19:34 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stretched · RSI 84 · price 1.41661
Breakout to fresh 14-month highs after multi-month base.
USDCAD consolidated 1.3600–1.3900 from March through early June, then broke out hard in the last two weeks, clearing the 1.4159 prior 14-month high to print 1.4182. The leg is driven by the record-hawkish Fed and sliding crude weighing on the loonie, but seven straight up-days have pushed daily RSI near 85 — a genuine overbought reading at this timeframe. Price sits above a rising EMA20 and EMA50 with no overhead historical resistance until the round 1.4200/1.4250 zone.
Support: 1.4159, 1.4000, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
- Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
- RSI near 85 flags overbought conditions and pullback risk
- Daily close back below 1.4159 prior high negates the breakout retest
- Loss of 1.4000 round number would expose the 1.3950 swing low