Higher lows since Monday low, capped under 0.7875.
USDCHF has clawed back the entire Monday selloff, with buyers stepping in twice at the 0.7808 week low and walking price up through EMA20 and EMA50 into the 0.7872 week high. Momentum is cooling though — the latest push to 0.7875 during NY hours faded back under 0.7870 with RSI failing to confirm the new high. Price now ranging tight on light Asia volumes just below resistance.
Support: 0.78528, 0.78431, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78722, 0.78759
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7875 monday high opens path toward 0.7900 psych
Failure to hold 0.7853 prior swing risks rotation back to 0.7843 ny session lo
Fed speakers Jefferson, Lane, Greene in Tokyo session could shift the read
22:00 UTC
Recovery from week low, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 58 · price 0.78675
Two-day base reclaimed, capped under 0.7875.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.7808 mid-week and has reclaimed both EMAs into the NY session, printing a session high at 0.7876 before fading. Price now sits above the 0.7853 pivot with RSI(14) in the upper 50s — constructive recovery but momentum cooling as the swing high caps. Asia open holding above 0.7865 keeps the breakout structure intact for now.
Support: 0.7853, 0.7843, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.7872, 0.7876, 0.7883
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7876 swing high opens the path toward 0.7883 prior swing
Loss of 0.7853 pivot would invalidate the breakout-retest read
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo session could materially shift USD tone
Higher lows since Monday's low, pressing week highs.
USDCHF has carved out a steady recovery from Monday's 0.78080 week low, building higher lows across the Tuesday and Wednesday sessions and breaking above the 0.78600 shelf into NY hours. Price is holding above both EMAs with RSI at 62 — momentum constructive without being stretched. The session high at 0.78756 is the immediate ceiling capping further progress.
Support: 0.78605, 0.78431, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78756, 0.7882
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.78756 session high opens the path toward 0.78820 prior high
Loss of 0.78605 intraday low would mark first lower high and weaken the recovery read
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo Asia session could shift USD tone
20:00 UTC
Recovery from week low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.78683
Higher lows since Monday's swing low, reclaiming mid-week range.
USDCHF has recovered the entire mid-week drop, pushing back to 0.7868 after basing at the 0.7808 week low on Monday's NY session. Higher lows since then with price now riding above EMA20, and the NY session today drove a clean breakout through the 0.7860 area before stalling into the 0.7872 prior high. RSI(14) at 63 confirms momentum without being stretched.
Support: 0.7854, 0.78431, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78722, 0.78759
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.78759 prior high opens path back toward last week's 0.7878 area
Loss of 0.78540 EMA20 on an hourly close weakens the recovery read
Failure to hold 0.78431 pullback low restores the lower-high sequence
19:00 UTC
Recovering off week lows, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 0.78704
Higher low printed Wed, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCHF has reclaimed structure through the NY session, breaking above the 0.78650 area that capped Tuesday and pulling clear of the week low at 0.78080 printed Wednesday. Two defenses near 0.78431 carved a double bottom on the week before the current leg up, with price now grinding into the 0.78756 session high. RSI(14) at 63 confirms the momentum shift but is approaching the level where recent rallies have stalled.
Support: 0.78528, 0.78431, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78756, 0.7889
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.78756 session high opens path to 0.789 psych
Failure to hold 0.78528 session low reopens the wed pullback zone at 0.78431
Sustained rejection at 0.78756 with bearish RSI divergence would mark a lower high
Lower-high sequence broken, two-day base 0.7810-0.7870.
USDCHF based around 0.7810-0.7820 across two sessions before NY drove a sharp recovery into 0.7875, with price now consolidating just under the session high. The week's lower-high sequence still caps overhead near 0.7887, but reclaim of both EMAs and the double-bottom off the week low have shifted the H1 tone constructive. Iran-deal headlines and Trump's hardline comments drove the late-NY whipsaw, leaving a wide rejection wick into the close.
Support: 0.7843, 0.7818, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.7876, 0.7887
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7876 session high opens path to 0.7887 prior swing
rejection back under 0.7843 reopens the week low at 0.7818
loss of 0.7818 confirms downtrend continuation toward 0.7808 swing low
Iran headline risk could materially shift this read
USDCHF spent the first half of the week grinding lower from the 0.7890 weekly open into a 0.7808 swing low, then carved a rounded bottom across the NY session yesterday and into Asia. Price has now cleared EMA20 and EMA50 on H1 with RSI(14) pushing into the mid-60s, and the current NY session is testing the 0.7872 session high.
Support: 0.7838, 0.7808, 0.7850
Resistance: 0.7872, 0.7888, 0.7890
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7872 session high opens the path back to the 0.7890 weekly open
Failure at 0.7872 and loss of the 0.7850 ema20 reopens the 0.7838 week low
Iran headline flow remains a wildcard for USD demand
16:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing attempt · RSI 58 · price 0.7868
Lower highs into mid-week, recovery bounce off 0.7808.
Pair sold from 0.7895 early in the week down to a 0.7808 swing low, then carved out a higher low around 0.7843 — a tentative double bottom read. Latest NY hour pushed back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) into 0.7868 after a sharp rejection at the session low, with RSI(14) recovering to the high 50s and showing bullish divergence against the price low.
Support: 0.78431, 0.78189, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78685, 0.78759, 0.78952
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.78685 session high opens path to 0.78759 prior high
Loss of 0.78431 session low reinstates the downtrend toward 0.78189 week low area
ECB commentary flow still active — headline risk into Asia session
15:00 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 52 · price 0.78547
Lower highs into range, basing above week low.
USDCHF has spent the week grinding lower from 0.7895 into a 0.7808 week low before basing in a 0.7825–0.7867 range. Price reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50 during the NY session yesterday but ran into rejection at 0.7867 and faded back to retest the intraday low at 0.7843. RSI cycling around 50 reflects the lack of directional commitment as Iran-MoU headlines whip risk sentiment.
Support: 0.7843, 0.7814, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.7867, 0.7895
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7867 session high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7843 intraday low reopens the 0.7814 week low
Further Iran MoU headlines could materially shift this read
USDCHF opened the week near 0.7897 and sold off into a 0.7808 week low during Monday's NY session, before grinding back to 0.7860 across the last two sessions. The latest H1 just rejected the today high at 0.7867 with a sharp wick down to 0.7843, leaving price pinned between the session low and that rejection. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 — momentum is balanced after the recovery.
Support: 0.78431, 0.7808, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.7867, 0.78759
What it said to watch
H1 close below session low 0.7843 reopens the week low at 0.7808
Reclaim of today high 0.7867 puts the prior swing 0.7876 back in play
Iran-US MoU headlines continue to drive USD safe-haven flows and could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 62 · price 0.78652
Lower highs into Monday low, now grinding back up.
USDCHF has spent the week drifting lower from 0.7904 to a 0.7808 week low set in Monday's NY session, with each London session producing a fresh lower high. The last 24 hours have carved out a double bottom near 0.7810/0.7825 and price is now pushing back through EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY session, with RSI cycling up to the low-60s. Iran de-escalation headlines and a soft ADP pulse are the macro backdrop driving the broader risk tone.
Support: 0.7838, 0.7808, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.7867, 0.7876, 0.7895
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7867 session high opens path back to 0.7895 week open
Rejection at 0.7867 and a return below 0.7838 reasserts the downtrend
Loss of 0.7808 week low confirms a fresh lower low
Further Iran-US MoU headlines could materially shift the read
Week opened near 0.7890 and sold through Tuesday's NY hours into a 0.7808 low before buyers stepped in twice around 0.7810–0.7815, carving a double bottom. Price has since reclaimed both EMAs and is consolidating just below 0.7860, where Wednesday's NY session capped the rebound. RSI sits in the mid-50s with momentum flattening as Iran-deal headlines keep risk tone fluid.
Support: 0.78462, 0.78315, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.78908
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7865 opens path back toward week open near 0.7890
Loss of 0.7846 session low re-engages the 0.7808 week low
Iran truce headlines could materially shift this read
11:00 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 55 · price 0.78577
Lower-highs into range above weekly low.
Price slid from Monday's 0.7904 week high to a 0.7808 week low during yesterday's NY session, then snapped back through the 0.78460 prior pivot and held a double bottom base. Two NY sessions later USDCHF is consolidating just under the 0.78645 NY high with RSI back near 55 and price holding above reclaimed EMA20/50. Iran-truce headlines and Kashkari's hawkish inflation line have stabilised the dollar but capped follow-through.
Support: 0.7846, 0.7808, 0.7838
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7888, 0.7904
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.78645 ny high opens path back to the 0.78880 wk open zone
Loss of 0.78460 session low reopens the 0.78080 week low
Further US-Iran headline risk could override the structural read
Lower-high sequence broken short term, base forming above 0.7810.
USDCHF carved a base above 0.7810 after Monday's selloff into the weekly low, with a second low at 0.7808 holding before a steady NY-session climb. Price has reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50 and is now testing the 0.7860 prior-high area, with RSI(14) near 58. Rabobank's intervention-stance commentary and stable Iran-US headlines have removed the haven bid that drove the early-week leg lower.
Support: 0.7838, 0.7818, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7890
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7865 prior high opens path toward 0.7890 weekly high
Rejection at 0.7860 keeps the broader downtrend intact
Loss of 0.7838 session low shifts focus back to 0.7818 weekly low
Fresh Iran-US headlines could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 54 · price 0.7857
Lower highs into 0.7810 floor, mild recovery.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, printing a week low at 0.7808 during the NY session before basing into a double bottom. Price has recovered back to the EMA20 around 0.7860 with RSI lifting off oversold, but the swing high at 0.7864 still caps. Kashkari's hawkish inflation comments and fading US-Iran risk-off flow have steadied the dollar into Wednesday's European hours.
Support: 0.7808, 0.7838
Resistance: 0.7860, 0.7864, 0.7890
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7864 swing high opens path back to 0.7890 week high
Failure at the ema20 and a return below 0.7838 reopens the 0.7808 week low
Headline-driven moves on US-Iran truce progress could override the structural read
08:00 UTC
Downtrend, base attempting · RSI 49 · price 0.78481
Lower-high sequence then sideways base above 0.7810.
Pair sold off from 0.7890 on Monday's NY session into the 0.7808 week low, with the Kashkari hawkish comments and softer risk aversion offering little USD bid. Since the recovery into 0.78645 during yesterday's NY session, price has rolled back below EMA20 and is basing in a tight 0.7848–0.7860 range. RSI(14) printed a shallow bullish divergence against the week low but has stalled at the 50 line, leaving the downtrend intact unless the this-wk high gives way.
Support: 0.7808, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7890
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.78645 this-wk high opens path back to 0.78900 prior-wk high
Loss of 0.78250 base mid reopens the 0.78080 week low
Sustained reclaim of ema20 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
07:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing into range · RSI 48 · price 0.78537
Lower-low at 0.7808 then recovery into 0.7855 range.
USDCHF has worked lower since last week's 0.7904 high, with the Monday gap and Tuesday's flush into 0.7808 marking the week low before buyers stepped in twice around 0.7810 — a double bottom on the H1. Recovery through the NY session lifted price back to 0.7864 before stalling, and the pair has since coiled in a tight 0.7849–0.7858 range during Asia with RSI flattening near 48. Fading risk aversion noted by FX wires is consistent with the basing action, but price remains capped below the EMA(20).
Support: 0.7849, 0.7832, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7890, 0.7904
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7864 session high opens path back to 0.7890 prior high
Loss of 0.7849 range floor re-exposes 0.7832 pivot and the 0.7808 week low
Sustained reclaim of EMA(20) needed to neutralise the downtrend read
06:00 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 52 · price 0.78515
Lower highs into 0.7810 low, corrective bounce underway.
USDCHF spent the early week grinding lower from the 0.7890 week high, with the dominant leg coming during the Monday NY session that printed the 0.7808 swing low. Since then price has carved a double bottom around 0.7810–0.7815 and reclaimed EMA(50) on H1, with a NY session push to 0.78645 fading back below 0.78605. RSI(14) recovering from oversold while price held the low leaves a bullish divergence in play, but the corrective tone hasn't yet broken the lower-high structure.
Support: 0.7838, 0.7816, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78605, 0.7876, 0.7890
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.78760 prior shelf would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.78160 week low reopens 0.7808 swing low and extends the downtrend
Fading risk aversion noted in early Asia session keeps USD soft near-term
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 54 · price 0.78532
Lower highs into 0.7808 low, recovery toward mid-range.
Week opened heavy with Monday's NY session dragging price from 0.7890 down to a 0.7808 week low, before buyers stepped in twice around 0.7810-0.7815 to form a double bottom. Recovery through the NY session yesterday cleared EMA(20) and tagged 0.78645 before stalling, with RSI(14) now cycling around 54 after a bullish divergence into the lows. Price is consolidating mid-range between the 0.78427 swing low and the 0.78645 prior high.
Support: 0.78427, 0.7808, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7890
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.78645 prior high opens path to 0.78900 week high
Loss of 0.78427 swing low reopens the 0.78080 week low
Price has worked back above EMA(20) and EMA(50) after carving a double bottom around 0.7808–0.7815 through the Asia/London sessions yesterday. The week-low rejection and bullish RSI divergence have driven a corrective bounce into the 0.78645 session high, but the broader H1 structure of lower highs from 0.7904 remains intact. Current consolidation sits mid-range between the week low and prior highs.
Support: 0.7844, 0.7823, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7890, 0.7904
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.78645 session high opens path to the 0.78900 prior high
Loss of 0.78230 base re-exposes the 0.78080 week low
Light Asia session liquidity into NY hours could exaggerate moves
Lower-high sequence, recent recovery off week low.
USDCHF has carved a basing structure off the 0.7808 week low, with a second test at 0.7812 producing a sharp recovery into the NY session and a higher-low sequence since. Price now sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling around 54, but the broader week remains a downtrend after the rejection from 0.7904 early in the window. The session high at 0.7864 is the immediate ceiling to clear before the 0.7889 prior-high zone comes back into focus.
Support: 0.78495, 0.7838, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7889, 0.7904
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.7864 session high opens path to 0.7889 prior high
Loss of 0.7849 intraday low reopens the 0.7808 week low
Failure to hold the higher-low sequence invalidates the double bottom read
02:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 51 · price 0.78519
Lower highs into week, recovery off weekly low.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.7890 week high into a 0.7808 low during yesterday's London session, then recovered through NY to print a 0.78645 session high. Price now sits mid-range with EMA20 reclaimed and RSI hovering near 50, suggesting the impulsive leg lower has stalled into a base around the 0.7808–0.7814 swing low. The recovery shows a tentative double bottom read against the weekly low, but the prior high at 0.78760 has yet to be tested.
Support: 0.7838, 0.7814, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.7876, 0.7890
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.78760 prior high opens path back to 0.78900 week high
Loss of 0.78380 week low reopens the 0.78080 weekly low
Failure to hold EMA20 on pullback weakens the basing read
Lower-high sequence from Monday peak, current week base near 0.7820.
USDCHF has trended lower since the 0.79041 peak set during NY hours earlier in the week, carving a sequence of lower highs into a week low at 0.78189. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.7818–0.7808 during yesterday's Asia/London transition, and the NY session pushed price back to 0.78645 before fading into the Asian range. RSI(14) sits mid-range with a mild bullish divergence against the prior low, but price remains capped below both EMAs.
Support: 0.78189, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.78645, 0.78895, 0.79041
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 0.78645 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.78189 week low / 0.78080 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
Kashkari hawkish comments and Middle East headlines remain a macro risk for USD repricing
Lower highs into 0.7820 base, week-long recovery stalling at 0.7860.
USDCHF carved a week low at 0.7808 mid-week before NY-session buyers stepped in twice around 0.7820 to form a double bottom, lifting price back through EMA(20) and EMA(50). Recovery has stalled at 0.7860 into the Asia session, with RSI(14) cooling to 58 after tagging 65 on yesterday's NY push. Range mid-0.7820 to 0.7860 dominates the immediate read.
Support: 0.7820, 0.7808
Resistance: 0.7860, 0.7888
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7860 opens the path back to the 0.7888 prior swing
Loss of 0.7820 week base reopens the 0.7808 week low
Australia April CPI print in the coming Asia session — USD reaction risk