GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalled in Asia · RSI 51 · price 1.33438
Lower highs off 1.3387, flat 12-pip Asia coil above the NY low.
Cable slid all session from 1.3387 into a 1.33212 session low around the NY hours, the dollar-led leg the digest ties to hawkish Fed pricing and the UK borrowing miss. The NY bounce stalled at the 1.33491 ny high and the Asia session is now coiling in a 1.33363–1.3345 band, pressing the descending line off the session range highs with RSI back at 51.
Support: 1.33363, 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33582
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.33491 ny high breaks the descending line and opens the 1.33582 swing high
Loss of the 1.33363 asia low re-exposes the 1.33212 session low and the 1.3330 psych area
UK flash PMIs 08:30 GMT and US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT can void this Asia consolidation read
ATR(14) at ~5 pips — Asia ranges are compressed, expect expansion at London open
Lower highs into a 1.3336-1.3349 late-session range above a double bottom.
London and NY sold GBPUSD from the 1.3387 Asian high down to 1.33212 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, with a matching low near 1.3322 forming a double bottom before a bounce capped at the 1.33491 bounce high. Since then price has flattened into a 1.3336-1.3349 range on thin late-NY/early-Asia liquidity, ATR(14) compressed to about 5 pips and RSI(14) mid-range at 53.
Support: 1.33363, 1.33212, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.3357
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.33363 range low reopens the 1.33212 ny low and the 1.3330 psych area
A close above the 1.33491 bounce high breaks the chain of lower highs and puts 1.33570 prior pivot in play
UK flash PMIs at 08:30 GMT then US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT can void this compressed-range read
Lower highs into a 1.3337-1.3349 late-session range above a twice-tested base.
Cable slid all session from the Asian high at 1.3387 to a 1.3321 day low during NY hours as the dollar held two-month highs on hawkish Fed pricing; the 1.3321/1.3326 area was bought twice, forming a shallow base. Since the 1.3349 NY high, price has gone inert between 1.3337 and 1.3349 with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) around 5 pips — typical post-NY-close thinness, no structure in play.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3321, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3371, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Break of 1.3337 puts the 1.3321 day low back in play and invalidates the base read
M15 close above the 1.3349 ny high would put the 1.3371 swing high next in sequence
UK flash PMIs 08:30 GMT and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the session's structural risk; 1.3400 remains the level that has capped every attempt this week
Asia reopening on sub-20 pip ranges keeps the read rangebound until either edge gives
NY low at 1.3321 held, price consolidating in a 1.3336–1.3349 band.
NY hours pushed GBPUSD to a 1.3321 ny low on the broad dollar bid (DXY through 100), with buyers stepping in twice in the 1.3321/1.3325 area before a recovery to the 1.33491 ny high. Early Asia is thin and directionless, coiling between the 1.3336 asia low and that ny high, with price pinned between EMA20 support just under 1.3342 and EMA50 resistance around 1.3346; ATR(14) is compressed to ~6.5 pips.
Support: 1.33363, 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33602, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33491 ny high opens the path back toward the 1.3360 prior high
Loss of the 1.3336 asia low re-exposes the 1.3321 ny low and the 1.3300 psych area
UK flash PMIs 08:30 GMT then US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can break this Asia consolidation; 1.3400 remains the cap noted all week
Sustained rejection under EMA50 near 1.3346 keeps the corrective read intact
Lower highs into a tight late-session range above the day low.
Cable sold from the 1.33870 European session high through London and NY to a 1.33212 day low — the fiscal-headroom reaction to the UK borrowing overshoot plus a firm USD — then double-bottomed around 1.3321 and recovered to a 1.33491 NY high. Since NY close price has ground sideways in a 1.33363-1.33457 Asia-open range on thin volume, holding just above EMA20 but pinned below EMA50 and the descending resistance line off 1.33870; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) ~6.5 pips.
Support: 1.33363, 1.3328, 1.33212
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.3357, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.33363 asia low re-opens the 1.33280 swing pivot and the 1.33212 day low
A 15m close above the 1.33491 ny high breaks the descending resistance and puts the 1.33570 prior swing back in play
UK flash PMIs 08:30 UTC then US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can void this intraday range read
Range is forming on Asia-session liquidity — widening ATR at the London open would invalidate the current compression
Lower highs off 1.33870, base built at 1.33212, now coiling 1.3336–1.3349.
London/NY sold GBPUSD from 1.33870 to a 1.33212 session low as the fiscal-headroom read from August's borrowing overshoot met a firm dollar, then the pair recovered into a 1.33491 NY high and has gone quiet in thin late-NY/Asia-open liquidity. Price is pinned around EMA20 with ATR(14) near 7 pips — no directional structure in play inside 1.3336–1.3349.
Support: 1.33363, 1.33281, 1.33212
Resistance: 1.33491
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33491 ny high breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of the 1.33363 recent low reopens 1.33281 swing low and the 1.33212 session low
UK flash PMIs 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can reset this range entirely
Lower highs into 1.3321 session low, corrective bounce now flattening near 1.3340.
Cable ground lower through London and NY off the 1.3387 high — the August UK borrowing overshoot plus a firm USD kept every bounce capped at a lower high — before printing the session low at 1.33212 in mid-NY. The recovery stalled at the 1.33491 NY high (~38-42% of the day's range) and the last dozen bars have compressed into a 1.3337-1.3346 band on thin post-NY liquidity, ATR(14) down to ~6 pips with price pinned on EMA20.
Support: 1.33281, 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33491 (ny high) breaks the chain of lower highs that has held all session
Loss of 1.33281 (swing low) re-opens 1.33212 and the 1.3300 round number
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can reset this range entirely
Continued sub-10-pip bars keep the read as consolidation rather than trend resumption
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling into the close · RSI 54 · price 1.33389
GBPUSD faded from the 1.3387 day high through London and into NY, the August borrowing miss keeping sterling heavy, and printed a session low at 1.3321 before a late-NY bounce to the ny high at 1.3349. Price has drifted back to 1.3339, sitting on EMA20 with ATR(14) near 6.5 pips and volume collapsing into the close — no structural break either way in the last two hours.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3349 ny high would break the chain of lower highs running down from the 1.3387 day high through the london high
Failure to hold 1.3321 session low confirms continuation and exposes the 1.3300 psych area
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC then US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts and could reset this range read
Lower highs off 1.3387, base of higher lows above 1.3321.
London sold the 1.3387 Asia high after the UK borrowing overshoot and a firm USD, dragging spot to 1.3321 by mid-NY where the same low was tested three times. Late-NY hours built higher lows into 1.3349 before flattening at 1.3339, price pinned to the EMA20 with RSI(14) back at neutral and ATR(14) down to under 6 pips.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3340, 1.3349, 1.3371
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3321 session low re-opens the downtrend and puts 1.3300 round number in play
M15 close above the 1.3349 ny high would extend the higher-low sequence toward 1.3371 swing high
Liquidity is thin around the daily rollover — the sub-6 pip ATR read understates likely Asia-session expansion
UK flash PMIs (Wed 08:30 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can void this base entirely
Session low base at 1.3322, higher lows into late NY.
