NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 24 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, rebounding off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.57883
Double bottom off 0.5762 after slide from 0.5875.
Kiwi slid from near 0.5875 early week to a 0.5762 trough, then carved a double bottom and recovered toward the 0.5800 pivot into the NY session before easing to 0.5788. The rebound stayed capped as a USD safe-haven bid from Middle East tensions and a sub-190K US jobless claims print kept the dollar firm. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range with price hugging EMA20 but still trading below EMA50.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5830, 0.5875
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5800 pivot opens a retest of the 0.5875 rejection ceiling
Failure to hold the 0.5762 wk low confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
20:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovery attempt off the lows · RSI 49 · price 0.57883
Bounce from week trough, capped below 0.5800 pivot.
NZDUSD slid through the week from the 0.5872 area after repeated rejection near 0.5875, bottoming at 0.5762 during the London-NY window before a modest recovery back toward the 0.5800 pivot. Price now sits just above EMA(20) but under EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 49; the bounce has been capped at the 0.58028 session high, keeping the broader downtrend intact. The Kiwi's Q2 CPI beat lent early support but a firm safe-haven USD has kept upside limited.
Support: 0.57697, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.58028, 0.5800, 0.5814
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 pivot opens the path to 0.5814 and the 0.58028 session high
Failure to hold 0.5762 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
Lower highs into weekly low, consolidating sub-0.5800.
NZD/USD sold off from Monday's 0.5872 high through the week, printing a low near 0.5762 during NY hours before demand stepped in twice around 0.5760-0.5770. Price has since recovered to reclaim EMA20/EMA50 and is consolidating in a 0.5770-0.5800 band, with the 0.5800 pivot capping the bounce as a safe-haven USD bid persists. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-line, in line with the corrective grind.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57622
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.58724
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 pivot opens the 0.5820 lower high
Failure to hold 0.5770 recent trough exposes the 0.5762 weekly low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for USD and this read
Lower highs into a double bottom near 0.5762, recent higher lows.
NZDUSD spent the week grinding lower off the 0.5875 rejection, sliding to a double bottom near 0.5762 before this recovery leg lifted it back toward the 0.5800 psych level, where the bounce has since stalled. USD safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions kept the kiwi capped despite the hawkish RBNZ CPI beat. Price now sits just above a flat EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI back at the midline.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5800 psych opens the path to 0.5823 prior high
Failure to hold 0.5772 swing low reopens 0.5762 week low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
18:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.57905
Lower highs, base building near trough.
NZD/USD spent the week in a downtrend off Monday's early spike to 0.5872, printing lower highs through the London-NY sessions as a firm USD dominated. Buyers defended 0.5762 twice late in the window and price has since reclaimed the 0.5772 area with RSI(14) recovering off its lows, but the 0.5800 pivot is capping the bounce. Strong US jobless claims and safe-haven dollar demand keep the Kiwi's upside limited despite the hawkish RBNZ CPI beat.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path back toward the 0.5850 rejection zone
Failure to hold 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
NZDUSD has been in a steady downtrend since Monday's 0.5872 high, sliding through the week on a firm USD as strong US jobless claims and safe-haven flows dominated the RBNZ CPI beat. Price carved a double bottom near 0.5762 mid-week and has recovered back toward the 0.5800 psych pivot, with RSI(14) cycling back to the mid-50s and price reclaiming EMA20. The 0.5800 level and the descending lower-highs line are the immediate caps.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the 0.5823/0.5850 rejection zone
Failure to hold the 0.5762 double bottom confirms a lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
NZDUSD slid from the week's 0.5872 high through repeated rejection to a 0.5760 trough, then found demand twice there through the London-NY transition to grind back toward 0.5800. RSI has recovered off oversold as price reclaimed EMA20, but the 0.5800 pivot has capped the bounce with USD holding a safe-haven bid on Middle East risk and strong US claims. Move stays a corrective recovery within the broader down leg unless 0.5800 gives way.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57608
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 pivot opens the 0.5823 lower high
Failure to hold 0.5770 near support reopens the 0.57608 swing low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
17:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.57961
Lower highs into a double-bottom base near 0.5762.
