USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 17 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after NY reversal, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.82461
Lower highs since the london high, base holding above the late-day low.
NY session sold the pair from the london high at 0.82620 down to 0.82225 before the rebound stalled at the 0.82525 ny high; since then price has coiled between 0.82340 and 0.82505 with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR at ~3.8 pips. The 5-pip rollover gap at 21:00 UTC and single-digit tick counts show the tape is essentially dormant into the Asia open, with the pair still parked inside the 0.8225–0.8275 post-Fed consolidation band.
Support: 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
A close above 0.82525 would break the chain of lower highs set since the london high
Loss of 0.82340 reopens the 0.82225 ny low as the next reference
Thin post-rollover liquidity distorts levels until the Asia session builds a range
23:31 UTC
Sideways, no intraday trend · RSI 47 · price 0.82442
Mid-range between 0.82340 and 0.82477, lower highs through Asia.
Thin Asia trade has USDCHF pinned to its EMA20 at 0.8244 after the NY session repaired the drop to the 0.82225 session low; a low-liquidity gap near 21:00 UTC printed the 0.82372 gap low and was immediately filled. Price is mid-range between the 0.82340 asia low and 0.82477 asia high with lower highs since the 0.82525 ny high, RSI(14) ~47 and ATR(14) ~4 pips — nothing structural in play post-FOMC.
Support: 0.82372, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82477, 0.82525
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.82477 asia high would re-open the 0.82525 ny high and end the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.82340 asia low re-exposes the 0.82225 session low
Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT are the next scheduled risks to this range
Rejection at the 0.82620 prior high in London gave way to a NY-hours slide to the 0.82225 ny low, with the bounce capped at the 0.82525 ny high and price now sitting on the 61.8% retracement of that leg near 0.82469. Early Asia is thin — a small gap lower at the rollover left a gap low at 0.82372 and the last four bars are compressed in under 2 pips, ATR(14) around 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.82372, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 ny high would reopen the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82372 gap low shifts focus back to the 0.82225 ny low
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is a broad USD swing factor within the next few hours
RSI(14) near 45 is neutral; no momentum extreme to lean on in this consolidation
23:03 UTC
No trend, mid-range drift after NY slide · RSI 47 · price 0.82434
Lower highs from 0.8262, base carved at 0.8222/0.8234.
NY hours sold 0.8262 down to the 0.82225 ny low before a grind back to the 0.82525 late ny high; the daily rollover then gapped ~5 pips lower and the pair has been pinned in a 0.8234–0.82477 band through thin early Asia trade, with USD still holding most of its post-FOMC gains against a zero-rate CHF. RSI(14) at 46.8 is neutral, price sits fractionally under EMA20 and EMA50, and ATR(14) has compressed to under 4 pips.
Support: 0.8234, 0.82271, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82477, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8234 asia low confirms a lower low and puts 0.82271 back in focus
Reclaim of the 0.82477 asia high reopens the 0.82525 late ny high and the 0.8262 day high
BoJ decision at the Tokyo open is the near-term USD volatility risk into a sub-4-pip ATR tape
Levels are thin-liquidity prints post-rollover — London hours can invalidate the current range read
Lower highs since 0.82620, base above the 0.82372 gap low.
NY hours sold the pair from 0.82620 down to the 0.82225 ny low before demand rebuilt into the 0.82525 ny high, keeping the post-FOMC advance in consolidation rather than extension. Post-NY-close bars are illiquid: a small gap down at rollover left a 0.82372 gap low and a 0.82340 spike low, with price now pinned around 0.82441 just under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) mid-range at 44.8 and ATR(14) compressed to ~4.3 pips.
Support: 0.82372, 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82477, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.82372 gap low and 0.82340 spike low on a thin-liquidity close reopens the 0.82225 ny low
Reclaim of the 0.82477 hours high and then the 0.82525 ny high is needed to put the 0.82620 prior high back in play
BoJ decision ahead of the London open can reprice the dollar broadly and override this intraday range read
22:32 UTC
No intraday trend, range-bound after NY decline · RSI 45 · price 0.82452
Lower highs since London, flat 0.8234–0.8253 base.
London capped the pair at the 0.8262 day high, then the London-to-NY decline dragged price to 0.82225 — the base of the 0.8225–0.8275 consolidation band flagged after the post-FOMC push to 16-month highs. NY hours recovered only to the 0.82525 ny high and price has since drifted, with a thin rollover low at 0.8234 quickly bought back; at 0.82452 it sits on its EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) near 4.7 pips.
Support: 0.8234, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8234 once liquidity returns at the Asia open re-exposes the 0.82225 ny low
A close above the 0.82525 ny high would break the lower-highs chain off the 0.8262 day high
Last four bars are thin rollover prints — structural read firms up on the Asia session range
Fed's Bowman 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC are the next scheduled risks to this range
Lower highs from 0.8262 into a 0.8222–0.8252 base.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from the 0.8262 day high to 0.8222 as the post-FOMC dollar push stalled just under this week's 16-month high, then recovered into 0.8244–0.8252 where it was rejected. Post-close liquidity thinned: a gap down to 0.8237 and a 0.8234 session low were snapped back to 0.8247, with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR(14) only ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8234, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8252 prior high reopens the 0.8262 day high
Failure to hold 0.8222 ny low confirms a lower low
Series of lower highs stays intact while price caps below 0.8252
BoJ decision ahead of the London open is the near-term dollar risk; current bars are thin-liquidity prints
22:02 UTC
Range-bound, momentum neutral after NY slide · RSI 47 · price 0.8247
Lower highs from 0.8262 into a 0.8225-0.8252 range, mid-range now.
