NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 11 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Recovering off two-month low · RSI 64 · price 0.58379
V-shaped bounce back to range top.
NZDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.5770 and snapped back through 0.5800 into the NY session, the recovery aligning with the kiwi popping on softer US core CPI/PPI before sticky headline prints kept the dollar bid. Price is now testing the week's top near 0.5845 with RSI(14) cycling up to the low-60s and both EMAs reclaimed. The 0.5780-0.5790 two-month low held twice and remains the structural floor.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5778, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.58445, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.5800 negates the recovery and re-exposes the 0.5780 low
Rejection at 0.5845/0.5848 keeps the week's range cap intact
Business NZ PMI 22:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
23:02 UTC
Recovery off the week low, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 0.58379
False break of range low, rebound into range top.
Price probed the two-month low at 0.5769 before snapping back hard through the NY session, lifting toward the week high at 0.5845 after the soft US core CPI/PPI prints. The bounce reclaimed both EMA(20) and EMA(50), turning the prior 0.5790-0.5850 rectangle low into a failed break. RSI(14) has cycled from oversold back near 63 on the recovery leg.
Support: 0.5805, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.58445, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5845 would reopen the path to the 0.58478 prior high
Failure to hold above EMA(20) near 0.5805 puts the 0.5769 week low back in play
Fed week and fresh US-Iran strike headlines could materially shift this read
NZDUSD poked the 0.5780-0.5769 two-month low overnight then snapped back above 0.5800, faded all of it and reclaimed it again on the soft US core CPI print, trading 0.58326 into the NY close. The rebound stalled under the 0.5845/0.5850 cap, leaving price back above EMA20 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold toward 62. Demand stepped in twice around the prior low, but the 0.5850 barrier flagged in the news has yet to give.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5779, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.58445, 0.5850, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5850 opens the path to 0.5895
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.5780-0.5769 low
NZ Q1 GDP (Jun 17) and FOMC week could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Range, late-week rebound · RSI 61 · price 0.58326
0.5770-0.5848 weekly range, snapback off lows.
NZDUSD spent most of the week boxed in a 0.5770-0.5848 range, sliding to a 2-month low near 0.5770 before a sharp NY-session rebound on soft US core CPI/PPI lifted it back toward the 0.5845 cap. Price now holds above EMA20 and the 0.5800 round number with RSI back near 60 after basing twice around 0.5770. The 0.5845 cap and week high at 0.5848 are the immediate barriers capping the recovery.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5775, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.5848
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5800 round number puts the 0.5770 2-month low back in play
Reclaim of 0.5845 cap opens the 0.5848 week high
Business NZ PMI at 22:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY recovery · RSI 61 · price 0.58345
Two-month low swept, snapback to range top.
Kiwi drifted to a two-month low near 0.5769 through the week as firm USD (hot CPI/NFP) and Iran risk-off overrode the hawkish RBNZ repricing. The final NY session staged a sharp recovery off that low back to 0.58445 — a false break of the swing-low support — reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold toward 60. The bounce now sits into the 0.5850 rally cap that has repeatedly faded prior attempts.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5775, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.58445, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.5850 needed to neutralize the bearish tilt
Failure to hold the 0.5800 ema20 reasserts the week's downtrend
Close back below 0.5775 swing low reopens the 0.5769 week low
Business NZ PMI tonight could shift the read into the next session
NZD/USD swept the 0.577 two-month-low twice late this week before a sharp recovery in the US session lifted price back toward the 0.5850 cap that has faded rallies all week. The bounce reclaimed both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling back up toward 60. 0.5850 remains the line repeated attempts have failed to clear, with USD bid on hot PPI and Iran risk premium framing the broader pressure.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57693, 0.5775
Resistance: 0.58445, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Rejection or reclaim at the 0.5850 rally cap defines the next leg
Sustained close below 0.5775 double bottom signals downtrend continuation
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) and next week's FOMC are the dominant catalysts
The week was a grind lower under USD strength on hot CPI/PPI and Iran risk-off, bottoming at a two-month low near 0.5770. The latest NY session staged a sharp ~70-pip recovery, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 and breaking the week's descending lower-highs line, with RSI snapping back from oversold toward 63. The 0.5850 rally-cap zone — where prior bounces stalled all week — is now the immediate test overhead.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5775
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5775 signals downtrend continuation
Rejection at the 0.5850 rally cap keeps the weekly lower-highs intact
Business NZ PMI tonight and next week's FOMC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp late bounce · RSI 64 · price 0.58393
Two-month low printed, NY-session recovery.
