USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 13 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 162.393

Consolidating just under session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a 162.48 session high before stalling; broad JPY weakness on the wide rate gap and firm energy keeps it bid above 162. Thin early-Asia bars are drifting in a 162.35–162.48 range, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 as momentum flattens.

Support: 162.35, 162.10

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward 162.80
  • Failure to hold 162.35 exposes the 162.10 swing low
  • MoF intervention rhetoric into Marine Day could sharply squeeze from these multi-decade highs

23:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 162.393

Consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to tag a session high at 162.48 before easing back to 162.39 on thin late/Asia-session volume. Price is now consolidating above 162.35 with RSI(14) drifting back to mid-range as the grind above 162.00 holds; 162.80 remains the macro cap.

Support: 162.35, 162.10, 162.00

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 162.35 breaks the rising support and exposes 162.10
  • Sustained push above the 162.48 session high reopens 162.80
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near multi-decade highs could sharply shift this read

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 162.42

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.

NY session drove USD/JPY to a 162.48 session high on firmer Fed-hike bets and broad yen weakness, before stalling into a tight 162.41–162.47 band on thin late-session volume. The uptrend structure holds — higher highs and higher lows — but momentum has flattened just below the session high.

Support: 162.10

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.10 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high could sharply shift this read

23:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 162.42

Consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the session and stalled just under the 162.48 session high, JPY still soft on the wide rate gap. Price is now coiling in a thin, low-volume tape near four-decade highs, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s.

Support: 162.30, 162.10

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.80 40yr-high zone
  • Failure to hold 162.30 signals a deeper pullback toward 162.10
  • Thin liquidity keeps ranges compressed; a data-driven expansion would reset the read

23:17 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 162.42

Higher highs into tight range at session high.

USDJPY ground higher through London-NY from 161.85 to a 162.48 session high on persistent JPY weakness and a firm USD bid, then stalled into thin Asian trade, coiling 162.40-162.48 with RSI(14) cooling off. Volume has collapsed near the highs, keeping price just under the 162.48 cap and within reach of the 162.80 four-decade high.

Support: 162.36

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.36 swing low breaks the rising intraday support

23:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 162.42

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session and has stalled just under the 162.48 session high, now drifting sideways around 162.42 on thin post-NY/Asia volume. The grind fits the broader JPY-weak, USD-bid backdrop; the 162.80 four-decade high sits overhead as the next resistance to monitor.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.80
  • Loss of 162.35 swing low breaks the consolidation

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 162.445

Higher highs into tight consolidation near top.

USDJPY ground higher through NY and settled into a tight consolidation near 162.45, holding just under the 162.48 session high, with JPY still pressured by the wide rate gap and firmer energy. RSI sits mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~4-5 pips in thin late-session trade.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 extends the uptrend toward the 162.80 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.35 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Intervention rhetoric near the 40yr high could sharply shift this read

23:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 162.445

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.

USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a session high at 162.48, JPY soft on the wide rate gap and firmer energy prices. Price is now consolidating around 162.44 in thin late-session tape, sitting just below the 162.80 four-decade high where intervention risk is elevated.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.35 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 40yr high could sharply reverse this read

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, stalling near session high · RSI 55 · price 162.419

Higher highs into 162.48, now flat.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.48 session high before flattening into thin late-session trade, JPY soft on the wide rate gap and firmer energy. Price now coils in a tight 162.39–162.48 band with RSI cooling to mid-range; the 40-year high near 162.80 remains the upside marker.

Support: 162.36, 162.20

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.36 swing low exposes 162.20
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 40yr high could shift this read

22:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 162.419

Consolidation under session high after intraday grind higher.

USD/JPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions, JPY soft near four-decade lows, and is now consolidating in a tight 162.35–162.48 band on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has flattened around 56 as the up-move stalls just below the 162.48 session high; rising support off the 161.83 base is still intact.

Support: 162.35, 161.83

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the late-session consolidation and rising support
  • Thin liquidity into the session close can exaggerate moves on any headline

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 162.429

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session and is now consolidating in a tight 162.42–162.48 band into thin early-Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 56. JPY remains soft on the rate gap and energy story; price sits just below the 162.48 session high with the 162.80 four-decade high the next reference above.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.483, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.80
  • Break below 162.355 breaks the rising intraday support
  • Intervention rhetoric near 162.80 could cap upside

22:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 162.429

Consolidating near session high after HH chain.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session on firmer Fed-hike bets and JPY weakness, tagging a 162.48 session high before flattening into thin late/Asia-transition hours. Price is coiling just under that high with RSI(14) neutral near 57, still holding above the 162.35 swing and the rising intraday support.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.80 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.35 swing low breaks the rising intraday support and signals a lower low
  • Volume is thin in the Asia transition; moves may lack follow-through until London

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 162.44

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.

USD/JPY ground higher through NY into a 162.48 session high, JPY still soft on the rate gap and firm energy prices. Price is now flat-lining around 162.44 in thin Asia trade, RSI cooling from the push, capped below the 162.80 four-decade high.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.80 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.35 breaks the rising intraday structure
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high could sharply shift this read

22:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 60 · price 162.44

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating near session top.

USD/JPY ground higher through NY on firmer Fed-hike bets and energy-driven yen weakness, building a clean HH/HL chain from the 161.83 sweep low to a 162.48 session high. Price is now consolidating just under that high on thin late-session volume, still short of the 162.80 four-decade barrier.

Support: 162.35, 161.83

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.80 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • 162.80 resistance — area to watch for rejection or break, elevated intervention risk

22:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 162.464

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through NY hours to a session high of 162.48, then stalled into thin post-NY/Asian trade with RSI(14) cooling around 57. Price is coiling below the 162.80 four-decade high, yen soft on the rate gap; buyers held rising support near 162.30 on each dip.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.80 opens the path toward 163.70
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the rising support line
  • US June CPI at 12:30 GMT tomorrow could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 162.464

Higher highs into 40-yr high, now consolidating.

Grinding uptrend through the London-NY session lifted USD/JPY into 162.48, and thin early-Asia trade is now coiling just below the 162.80 four-decade high. JPY stays pressured on the rate gap and energy-cost narrative; RSI mid-range, so no exhaustion signal on this TF.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.80

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.80 opens the path toward 163.70 and raises MoF intervention risk
  • Failure to hold 162.35 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Any intervention rhetoric ahead of Marine Day could snap this range

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 162.419

Consolidation near session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.48 and is now consolidating just below it into the late-session lull, with volume thinning and RSI(14) cooling near 60. Buyers held 162.35 on the last pullback; the 40-year high at 162.84 caps overhead.

Support: 162.35, 162.00

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.35 exposes the 162.00 psych level
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could sharply reverse this read

21:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 162.419

Higher highs into range near session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through NY into the Asia open, printing a session high at 162.48 before stalling into thin late-session flow. Price now consolidating 162.44-162.48 just under the 40-year high at 162.84, RSI(14) mid-range as momentum cools.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Failure to hold 162.35 breaks the rising intraday support
  • MoF intervention headline risk elevated this close to 162.84

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing into highs · RSI 57 · price 162.451

Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to stall at a 162.48 session high, RSI(14) cooling near 57 as thin post-NY-close bars flatten. Rising lows off 162.35 keep the intraday structure intact but momentum is fading just under the 40-year high at 162.84.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 40-year high at 162.84
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high could snap this read sharply lower

21:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 162.451

Higher highs into session highs, now consolidating.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session on a firm dollar and wide rate gap, tagging a session high at 162.48 before stalling. Price is coiling in the mid-162.40s on thin late-session volume, RSI cooling from the push; the 40-year high at 162.84 caps overhead.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 opens the path to the 40-yr high at 162.84
  • Loss of 162.30 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could trigger a sharp reversal

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near highs · RSI 51 · price 162.377

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session from 161.70 to a session high at 162.483, then eased to 162.38 in thin late-session trade with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. JPY stays pinned near 40-year lows on the rate gap and energy/Iran risk; the 40-year high at 162.84 and intervention risk cap upside chases.

Support: 162.10

Resistance: 162.483, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.483 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high, where intervention risk rises
  • Loss of 162.10 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Headline MoF intervention rhetoric could snap the read sharply lower

21:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling into Asia · RSI 52 · price 162.377

Higher highs, higher lows; capped at session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session on the wide rate gap and firm USD, printing a session high at 162.48 before rejection stalled the advance. Into thin Asia hours price is consolidating near 162.38, RSI(14) back to neutral and drifting just below EMA20 as the HL chain from 162.35 holds.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 40yr high at 162.84
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the higher-low chain
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 40yr highs could snap this read violently

21:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 162.453

Higher highs/lows, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the session toward 40-year highs as the wide US-Japan rate gap and firmer energy kept JPY on the back foot. Price is now coiling in a tight 162.44-162.48 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 59 after the steady climb.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high, where intervention risk rises
  • Failure to hold 162.35 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
  • Tomorrow's US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

21:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 162.453

Higher highs into consolidation at session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through London and NY as the wide US-Japan rate gap reasserted, now coiling in a tight 162.42-162.48 band at the session high with RSI cooling. Buyers defended each pullback along the intraday uptrend; 162.48 caps for now.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk into the Asia session
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the intraday higher-low chain

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 61 · price 162.46

Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating at session top.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, holding a HH/HL chain toward the 40-year high at 162.84 as the wide rate gap reasserted itself. Price is now coiling in a tight 162.42–162.48 band just under the session high, RSI in the low-60s. Range compressing into the close.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 extends the leg toward the 162.84 four-decade high
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk — abrupt JPY-positive spikes possible
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
  • US CPI (12:30 UTC) then Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reset this read

20:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 162.46

Higher highs into session-high consolidation.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a chain of higher lows and stalling into 162.48, RSI cooling from earlier extremes. Price is coiling in a tight range near the session high with the 40-year high at 162.84 the standing upside cap.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.35 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising structure
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk that could sharply reverse the grind

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 61 · price 162.453

Higher highs, consolidating near session top.

USDJPY held a steady NY-session uptrend, grinding to a session high at 162.48 and now coiling in a tight 162.42-162.48 band, RSI(14) around 61. The wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the bid intact as price creeps toward the 40-year high at 162.84.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • 162.84 proximity raises MoF intervention risk — abrupt spikes possible
  • Failure to hold 162.35 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain

20:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 162.453

Chain of higher highs, consolidating below session high.

NY session extended the grind higher, price stalling in a tight 162.42-162.48 consolidation just under the session high at 162.483 with RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs. The wider push targets the 40-year high at 162.84, where intervention risk rises.

Support: 162.354

Resistance: 162.483, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.483 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk — abrupt spikes possible
  • Failure to hold 162.354 breaks the higher-low chain

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 162.474

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing a session high near 162.48 and now coiling in a tight 162.42-162.47 band, RSI(14) mid-60s and cooling. Price sits just under the 40-year high at 162.84, the zone where intervention chatter picks up; the rate-gap bid keeps the trend intact for now.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break above 162.48 session high opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.30 swing low breaks the rising support and flags a lower low
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk — abrupt reversal potential

20:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 162.474

Higher highs, stalling near session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.478 session high and has flatlined there on thinning late-session volume, the wide US-Japan rate gap keeping the bid intact. Momentum is cooling with price coiling in a tight 162.42-162.48 band just below the 40-year high at 162.84.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.478 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • Proximity to 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk
  • Failure to hold 162.35 breaks the intraday higher-low chain

20:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 162.449

Higher highs, higher lows; grinding at session top.

USDJPY grinding higher through NY hours toward the 40-yr high, price stalling at 162.45-162.48 with RSI(14) cooling near 61 as the leg loses steam. JPY stayed on the back foot on energy/Iran risk and firmer Fed-hike bets, but the move is capped near four-decade highs where intervention chatter lives.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.355 breaks the chain of rising lows
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric could sharply squeeze this read

20:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 62 · price 162.449

Higher highs/lows, coiling just below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.478, JPY soft on energy/Iran risk and revived Fed-hike bets. Price is now coiling in a tight 162.42-162.48 band with RSI in the low 60s; the uptrend structure of higher lows is intact.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.478 opens the path to the 162.84 four-decade high
  • Failure to hold 162.355 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
  • Intervention rhetoric near the 162.84 high could sharply reverse this read

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 162.447

Higher highs into session high, now stalling.

USDJPY ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 162.478 before flattening near 162.45, RSI cooling into the mid-50s as the grind toward the 40-yr high at 162.84 stalls. Buyers held the 162.355 swing low on the last pullback; structure remains a series of higher lows.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.478 opens the path toward the 162.84 four-decade high
  • Loss of 162.355 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs could trigger a sharp squeeze

19:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 61 · price 162.447

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY ground higher through NY hours toward the four-decade high at 162.84, JPY broadly soft on the rate gap and energy/Iran risk. Price stalled at the 162.478 session high, RSI(14) cooling near 60 as the last bars flatten just under the ceiling.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.478 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.355 breaks the rising intraday support
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near the 40-yr high could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 162.424

Higher highs into session top, shallow pullbacks.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.48, riding safe-haven USD demand with the 40-yr high at 162.84 in view. Price is easing back toward 162.42 with RSI(14) cooling off from the highs; dips into the mid-162.30s have been bought so far.

Support: 162.35

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.35 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could sharply reverse this read

19:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 57 · price 162.424

Higher highs and higher lows, stalling under 162.48.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.478, holding above rising EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s after the push. Price is consolidating near 162.42 just under the session high, with the 40-yr high at 162.84 as the next upside marker; JPY stayed soft on rate-gap and energy themes.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.478 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.355 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Intervention rhetoric ahead of Marine Day could sharply reverse this read

19:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 162.447

Higher highs into 40yr-high zone, stalling.

NY session ground USD/JPY higher into the 40-yr-high zone, capping at the 162.478 session high with USD firm on safe-haven flows and JPY on the back foot. Price pulled back to 162.355 and recovered; grind is intact but momentum is flattening just below the ceiling.

Support: 162.355

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 40yr high opens fresh multi-decade highs
  • Failure to hold 162.355 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 40yr high could trigger a sharp reversal

19:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 162.447

Chain of higher highs into session high 162.48.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.48, holding just below the 40-yr high at 162.84 as safe-haven USD demand and the rate gap keep JPY soft. Price is consolidating in the 162.35–162.48 band into the late session, RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the highs.

Support: 162.30, 162.10

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 40yr high at 162.84
  • Failure to hold 162.30 signals a deeper pullback toward 162.10
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near four-decade highs could force a sharp squeeze

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 162.372

Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback.

NY session ground USD/JPY up to a 162.48 session high before rejection, RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range as price eased to 162.37. Uptrend intact off the 161.83 base, but the last few bars have slipped below EMA20 into a shallow pullback with the 40-yr high at 162.84 still overhead.

Support: 162.30, 161.83

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.30 confirms a lower low and stalls the uptrend
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric could sharply reverse the read near four-decade highs

19:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 162.372

Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.

NY session ground higher off the London-NY 161.65 base but stalled at the 162.478 session high, RSI cooling from the mid-70s as price rolled back to 162.37. Uptrend intact above the rising support, with the 40-yr high at 162.84 the next upside marker.

Support: 162.30, 162.10

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.478 opens the path to the 40yr high at 162.84
  • Failure to hold 162.30 exposes 162.10 prior swing
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric ahead of Marine Day could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 60 · price 162.418

Higher highs into session-high stall.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 162.478 before stalling; the last two hours are consolidating between 162.40 and 162.47 as RSI cools off. Dollar stays bid on Iran/energy safe-haven flows, with the 40-yr high at 162.84 the ceiling overhead.

Support: 162.34, 162.20

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.478 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.34 pivot exposes the 162.20 swing low
  • US CPI 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

18:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 162.418

Higher highs / higher lows, easing off session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, tagging a 162.478 session high before easing to 162.418 as JPY stayed soft on the rate-gap and energy/Iran risk. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs into the high-50s and price is holding above rising EMA20/EMA50; the 162.30 base has been respected on each dip.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.478, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 162.478 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony can materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 162.43

Higher highs and higher lows into session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 162.48, JPY soft across the board on the rate gap and energy/Iran risk per the digest. Momentum has flattened in the last few bars, coiling just under 162.48 with RSI(14) cooling off from the highs.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.48 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.30 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

18:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 162.43

Higher highs into session high, stalling.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, printing HH/HL up to a session high of 162.48 as USD stayed bid on Fed-hike pricing and Iran-driven safe-haven flows. Last few bars have flattened out at 162.43-162.46 on thinning volume, RSI cooling off toward the low 60s.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.48, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.48 session high opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.30 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT plus Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
  • Intervention rhetoric near 40-yr highs is a squeeze risk

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.462

Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session highs.

USD/JPY has ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 with price holding above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) elevated near 68 but short of extreme. The move fits the broader USD-bid, JPY-soft tone; the four-decade high at 162.84 is the standing ceiling ahead.

Support: 162.30, 162.11

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.465 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the rising structure toward 162.11
  • Intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze
  • US CPI 12:30 GMT tomorrow could materially shift this read

18:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 64 · price 162.462

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL chain, extending above 162.00 on firm USD and JPY weakness, and now stalling at the 162.465 session high with RSI(14) cooling near 64. Price is coiling just under the ceiling; the 40-yr high at 162.84 sits above as the next reference.

Support: 162.30, 162.00

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.465 exposes the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near four-decade highs could trigger a sharp reversal
  • US CPI 12:30 GMT tomorrow is a material risk to this read

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 162.462

Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session high.

NY session ground steadily higher into 162.465, a fresh session high, with the 40-yr high at 162.84 in view as US-Iran energy risk keeps JPY offered. Clean HH/HL chain intact off the 161.98 swing low; RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not yet extreme.

Support: 162.30, 161.98

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.465 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the intraday HL chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric ahead of Marine Day could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze

18:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.462

Series of higher highs and higher lows.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing fresh session highs at 162.47 and pressing toward the 162.84 four-decade high, with JPY soft on the rate gap and energy/Iran risk. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme; higher-low chain intact off the 162.30 area.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.47, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.84 four-decade high raises intervention-headline risk
  • Loss of 162.30 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the key catalyst that could reset this read

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 162.452

Higher highs and higher lows into session high.

NY session pushing USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 162.465, an orderly stair-step higher on JPY weakness from energy/Iran risk and firm Fed-hike bets. RSI(14) near 64, hot but not extreme; buyers have defended each dip near 162.30 through the London-NY hours.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 162.30 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Approach to the 162.84 40-yr high raises MoF intervention-headline risk
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 64 · price 162.452

Higher highs, near session high.

NY session extended the grind higher, USD/JPY pressing the session high at 162.465 with JPY soft on energy/Iran flows and firm Fed-hike bets. RSI(14) around 64 leaves room but momentum is flattening as price consolidates just below the 40-yr high at 162.84.

Support: 162.30, 162.00

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 (40-yr high) opens fresh upside
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could trigger a sharp squeeze back toward 162.00
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.439

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USDJPY grinds higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 as JPY stays on the back foot on energy/Iran risk and firm Fed-hike pricing. Dips into 162.30 held, keeping the higher-low chain intact with the 162.84 four-decade high now the overhead reference. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not stretched.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • A push into the 162.84 40-yr high sharply raises MoF/BoJ intervention-headline odds
  • Failure to hold 162.30 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read

17:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 162.439

Higher highs and higher lows into session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 as JPY stayed on the back foot into the 40-yr high at 162.84. Buyers held the 162.30 area on each pullback and RSI(14) sits near 67, hot but not extreme.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.84 40-yr high sharply raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.30 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.449

Chain of higher highs and higher lows into 40-yr high zone.

USDJPY grinding higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 with the 40-yr high at 162.84 overhead. RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme; the up-leg from the 161.83 sweep low remains intact with higher lows respected around 162.30.

Support: 162.30, 162.10, 161.834

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 opens the path to fresh 40-yr highs
  • Loss of 162.10 pivot breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze

17:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher into session highs · RSI 66 · price 162.449

Higher highs / higher lows, pressing session top.

USD/JPY grinding higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 as JPY stays on the back foot near its 40-yr high on the rate-gap/energy story. RSI(14) around 66, hot but not extreme; the 162.84 four-decade high is the ceiling in view.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 162.465 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.00 round number breaks the higher-low chain
  • Intervention rhetoric ahead of Marine Day could trigger a fast squeeze back toward 161.83 swing low

17:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 162.463

Higher highs into 40-yr high zone.

USD/JPY grinding higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.465 with RSI(14) near 71, driven by the wide rate gap and JPY softness. Buyers held the rising 162.30 area on the last pullback; the 40-yr high at 162.84 is the next reference above.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 opens further upside and raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the rising intraday support
  • Intervention rhetoric could sharply reverse this read

17:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 162.463

Chain of higher highs into session highs.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to print fresh highs at 162.465, extending the rate-gap-driven bid on a soft yen. RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not extreme — with the 40-year high at 162.84 the next upside marker and intervention chatter the standing risk above it.

Support: 162.30

Resistance: 162.465, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 162.465 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Loss of 162.30 rising support breaks the higher-high chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could sharply reverse this read

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.402

Higher highs and higher lows into session high.

NY session ground steadily higher, printing a fresh session high at 162.45 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. JPY stayed offered on the wide rate gap and energy/Iran risk; the 162.84 four-decade high sits just above as an intervention-risk zone.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.45, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained push above 162.84 40-yr high sharply raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.00 psych would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • Intervention rhetoric could trigger a fast squeeze back toward 161.30

16:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.402

Chain of higher highs / higher lows.

USDJPY ground higher through NY hours, printing a fresh session high at 162.45 as JPY stayed offered on the wide rate gap and energy risk. RSI(14) near 68, not yet stretched, with price holding well above EMA20/50 and the 162.00 psych level intact below.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.45, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.84 40yr high raises intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.00 psych breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric could force a fast squeeze lower

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to new highs · RSI 67 · price 162.436

Chain of higher highs / higher lows.

USD/JPY printed a fresh session high at 162.44 with the JPY offered across the board on the wide rate gap and energy/Iran risk. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows off the 161.83 sweep, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched; the 40-yr high at 162.84 sits above.

Support: 162.30, 161.83

Resistance: 162.44, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Waller testimony 16:30 UTC could shift this read
  • Sustained move toward 162.84 sharply raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.30 breaks the higher-low chain

16:31 UTC

Uptrend, extending · RSI 70 · price 162.436

Higher highs, new session high.

NY session ground to a fresh session high at 162.436, breaking out of the 162.30-162.41 consolidation that built through the afternoon. RSI(14) near 70 is hot but normal in this trend; the rising sequence of higher lows off 162.30 stays intact. The 162.84 four-decade high overhead keeps intervention on the radar.

Support: 162.30, 162.11

Resistance: 162.45, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.45 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high, raising intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.30 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • Break below 162.11 swing low would confirm a deeper pullback

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 162.341

Higher highs into session high, consolidating below.

NY session grinding USD/JPY higher toward the 162.84 four-decade high on the wide rate gap and firm safe-haven USD, printing a session high at 162.41 before stalling. Price now consolidating around 162.34 above rising EMAs, RSI(14) cooling from the push; demand stepping in near 162.30.

Support: 162.30, 162.11

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high and lifts intervention risk
  • Loss of 162.30 exposes the 162.11 swing low
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near multi-decade lows could sharply reverse the read

16:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 162.341

Higher highs into session high, stalling near 162.41.

NY session ground USD/JPY higher toward the 162.84 four-decade high, tagging a session high at 162.41 before easing back to 162.34 as momentum cooled. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, structure still stacking higher highs.

Support: 162.30, 162.10

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.10 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the 40-yr high could sharply reverse this read

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding toward 40-yr high · RSI 59 · price 162.336

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

NY session grinding higher, USD/JPY pressing the 162.41 session high on the wide US-Japan rate gap and energy/Iran risk. Buyers stepped in on the 162.30 pullback; RSI(14) near 59, cooling from the push to 162.41 and leaving room before the 162.84 40-yr high.

Support: 162.30, 162.17

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.17 breaks the HL chain
  • 162.84 area — intervention risk if tested

16:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 162.336

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 40-year high at 162.84, printing a session high of 162.41 before easing to 162.34; the rate-gap trade keeps the yen offered. RSI(14) elevated near 62 but not extreme, and the rising-low structure off 161.83 stays intact.

Support: 162.185, 161.834

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.185 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Intervention rhetoric into the 40-year high could force a fast reversal

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 162.343

Higher highs / higher lows into session high.

NY session extended the grind higher, tagging a 162.41 session high before easing to 162.34; the four-decade high at 162.84 sits just above. RSI(14) mid-60s with price holding above EMA20/50 — a chain of higher lows off the 161.83 spike low remains intact.

Support: 162.11, 161.83

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Failure to hold 162.11 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Intervention rhetoric near multi-decade highs could sharply reverse this read

15:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 162.343

Higher highs into NY session, near session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 162.41 with price holding above rising support near 162.17. Yen stays soft on the rate gap and energy/Iran bid, and the pair is inching toward the 162.84 four-decade high where intervention risk sits.

Support: 162.17, 162.00

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 162.00 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
  • Intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could sharply reverse this read

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.336

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

USDJPY grinding up through NY hours, extending Monday's rate-gap-driven climb off 161.26 and pressing the 162.41 session high, RSI(14) around 63 with room left. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean higher-low chain intact.

Support: 162.10

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high and raises intervention risk
  • Failure to hold 162.10 breaks the higher-low chain

15:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.336

Higher highs into session high 162.41.

NY session grinding USD/JPY higher to a session high of 162.41, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. Yen remains soft on the rate gap, but price stalls just under the 162.84 four-decade high where intervention risk caps upside.

Support: 162.10

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
  • Approach to 162.84 raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Failure to hold 162.10 confirms a lower-high

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to fresh highs · RSI 68 · price 162.366

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh high at 162.41, extending the yen-negative trend on Iran-driven safe-haven flows and the wide rate gap. RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme — with the 40yr high at 162.84 the next overhead marker.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • 162.84 is the flagged intervention trigger — MoF/BoJ rhetoric could snap price back to the 162.00 pivot
  • Loss of 162.00 breaks the intraday higher-low chain

15:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 67 · price 162.366

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.41 and closing near 162.37, extending the yen-negative trend toward the 40-year high at 162.84. RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; buyers absorbed the 161.83 dip earlier and the ascending structure holds.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Approach of 162.84 40yr high raises MoF intervention risk — area to monitor for sharp rejection
  • M15 close back below 162.00 pivot breaks the higher-low chain

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.347

Higher highs, higher lows into range top.

NY session pushed USDJPY to a session high of 162.41 before easing to 162.35, with yen soft on the rate gap and Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid. Price grinds toward the 40yr high at 162.84; RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Session high 162.41 — area to watch for rejection or break toward 162.84
  • MoF intervention risk rises sharply near the 162.84 40yr high
  • Close below the 162.00 pivot would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reshape this read

15:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher into session highs · RSI 68 · price 162.347

Chain of higher highs / higher lows toward 40yr high.

USDJPY ground steadily higher through NY hours, printing a fresh session high at 162.41 as the yen stayed the G10 laggard on the rate gap and Iran-driven safe-haven bid. Price holds above the 162.00 pivot with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme, room toward the 40yr high at 162.84.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.41, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • MoF/BoJ intervention headlines near the highs could snap price back to the 162.00 pivot
  • Loss of 162.00 breaks the intraday higher-low chain

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 162.37

Higher highs into session top.

NY session extended the grind higher, USDJPY printing a fresh session high at 162.39 as the yen stays pressured on the rate gap and Iran-driven safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in trend; 162.00 round number held on every dip today.

Support: 162.00, 161.75

Resistance: 162.39, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 tags the 40-year high — key upside marker
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the highs could snap price back toward 161.75
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony is the binary risk cluster for USD

14:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 162.37

Higher highs, higher lows.

NY session pushing USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 162.39, extending toward the 162.84 40-year high as USD stays firm on safe-haven flows and JPY lags. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this grind; buyers stepped in repeatedly above the 162.00 pivot.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.39, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.84 40yr high raises MoF intervention risk
  • Break below 162.00 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's binary risk cluster

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 162.292

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

NY session extended the yen-weak grind, tagging a fresh session high at 162.37 before easing to 162.29 as USD held bid on Mideast safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but consistent with the steady climb toward the 40yr high at 162.84; the 162.00 round number has capped downside all session.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.37, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.37 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.00 round number breaks the higher-low chain
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the highs could sharply reverse this read

14:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 162.292

Higher highs, higher lows into 40yr high.

NY session extending the grind higher, USD/JPY printing a fresh session high at 162.37 on the US-Iran safe-haven bid, RSI(14) around 65 with room before extremes. Buyers reclaimed 162.00 cleanly after the earlier flush to 161.83; price now sits just below the 162.84 40-year high.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.37, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.37 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the highs could snap price back toward 161.75
  • US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can reset this read

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 162.265

Higher highs and higher lows off the 161.83 sweep low.

NY session grinding higher, USD/JPY reclaiming 162.20+ after a sweep of 161.834 during the earlier dip, with the wide rate gap and Iran-driven safe-haven bid keeping the yen soft. Price now presses back toward the 162.354 session high; RSI(14) in the low-60s, not yet stretched.

Support: 162.00, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of the 162.00 psych pivot puts the 161.834 sweep low back in play
  • MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near the highs could snap price back to the 161.75 support

14:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.265

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

USDJPY grinding higher through the NY session, back near the 162.354 session high after a safe-haven USD bid on fresh US-Iran headlines. A steady chain of higher lows holds above the 162.00 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range, leaving room before the 40-year high at 162.84.

Support: 162.00, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 40yr high at 162.84
  • MoF/BoJ intervention risk rises sharply near the highs
  • Loss of 162.00 breaks the higher-low chain toward 161.834

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.202

Higher highs and higher lows intact.

USDJPY grinding higher through the NY session, printing higher lows and pressing back toward the 162.354 session high, with RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not extended. Broad JPY softness on the rate gap and energy-driven risk keeps the pair bid; the 40-year high at 162.84 sits above as the key intervention watch zone.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of the 162.00 round number breaks the ascending support
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD catalysts
  • MoF/BoJ intervention risk sharpens near 162.84

14:01 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.202

Higher highs and higher lows into NY session.

USDJPY is grinding higher through the NY session, holding above the 162.00 round number after a fast sweep to 161.834 was bought back mid-session. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s with price pressing back toward the 162.354 session high; the 162.84 40-year high remains the upside marker.

Support: 162.00, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.00 round number would expose the 161.834 sweep low
  • Waller remarks at 16:30 UTC and US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could shift this read

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 162.178

Higher lows into NY, holding above 162.00.

USDJPY grinding higher through NY hours, holding above the 162.00 psych level with RSI(14) mid-range near 60. A sweep to 161.834 earlier was bought back quickly; price now climbing toward the 162.354 session high as the yen stays soft on rate-gap and energy-driven flows.

Support: 162.00, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close back below 162.00 psych opens the 161.834 sweep low
  • Approach to 162.84 40-year high is the key MoF intervention zone — snap-back risk
  • Break above 162.354 session high extends the uptrend

13:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 162.178

Higher highs holding above 162.00.

NY session grinding higher, pair holding above the 162.00 psych level after a sweep of 161.834 mid-session. Session high at 162.354 caps the move; the 40-year high at 162.84 sits above as an intervention-watch zone.

Support: 162.00, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close below 162.00 psych opens 161.834 sweep low
  • Approach to 162.84 40yr high raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk
  • Break above 162.354 session high resumes the leg up

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 162.12

Consolidating below session high after a sweep low.

USD/JPY pushed to a 162.35 session high during NY hours on the firm-dollar, Iran-driven haven bid, then swept down to 161.83 before grinding back to 162.12. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.07-162.19 band with RSI(14) neutral, holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 session high reopens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.00 round level exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • 162.84 remains an intervention/jawboning tripwire capping upside
  • Waller speech (16:30 GMT) could inject volatility

13:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 162.12

Range-bound below session high after sweep.

USDJPY pushed to a session high of 162.354 during NY hours before a sharp sweep of 161.83, then reclaimed 162.00 on the wide US-Japan rate gap and Iran-driven USD bid. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.07-162.19 band, RSI(14) neutral around 55.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes 161.83 and 161.75
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • MoF intervention risk sits near 162.84

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 53 · price 162.127

Consolidation below session high after impulse up.

USD/JPY held a firm bid through NY hours on the wide US-Japan rate gap and Iran-driven haven flows, tagging a session high at 162.35 before easing back. Price is now consolidating in a 162.00-162.20 range, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 53.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.20, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 162.00 psych opens 161.83 swing low
  • Break above 162.35 session hi points toward the 162.84 40yr high / intervention tripwire
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

13:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 162.127

Consolidating below session high after sweep.

NY session grinding sideways in the 162.00–162.20 band, holding above EMA20/50 after a sharp sweep of 161.83 was bought back. Session high sits at 162.35; the 162.84 40-year high remains the overhead intervention tripwire flagged by MoF rhetoric.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.00 psych exposes 161.83 swing low and 161.75 prior support
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony are near-term catalysts that could shift this read

13:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 162.099

Consolidation after rally to 162.35.

USD/JPY rallied through 162.00 on the US safe-haven bid, tagged 162.35 then swept down to 161.83 before recovering. Price now ranges 162.00-162.19, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 52 after cooling from the highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.19, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.19 session high reopens 162.35
  • Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes 161.83 spike low
  • 162.84 40yr high remains the intervention tripwire

13:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near session highs · RSI 54 · price 162.099

Higher highs into 162.35, now consolidating above 162.00.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session on the safe-haven USD bid, tagging 162.35 before rejecting back to consolidate around 162.00-162.19. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s; price holding above EMA20/50 with the 162.84 40-year high still capping upside as the intervention tripwire.

Support: 162.00, 161.75

Resistance: 162.19, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 ceiling
  • Failure to hold 162.00 exposes 161.75 prior support
  • MoF intervention rhetoric near 162.84 could sharply reverse the move

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session high · RSI 59 · price 162.171

Higher lows into 162.35 session high, tight range below it.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.35 high before a sharp sweep to 162.834's satellite low at 161.83 was bought back; JPY stays soft on the wide US-Japan yield gap and Iran-driven USD bid. Price is now coiling in a tight 162.07-162.19 band just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 59.

Support: 162.00, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.354 session high opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.00 psych exposes the 161.83 swing low
  • Approach to 162.84 raises MoF intervention flashpoint risk

12:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 58 · price 162.171

Higher lows, testing session high.

NY session grinding USD/JPY back toward the 162.354 session high after a sharp sweep down to 161.834 was bought back, USD firm on safe-haven flows. Price holding a tight band above 162.00 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extension yet into the 162.84 40-year high.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Loss of 162.00 psych puts 161.83 swing low back in play
  • Any MoF intervention headline could sharply reverse this read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 162.173

Higher lows into session highs.

USD/JPY grinding higher through the NY session, holding above the 162.00 psych level after fresh Iran-driven USD strength lifted the pair. A sharp wick to 161.83 was quickly bought back, and price is now pressing the 162.35 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — plenty of room to the 162.84 40-year high.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • 162.84 is the intervention flashpoint — MoF headline risk near that level
  • Loss of 162.00 psych exposes the 161.83 swing low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

12:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 162.173

Higher lows holding above 162.00.

USD/JPY parked back above 162.00 on the firm US safe-haven bid, chaining higher lows through the NY session after a 162.35 spike was faded and 161.83 swept. Price is now consolidating below the session high with RSI(14) around 60 — hot but not extreme.

Support: 162.00, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read on release
  • Sustained break above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high, an intervention flashpoint
  • Loss of 162.00 exposes the 161.83 swing low

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 162.16

Higher highs into 162.35, sweep and recovery.

USD/JPY ground to a session high of 162.35 near the 40-year peak before a sharp sweep to 161.83, where buyers reappeared and lifted price back above 162.00. Move stays USD-firm on the Iran safe-haven bid, but action looks consolidative under 162.35 ahead of US CPI.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high / intervention flashpoint
  • Loss of 162.00 then 161.83 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the recovery
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read

12:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 58 · price 162.16

Higher lows since 161.65, capped by 162.35.

USDJPY holds a chain of higher lows off 161.65, with 162.00 acting as support after the pullback from the 162.35 session high. Dollar carrying a safe-haven and hawkish-Fed bid keeps price parked below the 162.84 40-year high; RSI(14) near 58 leaves room in either direction.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.00 exposes the 161.83 swing low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller today 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 56 · price 162.099

Higher highs into 162.35, now consolidating above 162.00.

USDJPY reclaimed 162.00 after a sweep of 161.83 during NY hours and is coiling in a tight 162.05-162.12 band below the 162.35 session high, with USD firm on the Middle East safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 56, momentum flat as price holds just under the highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Loss of 162.00 exposes the 161.83 sweep low and 161.75 zone
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
  • 162.84 remains the intervention flashpoint

12:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 162.099

Consolidating below session high after pullback from 162.35.

NY session pushed USDJPY to a 162.35 session high on the firm safe-haven USD bid, then rejected and slipped back to the 162.00 round number. Price is now ranging 162.00–162.12, RSI(14) neutral around 51 after cooling from the highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close below 162.00 opens the 161.83 swing low
  • Reclaim of 162.354 session high reopens path to the 162.84 40yr high (intervention flashpoint)
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 162.085

Consolidating below session high.

USD/JPY pushed to a 162.35 session high on the Iran-driven dollar bid before rejecting back into a 162.00-162.14 consolidation. A sharp dip swept 161.83 and recovered; price is now coiling mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 51.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.14, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.14 reopens the 162.35 session high
  • Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • 162.84 40-year high remains an intervention flashpoint
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this range

11:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 162.085

Consolidating below session high after retrace.

USDJPY drove to a session high of 162.354 during NY hours before rejecting and pulling back to 162.085, roughly the 38% retrace of the 161.655–162.354 leg. Price is now coiling between 161.98 and 162.14 on a firm USD backdrop; the pair remains pinned below the 162.84 40-year high.

Support: 161.98, 161.83

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • Failure to hold 161.98 exposes the 161.83 spike low
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift this read

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 162.083

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

USDJPY pushed to a session high 162.354 during NY hours then rejected, sinking 44 pips in a single bar before stabilising. Now chopping between 161.99 and 162.14 near multi-decade highs; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.

Support: 161.99, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.143, 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
  • 162.84 sits near intervention territory — MoF headline risk asymmetric here
  • Loss of 161.834 confirms a deeper pullback

11:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 162.083

Consolidation below session high.

USD/JPY tagged the 162.35 session high in the London session then rejected back to 161.83, where buyers stepped in. Price now consolidating 162.00-162.14 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.14, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.14 reopens the 162.35 session high
  • Loss of 162.00 psych exposes the 161.83 swing low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst
  • Approach to 40-year high 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 162.094

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

USDJPY rallied off the 161.65 session low to 162.35 before rejection capped it, and a quick sweep of 161.83 was bought back. Price now consolidates near the 162.00 round number, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral around 53; the 40-year high at 162.84 sits overhead.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.65

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high, where intervention risk rises
  • Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC; US CPI Tue could reset this read

11:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 162.094

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

USD/JPY pushed to a session high of 162.354 during NY hours before rejecting back to the figure, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Now boxed between 161.98 and the 162.12 range top; sellers capped the 162.35 spike while buyers defended 161.98.

Support: 161.98, 161.83

Resistance: 162.12, 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path to the 40-year high at 162.84
  • Failure to hold 161.98 exposes the 161.83 wick low
  • US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller 16:30 UTC are the near-term catalysts

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 162.067

Consolidating below session high after rejection.

USD/JPY tagged a session high at 162.35 then faded hard to 161.83 as MoF intervention risk hovers above 162.00, and price is now consolidating in the 162.00-162.12 band. The rally off the 161.30/161.75 cluster stays intact but momentum has flattened, RSI(14) back near neutral.

Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Break above 162.35 opens the path toward the 162.84 four-decade high
  • Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.83 swing low and 161.75 cluster
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller speech today 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read

11:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 162.067

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

USDJPY rallied from the 161.30 base to a 162.35 session high before fading, and is now consolidating around 162.05 as the yield-gap/safe-haven USD bid keeps price pinned near four-decade highs. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral; price is chopping just under EMA20 with no directional break in play.

Support: 161.99, 161.83, 161.30

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 reopens the path toward the 162.84 four-decade high and intervention-risk zone
  • Loss of 161.99 exposes the 161.83 spike low
  • US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 162.109

Consolidating below session high after sweep.

London session pushed USD/JPY to a session high at 162.354 before a sharp sweep flushed to 161.834 and bounced, keeping the broader intraday uptrend intact. Price now consolidates around 162.05-162.12 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; USD stays firm on the safe-haven bid. The 40-year high at 162.84 sits overhead as the key upside pivot.

Support: 161.99, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
  • Failure to hold 161.990 exposes the 161.834 sweep low
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift the USD read intraday

10:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 162.109

Pullback from session high, holding above 162.00.

USD/JPY resumed higher through the London session on persistent JPY weakness, tagging a session high at 162.354 before a sharp fade to 161.834 and recovery back above the 162.00 psych level. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 as price consolidates just below the highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 opens path toward the 162.84 40yr high, into intervention-risk territory
  • Loss of 162.00 psych exposes the 161.834 swing low then 161.75 support
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 162.11

Pullback after session-high sweep.

USD/JPY rallied to a session high at 162.35 before a quick spike down to 161.83 was bought back; price now consolidates just above the 162.00 psych level around 162.11. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-range after the run.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high and intervention-risk zone
  • Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reset this read

10:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 162.11

Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback.

USDJPY grinding near multi-year highs, USD firm on safe-haven and hawkish-Fed positioning; price pushed to a session high of 162.35 before a fast 44-pip flush swept 161.83 and was bought back. Now at 162.11, RSI(14) cooling around 57 with the 162.00 handle holding.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.35, 162.84

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 162.00 keeps the higher-low sequence intact; loss reopens 161.83
  • Break of 162.35 exposes the 162.84 four-decade high, an area to watch for intervention
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read

10:16 UTC

Uptrend, stalling after push · RSI 52 · price 162.068

Consolidating below session high.

USDJPY pushed to a session high of 162.35 during the London-NY window before fading to consolidate around 162.05, USD supported by safe-haven flows and hawkish-Fed pricing. RSI(14) cooled back to neutral as price chops between 161.99 and 162.13; the session-high rejection at 162.35 caps for now.

Support: 161.99, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.13, 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 reopens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.99 exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst that could reset this range

10:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below session high · RSI 49 · price 162.068

Range after sweep, holding above 161.95.

NY session drove USD/JPY to 162.354 then swept lower to 161.834 before recovering to consolidate near 162.05, USD firm on the safe-haven bid. Price is now ranging 161.95–162.30 with RSI(14) neutral around 48; the 162.50 multi-decade-high zone sits above as the intervention watch line.

Support: 161.95, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.95 exposes the 161.834 sweep low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 162.003

Pullback from session high, holding 162.00.

USD/JPY ran to a session high of 162.35 through London before fading back to consolidate around the 162.00 handle, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. The rally was dollar-led on Iran safe-haven flows and the widening US-Japan rate gap; the pullback has stalled just above the 161.83 swing low.

Support: 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 161.83 opens the path to 161.75 support
  • Reclaim of 162.35 puts the 162.50 decade high in play
  • 162.50 zone is where MoF intervention risk sharpens
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver for the yield gap

10:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 162.003

Pullback after session-high rejection.

USD/JPY rallied off 161.65 through 162.00 and printed a session high at 162.35 before rejection, with a sharp spike low at 161.83 on the pullback. Price is now consolidating around 162.00 near its swing low at 161.94, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the dollar holds a geopolitics-driven bid into US CPI.

Support: 161.94, 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 162.35 session high presses the multi-decade-high zone and sharpens intervention risk
  • Break below 161.83 spike low opens 161.75 prior pivot
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could shift the near-term read

09:47 UTC

Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 36 · price 162.008

Rally to 162.35 rejected, retracing toward 162.00.

London session pushed USDJPY to a 162.35 session high before rejection dragged it back to the 162.00 psych level, RSI(14) cooling to ~36. Pair is bid above 162 on the US-JPY rate gap and Iran-driven dollar demand, but the pullback has stalled momentum into NY hours.

Support: 161.88, 161.83

Resistance: 162.13, 162.35

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 swing low opens 161.83 spike low
  • Reclaim of 162.13 recent high reopens the 162.35 session high
  • 162.50 multi-decade-high zone remains the effective intervention pressure line if the rally extends
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read intraday

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 49 · price 162.008

Pushed to session high 162.35, swept back to 161.83, now consolidating near 162.00.

London-session rally stalled at 162.35 and swept back to 161.83 before buyers recovered price to the 162.00 area, aligning with the USD safe-haven bid noted in the digest. Price now oscillating 161.98–162.13 below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral.

Support: 161.834

Resistance: 162.13, 162.354

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.13 reopens the 162.35 session high
  • Failure to hold 161.83 confirms a lower low
  • Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC) could shift the USD read

09:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading on pullback · RSI 43 · price 161.993

Rejected at session high, pulling back.

London session drove USD/JPY to a 162.354 session high on the wide US-Japan rate gap before rejection, and price has since retraced roughly half the rally back to 161.99. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move stalls short of the 162.50 multi-decade cap.

Support: 161.834, 161.30

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Hold below 162.354 keeps the pullback intact; a reclaim reopens the 162.50 cap
  • Break of 161.834 confirms a lower low toward Friday's 161.30 zone
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and any MoF intervention signal could sharply reshape this read

09:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 161.993

Rejected at session high, retracing.

USD/JPY rallied through the European session to a 162.35 session high before getting rejected, now unwinding toward 162.00 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Move stalls well short of the 162.50 multi-decade cap; the rally off Friday's 161.25-161.30 base is on the wide US-Japan rate gap.

Support: 161.83, 161.65

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 162.35 opens the path to the 162.50 cap
  • Failure to hold 161.83 exposes the 161.65 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 49 · price 162.04

Pushed to session high, rejected, pulling back.

London session drove USD/JPY to a 162.354 session high before a sharp rejection to 161.834; buyers recovered into 162.10 and price is now drifting at 162.04, roughly a 50% retrace of the day's run. The 162.50 multi-decade cap remains untouched overhead as the wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the Yen soft.

Support: 161.834, 161.30

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 reopens the 162.50 multi-decade cap
  • Loss of 161.834 exposes Friday's 161.30 low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this read

09:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 162.04

Higher highs stalling under 162.35, consolidating.

USDJPY rallied to a session high of 162.35 before rejection and a sharp flush to 161.83, then recovered to consolidate near 162.04 just under EMA20. Yen stays soft on the wide rate gap, but price is stalling short of the 162.50 multi-decade cap.

Support: 161.83, 161.655

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path to the 162.50 cap
  • Loss of 161.83 exposes the 161.655 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 162.089

Pullback from session high, holding above 161.83.

London session pushed to a 162.354 session high before a sharp rejection dropped price to 161.834, and pair is now consolidating near 162.08 — roughly the 38% retrace of that move. JPY caught a bid earlier on repatriation/intervention talk, capping the run into the 162.50 multi-decade high.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 reopens the 162.50 zone, where intervention risk rises
  • Failure to hold 161.834 confirms a lower low toward the 161.75 cluster
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term rate-gap driver for this pair

09:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 162.089

Higher highs into 162.35 then pullback, now consolidating.

London session ran up to a session high at 162.354 before a sharp sweep of the 161.83 area, quickly reclaimed toward 162.10. Price now consolidating just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the highs; 162.14 caps for now.

Support: 161.96, 161.83

Resistance: 162.14, 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Break above 162.14 reopens the 162.354 session high
  • Failure to hold 161.96 exposes the 161.83 sweep low
  • 162.50 multi-decade high above — area to watch for rejection or intervention headlines
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 162.108

Consolidating below session high.

London session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 162.354 before rejection there, followed by a sharp drop that swept 161.834; buyers recovered price to 162.10 and it now consolidates below 162.22. JPY has kept a firmer tone on Katayama repatriation and intervention chatter, with the 162.50 multi-decade high the near-term cap.

Support: 161.83

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 opens the 162.50 decade-high / intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.83 spike low confirms a lower low on M15
  • Waller speaks 16:30 UTC — could shift the intraday read

08:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 162.108

Consolidating below session high after sweep.

NY hours drove USDJPY to a session high of 162.354 before a sharp spike down to 161.834 was immediately bought back, leaving a sweep of the lows. Price now consolidates near 162.10 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the 162.50 multi-decade high and intervention zone caps overhead.

Support: 161.834, 161.655

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • close above 162.354 opens the path to the 162.50 intervention zone
  • loss of 161.834 sweep low reopens the 161.655 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term rate-gap catalyst

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 162.127

Consolidating below session high after sweep of lows.

London session grinding higher into the 162.354 session high before a sharp sweep to 161.834 was bought back to 162.10; RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price now coils below the session high, still inside striking distance of the 162.50 decade high where intervention risk sits.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 session high opens the 162.50 decade high zone — area to watch for rejection
  • Loss of 161.834 swing low reopens the 161.75 support
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term rate-gap catalyst and could reset this read

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 53 · price 162.127

Pullback from 162.35 session high, holding above 162.00.

NY session drove USD/JPY to a 162.35 session high before a sharp rejection dropped it to the 161.83 spike low, with the pair now consolidating around 162.10. Yen firmness stems from Katayama's repatriation remarks; price is capped well below the 162.50 multi-decade high where intervention risk sits.

Support: 162.018, 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 reopens the path to the 162.50 multi-dec high
  • Loss of 162.018 swing low exposes the 161.83 spike low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key rate-gap catalyst that could reset this read

08:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 47 · price 162.033

Higher highs into 162.35, now retracing.

London session pushed USDJPY to a session high of 162.354 before a quick sweep of 161.834 was bought back and price settled around 162.03, back below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the leg higher stalls short of the 162.50 multi-decade high.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close below 161.834 sweep low opens 161.75 support
  • A push through 162.50 decade high invites intervention risk
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key rate-gap catalyst for this pair

08:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 162.033

Consolidating below session high after sharp rejection.

USD/JPY spiked to a 162.35 session high in early London before a sharp rejection back to 161.83, and is now consolidating around 162.00 — JPY had caught a bid on Katayama's repatriation talk. RSI(14) is neutral near 52; the 162.50 multi-decade high sits just above with intervention risk flagged.

Support: 161.83, 161.75

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.35 session high opens the 162.50 decade high
  • Loss of 161.83 dip low exposes the 161.75 support cluster
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term rate-gap catalyst

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 54 · price 162.095

HH/HL chain, session high rejected.

London morning extended the rally to a session high of 162.354 before a sharp wick down to 161.834 rejected the highs, aided by JPY repatriation talk. Price has recovered to 162.095, sitting on the 0.382 retracement and the 162.00 round number after the sweep.

Support: 162.00, 161.83

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the 162.50 decade high / intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.83 sweep low negates the pullback-hold read
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

08:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 162.095

Higher high at 162.354, pulling back.

NY hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 162.354 before a sharp rejection swept down to 161.834 and snapped back to 162.09, RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. Price is holding above EMA20/50 but capped below the 162.354 high, with the 162.50 multi-decade high the ceiling flagged by intervention risk.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path to the 162.50 multi-decade high
  • Failure to hold 161.834 confirms a lower-low and negates the pullback recovery
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant rate-gap catalyst for this pair

07:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 162.217

Higher highs into 162.35, sweep and recovery.

London hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 162.354 before a sharp sweep down to 161.834 and immediate recovery to 162.22, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. JPY firmer tone off Katayama repatriation talk kept a lid at the highs, with the 162.50 multi-decade high / intervention zone looming just above.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.834 exposes 161.75 support
  • Escalation of MoF/Katayama jawboning could cap upside near 162.50

07:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 162.217

Higher highs into 162.35, sharp pullback then recovery.

London morning drove USDJPY to a 162.354 session high before a sharp rejection dumped price to 161.834 in one bar, since recovered to 162.22. Move fits the firmer-JPY tone as USD/JPY probes back toward the multi-decade high; RSI(14) mid-range after the shakeout.

Support: 161.834, 161.75

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.834 exposes 161.75 support

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 56 · price 162.153

Higher highs into 162.35, sweep-and-recover.

London session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 162.35 before a sharp spike lower swept the 161.83 area and recovered to 162.15, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 162.50 multi-decade/intervention zone continues to cap; JPY firmer this week on repatriation talk.

Support: 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.50 raises MoF intervention risk into the zone
  • Failure to hold 161.83 sweep low confirms a lower low
  • US CPI next week is the decisive catalyst for the USD/JPY carry read

07:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 162.153

Higher highs into session high, sharp rejection.

Fresh-week grind higher tagged the session high at 162.354 before a sharp rejection candle swept down to 161.834 and snapped back to 162.15. RSI(14) cooling from the push, price still holding above EMA20/50 with 161.99 the near support.

Support: 161.99, 161.834

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 161.99 opens the 161.834 sweep low
  • Push above 162.354 exposes the 162.50 intervention zone
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 162.096

Higher highs into 162.35, sharp rejection wick.

Asia-into-London session pushed USD/JPY from 161.65 up to a 162.35 session high, stalling shy of the 162.50 multi-decade/intervention zone. The last bar swept down to 161.834 and snapped back to 162.10 — a sharp two-way rejection of the highs, RSI cooling from the recent push. JPY firmness (Katayama repatriation talk, softer USD) is capping the advance below 162.50.

Support: 161.834, 161.75, 161.50

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.50 pushes into the intervention trigger zone
  • Failure to hold 161.834 opens the 161.75/161.50 support band
  • US CPI next week is the decisive catalyst for the yield-gap driven carry

07:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 162.096

Rising lows into 162.35, sharp rejection.

London session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 162.35 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 161.83 and back to 162.10, in line with the firmer JPY tone off multi-decade lows. Rising intraday lows still intact but the 162.35 spike shows supply capping the advance near the intervention-sensitive zone.

Support: 161.83

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.83 confirms a lower low
  • US CPI next week is the decisive catalyst for the USD-JPY yield gap

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 162.234

Higher highs into session high, minor pullback.

USD/JPY rallied through the 162.00 round level during London hours to a session high of 162.354, extending the yield-gap bid, with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price is holding above the rising session support; the 162.50 multi-decade high remains the near-term cap and MoF intervention zone.

Support: 162.00

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 162.00 breaks the rising session structure
  • Approach to 162.50 invites MoF intervention risk
  • Bowman 09:25 UTC / Waller 16:30 UTC speeches could shift the read

07:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 162.234

Higher highs into session top, pulling back.

USD/JPY rallied ~70 pips off the 161.66 session low to a 162.354 session high before easing to 162.23, JPY still on the back foot as the yield-gap carry bid holds. RSI(14) cooling from the spike-high; price consolidating just under the session top.

Support: 162.04, 161.94

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.354 session high opens the path to the 162.50 MoF zone
  • Loss of 162.04 pivot exposes 161.94 swing low
  • 162.50 is last week's multi-decade high — area to watch for rejection / intervention risk

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 162.249

Higher highs, breakout above intraday range.

London session broke above the 162.07 range and spiked to a session high at 162.354, RSI(14) running hot near 68 but not extreme. Pair now consolidating just under the high; 162.50 multi-decade top remains the overhead MoF intervention zone.

Support: 162.07, 161.96

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path to the 162.50 mof zone
  • Failure to hold 162.07 breakout would negate the intraday push
  • US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 162.249

Higher highs into 162.35 session high.

USD/JPY ground higher through Asia into London, printing a 162.354 session high on Katayama-driven two-way flow before easing to 162.25. RSI(14) cooling from the surge but holding above 60; the 162.50 multi-decade high and MoF trigger zone caps just overhead.

Support: 161.99, 161.88

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.35 opens the path to the 162.50 mof zone
  • Loss of 161.99 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the yield-gap read

06:31 UTC

Uptrend, pushing session highs · RSI 68 · price 162.301

Higher highs into 162.50 cap.

Late-session grind higher accelerated into a 162.354 session high, closing the last bar at 162.301 as USD/JPY presses toward the 162.50 MoF trigger zone flagged near multi-decade highs. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme; the leg off 161.94 remains intact above the rising 162.00 shelf.

Support: 162.00, 161.94

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.50 would clear the resistance cap and expose higher levels — MoF intervention risk lives at that zone
  • Loss of 162.00 breaks the rising intraday structure back toward 161.94
  • US CPI is the dominant upcoming catalyst and could materially shift this read via the yield gap

06:31 UTC

Uptrend, extending into session highs · RSI 71 · price 162.301

Chain of higher highs and higher lows.

USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian session, breaking above the 162.13 shelf and printing a session high at 162.354 before easing to 162.30. RSI(14) near 70 as price stalls just under the 162.50 MoF zone flagged around last week's multi-decade high.

Support: 162.00, 161.88

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.354 opens the path toward the 162.50 mof zone
  • 162.50 zone invites intervention-headline risk that could sharply reverse the read
  • Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.88 swing low

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 74 · price 162.319

Higher highs into session high.

USD/JPY broke the 162.10 shelf and ran to a session high of 162.354, RSI(14) hot near 74 as the yield-gap bid reasserts after Friday's Katayama-driven dip. Price now pressing toward the 162.50 zone flagged as a MoF intervention trigger near multi-decade highs.

Support: 162.07

Resistance: 162.354, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Tag of 162.50 mof zone — area to watch for rejection or intervention-driven spike lower
  • M15 close back below 162.07 prior high negates the breakout read
  • US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the US-Japan yield gap

06:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum extended · RSI 71 · price 162.319

Higher highs into session high.

London session pushed USD/JPY through the 162.07 base and up to a session high of 162.35, RSI(14) around 71 after the yield-gap bid rebuilt. Price now stalls just below the 162.50 multi-decade high, the flagged MoF trigger zone.

Support: 162.07

Resistance: 162.35, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 162.50 would cap this leg — MoF intervention zone
  • A close back below 162.07 breaks the intraday higher-high chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the yield gap

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, pressing toward record high · RSI 71 · price 162.26

Higher highs into 162.50 psych zone.

USDJPY broke the intraday range with a sharp 162.04-to-162.334 push in the last hour, closing 162.26 as it grinds toward the 162.50 multi-decade high. RSI(14) near 70, hot but consistent with the trend; carry-driven demand keeps the pair top-heavy but bid into the London morning.

Support: 162.04

Resistance: 162.334, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Test of 162.50 psych high raises MoF intervention headline risk and two-way volatility
  • Loss of 162.04 ema20 would stall the breakout read
  • US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst — a soft print threatens the carry bid

06:01 UTC

Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 72 · price 162.26

Higher highs, breakout leg toward record high.

USDJPY ran from 161.65 to a fresh session high of 162.33 on the last bar before closing 162.26, RSI(14) hot near 71 as the pair grinds back toward the 162.50 record high. Rally sits above EMA20/50 with a clean chain of higher lows off 161.88.

Support: 161.99, 161.75

Resistance: 162.33, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Push above 162.50 record high spikes MoF intervention headline risk and could trigger two-way volatility
  • Loss of 161.99 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI next session is the dominant external catalyst for the yield gap

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 162.069

Higher lows, capped below session high.

Asian session ground higher off 161.65, printing a session high at 162.17 before pulling back; buyers stepped in near 161.94 and price is back at 162.07 with RSI cooling to the mid-50s. The 162.50 multi-decade high sits overhead as the intervention-risk zone.

Support: 161.94, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.94 exposes the 161.75 pivot and breaks the higher-low chain
  • MoF verbal-intervention rhetoric near record lows could force two-way volatility

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session high · RSI 59 · price 162.069

Higher lows into 162.17 session high.

USDJPY ground higher through the session to a 162.17 high and is now consolidating just under it around 162.07, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. The recovery off the 161.65 open followed the Katayama repatriation-driven dip earlier in the week fading; pair sits below the 162.50 intervention zone.

Support: 161.94

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.17 session high opens path toward 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.94 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

05:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 58 · price 162.053

Higher highs off session open, now consolidating.

USDJPY rallied off the 161.65 open to a session high at 162.17, then settled into a tight 162.00–162.09 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling to the upper-50s. The 40-year high and intervention zone at 162.50 sits above as the key psychological cap; rising support has held near 161.88.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path to the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the rising intraday structure toward 161.75
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst for the pair

05:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 162.053

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullbacks.

Asia session grinding higher off 161.66, tagging a 162.17 session high before pulling back to 162.05; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme. Dips into 161.94 have been bought, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact.

Support: 161.94

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path to the 162.50 multi-decade high
  • 162.50 area is a known intervention trigger — expect two-way volatility on approach
  • Failure to hold 161.94 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence

05:16 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 161.953

Higher highs into 162.17, now retracing.

Asia session Monday: USD/JPY climbed off 161.65 to a 162.17 session high before rejecting and drifting back to 161.95, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Retracement now holding above the 161.88 swing low; session-high supply capped the move near 162.09/162.17.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.09, 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens a probe toward the 162.50 psych level
  • Failure to hold 161.88 exposes the 161.75 prior support
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst for the yield gap

05:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 48 · price 161.953

Higher highs into consolidation below session high.

Post-gap Asian session pushed USD/JPY up to a 162.17 high before stalling and drifting back to 161.95, with USD soft near three-week lows. Price is consolidating just under the session high; buyers defended 161.88 on the pullback while 162.17 caps the topside.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.10, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 reopens the path toward the 162.50 psych level
  • Loss of 161.88 exposes the 161.75 prior pivot
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 161.978

HH/HL then consolidation below session high.

USDJPY rallied from the 161.655 session low to 162.17, then stalled and is consolidating around 162.00 as the yen firmed on Katayama repatriation talk against a soft dollar. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price is sitting on EMA20 while holding above EMA50; the 162.50 intervention zone continues to cap upside.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold the 161.75 pivot breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI next week is the main external catalyst for the pair

05:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 161.978

Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.

USDJPY rallied off the 161.65 session low to a 162.17 session high on the new session's open, then stalled and is consolidating around 162.0 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price has drifted back to 161.98, holding above the 161.88 swing low as the pair stays pinned near multi-decade highs; the Katayama repatriation story and a soft USD into CPI keep upside top-heavy.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 swing low opens a probe of 161.75 prior support
  • Break and hold above 162.17 session high extends the leg toward 162.50 psych
  • Approach to 162.50 psych raises MoF intervention headline risk

04:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 162.04

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.

Asian session ground higher off 161.66, tagging a session high at 162.17 before easing back to 162.04. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) cooling from the push, still holding above EMA20/50.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 would break the rising intraday support and confirm a lower low
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the main external catalyst for the yield gap

04:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 162.04

Higher highs, stalling near 162.10.

USDJPY ground higher through the session to a 162.17 high before stalling around 162.05, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s. Katayama's repatriation talk keeps rebounds capped while the pair sits inside the record-high zone; consolidation just under the session high.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 psych/intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst for the yield gap

04:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 54 · price 161.993

Higher highs into 162.17, now consolidating below.

Week opened bid, USD/JPY rallying off 161.66 to tag a 162.17 session high before stalling; pair now consolidating around 162.00 through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Buyers stepped in near the 161.88 swing low, with the 162.50 record high overhead as the known intervention zone after Katayama's repatriation talk firmed the yen.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 record high
  • Failure to hold the 161.75 pivot signals a deeper pullback
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst for the pair

04:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 161.993

Consolidating below session high after gap-up rally.

Asian session opened with a gap-up run from 161.66 to 162.17, then stalled and rolled into a tight consolidation just under the session high. Price has since eased back to 161.99 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s; the 162.13 area capped the last push higher.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.13, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.13 reopens the path toward the 162.50 psych/intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 swing low exposes the 161.75 pivot
  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the main external catalyst for the yield gap

04:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 162.073

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below.

USDJPY resumed higher out of the weekend gap, grinding from 161.65 to a session high at 162.17 on the JPY-firming/soft-USD backdrop, and is now consolidating around 162.07 with RSI(14) near 59. Chain of higher lows intact; price holding above the 162.00 psych level and both EMAs.

Support: 162.00, 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Push into 162.40-162.50 intervention zone raises MoF risk
  • US CPI (Jul 14, 12:30 UTC) can materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 162.073

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.

New week opened with a gap up and rally to a 162.17 session high, USD/JPY firming on the crowded carry short as it grinds toward last week's multi-decade top. Price is now consolidating around 162.07 just below resistance, RSI(14) cooling from the highs with momentum flattening.

Support: 161.97, 161.80

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • Push above 162.40 enters the MoF intervention trigger zone
  • Loss of 161.80 pivot breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 60 · price 162.07

Consolidating just below session high after rally.

USDJPY rallied off the 161.65 session low to tag 162.17 then stalled, now coiling in a tight 162.05-162.10 band with RSI(14) around 60. JPY firmness on domestic-reallocation talk has kept 162.40-162.50 — last week's multi-decade high and flagged intervention zone — untested so far.

Support: 161.97, 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • Break above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.40 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.97 exposes 161.88 swing low
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

04:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 62 · price 162.07

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY reopened near 161.65 and ground higher through the session to a 162.17 high, JPY firming only marginally against a soft dollar. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.06-162.12 band just below that high with RSI(14) cooling from the rally.

Support: 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.40 multi-decade high / intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the rising intraday support and the HL chain
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steadying near highs · RSI 59 · price 162.085

Higher highs/lows since weekend gap open.

USDJPY resumed higher after the weekend gap open near 161.66, rallying through the Asian session to a session high of 162.17 before easing back. Now consolidating around 162.08, holding above the higher-low chain and sitting below the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone flagged as the recent multi-decade high.

Support: 161.97, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.97 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 162.085

Higher highs into 162.17, pausing at 162.08.

USDJPY ground higher off the 161.66 open to tag 162.17 before stalling around 162.08, JPY still capped as the crowded carry short holds. Micro-structure is a clean HH/HL chain, now flattening into a tight consolidation just under the session high.

Support: 161.97, 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.17 opens the 162.45 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.97 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the fulcrum for this pair

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 61 · price 162.073

Higher highs off week-open low, now consolidating near session high.

New-week open rallied through the Asia session from 161.66 to a 162.17 high, lifted by a firmer USD as the safe-haven bid faded; price is now consolidating just under the high around 162.07 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Upside stalls into the 162.40 multi-decade/intervention zone flagged in context.

Support: 161.88, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.40 enters the intervention trigger zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the rising intraday structure
  • US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 162.073

HH/HL chain off session low.

Asia session opened with a weekend gap up and USDJPY has stair-stepped from 161.66 to a 162.17 session high, now consolidating just below it with RSI(14) cooling toward the low 60s. Buyers have defended the rising 161.88 swing low; the 162.40-162.50 multi-decade high sits overhead as an intervention-risk zone.

Support: 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the 162.40-162.50 multi-decade high / intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the rising support and the HL chain
  • US CPI tomorrow (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 64 · price 162.079

Higher highs into 162.17, holding above 162.00.

USDJPY ground higher through the Asian session, breaking above 162.00 to a session high at 162.17 before easing to 162.08 on JPY's broad softness. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme yet; the 162.40-162.50 multi-decade high and flagged intervention zone caps the move above.

Support: 161.88

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • Push into 162.40-162.50 raises MoF intervention risk and could cap upside
  • Loss of 161.88 swing low breaks the intraday higher-high chain
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) is the near-term catalyst for this pair

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session high · RSI 64 · price 162.079

Higher highs and higher lows off the weekend-gap low.

USDJPY gapped up into the Asia session and ground higher off 161.66 to a 162.17 session high, JPY steadying near multi-decade lows. Price is now consolidating just below that high around 162.08, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.

Support: 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Break above 162.17 opens the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone
  • US CPI (Jul 14 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 162.074

Higher highs off session low, consolidating below session high.

Asia session lifted USD/JPY off the 161.66 session low to a 162.17 high as JPY softness resumed following the Katayama-driven bounce; price now consolidating near 162.07 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. The 162.40-162.50 intervention zone caps the upside.

Support: 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.17 opens the path to the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the rising intraday support
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read

03:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 162.074

Higher highs into 162.17, pullback holding above 162.00.

Asia session extended the bounce off 161.65, tagging a session high at 162.17 before easing back to 162.07 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price holds above the 162.00 round number; JPY firming on Katayama domestic-reallocation talk has kept the pair off last week's highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.40

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 162.00 shifts focus to the 161.88 swing low
  • Break above 162.17 opens the path to the 162.40 intervention zone
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 62 · price 162.027

HH/HL chain off session low, consolidating below session high.

Monday Asia open rallied USD/JPY from 161.66 to a session high of 162.17, now consolidating around 162.03 with RSI(14) easing back near 61. Price holds above EMA20/50, but the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone caps overhead ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.

Support: 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the 162.45 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 162.027

Rising highs/lows off gap open.

Asia session opened after the weekend gap and rallied from 161.66 to a 162.17 session high, RSI cooling into the low 60s. Price now consolidating near 162.00, holding above EMA20; the 162.17 high is the immediate cap.

Support: 161.88, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the 162.40-162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the rising-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 162.057

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.

Monday Asia session opened with a leg from 161.65 to 162.17 as JPY faded off Friday's Katayama-driven strength, RSI(14) easing from a stretched print. Price is holding a shallow pullback around 162.05, with the 162.17 session high the immediate cap.

Support: 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 signals the pullback is deepening back toward 161.65
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key rate-gap catalyst for the next sessions

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 62 · price 162.057

Higher highs/higher lows off the week-open gap.

USD/JPY gapped higher into the week open and rallied to a session high of 162.17 before easing back to 162.05, RSI cooling from the highs. Buyers stepped in at 161.88 and again near 161.97 as the rising sequence held; 162.50 remains the multi-decade cap above.

Support: 161.97, 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Break above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the key near-term rate-gap driver for this read

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 162.038

Higher highs into session high 162.17.

Asia session opened with a gap and a ~50-pip rally off 161.65 to a session high of 162.17, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price has since eased to 162.04, holding above the rising intraday lows; the 162.50 multi-decade high remains the cap overhead with intervention risk noted.

Support: 161.88, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 decade high
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • MoF/Katayama verbal-intervention headlines near 162.50 could shift the read

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 162.038

Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.

Early Asia trade extended the rally off 161.655 to a session high at 162.17, aided by a softer USD; price has since eased to 162.04 with RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels. Higher lows still intact above 161.88.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • A close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 decade high and intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.88 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 161.75
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 161.972

Monday open rally, rejected at session high.

Monday Asia opened after the weekend gap and pushed from 161.65 through 162.00 to a session high of 162.17, JPY giving back some of Friday's Katayama-driven strength. Price was rejected at 162.17 and is now consolidating near 161.97 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; 161.75 pivot still holding on the pullback.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.75 pivot exposes the 161.65 week open
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the rate differential and could reshape this read

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 161.972

Higher highs into 162.17, first pullback.

Monday Asia session gapped up and rallied to a 162.17 session high before rejecting, price now hovering at the 162.00 round number with RSI(14) cooling off from the highs. The 161.655 session low held the early dip; move remains an intraday uptrend but has stalled at the highs.

Support: 162.00, 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 multi-decade high
  • Failure to hold 161.75 pivot confirms a deeper pullback into the session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read

01:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 161.976

Higher highs post-gap, pulling back from session high.

Monday reopen gapped higher and rallied from 161.66 to a session high 162.17 through early Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price has since faded to 161.97 with 162.50 — the widely-flagged intervention zone — capping upside overhead.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.66

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward 162.50
  • Failure to hold 161.75 pivot confirms a lower-low
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the week's key catalyst for the rate-differential read

01:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 161.976

HH/HL off Asia open, pulling back from session high.

Monday Asia open gapped up from Friday's 161.65 area and ran to a session high of 162.17, extending Friday's JPY reversal. Price has since faded to 161.97 with RSI cooling from the highs; the 162.50 multi-decade level and stated intervention zone caps above.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 161.75 pivot opens a retest of the 161.655 session low
  • Push into 162.50 raises MoF/BoJ intervention headline risk
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift the rate-differential read

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 162.031

HH/HL chain into session high.

Asia session ground higher off the 161.655 open, stalling into 162.17 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s to ~63. Price is holding above 161.88 on the pullback; 162.50 remains the multi-decade intervention zone overhead.

Support: 161.882, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the intraday HL chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 162.031

HH/HL chain off session low.

Asia session opened Monday around 161.66 and pushed a clean HH/HL chain up to 162.17, with price now consolidating just under it at 162.03. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not stretched; carry grind resumed after Friday's Katayama repatriation-driven pullback toward 161.50.

Support: 161.88, 161.655

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • Push into 162.50 revives MoF/BoJ intervention-headline risk
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reprice the rate differential materially

01:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 68 · price 162.086

Higher highs since weekend open, testing session high.

Monday Asia session opened with a gap and rallied cleanly through the 162.00 round level to a session high at 162.17, JPY still soft on the carry despite Katayama's repatriation talk. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price holds above both EMAs with the 161.88 swing low as the last higher-low.

Support: 162.00, 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the higher-low chain and stalls the uptrend read
  • 162.50 multi-decade high is the intervention zone — area to watch for rejection
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

01:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 162.086

Higher highs post-gap, breaking above 162.

Session opened at 161.65 and rallied cleanly through the 162 handle, printing a session high at 162.17 with RSI(14) elevated near 67. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips toward 161.88; 162.50 intervention zone flagged in context is the upside area to watch for rejection.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.65

Resistance: 162.17, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.17 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 161.75 pivot
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the yield gap

01:02 UTC

Uptrend, gap-driven momentum · RSI 71 · price 162.122

Higher highs post-weekend gap, pressing session high.

USDJPY gapped higher into Monday Asia and rallied from 161.65 to a fresh session high at 162.12, RSI(14) near 71 after a clean chain of higher highs. The 162.50 multi-decade high and stated intervention zone sits just above; JPY caught a repatriation-headline bid on Friday but the gap has erased it.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.65

Resistance: 162.12, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Approach to 162.50 raises intervention-headline risk that can flip the read fast
  • Loss of 161.88 breaks the post-gap higher-low chain
  • US CPI later Tue 12:30 UTC could reset the rate-differential read

01:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to session highs · RSI 71 · price 162.122

Higher highs, higher lows into 162.12.

USD/JPY climbed steadily through early Asia, printing a fresh session high at 162.122 after basing at 161.65, recovering Friday's Katayama-driven dip. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but normal in the grind higher; the 162.50 multi-decade-high intervention zone sits overhead.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.65

Resistance: 162.122, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 162.50 escalates intervention risk
  • Loss of 161.88 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for the rate gap

00:46 UTC

Uptrend off the weekend open · RSI 61 · price 161.996

Gapped higher, consolidating below session high.

USDJPY gapped higher into the Asia open and rallied from 161.66 to a 162.06 session high, clearing the 161.75 pivot that capped Friday's Katayama-driven reversal. Price is now consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) around 61; the 162.50 multi-decade high sits above as a flagged intervention zone.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.062, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 162.062 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.75 pivot would negate the gap-and-go read
  • US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the week's key catalyst for the rate gap funding this move

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near session high · RSI 63 · price 161.996

Higher lows into a session-high shelf.

Monday Asia open rallied ~40 pips off 161.655 to tag 162.06, aided by a soft-USD lean, and is now consolidating just under that session high. RSI(14) mid-60s with room; price holding above the 161.75 pivot that capped Friday's reversal.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.06, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.06 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.75 reopens 161.655 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Gap higher, momentum flattening · RSI 59 · price 161.953

Consolidating below session high after weekend gap up.

Weekend gap opened the week higher, tagging 162.06 before stalling; price now coils in a tight 161.88–162.06 band, extending the JPY reaction to Friday's Katayama repatriation push. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 161.88, 161.75

Resistance: 162.06, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.06 session high opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.75 pivot fills the weekend gap and negates the gap-up read
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the swing event and could reprice the rate gap driving this pair

00:31 UTC

Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 161.953

Asia gapped higher, holding upper range.

Asia session gapped higher off 161.655 and pushed to 162.066 before stalling; price now consolidating in the upper half of the range near 161.95 with RSI(14) mid-range. The 161.75 pivot from Friday's reversal is holding as support beneath the move.

Support: 161.88, 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.066, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.066 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.75 pivot would unwind the Asia gap
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 161.912

Recovery off session low, consolidating below session high.

Monday Asia opened with a recovery from 161.65 to a session high at 162.066, extending Friday's JPY bounce narrative before stalling. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price consolidates near 161.90, holding above 161.882.

Support: 161.882, 161.655, 161.75

Resistance: 162.066, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Close above 162.066 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Failure to hold 161.655 negates the Asia recovery
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reshape this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend off session open, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 161.912

HH/HL chain into consolidation below session high.

Asia session reopened at 161.65 and rallied to 162.07 before fading, RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 59. Price now consolidating around 161.90, holding the 161.75 pivot with the session high untested.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.066, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 162.07 opens path back toward the 162.50 intervention zone
  • Loss of 161.75 pivot exposes the 161.655 session low
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reset this read

00:01 UTC

Asia-session uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 161.899

Gapped down then rallied to session high, now consolidating.

Thin Asia open gapped down from Friday's 161.73 then rallied to a session high at 162.06 before fading back to 161.90, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holding above 161.74 (Friday's prior high) keeps the intraday bounce intact; ATR is a slim ~9 pips in light early liquidity.

Support: 161.74, 161.655

Resistance: 162.06, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 162.06 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
  • Failure to hold 161.74 puts the 161.655 session low back in play
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reprice this read

00:01 UTC

Post-gap uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 56 · price 161.899

Higher lows into 162.06 session high, now fading.

Post-weekend reopen gapped lower to 161.655 then rallied cleanly to 162.066, a session high that rejected on the retest. Price has since faded to 161.90 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the 161.75 prior high is the first pullback level being tested.

Support: 161.75, 161.655

Resistance: 162.066, 162.50

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 161.75 exposes the 161.655 gap low and negates the post-gap uptrend
  • Reclaim of 162.066 reopens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
  • US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reprice the US-Japan yield gap

All markets that day · Today’s USD/JPY Live Scan in the terminal