London pushed to the session high at 0.8262 — the 16-month post-FOMC extreme — then NY hours unwound it to 0.8225 as the hawkish Fed repricing stalled out. Price recovered to the mid-range and has chopped either side of the ema20 at 0.8244 since; the thin low at 0.8234 printed on post-close liquidity and was immediately reclaimed, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 and ATR(14) compressed to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8234, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 0.8252 swing high would put the 0.8262 session high back in focus
A close below 0.8225 breaks the range floor and invalidates the mid-range read
Current bars are post-NY-close and thinly traded — level integrity is low until Asia trades properly
BoJ decision pre-London, then Fed's Bowman 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC could reset this range
Lower highs into NY close after session-low bounce.
London-NY overlap sold USDCHF to a session low of 0.82225 before demand lifted it back to the ny high at 0.82525, roughly the 61.8% retracement of the 0.82628-0.82225 leg, where the advance stalled into a chain of lower highs. The last three prints are a thin rollover gap down from the 0.82455 pre-gap area to a flat 0.82372 on almost no activity, so the drop is liquidity-driven rather than structural; RSI(14) near 31, ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82455, 0.82525, 0.82628
What it said to watch
Asia reopen above the 0.82455 pre-gap area would close the gap and void the gap-down read
Failure to hold 0.82303 swing low re-exposes the 0.82225 session low
BoJ decision early Friday pre-London is the immediate USD-side cross-risk for the next bars
21:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs into thin late hours · RSI 28 · price 0.82372
Series of lower highs from 0.82620; last NY hours a 0.8244-0.8252 range now broken lower on a thin gap.
USDCHF spent the NY session grinding back up from the 0.82225 session low into a tight 0.8244-0.8252 range, capped by the 0.82525 NY high, with the post-FOMC hawkish USD story already in the price. The final bars gapped down through the late ny base at 0.82455 on almost no participation after the NY close, leaving price at 0.82372 with RSI(14) near 28 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82455, 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
The last two bars are thin post-close prints — a reclaim of 0.82455 on the Asia reopen would restore the late ny base and mark the gap as a false break
Failure to hold 0.82303, the ny swing low, exposes the 0.82225 session low
Sustained trade back above the 0.82525 ny high would break the lower-high chain from the asian high at 0.82620
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production later Friday are the next scheduled USD events that could reshape this intraday read
21:16 UTC
Lower into the close, momentum thin · RSI 29 · price 0.82372
Lower highs since the ny rebound hi, price gapped under the intraday range.
NY session sold from 0.82619 to a 0.82225 session low, then rebounded only as far as 0.82525 (ny rebound hi) before drifting in lower highs through the back half of the session — consistent with the 0.8225–0.8275 consolidation the market is holding after the hawkish Fed hike. The final two bars are near-zero volume end-of-day prints that gapped down from the 0.82455 gap origin to 0.82372, so RSI(14) near 29 and the break lower are liquidity artefacts more than structure; ATR(14) is only ~4.6 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82455, 0.82525, 0.82628
What it said to watch
A first-hour Asia print back above 0.82455 gap origin would confirm the end-of-day gap as noise rather than a range break
Acceptance below 0.82303 ny swing low puts the 0.82225 session low back in focus as a lower-low test
Reclaiming 0.82525 ny rebound hi re-opens the 0.82628 prior high as the upper reference
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT can reset intraday ranges after the Asia open
21:03 UTC
Sideways after NY downswing, momentum flat · RSI 40 · price 0.82455
Late-NY range 0.8244-0.8252 above the session low.
USDCHF sold from 0.82620 into a 0.82225 session low during NY hours as the pair kept fading off Wednesday's 16-month high, then recovered to 0.82525 and has drifted back to the 61.8% retracement area near the ema20. Last two hours are a 9-pip range with thinning ranges — ATR(14) at just 3.9 pips and lower highs into the close.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8230, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82466, 0.82525, 0.82628
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.8244 micro low would re-expose the 0.8230 ny swing low and 0.82225 session low
A close back above the 0.82525 ny high invalidates the late-NY lower-high sequence
BoJ decision pre-London plus Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT can reprice USD through this range
Lower highs into the 0.82225 session low, higher lows since; late-NY balance 0.8244-0.8253.
USDCHF sold off through the NY morning to a 0.82225 session low before a steady recovery stalled at the 0.82525 ny high, and the last three hours have compressed into a 0.8244-0.8253 band with price pinned a couple of pips under flat EMA20/EMA50 near 0.8250. RSI(14) at ~46 and ATR(14) of only ~4 pips confirm the post-FOMC momentum has gone dormant into the late-NY session; consolidation, not direction.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8230, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 ny high re-opens the 0.8262 london high
Loss of the 0.8244 session base puts 0.8230 prior low and the 0.82225 session low back in focus
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) tomorrow are the next catalysts capable of breaking this range
20:16 UTC
Sideways after a sharp midday drop, drift lower · RSI 51 · price 0.82453
Late-NY consolidation with lower highs above the 0.8244 range floor.