Kiwi spent the week grinding to a two-month low near 0.5770 as firm USD (hot CPI/PPI, NFP beat) and Iran risk-off capped every rally toward 0.5850. A sharp NY-session bounce off the 0.5770 area lifted price ~60 pips back to 0.5839, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushing into the low-60s. The 0.5850 cap that has faded prior attempts sits just overhead.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5810
Resistance: 0.5850, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim above 0.5850 needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
Failure to hold 0.5810 reopens the 0.5770 swing low
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) could shift the read
Kiwi spent the week grinding lower from ~0.5848 to a two-month low at 0.5769, a ~3% slide as firm USD on hot CPI/PPI and Iran risk-off capped every bounce. A sharp NY-session recovery off the 0.5775 double-bottom area has reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) snapping back toward 60. The 0.5850 rally-fade zone still caps the move, and 0.5825 is the immediate session high.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5775
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5850 rally cap would neutralize the bearish tilt
Failure to hold 0.5800 round number reopens the 0.5775 week low
US Michigan sentiment (14:00 UTC) could swing the USD-driven move
NZD ground lower all week from the 0.5848 high to a two-month low at 0.5769 under firm USD on hot CPI/NFP and Iran risk-off, with rallies repeatedly fading near 0.5850. The late session brought a sharp short-cover pop that swept the 0.5769 low and reclaimed 0.5800, lifting price back above the EMA20 toward 0.5820. RSI(14) has snapped off oversold but the broader H1 sequence of lower highs is intact until 0.5848 is cleared.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5779, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.5828, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.5800 reopens the 0.5769 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5850 rally cap needed to neutralize the lower-high sequence
Business NZ PMI tonight and next-week FOMC could materially shift this read
Two-month low printed, aggressive reclaim of 0.5815.
H1 trended lower since midweek to a two-month low near 0.5769, pressured by firm USD on hot CPI/NFP and Iran-driven risk-off. The latest bar snapped back ~40 pips to reclaim 0.5815 and push back above EMA20, rejecting the lows. The 0.5848 week high and 0.5850 rally cap have repeatedly faded prior advances.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5848, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5769 confirms trend continuation toward fresh April lows
Reclaim of 0.5850 needed to neutralize the bearish tilt
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.5776
Lower highs, lower lows; below EMAs.
NZDUSD slid through the 0.5790 two-month-low support into the NY session, printing a fresh week low at 0.5769 as firm USD on the hot 1.1% PPI print and Iran risk-off flows pressured the kiwi. Price has tracked below EMA(20) all session with RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched. The 0.5790 zone that capped prior dips is now the immediate level above.
Support: 0.5769, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5790
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5769 confirms trend continuation toward 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.5790 broken support would neutralize the breakdown
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 36 · price 0.5776
Lower highs, lower lows; broke 0.5790 support.
NZDUSD has carved a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows all week, with the move accelerating through 0.5800 into the NY session as safe-haven USD demand built on Iran risk and the hot US PPI print. Price now sits below both EMAs near the 0.5769 week low, having broken the 0.5780/0.5790 two-month-low support that had held. RSI(14) is depressed near 36, confirming downside momentum without yet stretching to extremes.
Support: 0.5769, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5826, 0.5848
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.5769 signals trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800 psych level needed to neutralize the downside read
US Michigan sentiment today and next week's FOMC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, near two-month low · RSI 38 · price 0.5779
Lower highs and lower lows since midweek peak.
