Price topped twice near 0.8135-0.8139, the one-year-high zone, before the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) flipped the dollar and drove a sharp breakdown through the 0.8100 pivot. Structure has turned lower, with the decline stalling on the 0.8010 swing low and price now consolidating just above the 0.8000 psych level. ATR(14) around 36 pips reflects the expansion off the top, keeping the pullback active.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81378
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 psych opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of the 0.8100 pivot negates the breakdown read
SNB intervention rhetoric could snap the franc bid lower
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCHF rejected the 0.8120-0.8139 one-year-high zone twice and rolled over, then sold off to 10-day lows near 0.8010 as the dollar unwound hawkish-Fed bets after the soft June NFP miss (57K vs 110K). Price now consolidates around 0.8034, roughly the 50% retrace of the 0.7910-0.8139 impulse and back below both EMAs. The 0.8000 psychological floor is the pivotal level, with SNB intervention rhetoric a known cap on further franc strength beneath it.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000, 0.7991
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.8100 pivot negates the lower-high rollover
ISM Services Mon and FOMC Minutes Wed could shift the USD-led read
13:02 UTC
Reversal lower, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 0.8027
Double top then breakdown below range.
Price climbed from the early-month 0.7910 base to a 0.8139 double top before the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) triggered a sharp reversal, breaking the week-long 0.8063–0.8120 range. The pair now trades sub-0.8063 with prior support flipped to resistance, testing the 0.8000 psychological pivot. ATR is expanding as the down-leg extends, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7982, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8120, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.8063 would negate the range break
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could reprice the USD leg
USDCHF topped near 0.8138 and has rolled over into a clean lower-high sequence, with the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocking the USD and forcing the break below the 0.8063 shelf. Price now trades under both EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR(14) expanding on the down-leg, pressing the 0.8000 pivot. Demand stepping in around 0.8010 has stalled the slide so far.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8090, 0.8120
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 opens 0.7982 then 0.7910
Reclaim of 0.8063 stalls the downside and reopens the 0.8063-0.8120 range
ISM Services / FOMC minutes this week could materially shift the USD read
Lower high off 0.8139, broke below the 0.8063 shelf.
The multi-day advance to the 0.8139 one-year high has rolled over, carving a rounded top and a lower high near 0.8120 before the June NFP shock (57K vs 110K) drove the dollar leg lower and cracked the 0.8063 shelf. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-30s, testing the 0.8010/0.8000 zone. ATR(14) is compressed after the initial impulse, and the drop is USD-led rather than CHF-driven.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8063, 0.8100, 0.8139
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close below 0.8000 exposes the 0.7982 swing low
Reclaim of 0.8063 shelf would neutralise the lower-high read
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) are the key USD-side risks
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 0.80199
Rolling over below 0.8139 high, broke 0.8100.
The month-long rally from the 0.788 base topped at the 0.8139 cycle high and price has rolled over, slicing the 0.8100 pivot after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar to two-week lows. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 and is probing the 0.80100 swing low, with the 0.8000 psychological handle the next reference. ATR compressed through the topping phase before expanding on the breakdown, confirming the shift lower.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8087, 0.8102, 0.81394
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 exposes 0.79820 prior low
Reclaim of 0.81020 pivot restores the prior range
ISM Services Mon + FOMC Minutes Wed are key USD risk
Rolled over below 0.8080 shelf, lower highs and lows.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8138 range high and broke the 0.8080 shelf, accelerating after the soft US NFP knocked the dollar and printing a 0.8010 low. ATR has expanded on the breakdown and both EMAs have flipped below price. The 0.8100 pivot now caps overhead while 0.8010 and the 0.8000 psych level frame the downside.
Support: 0.80098, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8100, 0.8138
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8080 broken shelf would negate the breakdown read
ISM Services (Mon) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
Price rolled over below the mid-June swing high at 0.8139, carving successive lower highs and breaking to a fresh low at 0.8010 as the soft US NFP dragged USD to two-week lows. The pair is now consolidating just above the 0.8000 psychological pivot, with ATR expanded on the NFP break. Momentum sits below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8000, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.8046, 0.8090, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 opens the 0.7982/0.7910 zone
Reclaim above 0.8090 needed to negate the lower-high structure
ISM Services (Mon) could materially shift this USD-driven read
The June rally into the one-year-high area near 0.8139 was capped twice, forming a double top before rolling over. A sharp drop through the 0.808 shelf to a 0.8010 swing low followed the soft US NFP print, and price now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with a bounce toward 0.804. Structure has shifted to a lower high with the 0.8029 jun-18 low and 0.8000 psych handle now the downside markers.
Support: 0.8010, 0.8029, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8100, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8000 psych confirms continuation lower toward the 0.8029 zone break
Reclaim of the 0.8090 pivot would neutralise the rollover read
ISM Services PMI Mon Jul 6 could materially shift this USD-driven read
01:03 UTC
Reversal lower after June uptrend · RSI 38 · price 0.80426
Rolled over from 0.8139, testing support.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8139 one-year high after the soft US NFP miss gutted Fed-hike pricing, breaking the June higher-high sequence with a sharp two-day slide into the 0.8029-0.8010 support zone. Price is now bouncing off 0.8028 toward 0.8042, but the EMA20/EMA50 sit above spot after crossing lower. Prior support at 0.8089 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.8029, 0.8010, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8089, 0.8117, 0.8139
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.8010 confirms lower-low continuation toward 0.8000
Reclaim of 0.8089 negates the breakdown read
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) could reprice this USD-driven move