London-NY transition produced the day's impulse lower from 0.82619 to the 0.82225 session low, and NY hours retraced roughly two-thirds of it before stalling at the 0.82525 ny high. Since then price has coiled in a 0.8244-0.8252 band with a sequence of lower highs, RSI(14) back at mid-range and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips as late-NY liquidity thins; the pair is holding inside the widely-cited 0.8225-0.8275 post-Fed consolidation zone.
Support: 0.8244, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.82619
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.8244 range floor re-exposes the 0.82225 session low
A close back above the 0.82525 ny high invalidates the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.82619 day high back in focus
Very low volume on the final bar — Asia reopen can widen the range beyond the current 8-pip band
BoJ decision pre-London and Fed's Bowman at 07:30 GMT are the next USD-side catalysts for this read
Late-NY consolidation under lower highs after a session-low bounce.
NY hours sold the pair from 0.82550 down to the 0.82225 ny low around 14:00 UTC, then a 30-pip recovery stalled at the 0.82525 ny high — dollar still carrying its post-FOMC firmness but with no fresh impulse. The last three hours are a 0.82430–0.82525 coil with a chain of lower highs, ATR(14) down to roughly 3 pips and price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82525 breaks the lower-highs drift and re-opens 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82430 range floor puts the 0.82225 ny low back in play
Thin late-session liquidity: 3-pip ATR means small orders can distort the range read
Fed's Bowman 07:30 UTC and US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC Friday are the next drivers that could reset this range
19:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after NY dip · RSI 46 · price 0.82452
Tight range under EMA20 following reclaim of the NY low.
Early NY hours flushed USDCHF to 0.82225 before the move was fully reclaimed, and the last four hours have compressed into a 0.82430–0.82525 range with ATR(14) down to ~4 pips. Price is pinned just under EMA20 into the late NY session, with CHF still offered near 16-month lows after the hawkish Fed but no intraday resolution.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 range top reopens the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82430 range floor puts the 0.82225 ny low back in play
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) Friday can break this range
19:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.82458
Late-NY consolidation above the 0.82225 NY low, capped by lower highs.
NY hours sold the 0.8262 day high down to 0.82225 before a rebound stalled at 0.82525, and price has spent the last three hours coiling in a 0.8243–0.8252 band around the 61.8% retracement of that leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 with price just under EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) at ~5 pips — the post-FOMC dollar grind has gone quiet into the London-NY handover, no setup in play.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
A 15m close below the 0.8243 micro low reopens the 0.82225 ny low
Reclaiming the 0.82525 rebound high would put the 0.8262 day high back in range
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next drivers for this consolidation
19:16 UTC
Sideways after NY pullback, momentum neutral · RSI 52 · price 0.82471
Higher lows off session low, capped inside a tight late-NY band.
USDCHF slid through the first hours of NY to a session low at 0.82225 — dollar softness tracking the pullback in front-end yields despite firm claims and Philly Fed — then recovered and has spent the last four hours pinned between the 0.82430 range low and the 0.82525 range top. RSI(14) back at 52 with ATR(14) near 4 pips; the 0.82620 london high still caps and rejected each attempt earlier in the day.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 range top would extend the recovery toward the 0.82620 london high
Loss of 0.82430 puts the 0.82303 swing low and 0.82225 session low back in play
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next scheduled catalysts for this range
19:02 UTC
Recovering off NY low, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.82471
Higher lows off 0.82225, capped by 0.82525 — late-NY compression.
NY morning sold the pair ~40 pips from 0.82620 to a 0.82225 ny low as softer US housing data and easing front-end yields trimmed post-FOMC dollar gains; a chain of higher lows then rebuilt into 0.82525. Last two hours are a tight 0.8243–0.8252 range floor / ny high box with RSI(14) back at neutral and ATR(14) down to ~4 pips — no structural break in play into the close.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 ny high reopens the 0.8262 prior high
Loss of the 0.8243 range floor puts the 0.82225 ny low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT tomorrow can reset this intraday range
18:31 UTC
Range-bound, grinding off the session low · RSI 50 · price 0.82475
24h range 0.82225-0.82638; higher-low chain since the NY low, capped at 0.82525.
NY hours pushed USDCHF down to a 0.82225 session low before a steady higher-low recovery stalled at the 0.82525 ny high, leaving RSI(14) back at neutral ~50 and ATR near 5 pips. Late-NY bars have compressed to 2-3 points as the pair consolidates under the post-FOMC extreme, with the 0.82430 micro low and 0.82303 swing low the nearest floors.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 ny high reopens the 0.82620 prior high
Loss of the 0.82430 micro low breaks the higher-low chain and puts 0.82303 swing low / 0.82225 session low back in play
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) Friday can reset this intraday range read
Liquidity is thin into the Asia handover — the current range holds only while bar sizes stay this small
18:16 UTC
Recovering after NY dip, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.82481
Higher lows off session low, capped by ny high.
London-NY hours sold USDCHF from 0.82619 down to the 0.82225 session low, and the pair has since ground back roughly two-thirds of that drop along a rising support line into late NY. Last six bars are pinned in a 0.8243–0.8251 band with RSI(14) back at neutral 48 and ATR only ~5.5 pips — the dollar's mixed US data day (strong claims and Philly Fed against housing misses) left no clean directional follow-through.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.82638
What it said to watch
15m close below 0.8243 range base breaks the rising support and re-exposes the 0.82225 session low
Reclaim of the 0.82525 ny high would put the 0.82638 prior high back in play
Fed's Bowman speech and US industrial production during tomorrow's session are the next drivers for this read
18:03 UTC
Mild recovery inside a broader intraday range · RSI 47 · price 0.82481
Higher lows off the NY low, stalling under the session high.