NZD slid to a two-month low near 0.5769 this week, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout as a firm USD (hot 4.2% CPI, 172K NFP) and Iran risk-off flows capped every rally toward 0.5848. The decline has been a steady sequence of lower highs since the midweek peak, with NY-session selling driving the latest leg into the 0.5780 region. A late bounce off 0.5769 has stalled below the 0.5800 round number.
Support: 0.5769, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5848, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5780/0.5769 confirms trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5850 rally cap needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
NZDUSD has bled lower since Tuesday, sliding from the 0.5845 area to a fresh two-month low at 0.5769 as firm USD (hot CPI, strong NFP) and Iran-driven risk-off pinned the kiwi. Price sits below both EMA(20) ~0.5804 and EMA(50) ~0.5813, with each rebound this week fading near 0.5805-0.5830. RSI(14) near 36 reflects the extension but no bullish divergence on the latest leg down.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5804, 0.5813, 0.58326
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5769 confirms a lower-low and trend continuation
Reclaim of 0.5804 EMA(20) needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) and US PPI could shift this read
Kiwi has bled lower all week, shedding ~3% as firm USD on hot CPI and Iran risk-off swamped the hawkish RBNZ repricing. Price slid through the 0.5790/0.5800 zone into the NY session and printed a fresh week low at 0.57693, trading well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. Each rally toward 0.5815 this week has been sold, leaving structure clearly to the downside.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5815, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.57690 opens fresh April-lows downside
Reclaim of 0.5800 needed to neutralise the breakdown read
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NZDUSD has drifted lower since Tuesday's 0.5848 high, sliding through the 0.5790 area toward fresh two-month lows near 0.5770 as firm USD on hot CPI and Iran-driven safe-haven flow weighed through the week. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, and rallies toward 0.5800 in the Asia and London sessions were sold. The 0.5790/0.5780 support that capped earlier dips has given way, leaving the swing low at 0.57693 as the immediate floor.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58227, 0.58478
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 0.57693 opens further downside toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800 round number needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) and FOMC next week could materially shift this read
NZDUSD has trended lower all week, fading every push toward the 0.5850 rally cap as a hot US CPI and renewed US-Iran risk-off kept the USD bid. Price broke the 0.5790 support during the NY session and printed a two-month low at 0.57693 before stabilising just under 0.5800. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s with price holding below both EMA20 and EMA50, confirming the bearish structure.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58478, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.57693 opens fresh downside toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800 would neutralise the immediate breakout read
UoM Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
Kiwi has sold off all week, fading every push toward the 0.5850 rally cap and breaking below 0.5800 into the NY session as a firm USD (hot 4.2% CPI, strong NFP) and US-Iran risk-off flow weighed. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 having printed a fresh week low at 0.57693, with RSI in the high 30s. The 0.5790/0.5780 two-month-low support is the pivot the week's structure rests on.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5780/0.57693 confirms trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5850 needed to neutralize the lower-high structure
UoM Consumer Sentiment 14:00 UTC and Business NZ PMI tonight could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 35 · price 0.57793
Lower highs, lower lows; pressing two-month lows.
Kiwi has trended lower all week, fading every rally toward 0.5850 and accelerating into the NY session as the US PPI/claims release printed — the high-volume bar drove a fresh push to a two-month low at 0.57693. Price sits below EMA20 (~0.5805) and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, reflecting the firm-USD, risk-off backdrop. The 0.5780/0.57693 support zone is now the line in the sand.
Support: 0.5780, 0.57693
Resistance: 0.5805, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.57693 signals downtrend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5805 ema20 needed to ease the bearish tilt; 0.5850 rally cap still untested
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) could move the open of the next session
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.57793
Lower highs and lower lows, support break.
NZDUSD has trended lower all week off the 0.5848 peak, with price sliding through the 0.5790 area into fresh two-month lows near 0.5769 as a hot US CPI and strong NFP keep the USD bid and risk-off flows persist. Price sits well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and each NY-session pullback toward 0.5815 has been sold. RSI(14) is pressed into the low 30s, reflecting the extended down-leg.
