USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.81377
Range-bound after impulsive drop.
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.8200 during the NY session after the Fed held rates, unwinding stretched USD longs and dropping ~70 pips to 0.8132. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8132–0.8141 band with RSI(14) mid-range near 44 after basing off the lows.
Support: 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8141, 0.8156
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8132 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.8141 range top would ease the downside pressure
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could reset this read
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 0.8138
Sharp break lower into a tight range near session low.
USDCHF collapsed ~66 pips off 0.8207 as the plain Fed hold left stretched dollar longs exposed, printing a session low at 0.8132. Price has since gone dead in a 0.8132–0.8140 range through the Asian hours, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8155 swing high opens the path back toward 0.8188 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.8132 session low confirms a lower low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE / advance GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down ~65 pips off 0.8207 during the NY session and out of its day range, sellers pressing as post-FOMC USD longs unwound after the in-line hold. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.8132-0.8145 base through the Asia session, RSI recovered off its lows to the low-40s.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8118
Resistance: 0.8145, 0.8155, 0.8188
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8155 negates the range-break-down read
Failure to hold 0.8132 confirms continuation to 0.8118
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke sharply from 0.8207 to 0.81318 through the NY session as the dollar unwound after the Fed's on-hold decision. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.81325-0.81406 range, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 41 with ATR around 51 pips.
Support: 0.81325, 0.81145
Resistance: 0.81406, 0.81467, 0.81533
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81325 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81406 range high opens a retest toward 0.81467 swing high
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC catalyst for this pair
USDCHF broke down from the 0.8200 shelf after the Fed's plain hold, dumping ~75 pips to 0.8132 as stretched dollar longs unwound. Price is now consolidating tightly around 0.8137 in thin Asia-hours volume, RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8143, 0.81555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81320 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the drop
Reclaim of 0.81555 post-drop high would negate the downside break
Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC test and could reset this read
USDCHF was dumped through the NY session from ~0.8205 to 0.8132 after the Fed held rates, leaving stretched USD longs to unwind. Price is now consolidating tight between 0.8132 and 0.8140 late in NY, RSI(14) recovered off lows but flat below 50.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81467, 0.8153, 0.8188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81467 breaks the descending swing-high structure
Failure to hold 0.81318 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.81377
Tight consolidation near session lows after impulsive drop.
NY session sold USDCHF hard from 0.8207 to 0.8132 after the Fed's plain hold left stretched dollar longs exposed. Price has since gone quiet in the Asia session, coiling in a 0.8132-0.8141 range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold lows.
Support: 0.81318, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.8143, 0.8153
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81318 extends the down-leg toward the next figure
Close back above 0.81467 would repair the intraday structure
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend after sharp NY sell-off · RSI 43 · price 0.81377
Broke to session lows, now consolidating.
USDCHF broke sharply lower during the NY session, dropping from 0.8207 to 0.8134 as a plain Fed hold triggered a USD-long unwind. Price is now pinned in a tight 0.8134–0.8140 range at the lows, RSI recovering off the sell-off; buyers stepped in twice around 0.8134.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81406, 0.8153, 0.8166
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81406 range top would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.81340 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.8130
Core PCE / advance GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC test for this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.81387
Sharp breakdown then consolidation near session low.
USDCHF broke down from the 0.8200 area during the NY session after the Fed's in-line hold triggered a USD long unwind, dumping ~70 pips to 0.81325. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.81325-0.8140 band into late session, holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.81673
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8155 swing pivot would negate the breakdown read
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
The Fed hold at 3.75% triggered a USD unwind and USDCHF collapsed from 0.8207 to 0.8132, wiping out the earlier grind toward 0.8200. Price has since consolidated in a 0.8132-0.8155 band through the late NY hours with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 41.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8163, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81325 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 0.81500 would signal the post-FOMC drop is stabilising
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down out of a 0.8180-0.8205 range during NY hours, dropping ~70 pips into the FOMC hold as stretched dollar longs unwound. Price is now basing between 0.81340 and 0.81415 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; last bar volume thin into session close.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.81465, 0.8153
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81465 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 0.81340 session low extends the range break
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard during NY hours after the Fed held rates, breaking the 0.8200 range that had capped for ~20 bars and dumping to 0.81340. Price is now basing between 0.81340 and 0.81530, RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the move cools.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81673, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81530 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 0.81340 session low confirms continuation to a fresh lower-low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
Post-FOMC break lower, consolidating at session lows.
USDCHF broke sharply lower during the NY session after the Fed's in-line hold undercut stretched dollar longs, dumping from 0.8205 to a 0.81318 session low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8132-0.8140 band below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81467, 0.8153, 0.8166
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81467 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81318 confirms fresh lows
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing at lows · RSI 34 · price 0.81351
Sharp break lower, lower highs and lows into session lows.
NY session broke USDCHF sharply down from the 0.8200 area (13-mo highs) as stretched USD longs unwound around the FOMC hold, cutting ~70 pips to a 0.8132 session low. Price is now grinding along the lows with RSI(14) depressed near 34 and momentum flattening into late NY hours.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81673, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81530 breaks the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.81318 extends the leg lower
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session, sliding from the 0.8205 area to a session low at 0.81318 as stretched USD longs squared into the FOMC hold. Price is now basing just above that low with RSI(14) near 29 and momentum ticking up while price held flat — a shallow bullish divergence — but structure remains a clean chain of lower highs.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81673, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Break below 0.81318 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81530 needed to challenge the downtrend
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially reprice this move
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp selloff · RSI 30 · price 0.81361
Lower lows, breakdown from 0.8200 range.
USDCHF broke down hard out of the 0.8195-0.8207 range on the FOMC hold as stretched USD longs unwound, shedding roughly 70 pips into the NY session. Price is now pinned at session lows near 0.8134-0.8136 with RSI(14) oversold; recent bounces have stalled around 0.8153.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81318
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81673
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81530 would ease the immediate breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.81318 confirms lower lows extending
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
NY session broke the day's 0.8175-0.8205 range to the downside after the Fed's in-line hold squeezed stretched USD longs, driving USDCHF to a 0.81318 session low. RSI(14) sits near 31 and bars have compressed into small ranges just above the low, momentum fading rather than reversing.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.8165, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81530 negates the breakdown continuation
Loss of 0.81318 extends the lower-low sequence
Thu Core PCE/GDP cluster (12:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst for this pair
Sharp NY-session breakdown after the FOMC hold trimmed stretched USD longs — price sliced through the 0.8195-0.8205 range and the 0.8200 psych pivot down to 0.8132. Downtrend intact with price well below EMA20/50, though RSI(14) near 31 and the last few bars stalling around 0.8135 show the slide cooling.
Support: 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8163, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8163 breakdown would neutralise the lower-low read
US Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 29 · price 0.81353
Lower highs and lower lows, printing new session lows.
USDCHF broke down hard through the NY afternoon, shedding ~70 pips from the 0.8200 pivot as stretched USD longs unwound post-FOMC. Price is carving fresh session lows at 0.81325 with RSI(14) oversold near 28; sellers still in control below the 0.81530 swing high.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81648, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81530 would ease the downside pressure and break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.81325 session low extends the drop toward the 0.8130 psych area
US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst and could reset this read
USDCHF collapsed off the 0.8200 pivot into the FOMC hold, sliding ~70 pips to a session low at 0.81325 as stretched dollar longs unwound. Price prints fresh lows with RSI(14) near 29; each bounce has capped lower, most recently at 0.81530.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.8166, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81530 swing high eases the downside momentum
Failure to hold 0.81325 session low confirms continuation lower
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF cracked lower off the 0.8200 shelf into the NY session as stretched USD longs unwound on the in-line hawkish-hold FOMC, tagging a session low of 0.81340. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.81415–0.81530 band, RSI(14) lifting off oversold.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.81673
What it said to watch
Break below 0.81340 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81530 neutralises the downside break
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 33 · price 0.81473
Range break lower, lower lows.
