USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 6 August 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 48 · price 158.409

Consolidation near session highs after NY leg up.

NY session drove USDJPY off 157.82 up to 158.55 as JPY leaked back post-intervention, then Asia has gone quiet, coiling in a tight 158.36–158.50 band. Price is drifting under EMA20 with RSI back near 47 — momentum flat inside the range.

Support: 158.36, 158.29

Resistance: 158.55, 158.47

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 reopens continuation toward the intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 158.36 exposes the 158.29 swing low
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls (~13h out, 12:30 UTC Aug 7) is the dominant risk that can break this range

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 158.409

Range after impulsive leg up.

USDJPY ran ~55 pips into 158.55 mid-window on the post-intervention JPY leak, then stalled into a tight 158.37–158.50 range in thin Asia trade with RSI cooling to ~53. Move off the 157.82 swing low still intact; price hugging its recent range base.

Support: 158.37, 158.20, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 158.55 session high reopens the path toward 160.00
  • Break below 158.37 range low exposes the 158.20 rally base

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 158.409

Consolidation just below session high after impulsive push.

USDJPY spiked from ~157.82 to a session high of 158.55 during NY hours as the yen leaked back post-intervention, then settled into a tight 158.29-158.52 range in thin late-session flow. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral and price is chopping around EMA20; no fresh directional impulse in play.

Support: 158.29, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Close above 158.55 reopens the push higher; break below 158.29 confirms a lower low
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can invalidate this range read

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 158.405

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

NY session drove a sharp leg from 157.82 to a 158.55 session high around 14:00 UTC as JPY leaked back post-intervention. Since then price has consolidated 158.29–158.55 through thin Asian hours, now sitting mid-range at 158.40 with RSI(14) neutralised near 48.

Support: 158.29, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the NY rally
  • Loss of 158.29 session low opens the path toward 158.00 psych
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC will drive the next directional leg

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 158.468

Consolidation near session highs after NY impulse.

USD/JPY spiked through 158.00 during NY session and extended to 158.55, fitting the post-intervention JPY leak higher. Price has since coiled in a tight 158.29-158.51 consolidation and is drifting near the session high on thin Asian liquidity.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 158.00

Resistance: 158.51, 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 opens continuation higher
  • Loss of 158.29 breaks the consolidation floor
  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the next major driver for this pair

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 158.468

Consolidating below session high after NY impulse.

NY session drove USDJPY off 157.82 up to a 158.55 session high, part of the post-intervention leak back toward 158.00+. Price has since gone flat, ranging 158.29-158.52 through thin Asia hours with RSI cooling toward mid-range.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver — likely to break this range
  • M15 close above 158.55 resumes the impulse higher
  • Failure to hold 158.29 opens the 158.16 swing low

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 158.468

Higher highs into a tight late-session range.

USDJPY broke higher through NY hours, spiking off 157.86 to a 158.55 session high as the yen leaked back post-intervention. Price is now pinned in a thin 158.40-158.50 range into late session, holding above the 158.36 pullback low.

Support: 158.36, 158.16

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant next-bar risk and could reset this range
  • Close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 area
  • Failure to hold 158.36 exposes the 158.16 spike base

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 158.45

HH/HL chain into a tight range below session high.

NY session drove USDJPY through 158.00 to a session high at 158.55 as JPY leaked back post-intervention, then price stalled into a tight 158.32-158.55 range through thin Asian hours. Momentum has cooled with RSI near 57 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips in the low-volume session.

Support: 158.29, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver and can break this range either way
  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the NY leg higher
  • Loss of 158.29 range base opens a retest of the 158.00 psych level

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 158.467

Consolidation near session highs after NY leg up.

USD/JPY ran from 157.60 to 158.55 through the NY session as intervention gains kept fading, then stalled into a tight 158.32–158.55 range on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the drift pauses just under 158.50.

Support: 158.32, 158.20

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the uptrend toward 160.00
  • Loss of 158.32 opens 158.20 and confirms range break lower
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 158.487

Consolidating below session high after impulse leg.

USDJPY broke higher through the NY session, ripping from 157.86 to 158.55 as the dollar held firm and JPY stayed pressured near 158. Price is now consolidating 158.35–158.50 in thin late-session trade, holding just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs.

Support: 158.29

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the breakout toward the 160.00 upside cap
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low signals the impulse is unwinding back into the range
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

22:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 57 · price 158.464

NY breakout now consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ran through the NY session to 158.55 as intervention gains faded and the dollar held its range, then settled into a tight 158.40-158.50 band through the Asia open on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral after the impulse, with buyers still holding above 158.29.

Support: 158.294, 158.16

Resistance: 158.552, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 cap
  • Failure to hold 158.29 breaks the consolidation and exposes 158.16
  • US NFP Friday is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read; MoF re-intervention risk lingers near 158

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 158.443

Broke higher, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY rallied ~60 pips off 157.82 into the 158.55 session high during NY hours as USD held firm near DXY 99.80, then stalled into a tight consolidation between 158.29 and 158.55. Volume thinned sharply into the session close with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s; no fresh setup while the range holds.

Support: 158.29, 158.15

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Close above 158.55 session high extends the breakout toward 158.80
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low opens the 158.15 breakout base
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls (f/c 80K) is the decisive near-term catalyst and could reset this range

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 158.443

Tight range under session high after NY leg up.

NY session drove USD/JPY from the 157.55 low up to a 158.55 session high on firm dollar into payrolls; price now consolidating in a tight 158.33–158.55 range with RSI cooling off the highs. Move gave back only the shallow 38.2% of the NY leg, so upside momentum stalled rather than reversed.

Support: 158.33, 158.29

Resistance: 158.55, 158.51

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can override this range read
  • Close above 158.55 session high reopens the upside toward 158.80+
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
  • Any MoF intervention signal near 158 could sharply cap the pair

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 158.443

Breakout then consolidation below session high.

NY session drove a clean breakout from 157.87 to a 158.55 session high on USD firmness and JPY drift toward 158 as intervention gains fade. Price is now consolidating between 158.29 and 158.55 into the thin late-session/Asia handover, RSI easing back from the move.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.87

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • Hold above 158.29 keeps the breakout structure intact; a close below opens 158.16
  • Break and hold above 158.55 extends the session high
  • US NFP Friday is the decisive catalyst and could reset this range

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 158.443

Consolidation below session high after breakout.

NY session drove USD/JPY off 157.82 to a session high 158.55 as the dollar held firm into Friday's payrolls, then stalled into thin late-session trade. Price is now coiling in a 158.29-158.51 range with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and RSI cooling off the highs.

Support: 158.29

Resistance: 158.55, 158.51

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this range
  • M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the breakout
  • Loss of 158.29 range low signals the rally unwinding

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 158.413

Consolidating near session highs after NY impulse.

USDJPY broke sharply higher through NY hours, lifting from ~157.82 to a 158.55 session high as yen softness on fiscal worries extended a third day. Price has since coiled between 158.29 and 158.55, with buyers stepping in twice near 158.30 and supply capping the 158.55 top.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 opens continuation toward the 160 intervention-risk zone
  • Loss of 158.29 exposes the 158.16 breakout base
  • Fed's Musalem speaks 21:30 UTC — could shift this read on the next bars

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 158.413

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

NY session drove a sharp rally from 157.82 to a 158.55 session high, with JPY soft into US payrolls. Price is now consolidating in a tight 158.36–158.50 band on fading late-session volume, RSI cooled back to mid-range.

Support: 158.29, 158.16

Resistance: 158.552, 158.506

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
  • Fed's Musalem ~21:30 UTC may inject volatility into thin liquidity
  • Close above 158.55 reopens the upside; loss of 158.29 confirms a lower-low

21:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.449

Consolidating below session high after impulse leg.

USD/JPY spiked into the NY session, clearing 158.00 and printing a session high at 158.55 as the yen extended its post-intervention retreat. Price is now consolidating in a tight 158.29–158.55 band, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.

