USDCHF sold off hard into the NY session after the soft US NFP print, breaking down to 0.80098 — the week's low — before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8020–0.8040 band, capped below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50. The 0.8054 area has capped the corrective bounce twice since the low.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8054
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80098 opens the 0.8000 psych handle
H1 close back above 0.80540 swing high would ease the downside pressure
ISM Services PMI Mon could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), breaking prior support and printing a week low near 0.8010 — the lowest since mid-June. Price has since based and clawed back above the 0.8040 pivot, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold to mid-range. The 0.8040 area is now the immediate pivot, capping the recovery while the broader week remains lower.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8020, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80523
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.8020 reopens the week low at 0.8010 and the 0.8000 psych handle
Reclaim of 0.80523 swing high would ease the downside pressure
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the next USD catalysts that could shift this read
USDCHF broke sharply lower Friday into the NY session after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), slicing through the 0.8040 pivot to a 0.80098 week low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8030–0.8040 band well below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) depressed around 40 after the impulse leg. The 0.8040 pivot has capped the recovery attempts so far.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80404 pivot would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80098 confirms a lower low toward the 0.8000 psych handle
SNB intervention rhetoric on renewed franc strength could snap the pair higher
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) are the next tests of the dovish USD read
USDCHF broke down hard through the NY session as the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) gutted the June rally, driving the pair to a week low of 0.80098 near the June-18 base at 0.8029. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8020–0.8040 band below EMA(20), with RSI(14) basing near 41 after the impulsive leg lower. The 0.80404 bounce high has capped the recovery.
Support: 0.8029, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80404 and EMA(20) would question the downtrend continuation
Failure to hold 0.8029 exposes the 0.8000 psych handle
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift the USD read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 40 · price 0.80342
Lower highs, break to new week low then consolidation.
USDCHF held the 0.8080-0.8100 shelf since Monday's open before the soft June NFP print (57K vs 110K) triggered a sharp break, slicing to a fresh week low near 0.8010 into the NY session. Price has since stabilised in a 0.8016-0.8040 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; both EMAs sit above as the pair trades under prior structure. The 0.80421 bounce high caps the recovery attempt while 0.80098 marks the week's floor.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80158, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80421, 0.80674, 0.8090
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80674 prior low would neutralise the break lower
Failure to hold 0.80098 week low opens the 0.8000 psych area
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF broke down hard after the soft June NFP headline (57K vs 110K), sliding from the 0.8120 area into a 0.80098 week low before basing around 0.8034. Price is holding under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off its lows, and the 0.8065–0.8080 shelf that gave way now caps the tape. The recovery has been shallow, keeping the week's dominant move firmly to the downside.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80178
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80677, 0.80822
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80098 confirms a fresh lower low
Hourly close back above 0.80677 would neutralise the downside break
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down through the 0.8080 range low after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), extending to a 0.8010 session low before stabilising near 0.8036. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50. The bounce off the low has stalled under prior support at 0.8040, which now caps the recovery.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 0.8040 keeps the lower-high structure intact
H1 close below 0.8010 session low opens the 0.8000 round number
Reclaim of 0.8080 range low would neutralise the breakdown read
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke the 0.8080 weekly range floor and accelerated lower after the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), tagging 0.8010 before stabilising in the low 0.8030s. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39, and the last few bars are consolidating just under the broken 0.8040 support. The dominant move of the week was this NY-session breakdown; prior support at 0.8040 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8080
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8080 would invalidate the range break lower
Failure to hold 0.8010 opens the path toward the 0.8000 round number
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80354
Lower highs, fresh week low then relief bounce.
USDCHF broke the week's 0.8080 range floor and cascaded to a fresh low at 0.80098 after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) pressured the dollar. Price is now grinding a modest relief bounce back toward 0.8040 but holds well below EMA20/50, keeping the H1 structure of lower highs intact. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold as the sell-off cooled into the NY session.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80660 prior low would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80098 confirms fresh lower-low extension
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could re-set this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended after break · RSI 41 · price 0.80354
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
USDCHF broke down hard through the 0.8080 range as the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar lower, driving a fast leg to 0.80098. Price is now consolidating in the low 0.8030s below both EMAs, with the bounce so far capped near 0.80404. RSI is recovering off oversold but structure stays lower-high, lower-low since the drop.
