BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:48 UTC
Range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 54 · price 80,049.84
Lower highs off 80728, sweep under 79695 reversed.
The NY open selloff to 79365 reversed to the 80728 day high. Since then, rebounds have capped lower at 80445 and 80087 as USD firmed into Fed week. Late in the session price swept the sweep low at 79614 under the 79695 swing low and snapped back to around 80050, at the 38.2% fib of the drop and pressing the lower-high trendline.
Support: 79,695.23, 79,614.32, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,086.80, 80,445.41, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80087 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 80445 lower high back in view
Failure to hold the 79614 sweep low exposes the 79285 asian low
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:33 UTC
Downtrend from session high, bounce under way · RSI 56 · price 79,973.93
Lower highs since 80728; sweep of 79700 lows to 79614.
NY swung from 79365 to a session high at 80728 before rejecting, with pre-FOMC USD firmness weighing. Since then lower highs at 80445 and 80087 have marked the slide. A late sweep under the 79695 prior low to the 79614 swing low drew a sharp bounce that is now pressing the falling trendline near 79950, between the 23.6% and 38.2% fib levels.
Support: 79,695.00, 79,614.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,087.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80087 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 80445 swing high
Failure to hold the 79614 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 79285 Asian low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods could shift USD tone into the Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC
23:18 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY high · RSI 44 · price 79,793.13
Lower highs and lower lows, back inside Asian range.
London broke above the Asian range to 80485 and NY spiked to an 80728 high. That breakout failed. Since then the move has stepped lower in a sequence of lower highs, the latest at 80087, and price has slipped back near the middle of the Asian range, below both EMAs. The 23:00 bar tagged a fresh swing low at 79614 and recovered part of the drop. Trade is thin into Fed week, with USD firming on pre-FOMC short-covering.
Support: 79,614.32, 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,086.80, 80,485.36, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
A close below the 79614 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the NY low at 79365 and the Asian low at 79285.
A close above the 80087 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs trendline and opens 80485, the London high.
Price sits between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement of the NY rally. Losing 78.6% (~79656) puts the full NY move in question.
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.6%) is the next USD-driven risk for BTC ahead of the Wednesday FOMC.
23:05 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower off the NY high · RSI 45 · price 79,857.06
Lower highs from 80728 compressing into a flat 79695–79700 floor.
The NY high at 80728 was rejected, followed by lower highs at the 80445 swing high and the 80087 lower high, while twin lows at 79695–79700 held twice. Price now sits on the 61.8% retracement of the NY rally (79365→80728), just above the 79778 recent low in quiet post-NY trade, with pre-FOMC USD firmness keeping BTC capped.
Support: 79,778.00, 79,695.00, 79,365.00
Resistance: 80,087.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79695 twin lows breaks the floor and exposes the NY low at 79365
M15 close above the 80087 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 80445 swing high
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:48 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 49 · price 79,864.05
Lower highs inside the 79,695–80,087 band, early Asia.
NY pushed through the Asian range top to an 80,728 session high, but the break failed and price is back inside the Asian range, printing a lower high at 80,445 and then at the 80,087 swing high. Early Asia trade is compressed between that swing high and a twice-tested swing low near 79,695. RSI(14) is flat near 49 and BTC is tracking pre-FOMC USD short-covering, with no crypto-specific catalyst.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79,695 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the NY open low at 79,365 and the Asian low at 79,285
Close above the 80,087 swing high breaks the lower highs trendline and reopens the 80,445 lower high; the session high retrace of the 80,728 drop stalled near 73%
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.6%) and the FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
22:33 UTC
Intraday downdrift, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 43 · price 79,828.09
Descending highs pressing into a flat base near 79,700.
The NY open flush to 79,365 reversed into a squeeze to the 80,728 session high. Since then, lower highs at the 80,445 swing high and the 80,087 lower high have pressed price back below the 61.8% retracement of the NY rally, into twin lows near 79,695. Price sits under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43 in a quiet post-NY tape, as BTC tracks USD and yields into Fed week.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the twin lows at 79,695 exposes the ny open low at 79,365 and the asia low at 79,285
M15 close above the 80,087 lower high breaks the descending-highs sequence and reopens the 80,445 swing high
Reclaim of the 80,728 session high would invalidate the post-NY downdrift read
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC sets pre-Fed tone; a beat adds to hawkish-Fed pressure on risk
22:19 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 44 · price 79,877.03
Lower highs (80,728 → 80,445 → 80,087) over a flat double low near 79,695.
The NY session ran from the 79,365 NY low to an 80,728 day high, then faded into a lower-high sequence. The latest rejection came at the 80,087 swing high and left price at 79,877, near the 61.8% retrace of that NY leg and just below EMA20/50. The double low at 79,695 is holding after NY close, and BTC is trading as a risk proxy into Fed week with no coin-specific driver.
What it said to watch
A break below the 79,695 double low exposes the 79,365 NY low and the 79,285 Asian low
A close back above the 80,087 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline; the 80,445 lower high sits above
Acceptance above the 80,728 day high would invalidate the range read
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reset the intraday range
22:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend off NY high, flattening · RSI 44 · price 79,898.01
Lower highs pressing onto a flat 79,695 base.
NY swept down to 79,365, then ran to a session high at 80,728 that was rejected within the hour. Since then each bounce has made a lower high, the latest capped at 80,087, against twin lows near 79,695. Price is sitting near 61.8% of the NY rally after the NY close, with RSI(14) neutral at 44 and BTC tracking USD tone into Fed week.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79,695 twin lows confirms a lower low and exposes the 79,365 NY low, then the 79,285 Asian low
Close above the 80,087 lower high breaks the descending trendline from the session high; 80,445 swing high is next overhead
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 80,728 session high; double low near 79,695.
BTC has held a 79,285–80,728 range for the past day. The NY open flushed to the 79,365 NY open low, then ran to a false break at the 80,728 session high and faded into a double low near 79,695, with firm USD into Fed week capping risk. After NY close, price is back on the 80,000 round number with RSI(14) near 49, still below the 38.2% fib of the 80,728–79,695 drop (about 80,090) and the 80,208 lower high.
What it said to watch
A close above the 80,208 lower high, which sits at the 50% fib, breaks the post-NY lower-high sequence and puts the 80,445 swing high in play
Failure to hold the 80,000 round number keeps the bounce inside the lower-high structure
A break of the 79,695 double low reopens the 79,365 NY open low
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reprice USD and yields and shift this read
21:33 UTC
Two-way range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 43 · price 79,930.97
79,285–80,728 day range; lower highs into a flat 79,695 floor.
BTC spent Monday swinging inside the 79,285 Asian low to 80,728 NY session high. Since that peak, supply has capped a run of lower highs at the 80,445 swing high and the 80,318 lower high. Demand stepped in twice at the 79,695 swing low, and price is now drifting just under the 80,000 round number after the NY close, with RSI(14) near 43 and BTC trading as a pre-Fed macro proxy.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 80,000 round number and the 80,318 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 80,445 swing high
Failure to hold the 79,695 swing low exposes the 79,365 NY low and the 79,285 Asian low
Crude or Houthi–Saudi headlines during Asia hours could jolt risk mood before Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC
Lower highs off session high, flat lows near 79,700.
After the NY open dip to the 79,365 NY low, BTC rallied to the 80,728 session high and was rejected. Since then it has printed lower highs at the 80,445 swing high and the 80,005 lower high, and now sits near the 61.8% retrace of that NY leg. The 79,695 swing low held twice in post-NY trade, with BTC trading as a macro risk proxy into Fed week.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79,695 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 79,365 NY low and the 79,285 Asian low
Recovery above the 80,005 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 80,445 swing high
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) could shift USD and risk tone ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision
21:09 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the day high, momentum soft · RSI 40 · price 79,801.12
Lower highs since 80728, price holding 79695 swing low.
Rejection at the 80728 day high during NY hours has given way to a chain of lower highs, with price back below the 80000 round number and the 61.8% of the 79365–80728 NY leg. Post-NY drift is stalling at the 79695 swing low, still inside the 79285–80728 range as a firm USD into Fed week caps risk appetite.
Support: 79,695.00, 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
Break below the 79695 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 79365 ny low and the 79285 asian low
Recovery above the 80000 round number and the descending trendline from the day high would neutralise the pullback, with the 80445 lower high next
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and USD/yield moves ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision could reset the intraday range
20:48 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 45 · price 79,700.23
False break above Asian range, lower highs pressing swing low.
Early-NY push through the Asian high to the 80728 day high was rejected. Since then, price has printed lower highs under a falling trendline and now sits on the 79691 swing low, near the 78.6% retrace of the NY rally. RSI(14) is around 45 and not stretched. BTC is trading as a USD/yields proxy into Fed week with no crypto-specific catalyst.
Support: 79,691.24, 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,294.57, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79691 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 79365 ny low, then the 79285 asian low
A close above the falling trendline and the 80000 round number breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 80295 asian high
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
20:33 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 41 · price 79,748.18
False break above London high, full reversal, lower highs under descending trendline.
NY pushed above the London high to an 80728 session high, then fully reversed. Price has since given back more than the 61.8% retracement of the NY swing, and the descending trendline off that high has capped every bounce, including the 80445 swing high. Late NY trade is drifting just above the 79691 ny swing low, back inside the Asian range, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 41, as BTC tracks USD and yields into Fed week.
Support: 79,691.00, 79,574.00, 79,365.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
Break of the 79691 ny swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 79574 london low
Close back above the 80000 round number and the descending trendline negates the post-high fade
Reclaim of the 80445 swing high reopens the 80728 session high
79365 ny low and the 79285 Asian range low mark the floor of the day's range
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC are the next event risks for this read
20:18 UTC
Intraday fade, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 41 · price 79,820.10
Lower-high sequence compressing above 79775 swing low, back inside Asian range.
NY rejected the 80728 session high and has since printed lower highs at the 80445 swing high and the 80005 lower high. That fade has retraced over 60% of the rally off the 79365 NY low. Late in NY hours, price is compressing just above the 79775 swing low inside the 79285–80207 Asian range, with a firmer USD into Fed week as the backdrop.
Support: 79,775.00, 79,691.00, 79,365.00
Resistance: 80,005.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79775 swing low exposes the 79691 pullback low and the 78.6% fib near 79656
A close above the descending trendline and the 80005 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence, reopening the 80445 swing high
Failure to hold above the 79365 ny low would put the rally off the NY low fully unwound
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed statement (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next USD-driven risks to this read
20:06 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 46 · price 79,854.06
Lower-high chain inside 79285–80728 day range.
NY dipped to 79365, then rallied to an 80728 session high and was rejected. Price has since printed lower highs and is sitting near the 61.8% of the NY rally fib, below round 80k. Late-NY trade is pinned just above the 79775 evening low, RSI(14) near 46, as BTC tracks a firmer USD into Fed week.
Support: 79,775.15, 79,691.24, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,445.41, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79775 evening low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 79691 swing low
Close back above round 80k breaks the lower-high chain and reopens the 80445 swing high
Loss of 79691 exposes the 79285 asian low; acceptance above the 80728 session high voids the range read
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
19:48 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 49 · price 79,947.96
Lower highs compressing into a 79,690–79,775 floor.
Late in the NY session, BTC has faded from the 80,728 session high. It is printing lower highs at 80,445 and the psych 80k area under a descending trendline, while the 79,775 swing low and 79,691 prior low hold. Price sits back inside the 79,285–80,295 Asian range, between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the NY-open rally, with RSI flat near 49. The feed has no BTC-specific catalyst, and trade is two-way as markets position for Fed week.
What it said to watch
Break below the 79,775 swing low and 79,691 prior low exposes the 79,365 ny open low
M15 close above psych 80k and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high chain toward 80,445
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the FOMC statement (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 44 · price 79,838.08
Lower highs off the 80728 session high, pressing the 79775 swing low below 80000 psych.
The NY open dip to the 79365 ny open low reversed into a 80728 session high, but the move met rejection and has printed lower highs since, with the 80445 lower high capping. Late in the NY session price is back under 80000 psych, testing the 79775 swing low near the 61.8% of the NY rally fib, as BTC trades as a macro risk asset ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 79,775.00, 79,691.00, 79,365.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79691 pullback low exposes the 79365 ny open low and the 79285 Asian low
Reclaim of 80000 psych and a break of the lower-highs trendline toward 80445 negates the fade from the session high
Tue US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Two-way range, lower highs into late NY · RSI 43 · price 79,979.92
Lower highs off the 80,728 session high; swing low at 79,775 holding.
Both edges of the Asian range were taken. Early NY dipped to the 79,365 ny open low and then squeezed to the 80,728 session high. Supply has capped price since, and it now sits near the 61.8% fib of that NY swing. Late-NY lower highs at the 80,445 swing high and the 80,207 lower high track a descending trendline, while the 79,775 swing low holds above the 79,691 prior low. RSI(14) is around 43, with BTC trading as a macro risk asset into Wednesday's Fed.
What it said to watch
Close above the 80,207 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 80,445 swing high back in play
Failure at the 79,775 swing low and the 79,691 prior low exposes the 79,365 ny open low
Thin post-NY trade into Asia; Tuesday's Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) is the next macro input ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision
19:06 UTC
Intraday range, fading from session high · RSI 35 · price 79,779.14
Lower highs since 80728 NY session high, pressing swing low.
Late NY session. The push above the London high to a 80728 session high failed, leaving a lower high at 80445 and a slide back under the 80000 round number and the 61.8% of the NY rally fib. Price is now leaning on the 79691 swing low with RSI(14) near 35, inside the 79285–80728 daily range, on a quiet pre-Fed macro tape.
Support: 79,691.24, 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,445.41, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79691 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 79365 ny low and 79285 asian low
Reclaim of the 80000 round number and a break of the descending trendline above the 80445 lower high would negate the fade
Retest of the 80728 session high would put the false break read under review
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC, then Wed Fed decision 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
18:48 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 44 · price 80,047.85
Broad 79284–80728 range; lower highs at 80728/80445 against a higher low at 79691.
NY session bounced from the 13:30 UTC ny low at 79364, holding above the Asian low at 79284, and ran to an 80728 session high. That peak was rejected, and late-NY trade now sits on the 50% fib of that leg near the 80000 psych level, under both EMAs. A lower swing high at 80445 and a higher swing low at 79691 are compressing the range, with BTC trading as a macro risk asset into Wednesday's Fed and no coin-specific catalyst.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,691.00, 79,364.00
Resistance: 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 79691 swing low breaks the higher-low and exposes the ny low at 79364
Close above the 80445 swing high clears the lower-high trendline and reopens the 80728 session high
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main event risk; nothing scheduled in the next 8h
Lower high / higher low compression inside the 79,285–80,728 day range.
NY session dropped to a 79,365 NY low, then ran to an 80,728 session high above the London high. That push failed and price reversed. Since London close, swings have compressed between an 80,445 lower high and a 79,691 higher low. Price is pinned near the 80,000 psych and flat EMAs, with RSI(14) at 47 and a cautious macro tone ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,445 lower high breaks the compression and puts the 80,728 session high back in play
Loss of the 80,000 psych exposes the 79,691 higher low; failure there reopens the 79,365 NY low
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC are the next USD risk; the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Contracting: lower high 80445 and higher low 79691 inside 79365–80728.
The NY open dipped below the London low to the 79365 NY low. Price then rallied to an 80728 session high, which was rejected. A lower high at 80445 and a higher low at 79691 are now compressing price around 80145 late in NY hours, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and price sitting between EMA20 and EMA50. With no BTC-specific driver and pre-Fed caution, the day has been a two-way range above the 79285 Asian low.
Support: 80,032.00, 79,691.00, 79,365.00
Resistance: 80,445.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80445 lower high breaks the compression and opens the 80728 session high
A break of the 80032 minor low puts the 79691 higher low back in play
Failure to hold the 79691 higher low exposes the 79365 NY low and the 79285 Asian low
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC are the scheduled risks for a range break
18:04 UTC
Range-bound, two-way NY chop · RSI 55 · price 80,257.61
Higher low at 79691 vs lower high at 80445, contracting inside the 79365–80728 NY range.
NY whipsawed after London's 80485 high. A dip to the 79365 NY low held just above the 79285 Asia low, then a rally to the 80728 session high was rejected back to a 79691 swing low. Price is mid-range near 80260, squeezed between that higher low and a lower high at 80445, with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Oil easing gives a mildly better risk mood, but a firm USD and Wednesday's Fed keep the tape two-way.
Support: 79,691.24, 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,445.41, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80445 lower high reopens the 80728 session high
Loss of the 79691 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 79365 NY low and 79285 Asia low
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 80445 above a higher low at 79691 after a session-high rejection.
NY hours pushed above the 80,485 London high to an 80,728 session high, then rejected. The pullback held a higher swing low at 79,691, near the 76% retrace of the session swing and above the 79,365 session low. Price is now pinned at EMA20 near 80,150, capped by a lower high at 80,445 twice in the last hour, with a $310 ATR keeping swings wide.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,445 lower high reopens the 80,728 session high
Failure to hold the 79,691 swing low exposes the 79,365 session low and the 79,285 Asian low, which has held all day
Converging higher-low and lower-high lines point to a range break as the next structural event
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main macro catalyst for risk assets; pre-Fed positioning is keeping moves two-way
Lower high 80445 under 80728 session high, higher low 79691 above 79365 NY low.