USDCHF broke sharply below the 0.8200 range in the NY session, a sell-the-fact reaction to the hawkish-hold FOMC, tumbling ~70 pips to 0.81340. Price is now stalling around 0.81470 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 0.81557 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.81557, 0.8165, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81340 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81557 would ease the downside break
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
NY session sold off hard out of the 0.8180-0.8206 range, a ~55 pip slide into a 0.8134 low as stretched USD longs unwound on the FOMC hawkish-hold 'sell the fact'. RSI(14) near 31 after a shallow bounce to 0.8155; price now hugging 0.8147 with the breakdown level at 0.8167 unrecovered.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8167, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8167 breakdown level would negate the range break
Loss of 0.8134 session low confirms lower-low continuation
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC can materially reshape this read
USDCHF sold off hard from the 0.8200 area after the 18:00 GMT Fed hold, printing a session low at 0.8134 as stretched USD longs unwound. Price is now recovering into 0.81525, still well below the broken range and both EMAs; the 0.81673 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 0.81415, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81673, 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81673 swing high eases the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8134 session low confirms continuation lower
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could reshape this move
USDCHF collapsed off the 0.8200 pivot after the dovish-lean FOMC hold, breaking below 0.8180 and sweeping to a 0.8134 session low as stretched USD longs unwound. Buyers stepped in at 0.8134 and the pair has bounced to 0.8153, RSI recovering off oversold; the bounce high at 0.8155 is the near-term ceiling.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.81557, 0.8188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81557 bounce high opens 0.8180 pre-drop
Failure to hold 0.81340 session low confirms continuation lower
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could reprice USD legs
USDCHF broke sharply below the 0.8200 range into the NY session as the FOMC hold landed dovish-lean and stretched USD longs unwound, driving price to 0.81340 before a modest bounce to 0.81525. RSI(14) near 31 after the flush; the prior 0.8200 shelf is now overhead supply.
Support: 0.81415, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81650 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-low read
Failure to hold 0.81415 session low reopens 0.81340
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke down out of its 0.8195-0.8207 range and dropped ~65 pips into a 0.8134 session low as stretched USD longs unwound on the dovish-lean FOMC hold. Price is now attempting to stabilise near 0.8150 with RSI(14) around 29, short-term stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.81673, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81673 bounce high would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.8134 session low confirms continuation lower
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially reshape this read
USDCHF held a tight 0.8180–0.8207 range all session then broke down hard into the NY afternoon after the Fed's in-line hold squeezed stretched USD longs, dumping ~65 pips to a fresh session low at 0.81415. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 24 and ATR is inflated by the impulsive drop.
Support: 0.81415, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81650 would neutralise the breakdown read
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF collapsed out of its 0.8195-0.8205 NY range after the dovish-lean FOMC hold unwound stretched USD longs, printing a fresh session low at 0.81473 with RSI(14) around 25. The 0.8200 pivot that capped all session has now flipped to overhead resistance and the 0.81650 broken low is the first hurdle on any bounce.
Support: 0.81473, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8175, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81650 needed to ease the downside break
Failure to hold 0.81473 extends the leg toward 0.8140
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could reprice USD sharply
19:01 UTC
Sharp downtrend after FOMC · RSI 28 · price 0.81485
Range break lower, fresh session low.
Warsh's presser triggered a sharp breakdown out of the 0.8180-0.8207 range, dumping USD/CHF from the 0.8200 top to 0.8148 through the NY evening. RSI(14) is oversold near 28 and price sits well below EMA20/50; a brief bounce to 0.81752 was rejected before the next leg down.
Support: 0.81473, 0.81617
Resistance: 0.81752, 0.8188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.81752 pullback high would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.81473 session low opens continuation lower
Q2 GDP + Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice this move
USDCHF broke sharply lower during NY hours after the Warsh presser triggered a dollar long unwind, slicing the 0.8200 pivot and the 0.8195 range floor to print a 0.81473 session low. RSI(14) sits oversold near 24 with ATR blown out to ~96 pips as the move extends.
Support: 0.81473, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8163, 0.81816, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81630 would mark a retest of the broken floor
A close back above 0.82000 pivot invalidates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.81473 opens further downside legs
US Q2 GDP / Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
18:46 UTC
Sharp downdraft off the 0.8200 highs · RSI 38 · price 0.81702
Range break lower, bounce underway.
USDCHF sold off hard on the FOMC hold and Warsh presser, dropping from the 0.8200/0.82068 session high to sweep 0.81648 before a shallow bounce stalled near 0.81816. RSI(14) cooled sub-40 as the move broke the prior 0.8195–0.8207 range floor.
Support: 0.81648
Resistance: 0.81816, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 0.81820 bounce high would reverse the downdraft read
Failure to hold 0.81648 session low opens fresh lows
Warsh presser aftermath still driving USD — read can shift quickly
18:31 UTC
Range broken lower on FOMC · RSI 38 · price 0.81702
Downside range break, partial recovery.
The Warsh FOMC presser drove a sharp break below the 0.8180–0.8206 range, spiking to 0.81648 before half the move retraced to 0.81702. Buyers stepped in at the fomc low but price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s.
Support: 0.81648, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8182, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Warsh presser is live — could materially shift this read within the next bars
Reclaim of 0.81820 negates the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.81648 opens the path lower
18:31 UTC
Sharp break lower after range · RSI 31 · price 0.81683
Range floor broken, new session low.
USDCHF spent ~24h ranging 0.8180-0.8207 before a sharp one-bar drop to 0.81648 on the FOMC/Warsh reaction, breaking the range floor as stretched dollar longs unwound. Price sits at 0.81683 with RSI(14) near 31; the prior 0.81950 floor now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.81648, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.8195, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81950 negates the range break
Warsh presser underway — could whipsaw this read within the next bars
Failure to hold 0.81648 opens the psych 0.81600
18:16 UTC
Sharp breakdown from 0.8200 range · RSI 32 · price 0.81683
Range broken to the downside on FOMC.
USDCHF spent the session pinned just under the 0.8200 pivot before a single bar sliced ~36 pips lower to 0.81648 on the FOMC reaction, breaking the intraday range cleanly. RSI(14) plunged toward 31 as price now sits at 0.81683, well below EMA20/50; the 0.8200 area that capped rallies all day is now overhead resistance.
Support: 0.81648, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can extend or reverse this move
Reclaim above 0.8200 pivot invalidates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.81648 session low opens 0.8150
18:16 UTC
Range broken lower, sharp impulse down · RSI 34 · price 0.8168
Range break below 0.8200 pivot on FOMC.
USDCHF churned inside 0.8170-0.8207 all session, repeatedly rejected at the 0.8200 pivot, before a dovish-leaning FOMC print at 18:00 GMT slammed price to a 0.81664 spike low. The last M15 candle is a large downside impulse (~35 pip range vs 8 pip ATR), breaking clean below the day's range.
Support: 0.81664, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference 18:30 GMT could extend or reverse this move
Reclaim above 0.8195 invalidates the downside range break
Failure to hold the 0.81664 spike low opens 0.8150 psych
18:01 UTC
Range broken lower on FOMC spike · RSI 39 · price 0.8168
Day range 0.8170-0.8207 lost, sharp downside break.
USDCHF spent the session grinding the 0.8170-0.8207 band near 13-month highs, then the 18:00 GMT FOMC print sent it sharply lower, spiking to 0.81664 and closing at 0.8168 below the day's range. The move sliced through the range low and both short EMAs on one candle; RSI(14) cooling toward 38.
Support: 0.8166, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8200 psych level would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.8166 spike low confirms the lower leg
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT could extend or reverse this spike
Price ground up through the NY session to a 0.8207 session high, then the FOMC statement at 18:00 GMT triggered a violent single-bar collapse to 0.81664 — consistent with the digest's dovish-surprise USD unwind. The 0.8200 round number flipped from support to overhead, RSI(14) crushed to ~37 from mid-range.
