The FOMC hold sparked a spike from 0.5776 to a session high of 0.58266 before sellers faded it back to 0.5787. Price has since ground back to 0.5802 and is consolidating in a tight 0.5800-0.5808 band on thin Asian-hours volume, holding the 38.2% fib of the spike leg.
Support: 0.58018, 0.5787, 0.57755
Resistance: 0.5808, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5808 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of the 0.58018 fib and 0.5787 swing low signals the spike is fully retraced
US Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst
A dovish FOMC hold sold the USD and rocketed NZD/USD off 0.57627 to a 0.58266 session high, RSI cooling from that spike. Price is now consolidating 0.579-0.580 below the high, holding back above the 0.5793 50-day SMA.
Support: 0.5793, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58079, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58266 session high opens the 0.5875 seven-week zone
Failure to hold 0.5793 (50-day SMA) negates the breakout read
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD ripped off 0.57627 to a 0.58266 session high on the dovish FOMC hold at 23:00 broker time, then pulled back and is now coiling 0.5800-0.5803 through the Asia session. RSI(14) cooled to ~60 as the thin post-event bars flatten; the 0.58266 spike high still caps.
Support: 0.5792, 0.57824, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58079, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58266 opens the path toward 0.5860
Loss of 0.57920 negates the post-FOMC recovery
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next macro test of this move
23:17 UTC
Recovery, grinding back to session high · RSI 62 · price 0.58023
Higher lows after FOMC spike and pullback.
FOMC hold near 21:00 broker time triggered a spike to 0.58266 before price sold back to 0.5787. Through the Asian session buyers stepped in on a chain of higher lows, dragging price back to 0.5802 as thin liquidity keeps ranges tight.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58079, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58079 opens a path back to the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.5787 pullback low negates the higher-low chain
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD spiked from 0.5762 to a session high of 0.58266 on the FOMC hold, then pulled back to 0.5787 before recovering to 0.5802. RSI(14) mid-60s, price back above EMA20/50; the session high at 0.58266 is the near-term ceiling.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5860
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58266 opens the path to the 0.5860 range top
Failure to hold 0.5787 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.5762
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the post-FOMC USD move
Post-spike pullback, rising lows in thin Asia trade.
FOMC hold at 18:00 UTC spiked NZD/USD to 0.58266 before a sharp rejection back to 0.579. Thin Asia-session flow has since ground price back to 0.58032 on rising lows, still below the FOMC high.
Support: 0.5793, 0.5772, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5875
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58266 opens the path toward the 0.5875 7wk high
Loss of 0.5793 (50-day SMA) confirms a lower low
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the post-FOMC USD leg
Higher lows since FOMC spike, holding under range top.
The FOMC hold spiked NZDUSD from 0.5776 to a 0.58266 high before a pullback to 0.5787 held around the 61.8% retracement. Price has since ground back to 0.58032 on thin Asian-session volume, RSI(14) near 62 and still below the 0.5820 range top.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58200 reopens the 0.58266 spike high
Loss of 0.57870 pullback low negates the recovery
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the next major USD driver
The in-line FOMC hold triggered a spike to a 0.5827 session high before price faded to 0.5790. Thin late-NY/Asian flow has since ground the pair back to 0.5802, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 60.
Support: 0.5790, 0.5786, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5827
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5827 spike high extends the breakout
Loss of 0.5786 post-spike low reopens 0.5772
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major driver
FOMC hold (3.75%) triggered a spike from 0.5775 to 0.58266 late NY, which then faded back to 0.5786 before buyers stepped in and dragged price to 0.5802. Still below the 0.5820 spike zone; RSI(14) mid-range at 59 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips as the post-decision move settles.
Support: 0.5786, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5820 opens the path to the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.5786 confirms the FOMC pop is fading toward 0.5762
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
22:31 UTC
Recovering after FOMC spike · RSI 58 · price 0.58015
Post-spike consolidation, basing above 0.5782.
FOMC's in-line hold sparked a spike to the 0.58266 session high before price gave back most of the move to base around 0.5787. It has since ground back to 0.58015 on thin Asia-session volume, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5810 opens the path back to the 0.58266 session high
Close back below 0.5787 negates the recovery, exposing 0.5776
US Core PCE later today is the next post-FOMC volatility risk
NZD ripped off 0.5765 on the Fed's hold, printing a 0.58266 session high before fading back to 0.5787. Price is now grinding back to 0.5801 in thin Asia hours, holding above the pre-spike base with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57824, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58105, 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.582 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.5787 swing low negates the recovery back toward the pre-spike low at 0.57627
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Up-spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.57974
Post-FOMC range below 0.5800.
The FOMC hold at 18:00 UTC spiked NZDUSD from 0.5776 to 0.58266 before the move faded back under 0.5800 into thin late-NY hours. Price now consolidating around 0.5797, holding above the 0.5787 swing low; the 0.58266 high was rejected and 0.5800 psych level caps intraday attempts.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57627, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5800 psych level reopens 0.58266 fomc high
Failure to hold 0.5787 swing low exposes 0.57627 pre-fomc low
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the post-FOMC move
FOMC hold spiked NZDUSD to 0.58266 before sellers stepped in, dragging it back under 0.5800 and into the prior range. Price now hovers near the 50% retrace of that spike around 0.5795, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.5787 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the FOMC move
22:03 UTC
Spike up then fade, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 0.57923
FOMC breakout retracing after rejection.
FOMC's in-line hold drove NZDUSD from 0.5762 to a 0.58266 session high before rejection near the 0.582 spike high dragged it back under 0.5800. Price now sits around 0.5792, roughly a 50% retrace of the FOMC move, with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57762, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.57985, 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.57985 recent high reopens the 0.582 spike high
Loss of 0.5787 post-spike low exposes 0.57762 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the FOMC move
22:02 UTC
Spiked then faded, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.57923
Post-FOMC consolidation below 0.5800.
NZD ripped to 0.58266 on the 18:00 UTC Fed hold, then rejected hard and faded back below 0.5800. Price now chops around 0.579 into thin late-NY hours, RSI(14) back to neutral after the spike overbought; 0.5787 swing low holding underneath.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5800 reopens the 0.58266 fomc high
Loss of 0.5787 swing low exposes 0.5762 prior low
US Core PCE / GDP (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next event risk to reset this read
21:47 UTC
Spiked then faded, now stabilising · RSI 51 · price 0.57949
Post-FOMC blowoff, back inside range.
FOMC print drove a sharp sweep of the session high to 0.58266 before sellers faded the move back to 0.5795, leaving a rejection tail. Price has settled into a 0.5787–0.5806 balance as post-FOMC volatility drains out.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5768, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58077, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.58266 reopens the path toward the 0.5900 pivot
Loss of 0.5787 exposes the 0.5768 / 0.57618 session lows
US Core PCE / GDP later today could reignite the USD leg
21:46 UTC
Range after FOMC spike faded · RSI 51 · price 0.57949
Spike high rejected, back inside prior range.
NZDUSD spiked to 0.58266 on the FOMC hold at 21:00 broker time, then the move was fully rejected back below 0.5800 within four bars. Price now sits mid-range near 0.5795, roughly the 50% retrace of the FOMC leg, RSI(14) back to neutral around 51.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5820 reopens the fomc high at 0.58266
Loss of 0.5787 swing low exposes the session low at 0.57627
US Core PCE/GDP later today (12:30 UTC) could reset this range
21:32 UTC
Post-spike fade, back inside range · RSI 46 · price 0.57832
FOMC spike to 0.58266 fully retraced.
NZD/USD spiked to 0.58266 on the FOMC hold at 3.75% then handed back the entire move, now trading 0.57832 back below EMA20. The impulse retraced ~68% of the FOMC leg and stalled at the 0.57960 micro high.
Support: 0.5769, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.58266
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could re-price this move materially
Failure to hold 0.57690 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.57960 reopens the 0.58266 spike high
21:31 UTC
Spike faded, back to pre-spike level · RSI 49 · price 0.57832
FOMC spike to 0.5827 swept and rejected, fully retraced.
FOMC-driven spike swept the session high at 0.58266 then rejected hard, and price has given back the entire move to 0.5783 as volume thinned into late NY. Momentum is neutral with RSI(14) back near 50 and price now below both EMAs.
Support: 0.5768, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.5808, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58080 would revive the spike, loss of 0.57627 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC Thu is the next major driver for this pair
21:17 UTC
Spike up then full fade, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.57952
Post-FOMC pop rejected, back in pre-spike range.
FOMC hold spiked NZDUSD to a session high of 0.58266 before the entire move faded back under 0.5900 to 0.579, RSI(14) cooling to neutral. The pre-spike low near 0.5787 held on the retrace and price is now consolidating below the 0.5820 spike-fade zone.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.5820 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Failure to hold 0.5787 pre-spike low reopens 0.5762
Sweep to 0.58266 then rejection back below 0.5800.
The FOMC hold at 21:00 broker time spiked NZDUSD to 0.58266 before sellers rejected the move, dragging price back below the 0.5800 round number. Now consolidating around 0.5795 into the Asia session, having retraced most of the post-Fed pop.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5800 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.5787 exposes 0.5762 session low
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
21:04 UTC
Spike up then rejected, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.57944
Post-FOMC sweep of 0.5826 fully retraced to mid.
FOMC held rates in line and NZD spiked to a session high of 0.58266 before the move was fully rejected back to 0.57944, now sitting at the 50% retrace of the run off 0.57618. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back near neutral after the post-decision surge.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57870 session low opens the path back to the 0.57618 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58266 session high needed to revive the topside
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Spike then fade, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 0.57944
Post-FOMC pullback holding above pre-spike base.
FOMC hold triggered a sharp spike to 0.58266 during NY hours before price faded back below 0.5810 and settled around 0.5794. Pullback is holding above the pre-spike base near 0.5787; session high stands as the ceiling.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.58100 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.57870 exposes the 0.57760/0.57618 pre-spike zone
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:46 UTC
Up leg fading after spike · RSI 53 · price 0.57964
Spike to session high, rejected, retracing.
NZD/USD spiked from 0.5775 to a session high 0.58266 on the FOMC-driven USD sell-off, then got rejected and retraced to 0.5796. RSI has cooled back to neutral from overbought as the up leg loses steam; price now holding just above the 0.5790 pullback base.
Support: 0.5790, 0.57627, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.58077, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.5790 opens the 0.57627 swing low
Reclaim of 0.58077 puts the 0.58266 session high back in focus
Core PCE / GDP cluster ~16h out could reprice the USD leg
20:46 UTC
Spike higher then fading · RSI 52 · price 0.57964
Rejected at session high, consolidating.
NY session ripped from 0.5762 to a 0.58266 session high before sellers pushed it straight back under 0.5820 — a clean false break that left price consolidating around 0.5796. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the spike; ATR is elevated on the whippy post-FOMC flows.
Support: 0.5787, 0.57628
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.58200 supply zone reopens the 0.5900 pivot
Loss of 0.57870 recent low confirms the rejection extending toward 0.5763 swing low
US Core PCE / GDP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the key risk to this two-way read
20:31 UTC
Spike higher, now fading · RSI 47 · price 0.5788
FOMC spike rejected, ~62% retrace.
NZDUSD spiked to a 0.58266 session high on the FOMC hold before fading back to 0.5788, retracing roughly 62% of the move. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the breakout above 0.5820 was not held.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.5820 would reopen the 0.58266 session high
Failure to hold 0.5787 fib 61.8 exposes 0.5762 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster (Thu 12:30 UTC) could reset this read
20:31 UTC
Spike faded, back to pre-spike · RSI 46 · price 0.5788
False break above range then rejection.
The FOMC hold spiked NZDUSD to a session high of 0.5826 during NY hours before a sharp rejection dragged price back to the ~0.5787 pre-spike area. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and ATR is elevated at ~112 pips as post-decision volatility unwinds.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5826, 0.5800, 0.5875
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5826 session high opens the path toward the 0.5875 7wk high
Loss of 0.5762 swing low confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE / GDP cluster (Thu 12:30 UTC) can reset this read
Rejection at session high, back to pre-spike level.
NY session spiked to a 0.5827 session high in the post-FOMC swing then fully retraced to 0.5788, leaving rejection at the highs. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as the move unwound; price is now sitting on the pre-spike level around 0.5788.
Support: 0.5772, 0.5763
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5827
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5820 reopens the 0.5827 session high
M15 close below 0.5772 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 0.5763 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session spiked post-FOMC from 0.5775 to a session high of 0.5826 as the USD leg softened, then rejected and retraced ~60% back to 0.5788. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral and price now sits just below EMA20 after the fade.
Support: 0.5787, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5787 opens 0.5762 session low
Reclaim of 0.5800 round number re-tests 0.58266 session high
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:02 UTC
Impulse higher, now fading · RSI 51 · price 0.57916
Sharp rally off session low, retracing the move.
The FOMC hold spiked NZDUSD off the 0.57628 session low to a 0.58266 session high, then price rejected and faded back to 0.5792, giving up most of the pop. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral from the surge; price now sits around the 50% retrace of the impulse.
Support: 0.5776, 0.57628
Resistance: 0.5802, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.58020 reopens the 0.58266 session high
Loss of 0.57760 exposes the 0.57628 session low
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT can reprice the USD leg
FOMC hold sparked a sharp spike from 0.57618 to a 0.58266 session high, then rejection dragged price back over half the move to 0.57916. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the impulsive leg unwinds; 0.57860 support is the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.5786, 0.5768, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58266
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57860 confirms retrace extends toward the 0.57680 pre-spike zone
Reclaim of 0.58200 re-opens the 0.58266 session high
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset this read
A dovish FOMC hold at 18:00 GMT ripped NZDUSD off the 0.57618 swing low up to a session high of 0.58266 as stretched USD longs unwound. Price is now fading back to the 0.5800 psych level, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 60s; the breakout base sits at 0.57760.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.58000 psych puts the breakout base at 0.57760 in focus
Failure to reclaim 0.58200 spike zone leaves the session high at 0.58266 as the ceiling
US Core PCE / Q2 GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could reset this read
The 18:00 GMT dovish FOMC hold sparked a vertical breakout from the 0.5760-0.5790 range, spiking to 0.58266 before rejection dragged price back to the 0.5800 round number. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the impulse fades; pullback holding above 0.57978 so far.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57978, 0.57628
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.58204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5800 opens the 0.57978 pullback low
Failure to reclaim 0.58266 confirms rejection at the session high
Warsh presser / FOMC aftermath still driving; Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT next macro risk
NZDUSD ripped from 0.5762 to a session high of 0.58266 as the dovish-lean FOMC hold squeezed stretched USD longs, RSI(14) still elevated near 66. Price has since faded to 0.58074, holding above the 0.5800 round level after the breakout.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5820
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5800 negates the breakout and reopens 0.57760
0.58266 session high is the ceiling — area to watch for rejection or extension
Fed presser tone could materially shift this read within the next bars
NZD ripped off 0.5762 into the FOMC hold at 18:00 GMT, clearing the day's 0.5760-0.5786 range and tagging 0.58266 as USD longs unwound. Price is now pulling back to 0.5807 with RSI cooling from overbought; the breakout at 0.5799 is the level to watch for a hold or reclaim.
Support: 0.5799, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58266, 0.5900
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5799 negates the breakout
Break above 0.58266 session high opens the path to 0.5900
Warsh presser / FOMC guidance could sharply reprice the USD leg
19:16 UTC
Sharp uptrend, extended · RSI 84 · price 0.58219
Impulsive breakout off session lows.
NZDUSD ripped from the 0.5762 swing low to a 0.58252 session high on a dovish FOMC hold that squeezed stretched USD longs, clearing 0.5800 in five straight bars. RSI(14) is deep overbought near 84 and price is well above both EMAs — the move is impulsive but stretched at the highs.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5777, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.58252, 0.5875
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5800 round number would negate the breakout
Acceptance above 0.58252 session high opens the path to the 0.5875 7-wk high
RSI above 80 signals near-term exhaustion risk into any pullback to 0.5777 breakout
FOMC held at 3.75% and the USD leg gave way, driving NZD/USD ~50 pips off the 0.5762 session low to a fresh session high at 0.58252 during NY hours. The move cleared the prior 0.5776 range with RSI(14) running hot near 78 — momentum stretched into the last hour.
Support: 0.5800, 0.57762, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58252, 0.5850
What it said to watch
Pullback into 0.5800 would test the breakout as support
Loss of 0.57762 negates the range break
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
19:02 UTC
Sharp uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 80 · price 0.58206
Range break, fresh higher highs.
NZDUSD ripped out of the 0.5786-0.5810 NY range on the FOMC hold and softer USD read, running from 0.5776 to 0.58219 in four bars with RSI(14) near 80. Breakout base sits at 0.5799-0.58077; the 0.5875 seven-week ceiling is the next upside marker while price holds sub-0.5900.
Support: 0.58077, 0.5799, 0.5786
Resistance: 0.58219, 0.5875, 0.5900
What it said to watch
Warsh presser aftermath could extend or fade this breakout in the next bars
Failure to hold the 0.5799 breakout base signals the spike is fading
NZDUSD exploded off the 0.57618 session low to 0.58219 as the Fed's on-hold decision triggered broad USD selling into the Warsh presser. RSI(14) is stretched above 80 after the vertical run, with 0.5800 round now the immediate reference and the 0.5875 seven-week high the next ceiling.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58219, 0.5875
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5800 round would signal the FOMC spike is fading
Break above 0.58219 session high opens the path to the 0.5875 7wk high
Warsh press-conference tone can extend or reverse this move within the hour
NZD/USD broke the 0.5762-0.5790 NY range with a vertical rally to 0.5810 as the USD sold off following the Fed's on-hold decision. Price spiked ~50 pips off the 0.57618 session low, pushing RSI(14) near 79 — short-term stretched with the Warsh presser still live.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.58101, 0.5860
What it said to watch
Ongoing FOMC presser can materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close back below 0.5779 negates the breakout
0.5860 zone is the next resistance to watch for rejection or break
Breakout above the day's range, fresh session high.
NZDUSD ripped off 0.5762 to a fresh session high at 0.5810 on the FOMC hold, clearing the 0.5765-0.5794 range that capped it through London. RSI(14) is hot near 78 after the spike; 0.5800 round-number is the immediate retest reference with Warsh's presser still live.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.58101, 0.5875
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5800 and back into the 0.5776 breakout lvl neutralises the up-leg
Warsh press conference underway can still whipsaw this read materially
Sustained hold above 0.5810 opens the path to the 0.5875 7-wk high
Range broken to upside on FOMC, pullback in progress.
NY session: the FOMC hold sparked a spike from the 0.5776 range base to 0.58036 as the USD softened, before easing back to 0.57977. RSI(14) near 66 after the impulse; price holding above both EMAs but stalling just under the session high.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.58036
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference is live and could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 0.58036 opens the path toward the 0.5875 zone
Failure to hold the 0.5776 range base negates the breakout
The FOMC hold at 18:30 UTC spiked NZD/USD from 0.5776 to 0.58036, breaking the tight NY range as USD longs trimmed on the sell-the-fact. Price has since faded back to 0.5798, holding above the 0.5795 spike origin with RSI(14) cooling off the pop.
Support: 0.5795, 0.57755, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58036
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.5795 keeps the breakout intact
Loss of 0.57755 negates the FOMC pop and reopens 0.57627
Warsh press conference underway — headlines could materially shift this read
NZD/USD ripped out of its 0.5762-0.5786 NY range on the 18:00 GMT FOMC print, tagging 0.58036 before settling at 0.5799 into the 0.5800 psych mark. RSI(14) is hot near 71 after the impulse; ATR near 6 pips understates the single-bar expansion.
Support: 0.5776, 0.57618
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58036
What it said to watch
Fed press conference at 18:30 GMT could extend or reverse this spike
A close back below 0.5776 negates the breakout
0.5800 psych — area to watch for rejection or acceptance above
Price broke sharply out of the 0.5762-0.5793 range on the 18:00 GMT FOMC print, tagging 0.58036 before closing 0.5799 with RSI(14) pushing into the low 70s. The move cleared the prior-day supply band; 0.5776 flipped to first support.
Support: 0.5776, 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.58036, 0.5875
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference in ~15min could extend or fully reverse this leg
M15 close back below 0.5776 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
Sustained acceptance above 0.58036 spike high opens the 0.5875 7wk high
NZDUSD spiked ~28 pips on the FOMC print, ripping through the 0.5762–0.5790 range that had held all session and printing a fresh high at 0.58036. The move reflects a softer-USD reaction; RSI(14) is hot near 74 but that is normal on an impulse leg this size.
Support: 0.5777, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.58036, 0.5875
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can materially reprice this move
M15 close back below 0.5777 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Sustained trade above 0.58036 opens the 0.5875 zone — area to watch for continuation or rejection
18:02 UTC
Range broken to the upside on FOMC · RSI 71 · price 0.58028
Intraday range break, fresh session high.
NZDUSD spiked out of the 0.5762–0.5794 intraday range on the FOMC print, tagging 0.58036 and closing at 0.58028 with RSI(14) pushing above 70. The former range top at 0.5794 now flips to first support; 0.5820 is the next area to watch on the topside.
Support: 0.5794, 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5860
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5794 negates the range break and puts 0.5762 session low back in play
FOMC press conference in ~30min could materially shift this read
0.5900 remains the higher-timeframe pivot capping the recovery
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.57758
Lower highs / lower lows, bounce from session low.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session to a session low of 0.5762 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.5776 as traders squared into the FOMC. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold near the low toward neutral; the descending sequence of lower highs still caps around 0.5782.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5782
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent — likely to override intraday structure
Reclaim of 0.5782 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.5762 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.5743
NZDUSD sold through NY hours to a session low at 0.5762, then buyers stepped in and lifted price to 0.5776 as RSI(14) recovered from oversold. The move stalls under the descending highs into an imminent FOMC decision.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5782
What it said to watch
FOMC in minutes is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
M15 close above 0.57820 breaks the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD drifted lower through the NY session, printing a low at 0.5762 before a modest bounce to 0.5772; price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s. Traders are squaring into the FOMC decision, which dominates the next-bar read.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5793
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~30min) is the dominant driver and could invalidate this read
Break below 0.5762 session low opens 0.5743
Reclaim of the 0.5793 50-day sma needed to shift the intraday structure
NZDUSD drifted lower through the London-NY window from 0.5794 into a session low at 0.5762, where buyers stepped in twice before a recovery to 0.5772. RSI(14) has lifted off the lows to ~47 but price sits below EMA20/50 with FOMC now ~30 minutes out.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5780, 0.5794
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 0.5780 invalidates the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.5762 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.5743
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.57713
Lower highs and lower lows, testing session low.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session to a low of 0.57618, then clawed back to 0.57713 in the final bars while holding below EMA20. Move is squaring into the FOMC decision, the dominant driver for the next bars.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5779
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT imminent — could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.57790 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.57618 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.57600
NY session sold NZDUSD to a session low of 0.5763 before an 8-pip bounce back to 0.5771; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI recovering from the low 30s. Traders are squared ahead of the imminent FOMC decision, which is capping any follow-through.
Support: 0.57628, 0.5768
Resistance: 0.5776
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in under an hour is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this read
Reclaim of 0.57760 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.57628 session low confirms continuation of the down leg
NZDUSD ground lower through NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.5762 before a shallow bounce to 0.5766, RSI(14) near 38. Sellers have held a descending sequence of lower highs; USD kept firm as traders squared into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5772
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (18:00 GMT) is imminent and will override this structural read
Close below 0.5762 confirms continuation toward 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5772 needed to challenge the descending highs
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 0.5762 before a shallow bounce to 0.5766, with the USD supported into the FOMC. RSI(14) near 40 as the down-leg loses steam; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent — the dominant driver for the next bars
M15 close below 0.5762 opens 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5786 would break the sequence of lower highs
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, extending into NY · RSI 32 · price 0.57644
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.5776 support and printing a fresh session low at 0.57618 with RSI(14) near 31. The RBNZ-hike premium is offset by a firm USD as the market squares up ahead of FOMC; price is pinned near the lows on light volume.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.57686, 0.5776
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.57618 session low opens 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.57686 swing high would ease downside pressure
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking prior support at 0.5779 and printing a fresh session low at 0.5762 as USD stayed firm into the FOMC. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 31 — soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5779
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~1h out is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
Loss of 0.5762 opens the path toward the 0.5743 swing low
M15 close back above 0.5779 would neutralise the lower-low sequence
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending into NY · RSI 34 · price 0.5766
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the prior range floor to print a fresh low at 0.5762 before a shallow bounce to 0.5766. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34 as traders de-risk into the FOMC.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1.5h out) is the dominant driver and can override this read
A sustained loss of 0.5762 opens the path to 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5786 swing high would negate the lower-high chain
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 34 · price 0.5766
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 0.5770.
NY session sold NZD through the 0.5770 shelf that held all of London, printing a fresh session low at 0.5762 ahead of the FOMC. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not yet oversold as traders de-risk into the decision.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5772, 0.5793
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~1.5h away is the dominant driver and can override this read
Sustained M15 close below 0.5762 opens the path to 0.5743
Reclaim of prior sup at 0.5772 would neutralise the breakdown; 50-day at 0.5793 above
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 33 · price 0.57621
Descending highs, pressing session low.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, chaining lower highs and lower lows down to the session low at 0.5762 as a firm USD capped the Kiwi into the FOMC. Price sits at 0.57621 below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33 — pressured but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5772
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h is the dominant driver and could reset this read entirely
A break and hold below 0.5762 opens the path toward the 0.5743 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5772 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
Kiwi slid through the NY session, breaking the 0.57680 shelf to print a fresh low at 0.57618 with a firm USD holding the bid into FOMC. RSI(14) near 27 flags short-term oversold but momentum stays with the sellers; no basing structure yet.
Support: 0.57618, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.57687
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~1.75h out is the dominant driver and could invalidate this read on either side
M15 close back above 0.57687 recent high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.57618 session low opens the path toward 0.57600 psych
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, at session low · RSI 35 · price 0.57675
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh low.
NZDUSD grinding lower through the NY session, printing a fresh low at 0.5767 with a chain of lower highs from 0.5794. RSI(14) near 34 but not yet stretched; USD firm as traders square up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.5767, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5782, 0.57864, 0.5790
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h is the dominant driver and can override this read
Loss of 0.5767 opens 0.5762 as the next lower low
M15 close back above 0.5782 breaks the descending sequence
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 35 · price 0.57675
Lower highs, lower lows into FOMC.
NZDUSD ground down through the NY session to a fresh low at 0.5767, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 35 — soft but not stretched. Sellers capped every bounce under 0.5786 as traders squared up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.57671, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.57864
What it said to watch
FOMC in ~2h is the dominant driver and can override this read
M15 close below 0.5767 confirms the lower-low and opens 0.5743
NY session drifted lower off the 0.5782 pivot, printing a fresh session low at 0.57675 before stabilising near 0.57703; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 37, soft but not extreme. Traders are squaring up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC, keeping the drift shallow and orderly.
Support: 0.57675, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5776, 0.5782
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~2h out is the dominant driver and can override this structure
M15 close below 0.57675 confirms a lower low and opens 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57820 negates the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD ground to a fresh session low at 0.5768 during NY hours, a clean lower-high/lower-low chain off the 0.5794 area, RSI(14) near 37. Sellers capped every bounce below 0.5785 as traders squared into the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.5768, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.5790
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57850 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.57680 session low extends toward 0.5762
FOMC decision ~2h out will override this intraday read
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.5770 prior low to print a fresh session low at 0.5768 as USD held firm into FOMC. RSI(14) around 34 — soft but not yet oversold; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact below the 0.5786 swing.
Support: 0.5768, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2.5h is the dominant driver and can override this read
Loss of 0.5762 opens the path to the 0.5743 swing low
M15 close back above 0.5786 breaks the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD ground to fresh session lows near 0.5768 through NY hours, chaining lower highs off the 0.5794 swing as traders pared exposure ahead of the FOMC. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 34 — soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.5768, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5782, 0.5786, 0.5793
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is imminent and will dominate the next bars
M15 close back above 0.5782 breaks the lower-high chain
NY session ground NZDUSD to a fresh session low at 0.5769 as USD held firm into the FOMC, price breaking the 0.5773 intraday base. RSI(14) at 41 with no divergence; pair now below both EMAs and capped by a descending sequence of highs into 0.5782.
Support: 0.5769, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5782
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3h out) is the dominant driver and can invalidate this read
Loss of 0.5769 opens 0.5762 then 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5782 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and tagging the 0.5770 session low twice with price capped below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 40, not yet oversold, with the pair squared up sub-0.5790 into the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5790
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5770 confirms continuation toward 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5786 lower-high zone would neutralise the downtrend read
FOMC in ~3h is the dominant driver and could invalidate this range structure
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.5773 range floor to a session low of 0.57695 ahead of the FOMC decision. RSI(14) near 39 with price below both EMA20 and EMA50; USD held firm on the oil/geopolitics bid capping the Kiwi despite the RBNZ premium.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5760
Resistance: 0.5785
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h is the dominant driver and can override this read
Sustained break below 0.57695 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.57850 swing high negates the breakdown
NY session leg lower has NZD/USD breaking the 0.5776 range floor and pressing the session low at 0.57695, price below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 37. Move fits a USD bid underneath into the FOMC event.
