Rally into NY faded, consolidating below session high.
Kiwi rallied through the NY session to a 0.5863 session high on soft US CPI/PPI keeping USD heavy, then faded to 0.5840. Price is now pinned in a tight 0.5848-0.5851 band through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) back to neutral and the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cluster holding as the pivot underneath.
Support: 0.5840, 0.5820, 0.5809
Resistance: 0.5851, 0.5863
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5840 sma cluster reopens 0.5820
Break above 0.5863 session high extends the leg toward 0.5892
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) and US Retail Sales Thu are the next catalysts
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled · RSI 48 · price 0.5848
Consolidation below session high.
NY hours pushed Kiwi to a session high of 0.5863 before it faded back to coil around 0.5848, sitting just above the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cluster the digest flags as pivotal. Price action has gone flat in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.5840, 0.58375, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58632 reopens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of the 0.5840 sma cluster exposes 0.5800
Liquidity remains thin in Asia hours; ranges may expand on London open
23:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.58474
Rally to session high then consolidation above SMA cluster.
NY session drove NZDUSD to a 0.58632 session high before stalling, with a soft US CPI/PPI backdrop keeping USD heavy. Asia session has drifted back to 0.58474 on thin volume, holding above the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cluster; RSI cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58515, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5845 SMA cluster shifts the read toward the 0.58375 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58515 minor high reopens the 0.58632 session high
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this pair
Kiwi rallied through the NY session to a 0.58632 high on a soft-USD tape after the CPI/PPI misses, then rejected and pulled back into a 0.5842-0.5851 range. Price sits at 0.5847 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58515, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58632 reopens the path higher toward the 0.5840-0.5845 daily SMA cluster break
Failure to hold 0.58375 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.5820
Thin volume into Asia hours limits reliability of intraday levels
NY session lifted NZD from the 0.5820 range up to 0.5863 on soft US CPI/PPI keeping USD heavy, stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cluster from below. Asia has drifted back to the cluster, now consolidating around 0.5849 on thin volume with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 0.5843, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.5863
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.5843 sma cluster reopens the 0.5820 prior range
M15 close above 0.5863 extends the NY rally
US Retail Sales (16 Jul, 12:30 UTC) is the next USD-leg catalyst
NZD rallied through the NY session to a day high at 0.58632 on soft US CPI/PPI keeping the USD heavy, then faded to consolidate around 0.5850. Thin Asian-session tape now, RSI(14) neutral near 52; a sweep of the 0.58375 low was quickly bought back.
Support: 0.5842, 0.58375
Resistance: 0.58515, 0.58563, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58563 reopens the 0.58632 day high
Failure to hold 0.5842 exposes the 0.58375 sweep low
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could re-arm the USD leg and shift this read
23:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into SMA cluster · RSI 50 · price 0.58495
Pullback consolidation after impulsive leg up.
NZD ran ~55 pips through the NY session on the softer US CPI/PPI backdrop, peaking at 0.5863 before stalling at the 0.5840-45 SMA confluence. Now ranging 0.5842-0.5852 in thin, low-volume Asian hours with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.5842, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.5863, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5863 session high reopens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5842 exposes the 0.5820 prior range
US Retail Sales (16 Jul, 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst for this pair
Pullback after session-high rejection, holding above SMA cluster.
NY session drove a clean rally to a session high of 0.58632 before sellers capped it; RSI(14) has cooled to the low 50s. Thin Asia-session bars are consolidating around 0.5850, holding above the 0.5845 SMA cluster after retracing roughly half the impulse leg.
Support: 0.5842, 0.58375, 0.5845
Resistance: 0.58563, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58420 opens the asia low at 0.58375 and puts the sma cluster in play
Reclaim of 0.58563 reopens the session high at 0.58632
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the next major catalyst; nearer-term US Retail Sales could shift the USD leg
22:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 0.58499
Higher highs, pulling back from session high.
NZD broke through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cluster during NY hours and ran to a session high of 0.58632 on the softer US CPI/PPI USD backdrop, then eased back to 0.585 in thin late-session trade. Price is holding just above the reclaimed SMA cluster with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 0.5840, 0.58375
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.5840 keeps the breakout retest intact; a close back below reopens 0.58375
Close above 0.58632 session high exposes 0.5892
Thin liquidity into Asia hours may exaggerate moves
22:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 0.58517
Consolidation below session high.
NY session drove NZD to a session high 0.58632 on the softer US CPI/PPI theme, then pulled back and is drifting in thin Asia hours around 0.5850, holding above the 0.5840-0.5845 (200-DMA) confluence. RSI(14) mid-range near 54 after cooling from the run-up; volume has thinned sharply into the session transition.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58632 opens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence exposes 0.58375 then 0.5820
Volume is thin in Asia hours — moves may lack follow-through
22:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after session high · RSI 57 · price 0.58517
Higher highs into 0.5863, now consolidating.
NZD ground higher through the London-NY session on softer US CPI/PPI, tagging 0.58632 before rejecting and settling back near 0.585 into thin Asia-open liquidity. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs to mid-range; the 0.5840-45 confluence broken earlier now sits below as support.
Support: 0.58417, 0.5840
Resistance: 0.58563, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58632 session high opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5840 confluence negates the breakout back into the 0.5800-0.5845 band
Thin Asia-open liquidity can exaggerate moves on low volume
NZD pushed through the 0.5840-45 confluence during the session and peaked at 0.58632 on the softer US CPI/PPI backdrop, then eased back; buyers reappeared around 0.5842. Now hovering 0.58506 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.5842, 0.5840, 0.58375
Resistance: 0.5856, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5840 confluence reopens 0.5800
Reclaim of 0.58632 session high resumes the advance
Thin late-session liquidity is exaggerating micro-moves
NZD/USD pushed through the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence and tagged a session high at 0.58632 on the softer US CPI/PPI tape, then eased back to consolidate near 0.5850 on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the run; the break is holding but momentum has flattened above the 0.5840 pivot.
Support: 0.58428, 0.58375, 0.5840
Resistance: 0.5856, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58632 reopens continuation toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58375 negates the breakout and returns price into the 0.5840 confluence
Thin Asia volume leaves moves prone to reversal into London
Pullback from session high, holding above confluence.
Kiwi ran to a 0.58632 session high during NY hours before fading into thin overnight liquidity, now drifting at 0.58489. The 0.5840-0.5845 confluence has capped the pullback so far, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 0.5840, 0.58375, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5860
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58632 session high opens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of the 0.5840 confluence exposes 0.58375 swing low, then the 0.5800 range base
Volume is thin overnight; the read firms once London reopens
NZDUSD ran up through the NY session to a 0.58632 session high on the softer-USD tape, then faded on thin late-session/rollover volume back into the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 0.58375, 0.5820, 0.5809
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5860 reopens the 0.58632 session high
Failure to hold the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence exposes 0.5820 range base
Thin late-session liquidity can distort the current bars
NY rally faded off session high, holding confluence.
NY session drove NZDUSD up to a session high of 0.58632 on the soft-USD/hawkish-RBNZ tape, then faded into thin late-session bars back to the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence. RSI(14) has cooled to ~49 and price slipped below the EMA20; buyers so far defending the 0.5840 confluence.
Support: 0.5840, 0.58201, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5850, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58632 session high opens 0.5892
Loss of the 0.5840 confluence exposes 0.58201 then 0.5800
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves ahead of US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC)
21:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 51 · price 0.58453
Pullback from session high after HH run.
NZD ground higher through the session to a 0.58632 high before rejecting and pulling back to 0.58453 on very thin late-session volume, slipping under the EMA20. Move fits the hawkish-RBNZ/soft-US-CPI tape, but price is stalling around the 0.5840-45 confluence flagged in the macro read; RSI has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 0.58375, 0.5828, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58509, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58375 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 0.58509 reopens the 0.58632 session high
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst for this pair
NY session pushed NZD through the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence to a session high 0.58632, driven by a soft USD after the PPI miss. Price is now drifting back to retest 0.5845 in thin late-session flow, RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5860
What it said to watch
Holding above 0.5845 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below turns it into a false break
Loss of 0.58375 swing low confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5820
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could reprice the USD leg of this move
HH/HL rally stalling at 200-dma confluence, pulling back.
Kiwi ran up through the London-NY sessions on the soft US CPI/PPI dollar unwind, printing a session high at 0.58632 before rejecting and slipping back into the 0.5840-0.5845 (200/50-dma) confluence. Late-session pullback on thin volume has RSI(14) cooling back near 46 with price now below EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 0.5840, 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Hold of the 0.5840 confluence keeps the intraday HL chain intact
M15 close below 0.58375 opens the path back to the 0.5820 prior range
Fed's Musalem (23:30 UTC) could inject dollar volatility into the next bars
NY session drove NZD up to 0.58632 on the soft-USD tape after the June PPI miss, but the rally stalled at the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence and rolled back into a thin Asia open. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits right on that confluence, holding above the 0.58375 pullback low.
Support: 0.58375, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 confluence opens the 0.5892 path
Failure to hold 0.58375 targets the 0.5820 prior range
Fed's Musalem speaks 23:30 UTC — could shift the USD read
NY rally stalled below highs, consolidating into Asia open.