USDCHF sold off through mid-NY to 0.82225 — the lower half of the 0.8225–0.8275 post-FOMC consolidation flagged around this week's 16-month high — then clawed back to 0.82525 on firm US data (claims 196K, Philly Fed 37.8) before stalling. Last four bars have drifted back under 0.82495 EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 47 and ATR(14) at ~4.8 pips; a chain of higher lows holds above the 0.82430 session base but the session high has capped two attempts.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82525, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82525 session high reopens the 0.8259 london high
Loss of the 0.82430 session base puts the 0.82225 ny low back in play
Fed's Bowman 07:30 GMT and US Industrial Production 13:15 GMT tomorrow can reset this intraday range
17:31 UTC
Recovering within a 24h range, mild upward drift · RSI 62 · price 0.82497
Higher lows off 0.82225, still capped under the london high.
The post-FOMC spike to the 0.82638 24h high late Wednesday gave way to a slide into early NY, where the dip through the London range floor to 0.82225 was reclaimed inside two bars — a false break that has since built a chain of higher lows into the NY afternoon. Price at 0.82497 sits above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 62, but the London high at 0.8262 has not been retested.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
A close back below the intraday hl at 0.8243 breaks the higher-low chain and puts 0.82303 swing low back in play
Reclaim of the 0.8262 london high reopens the 0.82638 24h high
Loss of the 0.82225 session low would confirm a lower low for the range
Bowman remarks and US Industrial Production Friday are the next scheduled inputs for this pair
17:16 UTC
Intraday recovery inside a range · RSI 64 · price 0.82509
Higher lows off 0.82225, capped under 0.8262.
Just after the NY open the pair sold into 0.82225, the day low, then built a chain of higher lows back to 0.82509 — roughly two-thirds of that leg retraced, RSI(14) at 64. Price is still boxed under the 0.8262 area that rejected London, with the digest framing 0.8225–0.8275 as the consolidation band below this week's 16-month high.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82312, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82619, 0.82638
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82619 ny high would put the 0.82638 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8243 swing low reopens 0.82312 ny low and the 0.82225 day low
US Industrial Production and Fed's Bowman in the next session, plus Friday's BoJ decision, are the near-term USD event risks
17:04 UTC
Intraday recovery off session low, still range-bound · RSI 59 · price 0.82495
Higher-low chain inside 0.8222-0.8264 range.
Early NY hours sold the pair from the 0.82620 session high down to 0.82225, and price has since ground back up in a clean hl chain now based at 0.82430, closing at 0.82495 right under the 0.8250 psych mark with RSI(14) near 58. Post-FOMC USD firmness keeps the pair pinned in the 0.8222-0.8264 consolidation flagged around the 16-month high; ATR(14) at roughly 7 pips shows late-NY compression.
Support: 0.8243, 0.82295, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above the 0.8250 psych level puts the 0.82620 session high back in play
Loss of 0.82430 breaks the hl chain and re-exposes the 0.82295 swing low
A close below 0.82225 session low invalidates the recovery read
US Industrial Production and Fed's Bowman tomorrow are the next scheduled USD inputs for this range
NY pullback off session high, base built above session low, now compressing.
The hawkish Fed hike drove the 0.8181-0.8250 leg at the start of the window, and Asia/London held that gain before the NY session faded the 0.8262 session high down to a 0.82225 session low despite firm claims and Philly Fed prints. Price has since recovered to 0.8244 and gone flat, capped by the 0.82485 ny high with ATR(14) down to ~6.6 pips and RSI(14) mid-range at 54 — no directional structure in play late in NY.
Support: 0.8230, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82485, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Close above 0.82485 ny high re-opens the 0.8262 session high
Failure to hold 0.823 prior low exposes the 0.82225 session low and confirms a lower low
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow, plus the BoJ decision, are the next scheduled catalysts for this pair
Lower highs from 0.82638, holding above 0.82225 session low.
The FOMC spike to 0.82638 late Wednesday gave way to 15 hours of chop, then the 0.8250-0.8262 shelf broke down into NY hours after firm US claims/Philly Fed failed to extend the USD run, low printing 0.82225. Price has retraced roughly half that down-leg and is now flat at 0.82439, capped by the recent high at 0.82485 with RSI(14) back to neutral and ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 0.82305, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82485, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82485 would put the 0.82619 range top back in play
Loss of 0.82225 session low confirms a lower low and voids the basing read
Failure to reclaim 0.82485 keeps the lower-highs sequence intact into the NY close
BoJ decision and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) Friday are the next USD inputs that could reset this range
16:16 UTC
Range-bound, short-term recovery off the NY low · RSI 55 · price 0.82433
0.8222-0.8264 range; higher lows chain since the NY low.
The window opens with the hawkish Fed hike ramping the pair from 0.8175 to the 0.82638 fomc high, after which price has done nothing but drift lower inside a 0.8222-0.8264 band. NY hours sold down to the 0.82225 ny low, then built a chain of higher lows back above the ema20 near 0.82400, with the 0.82485 ny high capping the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8240, 0.82305, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82485, 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82485 ny high reopens the 0.82620 london high and the 0.82638 fomc high
Failure to hold the 0.82305 prior low puts the 0.82225 ny low back in play and confirms a lower low
Loss of the ema20 around 0.82400 would negate the higher-lows recovery
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next scheduled drivers for this pair
16:02 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off the NY low · RSI 47 · price 0.82441
Higher lows off 0.82225 inside the 0.82225-0.82638 day range.
The Fed-driven leg up to the 0.82638 day high stalled through Asia and London, then the NY open sold off to a 0.82225 session low as US housing data missed. Price has ground back to 0.82441 in a chain of higher lows, with RSI(14) near 47; the 0.82485 recent high is the immediate cap and the 0.82300 pivot low the first shelf beneath.
Support: 0.8230, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82485, 0.8256, 0.82638
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82485 recent high opens the 0.82560 supply band and the 0.82638 day high
Loss of the 0.82300 pivot low re-exposes the 0.82225 session low and breaks the higher-low chain
Late-NY liquidity thinning; ATR near 8 pips means moves this size are noise-level
The post-Fed spike topped at the 0.82638 post-fed high and held a tight 0.8250–0.8264 band through Asia and London, before the NY open flushed price to 0.82225, the session low, as US housing starts, permits and pending sales all missed. Price has since reclaimed the ema20 at 0.82422 and is retracing roughly 61.8% of that down-leg, with 0.82540 the breakdown level overhead; RSI(14) back to 53, ATR(14) 7.8 pips.
Support: 0.82422, 0.8231, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8254, 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82540 breakdown level reopens the 0.82620 ny high
Loss of the ema20 at 0.82422 and then the 0.82310 swing low re-exposes the 0.82225 session low
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow could reset this intraday range
Lower highs since the day high, basing above the session low.
The post-Fed spike into 0.8263 has flattened out: London held the 0.8250s but the NY session sold through the broken shelf at 0.82505 and printed a session low of 0.82225 despite firm US claims and Philly Fed. Price has since crawled back to 0.82423 with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR(14) around 9 pips — a slow rebuild under a chain of lower highs from the 0.82620 day high.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82505, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold of the 0.82505 broken shelf would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.82225 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.8218 fib area in play; 0.82303 swing low is the first marker
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next scheduled catalysts for this consolidation
Lower highs since 0.8262, holding above session low 0.82225.
The 18:00 broker-time Fed bar drove the whole window's range, lifting price from 0.8185 into 0.8262; since then NY hours have delivered a steady chain of lower highs, with 0.82619 rejected twice and price now mid-range at 0.8237. RSI(14) near 37 and ATR(14) around 9 pips — the down-leg into the 0.82225 session low has slowed rather than extended.
Support: 0.82225, 0.82303, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.82225 session low confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8185 prior range
Reclaim of the 0.8243 lower high would break the descending sequence off the post-fed high
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production Friday could reset this intraday structure
15:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the post-FOMC high · RSI 38 · price 0.8237
Lower highs since Asia, holding above the session low.
The 0.8175–0.8264 post-FOMC impulse from yesterday's Fed hike has been giving back ground through London and into the first hours of NY, with a chain of lower highs at 0.8262 then 0.8243 despite firm US claims and Philly Fed. Price bounced 15 pips off the 0.8222 session low into 0.8237, still under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 38 with no extreme reading.
Support: 0.8222, 0.8190
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8243 lower high would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 0.8222 session low extends the retracement toward the 0.8190 pre-fomc area
Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next USD catalysts for this pair
Chain of lower highs and lower lows off the post-FOMC high, holding just above the session low.
The post-FOMC spike late in yesterday's NY session topped at 0.8263 and Asia/London simply held that shelf; NY hours have carved a clean chain of lower highs (0.8262 to 0.8242 to 0.8236) with price now pinned under EMA20 around 0.8238. A dip to 0.8225 was bought back within two bars, leaving the session low as the pivot and RSI(14) near 37 with ATR at roughly 9 pips.
Support: 0.8225, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8236, 0.8242, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes below 0.8225 session low would confirm the range break and open the path toward the 0.8200 round number
A reclaim of the 0.8242 lower high breaks the descending sequence and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Late-NY liquidity thinning into the London-NY handover typically compresses the 0.8225-0.8242 band; Fed's Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow are the next USD catalysts
14:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 33 · price 0.8231
Post-FOMC range broken lower, HH/HL chain flipped to LH/LL.
Yesterday's FOMC hike spiked USDCHF to 0.8264 and the pair then spent ~20 hours consolidating; NY hours broke the 0.8254 range base and price is now parked on the 38.2% retrace of that FOMC leg, with a session low at 0.8223. RSI(14) near 33, price under both EMA20 and EMA50, and every bounce since the break has been capped at the 0.8243 bounce high — ATR(14) 8.4 pips keeps ranges compressed.
Support: 0.8223, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8254, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8254 range base invalidates the range break read
Failure to hold the 0.8223 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8200 round number
USD catalysts thin until Bowman and US Industrial Production tomorrow — either could reset this intraday structure
Lower highs / lower lows since the London-NY transition, fading the post-Fed spike.
The FOMC hike spike into 0.8264 has been fully faded: a double top at 0.82620 capped the London morning and NY hours have printed a clean chain of lower highs from 0.8244 through the 0.82405 lower high. Price is pressing the session low at 0.82225 — the base of this week's consolidation band — with RSI(14) at 33.5 and ATR(14) around 8.4 pips per bar.
Support: 0.82225, 0.8211
Resistance: 0.82405, 0.8244, 0.8262
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close below the 0.82225 session low confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 0.8211 post-fed low
Reclaim of the 0.8244 ny bounce hi breaks the lower-high sequence and neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Fed speak / October hike pricing remains the dominant driver for this pair into the Friday session
Lower highs / lower lows since London high, price pinned at band base.
The post-FOMC impulse to 0.82638 has been fully given back: NY hours have carved a clean lower-high chain from 0.82619 to 0.82430 to 0.82423, and the last bar prints a fresh session low at 0.82225 — the base of this week's 0.8225-0.8275 consolidation band. RSI(14) near 34 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; solid US data (claims 196K, Philly Fed 37.8) has not stopped the dollar giving back post-Fed gains here, ATR(14) ~8.5 pips.
Support: 0.82225, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.82596, 0.82638
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close below 0.82225 confirms a lower low and takes price out of the 0.8225-0.8275 band
Reclaiming the 0.82430 swing high would break the lower-high sequence that defines the current downtrend
Thin US calendar into the late NY session; Fed speak on October hike odds is the live driver for this pair
Lower highs from 0.82620 range top, range floor broken in NY.
The post-FOMC leg stalled repeatedly at the 0.82620 range top and NY hours have taken out the day's floor — price is through the broken low at 0.82330 and printed a session low at 0.82225, with the strong claims (196K) and Philly Fed (37.8) beats failing to hold the dollar bid. RSI(14) near 33 with price wedged between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the FOMC leg off the pre-fomc low.
Support: 0.82225, 0.81752
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.8244, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82330 broken low would neutralise the range break
Acceptance below the 0.82225 session low extends the lower-high chain
The 0.82440 bounce high caps recovery attempts while it holds
Fed's Bowman Friday 07:30 GMT is the next scheduled driver for this pair
Chain of lower highs after break of the 0.8245-0.8262 band.
The 0.8245-0.8262 consolidation that held through Asia and London broke lower into the London-NY transition, printing a fresh session low at 0.82225 despite firm US data (claims 196K, Philly Fed 37.8) — dollar profit-taking rather than data is driving this leg. Price is trading under EMA20 near 0.8244 with rejections capping each bounce at the 0.82405 lower high; RSI(14) at 34 is soft but not extreme, ATR(14) ~8.4 pips.
Support: 0.82225, 0.8211
Resistance: 0.82405, 0.8244, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.82225 opens the path toward the 0.8211 spike base
A close back above 0.8244 (ema20) and then 0.82405 invalidates the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8262 session high back in play
Thin US calendar for the rest of the NY session; Fed speak and October hike pricing remain the live driver for this pair
The hawkish Fed hike drove a vertical 0.8175 to 0.82638 leg late in the prior NY session, and that 24h high has capped everything since. Price has ground lower through London into the NY open, rejected twice near the 0.8262 session high and printing a session low of 0.82303; RSI(14) ~36, price under EMA20 at 0.8243, ATR ~8.5 pips.
Support: 0.82305, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8243 (ema20) would break the lower-highs sequence
A close below the 0.82305 session low exposes the 0.8225 band low
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands inside the next bars and can redefine the NY range
14:02 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a broader up leg · RSI 35 · price 0.82332
Lower highs since the 0.82619 morning high, first lower low at 0.82303.
The multi-hour 0.8250–0.8264 shelf that followed yesterday's post-FOMC impulse gave way into the NY open, with price flushing to a 0.82303 session low before stabilising in a 0.8233–0.8243 chop. Price is below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 35 and ATR(14) around 8 pips; the bounce high at 0.8243 has capped the last four bars.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.82505, 0.82638
What it said to watch
Reclaim and 15m close above 0.82505 (broken shelf) would negate the range break read
Failure to hold the 0.82303 session low exposes the 0.8225 range base
Repeated rejection at the 0.8243 bounce high keeps the lower-high sequence intact toward the 24h high at 0.82638 staying unchallenged
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands right on the current bar and can widen this NY range
Lower highs since the overnight peak, now flat-basing above the session low.
The post-FOMC leg up stalled at the 0.82638 post-fomc hi and NY hours delivered a clean break of the 0.8255 breakdown lvl, running down to a session low of 0.82303 as dollar gains were pared. Price has since chopped in a 0.8230–0.8244 band beneath EMA20 with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) around 8 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8255, 0.82638
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8244 ny high would end the chain of lower highs into the close
A close below the 0.82303 session low exposes the 0.8225 range base
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands inside the next bar and can widen the current 14-pip band
Lower highs since 0.82620, holding above 0.82303 session low.
The FOMC hike at 18:00 UTC yesterday drove the impulsive leg from 0.81815 to 0.82638, and price has since worked sideways in a 0.8230–0.8262 band. NY hours saw supply cap at 0.82620 and a fast slide into 0.82303 despite firm claims and Philly Fed, with the last four bars stabilising just under 0.82440 and RSI(14) near 41 below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8233, 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8255, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82440 would break the intraday lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82303 session low exposes the 0.82250 range base
US Pending Home Sales 14:00 GMT lands inside the next bar period
Range break below the 0.8250-0.8264 shelf, lower highs since London.
The FOMC breakout at 18:00 UTC lifted the pair from 0.8182 to the 0.82638 range high, after which Asia and London held a tight 0.8250-0.8264 shelf. That shelf broke into the NY open — price flushed to a 0.82303 session low despite firm US claims and Philly Fed prints, and the bounce stalled at the 0.82440 rebound high with price now under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.82537, 0.82638
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82440 rebound high would neutralise the range break read
Failure to hold the 0.82303 session low opens the 0.82250 range base
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT falls in the next bars and can extend NY session volatility
ATR(14) at 7.6 pips — bar ranges have doubled since the London-NY transition
13:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 37 · price 0.82378
Post-FOMC range broken lower; HL attempt off session low.
Yesterday's 18:00 UTC FOMC hike spiked USDCHF from 0.8182 to a 0.82619 session high, after which price spent 18 hours consolidating in the 0.8250s before the London afternoon leg sliced the shelf at 0.82440 and printed 0.82303 into the NY open. The bounce has stalled under that broken shelf with a chain of lower highs intact and RSI(14) near 37; ATR(14) is 7.8 pips, so the current 0.8230–0.8244 band is roughly two bars of range.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.82619
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.82440 broken shelf would invalidate the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82303 session low exposes the 0.8225 band low
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands in the next bar and can reset the NY range
13:16 UTC
Post-FOMC uptrend, intraday pullback in force · RSI 35 · price 0.82392
Lower highs off 0.82638; session low 0.82303 holding so far.
Yesterday's 18:00 FOMC bar ripped USDCHF from 0.81815 to 0.82638, and the pair then spent Asia and London coiling in a tight 0.8245–0.8262 band before losing it in the London–NY transition, printing a session low at 0.82303 — the 38.2% retracement of the post-FOMC leg. The firm claims/Philly Fed prints at 12:30 GMT sparked a bounce to 0.82439 that has already faded; price is back under EMA20 (~0.8248) with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR(14) around 8 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.82619, 0.82638
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 0.82480 ema20 would neutralise the pullback and put the 0.82619 session high back in play
A close below 0.82303 session low extends the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.8225 band base
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT lands inside the next bar period and can re-price the dollar leg
Range break lower; 0.8250–0.8264 band floor lost, price hugging 38.2% retrace of the post-FOMC leg.
Yesterday's FOMC hike drove a vertical leg from 0.81752 to 0.82638, after which price ranged 0.8250–0.8264 through Asia and London. Early NY hours cracked the range floor at 0.82500 down to a session low of 0.82303 — the 38.2% retrace of that post-FOMC leg — and the bounce stalled at 0.82440, leaving price under EMA20 with RSI(14) at 36.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8250, 0.8262
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 0.82500 range floor would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.82303 session low exposes the 0.82250 band low
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 GMT is the next USD input inside the current session
ATR(14) at ~7.6 pips frames expected M15 bar size for the rest of NY
13:03 UTC
Pullback within post-FOMC uptrend · RSI 36 · price 0.8235
Lower highs off 0.8262 range top after break of the 0.8250 shelf.
The post-FOMC leg from 0.81752 to 0.82638 spent Asia and London coiling above 0.8250, then NY hours broke that shelf, sliding to a session low of 0.82303 into the 12:30 GMT US claims/Philly Fed slot; the knee-jerk bounce to a 0.8244 bounce high has already faded. RSI(14) near 36 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50, with the 0.8262 range top now capping; ATR(14) is 7.5 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8262
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.82303 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.8225 band low in range
Reclaim of the 0.8244 bounce high would neutralise the NY downside break
14:00 GMT US Pending Home Sales lands inside the next bar period and could shift this read
Lower highs into a break of the 0.8237 range floor.
The post-FOMC leg higher stalled at a double top by 0.8262 and pre/post-12:30 GMT US claims and Philly Fed flow pushed price through the 0.8237 range floor to a session low of 0.8230. Price is back under the EMA20 near 0.8248 with RSI(14) at 35 and ATR(14) only 7.4 pips, so the slide has already used up most of the average intraday range.
Support: 0.8230, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8248, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8244 bounce high and the ema20 would neutralise the range break
Acceptance below the 0.8225 range base extends the lower-low sequence
14:00 GMT Pending Home Sales lands inside the next bar period and can reset the NY range
A retest of the 0.8262 double top would invalidate the lower-high read
Day range 0.8230-0.8264 with lower highs since the European session.
Post-FOMC leg from 0.81752 to the 0.82638 swing high has spent the last 18 hours grinding sideways, and the London-NY transition took price through the day's floor to a session low of 0.82303 before an immediate recovery to 0.8242. Price is back under the ema20 near 0.82500 with RSI(14) at 40; the low held on the retest, leaving the day range intact.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8262
What it said to watch
US Initial Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT land within the next bar and can reset this range
Sustained trade below 0.82303 and then the 0.82250 range base would confirm the break rather than a false break
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.82500 puts the 0.82620 swing high back in play
12:46 UTC
Post-FOMC range, momentum rolling over · RSI 39 · price 0.82423
Lower highs since 0.8264, intraday range floor probed.
The hawkish-Fed impulse bar lifted price from 0.8175 to 0.8264 late yesterday, and the last 16 hours have been pure consolidation with a chain of lower highs capped at the 0.82620 session high. London-NY transition sold off to a 0.82303 session low before the 12:30 GMT US data slot reclaimed 0.8243 — a false break of the range floor for now, with price under EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 39; ATR(14) is 7.4 pips.
Support: 0.82303, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82550 prior support would break the lower-high chain
15m close below 0.82303 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.82250 band base
US Pending Home Sales 14:00 GMT falls inside the next few bars and can reset the intraday range
Lower highs, downside range break, price under EMA20/50.
Selling into the NY data window pushed USDCHF out of the 0.8250–0.8262 band it had held all London session, with the session high at 0.8262 capping three attempts before the break; RSI(14) is at 32, the first sub-40 print of the window. Last close 0.8233 sits just above the session low at 0.8230, below EMA20 near 0.8251, with the broken low at 0.8239 now overhead on the intraday leg down from 0.8262. ATR(14) 5.8 pips.
Support: 0.8230, 0.8221
Resistance: 0.8239, 0.8251, 0.8262
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed cluster lands at 12:30 UTC — capable of resetting this read within the next bar
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.8251 would invalidate the range break
A close below the session low at 0.8230 puts the prior low at 0.8221 back in play
Range break lower after two failed pushes at the session high.
The FOMC hike leg drove price from 0.8175 to 0.8264 late in the NY session, then spent Asia and London chopping in a 0.8250–0.8262 band. Into the London-NY transition that band broke lower: 0.8262 was rejected twice, price sliced 0.8255 and is now sitting on the 0.8231 session low with RSI(14) near 31 and ATR(14) at ~6.6 pips.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8262
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed landing at 12:30 UTC — first print since the Fed hike, can materially reset this read within the next bar or two
Reclaim and hold above the 0.8255 broken shelf would negate the range break
Acceptance below the 0.8225 range floor extends the intraday lower-low sequence
12:16 UTC
Post-FOMC uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 40 · price 0.8244
Range break lower off session highs, first lower high printed.
The 18:00 UTC FOMC bar drove the impulse from 0.8175 to 0.8264, and price has since held a tight 0.8249–0.8262 band through Asia and the London morning, with rejection at the session high on each attempt. The last hour broke that band lower into 0.8244, closing below the 0.8254 ema20 with RSI(14) at 39.5 and the London low at 0.8237 the nearest reference.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8220
Resistance: 0.8254, 0.8262
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands in the next bar and can materially shift this read
Loss of the 0.8237 session low confirms a lower low, opening the path to the 0.8220 50% fib
M15 close back above the 0.8254 ema20 would restore the 0.8249–0.8262 band read
Consolidation 0.8237-0.8264, lower highs in London.
The 18:00 UTC FOMC bar yesterday drove an 85-pip vertical leg to 0.8264, and price has done nothing but chop in a 0.8237-0.8264 range since. London pushed to 0.8262 and was rejected; the last two bars dumped back to 0.8244 with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR only ~6 pips.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8225, 0.8211
Resistance: 0.8262, 0.8264
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands inside the next bar and can break this range either way
M15 close below 0.8237 session low would end the 24h consolidation and expose 0.8225 band low
Reclaim of 0.8262 session high puts the 0.8264 range high back in play
12:02 UTC
Higher after post-FOMC spike, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.82545
Range inside the upper half of the post-FOMC leg.
The FOMC hike at 18:00 UTC yesterday drove an 85-pip vertical leg from 0.81752 to 0.82638, and price has done nothing since but rotate 0.8237–0.8264. London took an early stab at 0.82366 before recovering, and the last five hours are compressed between the 0.82508 range floor and the 0.82620 session high with RSI(14) at 51.7 and ATR(14) just 5 pips.
Support: 0.82508, 0.82366, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8262, 0.82638
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC — 30 minutes out, main catalyst for a break of this range
M15 close above 0.82638 post-fomc hi extends the leg toward the 0.8300 area
Loss of the 0.82508 range floor re-opens the london low at 0.82366, then the 0.82250 band low
Continued 5-pip bars inside 0.8251–0.8262 keep the consolidation read intact
20-pip balance under 0.8264 after the FOMC spike; higher low at 0.8237 vs flat highs.
The 18:00 UTC Fed decision drove a vertical 90-pip leg from 0.8175 to the 0.8264 range top, and price has done nothing but balance beneath it since — Asia based at the 0.8237 session low, London recovered but stalled twice at 0.8262. RSI(14) back at 51 and ATR only ~5 pips into the US data cluster; no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8264, 0.8300
What it said to watch
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands inside the next bar and can break this balance either way
15m close above 0.8264 range top would resume the post-FOMC leg toward the 0.8300 psych cap
Loss of the 0.8237 session low confirms a lower low and puts the 0.8225 band base in play
11:55 UTC
Up off the FOMC spike, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.82578
Post-breakout consolidation, higher low intact.
The 21:00 broker-time FOMC hike snapped price out of the 0.8185/0.8194 pre-event coil, an ~85 pip leg into the 0.82638 16-month high. Since then Asia and London have simply chopped between the 0.82508 range low and that high, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR at ~5 pips — no directional resolution in play.
Support: 0.82508, 0.82366
Resistance: 0.82638, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82638 extends the post-FOMC leg toward 0.8275, the uob band top
Loss of the 0.82508 range low exposes today's session low at 0.82366
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands in the next bar and can break this range either way
The FOMC-driven leg from 0.81752 topped at the 0.82638 session high and has since gone sideways for roughly 15 hours, RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR ~5 pips. Demand stepped in at the 0.82366 london low during the London morning, but every push since has been capped below 0.8262 — a consolidation, not an extension.
Support: 0.82508, 0.82366, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82638, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82638 session high would extend the post-FOMC leg toward the 0.8300 psych cap
Loss of the 0.82508 swing low reopens the 0.82366 london low and the 0.8225 range floor
US claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC lands in the next bar period and can resolve this consolidation either way