EUR/USD has ground lower since Monday's session high at 1.1435, sliding to a weekly low of 1.1353 as the USD stayed firm into Wednesday's FOMC. A recovery attempt stalled at 1.1400 during yesterday's NY hours and price has drifted back to 1.1384; RSI(14) is cycling mid-range with no clear divergence. The pair is pinned between the 1.1400 cap and the 1.1353/1.1360 monthly-low floor.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1360, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 negates the lower-high sequence, opening 1.1418
Break below 1.1353 exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
FOMC decision Wed ~19h out is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from 1.1435 to a fresh weekly low at 1.1353 as the USD firmed broadly into Wednesday's FOMC. NY hours yesterday drove a corrective bounce back to 1.1400, but the round-number cap held and price is drifting back to 1.1384 on thin Asia flows. Lower highs remain intact and RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-line without a clear divergence.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 1.1353 week low opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
H1 close above 1.1418 prior high would break the sequence of lower highs
EUR/USD trended lower through the week toward the 1.1360 monthly low as a broadly firm USD stayed bid into Wednesday's FOMC. Twin lows at 1.1353–1.1356 held and price swept then reversed, rallying into the NY session to the 1.1400 cap before pulling back to 1.1389. RSA(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-range while price sits just above EMA20; the 1.1400/1.1418 zone continues to cap recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1402 opens the path back toward the 1.1418 week high
Failure to hold 1.1361 reopens the 1.1353 week low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid to a fresh monthly low near 1.1353 this week as a firm USD stayed bid into Wednesday's FOMC. Demand stepped in there and a NY-session bounce reached 1.14001 before the round number capped it, leaving price back near EMA(20) around 1.1389 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-range. Lower highs off 1.14177 keep the broader H1 slope down despite the corrective lift.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Failure to hold 1.13530 weekly low opens the 1.13240 ytd low
H1 close above 1.14177 week high would break the lower-high sequence
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.13857
Lower highs, holding above 1.1353.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1409 and sold off to a 1.1353 low as the dollar reasserted into Wednesday's FOMC. Price bounced back to the 1.1400 cap, where it was rejected, and now sits around 1.1386 — right at the 38.2% retrace of the week's decline. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s off oversold, with the descending sequence of lower highs still intact.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.1400 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1353 opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, failing repeatedly under 1.1400 and sliding to a fresh monthly low at 1.1353 as USD reasserted strength into the FOMC. An NY-session recovery spiked back to 1.1400 but faded into the close, leaving price hovering near EMA(20) with RSI(14) stuck around 47. The 1.1400/1.1418 zone remains the capping resistance while 1.1353 marks this week's floor.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of 1.1400/1.1418 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read via USD
EUR/USD is grinding at monthly lows, capped by a sequence of lower highs since Monday's 1.14177 peak as the dollar holds YTD highs into the FOMC. Yesterday's NY-session bounce off 1.1353 stalled at 1.14018 and faded back to 1.1387, leaving price pinned near EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range. The 1.1353 floor and the 1.1324 YTD magnet frame downside; 1.14018 caps the recovery.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.14018, 1.14177
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 opens the path to the 1.1324 YTD low
Reclaim of 1.14018 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has ground lower through the week off the 1.14354 high, printing a chain of lower highs into fresh monthly lows near 1.1353 as the USD stayed bid ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The NY session drove a sharp recovery back to 1.14018 before supply capped it, leaving price at 1.13872 back below the descending resistance. RSI(14) has recovered toward the mid-50s on the bounce but the broader lower-high structure is intact.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.14018, 1.1414
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14018 bounce high would break the descending lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13530 week low confirms a lower low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower all week off Monday's 1.1418 rejection, printing a fresh low at 1.1353 before a NY-session bounce reclaimed EMA20 and pushed back to 1.1402 — the pair filling its weekly-open gap as USD firmed into FOMC. RSI(14) has cycled back toward 53 from oversold territory, but the sequence of lower highs into 1.1418 keeps the broader downtrend intact. Price now sits at 1.1387, mid-range between the week low and the bounce high.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1372, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1324 ytd low
Rejection at 1.1402/1.1418 keeps the lower-high structure intact
FOMC Wed is the dominant risk and could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 52 · price 1.1387
Lower highs, testing weekly lows.