NY session drove NZD to a 0.58632 session high on the soft-USD tape after back-to-back CPI/PPI misses, but the rally stalled at the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence and rolled over. Price is now consolidating near 0.5848 into the Asia open with RSI cooling to ~52 and small, low-volume bars.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5842, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5860
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5845 confluence confirms rejection of the highs
Close above the 0.58632 session high reopens 0.5860+
Fed's Musalem (23:30 UTC) could shift the USD tape
NZD ran into session highs at 0.58632 through NY hours on the softer-USD tape, then pulled back to the 50% retrace near 0.58483. Now consolidating between the 0.58467 swing low and 0.58563 prior high, RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.58467, 0.58335, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.58563
What it said to watch
Close below 0.58467 opens the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence
Reclaim of 0.58632 needed to resume the leg higher
Fed's Musalem (23:30 UTC) could shift the USD tape
NY session drove NZDUSD up to a session high of 0.5863, clearing the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence as soft US PPI/CPI unwound Fed hike bets. Price then eased back to 0.5850 and is consolidating in thin late-session liquidity, RSI cooling toward neutral from overbought.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5840
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.5840 200-dma conf re-enters the 0.5800-0.5845 band
Close above 0.58632 session high opens the path to 0.5892
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session pushed through the 0.5840-45 confluence to a session high of 0.5863, then eased back to 0.5850 in thin late-session flow. RSI has cooled off the highs and price is now consolidating just under EMA20, holding the swing low at 0.58467.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5845 confluence keeps the breakout intact
Loss of 0.58467 swing low opens a retest of 0.5840
Fed's Musalem speaks ~23:30 UTC, could shift the USD tone
Breakout above 0.5840-45, now pulling back into it.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5840-45 (200-DMA) confluence, printing a session high at 0.58632 before easing back toward the broken level. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the pair holds above prior resistance, now retesting it from above.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845, 0.58323
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.5840-45 confluence back below 0.58450 invalidates the breakout retest
Close above 0.58632 session high reopens the path toward 0.5892
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the standing catalyst for the broader Kiwi read
NY session drove NZDUSD off the 0.5845 200-DMA confluence to a session high of 0.58632 before rejecting, price now consolidating near 0.5850 as the softer US CPI/PPI disinflation read keeps the dollar heavy. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and the last few bars are holding above the 0.58467 swing low.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845, 0.58335
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
close below 0.58467 swing low confirms a lower high off session high
reclaim of 0.58632 reopens the path higher
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could shift the dollar-side read
20:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 53 · price 0.58479
HH/HL chain, consolidating above breakout zone.
NZD pushed through the 0.5840-45 (50/200-DMA) confluence during NY, tagging a 0.58632 session high before easing back to 0.5848 as softer US PPI/CPI kept the dollar offered. RSI has cooled toward neutral and price is now consolidating just above the breakout zone in thin late-session trade.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58450 confluence puts the breakout back in question
Reclaim of 0.58632 session high reopens 0.5892
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
NZD pushed through the 0.5840-0.5845 (200-DMA) confluence during NY hours on the soft US PPI print, tagging a session high at 0.58632. Price has since eased back to retest the breakout level, holding above 0.58467 as RSI cools off the highs.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845, 0.58335
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5860
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5845 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below invalidates the retest
US Retail Sales Thu 16 Jul 12:30 UTC could shift this read
HH/HL, broke above 0.5845, pulling back to retest.
NZD broke above the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence during NY hours on soft US PPI, tagging a session high at 0.5863 before easing back to 0.5849. RSI(14) cooling from stretched, price now retesting the broken level from above.
Support: 0.5845, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.5845 confluence keeps the breakout intact; a close back below opens 0.5820
US Retail Sales Thu 16 Jul 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
HH/HL chain, pulling back after session-high push.
NY session broke above the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence and ran to a session high of 0.58632 as soft US PPI pressured the dollar. Price has since faded to 0.5849 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s toward 56; the broken confluence is being retested as support.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5844, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5844 negates the breakout and puts 0.5800 in play
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the key upside catalyst — could reshape this read
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could inject fresh USD volatility
19:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.5848
HH/HL chain into pullback off session high.
NZDUSD pushed through the 0.5840-0.5845 200-DMA confluence into NY hours and peaked at the 0.58632 session high before fading to 0.5848 as RSI(14) cooled from overbought. The prior resistance band now sits as support; buyers absorbed the first dip into 0.58467.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5840, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58573, 0.58632
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 0.5840 200-dma would negate the breakout
Failure to reclaim 0.58573 prior high keeps the pullback in play
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could reset this read
Breakout above 0.5845, now retesting from session high.
NY session drove NZDUSD above the 0.5840-0.5845 (200-DMA) confluence to a session high at 0.58632, the move fed by soft US PPI extending the dovish USD repricing. Price is now retracing to 0.5848 with RSI(14) easing off its highs; the 0.5845 breakout shelf is the first retest.
Support: 0.58467, 0.5845, 0.58335
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.58582
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.58450 negates the breakout and reopens 0.58335
Reclaim of 0.58582 puts the 0.58632 session high back in play
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 64 · price 0.58525
Higher highs above broken resistance.
NY session drove NZDUSD through the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence (prior resistance) and printed a session high at 0.58632, with the soft US PPI miss keeping the dollar heavy. Price is now easing back to 0.58525, holding the 0.58513 pullback low; RSI(14) cooling from the rally near 63.
Support: 0.58513, 0.5845, 0.58342
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.58450 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below turns it into a failed break
Reclaim of 0.58632 reopens the session high
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next dollar catalyst that could shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NZD extended higher through the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence during NY hours as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, tagging a session high at 0.58632 before easing to 0.5852. Structure is a clean chain of higher highs, now consolidating just under the high with RSI cooling off.
Support: 0.58513, 0.5845, 0.5840
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5856
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58513 pullback low would break the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 0.58632 reopens the path higher toward 0.5892
Fed's Musalem remarks later today could shift the USD tone
19:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 70 · price 0.58555
Higher highs, fresh breakout.
NY session pushed a clean breakout above the 0.5840-45 confluence, price tagging 0.58632 as a soft US PPI miss weighed on the dollar. RSI(14) near 70 and cooling into the late pullback to 0.58513; breakout base at 0.5845 now the reference support.
Support: 0.58513, 0.5845
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58513 and a slip back under 0.5845 confluence would negate the breakout
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the primary catalyst for the next directional leg
Break of 0.58632 opens the path toward 0.5892
19:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 67 · price 0.58555
HH/HL breakout above confluence.
NZDUSD broke the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence during NY hours and ran to a session high of 0.58632, helped by a soft USD after back-to-back CPI/PPI misses. Price has since eased to 0.58555 with RSI(14) cooling from hot levels; the breakout zone at 0.5845 now sits as first reference below.
Support: 0.58513, 0.5845, 0.5840
Resistance: 0.58632, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58632 opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5845 negates the breakout
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove NZDUSD through the 0.5840 SMA confluence to a session high of 0.58632 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy, before rejecting and easing back to 0.5852. Uptrend intact but momentum is cooling on the pullback, RSI(14) rolling off from stretched levels.
Support: 0.58506, 0.5840, 0.58323
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58400 breakout level would negate the intraday breakout read
Reclaim of 0.58632 session high reopens the 0.5892 target zone
US Retail Sales (16 Jul) and looming NZ Q2 CPI (20 Jul) are binary catalysts that can reset this structure
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 63 · price 0.58523
Higher highs/higher lows, breakout above SMA confluence.
NY session pushed NZDUSD through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence to a session high at 0.5863, riding broad USD softness after the soft US PPI print. Price has since eased to 0.5852 in a shallow pullback, holding above the broken confluence which is now acting as support.
Support: 0.5845, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.5863
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5845 puts the breakout retest at risk and reopens 0.5820
Sustained hold above 0.5845 keeps the session high at 0.5863 in play
Fed's Musalem (~23:30 UTC) could shift the USD leg near-term
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, extending to a session high of 0.58632 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; price cooling into the last bars just below the high.
Support: 0.58455, 0.5840, 0.58201
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Pullback under 0.58455 breakout base would question the breakout and re-open the 0.5840 zone
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg of this move
18:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.58562
Breakout above 0.5845 confluence, HH/HL intact.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5840-45 SMA confluence, extending to a session high at 0.58632 as the soft US PPI print kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal in this leg; last bar cooled off the high on thin volume.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58335, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58632
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5845 keeps the breakout intact
M15 close back below 0.5845 reopens 0.5820 prior range
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakout from intraday range, printing higher highs.
NZDUSD broke out of the 0.5820-0.5835 NY range and ran to a session high 0.58624, clearing the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence as soft US CPI and PPI misses kept the USD on the back foot. RSI(14) near 78 shows momentum stretched but not yet extreme; the prior confluence at 0.5845 now flips to first support.
Support: 0.58455, 0.58335, 0.5820
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58455 breakout base would negate the breakout and put 0.5820 range top back in play
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next binary for the USD leg of this move
NZDUSD accelerated through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence during late NY hours and printed a fresh session high at 0.5862, RSI(14) hot near 79 as soft US PPI kept the dollar pinned. The advance is now stretched above prior structure with 0.5892 the next reference overhead.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58335, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5845 back inside the broken confluence would neutralise the breakout
RSI above 79 flags an extended move prone to a pullback into 0.58335
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
NZD accelerated through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence during NY hours, printing a fresh session high at 0.58602 on broad USD softness after the weak US PPI print. RSI(14) is hot near 76 and price sits at the top of the intraday range with the breakout level at 0.5845 untested.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58335, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58602
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.58450 negates the breakout and reopens 0.58335
Failure to hold above 0.58335 breaks the rising-low chain
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this move
NY session ripped higher, clearing the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence as soft US PPI kept the dollar pinned, printing a session high at 0.58602 with RSI(14) hot near 79. Uptrend intact on a clean HH/HL chain; the breakout level at 0.5845 is the first area to watch on any pullback.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58335, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58602, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58450 puts the breakout retest into play
A close above 0.58602 extends toward the 0.5892 target
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg
Breakout above SMA confluence, fresh session highs.
Kiwi broke the 0.5840-0.5845 50-/200-day SMA confluence during the NY session and printed fresh session highs at 0.58584, riding broad USD softness after the soft US PPI. RSI(14) near 79 is hot but expected in an impulsive leg; the broken confluence now sits as first support.
Support: 0.5845, 0.58335, 0.58201
Resistance: 0.58584, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.5845 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below negates it
Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg driving this move
0.5892 is the next area to watch for rejection or continuation
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, printing a session high at 0.58584 as soft US PPI/CPI kept the USD offered. RSI(14) near 79 — hot but not extreme; last bar stalled into 0.58584 on thin volume.
Support: 0.5845, 0.5828, 0.58168
Resistance: 0.58584
What it said to watch
Pullback into 0.5845 would test the breakout as new support (retest)
M15 close back below 0.5828 negates the breakout read
US Retail Sales Thursday 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
NZDUSD pushed through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence in the NY session, printing a session high of 0.5856 before easing to 0.58535 on the final bar. RSI(14) is hot near 78 after the impulsive leg; the reclaimed 0.5845 confluence is now the first support to watch on a retest.
Support: 0.5845, 0.5828
Resistance: 0.5856
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5845 negates the breakout read and returns price into the prior range
Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift near-term USD tone
17:47 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 78 · price 0.58535
Chain of higher highs, fresh breakout.
NY session pushed NZDUSD through the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, with the last two bars accelerating to a session high at 0.5856 as soft US CPI/PPI keep the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 78 flags the move as short-term stretched, but structure is a clean higher-high chain and the broken confluence now sits as the first support shelf below.
Support: 0.5845, 0.5833, 0.5813
Resistance: 0.5856, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5845 would put the breakout back inside range and expose 0.5833
Sustained hold above 0.5856 opens the path to 0.5892
NZ Q2 CPI (20 Jul) is the binary catalyst that could reset this read
17:32 UTC
Uptrend, extending into session high · RSI 71 · price 0.5848
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 0.5840-45 50/200-day SMA confluence to print a session high at 0.5848, with USD softness after this week's miss on US CPI/PPI the backdrop. RSI(14) is hot near 71 but that is normal in an extended trend; the prior confluence around 0.5844 now sits as first support.
Support: 0.5844, 0.58335, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58481, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 0.5844 puts the sma retest back in play toward 0.582
A push above 0.58481 opens the path to 0.5892
NZ Q2 CPI on 20 Jul is the binary catalyst that could reprice this move
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.5840-45 SMA confluence and printing a session high at 0.5848 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 75 flags the leg as extended, though structure remains a clean higher-high, higher-low chain.
Support: 0.58335, 0.5820, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5850, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.58335 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and opens 0.582
Sustained hold above 0.5850 psych keeps the 0.5892 breakout target in play
US Retail Sales Thursday 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
17:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 66 · price 0.5841
Higher highs / higher lows, capped at confluence.
NY session extended the intraday uptrend, price grinding higher into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence flagged in the digest, with the 0.58423 session high just above. RSI(14) hot near 66 but not extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.5834 on the way up.
Support: 0.58335, 0.58201, 0.58118
Resistance: 0.58423, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.5845 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of 0.58335 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
NZ Q2 CPI on 20 Jul is the decisive catalyst beyond this window
17:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.5841
HH/HL chain grinding into SMA confluence.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above 0.5820 and printing a session high at 0.58423 as the USD stayed soft after the June CPI/PPI misses. Price is now stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence with RSI(14) near 63, momentum intact but cooling.
Support: 0.58335, 0.58129, 0.5810
Resistance: 0.58423, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 confluence exposes 0.5892
Loss of 0.58335 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
NZ Q2 CPI (20 Jul) is the decisive catalyst beyond this window
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 61 · price 0.58394
Higher highs into session top, coiling below 0.5842.
NY session drove NZDUSD to a session high of 0.58417 before stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, with RSI(14) cooling off from the push. Price is coiling just below the high near 0.5839 after buyers defended the 0.58335 swing low; the Kiwi remains firm on hawkish RBNZ repricing and a softer USD following weak US CPI/PPI.
Support: 0.58335, 0.58201, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 confluence opens the path to 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58335 swing low signals a lower-low and exposes 0.58201
US Retail Sales and Beige Book could shift USD tone within the session
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into confluence · RSI 61 · price 0.58394
Higher highs and higher lows, capped below 0.5842.
NY session drove Kiwi up to a session high of 0.58417, running into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence and now consolidating just under it, RSI(14) around 61 and cooling from the push. Buyers stepped in at 0.58335 on the last pullback; the rising sequence of higher lows remains intact.
Support: 0.58335, 0.58264, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 clears the SMA confluence and opens 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58335 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.58264/0.58200
16:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing into session high · RSI 62 · price 0.58343
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling near 0.5842.
NY session pushed NZDUSD out of the 0.5817-0.5825 range up to a session high at 0.58417, extending after soft US PPI weighed on the USD. Price is now consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; buyers defended the 0.58335 pullback on the last dip.
Support: 0.58335, 0.58264, 0.5820
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.58445
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.58417 exposes the 0.5842-0.5845 sma zone
Loss of 0.58264 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
20 Jul NZ Q2 CPI is the decisive catalyst but sits outside this window
NY session drove NZDUSD to a session high of 0.58417 before stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, helped by USD softness after weak US PPI. Price has eased to 0.58343 with RSI cooling from the highs; the intraday uptrend structure holds while 0.58280 is respected.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5817
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5844
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58440 confluence opens the path to 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58280 confirms a lower high and exposes 0.58170
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 63 · price 0.58388
Higher highs/higher lows, testing session top.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 0.58288 up to a 0.58417 session high on a soft US CPI/PPI backdrop, with the kiwi now grinding into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence. RSI(14) near 63 and the last few bars flattening just under the high show momentum easing at resistance.
Support: 0.58288, 0.5820, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58450 opens the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence breakout toward 0.5892
Loss of 0.58288 breakout level reopens 0.58200/0.58129
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.58388
Higher highs, higher lows into SMA confluence.
NY session drove a steady uptrend from 0.58180 into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, printing a session high at 0.58417 on broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI prints. Move is stalling just under that hurdle with RSI mid-60s, not yet extreme.
Support: 0.5829, 0.5818, 0.58118
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.5845 SMA confluence opens 0.5892
Loss of the 0.58290 breakout level exposes 0.58180 then 0.58118
16:17 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 66 · price 0.58381
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling at session high.
NY session drove a steady climb off 0.58170, breaking the earlier 0.5820 consolidation as soft US PPI weighed on the USD. Advance is now stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence with the session high at 0.58417 capping, RSI(14) cooling near 66.
Support: 0.58323, 0.5821, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58450 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58323 threatens a pullback to the 0.5820 prior range
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling into session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 0.58200 base to a session high at 0.58417, NZD lifted as soft US PPI added to CPI-driven USD weakness. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme — and the advance is stalling just under the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58417 exposes the 0.58450 sma confluence
Failure to hold 0.58280 breaks the rising higher-low structure
Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
NY session drove NZDUSD off the 0.5820 shelf into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence after soft US PPI pressured the dollar. Price is stalling at the 0.58417 session high with RSI(14) hot near 71; buyers held the 0.58201 swing low through the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.5828, 0.58201, 0.58091
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 sma confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of the 0.58280 breakout base signals the leg is fading
US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset the USD leg of this move
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 0.58383
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
NY session drove NZDUSD off the 0.58280 breakout into a fresh session high at 0.58417, USD soft after the June PPI miss. RSI(14) near 68, elevated but not extreme, as price stalls just under the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence flagged as the key hurdle.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.58450 sma conflux opens 0.5892
Loss of 0.58280 breakout base breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 68 · price 0.58396
HH/HL chain, NY breakout above range.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5820 range top, extending to a 0.58417 session high after the soft US PPI print weighed on the USD. Advance now stalling into the 0.5842-0.5845 SMA confluence with RSI(14) hot near 68 but short of extreme.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5828 breakout puts the 0.5820 range top back in play
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 71 · price 0.58396
HH/HL chain, NY breakout.
NY session drove NZDUSD up from ~0.5820 to a session high 0.58417, stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence as soft US PPI kept the USD offered. RSI(14) near 71 and price extended above EMA20/50 — short-term hot but consistent with the intraday trend.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58118
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845, 0.5892
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58450 sma zone opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58200 prior range breaks the HL chain
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
15:32 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 71 · price 0.58399
Higher highs after range break above 0.5820.
NY session broke above the 0.5820 range top and extended to 0.58417, stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence flagged in the digest after soft US CPI/PPI pressured the dollar. RSI(14) near 70 as the leg matures; buyers stepped in on each pullback around 0.5828 through the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.58118
Resistance: 0.5842, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.5840-0.5845 confluence keeps price capped; a close above opens 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58280 breaks the higher-low chain and eyes the 0.5820 range top
US Retail Sales tomorrow could shift the USD leg of this move
15:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 71 · price 0.58399
Chain of higher highs/lows into 0.5840.
NZDUSD ground higher through NY hours, breaking the 0.5820 range and pushing into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence as soft US CPI/PPI weighed on the dollar. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum hot but not extreme; the session high at 0.58417 is the immediate hurdle.
Support: 0.58264, 0.58129, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58417, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.5845 sma confluence opens 0.5892
Loss of 0.58264 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, NY session momentum · RSI 66 · price 0.58328
HH/HL chain, stalling below confluence.
NZDUSD broke its intraday range into the NY session, rallying from 0.5814 to a session high of 0.58389 as the dollar stayed soft after cool US PPI. Price is stalling just under the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.5827, 0.58201, 0.5814
Resistance: 0.58389, 0.5842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5840 confluence opens the path to 0.5892
Failure to hold the 0.58201 breakout base returns price into the 0.5814 range
US Retail Sales (16 Jul 12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg
Higher highs into session high, stalling near SMA confluence.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 0.5820 range, extending to a 0.5839 session high as soft US PPI kept the USD offered. Price stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence with RSI(14) elevated near 66; the 0.5828 breakout base has held on the pullback.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.5813
Resistance: 0.5839, 0.5844
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5844 sma confl opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold the 0.5828 breakout base exposes 0.5820 and the 0.5813 swing low
15:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 72 · price 0.58368
Breakout above range top, higher highs into SMA confluence.
NY session broke the day's 0.5810–0.5820 range around 12:30 UTC and ran into the 0.5840–0.5845 SMA confluence, with the soft US CPI/PPI prints keeping the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with a fresh trend leg; price is pressing the session high at 0.58389.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5820, 0.58118
Resistance: 0.58389, 0.58425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold the 0.5828 breakout returns price into the 0.5820 range top
NY session broke above the 0.5820 range top and pushed to a session high at 0.58389, RSI(14) running hot near 73 on a soft-USD tape after cool US PPI. Advance now stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence flagged as the key hurdle.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5818, 0.5810
Resistance: 0.58389, 0.5843
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5845 opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure back below the 0.58280 breakout level negates the range break
RSI above 73 with no fresh high would flag momentum divergence
14:47 UTC
Uptrend, breakout in progress · RSI 72 · price 0.58359
Range break to fresh session highs.
NZDUSD broke the 0.5808-0.5825 range that capped most of the window, pushing into fresh session highs at 0.5836 as the USD stayed offered after soft US PPI. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum hot but not extreme; price now presses the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5808
Resistance: 0.5845, 0.58361
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5845 sma confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5820 breakout reverts price into the prior range
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg materially
NZDUSD broke the 0.5810-0.5825 range during NY hours and pushed to fresh session highs at 0.5836, RSI(14) around 71 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price is now stalling into the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence, the ceiling flagged in the multi-week read.
Support: 0.5828, 0.5817, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5840, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.58400 confluence opens the path toward 0.58450
Loss of 0.58280 breakout level would signal the range break is fading back into 0.5817
14:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.58333
Higher highs, breakout from intraday range.
NY session pushed NZDUSD out of the 0.5810-0.5825 intraday range, printing a session high at 0.58357 as soft US PPI kept the dollar under pressure. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme; price now stalling just below the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5812
Resistance: 0.58357, 0.5842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5840-0.5845 sma conf opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold the 0.58200 retest returns price into the prior range
USD reaction to Warsh testimony could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 68 · price 0.58333
Higher highs after range break above 0.5820.
Kiwi spent most of the window ranging 0.5810-0.5825, then broke higher into the NY session, printing a session high at 0.58357 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; the prior 0.5820 range top now acts as the breakout reference, with the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence overhead.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5813, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58357, 0.5840
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.58200 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Sustained push above 0.58357 exposes the 0.5840 sma confluence
Loss of 0.58130 swing low would confirm a lower-low
NZDUSD broke out of the 0.5810-0.5825 consolidation during NY hours, printing a session high at 0.58347 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; the 0.58200 breakout base is now the immediate reference below price.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58118, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58200 breakout base would invalidate the breakout read
Push through 0.58347 session high opens the 0.5840-0.5845 sma confluence
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
14:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 66 · price 0.58323
Session-high break, higher highs.
NZDUSD broke the 0.5818-0.5822 range into the NY session, printing a session high at 0.58347 as the dollar softened after the weak US PPI print. RSI(14) at ~66 is hot but short of extreme; price holding above the 0.58201 breakout level with buyers defending each dip.
Support: 0.5826, 0.58201, 0.5814
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5845
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.58201 negates the breakout and re-opens the range
Sustained push above 0.58347 exposes the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA confluence
Fed's Warsh testimony could shift USD tone this session
14:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 67 · price 0.58298
Range break, higher highs on NY leg.
NY session broke the day's 0.5820 range top to a session high of 0.58347 as the USD sank on soft PPI and into Warsh testimony. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extended; price stalling just under the 0.5840-0.5845 SMA cap.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5813, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58420 sma cap opens path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.58200 range top signals a false break back into the day's range
Warsh testimony fallout could shift USD leg materially in the next bars
14:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 66 · price 0.58298
Range break to the upside, new session high.
NY session broke above the 0.5825 range top after soft US PPI, printing a session high at 0.58347 before easing to 0.58298. Move sits below the 0.5840 daily SMA confluence with RSI(14) hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.5825, 0.58168, 0.58091
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5840
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5825 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
13:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 63 · price 0.58288
Breakout from intraday range, consolidating at highs.
NY session broke above the 0.58200 congestion to a fresh session high at 0.58347 as soft US PPI extended the dollar's slide. Price is now consolidating around 0.58290 just below the 0.5840 confluence, RSI(14) cooling from the push near 63.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58168, 0.58129
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5840
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58400 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Loss of 0.58200 breakout retest negates the intraday break
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the dominant catalyst ahead
13:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 65 · price 0.58288
Range break to the upside, holding gains.
NY session broke the 0.5808-0.5824 range to the upside on soft US PPI, printing a session high at 0.58347 before easing back to 0.5828. RSI(14) around 65, cooling off the impulse; prior range top at 0.5820 now the first line of support.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5808
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5840
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.5840 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5820 puts price back inside the prior range
13:32 UTC
Uptrend, breakout leg cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.58272
Range break to fresh session high, first pullback.
NY session broke the 0.5810-0.5825 range, printing a near one-month high at 0.58347 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the USD offered. Price has pulled back to 0.5827, holding above the 0.5820 breakout level with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5812, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5820 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it puts the prior range back in play
Close above the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg of this read
NY session drove NZDUSD to a session high of 0.58347 after soft US PPI extended the USD selloff; RSI(14) cooling from the push as price consolidates around 0.5827. Prior range top near 0.5820 flipped to support, with the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence the next hurdle overhead.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5815
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5842 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Failure to hold 0.5820 range top negates the breakout back into the prior 0.5808-0.5825 range
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the dominant near-term catalyst for the Kiwi
NY session broke NZDUSD out of the 0.5810-0.5820 consolidation to a near one-month high at 0.58347, extending the USD sell-off after soft US PPI. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but not extreme; price is holding above the 0.5820 breakout base.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
A pullback holding 0.58200 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it re-enters the range
Break of the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone in the next bars
NZDUSD broke out of the 0.58120-0.58230 intraday range into the NY session, tagging a session high 0.58347 as soft US PPI extended USD weakness. Price has since eased back to 0.58292; the prior range top near 0.58200 now flips to support with RSI(14) at 66, hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5812, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58347, 0.5842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58347 opens the 0.5840-45 confluence
Failure to hold 0.58200 puts price back inside the prior range
NZ CPI (20 Jul) is the dominant near-term catalyst for the Kiwi
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 0.58312
Range break to session high.
NY session broke above the 0.5820 intraday range top to a fresh session high at 0.5833, extending the USD sell-off after the soft US PPI print. RSI(14) is hot near 71 into the move, with the prior 0.5820 range top now the pivot to watch.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58129, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58326, 0.5840
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5820 keeps the breakout intact; loss back below reverts to range
0.5840-0.5845 confluence is the next hurdle overhead
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg quickly
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.58312
Breakout above day's consolidation top.
NY session broke the day's 0.58080-0.58250 consolidation, pushing to a fresh session high at 0.58326 as broad USD selling extended after the soft US PPI print. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; 0.58200 is the immediate retest zone.
Support: 0.5820, 0.58129, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58326, 0.5842
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.58200 retest keeps the breakout intact; loss of it negates the move
Close above 0.58326 opens the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg within the next hour
12:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 68 · price 0.58284
Range break to the upside.
NZDUSD spiked to a fresh session high at 0.5829 on the 12:30 UTC US PPI batch, breaking the 0.5810–0.5826 range that held through the London session as USD stayed on the back foot post-CPI. RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme; price is pinned at the session high with the breakout level at 0.5820 now the pivot.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5814, 0.5810
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5829 opens the path to the 0.5834 upside area
Failure to hold 0.5820 breakout returns price into the prior range
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reshape the USD read
12:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 0.58284
Range break to session high.
Price coiled inside a 0.5810-0.5825 band through Asia and London before the last two bars broke the range top and spiked to a session high at 0.58292 on the softer US CPI USD drift. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme, with the old range top around 0.5820 now the first support.
Support: 0.5820, 0.5810, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58292, 0.5840
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58200 range top would negate the breakout back into the prior band
A close above the 0.5840 confluence opens the path toward 0.5892
NZ 2Q CPI (20 Jul) is the dominant near-term catalyst for the Kiwi
NZDUSD is grinding along the top of a 0.5800-0.5826 range, holding a near one-month high after softer US June CPI pressured the dollar. The latest bar poked to 0.58255 with RSI near 61 — no extreme, and price sits above both EMAs.
Support: 0.5817, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5840
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5826 opens the 0.5840-45 confluence
Loss of 0.5800 pivot breaks the range floor
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
12:32 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 0.5823
Consolidation between 0.5800 and 0.5825.