Support: 0.57693, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5815, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5780/0.5769 confirms trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5815 then 0.5850 needed to neutralize the bearish structure
US PPI and jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Broke below 0.5800 range, printing lower highs and lows.
After capping at 0.5847 earlier this week, NZDUSD rolled over and broke below the 0.5800 range floor into yesterday's NY session, pressured by firm USD on the hot US CPI print and Iran-driven risk-off. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-30s, now testing the two-month-low support cluster around 0.5778/0.5780. Bounces toward 0.5800 have been sold.
Support: 0.5778, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.5847
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5778 confirms trend continuation to fresh April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800 needed to neutralize the breakdown
Business NZ PMI tonight (22:30 UTC) and US PPI could shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.57859
Lower highs and lower lows this week.
NZDUSD has drifted lower all week, printing fresh lows near 0.5778 as firm USD post-CPI and US-Iran risk-off flows weighed; price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.5850 zone capped rallies repeatedly and the 0.5800 psych handle has flipped to resistance, with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. PPI and jobless claims land at 12:30 GMT, an imminent test of the move.
Support: 0.5780, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58326, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.5780 opens fresh downside toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5850 rally cap needed to neutralize the bearish tilt
US PPI / jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.57829
Lower highs, lower lows.
NZDUSD has ground lower all week, sliding from the 0.5848 week high into a fresh two-month low at 0.5778 as firm USD post a hot 4.2% CPI and Iran risk-off flows kept the kiwi pinned sub-0.5800. Price has traded below EMA20 since the NY session yesterday with each bounce capped beneath 0.5800, and RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s without a divergence. The 0.5780 support is being pressed for the first time this week.
Support: 0.5778, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5815, 0.5848
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5778 confirms range break toward the April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800 / EMA20 ~0.5815 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
US PPI in ~2h could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 0.57829
Lower highs and lower lows.
NZDUSD has graded steadily lower through the week, pinned below 0.5800 as a hot US CPI (4.2%) and blowout NFP keep the USD firm and Middle East risk-off adds a safe-haven bid. Rallies toward 0.5850 were faded repeatedly, and the latest leg has cracked the 0.5790 support to print a fresh two-month low near 0.5778. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding in the mid-30s, no bullish divergence yet.
Support: 0.5778, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.5780 confirms trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5800/EMA20 needed to neutralise the bearish tilt
US PPI ~2h away could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range lows · RSI 38 · price 0.57842
Lower highs into two-month-low support.
NZDUSD has bled lower all week from Monday's 0.5882 open, printing a series of lower highs as a three-year-high US CPI and a blowout NFP kept the USD bid into the NY sessions. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 and is pressing the 0.5780/0.5790 two-month-low support, with the late drop to 0.57799 extending the bearish leg. Each pop toward 0.5850 this week has been faded.
Support: 0.5780, 0.57799
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.5780 confirms trend continuation toward April lows
Reclaim of 0.5850 would neutralize the bearish tilt
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.57842
Lower highs into two-month-low support.
NZDUSD has drifted lower all week, with each push toward 0.5845 faded and price now pressing the 0.5780 two-month low as firm USD and risk-off flow override the hawkish RBNZ repricing. Trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low-30s, momentum stays heavy into the NY session. Demand near 0.5780 has yet to be tested cleanly on this leg.
Support: 0.5780, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58478
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.5780 opens April-lows downside
Reclaim of 0.5845 rally cap needed to neutralize the bearish tilt
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD opened Monday near 0.5880 and sold off to the 0.5790 floor, then chopped sideways before grinding lower again through the NY session, now sitting at 0.5782 below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.5848 area capped two recovery attempts this week — repeated faded rallies — while a soft US core CPI print kept the dollar from extending. RSI(14) at ~37 reflects the renewed drift toward the rectangle floor rather than an exhausted oversold reading.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5805, 0.58478, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5779 exposes fresh lows beneath the two-month range
Reclaim of 0.5848 faded-rally zone would reopen the range top near 0.5895
Business NZ PMI at 22:30 UTC could shift the near-term tone
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range floor · RSI 38 · price 0.57817
Lower highs, testing two-month low.
