USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 28 May 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.78382
Lower highs, lower lows then base.
USDCHF broke down through 0.78566 during NY hours on Iran-tension headlines, extending to a 0.78326 spike low before basing in a tight 0.78345–0.78416 range. RSI(14) recovered from oversold to the low 40s but price remains capped below the prior breakdown shelf with EMA20/50 overhead.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78326
Resistance: 0.78416, 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 rejection zone would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 0.78326 spike low extends the breakdown leg
Tokyo CPI in the upcoming Asia session is a known catalyst for USD/JPY-linked CHF flow
23:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.78383
Lower highs into 0.7838 base.
Sharp NY-session breakdown from 0.7898 sliced through 0.7857 on Iran-headline driven flows, parking price into a tight 0.7833–0.7840 base during the Asia handover. RSI(14) lifted off oversold to 41 but price is pinned below EMA20/50 with no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.78337, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78481 rejection would challenge the downtrend read
Break of 0.78337 session low extends the leg lower
Further US-Iran headline flow could reignite the move outside the consolidation
23:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 43 · price 0.78389
Lower highs into 0.7835 base, recovery stalling at 0.7840.
USDCHF broke down through 0.7857 during NY hours on Iran-tension headlines, printing a session low at 0.78345 before stabilising. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7837–0.7840 band into Asia, RSI recovering from oversold but capped under the micro high at 0.78418.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78418, 0.78481, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78481 would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Break of session low 0.78345 extends the breakdown leg
Further Iran/Hormuz escalation headlines could re-trigger CHF demand
23:00 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 43 · price 0.78389
Lower highs into 0.7840 base after sharp NY drop.
Sharp NY-session sell-off from 0.78990 to 0.78345 on the Iran/Hormuz headlines and Musalem's hawkish lean, then price stalled into a tight 0.7833–0.7842 base through the Asia open. Sellers capping rebounds at 0.78418 keep the lower-high structure intact, RSI mid-40s with no divergence.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78418, 0.78566
What it said to watch
15m close above 0.78566 invalidates the lower-high sequence
break of 0.78345 opens room toward the prior 0.7830 round number
fresh Iran/Hormuz headlines could re-ignite CHF safe-haven bid
Sharp NY-session leg lower from 0.7875 to 0.7833 on Iran/US headline flow, now basing in a 0.7833–0.7840 range during late NY. RSI(14) lifting off oversold against a flat low — minor bullish divergence — but price still capped below EMA20/50 and the 0.7848 rejection high.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.7848
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 rejection hi negates the downtrend read
Break of 0.78326 session low extends the leg lower
Further Iran/US escalation headlines could re-ignite CHF safe-haven flows
Lower highs after impulsive NY drop, basing near session low.
USDCHF dropped sharply during NY hours from 0.78714 down to 0.78345, coinciding with USD selling on the reported US-Iran ceasefire headlines. Price has since coiled between 0.78345 and 0.78418 in a tight late-session range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 38.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78418, 0.78504, 0.78714
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78345 extends the NY downside leg
Reclaim of 0.78504 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could reprice JPY-linked USD flows and spill into CHF
Fresh US-Iran escalation headlines remain a binary risk for USD
22:15 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 38 · price 0.78373
Lower highs and lower lows, stalling at 0.7835.
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire headlines and dovish positioning, breaking down from 0.7876 to 0.7833 session low. Late session has compressed into a 0.7835–0.7840 base with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, no reclaim of the 0.78481 swing high yet.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481
What it said to watch
15m close back above 0.78481 swing high would neutralise the breakdown read
loss of 0.78326 session low extends the downtrend
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could inject cross-JPY flow
22:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 38 · price 0.78373
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 0.7835.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours, dropping from 0.7890 to 0.7835 on USD weakness tied to reports of a US-Iran ceasefire MOU. Price has since flattened into a tight consolidation between 0.7833 and 0.7840 in the late NY/early Asia handover, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 38.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78566 breakdown lvl would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Loss of 0.78326 session low extends the leg lower
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could inject fresh USD direction
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire approval remains live
Lower highs into 0.7835 base after impulsive sell-off.
USDCHF sold off sharply during NY hours, sliding from 0.7892 to a session low at 0.78326 on USD weakness tied to US-Iran ceasefire headlines. Price has since gone flat between 0.7833 and 0.7842, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but no reclaim of the 0.78480 supply yet.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78418, 0.7848
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78480 supply would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.78326 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Iran/US headline risk remains live and can override structure
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours, breaking down from 0.7890 to a session low of 0.78326 after Iran ceasefire MOU headlines hit the dollar. Late session is consolidating in a tight 0.7834–0.7840 range below the 0.78404 micro pivot, with RSI flat near 38.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78481 rejection hi would neutralise the breakdown structure
Loss of 0.78326 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Headline risk from Iran/US ceasefire approval could re-accelerate USD weakness
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours after headlines pointed to a US-Iran ceasefire MOU, breaking down from 0.7880 through 0.7857 and basing near 0.7833. The last 6 hours have been a tight consolidation between 0.7834 and 0.7840 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-30s — no recovery attempt yet.
Support: 0.78326, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.78481 rejection high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.78326 session low extends the breakdown
Tokyo CPI early Asia session could inject volatility into the consolidation
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 38 · price 0.78388
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking down from 0.78751 on the US-Iran ceasefire headlines and Greenback weakness, printing a session low at 0.78345. Late NY hours have stalled into a tight consolidation between 0.78365 and 0.78416, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but price still capped below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78751
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78458 micro pivot would mark first lower-high break
Break of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could shift broader USD tone
NY session sold off hard through the breakdown level at 0.78566 on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and softer USD tone, printing a session low at 0.78345. Last two hours have flattened into a tight 0.7836–0.7842 consolidation with RSI(14) recovering from oversold but no reclaim of 0.78458 micro pivot yet.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.78458 micro pivot opens room toward the 0.78566 breakdown level
Loss of 0.78345 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could inject volatility into the consolidation
USDCHF cracked the 0.78713 shelf during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and dovish-leaning USD flow, dropping ~70 pips to a session low at 0.78345. Late-NY tape has flattened in a tight 0.78343–0.78418 consolidation just above that low, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward 39.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78713
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 0.78458 micro pivot neutralises the breakdown
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could shift USD risk tone
20:15 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY sell-off · RSI 38 · price 0.78389
Lower highs, lower lows; basing near session low.
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire headlines and Musalem comments, breaking the 0.78751 shelf and extending to a session low at 0.78345. Price is now basing in a tight 0.78343–0.78418 range with RSI(14) recovering from oversold but stalling under 40; sellers still defending the 0.78458 micro pivot.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78458 micro pivot would relieve downside pressure
Break below 0.78345 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Further Fed/Iran headlines could materially shift this read
20:00 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY reversal · RSI 38 · price 0.78368
Lower highs, lower lows from 0.7899 peak.
USDCHF rolled over during the NY session, sliding from 0.7899 to a session low of 0.78345 on the back of USD-negative headlines (US/Iran ceasefire MOU, Musalem comments). Price has stabilised in a tight 0.7836–0.7841 range over the last 2 hours with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; structure remains lower highs below 0.78458.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78566 breakdown lvl would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Break of 0.78345 session low extends the leg lower
Trump approval of US/Iran MOU headline risk could reignite USD selling
Lower highs, lower lows from 0.7899 peak; basing near 0.7838.
USDCHF sold off sharply during the NY session after US-Iran ceasefire headlines and dollar weakness, breaking from 0.7899 down to 0.78345 session low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7838–0.7842 range with RSI(14) at 38, no recovery attempt yet.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78458
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.78458 micro high would mark first bullish reaction since the breakdown
Loss of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Further Fed Musalem hawkish commentary or Iran deal confirmation could reignite volatility
19:30 UTC
Downtrend, late NY consolidation · RSI 39 · price 0.78392
Lower highs, lower lows after NY sell-off.
USDCHF dumped through NY hours from 0.7899 to a session low of 0.78345 after US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines pressured the dollar. Price now coiling in a tight 0.7836–0.7842 range late session, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to 39 with no reclaim attempt of the 0.78566 breakdown level.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78418, 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.78480 rejection wick would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.78345 session low extends the sell-off
Further US-Iran deal headlines could re-ignite USD selling into Asia
Lower highs / lower lows after NY session reversal.
USDCHF sold off hard during NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire headlines hit, breaking down from 0.7870 and printing a session low at 0.78345. Price has since stabilised in a tight 0.7834–0.7842 range over the last two hours, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but no reclaim of the 0.78480 broken shelf.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78714
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
loss of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend leg
further headlines on Trump's approval of the US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down sharply during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, dropping ~60 pips from 0.78751 through 0.78566 to a session low of 0.78345. Price is now consolidating in the 0.78343-0.78416 range with RSI(14) at 38 cooling from oversold; the breakdown zone at 0.78566 caps any recovery attempts.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78481, 0.78566, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78481 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend toward fresh lows
Trump final approval on US-Iran MOU could re-accelerate USD selling
Lower highs and lower lows after NY-session break.
USDCHF cracked through the 0.78750 shelf during NY hours and dumped ~45 pips on USD selling after US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines, printing a session low at 0.78345. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.78343–0.78404 consolidation just above the low with RSI(14) lifting off oversold.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78345 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.78480 broken shelf would neutralise the sell-off
Trump approval headline on US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down through 0.7870 during NY hours on the US-Iran ceasefire headline, extending into a clean lower-high / lower-low sequence to a session low at 0.78343. Price is now grinding sideways just above that low, RSI(14) at 34 after tagging oversold during the impulse.
Support: 0.78343, 0.7828
Resistance: 0.7843
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the broken shelf at 0.78430 would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.78343 session low opens path toward the 0.7830 psych
Trump approval of US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read on USD
18:15 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY rejection · RSI 36 · price 0.78365
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.7899 swing.
Pair was sold sharply during NY hours after a double top around 0.7899, with the impulsive break of 0.78713 confirming an intraday downtrend; price now consolidating just above the 0.78345 session low. RSI(14) at 36 reflects the recent leg lower with no divergence yet, and the late-session drift is tight against support.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78453, 0.78566, 0.78713
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78345 swing low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78566 breakdown lvl neutralises the bearish read
Fed Musalem hawkish remarks still in play, headline risk into Asia open
18:00 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 31 · price 0.78393
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection from 0.7899.
NY session drove a sharp leg lower from 0.7899, breaking the 0.7866 floor and printing a session low at 0.78345 after Musalem's cautious tone and soft US new home sales. Price is consolidating in a tight 0.7835–0.7840 band, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 31 but still below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78480 micro pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Break below 0.78345 session low extends the selloff
Headline risk on US/Iran MOU approval could whip CHF
USDCHF broke down sharply during NY hours, slicing through the 0.7880 range floor and extending to 0.7835 on heavy volume after Musalem's cautious-hawkish remarks and US/Iran ceasefire MOU headlines. Last few bars show stalling near the session low with a small bounce to 0.7840, RSI(14) lifting off oversold around 32.
Support: 0.7835, 0.7841
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.7857, 0.7880
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7857 breakdown level would neutralise the downtrend read
M15 close below 0.7835 session low extends the leg
Trump approval on US/Iran MOU could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection at 0.7899.
NY session has delivered a clean leg lower after a double rejection at 0.7899, with the 0.7875 shelf giving way and price extending to a session low of 0.78345. RSI(14) at 31.8 is stretched but not extreme, and price is consolidating in a tight 30-pip box just above the lows into late NY.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78566 breakdown lvl would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.78345 session low extends the leg and confirms continuation
US-Iran ceasefire MOU headline risk could trigger a CHF repricing
NY session saw a sharp leg lower from 0.78751, breaking down through 0.78566 and extending to a session low of 0.78345 alongside softer US new home sales and ceasefire headlines. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.78352–0.78393 range just above the session low with RSI around 32, momentum still pointing down.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78480 micro pivot would neutralise the downside read
Break and close below 0.78345 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Pending Trump approval on US/Iran MOU could whip CHF on headline
17:00 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY rejection · RSI 32 · price 0.78365
Lower highs, lower lows from 0.7899 swing.
NY session rejected the 0.7899 area twice and dumped through 0.7870 support into 0.7834, with the hawkish Musalem comments not enough to hold USD bid against CHF. Price now consolidating just above the session low; RSI(14) at 31 reflects the extended leg, not yet washed out.
Support: 0.78345, 0.7830
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78713
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78480 micro pivot would neutralise the downside read
Break of 0.78345 session low opens path toward the 0.78300 psych handle
Headline risk around US/Iran MOU approval could shift USD risk premium
16:45 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp leg down from session high · RSI 28 · price 0.78383
Lower highs and lower lows after 0.7899 rejection.
USDCHF double-topped near 0.7899 during the NY session and broke sharply lower, taking out 0.7866 and 0.7850 in succession after hawkish Musalem headlines failed to lift the dollar. Current bar prints 0.7838 with RSI(14) at 28 — short-term oversold but momentum still pointing down, with the session low at 0.78345 the immediate reference.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78566 breakdown lvl neutralises the leg lower
US/Iran ceasefire approval headline risk could whip price
16:30 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp leg down · RSI 28 · price 0.78431
Lower highs and lower lows after NY rejection.
Sharp NY-session reversal: double top at 0.78991 gave way to a clean break of 0.78713, dumping ~60 pips to a session low at 0.78402 alongside hawkish Musalem headlines being faded. RSI(14) at 28 shows oversold conditions and the last four bars are basing just above the low, but no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.78402, 0.7835
Resistance: 0.78566, 0.78713, 0.78991
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78566 drop origin would neutralise the downside read
M15 close below 0.78402 session low extends the leg toward 0.78350 psych
Late NY hours — liquidity thinning, basing could be drift rather than demand
16:15 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY reversal · RSI 31 · price 0.78449
Lower highs, lower lows post-0.7899 rejection.
USDCHF rolled over after a double top at 0.7899 during the London-NY transition, with sellers pressing through the 0.78751 breakdown level on soft US Q1 GDP (1.6% vs 2%) and weak new home sales. Price now consolidating just off the 0.78411 session low, RSI(14) at 31 reflecting stretched downside but no reversal yet.
Support: 0.78411, 0.78485
Resistance: 0.78566, 0.78751, 0.78991
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78566 drop origin would neutralise the intraday downtrend
M15 close below 0.78411 session low extends the leg lower
Further Fed speak (Musalem hawkish tone in play) could shift the read
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection at 0.7899.
NY session sold USDCHF aggressively after a double top near 0.7899, breaking the 0.78700 shelf and the 0.78500 round level on heavy volume following soft US Q1 GDP and weak new home sales. Price has stabilised just above 0.78411 with RSI(14) deeply oversold at 22.
Support: 0.78411, 0.7837
Resistance: 0.7850, 0.78566, 0.78713
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78500 broken shelf would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 0.78411 session low opens the psych 0.7840 zone
RSI oversold leaves room for a corrective bounce into 0.78566 selloff mid
15:45 UTC
Intraday downtrend, sharp selloff in NY · RSI 19 · price 0.78418
Range break lower, fresh session lows.
USDCHF broke down sharply during NY hours, slicing through 0.78713 support after a soft Q1 GDP revision and weaker new home sales, with price now sitting at session low 0.78411. RSI(14) at 19 flags oversold conditions but momentum remains one-way; no sign of stabilisation yet on this leg.
Support: 0.78411, 0.7835
Resistance: 0.78566, 0.78713
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78566 break retest would neutralise the selloff
Failure to hold 0.78411 session low opens path toward 0.78350 psych
Hawkish Fed Musalem commentary still hitting the wires, headline risk elevated
Clean intraday reversal: price topped at 0.78991 during NY hours then knifed lower on the soft US Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales, breaking the 0.78680 base and 0.78550 shelf. RSI(14) deep at 18 — short-term stretched but momentum one-way, last bar pinning the session low at 0.78411.
Support: 0.78411, 0.7835
Resistance: 0.7855, 0.7868, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78550 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.78411 session low opens path toward 0.78350 psych
Fed Musalem hawkish comments still circulating — headline risk into late NY
USDCHF collapsed through the NY session range during the US data window, dropping ~55 pips from 0.78990 highs after the soft Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales. Price prints at fresh session low 0.78457 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 22 — extension is stretched but no rejection wick yet.
Support: 0.78457, 0.7840
Resistance: 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close back above broken shelf at 0.78566 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.78457 opens path toward the 0.78400 psych level
RSI sub-25 with no reversal candle keeps the downside impulse intact
USDCHF capped twice at 0.7899 forming a double top through NY hours, then broke down through 0.7870 with a clean impulsive leg into 0.7848. RSI(14) at 22 flags short-term oversold and ATR(14) near 10 pips shows volatility expanding into the drop.
Support: 0.78476, 0.7840
Resistance: 0.78566, 0.78713, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78566 drop origin would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.78476 session low opens path toward 0.7840 round number
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce before continuation
14:45 UTC
Uptrend reversed by sharp NY selloff · RSI 23 · price 0.78512
Intraday top printed at 0.7899, range break lower.
USDCHF rolled over hard in the NY session after a double top at 0.7899/0.7898, dropping ~50 pips through the broken shelf at 0.7863 and printing a session low at 0.78501. Move followed soft US Q1 GDP and new home sales; RSI(14) now oversold at 23 with price hugging the session low.
Support: 0.78501, 0.7844
Resistance: 0.7863, 0.78924
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78630 neutralises the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.78501 opens path toward 0.7840 psych
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce into 0.78630 before continuation
14:30 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp drop from highs · RSI 28 · price 0.78561
Session high swept, breakdown through prior support.
Twin rejections at 0.78991 during NY session set a double top, then price collapsed 49 pips in two bars after the soft Q1 GDP and new home sales prints weighed on USD. Last bar pierced the session low at 0.78504 before closing back at 0.78561, RSI(14) stretched at 28.
Support: 0.78504, 0.78487
Resistance: 0.78714, 0.7887, 0.78991
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78714 breakdown lvl would neutralise the bearish read
M15 close below 0.78487 prior low confirms continuation lower
RSI sub-30 suggests scope for a relief bounce before any extension
NY session twice rejected 0.7899 forming a double top, then dropped through the 0.78807 pivot to print a session low at 0.78629 after the soft US Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales. Price now mid-range, RSI(14) near 41 with EMA20/50 rolling over.
Support: 0.78629, 0.78491
Resistance: 0.78991, 0.78807, 0.7887
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78807 would neutralise the rejection read
Loss of 0.78629 session low opens path toward 0.78491 asia low
Further soft USD data could extend the downside leg
14:00 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY session high · RSI 32 · price 0.78633
Lower highs forming off 0.7899.
NY session twice rejected 0.78991 to form a double top, then unwound 36 pips into 0.78629 after the soft Q1 GDP revision hit the dollar. RSI(14) at 32 reflects the impulsive leg lower; price is now consolidating just above the session low with EMA20 and EMA50 capping above.
Support: 0.78629, 0.78486
Resistance: 0.78725, 0.78924, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78725 micro lh would neutralise the pullback
Loss of 0.78629 session low opens room toward the 0.78486 asia low
Stale reaction to GDP miss — fresh USD headlines could extend the move
13:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 35 · price 0.78688
Lower high printed, pullback in progress.
NY session rejected twice at 0.78991, printing a double top before a sharp leg lower into 0.78629 after the soft US Q1 GDP revision (1.6% vs 2%). Price now hovers at 0.78688 with RSI(14) at 35 — pullback active, no fresh low yet.
Support: 0.78629, 0.78525
Resistance: 0.78791, 0.78924, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78791 ema20 reopens the session high
loss of 0.78629 session low extends the leg toward asia low at 0.78525
sustained move below 0.78629 confirms a lower-low after the double top
13:30 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 33 · price 0.78708
Lower-high printed, rejection from session high.
NY session printed a double top at 0.78991 then dropped sharply to 0.78629 after the soft US Q1 GDP revision, taking out EMA20/50 in one go. Price now sits mid-range near 0.78708 with RSI(14) at 33, recovering off the session low but capped under the prior swing.
Support: 0.78629, 0.78522
Resistance: 0.78924, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78629 confirms continuation toward asia low at 0.78522
Reclaim of 0.78924 lower high invalidates the rollover read
Further USD-negative headlines could extend the post-GDP move
13:15 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY high · RSI 28 · price 0.78678
Range break to upside, sharp rejection.
USDCHF spiked to 0.78991 twice during NY hours on the strong US durable goods print but failed to extend, and the last three M15 bars dumped 30 pips back through the 0.78810 shelf to a session low at 0.78668. RSI(14) now at 28 after printing a bearish divergence at the double top; price is below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.78668, 0.7855
Resistance: 0.7881, 0.78924, 0.78991
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78810 would neutralise the rejection from the NY high
M15 close below 0.78668 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.78550 prior swing
US core PCE release later today could materially shift this read
Session high swept, sharp reversal back through range.
NY session tagged 0.78991 twice and got rejected, with the second push showing bearish RSI divergence before price knifed back through 0.7887 into the session low at 0.78713. Durable goods beat (+7.9%) didn't lift the dollar here — sellers stepped in aggressively, RSI(14) now oversold at 28.
Support: 0.78713, 0.78655, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.7887, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78870 neutralises the rejection read
Loss of 0.78713 session low opens path toward the 0.78655 prior pivot
US core PCE print later today could materially shift this read
12:45 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 0.78771
Higher highs and higher lows; current pullback testing intraday support.
USDCHF pushed to a session high near 0.78990 during NY hours after the strong US durable goods print, then rejected and faded back to 0.78750 into late NY. Pullback structure intact above the 0.78680 swing low; RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s after the rejection.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7868, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7889, 0.7899
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78680 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Reclaim of 0.78890 session high reopens the range top at 0.78990
US core PCE print is the next scheduled catalyst and could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 0.7899 supply, pullback in progress.
Price rallied through the London session into a 0.78990 supply zone and was rejected twice, forming a near double top into the NY hours. Pullback now testing the 0.78820 session pivot with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7875, 0.7868
Resistance: 0.7893, 0.7899
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78750 swing low opens room toward the 0.78680 range base
Reclaim of 0.78930 session high reopens the 0.78990 supply test
US core PCE released during this window — residual volatility still in play
12:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 52 · price 0.78886
Higher highs into 0.7899, two failed retests.
NY session pushed twice to 0.78991 and failed, leaving a double top with bearish RSI divergence as momentum cooled from earlier highs near 71. Price has slipped back to mid-range around 0.78886, holding above the 0.78820 swing low but no longer trending.
Support: 0.7882
Resistance: 0.78991, 0.78926
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78991 session high reopens the uptrend
Break of 0.78820 swing low confirms the double top
US core PCE release later today could materially shift this read
12:00 UTC
Uptrend losing steam near session high · RSI 58 · price 0.78918
Higher highs into 0.7899 cap, pullback in progress.
NY session pushed USDCHF up to 0.7899 twice and got rejected, forming a double top into the session high. Price is now stalling around 0.7891 with RSI cooling from the highs; structure still constructive while the 0.7887 pivot holds.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7868
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7899 session high reopens the upside extension
Break below 0.7875 session low breaks the intraday HL chain
US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCHF to 0.7899 twice before sellers rejected the level, price now pulling back into 0.7890. Structure remains a higher-high sequence off the 0.7863 Asia low, with EMA20/50 stacked beneath. Momentum has cooled — RSI back into mid-range after tagging overbought on the 0.7899 print.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7893
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.78990 reopens the session high
Break of 0.78870 swing low cracks the intraday uptrend
US core PCE release in ~1h could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback in progress.
USDCHF ground higher through the London session, posting a session high at 0.78990 before stalling. Price is consolidating just below that high into early NY, with RSI cooling to mid-range after the push.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7892
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78870 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
Reclaim of 0.78990 session high opens room toward 0.79000 psych
Uptrend from the London-session 0.78630 base, with NY pushing twice into 0.78991 and stalling — twin highs forming. RSI cooling from 70 into the low 60s as price consolidates just below the session high.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.78991, 0.7905
What it said to watch
Close above 0.78991 invalidates the double top read and opens 0.79050
Loss of 0.78870 prior swing tilts structure back into range
Middle East headlines remain an open tail risk for CHF flows
NY session pushed USDCHF from the 0.78750 swing low up through 0.78870, with price now testing the 0.78990 session high for a second time. RSI(14) at 63 shows momentum still constructive but cooling on the retest; price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 keeps the intraday structure intact.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7905
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78990 opens the path to the 0.79050 round number
Loss of 0.78870 session pivot invalidates the breakout-retest read
Headlines around Iran-US Hormuz strikes could spike CHF safe-haven flows
Higher highs and higher lows after London-session base.
Stepwise grind higher through London hours, with price tagging 0.7899 before sellers rejected the figure twice and a shallow pullback held above 0.7887. RSI(14) cooled from the high-60s into the mid-50s without breaking structure; pair coiling just under the 0.7900 round number.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7864
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7900 opens path toward extension
Loss of 0.7875 session pivot would break the higher-low chain
Middle East headline flow remains a tail risk to the read
Steady grind higher through the London session, with price tagging 0.7899 before sellers capped the move and forced a pullback into 0.7883. NY open saw buyers stepping back in around the session low, lifting back toward the highs but stalling under the 0.7899 ceiling.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7875, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7905
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78990 opens the path to the 0.7900 psych handle
Loss of 0.78750 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Middle East headline risk could whip CHF flows
10:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 0.7892
Higher highs / higher lows since session low.
Price climbed steadily through NY hours, posting a session high at 0.78930 before a shallow pullback to 0.78820 was bought. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s with no extreme reading; structure remains intact with higher lows holding.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7875
Resistance: 0.7893, 0.7899
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78750 breaks the higher-low chain and invalidates the uptrend read
Break and hold above 0.78930 opens path toward the 0.78990 prior high
Middle East headline risk could disrupt the orderly drift
Higher highs and higher lows within ascending channel.
Price grinding back toward the session high at 0.78925 after a clean retest of 0.78750 during the London-NY transition. Structure remains constructive with higher lows intact since the Asian low at 0.78450, RSI(14) middling at 58 — room left in either direction.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7865, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.78925, 0.7899
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78990 extends the uptrend toward 0.79050
Break below 0.78750 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Iran/US headlines remain a tail risk to CHF safe-haven flows
Grinding uptrend from the 0.7843 base, with the NY session high tagging 0.78991 before a rejection back into the 0.7882–0.7892 range. Price now coiling just under the session high at 0.78871, RSI(14) neutral around 56 after cooling from the earlier push.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7875, 0.7868
Resistance: 0.78926, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78991 extends the uptrend toward fresh session highs
Loss of 0.78750 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Iran/US headlines remain a CHF-flow risk that could override structure
USDCHF pushed to 0.78990 in early London then faded to 0.78736 before buyers stepped in around the session low. Price reclaimed 0.78880 into NY hours but rejected the 0.78920–0.78930 zone, RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7893, 0.7899
What it said to watch
Loss of session low 0.78750 opens path to 0.78630 swing low
M15 close above 0.78930 reopens 0.78990 asia high
Middle East headline risk could disrupt the intraday range
09:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 62 · price 0.7888
Higher highs, higher lows since London.
USDCHF extended higher through the NY session on renewed US-Iran tensions, printing a fresh session high at 0.78926 before stalling. Pullback into 0.7875 held cleanly and price is now consolidating just below the high with RSI cooling from earlier extremes.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7873
Resistance: 0.78926, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78991 prior high extends the leg
Loss of 0.7873 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
Further Middle East headlines could amplify USD bid
USDCHF grinding higher through the NY session, with buyers stepping in on the dip to the 0.78750 swing low before reclaiming the session high near 0.78925. CHF weakness on renewed US-Iran tensions has lifted the pair toward the 0.79 round number, RSI(14) extended but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7865, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.78925, 0.7899
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78990 opens path toward the 0.79 round number
Loss of 0.78750 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Further Middle East escalation could amplify CHF flows and shift this read
USDCHF climbed steadily through Asia and into early London, tagging 0.78990 before sellers faded the high and pushed price back to 0.78750. Buyers stepped in on the pullback and price is grinding back toward 0.78890, leaving the session high as the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7865, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7887
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78990 extends the session high break
Loss of 0.78750 session pivot opens 0.78650 prior swing
Middle East headline flow could spike CHF volatility
08:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 58 · price 0.78888
Higher highs, higher lows intraday.
USDCHF grinding back toward the 0.7889 session high after the Asia push to 0.7899 was faded into early London. Buyers stepped in at 0.7875 on the pullback; renewed US-Iran headlines keeping the dollar bid against the franc despite SNB intervention chatter. RSI(14) at 58 leaves room before the prior high retest.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.7889, 0.7899
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7889 session high opens path to retest 0.7899 asia high
M15 close below 0.7875 session pivot breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Further Middle East escalation headlines could re-accelerate the dollar bid
08:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling at session high · RSI 47 · price 0.78818
Higher highs into 0.7899, pullback in progress.
London session pushed USDCHF to 0.7899 before sellers rejected the 0.79 psych level, dragging price back to retest the session low at 0.78736. Last two bars show buyers stepping in off that low with a bounce to 0.78823, but the micro lvl at 0.78830 is now the immediate cap.
Support: 0.78736, 0.7865, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.7883, 0.78929, 0.78992
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78736 session low opens path to 0.78650 swing low
Reclaim of 0.78830 micro lvl puts 0.78929 ny high back in play
Middle East headlines remain a tail risk after USD bid on US-Iran tensions earlier
08:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 49 · price 0.78818
Higher highs, recent pullback off 0.7899.
London pushed USDCHF up to 0.7899 on renewed Middle East tensions, then sellers rejected the level and dragged price back toward 0.7873. Current bar at 0.7882 sits mid-range with RSI(14) cooling to ~48 from prior overbought.
Support: 0.78736, 0.78654, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.78829, 0.78929, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78929 reopens the path to 0.7899 session high
Break below 0.78736 session low confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Further Iran headlines could re-accelerate the USD bid
Higher highs into session high, pullback in progress.
USDCHF rallied through London into a session high at 0.78992 on Middle East tension headlines, then rejected and pulled back into the 0.7875 area. Price now trades below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the low 40s; the broader 24h structure is still up but the NY-session swing is corrective.
Support: 0.78736, 0.78629, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.78885
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.78736 session low opens 0.78629 prior swing
Reclaim of 0.78885 micro pivot puts 0.78992 session high back in play
Further Iran/US headlines remain the primary intraday driver
07:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 41 · price 0.78765
Higher highs into 0.7899, now pulling back.
USDCHF spiked to 0.7899 during early European hours on US-Iran headlines before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 0.78765 and through the EMA20. The session high stands as clear resistance while 0.78736 is the immediate session low being tested into NY.
Support: 0.78736, 0.78629, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.7887, 0.78991
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78736 session low opens path to 0.78629 swing low
Reclaim of 0.78870 pullback edge would re-engage the prior uptrend
Further US-Iran headline risk could materially shift this read
07:15 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 0.78753
Higher highs into 0.7899, retracing toward 0.7875.
London session pushed USDCHF up to 0.7899 before sellers rejected the figure and dragged price back to 0.7875. RSI has cooled from overbought into the mid-40s while the slide tracked the EMA20 from above; intraday pivot at 0.7868 is the next test.
Support: 0.78753, 0.7868, 0.7852
Resistance: 0.7887, 0.78992
What it said to watch
Break of 0.7868 prior pivot opens room toward 0.7852 asian low
Reclaim of 0.7887 intraday resistance puts session high 0.7899 back in play
Middle East headline risk continues to drive USD bid into NY hours
USDCHF pushed to 0.7899 in early NY hours on Middle East risk flows, then rejected and unwound back to 0.7875 in a steady stair-step lower. Price now sits at the session low with RSI(14) cooling through the mid-40s; ATR around 3.6 pips reflects the late-session drift.
Support: 0.78753, 0.7867, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.78885, 0.78991
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7867 prior pivot extends the pullback toward the 0.7849 London low
Reclaim of 0.7889 rejection level reopens 0.7899 session high
Headline risk from US-Iran tensions could spike volatility outside structural bounds
06:45 UTC
Uptrend fading into pullback · RSI 43 · price 0.78816
Higher highs into 0.7899, now retracing.
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.7899 during early NY hours on renewed Middle East risk-on USD bid, then rejected and faded back through 0.7885. Price now testing the 0.7880 area with RSI rolling off; bearish divergence printed at the high versus the prior 0.7875 push.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.7889, 0.7899
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7875 minor pivot opens a path to 0.7865 session low
Reclaim of 0.7889 session high needed to re-engage the upside
Iran/US headline flow can shift this read intraday
Higher highs into session high, pullback in progress.
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.78991 during early European hours on Middle East risk headlines, then rejected and faded ~15 pips back toward 0.78843. Buyers stepped in on the prior swing at 0.78700 earlier in the run; current pullback is testing the intraday low at 0.78840 with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 0.7884, 0.7870
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7887
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78840 opens path to retest 0.78700 prior swing
Reclaim of 0.78870 minor pivot would re-engage the session high at 0.78990
Further Iran-related headlines could reignite the USD bid
Higher highs into session high, pullback in progress.
USDCHF pushed to a session high at 0.78992 during the Asia-London handover before fading back toward 0.78880. Asian session built a steady stair of higher highs from the 0.78650 swing low; current bar sits mid-pullback with RSI(14) cooling from the prior thrust.
Support: 0.7885, 0.7875, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7888
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.78850 minor pivot keeps the uptrend structure intact
Loss of 0.78750 breakout zone would mark a lower-low and break the intraday sequence
Reclaim above 0.78992 session high reopens the extension
Steady grind higher through the late Asia and early London session, peaking at 0.78990 before sellers stepped in and dragged price back toward 0.78850. RSI(14) has cooled from the mid-70s into the mid-50s as the last three bars printed lower highs, suggesting near-term momentum has stalled below the session high.
Support: 0.7885, 0.7870, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7893
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 0.78930 reopens the session high at 0.78990
Loss of 0.78850 swing low exposes the prior pivot at 0.78700
London-NY transition could materially shift this read
USDCHF extended higher through the Asian session into early London, breaking the 0.78885 prior pivot and tagging 0.7899 before easing back to 0.7891. RSI(14) at 64 with price holding above EMA20/50 — pullback so far shallow and structure intact.
Support: 0.78885, 0.7882, 0.7870
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78820 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 0.79000 psych opens further upside
London session liquidity arriving — ATR likely to expand from 4 pips
05:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 0.78952
Higher highs, higher lows intraday.
Price ground higher through Asia into the 0.78992 session high, stalling just under the 0.79000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling to 67 despite the new high — mild bearish divergence. Pullback to 0.78947 holding so far; intraday structure of higher highs and higher lows remains intact above 0.78870.
Support: 0.7887, 0.7870, 0.7845
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7900
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.79000 psych extends the uptrend
M15 close back below 0.78870 minor pivot breaks the HH/HL chain
Loss of 0.78700 prior swing invalidates the intraday uptrend read
USDCHF pushed through the prior 0.78760 ceiling on the NY-late / Asia-handoff and printed a fresh session high at 0.78991, just shy of the 0.79000 round number. RSI(14) at 72 flags short-term stretch, and the last three bars have stalled in a tight 8-pip drift below the high.
Support: 0.7884, 0.7870, 0.7855
Resistance: 0.78991, 0.7900
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.79000 round number extends the breakout
Loss of 0.78840 prior swing would mark the first lower-low and threaten the uptrend
M15 rejection wicks at 0.78991 session high would confirm exhaustion
05:00 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 68 · price 0.78955
Higher highs and higher lows through NY session.
Steady grind higher through the Asian and early London session, with a clean break above the 0.78870 prior pivot pushing price to a fresh session high at 0.78992 just shy of the 0.79000 round number. RSI(14) is firm in the high 60s without divergence, and the pullback to 0.78948 is holding above the broken level.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7875, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.79000 round number extends the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.78820 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
Rejection at 0.79000 with RSI cooling would mark session high as resistance
Price broke through 0.7890 on the NY session push and tagged 0.7899 before stalling just shy of the 0.7900 round number. RSI(14) at 73 is hot but consistent with the trending leg; pullbacks have been shallow and contained above the 0.7884 prior swing.
Support: 0.7884, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7905
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7900 opens path to 0.7905 round number
Loss of 0.7884 prior swing breaks the higher-low chain
RSI cooling without price retracing would flag bearish divergence risk
04:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 72 · price 0.78965
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCHF has stair-stepped higher through the Asian session, breaking out above the 0.78870 consolidation top and tagging 0.78992 before pulling back two pips to 0.78965. RSI(14) at 72 shows short-term hot conditions but the trend structure remains intact with shallow pullbacks holding above EMA20.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7870, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78820 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Rejection at 0.79000 psych level could cap the move
Sustained close above 0.78992 session high opens room toward 0.79100
USDCHF pushed to fresh session highs at 0.78992 through the Asia session, extending the leg off the 0.78431 London low. RSI(14) at 78 flags short-term overextension as price tests the 0.79000 psych level, but pullbacks have been shallow and the prior pivot at 0.78700 has held.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.78992, 0.7900
What it said to watch
Clean break above 0.79000 psych opens room higher
M15 close back below 0.78820 minor pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 0.78700 prior pivot invalidates the uptrend read
Price has ground higher through the Asia session, breaking out of a 0.7868–0.7872 ledge and extending to 0.7899 on the latest impulse. RSI(14) at 78 is hot but consistent with a trending push; the 0.7900 psych level is the immediate test.
Support: 0.7884, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7899, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78840 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Rejection at the 0.79000 psych level could trigger a pullback toward the prior range
USDCHF grinding higher through Asia hours, breaking out of the 0.7870-0.7872 ceiling and now pressing fresh session highs at 0.7893. RSI(14) at 72 — short-term hot but in line with the trend; pullbacks have been shallow with buyers stepping in around 0.7870.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.78935, 0.7900
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78820 prior swing breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 0.79000 round number with RSI cooling would flag exhaustion
Tokyo-London transition could accelerate or fade the breakout
Higher highs and higher lows after London-NY recovery.
Price has ground higher through the Asia session, taking out the 0.78750 swing and printing a fresh session high at 0.78892 on the last bar. RSI(14) at ~71 flags short-term hot but consistent with the trend; pullbacks have held the breakout shelf around 0.78750.
Support: 0.7882, 0.7875, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.78892
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78750 breakout shelf would neutralise the uptrend read
Failure to reclaim 0.78892 session high on next push opens a pullback toward 0.78650 session pivot
London open in coming hours could redefine the session range
03:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 72 · price 0.78847
Higher highs and higher lows since session low.
Asia session has pushed USDCHF steadily off 0.78650 into a fresh session high at 0.78870, with RSI(14) running hot near 72. Price stalled into the Tokyo close, last bar printing an inside doji just under the session high — buyers stepped in twice at the 0.78800 prior break.
Support: 0.7880, 0.7870, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.7887, 0.7892
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 0.78800 negates the breakout read
Sustained trade above 0.78870 opens path to psych 0.789
Loss of swing low 0.78700 would break the HL chain
Steady grind higher through NY into early Asia, with a clean breakout above the 0.78720 ceiling lifting price to a fresh session high at 0.78869. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extended — and price is consolidating just below the high in a tight 0.78820–0.78860 band.
Support: 0.7878, 0.7870
Resistance: 0.7887, 0.7895
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78780 minor pivot would stall the breakout extension
Loss of 0.78700 prior range would invalidate the uptrend read
Acceptance above 0.78870 session high opens path to 0.78950 psych
02:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.78812
Higher highs, higher lows since 0.7843.
Asia session pushed USDCHF to a fresh 0.78869 high after grinding higher from the 0.78430 spike low ~10h ago. RSI(14) at 71 marks short-term hot but consistent with trend; current bar pulling back to 0.78812 after the breakout.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.7887
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78750 breakout would weaken the higher-high read
Sustained rejection at 0.78870 session high opens a double top risk
Loss of 0.78650 prior swing would break the HL chain
USDCHF grinding higher through the Asia session, breaking the prior swing at 0.78750 and printing fresh highs at 0.78869. RSI(14) at 72 confirms momentum but is short-term hot.
Support: 0.7875, 0.7868, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.7887
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78750 breakout level neutralises the uptrend read
Failure to clear 0.78870 session high opens scope for a pullback toward 0.78680
02:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 72 · price 0.78854
Higher highs, higher lows since Asia low.
USDCHF is grinding to fresh session highs at 0.78869 during late Asia, extending the steady climb that began with the spike off 0.78431 yesterday. Price action shows clean higher highs and higher lows with shallow pullbacks, RSI(14) running hot near 72 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.7879, 0.7870, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.78869
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78790 breakout area would weaken the uptrend read
Loss of 0.78700 prior high opens the swing low at 0.78630
RSI extension above 80 without new high would flag bearish divergence
02:00 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.78854
Higher highs / higher lows since London open.
Asia session pushed through the prior session high at 0.78700 and is now extending into fresh highs at 0.78870, RSI(14) running hot at 71. Stair-step of higher lows intact since the London-NY recovery off 0.78480.
Support: 0.7870, 0.7848
Resistance: 0.7887
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 prior high would break the higher-low chain
Failure to clear 0.78870 session high on retest signals exhaustion
RSI extension into overbought without follow-through above 0.78870
USDCHF pushed to fresh session highs at 0.78808 during the Asia session after stair-stepping out of a tight 0.78680–0.78710 consolidation. RSI(14) at 68 is hot but not yet stretched; price coiling at the highs with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.78753, 0.7868, 0.7863
Resistance: 0.78808, 0.7885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78753 breakout shelf weakens the bid
Loss of 0.78680 swing low ends the intraday uptrend
Acceptance above 0.78808 session high opens 0.78850 round number
Steady grind higher through the Asia session after London printed a low at 0.78490 and NY closed strong. Last few bars broke the 0.78720 shelf and are pressing the session high at 0.78806 with RSI(14) at 67 — hot but not stretched.
Support: 0.7872, 0.7865, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.78806, 0.7890
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.78806 opens path toward the 0.78900 round number
Loss of 0.78720 micro pivot would unwind the Asia breakout and put session low at 0.78650 back in play
01:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 68 · price 0.78788
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
Asia session has pushed USDCHF to a fresh 24h high at 0.78806, extending the bid that began with the NY session spike through 0.78670. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — and pullbacks have been shallow, holding above 0.78700 through the late Asian hours.
Support: 0.7870, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.78806, 0.7885
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 0.78650
Acceptance above 0.78806 exposes the 0.78850 round number
BoK decision and BoJ-related yen flows could spill into CHF crosses
01:00 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 70 · price 0.78788
Higher highs, higher lows since 0.7843.
Quiet Asia session grinding higher after the spike from 0.7843 during US hours, with price breaking the 0.7875 pivot and posting a fresh session high at 0.78806. RSI(14) sits at 70, hot but consistent with the trending push; ATR around 4 pips reflects the thin Asian tape.
Support: 0.7870
Resistance: 0.78806, 0.7885
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 prior pivot would break the higher-low chain
USDCHF broke out of a tight 0.78650–0.78715 consolidation during the Asia session, tagging a fresh session high at 0.78801 with RSI(14) pushing into 71. The earlier flush to 0.78490 was bought aggressively and the recovery has held a clean higher-high, higher-low structure since.
Support: 0.7870, 0.7865, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.78801, 0.78685
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 broken cap would weaken the breakout
Loss of 0.78650 swing low flips structure back to range
Extension through 0.78801 session high opens room into the 0.7890s
Higher highs after midday pullback, range top broken.
USDCHF broke out of a tight 0.78655–0.78715 consolidation into the late session, printing fresh session highs at 0.78801 with RSI(14) pushing above 72. Move follows a clean recovery from the 0.78490 session low earlier and price now extending above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7870, 0.78655, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.78801, 0.7882
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 prior high would neutralise the breakout
Failure to clear 0.78820 round number could trigger rejection
Headlines around US strikes on Iran a potential volatility catalyst into Asia
00:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 0.78797
Higher highs, higher lows.
Asia session pushing through prior session high, fresh break above 0.78750 into the 0.78800 round number with RSI(14) at 71. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at the 0.78650 swing low through the late NY hours.
Support: 0.7870, 0.7865
Resistance: 0.7880, 0.7885
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78700 prior high invalidates the breakout read
Failure to clear 0.78800 round number could trigger a rejection back into the 0.78650 swing low
USDCHF grinding higher into Asia, with price breaking the prior intraday high near 0.78720 to print a fresh session high at 0.78771. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.78680 during the late NY-Asia transition; RSI(14) at 67 leaves room before stretched.
Support: 0.7868, 0.7862, 0.7849
Resistance: 0.78771, 0.78685
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78680 intraday HL weakens the uptrend read
Loss of 0.78620 swing low confirms a lower-low and shifts structure to range