NZDUSD has ground sideways in a 0.5800–0.5825 band through the Asia and London sessions, holding above 0.5800 after the soft US CPI-led USD slide. Price nudged up to 0.5823 into the NY open with RSI mid-range; session high at 0.58255 still caps.
Support: 0.58125, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58333
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58255 session high opens 0.58333 prior high
Loss of 0.5800 pivot exposes downside below the range
NZ 2Q CPI (21 Jul) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
12:17 UTC
Sideways, low momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.58185
Range, holding above 0.5800.
NZDUSD is grinding a tight 0.5800-0.5826 range through the Asian and European sessions, RSI(14) flat near 52, with the Kiwi still firm above 0.5800 after the soft US CPI print pressured the dollar. The 0.5840-45 confluence overhead remains the untested breakout hurdle; price sits mid-range at 0.5818 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.5800, 0.58043, 0.57999
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5826 range top exposes the 0.5840-45 confluence
Failure to hold 0.5800 psych opens the 0.5770 area
US PPI / Warsh testimony can jolt USD and break this range
12:17 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.58185
Range-bound around 0.5810-0.5825.
NZDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.5800-0.5825 band through the London-NY hours, holding a near one-month high after softer US June CPI pressured the dollar. Price dipped to 0.5800 mid-window and buyers stepped back in, but momentum is flat with RSI near 52 and ATR under 8 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57999
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412, 0.5842
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5825 session high opens the 0.5840 confluence, and a break there the path to 0.5892
Loss of the 0.5800 pivot exposes 0.5700
US PPI batch and Warsh testimony could inject volatility into this range
12:03 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.58206
Tight range under session highs.
NZDUSD is consolidating in a tight 0.5813-0.5825 band through the London-NY transition, holding above 0.5800 after the soft US CPI print weighed on the dollar. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5813, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.58255 opens the path to the 0.5841 day high
Break below 0.5800 psych opens the 0.5770s
12:03 UTC
Sideways, firm bias · RSI 55 · price 0.58206
Range after opening spike.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 at the open then settled into a tight 0.5808-0.5825 range through the NY session, now sitting on the 50% retrace of that move near 0.58200. Softer US CPI keeps the Kiwi supported but momentum has flattened well below the 0.5840-45 200-DMA confluence; RSI(14) neutral, no setup in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800, 0.57981
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 session high reopens the 0.5840 area
Loss of 0.58080 exposes the 0.5800 round number
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break the range
11:47 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.58183
Range-bound below spike high.
NZDUSD ranging 0.5810-0.5826 through the session after the early London spike to 0.5841 was rejected, RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR just ~5 pips. USD stays soft after the CPI miss but the Kiwi has stalled short of the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path back toward the 0.5840-0.5845 confluence
Failure to hold 0.58100 opens 0.58000
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:47 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.58183
Range-bound after early spike.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 early in the window on soft US CPI-driven USD weakness, then settled into a tight 0.5808-0.5825 range for the rest of the session. Price sits mid-range at 0.58183 with RSI flat near 53 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412, 0.5845
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range top reopens the 0.5840-0.5845 200-dma confluence
Loss of 0.5808 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range
11:32 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.58182
Intraday range, mid-range.
NZDUSD is churning in a 0.58129–0.58243 range through the London-NY session, price back at 0.5818 with RSI(14) flat near 50. The 0.58412 spike high from yesterday's CPI reaction remains the ceiling; nothing structural in play right now.
Support: 0.58129, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58243, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (within the hour) could break this range either way
M15 close above 0.58243 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58129 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
11:32 UTC
Rangebound, no direction · RSI 51 · price 0.58182
Consolidation between 0.5810 and 0.5824.
After an early spike to 0.58412 the pair unwound and has spent the London session grinding in a tight 0.5810–0.5824 band, RSI(14) flat near 51. No setup in play with price sitting mid-range at 0.5818 ahead of US PPI.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
M15 close above 0.5824 range top opens the path back to 0.58412 spike high
M15 close below 0.5810 range low exposes the 0.5800 psych level
11:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 0.58206
Consolidation between 0.5810 and 0.5825 after early spike.
NZDUSD is chopping around 0.5820 after an early spike to 0.58412 faded back into the 0.5810–0.5825 band; kiwi stays bid on the soft US CPI print. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed at ~5 pips — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.58118, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 0.5810–0.5825 range
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58118 exposes 0.58043 swing low
11:17 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 55 · price 0.58206
Ranging below session high.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 early in the window then settled into a tight 0.5813–0.5825 range for the last ~18 hours, kiwi held firm on soft US CPI and hawkish RBNZ repricing. Price at 0.58206 sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 55; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.58129, 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) could break the 0.5813–0.5825 range
M15 close above 0.58253 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58129 exposes the 0.58043 swing low
11:03 UTC
Sideways after early spike faded · RSI 51 · price 0.58188
Range-bound around 0.5818 pivot.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 early in the window then faded, and has since coiled in a tight 0.5807–0.5825 range with RSI neutral near 51. Kiwi stays firm sub-0.5825 on hawkish RBNZ repricing and the soft US CPI, but the intraday move is directionless ahead of US PPI.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range and reset this read
Close above 0.5825 swing high opens the path toward the 0.5834 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5807 range low exposes 0.5800 round number
11:03 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.58188
Range between 0.5807 and 0.5825 after early spike rejection.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 around yesterday's US data before rejecting back, and has chopped inside 0.5807-0.5825 since. Price sits mid-range near 0.58188 with RSI(14) neutral around 54 and ATR compressed near 4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5807 exposes the 0.5800 round number
10:47 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.58173
Range-bound after early spike faded.
NZDUSD is ranging 0.5805–0.5825 after the early spike to 0.58412 was rejected and faded back into the box during London. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and price is pinned around its EMAs — no setup in play. US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 0.58118, 0.5805
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range top opens the path back toward the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5805 range low exposes lower
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:47 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.58173
Range-bound after early spike.
NZDUSD is consolidating in the London session between 0.58091 and 0.58256 after an early spike to 0.58412 was faded. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, so intraday chop dominates ahead of US PPI.
Support: 0.58091, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 opens the path back toward the 0.58412 spike high
Close below 0.58091 exposes the 0.58000 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range and materially shift this read
10:32 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 49 · price 0.58147
Range holding above 0.5800.
NZD firm above 0.5800 but rangebound 0.5808–0.5825 for most of the session after an early spike to 0.5841 was rejected and faded. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips; no intraday setup in play as price idles below its EMAs into the US PPI print.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5834
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range and reshape this read
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path to the 0.5834 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5808 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
10:32 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 46 · price 0.58147
Range, holding above 0.5809 floor.
NZDUSD swept to a 0.58412 session high early in the window then rotated back into a tight 0.5809–0.5825 range, pinned around the 0.5817 mid. RSI(14) neutral near 46, price hugging EMA20/50 with no directional impulse; kiwi holding one-month highs on soft-US-CPI/hawkish-RBNZ repricing.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) can force a break of this range
M15 close above 0.5825 range top reopens the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5809 floor exposes 0.5800 psych
10:17 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 53 · price 0.58191
Range-bound above 0.5800 pivot.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 during the prior session then settled into a tight 0.5805–0.5826 range, holding above the 0.5800 pivot through Asia and into London. RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional structure in play ahead of US PPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 session high opens the path to 0.5834
Loss of the 0.5800 pivot exposes 0.5805 session low then lower
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range
10:17 UTC
Sideways after early spike · RSI 53 · price 0.58191
Range-bound mid-session.
NZDUSD spiked to a 0.58412 session high early in the window then settled into a 0.58065-0.58255 range, kiwi bid on hawkish RBNZ repricing plus the soft US CPI. Price sits mid-range near 0.58191 with RSI(14) neutral; no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.58065, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.58255 range top opens the path back to the 0.58412 session high
Loss of the 0.58065 range floor exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:03 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.58167
Range after spike fade.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 during early London on the soft US CPI-driven USD unwind, then faded and has ranged roughly 0.58080–0.58253 through the session. Price sits mid-range at 0.58167, RSI(14) flat near 49 — no setup in play. The 0.58253 swing high has capped repeated tests while the 0.58080 swing low holds.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58253 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58080 exposes the 0.58000 round number
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 early in the window on softer US CPI follow-through, then settled into a tight 0.58080–0.58243 range through the London session. Price is mid-range near 0.58167 with RSI(14) neutral around 48; no directional break in play.
Support: 0.58118, 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58243, 0.58412, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58243 reopens the 0.58340 SMA cluster
Loss of 0.58080 exposes the 0.58000 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h out) could break this range
NZDUSD is pinned in a tight 0.5808–0.5825 band through the London session after the sharp spike to 0.5841 on softer US CPI repricing. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed to ~5 pips; the range top has been tested repeatedly without a clean break.
Support: 0.5808, 0.57949
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5834, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the 0.5834 sma cluster
Break below 0.5808 range floor exposes 0.5795 swing low
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break the range
Kiwi has churned between 0.5809 and 0.5826 since yesterday's soft US CPI spike to 0.58412, now sitting at 0.58202 in the upper half of the range with RSI neutral. No clean intraday setup — price is consolidating into the US PPI risk.
Support: 0.58091, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 cpi spike high
NZD sits firm near one-month highs, kiwi bid on hawkish RBNZ repricing plus the soft US CPI. M15 has been consolidating in a tight 0.5809-0.5825 band since the earlier spike to 0.58412 faded; price now grinding the top of that range around 0.5820 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.58118, 0.58091, 0.58044
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 session high reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58091 range low signals a downside break of the consolidation
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm USD and cap the range
09:32 UTC
Sideways after early spike faded · RSI 56 · price 0.58204
Range 0.5805-0.5825 following spike rejection.
NZDUSD is grinding a tight range between 0.5805 and 0.5825 during the London session after an early spike to 0.58412 was rejected and faded back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 56 and ATR is compressed around 5 pips; kiwi stays bid on the softer US CPI repricing but is stalling under the SMA cluster.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5834
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5825 session high opens the path to 0.5834 sma cluster
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.5805 range low exposes the 0.5800 pivot
09:17 UTC
Sideways after CPI-driven pop · RSI 58 · price 0.58207
Range-bound in upper half, holding above 0.5808.
Kiwi popped on the soft US CPI print earlier in the window (spike to 0.58412) then settled into a 0.5808-0.5825 range, now grinding the upper half at 0.58207. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme; buyers repeatedly defended 0.5808 through NY hours.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800, 0.57999
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 session high opens the path to 0.5834
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could re-arm USD and cap the range
Failure to hold 0.5808 exposes the 0.58 psych level
NZD/USD is grinding sideways in a tight 0.5810–0.5825 band after the earlier NY-session spike to 0.58412 was rejected and faded. Kiwi stays bid on the softer US CPI / hawkish-RBNZ repricing theme, but RSI(14) near 55 and 6-pip ATR show no intraday momentum right now.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens a retest of the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5810 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
09:04 UTC
Consolidation after spike · RSI 53 · price 0.58202
Range-bound post-spike, holding above 0.5810.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI reaction then faded, and has since coiled in a 0.5809–0.5826 range through Asia into the London session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53, price holding just above EMA20/50 with no directional break.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58043, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 0.5809–0.5826 range
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.5829/0.58412 spike zone
Loss of 0.5809 exposes the 0.58043 swing low
09:03 UTC
Range after impulsive spike, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.58202
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI repricing then faded, and price has since ranged 0.5810–0.5825 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Buyers keep defending 0.5810 while supply caps rallies below the 0.5826 session high.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58044, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5810 exposes 0.58044 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD is ranging 0.5808-0.5825 after the CPI-driven spike to 0.5841 during yesterday's US session faded. Price sits mid-range near 0.5819 into the London session, RSI(14) neutral around 55, with EMA20/50 flat beneath price.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range top opens path back toward the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5808 exposes the 0.58022 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range
08:47 UTC
Sideways after CPI spike · RSI 53 · price 0.58186
Range-bound below 0.5825.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print then reversed, and has since coiled in a 0.5810–0.5825 range through the London session. RSI(14) sits mid-scale near 53 and ATR is compressed at ~6 pips; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens a retest of the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5810 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
NZDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.5808–0.5825 range through the London session, digesting yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 0.58412. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and price sits just above EMA20/50; no directional break in play yet.
Support: 0.5808, 0.57949
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5834, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 session high opens path toward the 0.5834 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5808 range low exposes 0.57949 prior low
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 after the soft US CPI print, then settled into a tight 0.5808–0.5825 range through the London and Asia sessions. Price is grinding the range top at 0.5825 with RSI(14) mid-range; no fresh momentum until that cap breaks.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5808 range floor exposes the 0.58022 swing low
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.5809–0.5825 range for the London session. Price is mid-range near 0.5818 with RSI(14) flat around 54; no fresh direction until the range breaks.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 cpi high
Loss of 0.5809 range low exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD is consolidating in a tight 0.5810–0.5826 band through the London session, digesting yesterday's CPI-driven pop to 0.58412. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and ATR is thin at ~5 pips; no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58048
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
NZD/USD is consolidating in a tight 0.5808–0.5825 band after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 0.5841, RSI(14) flat near 56. Range top around 0.5825 has capped repeated attempts and the 0.5834 SMA cluster sits just above; no setup in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path to the 0.5834 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5808 exposes the 0.5800 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the US CPI-driven kiwi bid then got rejected, and has since consolidated between roughly 0.5808 and 0.5825. Price is mid-range near 0.5819 into the London session with RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed around 6 pips — no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 session high opens the path back to the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5808 range floor exposes 0.58022 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD spiked to 0.58412 during yesterday's NY session on the soft US CPI print, then bled back into a tight range and is now consolidating around 0.5817 into the London open. Price is pinned at the 0.5810-0.5820 SMA confluence flagged in the digest; the session high at 0.58256 caps and 0.5809 continues to hold on dips.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5800, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path to 0.5834
Failure to hold 0.58090 exposes the 0.5800 asian low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then handed back most of it and has churned in a 0.5806-0.5825 band since. Price sits mid-range near 0.58175 with RSI(14) flat around 53, no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58044
Resistance: 0.58253, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58253 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5806 confirms a lower-low out of the range
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could break the range
07:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.5815
Consolidation near range top after CPI spike.
NZD/USD is grinding sideways between 0.5808 and 0.5825 after the US CPI-driven spike to 0.5841 stalled near 0.5820. RSI(14) is flat around 49 and ATR has cooled through the Asia session — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5805
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
Break above 0.5825 exposes the CPI spike high at 0.5841
Loss of 0.5808 range low negates the consolidation read
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.5815
Range below 0.5824 after CPI spike.
NZD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print before fading and settling into a tight 0.5810-0.5824 range around the 50/200-day SMA confluence. RSI(14) back near 48, momentum flat; price is coiling with no clean intraday swing in play.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5805
Resistance: 0.5824, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5824 reopens the 0.5834 SMA-break level
Failure to hold 0.5810 SMA cluster exposes 0.5805
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could break this range
07:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.5819
Consolidation below CPI spike high.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, then rejected and has coiled between 0.5806 and 0.5825 ever since. Price sits at 0.5819 into the London session, hugging the 0.5810-0.5820 SMA confluence with RSI neutral near 54 — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5806
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5806 range low confirms a lower-low
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could break the range
07:17 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.5819
Consolidation at SMA cluster after spike.
NZDUSD is coiled between 0.5810 and 0.5824 after the CPI-driven spike to 0.5841 was rejected and retraced. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with ATR compressed to ~9 pips; price pinned to the 50/200-day SMA confluence into today's US PPI.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58243, 0.58412, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58243 exposes the 0.5834/0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5810 range low confirms a lower-low toward 0.58022
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
Consolidation between 0.5808 and 0.5825 after impulsive leg.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then settled into a tight 0.5808-0.5825 range holding around the 0.618 retracement of that leg. Price is drifting sideways near the 50/200-day SMA cluster with RSI(14) neutral in the low-50s; no intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.57985
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 range top reopens the 0.58412 cpi high and 0.5834 sma cluster
Loss of 0.58080 range floor exposes 0.57985 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could break this range
NZD/USD is coiled in a tight 0.5809-0.5824 band after yesterday's soft-US-CPI spike to 0.5841 faded; price is pinned to the 0.5810-0.5820 50/200-day SMA confluence with ATR down near 4 pips. RSI(14) mid-range, no directional conviction into the London session.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path to 0.5834
Loss of 0.5809 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.58043
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print then settled into a tight 0.5808-0.5824 range around the 50/200-day SMA cluster. Price is mid-range at 0.58174 into the London session with RSI(14) flat near 52; the session high at 0.5824 has capped repeated pushes.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5824, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5824 session high opens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5808 range floor exposes 0.5800
Rally stalling at 0.5810-0.5820 SMA cluster keeps the range intact
06:47 UTC
Sideways after impulsive spike · RSI 54 · price 0.58174
Consolidation below spike high.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.5810–0.5824 range for the rest of the session, stalling into the 50/200-day SMA cluster. Price sits mid-range near 0.5817 with RSI neutral around 54 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58063
Resistance: 0.58245, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5824 exposes 0.5834 then the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5809 range low opens downside toward 0.5806
US PPI / Warsh testimony later today could break this range
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then settled into a tight 0.5809–0.5824 range through the Asian session, stalling at the 50/200-day SMA cluster. Current bar grinding back toward the session high with RSI near 58 and ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58243, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58243 opens the path back to the 0.58412 cpi high
Loss of the 0.5809 range low exposes the 0.58022 swing low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the primary catalyst; range likely holds until then
06:32 UTC
Consolidation after CPI-driven spike · RSI 56 · price 0.5819
Range-bound below 0.5825, holding above 0.5810.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a tight range between 0.5810 and 0.5825 — right on the 50/200-day SMA confluence. Price has ground back toward the range top at 0.5819 with RSI(14) neutral near 56; buyers keep defending the 0.5810 area.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5810 sma cluster exposes 0.58043 swing low then 0.5800
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the primary catalyst beyond this range
06:17 UTC
Consolidation near highs after CPI spike · RSI 61 · price 0.58209
Range-bound below 0.5825, grinding up.
The window captures yesterday's US CPI-driven spike to 0.58412, followed by a day of consolidation in a 0.5802–0.5825 band. Price is now drifting back toward the session high at 0.58256 in the Asian session, holding the 0.5810–0.5820 SMA confluence flagged as the multi-week pivot; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.58091, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the spike high at 0.58412
Loss of 0.58091 range floor exposes 0.58022 cpi low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the primary catalyst beyond this window
06:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling at range top · RSI 63 · price 0.58209
Range after CPI spike.
NZD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.5809-0.5824 range for most of the window. Price is grinding back toward the range top near 0.5824 in early London, RSI mid-60s, holding above EMA20/50 but capped at the 50/200-day SMA cluster around 0.5810-0.5820.
Support: 0.58091, 0.5800, 0.5796
Resistance: 0.58245, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path to 0.5834 then the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.5809 range floor reopens the lower range toward 0.5800
06:03 UTC
Range-bound after CPI spike · RSI 56 · price 0.58177
Post-spike consolidation, capped at SMA cluster.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print, then unwound into a 0.5806-0.5825 range for the rest of the session. Price sits mid-range at 0.58177 with RSI neutral near 56, capped by the SMA cluster around 0.5820 flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.58063, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58254, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 cpi high
Loss of the 0.5806 range low exposes 0.5770
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Range after CPI spike · RSI 55 · price 0.58177
Consolidation below 0.5825.
Kiwi is consolidating in a tight 0.5808-0.5825 band through the Asia session and into the London open, digesting yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 0.58412. Price holds above the EMA cluster with RSI(14) neutral near 55; no directional break yet.
NZDUSD is grinding just below the 0.5820 SMA cluster after the soft US CPI print drove a spike to 0.58412 yesterday, since faded. London-open bars are printing higher lows into 0.5818 but supply is capping near 0.58256, RSI(14) mid-range around 58 — one-month highs holding, no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58090 rising support reopens 0.58022
US Core PPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print (12:30 UTC) then settled into a consolidation between 0.5809 and 0.58256, holding near one-month highs. Price is grinding back up to 0.5818 into early London, but the SMA cluster around 0.5809-0.5820 flagged in the macro read is capping the advance; ATR has compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412, 0.5834
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.5834 pivot
Loss of 0.5809 range base signals rollover from the spike
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h out) could break the consolidation
05:32 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.58157
Consolidation below spike high.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then faded and has spent Asia hours consolidating in a 0.5809-0.5826 band. Price sits mid-range near 0.5816 with RSI neutral; the range high at 0.58256 has capped repeated pushes.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 exposes the cpi high at 0.58412
Loss of 0.58090 range low opens 0.58043 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
05:32 UTC
Up-spike faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.58157
Consolidation after impulse.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI reaction, then bled back into a 0.5808–0.5825 range sitting inside the flagged 0.5809–0.5820 SMA cluster. RSI is mid-range and the last several bars are inside-day tight, no momentum in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58255, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58255 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5808 exposes 0.58022
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
05:17 UTC
Consolidation after CPI-driven spike · RSI 53 · price 0.58155
Ranging below spike high.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then settled into a tight 0.5809-0.5825 range through the Asia session. Price sits mid-range at 0.58155 within the noted 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, RSI flat near 53 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5802, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58090 range low exposes 0.58020 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI Mon 22:45 UTC is the decisive risk for this read
NZD/USD is coiling in a tight 0.5808-0.5825 range through the Asian session after the CPI-driven spike to 0.58412 on the soft US June print yesterday. Price holds just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 56; the 0.5825 top has capped every push higher, buyers repeatedly stepping in around 0.5808.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5808 exposes the 0.58043 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift USD and break this range
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print then faded, and the Asian session has since drifted in a tight 0.5807–0.5825 range on thin volume. Price sits just under EMA20 at 0.58149 with RSI mid-range — no fresh directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 0.58072, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58072 range floor confirms a lower low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Sideways after CPI spike · RSI 51 · price 0.58149
Consolidation, mid-range.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then handed back most of that move and has consolidated in a 0.5808–0.5825 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips; price is mid-range at 0.5815 with no fresh direction.
Support: 0.5808, 0.57985, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 cpi high
Loss of 0.5808 range low exposes 0.5770 support
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of RBNZ hike pricing
Consolidation after CPI spike, capped by lower highs.
Kiwi's soft-US-CPI spike to 0.5841 has faded into a tight 0.5810–0.5825 range through the quiet Asian hours. Lower highs into 0.58256 show supply capping, with price now drifting into the 0.5810 floor on thin volume.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5810 opens the 0.58022 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58256 needed to challenge the 0.58412 cpi high
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of RBNZ hike pricing
04:47 UTC
Consolidating after CPI spike · RSI 49 · price 0.58144
Range 0.5809-0.5825 below session high.
NZD/USD gapped to a session high of 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print, then faded into a 0.5809-0.5825 range where it has drifted through the Asia session. Price sits mid-range near 0.58144, RSI(14) neutral around 49, with the 0.5825 swing high capping and 0.5810 holding on dips.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58065, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 session high
Loss of 0.5810 exposes the 0.58065 swing low
US PPI (12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could break this range
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US June CPI, then spent the Asia session consolidating in a 0.5809-0.5825 band, now at 0.58152. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 with price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50 — no directional impulse into the London open.
Support: 0.5809, 0.5807, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range top reopens the path to the 0.58412 cpi high
Failure to hold 0.5809 range floor exposes 0.5807 swing low then 0.5770
US PPI / Warsh testimony later today could reprice USD and break the range
04:32 UTC
Consolidating after CPI spike · RSI 46 · price 0.58152
Range between 0.5808 and 0.5825.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then settled into a tight range between 0.5808 and 0.5825. Asian hours are quiet with price mid-range near the 61.8% retracement of the CPI leg; ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 range high opens path back toward 0.58412
Loss of 0.5808 range low exposes 0.58022 swing low
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of RBNZ hike pricing
04:17 UTC
Range after CPI spike, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.58133
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print, then bled back into a 0.5809-0.5825 range. Price is drifting toward the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s; lower highs since 0.58254 show upside momentum fading in the Asia session.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58254, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58090 opens the swing low at 0.58022
Reclaim of 0.58254 session high needed to re-test the 0.58412 spike high
NZ CPI (Jul 20) and US PPI risk could reset this range
04:17 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.58133
Consolidation, lower highs off session top.
NZD/USD is ranging 0.5806-0.5825 after the CPI-driven spike to 0.58412 yesterday, kiwi's one-month high on soft US CPI plus hawkish RBNZ. Asia session has faded the 0.5825 session high back toward 0.5810, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.58063, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58063 range floor confirms a lower low toward 0.5800
NZ Q2 CPI Mon 22:45 UTC is the decisive test of the RBNZ repricing driving this rally
Range-bound after CPI breakout, lower highs forming.
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI print then handed back most of it, settling into a 0.5805-0.5825 range for the last 12 hours. Repeated rejections at the 0.5825 session high have carved lower highs, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s; price now hovers on the 50-61.8% fib of the CPI leg.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 cpi high
Loss of 0.58043 range floor exposes 0.5770 prior support
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print ~15h ago, then settled into a tight range between 0.5809 and 0.5825. Asia session has drifted quietly, price now mid-range at 0.5816 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; the 0.5825 area capped the last two pushes.
Support: 0.5809, 0.58045
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the path toward the 0.58412 CPI high
Loss of 0.5809 range floor exposes 0.58045 and the 0.5770 zone below
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~8h out) could shift this consolidation read
03:47 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.58113
Consolidation between 0.5807 and 0.5825.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print then bled back, and has spent the last several hours boxed in 0.5807-0.5825. The NY push retested 0.5825 and was capped; price has since drifted to 0.5811 with RSI(14) around mid-40s and sitting just under EMA20/50 through the Asia session.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5800, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the path toward the 0.5841 spike high
Loss of 0.5807 range low exposes 0.5800 and deeper 0.5770
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive catalyst for the hawkish RBNZ repricing
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then settled into a 0.5806-0.5825 range. Price is drifting toward the range low into the Asia session, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s after repeated rejections at 0.5825.
Support: 0.5806, 0.57981, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5806 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 0.5825 reopens the spike high at 0.58412
US PPI (12:30 UTC) later today could shift the read
Asia session holding NZDUSD inside a 0.5806-0.5825 range carved after yesterday's US CPI-driven spike to 0.5841. Price has slid from the 0.5825 session high back to 0.5811 with RSI(14) cooling near 41; range lows are now in focus.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5806 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Reclaim of 0.5825 needed to retest the 0.5841 spike high
US PPI + Warsh testimony from 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Range after spike, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 0.5811
Consolidation off CPI high, testing lower edge.
The soft US CPI spike to 0.58412 ~15h ago faded into a range, and Asia hours have drifted the kiwi lower to test 0.5810 round-number support with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Descending highs from 0.58256 cap the upside; 0.5810-0.5825 is the working band.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5810 opens the 0.58043 prior low
Reclaim of 0.58256 session high needed to re-engage the 0.5825 confluence
US PPI + Warsh testimony later today could shift this read
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.5810–0.5825 range for most of the window. Price is now easing toward the range low at 0.5810 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 0.5825 ceiling has capped every push higher.
Support: 0.5810, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5810 opens 0.58022 session low
Reclaim of 0.5825 needed to retest the 0.58412 spike high
US PPI 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony could reprice the USD leg
03:17 UTC
Consolidating after breakout spike · RSI 44 · price 0.58122
Range-bound below spike high.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then settled into a 0.5802-0.5825 range. Asia session is drifting into the lower half, price now 0.58122 back below EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.58068, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.58022 range low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.58256 session high needed to retest the 0.58412 spike high
M15 spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print ~14h ago, then unwound into a 0.5806–0.5825 consolidation. Price sits mid-range at 0.58169 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; the 0.58256 session high has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.58256 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.58060 exposes the 0.5800 round level
US PPI cluster + Warsh testimony (12:30-14:00 UTC) could break this range
NZD spiked to 0.58412 after the soft US June CPI print, then retraced and has been ranging 0.58067–0.58256 through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits near 50 with price hovering around the EMA20, no directional push in play.