Kiwi has drifted lower since Monday's 0.5880 open, with repeated rallies faded at the 0.5825 area and a soft US core CPI print failing to hold the bounce. Price is now pressing the 0.5790 rectangle floor into the NY session, slipping toward the 0.5778 week low with RSI(14) sub-40 and price trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Each NY-session push has been capped beneath the 0.5800 pivot.
Support: 0.57778, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5825, 0.58478
What it said to watch
US PPI + jobless claims today 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-side read
Hourly close below 0.5778 confirms a lower-low and exposes fresh lows
Reclaim of the 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the downside pressure
Business NZ PMI 22:30 UTC is a near-term NZD catalyst
Lower highs into a tightening range above the week low.
NZD/USD has trended lower since Monday's open, with rallies into the 0.5850 prior cap faded repeatedly as a broad USD bid (hot US CPI at 4.2% YoY) dominated the week. Price has drifted back toward the 0.5780-0.5790 week-low floor through the latest sessions, holding below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the low 40s. Selling pressure is easing into the floor but lower highs remain intact.
Support: 0.57857, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5805, 0.58478, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5850 needed to neutralise repeated rejections there
Break of 0.5780 opens fresh downside below the two-month low
Business NZ PMI tonight 22:30 UTC could drag NZD further below 0.5850
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, slipping back to weekly lows · RSI 41 · price 0.57903
Mid-week range giving way, testing weekly floor.
After Monday's drop from 0.5880, price chopped in a 0.5805–0.5845 range through midweek before slipping back toward the weekly low near 0.5780 into the NY session. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) holding in the low 40s; the 0.5848 area has capped each bounce, consistent with the faded-rally pattern below 0.5850. The mid-week recovery has now been fully retraced.
Support: 0.57857, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5802, 0.58478, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5820 range floor would neutralize the lower-low read
Break of 0.5778 weekly low opens fresh downside
US PPI today 12:30 GMT could shift the USD bid and this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 38 · price 0.57898
Range fade, drifting toward 0.5790 floor.
NZDUSD has drifted lower through the NY and Asia sessions, slipping back under EMA20 (~0.5802) and trading the 0.5790 rectangle base after the mid-week rebound off 0.5778 faded. Hot US CPI (4.2%) keeps the USD firm and has capped each Kiwi recovery despite hawkish-RBNZ pricing. RSI(14) sits near 37, tracking the slide without yet hitting oversold.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57857
Resistance: 0.5802, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and opens the rectangle break
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.5802 would ease the downside pressure
Business NZ PMI today 22:30 UTC could shift the read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend resuming within range · RSI 40 · price 0.57898
Rotating lower toward range base.
NZD/USD has rolled back toward the two-month range base near 0.5790 after this week's rebound stalled, with sellers capping each NY-session bounce below 0.5833. Price has traded under EMA20 and EMA50 since yesterday's NY hours and RSI(14) sits near 39, reflecting the firm USD bid after the 4.2% US CPI print. The 0.5778 week low and 0.5790 base are the structural floor in focus.
Support: 0.5785, 0.57778, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5813, 0.58326
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.5778 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.5813 would ease the downside pressure
Business NZ PMI at 22:30 UTC could shift RBNZ hike pricing and move the read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 41 · price 0.57935
Weekly rectangle, sliding toward support.
NZDUSD has been boxed in a 0.5790-0.5895 rectangle all week after the strong US NFP and hot 4.2% CPI kept the dollar bid. Price is trading back at the 0.5790 two-month low base, having printed lower highs since the 0.5847 rejection earlier in the week, with RSI(14) cycling near 41 and price holding below the EMA20/EMA50 cluster around 0.5853. The wk low at 0.57778 marks the line in the sand for the range.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5832, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a range break and exposes the 0.57778 wk low
Reclaim of 0.5832 recent high needed to ease the slide toward the base
Business NZ PMI (22:30 UTC) and US PPI/claims (12:30 UTC) could reshape this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 39 · price 0.57935
Lower highs into 0.5790 support.