Support: 0.8166, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8207
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.8200 round number negates the reversal
Failure to hold 0.8166 session low opens further downside
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can extend or reverse this spike
USDCHF ground up through the NY session to pin 13-month highs, tagging 0.82068 before easing back to 0.82018 as buyers stalled at the level. Price is consolidating just above 0.8200 with RSI mid-range — the FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next move.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81824, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82068, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (presser 18:30) will override this structural read
Clean M15 close above 0.82068 opens 0.8215
Loss of 0.81985 exposes the 0.81824 swing low
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 0.82006
Higher highs into session high, stalling at 0.8206.
USDCHF ground higher through NY hours to a session high of 0.82068 and now consolidates at the 0.82000 round number as traders square into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s off the push; the 13-month-high area is holding but momentum is flat.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8196, 0.81847
Resistance: 0.82068, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT / presser 18:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst — likely to override this read
M15 close above 0.82068 opens the path toward 0.82150
Loss of 0.82000 exposes the 0.81960 swing low
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 63 · price 0.8204
Higher highs / higher lows, testing 13-mo top.
USD/CHF ground higher through the NY session and cleared the 0.8200 psych level, printing a session high at 0.82068 with price pinned near 13-month tops. SNB-Fed divergence keeps CHF offered, but the imminent FOMC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8196, 0.81824
Resistance: 0.82068, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT and presser 18:30 GMT will override this read
Clean break of 0.82068 opens the 0.8215 key resist
Loss of 0.8200 psych and 0.81960 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.8204
Higher highs, holding above 0.8200.
NY session ground USDCHF to fresh 13-month highs at 0.82068, holding cleanly above the 0.8200 round number as SNB-Fed divergence keeps CHF offered. RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched, with the pair coiling just under the session high into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81824, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82068, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT plus 18:30 presser is the dominant catalyst — capable of resetting this read within the next bar period
Clean break of 0.82068 opens the 0.8215 range cap
M15 close back below 0.8200 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.81824
USDCHF ground back to the 0.82057 session high through NY hours, holding the 0.8200 round number after a dip to 0.81824; CHF stays offered on SNB-Fed divergence. Price is pinned just below 13-month highs into the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81824, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82057, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC statement at 18:00 GMT will dominate the next-bar read
Clean M15 close above 0.82057 opens the 0.8215 prior high
Loss of 0.8200 round number exposes the 0.81824 swing low
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, testing session high · RSI 68 · price 0.82053
Higher lows into 0.8205 resistance.
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 0.82057, holding near 13-month highs with SNB-Fed divergence underpinning the bid. RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme — while price clears the 0.8200 psych level. FOMC in roughly 90 minutes is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.8197, 0.8182, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.82057, 0.8210
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + presser 18:30 GMT — dominant catalyst for the next bars
A clean M15 close above 0.82057 session high opens 0.8210
Failure to hold 0.81970 breaks the higher-low chain
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 56 · price 0.81999
Coiling below 0.8205 session high.
USDCHF is coiling just under the 0.82048 session high near 13-month highs, with repeated rejections capping around 0.8205 as traders square up into the FOMC. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the rising support off the 0.81693 range low; RSI(14) mid-range at ~56 leaves room in either direction.
Support: 0.8182, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.82048, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst — likely to break this consolidation
Clean M15 close above 0.82048 opens the path to 0.8215
Loss of 0.81820 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
USDCHF is pinned just under the 0.8200 psych level and 13-month highs, with a spike to the 0.82050 session high faded back to flat as traders square into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. Higher lows off 0.81690 keep structure constructive, but price is coiling in a tight 0.81990-0.82050 band with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.82050 session high opens 0.8215
Loss of 0.81820 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser will drive the next leg
USDCHF grinding higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 0.82048 before stalling at the 0.8200 round number as traders square into the FOMC. Higher lows intact off 0.81697; franc stays heavy on Fed-SNB divergence, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.8182, 0.81697, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.82048, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
Clean M15 close above 0.82048 opens 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.81820 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCHF is pinned just under the 0.8205 session high near 13-month highs, repeatedly capped there through NY hours while holding a rising 0.8182 shelf. Price is consolidating as traders square up into the 18:00 GMT FOMC; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.8182, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8225
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h could break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 0.82050 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81820 exposes the 0.81697 session low
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 61 · price 0.82019
Higher highs, holding above 0.8200 psych.
NY session pushed USDCHF back to session highs near 0.8205 and the pair is holding above the 0.8200 psych level, the franc remaining the G10 laggard on Fed-SNB divergence. Consolidating in a tight range into the FOMC decision with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.81968, 0.81824, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.82051 session high opens the path to 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.81968 breaks the micro higher-low chain
USDCHF is coiling just under the 0.8200 psych level near 13-month highs, with the NY session spiking to 0.8205 then fading back to 0.81986 — rejection at the session high. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat (RSI ~53) as traders square up into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2.5h (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 0.8205 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8180 shifts the read back toward the 0.8168 range low
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 67 · price 0.82044
Higher highs, cleared 0.8200.
NY session drove USDCHF through the 0.8200 round level with a sharp last-bar impulse to a session high at 0.82051, pair now pinned near 13-month highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hot but not extreme as traders square up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81824, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h can materially shift this read
M15 close back below 0.8200 negates the breakout
Acceptance above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8215
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 0.82044
Higher highs, broke above 0.8200 into session highs.
NY session pushed USDCHF back through the 0.8200 psych level into 13-month highs, tagging the 0.82051 session high as Fed-SNB divergence keeps the franc heavy. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with the pair squaring ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81824, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h (18:00 GMT) is the immediate catalyst and can override this read
A clean M15 close above 0.82051 opens the path to 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.8200 psych puts the 0.81824 swing low back in play
NY session pushed USD/CHF back above 0.8200, the last bar spiking to 0.82045 and retesting the session high at 0.82051. Price holds near 13-month highs as Fed-SNB divergence keeps the franc heavy; RSI(14) is hot around 68 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8183, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst — a hawkish read could clear 0.82051, a dovish tilt risks a fade back toward 0.8200
M15 close back below 0.82000 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior 0.8180–0.8200 range
14:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 0.81907
NY session pushed to a 0.82050 session high then rejected, easing back toward 0.8188 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now consolidating below the 0.8200 psych level as traders square up ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 0.8182, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8200 needed to retest the 0.82050 session high
Close below 0.81820 opens the 0.81697 session low
14:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 0.8182
Session high rejected, easing off 0.8205.
NY session pushed to a session high near 0.8205 twice and was rejected, with price sliding back to 0.8182 and RSI(14) cooling to ~40 into the FOMC. USD/CHF holds just below the 0.8200 psych level near 13-month highs as traders square up ahead of the decision.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3h) is the dominant risk and can reset this read
Close below 0.8168 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.8200 revives the push toward 0.8205
14:31 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 42 · price 0.8182
Rejection at 0.8205, lower highs into retrace.
USDCHF pushed to a 0.8205 session high in the NY session but was capped at the round number, and is now unwinding toward 0.8182 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price sits back below EMA20/EMA50 as the pair squares up into the FOMC.
Support: 0.8170, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3.5h (18:00 GMT) can override this read
M15 close above 0.8205 opens 0.8215 then 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.8170 swing low exposes the 0.8150 shelf
14:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 0.81894
Session high rejected sub-0.8200, retracing.
NY session pushed USDCHF to 0.82051 near 13-month highs but stalled twice sub-0.8200, and price has pulled back ~20 pips to the 0.81824 shelf on FOMC squaring. RSI(14) mid-range at 46 after the rejection; pair sits back below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 0.81824, 0.8175, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT (~3.5h) is the immediate catalyst for this read
A close back above 0.82000 reopens the 0.82051 session high
Loss of 0.81824 exposes the 0.81750 shelf
14:16 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.81839
Double top rejected, pulling back.
USDCHF rejected a double top at 0.82050 during NY hours and faded back to 0.8184, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s and price slipping under both EMAs. Structure is a corrective pullback within the day's 0.8169-0.8205 range ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.81824, 0.8175, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8201, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h out) is the dominant risk and could override this read
M15 close below 0.81824 opens the path to 0.81750
Reclaim above 0.82010 re-tests the 0.82050 double top
14:01 UTC
Range top rejected, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81839
Double top near 0.8205, pullback into range.
NY session rejected the 0.8205 double top twice and faded to the 0.8182 swing low ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. Pullback stalled around the 61.8% retracement of the 0.8169-0.8205 leg with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; price now flat at 0.8184.
Support: 0.81824, 0.8176, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h) can override this read entirely
M15 close above 0.82051 negates the double top
Loss of 0.81760 session low confirms a lower low
14:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81839
Lower high after session-high rejection.
USDCHF pushed to a session high 0.82051 during NY hours then rejected, sliding back to 0.8182 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price is consolidating below the 0.8200 psych level, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the 0.81697-0.82051 rally into the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8175, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82005, 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.82051 reopens the 0.8215 area
Failure to hold 0.81820 exposes 0.8175 then session low 0.81697
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.81889
Higher highs into rejection at session high.
NY session drove USDCHF to a 0.82050 session high before rejecting, and price has eased back to 0.81889 as traders square up into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. RSI cooling off the highs; buyers held the 0.81820 area earlier in the run.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser 18:30 GMT can materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.82050 reopens the highs
Failure to hold 0.81820 confirms a deeper pullback
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back into FOMC · RSI 44 · price 0.81889
Higher highs faded off session high, retracing.
USDCHF climbed through the NY session to a fresh session high at 0.82050 before rejecting and retracing to 0.81889 as traders square positions ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped back under EMA20; the rising intraday support off 0.81693 is still intact.
Support: 0.8181, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82015
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT (~4.5h) can override this read entirely
M15 close below 0.81810 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.82050 session high reopens the path toward 0.8215
USDCHF ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 0.82051 before rejecting, now consolidating around 0.81970 as traders square up into the 18:00 GMT FOMC. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s from the push; higher lows off 0.81697 remain intact.
Support: 0.8195, 0.81875, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82051 opens the path back toward 0.82150
Loss of the 0.81950 floor puts 0.81875 swing low back in play
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~4.5h out) will likely override this intraday structure
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high of 0.82050 before sellers rejected the level twice, pulling price back to 0.81969 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. The intraday uptrend off the 0.81690 day low holds while 0.81950 is respected, but this is all consolidation ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8187, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.82015
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h) can override this intraday read entirely
M15 close above 0.82050 session high opens the path to 0.82150
Failure to hold 0.81870 breaks the higher-low chain
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 0.81969
Higher lows into session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove USDCHF to a session high of 0.82051 before easing back to 0.8197, RSI cooling from the push. Price is consolidating just under the 0.8200 psych level after a chain of higher lows off the 0.81693 base.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8182, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.82007, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h out) can materially shift this read
Close above 0.82051 opens the path higher; loss of 0.81950 breaks the higher-low chain
Consolidating just under session high after intraday rally.
NY session has USDCHF pinned just below the 0.82051 session high, which capped two pushes before price eased to 0.81969, RSI(14) cooling off near 54. Intraday structure remains a series of higher lows off 0.81697, but momentum is flattening into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8190, 0.8182
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8220
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h) can materially shift this read
A close above 0.82051 opens the path toward the 0.82200 psych area
Loss of 0.81950 then 0.81900 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
USDCHF ground higher through London into NY, printing a session high at 0.8205 with price holding near 0.8202. Rally off the 0.8169 session low is intact via a chain of higher lows, but the move stalls right below the 0.8205 top ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8196, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant risk to this read
M15 close above 0.8205 opens the path toward 0.8215
USDCHF ground higher from the 0.8169 session low to a 0.82042 high during the London-NY window, and is now consolidating just under it with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. CHF stays a soft funder into tonight's FOMC, keeping price pinned near one-month highs.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8176, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.82042, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.82042 opens the path to 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.8195 exposes the 0.8176 swing low
USDCHF ground higher through the London-NY session, tagging a session high at 0.82042 before easing back to reclaim the 0.8200 round number, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Price is holding above the 0.81953 swing low with the recovery off the 0.8169 low still intact.
Support: 0.81953, 0.8190, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.82042, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.81953 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Sustained break of 0.82042 opens the path toward 0.8215
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT + presser can materially shift this read
Price recovered from the 0.8170 swing low through the London session, printing higher lows into a 0.8204 session high before stalling. Rejection at 0.8204 has pulled it back to 0.8197, RSI(14) neutral near 54; buyers still holding above the EMA20.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8204, 0.8215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 opens the path to 0.8215
Loss of 0.8188 EMA20 puts the 0.8170 swing low back in play
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 0.8200 · RSI 55 · price 0.8197
Higher lows into resistance, capped sub-0.8200.
USDCHF pushed to 0.82042 during NY hours before stalling, now consolidating around 0.8197 just under the 0.8200 psych level after a multi-day advance. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~4 pips as the market squares up into the Fed.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82042
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + presser is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close above 0.82042 opens the path toward 0.8215
Loss of 0.8180 breaks the higher-low chain
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 55 · price 0.8197
Higher lows grinding into 0.8200 cap.
USDCHF recovered from the 0.8168 swing low and ground back up to tag 0.8204 before stalling under the 0.8200 psych level, where supply capped a six/seven-day advance. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the pair consolidates just below range top into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.8195, 0.8168, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204, 0.8215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 session high opens the path to the 0.8215 break trigger
Failure to hold 0.8195 recent low exposes 0.8168 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT and Warsh presser are the dominant catalysts and could materially shift this read
Higher lows into 0.8200, rejection off session high.
Price rallied off the 0.81693 session low through London to tag 0.82042, then got rejected sub-0.8200 and drifted back to 0.81956 as NY approaches. RSI(14) cooling from the push; pair paused under the well-defined 0.8200 psych resistance after a multi-day advance.
Support: 0.8190, 0.8175, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82042
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82042 opens continuation toward 0.8215
Loss of 0.81900 pivot exposes 0.81750 and the 0.81693 session low
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 0.8200 · RSI 52 · price 0.81956
Higher highs into round number, pullback underway.
London push rallied USDCHF into the 0.8200 round number, printing a session high at 0.82042 before rejecting back to 0.81956. Pair remains above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the six/seven-day advance is pausing just under 0.8200 ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82042
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82042 opens the path toward 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.81900 exposes the 0.81693 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at resistance · RSI 54 · price 0.81967
Higher lows into 0.8200 cap.
USDCHF ground higher through NY hours from the 0.81680 session low to a session high 0.82042, then rejected the 0.8200 psych level and eased back to 0.81967 into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) cooling off the highs as the multi-day advance stalls just under 0.8200.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81737, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.82042, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
M15 close above 0.82042 session high opens the path higher toward 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.81900 minor pivot exposes 0.81737 swing low
USDCHF recovered off the 0.81693 session low through London-NY and is pressing the 0.8200 psych cap, printing a session high at 0.82042 before easing back. A tight chain of higher lows holds but the pair stalled at round-number resistance into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.81787, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82042
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82042 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81787 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the primary driver for this pair tonight
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, testing round-number cap · RSI 63 · price 0.81996
Higher lows recovering into 0.8200.
USDCHF ground back up to the 0.8200 psych level after basing at 0.81693, printing a chain of higher lows through the London-NY transition. Price is pressing the 0.82042 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s — buyers stepping in on dips but 0.8200 still capping so far.
Support: 0.8181, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.82042, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82042 opens the path back toward the YTD band
Failure to hold 0.81810 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the primary driver and can reset this read
USDCHF climbed through the London session to tag 0.82042 before stalling at the 0.8200 psych level, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price is pinned just under 0.8200 after a multi-day winning streak; rising support tracks the higher lows off the 0.81693 session low.
Support: 0.8190, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82042
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82042 session high opens 0.8215/0.8250
Loss of 0.81900 swing low breaks the rising support and higher-low chain
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the primary driver — can materially shift this read
Grind higher through the London session, price now testing the 0.8200 psych level after a chain of higher lows off 0.81697. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme; the six/seven-day franc-weakness push is stalling right at round-number resistance.
Support: 0.8184, 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the primary driver — could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.8215 opens the 0.8250 path
Loss of 0.81697 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, testing round number · RSI 68 · price 0.82005
Higher lows into 0.8200.
USDCHF ground higher through the London session in a clean HL chain, now pressing the 0.8200 psych level after basing at the 0.81697 session low. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; the pair paused right under 0.8200 into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 0.81875, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8215 break trigger opens 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81875 swing low breaks the HL chain
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the primary driver — can shift this read
10:16 UTC
Recovering, grinding into 0.8200 · RSI 67 · price 0.81991
Higher lows off session low, capped sub-0.8200.
USDCHF ground higher through the London session off the 0.81680 session low, printing higher lows and pressing the 0.8200 psych level, RSI(14) around 67. Pair has near-fully retraced the earlier drop but stalls just under 0.8200 after its recent winning streak.
Support: 0.81875, 0.8175, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82000 opens 0.82051 prior high then 0.8215
Rejection at 0.8200 exposes the 0.81875 swing low
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
USDCHF ground back up through the London session, printing higher lows off the 0.81693 session low and now pressing the 0.8200 psych level with RSI(14) around 64. The pair paused just under 0.8200 after its recent winning streak — an area to watch for rejection or break into tonight's Fed.
Support: 0.8190, 0.8176, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82051 opens 0.8215 break trigger
Failure to hold 0.81900 threatens the higher-low chain toward 0.81760
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the primary driver and could reset this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.8200 cap · RSI 66 · price 0.81991
Higher lows into psych resistance.
USDCHF grinding higher through the NY session, printing higher lows off the 0.81690 range low and now pressing the 0.8200 psych cap, RSI(14) ~66 with room before extremes. Pair has paused just under 0.8200 after a multi-day advance; a decisive break exposes 0.82051.
Support: 0.81875, 0.8179, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82000 confirms the psych break toward 0.82051
Failure to hold 0.81875 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing range top · RSI 64 · price 0.81947
Range 0.8168-0.8200, higher lows building.
USDCHF ground back up through the London session to 0.81947, printing higher lows off the 0.81697 swing and now pressing the 0.81969 session high just under the 0.8200 psych level. Pair remains capped sub-0.8200 as traders square up ahead of tonight's FOMC; RSI(14) firm near 63 but not extended.
Support: 0.81697, 0.8179, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81969, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path toward 0.8215
Loss of the 0.8179 higher low reopens the 0.8168 range low
FOMC 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Higher lows off 0.8169 double bottom, capped sub-0.8200.
USDCHF has clawed back from the 0.8169 double bottom to 0.8193, printing higher lows through the London session and now pressing the 0.8198–0.8200 resistance band. RSI(14) near 60 with room, but the pair remains pinned just under the 0.8200 psych level into tonight's Fed.
Support: 0.8178, 0.81697
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path toward the 0.8215 break trigger
Loss of rising support / failure to hold 0.8178 reopens the 0.8169 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Higher lows into recent high, capped below 0.8200.
USDCHF has rallied off the 0.8170 swing low back toward the recent high at 0.8195, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with room. Pair remains inside the 24h 0.8168-0.8200 range and paused just under 0.8195 as traders square up ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.8170, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8195, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the primary driver — could break the 0.8168-0.8200 range
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path higher; loss of 0.8170 reopens the session low
USDCHF ground higher through the London session, recovering from the 0.8170 session low along a chain of higher lows to stall just under 0.81948. Price now consolidating around 0.8192 into the FOMC decision; the recovery leg holds while 0.8187 rising support is respected.
Support: 0.8187, 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81948, 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81948 opens 0.8200 psych and the 0.82050 prior high
Loss of 0.8187 swing low breaks the rising support and exposes 0.81697
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 59 · price 0.81918
Double bottom near 0.8169, higher lows into London.
USDCHF twice held 0.8169 to form a double bottom during the Asia-London transition and has climbed back to the 0.8195 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Price is stalling just under 0.81948 with the pair steadying ahead of FOMC.
Support: 0.8176, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.81948, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81948 opens the path back to the 0.82051 day high
Failure to hold 0.81760 reopens the 0.81693 session low
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC / Powell presser could materially shift this read
USDCHF has climbed off the 0.8170 session low in a chain of higher lows through the London session, tagging 0.81948 before easing to 0.81918. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58; the 0.8195 session high and 0.8200 psych level are the immediate zones to watch.
Support: 0.8170, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81948, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81948 opens the 0.8200 psych level
Failure to hold 0.817 confirms a lower low
FOMC 18:00 UTC and Powell presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.81912
Double bottom at 0.8169, higher lows into London.
USD/CHF twice held 0.8169 and has ground back to 0.8191 through the London session as the dollar steadied into FOMC. Price now presses the 0.8195 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; the pair paused after seven up-days.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8177
Resistance: 0.8195, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8195 opens the path back toward 0.8205
Loss of 0.8169 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Powell 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF climbed off the 0.8169 double bottom through the London session, printing higher lows back toward the 0.82000 psych level as dollar longs steady ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) around 63, room before overbought; the recovery has reclaimed both EMAs.
Support: 0.8179, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
Close above 0.82000 opens a retest of the 0.82051 session high
Loss of the 0.81790 rising-lows line reopens 0.81693
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Powell presser can override this intraday read
08:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.81934
Higher lows since London open, reclaiming mid-range.
USDCHF carved a double bottom near 0.8169 through the London open and has ground back to 0.81934, RSI(14) recovering to ~61 with price back above both EMAs. Move is consolidating below the 0.81975 prior high as traders square into the FOMC.
Support: 0.8181, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81975 opens the path to the 0.82050 day high
Loss of 0.81810 swing pivot re-exposes the 0.81690 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
08:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, near-term up · RSI 64 · price 0.81914
Double bottom, higher lows into London.
USDCHF twice based near 0.8169 and has built a chain of higher lows back to 0.81914, retracing the earlier London decline into the 61.8% zone with RSI(14) mid-60s. Move is consolidation ahead of the FOMC rather than a fresh breakout; 0.81980 swing high caps for now.
Support: 0.8178, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81980 opens the path back to the 0.82051 session high
Loss of rising support / break below 0.81693 negates the double-bottom recovery
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
08:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.81914
Double bottom at 0.8169, grinding higher.
London session recovered off a double bottom at 0.8169, now pressing 0.8191 into the 0.618 retrace of the 0.8205-0.8169 leg. Buyers defended 0.8169 twice; prior high at 0.8195 caps for now with 0.8200 round number just above.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8195, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81950 prior high opens the 0.8200 round number
Loss of 0.81690 session low reopens the downside
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
Consolidating in 0.8169-0.8205 range, rising lows into FOMC.
USDCHF is consolidating around 0.8188, recovering off the 0.8169 session low twice during London hours as the dollar squares up into FOMC. Rising lows off 0.8169 keep the bounce intact but 0.8196 swing high still caps; range top at 0.8205 untested.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8196, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC are the dominant catalysts for the next session
Close above 0.8196 opens a retest of the 0.8205 range high
Failure to hold 0.8169 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-lows sequence
USDCHF sold from the 0.8205 Asian high down to 0.8169 during London, then based twice around 0.8170-0.8175 and recovered to 0.8188 as the dollar squared up ahead of today's FOMC. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 58; no directional setup while 0.8169-0.8188 holds.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8175, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.81888, 0.81975, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — will override this intraday structure
Close above 0.81888 exposes the 0.8197-0.8205 supply band
Loss of 0.81693 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.8160
07:46 UTC
Ranging, choppy recovery · RSI 53 · price 0.81833
Range between 0.8168 and 0.8190, higher lows building.
USDCHF is consolidating between 0.8168 and 0.8190 after two dips into the session low held. Price has clawed back to 0.81833 into the Fed, but stays capped under the 0.8190 swing high — no clean break either way in the last few hours.