EUR/USD has ground out a chain of lower highs since Monday's 1.1418 rejection, sliding to a fresh swing low at 1.1353 before this NY-session bounce back toward the EMA20. USD strength into Wednesday's FOMC has kept the 1.1360 monthly low pivot in play; the recovery to 1.1401 stalled and price is drifting back with RSI(14) hovering near the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of 1.1401 bounce high would ease the lower-high pressure toward 1.1418 monday high
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.13898
Lower highs into monthly low, near-term recovery.
EURUSD drifted lower through the week off the 1.1435 week high, printing fresh monthly lows at 1.1353 as the USD held firm into the FOMC. Demand stepped in during the NY session, lifting the pair back to 1.1402 before it faded to 1.1390, now sitting just above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold. The 1.14020 area capped the bounce and remains the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1372, 1.13615, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1414, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14020 opens the path back toward 1.14140
Failure to hold 1.13530 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1324 YTD magnet
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this USD-driven read
EUR/USD spent the week grinding lower from 1.1435 into a fresh weekly low at 1.1353, with USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC. A NY-session bounce twice held the 1.1353/1.1365 area and lifted price back above the EMA20 toward the 1.1400 round number, where the rally faded. Price now sits mid-range around 1.1390 with RSI recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1365, 1.1373
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 round number opens the path to the 1.1418 monday high
Loss of 1.1353 weekly low resumes the downtrend toward the YTD magnet
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1390 and ground lower into Tuesday, printing fresh monthly lows at 1.1353 as the dollar held firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Twin lows at 1.1356/1.1353 held and the NY session drove a recovery back through EMA20 to the 1.1400 psych level, which capped Monday's rally at 1.1418. RSI has cycled back to the high-50s off the lows, but the week's structure still leans lower until 1.1418 is reclaimed.
Support: 1.1372, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1324 YTD low
Close above 1.1418 week high invalidates the downtrend read
EUR/USD spent the week grinding lower, marking a fresh monthly low at 1.1353 before demand stepped in twice through the NY session, driving a corrective bounce back above EMA(20). The 1.1400 round number and Monday's 1.1418 rejection high remain the caps on this recovery, with the 1.1324 YTD low still the downside magnet. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold into the mid-50s as price reclaimed both EMAs.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk and can reset this read entirely
H1 close above 1.1418 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1353 opens the path to the 1.1324 YTD low
Lower highs into monthly low, sharp bounce testing 1.1400.
EUR/USD spent the week grinding to a monthly low near 1.1362 and printed a week low at 1.1353 before a sharp NY-session recovery lifted price back to the 1.1400 round number. Price now trades above EMA(20) near 1.1375 with RSI(14) climbing off the lows; the 1.1400/1.1418 resistance zone that capped rallies all week is the immediate test. USD caution into Wednesday's FOMC is behind the bounce.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1362, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1418 resistance would negate the soft weekly read
Failure to hold EMA20 near 1.1375 reopens the 1.1362 monthly low and 1.1353 week low
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side driver and could reshape this read
Lower highs into week low, sharp bounce retesting resistance.
EUR/USD ground lower off Monday's 1.1435 area into a 1.1353 week low as the USD held firm ahead of FOMC, but the last three hours of the NY session drove a sharp bounce back to 1.1400. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting toward 63, and the 1.1400/1.1418 zone that capped earlier attempts is back in play. Twin lows near 1.1353-1.1356 form a short-term base into midweek.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1353, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1418 invalidates the soft this-week read
Failure to hold 1.1362 monthly low opens the mid-1.1300s
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver into the next sessions
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from the 1.1435 area to a monthly low near 1.1355 as the USD firmed into Wednesday's FOMC. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1355–1.1380 band beneath a stacked EMA20/EMA50, with the 1.1400/1.1418 zone repeatedly capping rally attempts this week. RSI is cycling in the mid-40s, reflecting the compression rather than fresh downside pressure.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1355
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
H1 close below 1.1355 confirms a lower-low and opens the mid-1.1300s
EUR/USD has ground lower since Monday's session, carving lower highs off 1.1435 and now basing just above the 1.1362 monthly low with price pinned under EMA20 and EMA50. The mid-1.1350s printed a fresh swing low before a shallow bounce; the 1.1400 round level and the 1.1418 week high have repeatedly capped rallies. Move reflects a firm USD parking risk into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1353 confirms a lower low and opens the mid-1.1300s
Reclaim of 1.1385 EMA20 would ease the downside pressure
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and can reset this read
13:00 UTC
Downtrend, pinned at lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13638
Lower highs, testing monthly low.
EUR/USD has ground lower all week off the 1.14354 high, giving back Monday's pop and now sitting on the 1.1362 monthly low with price capped below EMA20 near 1.1375. USD held bid into FOMC while repeated attempts above 1.1400/1.1418 were rejected, keeping structure a clean series of lower highs. RSI(14) is holding the low-40s, tracking the drift rather than showing a divergence.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1350, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1375, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
Decisive H1 close below 1.1350 confirms a break of the monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
12:00 UTC
Downtrend, near monthly lows · RSI 36 · price 1.13601
Lower highs and lower lows, testing 1.1353 support.
EUR/USD has trended lower since the week's open, sliding from the 1.1418 rejection toward the monthly low at 1.1353 as the USD held firm into the FOMC decision. Price is pinned below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each intraday bounce capped near 1.1380, and RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s. The German IFO beat drew no lasting bid, confirming the pair is trading on USD tone rather than Eurozone data.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1353 confirms a fresh lower low into the mid-1.1300s
H1 close back above 1.1380 would challenge the run of lower highs
EUR/USD has trended lower since the midweek 1.14177 high, printing successive lower highs and breaking below the 1.1368–1.1378 range that held early in the week. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, pressing the 1.1350 monthly low with EUR pinned as USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Rallies into the mid-1.1370s and 1.1400 have been rejected repeatedly.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13551
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1350 confirms a break of the monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1400/1.14177 would negate the lower-high structure
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13725
Lower highs into a base above the monthly low.
EUR has been in a downtrend since Tuesday's rejection near 1.1435, giving back the risk-on spike and pinning just above the 1.1350 monthly low. The weekend gap up to 1.1390 was faded back into the range, and price is now consolidating 1.1362–1.1380 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 1.1380 session high has capped bounces while the 1.1362 swing low is holding as base.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1350 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.13800 session high shifts the near-term structure back up toward 1.1400
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has ground lower since Monday's open near 1.1390, printing a week low at 1.13615 as the USD clawed back its post-Durable-Goods softness ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price is basing on a double bottom around 1.1362-1.1365 with a mild bullish RSI divergence, but the 1.1400-1.1418 cap flagged in the EUR read has kept every recovery attempt shallow. Sitting just above EMA(20) and below EMA(50) into the decision.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1367, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13615 confirms a lower-low and voids the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.1380 needed before the 1.1400 psych cap comes back into play
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant cross-market risk and can reset this read
EURUSD rolled over from Monday's 1.1414 high, grinding lower through the week's sessions to base around the 1.1370 pivot. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering sub-45, and the 1.1400/1.1418 resistance cap has stayed untested since the rejection. Demand stepped in at 1.1362 into the NY close, holding the week low.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13615
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Loss of 1.1362 week low opens fresh EUR weakness
H1 close above 1.1380 prior high needed to challenge the 1.1400 resist cap
EUR/USD has printed lower highs since Monday's gap-up open at 1.1390, with the week high near 1.1418 rejected and price sliding back under EMA(20). The pair now grinds in a 1.1362–1.1380 band as USD firms into Wednesday's FOMC, holding above the 1.1362 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, flattening rather than accelerating, matching the digest's read of shallow EUR gains capped below 1.1400.
Support: 1.13615
Resistance: 1.13798, 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1400 invalidates the sub-1.14 cap and lower-high sequence
Break below 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant USD driver for this read
EUR/USD has ground lower since Monday's open, each rally rejected below the 1.1385/1.1400 shelf as a firmer USD capped the pair. Price sits under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mired in the low 40s, and the last few bars are consolidating just above the 1.13615 week low. Terms-of-trade drag has kept EUR pinned sub-1.1400 despite the hawkish ECB narrative.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.14177
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
H1 close back above 1.1400 range top neutralises the bearish read
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD driver and can reset this structure
EUR/USD faded from Monday's 1.1418 pop and has printed steady lower highs back toward the week's base at 1.1362, capped repeatedly below the 1.1400 pivot as the USD held firm pre-Fed. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the low 40s, and the last few sessions have compressed into a tight range just above 1.1362. Demand stepped in at 1.13615 to hold the recent low into the FOMC wait.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13903, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.13903 weekly open reopens the 1.1400/1.14138 cap zone
Break below 1.13615 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
EUR/USD gapped up to the 1.1390 weekly open at Monday's session start, then bled lower all week under a sequence of lower highs, now pressing the 1.13615 week low. The slide fits a firm USD and pre-Fed caution, with hawkish-ECB/IFO support failing to lift the euro back through 1.1400. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) subdued in the low 40s.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13903, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver — could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.13615 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
H1 close back above 1.13800 challenges the lower-high sequence
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 39 · price 1.13664
Lower highs, pressing week low.
EUR/USD gapped up to open the week near 1.1390 and pushed to 1.1414 before fading through the NY session toward this week's low at 1.1361. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40; the 1.1400 handle capped the rebound and the pair is now grinding on the lows into the Fed. Repeated rejection near 1.1400 keeps the bearish-flag breakdown intact per the broader read.
Support: 1.1361, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Close back above 1.1400 negates the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD has bled lower since the 1.14354 high early in the week, faded from the 1.1400/1.1418 resistance the desks have flagged and slipped under EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the low-1.1360s. RSI(14) sits near 41 and price is coiling in a tight session range just above the 1.13615 swing low, consistent with the bearish-flag read into the Fed. The 1.1372 pivot has capped the last recovery attempts during NY hours.
Support: 1.13615, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1380, 1.1400
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1380 would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.13615 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC decision Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD has drifted lower since Monday's open, fading from the 1.14138 week high as USD firmed into the Fed, and price now sits pinned near the 1.13636 week low. The 1.1380 hourly cap has held on each bounce while RSI(14) cycles in the low 40s; the digest's bearish-flag breakdown toward 1.1369 has largely played out, with price consolidating in a tight range just above the low. The 1.1400 pivot remains the level the market has repeatedly failed to reclaim.
Support: 1.13636, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1400, 1.14138
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot negates the downside pressure
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1418 open-week pop as the USD rebounded pre-Fed, unwinding the whole move to print a week low near 1.1366. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1366–1.1378 band through the Asia session, holding under a descending line of lower highs with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s. The 1.1400 pivot and 1.1385 lower high cap; the 1.1369 area flagged in the digest is being tested directly.
Support: 1.1366, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1400 pivot would invalidate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.1366 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1350
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD has printed a steady sequence of lower highs since Monday's 1.1435 open, fading from the 1.1418 weekly cap after the risk-on pop faded and the USD firmed pre-Fed. Price is now coiling in a tight range above the 1.1366 week low, with buyers stepping in twice around there to hold a double bottom, and RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s. The 1.1400 pivot and EMA50 near 1.1385 cap the upside while price hugs the EMA20.
Support: 1.1373, 1.1366
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1366 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot needed to challenge the 1.1418 weekly cap
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this range
Consolidation near week lows after impulsive drop.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1418 open-week cap and slid through the NY session into the 1.1366 swing low, with USD firming pre-Fed and the IFO beat drawing no lasting EUR bid. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1367–1.1378 band beneath the flattened EMA20, RSI(14) basing in the mid-40s. The 1.1400 pivot and 1.1385 EMA50 area capped every attempt higher this week.
Support: 1.1366, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1366 confirms a lower-low and extends the downside marker toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot invalidates the consolidation-lower read
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD gapped higher into Monday's open toward 1.1414 but faded through London and NY hours as the dollar firmed pre-Fed, drifting back to weekly lows near 1.1366. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1366-1.1378 base through the Asia session, reclaiming the EMA20 on a modest bounce while the EMA50 near 1.1385 still caps. Structure remains a series of lower highs off the weekly-open push.
Support: 1.1366, 1.1345
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 1.1400 pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1366 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1345 range floor
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD gapped up to the 1.1390 weekly open and popped to 1.1418 at the week's start, but faded through the London and NY sessions as the USD firmed on pre-Fed caution and a holding Iran truce. Price has since based in a tight 1.1367–1.1378 range, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s. The 1.1400 pivot capped every attempt higher this week.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
H1 close above 1.1400 would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1364 confirms continuation lower
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13723
Lower highs, coiling near week low.
EUR/USD opened this week near 1.1390 and spiked to 1.1414 on Tuesday before rolling over, with the 1.1400 pivot capping every attempt as the USD firmed. Price has since drifted back to the week low near 1.1367 and is coiling in a tight Asian range below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits mid-40s, matching the flat, sub-pivot structure.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.1400 pivot invalidates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13670 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.13640
EUR failed to hold above the 1.1400 pivot at Monday's open and rolled over through the week, printing lower highs into the 1.1366 area as the USD firmed. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, coiling in a tight sub-1.1375 range with RSI(14) mid-40s. The 1.1364 swing low is the pivot capping the decline; supply has capped each bounce beneath the falling EMA20.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1345
Resistance: 1.1378, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower low toward 1.1345
Reclaim and hold above 1.1400 needed to neutralise the down-leg
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and EZ GDP Thu are dominant catalysts for this range
EUR faded from Monday's 1.1418 high back toward the weekly low near 1.1367 through the London-NY hours, printing steady lower highs and trading below EMA20 and EMA50. Price has since compressed into a tight 1.1367–1.1374 band during the Asia session, with RSI(14) flattening in the low-40s. The move fits the two-way, fragile-euro read as the pair failed to hold 1.14+ ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1367 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.1363
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision Wednesday can materially reset this read
EUR opened this week near 1.1403 and has carved lower highs, capped at 1.14138 in the NY session before rolling back toward the week low. A weekend gap higher was fully retraced, leaving price basing in the 1.1364-1.1374 zone below EMA20 (~1.1385) with RSI mid-40s. Two-way tone into FOMC as easing Middle East risk and sub-$90 oil trimmed the USD safe-haven bid but demand hasn't reclaimed the 1.14 handle.
Support: 1.13663, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.14138, 1.14354
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1385 EMA20 challenges the lower-high sequence
EUR has drifted lower through the new week, rejecting the 1.14138–1.14177 area early Monday and printing successive lower highs and lower lows into the current 1.1367 session low. Price sits below the H1 EMA20 (~1.1381) with RSI(14) subdued in the high-30s, and the last few bars have gone flat just above the week low at 1.13636. The USD held firm into the FOMC week, capping the EUR recovery attempts flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.1367, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1381, 1.14138, 1.14177
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13636 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of EMA20 (~1.1381) needed to challenge the descending highs
FOMC decision Wednesday could materially shift this read
EUR rolled over from the 1.1414 week high posted early in Monday's session, printing a clean series of lower highs into the NY hours and trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The weekend gap higher was faded through, and price is now pressing the 1.1364-1.1370 support cluster flagged as the fade target. RSI(14) sits near 36, softening but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1364 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot needed to stall the lower-high sequence