Lower highs and lower lows since Monday's 77,861 peak.
BTCUSD has carved a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows since Monday's 77,861 week high, with sellers stepping in on every bounce into the H1 EMA(20). The drop through 75,180 in the last NY session accelerated into a breakdown to 74,184, leaving RSI(14) at 29 and stretched. Price is below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with no reclaim attempt yet.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 75,180 prior swing would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 74,184 session low opens 73,500 round number
Stretched RSI(14) raises odds of a mean-revert bounce into the ema20
Price has been carving lower highs and lower lows since the 78,007 week high printed mid-week, with the latest NY session accelerating the break through 75,500 and now 74,400. RSI(14) is deep oversold near 28 and price trades well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), confirming downside momentum is still in control. The 74,300 session low has just been swept and any reclaim of 75,330 would be the first sign of stabilisation.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 75,330 prior high would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 74,300 session low opens room toward the next visible demand
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo Thursday could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend accelerating · RSI 32 · price 75,148.24
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh week low.
BTCUSD has rolled over through the week, with the 77,400 swing high rejected during yesterday's NY session and price now driving to a fresh week low at 74,608. The breakout below the 75,900 shelf during NY hours triggered an impulsive leg, and price is consolidating just under the psych 75k zone with RSI in oversold territory. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit above price and slope lower, confirming the bearish structure.
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 75,900 broken shelf would neutralise the breakout
Failure to reclaim psych 75k keeps focus on the week low at 74,608
Reclaim of ema20 near 76,500 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 74,997.41
Lower highs, lower lows.
Sustained selling since Tuesday's NY session has driven price through the 75,600 shelf, with the latest leg printing fresh lows at 74,607. Both EMA20 and EMA50 are stacked above price and RSI(14) is hugging oversold near 30, indicating downside momentum is still dominant. The bounce attempt from 74,600 has been shallow so far, with sellers re-engaging on every push toward 75,000.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 75,600 broken shelf would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 74,600 session low opens path to the 74,000 psych level
Iran headline risk remains a wildcard for risk assets
19:01 UTC
Downtrend accelerating · RSI 32 · price 74,902.51
Lower highs, lower lows since Monday peak.
BTC has rolled over from the 77,860 weekly high printed in the NY session two days ago, with a clean break of the 75,600 shelf during today's London hours triggering acceleration into 74,600. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 on H1, and RSI(14) is pressing into oversold near 32 after a sustained slide. The Iran headline risk and Trump's hardening tone through the US session coincided with the latest leg lower.
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 75,600 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 74,600 session low opens 74,000 psych level
Bullish RSI divergence forming if a lower low prints without RSI confirming
Price has rolled over decisively from the 77,600 week high, with the last 24 hours producing a sustained slide through 76,000 and a clean break of the 75,600 shelf into the NY session. RSI(14) is pinned near 28 as the fresh session low at 74,607 prints, and price sits well below both EMAs with no reclaim attempt yet.
What it said to watch
hourly close back above 75,600 broken shelf would neutralise the break
loss of 74,607 session low extends the move toward the 74,000 round number
Trump-Iran headlines remain a live risk to risk assets into the next NY session
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 75,238.14
Lower highs since Monday peak, breakdown through range floor.
Sharp leg lower into the NY session has broken the 75,900 floor that held through Asia and London, with price now extending toward 74,700 on accelerating range expansion. Stacked below both EMAs and printing a clean sequence of lower highs from the 77,800 week peak, while RSI(14) at 31 reflects the impulsive nature of the move rather than exhaustion.
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the broken floor at 75,900 would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 74,700 session low opens the path toward the 74,000 psych level
Ongoing Iran headline flow remains a discretionary risk driver
Price broke down out of the 76500–77700 multi-day range in the NY session, with the rejection from 78007 marking a clear lower high after the early-week push. Sellers accelerated through 75900 and the session low at 74700 is now the pivot, with EMA20 capping pullbacks near 76600.
Support: 74,700.00, 74,000.00
Resistance: 75,900.00, 76,600.00, 78,007.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 75900 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 74700 session low opens path toward 74000 psych level
Reclaim of EMA20 at 76600 would shift the read back to range
15:01 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, sharp leg lower · RSI 28 · price 74,931.48
Lower high printed, breaking week's range floor.
Price has broken the week's range floor near 75900 after a double top around 77600-77700 was rejected twice during yesterday's NY session and overnight. The last three H1 bars dropped over 1000 points into 74700, with RSI(14) deep oversold at 28 and price extended well below both EMA20 and EMA50. Iran-related headline flow this session has whipsawed risk, contributing to the latest impulse lower.
Support: 74,700.00
Resistance: 75,900.00, 77,600.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of broken shelf at 75900 would neutralise the breakdown
Sustained acceptance below 74700 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Further Iran MoU headlines could re-inject volatility on either side
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 28 · price 75,070.33
Lower highs since 77861 peak, fresh week-low print.
Sharp leg lower into the NY session has taken price through the 75595 prior swing and printed a fresh week low at 74770, with the latest bar closing at 75070 well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 77400-77861 zone capped two attempts earlier in the week and the failure from there has driven a clean sequence of lower highs. RSI(14) sits near 28, oversold but consistent with the dominant downtrend rather than divergent.
Support: 74,770.00
Resistance: 75,595.00, 76,050.00, 77,400.00
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 75595 would neutralise the break and put 76050 back in play
Hourly close below 74770 confirms continuation and opens further downside
Headline risk around the US-Iran MOU draft could shift risk tone quickly
Price has rolled over from Monday's 78,007 week high into a clean H1 downtrend, with the 76,050 shelf giving way during the NY session yesterday and the session low printing 75,239. EMA20 and EMA50 both sit overhead near 76,500 and capped the latest bounce, while RSI(14) at 38 is grinding sideways against new lows — a tentative bullish divergence but no reclaim yet. The 75k psych level is the obvious area to watch next.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 76,050 broken shelf would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 75,239 session low opens 75k psych as next area
Iran-US MoU headlines remain a live risk-sentiment driver for crypto
12:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 75,700.63
Lower high printed, retracing toward week-open zone.
Price ran from the 74,710 week-open into a 78,007 high during yesterday's NY session before reversing sharply, printing a clear lower high near 77,400 and now trading back at the week's lows. EMA20 has rolled over near 76,200 and is capping bounces, with RSI sliding to the high-30s confirming momentum has flipped. The 75,240-75,550 zone is the active pivot — the wk low area has held twice but each bounce has been weaker.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 75,240 swing low confirms lower-low and opens wk open at 74,710
Reclaim of ema20 near 76,200 would neutralise the rollover read
US-Iran headline risk could whipsaw the read on any session
Lower high after 78k rejection, working back toward week's base.
Price rallied from Monday's 74.7k open to a 78k week high during yesterday's NY session, then reversed sharply and has spent the last 18 hours grinding back into the lower end of the week's range. The 77.4k–78k zone capped two distinct attempts, leaving a double top, and price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 38. Holding above the 75.55k swing low keeps the week's base intact; losing it opens the path back to the 74.7k weekly open.
What it said to watch
H1 close below 75.55k wk low confirms lower-low and breaks week's base
Reclaim of 76.1k ema20 would neutralise the rollover read
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could materially shift this read
Price rallied from Monday's 74.6k open up to a 78k spike during NY hours yesterday before being rejected, with lower highs printing through the Asia session and into the European session today. RSI(14) sits in the high 30s and price has been trading below the EMA(20) since the rejection, with buyers stepping in twice at the 75.55k swing low area. The week-low at 75.24k is the structural pivot for the pullback.
Support: 75,240.00, 74,650.00
Resistance: 76,050.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 75240 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback toward the week open at 74650
Reclaim of the EMA(20) near 76050 would neutralise the lower-highs sequence
US-Iran headline risk remains active and could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back from week high · RSI 38 · price 75,776.55
Lower highs forming after 78007 rejection.
Price rallied from 74593 at the start of the week through to a 78007 spike during yesterday's NY session before being rejected hard, dropping back below both EMAs. The pullback has bled through 76000 into the 75500s with RSI(14) printing a bearish divergence at the highs. Asia session has stabilised in a tight range around 75800 but the prior-day's lower-high structure remains intact.
Support: 75,239.14
Resistance: 76,200.00, 77,000.00, 78,007.09
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 76200 ema20 reopens the 77000 psych zone
Break below 75549 session low exposes the 75239 swing low
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could drive an out-of-structure move
Lower highs since 78007 peak, testing prior demand.
BTCUSD rallied from the 74600 week open through Monday and Tuesday's NY sessions to print 78007 before sellers stepped in firmly. Price has since unwound roughly half the week's range, trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, and the week low area near 75550 is being retested. Bearish RSI divergence on the 78007 push and the subsequent rejection set up the current pullback.
Support: 75,550.00, 75,240.00, 74,600.00
Resistance: 76,900.00, 78,007.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 75240 swing low confirms a lower-low on the week
Reclaim of 76900 ema20 area would neutralise the pullback
Hold of 75550 week low keeps the broader uptrend intact
Sharp rejection from the 78,007 week high during yesterday's NY session has driven a clean break of the 77,000 shelf that held through Monday and Tuesday. Price now trades well below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 32, and the NY-to-Asia stretch printed a fresh session low at 75,239 before a shallow bounce. Structure is a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows on this window.
What it said to watch
Loss of the 75,239 session low extends the move toward the 74,600 week open
Reclaim of the 77,000 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Iran-US deal headlines remain a live risk-tone driver
06:01 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pullback in progress · RSI 34 · price 75,632.71
Lower highs from 78,007 peak, testing weekly mid-range support.
Price ran from the Monday open near 74,540 to a week high at 78,007 during the NY session yesterday, then reversed sharply and is now trading back below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The current leg has carved a clean series of lower highs into the Asia session, with RSI(14) in the mid-30s and price probing the session low at 75,240. Buyers stepped in twice around 75,550–75,630 overnight but the bounces are shallow.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 76,200 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 75,240 session low opens path to the 74,540 week low
Reclaim of EMA20 near 77,400 would restore the prior uptrend read
Lower high printed below 78000, breaking ascending structure.
Price topped twice near 77600-78000 across Monday and Tuesday's NY sessions before failing, with a clean breakdown through the 76200 shelf during yesterday's NY hours dragging price to a session low of 75239. RSI(14) has rolled to the low-30s without confirmation of fresh selling exhaustion, and price now sits beneath both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The week low at 74540 is the next reference if 75239 doesn't hold.
Support: 75,239.14, 74,539.91
Resistance: 76,200.00, 77,400.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the broken 76200 shelf would neutralise the lower-high read
Loss of 75239 session low opens the path toward the 74540 week low
Reclaim of EMA20 near 77400 needed to restore the prior uptrend
04:01 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pullback in progress · RSI 34 · price 75,617.72
Lower highs from 78,007 peak, testing range mid.
Price spiked to a 78,007 week high during the NY session yesterday before being rejected hard, slicing through EMA(20) and EMA(50) on H1 and now probing the session low around 75,550. The structure has shifted to lower highs across the last 12 bars and RSI(14) is pressing into the mid-30s, confirming momentum has flipped from the impulsive Monday-Tuesday rally.
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 75,550 session low opens path to the 74,226 week low
Reclaim of the 76,200 broken shelf would neutralise the rejection read
Failure to recover EMA(20) near 77,400 keeps the lower-highs structure intact
03:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back to mid-week base · RSI 39 · price 75,784.54
Higher-highs broken, now retracing from 78k rejection.
Price ripped from 74540 early week to a 78007 spike during yesterday's NY session before sellers stepped in hard, dragging spot back through the 77400 shelf and the EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster. The pullback has carved a session low near 75630 with RSI(14) at 38 — momentum has flipped negative on H1 after the bearish divergence into the high. Buyers attempted a base above 75800 in the Asia session but rallies are capping below 76050.
Support: 75,630.00, 74,540.00
Resistance: 76,050.00, 77,400.00, 78,007.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 75630 session low opens path to the 74540 week low
Reclaim of 76050 intraday cap would neutralise the pullback
H1 close back above 77400 prior shelf needed to revive the uptrend
Price climbed steadily from Monday's 74,226 low into yesterday's 78,007 NY-session peak before rejecting sharply and slicing back through EMA(20) and EMA(50). Last six bars have built a tight session low near 75,663 with RSI(14) in the high-30s, showing momentum has flipped after the failed breakout. Lower-high structure is now active on H1 while the week's 75,335 low remains the key reference below.
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the 76,200 ema20 area would neutralise the pullback read
Break of session low 75,663 opens the path toward the 75,335 week low
Loss of 75,335 confirms a lower-low and ends the week's uptrend structure
01:01 UTC
Uptrend rolling over from week-high · RSI 38 · price 76,009.29
Lower high printed, pulling back to mid-range.
Price pushed to a week high near 78,007 during the prior NY session before being rejected hard, with a second test at 77,600 forming a lower high against weaker momentum. The pullback has now broken back below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), dragging RSI(14) under 40 as buyers failed to defend the 76,500 shelf. Session low at 75,760 is the immediate pivot — losing it puts the week-low at 75,335 back in play.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 76,900 ema20 would neutralise the rejection read
Failure to hold 75,760 session low confirms a lower-low continuation toward 75,335
RBNZ decision and Kashkari hike rhetoric keep USD risk live for next NY session
00:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback from week high · RSI 36 · price 75,866.45
Higher highs through week, now correcting from 78,007 peak.
Price rallied from 74,226 on Monday to a week high at 78,007 during yesterday's NY session before being rejected hard, shedding more than 2,000 points into the Asia handover. The drop has sliced through both EMA(20) and EMA(50) on H1 with RSI(14) now in the mid-30s, marking the first sustained loss of momentum this week. Bearish divergence printed on the 78,007 attempt — higher price, lower RSI versus the 77,861 push.
What it said to watch
Hold of 75,663 session low keeps the broader weekly uptrend intact
H1 close below 75,280 week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's structure
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 76,900 would neutralise the rejection read