NZD/USD slid from the 0.5872 weekly high down to a 0.5762 trough through the week as the dollar stayed firm on strong US jobless claims and safe-haven demand. Price has since based twice near 0.5762 and clawed back above EMA20 to the 0.5800 pivot, with RSI(14) recovering back toward the mid-line. The 0.5800 handle is capping the bounce so far, leaving the recovery short of the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.5850
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 opens the path to the 0.5850 reject zone
Failure to hold 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
16:03 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.57996
Lower highs since Tuesday high, double-bottom base forming.
NZDUSD slid from Tuesday's 0.58724 seven-week high to a 0.5762 trough over three-plus sessions as a USD safe-haven bid dominated the hotter Q2 CPI print. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.5762 to form a double-bottom base, and price has since recovered through EMA20 to retest the 0.5800 psych cap into NY hours. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s off oversold; the 0.5800 area is the immediate pivot for the week.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.58724
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5820 opens the path back toward the 0.5850-0.5875 highs
Failure to hold 0.5762 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC next week is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
NZDUSD sold off from Tuesday's ~0.5872 seven-week high across three-plus sessions to 0.5760 as the USD held a safe-haven bid and firm US data (jobless claims 187K, Services PMI 53.6) revived hawkish Fed pricing. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5760 forming a double bottom, and price has since recovered back to the 0.5800 psych level, reclaiming EMA20. The lower-high trendline near 0.5820 still caps the week's decline.
Support: 0.5760, 0.57608
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 breaks the lower-high trendline and challenges the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.5760 double bottom opens a lower low
FOMC next week is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
15:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, basing off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.57923
Recovery from double bottom, higher lows forming.
Kiwi topped near 0.5872 early in the week then unwound over three-plus sessions to a 0.5762 trough as a firm USD, safe-haven demand and hot US jobless claims dominated the hawkish-RBNZ story. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5762–0.5772 to carve a double bottom, and price has since ground back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering through the 50s. The 0.5800 psych level continues to cap the bounce, keeping the broader down-leg intact.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5820
Failure to hold 0.5772 reopens the 0.5762 week low
FOMC next week is the dominant USD catalyst for this read
15:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.57923
Double bottom near 0.5761 after multi-session decline.
NZDUSD sold off from the 0.5872 area early-week toward 0.5761 as a USD safe-haven bid and firm US labour data dominated a well-flagged hawkish RBNZ story. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5761 to carve a double bottom, and price has since reclaimed EMA20 into the NY session, though it remains below EMA50 and capped under the 0.5800 round number. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-50s as the decline stalls.
Support: 0.5761, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 round number opens the path back toward 0.5820 swing high
Loss of 0.5761 week low confirms downtrend continuation
FOMC next week and US flash PMIs are the dominant USD catalysts for this read
14:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.57848
Lower highs into a double bottom near 0.5762.
NZDUSD spent three-plus sessions grinding lower from Tuesday's 0.5872 CPI spike as a firm USD dominated on Middle East safe-haven flows and the 1969-low jobless claims print. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5762 to form a double bottom, and price has since reclaimed EMA20, though 0.5800 remains the near-term cap. RSI(14) has recovered toward 54 but the broader week structure is still a series of lower highs below EMA50.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path back toward 0.5820
Failure to hold the 0.5762 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs this week and FOMC next week could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a double-bottom base above 0.5760.
NZDUSD has bled lower since Tuesday's 0.5872 high, with a firm USD on 1969-low US jobless claims and Middle East safe-haven demand driving the three-session slide. Buyers stepped in twice at the 0.5760 week low, forming a double bottom, and RSI(14) has recovered off oversold as price reclaims the EMA20. The pair remains capped below the EMA50 and the descending lower-high line into 0.5800.
