NZD/USD recovered off the 0.5778 two-month low printed after Friday's hot US NFP, climbing into 0.5847 by yesterday's NY session before slipping back under EMA20. Price is holding the 0.5800 round number this week with RSI(14) cycling near neutral as the rebound loses steam. US CPI Wednesday is the next driver into the consolidation.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57782
Resistance: 0.5842, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5800 opens path back to the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of 0.5847 rebound high needed to extend the recovery
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NZD/USD has clawed back off the 0.5778 two-month low printed after Friday's hot US NFP, building a rounded base and recovering toward 0.5848 before stalling. The China trade-surplus beat underpinned a second day of gains, but the rebound has faded back under EMA(20) into a 0.5800-0.5848 range with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s. Price now retests the 0.5800 round number, the lower third of this week's recovery range.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 reopens the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of 0.5848 needed to challenge the 0.5853 ema cap
US CPI (Wed) could materially shift this read via USD direction
Rebound from two-month low, pulling back under week high.
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K), then staged a multi-session recovery toward 0.58478 supported by China's strong trade surplus. That bounce has stalled: price was rejected near 0.5848 and has drifted back to 0.5811, now sitting under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5830, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58300 reopens the 0.58478 week high
Failure to hold 0.58000 round number exposes the 0.57780 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NZD/USD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back over the past two sessions to base between 0.5800 and the 0.5848 week high. Price has now slipped back under EMA20 toward the 0.5800 round number as the recovery stalls, with RSI(14) sliding into the low-40s. The 0.5848 swing high capped the rebound twice this week.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58478
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 0.5800 round reopens the 0.5790-0.5778 swing-low zone
Reclaim of 0.58250 ema20 needed to keep the recovery intact
Base above 0.5800 after sweep of 2mo low, pulling back from week high.
NZD plunged ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP, then stabilised through this week on improved China trade data, carving a rounded base above 0.5800. The recovery stretched to a week high of 0.5848 before fading back toward the 50% retracement around 0.5815, with the 0.5853 barrier still untested. RSI(14) has slipped back to mid-40s as the bounce loses steam.
Support: 0.58004, 0.5780, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5800 reopens the 0.57778 two-month low
Reclaim of 0.58478 week high revives the recovery toward the 0.5853 barrier
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD carved a rounded base near the 0.57778 week low after Friday's hot US NFP drove the pair down ~3%, then recovered through the NY session yesterday to 0.58478 as China's trade beat supported the Kiwi. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 to 0.58154, with RSI(14) cooling toward 46 as the rebound stalls. The 0.58478 recovery high caps for now while the rising base off 0.57778 still holds.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.58000 psych exposes the 0.57900 two-month low zone
H1 close above 0.58478 recovery high extends the rebound toward the 0.58530 ema cap
NZD/USD plunged toward the 0.5779 two-month low after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through this week on improving risk sentiment and a strong China trade surplus. The rebound stalled at 0.5848 with a sharp rejection back under EMA20, and price has since drifted to the 50% retrace near 0.5814. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the recovery loses thrust.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 0.5848 swing high reopens the 0.5853 barrier
Loss of the 0.5800 round number exposes the 0.5779 2mo low
Higher lows since two-month low, capped under 0.5847.
Kiwi plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP, then clawed back through Monday's session on improved China-led risk sentiment. The recovery stalled into 0.5847-0.5853 — the move was rejected there and price has since slipped back below EMA(20) toward 0.5814, with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Higher lows off 0.5778 still hold for now, leaving price mid-range ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5853 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Friday's low, capped under week high.
NZD/USD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 on Friday's hot US NFP, then carved a rounded base and recovered toward 0.58478 this week as China's trade surplus beat supported the Kiwi. Price has since faded off that week high and is consolidating around 0.5820, slipping back below the H1 EMA(20) while still tracking a series of higher lows off the base.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5790-0.5778 two-month low
Reclaim of the 0.58478 week high needed to extend the rebound toward the 0.5853 nine-day ema
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K), then stabilised and ground higher on China's May trade surplus beat. The rebound stalled below the 0.5848 high and price has slipped back under EMA20, holding the rising-lows base off 0.5778. Net structure is a 0.5800–0.5848 range with supply capping the top.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5848 reopens the path to the 0.5853 barrier
Loss of 0.5800 exposes the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD direction
NZDUSD has rebounded off Monday's two-month low near 0.5778, climbing back to the 0.5847 week high before stalling — the China trade surplus beat ($105.43B vs $92.1B f/c) underpinned the move. Price has since slipped back under EMA(20) at 0.5824 on the latest pullback, with RSI(14) easing toward the mid-40s. Recovery higher-lows remain intact above 0.5800.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778, 0.5789
Resistance: 0.5824, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5824 EMA(20) would reopen the 0.5847 week high
Failure to hold 0.5800 exposes the 0.5778 weekly low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD plunged ~3% to a two-month low near 0.5778 on Friday's hot US NFP, then rebuilt through this week on improving risk sentiment and a strong China trade surplus. Price has since stalled below the EMA20 around 0.5826 after a pullback from this week's 0.5848 high, with RSI(14) cycling back to mid-range. The week-low zone at 0.5778 held as the base for the recovery.