NZDUSD has rolled back toward the 0.5790 rectangle base after a mid-week rebound to 0.5847 was capped, with price trading below EMA20 and EMA50 since the NY session. A firm USD following the hot US CPI (4.2%) has stalled any Kiwi recovery, keeping RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. The two-month low at 0.5790 is back in focus as the dominant downtrend resumes.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.5847
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.5778 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5826 would ease the immediate pressure on the range base
Business NZ PMI today (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Rangebound, drifting to base · RSI 42 · price 0.57969
Rectangle 0.5790-0.5895, near lower bound.
NZDUSD has spent the week pinned in a 0.5790-0.5895 rectangle, and price is back probing the base after a steady run of lower highs since Monday's session. The hot US CPI (4.2%) and prior strong NFP keep the dollar firm and have capped each Kiwi bounce below the 0.5853 nine-day EMA. Price sits beneath both H1 EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering in the low-40s.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a break of the rectangle base toward 0.57778 week low
Reclaim of 0.5825 lower-highs line needed to reopen the 0.5853 EMA hurdle
Business NZ PMI (today 22:30 UTC) could shift RBNZ pricing and this range read
05:02 UTC
Range, drifting to base · RSI 41 · price 0.57969
Range between 0.5790 and 0.5845, pressing the floor.
NZD/USD has held a 0.5790-0.5845 range all week, with the Tuesday NFP-driven drop to the 0.5778 week low still defining the floor. Price has drifted back below EMA20 and EMA50 through the NY-into-Asia transition, and RSI(14) has softened toward 40 as the rebound off 0.5778 faded at 0.5845. Sticky US CPI at 4.2% keeps the dollar bid and has capped each Kiwi recovery attempt.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5845
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.5778 week low
Reclaim of 0.5825 reopens the 0.5845 range top
Business NZ PMI (22:30 UTC) could shift this read on the next bars
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range base · RSI 40 · price 0.57962
Week-long range, lower highs into support.
NZDUSD has drifted back toward the 0.5790 two-month base after a mid-week rebound stalled and was rejected near the 0.5845 range top. Price trades below the EMA20 with RSI sub-40, the Kiwi capped all week by a firm USD following the hot US CPI (4.2%) and strong NFP. The 0.5790-0.5845 rectangle still frames the action, but lower highs since yesterday's NY session show the base under pressure.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5801, 0.5845
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a range break and lower low
Reclaim of 0.5845 range top needed to reopen the upside
Business NZ PMI (22:30 UTC) could shift the read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend within broader range · RSI 42 · price 0.57962
Drifting back toward range base after capped recovery.
NZD/USD bled from the 0.5885 area early in the window to a fresh two-month low at 0.5778, then staged a recovery that stalled twice below 0.5848 — capped by a firm USD after the hot 4.2% US CPI print. Price has since drifted back under EMA20 and EMA50 toward the 0.5790 range base, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. The rectangle base near 0.5790 is back in focus.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.5848
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.5778
Reclaim of 0.5826 needed to challenge the 0.5848 cap
Business NZ PMI today 22:30 UTC could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend within range, near base · RSI 42 · price 0.58006
Lower highs pressing rectangle base.
