GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into cap · RSI 63 · price 1.33954
Higher lows off session low, grinding toward 1.3400.
The soft US CPI print drove a spike to 1.34431 mid-session before rejection dumped price back to the 1.3367 session low. Thin Asia trade has ground price back up in a higher-low chain, now testing the 1.3400 200-day cap flagged in context; ATR is compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.3387, 1.3375, 1.3367
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3416, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back to 1.34160 then the 1.34431 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.33750 swing low reopens the 1.33670 session low
The soft US CPI spike drove a sharp push to 1.34431 before the move faded back to 1.33679; price has since ground higher through thin Asia hours to 1.33954. Micro-uptrend intact off the session low but the 200-day cap at 1.3400 remains untested from below.
Support: 1.33792, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back toward 1.34431
Failure to hold 1.33792 exposes the 1.33679 swing low
Volumes are thin in Asia; London open likely sets the next range
Post-spike consolidation, grinding toward range top.
Asia session low-volume grind higher after the soft US CPI spike to 1.34431 faded back into range. Price is consolidating between 1.3375 and the post-spike highs, now edging toward the 1.3400 psych / 200-day SMA cap flagged around here.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 confirms a lower low back toward 1.33679
BoE Pill (Wed) and UK GDP (Thu) are the next catalysts that could shift this read
The soft US CPI print drove a spike to 1.34431 during NY hours that promptly faded back to 1.33679. Asian session has ground quietly higher into 1.3394 on thin volume, coiling just beneath the 1.3400 round-number / 200-day cap with ATR compressed.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back toward the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.33750 reopens the 1.33679 swing low
BoE Pill and UK GDP later this week could reset this range
Consolidation just under session high after CPI spike.
GBPUSD spiked to 1.3443 on the soft US CPI print before rejecting back under the 1.3400 200-day SMA cap. Thin Asia hours have the pair coiling between 1.3379 and 1.3394, now nudging the session high at 1.33940 with RSI(14) neutral near 59.
Support: 1.3379, 1.3368
Resistance: 1.3394, 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34000 (200-sma) opens the path back to 1.3443
Failure to hold 1.33790 exposes the 1.33680 swing low
US PPI and BoE Pill speech Wed could reset this read
Consolidation below CPI spike high, higher lows into Asia.
GBPUSD spiked to 1.34431 on yesterday's soft US CPI print before rejecting and settling back. Thin Asian-session volume has price grinding higher off the 1.33679 session low on a chain of higher lows, now pressing 1.33940 with the 1.3400 round-number/200-day cap just above.
Support: 1.3379, 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34157, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back to 1.34157 then the 1.34431 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.33750 range floor confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.33679
BoE Pill speech Wed 10:30 UTC could shift this read
GBPUSD spiked through the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 to 1.34431 as the dollar gave back CPI-day gains, then was rejected and faded to 1.33679. Price has since ground back to 1.339 and is consolidating in a quiet Asia session, still pinned below the 1.3400 cap with RSI neutral.
Support: 1.3379, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 200-day cap opens 1.34431
Failure to hold 1.33790 range low exposes 1.33679 session low
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could reset the dollar read
M15 spiked to 1.3443 on the soft US CPI print, then faded to 1.3368 before Asia hours ground price back up toward the 200-day SMA cap near 1.3400. RSI(14) mid-range and overnight volume thin; rising lows off 1.3368 but 1.3400 still unbroken.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3394, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3400 (200-day sma) opens 1.3445 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 swing low reopens 1.3368 session low
BoE Pill speech Wed 10:30 GMT could shift this read
NY session spike to 1.34431 swept above the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 then rejected hard, fading to 1.33679. Thin Asia hours have ground price back to 1.3392, RSI(14) mid-range near 61; the 1.3400 cap remains the pivot.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 would force short-covering toward the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.33679 confirms a lower-low
UK GDP Thu 06:00 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
Consolidation below 200-day sma after failed break.
Cable spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US CPI print, then failed at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and pulled back to a session low of 1.33679 — a false break of the cap. Thin late-session flow has price grinding back to 1.3392, holding above rising intraday lows but still pinned under 1.3400.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the 1.3445 range top
Failure to hold 1.3375 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3368
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and UK GDP Thu 06:00 GMT could reset this range
22:32 UTC
Recovering after spike rejection · RSI 58 · price 1.33933
Ranging below 1.3400 cap, higher lows off 1.3368.
GBPUSD spiked through 1.3400 to a 1.34431 session high on the CPI-driven USD softness, then was rejected straight back below the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400. Price has since ranged, held the 1.3368 swing low and is grinding back toward 1.339 in thin Asia trade with RSI neutral near 58.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3345
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 session high
Failure to hold 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower low
US PPI (Wed) and UK GDP (Thu) could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Recovering after spike fade · RSI 60 · price 1.33933
False break of 1.3400, grinding back up in Asia.
Mid-window spike tagged 1.34431 as the dollar gave back CPI-day gains, but the move was rejected straight back below the 200-day SMA near 1.3400. Asia session has quietly ground price back to 1.3393 on thin volume, RSI mid-range; 1.3400 remains the pivot.
Support: 1.3372, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back to the 1.34431 session high
Loss of 1.33679 swing low confirms a lower-low
BoE Pill speech and US PPI later today could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Recovering after fade, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.33909
Spike rejection at 1.3400, base rebuilding near 1.339.
The soft US CPI print drove a sharp spike above the 200-day SMA to 1.34431, but the move was rejected back below 1.3400 and faded to 1.33679. Price has since based and crept back to 1.339 on thin Asian volume, holding above EMA20/50 but still capped by the 200d SMA at 1.3400.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200d sma) reopens the 1.34229–1.34431 spike zone
Failure to hold 1.33679 confirms a lower low
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) and BoE Pill could shift this read
Faded off spike high, grinding back toward 1.3400 cap.
Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked GBPUSD to 1.34431 before sellers rejected it and price faded back into a 1.3375–1.3390 band. Thin Asia trade is now grinding higher toward the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400; RSI(14) mid-range near 59.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3400 opens the path to the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 reopens 1.33679 session low
UK GDP Thu 06:00 GMT and US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Range-bound after 1.3400 rejection · RSI 52 · price 1.33859
False break of 1.3400, back inside range.
London-NY hours spiked to 1.34431 — a false break above the 1.3400 200-day cap on the post-CPI USD unwind — before fading back into a 1.3375–1.3390 range. Now drifting on thin Asia liquidity with RSI(14) neutral near 52; 1.3400 still caps.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.33917, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.3375 range floor exposes the 1.33679 swing low
Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Pullback after spike, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.33859
False break of 1.3400 then rejection into range.
The soft US June CPI spiked GBPUSD to 1.34431 before it was rejected back under the 1.3400 200-day SMA cap. Price is now ranging 1.3375–1.3392 in thin late-session trade, ATR compressed to ~7 pips as volume dries up.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3368
Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-day sma) opens the 1.3443 spike high
Loss of 1.3375 session low exposes the 1.3368 swing low
Late-session liquidity thin; small bars distort the read
21:47 UTC
Range after spike fade · RSI 54 · price 1.33866
Consolidating below 200-day SMA cap.
Midday spike swept to 1.34431 above the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 then rejected sharply, fading back to a 1.33679 low as the USD gave back some CPI-day losses. Since then GBPUSD has ranged 1.3368-1.3392 in thin late-session trade, RSI neutral around 54.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.33918, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 200-day SMA reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.33679 swing low confirms a lower low
Liquidity thin into Asia open — moves can overshoot
21:46 UTC
Rallied then faded, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.33866
Consolidating below 1.3400 cap after spike rejection.
GBPUSD spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US CPI-driven dollar giveback, then faded straight back below the 200-day SMA near 1.3400. Price has since coiled 1.3368–1.3390 into thin late-session trade, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-sma) opens the 1.3445 range top
Failure to hold 1.33679 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.3360
BoE Pill and UK GDP later in the week could reset the range
21:32 UTC
Range-bound below 1.3400 cap · RSI 48 · price 1.33828
Spike faded, now ranging 1.3368-1.3391.
GBPUSD spiked to 1.3443 during NY hours as USD gave back CPI-day gains, but the move faded straight back below the 200-day cap at 1.3400. Now ranging 1.3368-1.3391 into thin Asian hours with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3368
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3391
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the 1.3443 spike high
failure to hold 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower low
Warsh testimony Wed / UK GDP Thu could shift this range read
21:17 UTC
Up leg faded, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.33792
Consolidation after spike rejection.
A sharp spike swept above the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 to 1.34431 around the NY data window, then rejected hard back below it — a clean false break. Price has since coiled between 1.3375 and the 1.3391 range top into thin Asia-session hours, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the spike leg near 1.3381.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3391, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3391 range top reopens the 1.3400 200-sma test
Loss of 1.3375 swing low exposes the 1.3368 session low
BoE Pill speech and UK GDP later this week could break the range
21:17 UTC
Pullback after spike, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.33792
False break of 1.3400, consolidating below.
NY session spiked through the 1.3400 200-day SMA to 1.34431 as USD gave back post-CPI gains, but the move was rejected straight back below the level — a false break. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.3375–1.3392 range with RSI neutral near 53 and liquidity thinning after NY close.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3366
Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.3375 session low exposes 1.3366 swing low
BoE Pill (Wed) and UK GDP (Thu) could shift this read
GBPUSD spiked to 1.3443 during NY hours then faded straight back below the 200-day SMA at 1.3400, printing a swing low at 1.3368. Price is now grinding back up to ~1.3390 on thin late-session volume, still pinned under the 1.3400 cap.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200d sma) opens the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower-low
Thin late-session liquidity; moves may lack follow-through
21:02 UTC
Recovering after spike rejection · RSI 57 · price 1.33905
Micro-range under 1.3400 cap.
NY hours spiked to 1.34431 — a false break of the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400 after the soft US CPI — then rejected straight back below it and faded to the 1.3375 session low. Price has since ground back up to 1.339 on thinning Asian-session volume, still pinned under the 1.3400 cap.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.34000 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.33750 session low exposes the 1.33679 swing low then 1.33500 psych
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could reprice this range
20:47 UTC
Recovering after spike rejection · RSI 56 · price 1.33886
Consolidation under 1.3400 after false break.
A sharp spike through the 1.3400 200-day SMA to 1.34431 around 12:30 UTC was rejected, price fading back through the NY session into a 1.3368–1.3391 range as the USD stabilised off CPI-day lows. Now consolidating near 1.3389 with RSI(14) mid-range; the pre-spike range top around 1.3391 is capping.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3368
Resistance: 1.3391, 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33910 then 1.34000 reopens the spike high
Failure to hold 1.33750 exposes the 1.33680 session low
UK GDP Thu 06:00 GMT could shift this read
20:47 UTC
Recovering after spike rejection, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.33886
Consolidation below 1.3400 after false break of range top.
A sharp spike to 1.34431 mid-window was rejected hard back below the 200-day SMA at 1.3400, and price has since ground into a tight 1.3368–1.3392 consolidation through late NY into Asia. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54, ATR around 21 pips after the earlier volatility drained out.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.33918, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-day sma) reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.33679 session low confirms a lower low
UK GDP and BoE Pill later this week are the next catalysts to shift this read
NY session spiked to 1.34431 then was rejected straight back under the 200-day SMA at 1.3400, fading to a 1.33679 session low as the USD CPI-day unwind stalled. Price has since crept back to ~1.3388 and is consolidating with volume thinning into the Asia handover; RSI mid-range, no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-day sma) reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.3375 confirms a lower low toward the 1.33679 session low
Sharp spike to 1.34431 around 12:30 UTC on USD softness was rejected hard back below the 1.3400 200-day SMA cap. Price has since consolidated 1.3368–1.3392 through late NY, now sitting at 1.33875 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3368, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 200-day SMA reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Loss of 1.3368 session low confirms lower-low and exposes 1.3350
UK GDP Thu 06:00 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
Cable spiked to 1.34431 sweeping above the 200-dma at 1.3400 on soft US CPI repricing, then was rejected straight back below — a false break. Price has since based around the 1.3375 prior low and is now grinding back toward 1.33883 with RSI neutral; Bailey's comments barely shifted the tape.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-dma) would open the path back to the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold the 1.3375 prior low exposes the 1.33679 swing low
Consolidating below 1.3400 cap after sweep and fade.
The soft US CPI print spiked Cable to 1.3443, sweeping above the 200-day SMA before fading back to 1.3368. Price has since recovered to ~1.3388 and is consolidating just below the 1.3400 SMA cap, which has repeatedly rejected recovery attempts.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path to the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 range base risks a retest of 1.33679 swing low
Soft US CPI (headline -0.4%) spiked Cable to 1.34431 at the 12:30 UTC print, but the move was rejected below the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and unwound. Price has since consolidated 1.3368–1.3390 into the late NY session, holding above the swing low with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path to the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.33679 swing low confirms a lower-low
20:01 UTC
Range, spike faded · RSI 53 · price 1.33867
False break above 1.3400, back in range.
Soft US CPI spiked Cable to 1.34431, sweeping the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400, then the move fully reversed back into range. Price is now consolidating near 1.3387 after buyers held 1.3368; RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 cpi spike hi
Loss of 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower low
Bailey speech (20:00 UTC) could shift this read
19:47 UTC
Recovering within range, below 1.3400 cap · RSI 57 · price 1.33889
Post-spike fade, higher lows off session low.
The soft US CPI miss spiked Cable to 1.34431, sweeping above the 1.3400 200-day SMA cap before fading straight back into range. Price recovered off the 1.33679 session low and sits at 1.33889, still capped below 1.3400 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
BoE Gov Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
NY session saw a soft US CPI print spike Cable to 1.34431, but the move was rejected at the 200-dma near 1.3400 and faded to a 1.3368 session low. Price has since ground back to 1.3389, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3375, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back to 1.3443
CPI spike to 1.3443 rejected, now ranging 1.3368-1.3390.
The soft US CPI print drove a spike to 1.34431, but price was rejected above the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and gave back most of the move. Cable now consolidates in the 1.3368-1.3390 zone, RSI mid-range near 57, holding just above EMA20.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 CPI high
Loss of 1.33679 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.3352
BoE Gov Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC (~30m out) could shift this read
19:17 UTC
Spike faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.33849
False break of 1.3400, consolidating below.
The soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked Cable to 1.34431 but it was immediately rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and faded the entire move. Price now consolidates 1.3375–1.3390 with RSI(14) neutral around 51; the spike high stands as a clear false break.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 needed to reopen the 1.3445 spike high
Loss of 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower low
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
19:17 UTC
Spiked then faded, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.33849
Post-spike range below 200-day sma.
The 12:30 GMT US CPI miss spiked Cable to 1.34431 before a sharp reversal capped by the 200-day SMA near 1.3400. Price has since faded into a 1.3368–1.3390 range; RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 after the impulse cooled.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
BoE Gov Bailey speech ~20:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3368 confirms a lower low
19:02 UTC
Faded higher, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.3383
CPI spike fully retraced, ranging near 1.3380.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked Cable to 1.34431 but the move was a false break of the 200-day cap near 1.3400 — price has since bled back to 1.3383, unwinding the entire pop. Now ranging in the low 1.3380s with RSI(14) neutral and ATR cooled to ~10 pips.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3368
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-day) reopens the path to the 1.3443 cpi high
Failure to hold 1.3375 exposes the 1.3368 session low
BoE Bailey ~20:00 UTC could shift this read in the next bar or two
19:02 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.3383
Spike fully retraced, consolidating.
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked Cable to 1.3443 but the move fully unwound, rejected under the 200-dma near 1.3400. Price is back to 1.3383, consolidating 1.3368–1.3385 into late NY hours after London close.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3350, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3400 (200-dma) reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Loss of 1.3368 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
The US CPI miss spiked Cable to 1.34431 before a complete fade back below the 200-day SMA cap near 1.3400. Price is now grinding out lower highs into late NY, holding above the 1.3368 session low, with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and ATR(14) around 10 pips.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3392, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 opens the path back to the 1.3445 range top
Failure to hold 1.3368 exposes the 1.3332 range base
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Faded from spike, now sideways · RSI 45 · price 1.33747
Range after rejection below 1.3400.
Cable spiked to 1.3443 on the soft US CPI print then fully unwound, rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400. Now ranging 1.3368–1.3390 with price below EMA20/50 and RSI mid-range; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3390, 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.3390 reopens the 200-dma near 1.3400
Loss of 1.3368 confirms a lower-low
18:31 UTC
Pulled back from spike high, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.33819
False break above 1.3400, fade into range.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.3443, but the move was rejected above the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 and faded back to a 1.3368 session low. Price now consolidates around 1.3382 in the lower half of the post-spike range, capped below 1.3400.
Support: 1.33679, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the path to 1.3443
Failure to hold 1.3368 confirms a lower-low
18:31 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.33819
Pullback into range after CPI spike rejected below 1.3400.
Soft US CPI drove a spike to 1.34431, but the move was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and fully faded back to 1.3380. Price now consolidating in the upper half of the range, with sellers capping into 1.3392 and buyers defending the 1.3375 session low.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3392, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 200-day sma opens the path toward 1.3445
Failure to hold 1.3375 exposes the 1.3368 swing low
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
18:17 UTC
Range, pulling back after CPI spike · RSI 48 · price 1.33838
Spike high faded into range, now mid-recovery.
Soft US CPI spiked cable to 1.34431 before it was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and faded back through the NY session to 1.3375. Price is now grinding back to 1.3384, sitting around the 62% retrace of the CPI leg with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200-day SMA) opens the path back toward the 1.34431 CPI high
Failure to hold 1.3367 confirms a lower low
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Soft US CPI around 15:30 broker time spiked cable to 1.34431 before it was rejected back below the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 — a false break of the range cap. Price now consolidates near 1.3384 after basing at the 1.33680 session low, RSI(14) neutral around 49.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3375
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the path toward the 1.34431 cpi high
Failure to hold the 1.33680 session low confirms a lower low
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.34431 before it was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and faded through NY hours to a session low at 1.33679. Price now sits around 1.3378, printing lower highs beneath the 200-day cap with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3400 (200-day sma) invalidates the fade read and opens 1.34431
M15 close below 1.33679 confirms a lower low toward 1.33530
BoE Bailey speech ~20:00 UTC could shift this read
The soft US CPI print spiked cable to 1.3443 (13:30 window) before it was rejected and faded through the NY session back to 1.3377 at the session low. The 200-day SMA cap near 1.3400 held on retest; price has now retraced most of the CPI spike.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.3367 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 200d sma at 1.3400 needed to reopen 1.3443
17:47 UTC
Faded higher after CPI spike, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.33797
False break of 1.3400, lower highs since.
Soft US CPI spiked cable to 1.34431 at the 12:30 UTC print, sweeping the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400, then it was rejected straight back below into the NY afternoon. Price carved a session low at 1.33679 and is now consolidating near 1.3380, holding under a series of post-spike lower highs.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.34000 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.33679 confirms a lower low
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
17:47 UTC
Fading after CPI spike, near session lows · RSI 36 · price 1.33797
Spike to 1.3443 rejected, lower highs since.
The soft US CPI print spiked cable to 1.34431 before the move faded hard, rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400. Price has since carved lower highs back toward the 1.3368 session low, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s with both EMAs now overhead.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33918, 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.33679 opens the 1.3360 range floor
M15 close back above 1.3400 reopens the path to the 1.34431 spike high
BoE's Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
17:32 UTC
Faded CPI spike, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 1.33773
False break of 1.3400 then full fade lower.
Cable spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US CPI print (12:30 UTC) but was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and has faded the entire move through NY, now sitting at 1.33773 below both EMAs. Session lows at 1.33679 held on the latest dip with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.3375, 1.33679
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3400 needed to re-open the spike high at 1.34431
Loss of 1.33679 confirms a lower low into the range floor
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend after spike fade · RSI 43 · price 1.33773
False break of 1.3400, lower highs.
NY session spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US CPI print, but the entire move faded back to 1.3377 — a false break of the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400. RSI cooled to the low-40s and price is back below EMA20/50, printing lower highs off the spike.
Support: 1.33679, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3400 200-day sma reasserts the break toward the 1.34431 spike high
Loss of 1.33679 session low opens the path toward the 1.3320 range floor
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Spike faded, back to range lows · RSI 43 · price 1.33715
CPI spike fully unwound, price at session lows.
The soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.34431, but the pop was fully unwound as USD haven flow returned, leaving price back at session lows near 1.3372 with the 200-dma cap at 1.3400 unbroken. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s after the spike; the move above 1.3400 has proven a false break.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.3400 (200-dma cap) reopens the path to 1.3443
Failure to hold 1.3370 session low exposes 1.3320 range floor
17:17 UTC
Fading after CPI spike · RSI 41 · price 1.33715
Rejected at 1.3400, lower highs into NY afternoon.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.34431, a false break of the 200-day SMA cap near 1.3400 that was rejected within the hour. Price has faded through the NY session back to 1.33715, printing lower highs and holding below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.33714, 1.3366
Resistance: 1.33918, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33714 exposes the 1.3360 area
Reclaim of 1.3400 reopens the 200-day SMA break toward 1.3445
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift the read
17:01 UTC
Pullback after spike, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.3389
Rejected at 1.3400, holding above session low.
Soft US June CPI spiked cable to 1.3443 before it was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and faded back into the low 1.338s. Price now consolidates in a 1.3375–1.3392 band below the cap, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.33754, 1.33823
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 (200d sma) opens the path to 1.3445
Loss of 1.3375 session low confirms a lower-low
BoE's Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Spike faded, back in range · RSI 44 · price 1.33875
False break above 1.3400, retraced to pre-spike area.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.34431 before it was rejected at the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and faded all the way back to 1.3388. Price now sits mid-range, below the 1.3400 cap with the entire CPI spike retraced.
Support: 1.33754, 1.33513
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.33754 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.3352
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.3443 before it faded back below the 200-day SMA at 1.3400, now sitting at 1.3388. The 1.3375 pivot held on the last NY dip, keeping price mid-range after the rejection.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 confirms a lower low
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could shift this read
16:32 UTC
Range, rejected at 200-sma · RSI 48 · price 1.33883
Spike above range, reversed back inside.
The soft US CPI print spiked cable through the 200-sma cap at 1.3400 to a session high of 1.3443, but the move was swept and reversed straight back inside the range. Price now sits ~1.3388 with RSI(14) cooled to neutral, and 1.3400 has since acted as resistance on the retest.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3354
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3400 (200-sma) reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 exposes 1.3354 swing low
BoE Bailey speech ~20:00 UTC could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Spike faded, back to range mid · RSI 46 · price 1.33883
False break above 1.3400, drifting lower.
Soft US June CPI drove a spike to 1.3443, but cable was rejected back below the 200-day cap at 1.3400 and has since faded to 1.3388. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46 after the reversal.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3354
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3354
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could shift this read
CPI spike fully retraced, lower highs into NY afternoon.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked cable to 1.34431 but the move was rejected above the 200-day SMA near 1.3400 and has fully retraced into the NY afternoon, now 1.3382. RSI(14) cooling near 43 as price presses the session low at 1.3375, printing lower highs off the spike.
Support: 1.33754, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3375 session low confirms a lower low; next support is the 1.3352 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.3400 200-day SMA reopens the 1.34431 session high
BoE Gov Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
False break above 1.3400 then reversal to session lows.
The soft US June CPI print spiked cable to 1.34431 during NY hours, sweeping above the 200-day cap at 1.3400 before the move fully reversed back under it. Price now retests session lows near 1.3375, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s after the failed break.
Support: 1.33754, 1.33422, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3400 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3375 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3332 range floor
BoE's Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Spike faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.33823
Post-CPI blowoff retracing to pre-spike zone.
The soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked GBPUSD to 1.34431, but the entire move has since faded back below the 200-dma cap at 1.3400 to 1.3382. Price is now retracing into the pre-spike zone with RSI(14) back near 44, and the session low at 1.33796 is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.33796, 1.3375, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3423, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.33796 confirms the spike as a false break and opens 1.3375
Reclaim of 1.3400 reopens the 1.3423 / 1.34431 CPI highs
Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
The soft US CPI print spiked GBPUSD to a 1.34431 session high at the NY open, but price has bled back to 1.33823, unwinding the entire move and getting rejected below the 1.3400 handle. Lower highs since the spike with RSI(14) cooling near 39; the 1.33796 swing low is now the pivot.
Support: 1.33796, 1.33686
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33796 confirms a lower low, opening 1.33686
M15 close back above 1.34000 reopens the 1.34229 lower high
Bailey speech 20:00 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Up-spike faded, momentum rolling over · RSI 47 · price 1.33878
False break above 1.3400, retrace to origin.
The soft US CPI miss spiked GBPUSD to a session high of 1.3443, but the move faded straight back below the 200-day cap at 1.3400 — a false break. Price has since retraced to the 1.3388 breakout origin with RSI(14) cooling toward the midline.
Support: 1.33823, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34431
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 200-day cap at 1.3400 reopens the 1.3443 session high
Loss of the 1.3382 session low exposes the 1.3350 swing low
Bailey speech (20:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Spike up on CPI, now retraced · RSI 49 · price 1.33878
False break of 1.3400 cap, back inside range.
GBPUSD spiked to a session high of 1.3443 on the soft US CPI miss, then was rejected below the 200-day SMA at 1.3400 and has retraced almost the entire move, printing back at the recent low near 1.3382. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pair gave back the CPI pop; price now sits below both EMAs after the failed break.
Support: 1.3382, 1.3374
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3423, 1.34431
What it said to watch
reclaim of 1.3400 (200-day sma) reopens the 1.3443 session high
failure to hold 1.3382 recent low exposes the 1.3374 pre-spike pivot
Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
GBPUSD spiked to 1.3443 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, clearing the 200-day SMA cap at 1.3400 before stalling. Price has since consolidated 1.3394-1.3423 and is now slipping back to test the 200-sma and session low as momentum fades; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.3394, 1.3388, 1.3380
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3423, 1.3443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3394 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3388
Reclaim above 1.3423 re-targets the 1.3443 cpi high
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could reshape this read
The soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked GBPUSD from 1.3388 to 1.3443, a clean breakout above the 200-day SMA at 1.3400. Price has since drifted back to consolidate around 1.3398, now testing the underside of that 1.3400 handle as short-term momentum cools.
Support: 1.3398, 1.3380, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3423, 1.3443
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.3398 puts the 1.3380 breakout base back in play
Reclaim of 1.3423 reopens the 1.3443 spike high
Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
The soft US June CPI print around 12:30 UTC drove a sharp GBPUSD spike through the 1.3400 200-day cap to 1.34431. Price has since consolidated in the 1.3400-1.3423 band with RSI(14) cooling off its post-spike extreme; the broken 200-dma is now acting as intraday support.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33964
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3400 negates the CPI breakout and reopens 1.33964
Reclaim of 1.34229 puts the 1.34431 CPI high back in range
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could reprice this read
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 200-sma cap on the soft US CPI miss, spiking to 1.34431 during NY hours before settling into a tight consolidation around 1.3407. Price is holding above the prior 1.3400 ceiling, now acting as a floor, with RSI cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33845, 1.33802
Resistance: 1.3423, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3400 would flip the breakout to a false break
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked GBPUSD ~60 pips through the round 1.3400 level to tag 1.34431, then price faded back and has been consolidating between the session low near 1.33964 and 1.34229. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the post-print highs; ATR is inflated to ~165 pips by the CPI candle.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33964
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 1.34229 reopens the 1.34431 spike high
Failure to hold the round 1.3400 exposes the 1.33964 session low
Fed speakers this afternoon and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could reshape this read
GBPUSD ripped to 1.34431 on the soft June US CPI print (core MoM 0% vs 0.2%), then faded into NY hours to consolidate above the 1.3400 200-day EMA pivot. RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs; buyers holding the 1.33964 swing low, spike high untested since.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33964, 1.33802
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.34000 (200-ema) opens 1.33802
Break above 1.34229 puts the 1.34431 spike high back in play
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and ongoing Fed speakers could shift the read
GBPUSD spiked from 1.3388 to a 1.34431 session high on the soft US CPI print at 12:30 UTC, then pulled back to consolidate above the 1.3400 pivot. RSI(14) has cooled from its post-spike peak; the 1.3399 post-spike low is holding while 1.34229 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.3399, 1.3388
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.3399 post-spike low reopens the 1.3388 pre-spike zone
M15 close above 1.34229 swing high puts the 1.34431 session high back in play
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers could reshape this read
GBPUSD ripped from the low-1.338s to a session high of 1.34431 on the NY-session soft US June CPI print, then settled back toward 1.3410. Pullback held the 1.3399 base and the pair is retesting into the 1.3420 area; RSI(14) around 61, cooled from post-spike hot readings.
Support: 1.33989, 1.3388, 1.33724
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.33989 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.3388 base
Retest of the 1.34431 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers could materially shift this read
GBPUSD spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US June CPI print, then unwound most of the impulse back to 1.33971 in NY hours. Breakout base at 1.3388 remains intact while price consolidates just under the 1.3400 round number; session floor holding near 1.3398.
Support: 1.3398, 1.3388, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3388 negates the CPI breakout and reopens 1.3358
Reclaim of 1.3400 puts the 1.3423/1.3443 spike zone back in view
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and Fed speakers this afternoon could reset this read
14:31 UTC
Impulsive up, pulling back · RSI 57 · price 1.33971
Post-breakout retrace below 1.3400 pivot.
NY session spiked to 1.34431 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded back under the 1.3400 200-day EMA pivot to 1.3397. Sharp reversal off the session high leaves price mid-move, RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.3390, 1.3380, 1.3345
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.34229, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.3390 reopens 1.3380 and the 1.3345 range floor
Reclaim of 1.3400 pivot puts 1.34229 back in view
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and afternoon Fed speakers could materially shift this read
Range break above 1.3400, now consolidating below spike high.
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 200-day EMA handle into a 1.34431 spike as the soft US CPI print gutted the USD haven bid during NY hours. Price has since drifted back to 1.34113 and is consolidating in the upper third of the move; RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3388
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3400 reopens the pre-break zone toward 1.33880
Rejection at 1.3445 range cap keeps the prior 1.3320-1.3445 band intact
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
GBPUSD spiked through the 1.3400 handle on the soft US CPI print, tagging 1.34431 before fading. Price is now consolidating around 1.3410-1.3420 with RSI(14) cooling from the spike, the 200-day EMA/1.3400 area flipped to support just below.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33979, 1.3388
Resistance: 1.34229, 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3400 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below negates it
Breakout above 1.3400, consolidating the CPI spike.
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 handle to 1.34431 on the soft US June CPI print, then pulled back and is now consolidating around 1.3415 above the breakout level, RSI(14) cooling from the spike. The 1.3400 psych level is now acting as a floor while price digests the move.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3380
Resistance: 1.34186, 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3400 negates the breakout and reopens the prior range
Reclaim of 1.34186 puts the 1.34431 spike high back in play
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) and BoE Bailey (20:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 200-day EMA to 1.3443 on the soft US CPI miss during NY hours, then pulled back and is now consolidating around 1.3415 above the breakout level. RSI(14) cooling from the spike high but still constructive; ATR is elevated near 144 pips after the CPI candle.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33845, 1.33524
Resistance: 1.34186, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3400 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens 1.33845
Close above 1.34186 session high challenges the 1.34431 spike high
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 GMT could shift this read
Soft US CPI at 13:30 UTC drove GBPUSD through the 1.3400 psych handle in one bar to a 1.34431 spike high, RSI hot then cooling. Price has since consolidated above 1.3400 with rising pullback lows near 1.33979 and is pressing back toward the session high at 1.3419.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33979, 1.3388
Resistance: 1.3419, 1.34431
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and could shift the USD read
M15 close back below 1.3400 psych negates the CPI breakout
Break above 1.3419 session high reopens the 1.34431 spike high
BoE Bailey 20:00 GMT could support GBP into the close
13:46 UTC
Impulsive leg up, consolidating · RSI 68 · price 1.34155
Breakout above 1.3400, holding gains.
NY session ripped through the 1.3400 handle after the soft US CPI print, spiking to 1.34431 before settling into a tight consolidation near 1.3415. Price is holding above the prior 1.3320–1.3445 range cap, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still firm.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33979, 1.33845
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3400 back into the range invalidates the breakout read
A close above 1.34431 opens the path to the 1.3445 range cap
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 handle / 200-DEMA on the soft US June CPI print (12:30 GMT), tagging 1.3443 before fading. NY session now holding the retest of 1.3400 with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33802, 1.3366
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3400 (200-dema) reopens the pre-spike zone near 1.3380
M15 close above 1.3443 spike high exposes the 1.3445 range cap
Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could sharply reprice this move
13:31 UTC
Uptrend after CPI breakout, pulling back · RSI 71 · price 1.34056
Range broken to upside, retesting 1.3400.
NY session ripped through the 1.3380 range top and 1.3400 200-DEMA on the soft US June CPI print, spiking to 1.34431 before fading to 1.34056. Price is now retesting the 1.3400 handle from above with RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3380, 1.3343
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.3400 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens 1.3380
Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) imminent — could reverse the CPI-driven USD softness
Bailey speech 20:00 GMT is a further risk to this read
GBPUSD ripped above the 200-DEMA/1.3400 handle to 1.3443 on the 12:30 GMT US CPI miss, then unwound half the spike to hold just above 1.3400. RSI(14) cooling from the impulse; price now retesting the breakout level.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33845, 1.3366
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3400 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below negates it toward 1.3384
Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT and Bailey 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.3443 opens the 1.3445 range cap
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive spike · RSI 68 · price 1.34044
Range break above 1.3400.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT drove a sharp GBP/USD spike through the 1.3400 200-DEMA to 1.34431 as the dollar was sold. Price pulled back but is holding above the 1.3400 handle, keeping the range break intact into the NY session.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3380, 1.3366
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3400 reopens the prior range toward 1.3380
1.34431 spike high is the cap; a close above opens 1.3445 range cap
Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT and Bailey 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
The 12:30 GMT US CPI print drove a sharp GBP breakout through the 1.3400 200-day EMA cap, spiking to 1.3443 before profit-taking pulled price back to 1.3415. RSI(14) is hot near 73 as the pair digests the move just under the range top.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3388, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3433, 1.3443
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3400 keeps the breakout structure intact
Loss of 1.3388 signals the spike is being fully retraced
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT triggered a sharp spike through the 1.3400 200-day EMA cap to 1.3443 as the Dollar eased, before price pulled back to 1.3415. Break of the prior 1.3355–1.3388 range holds for now with the 1.3443 high rejected on the follow-through bar.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3388, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3443
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3400 reopens the pre-spike 1.3388 then 1.3360
M15 close above 1.3443 exposes the range top toward 1.3445+
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 cap on the 12:30 GMT US CPI print, tagging 1.34431 before settling near 1.3436 with RSI(14) stretched into the low-80s. The prior 200-day/1.3400 ceiling has flipped to a reference support; range top at 1.3445 is the immediate barrier.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3380
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.3400 would negate the breakout and put price back inside the prior range
Break and hold above 1.3445 opens the 1.3445 range-top area
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could reprice this move
12:46 UTC
Breakout, momentum sharp · RSI 79 · price 1.34357
Range break above 1.3400 cap.
GBPUSD ripped through the 1.3400 200-day EMA cap on the soft US CPI print, spiking to 1.34431 before settling at 1.34357 as the Dollar eased. RSI(14) is stretched near 78 after a near-60 pip candle, but the prior 1.3320–1.3400 range has been decisively broken.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3380, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.34431, 1.3445
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3400 back into the old range negates the breakout
1.34450 range top — area to watch for rejection or continuation
BoE Bailey at 20:00 GMT could reshape the read
12:31 UTC
Sharp breakout, momentum up · RSI 76 · price 1.34316
Range break above 1.3400 cap.
NY session spiked through the 1.3400 200-day EMA cap on the 12:30 GMT US CPI print, tagging 1.3443 with RSI(14) running hot near 76. The move follows a grind up from the 1.3351 London low; the long-respected 1.3320–1.3445 range top is now in play.
Support: 1.3400, 1.3388, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3443, 1.3445
What it said to watch
A pullback holding 1.3400 confirms the breakout retest
Close back below 1.3388 negates the breakout and re-enters the range
BoE Bailey 20:00 GMT could reshape this read
12:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 1.33831
Higher lows probing range top.
Cable ground higher off the 1.3342 session low through the London-NY transition, printing a chain of higher lows and stalling just under the 1.3387 session high, with the 1.3400 200-DMA cap overhead. RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not stretched. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands within the next bar and is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~15min) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.3400 200-dma opens the 1.3445 range top
Failure to hold 1.3374 swing low reopens the 1.3342 session low
12:16 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher into NY · RSI 64 · price 1.33831
Higher lows off the 1.3342 base, approaching session high.
Cable ground back up through London-NY from the 1.3342 base, printing a higher-low chain into the NY session and stalling just under the 1.3387 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and dominates the next-bar read; the 1.3400 200-dma cap sits just above.
Support: 1.3366, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (minutes away) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.3387 opens the 1.3400 200-dma cap
Failure to hold 1.3366 breaks the higher-low chain
12:01 UTC
Uptrend into resistance · RSI 62 · price 1.33833
Higher lows, grinding toward session high.
London session ground higher off the 1.3352 range low, printing a chain of higher lows into the 1.3387 session high with RSI(14) around 62. The 1.3400 200-DMA cap sits just above; price is stalling into it ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and will likely drive the next leg
M15 close above 1.3387 opens the path to the 1.3400 200-DMA
Failure to hold 1.3370 breaks the higher-low chain
Cable recovered off the 1.3342 session low through London and is now pressing the session high at 1.3387 ahead of US CPI (12:30 UTC), RSI(14) in the mid-60s with room before extremes. The 1.3400 200-DMA remains the overhead cap into the print.
Support: 1.3372, 1.3352, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400, 1.3445
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.3400 opens the path to 1.3445 range top
Failure to hold 1.3372 negates the recovery leg
11:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend, approaching cap · RSI 61 · price 1.3381
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
Cable carved higher lows off the 1.3342 session low and is grinding back toward the 1.3400 200-DMA cap, last printing 1.3381 just under the 1.33834 session high. RSI(14) around 61, ATR ~7 pips; move has been a steady London-NY recovery rather than an impulsive breakout. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver into the current bar.
Support: 1.3366, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (<1h) can materially shift this read
Close above 1.34000 200-dma opens the range top toward 1.3445
Failure to hold 1.33660 swing low threatens a lower low back toward 1.33420
11:46 UTC
Recovering off intraday low, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 1.3381
Climbing back to session highs after Asian-low sweep.
Cable recovered off the Asian-session low near 1.3341 and is now retesting the session high at 1.3383 into the US CPI print, RSI(14) mid-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows through the London-NY transition; the 1.3400 200-DMA cap sits just above.
Support: 1.3366, 1.3341
Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~45m away) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.3383 opens the path to the 1.3400 200-DMA handle
Failure to hold 1.3366 breaks the higher-low sequence
11:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 57 · price 1.33765
Higher lows off session low, capped under 1.3383.
Cable ground higher off the ~1.3342 session low through the London-NY session, tagging a session high at 1.3383 before stalling and consolidating near 1.3376. RSI(14) mid-range; the 200-DMA/1.3400 cap sits just above and price is coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.3370, 1.33524, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.3383 opens the path to the 1.3400 200-dma
Failure to hold 1.3370 shifts structure back toward 1.3352/1.3342
Consolidating below session high after London bounce.
Cable based at 1.3352 mid-window and London ran it back up to a 1.3383 session high, now consolidating in the upper 1.3370s with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price holds above EMA20/50; the 1.3400 200-DMA cap sits just overhead into US CPI.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3345, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.3383 session high opens the 1.3400 handle
Failure to hold 1.3352 swing low reopens the 1.3345 day low
London session lifted cable off 1.3351 to a session high at 1.3383 before easing back to 1.3372 into US CPI, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s. Recovery holds above the 1.3366 pivot but the move stalls well below the 1.3400 / 200-DMA cap that has repeatedly rejected price.
Support: 1.3366, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m out) is the dominant near-term driver and could reprice this read
M15 close above 1.3383 opens a path toward the 1.3400 cap
Failure to hold 1.3366 confirms the recovery leg has stalled
Higher lows off 1.3345, stalling below session high.
London session lifted cable off the 1.3345 base to a session high at 1.3383 before easing back to 1.3372, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The 200-DMA/1.3400 handle caps overhead; price coiling into the US CPI print.
Support: 1.3355, 1.3345
Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.3383 opens the path to the 1.3400 cap
Failure to hold 1.3355 exposes the 1.3345 session low
London session drove cable off the 1.3352 swing low to a session high at 1.33834, now consolidating around 1.33716 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Move stalled shy of the 200d EMA/1.3400 pivot; higher-low structure intact.
Support: 1.33524, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 1.33834 opens the path toward the 200d EMA at 1.3400
Failure to hold 1.33524 breaks the higher-low chain
London session rallied off the 1.33510 swing low to a session high at 1.33834, where price was rejected. It's now retracing into the 38.2% fib around 1.33716 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.3351, 1.3345
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT — the key GBPUSD driver, likely to override this structure
Close below 1.33510 negates the higher-low read
Close above 1.33834 opens the path to the 1.34000 200d EMA
Higher lows since London, consolidating below session high.
London recovered cable off the Asian low near 1.3342 with a clean push to the 1.3383 session high, RSI(14) easing from the run-up. Price now consolidating around 1.3376, still capped below the 1.3400 200d EMA. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.3360, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the key driver and can reset this read
M15 close above 1.3383 opens the path to the 1.3400 200d EMA
Failure to hold 1.3360 negates the London recovery
10:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off London low · RSI 57 · price 1.33758
Higher lows into session high 1.3383.
London session rallied cable from the 1.3352 swing low to a 1.3383 session high, breaking out of the overnight Asian drift; price now easing to 1.3376 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Move is capped below the 200d EMA/1.3400 handle.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3383, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this structure
Close above 1.3383 opens the path toward 1.3400
Failure to hold 1.3352 negates the higher-low sequence
London session drove cable off the 1.33417 low up through 1.33834, a clean breakout of the prior 1.33500 base with RSI(14) now cooling from the mid-60s. Last few bars stalled around 1.33764 just under the session high; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor for the next leg.
Support: 1.33735, 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33834 opens the path to 1.3400 psych
US June CPI 12:30 GMT — main cable driver, ~2h out, could reset this read
Higher highs/higher lows off 1.3351, session high 1.3383.
Cable recovered through London off 1.3351, breaking higher to a session high at 1.33834 before easing back to 1.3376. RSI in the low-60s and price holding above EMA20/50; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.33735, 1.3351, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.33834 opens the path to the 1.3400 200d ema barrier
Loss of 1.33735 breaks the HH/HL sequence back toward 1.3351
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read via the USD leg
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 1.33763
Higher lows into session high, consolidating below 1.33834.
London session lifted cable off the session low near 1.33510 to a session high at 1.33834, RSI(14) around 66. Price is now consolidating at 1.33763 just below that high; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver in roughly two hours.
Support: 1.33612, 1.3351
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT — main cable catalyst, likely to redefine this read
M15 close above 1.33834 opens the 200-day EMA/1.3400 barrier
Loss of 1.33612 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
10:16 UTC
Recovery, higher lows · RSI 62 · price 1.33763
Chain of higher lows off intraday base.
Cable based near 1.3342 in the London morning and built a chain of higher lows, breaking prior consolidation to tag the session high at 1.33834 before easing to 1.33763. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor for the next leg.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3350, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant cable driver and could reset this read
Close above 1.33834 opens the 1.3400 200-day EMA barrier
Loss of 1.3371 breaks the higher-low sequence toward the 1.3350 pivot
Higher lows off range floor, testing session high.
London session lifted cable off the 1.3345 range floor in a chain of higher lows to a session high at 1.3383, RSI(14) around 64 with room left. The 200-day EMA near 1.3400 remains the cap overhead; price is grinding into resistance ahead of the US CPI print.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3345
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33834 opens the 1.3400 200-day EMA barrier
Failure to hold 1.3352 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.3345
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant cable driver in the next bars
Cable ground higher through the London session, carving higher lows off the overnight base at 1.33420 and pushing into a session high at 1.33834. RSI(14) around 63, room before hot territory; the 1.3400 psych/200-day area still overhead. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst in roughly 2.5h.
Support: 1.33735, 1.33574, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33834 opens the path to the 1.3400 area
Failure to hold 1.33735 breaks the London higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off London lows · RSI 64 · price 1.33756
Higher lows, testing session high.
London session lifted cable off the 1.3351 low through the 1.3380 session high, RSI(14) around 63 and cooling on the shallow pullback to 1.3374. Move is holding above prior swing highs but the 1.3400 200-DMA overhead has capped repeatedly, and US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver into the next hours.
Support: 1.33735, 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3380 opens the path to the 1.3400 200-DMA
Failure to hold 1.3374 reopens the 1.3351 session low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.75h) can materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asian low · RSI 68 · price 1.33756
Higher highs / higher lows into London.
Cable based at the 1.3342 Asian low overnight and climbed through London, breaking the 1.3368 shelf to tag a session high at 1.3381 before easing to 1.3376. RSI(14) near 67 and price holding above both EMAs; move is running into the CPI window with 1.3400/200-DMA the next resistance overhead.
Support: 1.3361, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary cable driver — could reset this intraday read
Loss of the 1.3361 swing would break the higher-low chain
A clean push through 1.3381 opens the 1.3400 200-DMA zone to watch for rejection or break
London session ground higher off the 1.3351 range floor, breaking out to a session high at 1.3381 with RSI(14) around 66. Price consolidating just below that high ahead of US CPI at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.33737, 1.3351, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.3381 opens the 1.3400 200-dma
Loss of 1.3374 puts the 1.3351 range low back in play
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary cable driver and can reset this read
London session grinding higher off the 1.3352 low, breaking through prior consolidation into a 1.3380 session high with RSI(14) around 67. Buyers stepped in on each dip through the last three hours; 1.3400 200-DMA remains the cap overhead.
Support: 1.33739, 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the primary cable driver — can override this read
M15 close above 1.3380 opens the path to the 1.3400 200-DMA
Failure to hold 1.3374 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Cable rallied through the London session off the 1.3351 swing low, breaking above 1.3375 to print a session high at 1.3381, RSI(14) firm near 67. Move is grinding toward the 1.3400 200-DMA that has repeatedly rejected price, with US CPI at 12:30 GMT the next catalyst.
Support: 1.33745, 1.3351, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary cable driver and could reset this read
1.3400 200-DMA — area to watch for rejection or a clean break toward 1.3445
Loss of 1.3375 breakout level would signal the intraday leg stalling
09:16 UTC
Recovering, momentum up into London · RSI 68 · price 1.33784
Higher lows off Asian low, breaking session range top.
Cable ground higher through the London morning, lifting off the Asian low near 1.3342 and breaking the 1.3360–1.3365 consolidation to print a session high at 1.3381. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; move stalling at 1.3378 ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.3372, 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33807, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the main cable driver — could materially shift this read
Sustained trade above 1.33807 opens the 1.3400 200-dma
Loss of 1.33510 higher low negates the recovery structure
09:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, near-term up · RSI 67 · price 1.33762
Higher lows, breakout from consolidation.
Cable ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.3350–1.3360 consolidation and tagging 1.3376 with RSI(14) firm near 67. Rally is running into the 1.3380 psych zone with the 200-day EMA range top at 1.3400 the next barrier; move is pre-positioning ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.3360, 1.3351, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the pivot and can override this intraday read
Loss of the 1.3360 swing low would negate the breakout and re-open 1.3351 range base
Repeated rejection at 1.3400 200d ema caps upside; a clean reclaim opens 1.3445
Cable ground higher through late Asia into the London morning, breaking the 1.3355–1.3360 consolidation with a sharp 130-pip candle up to 1.33763. RSI(14) near 69, hot but consistent with the leg; Pill's hawkish rates comments cushioned Sterling ahead of the pivotal US CPI print.
Support: 1.3360, 1.33417, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.33763, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
A clean reclaim above the 200d ema at 1.3400 opens 1.3445
Failure to hold the 1.3360 range floor reopens the 1.33417 swing low
Cable chopped sideways through London around a 1.3345–1.3360 base before the last two M15 bars broke sharply higher to 1.3374, RSI(14) turning up near 67. The move retraced most of the early-window slide from 1.3402; 1.3400 (200-day EMA) is the next cap.
Support: 1.3356, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3402
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3.75h out) could materially shift this read
Loss of the 1.3356 base reopens the 1.3342 swing low
Repeated rejection at 1.3400 confirms the 200d ema cap
London session broke cable out of the 1.3350–1.3360 base, spiking to 1.3375 on rising lows into the US CPI print. RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme; the 1.3360 breakout shelf is the immediate pivot below.
Support: 1.3361, 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC will likely override this intraday read
Loss of 1.3361 breakout shelf reverts price into the prior base
Approach to 200d ema ~1.3400 — area to watch for rejection or break
08:32 UTC
Recovering off base, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 1.33644
Overnight base holding, higher lows into London.
Cable carved an overnight base near 1.3342 and has ground back up through the London session, printing higher lows toward the 1.3370 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 54, price above EMA20/50; still boxed inside a 1.3342–1.3370 range with US June CPI at 12:30 GMT the near-term driver.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33422, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3370 opens the path to 1.3380 then the 200d ema at 1.3400
Failure to hold 1.3351 reopens the 1.3342 base low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Cable sold from 1.3402 to a 1.3442 session low overnight, then chopped in a 1.3352–1.3370 band through London before grinding back to 1.3364. Move stalled below the 1.3400/200-day EMA that has repeatedly capped, with US June CPI the near-term driver.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver — could break this range either way
Close above 1.3370 opens the path back to the 1.3400 barrier
Failure to hold 1.3352 reopens the 1.3342 session low
08:17 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.33565
Consolidation between 1.3351 and 1.3368.
Cable slid from 1.3402 through the London session and has since coiled in a tight 1.3351-1.3368 range, price pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47. Buyers defended the 1.3351 range floor repeatedly; the 1.3400 range top remains untested and the pair is holding well below it into US CPI.
Support: 1.3351, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver — could break this range either way
M15 close below 1.3351 exposes the 1.33420 swing low
Break above 1.3368 opens the path toward the 1.3400 range top
08:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.33565
Consolidation after session slide.
Cable slid from 1.3400 through the London session and is now chopping in a 1.3351–1.3368 range, capped well below the 200-day EMA. RSI(14) neutral near 48; US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT can break this range in either direction
Close below 1.33422 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.33680 swing high needed to challenge the 1.3400 200d ema cap
08:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.33575
Consolidation off Asian low near 1.3342.
Cable sold off from 1.3403 through the prior NY session and bottomed near 1.3342 in thin Asian trade, then recovered to consolidate around 1.3357 into the London morning. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 with price pinned between 1.3351 support and the 1.3368 swing high; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the near-term driver.
Support: 1.3351, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could break the 1.3351-1.3368 range
Close above 1.3368 opens the path back to 1.3400
Failure to hold 1.3342 asian low confirms a lower-low
08:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 48 · price 1.33575
Consolidation 1.3350-1.3370 after leg down.
Cable slid from 1.3410 through the session and has coiled into a 1.3350-1.3370 range, capped well below the 1.3400 200-day EMA that keeps rejecting. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR compressed to ~7 pips ahead of US June CPI at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3382, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.33696 session high opens 1.33820
Failure to hold 1.33510 range low exposes 1.33417 day low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the near-term driver and could break the range
Consolidation above session low after slide off 1.3410.
Cable slid off the 1.3410 area and based near 1.3352 through the Asian hours, now grinding back to 1.3360 into London. RSI(14) mid-range near 55 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips; price is holding a shallow retrace of the earlier down leg.
Support: 1.3352, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could shift this read
Close above 1.33696 swing high opens the path back to the 1.3400/200-day ema pivot
Failure to hold 1.3352 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.33422
Cable slid through yesterday's NY session to a 1.3342 low then based; London open has price consolidating 1.3350–1.3368 with RSI(14) back near neutral. Bounce so far is a shallow retrace of the down leg from 1.3406, still capped under the 1.3368 swing high.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33422, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3368 opens the path back toward the 1.3400 200-day EMA pivot
Failure to hold 1.3351/1.3342 exposes the 1.3320 range floor
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant cross-driver and could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.33576
Consolidation in lower third of daily range.
Cable sold off through the NY session from 1.3411 to 1.3342 on the broad USD haven bid, then based and chopped between 1.3345 and 1.3368 through Asia into early London. Now hovering at 1.33576 with RSI(14) mid-range; no clean intraday direction in play.
Support: 1.3351, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3380
What it said to watch
Close above 1.33680 opens the path back toward 1.33800
Break below 1.33510 exposes the 1.33417 prior low
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant cross-driver and can break this range
07:31 UTC
Downtrend flattened into range · RSI 47 · price 1.33576
Consolidation after decline.
London mid-morning: cable is ranging ~1.3342–1.3370 after yesterday's rejection at the 200-day EMA/1.3400 pivot on the Hormuz oil-driven USD bid. Price sits mid-range at 1.33576 with RSI neutral near 47; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3351, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3380
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
M15 close below 1.33420 opens the path toward the 1.3320 floor
M15 close above 1.33696 exposes 1.3380 range top
07:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 1.33541
Ranging after NY selloff, holding session low.
Cable rolled over from 1.3411 through the NY session and printed a session low at 1.3342, then settled into a tight 1.3342–1.3368 range through Asia. Price is hugging the EMAs near 1.3354 with RSI mid-range, no directional break as the market waits on US CPI.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3390
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver — a hot print pressures the 1.3320 floor
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.3368 opens a retest of 1.3390
BoE Bailey 20:00 GMT could shift the read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.33541
Consolidation above session low, capped near 1.3368.
Cable is grinding sideways in the 1.3342–1.3368 band as London opens, after the earlier slide off 1.3411 and a clean rejection at 1.3368. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; price is pinned just under EMA20 with the session low holding.
Support: 1.3350, 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3320 range floor
Reclaim of 1.3368 opens the 1.3400 200-day pivot
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range either side
07:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.33555
Consolidation after rejection at 1.3369.
Cable rejected at 1.3369 in the Asian session and drifted back to 1.3355, now stalling at the 50% retrace of the 1.3342–1.3369 leg. Price is boxed between session low 1.3352 and session high 1.3369 with volume thin ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3380
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cable driver — a hot print pressures toward 1.3342
Break below 1.3352 opens the 1.3342 asia low
Close above 1.3369 targets the 1.3380 prior swing
07:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.33555
Consolidation after lower-low sequence.
Cable rolled over from the 1.3410 area through the session and is now chopping between 1.3352 and 1.3368, price pinned to its EMAs. A NY-hours probe to 1.3368 was rejected and sellers pushed back toward the 1.3352 range low; USD haven bid from the Hormuz oil story remains the backdrop.
Support: 1.33524, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3390
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant cable driver and can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close above 1.3368 opens the path back toward 1.3390
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.33563
Rejection at 1.3400, ranging 1.3342-1.3368.
Cable was rejected at the 200-day EMA/1.3400 handle in Asian hours and slid to 1.3342 on the Hormuz-driven USD haven bid, now consolidating 1.3342-1.3368 into the London open. RSI(14) neutral near 47 as price twice held 1.3342; the recovery leg to 1.3368 has faded back toward the range mid.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US June CPI 12:30 GMT is the dominant cable driver and could reset this read
Close above 1.3368 opens the path back to the 1.3400 cap
Failure to hold 1.3342 confirms a lower low toward 1.3320
06:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 48 · price 1.33563
Lower highs off 1.3411, basing near 1.3350.
Cable slid through the London session after a clean rejection at the 200-day EMA near 1.3400, printing a session low at 1.3352 as an oil-driven USD haven bid firmed. Price is now consolidating 1.3352-1.3368, RSI(14) neutral near 47; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
close above 1.3368 reopens the path to the 200-day ema at 1.3400
failure to hold 1.3352 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 45 · price 1.33547
Ranging 1.3345–1.3370 after selloff.
Cable sold off from the 1.3411 area early yesterday to 1.3342 then settled into a 1.3345–1.3370 range through the Asian session. A brief push to 1.3370 was rejected an hour ago and price drifted back to 1.3355; the 1.3400 handle/200-day EMA remains the broader cap per the range read.
Support: 1.33524, 1.33422
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the primary catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.3320 area
Reclaim of 1.3370 puts 1.3400 back in view
06:32 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.33547
Sold off from 1.3400, now ranging low 1.335s.
Cable was rejected near the 1.3400/200-day EMA area early in the window and sold off to a session low of 1.3342 as Hormuz haven flows firmed the dollar. Price has since based and drifted back into the low 1.335s during London hours, stalling at the 1.33696 session high; RSI(14) is neutral and ATR has compressed on thin overnight ranges.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3380
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33696 session high opens the path back to 1.33800 prior high
Close below 1.33420 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US June CPI 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst and can break this range
Cable ground up from the 1.3342 session low through the Asian range, tagged 1.3370 then eased back to 1.3359, holding above its short EMAs. The macro cap remains the 200-day EMA/1.3400 handle where price was rejected earlier; intraday it is a tight 1.3352-1.3370 recovery.
Support: 1.3352, 1.33417, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the primary catalyst and could break the range
M15 close above 1.3370 opens the path back toward the 1.3400 handle
Consolidating after a leg down, higher lows building.
Cable is ranging 1.3342–1.3368 after the earlier rejection near the 200-day EMA/1.3400. A grind up to a 1.3368 session high in early London faded back to 1.3359, RSI(14) flat around 51 — no clear directional push in play.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3368, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3368 reopens the path toward the 1.3400 handle
Failure to hold 1.3352 exposes the 1.3342 range low
US June CPI (Tue 12:30 GMT) is the primary catalyst and can break this range either way
GBPUSD carved a 1.3342 double bottom through the Asian session and recovered to a 1.33696 session high before easing back to 1.33636, RSI(14) mid-range. Cable remains capped well below the 200-day EMA/1.3400 after yesterday's rejection there; US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the primary catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.3355, 1.33417, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33696 session high extends recovery toward the 1.33790 prior swing
Failure to hold the 1.33550 swing low reopens the 1.3342 double bottom
US CPI 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing and recovering · RSI 55 · price 1.33636
Double bottom off day low, early-London bounce.
Cable trended lower through the prior NY session from 1.3411, then carved a double bottom near the day low at 1.3342. Early London recovery tagged the session high at 1.3370 before easing to 1.3364; RSI mid-range. The wider range stays capped by repeated rejection at the 200-day EMA/1.3400.
Support: 1.33545, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33696, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3370 session high opens the path toward the 200d ema/1.3400
Loss of 1.3342 day low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI and Bailey speech later today could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.3367
Higher lows off 1.3342 base after NY sell-off.
NY session sold cable from 1.3411 down to a 1.3342 session low as haven USD demand built on Hormuz headlines. Asia consolidated and price is now grinding back up on higher lows into 1.3368, RSI(14) recovering near 61; 1.3380 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.3356, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3380 opens the path back to the 1.3400 200-dma pivot
Loss of 1.3356 consol base exposes the 1.3342 session low
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~7h) is the asymmetric swing factor for this read
05:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.3367
Double bottom, higher lows into London open.
Cable ground lower through the Asia session and printed a double bottom at 1.3342 in the low-volume hours; buyers stepped in and price has recovered to 1.3367 into the London open, RSI(14) mid-60s. Move remains capped below the 1.3380 swing high and the 1.3400 200-DMA pivot.
Support: 1.3355, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3380 opens the 1.3400 200-dma
Failure to hold 1.3355 swing low reopens the 1.3342 double btm
BoE Bailey (20:00 GMT) and US CPI Tue are the dominant risks to this read
Cable was rejected at the 1.3400 200-DMA during NY hours yesterday and slid ~70 pips into a 1.3342 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double-bottom base. Price has since ground back to 1.3367, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of that decline with RSI(14) near 61; reclaim of 1.33790 is needed to re-engage 1.3400.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close below 1.33420 session low confirms a lower low and resumes the decline
Reclaim of 1.33790 prior low opens the 1.34000 200-dma
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 GMT could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 58 · price 1.33668
Double-bottom base, grinding higher.
Cable sold from the 1.3411 high through London-NY to base twice at 1.33421, forming a double bottom, then ground back up to 1.33668 through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) recovered to the high-50s; price now sits mid-way in the 1.3342–1.3411 decline with 1.3379 the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.33517, 1.33421
Resistance: 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33790 opens the path back to the 1.3400 200-dma
Loss of 1.33421 double-bottom low reopens the downtrend
BoE Gov Bailey speech today 20:00 GMT could shift this read
Cable sold off from 1.3411 to 1.3342 through the prior London-NY sessions on the haven-USD bid, then based twice at 1.3342 and clawed back to 1.3362. Asian hours now grind in a tight 1.3352-1.3362 range with RSI(14) back near neutral; the 200-DMA at 1.3400 caps overhead.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3382, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3382 opens the path back to the 1.3400 pivot
Loss of 1.3352 re-exposes the 1.3342 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the asymmetric swing factor for this range
05:16 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 61 · price 1.3362
Recovering off session low, sub-swing-high.
Cable sold off from the 1.3411 early-session high down to a 1.3342 session low, then based around 1.3345 and ground back to 1.3362 through the Asia session. Price is consolidating just under the 1.3364 swing high; RSI mid-range, ATR compressed at ~6 pips.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3364 swing high extends the recovery toward the 1.3400 200-dma
Failure to hold the 1.3345 base reopens the 1.3342 session low
200-dma at 1.3400 is a repeated rejection zone — area to watch on any push higher
BoE Bailey 20:00 GMT and US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.3359
Consolidation near session lows.
Cable slid off 1.3410 through the NY-Asia handover, basing at 1.3342 before recovering to the 1.3360 handle. Thin overnight session has compressed ranges into a tight 1.3355-1.3364 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.
Support: 1.3355, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3374
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.3355-1.3364 consolidation either way
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC is the next catalyst for direction
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower-low; close above 1.3364 opens 1.3374
05:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.3359
Consolidating near session lows after a lower-low sequence.
Cable drifted lower through the overnight session from 1.3411 to a session low at 1.3342, pressured by oil-driven USD strength and a soft UK BRC retail print. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3355-1.3364 band into the London handover, RSI(14) flat near 50 with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3355
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.3400 psych would break the sub-1.3400 range read
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.33606
Basing after decline, tight range.
Cable slid through the 07-13 London/NY sessions from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 session low, then based. Asian session is dead-quiet with ATR sub-5 pips, ranging 1.3355–1.3364 and RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3355, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3372
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3364 opens the path back toward 1.3372
Loss of 1.3342 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Bailey 20:00 UTC could break this range
Cable sold off through London-NY into a 1.33417 session low, then based and ground back to 1.33639 before settling into a tight 1.3350-1.3364 range during the quiet Asian session. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; price holding just above EMA20/50 with volume thinning into the low.
Support: 1.33544, 1.33488, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33639, 1.3379
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC could break the 1.3350-1.3364 Asian range
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC is the later catalyst
M15 close below 1.33544 puts the 1.33417 session low back in play
reclaim above 1.33639 opens the 1.33790 prior swing
Cable sold off through the London-NY session from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 session floor, where equal lows formed a double bottom during Asia. Price has since ground back to 1.3360, holding above EMA20 but capped below the 1.3364 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no extreme.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3380
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC can override this intraday read
Loss of 1.3342 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.3380 prior high reopens the 1.3400 handle
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC is the next GBP catalyst
Sold off from 1.3411, now consolidating near lows.
Cable sold off through London-NY from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 swing low as oil-shock USD strength and soft UK BRC retail sales weighed. Asian session is now consolidating 1.3350-1.3364 with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; buyers stepped in twice around 1.3350.
Support: 1.3350, 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.3364 opens the path back toward 1.3400
Loss of 1.3342 confirms a fresh lower-low
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC — high-impact catalyst
Basing after selloff, higher lows forming into London open.
Cable sold off from 1.3411 to 1.3342 through the NY session on oil-driven USD strength, then based through Asia and is grinding back to the 1.3364 session high. Higher lows have formed off 1.3342; RSI(14) mid-range near 57, ATR sub-6 pips reflects the thin Asian range.
Support: 1.33544, 1.33421
Resistance: 1.33639, 1.3380
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3364 opens the path back toward 1.3380
Failure to hold 1.3354 exposes the 1.3342 session low again
Cable sold off through the NY session from 1.3412 to a 1.3342 session low as oil-driven USD strength and a soft UK BRC print weighed. The Asian range base held above 1.3352 and price is grinding back toward the 1.3364 session high, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3382
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3364 session high opens the path back to 1.3382 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3352 range base reopens the 1.3342 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Bailey 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend easing, base forming · RSI 57 · price 1.33601
Double bottom at 1.3342, recovering.
Overnight NY-into-Asia slide from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 double bottom, driven by oil-shock USD demand and a soft UK BRC retail print. Asian session has ground out a shallow recovery to 1.3360 on rising lows, RSI back near 57. Session high at 1.3364 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.33421, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3364 opens the path to 1.3390
Loss of 1.3342 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.33601
Session decline into base, grinding higher.
GBPUSD sold from the 1.3411 session high down to 1.3342 through NY hours as oil-driven USD demand weighed, then based and ground back to 1.336 in Asia. Price is stalling into 1.3364 recent high with RSI(14) back near mid-range; sub-1.3400 range trade intact.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342, 1.3357
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3379, 1.3411
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.3379 invalidates the recovery-into-supply read
Failure to hold 1.3352 reopens the 1.3342 session low
03:46 UTC
Downtrend easing, basing · RSI 55 · price 1.3361
Session slide into a 1.3342 base, consolidating.
Cable ground lower through the NY session from the 1.34115 high to a 1.3342 base, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Asia hours are lifting price back toward the 1.3364 session pivot, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range with ATR compressing to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3345, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3400, 1.34115
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3342 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.3320 range floor
Reclaim of 1.3400 shifts the read back toward 1.34115
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
GBPUSD carved a double bottom at 1.3342 during the London-NY session and Asia has ground it back to 1.3361, RSI(14) recovering to ~57. Cable slipped earlier on oil-driven USD demand and a soft UK BRC retail print; price now retesting the 1.3375 prior-swing zone from below.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3375, 1.34115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3375 opens the path to 1.34115
Loss of 1.3342 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable sold from the 1.3411 session high down to 1.3342 through the NY session, then based sub-1.3350 as oil-driven USD demand capped upside. Asian hours have ground a slow recovery back to the 1.3360 range top, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — no extreme in play.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3379
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 opens the path back toward 1.3379
Failure to hold the 1.3345 base risks a retest of the 1.3342 swing low
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC — HIGH impact, could reset the range read
Cable sold off through the NY session from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 base, then ground out a shallow Asian-hours recovery now capped at the 1.3360 range top. RSI(14) neutral near 55 with price coiling in a tight 1.3348–1.3360 band into the London open.
Support: 1.33485, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3372
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 opens the path to 1.3372
Loss of 1.3348 exposes the 1.3342 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey at 20:00 UTC could break this range
03:17 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 55 · price 1.3357
Basing above session lows after London/NY sell-off.
London/NY sold cable from 1.3411 down to 1.3342; the Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 1.3352-1.3360 band on thin volume with GBP still soft after the weak BRC retail print. RSI mid-range and a modest bounce off the lows keep price pinned just under the session high.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3379
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 session high opens the path back toward 1.3379 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.3352 range floor exposes the 1.3342 swing low
BoE Gov Bailey speech 20:00 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
Range after impulse lower, holding above swing low.
Cable sold off through London-NY from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 swing low as oil-driven USD demand capped GBP, then stabilised into a tight Asian-session range around 1.3355. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range and price sits just above the EMA20 but below the EMA50 near 1.3360 — recovery stalling into the 23.6% retracement.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3375
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.3360 ema50 needed to challenge 1.3375
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could shift the range read
03:02 UTC
Prior downtrend, basing · RSI 56 · price 1.33575
Recovery off 1.3342 swing low, sub-1.3360.
Cable slid through the prior session from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 swing low on oil-driven USD strength and soft UK BRC retail sales, then based and ground back to 1.33575 — the 23.6% retracement of that drop. Asian hours are quiet, RSI mid-range, price holding just under the 1.3360 session high.
Support: 1.3352, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33599, 1.3368
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3360 session high opens the path toward 1.3368
Failure to hold 1.3352 asian low reopens the 1.3342 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend easing, base forming · RSI 56 · price 1.33575
Sold off from 1.3411, basing near 1.3342.
Cable slid from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 base through the NY session as oil-driven USD demand capped Sterling. Asia has ground the recovery back to 1.3358, holding above the base with RSI(14) mid-range near 56; session high 1.3360 caps for now.
Support: 1.33513, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.33599, 1.3368
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.33680 would negate the intraday downtrend
Loss of 1.33417 base confirms a fresh lower low
US June CPI 12:30 UTC could reset the USD-side read
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.3358
Base building above session low after intraday sell-off.
Cable sold off from 1.3411 through the prior session to a low at 1.3342, pressured by oil-driven USD strength and a weak UK BRC retail print. A quiet Asian session has ground back to 1.3358, holding above the 1.3350 swing low with the 1.3360 pivot capping so far.
Support: 1.3350, 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3375, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3375 prior high would confirm the recovery extends
Loss of 1.3342 session low opens the 1.3320 range floor
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could reset this read
Cable sold off through the prior session to 1.3342 on oil-driven USD demand, then carved a double bottom and is grinding higher into thin Asian hours, now 1.3358. Recovery holding above EMA20/50 but capped at the 1.3360 recent high.
Support: 1.3352, 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3379
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3360 opens the path to 1.3379
Loss of 1.3342 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.3359
Recovered off session low, capped near 1.3360.
Cable slid through NY hours to a 1.3342 session low near the Bailey headlines, then based overnight and ground back to the 1.3360 pivot. Asian session is holding a tight 1.3342–1.3360 band with RSI(14) neutral near 56; move off the low has been shallow relative to the earlier drop from 1.3411.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3368, 1.3380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 opens the path to 1.3368/1.3380
Failure to hold 1.3342 confirms a lower low toward 1.3320 floor
US CPI 12:30 UTC / Bailey 20:00 UTC could break this range
Cable sold off through the NY session from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 session low, then twice held 1.3342 to form a double bottom during thin Asia hours. Price is grinding back to 1.3359, retracing the down leg with RSI(14) recovering near 59; prior swing at 1.3375 is the first area to watch.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3411
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the sub-1.3400 range in either direction
Loss of 1.3342 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3320 range floor
M15 close above 1.3375 prior swing extends the corrective bounce
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC is a later high-impact catalyst
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing into Asia · RSI 55 · price 1.33578
Sold off to 1.3342, now consolidating low 1.3350s.
Cable ground lower through NY into the Asia session, tagging 1.3342 before basing in the low 1.3350s on thin overnight volume. Price is grinding back above EMA20 toward the 1.3360 pivot, but the descending highs from 1.3411 still cap; move stays range-bound sub-1.3400 as USD holds firm on the oil bid.
Support: 1.33488, 1.33417
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3368, 1.3379
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3360 pivot then 1.3368 would break the descending-highs sequence
Failure to hold 1.3342 session low confirms a lower-low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Bailey 20:00 UTC later today can materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base building · RSI 57 · price 1.33578
Sold off then consolidating above session low.
Cable declined through London/NY from ~1.3411 to a 1.3342 session low, then based and clawed back to 1.3358 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) has recovered toward mid-range from oversold; price is grinding just above EMA20 with no clean directional break in play.
Support: 1.3342, 1.33513
Resistance: 1.3366, 1.3379
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3366 swing high would extend the recovery toward 1.3379 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low confirms lower-low continuation
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable sold off through London/NY from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 swing low, in line with the firm-USD, range-fade tone. Asian session is now basing in a tight 1.3342–1.3357 band with RSI recovering off the lows; range top still capping.
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Bailey (20:00 UTC) ahead could reset this range
02:01 UTC
Downtrend overnight, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.3355
Consolidating above a double bottom after the decline.
Cable faded from 1.3411 through the London-NY session to a 1.3342 double bottom as USD caught safe-haven flows and a soft UK BRC retail print weighed on GBP. Price is now consolidating 1.3342-1.33575 in thin Asian hours, RSI(14) mid-range with no directional edge.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3350
Resistance: 1.33575, 1.3363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Close above 1.33575 reopens the 1.3363 swing high
BoE Bailey speech at 20:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst
Cable faded from the 1.34115 session high through London/NY on firm USD safe-haven flows, then based out at 1.33417 overnight. Asia hours now ranging 1.33420–1.33575 with RSI recovering toward neutral; recent highs capped at 1.33575.
Support: 1.33417, 1.33513
Resistance: 1.33575, 1.3368, 1.34115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33575 opens a retest of the 1.33680 swing high
Loss of 1.33417 overnight low confirms continuation of the downtrend
BoE Bailey (20:00 UTC) is the key near-term catalyst and could reset this range
Cable sold off from 1.3411 through the NY session into a 1.3342 low, then printed a matching low in Asia hours to form a double bottom on thin volume. Price is now consolidating 1.3342–1.3357 with RSI(14) recovering to neutral; softer BRC retail sales added marginal overnight pressure.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3357, 1.3390
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3357 opens the path back to 1.3390
Failure to hold 1.3342 exposes the 1.3320 range floor
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Bailey 20:00 UTC are near-term catalysts that could shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.3352
Faded from 1.3411, basing near 1.3342.
Cable rolled over from the 1.3411 high through the NY session to a 1.3342 low as the USD held a safe-haven bid, aided by the soft BRC print overnight. Price is now grinding sideways in thin Asia hours around 1.3352, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.3357, 1.3368
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 exposes the 1.3332 range floor
Reclaim of 1.3357 needed to challenge the descending highs at 1.3368
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and BoE Bailey (20:00 UTC) are the near-term catalysts that could break this thin range
Cable drifted down through the NY session from the 1.3411 peak, bottoming at 1.3342 before stabilising; the soft BRC retail print and firm USD kept the tone heavy. Now consolidating 1.3342-1.3357 in a thin, low-volume Asian session with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3357, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3357 opens the path back to 1.3390
Failure to hold 1.3342 exposes 1.3320 range floor
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Bailey at 20:00 UTC are the day's catalysts
Cable bled through NY hours to a 1.3342 session low, where buyers stepped in twice, and price has since recovered to 1.3352 in thin early-Asia trade. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to ~47; the descending resistance off 1.3411 still caps and price holds under the EMA50.
Support: 1.33417, 1.3336, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.33571, 1.3360, 1.33828
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 breaks the descending resistance and opens 1.3383
Failure to hold 1.3342 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3336/1.3332
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Bailey (20:00 UTC) later today are the key catalysts for this pair
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.33536
Lower highs into a floor around 1.3342.
Cable trended lower through NY into a 1.3342 floor, tracking the firmer USD on Iran safe-haven flows, then went quiet through the thin Asia rollover. Current Asia session has clawed back to 1.3354 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the midline; price sits above EMA20 but capped by EMA50.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3334
Resistance: 1.33609
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33609 needed to break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.33420 reopens the 1.33340 low
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Bailey (20:00 UTC) are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 46 · price 1.3352
Faded from 1.3411, holding 1.3342 double base.
Cable faded from the 1.3411 London high through the NY session, bottoming twice at 1.33421 to print a double bottom before basing near 1.3352 in quiet Asia trade. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold into the mid-40s; the descending sequence of lower highs off 1.3411 still caps.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3357, 1.3360, 1.3402
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.3342 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3320
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Cable ground lower from 1.3411 through the NY session to a 1.3342 session low, then flattened into thin Asia hours near 1.3350. Momentum has cooled with RSI back around neutral; price is coiling just above the session low with no fresh direction.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3390, 1.3411, 1.3445
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3320
Reclaim of 1.3390 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
BoE Bailey speech (20:00 UTC) is the near-term catalyst that could break this range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 51 · price 1.3354
Lower highs off 1.3411, consolidating above 1.3342.
Cable faded from 1.3411 through the London-NY session down to a 1.3342 session low, then chopped sideways through thin overnight Asia liquidity. Price is grinding back to 1.3354 off that low with RSI(14) neutral near 51; 1.3360 swing high caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.3342 session low exposes the 1.3332 range floor
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Bailey (20:00 UTC) later today are the near-term catalysts
NY session sold cable off the 1.3411 day high down to 1.3342 as the USD held a safe-haven bid; Asia has since based thin between 1.3345 and 1.3355. Last few bars ticked up to 1.3354 with RSI back near neutral, but price is still capped under the 1.3360 pivot.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3360, 1.3390, 1.3411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3360 negates the lower-high sequence and opens 1.3390
Loss of 1.3342 session low confirms continuation toward 1.3320
BoE Bailey speech (20:00 UTC) is the key catalyst that could shift this read
Cable ground lower through the London-NY session from 1.3411 to test 1.3342, then coiled in a tight low-volume Asian range around 1.3345-1.3352. The final bar slipped back to 1.33417, retesting the session low as the firm USD tone caps rallies.
Support: 1.33417, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.33528, 1.3360
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33417 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.3332
M15 close back above 1.33528 negates the breakdown
BoE Bailey (20:00 UTC) is the key near-term catalyst
Cable stair-stepped lower from the 1.34115 high, then chopped in a thin 1.3345–1.3352 band through Asia before a late break to the 1.33417 session low. RSI(14) near 42, price pinned under EMA20/50 with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.33417, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.33528, 1.3360
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33417 opens the path toward the 1.3320 range floor
M15 close back above 1.33528 negates the fresh lower low
BoE Bailey speech (20:00 UTC) is the key near-term catalyst
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.33484
Consolidation above session low after NY sell-off.
Cable faded through the NY session from ~1.3411 down to a 1.3342 swing low, and has since gone flat in thin Asian trade, coiling in a tight 1.3342–1.3353 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with no momentum edge; the soft BRC retail print added a marginal overnight drag.
Support: 1.33417, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3390
What it said to watch
Break below 1.3342 swing low exposes the 1.3320 range floor
M15 close above 1.3353 session high reopens the 1.3390 area
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst
00:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.33484
Consolidation at session lows after sell-off.
Cable sold off through the London-NY session from ~1.3411 to a session low at 1.3342, pressured by firm USD safe-haven flows and a soft BRC retail print. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.3342–1.3352 band through low-volume Asia hours, RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.3352, 1.3360, 1.3390
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3342 opens the path to the 1.3320 range floor
Reclaim of 1.3360 would undo the intraday lower-low structure
BoE Bailey speech 20:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst
Lower highs into tight consolidation at session low.
Cable drifted lower through NY hours from 1.3411 to a 1.3342 session low, then settled into a tight 1.3345–1.3352 band during thin Asia trade. Momentum has flattened, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 47 after the downleg; USD safe-haven bid off US-Iran headlines capped the earlier bounce.
Support: 1.33422, 1.3332
Resistance: 1.33525, 1.3363
What it said to watch
Close above 1.33525 range top would break the consolidation and challenge the 1.3363 swing high
Loss of 1.33422 session low opens the path toward the 1.3320 range floor
BoE Gov Bailey speech (20:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 47 · price 1.33499
Compression after intraday sell-off.
Cable slid from 1.34115 through the London-NY sessions to a 1.33417 swing low, then coiled into a tight 1.33417–1.33525 range through the thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.33417, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33525, 1.33605
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33525 breaks the overnight range top
Loss of 1.33417 confirms a lower low toward 1.3340
BoE Bailey 20:00 UTC and US CPI are near-term catalysts that could break this range