Support: 0.58004, 0.57782
Resistance: 0.58258, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 week high reopens the path toward the 0.5853 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5800 swing low reopens the 0.5778 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.5848 below week high; rolling over from rebound.
The week's dominant move was Friday's ~3% slide to the 0.5778 two-month low after a hot US NFP print lifted the dollar. Price stabilised and clawed back toward 0.5848 on China-trade-supported risk appetite, but that rebound was rejected and the pair has slipped back under EMA20 into the NY session, now pressing the 0.5800 round level. Lower highs since the 0.5848 cap define the fade.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.58478 then 0.5853 invalidates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 0.58000 opens the path back to the 0.5778 two-month low
NZDUSD plunged to a 2-month low near 0.5778 on Friday's hot US NFP, then carved a rounded recovery back toward the 0.58478 week high through the NY session. That high capped the move and price has since rolled over into a pullback, slipping back under EMA20/EMA50 to test the 0.5800 round number, with the 0.5853 barrier still untested overhead.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5853 barrier opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5800 round number reopens the 2-month low at 0.5778
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Kiwi carved a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP and has since ground higher on China's trade-surplus beat, posting a sequence of higher lows into the 0.5847 swing high. That level rejected the latest push and price has pulled back beneath EMA(20) to 0.5822, sitting just above EMA(50) and around the 0.382 retrace of the week's recovery. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the mid-40s as the advance loses pace.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.5853 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5800 round reopens 0.5790-0.5778 wk low
16:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, recovering · RSI 45 · price 0.58229
Rebound off two-month low, higher lows then pullback.
NZD/USD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 on Friday's hot US NFP, then stabilised and clawed higher on China's strong trade surplus, posting higher lows into a recovery high at 0.5848. Price has since rolled over below the EMA(20), pulling back to 0.5822 with RSI(14) easing back to neutral. The recovery high and the 0.5853 nine-day EMA capped the latest attempt.
Support: 0.58175, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5853 9-day ema opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.58175 day low reopens the 0.5790 two-month low
US CPI Wed could materially shift the USD-driven read
NZD/USD has clawed back off the 0.5778 two-month low printed after Friday's hot US NFP, with China's trade-balance beat underpinning the China-proxy Kiwi through this week. Price is consolidating around 0.583, holding above EMA20 and EMA50, with the 0.5848 recovery high capping the rebound into the NY session. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the loss of upside momentum after the bounce.
Support: 0.5818, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5887
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 recov high opens path toward the 0.5887 week high
Failure to hold 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
NZD plunged to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP lifted the dollar, then carved a rounded base and clawed back as China's trade surplus beat supported the Kiwi. Price now sits right on the 50% retrace of that drop (~0.5832), holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s. The 0.5848 week high and 0.5853 barrier have capped the rebound.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5853 barrier opens the path toward the 0.5895 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.5810 base risks a retest of the 0.5790 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk and could reset this read
14:02 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 59 · price 0.58373
Rebound off week's low, capped under 0.5848.
Kiwi is grinding higher lows back into the 0.5840s after the week's 0.5778 low, the base built once the hot US NFP-driven slide stalled. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around 60, but the 0.58478 week high and the 0.5853 nine-day EMA have capped the bounce. Recovery is sitting on the mid-section of the slide from 0.58847.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
Close above 0.58478 opens the path to 0.5853
Loss of the 0.58100 base / higher-low line reopens the 2-mth low at 0.5790
Higher lows since weekend gap, capped under 0.5847.
NZDUSD has clawed back from this week's two-month low at 0.5778, printing higher lows since the weekend gap and holding above EMA(20). The 0.5847-0.5853 zone — including the nine-day EMA cap flagged in the macro read — has contained the rebound, lining up with the 61.8% retracement of the NFP-driven drop. RSI(14) near 60 reflects steady recovery momentum without stretching into overbought.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5847, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5853 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Loss of the 0.5810 base would re-expose the 0.5790-0.5778 low zone
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since weekend gap, capped under 0.5847.