Support: 158.29, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the impulse toward the 160 intervention zone
  • Loss of 158.29 breaks the consolidation and reopens 158.00
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift this read

21:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.449

Consolidating below session high after breakout.

NY session drove USD/JPY off 157.82 through the 158.55 session high, and price has since consolidated in a 158.29–158.55 band with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-50s. Buyers held 158.29 into the late session; the breakout base near 158.15 sits below as the fuller pullback level.

Support: 158.29, 158.15

Resistance: 158.47, 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 session high resumes the up-leg
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward the 158.15 breakout base
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 158.454

NY leg up, ranging below session high.

NY session drove USD/JPY up from ~157.85 to a 158.55 session high on a soft-yen tone, then stalled into a 158.30–158.55 range. Price sits at 158.45 near range top; rejection capped 158.55 twice with RSI(14) mid-range around 57.

Support: 158.30, 158.29, 158.15

Resistance: 158.55, 159.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 session high opens the path toward 159.00 psych
  • Failure to hold 158.30 range low reopens 158.15
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can override this range

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 158.453

Impulsive rally then range at session high.

USDJPY broke sharply higher through the NY session, spiking from 157.82 to a session high at 158.55 as the yen stayed soft on fiscal worries. Price is now consolidating in a 158.29–158.55 band just under the high, RSI cooling toward mid-range after the impulse.

Support: 158.29, 158.15, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the breakout toward the 158.00 handle above
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low breaks the consolidation and opens the 158.15 breakout base
  • Fed's Musalem speech at 21:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 58 · price 158.453

Consolidation below session high after NY rally.

USDJPY rallied through the NY session from a 157.87 breakout base to a 158.55 session high as fiscal-driven JPY softness extended. Price is now consolidating between 158.29 and 158.55 with RSI cooling from the highs.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.87

Resistance: 158.552

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 session high opens the path toward the 160 intervention area
  • Loss of 158.29 swing low breaks the consolidation floor toward 158.16
  • Fed's Musalem speech at 21:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of NFP

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.47

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

USDJPY ripped from 157.82 to 158.55 through the NY session as JPY stayed soft near the 200-day EMA, then stalled and coiled into a tight 158.33–158.55 range. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the drive flattens.

Support: 158.33

Resistance: 158.55, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 160.00
  • Failure to hold 158.33 confirms a lower-low and cracks the range
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

20:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.40

Range break higher, now consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a sharp leg from 157.82 to a 158.55 session high, JPY soft into Friday's NFP. Price now consolidating 158.30-158.50 just under that high, holding above the EMA50.

Support: 158.29, 158.16

Resistance: 158.55, 158.48

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 extends the breakout toward 158.80
  • Loss of 158.29 confirms a lower-low and stalls the rally
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 158.454

Higher highs into 158.55, now consolidating near the top.

NY session drove USDJPY off 157.82 to a session high at 158.55 as the yen stayed soft, then price stalled and is consolidating in the 158.29-158.55 zone. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s after the impulse.

Support: 158.29, 158.11

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can override this read
  • Close above session high 158.55 extends the up-leg
  • Loss of swing low 158.29 opens the path back to the prior swing at 158.11

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating post-breakout · RSI 53 · price 158.455

Higher highs into NY, now ranging below session high.

NY session drove a sharp breakout off 157.82, tagging 158.55 before stalling. Price now consolidates in the 158.29–158.50 band, currently 158.455 with RSI(14) neutral after cooling from the breakout spike.

Support: 158.29, 158.15, 157.93

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 reopens the path toward the 160.00 intervention-risk ceiling
  • Loss of 158.29 range low exposes the 157.93 breakout base
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 158.455

Rally into range, holding above breakout.

A NY-session spike near 14:00 UTC lifted USD/JPY off 157.86 to a 158.55 session high, with the yen soft into payrolls. Price has since consolidated in a 158.29-158.55 band, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range and holding above the 158.14 breakout.

Support: 158.29, 158.14, 157.86

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 158.29 swing low reopens the 158.14 breakout level
  • Break and hold above 158.55 session high extends the rally
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

19:16 UTC

Uptrend cooling, pulling back from highs · RSI 48 · price 158.356

Rally into 158.55 then drift lower, consolidating.

NY session drove USD/JPY from 157.87 up to 158.55 before the move stalled and drifted back to 158.35, now sitting below EMA20. Rejection at the 158.55 session high, with buyers so far holding the 158.29 area on the pullback.

Support: 158.29, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 158.29 opens the path toward 158.00
  • Reclaim of 158.50 reopens the 158.55 session high
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst for the pair

19:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 158.356

Post-breakout drift below session high.

NY session spiked USDJPY from the 157.86 breakout base up to a 158.55 session high as the yen stayed soft on fiscal worries. Since the peak the pair has ground lower to 158.35 and now sits below EMA20, holding just above the 158.29 session low with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.86

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Close below 158.29 session low opens the 158.16 spike base
  • Reclaim of 158.55 session high resumes the breakout leg
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

19:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 158.338

NY breakout, drifting back near highs.

NY session drove an impulsive break through 158.15 up to a 158.55 session high, with the yen soft as intervention-driven gains fade. Price has since drifted back to 158.34, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s while holding above the 158.32 session low.

Support: 158.32, 158.15

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 158.15 breakout zone negates the NY rally structure
  • 158.55 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of Fri NFP

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 158.338

Impulse then lower highs, drifting off session high.

NY session pushed an impulsive ~70-pip rally through 157.90 into 158.55 as yen softness extended ahead of NFP. Since the high, price has drifted lower in a tight band of lower highs, RSI cooling to the mid-40s, now testing the 158.32 range low.

Support: 158.32, 158.16

Resistance: 158.46, 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Close below 158.32 opens deeper retrace toward 158.16
  • Reclaim of 158.46 reopens the 158.55 session high
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 158.383

Consolidating below session high after NY breakout.

NY session drove a sharp breakout from the 157.9 area up to 158.552, JPY soft on fiscal-worry headlines. Price now consolidating 158.36–158.52 just under the session high, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral from overbought.

Support: 158.36, 158.00, 157.87

Resistance: 158.552, 158.52

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 158.36 session low opens the path to 158.0 round
  • Break above 158.552 session high resumes the breakout leg
  • Musalem 21:30 UTC and NFP Friday could reset this range

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.383

Impulsive NY rally, now consolidating below session high.

NY session drove USDJPY off 157.82 up through the 158.55 session high on the JPY give-back back toward the 158.00 topside. Price is now consolidating in a 158.36–158.55 band with RSI(14) cooling off overbought; session high still capping.

Support: 158.36, 158.20, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Close above 158.55 resumes the uptrend toward the 158.00+ topside extension
  • Failure to hold 158.36 opens the path back to 158.20
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift the read
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the pair

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 48 · price 158.383

Consolidating below session high after NY breakout.

NY session drove a sharp breakout to 158.55 as JPY gave back intervention gains, clearing the prior 157.8-158.0 range. Price has since drifted into consolidation near 158.38, printing lower highs off the session high with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-40s.

Support: 158.36, 158.20, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55, 158.52

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 158.36 range low opens the breakout base at 158.20
  • Reclaim of 158.55 session high resumes the up-leg
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can reset this read

18:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 158.389

Impulse leg then tight consolidation below session high.

NY session drove a sharp leg from 157.82 to a session high of 158.55 as JPY give-back extended USD/JPY toward 158. Price is now consolidating 158.36–158.52 with RSI(14) cooling off the impulse, session high still capping.

Support: 158.36, 158.20

Resistance: 158.52, 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 resumes the up-leg
  • Failure to hold 158.36 opens the path back to 158.20
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating post-breakout · RSI 57 · price 158.389

Higher highs into 158.55, now ranging.

NY session pushed a sharp breakout above 158.20 and ran to a 158.55 session high, in line with the JPY give-back back toward 158.00. Price is now consolidating 158.36-158.55 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s after the impulse.