Support: 0.5761, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 would challenge the week's downtrend
Failure to hold 0.5760 confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs and FOMC next week are the dominant USD catalysts
Kiwi has trended lower all week, rejected near 0.5872 after Tuesday's CPI beat faded and firm safe-haven USD dragged it below the 0.5800 pivot. Price based around the 0.5760 trough into the NY session and has drifted back to EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering toward 50 from oversold. Lower highs from the 0.5872 peak still cap the move.
Support: 0.57622, 0.57694
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5791, 0.58233
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5850/0.5875 rejection zone
Failure to hold the 0.5760 trough confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this USD-driven read
NZDUSD trended lower through the week off Monday's 0.5872 high, sliding below the 0.5800 pivot as safe-haven USD demand rebuilt on Mideast flows and the 187K US jobless claims beat. Demand stepped in twice near 0.5760 to form a double bottom, and price has recovered into the NY session to reclaim EMA(20), but the 0.5800 handle still caps the bounce. RSI(14) has lifted back toward mid-range after the decline.
Support: 0.57608, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.5791, 0.5800, 0.58233
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5800 reopens the 0.5850/0.5875 rejection zone
Failure to hold the 0.5760 double bottom confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via USD
Kiwi has trended lower all week off the 0.58724 weekly high, printing a string of lower highs as USD firmed on safe-haven flows and the RBNZ CPI beat faded. The NY session drove the leg down to a 0.5762 recent trough, where dip-buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom; price has since recovered above the EMA20 to 0.5788 but stalls below the 0.5800 pivot. Follow-through remains capped well short of the 0.5850 rejection zone flagged higher up.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5778
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5850 rejection zone
Loss of 0.5762 recent trough confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC channel through USD and could shift this read
12:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.57877
Double bottom near 0.5760 after this-week slide.
NZDUSD slid steadily since Monday's open, breaking below the 0.5800 pivot and printing a week trough near 0.5760 into the NY session as firm USD on Mideast safe-haven flows and a 57-year-low US jobless claims print capped the Kiwi. Two matched lows around 0.5760 have since drawn dip-buyers, lifting price back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-50s. The 0.5800 pivot now caps the bounce and remains the key line for the week's read.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5822, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5822/0.5850 reject zone
Failure to hold 0.5760 week trough confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs today (13:45 UTC) could shift this read via USD
11:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off the trough · RSI 53 · price 0.57863
Based above 0.5760, higher lows into recovery.
The week opened near 0.5853 and bled lower through Wednesday-Thursday into a 0.5760 trough as firm USD on Mideast safe-haven flows and the 187K jobless-claims beat rebuilt dollar demand. Price has since carved a double bottom around 0.5760-0.5762 and recovered above EMA(20), with RSI(14) lifting back through 50. The 0.5800 pivot and this-week high at 0.5791 now cap the bounce.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5791, 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 reopens the 0.5850/0.5875 rejection zone
Failure to hold 0.5760 trough confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs today 13:45 UTC could shift this read via USD
11:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off base · RSI 55 · price 0.57863
Lower highs since midweek high, basing at 0.5760.
NZDUSD trended lower from midweek's 0.5872 high as firm USD — safe-haven Mideast flows and a strong US jobless-claims beat — capped the Kiwi despite the hot Q2 CPI. Dip-buyers stepped in twice around 0.5760, forming a base, and price has recovered back above EMA(20) but remains capped below the 0.5800 pivot. RSI(14) has cycled back to mid-50s off oversold, in line with the corrective bounce.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained hold below 0.5800 keeps the downtrend intact; a reclaim reopens 0.5823/0.5850
Failure to hold 0.5760 confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs today channel through USD and could shift this read
10:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, bounce off trough · RSI 56 · price 0.57872
Below 0.5800 pivot, double bottom near 0.5760.
NZDUSD has trended lower since Monday from the 0.5875 area, sliding below the 0.5800 pivot as a firm USD drew safe-haven flows and the RBNZ CPI beat failed to extend Kiwi gains. Price carved a double bottom near 0.5760 and has recovered to 0.5787, now sitting back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling back toward 56. EMA(50) still overhead and the 0.5800 pivot caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5800 opens the path back toward the 0.5850/0.5875 rejection zone
Failure to hold the 0.5760 trough confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via USD
NZDUSD sold off through the week from Monday's 0.5872 high, sliding below the 0.5800 pivot as firm USD safe-haven flows capped the RBNZ CPI-beat rally. Price carved a twin base near 0.5761 and has clawed back above EMA(20) into the NY session, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-range. The 0.5800 pivot remains the near-term ceiling and price still sits below EMA(50).
Support: 0.5761, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.5800 pivot reopens the 0.5823/0.5850 rejection zone
Loss of the 0.5761 week trough confirms a fresh lower low
US flash PMIs today channel through USD and could shift this read
09:04 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 0.57857
Lower highs and lower lows, bounce off week low.
NZD/USD has bled lower since the 0.5875 seven-week high was rejected midweek, three straight down-legs driven by a firm USD and safe-haven demand on US-Iran headlines after the sub-212K jobless claims print. Price found demand at 0.57622 and has since ground back above EMA(20), but EMA(50) near 0.5795 still caps and RSI(14) has only recovered to the mid-50s. The bounce off the week low is holding for now with 0.5791 the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5791, 0.5820, 0.5875
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5770 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.5820 needed to challenge the prior range and 0.5875 high
US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift USD momentum and this read
Kiwi has bled lower for three straight days off Monday's 0.5872 high, rejected below the 0.5875 seven-week ceiling as firm USD (1969-low jobless claims) and risk-off flows dominated. Price found demand twice near 0.5762, forming a double bottom, and has clawed back above the H1 EMep20 into the 0.5786 area. The broader H1 sequence of lower highs is still intact under the 0.5838 shelf.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5838, 0.5849, 0.5872
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5838 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5772 pivot reopens the 0.5762 week low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read via USD
NZD/USD has been in a steady downtrend since Wednesday, sliding from 0.5823 toward 0.5761 as firm USD (187K jobless claims) and risk-off flows outweighed hawkish RBNZ pricing. Price has twice held 0.5761 to form a double bottom and is now recovering above EMA(20), with RSI(14) lifting back through 50. EMA(50) around 0.5795 and the 0.5820 shelf remain overhead caps.
Support: 0.5761, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5838
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 invalidates the downtrend read
Loss of 0.5761 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD momentum and this read
NZD/USD has trended lower since Wednesday, sliding from the 0.5872 seven-week high toward 0.5760 as firm US jobless claims (187K) and risk-off flows kept the USD bid despite hawkish RBNZ pricing. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.5761 to form a double bottom, and price has since reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI recovering off its lows. EMA(50) near 0.5805 still caps, keeping the broader H1 structure of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.57608, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58037, 0.58233, 0.58492
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5810 (EMA50 area) would challenge the downtrend of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.57608 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Third straight day lower on H1, with the 0.5875 rejection early in the week giving way to a slide sub-0.5800 as Iran risk-off and a firm USD overshadowed the hawkish RBNZ CPI beat. Price bottomed near 0.5762 in the NY session and has since consolidated 0.5770–0.5784, reclaiming EMA(20) while RSI(14) lifts off oversold toward the mid-40s. The 0.5800 pivot remains the capping level for this recovery attempt.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 pivot would ease the bearish read and open 0.5820
Loss of 0.5762 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global PMIs could shift the USD leg driving this move
NZDUSD has run three straight days lower after the rejection at the 0.5875 seven-week high, the sell-off driven by risk-off Iran/oil headlines and a firm safe-haven USD. Price carved a double bottom near 0.5760-0.5762 and has bounced into the NY session toward 0.5784, reclaiming EMA(20) but still trading below EMA(50). RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to the mid-40s as the downside momentum eases.
Support: 0.57608, 0.57694
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58233, 0.58724
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5800 pivot needed to negate the downtrend read
Loss of the 0.57608 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
US PMIs / upcoming FOMC pricing could shift USD flows and this read
NZDUSD has printed a third straight day of losses, sliding from the 0.5875 rejection to sub-0.5800 as Middle East risk-off and a firm USD overrode the hawkish RBNZ CPI story. Price is now basing between 0.5762 and 0.5783 after the NY-session flush, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still below 50. Both EMAs cap from above, keeping the weekly bias tilted lower.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57834, 0.5820, 0.5875
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the down-leg
Reclaim of 0.5820 prior support needed to neutralise the downtrend
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Oil / Iran headlines remain the dominant driver for high-beta Kiwi
NZDUSD extended a third day of losses, sliding from the 0.5875 seven-week high through the 0.5800 pivot as US-Iran risk-off and a firm safe-haven USD overrode the hawkish RBNZ CPI story. Price is now basing around 0.5770-0.5785 after finding demand at 0.57622, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but still sub-50 and price capped below both EMAs. The 0.5800 pivot and 0.57856 bounce high have contained the recovery attempt.
Support: 0.57622, 0.57689
Resistance: 0.57856, 0.5800, 0.58233
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.57622 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.5800 pivot needed to neutralise the downtrend read
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this pair
05:04 UTC
Downtrend, third day of losses · RSI 44 · price 0.57743
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
NZDUSD extended a third straight day of losses since Monday, unwinding the rally to the 0.58724 week high after rejection there, with safe-haven USD demand on US-Iran escalation and record-low jobless claims driving the slide below 0.5800. Price sits under both EMAs having based around the 0.57622 week low; the overnight Asia bounce toward 0.5783 has faded back to 0.5774 with RSI(14) mid-40s. The 0.5800 pivot now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5834, 0.58724
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.57622 week low extends the bearish sequence
Recovery above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift USD flows this session
Next-week FOMC and Iran/oil headlines remain the dominant risk drivers
NZDUSD has trended lower since Monday's open, unwinding the seven-week high near 0.5874 as Middle East risk-off and a firm USD overwhelmed the hawkish RBNZ story. The 0.5800 pivot gave way in the NY session and now caps rebounds, with price probing a fresh swing low at 0.57622 before a shallow bounce to 0.57834. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) and RSI(14) is holding in the low-40s, consistent with sustained downside pressure.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57834, 0.5800, 0.58233
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57622 swing low confirms another lower-low and extends the down leg
Hourly close back above 0.5800 lost pivot would neutralise the breakout read
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Iran/oil headlines are the dominant near-term catalysts
NZDUSD extended a third straight day of losses, rejected at the 0.5875 seven-week high early week and breaking the 0.5800 psych level into the NY session as Iran-driven risk-off and a firm USD overrode the hawkish RBNZ story. Price is now basing around 0.5778 after finding demand at 0.5762, with a shallow bounce to 0.5783 stalling below EMA20. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold but remains sub-50, consistent with the prevailing lower-high structure.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58233
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5800 psych would neutralise this week's breakdown read
Loss of 0.57622 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
US S&P Global PMIs today (13:45 UTC) and next-week FOMC could materially shift USD flows
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, third day of losses · RSI 43 · price 0.57781
Lower highs, lower lows below EMAs.
NZDUSD has bled lower all week, unwinding the rally to the 0.5875 seven-week high as Iran risk-off and a firm safe-haven USD overshadowed the hot Q2 CPI print. The 0.5800 pivot gave way in yesterday's NY session and price marked a fresh swing low at 0.57622 before a shallow bounce to 0.57834; price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.57834, 0.5800, 0.5814
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the bearish momentum
Loss of 0.57622 swing low confirms continuation lower
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read; FOMC next week the dominant risk
NZDUSD is into its third straight day of losses, dropping below the 0.5800 pivot after the 0.5875 seven-week high rejection earlier in the week — driven by risk-off and a firmer USD. Price is trading under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-40s; the current Asia session is basing in the low-0.5770s after tagging 0.5762. The 0.5800 handle now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.5837
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim of 0.5800 would neutralise the sub-pivot breakdown
Loss of 0.57620 confirms continuation to fresh lows
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift USD flows and this read
Iran / oil headlines remain the dominant driver for the high-beta Kiwi
NZDUSD extended a third straight day of losses, sliding from the 0.5875 rejection through the 0.5800 pivot as Middle East risk-off and a firm USD overwhelmed the hawkish RBNZ story. Price bottomed at 0.57622 late in the NY session and has since stabilised into Asia, printing a modest bounce to 0.57834 before easing back. RSI(14) is recovering off its lows but price remains pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57834, 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.5800 pivot would unwind bearish momentum
Loss of 0.57622 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower highs and lower lows, minor bounce off week low.
NZDUSD has printed a third straight down leg, sliding from the 0.5872 high early in the window to a 0.5762 low as safe-haven USD demand on Iran/Hormuz headlines overrode hot Q2 CPI. The 0.5800 pivot broke and now caps the tape as resistance, with price holding below both EMAs. A shallow Asia-session bounce off 0.5762 has lifted RSI off oversold but structure remains lower-high, lower-low.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5722
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5814
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.5722
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
Lower highs, lower lows; small bounce off week low.
Third straight down day after the kiwi was rejected at the 0.5875 7-week high midweek, sliding beneath the 0.5800 pivot as safe-haven USD demand on Iran/Hormuz risk-off dominated the hawkish RBNZ story. Price has bounced modestly off the 0.5762 week low into the Asia session, but sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 41. The 0.5800 pivot now caps the recovery as prior support flips to resistance.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the bearish read
Failure to hold 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.5750
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could reprice the USD bid driving this move
NZDUSD has trended lower since midweek, rejected at the 0.5875 7-week high and printing a third straight down day as a safe-haven USD bid on Iran/Hormuz risk-off overpowered the hawkish RBNZ CPI story. Price has slipped through the 0.5800 pivot and is now grinding a shallow bounce off the 0.5762 week low into thin Asia-session trade, with RSI(14) lifting off the oversold zone but still sub-50. Both H1 EMAs remain overhead and the 0.5800 pivot has flipped to resistance.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5822
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.57622 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Third straight down leg on H1 after the 0.5872 rejection early this week, with the pair slipping through the 0.5800 pivot into the NY session and printing a week low at 0.5762. The safe-haven USD bid off Iran/Hormuz headlines has driven the move, overriding hawkish RBNZ pricing. Price has since stabilised and ticked back toward 0.5783, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 43.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.5762 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, third straight down day · RSI 42 · price 0.57731
Lower highs, lower lows; basing at week lows.
NZDUSD has bled lower all week, rejected near the 0.5875 seven-week high on Monday and slipping through the 0.5800 pivot as safe-haven USD demand from Iran/Hormuz risk overpowered the hot Q2 CPI print. Price sits below both EMAs with a run of lower highs, and NY-into-Asia trade has flattened into a tight 0.5762–0.5775 consolidation just off the lows. RSI(14) is soft near 40 but not yet at extremes.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5769
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5823
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5800 pivot would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.5762 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
US S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, third down day · RSI 40 · price 0.57731
Lower highs, lower lows.
NZD/USD has trended lower since the 0.5872 peak midweek, breaking the 0.5800 pivot as safe-haven USD demand from Iran/Hormuz risk overrode hawkish RBNZ CPI pricing. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI hovering near 40, and the 7-week high near 0.5865 capped every attempt. A shallow base has formed above the 0.57622 session low into the Asian session.
Support: 0.57622, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5820, 0.5865
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.5800 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Break of 0.57622 session low confirms trend continuation
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read