NZD/USD has clawed back from Friday's NFP-driven slide to the 0.5778 week low, printing higher lows since the weekend gap as China's trade surprise underpinned the Kiwi. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the upper half, but the 0.5847 week high capped the latest push into the NY session. Round-number 0.5800 has flipped to support on the way up.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5847 opens the path toward the 0.5853 cap
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.5790-0.5778 low zone
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:03 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the low · RSI 59 · price 0.58382
Higher lows building from Friday's base.
Kiwi has clawed back from Friday's two-month low near 0.5778 — the NFP beat (172K vs 85K) drove that flush — and is grinding higher with a string of higher lows since Monday's open. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s on pullbacks. The 0.5848 session high and the 0.5853 EMA barrier have capped the latest push.
Support: 0.5810, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5853 opens the path to the 0.5895 barrier
Failure to hold 0.5810 base reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the base, capped under day high.
NZD/USD bottomed near 0.5778 after Friday's hot US NFP drove a ~3% slide, and has since ground higher on improving risk sentiment and China's trade-balance beat. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) in the upper-50s, and rising lows have built since the Monday base. The 0.5848 day high and the 0.5853 zone are capping the recovery for now.
Support: 0.58072, 0.5818, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5853 opens the path toward the 0.5895 barrier
Loss of 0.5807 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD has carved a string of higher lows since Monday's two-month base near 0.57778, recovering after Friday's hot US NFP triggered the ~3% flush mid-window. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 60s; the China trade-surplus beat has underpinned the bounce. Recovery is capping near the 0.58478 day high, with the 0.58530 area noted as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.58530 opens the path back toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.58000 round number re-exposes the 0.57778 week low
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read via USD direction
11:02 UTC
Recovering off two-month low, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 0.58373
Higher lows since the post-NFP base, grinding back into the week's range.
NZDUSD has carved a rounded bottom off the 0.5780 two-month low printed after Friday's hot US NFP, and is grinding higher on a sequence of higher lows back above EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.5848 prior high capped Tuesday's NY push, leaving that level and the 0.5853 nine-day EMA as the immediate barriers. RSI(14) sits near 59, the firmest of the week, but the recovery is still working inside the broader rectangle the digest flags.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD
Hourly close above 0.5848 opens the path toward 0.5895
Loss of 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5780 two-month low
11:02 UTC
Recovery off the low, momentum positive · RSI 59 · price 0.58373
Higher lows since Monday's two-month low.
NZDUSD is in a second day of recovery after Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) drove a near-3% slide to the two-month low at 0.57778. Price has carved higher lows since Monday's session open and now trades above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling near 59. The 0.58478 swing high capped the latest push and is the first barrier into the NY session.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58478 opens the path toward the 0.5853 area
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.57778 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD sold off hard into Friday's 172K US NFP beat, tagging a two-month low near 0.5778 before basing through the Asian range. Price has carved higher lows since, reclaiming EMA20 and pushing to 0.5848 before settling back to 0.583. RSI mid-range around 55 reflects a recovery that is steady but not yet impulsive.
Support: 0.5818, 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5880
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and could reset this read
Close above 0.5848 opens the path toward the 0.5880 shelf
Failure to hold 0.5790 reopens the two-month low at 0.5778
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.58305
Based at 2-mo low, higher lows since.
