USDCHF ran three straight up-days off the 0.79099 base after Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing drove the dollar broadly higher, with the dominant impulse firing in the London-NY transition mid-week. Price stalled at 0.80916 and is now consolidating in the 0.8058–0.8092 band, just below the 0.8100 YTD peak that has capped the advance. RSI(14) has eased from overbought back toward the mid-50s as the rally catches its breath; pullbacks have held above EMA(20).
Support: 0.80579, 0.8000, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81000 ytd peak opens the path to fresh post-December highs
Failure to hold 0.80579 swing low signals a deeper retrace toward 0.8000
S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) could materially shift the USD read
USDCHF has run three straight up-days off the mid-week spike near 0.7925, driven by the hawkish Fed dot-plot and a neutral SNB hold, peaking at 0.80916 before stalling below the 0.8100 YTD peak. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 but has gone sideways into the 0.8054–0.8079 band since the prior NY session, with RSI cycling in the mid-50s rather than pushing fresh extremes. The 0.8100 cap remains untested this week and is the immediate structural ceiling.
Support: 0.80537, 0.8000, 0.79818
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81000 ytd peak opens fresh post-December highs
Failure to hold 0.80537 session base signals a lower-low
Fed's Waller (Mon) and Tue PMIs could materially shift the USD read
Higher highs into resistance, consolidating below week high.
USDCHF ran three straight up-days off Monday's 0.7947 open after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing flipped momentum, with the impulse gapping higher mid-week and extending to a 0.80916 print. Price is now consolidating in the 0.8058–0.8079 band just under the 0.8100 YTD peak, where two pushes have stalled. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought as the advance flattened, with pullbacks so far holding above the rising EMA(20).
Support: 0.80579, 0.8068, 0.8006
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81000 ytd peak opens fresh post-Nov-2025 highs
Failure to hold 0.80579 swing low confirms a lower-low and break of the rising support
S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) could materially shift the USD-led read
USDCHF has run three straight up-days off Monday's 0.7910 base, the hawkish Fed dot-plot fuelling the strongest dollar leg of the week and lifting the pair from 0.7925 to a 0.80916 high. Price is now consolidating in the 0.8054–0.8092 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the upper-50s rather than overbought. The 0.8100 YTD peak remains the immediate cap; the recent high already stalled there once.
Support: 0.8054, 0.8068, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80916 week high opens the path to the 0.8100 ytd peak
Failure to hold the 0.8054 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 0.8000
Iran headlines could drive safe-haven CHF flows and shift this read
USDCHF ran three straight up-days off the 0.7925 base after the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing lifted the dollar, tagging a 0.80916 week high before stalling just shy of the 0.81000 YTD peak. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.8065, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling back toward the midline. The 0.80537 swing low has contained the pullback so far.
Support: 0.80537, 0.8025
Resistance: 0.80916, 0.8100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80916 opens the path to the 0.81000 YTD peak
Failure to hold 0.80537 signals a deeper pullback toward 0.80250
Iran headlines / safe-haven flows add two-way risk to the franc