EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 21 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.14575
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 3-month low.
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open near 1.1590, with the dominant leg driven by the Fed's hawkish hold that dragged the pair to 3-month lows at 1.1417. Price bounced off that low into Friday and stabilised, but the recovery stalled below the 1.1480 area and RSI has cooled back near 44 after lifting out of oversold. Buyers stepped in around 1.1454 several times; that floor and the 1.1462 EMA20 cap frame this week's late-week balance.
Support: 1.1454, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1454 reopens a retest of the 1.1417 week low
Reclaim above 1.1480 needed to challenge the downtrend's lower-high sequence
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 1.14575
Lower highs since FOMC, drifting back toward week low.
EUR/USD slid from above 1.1600 to 3-month lows near 1.1417 this week after the Fed's hawkish hold lifted DXY to a one-year high. A short-cover bounce stalled at 1.1480 and price has rolled back under the H1 EMA(20) at 1.1465 into thin Juneteenth-holiday trade. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, with the pair grinding back toward the 1.1454 swing low.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1454
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1417 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens the week's downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1465 ema20 and 1.1480 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14542
Lower highs, holding above week low.
The Fed's hawkish hold drove EUR/USD from above 1.1600 down to 3-month lows near 1.1417 across Wednesday's NY session. The oversold bounce stalled at the 1.14803 swing high and price has since slid back below EMA20 near 1.1465, trading at 1.1454 on a thin Sunday open. Structure stays heavy — lower highs intact, week low at 1.14175 still the line defending a fresh leg down.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1411
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.14803
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14175 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1411 3mo low
Reclaim of the 1.14803 swing high needed to ease the downtrend
Lagarde speeches Mon and EZ flash PMIs Tue could shift this read
EURUSD has been in a clear downtrend since Monday's open above 1.1590, with the Fed's hawkish hold driving the slide to 3-month lows near 1.1418 mid-week. Price has consolidated since, basing above the swing low and recovering RSI(14) off oversold, but rallies have stalled into the 1.1476-1.1487 band and price sits back below EMA20. The 1.1442-1.1476 range has framed the last day of trade.
Support: 1.14415, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1487
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14175 confirms a fresh lower low
H1 close above 1.14870 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lagarde speeches Mon and EZ flash PMIs Tue could shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.14709
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 1.1417.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.159 and unwound hard after Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot-plot, sliding to 3-month lows at 1.1417 by Friday. Price has since clawed back above the H1 EMA(20) around 1.1462 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the low 50s. The recent swing high near 1.1486 caps the bounce, while the 1.1528 prior high marks the broader lower-high band.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1486, 1.1528
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1486 swing high would extend the short-cover bounce toward 1.1528
Failure to hold 1.1417 week low confirms a fresh lower low
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.14709
3-month low printed, higher lows since.
EUR/USD was hammered from 1.1619 to a 3-month low at 1.1417 mid-week after the Fed's hawkish hold lifted DXY to a one-year high. Since that low the pair has carved higher lows and reclaimed the H1 EMA(20), with RSI(14) lifting off oversold to mid-range as price grinds back toward 1.1487. The recovery still sits below the EMA(50), keeping it a corrective bounce within the weekly downtrend.
Support: 1.1457, 1.14175, 1.1427
Resistance: 1.14872, 1.1500, 1.15193
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14872 opens the path toward the 1.1500 round number
Failure to hold the rising higher-low line risks a retest of the 1.1417 week low
Lagarde speeches Mon and Eurozone flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read