NZD/USD sold off nearly 3% into Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K), bottoming at the two-month low 0.5778. Price has based and recovered since, carving higher lows and reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) lifting back through 50. The recovery stalled at 0.58478 yesterday and is consolidating near 0.5830.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could materially shift this read
Close back below 0.5800 and a break of 0.5778 reopens the two-month low
Close above 0.58478 extends the recovery toward 0.5853
NZDUSD shed nearly 3% into Friday's hot US NFP, bottoming near 0.5778 before a weekend gap and a steady grind of higher lows back above 0.5800. Price sits above the H1 EMA20 (~0.5816) with RSI cycling in the mid-50s, but the 0.5848 recovery high has capped the latest push. The rebound has retraced roughly 40% of the week's drop and now consolidates ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.5816, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5894
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
H1 close above 0.5848 opens the path back toward the 0.5894 weekly open
Loss of 0.5800 and the 0.5778 week low reasserts the downside
Friday's hot US NFP drove a near-3% slide to the 0.5778 two-month low; this week price has based and ground back to 0.5831, exactly the 50% retrace of that drop. The pair is now boxed in a 0.5800-0.5848 range, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling near the mid-50s. The 0.5848 week high has capped the rebound while 0.5800 round number has held on pullbacks.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5848, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 week high opens the path to 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NZD/USD slid to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's blowout US payrolls (172K vs 85K), then clawed back above the 0.5800 pivot through the Asia and London sessions. Price has built a base of rising lows and pushed to a session high of 0.5848 before fading to 0.5824; RSI(14) sits mid-range and price holds above EMA20. The 0.5780-0.5848 range still frames the week into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.5818, 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5865
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5848 opens the path toward the 0.5865 ema cluster
Failure to hold the 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NZD/USD bottomed near 0.5778 after the blowout US payrolls slide and has clawed back above the 0.5800 pivot, now grinding higher above both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range as buyers built a string of higher lows through the latest sessions. The 0.58478 session high capped the most recent push, with the 0.5865 EMA cluster the next overhead reference.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5865
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5865 cluster opens the path back toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, recovering · RSI 60 · price 0.58372
Higher lows off two-month low.
The week was dominated by a near-3% slide after Friday's blowout US payrolls, pressing NZDUSD to a two-month low near 0.5778 before a weekend gap and a steady, rounded recovery base built back above 0.5800. Price has reclaimed EMA20 with RSI(14) lifting into the low 60s, but the 0.5865 EMA/100-day cluster has capped this week's rallies and the recent 0.5847 swing high is the nearer hurdle. Move is consistent with the hawkish-USD post-NFP backdrop fading slightly as Middle East tensions ease.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5865
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5847 opens the path to the 0.5865 ema cluster
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5778 week low
07:02 UTC
Recovering off week low, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 0.58372
Bounce from two-month low, higher lows building.
NZD/USD slid to a two-month low near 0.5778 after Friday's blowout US payrolls (172K vs 85K) drove broad USD strength, then has clawed steadily back above 0.5800 through the Asian and London hours. Price now trades above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling up through 60, the session high at 0.58478 the immediate cap. The 0.5865 EMA-and-100-day cluster remains the broader rally ceiling flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58478, 0.5865
What it said to watch
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read via the USD
Loss of 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5780 week low
H1 close above 0.58478 session high exposes the 0.5865 ema cluster
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovery off lows · RSI 60 · price 0.58379
Two-month low holding, higher lows building.
A brutal week: NZD/USD shed ~3% off 0.5908 to a two-month low near 0.5778 after the hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) lifted the dollar. Price has since clawed back to 0.5838 on Mideast de-escalation and a softer USD, with RSI(14) recovering from oversold and lows printing higher into the NY session — a bullish divergence against the 0.5778 base. The day high at 0.5842 caps the bounce, with the 0.5895 EMA cluster the wider ceiling.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5842, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and could reset this read
Hourly close above 0.5842 opens the path toward the 0.5895 ema cluster
Failure to hold the 0.5800 pivot re-exposes the 0.5778 two-month low
A hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) drove a roughly 3% slide this week, bottoming near the 0.5778 two-month low into the weekend gap. NZD has since carved a rounded base, lifting back above EMA(20) to 0.5828 as Iran de-escalation and RBNZ hike bets steadied the Kiwi; price now sits on the 38.2% retrace of the week's drop. The 0.5837 session high caps the recovery while 0.5810 has held demand on the latest pullbacks.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5837 opens the path toward the 0.5895 9d ema
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
A hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) drove a ~3% NZD slide into this week, bottoming near the two-month low at 0.57778 before a corrective bounce as Iran de-escalation headlines eased risk aversion. Price has carved higher lows off that base and now holds above EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s. The 0.5830 session high has capped the latest push.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5830, 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.5837 opens the path toward the 0.5895 9-day ema
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.57778 two-month low
The week opened near 0.5913 and sold off roughly 3% after Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K), tagging a two-month low near 0.5780 before basing. Since the weekend reopen, price has consolidated 0.5810–0.5837 with RSI(14) cycling back to neutral; EMA20 has been reclaimed but EMA50 still caps overhead. The 0.5810 support zone is holding and the rebound high at 0.5837 is the immediate level to watch.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5810 wk support reopens the 0.5780 two-month low
Close above 0.5837 rebound high extends recovery toward the 0.5895 cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this USD-driven read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.58179
NZD/USD bounced off the two-month low near 0.5778 after Iran de-escalation eased risk aversion and softened the USD, recovering to consolidate in the 0.5808–0.5837 band. Price is hovering on EMA(20) with RSI(14) back to mid-range after the week's NFP-driven slide, while EMA(50) still caps overhead. The recent low printed on thin weekend liquidity, and demand has stepped in twice around 0.5810.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5837 opens the path toward 0.5895
NZD/USD shed roughly 3% across the week on the hot US NFP USD bid (172K vs 85K), printing a two-month low near 0.5778 through the weekend gap. Buyers then stepped in to lift it to 0.5837 before price stalled and consolidated around 0.5810, where RBNZ July-hike pricing has cushioned the slide. RSI(14) is cycling near 50 and price is hugging EMA20 as the bounce loses steam under the EMA50 cap.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5847
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5778 confirms a lower low and reopens the two-month low
Reclaim of 0.5837 week high needed to extend the bounce
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.58117
Post-gap rebound stalling into prior support-turned-resistance.
NZDUSD shed roughly 3% this week after Friday's hot US NFP drove a broad USD bid, bottoming near 0.5778 over the weekend gap. Price rebounded into the NY session to tag 0.5837 before stalling and is now consolidating around 0.5810 with RSI cycling near 50 and price pinned to a flattening EMA20. The 0.5778 two-month low held on the Iran de-escalation risk bounce, but the move remains capped below EMA50.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5837 opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, rebounding off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.5816
Two-month low held, consolidating.
Kiwi slid ~3% this week on the hot US NFP-driven USD bid, bottoming near 0.5778 before a recovery into 0.5837 as Mideast de-escalation softened the Dollar. Price is now consolidating just above EMA(20) but capped by EMA(50), with RSI(14) flattening near 50 after the bounce. The 0.5810 support zone and the 0.5837 bounce high frame the current range.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5837 opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5778 two-month low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.5816
Two-month low printed, basing above 0.5810.
NZDUSD shed roughly 3% from Monday's open as Friday's hot US NFP fuelled a broad USD bid, bottoming near the two-month low at 0.5778. Price has since clawed back and is consolidating around 0.5816, hovering just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-line. The 0.5836 session high has capped the bounce while 0.5810 support is holding.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5836, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5836 opens the path toward 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5778 low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 46 · price 0.58068
Lower lows into week low, now consolidating below EMAs.
The week opened near 0.5933 and sold off roughly 3% on the hot US NFP-driven USD bid, bottoming near 0.5778 across the weekend gap. Buyers stepped in to recover toward the 0.5837 day high, a level that aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the weekly drop, but price has since drifted back to 0.5807 and remains below both EMA20 and EMA50. Action is now boxed in the 0.5800–0.5837 band with the 0.5778 week low untested on the bounce.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5837, 0.5860
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5837 day high opens the path toward the 0.5860 swing high
Failure to hold 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5778 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD shed ~3% this week after Friday's hot US NFP (172K vs 85K) drove a broad USD bid, bottoming near 0.5778 before a risk-on bounce on Iran de-escalation lifted it back to 0.5837. That rebound has stalled and price is now drifting back below the EMA20 around 0.5812, consolidating just above the 0.5800 round number. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 as the recovery loses steam.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5812, 0.5837, 0.5895
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.5837 reopens the path toward the 0.5895 rebound cap
Loss of 0.5800 round number puts the 0.5778 two-month low back in focus
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this USD-driven read
The week opened near 0.5933 Monday and sold roughly 3% on the hot US NFP-driven USD bid, bottoming at a two-month low of 0.5778 over the weekend gap. The Iran de-escalation rebound stalled almost exactly at the 38.2% retrace near 0.5836, and price has since drifted back toward the 0.5800 round level in thin Asian trade with RSI in the mid-40s. The bounce high at 0.5836 has capped the recovery, leaving the two-month low still in view.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.58369, 0.58895
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
H1 close below 0.5780 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.5836 needed to open the path back to 0.5895
NZD/USD opened the week near 0.5935 and sold off roughly 3% on the hot US NFP-driven USD bid, bottoming at the 0.5778 two-month low before bouncing to a 0.5837 rebound high on Iran de-escalation. Price has since drifted back to 0.5801, sitting just under the EMA20 and consolidating in a 0.5778–0.5837 band. RSI(14) holding mid-40s reflects the loss of downside momentum without any reclaim of the EMA20.
Support: 0.5794, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5812, 0.58369
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58369 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57780 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 0.5812 would neutralise the pullback
Business NZ PMI (Thu 22:30 UTC) could shift the read