Support: 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8190 swing high opens the path back toward the 0.8205 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8168 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this range read
USDCHF held a double bottom near 0.8169 during the London session and bounced to 0.81854 before easing back to 0.8181 as traders squared into the Fed. Sequence of lower highs from 0.8198 keeps the pair capped inside the 0.8169-0.8185 range, RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81854 opens the 0.8200 psych area
Loss of 0.8169 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
Lower highs from 0.8205, holding 0.8169 double bottom.
Session ground lower from 0.8205 into a 0.8169 double bottom, then NY recovered to 0.81855 before easing back to 0.8181 as USD squared into FOMC. RSI(14) mid-range near 51, no extreme; price now retesting the 0.8181 area after tagging the session high.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.81855, 0.81955, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Close back below 0.8169 confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 0.81855 session high opens the path back toward 0.8195
Range 0.8169–0.8185 after intraday flush and rebound.
USDCHF flushed to 0.8169 late in the prior session then rebounded, now grinding higher into London around 0.8184 as the dollar squares up pre-Fed. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.8168–0.8170, and price is pressing the recovery high at 0.8185.
Support: 0.81693, 0.81707
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.8193, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~11h out) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Close above 0.8185 opens the path back toward 0.8193 then 0.8200
Loss of 0.8169 confirms a fresh lower low
07:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.81839
Higher lows since 0.8169 base.
USDCHF based twice near 0.8169 through the London-NY drop and has clawed back to 0.8184 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range near 55. Move is position-squaring consolidation ahead of the Fed, not a trend shift — 0.8194 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.81693, 0.81751
Resistance: 0.8194, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8194 reopens the 0.8205 session high
Loss of 0.8169 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can invalidate this intraday read
USDCHF is consolidating in the Asian session, ranging roughly 0.8169-0.8205 with a tentative recovery off the session low at 0.8169 back to 0.8184. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and the pair is squaring up ahead of the FOMC decision — position-trimming, not a directional move.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81980 opens the range high at 0.82050
Loss of 0.81690 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.81827
Lower highs, session low twice defended.
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session, printing lower highs off the 0.8205 early peak, but the 0.8169 session low was defended twice and price has recovered to 0.8183. RSI(14) near 49 and price back above EMA20 as the pair consolidates below the 0.8200 band into today's FOMC.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81843, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.8184 recent high opens the 0.8200 psych level
Failure to hold 0.8169 session low confirms a lower-low
USDCHF swept the 0.8169 area twice through the NY session and into Asia, forming a double bottom before bouncing to 0.81838 into early European hours. Price is back above the EMA20 but capped under the 0.81930 swing high; RSI(14) mid-range at 56, no extreme.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8157
Resistance: 0.8193, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81930 confirms the recovery toward 0.82000
Failure to hold 0.81693 opens a fresh lower-low
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.81838
Range 0.8170-0.8195, double bottom base.
USDCHF ranging 0.8170-0.8195 through the session, recovering off a double bottom at 0.8170 tested twice into late Asian hours with RSI(14) back near mid-range. Price consolidating below 0.8195 swing resistance ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 0.8170, 0.8151
Resistance: 0.8195, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8195 opens the 0.8205 range top
Loss of 0.8170 double bottom confirms a lower low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCHF ground out a chain of lower highs from 0.8198 down to the 0.8169 session low, where buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 0.81792 as the dollar squared up into the Fed. Bounce is reclaiming EMA20 but still capped by the descending lower-highs line and the 0.8184 swing high.
Support: 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8184, 0.8193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8184 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.8169 confirms a lower-low toward 0.8168 range low
USDCHF faded from the 0.8195-0.8200 band through the session, printing lower highs. The 0.8169 area held on a second test, sparking a small bounce back to 0.8177, but price remains below EMA20/50. FOMC in ~12h is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8195, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8185 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8169 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session in a chain of lower highs off 0.8205, printing a session low at 0.81693 before a modest recovery to 0.8177. CHF remains broadly soft on the SNB-on-hold theme, but the intraday tape is corrective with price stalling under 0.81802 and RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81802, 0.8185, 0.81981
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81802 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81693 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 0.81761
Pullback off 0.8205 top, lower highs into 0.8169 support.
USDCHF grinding lower into London hours, printing lower highs off the 0.8205 top with price under both EMAs and RSI(14) in the mid-40s — no oversold signal. Sellers pressed the bounce back down from the 0.8197 swing high; the 0.8169 session low held on its last test, with a minor pivot capping near 0.8180.
Support: 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8197, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8169 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.8197 swing high invalidates the lower-highs sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 39 · price 0.81761
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows into session low.
USDCHF grinding lower through the session with a clean chain of lower highs, price sitting at 0.81761 just above the 0.81693 session low. RSI(14) near 39 with no divergence; the 0.81680-0.81693 zone has now been tested twice, forming a shallow double bottom.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81836
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81680 confirms a lower-low and negates the double bottom
Reclaim of 0.81836 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could override this read
USDCHF grinding lower through the Asian session, printing lower highs off the 0.81981 session high and pressing the 0.81690 session low. RSI(14) mid-30s with no oversold reading yet; price is consolidating just above the low after the late slide.
Support: 0.8169, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8179, 0.81855, 0.81981
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81690 session low opens the path toward the 0.81680 prior low
Reclaim of 0.81790 recent pivot would break the lower-high chain
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 0.81738
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF grinding lower through the Asian-into-London window, printing fresh session lows near 0.8170 with RSI(14) around 37, well below EMA20/50. The 7-day rally has stalled and price is fading off the 0.8195-0.8205 supply band, sellers pressing the 0.8168-0.8170 support cluster.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8183, 0.8195
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.81680 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81830 swing high would neutralise the downside pressure
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
USD/CHF ground lower through the Asian session into early European hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.81693 before a shallow bounce to 0.81738. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 37 with the last minor high capped at 0.81785.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81785
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
M15 close below 0.81693 confirms another lower low
Reclaim of 0.81785 minor high needed to stall the downtrend
USDCHF has ground lower through the Asian session, a run of lower highs pulling price off the 0.81980 swing to a 0.81697 session low before a shallow bounce to 0.81738. This is a profit-taking pullback off the overstretched multi-day rally; momentum is soft with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81795, 0.81981
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8168 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.81795 lower high would stall the downtrend read
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could override this intraday structure
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into Asia · RSI 35 · price 0.81706
Series of lower highs and lower lows off 0.8205.
USDCHF unwound from the 0.8205 peak in a steady chain of lower highs and lower lows, easing back to 0.8170 as the seven-day USD rally cooled ahead of FOMC. Price sits on the 0.8168 swing low with RSI(14) near 35 — not yet stretched, but momentum firmly to the downside on this TF.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.8179, 0.8190
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8168 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8179 session high negates the downside sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, extending into Asia · RSI 34 · price 0.81706
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF rolled off the 0.81981 session high and ground lower through the Asian session, printing a lower-low chain into 0.81693. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 34, cooling but not yet oversold; sellers capping each bounce at the descending highs.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.81806, 0.81981
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81806 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.81680 confirms continuation lower
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for the next session
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 37 · price 0.81732
Declining toward prior session low.
USDCHF has ground lower through the Asian session, printing a chain of lower highs off the 0.81972 swing high and testing the recent low at 0.81697, RSI(14) near 37. The prior session low at 0.81680 is the last shelf below; ATR is compressed around 4-5 pips.
Support: 0.81697, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.81972
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81680 confirms a lower low and continuation
Reclaim of 0.81900 prior swing would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Powell presser could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 34 · price 0.81732
Descending, approaching prior low.
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session, chaining lower highs from 0.81981 down toward the prior low at 0.81680. RSI(14) near 34 and price below EMA20/50; last bounce off 0.81693 barely reclaimed 0.8173.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.81981
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81680 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81900 negates the descending structure
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session, printing a chain of lower highs off 0.8198 and pressing the 0.8168 session low, consistent with the broadly soft CHF backdrop. RSI(14) near 24 flags short-term oversold, but the sequence remains intact with no bounce yet confirmed.
Support: 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8183, 0.8192
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81680 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens downside
Reclaim of 0.81830 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 33 · price 0.81703
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.8198.
Asia session grinding lower, printing a fresh session low at 0.8169 with RSI(14) near 33 but not yet oversold. Steady lower highs since the 0.8198 swing keep the intraday drift heavy; 0.8168 is the next structural marker.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8160
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8192
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8168 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
M15 close back above 0.8180 pivot breaks the descending sequence
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could reset this intraday read
USDCHF has ground steadily lower through the Asian session, carving a chain of lower highs from 0.81972 down to the current 0.81753 session low. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 36 — soft but not yet oversold. Franc softness has stalled here, with the pair holding just above the 0.81737 low.
Support: 0.81737, 0.8170, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8182, 0.8190, 0.81972
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81820 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.81737 exposes the 0.81700 psych level then 0.81680 prior low
FOMC decision later today is the dominant near-term driver
USDCHF grinding lower into the Asia-London handover, printing lower highs since the 0.82051 window high and now testing the session low at 0.81737. Rejection at 0.81981 capped the last bounce; price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.81737, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8182, 0.81981, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81680 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81820 pivot needed to challenge the 0.81981 lower high
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session, carving lower highs off 0.81980 and now retesting the session low near 0.81760 with RSI(14) sub-40. The multi-day USD/CHF rally has stalled ahead of the FOMC, and price sits below both EMAs on this timeframe.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8182, 0.8193, 0.8198
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81760 exposes the 0.81680 swing low
Reclaim of 0.81820 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
USDCHF has ground lower off the 0.82051 high, printing lower highs with rejection at 0.81981 and now retesting the session low at 0.8176. CHF-soft backdrop persists but the intraday leg is stretched to the downside, RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8193, 0.81981, 0.82051
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 0.81680 confirms lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.81930 swing high negates the intraday downtrend
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs in Asia · RSI 36 · price 0.81789
Series of lower highs pressing recent lows.
USD/CHF has ground lower through the Asia session, printing lower highs from 0.8197 and pressing the 0.8176 area as the seven-day franc-weakness run pauses. RSI(14) near 36 with price below both EMAs; ATR is thin at ~6 pips ahead of the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8193
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81680 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81930 swing high negates the intraday downshift
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for USD/CHF
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, making session lows · RSI 36 · price 0.81789
Lower highs, breaking down from 0.8198.
USDCHF is grinding lower through the Asian session, printing fresh lows near 0.8176 after rejection at the 0.8198 lower high. The 7-day CHF-weakness rally has paused with price now carving lower highs into FOMC; RSI(14) around 36, not yet stretched.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8176 exposes the 0.8168 swing low
M15 close back above 0.8198 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 35 · price 0.81774
Lower highs after NY-session slide, retesting lows.
Price is drifting lower through the Asia session after the NY-session slide to the 0.8168 session low, with a bounce that stalled and got rejected at the 0.8198 lower high below the 0.8200 psych level. Current 0.81774 sits above the 0.8175 recent low, RSI(14) in the mid-30s with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.8175, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 break below 0.81680 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
M15 close back above 0.81980 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.81980 area and is grinding to fresh session lows at 0.81774 through Asia hours, RSI(14) near 37. Sequence of lower highs from the earlier 0.82051 peak intact; franc soft into today's FOMC keeps the down-slope in play.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8198
What it said to watch
Break of 0.81680 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81920 swing high invalidates the intraday downtrend
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read
USDCHF rolled off the 0.82050 day high and is grinding lower through Asian hours, now pressing the 0.81780 session low with RSI(14) near 35. Franc weakness is consensus into FOMC, but this leg is a pullback in the intraday sequence of lower highs.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8178
Resistance: 0.8193, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Break below 0.81680 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.81930 needed to break the lower-highs sequence
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Lower highs from 0.8206, breaking recent range low.
USDCHF slid through the Asia session after supply capped it at 0.8197 twice, and price is now retesting the session low near 0.8178 with RSI(14) around 34. Chain of lower highs off the 0.8206 peak keeps the intraday tilt lower ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.8178, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8178 confirms a lower-low toward 0.8168
Reclaim of 0.8198 invalidates the lower-high sequence
USDCHF slid through the Asian session from 0.8197, printing lower highs into 0.8181 with RSI(14) near 31 — franc broadly heavy as a funding currency. Price is compressing just above the 0.81812 session low, capped by the 0.8200 psych level.
Support: 0.81812, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81812 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.8168
Reclaim of 0.8197 swing high negates the intraday downtrend
USDCHF drifting lower through the Asia session, pressing the session low near 0.8181 after rejection at 0.8197 during the prior session. Lower highs and RSI(14) around 37 mark a soft tone ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.81812, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8193
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81812 confirms continuation toward the 0.81680 prior low
Reclaim of 0.81930 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision ~15h out is the dominant catalyst for this pair
03:02 UTC
Short-term downdrift within range · RSI 41 · price 0.8182
Lower highs off session high, holding above 0.8175.
Asia session is drifting lower off the 0.8197 session high, printing lower highs down to 0.8182 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Pair remains pinned below the 0.8200 psych level after the 0.8168 session low was bought earlier; USD/CHF is coiling ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 0.8175, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8175 swing low reopens the 0.8168 session low
Reclaim of 0.8197 session high and a break above 0.8200 psych exposes 0.8215
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will drive the next leg
USDCHF drifting lower through the Asian session, printing a chain of lower highs after rejection at 0.8197 and failing to reclaim the 0.8200 psych level. Price now sits at 0.8182, mid-range between the 0.8168 swing low and 0.8197 supply, RSI(14) soft near 41. FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8168 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday range
Reclaim of 0.8197 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:47 UTC
Short-term downtrend within intraday range · RSI 42 · price 0.81839
Lower highs off 0.81981, pressing session lows.
USDCHF slid to 0.81680 during NY hours as the dollar faltered, then recovered through Asia to 0.81981 before rolling over into a fresh lower-high sequence. It is now pressing the session low near 0.81812 with RSI(14) around 42; the 0.8200 psych level capped the earlier bounce.
Support: 0.81812, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81975 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.81680 range low opens fresh downside
USDCHF topped near 0.82050 during NY then sold to the 0.81680 swing low; Asia recovered toward 0.81975 before rolling over into lower highs. Price now drifts into the 0.81820s below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39, rejection holding under the 0.8200 psych level and the session low at 0.81810 the last support in play.
Support: 0.8181, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8192, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81810 exposes the 0.81680 swing low
Reclaim of 0.81920 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC later today could override this intraday read
02:31 UTC
Range, rolling over short-term · RSI 43 · price 0.81836
Lower highs off 0.8198 within 0.8168–0.8205 range.
Asia session grinding lower after a rejection at 0.8198, printing lower highs into 0.8182 support; RSI(14) near 42 with price back below EMA20/50. Broad tone keeps USD/CHF pressing the 0.8200 zone as CHF underperforms, but the pair sits mid-range ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8182 confirms a lower-low toward 0.8168 session low
Reclaim of 0.8198 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will override this intraday read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8197 rejection during the Asian session and is now sliding into the 0.8182 session low, sitting on the 50% retrace of the recovery off 0.8168. Franc remains the weak G10 leg but price is capped below 0.8192 for now, with FOMC the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8192
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81820 opens 0.8168 day low
Reclaim of 0.81920 negates the micro downtrend
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser could reset this range
02:16 UTC
Drifting lower off 0.8200 · RSI 40 · price 0.81838
Lower highs since 0.8205, holding above 0.8168 base.
Early Asia session, USDCHF drifting lower to 0.81838 after rejection near 0.81980 and a chain of lower highs off the 0.8205 peak. RSI(14) sub-40 but not extreme; the 0.8168 base and 0.81820 session low remain the pivots below, with 0.8200 psych capping above.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Loss of 0.81820 opens the 0.81680 swing low
M15 close above 0.82000 negates the lower-high sequence
02:16 UTC
Pullback after bounce, sliding · RSI 43 · price 0.81838
Lower highs off 0.8205, holding above 0.8168.
USDCHF faded from the 0.81981 swing high back to 0.8183 in the Asia session, printing lower highs as the franc stays broadly soft into FOMC. Price is drifting below EMA20/50 within the 0.8168–0.8205 range, buyers last stepped in near 0.81824.
Support: 0.81824, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81981, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81824 exposes the 0.8168 day low
Reclaim of 0.81981 needed to reopen the 0.82051 high
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser can override this read
02:02 UTC
Range, recent downtick · RSI 43 · price 0.81852
Ranging 0.8168–0.8205, rolling off swing high.
Asia session grinding in a 0.8168–0.8205 range; price rejected the 0.81975 swing high and slid back to the 0.81837 recent low, now at 0.81852. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme — sitting mid-range ahead of the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 0.81837, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81975 swing high reopens the 0.82000 psych level and 0.82051 session high
Loss of 0.81837 recent low exposes 0.81680 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could override this intraday range read
02:02 UTC
Range, fading from highs · RSI 43 · price 0.81852
Consolidation, capped near 0.8198.
Asia session is drifting inside a 0.8184–0.8198 range after supply capped the recovery at the 0.81975 session high; the last bar swept 0.81837 and closed 0.81852. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, price back under EMA20/50 with no directional edge.
Support: 0.81837, 0.8175, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81837 opens the 0.8175/0.8168 swing lows
Reclaim of 0.82000 psych level negates the range-fade read
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser is the dominant catalyst for this pair today
01:46 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.81918
Recovery off session low, stalling below recent high.
Asia-session drift: USDCHF bounced off the 0.81680 session low back toward the 0.81975 recent high, then stalled and is now hovering at 0.81918 just under EMA20. RSI(14) near 45 — no momentum edge, price ranging inside 0.81880–0.81975.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8175, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81975 opens the 0.82000 psych level
Loss of 0.81880 recent low exposes 0.81680 session low
FOMC ~16h out is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
01:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.81918
Choppy after recovery off 0.8168 low.
Quiet Asia session, USDCHF ranging 0.8188–0.8198 after recovering from the 0.8168 session low. Price pressing under 0.8200 psych level into FOMC, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with momentum flat.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path to the 0.82051 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8188 reopens the 0.8168 session low
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
01:32 UTC
Sideways, mild pullback · RSI 46 · price 0.81908
Range-bound below 0.8200 after NY-session recovery.
Quiet Asia session drift back to 0.8191 after recovering the NY-session dip to 0.8168, holding a tight 0.8188–0.8198 range just under the 0.8200 psych level. RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR compressed to ~3 pips as flows thin out.
Support: 0.81882, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81981, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8198 range high opens the 0.8200 psych level
Loss of 0.8188 range low re-exposes the 0.8168 ny low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could reset this range
USDCHF is consolidating around 0.8190 after a NY-session flush to 0.8168 was bought back toward the 0.8200 handle, which capped the recovery. Price is coiling just under 0.8200 into the FOMC decision, with the CHF-as-funding-currency theme keeping the pair pressed against resistance.
Support: 0.81882, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 psych opens 0.8215 then 0.8250
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.81882 recent low reopens the 0.8168 swing low
01:16 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 45 · price 0.81912
Consolidating below 0.8197 after recovery from session low.
USDCHF is consolidating around 0.8191 in Asia hours after recovering from the session low at 0.8168; the 0.81972 range top has capped the last four hours. RSI(14) near 45 reflects a stalled bounce, with CHF broadly soft ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81972, 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81972 reopens the 0.8200 psych level and 0.82050 prior high
Loss of 0.81800 psych puts the 0.81680 session low back in play
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCHF is consolidating near 0.8191 after a sweep of the session low at 0.8168 during the London-NY window, recovering to retest 0.8197 before stalling. CHF remains soft into FOMC — the pair is pressing the 0.8200 psych level with 0.82051 the prior high above.
Support: 0.8187, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC statement today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A clean break above 0.8200 opens 0.82051 and 0.8250
USDCHF sold from 0.8205 to a session low at 0.8168 during the prior NY hours, then clawed back to 0.8197 through the Asian session. Price is now easing off that swing high toward 0.8189 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.8183, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81830 reopens the 0.8168 session low
M15 close above 0.8197 puts the 0.8205 prior high back in play
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver for this pair
Consolidation near 0.819 after bounce off session low.
USDCHF recovered from the 0.81685 session low back toward 0.8197 but has since stalled, drifting to 0.81896 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is consolidating between 0.8185 and 0.81975 into the FOMC session, with the franc structurally offered on the SNB-on-hold theme.
Support: 0.8185, 0.81685, 0.8175
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81975 reopens the 0.82000 psych and 0.82051 window high
Loss of 0.8185 exposes the 0.81685 session low
FOMC decision ~17h out is the dominant driver and could reset this range
00:46 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.8193
Consolidation below range top.
Recovered off the 0.8168 session low back to 0.8198, now consolidating around 0.8193 in thin Asia hours. Buyers stepped in twice near the session low; range top at 0.8198 capping, with the session high at 0.8205 above. RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.8181, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8198, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8198 swing high opens path back to the 0.8205 session high
Failure to hold 0.8181 swing low exposes the 0.8168 session low
Asia session is grinding sideways near 0.8195, having recovered the entire London/NY selloff that bottomed at 0.8168. RSI(14) sits neutral around 52 and the 0.8200 round number is capping upside. FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC looms as the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path to the 0.82051 session high
Loss of the 0.8180 pullback low reopens the 0.8168 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.81934
Range near session top after V-recovery.
USDCHF sold off to a 0.81680 session low during NY hours as CHF found a brief safe-haven bid, then recovered through the evening to stall just under the 0.81975 recent high. Price is now consolidating around 0.8193 with repeated rejection at 0.81975; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8181, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81975 opens the path back to the 0.82050 session high
Failure to hold the 0.81810 swing low exposes the 0.81680 session low
FOMC decision is the dominant near-term USD/CHF driver and could reset this range
00:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.81934
Consolidation below 0.8200 after V-recovery from session low.
Asia session grinding in a tight range near 0.8195 after a sharp London-session drop to 0.8168 was fully recovered. Price is pinned just under the 0.8200 psych level with RSI(14) neutral; no setup in play.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path back to 0.82051
Failure to hold 0.8188 reopens the 0.8168 session low
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant USDCHF driver and can override this intraday read
Price recovered the full 0.8205-0.8168 London drop and is now consolidating tightly around 0.8195 in thin Asia-session trade, RSI neutral near 60. Buyers held twice at the 0.8168 swing low; session high at 0.8197 capping for now.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8205 prior high opens path higher
Failure to hold 0.8189 range floor reopens the 0.8168 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today is the dominant near-term driver
USDCHF swept the session low at 0.8168 during the London-NY slide then recovered steadily, printing higher lows back toward the 0.8200 round number. Price now coils just under 0.8197 with RSI(14) near 61; the franc stays structurally offered ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.8192, 0.81685, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.8200 opens the path to the 0.8205 prior high
Loss of 0.8192 shifts the near-term higher-low structure
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver for this pair
00:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.81965
Range below 0.8200 after V recovery from 0.8168.
USDCHF sold off to a session low of 0.8168 mid-window then recovered the full move, now coiling in a tight 0.8194-0.8196 band just under the 0.8200 round number. Franc stays broadly offered on the SNB-on-hold story, but price is stalling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.81813, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8200 opens the path to session high 0.82051
Failure to hold 0.81813 reopens the 0.8168 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY afternoon sold USDCHF down to 0.81680 before a steady grind recovered the move through the NY-Asia transition. Price now consolidates in a tight range around 0.81950 just below the 0.82000 psych level in thin Asia hours; RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82000 psych reopens the 0.82051 prior high
Failure to hold 0.81880 swing low reasserts the downside
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver