USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling off the high · RSI 72 · price 159.673
Higher highs and lows since Monday's 157.67 low; 159.00 broken, capped below 160.00.
Monday's drift from the 158.31 weekly open to 157.67 gave way to the CPI impulse in Tuesday's NY session. The hot print lifted the pair to the 158.85 CPI high, and Wednesday's London and NY sessions extended through the 159.00 breakout to a 159.94 week high, just short of the 160.00 intervention line. Price has eased back to 159.67 into the Asia session. RSI(14) is still overbought at 72 but well off its 88 peak, ATR has compressed from 16.3 to 13.6 pips, and EMA(20) at 159.44 is rising alongside the higher-lows trendline.
Support: 159.443, 159.00, 158.848
Resistance: 159.937, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below EMA20 (159.44) and the higher-lows trendline would mark the first break in the CPI impulse structure
Failure to hold the 159.00 breakout level would undo the range break and expose the 158.85 CPI high, near the 50% retracement
A push through the 159.94 week high brings the 160.00 intervention line into play, with MoF rhetoric a sharp two-way risk
US jobless claims and the Fed speaker slate on Thursday, then US PPI on Friday, could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's 157.67 low; tight pause below the week high after the 159.00 breakout.
USD/JPY reversed Monday's dip to 157.67 in two NY-session legs. The hot US CPI print on Tuesday lifted it through the 158.53 prior-week close, then Wednesday's first hours of NY drove a breakout above 159.00 to a week high at 159.94. Price holds above a rising EMA(20) at 159.42 and the CPI higher-lows trendline. RSI(14) is overbought at 81.6 but has eased from 88, and ATR has compressed from 16.3 to 13.5 pips in a tight 159.80–159.94 range after NY. The 23.6% retrace of the week impulse fib sits near the EMA(20).
Support: 159.417, 159.00, 158.85
Resistance: 159.937, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 159.42 ema20 would be the first loss of the rising average since Wednesday's breakout
Failure to hold the 159.00 breakout level exposes the 38.2% week impulse fib near 159.07 and Tuesday's 158.85 CPI-day high
Approach to the 160.00 intervention line: MOF rhetoric or action risks a sharp snap-back
A close above the 159.94 week high would extend the higher-highs sequence toward 160.00
Thursday's US jobless claims and Fed-speak slate (Hammack, Goolsbee, Daly, Williams), plus Japan PPI, could materially shift this read
A break of the CPI higher-lows trendline would weaken the rising structure
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, stretched near week high · RSI 86 · price 159.85
Higher lows from Monday's dip low; Wednesday breakout above 159.00 now pausing below 159.94.
USD/JPY has climbed about 227 pips from Monday's 157.67 dip low, the week's low. Tuesday's hot US CPI lifted it through 158.50, and Wednesday's London-to-NY push cleared the 159.00 breakout level to a week high at 159.94. Price is holding above a rising EMA(20) at 159.38 and EMA(50) at 158.90. RSI(14) is overbought at 86.4, slipping slightly from 88.1, while ATR has eased to 13.9 pips from 16.3 as the late NY session goes flat just under the 160 psych/intervention line.
Support: 159.377, 159.00, 158.901
Resistance: 159.937
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 159.94 week high brings 160 psych into play, where MOF intervention risk is flagged
Close back below ema20 at 159.38 would break the higher-lows trendline from Monday's low
Failure to hold the 159.00 breakout, near the 38.2% fib of the week's move, opens ema50 at 158.90
A lower RSI high on any new push above 159.94 would mark bearish rsi divergence
Thu US jobless claims plus a heavy Fed-speak slate (Hammack, Goolsbee, Daly, Williams) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY has climbed from Monday's 157.67 NY-session low through the 158.31 weekly open. Tuesday's hotter US CPI started the leg, London cleared 159.00 today and NY added about 70 pips from its open to a 159.89 day high. RSI(14) at 87.9 is deep in overbought territory and ATR has expanded to 16.3 pips, with price roughly 77 pips above EMA(20) at 159.06, a level that lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the Monday-to-today impulse; below that, the NY open at 159.18 and Tuesday's high near 158.85 are the nearest prior structure.
Support: 159.18, 159.06, 158.85
Resistance: 159.89, 160.00
What it said to watch
Approach to the 160.00 psych line, where MOF intervention risk has been flagged
H1 close back below 159.00 and EMA(20) would mark a failed breakout
Rejection near the 159.89 day high with a lower RSI on any retest would set up rsi divergence (bearish)
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC and the Fedspeak slate after it could shift this read
Pullback holding the NY open at 159.18 keeps the impulse structure intact; a slide toward the Tue high at 158.85 erodes it
Higher lows since Tuesday's CPI impulse; breakout above 159.00.
After Monday's drift from the 158.306 weekly open to a 157.668 week low, Tuesday's hot US CPI (0.4% vs 0.3% m/m) drove a NY-session impulse of about 85 pips. London today extended it through 159.00 to a 159.168 week high, with the Asia high at 158.956 now just below price and the Wednesday swing low at 158.707 holding above the rising EMA(20) at 158.793. RSI(14) at 75.5 is overbought but slightly under the 76.8 post-CPI peak despite the higher high, and ATR has compressed from 16.7 to 13.3 pips as the advance has slowed.
Support: 158.956, 158.793, 158.707
Resistance: 159.168
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below the 158.956 asia high would mark the 159.00 breakout as failing
Break of the 158.707 swing low and the ema20 would end the higher-lows sequence since Tuesday
RSI holding below its 76.8 post-CPI peak on a push above the 159.168 week high would confirm a bearish divergence
160 psych level sits at the MOF intervention line; verbal warnings or a rate check could reverse the move sharply
Thu Fedspeak (Williams 23:30 UTC), Japan PPI Thu and US PPI Fri 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Post-CPI impulse into tight consolidation below 159.00.
After opening the week at 158.306 and dipping to 157.668 in Monday's NY session, the pair reversed on Tuesday's hot US CPI and hawkish Fedspeak, with the NY-session impulse carrying price from about 158.17 to 158.85. Since then the Asia and London sessions have held a tight 158.66–158.96 band above a rising EMA(20) at 158.685, printing a marginal week high at 158.956 just under the 159.00 range top. RSI(14) has eased from 76.8 to 66.8 even as price edged higher, a mild bearish divergence, while ATR has compressed to 13.2 pips from 16.9.
Support: 158.685, 158.45, 158.306
Resistance: 158.956, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 159.00 range top breaks the seven-week ceiling; intervention rhetoric from MOF becomes a live risk above that level
Hourly closes below ema20 at 158.685 (the 158.70 pivot) would expose ema50 at 158.45 and the weekly open at 158.306, near the 50% retracement of this week's rally
Thu Initial Jobless Claims and Fedspeak, then Fri US PPI, could materially shift 50bp Fed pricing and this read
Rejection at the week high with RSI failing to reclaim 70 would extend the bearish divergence
Post-CPI breakout holding above last week's high; higher lows since Monday.
After a gap lower at Monday's open and a dip to 157.67 late Monday, the pair carved a higher low on Tuesday. It then broke above last week's high at 158.58 in the NY session as the hot US CPI and hawkish Fedspeak widened yield gaps. Price is compressing just under the 158.956 week high set in the Asia session, with ATR easing from 16.9 to 12.9 pips and price riding a rising EMA(20) at 158.665. RSI(14) printed 68.1 on that higher close versus 76.8 at the post-CPI peak, a mild bearish divergence beneath the 159.00 range top.
Support: 158.665, 158.579, 158.433
Resistance: 158.956, 159.00
What it said to watch
An H1 close back below the ema20 at 158.665 would break the pullback-to-EMA rhythm since CPI
A slip back under last wk high 158.579 would turn Tuesday's breakout into a false break
Acceptance above 159.00, the range top since early October, would raise MOF intervention-headline risk
Japan PPI Thu, US jobless claims and Fedspeak Thu 13:30–23:30 UTC, and US PPI Fri 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A break of the higher-lows line from Monday's low would undermine the uptrend structure; ema50 at 158.433 is the deeper reference
After a Monday dip to 157.67 below the 158.31 week open, the hot US CPI print in Tuesday's NY session drove a 13:00 UTC breakout through last Friday's 158.58 prior high, and the CPI leg extended to a 158.96 week high in the Asia session. Since then the pair has held a 158.66–158.96 band just above a rising EMA(20) at 158.65. RSI(14) has eased from 76.8 to 64.2 and ATR has compressed from 16.9 to 13.2 pips, a pause below the 159.00 psych level where the digest flags intervention risk.
Support: 158.649, 158.579, 158.306
Resistance: 158.956, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the ema20 and the 158.58 prior high would undercut the CPI breakout and expose the 38.2% retrace of the CPI leg near 158.46
Clearance of the 158.96 week high and the 159.00 psych level puts price into the zone where MOF intervention headlines become a live risk
Loss of the 158.31 week open would erase the week's gains
Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims and the Fedspeak cluster could materially shift this read
Fri 13:30 UTC US PPI is the key input for the 25bp vs 50bp debate driving the yield gap
USD/JPY broke out of Monday's 157.67–158.53 range on Tuesday's hot US CPI print of 0.4% m/m against 0.3% expected. The NY session drove the CPI impulse from 157.871, and the move extended to a week high at 158.956 in today's Asia session. Since then price has compressed in a roughly 30-pip box above the 158.664 Asian low. RSI(14) has eased from 76.8 to 62 as the overbought reading unwinds, and ATR(14) has slipped to 13.4 pips, while price holds above a rising EMA(20) at 158.632 and EMA(50) at 158.401.
Support: 158.664, 158.632, 158.525
Resistance: 158.956, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 158.664 Asian low and the ema20 at 158.632 would break the post-CPI consolidation floor.
A retest of the former range top at 158.525, the 38.2% level of the CPI impulse, is the next structural area if the consolidation floor gives way.
Acceptance above the 158.956 week high and the 159.00 psych level extends the uptrend into an area where intervention-warning risk escalates.
Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims and Fed speakers, then Fri PPI, could materially shift this read.
04:01 UTC
Uptrend since CPI, momentum fading near highs · RSI 71 · price 158.858
Post-CPI breakout above weekly open, tight consolidation under 159.00.
USD/JPY reversed Monday's NY-hours dip to 157.67 and broke out from the NY open Tuesday on the hot US CPI beat. The post-CPI rise cleared the 158.31 weekly open and last Friday's prior high near 158.58, and price now holds above a rising EMA(20) at 158.62 with RSI(14) at 70.7, overbought. The Asia push to a 158.96 week high printed a lower RSI peak than Tuesday's 76.8, a bearish divergence, while ATR compresses to 13.5 pips just beneath the 159.00 psych level that the digest flags as the intervention-risk zone.
Support: 158.66, 158.62, 158.58
Resistance: 158.96, 159.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 158.96 week high or the 159.00 psych level vs an H1 close above it decides whether the post-CPI rise extends
An H1 close below the 158.66 consol low and the EMA(20) at 158.62 would print the first lower low since CPI and expose the prior high at 158.58
Loss of the post-CPI higher lows would put the 38.2% retracement near 158.54 in focus
MOF/Finance Ministry verbal intervention near 159.00 could materially shift this read
Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims, heavy Fedspeak, then Fri PPI are the next USD catalysts
Post-CPI breakout holding above EMAs; Asia high on a weaker RSI.
