NZD/USD AI Live Scan, daily chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD daily chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 29 · price 0.56415
Lower highs / lower lows, fresh cycle lows.
Multi-week downtrend that accelerated into a ~5% weekly slide, breaking the prior YTD low at 0.5681 on a firm, risk-off Dollar after in-line-to-soft US PCE failed to dent the hawkish-Fed bid. Price trades well below a falling EMA(50) and has printed seven straight down sessions toward the 0.5630 May double-top target. RSI(14) on D1 sits near 28, deep in oversold territory after the extended leg lower.
Support: 0.5630, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5681
What it said to watch
Daily close below 0.5625 opens fresh cycle lows toward 0.5600
Reclaim of the broken 0.5681 ytd low is needed to ease downside pressure
RSI near 28 — extended oversold reading raises risk of a snap-back if USD momentum stalls
UoM Michigan inflation expectations and Fed-speak Friday could shift the USD read
NZDUSD shed roughly 5% over the past week, breaking the prior low at 0.5681 and pressing fresh lows near 0.5640 — price has held below a falling EMrA(50) since early June. The in-line US PCE print kept the hawkish-Fed dollar bid intact, extending the slide rather than stalling it. RSI sits near 29, deep into oversold territory, so the next test is whether the 0.5630 channel support holds.
Support: 0.5630, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5681
What it said to watch
Sustained D1 close below 0.5630 channel sup opens the path toward the 0.5600 psych zone
Reclaim of the 0.5681 prior low would be the first sign the breakout is failing
US PCE follow-through and RBNZ July rate pricing could materially shift this read given oversold RSI