The NY session swung both ways. It printed a 79365 NY low at the open, rallied to an 80728 session high, slid to a 79691 swing low and then met rejection at an 80445 lower high. Price now sits just under both EMAs near the 80000 psych handle, coiling between converging trendlines as BTC tracks macro risk mood ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,691.24, 79,364.60
Resistance: 80,445.41, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80445 lower high breaks the falling resistance line and reopens the 80728 session high
Failure to hold the 79691 swing low and rising support line exposes the 79365 NY low
Repeated closes below 80000 psych shift the range midpoint lower
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Wide 79285–80730 range; NY higher low at 79691 under the 80485 London high.
Mid-NY session, BTC dipped to an NY low at 79365 at the open. It rallied to an 80728 session high, which was rejected near the window's opening highs, then printed a higher swing low at 79691 and rebounded to 80422, just under the 80485 London high. RSI(14) is neutral at 55 and price is above both EMAs. Risk mood is mildly firmer on easing oil, but trade is cautious ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,691.24, 79,364.60
Resistance: 80,485.36, 80,728.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80485 london high exposes the 80728 session high; rejection there keeps the range intact
Failure to hold the 79691 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens the 79365 ny low
Loss of the 80000 round number would put price back below the EMAs
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC, then Fed Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
79,285–80,728 range; NY false break above London high.
Asian range held between the 79,285 Asian low and the 80,206 Asian high. London broke above it to the 80,485 London high, and the NY open dropped to the 79,365 NY low before rallying to an 80,728 session high. That push failed back below the London high, and the pullback found a 79,691 swing low between the 61.8% and 78.6% of the NY rally fib. Price is now retesting the Asian high with RSI(14) near 56 and both EMAs flat at price, while macro tone stays muted ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,206 Asian high puts the 80,485 London high back in play
Rejection at the session high of 80,728 keeps the range read intact
Failure to hold the 79,691 swing low exposes the NY low at 79,365 and the Asian low at 79,285
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision are the next macro risks
NY false break above London high, full leg retraced.
NY session pushed through the 80,485 london high to 80,728 (ny high), then gave back the whole leg. Price is now below the 80,000 round number and the 61.8% retracement, sitting just above the 79,691 session low. The 79,285 asian low still caps the downside of the day's range, and with no BTC-specific news the tape is trading as a cautious risk asset into the Fed.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 79,691 session low exposes the 79,365 ny low and the 79,285 asian low
A break below the 79,285 asian low turns the range read into a lower-low sequence
Recovery back above the 80,000 round number and the 61.8% retracement eases the rejection read
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst ahead of Wed's Fed decision
NY false break above London high rejected; higher lows still intact from Asian low.
NY session pushed above the London high at 80485 to a NY high at 80728, then reversed about 900 USD into the London close. That false break has put price back under the 80000 round number and below EMA20/50, near the 61.8–78.6% zone of the NY rally fib. With no BTC-specific news, price is chopping as a risk asset on pre-Fed caution, holding between the London low at 79574 and NY low at 79365.
Support: 79,574.00, 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,485.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the London low at 79574 exposes the NY low at 79365 and the 78.6% retrace
M15 close below the NY low at 79365 breaks the higher lows line from the 79285 Asian low
Reclaim of the 80000 round number and EMA20 would neutralise the NY rejection, putting the London high at 80485 back in focus
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst, with the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC
16:18 UTC
Two-way intraday range, fading off session high · RSI 48 · price 80,134.75
Wide range 79285–80728; NY squeeze capped below prior high, now retracing.
The NY open sold through the London low to 79365 (ny low), holding above the 79285 Asian low. Price then squeezed to a session high at 80728, which was rejected short of Sunday's 80851 prior high. It is now sitting on EMA50 near 80135, just above the 80060 pullback low and the 50% fib of the NY move, with RSI(14) neutral at 48 and the tape tracking a firm USD ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 79,574.37, 79,364.60
Resistance: 80,485.36, 80,728.10, 80,850.96
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 80060 pullback low and fib 50% exposes the 61.8% near 79885, then the 79574 london low
Break of the NY rising support from 79365 would put the ny low and 79285 Asian low back in play
Reclaim of the 80485 london high reopens the 80728 session high and 80851 prior high
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk; the Fed statement on Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY-open flush to 79365, rebound to 80728 rejected, now retracing mid-range.
NY session opened with a flush to the 79365 ny low, then a V-shaped recovery to an 80728 session high that was rejected on two straight bars at 15:15–15:30 UTC. Price is back at 80274, near the 38.2% of the ny leg fib and just above the 80160 swing low, while RSI(14) sits flat near 50. With no crypto-specific news, the tape is tracking macro risk mood into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,160.00, 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,728.00
What it said to watch
Close back above the 80485 london high reopens the 80728 session high
Failure to hold the 80160 swing low exposes the 50% ny leg fib near 80046 and the 79365 ny low
Break of the rising lows line from the 79285 asian low through the 79365 ny low marks a lower-low
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main macro swing factor for risk tone
15:47 UTC
Two-way, recovering off NY low · RSI 54 · price 80,454.40
Higher low vs Asian low; spike above London high rejected.
The NY open flush to 79365 printed a higher low above the 79285 Asian low. The recovery spiked to 80728, was rejected and closed back under the 80485 London high. With no crypto-specific driver, BTC is trading as a risk proxy ahead of Wednesday's Fed, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 54.
Support: 80,160.00, 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,728.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 80485 london high invalidates the false-break read and puts the 80728 ny high back in play
Acceptance above the 80728 ny high exposes the 80851 sunday high
A pullback holding the 38.2% of the ny rally fib near 80207 keeps the higher-low structure intact
Loss of the 80160 london low exposes the 79365 ny low and the 79285 asian low
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:33 UTC
Intraday recovery, rejected at session high · RSI 56 · price 80,454.40
Higher low at NY low above Asia low; capped under London high.
The NY-open flush to 79,365 held above the Asia low at 79,285, forming a higher low. The rebound spiked to a session high of 80,728 but was rejected, leaving the last bars back under the London high at 80,485. The 38.2% retrace of the NY leg lines up with the Asia high near 80,204, with BTC trading as a risk proxy while USD firms into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,204.00, 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,728.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the london high at 80485 reopens the 80728 session high and the 80851 sunday high
Losing the asia high at 80204 (38.2% of the ny leg fib) exposes the 50–61.8% zone at 80046–79885 and then the 79365 ny low
A break below the 79285 asia low ends the higher low sequence
Durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Intraday range, rebounding to range top · RSI 54 · price 80,370.49
Range 79285–80485, NY dip held above Asian low.
The pre-NY-open slide at 13:15 UTC stalled at 79,365 (ny low), above the 79,285 asian low, and the rebound has since retraced about 90% of the drop. Price is back under the 80,485 london high. With no BTC-specific driver, it is trading as a risk proxy while the USD firms into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,485.36, 80,850.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80485 london high breaks the session range and opens the 80851 prior-day high
Rejection at 80485 followed by a close back below the 80000 round number returns price to mid-range
Loss of the 79365 ny low and then the 79285 asian low confirms a range break lower
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:06 UTC
Two-way intraday, sharp V-recovery from NY low · RSI 55 · price 80,332.53
Higher low at 79,365 above the Asian low; price back near the top of the 79,285–80,485 day range.
The NY open sell-off was rejected at 79,365, a higher low versus the 79,285 Asian low. Price has since V-reversed almost $1,000 to 80,330, back above the 80,000 psych level and EMA20/50, with the London high at 80,485 the next cap. RSI(14) sits mid-50s with no extreme, and a firmer USD into Wednesday's Fed is the backdrop.
What it said to watch
A close above the 80,485 London high reopens the 80,850 Sunday high
Loss of the 80,000 psych level puts the 79,365 NY low back in focus
A break of the 79,285 Asian low breaks the higher-low line and the range floor
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
14:47 UTC
Two-way intraday, lower high then sharp flush · RSI 43 · price 79,919.99
Session range 79,285–80,485; NY low held above Asian low.
After a rejection at 80,467, a lower high under the 80,485 London high, BTC fell about 1,100 into the NY open as the USD firmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed. The NY low at 79,365 held above the 79,285 Asian low, and price has since bounced to the 50% fib near 79,920. The 80,000 round number and the 80,130 bounce high are capping.
What it said to watch
A close back above the 80,130 bounce high clears the 61.8% fib (~80,046) and reopens the 80,485 London high
Loss of the 79,365 NY low puts the 79,285 Asian low in play; a break there extends the lower-high sequence
Acceptance above the 80,000 round number would shift the read back to mid-range
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Wed Fed decision are the next catalysts via USD and yields
14:33 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower high in place · RSI 39 · price 79,727.20
London double top at 80,470–80,485, NY sell-off to 79,365, rebound capped at 80,131.
BTC topped twice near the 80,485 London high, then sold off from the NY open to the 79,365 NY low as the USD firmed into Wednesday's Fed. The rebound stalled at 80,131, leaving a lower high, and price is back below the 80,000 round number. The Asian low at 79,285 is still intact.
What it said to watch
Break below the 79,285 Asian low sets a fresh 24h low and extends the NY sell-off
An M15 close above the 80,131 lower high negates the descending sequence and reopens the 80,485 London high
Durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC are the next macro risks for BTC as a risk proxy
14:18 UTC
Intraday down leg, early-NY bounce in progress · RSI 46 · price 79,863.05
Double top 80485/80467 (London high), 80160 floor broken at NY open, bounce inside Asian range.
London set the London high at 80485, then a lower high at 80467. The NY open broke the 80160 floor of that double top and dropped to the NY low at 79365, just above the Asian low at 79285. The early-NY bounce has price at 79863, between the 38.2% and 50% retrace of the leg and below the 80000 round number and both EMAs. RSI(14) is near 46, and the USD is firming into Wednesday's Fed with no crypto-specific catalyst.
Support: 79,365.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 79,925.00, 80,000.00, 80,485.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 50% retrace at 79925 and the 80000 round number would neutralise the NY breakdown
Rejection at 79925–80000, followed by a break of the NY low at 79365, exposes the Asian low at 79285
Loss of the Asian low at 79285 prints a fresh lower-low for the 24h window
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Tuesday Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's Fed decision are the next macro tests
14:05 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY open breakdown · RSI 35 · price 79,669.26
Lower high at 80,467, broke the 80,160 London range floor; testing the Asian range lows.
London lifted BTC above the Asian range to an 80,485 london high, but a rejection at 80,467 preceded a range break of the 80,160 range floor in the first hour of NY, with the slide halting at the 79,365 ny low just above the 79,285 asian low. RSI(14) is near 35 after the drop. The digest carries no BTC-specific catalyst, and the tape is holding into Wednesday's Fed.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 80,160 range floor negates the NY breakdown
Failure to hold the 79,365 ny low and 79,285 asian low prints a fresh lower low for the window
80,000 psych is the first cap on any rebound; rejection there keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision is the main catalyst that could reset this intraday structure
13:48 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bouncing off NY open low · RSI 39 · price 79,792.13
Lower high at 80467 under London high, neckline break, flush to 79365.
London capped twice at 80467–80485 (London high), and the double-top neckline near 80160 gave way into the NY open, flushing to the 79365 NY open low just above the 79285 Asian low. The bounce is testing the 38.2% retrace near 79790 with RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s. The round number 80000 sits overhead, and BTC is trading as risk beta into Wed's FOMC with no coin-specific news.
Support: 79,364.60, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,160.00, 80,485.36
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 79365 NY open low exposes the 79285 Asian low and confirms a lower-low
Recovery through the 50–61.8% retrace (79925–80057) and the round number 80000 negates the flush
M15 close back above the 80160 neckline invalidates the double top read
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read; USD firming into the Fed is the backdrop
13:32 UTC
Intraday down-leg into NY open, RSI near oversold · RSI 28 · price 79,684.25
London range broken lower after a lower high; testing London low.
A lower high at 80467 below the 80485 London high was rejected, then the London range floor near 80160 gave way into the NY open. The flush through the 80000 round number has retraced nearly 90% of the London rally and has price sitting just above the 79574 London low. RSI(14) is near 28 as USD firms ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 79,574.37, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,160.00, 80,485.36
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79574 london low confirms a lower low and exposes the 79285 asian low
Reclaim of the 80000 round number and the 80160 range floor would mark the breakdown as a false break
Pre-Fed USD bid is a risk-beta headwind; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
Lower high at 80467 under the 80485 session high, then a break of the 80160 swing low.
London lifted BTC from the 79574 london low out of the 79285–80295 Asian range to an 80485 session high. Supply then capped a lower high at 80467, and the drop at the start of the London-NY transition broke the 80160 swing low. Price is now sitting on the 80007 swing low near the 50% fib of the London leg, with RSI(14) around 34. BTC is trading as risk beta while USD firms ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,006.89, 79,574.37, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,159.72, 80,467.38, 80,485.36
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 80007 swing low and the 80000 psych handle exposes the 61.8% fib near 79920, then the london low at 79574
A reclaim of the broken low at 80160 neutralises the breakdown; a close above the 80467 lower high reopens the session high
A drop through the asian low at 79285 would mark a fresh low for the 24h window
A renewed USD bid into Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed's Fed decision could extend the pullback
Range 80160–80485 after London broke the Asian high; lower highs into NY.
The London open dip to the 79574 london low reversed sharply, cleared the Asian high near 80205 and capped at the 80485 london high. Price has since ranged above the 80160 floor, which sits near the 38.2% of the London leg, with lower highs at 80467/80459. Into the London-NY transition the bar is retesting the Asian high just under the ema20 (~80240), with RSI(14) neutral at 52. Softer crude is giving a mild risk-on tilt, against a USD that is firming ahead of the Fed.
Support: 80,160.00, 79,574.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 80160 floor breaks the London range and exposes the 79574 london low.
Below 79574, the asia higher lows trendline (~79900 now) and the 79285 asian low are the next structural references.
Recovery above the ema20 and a close through the 80485 london high reopens the 80851 sunday high.
No US data in the next 8h. Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC are the next catalysts, and a renewed USD bid would weigh on risk beta.
12:47 UTC
Intraday range after London recovery · RSI 46 · price 80,255.62
80,160–80,485 range since mid-London, highs capped.
The Sunday-evening slide under the 80,000 round number ran to 79,285 in Asia. The London-open dip to the 79,574 London low reversed and cleared the Asian range high near 80,205, setting a session high at 80,485. Price has since rotated inside an 80,160–80,485 range, with two rejections near 80,460 this hour and RSI(14) in the mid-40s, as BTC trades as risk beta into Fed week.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,485 session high breaks the range and opens the 80,851 Sunday high
Loss of the 80,160 range low exposes the 80,000 round number and the 50% fib near 80,030
Break of the 79,574 London low would cancel the London recovery
NY open could break the range; Tue Durable Goods and Wed Fed decision (18:00 UTC) are the next event risks
Higher lows from 79285; Asian range broken higher, consolidating 80160–80485.
London dipped to a 79574 london low, then broke above the 79285–80205 Asian range. The move retraced the whole Sunday-night drop and topped at the 80485 session high. Pullback from the London leg held the 80160 swing low near the 38.2% retracement, and price is now coiling under the high with RSI(14) near 58 as BTC trades as risk-beta with no coin-specific news.
Support: 80,160.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,621.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80485 session high opens the 80621 prior high from Sunday's late spike
Loss of the 80160 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 79574 london low back in play
No calendar risk in the next 8h; the NY open could break the late-London coil, with Tue Durable Goods and Wed Fed the next macro catalysts
Higher lows from the Asian low, now compressing below the London high.
London cleared the Asian range high near 80205 after an 08:00 UTC dip to the 79574 london low and topped at the 80485 london high. Price is now boxed between the 80160 swing low, which held just above the 38.2% fib, and the 80434 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 54. BTC is trading as pre-Fed risk beta with no coin-specific driver.
Support: 80,159.72, 80,000.00, 79,574.37
Resistance: 80,434.42, 80,485.36, 80,850.96
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 80160 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 80000 psych level near the 50% fib
Close above the 80434 lower high and 80485 london high reopens the path toward the 80851 sunday high
A loss of 80000 would put the 79574 london low back in play
NY open in roughly 1h is the next volatility window; a firmer USD would weigh on this read
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed Fed decision are the next scheduled USD catalysts
Higher lows since Asia; 80160–80485 consolidation.
After the Asian low at 79285, the London open dip held at 79574 (london low) and price broke above the 80200 Asian-range top to a session high at 80485. Price has since retested the breakout area, with two holds at the 80160 swing low, and now sits mid-range. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 as BTC trades as risk beta ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,160.00, 80,000.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 80160 swing low puts the 80000 round number and the 38.2% fib near 80027 in play
Close above the 80485 session high reopens the 80851 sunday high
Loss of the rising trendline from the london low breaks the higher-low sequence
NY open liquidity and pre-Fed USD moves could widen the session range
Higher lows from the Asia low; pullback low holding at 80160.
London cleared the Asian range top at 80295 and printed a session high at 80485. Price then pulled back to the 80160 swing low, near the 38.2% of the London leg, where buyers stepped in twice, and is now back at the Asian high. The higher-low line from the 79285 Asia low through the 79574 london low is intact and RSI(14) is neutral at 55, with BTC trading as risk-beta on softer oil ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,160.00, 80,000.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80485 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 80851 sunday high
Loss of the 80160 swing low exposes psych 80000, the 50% of the London leg
Break of the 79574 london low voids the higher-low line
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed Fed decision 18:00 UTC are the next event risks; a renewed USD bid would weigh on this read
Higher lows from 79285; London break of Asian high fading.
London open dipped to 79574, then a rally cleared the Asian high at 80295 and topped at the 80485 London high. Price has since faded back to 80200, just under that Asian high and sitting on EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Higher lows since 79285 are intact, and BTC is trading as risk beta into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,160.00, 80,030.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,295.00, 80,485.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 80295 Asian high revives the London breakout, with the 80485 London high above
Loss of the 80160 pullback low exposes the fib 50% near 80030, then the 79574 London low
Break of the higher lows trendline from 79285 ends the intraday recovery structure
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk; the NY open can add two-way volatility before then
11:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, fading from session high · RSI 52 · price 80,198.68
Higher lows from the Asia low; London leg retracing into the Asian high.
The London open dipped to the 79,574 London low, then rallied through the Asian high near 80,205 to an 80,485 session high. Mid-London, price has faded back to retest the Asian high, holding the 80,160 pullback low near the 38.2% of the London leg. RSI(14) is neutral at 52, and BTC is trading as risk beta into Fed week with a mild lift from softer oil.
What it said to watch
A close below the 80,160 pullback low exposes the 80,000 round number and the 50% of the London leg near 80,030
Losing the higher lows line from the 79,285 Asia low reopens the 79,574 London low
Reclaiming the 80,485 session high puts Sunday's 80,851 prior high back in view
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled volatility risks
11:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend from 03:45 UTC low, now pulling back · RSI 55 · price 80,268.60
Higher highs and higher lows; London breakout above Asian high being retested.
London open swept below the early-morning lows to 79574, then reversed through the 80295 Asian high to a session high at 80485. Price has faded back to the Asian high, roughly a 23.6% retrace of the London leg, with RSI(14) cooling to about 55. BTC is trading as a risk-beta asset with no coin-specific news ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,140.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,295.00, 80,485.00, 80,621.00
What it said to watch
M15 closes back above the 80295 Asian high keep the breakout-retest read intact. A close above the 80485 session high opens the 80621 spike high from Sunday's 22:00 UTC wick.
Loss of 80140 (fib 38.2) shifts focus to the higher-low trendline near 79630 and the 79574 London low.
No US data is scheduled before Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC. The NY open at 13:30 UTC is the next volatility window.
Higher lows from 79285, Asian range high broken in London.
The Sunday 22:15 UTC slide bottomed at 79285 in Asia. A higher low at 79574 at 07:00 UTC preceded the London break of the 80207 asian high, and price set a session high at 80485. It is now holding a 80298 pullback low with RSI(14) neutral near 58. The recovery leans on a mild Monday risk-on tone from softer crude; there is no BTC-specific news.
Support: 80,297.57, 80,206.67, 79,574.37
Resistance: 80,485.36, 80,621.21, 80,850.96
What it said to watch
Hold of the 80298 pullback low keeps the Asian high break intact; a close back below 80207 marks a false break. The 23.6% of the recovery sits at that level.
M15 close above the 80485 session high opens the 80621 sunday spike and the 80851 24h high
Loss of the 79574 higher low and the higher-low line breaks the recovery structure
No US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and the Fed Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts via the USD
London opened with a dip to the 79574 london low that reversed sharply, breaking the Asian high at 80295 and topping at the 80485 london high. Price is now back at the Asian high on the retest, RSI(14) cooling to ~57, with higher lows intact from the 79285 Asian low. BTC is trading as risk beta on softer oil ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,295.00, 80,000.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 80295 asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 80000 round number (near the 50% fib) reopens the 79574 london low
M15 close above the 80485 london high opens the path to the 80851 sunday high
Break of the higher lows line from 79285 negates the intraday uptrend read
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC, with Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC as the earlier risk point
10:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum easing off session high · RSI 57 · price 80,343.52
Higher low at London open, break above Asian range, retest of breakout in progress.
Buyers stepped in at the London-open dip to the 79574 london low. Price then cleared the 80295 asian high and printed a 80485 session high, and is now easing back toward that breakout level. Lows at 79285 in Asia and 79574 at London form a higher-low sequence, with BTC trading as risk beta on softer oil ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 80,295.00, 80,095.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,621.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
Hold of the 80295 asian high on this retest keeps the range break intact. Closes back below it expose the 80095 pullback low and the 38.2% london leg fib near 80137.
M15 close above the 80485 session high puts the 80621 spike high from Sunday's 22:00 UTC wick and the 80851 sunday high in play.
Failure to hold the 79574 london low breaks the higher-low sequence.
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk. Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC is the first pre-Fed read.
10:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia · RSI 61 · price 80,405.45
London broke above the Asian range high; consolidating just under the session high.
London open dipped to the london low at 79574, then reversed through the Asian high at 80295 and set a session high at 80485. That leaves a higher low above the 79285 Asia trough. Price is easing to 80405 with RSI(14) near 61, and softer oil is keeping the risk tone mildly supportive.
Support: 80,295.00, 80,140.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,485.00, 80,621.00
What it said to watch
Holding above the asian high at 80295 keeps the London breakout intact; acceptance back below it reads as a false break
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 80140 (the breakout base) undercuts the higher-low sequence and exposes the london low at 79574
An M15 close above the session high at 80485 opens the sunday high at 80621
A break of the higher low line from 79285–79574 invalidates the recovery structure
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC sits beyond this window but keeps NY session flows headline-sensitive
09:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia · RSI 65 · price 80,459.39
Asian range broken higher in London, HL chain intact.
London's opening dip to the 79574 london low held above the 79285 asian low. Price then broke the 80206 asian high and is pressing the 80475 session high, with RSI(14) near 65 and the higher-low trendline intact. There is no BTC-specific news: the pair is trading as risk beta on a slightly firmer Monday risk mood as crude eases.
Support: 79,574.37, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,475.37, 80,621.21, 80,850.96
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 80206 asian high would turn the London break into a false break
Clearance of the 80475 session high exposes the 80621 spike high, then the 80851 24h high
Loss of the 79574 london low breaks the higher-low trendline and reopens the 79285 asian low
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods/Consumer Confidence Tue and Fed Wed 18:00 UTC are the next USD-driven risk for the risk-beta tone
The London open dip held at 79574, a higher low above the 79285 Asia low, and price then cleared the 80205 Asian high and the 80320 prior high to print a session high at 80462. The move fits the modest risk-on tilt on softer crude. RSI(14) is near 61 with room before stretched readings, and price is now testing the late-Sunday spike high zone below 80621.
Support: 80,320.00, 80,205.00, 79,574.00
Resistance: 80,462.00, 80,621.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 80320 prior high and the 80205 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 79574 London low breaks the higher-low trendline from the Asia low
Acceptance above the 80462 session high opens the 80621 spike high, then the 80851 weekend high
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC guidance are the next scheduled volatility risks
09:16 UTC
Short-term recovery, stalling below London high · RSI 50 · price 80,172.71
Higher low at London open, price back at the Asian high.
The late-Sunday drop from the 80621 sun spike bottomed at the 79285 Asian low. The London open dip to 79574 held as a higher low and rebounded through the 80207 Asian high to 80320, where it met rejection. Price is now pinned near 80170 with RSI(14) flat at 50, trading as risk beta with no US data until Tuesday.
Support: 80,094.79, 79,574.37, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,206.67, 80,319.55, 80,621.21
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 80320 london high reopens the 80621 sun spike area
Loss of the 80095 pullback low puts the 79574 london low and the higher-low line back in play
Break below the 79285 asian low invalidates the higher-low structure
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed Fed decision are the next catalysts that could shift this read
09:06 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 80,126.76
Higher low at 79574, false break above asian high.
The Asian session bottomed at the 79285 asian low after the Sunday-night drop. The London open dipped to a 79574 london low, then rebounded through the 80207 asian high to an 80320 session high. Price has slipped back below 80207 with RSI(14) near 50, a false break for now, with BTC trading as a macro risk asset and no coin-specific catalyst.
Support: 79,574.37, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,206.67, 80,319.55
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 80320 session high negates the false break above the asian high
Loss of the 79574 london low breaks the higher-low line off the 79285 asian low and reopens the Asian range floor
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC are the next macro tests
08:46 UTC
Recovering intraday, higher low in place · RSI 54 · price 80,171.71
Higher low at 79574 above the 79284 Asian low; London high capping at 80320.
BTC dropped from the late-Sunday range to an Asian low at 79284, then London open swept down to 79574 for a higher low and drove through the 80294 Asian range high to a london high at 80320. Price is now holding near 80170, above the 80000 round number, with RSI(14) mid-range and no BTC-specific catalyst beyond a slightly firmer risk mood on softer oil and USD.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,574.00, 79,284.00
Resistance: 80,320.00, 80,621.00, 80,851.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 80000 round number turns the Asian-high break into a false break
Failure to hold the 79574 london low breaks the higher-low trendline and reopens the 79284 asian low
Acceptance above the 80320 london high exposes the 80621 sunday spike and the 80851 sunday high
No US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk ahead of Wed's Fed
08:31 UTC
Recovering off Asian low, ranging below 80,207 · RSI 52 · price 80,089.80
Higher lows since 79,285, capped by the asian high; London open false break below the range low.
London open dropped through the 79,856 range low to 79,574, about a 68% retrace of the Asian rally, then reclaimed it in one bar. Price is back mid-range under the 80,207 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 52. With no BTC-specific catalyst, the coin is trading as a macro risk proxy into Fed week.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,207 asian high breaks the range and opens the 80,621 sunday spike
Loss of the 79,574 london low and the higher lows trendline puts the 79,285 asian low back in play
Renewed acceptance below the 79,856 range low would negate the false break read
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled risks; nothing in the next 8h
08:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since 06:00 UTC · RSI 34 · price 79,638.30
London open broke the late-Asia range floor; price in lower half of the Asian range.
The London open bar broke the 79856 range floor that held through late Asia. The drop stalled at the 79574 London low, right at the 61.8% of the 79285–80206 recovery fib. The 80206 double top and the lower highs since 06:00 UTC framed the move, with RSI(14) near 34 and no BTC-specific catalyst in the feed.
Support: 79,574.00, 79,391.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 79,856.00, 80,050.00, 80,206.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 79856 range floor would turn the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the 79574 London low exposes the 79391 swing low and the 79285 Asia low, a break of which sets a fresh session lower-low
Recoveries capped under the 80050 lower highs keep the sequence intact; a reclaim of the 80206 double top negates it
No US data in the next 8h; Tue durable goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the next macro risks for the risk-asset read
Asian-range recovery capped at twin highs, lower highs into London open.
BTC slid through the Asia session to an Asian low at 79285, bounced to 80206, and was rejected twice there, leaving twin highs. Lower highs since then have pushed price back under the 80,000 psych into the London open. It is now sitting on the 79856 swing low, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement and the rising lows line. Risk tone is only marginally firmer at the week open, and the market is treating BTC as a macro asset ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 79,856.00, 79,746.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,206.00, 80,295.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79856 swing low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the fib 50% at 79746
Reclaiming the 80,000 psych and then the 80206 twin highs would end the lower-highs sequence; the 80295 Asian high sits above
Loss of the fib 50% puts the 79285 Asian low back in play
No US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC; the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the larger swing factor for this read
Asia-session double bottom at 79285–79314, rebound capped at 80207, higher low at 79856.
The late-Sunday break below 80000 ran to an asian low of 79285, where a double bottom with 79314 set the rebound to 80207. The pullback held a higher low at 79856, right at the 38.2% fib, and price is now coiling around the EMA50 as London opens, with BTC trading as a macro risk asset on a softer USD and no coin-specific news.
Support: 79,856.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,207.00, 80,295.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80207 rebound high, then the 80295 asian high, extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold the 79856 higher low exposes the 50% fib near 79745 and then the 79285 asian low
London open at 08:00 UTC is the first test of the 79856–80207 band; Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main risk
Lower high at 80205 after loss of 80000; retracing the Asia rebound.
BTC lost the 80000 psych level around the Monday open, printed the asian low at 79285, then rebounded and stalled twice at 80205. That small double top is confirmed below 80054, and price is sitting on the 38.2% fib retrace near 79855 into the London open with RSI(14) around 43. There is no coin-specific driver; BTC is trading as a macro risk asset, with only modest support from easing oil.
Support: 79,756.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,205.00, 80,295.00
What it said to watch
Holding below the 80000 psych level keeps the 80205 double top intact; a reclaim reopens the asian high at 80295
Loss of the 79756 swing low, near the 50% fib, exposes the asian low at 79285
London open at 08:00 UTC is the first test of the Asian range
No scheduled USD events in the next 8h; Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the next macro catalyst ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
Asian double bottom at 79,285–79,315, rebound capped at 80,205, pullback holding 79,870 higher low.
Sunday's 80,000–80,850 range broke lower after the 22:00 UTC open spike. Asia then printed a double bottom near the 79,285 asian low before rebounding to 80,205, where the rebound top was rejected twice. Price is now pinned around 80,000 just under the EMA50 near 80,040, with the 79,870 swing low holding near the 38.2% of the rebound ahead of London open. There is no coin-specific driver; BTC is trading as a macro risk asset into Fed week.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79,870 swing low breaks the rebound trendline and exposes the 50% fib near 79,745
Acceptance above the EMA50 and the 80,205 rebound top reopens the 80,372 breakdown level
Loss of the 79,285 asian low invalidates the double bottom and resumes the overnight lower-low sequence
No US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC; Fed-week risk mood and oil headlines drive the tone into London and NY
Double bottom at the Asian low, higher low at 79869, capped by the 80205 recovery high.
The Asia session broke Sunday's 79991 low and printed a double bottom at 79313/79285, the asian low. The rebound came as USD softened on easing yields and has reached the 50% retracement of the sell-off from 80851. The 80205 recovery high has capped twice, and the 06:30 UTC higher low at 79869 sits on rising support just under the 80000 psych level. RSI(14) is near 57 and ATR(14) is about 205 USD, roughly an hour before London open.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,869.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,205.00, 80,387.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80205 recovery high clears the 61.8% fib near 80250 and exposes the 80387 breakdown level
Failure to hold the 79869 higher low breaks rising support and reopens the 79285 asian low
London open within the hour could expand the Asian range; US calendar dark until Tue Durable Goods, FOMC Wed
Lower highs from 80851; bounce off 79285 capped at 80207.
The Sunday-evening break under the 80000 psych level ran into an Asia low at 79285. The rebound was rejected twice at the 80207 twin highs and has slipped back to the pullback low near 79870, roughly the 38.2% retracement, with RSI(14) at 47 and price just under EMA20. There is no crypto-specific news, and BTC is not tracking the softer USD in Asia.
Support: 79,746.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,000.00, 80,207.00, 80,295.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 79870 pullback low opens the fib 50% at 79746, then the asia low at 79285
Regaining 80000 psych and closing above the 80207 twin highs negates the double top
M15 close above the 80295 asia high breaks the lower-highs line
London open, about 75 min out, tends to expand the Asian range
Lower high at 80205 after Asia sweep of 79285; price mid Asian range.
Sunday's 80,000–80,850 weekend range gave way late Sunday. Asia then swept to the 79,285 asian low before a recovery was rejected at 80,205, a lower high under the 80,295 asian high. Price sits back below the 80,000 round number, testing the 79,881 pullback low near a 31% fib retrace of the Asia bounce, with RSI(14) neutral at 48. BTC slipped despite a softer dollar in Asia, which points to crypto-native flows, not macro.
What it said to watch
Loss of the 79,881 pullback low exposes the 50–61.8% fib zone of the Asia bounce at 79,745–79,635
Failure to hold the 79,285 asian low confirms a lower-low beyond the overnight sweep
M15 close above the 80,205 lower high and the 80,295 asian high invalidates the lower-high sequence
London open is approaching with no US data in the next 8h. Tue Durable Goods and the Wed FOMC are the next macro inputs.
Late Asia session: BTC rebounded from a double bottom at 79285–79314 through the 79890 neckline. The bounce stalled near the 50% retracement of Sunday's 80851–79285 drop, with a second rejection at 80206 on the 06:00 UTC bar. Price is holding the 80,000 round number above EMA20 and pressing EMA50, with RSI(14) near 55. Weekend crypto-native flows are driving price with the US calendar dark.
Support: 79,890.00, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,294.57
What it said to watch
A close back below the 79890 neckline undoes the double bottom read and reopens the asian low at 79285
A break of the 80206 rejection exposes the 61.8% retracement near 80253 and the 80295 asian high
London open may expand the Asian range; the FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro risk
Double bottom off 79,285 Asian low, pressing recovery high.
The overnight slide from the 80,621 Sunday spike bottomed in the Asia session. A second probe at 79,285, just under the 79,314 low, failed and reversed. Price has reclaimed the 80,000 round number on a stepwise HH/HL chain and is pressing the 80,205 session high. The weekend US calendar was dark, so there is no macro driver behind the move.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,205 session high and 80,295 asian high retakes the overnight breakdown zone, with the 80,621 sunday spike next
Loss of the 80,000 round number puts the fib 38.2 of the recovery at 79,853 in play
A break below the 79,285 swing low voids the double bottom read
London open is about two hours out; the FOMC on Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the next macro catalyst
05:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows from Asia low · RSI 59 · price 80,141.74
Double bottom at 79,285–79,314, neckline cleared, higher-low chain.
The late-Sunday break below 80,000 extended to a 79,285 swing low in the Asia session, forming a double bottom with 79,314. The recovery has since cleared the 79,890 neckline, which sits near the 38.2% of the recovery fib, and higher lows are stacking under the 80,205 session high, with the 80,295 Asian high above it. There is no BTC-specific driver in thin weekend-to-Monday trade, and RSI(14) at 59 is not stretched.
What it said to watch
A close above the 80,295 Asian high puts the 80,621 spike high in view
Loss of the 80,000 round number and the higher-lows line weakens the recovery
A close back below the 79,890 neckline negates the double bottom and reopens the 79,285 swing low
London open liquidity is the first test of the session high
05:32 UTC
Rebounding after an Asia-session flush, testing the 80k reclaim · RSI 61 · price 80,062.83
Weekend 79,990–80,850 range broke lower at the Sunday reopen. A double bottom at 79,314/79,285 followed, with higher lows since..
The weekend range gave way after the Sunday-evening reopen. Asia then carved a double btm at 79,314/79,285 and reclaimed the 80,000 psych level on a steady rebound line of higher lows. Price is retesting 80k just under the 80,205 session high, near the 61.8% of the 80,621–79,285 drop and pressing into EMA50 with RSI(14) ~61. No crypto-specific news is in the window, so this looks like flow-driven chop ahead of a firm-USD FOMC week.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,205 session high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the 80,621 spike high
Loss of the 80,000 psych level and the rebound line puts the 79,285 double btm back in focus
Break below 79,285 double btm confirms a lower low for the session
London open liquidity could test the current Asian range; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main macro risk, with no US data in the next 8h
Double bottom at 79285-79314, neckline 79888 broken, capped near 61.8% retrace.
The late-Sunday selloff extended into the Asia session to a 79284.69 Asia low. It then formed a double bottom with the 79313 low, and the neckline at 79888 has been reclaimed. The rebound stalled at the 80115 rebound high, in line with the 61.8% retrace of the drop, with price pinned at the EMA50 just above the 80000 round number and no fresh macro driver on the tape.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,888.02, 79,284.69
Resistance: 80,114.77, 80,294.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80115 rebound high (61.8%) opens the path to the 80295 lower high
Loss of the 80000 round number and a close back below the 79888 neckline negates the double bottom
Failure to hold the 79285 Asia low resumes the lower-low sequence
Break of the rebound trendline from the Asia low signals the bounce is losing structure
London open in ~2h; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
Double bottom near 79300, neckline at 79888 cleared, price testing EMA50 at 80040.
Monday's Asia session extended the slide from the 80295 Asia high to a 79285 double low. That low briefly undercut the 79314 low before reversing through the 79888 neckline. Price now sits at the 80059 bounce high, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the drop from the 80621 spike high. RSI(14) is at 57 and EMA50 (~80040) sits right overhead, with no BTC-specific news behind the move.
Support: 79,888.00, 79,285.00
Resistance: 80,059.00, 80,295.00, 80,621.00
What it said to watch
A close back below the 79888 neckline negates the double bottom and puts the 79285 double low back in focus
Acceptance above the 80059 bounce high and EMA50 opens the 80295 Asia high; rejection there leaves a lower high under the 80621 spike high
London open in ~2h may expand the Asian range; the US calendar is dark until Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC, with the FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC as the larger macro risk
04:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, rebound in play · RSI 54 · price 79,890.02
Lower highs broken; twin lows near 79,300 with a neckline reclaim.
BTC slid from the 80,621 spike high into the Monday Asia session and printed twin lows at 79,314 and the 79,285 Asia low, with no macro trigger on the weekend calendar. Late Asia it broke the descending line and reclaimed the 79,749 neckline, but the bounce high at 80,014 is capping. Price sits near the 61.8% fib of the drop from the 80,295 swing high, RSI(14) neutral around 54.
What it said to watch
A close back below the 79,749 neckline undoes the double bottom read and puts the 79,285 Asia low back in focus
A close above the 80,014 bounce high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the 80,295 swing high, then the 80,621 spike high
Holding below the 80,295 swing high keeps the lower-high sequence from Sunday intact
London open is the next liquidity test for the Asian range. Wed FOMC (f/c 4.00% hold) is the main macro risk this week
Lower highs since weekly open; failed break below 79,314 reversed to 80k.
Selling broke Sunday's 80,110–80,850 range around the weekly open. It extended through Asia, where a dip under the 79,314 low to the 79,285 session low failed and price snapped back to 80,004. The rebound cleared the 79,888 lower high and is pressing the lower-high line, but supply capped it at 80k psych.
What it said to watch
M15 close above 80k psych and the lower-high line opens the 80,295 swing high
Failure to hold the 79,519 rebound base puts the session low back in play
Price holding inside the overnight leg fib 38.2–50% zone (79,795–79,953) keeps the bounce corrective
US calendar dark for the next 8h; Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the next macro catalyst
Lower highs from 80,295, double bottom at 79,314/79,285 with neckline cleared.
BTC slipped below the weekend 80,000–80,850 range after a 22:00 UTC spike high at 80,621 failed. It then printed lower highs through the Asia session into a double bottom at 79,314/79,285. The last two bars cleared the 79,888 neckline and are pressing the 80,000 round number, just above the 50% fib of the 80,621–79,285 drop, with RSI(14) back near 52 and no US data due.
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 80,000 round number brings the 80,295 lower high and the 80,621 spike high back into play
A close back under the 79,888 neckline undermines the double bottom and exposes the 79,285 session low
Price is already back above the lower highs trendline; a fresh rejection under 80,000 would resume the downtrend read
No US data is due in the next 8h. FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main macro risk
Lower-high / lower-low chain since Sunday reopen spike.
The 22:00 UTC reopen spike to 80,621 faded. The Asian session has since printed lower highs at the 80,295 asian high, 79,888 (fib 61.8 zone) and the 79,749 lower high. The latest bar swept the prior 79,314 low to a 79,285 session low and closed back near 79,540, with RSI(14) near 34 and not yet oversold. There is no BTC-specific catalyst and the US calendar is dark, so the tape is crypto-driven.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 79,749 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 79,888–79,910 fib 61.8 zone
Failure to hold the 79,285 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 79,000 round number
Reclaim of the 80,295 asian high would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
London open is the next session test of the Asian range extremes
03:47 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in consolidation · RSI 37 · price 79,519.43
Sunday range broken lower, lower highs above a 79390 base.
Asia session extended the post-open slide through the sunday low at 79990, printing a 79314 session low before holding a 79390–79890 consolidation. Bounces capped by the fib reject at 79888 (near 61.8%) and the lower high at 79749; RSI(14) near 37, price below both EMAs. Digest flags no BTC-specific catalyst overnight.
Support: 79,313.65
Resistance: 79,749.17, 79,888.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 79749 lower high and the 79888 fib reject breaks the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of the 79990 sunday low puts price back inside Sunday's range
Failure to hold the 79390 base low exposes the 79314 session low and extends the downtrend
Firm-USD read into Wed FOMC is a background headwind; London open could expand the Asian range
Lower highs and lower lows since the late-Sunday range break; current bar holding just above the 79,391 swing low.
BTC broke below Sunday's 80,100–80,850 range at 23:15 UTC, then extended to a 79,313 session low during the Asia session after capping at the 80,294 Asian high. Bounces stalled at the fib 61.8 retracement of that drop (79,888) and then at a 79,749 lower high, and price is again pressing toward the 79,391 swing low. There is no macro catalyst in the window, so this is crypto-native weekend-to-Asia flow.
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 79,749 lower high breaks the descending lower-high line. Acceptance above the 79,888 fib 61.8 negates the downtrend read.
A break of the 79,391 swing low and the 79,313 session low extends the lower-low chain.
The 80,294 Asian high caps the session. Only a reclaim of it reopens Sunday's broken range.
London open and Tuesday's US Durable Goods data (12:30 UTC) are the first macro inputs ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia bounce · RSI 41 · price 79,665.27
Lower highs from 80851, higher low at 79392 under trendline.
Lower highs have held since Sunday's 80851 peak. The late-Sunday break of 80000 ran to a 79314 session low early in the Asia session, and a higher low at 79392 has formed since. Price is now pressing the falling trendline from the 80295 swing high and the 38.2% fib near 79690, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs. With the US calendar dark, the move reads as crypto-native flow.
Support: 79,392.00, 79,314.00
Resistance: 79,888.00, 80,000.00, 80,295.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 79888 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 80000 round number, then the 80295 swing high
Rejection at the falling trendline / 38.2% fib keeps the lower-high sequence intact
A break of the 79392 higher low and the 79314 session low resumes the downtrend leg
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC are the next macro inputs
03:05 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 36 · price 79,512.44
Lower highs and lower lows since the week open; tight base 79390–79600.
Sunday's 80000–80850 range broke lower after a 22:00 UTC week-open spike to 80621 was rejected. The slide cut through the sunday low at 79991 and set a session low at 79314 in the Asia session. Price is now compressing between the 79392 recent low and 79600, below the 79888 lower high, with RSI(14) near 36 and no BTC-specific news. The macro digest's firm-USD read into FOMC is a mild headwind.
Support: 79,391.57, 79,313.65, 79,000.00
Resistance: 79,888.02, 79,990.91, 80,294.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 79888 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 38.2–50% fib zone (79813–79967) in play
Reclaim of the sunday low at 79991 and the 80000 round number would undo the range break
Loss of the 79392 recent low and the 79314 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 79000 round number
Swing high at 80295 is where the lower-highs trendline started its run
No US data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC (f/c 4% hold) are the next macro catalysts
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 33 · price 79,458.49
Range break lower, lower-high sequence below 79,888.
Early Asia session: BTC broke the 79,756–80,295 range lower at 01:30 UTC and set a swing low at 79,314. The rebound stalled at the 79,888 bounce high, and successive lower highs have pushed price back to 79,450. The drop has taken out Sunday's 79,991 prior low, now overhead, while RSI(14) near 33 sits low but short of oversold. No BTC-specific news is in play; the only macro backdrop is a firm-USD tone into Wednesday's FOMC.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 79,314 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 79,000 round number
An M15 close above the 79,888 bounce high breaks the lower-high trendline and stalls the drop
Reclaiming the 79,991 prior low and then the 80,295 range top would turn the range break into a false break
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next macro catalysts
Breakdown below 80,000 into Asia, lower-low sequence.
A weekend chain of lower highs from 80,955 broke down through the 80,000 round number into the Asia session open, printing a swing low at 79,313. The bounce stalled at 79,888 near the 61.8% fib, below the descending trendline, and price is back near the 02:15 micro low with RSI(14) near 30. No BTC-specific news is in the digest, and the firm-USD, no-rush-Fed backdrop is a mild headwind.
What it said to watch
A close back above the 80,000 round number would negate the breakdown read; the 80,294 lower high caps the descending trendline.
Rejection at the 79,888 bounce high keeps the lower-high sequence intact.
A break of the 79,452 micro low exposes the 79,313 swing low; losing that extends the lower-low chain.
US yields and USD direction into Tuesday's Durable Goods and Wednesday's FOMC could shift the macro backdrop.
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, early-Asia bounce under way · RSI 37 · price 79,767.15
Lower highs and lower lows since the 80851 Sunday high.
The Sunday-evening spike to 80621 faded, and the early-Asia range broke lower from the 80294 lower high to a 79313 swing low. The bounce stalled near the 61.8% retrace of that drop at the 79888 bounce high. Price is now holding a 79564 higher low below the round number at 80000, with no BTC-specific news and the US calendar dark.
Support: 79,564.38
Resistance: 79,888.02, 80,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 79888 bounce high and the 80000 round number would break the lower-highs trendline sequence
Failure at the 79564 higher low reopens the 79313 swing low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
Acceptance back above the 80294 lower high invalidates the downtrend read
USD data from Tue (Durable Goods) and Wed's FOMC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 34 · price 79,856.06
Lower highs pressing a flat base near 79,760.
A sharp drop at 23:00 UTC Sunday broke the 80,000 round number and set a 79,756 swing low. Since then the Asia session has compressed into lower highs, from the 80,621 spike high to the 80,295 lower high and then 80,160, against a flat base at 79,760–79,830. RSI(14) sits near 34 and price is below both EMAs, in thin weekend-to-Asia trade with no macro input.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 79,756 swing low extends the lower-low sequence out of the compression
Reclaim of the 80,000 round number and a break of the 80,295 lower high invalidates the lower-highs line
80,621 spike high marks the top of the post-drop range; below it the structure stays heavy
London open could resolve the 79,756–80,295 squeeze; the US calendar stays dark until Tuesday's Durable Goods
Lower highs from 80,851; Asian session compressing 79,756–80,295 below psych.
The late-Sunday spike high at 80,621 failed and extended the lower-high chain from 80,851. Price then broke below 80,000 psych into a swing low at 79,756, and the Asian-session bounce was rejected at the 80,295 asian high, the 61.8% of that drop. Flow is thin weekend trade with no BTC-specific news; firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC is only a mild backdrop, while price holds under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 80,000 psych and the 80,295 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 79,756 swing low extends the lower-low chain
Lower-highs trendline from 80,851 through the 80,621 spike high caps any recovery while intact
No US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro catalyst
01:06 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a range · RSI 43 · price 80,103.78
Lower highs from 80851; prior low broken, now a 79756–80295 range.
BTC slid on Sunday from the 80,851 high and broke the 79,991 prior low late in the session, printing a 79,756 session low. Price then settled into a 79,756–80,295 range into the early Asia session, with no weekend macro input. It now trades mid-range below the ema20, with RSI(14) near 43 and lower highs at 80,621 and 80,295 still intact.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,295 range top, near the 50% fib of the 80,851–79,756 drop, breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes the 80,621 lower high
Failure to hold the 79,991 prior low puts the 79,815 higher low back in play
A break of the 79,756 session low extends the lower-low chain
Nothing scheduled in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and Wed FOMC (f/c 4%) are the next macro risk
Lower highs from 80850; late-Sunday flush to 79756, now basing near 80000.
The late-Sunday flush took out Saturday's 79990 low to a 79756 session low into the Asia open. The rebound stalled at the 80295 bounce high, the 61.8% fib of the drop from the 80621 lower high, and price is now holding just above the 80000 psych level. With US data dark over the weekend, the move looks crypto-driven, and the lower-high trendline from 80850 still caps.
Support: 80,000.00, 79,756.00
Resistance: 80,295.00, 80,621.00
What it said to watch
Close back below 80000 psych exposes a retest of the 79756 session low
Close above the 80295 bounce high and 61.8% fib breaks the post-flush lower-high sequence
Acceptance above the 80621 lower high would invalidate the lower-high trendline read
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled macro risk; no US data before Tuesday
A late-Sunday flush from the 80,372 breakdown level swept the morning 79,990 low to a 79,756 session low. Buyers reclaimed the 80,000 round number into the Monday Asia open, and price now sits at the 50% retrace of the 80,621–79,756 drop. Lower highs from the 80,851 swing high and 80,621 spike high still cap the bounce. RSI(14) is 43 with price below both EMAs, and in a weekend tape with no macro input, crypto-native flows dominate.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 80,372 breakdown level negates the lower-highs read
A break of the 80,621 spike high clears the lower-highs trendline toward the 80,851 swing high
Failure to hold the 80,000 round number reopens the 79,756 session low
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC are the next macro catalysts; a hawkish lean has weighed on BTC
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs and a fresh lower low · RSI 36 · price 80,043.85
Break below the Saturday low, stalling at 80,000.
Weekend trade broke the prior 79,991 low and the 80,000 psych handle late Sunday, printing a session low at 79,756 before price stalled back around 80,000. Lower highs from the 80,851 swing high via the 80,621 spike high remain intact, and RSI(14) sits near 36 with no macro catalyst while the US calendar is dark.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 80,000 psych handle keeps the session low at 79,756 exposed and the lower-low sequence intact
A close above the 80,235 bounce high puts the fib of the drop (38.2% ~80,174, 50% ~80,304) back in play
Reclaiming the lower-highs trendline near the 80,621 spike high would neutralise the downtrend read, with the 80,851 swing high above