NZDUSD has been grinding lower since the strong US NFP and hot 4.2% CPI kept the dollar bid, with each bounce capped under the 0.5826 lower high and price now hugging the 0.5790-0.5810 rectangle base. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 41, and the 0.57857 swing low was probed in the Asia session before a shallow recovery to 0.5800. The range top at 0.5895 remains untested this leg; the week's character stays defensive into the base.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57857
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.58478, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and opens range break risk
Reclaim of 0.58260 lower high needed to ease the downside pressure
Business NZ PMI (22:30 UTC) could shift RBNZ-hike conviction and this read
NZD/USD has held a 0.5790–0.5895 rectangle all week, with the hot US CPI (4.2%) and a firm dollar capping every rebound back toward the 0.5853 mid. Price drifted back to the 0.5790 base into the Asia session and is pressing the lower edge, trading under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-50. The early-week slide off 0.5885 set the dominant move; subsequent attempts have made lower highs.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5811, 0.5853, 0.5895
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower low and breaks the rectangle base
Reclaim of 0.5811 EMA20 would ease the downside pressure within the range
Business NZ PMI (today 22:30 UTC) could shift RBNZ pricing and this read
02:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower within band · RSI 47 · price 0.58023
Rectangle, price near base.
NZD/USD has been hemmed inside a 0.5790-0.5830 rectangle since the early-week slide to the two-month low at 0.5778, with the firm USD after the in-line 4.2% US CPI capping each rebound. Price slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY session and is now hovering on the lower half of the band; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no clear divergence. The 0.58255 prior high has repeatedly rejected upside attempts this week.
Support: 0.5795, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.5830
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5790 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rectangle base
Reclaim of 0.58255 reopens the 0.5830 range top
Business NZ PMI today (22:30 UTC) and US PPI could shift this range read
NZD/USD has been pinned in a 0.5790-0.5850 range since Monday's open, with the hot US CPI (4.2%) keeping the dollar bid and stalling Kiwi recoveries. Price slid back to the range base overnight, printing 0.57857 before a shallow bounce to 0.5802; RSI(14) is mid-range and price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Lower highs from 0.58478 have capped each rally this week.
Support: 0.57857, 0.5790
Resistance: 0.5828, 0.58478, 0.5853
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.57857 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 0.5853 ema hurdle opens the path toward the 0.5895 range top
Business NZ PMI (today 22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 0.57979
Lower highs pressing two-month low.
NZDUSD has carved lower highs since the rebound stalled at the 0.58478 swing high, with the recovery off last week's 0.57778 low fully unwound back into the session low near 0.57858. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, and the 0.5816 prior base now caps rallies. The in-line US CPI kept DXY near two-month highs, leaving the Kiwi heavy into the next USD catalyst.
Support: 0.57858, 0.57778
Resistance: 0.5816, 0.58478
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.57778 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.5816 prior base needed to ease downside pressure
US PPI + jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
NZD slid ~3% early week into the 0.5790 two-month low on the strong US payrolls beat, then recovered into a 0.5810–0.5848 range across the London–NY sessions. Price has since carved lower highs from 0.5848 and is now pressing the 0.5810 range base into the Asia session, with RSI(14) sub-40 and price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The in-line US CPI offered no fresh USD-negative catalyst, leaving the kiwi capped.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57778, 0.5810
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.58478, 0.5848
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.5790 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.57778 week low
H1 close back above 0.5826 negates the downside range break
US PPI + jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
The week opened near 0.5866 and sold off to the 0.5778 weekly low after Friday's strong US payrolls lifted the dollar. A Tue-Wed recovery, helped by RBNZ hike repricing, stalled under 0.5848 and price has rolled back toward the lows into the Asia session, holding below EMA(20) since the rejection with RSI(14) near 40. In-line US CPI offered no fresh kiwi support, leaving the two-month low back in focus.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5807, 0.5833, 0.5848
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5778 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.5833 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, range-bound base · RSI 41 · price 0.57963
Lower highs, retesting range floor.
NZDUSD opened the week near 0.5866 and plunged to a two-month low at 0.5778 after the strong US NFP lifted the dollar to April highs. The rebound stalled inside a 0.5790-0.5826 range as RBNZ July-hike pricing offered support, with 0.5826 capping the latest push before price slid back to the range floor. Holding below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-40s, the recovery has lost momentum into the US data run.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.5848
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5778 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.5826 range top reopens the 0.5848 lower high
US PPI / jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg