatens a return toward the 61703 session low

05:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 61 · price 62,781.86

V-shaped base, higher lows into resistance.

BTC carved a rounded bottom near 61703 through the late session and has ground back up to 62781, holding above the 62480 pivot with higher lows on a rising support line. Price is now pressing the recovery high; the 63000 round number caps overhead ahead of the 63196 swing high. Move sits mid-retrace of the earlier decline into the dominant catalyst.

Support: 62,480.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 63,000.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
  • Close above 63000 round number opens the path to the 63196 swing high
  • Loss of the 62480 pivot exposes a retest of the 61703 session low

05:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 62,781.86

Higher lows off session base.

BTC based at 61,703 and has ground back to 62,780 in a chain of higher lows through the Asian session, now retesting the 62,900 prior-high shelf. RSI(14) near 63, no extreme; the whole move sits inside a wider two-way range ahead of US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
  • Close above 62,900 opens the path to the 63,196 session high
  • Loss of 62,300 breaks the recovery higher-low chain

05:17 UTC

Recovering, higher lows off session low · RSI 64 · price 62,752.89

V-shaped: selloff then stair-step recovery.

V-shaped session: BTC sold from the 63196 day high to a 61703 low, where buyers stepped in twice near 61700 forming a double bottom. Price has since recovered ~70% of the drop to the 62790 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,790.00, 63,035.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 63035 opens the path to the 63196 day high
  • Loss of 62200 re-exposes the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

05:17 UTC

Recovery leg, higher lows · RSI 62 · price 62,752.89

V-recovery off 61700, grinding up.

BTC based at 61700 through the London-NY window and has clawed back to a session high near 62790 on a steady chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. Price retraced roughly 70% of the 63196-to-61700 down leg; 62790 is the immediate cap.

Support: 62,400.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,790.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • close above 62790 opens the path to 63000/63196
  • failure to hold 62400 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

05:05 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum steady · RSI 60 · price 62,649.01

Double bottom then higher lows.

BTC sold from 63196 to a 61700 double bottom, then ground back up to 62649, retracing roughly 60% of that drop with RSI near 60. Recovery holds a chain of higher lows; 62700 session high is the immediate cap. US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the live driver into the next session.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,700.00, 63,000.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close above 62700 opens the path toward 63000
  • Loss of rising support / 61700 double bottom confirms a lower low

05:05 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum improving · RSI 56 · price 62,649.01

Based around 61,700 then higher lows into 62,700.

BTC based around 61,700 through the Asian session after the slide off the 63,196 window high, then recovered to retest 62,700. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with price back above EMA20 and EMA50; the move is a grind, not an impulse.

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62,700 opens the path to 63,000
  • Loss of 62,130 re-exposes the 61,700 base
  • US CPI 12:30 GMT is the live driver and could reprice the whole range

04:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, intraday uptrend · RSI 60 · price 62,652.00

Higher lows building from 61703 base.

BTC has ground back from the 61703 NY-session low to 62652, stalling into the 62710 session high after retracing ~62% of the 63196–61703 drop. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme; higher lows intact through the Asian session but the level to watch overhead is 62710.

Support: 62,235.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,710.00, 63,000.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62710 opens the path back toward 63000 psych
  • Loss of 62235 higher low reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 58 · price 62,652.00

Higher lows building from 61,703 base.

BTC carved a rounded base at the 61,775 session low during the Asian hours and has clawed back to 62,700, retracing roughly 62% of the drop from 63,196. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58 with momentum steady rather than stretched. US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the live driver — the tape is coiled into it.

What it said to watch

  • Close above 63,000 opens the path to the 63,196 prior high
  • Failure to hold the 62,390 swing low reopens the 61,775 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Recovery uptrend off session low · RSI 63 · price 62,599.06

Higher lows rebuilding after NY-session flush.

BTC has clawed back to 62,599 after flushing to a 61,700 session low during NY hours, retracing ~60% of the 63,200-to-61,700 down-leg on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; 62,750 prior high is the near-term cap, with the whole window coiled into today's US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 GMT is the live driver and could materially shift this read
  • Close above 62,750 opens the path to the 63,000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62,300 threatens the recovery and re-exposes the 61,700 session low

04:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 62,599.06

V-recovery, higher-low chain since 61,700.

BTC sold from 63,196 to a session low at 61,703 through the prior session, then recovered to 62,600 — roughly a 60% retrace of that drop. Higher lows are holding and RSI(14) sits mid-50s with room either way; price is coiling under the 62,760 prior high ahead of US CPI.

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and can invalidate this range read
  • Close above 62,760/63,000 opens the path back toward the 63,196 session high
  • Loss of 62,235 rising support exposes the 61,703 session low

04:17 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 62,499.17

Higher lows since bottom, capped near 62586.

BTCUSD slid from 63196 to a session low at 61700 through the London hours, then ground back to 62500 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range. Recent bounce is capped at 62586 with the 63000 supply wall overhead; CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead.

Support: 62,235.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,586.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 62235 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 62586 opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~8h out) can materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Recovery off NY low, momentum easing · RSI 53 · price 62,499.17

Higher lows since NY-session low, now consolidating.

BTC sold off through the NY session yesterday to 61705 then carved a rounded base, grinding back to 62500 overnight into Asia. Now consolidating 62235-62586 with RSI(14) mid-range; recovery leg has stalled roughly at the 50% retrace of the prior drop.

Support: 62,235.00, 61,770.00, 61,705.00

Resistance: 62,586.00, 62,717.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62586 extends the recovery toward 62717
  • Loss of 62235 exposes 61770 and the 61705 NY low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~8h out) is the dominant intraday catalyst

04:03 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 62,524.14

Higher lows off 61703, capped near 62576.

Asia session recovered off the 61703 range low, printing higher lows and pressing back under the 62576 session high after basing around 61900. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant intraday catalyst and can override this structure.

Support: 61,900.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 session high opens the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of 61900 base risks a retest of the 61703 range low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:03 UTC

Recovery off session low, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 62,524.14

Downside leg reversed into higher lows, range-bound near mid.

BTC sold off through NY hours to a 61703 swing low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back into a 62230-62576 range where it has chopped for the last few hours. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s after basing near the lows; price is holding above the EMA20 with the prior high at 63196 well overhead.

Support: 62,230.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant intraday catalyst and could reset this range
  • M15 close above 62576 opens the path back toward the 63000 psych level
  • Loss of 62230 range low re-exposes the 61703 swing low

03:48 UTC

Recovering off lows, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 62,417.26

Bounce from 61700, capped below 62570.

BTC sold off from the 63196 day high through the NY session to 61703, printed a double bottom, then recovered into the Asia session and is now consolidating around the 50% retrace near 62400. Rally capped below the 62570 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 52.

Support: 62,235.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,570.00, 63,035.00, 63,196.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62570 opens the path back to 63035
  • Failure to hold 62235 reopens the 61700 day low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

03:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 62,417.26

Consolidating below recovery high after a bounce.

BTCUSD carved a rounded bottom off the 61,775 session low and recovered into 62,576 before stalling; price now chops in a 62,235-62,576 band with RSI(14) mid-range near 53. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 62,235 during the Asia session, keeping the recovery structure intact below the 63K supply wall.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,576 opens the path toward the 63,000 supply wall
  • Loss of 62,235 exposes the 61,775 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range

03:33 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 62,412.27

Higher lows off 61703 base, consolidating.

BTC bled from 63196 down to a 61703 base earlier in the window, then ground back up on a chain of higher lows to consolidate 62260-62576. Price has retraced roughly half the down-move and stalled below the 62576 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 52. US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony are the pivots that can break this range.

Support: 62,260.00, 62,046.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • reclaim above 62576 opens the path toward 62660
  • failure to hold 62260 exposes the 62046 session low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 62,412.27

Double bottom then consolidation under 62576.

Asia session swept down to the 61700 session low overnight, printing a double bottom near 61700-61780 before recovering to 62576. Price now consolidates in the 62200-62576 band with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the CPI-driven macro read is stale, so refs are cautious.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,830.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 swing high opens the path to 62830
  • Failure to hold 62200 reopens the 61700 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:18 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 62,355.33

Downtrend base, now consolidating with higher lows.

M15 sold off through NY hours to a session low at 61703 before buyers stepped in, and price has since recovered into a 62260–62570 consolidation across the Asian session. RSI(14) is mid-range near 48 with repeated rejections at 62570 capping the bounce. US CPI later today is the pivot for the next leg.

Support: 62,260.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,570.00, 62,900.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62570 opens the path back toward 62900
  • Failure to hold 62260 exposes the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 62,355.33

Higher lows, ranging under 62576.

BTC recovered off the 61703 swing low carved late in the NY session and is now consolidating between 62260 and 62576 through early Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 as the bounce loses steam; the higher-low chain off 61703 stays intact while the 62576 range high caps upside.

Support: 62,260.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 62260 range low opens a retest of the 61703 swing low
  • Break above 62576 range high needed to extend the recovery
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

03:04 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 62,486.18

Higher lows since the NY low, now consolidating.

BTC bottomed near 61700 during NY afternoon and has ground out higher lows through Asia hours, now boxed between the 62260 range low and the 62576 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price holds above both EMAs, but the recovery is stalling under 62576.

Support: 62,260.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,750.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 opens the path toward the 62750 swing high
  • Failure to hold 62260 range low exposes the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC later today is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

03:03 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 62,486.18

Higher lows after mid-window flush, mid-range.

BTC flushed from 63196 to 61700 through the London-NY window, then ground back to 62486 on a chain of higher lows into the Asia session. Price sits mid-retracement of that leg (~50% near 62450), capped so far below the 62576 session high with the ~63K supply wall untested.

Support: 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62576 session high opens a run at the ~63K supply wall
  • Loss of 62130 swing low re-exposes the 61700 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday structure

02:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 62,533.13

Downleg based out, grinding higher.

BTC based out at the 61703 swing low mid-window and has ground back through the 50% retracement of the down move to 62530 during the Asia session. Session high at 62576 is the immediate cap; RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with room either way. CPI at 12:30 UTC dominates the next real move.

Support: 62,000.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,717.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 session high opens 62717 then the 63000 round number
  • Failure to hold the 62000 round number re-tests the 61703 swing low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read

02:47 UTC

Recovering off lows, higher lows building · RSI 56 · price 62,533.13

Higher-low chain off the 61703 session low.

BTC bottomed at 61703 through Asian hours and has ground out a chain of higher lows back to 62533, roughly the 50% retrace of the prior slide from 63296. Rising support holds and price is now pressing the 62576 session high, with the ~63K supply wall the next hurdle. US CPI at 12:30 UTC remains the dominant catalyst overhead.

Support: 62,260.43, 61,703.05

Resistance: 62,576.09

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 session high extends the recovery toward the supply wall
  • Loss of 62260 breaks the higher-low chain and rising support
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC dominant catalyst ~10h out

02:33 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 51 · price 62,320.37

Bounced off session low, ranging under 62,576.

BTC bled through the prior sessions to 61,700 before buyers stepped in and lifted it to 62,576, now easing back to 62,320 and boxed between 62,130 and 62,576. Structure is a fragile recovery off the low with price back above the short EMAs; net move is corrective within the broader slide.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,576 opens the path toward the ~63K supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62,130 exposes the 61,775 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

02:33 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 62,320.37

Higher lows into 62576 rejection, now consolidating.

BTC clawed back off the 61703 session low through the US session, tagged 62576 and got rejected, now chopping around 62320 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Price holds just above EMA20/50 but the ~63K supply wall still caps; today's US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst.

Support: 62,130.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,750.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 opens the path to 62750
  • Failure to hold 62130 reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 62,424.25

Lower highs earlier, higher lows building now.

Asia session bled from 63400 down to a 61700 session low before buyers stepped in, grinding higher lows back to 62576. Price now consolidating around 62400 just under that recent high after a shallow pullback.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 opens the path toward the 63000 prior range
  • Failure to hold 62200 reopens the 61700 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the near-term driver and can override this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway off session low · RSI 53 · price 62,424.25

Lower lows into 61700 base, now higher lows recovering.

Price sold off through the London-NY hours into a 61700 base, printing a double bottom, then recovered to 62576 during the Asia session. Now consolidating 62400–62576 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the recovery has held higher lows.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 session high opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • Failure to hold 62200 swing low reopens the 61700 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver and could break this range

02:03 UTC

Downtrend easing, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 62,419.26

Based near 61700, higher lows building.

BTC sold off through the NY session to a 61703 low, then based and recovered through the Asian session, printing higher lows toward the 62576 session high. RSI(14) back mid-range near 56 after the recovery; price holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 62,050.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,750.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 extends the recovery toward 62750
  • Loss of 62050 reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC are the near-term drivers that could break this range

02:03 UTC

Downtrend, recovery in progress · RSI 56 · price 62,419.26

Sold off to session low, bounced and consolidating.

Window opened near 63400 and bled lower through the session to a 61700 session low, where a double bottom near 61700-61780 held. An Asia-hours recovery lifted price to a 62576 session high before stalling; now consolidating around 62400 with RSI mid-range.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 session high opens the path to the 63K supply wall
  • Loss of 61700 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation

01:48 UTC

Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 55 · price 62,445.23

Lower low at 61700, higher lows forming since.

BTC bled from 63460 through the US session to a 61700 low, then based and recovered to 62445 on a chain of higher lows into Asia hours, holding above the 62130 pivot. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range; 62576 recent high caps the bounce with 63000 the supply wall above.

Support: 62,130.00, 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 61700 session low reopens the downtrend
  • M15 close above 62576 extends the recovery toward the 63000 supply wall
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~11h out) is the near-term driver and could break the range

01:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 62,445.23

Based after selloff, grinding up.

BTC sold off through the window from 63340 to a session low at 61703, then carved a double bottom and has ground back to 62445 on a chain of higher lows into Asia hours. RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s off the bounce; the swing high at 62576 caps the current push, with the $63K supply wall above.

Support: 62,217.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of the 62217 higher low reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC today is the next major driver for this read

01:32 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 62,450.22

Based at 61.7k, higher lows forming.

BTC bled lower through the London-NY window into a 61,703 base, then recovered through the last ~5 hours with higher lows into 62,450. Recent session high at 62,576 is the immediate cap; RSI(14) back near 57 after basing sub-40 at the lows.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,576 opens the path toward the 63,000 handle
  • Loss of 61,703 session low reopens the downside
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the session's swing factor and could reset this read

01:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 54 · price 62,450.22

Recovering off session low, early higher lows.

BTC sold off through the NY session from ~63600 to a session low at 61703, then based and ground back to 62450 through Asian hours with RSI(14) lifting out of oversold. Price now sits above EMA20/50 with a series of higher lows off 62220, but the 62576 session high still caps the bounce.

Support: 62,220.00, 62,000.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,740.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 extends the recovery toward the 62740 prior swing
  • Loss of the 62000 round number reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~11h out) is the swing catalyst for this read

01:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum neutral · RSI 56 · price 62,438.24

Higher lows off a rounded base.

Overnight recovery off the 61703 session low set during NY-afternoon selling; higher lows built back into the 62576 swing high before easing to 62438. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with price reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50. Rounded base holding, but 62576 still caps the bounce.

Support: 61,775.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 62,665.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62576 swing high extends the recovery toward the 62665 prior high
  • Loss of 61775 base low reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC is a high-impact event that could override this intraday read

01:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 57 · price 62,438.24

Session low base, bouncing off higher lows.

BTCUSD sold off through the window from 63640 to a session low at 61703, then based twice near 61700-61775 and recovered toward the 62576 session high. Price now sits at 62438 with RSI(14) mid-range; CPI at 12:30 UTC is the swing factor for the next leg.

Support: 62,200.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (HIGH) can materially shift this read
  • Close above 62576 opens the path to the 63000 round number
  • Failure to hold 62200 reopens the 61703 session low

01:05 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 62,469.20

Based at 61700, higher lows building.

BTC sold off through the US/Asia window from 63900 to a 61703 session low, then based repeatedly around 61700-61900 before recovering into the Asia session, now 62469. Buyers reclaimed the 62000 round number and are pressing back toward the 62660 swing high, with supply stacked at 62830 and the 63035 prior high.

Support: 62,000.00, 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,660.00, 62,830.00, 63,035.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62830 opens the path toward 63035 prior high
  • Failure to hold 62000 round number reopens the 61703 session low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~11h) is the day's key catalyst and could override this read

01:04 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 57 · price 62,469.20

Lower lows into 61.7k, base then recovery.

Asian session grinding a recovery after the US-hours slide bottomed twice near 61775 (swing low). Price has clawed back to 62469 and RSI(14) at 57 sits neutral; the 62576 session high is the immediate cap, with 63000 the psych level above.

Support: 61,775.00

Resistance: 62,576.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62576 opens the path toward 63000 psych
  • Loss of 61775 swing low resumes the lower-low sequence
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~11h) could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 51 · price 62,305.38

Lower highs into a base near 61,800.

Steady grind lower through the session from 63,985 bottomed near 61,700, and price has since carved a base around 61,800 and reclaimed the short EMAs, tagging a session high at 62,407 before easing to 62,305. RSI(14) back at neutral after cooling from the lows; move is corrective within the broader downtrend.

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62,407 opens the path toward the 62,660 prior swing
  • Failure to hold the 61,900 base and 61,700 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the day's key catalyst and could override this intraday read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 54 · price 62,305.38

Lower highs into 61700 low, basing since.

BTC sold from 63985 through the London-NY hours to a session low at 61700, then based and recovered toward 62400 during Asia. Price now sits at 62305, back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50, with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,400.00, 62,700.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 62400 session high opens the path toward the 62700 prior high
  • Loss of 61700 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~12h) could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 56 · price 62,330.36

Recovery off 61700 after lower lows.

Asia session bouncing off the 61700 session low after a steady NY-hours slide from 64000; price now retracing into the 62311 (61.8%) area of the prior leg down. RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s from oversold, but 62490-62660 supply still caps the move.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,490.00, 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62660 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 61700 resumes the downtrend to a fresh lower low
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~9h) could materially shift this read

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 62,325.36

Based at 61700, bouncing toward range mid.

BTC ground lower through the session to a 61700 low, then carved a rounded base and recovered ~600 points into Asia hours with RSI(14) lifting to the high-50s. Price is pressing the 62660 swing high with the $63K supply wall capping above; consolidating ahead of US CPI.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,660.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 62660 swing high opens the path to the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of 61700 session low resumes the downtrend
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC (~12h out) is the dominant catalyst for this read

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 59 · price 62,325.36

Lower highs/lows, base building near session low.

BTC bled lower through the session from 64100 to a 61700 low, then based in a 61800-62200 range before the last three bars pushed up through it to 62407. RSI(14) recovering to ~59 as price reclaims both EMAs; still capped well below the $63K supply wall.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,410.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62410 extends the recovery toward 63000
  • Loss of 61700 resumes the downtrend to fresh lows
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 51 · price 62,261.43

Lower highs into a base near 61700.

NY session bled lower through the window, printing twin lows around 61700-61780 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 62260. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off the lows, but price stays capped well below the $63K supply wall flagged into tomorrow's US CPI.

Support: 61,700.00

Resistance: 62,660.00, 63,000.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 62660 opens the path toward the 63000 supply wall
  • Loss of 61700 session low resumes the downtrend
  • US CPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling on late bounce · RSI 55 · price 62,261.43

Lower highs into a base, higher lows forming.

BTC bled from 64330 through London into NY, sweeping the session low to 61703 where buyers stepped in twice to build a base. Price has since reclaimed the 62000 handle and pushed to 62261, RSI recovering off oversold; still capped well below the 62660 prior high and the 63k supply wall.

Support: 61,703.00

Resistance: 62,660.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 62660 opens the path to the 63k wall
  • Loss of 61703 resumes the downtrend and negates the base
  • US CPI ~12h out (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

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