Support: 0.57695, 0.57743, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5782
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.57820 negates the breakdown read
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3h) will dominate this read
NZDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.5770-0.5794 band with descending highs, drifting back toward the 0.57748 swing low after a bounce off the 0.57695 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 42; traders are squared up ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.57748, 0.57695
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.57944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
NZDUSD is boxed between 0.5769 and 0.5786 through the London-NY session, price hugging the lower half at 0.5775 with RSI(14) neutral near 43. Sub-0.5900 grind holds as traders sit squared into the imminent FOMC.
Support: 0.5769, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5797
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT will dictate the next leg — dominant near-term driver
M15 close below 0.5769 confirms a lower-low toward 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.5786 puts the 0.5797 session high back in play
14:31 UTC
Choppy, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.57823
Intraday range, recovering off session low.
NZDUSD chopped through the session, sliding from the 0.5797 high to a 0.57695 low before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 0.5782. Kiwi remains squared up sub-0.5900 with traders holding fire into the FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5776
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.57975
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3.5h out) is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5776 downside
Reclaim of 0.57864 puts the 0.5797 session high back in focus
14:31 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 52 · price 0.57823
Range-bound into FOMC, mid-range.
NZDUSD is boxed between 0.5777 and 0.5785 through the NY session, holding just off the 0.57695 swing low swept earlier. Traders are squared up ahead of the FOMC decision, RSI(14) flat near 52 with no momentum edge on this timeframe.
Support: 0.5777, 0.57695
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.57965
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~3.5h out is the dominant driver and can void this range read
Close above 0.5785 opens the 0.57965 range high
Failure to hold 0.5777 exposes the 0.57695 swing low
14:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 0.57783
Consolidation into FOMC, mid-range.
NZDUSD is coiled in a ~0.5770-0.5786 band through the NY session as traders sit on hands ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. Buyers stepped in at the 0.57695 swing low earlier and the pair recovered to 0.57864 before fading back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.57905
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1.75h) is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path back toward 0.57905
Loss of 0.57695 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.5762
14:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound into FOMC · RSI 48 · price 0.57783
Range 0.5770-0.5786, low swept and recovered.
NZDUSD is chopping in a 0.5770-0.5786 range as traders sit on hands into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. The 0.57695 session low was swept during NY hours and bought back to 0.5786 before fading to 0.57783; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57695
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5795
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~4h is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.5786 opens the path to 0.5795
Loss of 0.57695 confirms a lower low
14:02 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.5785
Ranging 0.5770-0.5798, session low swept.
NZDUSD swept the session low at 0.57695 during NY hours then recovered back to 0.5785, holding inside a tight 0.5770-0.5798 range. Two-way, event-driven chop with buyers stepping back in near 0.5770 and supply capping around the range high.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5860
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h out) is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
M15 close above 0.5798 opens the path toward the 0.5860 context resistance
Loss of 0.5770 swing low reopens 0.5762
14:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear trend into FOMC · RSI 54 · price 0.5785
Range 0.5770-0.5798, recovered off session low.
NZDUSD chopping in a tight 0.5770-0.5798 band as traders sit on their hands ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. Price swept the session low at 0.57695 mid-window then recovered back to 0.5785; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no momentum edge.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57984, 0.5820
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can break this range in either direction
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the path toward 0.5820
Loss of 0.5770 reopens 0.5762 as the next downside reference
NZDUSD chopping in a ~25-pip band; the NY session swept the session low to 0.57695 before buyers stepped back in, price now recovering to 0.57805. Move stays trapped under 0.57840 with the wider 0.5776-0.57944 range intact ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5776
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57944
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT (~4h out) is the dominant driver and can override this range read
M15 close back below 0.57695 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.57840 puts the 0.57944 session high back in focus
13:46 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower off the highs · RSI 51 · price 0.57805
Range between 0.5770 and 0.5795, low swept then reclaimed.
NZDUSD is chopping 0.5770-0.5795 with traders squared up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. A dip to 0.57695 during NY hours was rejected and buyers reclaimed 0.578, leaving RSI(14) flat near 50 and price pinned below the 0.5790 pivot.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5773
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.5790
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT in ~4h is the dominant driver and will likely break this range
Choppy range, lower highs, session low swept and recovered.
NY session dipped to a session low at 0.57695 then recovered to 0.5781, keeping the pair boxed in a 0.5770-0.5788 range with RSI(14) flat near 52. Lower highs since the early 0.57984 print show supply capping, but demand stepped in at the session low. Price sits squeezed just below EMA50 with the FOMC decision imminent.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5776
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.57945, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC statement at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.5788 opens the path back to the 0.57945 prior high
NZDUSD is trapped in a tight 0.5773-0.5794 band as traders sit on their hands into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. Price swept the session low at 0.57695 and recovered to 0.5781, RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57695
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~4.5h is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a lower-low
Close above 0.57840 puts the 0.5794 range top back in focus
NZDUSD chopped in a tight 0.5770-0.5794 band through the session, then swept the session low to 0.57695 during NY hours before recovering to 0.5778. Move sits below the 0.5784 swing with RSI mid-range; the market is squared up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5773, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.5794
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could break this range decisively
M15 close below 0.57695 opens 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57840 would put the 0.5794 session high back in focus
NZDUSD is grinding sideways in a tight 0.5770–0.5794 band, having sold off to a session low at 0.57695 before a modest recovery to 0.57784. Traders are squared up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC; price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5773
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.5790
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — a dovish read opens the 0.5790 pivot, a hawkish hold pressures 0.57695 session low
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.57840 session high needed to challenge the 0.5790 pivot
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and sweeping the session low at 0.57695 before recovering to 0.5776. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 43, no fresh momentum either way as traders sit on their hands ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5773
Resistance: 0.5784
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~5h away is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
M15 close back above 0.57840 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57695 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.5762
Lower highs into a session low sweep, small bounce.
NZDUSD drifted lower through the London-NY session, printing a run of lower highs before sweeping the session low at 0.57695 and recovering to 0.5776. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43, chopping in a tight band as traders sit on their hands ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.5793
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can reset this read
M15 close below 0.57695 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.5793 needed to unwind the intraday drift
12:46 UTC
Downtrend within session range · RSI 41 · price 0.57751
Lower highs, testing range floor.
NZDUSD drifted lower through the London-NY transition, dipping to a fresh session low at 0.57695 before recovering to 0.5775; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41. Range-bound between 0.5770 and 0.5794 with sellers capping bounces into the EMAs — FOMC in roughly 5h is the dominant event risk.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5783, 0.57944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5770 opens the path to 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57830 EMA20 neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into FOMC · RSI 43 · price 0.57751
Lower highs, session low swept at 0.5770.
NZDUSD ground lower through the London-NY transition, sweeping the session low at 0.57695 before a modest bounce back to 0.5775. Lower highs intact and price sits below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 43, no extreme.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5784
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
Reclaim of 0.57840 swing high would break the lower-high chain
A close below 0.57695 confirms continuation toward 0.5762
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 35 · price 0.57713
Lower highs, break below intraday range.
NZDUSD leaked lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.57800 range floor and printing a fresh day low at 0.57695 as traders squared into FOMC. RSI(14) near 35, no oversold extreme yet; price drifting on a firm USD offsetting the RBNZ premium.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5780, 0.5784
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent — dominant driver, can override this read next bars
Loss of 0.57695 opens the path to 0.57620 next support
Reclaim of 0.57800 range floor would neutralise the downside break
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, sliding into FOMC · RSI 36 · price 0.57713
Lower highs, breaking session lows.
NZDUSD ground lower through the NY session, sliding from 0.5794 to a fresh session low at 0.57695 with sellers pressing the last hour. Price sits below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 36 but not yet extreme, as the market squares up ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.57695, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.5790
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.57695 opens the path to 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57840 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD slipped through the 0.5782 base and is pressing session lows at 0.5773 into the FOMC, RSI(14) near 40. Traders squaring up ahead of the Fed keep the pair heavy but two-way; a firm USD leg is capping any recovery.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5782
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5773 confirms a lower-low toward 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.5782 negates the breakdown
FOMC in ~6h could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Drifting lower into FOMC · RSI 39 · price 0.57734
Lower highs, session low tested.
NZDUSD ground out a chain of lower highs from 0.57984 and slipped to a session low at 0.5773 as traders squared up ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) near 39 with price below both EMAs; no upside momentum on this timeframe.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57678, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.5790, 0.57943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5773 opens 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.5784 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC (18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and could override this read
NZDUSD is grinding out lower highs from 0.57943 and pressing the lower end of a 0.5776-0.5794 intraday range, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 with rejections capping at 0.5784 through the London afternoon; the pair is squared up ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.57765, 0.57734
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57943
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57765 opens a retest of the 0.57734 swing low
A close back above 0.57840 range top negates the lower-high drift
FOMC decision ~6h out is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
12:02 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 42 · price 0.57776
Lower highs off session high, holding above 0.5776.
NZDUSD is grinding lower off the 0.5794 session high toward the 0.5776 session low, printing a chain of lower highs during the London-NY window. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and price trades below EMA20/50 — a tight two-way drift as traders sit squared into the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.57761, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57943
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can break this range on either side
M15 close below 0.57761 opens 0.57743 then 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.57840 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
11:46 UTC
Mild downdrift within range · RSI 44 · price 0.57784
Ranging, lower highs into FOMC.
NZDUSD is grinding lower off the 0.5793 area, drifting toward the session low at 0.5776 inside a tight ~30 pip band as traders sit squared ahead of the FOMC. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with a chain of lower highs, but momentum is flat rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5761
Resistance: 0.5785
What it said to watch
FOMC decision imminent could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.5776 opens the path to 0.5761
Reclaim of 0.5785 pulls price back to the range mid
Lower highs since mid-window, testing recent lows.
NZDUSD has bled lower through the London session, setting lower highs from 0.5793 and now probing 0.5776 support, RSI(14) soft near 41. Price is squared in a tight sub-0.5900 band as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5776 opens 0.5762 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5793 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC in ~6h is the dominant catalyst for this pair
11:31 UTC
Sideways, mild downdrift · RSI 47 · price 0.57818
Range-bound with lower highs into FOMC.
NZDUSD ranging 0.5776–0.5794 through the London session, drifting off the 0.5794 session high with a chain of lower highs. Buyers stepped in at the 0.5776 session low and the pair bounced back near 0.5782; RSI(14) sits mid-range, no momentum edge in play.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~6.5h is the dominant catalyst — likely to break this range either way
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the 0.5800 round number
Failure to hold 0.5776 exposes 0.5762
11:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.57818
Intraday range 0.5776-0.5794, holding sub-EMAs.
NZDUSD ground lower through the London session to tag a session low at 0.57765 before a shallow bounce to 0.5782; price sits below EMA20/EMA50 in a tight range. Traders are squared into the FOMC decision, keeping ranges compressed with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.57765, 0.57682
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57765 opens the 0.57682 range base
Reclaim of 0.5784 needed to shift the intraday drift; 0.57944 caps above
FOMC decision ~6h out is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
NZDUSD is drifting lower through London hours, carving lower highs from the 0.5794 session high down to a 0.5776 session low, now hovering near 0.5781. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the pair remains coiled below 0.5900 with traders squared ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 0.57761, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (~18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
Break of 0.5776 session low opens the path to 0.5762
Close back above 0.5794 negates the lower-high sequence
NZDUSD drifted off the 0.57943 session high through the London hours, printing a chain of lower highs into a 0.57761 session low before a small bounce to 0.57808. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with price under both EMAs; the pair is coiling sub-0.5790 with traders squared ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57761, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57849, 0.57943
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57849 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.57761 session low opens 0.57743 prior low
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
NZDUSD is drifting lower through the NY approach, printing lower highs off the 0.5794 session peak and now testing 0.5776. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no exhaustion yet, and traders are squared sub-0.5900 ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57761, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57761 confirms continuation toward 0.57743
Reclaim of 0.57840 minor high neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
London session grinding lower off the 0.5794 swing high, printing lower highs into the FOMC and sitting on the 0.57765 session low. RSI(14) near 40, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as traders square up ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.57765, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57845, 0.57944
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (18:00 GMT) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this intraday read
Loss of 0.57765 session low opens 0.57743 then 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57845 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.57773
Lower highs into London, testing session low.
NZDUSD grinding lower through London, printing lower highs off the 0.57943 peak and now probing the 0.57765 session low, RSI(14) soft near 38. Move is contained; the 0.5860-0.5900 pivot band and FOMC later keep flow squared.
Support: 0.57765, 0.57743, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.5790
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57743 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.5784 negates the lower-high drift
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.57788
Coiled below session high, lower highs into current bar.
NZDUSD is hemmed in a 0.57743–0.57984 range, with a rejection at the session high and a chain of lower highs dragging price back to 0.5779 during London hours. Kiwi stays squared and capped sub-0.5900 into the FOMC, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57943, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~7.5h is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
Close below 0.57743 opens the 0.5762 base low
Reclaim of 0.57943 puts the 0.57984 session high back in play
M15 topped at 0.5798 early in the window and has ground out lower highs through the London session, now coiling just above the 0.57774 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s. This is the pre-FOMC squeeze the digest flags — the pair squared into the Fed sub-0.5900.
Support: 0.57774, 0.57743, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5784, 0.57944, 0.5798
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57774 confirms a lower-low toward 0.57743
Break above the 0.5784 lower-high line negates the drift
FOMC decision today (18:00 GMT) is the dominant driver and can override this micro read
NZDUSD is boxed between the 0.57774 session low and the 0.57944 session high, with price now slipping to 0.57792 as London hours grind sideways ahead of the FOMC. The mid-window high at 0.57984 was faded and RSI(14) sits mid-40s — no directional setup while traders stay squared into the Fed.
Support: 0.57774, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 0.57743 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 0.57944 puts the 0.57984 range top back in play
10:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.57792
Consolidation below 0.5794, recent lower highs.
NZDUSD is coiled in a 0.5774–0.5794 band during London hours, with sellers capping the 0.5794 swing high and price now easing toward the session low. Traders are squared into today's FOMC (18:00 GMT), so intraday flow is tight, ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57743 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.57944 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 GMT will override this intraday structure
10:02 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.57799
Range with lower highs into FOMC.
NZDUSD drifted off the 0.5798 day high made in the Asian session and is grinding the lower end of the range near 0.5780, RSI(14) around 41. Sequence of lower highs since 0.5794 rejected, price sub-EMA20/50, with traders squared ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.5780, 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5798
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~8h) is the dominant driver and can void this range read
M15 close below 0.5776 confirms a lower low toward 0.5762
Coiled range after early rally, drifting lower into London.
NZDUSD rallied from 0.5764 to a 0.5798 session high early, then rolled into a tight 0.5776–0.5794 range through London, now drifting toward the lower edge at 0.578. RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR compressed near 4 pips as traders sit squared ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.57776, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.57944 reopens the 0.5798 high
Failure to hold 0.57743 confirms a lower-low
09:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.57831
Consolidating below 0.5790 after fading session high.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.57984 session high and is coiling around 0.5783, roughly the 50% retrace of the London push, with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Traders are squared into today's FOMC after the Kiwi bounced off its 0.5776 base.
Support: 0.57805, 0.57743, 0.57762
Resistance: 0.57905, 0.57944, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5790 reopens the 0.5944/0.5984 session highs
Loss of 0.57805 exposes the 0.57743 prior low
FOMC decision today is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this range
NZDUSD is boxed in a tight 0.5774–0.5794 range through the London session, coiling below 0.5900 ahead of the FOMC. Price ticked off the 0.57944 session high and now sits mid-range at 0.5783 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5780
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 0.57944 opens the path to 0.57984
Loss of 0.57743 confirms a lower low
09:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.57831
Consolidation below 0.5795 after failed push at 0.5798.
NZDUSD is coiling in the 0.5779–0.5795 band, capped below the 0.5900 pivot as traders square up into the FOMC. Price is printing lower highs since the 0.5798 session peak, with RSI(14) mid-range and price hugging the EMA20/50.
Support: 0.57795, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57945, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57945 reopens the session high at 0.57984
Loss of 0.57795 exposes the range low at 0.57743
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can void this range read
09:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 0.57831
Coiled below 0.5790 after fading the 0.5798 session high.
NZDUSD is ranging 0.5779–0.5798 after rejecting the 0.5798 session high during Asia and fading back through EMA20. Price is coiled mid-range at 0.5783 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — squared into the FOMC decision later today.
Support: 0.57795, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.57905, 0.57984
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57795 swing low opens the 0.57743 session low
M15 close above 0.57905 swing high re-tests the 0.57984 session high
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override this range read
09:16 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.57848
Range, mid-band after London rally faded.
London pushed to a session high at 0.57984 then faded, and NZDUSD has coiled in a 0.5774–0.5793 band since, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price is squared just under EMA20 with traders sidelined ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5764
Resistance: 0.57933, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and will likely resolve this range
M15 close above 0.57933 recent high reopens the 0.57984 session high
Loss of 0.57743 swing low exposes the 0.5764 range low
09:16 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.57848
Coiled below 0.5794, holding above 0.5779.
NZDUSD ranging 0.5779–0.5794 through the session, coiling into the FOMC with traders squared. Price pulled back to mid-range at 0.57848 after rejection at the 0.5794 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range
Close above 0.5794 opens the path back to the 0.57984 session high
Loss of 0.5779 range low exposes the 0.57743 swing low
09:03 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.57825
Coiling inside 0.5780-0.5800 into FOMC.
NZDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.5780-0.5800 band, having faded from the 0.5794 session high back toward 0.5782 during the London-NY transition. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with no momentum edge as traders sit sidelined ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.5780, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this coil either way
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path higher; loss of 0.5780 exposes the 0.5762 range low
09:02 UTC
Rangebound, drifting off highs · RSI 48 · price 0.57825
Coiling below session high into FOMC.
NZDUSD is coiling in a 0.5776-0.5800 range, drifting off the 0.5798 session high with price now under EMA20/50 and RSI neutral near 47. The Kiwi is pinned and directionless as traders sideline ahead of the FOMC, with hawkish RBNZ capping the downside.
Support: 0.57798, 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path back to session high 0.57984
Break below 0.5776 session low exposes the 0.5762 range base
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Powell presser will dictate the break direction
08:46 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.57829
Coiling below 0.5800 into Fed.
NZDUSD compressed between 0.5774 and 0.5797 through the Asia-London window, price idling at 0.5783 just under EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 47 confirms the flat, pre-FOMC coil — no setup in play.
Support: 0.57798, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57975, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 invalidates the range read and opens the 50-day SMA cap
Break of 0.5762 exposes 0.5743 then 0.5700
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and will likely set the next leg
08:46 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 0.57829
Coiling mid-range into FOMC.
NZDUSD stuck in a 0.5776-0.5794 coil inside the broader 0.5762-0.5800 range, drifting off the earlier 0.57984 high with RSI hovering near 46. Sellers capped the push at 0.5794 during NY hours; no setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych cap breaks the range top
Failure to hold 0.5776 swing low exposes the 0.5762 range low
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this read
08:31 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 45 · price 0.57809
Coiling below session high into FOMC.
NZDUSD is compressed in a 0.5774-0.5794 band, pinned sub-0.5800 as traders sit sidelined ahead of the FOMC. The session high at 0.57944 was rejected and price has drifted back to 0.5781, holding above the 0.57743 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych level would break the range top
Loss of 0.57743 swing low opens 0.5762 range low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
08:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.57809
Range-bound coil into FOMC.
NZDUSD is coiling between 0.5774 and 0.5793 through the London session, easing off the session high after failing to reclaim 0.5800. RSI(14) mid-range near 43 and price sitting under EMA20/50 — no directional break yet ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5774 opens the path toward the 0.5762 range low
Reclaim of 0.5793 session high would re-target the 0.5800 round number
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate this range read
08:16 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 46 · price 0.57827
Coiling 0.5762-0.5800 into FOMC.
NZDUSD is compressed in a 0.5762-0.5800 coil, drifting off the NY-session high at 0.57975 and now sitting just below EMA20/EMA50 near 0.5783. RSI(14) is neutral around 46 and price refuses to test 0.5800 with the 50d sma capping near 0.5793 — traders sidelined ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.57975, 0.5793, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this coil either way
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path back to session extremes
NZDUSD is boxed between 0.5775 and 0.5794, ticking off session highs into the FOMC. Price slipped back under EMA20/50 as pre-Fed position-trimming keeps the Kiwi pinned; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57654, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.58000 psych cap
Loss of 0.5775 exposes the 0.57654 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
08:02 UTC
Sideways, coiling · RSI 48 · price 0.57855
Range 0.5774-0.5797, no fresh direction.
NZDUSD is coiling 0.5774-0.5797 through Asia/early-London, pinned sub-0.5800 ahead of today's FOMC. Price rejected the 0.5797 session high twice and has since drifted back toward the mid-range at 0.5786; RSI(14) neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5797, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 50-day cap; break below 0.5762 exposes 0.5743
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate the range read
08:02 UTC
Sideways, coiling · RSI 47 · price 0.57855
Range-bound sub-0.5800 into FOMC.
NZDUSD is coiling in a 0.5776–0.5797 band through the Asia session, price sitting mid-range at 0.57855 after fading from the 0.5798 high set overnight. RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed — classic pre-FOMC compression with the Fed the release valve.
Support: 0.5776, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5797, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this range either way
M15 close above 0.5797 range top exposes 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5776 range low opens a retest of the 0.5762 swing low
07:46 UTC
Sideways, coiling into Fed · RSI 53 · price 0.57875
Consolidation, rising intraday lows.
NZDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.5775-0.5794 band during London hours, capped repeatedly at the session high with the 0.5800 psych level just above. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and rising intraday lows show demand stepping in, but price is pinned ahead of the FOMC decision — the release valve for this range.
Support: 0.57865, 0.5775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for this pair
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path higher; loss of 0.5762 range floor exposes 0.5743
07:46 UTC
Range-bound, coiling · RSI 53 · price 0.57875
Compressed range below 0.5800.
NZDUSD is coiling in a tight 0.5774-0.5793 band into the FOMC, having recovered from the London-session dip to 0.5743. Rejection into the 50-day SMA near 0.5793 caps the upside while 0.5762 holds beneath; RSI(14) sits mid-range at 53.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 invalidates the range top
Break below 0.5762 exposes the 0.5743 swing low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and will likely resolve this coil
London morning is grinding NZD/USD up off 0.5775 toward the 0.5800 cap, with RSI(14) mid-range and no extreme. Price is pinned in a 0.5775-0.5800 coil ahead of the Fed, the 0.5800 area repeatedly capping.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 0.5775 exposes 0.5762 range base
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
07:31 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 55 · price 0.57898
Coiling under 0.5800, higher lows.
NZDUSD grinding up through the London session, printing higher lows off 0.57743 but capped at the 0.57944 session high, price now 0.57898. Pair stays coiled in the 0.5762–0.5800 pre-Fed range with RSI mid-range and no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.57862, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych cap opens continuation; rejection there keeps the range intact
Loss of 0.57862 swing low reopens 0.57743 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate this range read
07:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear drift · RSI 56 · price 0.57896
Chopping inside 0.5762-0.5800 band.
NZDUSD is boxed in the 0.5762-0.5800 range during London hours, with the session high at 0.57975 unbroken and the ~0.5793 sma cap repeatedly limiting rebounds. Price is grinding at 0.5790 with RSI(14) neutral near 56; two-way holding pattern into the FOMC.
Support: 0.57746, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57975, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 psych opens room toward the session high extension
Break below 0.57746 swing low exposes the 0.5762 range floor
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
London morning grinding higher along a chain of higher lows, capped just under the 50-day SMA / 0.5794 area after tagging the session high at 0.5798. Tight two-way band as the market sits on hands into the FOMC.
Support: 0.57865, 0.57775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.57975, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens the 0.5800 pivot
Loss of 0.5776 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
07:02 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 57 · price 0.57881
Higher lows grinding toward range top 0.5800.
NZDUSD grinding higher on a chain of higher lows off 0.57743, tagging a session high at 0.57944 before easing back to 0.5788. Pair is pinned in the 0.5760-0.5800 band ahead of the FOMC, with buyers stepping in around the rising support near 0.5777.
Support: 0.57772, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57944 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.57743 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
07:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction into FOMC · RSI 54 · price 0.57881
Consolidation in a tight intraday band.
NZDUSD is chopping in a 0.5762-0.5800 band, currently near the top around 0.5788 after a rebound off the 0.5773 swing low. Price keeps stalling under the 0.5793 50-day SMA cap; two-way with traders sitting on hands ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5793 opens a run at the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5775 swing low exposes the 0.5762 range low
FOMC decision later today is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this range read
NZDUSD is ranging roughly 0.5775–0.5798 through the Asia session, with price now pressing back toward the session high at 0.5794 on a chain of higher intraday lows. Kiwi stays pinned sub-0.5800 as the USD holds firm into FOMC; RSI(14) mid-range near 56, no extreme.
Support: 0.57775, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798/0.5800 opens the path toward the seven-week high
Failure to hold 0.5775 exposes the 0.57743 session low then 0.5762
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 59 · price 0.57886
Range 0.5762-0.5798, sitting upper half.
NZDUSD is pinned near 0.5770-0.5800 as a firm USD caps the pair into FOMC; the NY-session pop to 0.5798 faded through Asia before buyers rebuilt from 0.57743 into the London open. Price sits mid-upper range at 0.57886, above EMA20/50, with RSI(14) around 59 — no extreme.
Support: 0.5780, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens a retest of the 0.5800 figure
Loss of 0.57743 confirms a lower-low back toward the range base
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate this range read
06:31 UTC
Mild recovery within range · RSI 57 · price 0.57877
Consolidating below 0.5800, rising lows off 0.5774.
NZDUSD is grinding higher off the 0.5774 session low, pressing back toward the 0.5794 session high but still capped under the 0.5800 figure. Rising lows through the London-NY transition, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 — Kiwi pinned in a tight 0.5774–0.5794 band into FOMC.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5765, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5800 figure
Loss of 0.5774 rising-low structure re-exposes the 0.5765 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could reset this range
06:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, capped at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.57877
Range with higher lows into resistance.
Pre-London, kiwi ground back up from the 0.5775 higher low to retest the 0.5794 session high, where the last bar was rejected back to 0.57877. Price is pinned below the 0.5794/0.5800 cap flagged into FOMC, with RSI mid-range and no fresh extreme.
Support: 0.57775, 0.57743, 0.5764
Resistance: 0.57944, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5875 area
Loss of 0.57743 exposes the 0.5764 range low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and could reshape this read
06:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, grinding up · RSI 65 · price 0.57939
Higher lows into session-high resistance.
NZDUSD ground back up through the London-NY hours to 0.5794, retesting the session high band at 0.5798 and the 0.5800 figure that capped price earlier. RSI(14) near 65, firm but not extreme; the recovery held a chain of higher lows off 0.5774 with the Kiwi pinned sub-0.5800 into FOMC.
Support: 0.57774, 0.57743, 0.57654
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798/0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5875
Failure to hold 0.5774 reopens the 0.5765/0.5743 lows
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and can reset this read
06:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.57939
Higher lows recovering toward session high.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, retracing back to the 0.5798 session high after basing above 0.5775, with price pinned below the 0.5800 figure. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched — as the pair coils under resistance into today's FOMC.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5798 / 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5875
Failure to hold 0.5775 re-exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD has clawed back from the London session low near 0.5774, printing higher lows into NY and now testing the 0.5793 area — the 50-day cap and gateway to 0.5800. RSI(14) around 66, firm but not stretched; the session high at 0.5798 is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.57776, 0.5764
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens the 0.5800 figure
Loss of the rising low near 0.5777 stalls the recovery, re-exposing 0.5764 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, testing resistance cap · RSI 64 · price 0.5793
Higher lows off 0.5774, pressing 0.5793.
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5774 recent low through the Asian session and is pressing the 0.5793 50-day SMA cap, RSI(14) near 64. Buyers built a chain of higher lows into 0.5800; the figure and the SMA remain untested capping resistance ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5875
Failure to hold 0.5774 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.57906
Higher lows off 0.5774 base, testing session high.
Kiwi ground higher through the Asian session, recovering from the 0.5774 base along a chain of higher lows and now pressing back toward the 0.57984 session high. RSI mid-60s, no extreme; price is holding above both EMAs with the 0.5793/0.5800 cap the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.57779, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.57779 rising lows breaks the recovery structure toward 0.5774
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
NZD ground higher off the 0.5774 swing low into early London, printing higher lows and pressing back toward the session high at 0.5798 and the 50-day SMA ~0.5793. RSI mid-60s, no extreme; upside remains capped sub-0.5800 with the pair pinned into today's FOMC.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5875 area
Failure to hold 0.5774 exposes the 0.5762 swing low then 0.5743
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Recovery, grinding toward range top · RSI 62 · price 0.57894
Range with higher lows off 0.5774.
Kiwi carved a rounded bottom off 0.5774 and is grinding higher into the Asian session, pressing the 0.5793 50-day SMA cap after the earlier dip to session lows. RSI(14) near 62, momentum constructive but pinned below 0.5800 as a firm USD holds ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5764
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5793 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5774 higher-low support reopens the 0.5764 range low
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5775 swing low through the Asian session, grinding back toward the 0.5793 area as the USD eased pre-FOMC. RSI(14) in the low-60s with no extreme; price stalling just short of the 50d sma cap and the 0.57984 session high.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5793/0.5800 opens the 0.57984 session high
Failure to hold 0.5775 exposes the 0.57743 session low then 0.5754
FOMC decision later today can override this intraday read
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5774 swing low through the London-NY leg and is grinding higher in early Asia, last 0.5791 with RSI(14) around 63. Price sits below the 0.5798 session high and the 0.5800 figure, the band that has capped rebounds all window.
Support: 0.57815, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path back toward the 0.5875 area
Loss of 0.57743 reopens the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC risk referenced in the context could materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 0.57912
Higher lows, approaching session high.
Kiwi recovered off the 0.5774 session low through Asia hours, printing higher lows and grinding back toward the 0.5798 session high with RSI(14) around 63. Price holds above both EMAs but the 0.5798-0.5800 band remains the cap into the FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Failure to hold 0.57743 reopens the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Recovering, range-bound · RSI 57 · price 0.57874
Grinding up off session low, capped below 0.5798.
NZDUSD recovered from the 0.5774 session low and is grinding back toward 0.5788, still pinned below the 0.5798 session high as the USD holds firm into FOMC. Rising intraday lows keep the tone constructive within the 0.5774-0.5798 range, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 0.57776, 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 session high opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5774 session low reopens 0.5762/0.5743
FOMC ~13h out could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Range after intraday rally, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.57874
Consolidating below session high.
NZDUSD ran up to a session high at 0.5798 during Asian hours then pulled back into a tight 0.5774–0.5787 range, now drifting back to 0.5787. Kiwi stays pinned sub-0.5800 with the USD firm ahead of FOMC; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens a retest of the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5774 session low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation below session high after NY-peak fade.
NZDUSD ranged 0.5774-0.5798 after the NY-session push to 0.5798 was rejected and faded. Price is recovering to 0.5786 through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 56; range top still capping.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5774 range low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could invalidate this range read
04:47 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.57863
Consolidating below 0.5798 session high.
NZDUSD is boxed between 0.5775 and the 0.5798 session high after the NY-session pop stalled and faded. Price recovered through the quiet Asian range back to 0.5786, RSI(14) neutral near 55 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of 0.5775 exposes the 0.57620 swing low
FOMC later today could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Range after pullback from session high · RSI 53 · price 0.57822
Consolidating mid-range, higher lows building.
NZDUSD is ranging 0.5776–0.5786 through the Asia session after fading a run to the 0.5798 session high; the pair stays pinned near 0.5780 on firm USD ahead of the FOMC. Higher lows are forming off the 0.57743 swing low but the range top around 0.57860 keeps capping the recovery.
Support: 0.57776, 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5792
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57860 range top opens the path back to the 0.57920 prior high
Failure to hold 0.57743 swing low exposes 0.57620 session low
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could reset this range
04:32 UTC
Sideways after pullback from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.57822
Range, holding above 0.5774.
NZD pinned near 0.5782 into FOMC after the session high at 0.5798 was rejected and price faded back into a 0.5774–0.5786 range. RSI(14) sits mid-scale, no momentum edge, with buyers defending 0.5774 twice through the Asian session.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57869, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the immediate driver and could reset this range
M15 close above 0.57869 opens a retest of the 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.57743 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
04:17 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.57837
Consolidating below session high.
Kiwi rallied off 0.5762 to a session high at 0.5798 mid-window before fading, with USD firm into FOMC keeping the pair capped sub-0.5800. Since then it has consolidated in a tight 0.5775-0.5786 band, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.57745, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 range top opens the 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.5775 range low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 54 · price 0.57837
Consolidating below session high.
Kiwi ran to a session high at 0.5798 then faded, pinned near 0.5770-0.5790 as the USD holds firm into FOMC. Now consolidating 0.5775-0.5786, RSI(14) neutral around mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5798
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 minor high reopens 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.5775 range low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi pushed to a session high 0.5798 then faded through thin Asia to 0.5774, now grinding back to 0.5784 with a rising low chain. Supply capped the pair at the 0.5793 50-day SMA area; RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5793 opens the 0.5798-0.5800 cap
Loss of 0.5774 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Up then flattening, ranging · RSI 56 · price 0.57837
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
Kiwi rallied off the 0.5762 Asian low to a 0.5798 session high, then faded and has coiled in a 0.5775-0.5786 band as the USD holds firm into FOMC. Price is pressing the upper edge near 0.5784 with RSI mid-range; no clean directional break in play.
Support: 0.57775, 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57861, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57861 session high reopens the 0.5798 day high
Loss of 0.57775 range low exposes 0.57743 swing low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) can override this intraday read
Kiwi pushed to a session high at 0.5798 mid-window then got rejected, pulling back into a 0.5775–0.5786 range that has held into Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR compressed around 4.5 pips — no directional setup in play as the market pins near 0.5783 ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57754, 0.57685
Resistance: 0.57859, 0.57984
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could break this range either way
Close above 0.5786 reopens the 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.57754 exposes the 0.5768 area
03:47 UTC
Up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.57829
Consolidation below session high.
NZDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.5798 during the prior NY session but was rejected shy of the 0.5800 figure, then drifted back into a 0.5775-0.5786 consolidation through Asia. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is thin at ~6 pips as price idles ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57984 reopens the 0.5800 figure
Loss of 0.57743 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver this session
03:32 UTC
Range after fade from session high · RSI 48 · price 0.57805
Ranging 0.5775-0.5786 below 0.5800.
Kiwi rallied off 0.5762 to a session high of 0.5798 during NY hours, then faded through the Asia session and has drifted into a 0.5775-0.5786 range. RSI(14) near 47 with price hugging its EMAs — no directional edge as the market pins sub-0.5800 ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision is the immediate driver and could shift this read
M15 close above 0.5798/0.5800 opens a path back toward the session high
Failure to hold 0.5775 exposes the 0.5762 swing low
03:32 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.57805
Range under session high after impulse up.
Kiwi rallied off the 0.5762 area to a session high at 0.5798 before fading back into a tight 0.5774–0.5786 range, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Price now pinned near 0.5780 in Asia hours with buyers defending the 0.57743 session low.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57860 reopens the 0.5798 session high and 0.5800 psych
Break below 0.57743 session low exposes the 0.57619 swing low
FOMC-driven USD flows could break this range in either direction
Kiwi ran to 0.5798 during the prior session then rejected sub-0.5800, drifting back into a 0.5774–0.5785 consolidation with RSI(14) flat near 50. Price is pinned near 0.5770-0.5780 as the USD holds a firm undertone into FOMC.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800, 0.57934
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5800 opens the path back to the 0.5875 area
Failure to hold session low 0.57743 exposes 0.5762 swing low
FOMC is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Sideways, fading from session high · RSI 48 · price 0.57795
Ranging below 0.5798 after NY rally stalled.
NZDUSD rallied to a 0.5798 session high during NY hours then faded, and is now ranging 0.5775-0.5785 with RSI neutral. Price capped sub-0.5800 with sellers rejecting the figure, kiwi pinned as the USD holds a firm bid into FOMC.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 invalidates the range read, opening the 50-day area
Failure to hold 0.5775 exposes the 0.57619 swing low
FOMC is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.57804
Ranging after NY rally stalled.
Asian-session drift, ranging 0.5774–0.5798 after the NY rally to the 0.5798 session high stalled and rejected. RSI(14) neutral near 49 with price hovering at EMA20 in a thin, low-volume tape.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5798 session high opens the 0.5800 psych level
Loss of the 0.5774 session low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
FOMC aftermath and USD flows could break this range either way
03:03 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 49 · price 0.57804
Range mid, session high faded.
NZDUSD is ranging 0.5762–0.5798 across the Asia session, currently mid-range near 0.5780 after the London rally to 0.5798 was faded through the US session. Price sits on the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around neutral; no intraday setup in play ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5798
What it said to watch
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver and could invalidate this range read
M15 close above 0.5798 session high opens the path toward 0.5800+
Break of 0.5762 swing low exposes 0.5743
02:47 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 47 · price 0.57828
Range after rejection at 0.5798.
NZDUSD drifted off the 0.5798 NY session high and is consolidating in the low 0.5780s, with firm safe-haven USD capping into FOMC. Buyers defended 0.57743 on the last dip; range top at 0.5798 still respected, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57855, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57855 reopens the path to the 0.5798 session high
Failure to hold 0.57743 exposes the 0.57619 swing low
FOMC later today can materially shift this read
02:47 UTC
Range, faded from session high · RSI 49 · price 0.57828
Ranging below 0.5798 after NY pop.
Kiwi rallied to a session high 0.5798 during NY hours then faded through the Asian session into a 0.5775–0.5787 band, sitting just above last week's swing low with a firm USD capping. RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 as the intraday range compresses.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5787, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5774 exposes 0.5762 then last week's low
Reclaim of 0.5798 needed to resume the upside
FOMC later today can materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 0.57813
Ranging 0.5775-0.5798 after fade from session high.
Kiwi peaked at 0.5798 during NY hours then faded, now grinding in a 0.5775-0.5798 range with RSI near mid. A dip tagged 0.57743 before buyers reclaimed 0.5780; firm USD into FOMC is capping the topside.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57654, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.57853, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5775 opens the swing low at 0.5743
Reclaim of 0.57853 puts the session high at 0.5798 back in play
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC can override this range read
02:32 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 49 · price 0.57813
Consolidation below session high.
NZDUSD topped at the 0.57984 session high during NY and has since drifted into the mid-range near 0.5781, USD staying firm ahead of FOMC. A spike to the 0.57743 session low was bought back, keeping price coiled inside a 0.5774-0.5798 band.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5785 puts the 0.57984 session high back in play
Failure to hold 0.57743 session low exposes 0.5762 prior low
FOMC later today can materially shift this range read
Consolidating below 0.5793 pivot after fade off session high.
NZD grinding in a 0.5775-0.5790 band below the 0.5793 50-day SMA, a second leg lower off the 0.57984 session high as USD stays bid into FOMC. RSI(14) neutral near 48, no momentum extreme; the pop to 0.57859 in the last few hours was sold back.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5793 opens the path back toward the 0.57984 session high
Failure to hold 0.57743 exposes 0.57627 session low
FOMC decision later today dominates the near-term read
02:17 UTC
Up-move faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.57793
Range after rejection of session high.
NZDUSD popped to a session high at 0.57984 then rejected, fading back into a 0.5775-0.5785 band as a firm USD into FOMC caps rallies. Price sits mid-range just below EMA20/50, RSI(14) flat near 48 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57869, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57869 lower high reopens 0.57984 session high
Loss of 0.57743 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.5770
Kiwi rallied to 0.5798 during NY hours then faded, grinding back to a 61.8% retrace of that leg near 0.5776 as a firm USD held bid into FOMC. Pops to 0.5785 have been rejected and the last Asian-session bar swept the 0.57743 session low before recovering; still coiled below 0.5800.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5785, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57743 exposes 0.5762 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5785 reopens the 0.5798 session high
FOMC later today could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.5776
Lower highs after NY-session pop faded.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5798 session high made during NY hours and has ground lower through Asia, price now ~0.5776 with a firm safe-haven USD capping rallies into FOMC. Bars are printing lower highs; the 0.5762 swing low is the key downside marker.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5798
What it said to watch
Break of 0.5762 exposes 0.5743 week low
Reclaim of 0.5786 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC risk dominates USD tone in coming sessions
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.57754
Lower highs below 0.5800, grinding.
NY session pushed a pop to the session high at 0.5798 but it was rejected, and Kiwi has drifted lower into Asia hours, now pinned near 0.5775 with a firm USD ahead of the Fed. Current bar clipped 0.57743 before recovering; that session low is the near-term marker.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5787, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57743 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.5762
Reclaim of 0.5787 swing high needed to negate the drift
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could shift this read
01:47 UTC
Range after failed push higher · RSI 44 · price 0.57754
Kiwi tagged a session high at 0.5798 during NY hours then rolled over, grinding back to 0.5775 as a firm USD capped rallies. Now ranging 0.5775-0.5787 in Asia, RSI mid and price slipping under EMA20/50; last bar swept 0.57743 and recovered.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57654
Resistance: 0.57869, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57743 exposes the 0.57654 swing low
Reclaim of 0.57869 reopens the 0.5798 session high
FOMC later today can materially shift this range read
01:32 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, grinding lower · RSI 45 · price 0.57804
Faded off session high, ranging mid-0.5780s.
Kiwi rallied to 0.57984 during the NY session then faded, with USD staying bid into the Fed; it has since been grinding in the 0.5780-0.5786 band through Asia. Last bar swept 0.57757 and recovered to 0.57804, sitting near the 50% retrace of the NY leg with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.57757, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57880 reopens the 0.57984 session high
Loss of 0.57757 exposes 0.57619 swing low
FOMC later today could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Up-move stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.57804
Rally to 0.5798 rejected, coiling below 0.5786.
NZD/USD spiked to a session high of 0.5798 during the Asian-session lift then faded back into a 0.5779-0.5786 band, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with the 0.5800 psych pivot capping — no clean setup, grind in play.
Support: 0.57757, 0.5779
Resistance: 0.57869, 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57869 reopens the 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.57757 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC decision ~16h out could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Up then rolled over, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.57814
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
Kiwi ran to a session high of 0.5798 mid-window then rejected and rolled over, now grinding around 0.5781 with RSI(14) mid-range. Firm USD into the FOMC is capping the bounce; price is boxed between 0.5779 support and the 0.5786 recent pivot in Asia hours.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5762, 0.5743
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5779 recent low exposes the 0.5762 swing low
Reclaim of the 0.5786 recent pivot reopens the 0.5798 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC dominates the next moves and could reset this read
01:17 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 0.57814
Capped below 0.5800, coiling mid-range.
NZDUSD rejected the 0.57984 session high during London hours and drifted back to the 0.5780 area, now hovering at the 50% retrace of that leg. Price is coiled in a 0.5779-0.5800 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46; the Kiwi remains pinned below the 0.5800 psych level.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5779 opens the path toward 0.5762 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5800 psych level would negate the fade from session high
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.57826
Consolidation in low-0.5780s below session high.
NY session drove NZDUSD off the 0.57619 swing low to a session high at 0.57984, then the move faded into the Asia session. Price has since coiled in the low-0.5780s on thin volume, holding above the 0.5779 range low with the 0.5798 high uncontested.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57743, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.57984 opens the path toward the 0.5800 psych level
Failure to hold 0.5779 exposes the 0.57743 recent low then 0.57619 swing low
01:03 UTC
Pullback after rally, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.57826
Capped below 0.5798, consolidating mid-0.5780s.
Kiwi popped to a session high 0.5798 on the earlier USD-soft leg, then faded and has since coiled in a 0.5779-0.5787 band through the Asia session, price now sitting on the EMAs near 0.5782. RSI(14) neutral around 47 with no momentum edge in play.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5787, 0.5798
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5787 range top reopens 0.5798 session high
Loss of 0.5779 range low exposes 0.5774 session low then 0.5762 swing low
FOMC/USD tone the dominant driver — a hawkish shift could break this band lower
00:47 UTC
Range after failed push to 0.5800 · RSI 54 · price 0.57855
Consolidating below session high, capped under 0.5800.
Kiwi rallied to a session high of 0.5798 mid-window before fading, and is now grinding in a 0.5779-0.5786 band capped below the 0.5800 pivot. USD stays firm into the Fed tone flagged in the digest; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5774
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 invalidates the range read, opening room toward 0.5875
Failure to hold 0.5774 confirms a lower low
FOMC / USD safe-haven tone remains the dominant near-term driver
00:47 UTC
Up-leg stalling, now consolidating · RSI 55 · price 0.57855
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
Kiwi rallied through NY hours off the 0.5762 base to a session high of 0.57984, then rejected and has been grinding sideways around 0.5780-0.5788 through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the up-leg lost momentum below the 0.5793 pivot.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57619
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5793
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5793/session high 0.57984 reopens the upside toward 0.5875
Loss of 0.5779 swing low exposes the 0.57619 prior low
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Off session high, ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.57834
Pullback from 0.5798, coiling 0.5780-0.5785.
NZDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.5798 into the NY afternoon before rejection capped the move; price has since eased back and is grinding 0.5780-0.5785 in thin Asia-session liquidity. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral around 49 with the pair pinned just above the 0.5773 low.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5800 opens the path back toward the 0.5875 area
Loss of 0.5773 exposes the 0.5762 prior low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Pullback stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.57834
NY rally faded, now consolidating in thin Asia.
NY session pushed NZD/USD to 0.57984 before rejection dragged it back into a tight 0.5779-0.5786 band, now grinding through thin Asia liquidity. RSI(14) neutral near 47 after cooling off the rally; price sits right at EMA20.
Support: 0.57787, 0.57743, 0.57627
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 range top reopens 0.57984 session high
Break below 0.5779 range low exposes 0.57743 spike low then 0.57627
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could reset this range
00:17 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.57796
Ranging below session high after rejection.
NZDUSD ran up to a session high at 0.57984 during NY hours, then rolled over and gave back most of the move; safe-haven USD demand ahead of the Fed capped the rally. Thin Asia-session trade since, grinding in a 0.5779-0.5786 band with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57743
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.57984
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.5786 reopens the 0.57984 session high
Loss of 0.5779 range low exposes the 0.57743 swing low
FOMC decision later today could break this Asian range
00:17 UTC
Faded from session high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.57796
Rejection at 0.5798, consolidating mid-range.
NY session drove the Kiwi up to 0.57984 then faded through late hours as USD held bid; Asia is now grinding around 0.578, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) cooled back near neutral with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.5779, 0.57619, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5793
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5793/50d sma opens path back toward the 0.5798 session high
Loss of the 0.5779 range low exposes 0.5762 swing low
FOMC / USD tone remains the dominant near-term driver for this pair
NY session drove a rally into 0.57984 that was rejected below the 0.5800 psych level, then price faded to 0.5774 and has since ground sideways around 0.5780. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 — no directional setup in play in the current 0.5774-0.5786 band.
Support: 0.5774, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5798 reopens the path to the 0.5800 psych level
Failure to hold 0.5774 confirms a lower-low toward 0.5762 swing low
FOMC ~18h out is the dominant driver and can override this range read
NY session pushed to a session high of 0.5798 before fading, capped by the firm USD bid into FOMC. Since then a low-volume Asia grind has drifted price back to 0.5779, sitting just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.57984
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5779 session low opens the 0.5762 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5798 session high needed to revive the up-leg