GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Range after NY fade, lower highs · RSI 55 · price 1.34198
Lower highs from 1.3432 into a flat 1.3407 floor.
London cleared the Asian range (1.3396–1.3417) and the NY session printed the session high at 1.3432 before fading, with a lower high at 1.3428 and a range floor at 1.3407. US midterm headlines after 23:00 UTC drove a spike high at 1.3424 that met rejection, leaving price mid-range near 1.3420 with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3424, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3424 spike high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 1.3428 lower high and 1.3432 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3407 range floor exposes the 1.3403 london low and the 1.3400 handle
Overnight Senate control call could materially shift this read; ATR near 4.5 pips understates headline risk
23:32 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower since NY peak · RSI 46 · price 1.34138
Lower highs from 1.3432 day high, holding 1.3407-1.3408 lows.
The NY day high at 1.3432 was rejected after the JOLTS beat, and the 1.3428 swing high since then has formed a lower high. Early Asia is pinned near a flat EMA20 at 1.3414. Demand has held the 1.3407-1.3408 swing low twice, including after the daily-open gap, ahead of US midterm results.
Support: 1.3408, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432, 1.3435
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3408 swing low exposes the 1.3403 London low, then the 1.3396 Asian low
Recovery above the 1.3428 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 1.3432 day high and 1.3435 range cap back in play
US midterm results overnight, especially the Senate call, could materially shift this read during Asia
ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC Wednesday are the next scheduled USD catalysts
23:17 UTC
Range, drifting lower after NY · RSI 36 · price 1.3408
Lower highs inside 1.3403–1.3432 day range.
The NY push to the 1.3432 day high faded as strong JOLTS and Factory Orders trimmed USD losses. A run of lower highs has since pressed price onto the 1.3407 ny low, with the london low at 1.3403 just beneath. RSI(14) near 36 and ATR under 4 pips reflect thin post-NY trade as US midterm results start to land.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3418, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close below the london low at 1.3403 breaks the day's range floor and exposes the asia low at 1.3396
Recovery above the 1.3418 lower high, then the 1.3428 swing high, negates the lower-highs sequence; the 1.3432 day high caps the range
US midterm results landing now (Senate call) could materially shift this read in thin early-Asia liquidity
23:01 UTC
Drifting lower off the NY rebound high · RSI 36 · price 1.34084
Lower highs since 18:00 UTC, pressing the JOLTS low at the start of Asia.
The US JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC knocked GBPUSD off the 1.3432 session high to the 1.3407 JOLTS low. The NY rebound stalled at the 1.3428 NY high, and price has since bled lower on falling highs, through the 1.3418 NY range top and the rollover. It now sits at the 61.8% retracement of the Asian low to session high move, just above the JOLTS low, with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR down to roughly 4 pips.
Support: 1.34068, 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34177, 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3407 JOLTS low exposes the 1.3403 London low, then the 1.3396 Asian low
Reclaiming the 1.3418 NY range top breaks the late-NY lower-high trendline
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
US ADP at 13:15 UTC Wed is the next scheduled USD catalyst
Lower highs off the 1.3432 day high, inside a 1.3396–1.3432 day range.
The NY push to the 1.3432 day high was rejected after the 15:00 UTC US beats on JOLTS and factory orders. Since then a chain of lower highs, from the 1.3428 NY pm high down to 1.3416, has brought price back to 1.3410, at the 61.8% day-range fib, in thin post-rollover Asia session trade. The NY low at 1.3407 sits just below, with the London low at 1.3403 and the Asia low at 1.3396 under it.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could push the USD leg through the 1.3396–1.3432 day range in thin Asia session liquidity
Failure to hold the NY low at 1.3407 and the London low at 1.3403 extends the lower-high sequence toward the Asia low at 1.3396
A close back above the lower-high line near 1.3416, then the 1.3428 NY pm high, neutralises the fade from the day high
22:31 UTC
Intraday range, fading from day high · RSI 37 · price 1.34118
Lower highs since NY peak, NY low holding.
After a rejection at the 1.3432 day high in NY hours, GBPUSD has printed lower highs at 1.3428 and 1.3418 into the rollover, with the 1.3407 NY low still holding. Price sits under both EMAs between the 50% and 61.8% of the asian low to day high move, after Tuesday's US data beats (JOLTS, Factory Orders) capped the pair.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3418, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3407 ny low exposes the 1.3403 london low and the 1.3396 asian low
Close above the 1.3418 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the fade sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
22:17 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower after NY high · RSI 46 · price 1.34112
Lower highs since the 1.3432 day high; jolts low at 1.3407 holding.
The 1.3432 day high was rejected after the US JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC. The jolts low at 1.3407 held, but the NY pm high at 1.3428 was a lower high, and post-NY trade has drifted in a tight sequence of lower highs to 1.3418. Price is sitting between the 50% and 61.8% of the asian low–day high move into rollover, with RSI neutral and ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3418, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin post-NY liquidity
An M15 close below the 1.3407 jolts low opens the 1.3403 london low, then the 1.3396 asian low
An M15 close above the 1.3418 lower high breaks the lower-highs line; 1.3428 ny pm high and 1.3432 day high sit overhead
22:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower after NY highs · RSI 40 · price 1.34139
Range 1.3407–1.3432, lower highs since the double rejection at day high.
London broke above the Asian range, but NY was rejected twice at the 1.3431–1.3432 day high, and the 18:15 UTC lower high at 1.3428 has capped price since. Post-NY trade is compressing around 1.3414, the 50% retrace of the Asian low to day high move, with the late low at 1.3412 holding ahead of the US midterm results.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a Senate flip is the USD-negative tail
M15 close below the 1.3412 late low exposes the 1.3407 NY low, then the 1.3403 London low
M15 close above the 1.3428 lower high breaks the trendline and reopens the 1.3432 day high
21:46 UTC
Sideways, fading from NY session high · RSI 48 · price 1.34147
Lower high under 1.3432, price back inside Asian range.
London and NY both cleared the 1.3417 Asian high, but NY was rejected at the 1.3432 session high and printed a 1.3428 lower high as the US JOLTS and factory orders beats firmed USD. After NY close price is back under the Asian high in a tight 1.3412–1.3418 drift at the 50% of the day's 1.3396–1.3432 range, with RSI(14) near 48 and ATR(14) around 4.4 pips.
Support: 1.3412, 1.3407, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, landing in thin post-NY liquidity, could materially shift this read
Close back above the 1.3417 Asian high and the 1.3428 lower high reopens the 1.3432 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3412 late low exposes the 1.3407 NY low and the 1.3403 London low
Lower high at 1.3428 under 1.3432 day high; late low 1.3412 held twice.
London broke the Asian range high near 1.3417 and NY set a 1.3432 day high, rejected when the strong US JOLTS beat hit the pair down to the 1.3407 JOLTS low. The rebound capped at a 1.3428 swing high, a lower high, and price is now drifting after the NY close, holding the 1.3412 late low twice near the 61.8% of the JOLTS swing fib, with EMA20 and EMA50 just overhead.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
M15 close below the 1.3412 late low exposes the 1.3407 JOLTS low, then the 1.3403 London low
Close above the 1.3428 swing high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 1.3432 day high back in play
21:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum fading after NY spike · RSI 42 · price 1.34138
Converging lower highs and higher lows, compressing below 1.3420.
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.3417 and NY extended to a 1.3432 day high. The JOLTS beat at 15:00 UTC drove a rejection back to the 1.3407 JOLTS low. Since then, lower highs from 1.3432 to the 1.3428 lower high and higher lows from the 1.3403 London low have compressed price toward the 1.3412 late NY low, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR down to about 5 pips.
Support: 1.3412, 1.3407, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3412 late NY low and the 1.3407 JOLTS low would break the higher-low chain toward the 1.3403 London low
A close above the 1.3428 lower high reopens the 1.3432 day high
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the compression during Asia
ADP at 13:15 UTC Wed is the next USD data test
21:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 41 · price 1.34125
Lower highs below 1.3432 day high, holding above post-JOLTS low.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3396–1.3417) and NY extended to a 1.3432 day high. Price was rejected when the 15:00 UTC JOLTS and factory orders beats lifted USD, and the drop held at the 1.3407 jobs low. Late NY has printed a lower high at 1.3428 and is drifting at the 1.3412 late low, below the 61.8% retrace of the London-to-day-high leg, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the Asia session
M15 close below the 1.3412 late low exposes the 1.3407 jobs low, then the 1.3403 london low
Recovery above the 1.3428 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3432 day high
Lower highs from 1.3432 day high, higher lows from 1.3407; range contracting.
London and NY both cleared the Asian range high near 1.3417, but NY was rejected at the 1.3432 day high and the 18:30 UTC bounce stalled at a lower high of 1.3428. Price is now compressing between that lower-high line and rising lows at the 1.3407 NY low and 1.3412 late low, sitting on the flat EMAs. Firm US data (JOLTS, factory orders) capped rallies ahead of tonight's midterm results.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3412 late low breaks the rising-low line and exposes the 1.3407 NY low, then the 1.3403 london low
Close above the 1.3428 lower high reopens the 1.3432 day high
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the compression either way and widen ranges
20:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum fading into late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.34167
London-NY range 1.3403–1.3432, lower highs and higher lows compressing.
The 1.3432 day high was rejected at the US data release when the JOLTS beat (7.52M vs 7.13M f/c) lifted USD, dropping price to the 1.3407 jolts low. Since then a 1.3428 lower high and a 1.3412 swing low have compressed price just under flat EMAs in the post-NY lull. RSI(14) is neutral near 45 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324, 1.3448
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the compression either way and widen ranges in the Asia session
M15 close above the 1.3428 lower high and 1.3432 day high reopens the 1.3448 6-week high
Failure to hold the 1.3412 swing low and higher lows line exposes the 1.3407 jolts low, then the 1.3396 asian low
20:16 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.34147
Lower high at 1.3428 under the 1.3432 session high; range 1.3407–1.3432.
NY printed a 1.3432 session high before the JOLTS and factory orders beats at 15:00 UTC knocked GBP back to the 1.3407 data low. The 18:00 UTC rebound was rejected at a lower high of 1.3428, and price now sits on the 61.8% retrace near 1.3415, just under the asian high at 1.3417, with RSI(14) at 45.
Support: 1.34118, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3412 recent low exposes the 1.3407 data low, then the 1.3403 london low
Reclaiming the 1.3417 asian high and the lower-high trendline would neutralise the late-NY fade
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the 1.3407–1.3432 range in thin Asia liquidity
Session high at 1.3432 caps the range; a close above it ends the lower-high sequence
20:01 UTC
Intraday range, fading off a lower high · RSI 46 · price 1.34148
NY range 1.3407–1.3432, lower high at 1.3428, price back under Asian high.
London broke the Asian high at 1.3417 and NY ran to a 1.3432 session high before rejection dropped price to the 1.3407 NY low, with US JOLTS and Factory Orders beats trimming USD losses. The rebound stalled at a lower high near 1.3428, and price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of that bounce, just under the Asian high, with RSI(14) neutral and EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3417 asian high and the descending line off the session high reopens 1.3428–1.3432
Failure to hold the 1.3407 ny low breaks the NY range and exposes the 1.3396 asian low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, with Senate control the key unknown, could materially shift this read in Asia hours
19:46 UTC
Range, fading from a lower high · RSI 45 · price 1.34156
NY range 1.3407–1.3432, lower high at 1.3428.
London broke above the Asian range, and NY printed a 1.3432 day high before the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats knocked GBPUSD back to the 1.3407 NY low. Late in NY, the rebound stalled at a 1.3428 lower high under the falling trendline. Price is now sitting on the 61.8% fib near 1.3415 and just above the 1.3411 higher low, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) at 45.
Support: 1.3411, 1.3407, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3411 higher low puts the 1.3407 NY low and 1.3403 London low in play
Close above the 1.3428 lower high breaks the falling trendline and reopens the 1.3432 day high
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC overnight could materially shift this read during the Asia session
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) Wed are the next scheduled USD risks
19:31 UTC
Range-bound, momentum fading late NY · RSI 52 · price 1.34172
London-NY range 1.3403–1.3432, lower high after JOLTS spike.
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.3417 and NY spiked to a 1.3432 day high, rejected as the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats sent price to the 1.3407 jolts low. The late-NY rebound stalled at a 1.3428 lower high, and price is back at the 50% fib of that bounce, just above the 1.3415 pivot low.
Support: 1.3415, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3407 jolts low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 1.3403 london low
Close above the 1.3428 lower high reopens the 1.3432 day high
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during Asia
19:16 UTC
Range-bound, rising lows · RSI 56 · price 1.3421
Compression between 1.3407 and 1.3432; lower high at 1.3428.
First hours of NY rejected twice at the 1.3431–1.3432 day high. Price then held the 1.3407 NY low on the rising trendline from the Asian low as JOLTS and Factory Orders beats trimmed USD weakness. After London close the recovery leg stalled at a lower high of 1.3428 and pulled back to its 50% fib near 1.3418, with price compressing around 1.3420 and RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.3418, 1.3407, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3432 day high clears both NY rejections and opens the path toward the 1.3435–1.3450 band
Break of the 1.3418 50% fib exposes the 1.3407 NY low and the rising trendline
Loss of the 1.3403 london low breaks the higher-low chain from the Asian session
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC can move USD during the Asia session; BoE Thursday 12:00 UTC is the larger event risk
19:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since NY dip · RSI 56 · price 1.34236
Higher-low chain inside 1.3396–1.3432 day range.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3417 early. NY was capped twice at the 1.3432 day high, and the strong US JOLTS and factory orders beats at 15:00 knocked price to the 1.3407 jolts low. Since then, late NY has built a higher-low trendline through the 1.3415 higher low and 1.3420 swing low, and price is holding just above the 61.8% retrace of that NY drop (ny drop fib) after a rejection at the 1.3428 late ny high.
Support: 1.34199, 1.34151, 1.34068
Resistance: 1.34277, 1.34324
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3420 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and puts the 1.3415 higher low in focus
Close above the 1.3428 late ny high retests the 1.3432 day high; acceptance above it extends the day range
Loss of the 1.3407 jolts low reopens the Asian range below 1.3400
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC tonight could materially shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
18:46 UTC
Range-bound, mild recovery off NY low · RSI 59 · price 1.34225
Higher lows from 1.3407 beneath a 1.3428 lower high and the 1.3432 session high.
London cleared the 1.3417 asian high and NY printed a session high at 1.3432, where it was rejected twice before dropping to the 1.3407 ny low. Rising lows have since lifted price back to 1.3422 in late NY under a 1.3428 swing high. Strong US JOLTS trimmed USD losses and trade stayed flat into the midterms; RSI(14) sits near 59.
Support: 1.3418, 1.3407, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising lows line and the 1.3418 asian high reopens the 1.3407 ny low
Close above the 1.3428 swing high puts the 1.3432 session high back in play; acceptance above it breaks the day's range top
Loss of the 1.3407 ny low leaves the 1.3396 asian low as the day's floor
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC tonight could materially shift this read during the Asia session
Higher lows inside a 1.3396–1.3432 day range; session high rejected twice.
London broke above the Asian range, and lows have stepped higher from the asia low at 1.3396 to the london low at 1.3403 and the ny low at 1.3407. NY was rejected twice at the 1.3431–32 session high even after the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats. A late NY push stalled at the 1.3428 late high, with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3428, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3432 session high breaks the range top
Failure to hold the 1.3407 ny low breaks the rising-lows sequence, putting the 1.3403 london low in play
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could reset the range overnight
US ADP and ISM Services on Wednesday are the next USD catalysts
London broke above the Asian range, and NY extended to a 1.3432 session high. The JOLTS beat then drove a rejection to the 1.3407 jolts low, holding above the 1.3403 london low. Since then a chain of rising lows has carried price back to 1.3426 after London close, just under the session high, with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR(14) around 7 pips.
Support: 1.34178, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34324, 1.3435
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3432 session high opens the 1.3435 6-week cap zone
Failure to hold the 1.3418 higher low breaks the rising-lows sequence back toward the 1.3407 jolts low
Loss of the 1.3403 london low flips the session structure lower
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the Asian low, capped below the 1.3432 day high.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3396–1.3417). NY printed a 1.3432 day high before the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats at 15:00 UTC knocked the pair back to a post-JOLTS low of 1.3407. Since London close it has recovered on a higher low at 1.3411 but is stalling at the 61.8% fib near 1.3422, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 1.3411, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34222, 1.34324
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3422 (61.8% fib) reopens the 1.3432 day high
Loss of the 1.3411 higher low exposes the post-JOLTS low at 1.3407, then the London low at 1.3403
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could jolt the USD side during the Asia session
Late NY, after London close: GBPUSD is back mid-range at 1.3419. Supply capped price twice at the 1.3431–1.3432 session high, and the NY drop stalled at the 1.3407 NY low, still above the 1.3403 London low. The rebound has retraced about half that NY drop, with RSI(14) near 53, as midterm caution keeps the London range intact.
Support: 1.3411, 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34324
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3426 london high puts the 1.3432 session high back in play
Loss of the 1.3411 pullback low exposes the 1.3407 NY low; a break of the 1.3403 london low ends the higher-lows sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the session range during Asia hours
Higher lows since the Asian low; NY rejected at 1.3432, now mid-range.
London broke above the Asian range to a 1.3426 London high. NY then printed a 1.3432 session high that met rejection, and the drop held the 1.3407 NY low above the rising trendline from the 1.3396 Asian low. After London close, price has recovered to 1.3421, about 55% of the NY drop, with USD held up by the JOLTS and factory orders beats while traders wait on the midterms.
Support: 1.34068, 1.34028
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34324, 1.3435
What it said to watch
Close above the london high at 1.3426 reopens the 1.3432 session high and the 1.3435 cap
Failure to hold the ny low at 1.3407 breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low sequence, exposing the london low at 1.3403
Stalling near the 61.8% of the NY drop fib (~1.3422) keeps the rejection read in play
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the Asia session
17:16 UTC
Sideways-to-firm, higher lows under a flat top · RSI 51 · price 1.3420
Higher-low chain capped at the 1.3432 day high.
Lows have stepped up through the day, from the asia low at 1.3396 to the london low at 1.3403 and the ny low at 1.3407. Each push has stalled at the 1.3431–1.3432 day high, and the early-NY rejection from there has been retraced to about the 50% of the ny drop fib near 1.3420. After London close the pair is flat ahead of the US midterms, with strong US data (JOLTS, factory orders) offsetting GBP firmness. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is roughly 7–8 pips.
Support: 1.34068, 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34324, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3432 day high opens the 1.3435–1.3448 band (6wk high)
Break of the rising trendline and the ny low at 1.3407 ends the higher-low chain, with the london low at 1.3403 next
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
Higher lows inside 1.3396–1.3432 day range, mid-range late NY.
London and NY both cleared the Asian range, but the 1.3432 session high was rejected at 15:00 UTC as the JOLTS beat (7.52M vs 7.13M) lifted USD, sending price to the 1.3407 ny low. Rising lows from the 1.3396 asian low held, and late-NY price is stalling just under the 1.3420 fib 50% of that pullback, with RSI(14) neutral and ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 1.34068, 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34196, 1.34261, 1.34324
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3407 ny low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3403 london low
Acceptance above the 1.3420 fib 50% and the 1.3426 london high reopens the 1.3432 session high
Loss of the 1.3396 asian low takes out the floor of the 24h range
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY double top at 1.3432 rejected; price back mid-range above London low.
The NY rally from the 1.3403 London low cleared the 1.3426 London high but was rejected twice at 1.3431–1.3432, forming a double top. The pullback held the 1.3407 NY low, well above the 1.3396 Asian low, and price is flat near 1.3415 with RSI(14) neutral after firm JOLTS and Factory Orders trimmed USD losses.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3432 double top invalidates the rejection read
Break of the 1.3407 NY low exposes the 1.3403 London low and 1.3396 Asian low
Hold above the 1.3426 London high on a retest would revive the NY rally structure
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.3417 and NY pushed to a session high at 1.3432, but the push was rejected and pulled back to the ny low at 1.3407 despite firm US JOLTS and Factory Orders. Price is back on EMA20 at 1.3416 after London close, with lows rising since the asian low at 1.3396 and the london low at 1.3403.
Support: 1.34068, 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34324
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.3426 london high and then the 1.3432 session high would undo the NY rejection
A break of the 1.3407 ny low and 1.3403 london low cuts the rising lows trendline and turns the structure lower
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could reprice the dollar well beyond the ~9-pip ATR
A move toward the 1.3396 asian low would retrace the full Asian-low-to-NY-high fib leg
London broke the Asian range high near 1.3417 and ran to a 1.3426 London high. NY then printed a 1.3432 session high before beats in JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC knocked price back to a 1.3407 NY low. Lows have stepped up from the 1.3396 Asian low along a rising trendline, and after London close price is sitting on the 50% retracement of the Asian low to session high move near 1.3415.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3432, 1.3448
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3403 London low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 1.3432 session high clears two NY rejections and opens the 1.3448 6-week high
Failure to hold the 1.3407 NY low turns the 15:00 UTC rejection into a lower-high sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday range, downside momentum after NY rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.34081
False break above London high, NY leg almost fully retraced.
NY pushed through the london high at 1.3426 to a ny high of 1.3432, then the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats at 15:00 UTC triggered a reversal that has retraced nearly all of the ny leg to 1.3408. Price is back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 41, sitting just above the london low at 1.3403; the asian low at 1.3396 is the next reference beneath.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3403 london low breaks the session range and exposes the 1.3396 asian low
Recovery back above the 1.3426 london high would neutralise the false break read, with the 1.3432 ny high above it
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
Double top near 1.3432 within a 1.3396–1.3432 day range.
NY pushed through the london high at 1.3426 but was rejected twice at the ny high near 1.3431–1.3432 as the JOLTS and Factory Orders beats firmed USD. The pullback has erased most of the London-NY gain and returned price below the asian high at 1.3417, sitting near the 78.6% retracement with RSI(14) neutral at about 46 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3426, 1.3432
What it said to watch
A close back above the asian high at 1.3417 reopens the london high at 1.3426 and the 1.3432 ny high
A break below the london low at 1.3403 exposes the asian low at 1.3396 and removes the London-NY leg
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at 1.3432 session high, neckline 1.3413 lost.
NY session rejected the 1.3432 session high a second time and dropped after the 15:00 UTC US data beats (JOLTS 7.52M, Factory Orders +1.8%), slipping back through the 1.3413 neckline. Most of the climb from the 1.3403 London low has been retraced. Price is back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 45, and the day remains a 30-pip range above the 1.3396 Asian low.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3413, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3413 neckline negates the double top read
Failure to hold the 1.3403 london low exposes the 1.3396 asian low and the bottom of the day's range
Close above the 1.3432 session high breaks the range to the upside
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
False break above London high, double top at session high.
The NY session ran the 1.3426 London high up to a 1.3432 session high twice. The 15:00 UTC bar then reversed 14 pips, leaving a double top and a false break back at the 50% retrace of the 1.3403–1.3432 NY rally fib. Price is pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) near 54, and the 1.3413 NY low is the nearest shelf.
Support: 1.3413, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3432
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3426 london high reopens the 1.3432 session high
Break below the 1.3413 ny low confirms the double top and exposes the 1.3403 london low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asian low; NY high at 1.3431, shallow pullback holding.
London broke the 1.3396–1.3417 Asian range higher, and the first hour of NY cleared the 1.3426 london high to print a 1.3431 session high. Price has since retraced about 18 pips, and the pullback low at 1.3413 is holding near the NY leg fib 61.8% as a retest of the Asian range top. The higher-low chain off the rising trendline is intact; RSI(14) at 56 is neutral, with GBP firm into Thursday's BoE decision.
Support: 1.3413, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3431, 1.3435
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3431 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 1.3435 range cap
Loss of the 1.3413 pullback low exposes the 1.3403 london low and the rising trendline
A break under the 1.3396 asian low would invalidate the intraday higher-low structure
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher, NY-open spike rejected, pullback holding.
London broke above the 1.3396–1.3417 Asian range, and the NY open spiked to a 1.3431 session high before a rejection. The pullback is holding the 1.3413 ny low near the 61.8% fib while pre-midterm caution keeps price pinned under the 1.3427 prior high, RSI(14) neutral at 57.
Support: 1.3413, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.3431
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3431 session high clears the NY-open rejection and the 1.3427 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.3413 ny low exposes the 1.3403 london low, a double-touch base
A break of the higher-low line toward the 1.3396 asian low undoes the intraday breakout
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Range with higher lows, momentum neutral · RSI 55 · price 1.34195
Failed break above London high, back inside the day's range.
The NY open spiked through the london high (1.3426) to a session high at 1.3431, then failed and gave back about 62% of the NY rally to 1.3413. That ny open low has held twice ahead of JOLTS. The london lows at 1.3403 and the rising support off the asian low at 1.3396 frame the base of the day's range.
Support: 1.3413, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could break the 1.3413–1.3426 band either way
M15 close below 1.3413 (ny open low) exposes the london lows at 1.3403
M15 close back above 1.3426 (london high) negates the false break and reopens the session high at 1.3431
Break of the rising support from the asian low would end the higher-low sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are an overnight volatility risk
Higher lows off Asian low, false break above London high.
The NY open spike cleared the 1.3426 London high and tagged a 1.3431 session high, then met rejection back to a 1.3413 pullback low near the 61.8% retrace of the 1.3403–1.3431 leg. Price is holding mid-range above the 1.3403 London low as GBP stays firm into Thursday's BoE, with USD capped by pre-midterm caution.
Support: 1.3413, 1.3403, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34265, 1.34314
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3426 London high reopens the 1.3431 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3413 pullback low exposes the 1.3403 London low
Break of the 1.3396 Asian low invalidates the higher-low structure
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Intraday breakout higher in early NY session · RSI 66 · price 1.34282
NY open break above London range; new 24h high, pulling back slightly.
London held a 1.3403–1.3426 range above the Asian low, putting in a double bottom at the 1.3403 london low before the NY open. The first hour of NY cleared the london high and yesterday's 1.3427 peak to a 1.3431 ny high, with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR at about 7 pips. The NY leg fib 50% sits at the 1.3417 asian high, and the monday high at 1.3448 is the next level overhead.
Support: 1.3426, 1.3417, 1.3403
Resistance: 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3426 london high would mark the NY push as a false break inside the London range
M15 close above the 1.3431 ny high opens the path toward the 1.3448 monday high
Pullback holding the 1.3417 asian high, near the NY leg fib 50%, keeps the breakout structure intact
Loss of the 1.3403 london low invalidates the double bottom
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Early NY lifted GBPUSD out of the 1.3403–1.3426 London range. A double bottom at the London low gave way to a three-bar leg into yesterday's prior high at 1.3427, RSI(14) near 67. USD is range-bound ahead of JOLTS and tonight's midterms, which leaves room for the move, while the 6-week high at 1.3448 sits above.
Support: 1.3426, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3426 london high marks the break as a false break
Acceptance above the 1.3427 prior high opens the path to the 1.3448 6-week high
Loss of the 1.3403 london low negates the double bottom and exposes the 1.3396 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are an overnight volatility risk
Higher lows since Asia; NY breakout above London range.
The NY open lifted GBPUSD out of the 1.3403–1.3426 London range to 1.3427, pressing the prior high from Monday's session. RSI(14) is near 67. The London low at 1.3403 held twice on the rising lows line from the 1.3396 Asian low, and the 1.3448 6-week high is the next reference above.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3427 prior high clears the way toward the 1.3448 6-week high
Slip back inside the London range below 1.3415 would mark the breakout as a false break
Break of the rising lows line and 1.3403 london low reopens the 1.3396 asian low
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could shift this read; midterm results from ~23:00 UTC
London broke the asian high at 1.3417 to print 1.3426, then faded to a double low near 1.3403 at 11:15 and 12:30 UTC. The bounce into the first hour of NY has cleared the descending london trendline and sits at the 61.8% fib of that London swing, with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and price back above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.3417, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3426 london high opens Monday's 1.3431 prior high
Slip back below the 1.3417 asian high returns price to mid-range
Failure to hold the 1.3403 double low exposes the 1.3396 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and tentative midterm results overnight could reset the session range
13:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower since London open · RSI 41 · price 1.34081
Lower highs off London high, floor at 1.3403.
London stalled at a 1.3426 london high and has printed lower highs since. Price has slipped back inside the 1.3396–1.3417 Asian range, with demand holding the 1.3403 london low twice. USD firmed on reports of US strikes near Hormuz, and late-London price sits just above the floor with the lower high at 1.3416 capping.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3403 london low reopens the 1.3396 asian low
Close above the 1.3416 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts 1.3426 london high back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm results tonight, could materially shift this read
Prior high at 1.3431 is the upper edge of the 24h range
12:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum soft · RSI 42 · price 1.34081
London lower highs against a flat 1.3403 base.
London lifted above the Asian high to a 1.3426 session high, failed to hold it and has slipped back inside, with lower highs at 1.3424 and 1.3416. The 1.3403 London low has held twice into the NY open, with RSI(14) near 42, while GBP coils around 1.3400-1.3410 ahead of the US midterms.
Support: 1.3403, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34159, 1.34261
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3403 london low exposes the 1.3396 asian low
Close above the 1.3416 lower high breaks the descending sequence from the session high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm results early Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs since London high at 1.34261, inside the 1.3396–1.3431 day range.
London pushed out of the Asian range to a 1.34261 london high but met rejection below the prior-day 1.34309 top. Lower highs at 1.34237 and 1.34159 since then, with the london low at 1.34028. Price sits near 1.3407 ahead of NY, about 61.8% back through the Asia-to-London leg, as GBP/USD coils into tonight's US midterms.
Support: 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34159, 1.34261
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.34028 london low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 1.33959 asian low
M15 close above the 1.34159 lower high breaks the descending line off the London highs and reopens the 1.34261 london high
Loss of the 61.8% of the Asia-to-London leg at ~1.3407 puts the full retrace in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results tonight, could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Sideways, London lower highs · RSI 46 · price 1.34127
False break above Asian high; lower highs inside 1.3403–1.3426 range.
London pushed through the asian high at 1.3417 to a london high of 1.3426, met rejection and slid back inside, printing lower highs down to a london low of 1.3403. Price is now near the 50% of the London drop into the London-NY transition, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 46 as GBP/USD trades flat ahead of the US midterm results.
Support: 1.34028, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian high at 1.3417 and the lower-high trendline reopens the london high at 1.3426, then the prior high at 1.3431
Failure to hold the london low at 1.3403 exposes the asian low at 1.3396
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London high · RSI 45 · price 1.3409
False break above Asian range, rotating back to mid-range.
London pushed above the 1.3417 Asian range high to a 1.3426 london high, then failed. Price has since printed lower highs back to 1.3409, near the 61.8% fib of the Asian low to London high leg, with the 1.3403 swing low holding at 11:15 UTC. GBP is flat while the market waits on the US midterms, and price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3415, 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3403 swing low exposes the 1.3396 asian low
Close above the 1.3415 lower high breaks the descending trendline from the london high
Reclaiming the 1.3426 london high puts the 1.3431 prior high from Monday back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London open · RSI 40 · price 1.34066
Failed break above Asian high, back inside Asian range.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3416 and printed 1.3426, but the move was rejected and price has since rotated back into the Asian range on a chain of lower highs. Price is at 1.3407 with RSI(14) near 40, pausing after Monday's oil-led USD dip lifted the pair. The London low at 1.3403 and the Asian low at 1.3396 sit just below.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3426
What it said to watch
A break below the london low at 1.3403 would extend the lower-low chain toward the asian low at 1.3396.
An M15 close back above the asian high at 1.3416 would neutralise the false-break read, and the 50% fib at 1.3415 sits at the same level.
A close above the london high at 1.3426 would break the lower-highs line.
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then overnight midterm results, could shift the USD leg.
11:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London open · RSI 41 · price 1.34047
Failed break above Asian high; lower-high, lower-low chain back toward Asian low.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3417 to a London high of 1.3426, then faded. Lower highs at 1.3424 and 1.3415 have pulled price back to 1.3405, inside the 61.8–78.6% zone of the Asian low–London high leg fib, just above 1.3400 psych. RSI(14) sits near 41 with price below both EMAs as the pair holds flat after Monday's oil-driven USD dip.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3396 asian low extends the lower-low sequence beyond the Asian range
Reclaim of the 1.3417 asian high breaks the lower highs and puts the 1.3426 london high back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, early in NY hours, could jolt the USD leg
Tentative US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Range, London push faded · RSI 48 · price 1.34098
False break above Asian high; lower high and lower low since the London peak.
London open broke the Asian high at 1.3417 but stalled at the 1.3426 london high, short of the prior high at 1.3431. A lower high at 1.3424 set up a slide to the 1.3407 london low. Price now sits inside the Asian range near the 50% retrace of the Asia-London leg, just below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 48, as the USD-driven bid stalls into today's US midterms.
Support: 1.34065, 1.3403, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
Closes back above the 1.3417 asia high would neutralise the false break; clearing the 1.3426 london high and the 1.3424 descending line exposes the prior high at 1.3431
Failure to hold the 1.3407 london low exposes the 1.3403 ny low, then the 1.3396 asia low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC in the NY session, plus midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 1.3426 London high, holding above 1.3407.
London broke the Asian high at 1.3417, peaked at the 1.3426 London high and has since printed lower highs. Price slipped back to a 1.3407 London low near the 61.8% of the Asia-London fib and now sits just above the EMA50, with RSI(14) at 44. The softer-USD bid that lifted GBP has stalled ahead of the US midterms.
Support: 1.34065, 1.3400, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3417 Asian high and the lower-high trendline near 1.3424 would cancel the false-break read
Failure at the 1.3407 London low exposes the 1.3400 round number and the 1.3396 Asian low
A push through the 1.3426 London high puts the 1.3431 prior high from yesterday's NY session in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; midterm results land overnight
Failed London push above Asian high, lower highs since.
London open lifted price above the Asian high at 1.3417 to a session high of 1.3426, but the break failed. A lower high at 1.3424 followed, and price is back at 1.3411, the 50% retrace of the Asian-low-to-session-high leg, with the London low at 1.3407 near the 61.8%. USD is soft on lower oil, but the pair is flat into the US midterms and still caps below Monday's high at 1.3431.
Support: 1.34065, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3417 Asian high, and through the lower-high line, would undo the false-break read
Failure to hold the 1.3407 London low and the 1.3405 swing low exposes the 1.3396 Asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours, plus midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after a failed London push · RSI 52 · price 1.34119
London false break above the Asian range, lower highs since 08:00 UTC, price back inside the Asian range.
London open pushed through the Asian high at 1.3417 to a london high of 1.3426 but could not hold. Lower highs followed and a dip to 1.3407 put price back inside the Asian range, near the 50% retrace of the Asian-London leg. Price is sitting just under EMA20 and on EMA50, RSI(14) is neutral at 52, and GBP is holding firm on a softer, oil-driven USD into the US midterms.
Support: 1.34065, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the london low at 1.3407 (61.8% of the Asian-London leg) exposes the asian low at 1.3396
M15 close back above the asian high at 1.3417 and the lower-highs trendline brings the london high at 1.3426 and Monday's prior high at 1.3431 back into play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
False break above Asian high, lower highs at 1.3426/1.3424, back inside Asian range.
London lifted GBPUSD through the 1.3417 Asian high to a 1.3426 London high, but lower highs capped the move short of the 1.3431 Monday high. The latest bar fell back into the Asian range and is testing the 1.3407 session low, which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the Asian low–London high leg, with RSI(14) at 45. The pair is flat into today's US midterms after oil-driven USD softness.
Support: 1.3407, 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3407 session low exposes the 1.3403 Monday low and the 1.3396 Asian low
Reclaim of the 1.3417 Asian high cancels the false-break read; the lower-highs line from 1.3426 is the next cap
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC in the NY session, then midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Intraday higher lows from Asia, stalling below London high · RSI 53 · price 1.34159
London broke above the Asian range, now compressing between 1.3411 and 1.3426.
London cleared the Asian range top near 1.3416 and printed a london high at 1.3426. The rebound from the asian low at 1.3396 fits a heavier USD on lower oil. Since then highs are slipping while the london low at 1.3411 holds, so price is coiling just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.34113, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3426 london high exposes the prior high at 1.3431
Failure of the 1.3411 london low and the Asia trendline puts the 1.3405 pre-ldn low back in play
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
Loss of the 1.3396 asian low would undo the London breakout
09:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below london high · RSI 54 · price 1.34175
Higher lows from asian low; lower highs since 08:00 UTC.
London cleared the Asian range high near 1.3417 and set a london high at 1.3426 before fading. Pullback lows at 1.3411 sit on the 50% retrace of the 1.3396–1.3426 asia-london leg, with lower highs at 1.3424 compressing price mid-session. A softer USD on lower oil supported the overnight recovery off the asian low.
Support: 1.34113, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34309
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3411 pullback low and the higher-low line breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Loss of the 1.3405 swing low puts the asian low at 1.3396 back in play
Acceptance above the 1.3426 london high opens the prior high at 1.3431
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could reset the session range; US midterm results follow overnight
Higher lows off Asia low, London high rejected, retesting Asian range top.
London open broke the Asian range high near 1.3417 but was rejected at the 1.3426 london high, below the 1.3431 monday high. Price has since pulled back to the fib 50% of the Asia-London leg near 1.3411 and is now retesting the Asian high. The higher low chain from the 1.3396 asia low is intact as softer oil keeps USD heavy, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 1.3411, 1.3405, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3411 fib 50% breaks the higher lows and exposes the 1.3405 higher low
Failure to hold 1.3405 puts the 1.3396 asia low back in play
Acceptance above the 1.3426 london high opens a test of the 1.3431 monday high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
London break of Asian high rejected, back at range top.
London open broke the Asian range high at 1.3417 and printed a 1.3426 London high, but supply capped it quickly despite the soft-USD, lower-oil backdrop. Price is back at 1.3413 retesting the London low, with a lower high at 1.3420 and RSI(14) flat near 51. Rising lows from the 1.3396 Asian low through the 1.3405 swing low hold, and the 50% retrace of the Asian-London leg sits near 1.3411.
Support: 1.3412, 1.3405, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3420, 1.3426, 1.3431
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3420 lower high and the 1.3426 London high reopens yesterday's ny high at 1.3431
Failure to hold the London low at 1.3412 and the 1.3405 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3396 Asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines during NY hours could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 1.34185
Higher highs and higher lows since 02:15 UTC; London broke above the Asian range high and is retesting it.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3417 and printed a session high at 1.3426, then pulled back to a swing low at 1.3412, near the 50% fib of the Asian-low leg. Price is back at the Asian high with the higher-low chain from the 1.3396 Asian low intact. A soft USD on lower oil and Iran headlines supports the bounce, though the pair is still well below Monday's 1.3447 prior high.
Support: 1.3417, 1.3412, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3426, 1.3431, 1.3447
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3412 swing low and the higher-low trendline puts price back inside the Asian range toward the 1.3396 Asian low
Close above the 1.3426 session high opens Monday's 1.3431 NY high, with the 1.3447 prior high beyond
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
False break above Asian high, price back inside the Asian range.
Early London pushed through the 1.3417 asian high to a 1.3426 london high, then saw rejection and faded back inside the Asian range. That false break leaves price sitting on EMA20 and the 38.2% level of the 1.3396–1.3426 london leg retrace, with RSI(14) neutral near 51. The Asian higher lows trendline through 1.3396 and 1.3405 still holds, while GBP keeps tracking USD and oil softness rather than UK data.
Support: 1.3405, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3426, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3426 london high reopens Monday's 1.3448 prior high
Loss of the 1.3405 higher low and the Asian higher lows trendline puts the 1.3396 asian low and 1.3400 back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, pausing · RSI 56 · price 1.34178
Higher lows since 1.3396; London broke the Asian high, now retesting it.
Asia briefly dipped below Monday's 1.3401 low to an Asian low at 1.3396, then built a higher-low chain that carried price through the Asian high at 1.3417 at London open. The London high at 1.3426 has capped so far, and price is back testing the Asian high with RSI(14) near 56 as pre-midterm squaring keeps the softer USD-on-oil move contained.
Support: 1.3417, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34261, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
Hold above the asian high at 1.3417 keeps the London breakout intact; a close back below turns it into a false break toward the 50% fib near 1.3411
Loss of the 1.3405 higher low breaks the intraday higher-low trendline and the HL chain
M15 close above the 1.3426 london high opens the 1.3431 prior high, then the 1.3448 monday high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, early London extension · RSI 64 · price 1.3422
Higher lows from the 1.3396 Asian low; Asian range broken to the upside.
London open broke above the 1.3396–1.3417 Asian range and set a session high at 1.3426, stalling just under Monday's NY prior high near 1.3427 while the USD stays heavy on lower oil. The higher-low chain from the Asian low is intact, with the 1.3409 higher low holding through the open. RSI(14) near 64 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3417, 1.3409, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.3435, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close back inside the Asian range, below the 1.3417 asian high, turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3409 higher low breaks the rising-lows trendline and reopens the 1.3396 asian low
Close above the 1.3427 prior high opens 1.3435 res and the 1.3448 monday high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 61 · price 1.34196
HH/HL chain off the Asian low; Asian range high broken into London open.
GBPUSD cleared the Asian high at 1.3417 into the London open and set a session high at 1.3424. That extends a higher-low chain from the 1.3396 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 61. Softer USD on lower oil underpins the climb, while pre-midterm squaring keeps ranges tight (ATR ~6 pips).
Support: 1.34173, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34241, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3431 ny high opens the path toward the 1.3448 monday high
Close back below the 1.3417 asian high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 1.3405 higher low and the higher-low trendline breaks the HH/HL chain, exposing the 1.3396 asian low
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asian low, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 1.34159
Higher lows since 02:15 UTC; London open broke Asian high, now retesting it.
Asia built a higher-low chain off the 1.3396 asian low as the USD stayed heavy on oil weakness. The London open pushed through the 1.3417 asian high to a 1.3424 london high, but the move stalled and price is back retesting the asian high near 1.3416. RSI(14) is near 59 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 1.34133, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34241, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close back inside the Asian range below the fib 38.2 at 1.3413 turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3405 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 1.3396 asian low
Acceptance above the 1.3424 london high opens Monday's 1.3448 prior high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low · RSI 61 · price 1.34188
Higher highs and higher lows; London open broke above the Asian range high.
London open pushed through the 1.3417 Asian high to a 1.3423 session high. That extends a higher-low sequence off the 1.3396 Asian low while USD stays heavy on softer oil. Price sits near the 50% retracement of Monday's drop from the 1.3448 prior high, with Monday's 1.3431 NY high the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.34173, 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34227, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3417 Asian high turns the London breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3405 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline
Acceptance above the 1.3423 session high opens the path to the 1.3431 NY high and the 1.3448 prior high
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
Asian range 1.3396–1.3417 after a sweep below 1.3400; lower highs against rising lows.
Asia swept below the 1.3400 round number to a 1.3396 Asian low and reclaimed it, building a 1.3396–1.3417 Asian range. Price sits mid-range at 1.3410 on flat EMA20/50, RSI(14) at 54, holding the 38.2% of the Asian upswing. Lower highs off the Asian high and a rising swing low at 1.3405 are compressing price into London open, after the oil-driven USD drop that produced yesterday's spike to the 6-week high at 1.3448 was mostly unwound.
Support: 1.34047, 1.3400, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3417 Asian high breaks the lower highs line and opens the 1.3431 NY high
Loss of the 1.3405 swing low breaks the rising lows line and puts the 1.3400 round number and 1.3396 Asian low back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, midterm results and US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
Higher lows inside Asian range, capped at Asian high.
Asia dipped to the 1.3396 Asian low as Qeshm strike headlines briefly lifted USD, then built a chain of higher lows along a rising trendline into a cap at the 1.3417 Asian high. Price sits just under that range top heading into London open. Yesterday's fade from the 1.3448 prior high and the 1.3431 NY high still sit overhead.
Support: 1.34047, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3417 Asian high opens a test of the 1.3431 NY high, then the 1.3448 prior high
Break below the 1.3405 higher low ends the rising-trendline read and puts the 1.3396 Asian low back in play
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, midterm results and US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Intraday higher-low chain off Asian low, into resistance · RSI 66 · price 1.34137
Asia HH/HL sequence pressing Asian range top below Monday's lower highs.
Asia printed a double bottom at the 1.3396 Asian low and built higher lows along a rising tl. That lifted price to the 1.3417 Asian high, near the fib 38.2% retrace of Monday's slide from the 1.3448 6-week high. RSI(14) is near 66 heading into London open, and the oil-driven USD dip behind Monday's spike has given way to midterm caution.
Support: 1.34087, 1.34031, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3417 Asian high and fib 38.2% opens the 1.3431 NY high, then the 1.3448 6-week high
Break of the rising tl near 1.3409 puts the 1.3403 swing low and 1.3396 Asian low back in play
London open expands the session range; US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could shift the read
06:31 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the Asian low, pressing the session high · RSI 63 · price 1.34137
Higher-high/higher-low chain since 02:15 UTC inside Monday's 1.3396–1.3448 range.
Monday's oil- and soft-USD-driven spike to the 1.3448 monday high fully unwound to 1.3401. Late Asia has since built a higher-low chain off the 1.3396 asian low and is capping at the 1.3417 asian high ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 63 and no extreme.
Support: 1.3409, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3427, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3409 higher low and the rising trendline breaks the Asian HH/HL chain and puts the 1.3396 asian low back in play
Clearance of the 1.3417 asian high opens the 1.3427 ny range top, with the 1.3448 monday high above
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, plus overnight midterm results, could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday recovery inside a broader range · RSI 62 · price 1.34138
Higher lows off the Asian low, capped at the Asian high.
Monday's oil-driven USD slide spiked cable to a 1.3448 Monday high in London, then it gave the whole move back and spent NY hours in a 1.3403–1.3431 range, the NY high. Asia printed a 1.3396 Asian low and has since built higher lows (1.3403 swing low, 1.3409 higher low). Price is pressing the 1.3417 Asian high into London open, near the 38.2% retracement of the day high–Asian low drop.
Support: 1.34087, 1.34031, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3417 Asian high opens the 50% retracement near 1.3422 and the 1.3431 NY high
Break below the 1.3409 higher low and the trendline of Asian higher lows returns focus to the 1.3403 swing low
Loss of the 1.3396 Asian low would put a lower low on the board below Monday's range
US Factory Orders and JOLTS later today, and US midterm results overnight, could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Sideways, Asian higher lows · RSI 61 · price 1.34118
Asian range 1.3396–1.3417 inside Monday's faded spike.
Monday's London spike to the 1.3448 prior high faded back into the 1.3400s. Asia dipped to the 1.3396 asian low on the WSJ Iran-strike haven bid for USD, then built a higher low at 1.3403 before supply capped the 1.3417 asian high into the pre-London hours. Price sits near the 23.6% of the Asian rally on a compressed ~4.6-pip ATR.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3417, 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3417 asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 1.3431 ny high from Monday in view
Failure to hold the 1.3403 higher low breaks the Asian rising trendline and exposes the 1.3396 asian low
London open is the first test of the Asian range; US midterm results and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows through Asia · RSI 62 · price 1.34149
HH/HL off 1.3396 base, testing asia high.
The haven-USD dip on the Qeshm strike report bottomed at the 1.3396 asia low, and a higher-low chain has since lifted GBPUSD back to the 1.3417 asia high. That level is also the 38.2% retrace of Monday's 1.3448-1.3396 drop. Late in the Asia session, ahead of London open, price sits inside Monday's 1.3400-1.3431 NY range, with RSI(14) at 62 and ATR(14) near 4.5 pips.
Support: 1.34031, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34173, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3417 asia high and 38.2% fib opens the 1.3431 ny high, then the 1.3448 monday high
A break of the 1.3403 higher low and the Asia trendline undoes the HH/HL chain, putting the 1.3396 asia low back in play
US-Iran headlines, JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and the midterm results could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Intraday recovery inside Asian range · RSI 63 · price 1.34136
Higher low at 1.3403 off the 1.3396 Asian low, pressing the Asian high.
Late Asia: GBPUSD dropped at 00:30 UTC on the US-Iran strike headlines, then built a higher low at 1.3403 off the 1.3396 Asian low. Price is now pressing the 1.3416 Asian high ahead of London open, still well below Monday's 1.3448 prior high. RSI(14) at 63, ATR about 4.6 pips.
Support: 1.34031, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.3427, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3416 asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 1.3427 ny high in view
Break of the 1.3403 higher low and the rising trendline returns price to the 1.3396 asian low
US midterm results and JOLTS later today could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Short-term recovery off the Asian low, below Monday's high · RSI 61 · price 1.34118
Higher lows from 1.3396 inside the 1.3396–1.3416 Asian range.
Late Asia, cable has rebuilt from the 1.3396 Asian low with a higher low at 1.3403 and is pressing the 1.3416 Asian high. That is only a shallow retrace of the slide from Monday's 1.3448 prior high, reached on oil-led USD selling. The 1.3431 NY high is the next cap above the range, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) under 5 pips.
Support: 1.3403, 1.3396
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3416 Asian high opens the path to the 1.3431 NY high
Break of the 1.3403 higher low undercuts the trendline and exposes the 1.3396 Asian low
US midterm results and oil/Iran headlines into the London open could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Drifting lower from Monday's high, now compressing · RSI 55 · price 1.34079
Lower highs above a flat 1.3396–1.3400 base; mid-Asian range.
Cable has printed lower highs since Monday's 1.3448 prior high, the oil-led USD dip having faded. The bounce off the 1.3396 Asian low stalled at the 1.3412 swing high, leaving price mid-Asian range with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and EMAs flat. It is late Asia, with London open about two hours out.
Support: 1.34031, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34119, 1.34156, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3416 asian high breaks the lower-highs line and the 38.2% retracement
Failure to hold the 1.3403 swing low reopens the 1.3396 asian low and the 1.3400 base
US midterm results through Asia/London could materially shift this read
Lower highs compressing into a 1.3396–1.3400 base.
Monday's oil-driven London spike to the 1.3448 prior high fully unwound. Since then price has printed a chain of lower highs, with the latest at 1.3412 rejected late in the Asia session. Price sits mid-Asian range (1.3396–1.3416) with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR around 5 pips, as midterm caution keeps ranges tight ahead of London.
Support: 1.33959, 1.33931
Resistance: 1.34119, 1.34156, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3416 asian high breaks the lower-highs line and the Asian range
Failure to hold the 1.3396 asian low exposes the 1.3393 prior low
US midterm results and JOLTS/Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend from 1.3448, Asia stalling · RSI 53 · price 1.34063
Lower highs since London peak; Asian range 1.3396–1.3416.
Cable has printed lower highs since Monday's 1.3448 London peak, with the 1.3431 NY high and the 1.3416 Asian high both under the lower-highs trendline as US midterm caution slows the oil-led USD selling. Late Asia is ranging between the 1.3396 Asian low and the 1.3412 rebound high. Price sits just above the 1.3400 round number, RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34119, 1.34156, 1.34309
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.3396 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence from 1.3448.
A close above the 1.3416 Asian high clears the lower-highs trendline and the 38.2% fib, opening the 1.3431 NY high.
Rejection at the 1.3412 rebound high keeps price inside the Asian range, with the 1.3400 round number as the pivot.
US midterm results and the 15:00 UTC JOLTS and Factory Orders data could materially shift this read.
04:16 UTC
Rangebound, short-term rebound off Asian low · RSI 54 · price 1.34086
Higher lows inside the Asian range after Monday's rally fully reversed.
Monday's London rally to the 6wk high at 1.3448 fully unwound, and reports of US strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island pushed cable through the 1.3400 round number in early Asia to an Asian low of 1.3396. A double bottom there has lifted price back to 1.3409 in late Asia, retracing most of the Asian drop fib, with the Asian high at 1.3416 just overhead. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33959
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3416 Asian high breaks the Asian range and exposes the 1.3431 NY high
1.3448 6wk high only comes into view after a break of the NY high
A break below the rebound line and the 1.3400 round number puts the 1.3396 Asian low back in play
US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC, then the London open and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 1.3448, Asian range 1.3396–1.3416 intact.
Monday's London spike to the 1.3448 prior high reversed, and NY then ranged below the 1.3427 ny high. In Asia, a drop from the 1.3416 asia high to the 1.3396 asia low on reports of US strikes on Qeshm lifted USD. Late in the Asia session price has recovered about two-thirds of that drop to 1.3409 and is pressing the lower-highs line.
Support: 1.3396, 1.3388
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3427, 1.3448
What it said to watch
US midterm results flow from ~05:00 UTC and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3416 asia high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 1.3427 ny high
Failure to hold the 1.3396 asia low exposes the 1.3388 prior low from early Monday
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
Lower highs from 1.3448, Asian range 1.3396–1.3416.
Cable has faded from Monday's London-session six-wk high at 1.3448. It is carving lower highs at the 1.3431 NY high and the 1.3416 Asian high, where price was rejected sharply, as the oil-driven USD dip gave way to pre-midterm caution. Late Asia dipped through 1.3400 to the 1.3396 Asian low before bouncing, and price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.33959, 1.33869
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3396 Asian low exposes the 1.3387 rally base from Monday's pre-London move
Reclaim of the 1.3416 Asian high and the lower-highs trendline neutralises the fade read
US midterm results flowing from ~05:00 UTC, then JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.3448; Asia slipping under the 1.3400–1.3403 floor that held London and NY.
Lower highs since Monday's 1.3448 6wk high. Late in the Asia session, price was rejected at the 1.3416 asian high and has slipped through the 1.3400–1.3403 broken floor, printing a 1.3396 asian low as Qeshm strike headlines reopen USD upside. RSI(14) near 39 and ATR around 5.6 pips: an orderly grind, not stretched.
Support: 1.3396, 1.3385
Resistance: 1.3403, 1.3416, 1.3448
What it said to watch
A close back above the 1.3403 broken floor would neutralise the break and return price to Monday's range
Failure to hold the 1.3396 asian low exposes the 1.3385 monday low
The lower-highs trendline runs near 1.3412. A break above it and the 1.3416 asian high, which is also the 38.2% fib of the drop from 1.3448, would end the lower-high sequence
London open in about 4.5h, US midterm results and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 39 · price 1.33987
LH/LL sequence below the 1.3416 Asian high; probing under Monday's 1.3401 range floor.
Cable has slipped under Monday's 1.3401 London low late in the Asia session, extending the fade from the 1.3448 6wk high as USD steadies into the US midterms. Asia has printed lower highs under a descending trendline from the 1.3416 Asian high. RSI(14) is near 39 and ATR is about 5.5 pips, with price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.3396, 1.3393, 1.3383
Resistance: 1.3401, 1.3416, 1.3448
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim the 1.3401 London low keeps the break of Monday's range floor intact
Break of the 1.3396 Asian low and 1.3393 swing low exposes the 1.3383 24h low
Close above the descending trendline and the 1.3416 Asian high (38.2% fib) negates the lower-high sequence
US midterms at 05:00 UTC and Qeshm/oil headlines could shift the read before London open
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower in Asia · RSI 41 · price 1.33987
Lower highs since the 1.3448 six-week high; Monday's 1.3400 floor now broken.
Mid-Asia, cable slipped under the 1.3400 round number, which held through Monday, after a 00:30 UTC rejection at the 1.3416 Asian high. That extends the lower-highs sequence off the 1.3448 six-week high. USD steadied as caution built into today's US midterms and the Qeshm strike headlines. Session low at 1.3396 is in play, with the Monday low at 1.3382 next below.
Support: 1.33959, 1.33824
Resistance: 1.34008, 1.34156, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3400 round number would mark the break as a false break
Close above the 1.3416 Asian high, near the 38.2% fib of the 1.3448 drop, breaks the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 1.3396 session low exposes the 1.3382 Monday low
US midterm results and Iran/Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read; JOLTS at 15:00 UTC
Late in the Asia session, cable has slipped through the 1.3400 round number that held through London and NY yesterday and printed a session low at 1.3396. Every rally since Monday's 1.3448 prior high has topped lower, most recently at the 1.3416 Asia high. Caution is building ahead of the US midterms after the oil-led USD dip. RSI(14) sits near 42 with ATR around 5 pips, so this is a grind lower rather than a flush.
Support: 1.3396, 1.3390
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3416, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 closes back above the 1.3400 round number would turn the Asia break into a false break
Acceptance below the 1.3396 session low exposes the Monday Asia top near 1.3390
A close above the 1.3416 Asia high breaks the lower-high trendline from 1.3448
US midterm results and oil/Iran headlines could materially shift this read
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC is the next scheduled US data risk
Lower highs since 1.3448 against a flat 1.3400 floor.
Highs have stepped lower since Monday's London high at 1.3448, through the NY high at 1.3431 and the early-Asia rejection at the 1.3416 Asia high, and price is now sitting on the 1.3400 psych floor. That floor has held on three tests as the USD bounce off oil-driven lows pauses ahead of the US midterms. RSI(14) is near 44 and ATR(14) about 5 pips, so price is compressing under the falling trendline.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3400 psych floor ends the three-test hold and opens the 1.3379 Monday low
An M15 close above the 1.3416 Asia high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high sequence toward the 1.3431 NY high
US midterm voting today, then JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could expand the Asian range
Lower highs pressing a flat 1.3400 base inside the Asian range.
Cable has faded from Monday's 1.3448 London day high, set on the oil-led USD dip. Since then it has printed a chain of lower highs off the 1.3431 NY high and now sits below the 61.8% swing retrace of the 1.3379–1.3448 leg. Mid-Asia session, price is retesting the 1.3400 round number, which also held the London low; the Asian range of 1.3400–1.3416 is intact and RSI(14) is neutral near 47.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33933
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3400 round number breaks the Asian range and London low, exposing the 1.3393 pre-ldn low
Close above the 1.3416 asian high breaks the lower-highs line, putting the 1.3431 ny high back in play
US midterm results and US-Iran/oil headlines during Asia-London hours could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Sideways, below a falling line from Monday's high · RSI 46 · price 1.3405
Lower highs since 1.3448 against a flat 1.3400 floor.
Monday's oil-led London rally to the 1.3448 monday high has fully faded. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace near 1.3405, with lower highs pressing on the 1.3400 round number. The 00:30 UTC dip to 1.3400 was a false break that was reclaimed straight away, and early Asia is holding a 1.3400–1.3416 Asian range with the asian high at 1.3416.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.3416, 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3400 round number ends the three-touch floor and exposes the 1.3379 monday low
Close above the 1.3416 asian high and the falling trendline reopens the 1.3431 ny high
US midterm results and US-Iran/oil headlines through Asia into London open could break the range
01:31 UTC
Pullback from London high, lower highs · RSI 48 · price 1.34043
Lower highs pressing a flat floor at the 1.3400 psych level.
Monday's oil- and USD-driven spike to the 1.3448 London high has fully faded into a descending trendline of lower highs, and price now sits on the 1.3400 psych floor near the 61.8% retrace of the Monday rally. Early Asia briefly dipped to a 1.3400 sweep low and was reclaimed, while the Asia high at 1.3416 caps the session range so far.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33998, 1.33789
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.34309, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3400 sweep low breaks the floor and exposes the monday low at 1.3379
Close above the 1.3416 asia high clears the lower-highs trendline; ny high at 1.3431 is next, then the london high at 1.3448
US midterm voting from ~05:00 UTC and two-way US-Iran headlines are the main USD risk into London open
01:16 UTC
Intraday downdrift from London high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.34057
Lower highs compressing onto a flat 1.3400 base.
Cable has faded from Monday's London high at 1.3448, leaving lower highs at the 1.3431 NY high and the 1.3416 Asian high. Price is compressing onto 1.3400, and the 00:30 UTC spike through that round number was bought straight back, a false break for now. Asia is mid-range at 1.3406 on oil/Iran and midterm headlines; RSI(14) ~48 and price is just under EMA20.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.3431, 1.34479
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3400 round number would end the false-break read and expose the monday low at 1.3379
Close above the 1.3416 asian high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 1.3431 ny high back in play
Reclaiming the 50% of the london high fade near 1.3424 would neutralise the intraday downdrift
US midterm results overnight, then JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Sideways after London spike faded, lower highs · RSI 49 · price 1.34066
Lower highs pressing into a flat 1.3400 base.
Monday's oil- and USD-driven London spike to the 1.3448 London high has fully unwound. Cable has printed lower highs since NY open, from 1.3431 to the 1.3427 NY range top and on to the 1.3416 Asia high, into a flat base at the 1.3400 round number. Early Asia dipped to 1.33998 and recovered to 1.3407 in a false break, holding near the 61.8% retrace of the London leg with RSI(14) neutral at 49.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33789
Resistance: 1.34156, 1.3427, 1.34479
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3400 round number, after the early-Asia false break, opens the Monday low at 1.3379
A break of the lower highs line and the 1.3416 Asia high reopens the 1.3427 NY range top
US midterm voting today and two-way US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read; the London high at 1.3448 caps above
00:31 UTC
Sideways after London spike, early-Asia bounce · RSI 61 · price 1.34139
Range 1.3402–1.3427 since late London; floor held four times.
Monday's London rally ran from the 1.3379 Asian low to the 1.3448 Monday high on the oil-led USD slide, then gave back about two-thirds. NY and the rollover held a 1.3402–1.3427 range, and buyers stepped in at the range floor four times. Early Asia has lifted price to the 50% retracement of the London rally near 1.3413, with ATR compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 1.3402, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.3427, 1.3448
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3402 range floor breaks the range and opens Monday's 1.3379 Asian low
Close above the 1.3427 range top puts the 1.3448 Monday high back in play
US midterms today and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US-Iran or oil headlines are driving the USD leg; a crude rebound pressures the range floor
00:16 UTC
Sideways after rejected London spike, early-Asia lift · RSI 55 · price 1.34121
1.3401–1.3431 range with lower highs since NY open; flat floor at 1.3401.
The oil-driven USD selloff carried London to 1.3448, but the spike was fully unwound to the 1.3401 range floor. Since then the NY high stalled at the 61.8% fib of the London drop, and highs have stepped lower to 1.3418. Early Asia has bounced off the floor and is pressing the lower-highs line near 1.3410, holding above the ema20 with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 1.3408, 1.3401, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.3418, 1.3427, 1.3431
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.3418 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and brings the 1.3427 ny high and 1.3431 61.8% fib back into view
Failure to hold the 1.3401 range floor confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.3379 monday low
US midterm results overnight, plus JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift the USD leg of this read
00:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs after London spike · RSI 41 · price 1.34056
Lower highs capping a 1.3400 floor, quiet Asia drift.
London broke the Asian range on the oil-driven USD slide and hit 1.3448, then reversed. Since then, NY printed a series of lower highs from 1.3431 to 1.3418 against a swing low near 1.3400. Price now sits on the 61.8% fib of the 1.3379–1.3448 move, just above the 1.3402 session low, in a thin Asia session with ATR near 3.6 pips.
Support: 1.3402, 1.3400, 1.3379
Resistance: 1.3418, 1.3431, 1.3448
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3400 swing low breaks the post-London floor and exposes the 1.3379 Asian low
A close above the lower-high trendline near 1.3418 negates the descending sequence; the 1.3431 NY high is next, then the 1.3448 London high
US midterm results overnight and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could expand the range sharply
Holding the 61.8% fib near 1.3405 keeps the pullback a retracement rather than a full reversal