Support: 158.36, 158.20, 157.93

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Close below 158.20 negates the breakout and reopens 157.93
  • Break and hold above 158.55 extends the intraday leg
  • Fed Musalem 21:30 UTC and US NFP Friday could reshape this read

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 158.404

Impulsive NY leg, consolidating near highs.

A strong NY leg drove USDJPY off 157.82 to a session high at 158.55 as the yen kept giving back intervention gains, then price stalled and is consolidating just under 158.50. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s off the spike; the 158.20 breakout zone has not yet been retested.

Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55, 158.46

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
  • M15 close back below 158.20 puts the breakout retest in play
  • Sustained hold above 158.00 keeps the higher-low chain intact

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 61 · price 158.404

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.

NY session drove USDJPY off 157.86 to a session high at 158.55 as JPY gave back intervention gains, RSI(14) cooling to the low 60s from the impulse. Price is now consolidating around 158.40, holding above the breakout base with the session high still capping.

Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.86

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.55 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 158.20 exposes 158.00 and the 157.86 breakout base
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read; intervention risk persists below ~156

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 158.44

Breakout above 158.00, consolidating below session high.

NY session drove a breakout above the 158.00 psych level, USD/JPY spiking to a session high of 158.55 as JPY gave back intervention gains on fiscal worries. Price is now consolidating in the low 158.40s just under that high, RSI cooling toward 60 after the impulse.

Support: 158.20, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 158.00 negates the breakout read
  • Hold of 158.20 keeps the higher-low structure intact
  • US NFP Friday is the decisive catalyst for this pair

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 158.433

Post-breakout, higher highs / higher lows.

NY session ripped from ~157.9 to a 158.55 session high as JPY give-back extended near the 200-day pivot area, USD/JPY breaking cleanly above the prior 157.9 range. Price now consolidating around 158.43 just under the session high; RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but holding above 60.

Support: 158.20, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 158.20 negates the breakout retest and reopens 158.00
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the pair
  • MoF intervention risk on further upside toward the 158.20+ zone

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 158.433

Range breakout, consolidating below session high.

NY session ripped USDJPY out of the 157.85 base, spiking to 158.55 as JPY gave back intervention gains, RSI(14) cooling off its highs near 60. Price now consolidating 158.42-158.55, holding well above the breakout base.

Support: 158.22, 157.95, 157.86

Resistance: 158.55, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 158.22 pullback low reopens the 157.95 breakout base
  • M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the leg toward 158.80
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, breakout extended · RSI 65 · price 158.447

Higher highs, breakout above 158.00 holding.

NY session drove a sharp breakout from the 157.80 base, USD/JPY tagging 158.55 as JPY extended its give-back of intervention gains. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) around 64, holding well above the 158.00 breakout level.

Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 158.20 pullback low would signal the breakout losing steam
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
  • A close back below 158.00 psych opens a retest of 157.82 swing low

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, impulsive · RSI 74 · price 158.493

Clean HH/HL, fresh session breakout.

NY session drove an impulsive breakout above 158.00, extending to a 158.55 session high with RSI(14) hot near 74 as JPY handed back intervention gains. Price is consolidating just under the high; the breakout retest zone at 158.20 has so far held.

Support: 158.20, 158.00

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 158.00 negates the breakout read
  • RSI(14) above 74 warns move is stretched, watch for stall at 158.55
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read

17:01 UTC

Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 158.493

HH/HL chain post-breakout.

NY session broke the 157.86 range top and ran a sharp leg to a 158.55 session high as JPY gave back intervention gains, RSI(14) hot near 71. Price is consolidating just under the high with ATR expanded to ~13 pips.

Support: 158.00, 157.86

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 158.00 psych level would end the HH/HL chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the pair
  • M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the rally toward 158.80

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 72 · price 158.521

Breakout above intraday range, printing session highs.

NY session drove a clean breakout of the 157.93 range top, USD/JPY spiking to 158.55 as JPY gave back intervention gains on fiscal-policy worries. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price is consolidating just under the session high.

Support: 158.20, 157.93

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • Loss of the 158.20 breakout zone would signal a failed break and retest of 157.93
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this leg
  • Close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 psych area

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 73 · price 158.474

Higher highs, post-breakout consolidation near session high.

NY session drove a sharp breakout in USD/JPY, ripping from 157.82 to a 158.55 session high as JPY gave back intervention gains. Price is now holding just under that high with RSI(14) hot near 73; the 158.20 breakout base is the first support on any pullback.

Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.82

Resistance: 158.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 158.20 negates the breakout and reopens 158.00
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
  • Failure to clear 158.55 keeps price capped at the session high

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 74 · price 158.491

NY breakout, chain of higher highs.

NY session broke the 157.94 range top and ran to 158.51, USD/JPY firming as JPY gives back intervention gains near the pair's 200-day pivot. RSI(14) hot at ~74 but not yet extreme; price stalling into the session high with rising lows holding above 158.20.

Support: 158.20, 157.94

Resistance: 158.51, 159.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 158.20 breaks the rally structure and opens the 157.94 breakout retest
  • 158.51 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation toward the 159.00 psych level
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, breakout extending · RSI 79 · price 158.475

Range broken to upside, printing higher highs.

NY session ripped USDJPY out of a tight 157.55-157.95 range, price accelerating to a session high 158.46 as USD safe-haven bid met JPY giving back its intervention gains. RSI(14) is hot near 80, breakout leg still unretraced with the 158.20 base untested.

Support: 158.20, 158.00, 157.93

Resistance: 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 158.20 breakout base would signal a failed range break and pull price back toward 158.00
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can reset this read
  • Fed's Musalem tonight 21:30 UTC could shift USD tone into the next bars

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, freshly extended · RSI 75 · price 158.391

Vertical breakout from 157.55–157.94 range.

USD/JPY broke sharply out of the 157.55–157.94 range during NY hours, spiking to a session high at 158.46 on JPY give-back after the record intervention faded, RSI(14) hot near 74. Price is now consolidating just under the high around 158.39; the 158.16 breakout base is the first area to watch on any pullback.

Support: 158.16, 157.94, 158.00

Resistance: 158.46

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 158.16 breakout base would signal the spike is being retraced
  • A close back below 158.00 negates the breakout read
  • US July NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this structure

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 78 · price 158.416

Range break, impulsive HH/HL.

USDJPY broke the 157.30-158.20 band into the NY session, surging from 157.82 to 158.46 in six bars and pulling clear of the 200-day pivot it had been glued to. RSI(14) near 78 is hot but consistent with the impulse; 158.20 is the breakout level now flipping to support.

Support: 158.20, 157.818

Resistance: 158.461

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 158.20 reopens the prior 157.30-158.20 range
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could override this breakout
  • Failure to reclaim 158.46 after a pullback signals momentum stalling

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 79 · price 158.413

Range break higher, extended above 158.20.

NY session ripped through the 157.30–158.20 band that had pinned the pair to its 200-day EMA, spiking to 158.42 on renewed USD demand, with RSI(14) stretched near 79. Price is extended well above EMA20/50 into fresh session highs.

Support: 158.20

Resistance: 158.42

What it said to watch

  • Hold above prior range top 158.20 keeps the breakout intact; a close back under reopens the 157.30–158.20 band
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC and Friday NFP are the near-term catalysts that could reprice this leg

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 73 · price 158.239

Range break higher, holding above breakout.

USDJPY broke out of the 157.50-157.94 coil during the NY session with a sharp 40-pip candle to 158.28, snapping days of compression at the 200-day EMA. Price is holding above the 158.11 breakout base with RSI(14) running hot near 73; the safe-haven USD bid and pre-NFP positioning underpin the move.

Support: 158.11, 157.94

Resistance: 158.28, 158.20

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — will drive the next leg
  • A close back below 157.94 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior range
  • Sustained hold above 158.28 opens the path toward the 158.20+ range top extension

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout leg · RSI 71 · price 158.239

Range break above 158.20, consolidating under session high.

NY session broke the day's 157.55-158.20 range with a sharp 40-pip candle to 158.28, USD firming on safe-haven flows and the pair lifting off the 200-day area into Friday's NFP. RSI(14) elevated near 71 as price coils just under the session high; the old range top around 158.20 now acts as a retest zone.

Support: 158.16, 158.11

Resistance: 158.28

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC will drive direction — could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 158.10 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
  • Close above 158.28 extends the breakout leg

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 73 · price 158.212

Range break above 158.20 into NY hours.

After nearly 24h pinned in a sub-60-pip range around the 200-day EMA, price broke sharply through the 158.20 range top on the NY session, printing a session high at 158.263 with RSI(14) running hot near 73. The pop fits the USD safe-haven bounce noted in the digest; former resistance at 158.10 is the immediate retest reference.

Support: 158.10

Resistance: 158.263

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 158.10 signals a false break back into the prior range
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) and Fed's Musalem (21:30 UTC today) can override this intraday read

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 158.212

Range break above 157.94, holding session high.

USDJPY spent most of the window pinned in a 157.55–157.94 band before a single NY-hours candle ripped through to 158.26, driven by the USD safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) hot near 74; the 157.94 former range top is the immediate breakout pivot.

Support: 157.94, 157.55

Resistance: 158.26

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 157.94 negates the breakout and returns price to range
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 158.20

Range break higher after all-day compression.

USDJPY spent the session coiled sub-157.94 before a sharp NY-hours break to 158.26, closing near 158.20 with RSI(14) hot at ~74. The move cleared the day's ceiling; 157.94 flips to first support with the breakout base at 157.82 below.

Support: 157.94, 157.82

Resistance: 158.26

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim back below 157.94 would negate the breakout and return price into the range
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum spiking · RSI 78 · price 158.16

Range break to fresh session high.

NY session broke the 157.60–157.94 consolidation, one candle spiking to 158.26 and holding near 158.16 with RSI(14) running hot around 78. Move fits the two-way USD tone as safe-haven bid firms the dollar; prior range top at 157.94 flips to first support.

Support: 157.94, 157.86, 157.56

Resistance: 158.26, 158.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 157.94 range top would negate the breakout and put price back in the prior range
  • Sustained trade above 158.26 session high opens the path toward 158.50
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

14:16 UTC

Breakout higher off a tight range · RSI 78 · price 158.16

Range broken to the upside, fresh session high.

NY session broke the 157.6–157.93 range with a sharp bull candle to 158.26 before settling at 158.16, RSI(14) running hot near 78. The prior range top at 157.93 now flips to first support after the range break.

Support: 157.93, 157.56

Resistance: 158.26, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • A hold above 157.93 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss of it puts the move back inside the range
  • 158.30 psych zone flagged as an intervention-sensitive area to monitor for rejection
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

14:01 UTC

Grind higher, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 157.883

Rising HL chain into 157.94 supply.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 157.943 session high, holding a rising higher-low chain off 157.75; last bar wicked to 157.818 and recovered. Pair remains pinned near the 200-day EMA / 157.50 pivot area with RSI(14) mid-range — no exhaustion, no fresh break.

Support: 157.818, 157.751, 157.66

Resistance: 157.943, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.943 opens the path toward the 158.00 psych level
  • Loss of 157.818 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

14:01 UTC

Grinding uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 53 · price 157.883

Higher highs into 157.94, shallow pullbacks.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, stalling into the 157.94 session high which rejected the last push. RSI(14) has cooled to ~53 on the pullback while price holds above rising intraday support near 157.82.

Support: 157.82, 157.75

Resistance: 157.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path toward 158.30
  • Loss of 157.82 exposes 157.75 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk and could materially shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 157.924

Higher highs and higher lows.

USDJPY has ground higher through the London-NY transition, printing a session high at 157.94 with buyers stepping in on each dip near 157.82. RSI mid-60s leaves room, but price is stalling just under the round 158.00.

Support: 157.82, 157.75

Resistance: 157.94, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the 158.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the rising intraday support
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 157.893

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

NY session extended a steady grind higher into the session high at 157.936, price holding just below after a shallow pullback. USD/JPY stays pinned near the 200-day EMA with buyers stepping in on each dip through the London-NY overlap; RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched.

Support: 157.82, 157.77

Resistance: 157.936, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to the 158.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 157.82 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 157.918

Higher highs and higher lows, near session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session in a steady rising channel, printing a session high at 157.936 with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extreme. Price holds above the 200-DMA pivot at 157.50 after last week's record intervention, with buyers stepping in on each pullback toward the 157.85 swing low.

Support: 157.85, 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.936, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.936 opens continuation toward the 158.30 cap
  • Loss of 157.75 breaks the rising-lows sequence
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 157.873

Ascending, higher highs and higher lows.

USDJPY ground higher through London into the NY session, tagging a session high at 157.94 before easing back to 157.82 where buyers stepped in again. Price sits pinned just above the 200-dma pivot near 157.50, RSI mid-60s with no extreme.

Support: 157.82, 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.94

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 session high extends the ascending structure
  • Failure to hold 157.82 session low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst via the USD leg

13:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 157.873

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 157.94 before easing to 157.87. HL chain intact with buyers defending 157.82; RSI(14) neutral around 56, no extreme in play.

Support: 157.82, 157.75

Resistance: 157.94, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to 158.00
  • Failure to hold 157.82 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 157.89

Chain of higher lows into NY, session high untested.

USDJPY grinds higher through the London-NY transition, holding a chain of higher lows off 157.75 and pinned well above the 200-DMA pivot at 157.50 flagged in the macro read. Session high sits at 157.94; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 leaves room before any stretch.

Support: 157.80, 157.75

Resistance: 157.94, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 157.80 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Break above 157.94 session high opens 158.00 round number
  • US NFP Fri could materially shift the USD leg and this read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing near highs · RSI 56 · price 157.866

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session off the 157.55 low, tagging a session high at 157.936 before stalling into a tight 157.82-157.87 range on the 200-DEMA shelf. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the push loses steam; buyers held 157.82 on the last pullback.

Support: 157.818, 157.748

Resistance: 157.936, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.936 extends the higher-high sequence toward 158.30
  • Loss of 157.818 exposes the 157.75 swing low and stalls the uptrend
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override this range read

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 58 · price 157.853

Higher lows, capped at 157.94.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session in a chain of higher lows off 157.55, tagging a session high at 157.94 where sellers rejected twice. Price now hovers at 157.85, pinned above the 200-DEMA zone near 157.50 as the pair consolidates its three-day recovery.

Support: 157.82, 157.77, 157.50

Resistance: 157.94, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path toward the 158.30 cap
  • Loss of 157.77 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 157.50
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Friday NFP are the decisive near-term catalysts

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 55 · price 157.853

Grinding higher, capped at session high 157.94.

USDJPY grinding higher through the London-NY transition, pinned to the 200-DEMA zone near 157.80 with a session high rejection at 157.94, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Move stays contained as the market front-runs Friday's NFP; broad USD softness after weak ADP/ISM offset by safe-haven bids keeps this two-way.

Support: 157.75, 157.55

Resistance: 157.94, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could jolt this range near-term
  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path toward the 158.30 cap
  • Loss of 157.75 exposes the 200-dema at 157.55

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 157.855

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, tapping a session high at 157.94 before rejecting back to 157.85 as JPY saw light profit-taking. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; pair remains above EMA20/50 with a shallow rising support line intact.

Support: 157.75

Resistance: 157.94, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path to the 158.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this pair

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 157.927

Chain of higher highs and higher lows, at session highs.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the rising 200-day area, printing a fresh session high at 157.94 with a clean HH/HL chain. RSI(14) near 66 leaves room before overbought; pair is glued above EMA20/50 in a corrective bounce ahead of Friday's NFP.

Support: 157.79, 157.71

Resistance: 157.94, 158.00, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 158.00 psych opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.79 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Fri 12:30 GMT US NFP is the dominant driver and could reset this read

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 62 · price 157.89

Higher highs and higher lows off 157.31 low.

USDJPY has ground higher through the window off the 157.31 low, printing a session high at 157.94 before stalling at 157.89, RSI(14) near 62 and not stretched. The pair stays glued to its rising path in a quiet Asia-into-London tape, holding the intervention-era 157.50s zone ahead of US NFP.

Support: 157.75, 157.65

Resistance: 157.94, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.94 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls tomorrow 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 157.916

Chain of higher highs / higher lows, pressing session high.

Steady M15 uptrend through the NY session, price just poked a fresh session high at 157.936 with RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not stretched. Pair remains glued to its rising 200-day EMA near 157.50 after last week's intervention, dip demand held 157.82 on the last pullback.

Support: 157.82, 157.75

Resistance: 157.936, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 157.75 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Sustained M15 close above 157.936 opens the path to the 158.30 range top
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could override this intraday read

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 58 · price 157.869

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating under 157.89.

USDJPY ground higher through the window off the 157.31 session low into a 157.89 session high, then stalled into a tight 157.85–157.89 consolidation on fading volume. RSI(14) near 58 with price above both EMAs — trend intact but momentum flat as the market sits idle ahead of Friday's US NFP.

Support: 157.795, 157.31

Resistance: 157.893, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the path to the 158.00 round number
  • Loss of 157.795 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 157.852

Higher highs into session-high stall.

USDJPY ground higher through London off the 157.31 low, tagging a session high at 157.89 before stalling flat near 157.85 as the pair stays glued to its rising 200-day EMA. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-range; last few bars are coiling just below the high in a sub-60-pip session range.

Support: 157.77, 157.63, 157.55

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.77 then 157.63 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT and NFP Fri could reset this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 157.857

Higher highs, higher lows; grinding into session high.

USD/JPY grinding higher through the London session, pinned to its rising 200-day EMA on a third recovery day after last week's intervention drop. Price stalling at the 157.89 session high with shrinking candles and RSI(14) mid-range — a slow drift, no impulsive break yet.

Support: 157.80, 157.75

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.89 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.75 breaks the rising-low structure
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can reset this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 157.886

Higher highs, higher lows since 157.31 low.

USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the 157.31 low, printing higher lows and now pressing the session high at 157.89 with RSI(14) near 69. The recovery has been slow and orderly, glued below 157.90 into Friday's US NFP.

Support: 157.75, 157.31

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.90 opens the path toward 158.30
  • Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the rising-lows sequence
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 66 · price 157.886

Higher highs and higher lows off the 157.31 low.

USDJPY ground higher through the session, clearing the 157.85 prior high and printing a fresh session high at 157.89 with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not stretched. The move extends a three-day recovery off the 157.31 low; price sits tight against the 157.89 high heading into US Jobless Claims.

Support: 157.75

Resistance: 157.89, 158.00, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 158.00 opens the path to the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.75 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 GMT could inject near-term volatility ahead of Friday NFP

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session highs · RSI 61 · price 157.863

HL chain off 157.31, coiling below 157.89.

Steady recovery through NY hours, USD/JPY carved a HL chain off the 157.31 session low and is now coiling just under the 157.89 session high in a sub-60 pip range. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 61, momentum firm but not stretched, in line with the pair clinging to its rising 200-day EMA post-intervention.

Support: 157.77, 157.61, 157.31

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.61 breaks the HL chain and threatens the 157.31 low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could inject volatility into this read

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 157.877

Higher lows into session highs.

USDJPY has ground higher off the 157.31 session low, printing a chain of higher lows and stalling just under the 157.89 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched; price holds above EMA20/50 in the upper half of the 157.00-158.30 band while the market sits on hands ahead of Friday NFP.

Support: 157.75, 157.61, 157.31

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.75 prior high shifts the read back toward 157.61
  • Friday US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override intraday structure

09:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 58 · price 157.844

Higher lows off 157.31, capped at session high 157.89.

USDJPY recovered from the early low at 157.31 and ground higher through Asia into the London session, tagging a session high at 157.893 before stalling; last bars are consolidating just under it around 157.84. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s and price holds above both EMAs, keeping the intraday recovery intact while sitting well above the 200-DMA floor near 157.50.

Support: 157.75

Resistance: 157.893, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.893 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of the 157.75 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, higher highs into London · RSI 62 · price 157.843

HH/HL chain off the 157.31 low.

USDJPY ground higher through the London session off the 157.31 low, printing a session high at 157.893 before easing to 157.84; RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 157.75, keeping the higher-low chain intact ahead of Friday's NFP.

Support: 157.79, 157.75

Resistance: 157.893

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.893 extends the uptrend toward the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.79 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 59 · price 157.843

Higher lows into session high, consolidating.

Grind higher off the 157.31 session low into a fresh session high at 157.893, price now consolidating just under it with RSI(14) cooling to ~59. USDJPY stays pinned near its longer-term line as the market awaits Friday NFP, keeping the 157.75 recent low the near-term pivot.

Support: 157.75, 157.557, 157.31

Resistance: 157.893, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.893 session high opens the path toward 158.00 round number
  • Failure to hold 157.75 recent low reopens the 157.557 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure

09:01 UTC

Recovery uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 56 · price 157.842

Higher lows off day low, ranging under session high.

USDJPY recovered from the 157.31 day low through European hours, holding well above the 200-DMA pivot near 157.50 as the soft-USD tone from yesterday's 44K ADP miss lingers. Now consolidating 157.77–157.89, RSI(14) mid-range with ATR compressing to ~6 pips into the pre-NY lull.

Support: 157.77, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.89 session high opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.77 exposes the 157.55 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

09:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 157.842

Higher lows off 157.31, pressing session high.

Steady recovery through the session off the 157.31 low, printing higher lows and tagging a session high at 157.893, RSI(14) cooling near 60. Price now consolidating just above 157.75 with the 200-DMA pivot near 157.50 underpinning; move is pinned into Friday's NFP.

Support: 157.75, 157.60, 157.50

Resistance: 157.893, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.90 opens the path to 158.00
  • Failure to hold 157.75 signals a lower low back toward 157.60
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 157.815

Rising-low chain off Asian low, pullback from session high.

USDJPY recovered from the 157.31 Asian low and London pushed to a session high of 157.89 before fading to 157.82, pinned around the 200-DMA cited in the macro read. RSI(14) mid-range at 57; rising-low chain intact but the last three bars have stalled under 157.89.

Support: 157.748

Resistance: 157.893, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.893 opens the path to 158.00 psych
  • Loss of 157.748 breaks the intraday rising-low chain
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read ahead of Fri NFP

08:46 UTC

Recovery, higher lows into session high · RSI 58 · price 157.815

Chain of higher lows off 157.31, stalling at 157.89.

USDJPY recovered off the 157.31 session low and built a chain of higher lows through the London session, tagging 157.89 before pulling back to 157.82. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58 and ATR is compressed around 6-7 pips, keeping the pair pinned just above the intervention-era 157.50 area noted in the macro read.

Support: 157.75, 157.31

Resistance: 157.89, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.75 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could jolt this range ahead of Fri NFP

08:31 UTC

Recovery, pressing range top · RSI 64 · price 157.839

Higher lows since session low, testing session high.

London session ground higher off the 157.31 session low along a rising channel, with price now testing the 157.89 session high just under the 157.95 range cap. RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched; the pair remains pinned to its 200-day EMA per the broader intervention-driven standoff.

Support: 157.75, 157.61, 157.31

Resistance: 157.893, 157.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.95 range cap opens resolution out of the range
  • Loss of the 157.75 pivot breaks the rising channel and exposes 157.61 swing low
  • Friday NFP could materially shift this read

08:31 UTC

Intraday recovery, testing highs · RSI 62 · price 157.839

Higher lows off 157.31, pressing session high.

USDJPY has clawed back the full 157.87-to-157.31 sell-off, grinding higher lows through the Asia-London handover and now retesting the session high near 157.89. RSI(14) mid-60s with price above both EMAs; the pair sits just under its 157.95 range cap, pinned near the 157.50 pivot the context flags as the directional line.

Support: 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.89, 157.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.89 opens the 157.95 range cap
  • Failure to hold 157.75 pullback low negates the recovery leg
  • NFP Friday 12:30 GMT is the dominant swing factor for this pair

08:16 UTC

Recovery, pressing session highs · RSI 64 · price 157.863

Higher lows off London low, testing range top.

USDJPY recovered from the London dip to 157.31 and is now grinding into the session high at 157.893 as USD sits at multi-week lows pre-NFP. Buyers stepped in on each pullback toward 157.75; price pinned to the top of the 200-day-EMA range with RSI(14) mid-60s.

Support: 157.748, 157.31

Resistance: 157.893, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.90 opens the 158.00 round-number test
  • Failure to hold 157.75 reopens the 157.55 intraday low
  • Friday NFP (12:30 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into London · RSI 65 · price 157.855

Higher lows off 157.31, fresh session high.

USDJPY climbed steadily off the 157.31 low through the Asian session and is pressing a fresh session high near 157.89 into London hours, RSI(14) around 65. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 157.63; the 200-DEMA pivot at 157.50 remains the base of the move.

Support: 157.75, 157.63, 157.50

Resistance: 157.89

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 157.89 extends the intraday sequence of higher highs
  • Loss of 157.75 breaks the run of higher lows
  • US Initial Jobless Claims today 12:30 UTC, and NFP Fri 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read

08:01 UTC

Recovery grind higher off the lows · RSI 65 · price 157.855

Higher lows, testing session high.

USDJPY recovered from a 157.31 dip and ground back up through the London session, now nudging the session high near 157.89 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price sits well above the 200-DEMA pivot at 157.50, pinned as the context anchor; a chain of higher lows has held since 157.31.

Support: 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.89, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 157.75 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Sustained hold above 157.89 opens 158.00 psych
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could jolt this read

07:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 157.879

Recovery off 157.31 low, higher lows into session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the London session, tagging a fresh session high at 157.88 after basing at 157.31 earlier. RSI(14) mid-60s and price holding above EMA20/50; pair sits well above the 200-dema pivot near 157.50 the market has been watching.

Support: 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.88, 158.00, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 158.00 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.75 puts the 157.50 200-dema pivot back in focus
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and NFP the following session could reset this read

07:31 UTC

Recovering off session low, range-bound · RSI 58 · price 157.779

Range above 157.50 pivot, higher lows since 157.31.

London session lifted USDJPY off 157.75 back toward the session high at 157.85, where price stalled and eased to 157.78. Pair remains pinned above its 200-DEMA pivot ~157.50, holding a shallow range with higher lows since the 157.31 dip.

Support: 157.75, 157.63, 157.50

Resistance: 157.85, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.85 opens a retest of the 157.87 window high
  • Loss of 157.63 swing low reopens the 157.50 pivot
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the decisive catalyst and can override this range read

07:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher off swing low · RSI 62 · price 157.772

Ascending HL chain since 157.55, testing session high.

Asian/early London session ground higher off the 157.55 swing low into the 157.849 session high, RSI mid-60s and ATR compressed near 4.6 pips. Price holding above EMA20/50 after a shallow pullback to 157.77, pinned just above the 157.50 200-DMA.

Support: 157.71, 157.557, 157.50

Resistance: 157.849

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 157.71 breaks the ascending structure
  • Loss of 157.557 swing low re-exposes the 157.50 200-dma
  • US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of Friday NFP

07:16 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 157.772

Higher lows off 157.31, testing session high.

USDJPY has ground back up from the 157.31 session low to retest the 157.85 session high, pinned to the rising 200-DMA per the macro read. Price stalled at 157.85 into the current bar with RSI mid-60s; a chain of higher lows holds the rising support.

Support: 157.59, 157.31

Resistance: 157.85, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.85 opens the path to 158.00
  • Failure to hold 157.59 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

07:01 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 157.813

Higher lows off 157.31, testing session high.

USDJPY is grinding higher through the London morning, pressing the session high at 157.85 after recovering from the 157.31 dip, with RSI(14) near 65 and price holding above the 200-dma at 157.50. Chain of higher lows intact off the mid-window base.

Support: 157.75, 157.50

Resistance: 157.85, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.85 session high opens path toward 157.87 prior high
  • Failure to hold 157.50 (200-dma) confirms a lower low
  • US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 157.812

Higher lows off 157.31, pressing session high 157.85.

Pair bounced from the 157.31 session low and ground back up through NY hours, breaking 157.80 to press the session high at 157.85. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the pair is coiled just under resistance with NFP looming.

Support: 157.72, 157.63

Resistance: 157.849, 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.85 opens the path to 157.87 then 158.00
  • Failure to hold 157.72 reopens the 157.63 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC can override this intraday read

06:31 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 157.84

Higher lows off 157.31, testing session highs.

USDJPY recovered off the 157.31 session low and has ground higher through the Asian lull, now pushing to 157.84 into the prior session high at 157.87 as London volume returns. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows; pair remains pinned near the context's 157.50 pivot.

Support: 157.72, 157.31

Resistance: 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 157.87 opens the path to 158.00
  • Loss of 157.72 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read

06:16 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher off session low · RSI 61 · price 157.791

Range, holding upper half after reclaim.

USD/JPY dipped to 157.31 during London hours yesterday then ground back up through the Asian session, now pressing the 157.80 session high into early London. Price sits in the upper half of the 157.31–157.87 window with RSI(14) mid-range; broad USD softness after the weak ADP/ISM combo is offset by fading faith in the Yen's intervention bounce.

Support: 157.70, 157.60, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • A close above 157.87 window high opens the path back toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.70 recent pivot puts 157.60 swing low back in focus
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read

06:16 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum modest · RSI 64 · price 157.791

Consolidation, higher lows off the session dip.

USDJPY has clawed back the drop to 157.31 and is grinding into the 157.80–157.87 resistance shelf, RSI(14) around 64 and both EMAs below price. Thin Asian-to-early-London tape with tight ATR (~5 pips); the pair holds the broader 157.00–158.30 consolidation noted in the wider range.

Support: 157.63, 157.41, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens the path back toward the range top
  • Loss of 157.63 swing low reopens the 157.41 range low
  • NFP at 12:30 UTC could override this intraday structure

06:01 UTC

Sideways, tight consolidation · RSI 54 · price 157.731

Range-bound after NY dip was bought back.

USDJPY is coiling in a tight 157.70–157.77 band through the Asian session, volume thinning as expected. The earlier NY dip to 157.31 was fully bought back, leaving price pinned mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 54.

Support: 157.60, 157.31

Resistance: 157.77, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.77 opens the path back toward the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 157.60 swing low reopens the 157.31 session low
  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range

05:46 UTC

Sideways, low volatility · RSI 53 · price 157.716

Range-bound after recovery off session low.

USDJPY is coiling around 157.72, holding a tight 157.63-157.77 band after recovering the drop into the 157.31 session low. Volatility has bled out into the Asia-London handover with the pair pinned mid-range ahead of US NFP.

Support: 157.63, 157.56, 157.31

Resistance: 157.77, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens the path back toward the 158.30 range top
  • Loss of 157.56 reopens the 157.31 session low
  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way

05:31 UTC

Mild recovery, drifting higher · RSI 58 · price 157.763

Higher lows off 157.31, coiling below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through a thin Asia session off the 157.31 dip, now coiling in a tight 157.72-157.77 band below the 157.80 prior high; broad USD softness after weak ADP was offset by fading faith in the intervention-led JPY bounce. Momentum is muted with RSI mid-range and ATR just ~4-5 pips into the London open.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 session high opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.55 range low reopens the 157.31 day low
  • London open liquidity likely to break the current tight coil; NFP tomorrow is the week's decisive catalyst

05:31 UTC

Grinding higher, low volatility · RSI 59 · price 157.763

Recovery off mid-window low, testing range top.

Price recovered off the mid-window session low at 157.31 and has ground steadily higher through Asia hours, now pressing toward the 157.80-157.87 session high on tight ATR (~5 pips). Broad USD softness post-ADP is offset by a fading JPY intervention bounce, leaving a slow two-way grind rather than a directional break.

Support: 157.61, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 157.87 opens the path to 158.00 psych level
  • Failure to hold 157.61 swing low reopens 157.55 / 157.31 session low
  • Friday NFP (12:30 UTC) is the decisive catalyst for the USD leg

05:16 UTC

Grinding higher, low volatility · RSI 61 · price 157.762

Higher lows off 157.31, coiling near session highs.

USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the 157.31 session low through the Asia session, now coiling in a tight 4-pip ATR range near 157.76 below the 157.80 round number. Chart is pinned inside the broader 157.15-157.95 range with RSI(14) mid-60s, no fresh extension yet.

Support: 157.70, 157.63, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87, 157.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens a test of the 157.95 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.70 exposes 157.63 and the 157.31 session low
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair

05:01 UTC

Range, drifting up · RSI 58 · price 157.735

Consolidation near range top.

USDJPY is pinned near 157.73 in the early Asia session, drifting up quietly after recovering from the 157.31 session low. Price has churned inside a 157.31–157.87 range for the last 24h with volume thin through the NY-Asia rollover; no directional setup in play.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens continuation toward the range top break
  • Slide back below 157.55 reopens the 157.31 session low
  • US NFP (Aug 7 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst

05:01 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 157.735

Consolidation near session-range top.

USDJPY is grinding sideways around 157.73 in late Asian hours, holding above its EMAs after recovering from the 157.31 session low; broad USD softness post-ADP miss is offset by doubts over the JPY intervention bounce, keeping price two-way. Recent bars are tight and low-volume, coiling just under the 157.81 recent high.

Support: 157.59, 157.48, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 breaks the session-range top
  • Loss of 157.59 exposes the 157.48/157.31 lows
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

04:46 UTC

Range, drifting higher off session low · RSI 55 · price 157.728

Consolidation near top of intraday range.

USDJPY is coiling around 157.73 in thin early-Asia trade, having recovered from the 157.31 sweep and holding the upper half of the 157.15-157.95 range. RSI(14) is neutral and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional development in play.

Support: 157.63, 157.56, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the 157.87 prior high
  • Failure to hold 157.63 exposes 157.56 swing low
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this pair

04:46 UTC

Range, drifting flat · RSI 56 · price 157.728

Consolidation inside session range.

USDJPY is coiling tightly near 157.73 after recovering off the 157.61 swing low, with the Asian session compressing into a thin 157.70-157.75 range on fading volume. The pair remains boxed inside the broader 157.31-157.87 session band, consistent with the two-way pinned read ahead of NFP.

Support: 157.61, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path back toward the 157.87 session high
  • Loss of 157.61 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 157.55
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range

04:31 UTC

Mild uptrend within range · RSI 56 · price 157.731

Grinding higher off Asian lows, capped below 157.80.

USD/JPY has drifted higher through the Asian session in a tight band, recovering from the 157.31 session low toward 157.73 with RSI(14) mid-range. Moves stay contained as broad USD softness post-ADP is offset by fading conviction in the intervention-led JPY bounce; 157.80 caps the upside for now.

Support: 157.63, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path to the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 157.63 swing low would break the rising Asian support
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst via the USD leg

04:31 UTC

Recovering, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 157.731

Tight consolidation above recovered lows.

USD/JPY is coiling in a tight 157.70–157.75 band through the quiet Asia session, holding above its EMAs after recovering from the 157.31 day low set during NY. Price stalled below the 157.81 session high; range base at 157.63 has held on the pullbacks.

Support: 157.63, 157.59, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • Break above 157.81 session high opens path to the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 157.63 range base exposes the 157.59 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

04:16 UTC

Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 157.72

Tight range after NY dip retraced.

USDJPY dipped to 157.31 during NY hours then retraced most of the move, now coiling in a tight 157.61–157.76 band through the Asian session around 157.72, RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price holds above both EMAs but the session high at 157.76 has capped the last few pushes.

Support: 157.61, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.76, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.76 opens the path back to the 157.87 prior high
  • Failure to hold 157.61 reopens 157.55 range low and the 157.31 session low
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for the USD leg

04:01 UTC

Range-bound, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 157.72

Consolidating below session high after recovering the NY dip.

Asian session opened quiet with USDJPY holding a tight band near 157.72, above EMA20/50 after recovering the earlier drop to 157.31. RSI(14) neutral around 56 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no momentum in play as the pair sits mid-range beneath the 157.79/157.87 supply.

Support: 157.59, 157.31

Resistance: 157.79, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens the path back toward the session high extension
  • Failure to hold 157.59 range floor reopens 157.31 session low
  • Friday's US NFP is the dominant driver and could break this consolidation

04:01 UTC

Range, mild recovery off overnight low · RSI 56 · price 157.72

Consolidating below 157.80 after NY-session drop.

USDJPY dropped to 157.31 during the NY session on soft US data, then recovered into Asia and is grinding in a tight 157.56–157.80 band. Price sits at 157.72 above both EMAs, RSI(14) neutral near 56 — no directional impulse yet.

Support: 157.56, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path back toward 157.87 session high
  • Loss of 157.56 reopens the 157.31 overnight low
  • Friday's US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the decisive catalyst and could override this intraday range

03:46 UTC

Recovery off session low, drifting toward highs · RSI 61 · price 157.741

Range 157.31–157.87, rising intraday lows.

Quiet Asia session with USD/JPY grinding back to 157.74 after the 157.31 flush earlier, now pressing the 157.80 prior high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of rising lows into thin overnight volume; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.

Support: 157.61, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path to 157.87 session high
  • Failure to hold 157.61 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Friday NFP could reset this range

03:31 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 157.707

Range-bound, holding mid of the day's band.

USD/JPY grinding in a 157.55–157.80 range through the quiet early-Asia hours after broad USD softness (weak ADP) capped the pair mid-week. Price recovered off the 157.31 intraday low to 157.80 then settled near 157.70; RSI(14) mid-range, no setup in play.

Support: 157.55, 157.45

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path back toward the 157.87 session high
  • Loss of 157.55 exposes the 157.45 prior low
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Friday NFP could break this range via the USD leg

03:16 UTC

Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 56 · price 157.716

Range-bound inside session band.

USDJPY is grinding inside a 157.31-157.87 session range, currently mid-band at 157.72 after recovering roughly two-thirds of the earlier drop to 157.31. Move is contained as soft US data offsets fading faith in the intervention-driven JPY bounce; RSI(14) neutral near 56, no setup in play.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 breaks the session high and opens the path higher
  • Loss of 157.55 swing low reopens 157.31 session low
  • Friday NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read

03:01 UTC

Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 157.675

Consolidation after NY reversal.

USD/JPY is coiling in a thin Asia-session range around 157.67 after the NY session sold down to 157.31 and recovered to 157.81. Volume has drained to near nothing and RSI(14) sits mid-band near 51 — no directional setup in play, price pinned between 157.59 support and 157.75 resistance.

Support: 157.59, 157.48, 157.31

Resistance: 157.75, 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 157.59 confirms a lower low into 157.48
  • Break above 157.81 reopens the session high at 157.87
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver for the USD leg

02:46 UTC

Rangebound, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 157.647

Asia-session consolidation below 157.81.

USD/JPY is ranging through a thin Asia session near 157.65, having faded from the 157.81 session high on low volume. Price sits mid-range against the 157.31–157.81 recovery, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with no directional impulse in play.

Support: 157.59, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.81 reopens the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 157.55 confirms a lower-low toward the 157.31 session low
  • Friday US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver via the USD leg

02:31 UTC

Rangebound, drifting · RSI 50 · price 157.671

24h range 157.31–157.87, price mid-range.

USD/JPY is ranging 157.31–157.87 on thin Asian-session volume, drifting back to the middle near 157.67 after tagging 157.81 earlier. No setup in play; RSI(14) sits neutral around 49 and the pair remains pinned as soft US data is offset by fading faith in the intervention bounce.

Support: 157.59, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.81 opens the range high at 157.87
  • Loss of 157.59 session low exposes the 157.31 range low
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver via the USD leg

02:16 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 157.645

Range-bound between 157.31 and 157.87.

USDJPY is pinned in a 157.31-157.87 range through the last 24h, matching the intervention-capped 157-158.30 band. Current bars are thin Asian-session volume drifting to 157.64 below EMA20; no setup in play.

Support: 157.59, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • Break above 157.87 opens the path back toward 158.30
  • Failure to hold 157.59 exposes the 157.31 session low
  • Friday NFP is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way

02:01 UTC

Range, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 157.634

Boxed 157.55–157.87, off the highs.

USD/JPY pinned in the mid-157s, ranging 157.55–157.87 with USD soft after the weak ADP print. Price rejected 157.75 and is drifting back toward the 157.55 range low, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and holding below EMA20.

Support: 157.55, 157.41

Resistance: 157.75, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 session high reopens the top of the range
  • Loss of 157.55 range low exposes the 157.41 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

01:46 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 157.634

Boxed 157.55–157.81, pulling back from session high.

USDJPY ranging 157.55–157.81 through the NY session into a thin Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 50. The pullback from the 157.81 session high stalled at 157.62, the 38.2% fib of the 157.31–157.81 leg, with buyers holding above 157.55.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.81 reopens the 157.87 prior high
  • Loss of 157.55 swing low exposes the 157.31 day low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could break this range

01:31 UTC

Range, flat momentum · RSI 52 · price 157.671

Consolidation inside 157.56–157.80.

Late Asian session, USD/JPY boxed between 157.56 and 157.80 in thin trade after a soft US ADP print failed to extend the downside. Price rebounded off the 157.56 swing low but stalled sub-157.76, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 157.56, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path toward 157.87
  • Failure to hold 157.56 exposes the 157.31 session low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP is the decisive catalyst and can break this range

01:31 UTC

Ranging, flat momentum · RSI 51 · price 157.671

Boxed mid-157s after down-up chop.

USDJPY is drifting in the mid-157s during a thin Asia session, price at 157.67 after a recovery off the 157.31 dip failed to hold the 157.81 high. RSI(14) near neutral and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no setup in play, the pair sits mid-range with USD still soft after yesterday's ADP and ISM Services misses.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.75, 157.81, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.81 reopens the 157.87 session high
  • Loss of 157.55 exposes the 157.31 session low
  • US jobless claims / NFP later this week is the decisive USD catalyst

01:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 157.731

Consolidating below session high after recovery off 157.31.

Thin Asia-session trade ranging 157.61-157.81 after USDJPY recovered from the 157.31 session low; USD stayed soft into Friday's NFP but the pair lacked bearish follow-through. RSI(14) neutral near 56 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips, price holding just under the session high.

Support: 157.61, 157.557, 157.31

Resistance: 157.814, 157.872

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.814 opens a retest of 157.872
  • Failure to hold 157.61 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Friday NFP are the decisive USD catalysts

01:01 UTC

Rangebound, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 157.719

Boxed range, holding above session lows.

Thin overnight liquidity into the Asia session, USD/JPY drifting back up from 157.557 toward the 157.76 recent high after a soft USD tone from yesterday's ADP and ISM misses. Price stays boxed inside the 157.31–157.87 range with RSI(14) mid-band and no directional break in play.

Support: 157.557, 157.31

Resistance: 157.76, 157.872

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens room back toward the range top
  • Loss of 157.55 exposes the 157.31 range low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could break this range

01:01 UTC

Range-bound, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 157.719

Boxed range, mid-range chop.

USDJPY is boxed between 157.56 and the 157.87 session high after a soft-USD leg dragged it to the 157.30s earlier; the Asia lull saw thin, low-volume drift. Recent bars recovered off 157.56 back to 157.72, keeping price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 56.

Support: 157.56, 157.31

Resistance: 157.87, 158.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens the path back toward 158.00
  • Loss of 157.56 re-exposes the 157.31 session low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP is the decisive catalyst and could break this range

00:46 UTC

Range, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 157.684

Ranging inside 157.55–157.87.

USDJPY chopped in a tight 157.55–157.87 band through London-NY and into a thin Asian session, drifting to mid-157s on a softer USD after the weak ADP print. Price bounced off the 157.55 session low and sits right on EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 51 — no setup in play.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.87, 158.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.87 opens the path toward the 158.30 range top
  • Failure to hold 157.55 exposes the 157.31 swing low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and can break this range

00:31 UTC

Sideways, no clear intraday trend · RSI 51 · price 157.688

Consolidation in mid-157s after fade from session high.

USDJPY rejected the 157.87 session high and faded through thin Asia-session hours, basing around 157.56 before a low-volume bounce back to 157.69. Price is coiling mid-range with no directional follow-through, RSI(14) flat near 51.

Support: 157.56, 157.30

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 reopens 157.87 session high
  • Loss of 157.56 exposes the 157.30 day low
  • Fri 12:30 UTC US NFP is the decisive USD catalyst and will override this range read

00:31 UTC

Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 157.688

Consolidation inside 157.55–157.81 after failed push to 157.87.

Quiet Asia session chop between 157.55 and 157.81 after price failed to reclaim the 157.87 range high; broad USD softness from the ADP miss keeps rallies capped. RSI(14) near 52 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional resolution in play.

Support: 157.31

Resistance: 157.814, 157.872

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.81 opens the path back to the 157.87 range high
  • Failure to hold 157.55 confirms a lower-low toward 157.31
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could override this range read

00:16 UTC

Range, low-volume drift · RSI 49 · price 157.681

Consolidation inside 157.55–157.80.

Asian session grinding sideways on thin volume, ranging 157.55–157.80 with USD subdued after the weak ADP miss. Price recovered off 157.55 back to 157.68, sitting mid-range with RSI flat near 50 — no directional structure in play.

Support: 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 opens the path back toward the 157.87 24h high
  • Loss of 157.55 session low exposes 157.31 day low
  • US NFP this week is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way

00:16 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 157.681

Ranging after rejection at 157.87 high.

Thin Asia session chopping around 157.6-157.7 after fading from the 157.87 range high mid-window. Buyers stepped in near 157.55 on the pullback; price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.

Support: 157.61, 157.55, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 157.80 session high reopens the 157.87 range high
  • Loss of 157.55 swing low exposes the 157.31 range low
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls Friday 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk and can break this range

00:02 UTC

Range, drifting lower late-session · RSI 46 · price 157.66

Mid-range after fade from session high.

USDJPY faded from the 157.87 session high back into the mid-157s and is drifting lower through the thin Asia-hours session, holding above the 157.61 recent low. Price sits below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play, just quiet two-way chop ahead of the risk event.

Support: 157.61, 157.48, 157.31

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • Friday 12:30 GMT US NFP is the dominant near-term driver and can override this range
  • Close below 157.55 opens the path back toward the 157.31 session low
  • Reclaim of 157.80 puts the 157.87 session high back in play

00:01 UTC

Range, drifting lower late · RSI 43 · price 157.66

Consolidation inside 157.55–157.80, Asia session.

USDJPY faded from the 157.87 session high through the NY-Asia handover, now grinding in a thin 157.55–157.80 band on low volume. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43; USD stayed soft after the weak ADP print, but no follow-through selling into Asia.

Support: 157.55, 157.48

Resistance: 157.80, 157.87

What it said to watch

  • Break below 157.55 confirms a lower low
  • M15 close above 157.80 reopens the 157.87 session high
  • Friday US NFP could materially shift this read

All markets that day · Today’s USD/JPY Live Scan in the terminal