Support: 0.80158, 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80404, 0.80562
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80100 week low opens the 0.80000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.80562 would challenge the downtrend structure
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the near-term dollar risks
USD/CHF broke the week's 0.8080–0.8100 range and dropped hard into the NY session as June NFP badly missed (57K vs 110K), printing a fresh week low at 0.80098. Price is now consolidating in the low 0.8030s, sitting well below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI depressed after the leg lower. The 0.80523 bounce high has capped the recovery attempt so far.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80158
Resistance: 0.80523, 0.80677, 0.80869
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80523 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80098 confirms a lower low
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could reshape this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 0.80376
Lower highs and lower lows since Thursday.
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session as the 57K June NFP miss undercut the USD-hike narrative, driving the pair from the 0.8120 area to a 0.80098 week low. Price is basing near 0.8037 after that flush, but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI recovering from oversold. The broken 0.8080 range floor now caps as resistance overhead.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80158
Resistance: 0.80523, 0.80649, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Sustained close back above 0.80800 broken range would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.80098 week low confirms continuation of the downtrend
ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could reshape the USD read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 0.80307
Lower highs, lower lows after range break.
USDCHF sold off sharply into the NY session as June NFP badly missed (57K vs 110K), breaking below the week's 0.8080–0.8100 range and printing a fresh 10-month low at 0.80098. Price is basing near 0.8030, well below both EMAs with RSI depressed after the impulse. Recovery attempts have stalled under the broken 0.80523 level.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80178
Resistance: 0.80523, 0.80877, 0.81201
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80523 would ease downside pressure
USDCHF sold off hard through Thursday's NY session, gapping lower off the 0.81201 high as the 57K June payroll miss undercut the pre-NFP USD-long positioning. Price broke clean below the prior 0.8080 range floor and printed 0.80098 before a shallow bounce; both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit well overhead near 0.808. RSI(14) is pressed into the low-30s, reflecting an extended but not yet reversing move.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.80421, 0.80649, 0.8078
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.80098 confirms continuation to the 0.8040 key support
Reclaim of 0.80421 needed to stall the down-leg
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed are the next USD catalysts
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session after the 57K NFP miss, slicing the 0.8040 key support and printing a fresh weekly low at 0.80098. Price now sits well below EMA(20)/EMA(50), which capped the earlier week's rangebound tape near 0.8080; RSI(14) is pinned in oversold territory as the last few bars stabilise around 0.8020. The broken 0.8040 level and the 0.8065 bounce high are the reference points overhead.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8040, 0.8065, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80098 week low opens the 0.8000 round number
H1 close back above 0.80400 broken support would neutralise the breakdown
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could reshape the USD read
USDCHF broke down through the 0.8080 range floor that held all week and extended sharply to 0.8010 into the NY session after the 57K NFP miss pressured the dollar. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) oversold near 27, marking a fresh multi-day low. The prior 0.8080-0.8140 range now sits overhead as broken support.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000, 0.8041
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8114
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8080 would negate the breakdown and restore the weekly range
Failure to hold 0.8010 opens the path to the 0.8000 psych level
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could reshape the USD read
USDCHF broke hard below the 0.8080 weekly range base after the June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the Fed-hike narrative and drove broad USD selling. The pair sliced from 0.8120 to a fresh week low at 0.8010 in the NY session, holding well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed into oversold. Prior range support at 0.8080 now caps as resistance on the retest.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80421, 0.80562, 0.8080
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8040 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.8010 opens the 0.8000 psych level
ISM Services (Mon Jul 6) could compound or reverse the USD-negative tone
USDCHF broke down hard through the week's 0.8080-0.8120 range after the NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) knocked the September-hike narrative, printing a fresh week low near 0.8010 before the small stabilisation into 0.8025. Price trades well below EMA20 (~0.8078) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory, reflecting a one-directional NY-session sell-off. The 0.8052 bounce high has capped the initial recovery attempt.
Support: 0.80098, 0.80178
Resistance: 0.80523, 0.80649, 0.8078
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80523 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80098 confirms continuation and opens the 0.8040 area
ISM Services PMI (Mon Jul 6) could extend or reverse this USD-negative read
USDCHF collapsed out of the 0.8080–0.8100 range that held all week after the 57K NFP miss undercut the Fed-hike premium, driving a straight-line slide into 0.80098 before a shallow bounce to 0.80268. RSI(14) is pinned near 29 with price well below EMA20/EMA50, confirming the breakdown rather than a mean-revert setup. Resistance at 0.80540 marks the first shelf where the intraday recovery stalled.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8067, 0.8085
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80540 would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 0.80098/0.80000 opens the path lower toward 0.80040
US Factory Orders 14:00 UTC and ISM Services Mon could extend USD softness
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 29 · price 0.80268
Range break lower, fresh lower lows.
USD/CHF broke hard out of the week's 0.8080–0.8120 range after the NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), slicing through the 0.8100 pivot and printing a fresh week low at 0.80098 in the NY session. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 28, reflecting the USD repricing lower. The 0.8065 shelf that supported the range has now flipped to overhead resistance.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8065, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80650 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.80098 opens the 0.8000 psych level
SNB intervention rhetoric could cap any CHF-driven extension lower
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 0.80319
Range break lower, fresh lows.
USDCHF was pinned near the 0.8100 pivot and the one-year high at 0.8140 for most of the week before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hammered the dollar, driving a sharp NY-session slide from 0.8120 to a 0.8010 low. Price has broken clean out of the multi-day 0.8080-0.8100 range with RSI(14) pressed into oversold and price well below EMA20/EMA50. The 0.80649 prior low now caps as resistance while 0.80000 psychological support sits just below the session low.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80649, 0.80877, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80649 would ease the breakdown pressure
Loss of 0.80098/0.80000 extends the lower-low sequence
Fed's Daly (13:45 UTC) and Factory Orders (14:00 UTC) could reshape the USD move this session
USDCHF held a tight 0.8080–0.8120 range most of the week before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar broadly, driving a clean break through the 0.8080 pivot into the NY session and a plunge to a 0.80098 low. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) oversold near 28. The last bar stalled just under 0.8035 after the flush, with the 0.80523/0.80649 breakdown zone now the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80523, 0.80649, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80649 would ease the breakdown read
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could extend or fade the dollar move
Loss of 0.80098 opens the 0.8000 psych level
ISM Services Mon could reprice the hike odds driving this move
12:02 UTC
Downtrend after rejection at week high · RSI 41 · price 0.80651
Lower high, breakdown from range.
USDCHF stalled at the 0.81201 week high before a sharp rejection and breakdown into the NFP window, sliding to a 0.80398 swing low as the softer US data run pressured the dollar. Price has bounced modestly to 0.8065 but sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 after the drop through 0.80870, which now caps as resistance. RSI(14) is in the low-40s, reflecting the loss of the earlier upside momentum.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8004
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP and Fed's Daly could materially shift this read in the next bars
Hourly close back above 0.80870 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.80400 opens the path toward 0.80040
12:02 UTC
Reversal lower, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.80651
Range broken, fresh lower low.
USDCHF held a tight 0.8085-0.8100 range for much of the week before rejecting the 0.81201 week high and breaking sharply lower into the NFP release at 12:30 UTC, printing 0.80398 as a soft payrolls read unwound USD longs. Price has since clawed back to 0.80651 but remains below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) depressed near 34 after the impulse. The 0.80800 prior-range floor now sits overhead as the first area to watch for rejection or reclaim.
Support: 0.80411, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8105, 0.81201
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80800 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.80411 confirms continuation of the lower-low
Fed's Daly at 13:45 UTC could extend or reverse this NFP move
USDCHF spent most of the week pinned in a 0.8080-0.8100 range before a sharp two-bar slide into the NY session cracked it, printing a session low at 0.80398 as the dovish ADP-led USD tone extended. Price now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) in the low-30s after the flush, and the initial bounce has stalled under the broken 0.8080 shelf. The 0.8040 area flagged as key support is holding for now.
Support: 0.8040, 0.80398
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8105, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver in ~90 minutes and can reset this read
H1 close back above 0.8080 would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.8040 opens continuation lower
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.80574
Range break lower off week-long 0.8080-0.8120 band.
USDCHF spent most of the week coiled in a 0.8080-0.8120 band before losing its footing into the NY session, sliding from 0.8120 to a 0.8040 low as the softer US data run (ADP 98K, ISM 53.3) trimmed the hawkish-Fed edge. Price is now well below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 34 after the impulse. The 0.8040 low held and prompted a shallow bounce, but prior range floor at 0.8080 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8052
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8092, 0.8120
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
Loss of 0.8040 confirms continuation and opens lower
H1 close back above 0.8080 neutralises the range break
USDCHF rolled over from Monday's 0.8120 week high and accelerated lower through the European session, slicing the 0.8080 shelf that held all week and printing 0.8041. RSI(14) has pushed into oversold with price sitting well below both EMAs; the sell-off pre-dates the US payrolls print, in line with USD softening at the margin vs CHF. The 0.8080-0.8100 zone that capped the week now sits overhead as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.8041, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.8040 confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
Recovery above 0.8080 prior support would neutralise the breakdown
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp reversal from week high · RSI 32 · price 0.8052
Breakdown from 0.8120 spike, probing 0.8040 support.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8120 week high and reversed hard through the session, slicing the 0.8085 pivot and the week's 0.807-0.810 range to print 0.8040 as the dollar was sold into NFP caution. RSI(14) has cycled into oversold territory on the drop and price now sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50). Demand is stepping in at the 0.8040 area, where the last bar has stalled the decline.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.8040 confirms the breakdown and opens 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.8085 would neutralise the range break
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 0.80414
Lower highs, breaking below week range.
USDCHF rolled over from Wednesday's 0.81201 spike high and has broken sharply lower into the NY session, shedding roughly 80 pips in the last three bars to test the 0.8040 key support as the dollar softens on the run of weak US data. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pushed into oversold near 27; the 0.8100 pivot that capped the week now sits overhead as resistance. The move unwinds the six-session rally that stalled at the 11-month high.
Support: 0.8040, 0.80411
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8087, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can reset this read on the next bar
Loss of 0.8040 key support confirms extension of the lower-low sequence
H1 close back above the 0.8100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
09:02 UTC
Downtrend accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.80414
Range broken to the downside.
USDCHF spent most of the week penned between 0.8085 and the 0.8100 pivot before breaking down hard through both in the last three bars, printing 0.80414 into thin pre-NFP trade. The move follows the soft ADP and ISM misses that trimmed the Fed-hike edge, dragging the pair off its 0.8140 high toward the 0.8040 key support. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI pushed into oversold territory.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8100, 0.8140
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver — likely to decide the 0.8040 hold or break
Loss of 0.8040 on a close opens the path toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.8085 would neutralise the breakdown read
08:02 UTC
This-week uptrend rolling over · RSI 35 · price 0.80652
Lower highs since Wednesday peak, sliding to week low.
USDCHF ground up to a 0.81201 week high during Wednesday's NY session before rejecting sharply, and price has since traced lower highs and slipped back below the EMA20 near 0.80910. The 0.81000 pivot capped the retest, and the last two hourly bars have driven price to the 0.80650 area, testing the 0.80630 week low. The move fits the broader USD consolidation below the DXY YTD high, with Swiss CPI's soft 0% MoM print offering the franc little support.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8091, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) is the dominant driver for this pair
Hourly close below 0.80630 confirms a lower low and opens 0.80400 support
Reclaim of the 0.81000 pivot would neutralise the rollover and re-expose the 0.81201 week high
08:02 UTC
Downshift from week range top · RSI 38 · price 0.80652
Rejected at 0.8100, testing week low.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8100 pivot in early London hours, sliding to the 0.8063 week low with RSI(14) pressing toward oversold. Price sits below EMA(20) after ranging 0.8063–0.8120 for most of the week, and soft Swiss CPI (0% MoM) offered the franc little support. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant next catalyst.
Support: 0.8063, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant driver for this read
H1 close below 0.8063 opens the path to 0.8040 support
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot neutralises this week's lower highs
USDCHF pushed to an 11-month high near the 0.8120 week high midweek before rejection dragged it back into a 0.8074–0.8096 range, the move USD-led as the dollar held firm into today's NFP. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, drifting toward the session low. Swiss CPI printed this morning without lifting the franc materially.
Support: 0.8074, 0.8063, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8109, 0.8120
What it said to watch
NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could break the 0.8074–0.8096 range either way
H1 close below 0.80740 session low opens the 0.80630 swing low, with further key support at 0.80400
reclaim of 0.80960 range top puts the 0.81090 prior high and 0.81200 week high back in play
06:01 UTC
Pullback after rejection at week high · RSI 43 · price 0.80846
Consolidating below 0.8100 after false break of 0.8120.
USDCHF spiked to 0.81201 into yesterday's NY session then was sharply rejected, unwinding the whole push and drifting lower toward 0.80846. Price has slipped back below EMA20 (~0.8090) with RSI(14) mid-40s as the pair holds a tight 0.8080–0.8095 range ahead of Swiss CPI. The 0.8100 area capped every recovery attempt this week.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP could break the 0.8080–0.8100 range
H1 close back above 0.81000 reopens the 0.81201 week high
Loss of 0.80799 confirms a lower low toward 0.80630 spike low
USDCHF ran six sessions to an 11-month high near 0.81200 before a sharp intraday rejection wick knocked it back toward 0.8086, capping the week's advance. Price has since consolidated 0.8084-0.8096 with RSI(14) drifting into the mid-40s and sitting just below EMA20/EMA50, in line with the modest USD softening after Warsh's Sintra remarks. The 0.80840 shelf is the near-term pivot into US jobs.
Support: 0.8084, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8105, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80840 exposes the 0.80630 week low
Reclaim of 0.81050 reopens the 0.81200 11-mo high
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver for the next bars
04:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.8087
Rejected at week high, consolidating.
USDCHF ran six sessions higher into an 11-month high near 0.8120 before a sharp rejection wick reversed the spike and dragged price back toward 0.8087, in line with a modestly softer USD after Warsh's Sintra remarks. Price now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 46, coiling in a 0.8080–0.8100 band. The 0.8100 pivot has capped every attempt since the reversal.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8120
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could shift the CHF leg of this read
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant external driver for the next bars
H1 close above 0.8100 reopens the path to the 0.8120 high
USDCHF pushed to a week high at 0.81201 during the NY session yesterday before rejection dragged it back into the 0.808–0.809 band, with Warsh's hawkish-hold tone having powered the earlier six-session rally toward the 11-month high. Price is now pinned just under EMA(20) near 0.80930 with RSI(14) sitting mid-40s — momentum has flattened into a range. Swiss Retail Sales beat gave the franc no lift, leaving the pair driven by the USD side.
Support: 0.80829, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8093, 0.8105, 0.81201
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (f/c 0.5% YoY) could shift this read within the next bars
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant external driver — expect volatility expansion
H1 close above 0.81050 reopens the 0.81201 week high
USDCHF rallied to an 11-month high near 0.8140 this week on broad USD strength, then eased back and has been consolidating around 0.809 into the Swiss CPI and US NFP prints. The push above the 0.8100 pivot to 0.81201 yesterday was sold back quickly, leaving a false break and pinning price in a 0.8072–0.8100 range. RSI(14) sits mid-band and EMA20 is capping the last few hours' closes.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8063, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8120, 0.8140
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8100 pivot reopens the path to the 0.8140 high
Failure to hold 0.8072 swing low exposes the 0.8063 spike low
USDCHF has spent the week grinding a range between the 0.8063 week low and the 0.8100 pivot, with a spike to 0.81201 in the NY session that was immediately rejected back below 0.8100 — a clean false break of the week high. Price now sits back at the mid-range near EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering around 50 and no directional conviction. The franc drew no lift from firm Swiss data this week; USD/CHF stays externally driven ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.80748, 0.8063, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
H1 close back above 0.8100 reopens the 0.81201 week high
Loss of 0.80748 swing low exposes the 0.8063 week low
USDCHF has gone sideways this week, coiling around the 0.8090 area after Thursday's NY-session spike to the 0.81201 week high was sharply rejected — a false break that unwound within the hour. Price is pinned to EMA(20) near 0.8094 with RSI(14) flat around 50, holding above EMA(50) but capped by the 0.8100 pivot. The broader move stalled off the 11-month high region with the 0.80630 week low still the base of the range.
Support: 0.80799, 0.8063
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81201
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant catalyst and could break the 0.8090 coil either way
Hourly close above 0.81000 pivot reopens the 0.81201 week high
Loss of 0.80799 swing low exposes the 0.80630 week low