NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 11 May 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after pullback · RSI 48 · price 0.59493

Higher highs to 0.5983, pullback holding above 0.5933 swing low.

NZDUSD pushed from 0.5879 early in the week to a 0.5983 week high during the NY session before unwinding back through 0.5950. Monday's Asia-into-London session is consolidating in a tight 0.5938–0.5957 band, with price reclaiming the EMA20 around 0.5945 after the swing low at 0.5933. RSI(14) has reset to mid-range and momentum has flattened as the geopolitical headlines around Iran and the Trump-Xi summit keep risk pairs cautious.

Support: 0.5945, 0.59336, 0.5913

Resistance: 0.5983

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.5957 session high reopens the path to the 0.5983 week high
  • Loss of the 0.5933 swing low breaks the week's higher-low structure
  • US CPI later this week is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

08:01 UTC

Pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 46 · price 0.59478

Lower highs since 0.5979 peak, holding above 0.5933.

NZDUSD rallied through the week to a 0.5983 high before fading into Friday's NY close around 0.5964 and gapping lower to open this week near 0.5934 after China's hotter-than-expected CPI failed to lift the kiwi. Price has since recovered into a tight 0.5945–0.5957 range below the session high at 0.5957, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s. Structure on H1 is corrective: lower highs from 0.5979 but buyers defending the weekly low at 0.5934.

Support: 0.59336, 0.59305, 0.5913

Resistance: 0.59575, 0.59688, 0.59832

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.5933 weekly low confirms a lower low and breaks the week's range floor
  • Reclaim of 0.5958 session high opens the path back to the 0.5969 prior high
  • Trump-Xi summit headlines later this week could materially shift the read

07:01 UTC

Pullback within this-week's range · RSI 48 · price 0.59512

Rotation off 0.5990 high, holding above 0.5933 swing low.

NZDUSD rallied from 0.5873 early last week into a 0.5991 week high during the NY session, then rotated lower to retest 0.5933 before stabilising near 0.5950. Price is back probing the EMA(20) from below after the gap reopen, with RSI(14) recovering through 48 as the pair grinds back toward midrange. Soft CPI-driven weakness from Monday's Asian session has been partially recovered but the week's structure is sideways, not impulsive.

Support: 0.59387, 0.59336, 0.59305

Resistance: 0.5965, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close back above 0.5965 ema20 reasserts the upper half of the week range
  • Break of 0.5933 week low confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5930 prior low
  • Trump China visit May 13-15 headline risk could shift NZD via CNH proxy

06:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback in progress · RSI 41 · price 0.59414

Lower highs since Thursday peak, holding above 0.5930.

NZDUSD rallied from 0.5870 on Tuesday to 0.5991 on Thursday before rolling over, with sellers stepping in twice near 0.5975 into the NY session. Price is now under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) at 41, and the Asia session reopen post-weekend gap has held the 0.5934 area so far after a soft China CPI beat failed to lift the kiwi. The structural read is corrective within last week's range.

Support: 0.5934, 0.5930, 0.5900

Resistance: 0.5956, 0.5975, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.5934 weekly low confirms a lower-low extension
  • Reclaim of 0.5956 session high needed to neutralise the pullback
  • Trump China visit May 13-15 headlines could shift NZD risk tone

05:01 UTC

Uptrend rolling over, pullback in progress · RSI 41 · price 0.59404

Lower highs since 0.5983 peak, retesting week's mid-range.

NZDUSD ran from the Monday open near 0.5867 up to 0.5983 into Thursday's NY session before sellers stepped in, with two lower highs printed since. Price now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the early Asia gap lower, with RSI(14) cycling in the 38–48 band and showing bearish divergence on the prior leg up. The China CPI beat this morning did little to lift the kiwi, leaving the week's mid-range around 0.5950 as the pivot.

Support: 0.5934, 0.5930, 0.5915

Resistance: 0.5956, 0.5983

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.59560 session high reopens the upper week range
  • Break of 0.59340 week low confirms lower-low continuation
  • Holding 0.59300 psych keeps the pullback corrective rather than structural

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 0.59453

Pullback from week high, holding above prior range.

NZDUSD rallied from 0.5857 at Monday's open to a week high near 0.5991 into Thursday's NY session, then rolled over with successive lower highs into Friday. Price has now slipped back below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and is opening this week soft near 0.5945 after hotter China CPI failed to lift the kiwi. RSI on the rally peaked while price made a higher high — a bearish divergence — and is now sitting in the low 40s.

Support: 0.5934, 0.5930, 0.5890

Resistance: 0.5965, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close below 0.5934 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend structure
  • Reclaim of 0.5965 prior high would put the week-high retest back in play
  • China-related headlines and Trump's May 13-15 China visit could shift NZD risk tone

03:01 UTC

Pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 47 · price 0.59457

Lower-highs after 0.5991 peak, holding above 0.5933.

NZDUSD pushed from 0.5857 at Monday's open to a 0.5991 week high during Wednesday's NY session, but momentum has rolled over with a clear lower-high at 0.5980 and rejection on Friday. Price sits mid-range after Asia bounced off the 0.5933 week low, with RSI(14) flat near 47 and price hugging EMA(20) but below EMA(50). Hotter China CPI failed to lift the kiwi this morning, keeping the tone heavy.

Support: 0.59336, 0.59305, 0.5915

Resistance: 0.59757, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.5933 week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's range
  • Reclaim of 0.5976 session high needed to challenge the 0.5991 prior high
  • Trump China visit May 13-15 headlines could shift NZD risk tone

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.59513

Weekly range, holding mid-zone.

NZDUSD rallied from 0.5860 early in the week into a 0.5991 week high during NY hours, then faded back to the 0.5934 weekly low before Asia stabilised price near 0.5950. The current H1 range is compressing between session low 0.5947 and intraday cap 0.5957, with price sitting on EMA20 but below EMA50 — momentum has flattened after the late-week pullback. China's hotter-than-expected April CPI (1.2% vs 0.8%) gave a small Asia-session lift but failed to reclaim the prior high at 0.5980.

Support: 0.5934, 0.5947

Resistance: 0.5980, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above intraday cap 0.5957 reopens the path to prior high 0.5980
  • Loss of weekly low 0.5934 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend structure
  • Strait of Hormuz / Iran headline risk could materially shift this read intraday

01:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback off week high · RSI 50 · price 0.59569

Higher highs into 0.5990, lower high forming.

Kiwi rallied through last week's London-NY sessions to a 0.5991 week high before sellers stepped in, with a clean rejection wick and follow-through down to 0.5932. Price has since stabilised and reclaimed the EMA(20) on the new week's Asia session open near 0.5956, leaving structure mid-range between the swing low at 0.5932 and the prior swing at 0.5965. Iran-US headlines over the weekend are the dominant macro driver into Monday's Asia trade.

Support: 0.59445, 0.59317, 0.5900

Resistance: 0.5965, 0.59834, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 0.5965 prior swing reopens the 0.5983 week high
  • Loss of 0.5944 session low exposes 0.5932 swing low
  • China April CPI release in Asia hours could shift the read

00:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling after week's rally · RSI 50 · price 0.5949

Pullback from weekly high, consolidating mid-range.

NZDUSD rallied from 0.5860 into Wednesday's NY session to print the week high at 0.5991, then faded back to 0.5933 on Friday as risk wobbled around the Iran peace proposal rejection. Price is currently consolidating in the 0.5945 area on Monday's Asia open, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling near 50 after the prior bearish divergence into the highs. The week's higher-low structure is still intact, but the post-rally drift has price mid-range and directionless.

Support: 0.5934, 0.59305, 0.5890

Resistance: 0.5969, 0.5983, 0.5991

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.5969 reopens the prior-day high at 0.5983
  • Loss of 0.5934 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
  • China April CPI release today could move the pair via risk-proxy channel

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