Support: 0.58067, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.58067 exposes 0.58022 swing low
NZ CPI on Jul 20 is the key test of the RBNZ hawkish read
NZD holds a one-month high near 0.5820 after yesterday's soft US CPI drove the spike to 0.58412; price has since based around 0.5808 and is grinding back toward the 0.58256 session high. Asia hours are quiet, RSI mid-range, sitting inside a 0.5808–0.58256 consolidation.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 confluence opens the path back to 0.58412
Loss of 0.5808 base exposes 0.58022 swing low
US PPI (12:30 GMT) could reprice this read
02:47 UTC
Recovery, near session highs · RSI 59 · price 0.58212
Consolidating below 0.5825 after CPI spike.
NZD holds near a one-month high after yesterday's soft US CPI drove the spike to 0.58412, now consolidating in a 0.5808–0.5825 band through Asia hours. Price has climbed back toward the session high at 0.58256, RSI mid-range, ATR near 26 pips.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of the 0.5808 base exposes 0.58022 swing low
US PPI cluster at 12:30 GMT could reshape this intraday read
NZD sits near a 1-month high after soft US CPI trimmed Fed-hike bets; a sharp spike swept 0.58412 earlier before settling into a 0.5808–0.5825 range. Price cooled from the 0.58256 session high back to 0.58185 in the Asian session, RSI hovering mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5800, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5808 range floor exposes 0.58000 then 0.57966
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg of this read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 0.58185
Range-bound below 0.5825 after CPI spike.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, then settled into a 0.5808-0.5825 range. Asian session is quiet on thin volume, holding mid-range near 0.5818 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 opens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5808 confirms a lower low back toward 0.58043
US PPI cluster (12:30 GMT) could shift this read
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 58 · price 0.58199
Higher lows into session high retest.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the US data release near 12:30 UTC, then consolidated the range floor around 0.58080 before NY hours pushed back toward the 0.58256 session high. Asia session now quiet on thin volume, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 opens the path back toward the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.58080 range floor confirms a lower low toward 0.58000
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 0.58199
Higher lows after CPI breakout, pressing session high.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 during NY after the soft US CPI print, then retraced and coiled tight through Asia around the 0.5810 base low. Recent bars are pushing back up toward the 0.58256 session high; Kiwi holding a one-month high on soft CPI plus RBNZ repricing.
Support: 0.58135, 0.58067, 0.58022
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 session high opens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.58067 base low breaks the consolidation and the higher-low chain
US PPI / Warsh testimony later today could shift USD momentum
02:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 0.58232
Higher lows into Asia session, testing session high.
Asia session lifted NZD/USD off the 0.58080 base back toward the session high at 0.58256, extending the post-CPI leg to a one-month high area. RSI mid-60s, not stretched; the 0.58412 spike high from the CPI reaction remains the overhead ceiling.
Support: 0.5818, 0.5808
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 opens the path toward the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of the 0.58180 higher low re-exposes the 0.58080 asia base
0.5810-0.5820 confluence is the pivot bulls need to hold for continuation
Kiwi is grinding back toward the session high at 0.58256 in Asian hours, holding above the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence that firmed after yesterday's soft US CPI. Higher lows off 0.5808 mark the recovery; RSI(14) around 62, no extreme.
Support: 0.5818, 0.5810, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.58180 breaks the rising support and higher-low chain
Failure to clear 0.58256 caps the recovery back into the 0.5810 zone
US PPI / Warsh testimony later today could shift USD momentum
01:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.58222
Post-CPI range, edging back to session high.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss, then bled back and consolidated tightly through the Asia session between the 0.58063 range floor and the 0.58256 session high. Price is now grinding back toward that session high with RSI near 61 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.58063, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 session high opens the path back to the 0.58412 cpi spike
Loss of the 0.58063 range floor negates the recovery toward 0.58043 swing low
0.5810-0.5820 confluence is the pivot the rally has been holding above
01:47 UTC
Micro-uptrend into range top · RSI 61 · price 0.58222
Higher lows recovering toward session high.
Kiwi holds a one-month high near 0.5822 in Asian hours, grinding back toward the 0.58256 session high after the US CPI-driven spike to 0.58412 faded and consolidated around 0.5810. Higher lows since the 0.5800 base keep the micro-uptrend intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5802
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58256 session high opens the path to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.5808 range base negates the higher-low sequence
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US June CPI then spent the session consolidating in a 0.5808–0.5825 band. Asia hours have pushed price back toward the session high at 0.5825; RSI(14) mid-60s, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58022, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 cpi high
Failure to hold 0.5808 base exposes 0.58022 swing low
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift this read later today
NZD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print ~13h ago during NY, then consolidated 0.5808–0.5825 through the Asia session. Price is pressing the session high at 0.5825 again, RSI(14) near 61 with room before overbought.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58043
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5808 range floor exposes 0.58043 swing low
US PPI/Warsh testimony later today could shift USD momentum
01:17 UTC
Uptrend, resuming after consolidation · RSI 66 · price 0.58244
Higher lows off Asia floor, pressing session high.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print mid-window, then bled into a tight 0.5808-0.5812 consolidation through the Asia session. The last hour broke that range higher to 0.5824, RSI(14) firming near 66, and price is now pressing the 0.58256 session high.
Support: 0.5808, 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58333, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.58256 opens the path back toward the 0.58333 post-cpi high
Failure to hold the 0.5808 range floor negates the breakout
NZD/USD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US June CPI print, then consolidated between 0.5806 and 0.5824 through Asia. Price is now grinding back to session highs near 0.5824, RSI in the mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 0.58065, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58256, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5826 opens the path back to the 0.5841 cpi high
Failure to hold the 0.5806 range low reopens 0.5800 swing low
01:04 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.58211
Range-bound after CPI breakout, probing top.
Kiwi spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print, then settled into a 0.5800-0.5822 range through the low-liquidity Asia session. Price is grinding back toward the 0.5822 session high with RSI(14) cooling around 60; range top not yet reclaimed.
Support: 0.58043, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.58224, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5822 session high opens the path back toward the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5800 psych confirms a range break lower toward 0.5770
NZD/USD spiked to a one-month high at 0.58412 on the soft US CPI print, then drifted into a tight consolidation through the quiet Asia session near 0.5810. Price is now re-testing the 0.5820 confluence with RSI mid-60s; the 0.5825 session high caps for now.
Support: 0.5807, 0.57966
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 cpi high
Failure to hold the 0.5807 range low reopens 0.57966 swing low
00:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.58156
Range-bound after spike, coiling under 0.5820.
NZD/USD parked at a one-month high, coiling in a tight 0.5808-0.5821 range through quiet Asia hours after the softer US CPI-driven surge to 0.58412. Last bars pushed to the 0.5821 session high; the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence remains the pivot bulls need to clear.
Support: 0.5808, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5821, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5821 extends the breakout toward the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5808 range floor reopens 0.5797
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could inject volatility into this quiet range
00:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 0.58156
Post-spike range, holding upper band.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.5841 on the soft US June CPI print, then settled into a 0.5805-0.5821 range through the Asia session. A brief poke to 0.5821 was rejected and price sits at 0.58156, holding the upper half of the range.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5821, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5821 range top opens the path back toward the 0.58412 cpi high
Failure to hold 0.5805 range floor exposes 0.5797 swing low
00:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 64 · price 0.5820
Tight range post-CPI, ticking higher.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.5841 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then faded into a tight 0.5806-0.5813 range through late NY and Asia. Current Asian session bars are pressing back to the 0.5820 confluence pivot, RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5797
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 pivot reopens the 0.5841 cpi high
Failure to hold 0.5806 range low exposes 0.5797 swing low
00:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.5820
Range near session high after spike, breaking up.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58412 during London-NY on softer US CPI plus RBNZ hawkish repricing, then coiled tightly in a 0.5805–0.5825 range through the Asian session. Late-Asia push has price back to 0.5820, testing the top of that range with RSI(14) around 64.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5798, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5805 range low exposes 0.5798 swing low then 0.5772
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the key catalyst for continuation beyond this range
Kiwi spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI reaction, then faded and has been pinned in a tight range around 0.5810 through thin Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~5 pips with price hugging the 0.5807-0.5814 band.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5798
Resistance: 0.5814, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5814 range top reopens the path toward the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5807 range floor exposes 0.5798 swing low
00:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 0.5813
Consolidation near range highs after CPI spike.
NZD spiked to 0.58412 after the soft US June CPI, then bled back and has spent the Asia session coiling in a tight 0.5806-0.5813 band. RSI(14) neutral around 57 with ATR compressed; no fresh direction while price holds just under the 0.5820 confluence.
Support: 0.5806, 0.58022, 0.57985
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence reopens the 0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5806 session low exposes 0.57985 pre-spike low
Liquidity thin into Asia hours — moves may be exaggerated
00:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling into resistance · RSI 57 · price 0.5813
Consolidation below 0.5820 after spike faded.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 mid-window then faded, and Asia hours have compressed into a tight 0.5806–0.5813 range with ATR down near 5 pips. Price is grinding back toward the 0.5810–0.5820 confluence that has capped the kiwi, RSI neutral around 57.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5800
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close and hold above 0.5820 confluence opens 0.5825
Loss of 0.5806 session low exposes 0.5800 round number
NZ CPI on Jul 20 is the decisive macro test for this range
00:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.5813
Tight consolidation near range top.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58412 on the soft US CPI miss then got rejected, settling into a tight 0.5807-0.5820 consolidation through the low-volume Asia session. Price is holding the upper end at 0.5813 with RSI(14) flat near 56; the 0.5820 confluence still caps.
Support: 0.5807, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the 0.5825/0.58412 spike high
Loss of 0.5807 session base exposes 0.5770 swing low
US PPI cluster (Jul 15 12:30 GMT) could break this range