London-NY hours drove a steady fade from 1.3387 to 1.3321 as the firm USD and the UK borrowing miss weighed, before the market based twice around 1.3322 and ground back to 1.3343. Late NY is now a tight consolidation under the 1.3349 session high, price back above EMA20 but still below EMA50, ATR(14) compressed to about 6 pips.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3322, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3357
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3349 session high opens the path to the 1.3357 prior swing
Loss of the 1.3337 micro base and a close below 1.3322 confirms a lower low toward 1.3300 psych
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can reset this intraday range
Lower highs into a 1.33212 base, higher lows since 16:30.
A chain of lower highs through London and NY bottomed at 1.33212 into the 16:30 hour, after an earlier London-morning flush to the 1.33261 sweep low on the UK borrowing overshoot. Price has since ground back to 1.33424 on higher lows, stalling just above the 38.2% retracement of the 1.33713–1.33212 decline with the 1.33491 ny high capping the last hour and RSI(14) recovered to ~58.
Support: 1.33378, 1.33261, 1.33212
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.3357, 1.33713
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33378 micro hl breaks the higher-low chain built off the session low
M15 close above the 1.33491 ny high opens the 1.33570 prior swing
Failure to reclaim 1.33491 keeps the bounce inside the 1.33212–1.33491 NY range
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT can reset this intraday structure
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling into late NY · RSI 54 · price 1.33434
Lower highs from the Asia high, but a flat 1.3321 base holding on three tests.
Price slid in steps from the 1.3387 Asia high through London and NY — the fiscal overshoot in yesterday's UK borrowing data plus a firm USD — before basing three times at 1.3321 during NY hours. Last two hours have grinded back above EMA20 to a 1.3349 session high, RSI(14) back to neutral at 54 with ATR near 7.6 pips, and the final bar is a thin late-session print.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3321, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3373, 1.3387
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 1.3349 session high extends the base and puts 1.3373 london high back in play
Loss of 1.3321 session low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3300 psych level
Slip back under EMA20 (~1.3336) negates the late-NY recovery
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT can reset this intraday range entirely
Double bottom at 1.3322/1.3321 then break of the 1.33280-1.33370 base; still below the NY lower-high chain.
Cable bled lower all NY session from 1.3387 to a 1.33212 session low — the August borrowing overshoot plus a Dollar pinned at two-month highs kept it capped well under 1.3400. The last hour has broken the 1.33280-1.33370 base off a double bottom, printing 1.33491 with RSI(14) near 64; late-session liquidity is thin, ATR(14) only ~7.6 pips.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3328, 1.33212
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33565, 1.3369
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.33565 would break the NY lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.33280 range floor re-exposes the 1.33212 session low
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT can reset this intraday read
Bounce is running on very light late-session volume — a fade back under the 1.33370 range top would mark it as a false break
Session low at 1.3321 held three times; higher lows since 16:30 UTC, range top 1.3337 now cleared.
London sold GBPUSD from 1.3387 after the August borrowing miss and a firm dollar, with NY extending to a session low of 1.3321 at 16:30 UTC where price stalled three times. Late NY has ground back out through the 1.3337 range top on a chain of higher lows, price at 1.3342 with RSI(14) back at neutral and ATR(14) near 7 pips.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3328, 1.3321
Resistance: 1.3347, 1.3360
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.3337 negates the range break and returns price into the 1.3321-1.3337 range
Failure of the 1.3321 session low confirms a lower low on this timeframe
1.3347 swing pivot then 1.3360 prior high are the areas to monitor for rejection or break
UK flash PMIs 08:30 UTC Wednesday, US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC, both capable of resetting this intraday structure
GBPUSD ground lower through the NY session — lower highs off the 1.33714 ny high down to a session low at 1.33216 — with the UK PSNB miss and a dollar at two-month highs behind the drift. The last four hours have based between the base low at 1.33283 and 1.33370, and the closing bar at 1.33386 is pressing the top of that base with RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 and ATR(14) compressed to 6.5 pips.
Support: 1.33283, 1.33216
Resistance: 1.3340, 1.33474, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33400 psych cap ends the lower-high sequence off the 1.33714 ny high; 1.33474 prior high is the next barrier
Failure to hold the 1.33216 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Late-session liquidity is thin — the final bar's 42-tick volume makes the 1.33386 print low-conviction
UK flash PMIs 23 Sep 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could reset this base entirely
Lower highs into late-NY consolidation above the session low.
Sterling faded the 1.3387 London pop through the NY session after the £18.3B UK borrowing overshoot, printing a session low at 1.3321 before stabilising. Last three hours are a tight 1.3332-1.3337 consolidation with RSI(14) back at 44 and ATR near 7 pips — the lower-high chain from 1.3370 is still intact.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3337, 1.3347
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above the 1.3337 bounce high, and then 1.3347 prior swing, would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.3321 session low re-opens the path toward 1.3300 psych
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT and US flash PMIs 13:45 GMT are the next catalysts capable of resetting this intraday range
Lower highs into a base at 1.3321/1.3328, now coiling under 1.3337.
Cable trended lower through the London and NY sessions after the £18.3B PSNB overshoot and a firm Dollar, printing a session low of 1.33212 late in NY before basing twice at 1.3321/1.3322. Last four bars are pinned under a 1.33370 micro cap with ATR(14) compressed to ~7.5 pips and RSI(14) back to the mid-40s — a flat, low-range close to the day rather than fresh downside pressure.
Support: 1.33281, 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3337, 1.33462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33370 micro cap would break the lower-high sequence, with 1.33462 swing high the next reference
Loss of the 1.33281 minor low and then the 1.33212 session low re-opens the path toward the 1.3300 psych level
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst and could invalidate this compression read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows into late NY, now basing above the session low.
Sterling ground lower through the NY session after the £18.3B UK borrowing overshoot, printing a session low at 1.33216 before flattening into a tight 1.3322–1.3337 base. Price has reclaimed the 1.3330 psych level and sits just under the 1.33370 micro high, with RSI(14) back near mid-range from oversold territory and ATR(14) compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.3330, 1.33216
Resistance: 1.3337, 1.33474
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33474 swing high would break the falling-highs sequence
Loss of the 1.33216 session low confirms another lower low and re-opens the 1.3300 area
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this intraday range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; late-NY basing above the session low.
Cable ground lower all through London and NY after the £18.3B PSNB overshoot, printing successive lower highs from 1.3387 down to the 1.33212 session low. The last two hours have flattened out and the final bars have nudged back above EMA20 to 1.3337, with RSI(14) at 42 holding above its earlier lows despite the lower price low. ATR(14) around 7.5 pips — ranges have compressed into the late-NY session.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33421, 1.33474
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33421 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; 1.33474 prior high is the next reference
Failure to hold 1.33212 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.3300 psych level
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this intraday structure
Chain of lower highs/lower lows; last 3h compressing above session low.
Cable has trended down all NY session off the 1.3387 London high, the slide extending after the UK PSNB overshoot revived fiscal concerns, and is now basing between the 1.33212 session low and the 1.33355 recent high. RSI(14) near 34 with ATR ~8 pips — late-NY compression, price still under EMA20 and EMA50 with no reclaim attempt of the 1.33472 swing high.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33355, 1.33472
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.33355 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts 1.33472 swing high back in play
Loss of 1.33212 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.3300 psych level
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT then US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could reset this intraday structure
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, now basing above the session low.
Cable has trended down through the NY session in a clean sequence of lower highs — 1.33602 then the 1.33474 lower high — bottoming at the 1.33212 session low, with the August borrowing miss (£18.268B vs £15.7B) and a firm dollar behind the slide. Last ten bars are a tight consolidation between 1.33212 and the 1.33309 micro high, RSI(14) near 31 and price pinned under EMA20/EMA50; ATR(14) has compressed to ~8.6 pips.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33309, 1.33474, 1.33602
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.33212 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.33000 psych level
A close above the 1.33309 micro high, and then 1.33474 lower high, breaks the descending resistance line and invalidates the intraday downtrend read
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could reset this range entirely
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, now basing above the session low.
Steady NY-session slide from the 1.3370s, with each bounce capped lower — the fiscal-headroom reaction to the August borrowing overshoot plus a firm dollar has kept sterling heavy. Last two hours have gone flat between the 1.33212 session low and the 1.33309 micro high, RSI(14) near 31 and ATR(14) at ~8.6 pips, so range compression into the late NY hours.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3320
Resistance: 1.33309, 1.33421
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.33309 micro high, then the 1.33421 swing pivot, would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.33212 session low and the 1.3320 round number extends the lower-low sequence
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst and can reset this intraday structure
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
London and NY hours unwound the Asian drift around 1.3370, with supply capping at 1.3387 before a step-chain of lower highs took price through the 1.3335 area — the August borrowing miss and a firm dollar behind the slide. Last six bars are consolidating in a 1.33212–1.33309 shelf just off the session low, RSI(14) near 31 with ATR(14) about 8.5 pips.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33309, 1.3346
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33309 recent high would break the intraday lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.33212 session low exposes the 1.3300 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.33460 swing high needed to invalidate the downtrend read
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; last 5 bars basing above the session low.
Sterling has trended lower all through NY hours, losing the 1.3387 London high and grinding to a session low of 1.33212 as the August borrowing miss kept GBP heavy against a firm dollar. RSI(14) at ~27 with ATR near 9.5 pips; the last five bars have flattened into a 1.33212–1.33310 shelf rather than extending, with each bounce still capped under the prior swing high at 1.33421.
Support: 1.33212, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3331, 1.33421, 1.33474
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33421 breaks the lower-high chain that has held since the NY open
Loss of the 1.33212 session low on a closing basis opens the 1.33000 round number
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next catalyst able to reset this intraday structure
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling at the lows · RSI 28 · price 1.33237
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the London-NY transition, now compressing above the session low.
NY hours drove a clean sequence of lower highs from 1.3387 and took out the 1.3335 broken shelf that had held last week, with the fiscal-driven GBP heaviness after the £18.27B borrowing miss and a firm dollar behind the drift. Last four bars are pinned in a 6-pip band above the 1.3321 session low with RSI(14) at 28 and ATR down to ~8 pips — a stall, not yet a turn.
Support: 1.3321, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3328, 1.3335, 1.3346
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3335 broken shelf invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.3321 session low puts the 1.3300 psych level in play
Late-NY liquidity thinning: sub-9 pip ATR means micro-breaks of 1.3328 micro high carry little follow-through
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this intraday structure
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending into late NY · RSI 26 · price 1.33252
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; Asian range low broken and unretested.
Steady NY-session grind lower from the 1.33714 London high has taken GBPUSD through the 1.3335 area and last week's low, printing a fresh session low at 1.33216 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The UK borrowing overshoot (£18.27B vs £15.7B) kept sterling capped all session; RSI(14) at 26 is oversold but not yet at an extreme, and the descending sequence of lower highs is intact.
Support: 1.33216, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33375, 1.33474, 1.33714
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.33375 broken shelf would break the lower-high sequence and invalidate the downtrend read
1.3300 psych level is the next round-number marker below the session low
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the next catalysts capable of resetting this intraday structure
Fed's Barkin due shortly after the last close — could extend or stall the move into the close
Steady NY-session breakdown from the 1.3387 session high, with the earlier 08:30 GMT spike low at 1.3326 taken out and price closing at 1.3324 on a firm dollar and the UK borrowing overshoot. RSI(14) near 29 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) about 10 pips, so ranges have widened from the Asian drift.
Support: 1.3323, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3347, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3347 (prior low) would break the lower-high chain built through NY
Acceptance below 1.3323 session low puts the 1.3300 round number in play
Fed's Barkin shortly and UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the near-term catalysts for this structure
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, price retesting 1.3326.
Sterling has bled lower all through the NY session after the August PSNB miss revived fiscal concerns, printing a clean lower-high sequence from 1.3387 and now retesting the 1.3326 session low set during the London-NY transition. RSI(14) near 27 with ATR at ~10 pips — extended, but no rejection candle at the low yet and price is holding well below the ema20 near 1.3357.
Support: 1.3326, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3347, 1.3357
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 1.3347 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.3326 session low on a close opens the 1.3300 psych area
Reclaiming the ema20 near 1.3357 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Barkin due within the hour — headline risk into the late NY session
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the London-NY transition.
Sterling has ground lower through the NY session after the £18.3B PSNB overshoot revived fiscal-headroom concerns, printing a fresh session low at 1.33364 with each bounce capped below the prior swing at 1.33470. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 37 — weak but not extreme; ATR(14) is 9 pips per bar.
Support: 1.33364, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.3347, 1.3357
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.33570 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.33364 session low exposes the 1.33261 day low
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially reset this read
Chain of lower highs / lower lows since the 1.3387 session high.
Mid-NY hours and GBPUSD is grinding out lower highs (1.33714 → 1.33659 → 1.33602) with a fresh session low at 1.33427, price holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. The slide extends yesterday's fiscal-driven pressure after the £18.268B August borrowing overshoot, with the pair still capped well under 1.3400; RSI(14) near 39 is soft but not oversold, ATR ~9 pips.
Support: 1.33427, 1.33361, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33602, 1.33659, 1.33714
What it said to watch
A close above 1.33602 breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.33427 session low exposes the 1.33361 swing low and the 1.3335 area
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this structure
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the London drop; price pressing the session low.
London hours sold the Asian range hard — a 1.3326 spike low on the fiscal-driven GBP hit after the £18.268B August borrowing overshoot — and the NY session has since ground lower in a chain of lower highs from the 1.33714 ny high through 1.3366. Price is sitting on the 1.3346 session low with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) around 9 pips.
Support: 1.3346, 1.3326
Resistance: 1.3366, 1.33714
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3346 session low confirms a fresh lower low with 1.3326 spike low next
Reclaim of the 1.3366 lower high and then the 1.33714 ny high would break the lower-high chain
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the nearest event risk for this read
After rejection at the 1.3387 london high, GBPUSD sold off into an 08:30 UTC spike low at 1.33261 on the heaviest bar of the window, then fully retraced to the 1.33714 swing high. NY hours have built a chain of lower highs capped near the 1.3366 lower high while price sits on the 1.33522 session low, with RSI(14) near 41 and price under EMA20 and EMA50 — consistent with the UK borrowing overshoot and a firm dollar keeping the pair pressured; ATR(14) about 8 pips.
Support: 1.33522, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.3366, 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3366 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.33522 session low exposes 1.33472 swing low, then the 1.33261 spike low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson now and Barkin 17:00 UTC can reshape this intraday read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat after London slide · RSI 41 · price 1.3357
Lower highs into a tight NY range above the spike low.
London sold the session high at 1.3387 down to a 1.3326 spike low as the August borrowing overshoot revived UK fiscal concerns, and price has since chopped in an 18-pip band. Into NY hours the pair is pinned between 1.3353 and the 1.3371 range top, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50 — no fresh structure in play.
Support: 1.3353, 1.3326
Resistance: 1.3371, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3371 range top would end the post-London range read and put 1.3387 session high back in focus
Loss of 1.3353 range low re-exposes the 1.3326 spike low
Williams and Jefferson speaking within the next bars — fedspeak is the immediate driver of the dollar leg
London's push to 1.3387 was unwound hard into a 1.3326 spike low as the August PSNB miss (£18.268B vs £15.7B) revived UK fiscal concerns. Since then price has chopped in a 1.3353–1.3371 range through the NY open, with rejection at the 1.3371 range cap three times and RSI(14) back to neutral near 47; ATR(14) ~9 pips.
Support: 1.3353, 1.3326
Resistance: 1.3371, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3371 range cap invalidates the lower-high sequence off 1.3387
Loss of the 1.3353 session low reopens the 1.3326 spike low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson) can reprice the USD leg inside this range
Lower highs into the 1.3371 cap, 1.3353 base intact.
After fading from the 1.3387 session high, the fiscal-driven leg lower (August PSNB £18.3bn vs £15.7bn) swept to the 1.3326 spike low and snapped straight back. Since then M15 has been boxed between the 1.3353 range low and 1.33714, where price was rejected twice — once late in the London-NY transition and again 45 minutes ago. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) around 8.6 pips: mid-range, no structure in play.
Support: 1.33529, 1.33387, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33714 cap invalidates the range read
Loss of the 1.3353 range low reopens the 1.33387 prior low and the 1.3326 spike low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land within the next few bars
Lower highs since London high; post-spike range 1.3353–1.3371.
London's 1.3387 high was rejected and the pair flushed to 1.33261 on the 08:30 UTC bar — the window's widest candle — with soft UK fiscal data (PSNB £18.3bn vs £15.7bn) cited as the driver. Since then price has chopped in a 1.3353–1.3371 range into NY hours, capped twice at 1.33714, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.33529, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
15m close above 1.33714 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the london high at 1.3387
Loss of the 1.33529 session low puts the 1.33261 spike low back in play
Fed speakers Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 and Barkin 17:00 UTC fall in the next bars and can break this range
Lower highs from the London high, basing above the session low.
Cable rolled over from the 1.3387 London high and swept down to a 1.3326 spike low as the August PSNB overshoot revived UK fiscal concerns, with the wick fully bought back inside one bar. Since then it has built a series of lower highs into the NY open — the 12:30 UTC push to 1.3371 was rejected immediately — while 1.3354 has contained the last three pullbacks; price sits under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) near 9 pips.
Support: 1.3354, 1.3326
Resistance: 1.3371, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3371 recent high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 1.3387 london high
Loss of the 1.3354 session low puts the 1.3326 spike low back in play
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next few bars and can reset intraday USD direction
Lower highs since Asia, chopping above the spike low.
London morning produced a 32-pip flush to a 1.33261 spike low on the UK borrowing overshoot, immediately bought back — a false break that has since capped the day's range between the 1.33537 session low and the 1.33714 London high. Lower highs from Asia's 1.33943 remain intact, RSI(14) neutral near 48 with ATR(14) around 8.5 pips.
Support: 1.33537, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33714 London high would break the lower-high chain and open the 1.33870 prior high
Loss of the 1.33537 session low re-exposes the 1.33472 swing low and the 1.33261 spike low
NY open in ~1h plus Fed speakers (Williams 14:05 UTC) could break this range in either direction
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs after a V-shaped flush · RSI 47 · price 1.33621
Lower highs off 1.33870, price coiling above the 1.33537 swing low.
London rolled over from the 1.33870 session high and flushed to a 1.33261 flush low on the 08:30 UTC bar before recovering the entire wick — the UK PSNB overshoot (£18.27bn vs £15.7bn) kept sterling offered through the move. Since then lower highs have capped at 1.33714 and price is grinding just above the 1.33537 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range at 47 and ATR(14) around 9.5 pips.
Support: 1.33537, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33714 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 1.33537 swing low re-exposes 1.33472 and the 1.33261 flush low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson) land inside the NY session and could shift this intraday read
Lower highs pressing back into the session-low shelf.
London hours took cable from the 1.33870 prior high down to a 1.33261 spike low — a sweep fully recovered within the same bar — after August PSNB overshot at £18.27bn vs £15.7bn. Since then it is a chain of lower highs (1.33714 then 1.33658 rejection) grinding back into the 1.33537 session low with RSI(14) at 45 and ATR(14) near 9.5 pips into the NY open.
Support: 1.33537, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33658, 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
A 15m close below 1.33537 session low re-opens 1.33472 swing low and the 1.33261 spike low
Reclaim of the 1.33714 bounce high invalidates the lower-high chain
UK flash PMIs tomorrow 08:30 GMT are the next catalyst that could reset this intraday read
11:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 45 · price 1.33562
Lower highs / lower lows; spike low at 1.33261 unrecovered but bounce fading.
London hours broke the overnight range low and flushed to 1.33261 after the August PSNB overshoot, a false break that was bought back within one bar before the bounce stalled at the 1.33714 bounce high. Price is back in the lower half of the day's range, under EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR(14) elevated near 92 pips after that spike.
Support: 1.33472, 1.33261, 1.33355
Resistance: 1.33714
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.33472 swing low re-opens the 1.33261 session low and the 1.33355 psych area
M15 close above the 1.33714 bounce high invalidates the lower-high chain into the NY session
UK and US flash PMIs tomorrow are the next scheduled catalysts that could reset this intraday read
Lower highs from 1.3387 into a post-flush range; sweep low 1.3326 unfilled.
London hours sold the 1.3387 session high down through last week's 1.3335 low to a 1.33261 sweep low after the August PSNB overshoot, then reversed the entire flush in two bars — a false break that has since coiled between the 1.33591 session low and the 1.33714 recovery high. RSI(14) back to 49 from oversold, price pinned on the EMA20 and below the EMA50, ATR(14) around 9.5 pips into the NY open.
Support: 1.33591, 1.3335, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33714 recovery high reopens the 1.3387 session high
Loss of the 1.33591 session low puts 1.3335 and the 1.33261 sweep low back in focus
Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) land inside the next few bars — dollar-led repricing risk to this range read
Repeated capping near 1.3400 keeps the upside bounded even on a range break
London hours knifed through the Asian range low and swept 1.33261 on the heaviest bar of the window before snapping back 30 pips, with the fiscal-headroom read after the £18.27bn borrowing overshoot keeping sterling heavy. Price has since coiled in a 1.33541–1.33714 band, RSI(14) back to neutral near 46 and ATR(14) around 10 pips.
Support: 1.33541, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33714, 1.33869
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33714 bounce high would extend the recovery toward the 1.33869 asia high
Failure to hold 1.33541 swing low reopens the 1.33261 session low
Fed's Williams and Jefferson later today are the nearest USD catalyst for this range
Lower highs into an 08:30 UTC flush, now basing in a 25-pip range.
London hours sold the pair off the 1.3387 session high in a chain of lower highs, culminating in a 32-pip flush to 1.33261 at 08:30 UTC as the £18.27bn PSNB overshoot revived fiscal concerns; that spike was fully retraced within two bars. Price has since consolidated 1.3364–1.33734, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49, ATR(14) ~9.6 pips.
Support: 1.3365, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33734, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33734 swing high breaks the lower-high chain built since the session high
Loss of the 1.33472 bounce low reopens the 1.33261 session low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next few bars and could reprice the dollar leg
Lower highs from 1.3387; London break of the Asian range low swept and reclaimed.
London sold the 1.3387 session high down through the Asian range and swept to 1.33261 as the August PSNB overshoot revived UK fiscal concerns, with the 08:30 bar closing 29 pips off its low. Price has since recovered into the prior range and is pinned on the EMA20 at 1.3364, stalling under the 1.33714 swing high with RSI(14) back to 46 and ATR(14) at ~12 pips.
Support: 1.33495, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.3369, 1.33714, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33714 swing high breaks the lower-high chain off 1.3387
Failure to hold 1.33495 swing low reopens the 1.33261 session low
Repeated rejection at the ema50 near 1.3369 keeps the bounce corrective
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars
Chain of lower highs into a 1.33261 session low, price now back inside the Asian range.
The London session broke the Asian range low at 1.33600 and flushed to 1.33261, then reversed the entire move in one bar back to 1.33674 — the £18.27bn PSNB overshoot plus a firm USD drove the leg down. Price is back inside the Asian range with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR(14) around 10.6 pips, the 1.33734 recovery high capping the bounce.
Support: 1.3360, 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.33734
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33734 recovery high breaks the chain of lower highs and confirms the flush as a false break
Failure to hold 1.33600 asia low re-opens 1.33472 swing low and the 1.33261 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are the nearest USD catalysts inside the next few bars
Lower highs / lower lows since the 1.33870 session high, sweep low then recovery.
GBPUSD rolled over through the London session after the £18.3bn August PSNB overshoot, losing the 1.33690 prior support shelf and sweeping to a 1.33261 spike low on the 08:30 UTC bar before recovering roughly 34 pips. Price is now consolidating just beneath the ema20 near 1.3363, capped by the 1.33640 bounce high, with RSI(14) back to 45 from deeply oversold and ATR(14) at 10.5 pips.
Support: 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3369, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33690 prior support would break the lower-high chain running down from the 1.33870 session high
Failure to hold the 1.33472 pullback low reopens the 1.33261 spike low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) are the next USD catalysts inside this session
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg cooling · RSI 40 · price 1.33571
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; post-flush consolidation.
London session broke the 1.3366–1.3387 overnight band and flushed to 1.33261 on the UK borrowing overshoot, then recovered most of that 32-pip bar in one candle. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.3347–1.3364 shelf under the broken base at 1.33736, RSI(14) near 40 with ATR(14) at ~11 pips after the expansion.
Support: 1.33472, 1.33261
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.33736
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33736 would neutralise the range break read
Loss of the 1.33472 swing low re-opens the 1.33261 session low
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC are the next structural catalysts
Lower highs into London, break of the Asian range low then immediate reclaim.
London hours sold the pair off the 1.3387 session high in a clean chain of lower highs, culminating in a 32-pip flush to 1.3326 — through last week's low — that was fully reclaimed inside the same bar, leaving a false break of the session low. Price is back at 1.3358 but still under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, and the August borrowing overshoot (£18.3bn vs £15.7bn) remains the GBP-side driver behind the drift. ATR(14) at ~9 pips has roughly doubled versus the Asian range.
Support: 1.3347, 1.3326, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3387
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.3347 swing low re-exposes 1.3326 session low and the 1.3300 psych level
Reclaim of 1.3387 session high is needed to break the lower-highs chain
Failure to hold the 1.3358-1.3364 bounce high area keeps the flush read intact
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can reprice the USD leg inside the next few hours
Lower highs into London, sweep below last week's low, price back inside range.
London hours accelerated the slide off 1.3387, sweeping 1.3335 (last wk low) down to a 1.3326 session low before a full-bodied recovery candle closed back at 1.3355 — a false break so far. RSI(14) at 34 after the flush, ATR(14) around 9 pips with the last three bars running far hotter than that.
Support: 1.3335, 1.3326, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3335 re-confirms the break and puts the 1.3300 psych level in play
Failure at the 1.3364 rebound high keeps the lower-high sequence toward the 1.3387 prior high intact
Reclaim of 1.3387 would put the 1.3400 cap back in focus and invalidate the intraday downtrend read
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT is the next scheduled GBP catalyst and could reset this structure
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3387 session high, with a snapback off the 1.3326 session low.
London morning sold GBPUSD from the 1.3387 session high down through last week's 1.3335 low to 1.33261, extending the fiscal-headroom drag after the £18.3bn August borrowing overshoot. The final bar snapped 30 pips back to the 1.33580 bounce high before fading to 1.33511, leaving RSI(14) near 29 and price under the 1.3364 ema20; ATR(14) has widened to roughly 10 pips.
Support: 1.33261, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3364, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 1.33580 bounce high and the 1.3364 ema20 would frame the 1.33261 spike as a false break
A close back below 1.33261 confirms continuation and puts the 1.3300 psych level in play
UK flash PMIs tomorrow 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled GBP catalyst and could reset this intraday structure
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 19 · price 1.33364
Lower highs and lower lows, Asian range broken to the downside.
The London session sliced through the 1.3360 Asian range floor and the 1.3350 breakdown level in five consecutive red bars, printing 1.33361 — right on last week's weekly low — as firmer October Fed hike odds kept the USD bid. RSI(14) near 19 is deeply oversold and the last bar stalled with a 3-pip range, but price is below both EMA20 and EMA50 with no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3350
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.3350 breakdown level would negate the range break
Failure to hold the 1.3336 weekly low exposes the 1.3300 psych area
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC could reshape the USD leg intraday
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 21 · price 1.33494
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, Asian range floor broken.
Asia held a tight 1.3368–1.3387 band before the London session knifed through the range floor, price now at 1.33494 on a straight run of lower highs with RSI(14) near 21 — deeply oversold for M15. The move sits with a firm USD as October Fed hike odds stay elevated; ATR(14) has widened to ~45 pips so the last three bars are outsized versus the Asian session.
Support: 1.33492, 1.3340, 1.3335
Resistance: 1.3364, 1.33683, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.33683 range floor would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 1.33492 session low exposes 1.3340 psych and last week's 1.33350 prior low
First bounce attempts into the 1.33640 broken shelf are the area to monitor for rejection or acceptance
Fed's Williams 14:05 GMT and US flash PMIs tomorrow could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 21 · price 1.33542
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian range low broken, price at window low.
The London session reversed the Asian grind higher from 1.33870, sliding through the overnight 1.33600–1.33700 shelf and printing a fresh 24h low at 1.33537 with the hawkish-Fed USD bid still the dominant driver. RSI(14) is near 21 and ATR(14) has expanded to roughly 46 pips, so the move is stretched but the last two bars closed on their lows with no reaction yet.
Support: 1.33537, 1.3350, 1.33355
Resistance: 1.3370, 1.33736, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.33700 prior support would invalidate the range break read
Acceptance below the 1.33500 round number exposes last week's 1.33355 prior low
Failure to hold 1.33537 session low on a retest confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh 24h low · RSI 30 · price 1.33637
Lower highs, lower lows since prior-day high.
London session sold the asian high at 1.33870 and broke the overnight 1.3363–1.3375 range, printing a fresh window low at 1.33568 with price below EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 29.5. Moves remain USD-led with Sterling capped under 1.3400, and each bounce has stalled well short of the 1.33738 swing high.
Support: 1.33568, 1.3350, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.33738, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.33738 swing high would invalidate the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 1.33568 session low exposes the 1.3350 round number and last week's 1.3336 prior low
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC are the next catalyst capable of resetting this intraday structure
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, London leg lower still intact · RSI 33 · price 1.33672
Lower highs / lower lows since the 1.3387 session high, now basing above the session low.
The Asian grind up to 1.3387 was rejected at the London open and price has shed roughly 22 pips into 1.33651, holding a chain of lower highs with 1.3374 now the immediate swing high cap. RSI(14) near 33 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; move is USD-led with sterling still unable to reclaim the 1.3400 psych level.
Support: 1.33651, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 1.3374 swing high would break the London sequence of lower highs and re-open 1.3387 session high
Loss of 1.33651 session low exposes the 1.336 prior day low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk inside this session
07:31 UTC
Intraday rollover, lower highs since the 04:45 UTC high · RSI 33 · price 1.33682
London rally to 1.3387 rejected, price back inside the Asian range.
Early-London grind higher from the 1.3360 Asia low stalled at the 1.3387 session high around 04:45 UTC and has been unwound in two impulsive down-bars, with price now back under EMA20/EMA50 at 1.33682 and RSI(14) at 33. Sellers have capped each bounce below 1.3374 while 1.3365 session low has held twice; the 1.3400 psych ceiling that has fenced this pair for several sessions was never approached, consistent with a still-firm post-FOMC dollar.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3365 session low exposes 1.3360 asia low and confirms a lower-low chain
M15 close back above 1.3374 bounce high would neutralise the lower-high sequence and put 1.3387 session high back in play
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can reset this intraday range before the NY session
Lower highs since Monday's 1.3400 rejection; back inside the Asian range.
London open extended to a session high of 1.3387 before supply capped it, and the entire advance has since been given back — last close 1.33703 with RSI(14) near 37 and price under both EMAs. That puts the market back inside Monday's 1.3360–1.3375 band, sitting just above the 1.3367 session low, with the 1.3400 cap untouched for a fifth session.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.3367 session low exposes the 1.3363 swing low and the 1.3360 asian low
Reclaim of the 1.33755 swing pivot would repair the London-open breakdown and put the session high back in play
ATR(14) at ~4.6 pips — sub-average M15 ranges, so the current sell-off is outsized relative to recent bars
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 UTC are the nearest high-impact catalyst and could invalidate this range read
Asia leg up rejected; lower high under 1.3400 cap.
Asia ground 1.33600 up to the 1.33870 asia high, then gave it all back in four bars into late-Asia hours, price now 1.33683 and back under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 32. Yesterday's NY-session push stalled at 1.33999 — consistent with the 1.3400 cap flagged in the USD-led read — so the window remains a series of lower highs pinned above the 1.33600 asia low.
Support: 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.33755 swing high would repair the late-Asia rejection
M15 close below 1.33630 swing low exposes the 1.33600 asia low
London open in the next hour typically expands the asia range; ATR near 4 pips understates post-open bar size
Range between 1.3360 and 1.3400, rejection from session high.
The Asian grind up from 1.3360 stalled at the 1.3387 session high and the first London hour erased it in three bars, leaving price back mid-range at 1.3372 with RSI(14) back to 44. Yesterday's failure into 1.3400 — the psych cap that has held four sessions — plus Tuesday's PSNB overshoot keeps the sequence of lower highs in place; ATR(14) is a thin 4 pips.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3368 session low confirms a lower low and reopens 1.3362 / the 1.3360 asia low
Reclaim of the 1.3387 session high would negate the lower-high sequence within the range
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC is the nearest catalyst that could reprice the USD leg this session
06:16 UTC
Recovering off Asian lows, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 1.33772
Higher lows from 1.3360 into a session high at 1.3387, now pulling back.
Asia based twice at 1.3360/1.3362 and the early London hours ground back up to a session high of 1.3387 before the last four bars faded to 1.3377, just under EMA20. The grind higher is corrective within the USD-led compression the digest flags under the 1.3400 cap; ATR(14) is only ~3.6 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 1.3372, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.3372 pivot low, then the rising support off the asian low, breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above the 1.3387 session high re-opens the 1.3400 cap as the next test
A break back under 1.3362/1.3360 confirms a lower low and resumes Monday's decline
UK flash PMIs tomorrow 08:30 UTC are the nearest high-impact catalyst for this read
06:01 UTC
Micro uptrend off the Asian low, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 1.33807
Higher highs / higher lows since 1.3362, shallow pullback from session high.
Asia held a tight 1.3360–1.3374 band before price cleared the range top and ground higher into early European hours, printing a session high at 1.3387 with RSI(14) near 60. The pullback to 1.3381 is shallow and price sits above EMA20 and EMA50, but the 1.3400 round number is the same cap that has fronted rallies all week on Fed-BoE divergence.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3387 session high extends the HH/HL chain toward the 1.3400 round number
Failure to hold 1.3374 range top on a retest weakens the breakout read
Loss of the 1.3363 session low breaks rising support and re-exposes the 1.3360 asia low
London open flow can stretch moves well beyond the current ~4 pip ATR
Higher-low chain off session low, stalling under session high.
Asia session ground higher off the 1.33620 session low in a chain of higher lows, tagging a 1.33870 session high before flattening into a 1.33844 close. ATR(14) near 4 pips marks compressed pre-London ranges, with the 1.3400 psych cap — faded three sessions running on the dollar leg — still overhead and the 1.33950 prior high in between.
Support: 1.33755, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3395, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33870 session high extends the Asia range toward 1.33950 prior high
Loss of the 1.33755 prior pivot breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 1.33620 session low, then the 1.33600 asia low
London open range expansion — ATR near 4 pips leaves ample room for widening
Fed's Williams and Jefferson later today could reset the dollar leg driving this move
05:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low, momentum extended · RSI 70 · price 1.33849
Higher highs and higher lows since 01:45 UTC, price at top of the Asian range.
Asia has ground higher in a tight HH/HL chain from 1.3363, clearing the late-NY consolidation and now pressing the 1.3389 prior high with RSI(14) around 70 and ATR only ~4 pips. The wider read is a market still capped under the 1.3400 round number on Fed-BoE divergence, so this is a low-volatility recovery into supply rather than a trend break.
Support: 1.33755, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3389, 1.3396, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.3389 prior high opens the 1.3396 swing high and the 1.3400 round number
Loss of the 1.33755 breakout base breaks the higher-low chain and re-opens 1.3363 asia low
European open volatility could expand the ~4 pip ATR materially
Higher lows off 1.33620, range break above Asia ceiling.
Asia session ground back ~27 pips off the 1.33620 low, clearing the asia rng hi at 1.33750 and retracing roughly two-thirds of Monday's dollar-led slide from 1.33999. RSI(14) at 70 as price stalls just under the 1.33890 prior high, with the 1.3400 psych cap still untested; ATR(14) only 4.6 pips — tight, pre-London conditions on rising lows.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3389, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33890 puts the 1.3400 psych cap back in play
Loss of 1.33750 returns price inside the Asia range and negates the range break
Break of the rising lows from 1.33601 would re-expose 1.33620 and the prior day lo at 1.33600
Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson) and the ADP 4-week average later today could reset this intraday read
05:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asia low, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 1.33844
HH/HL chain since 01:45 UTC after double bottom; still below Monday's 1.3400 cap.
Monday's dollar-led slide from 1.3400 to 1.3360 (hawkish Fed repricing) bottomed twice at the Asia open, and the Asian session has ground back up in a clean HH/HL chain to 1.33844 — the 61.8% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) near 71 with ATR only ~4 pips, so the advance is extended but orderly; 1.3389 prior high is the next barrier below the 1.3400 psych cap.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3389, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3389 prior high extends the chain toward the 1.3400 psych cap
Loss of 1.3375 ema20 breaks the rising asia support line and the HH/HL sequence
A move back under 1.3362 asia low re-opens the 1.3360 dbl bottom
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fed's Williams/Jefferson later today could reset this intraday read
04:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asia lows, momentum stretched · RSI 68 · price 1.33831
Higher highs/higher lows since the 1.3360 base, back inside prior day's mid-range.
Dollar-led selling through the London-NY window knocked GBPUSD off the 1.3400 cap to a 1.33601 asia low, but the late Asia session has ground back up through the 1.33753 prior pivot to stall just under the 1.33847 session high, RSI(14) near 68. Matching lows at 1.33601/1.33630 formed a shallow double bottom and the recovery leg has held every dip since; ATR(14) is a thin 4.6 pips, so ranges are compressed ahead of London.
Support: 1.33753, 1.3363, 1.33601
Resistance: 1.33847, 1.33959, 1.33999
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.33847 session high puts the 1.33959 prior high and the 1.3400 cap back in play
Loss of the 1.33753 prior pivot would break the higher-low chain and re-expose 1.33630
London open liquidity typically expands the 4.6-pip ATR; a failure back below 1.33753 in the first hour would invalidate the recovery read
UK and US flash PMIs tomorrow are the week's catalyst and could override this intraday structure
04:16 UTC
Recovering, short-term uptrend off the overnight low · RSI 63 · price 1.33821
Higher lows since 21:00 UTC, Asia reclaiming the overnight range top.
Cable sold off through the NY session from the 1.34000 area — a dollar-led move on firmer Fed hike pricing — bottoming twice at 1.33600/1.33630 for a double bottom before Asia ground back up through the overnight range top at 1.33755. Price now sits at the session high of 1.33836 with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR(14) only ~4.5 pips, so the recovery is orderly rather than impulsive.
Support: 1.33755, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33836, 1.3393, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the session high at 1.33836 puts ny supply near 1.33930 back in play, with the 1.3400 cap above
Loss of the range top at 1.33755 stalls the higher-low chain and re-exposes the asia low at 1.33630
A close back below the o/n low at 1.33600 confirms continuation of the NY down leg
London open in roughly three hours typically redefines the Asian range
Double bottom at 1.3360/1.3363, HH/HL chain into Asia.
Asia session has ground higher off the 1.3360/1.3363 double bottom, retracing roughly half of yesterday's 1.3400-to-1.3360 slide and now pressing the session high at 1.33834 while holding above the ema20. Ranges are thin — ATR(14) just 4.3 pips — with RSI(14) near 59, so the move is a drift rather than an impulse; the dollar-led pressure from hawkish Fed repricing is what built the 1.3400 cap above.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33834, 1.3389, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33834 session high extends the higher-low chain toward the 1.3389 prior high
1.3400 round number has capped three sessions; unbroken until proven otherwise
Loss of the 1.3363 session low breaks the rising support and negates the double bottom, re-exposing the 1.3360 prior low
Fed speakers and US data later in the NY session can reset this intraday range
Lower highs under 1.3400, twin lows at 1.3360/1.3362.
Asia session has clawed back off the 1.3360 session low and the last bar closed 1.33792, pressed into the asia high at 1.33802, holding above the EMA20 near 1.33715. Monday's London afternoon push to 1.33999 was rejected again at the 1.3400 cap on dollar strength as Fed Oct-hike pricing firmed. RSI(14) ~57, ATR(14) ~4.5 pips — contained conditions.
Support: 1.33715, 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33802, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3363 asia low re-opens the 1.3360 session low
Sustained acceptance above the 1.33802 asia high puts the 1.3400 cap back in play
A close back under the EMA20 (~1.33715) negates the Asia recovery leg
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next high-impact catalyst for this range
Asia consolidation above 1.3360 base after NY leg lower.
Cable sold off through NY from 1.3400 — the third failure at that psych cap — to a 1.3360 prior day low, and the Asia session has since built a double bottom at 1.3362 and pushed back to the session high at 1.3376, roughly the 38.2% retracement of that drop. Ranges are thin, ATR(14) just over 4 pips, and RSI(14) near 57 is neutral with no extreme.
Support: 1.3362, 1.3360, 1.3371
Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 1.3380 swing high would extend the retracement toward the 1.3400 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.3362 asia low, then 1.3360 prior day low, confirms a lower low and resumes the NY leg
Hawkish-Fed repricing remains the dominant driver; Wednesday's UK and US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this range
Lower highs into a tight Asian-session range off 1.3360.
Chain of lower highs from 1.3400 through the NY session, with the asia low at 1.3360 holding on two probes and price now compressing back into 1.3374 just under the session high at 1.33755. Dollar-led drift, per firmer Fed October pricing; ATR at ~4 pips shows a dead Asian range rather than trend extension.
Support: 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3380
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33755 session high would break the lower-high chain and put 1.3380 prior swing back in play
Loss of the 1.3363 session low and the 1.3360 asia low confirms continuation toward last week's 1.3336 shelf
UK flash PMIs tomorrow 08:30 GMT are the first scheduled catalyst that could void this range read
Lower highs from the NY high, now compressed in a tight Asia range.
After NY faded the move from 1.3400 down through 1.3370, Asia has done nothing but compress: price is boxed between the 1.3360 asia low and the 1.33755 asia high, with the last bar closing 1.33748 right at the top of that band. RSI(14) near 57 and ATR(14) around 4 pips confirm a dead, low-range session; the 1.338 ny swing high is the first level that would break the lower-high chain.
Support: 1.3363, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.338 ny swing high would end the lower-high sequence off 1.3400
Loss of the 1.3363 session low and 1.3360 asia low re-opens last week's 1.3336 shelf
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT and US PMIs 13:45 GMT are the next catalysts that could invalidate this range read
Asia session is mechanical: a 1.3362–1.3376 band after the NY leg down from the 1.34000 psych cap that has held GBPUSD for a third session, with the dip to the session low at 1.33620 recovered within two bars. Price sits just above the ema20 with RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) only 4.3 pips; the asia high at 1.33755 caps, ny supply at 1.33800 sits above it.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3362, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.33755 asia high would break the Asian range and put ny supply at 1.33800 back in play
A close below 1.33600 prior low extends the chain of lower lows off 1.34000
US ADP average and Fed speakers from 12:15 UTC are the first scheduled risk to this range
Lower highs off 1.33999, price pinned at lower end of a 1.3360-1.3376 Asia range.
Monday's probe into the 1.3400 psych cap was rejected at 1.33999 and GBPUSD has stepped lower since, consistent with renewed USD dip-buying and firmer Fed hike odds. Tuesday's Asia session is holding a 1.3360-1.3376 band under the asia high at 1.33755, last print 1.33644 just above the session low with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.3362, 1.33601, 1.3355
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.33999
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33755 asia high would break the lower-high chain running from 1.33999
Failure to hold the 1.33620 session low, then the 1.33601 spike low, exposes 1.3355 prior support
ATR(14) ~3.6 pips reflects thin Asia conditions; the broker-midnight rollover print into 1.336 is a low-liquidity reference and London open should redefine the range
NY hours sold the 1.3400 psych cap down to 1.3360 on the firmer dollar (Oct Fed hike odds at 53-56%), and Asia has since compressed into a 1.3360-1.3375 range with price back at the lower edge. Last bar closed 1.3363 below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) at 37 with no divergence; the 1.3375 swing high has capped every bounce attempt.
Support: 1.3360, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3390, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3360 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3336 friday low
Reclaim of 1.3375 swing high would invalidate the descending lower-high chain
ATR(14) at ~4.6 pips — thin Asia liquidity, range breaks can be shallow and reverse
Fed speakers later in the NY session are the near-term driver for the dollar leg
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 48 · price 1.33687
Lower highs off 1.3400, now coiling above the session low.
Monday's NY session sold the 1.33999 prior high down to a 1.33600 session low as Fed repricing kept the dollar firm; Asia has since gone quiet, chopping 1.33670–1.33755 with ATR at ~3.6 pips. Price is pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 47 — rejection at the asia high each time it is tested, no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3360, 1.3355
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33755 asia high would break the overnight consolidation and re-expose 1.3380 prior swing
Loss of the 1.33600 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high chain toward 1.3355
Liquidity is thin until London open; UK and US flash PMIs later this week are the next material catalyst for this range
Tight Asia range after NY downdrift; lower highs intact.
Price rolled over from the 1.34000 prior high through the NY session and has since gone quiet, chopping in a 15-pip Asia range between the 1.33680 asia base and the 1.33755 session high with ATR down to ~4 pips. The early dip to 1.33600 was a false break — the asia low was reclaimed within two bars — and the broader cap is the dollar leg, with firmer Oct Fed hike pricing keeping sterling pinned below 1.3400 for a third session.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.33755, 1.3380, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 acceptance above the 1.33755 session high would put the 1.33800 ny pivot back in play
A close below the 1.33600 asia low re-establishes the lower-high, lower-low chain
Range is thin Asia-hours structure; London open liquidity typically resolves it one way
UK flash PMIs later this week are the next scheduled catalyst for this pair
Monday's pre-NY push stalled a tick under the 1.3400 psych cap and price bled to 1.3369 into the NY afternoon, a dollar-led move as Fed hawks kept October hike pricing firm. Early Asia has been mechanical: 1.3360 session low held twice in thin holiday flow and price is now pressing the 1.3375 range top with RSI(14) near 56 and ATR just over 4 pips.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3375 range top would end the Asia consolidation and re-open 1.3390
Failure to hold 1.3367 prior low, then 1.3360 session low, confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Fed speakers later Tuesday (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) are the dominant driver for this pair and could void the range read
Monday's NY session bled from 1.3394 down to a 1.3360 session low as firmer Fed hike pricing kept the dollar bid, with the 1.3400 cap never challenged. Early Asia has compressed into a 1.3368-1.3374 range, ATR(14) down to ~4 pips and RSI(14) back at neutral after the dip below 1.3362 was bought back immediately.
Support: 1.3368, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3374 range top exposes the 1.3379 ny pivot
Failure to hold the 1.3368 range floor puts the 1.3360 session low back in play as a lower low
Thin early-Asia liquidity: 4-pip ATR range can expand sharply into the London open
UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT are the next scheduled event capable of resetting this range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.33685
Lower highs off 1.3400, coiling above session low.
Monday's push into the 1.3400 psych cap failed at 1.33999 around the London-NY handover and NY hours bled the pair down to a 1.3360 session low, a dollar-led move as Oct Fed hike odds firmed. Early Asia is inert: last eight bars coil in a 2-pip band under 1.33726 asia high, ATR(14) down to ~4 pips, RSI(14) mid-40s with price under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3360, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.33726, 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.33726 asia high would break the lower-high chain from 1.3400
Loss of 1.3360 session low reopens the 1.3336 fri low
Liquidity is thin until London open — the 2-pip coil is not a structural range yet
Fed's Williams/Jefferson later in the US session, then UK flash PMIs Wed 08:30 GMT, are the next repricing risks for this read
Lower highs since the 1.3400 rejection, now compressed in a tight late-session range.
The 1.3400 cap was rejected again at 1.33999 into the London-NY overlap, after which price bled to a 1.3360 session low as firmer Fed-hike pricing kept the dollar leg bid. Since then it has flatlined at 1.3370 in post-NY thin trade, boxed between the 1.3367 range floor and the 1.3374 range top, with the 1.3379 ny high the first barrier above and RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3360
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3379, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3374 range top re-opens the 1.3379 ny high; failure there keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Loss of the 1.3367 range floor puts the 1.3360 session low back in play — a break below confirms a lower low
ATR(14) at ~5 pips in thin Asia-hours liquidity: levels can be pierced on very little flow