USDJPY spent Monday and early Tuesday ranging below the 158.31 weekly open, with rising lows off the 157.67 weekly low. The hot October CPI print (0.4% vs 0.3%) drove a CPI impulse in Tuesday's NY session that broke the range, and Asia extended it to a 158.96 week high just shy of the 159.00 round number. That new high came with RSI(14) at 72.5 against 76.8 on Tuesday's peak, a bearish divergence, while ATR has eased to 13.7 pips. Price holds above the Asia low at 158.66 and the rising ema20 at 158.59.
Support: 158.66, 158.59, 158.31
Resistance: 158.96, 159.00
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the ema20 at 158.59, after the Asia low at 158.66 gives way, would mark the first real pullback in the CPI impulse
Acceptance above the 159.00 round number clears the week high at 158.96; intervention rhetoric near 159 is a known brake
A slide back through the 158.31 weekly open would put price back in the pre-CPI range
US jobless claims and the Fed speaker slate Thu, then PPI Fri 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Post-CPI breakout holding a tight shelf below the round number.
USD/JPY gapped lower into Monday's open and printed the week low at 157.67 in Monday's NY hours. A higher low followed in Tuesday's London session, then the hot US CPI beat in Tuesday's NY session broke a 157.85–158.20 range and cleared the weekly open at 158.31. Price has since held a tight 158.66–158.96 shelf, with the range low well above a rising EMA(20) at 158.57, and set a fresh week high in Asia. RSI(14) at 72.5 is overbought and below its 76.8 peak from Tuesday's NY session, a bearish divergence, while ATR has compressed to 13.7 pips just under the 159.00 round number.
Support: 158.66, 158.57, 158.31
Resistance: 158.96, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 159.00 round number extends the breakout beyond the week high
Failure to hold the 158.66 range low exposes the ema20 at 158.57 and the CPI-leg fib zone
A move back below the weekly open at 158.31 would break the higher lows trendline structure
Thu jobless claims, the Fed-speaker slate and Fri US PPI could materially shift this read
MOF intervention rhetoric near 159.00 risks a sharp reversal off the week high
USD/JPY recovered from Monday's NY-session dip to 157.67 and broke out of Tuesday's 157.87–158.25 band on the hot US CPI print (0.4% m/m vs 0.3%), clearing last Friday's 158.58 high and setting a week high at 158.85. Since late NY hours the pair has held a tight 158.66–158.85 range, with the range low above a rising EMA(20) at 158.54. RSI(14) has eased from 76.8 to 70.6 and ATR has compressed to 13.5 pips, while the 159.00 psych level, flagged as the MOF intervention line, sits just overhead.
Support: 158.66, 158.54, 158.31
Resistance: 158.85, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 158.66 range low exposes the EMA(20) near 158.54 and the 158.58 prior Friday high
Acceptance above the 158.85 week high puts 159.00 psych in play, where MOF intervention warnings could trigger a sharp reversal
A pullback through 158.31 week open would erase the CPI breakout and break the higher-lows trendline
Thu jobless claims and Fed speakers, then Fri US PPI, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday; tight consolidation above last week's high.
USD/JPY reversed Monday's slide to 157.67 and broke above last week's high at 158.58 after Tuesday's hot US CPI, with the NY session driving the higher-lows rally to a 158.85 week high as US 10y yields printed 5%. Price holds above a rising EMA(20) at 158.51 and EMA(50) at 158.31, while RSI(14) has eased to 67 from a 77 peak and ATR is compressing as the Asia session range tightens around the 158.70 pivot. The 159.00 range top sits overhead, where the digest flags live intervention risk.
Support: 158.579, 158.514, 158.306
Resistance: 158.848, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 158.85 week high puts the 159.00 range top in play, where MOF intervention risk could trigger a sharp reversal
Failure to hold last week's high at 158.58 and the ema20 at 158.51 would mark the CPI breakout as stalling
38.2% retrace of the 157.67–158.85 fib rally sits near 158.40; a break there exposes the week open at 158.31 and EMA(50)
Break of the higher lows trendline from Monday's 157.67 low would end the uptrend read
Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims and Fed speakers (Williams, Daly, Goolsbee), then Fri PPI, could materially shift this read