USDJPY has churned in a 161.90-162.35 band since Tuesday's session, holding near four-decade highs as Tuesday's soft US CPI and Wednesday's PPI misses barely dented the pair. A sharp NY-hours drop to 161.60 mid-week was fully recovered, but the week high at 162.48 has capped and price now sits back beneath EMA20/EMA50 with RSI hovering near 47.
Support: 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.35, 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.48 week high reopens the path to 162.70 prior high
Loss of 161.90 swing low exposes the wed low at 161.60
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could reset this range
USD/JPY has churned in a 161.60–162.48 band all week, holding near four-decade highs despite soft US CPI and PPI barely denting the Yen. A high-volume flush during Tuesday's NY session tagged 161.60 before buyers recovered the pair to the low-162.00s, where it now sits just under EMA20/EMA50. Two attempts at the 162.48 week high have been capped, keeping the range top intact.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward 162.70
Loss of 161.60 swing low exposes the 161.28 week low
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric at 40-yr highs a two-way squeeze risk
USD/JPY has traded rangebound this week between the 161.60 swing low and the 162.48 week high, and now sits mid-range just below EMA(20). The pair bounced off the low-161s Thursday as firmer oil and the wide US-Japan rate gap offset soft US CPI/PPI prints, keeping the yen defensive near 40-year lows. RSI is cycling around the midline; the 162.30 prior high and 162.48 week high have capped two attempts, while higher lows have held since Thursday.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.30, 162.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 week high opens continuation higher
Break below 161.60 swing low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated near 40-year lows
22:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound this week · RSI 47 · price 162.104
Range 161.28–162.48, price mid-lower.
USD/JPY has traded a 161.28–162.48 band since Monday's open, with the pair pinned near 40-year highs as firm oil and the wide rate gap keep the yen soft. The 162.48 week high capped price mid-week and successive attempts have printed lower highs into the 162.30 area; the pair slipped back below EMA(20) into the close near 162.10 with RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 161.90, 161.28
Resistance: 162.30, 162.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens continuation toward the 162.70–163.00 range top
Loss of 161.90 swing low exposes the 161.28 week low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk near 40-yr highs caps upside on any Tokyo headline
21:02 UTC
Recovered, now ranging near highs · RSI 50 · price 162.186
Consolidation under week high after impulse.
USD/JPY recovered from Monday's dip to 161.28 and pushed to 162.48 into midweek before settling into a tight range, with price now hovering on the EMA20 around 162.18. The pair stays pinned near 40-year lows as oil strength and the wide US-Japan rate gap offset the soft US CPI/PPI drag on the dollar. Two attempts at 162.37-162.48 have been capped this week while pullbacks have held above 161.90.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 161.90 exposes the 161.60 spike low
21:02 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery within range · RSI 51 · price 162.186
Range-bound, higher lows off week low.
USD/JPY has spent the week grinding in a 161.28–162.48 range as a softer dollar post-CPI/PPI was offset by the wide rate gap and firmer oil keeping the yen defensive near 40-year highs. Price recovered from Monday's week low into the NY session and tagged the 162.48 week high midweek before rejecting back; it now hugs EMA20 around 162.19 with RSI cycling near neutral. The 161.60 day low held on the latest pullback, keeping the sequence of higher lows intact.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 week high opens the path toward the 162.70–163.00 range top
Loss of 161.60 day low confirms a lower low and threatens the week low at 161.28
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and Tokyo intervention risk near 40-yr highs could shift this read
USD/JPY has held a ~161.60–162.48 range through the week, grinding back to 162.22 after Wednesday's dip to 161.60. Soft US CPI and PPI misses capped the dollar, but oil/Iran flows kept the yen defensive near 40-year lows, leaving a two-way grind. RSI(14) is cycling near 50 with price sitting on EMA(20); the week high at 162.48 has capped attempts twice.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens a test of the range top toward 163.00
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the week's higher-low structure
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Consolidation near cycle highs · RSI 54 · price 162.225
Range-bound, 161.60–162.48 this week.
USD/JPY has churned in a 161.60–162.48 band all week as soft US CPI and PPI drag on the dollar but oil-led Iran risk and the wide rate gap keep the yen defensive near 40-year lows. Price recovered off the 161.60 swing low into NY and now sits mid-range around EMA(20), with 162.48 capping the week's advance. RSI(14) is neutral near 53, matching the sideways read.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break the range either way
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.70–163.00 top of the wider band
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated with pair near 40-year highs
Consolidation inside this-week range below 162.48.
USD/JPY spent the week grinding within a 161.28–162.48 band and now sits mid-range near 162.05 after drifting off the 162.42 area into the NY session. Two attempts at 162.42/162.48 have been capped this week even as soft US CPI/PPI pressured the dollar elsewhere — higher oil and Iran risk kept the yen heavy and offset the disinflation read. Price has slipped back below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.42, 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.85 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms a lower-low toward the 161.28 week low
Intervention rhetoric near 162-163 could sharply shift this read
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break the range
19:02 UTC
Range-bound, rolling over intraday · RSI 44 · price 162.025
Ranging 162.00-162.46 after Monday's flush.
USDJPY has churned in a 162.00-162.46 band since recovering off Monday's 161.28 flush, with the pair now slipping below EMA(20) as it rolled over from 162.46 back to the 162.00 pivot into the NY session. Higher oil and Middle-East risk have kept the yen pinned near four-decade lows, offsetting the drag from this week's soft US CPI/PPI. The 162.46 week high has capped attempts while 162.85 marks the four-decade high above.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.46, 162.85
What it said to watch
H1 close below 162.00 pivot exposes 161.60 swing low
Reclaim of 162.46 week high needed to challenge 162.85
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Range under 40-yr high, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 161.951
Consolidation 161.28-162.48, pulling off highs.
USDJPY has churned in a 161.28-162.48 band all week, pinned just below the 40-yr high as soft US CPI and PPI capped the dollar while oil and intervention doubts kept the yen heavy. Price stalled twice near 162.47 and has now slipped back to 161.95, dropping below EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling off toward the mid-40s. The range floor around 161.60 is the immediate structural reference.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.47, 162.85
What it said to watch
H1 close below 161.60 opens the path to the 161.28 week low
Reclaim of 162.47 puts the 162.85 40-yr high back in focus, where intervention risk builds
Thursday 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Sideways, capped under 40-yr high · RSI 42 · price 161.951
Range 162.0-162.5, slipping to lower end.
USD/JPY has traded a tight range beneath the 40-year high all week, with supply repeatedly capping attempts at the 162.48 week high. Softer US CPI/PPI trimmed the dollar but rising oil and intervention-shy yen kept the pair heavy in the upper 162s; the latest NY session has faded back to 161.95, slipping under EMA20. RSI(14) at ~42 confirms momentum has rolled toward the lower end of the range.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 reopens the 40-yr high at 162.85
Loss of 161.60 swing low exposes the 161.28 week low
Intervention headlines near 162.85 could force sharp two-way volatility
USDJPY is pinned in a 161.60–162.48 range just beneath the 40-yr high at 162.85, with price drifting back below both H1 EMAs into the NY session. Soft US CPI/PPI this week capped the dollar and briefly lifted the yen toward 161.9, but rising oil and Iran risk offset that, keeping the pair heavy in the upper 162s. The week high at 162.48 has capped attempts twice while demand near 161.90 has held.
Support: 161.90, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 40-yr high at 162.85
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms a lower low toward the week low 161.28
Thursday US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
Intervention rhetoric near 162.85 a two-way volatility risk
USDJPY is consolidating in the low-162s, pinned just under the week high at 162.48 and the 40-yr high at 162.85 after two failed pushes higher. Soft US CPI and PPI knocked the dollar and briefly dragged the pair to the 161.60 swing low, but rising oil and intervention-hesitant JPY flows have kept it rangebound. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 with price hugging both EMAs, reflecting a stalled, two-way market this week.
Support: 161.60, 161.00
Resistance: 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.85 clears the 40-yr high but invites MoF intervention headlines
Close below 161.60 swing low confirms a lower low, opening the path toward the 161.00 21d ema
Thursday 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could break the consolidation either way
16:02 UTC
Sideways after early-week dip and recovery · RSI 46 · price 162.124
Range near 162, capped below 162.48.
USDJPY has churned around 162 since Monday's open, with a sharp NY-session flush to 161.60 mid-week quickly bought back toward 162.48. Two attempts at 162.37/162.48 have capped, and price now sits just under EMA20 after slipping into the latest NY session. Soft US CPI and PPI this week have weighed on USD, but higher oil and the yield gap keep the pair pinned near 40-year highs.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 162.37, 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break the 162 range read
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.85 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.60 confirms a lower low
Intervention rhetoric near 162.85 could trigger a sharp reversal
USDJPY rejected the 162.48 week high through Tuesday's NY session and has drifted back below EMA20, cycling in a 162.05-162.48 range with RSI easing under 50. Soft US CPI and today's PPI misses undercut the dollar, but higher oil and the yield gap keep the pair pinned near 40-year highs. Price is holding the rising sequence of higher lows off Monday's 161.28 base.
Support: 162.05, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.85
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.85 40yr high and revives intervention risk
Loss of 162.05 range base exposes 161.60 swing low and breaks the higher-low sequence
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY has drifted off Tuesday's 162.48 week high and is consolidating in the low-162s, with softer US CPI and today's PPI miss failing to force the pair meaningfully lower as carry keeps it bid near 40-year highs. Price slipped back under EMA(20) through the NY session with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s, and the 162.00 psych level is the near-term floor. Rejection at 162.42/162.48 has capped the latest push.
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.42, 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path to the 162.70 range top
Loss of 162.00 psych exposes 161.90 swing low then 161.60 day low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
MoF intervention risk builds toward 163.00 range top
15:02 UTC
Sideways, two-way inside range · RSI 45 · price 162.127
Range-bound, recent lower highs.
USD/JPY has chopped inside a 161.60-162.48 band all week as a second day of soft US data (CPI, then today's PPI miss) gave the yen only shallow support. Buyers stalled twice at the 162.48 week high before this week's impulse off 161.60 faded; price is now retracing back into the 162.10 area and sits below EMA20 with RSI drifting near 45. The band's structure remains intact with lower highs capping the recent bounce.
Support: 162.09, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
H1 close below 161.90 confirms a lower-low toward the 161.60 swing low
Close above 162.48 week high reopens the path to 162.70 range top
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY drifted lower for a second day after soft US CPI and PPI dragged the dollar, dipping to 161.60 during NY hours yesterday before recovering. Price is consolidating around the EMA(20) near 162.20, with 162.48 capping the last two pushes and RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The broader 160.60–163.00 band remains intact with no clean directional break inside the window.
Support: 162.05, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the key near-term USD driver and could break this range read
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.70 range top
Loss of 162.05 puts the 161.60 NY low back in play
14:02 UTC
Range-bound near multi-decade highs · RSI 48 · price 162.19
Consolidation below week high after failed 162.48 push.
USDJPY is churning around 162.20 after a soft US CPI/PPI run this week trimmed Fed hike bets and dragged the dollar; JPY gains stayed shallow with the pair still pinned near 40-year highs. Wednesday's NY session pushed to 162.48 but failed there, and a sharp intraday flush to 161.60 was quickly bought back. Price now sits right on EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 — a balanced consolidation inside the broad weekly band.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low
Reclaim of 162.48 reopens the 162.70 range top
162.70 remains intervention-sensitive on any spike
13:02 UTC
Sideways, capped near multi-decade high · RSI 46 · price 162.168
Consolidation under week high after Monday recovery.
USDJPY sold off from Monday's open to the 161.28 week low before grinding back to a 162.48 week high through midweek; price has since coiled in a 162.0–162.4 range. Soft US CPI and PPI kept the dollar defensive, capping the pair just below its 40-year high as intervention chatter deters upside above 162.70. Last close 162.168 sits under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 week high opens the path toward the 162.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.00 round number exposes the 161.60 swing low
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) and Beige Book could shift the USD read within the next bars
13:02 UTC
Range-bound near multi-decade highs · RSI 44 · price 162.168
Consolidation between 162.00 and 162.48 after early-week rally.
USDJPY opened this week near 161.66 and rallied through to 162.48 by midweek, since drifting into a tight range between 162.00 and 162.48. Softer US CPI and PPI have kept the dollar broadly on the back foot, but the wide US-Japan rate gap and intervention risk around 162.70/163.00 are keeping price capped rather than trending. Current print at 162.17 sits at the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse and just below the H1 EMA(20).
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.66
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 week high opens the path toward the 162.70 intervention zone
Loss of 162.00 exposes the 161.90 swing low and 161.66 week low
Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift the USD read
USDJPY has clawed back from Tuesday's NY dip to 161.60, printing higher lows into the current NY session and now holding above EMA20 near 162.20. JPY caught a mild bid earlier in the week after the soft US CPI print trimmed Fed hike bets, but the wide rate gap has kept the pair pinned in a 161.60–162.48 band. Price sits just below the week high with RSI(14) hovering near 58.
Support: 162.20, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr low
Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes the 161.60 swing low
HIGH-impact Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC plus PPI could materially shift this read
Sideways band below week high, holding above EMA20.
USDJPY has pinned into a 161.60–162.48 band near four-decade lows, with the pair firming modestly after yesterday's soft US CPI trimmed Fed hike bets. The week high at 162.48 has capped two attempts, and price is grinding back above EMA20 after the dip to 161.60. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the balanced tape into today's US data.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 162.48 week high opens the path toward the 40yr pivot at 162.84
Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes the 161.60 swing low
USDJPY dipped to 161.60 on yesterday's soft US CPI print but has since ground back above both EMAs, posting higher lows through the NY and Asia sessions. Resistance at 162.46 has capped the week's rallies, with the 40-year low pivot at 162.84 the next reference overhead. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58, tracking the recovery without stretching.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.46, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.46 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr pivot
Failure to hold 162.00 breaks the rising support off 161.60
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 59 · price 162.341
Higher lows since recovery off 161.60.
USDJPY swept down to 161.60 in the NY session before buyers recovered the whole leg, and the pair has since built a sequence of higher lows back above EMA20 and EMA50. Soft US CPI has kept the dollar heavy, but a wide rate gap keeps JPY pinned near four-decade lows, leaving price grinding inside the 162.00–162.84 band. Resistance at 162.48 has capped the latest push while demand is stepping in around 162.20.
Support: 162.20, 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 40yr low pivot at 162.84
Failure to hold 162.00 confirms a lower-low and re-exposes 161.60
US Core PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY recovered off the 161.60 swing low into the NY session and has ground back toward the 162.48 weekly high, which has capped attempts twice this week. Softer US CPI yesterday kept the dollar heavy, but the wide rate gap continues to cap yen strength and price is holding a tight range near four-decade highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 59 with price above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the 162.70/162.84 40yr low zone
Failure to hold 162.00 psych reopens the 161.60 swing low
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Intervention/repatriation headlines are the two-way risk near these highs
Choppy range under 40-yr-high resistance, higher lows since dip.
USDJPY has churned in a 161.28–162.50 band all week, with the soft US June CPI print capping any dollar upside near four-decade highs. Price has clawed back above EMA(20) since the NY-session dip to 161.60, and RSI(14) is cycling mid-range near 57. The 162.46 prior high has capped attempts twice, keeping the range top intact.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.46, 162.70
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 162.46 opens the path toward the 162.70 supply zone
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low
Intervention headlines remain a two-way squeeze risk near these highs
Higher lows off mid-week dip, capped at week high.
USD/JPY recovered off the mid-week 161.28 dip and has been grinding higher across the London-NY sessions, with softer US CPI giving JPY only modest relief against the entrenched rate gap. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 56, while the 162.46 week high has capped the latest push. US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term swing factor.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.46, 162.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.46 opens the path back toward the 162.70 zone
Loss of 162.00 psych exposes the 161.60 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY carved out a range this week after Monday's slide to 161.28, recovering steadily through the NY sessions to test 162.48, which has capped multiple attempts. The pair edged off 40-year-low territory as the soft US CPI print trimmed Fed-hike bets, but the entrenched rate gap kept dips shallow and price is now holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling near neutral. Price sits mid-range around 162.29 after a spike to 161.60 was bought back.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 163.00
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.70 supply and 163.00 intervention line
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low and week low at 161.28
Proximity to the 162.84 40-year low raises MoF intervention odds on any push higher
08:02 UTC
Sideways near 40-yr highs · RSI 55 · price 162.271
Consolidation inside 162.00-162.50 band.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in a 162.00-162.50 band near 40-year highs, price holding just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering mid-50s. The soft US June CPI print gave the yen only modest relief; the wide rate gap keeps it defensive while the 162.70/163.00 zone carries intervention risk. Two attempts at 162.48 this week have been capped, and higher lows have formed off Tuesday's 161.60 dip.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 163.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.70 intervention zone
Loss of the 162.00 pivot exposes the 161.60 swing low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Range-bound near 40-yr highs · RSI 55 · price 162.271
Consolidation between 161.28 and 162.48.
USDJPY is grinding sideways just under 40-year highs, holding a 161.28–162.48 band since Monday after the soft US CPI print gave the Yen only modest relief. Price sits back above EMA20 following the NY-session dip to 161.60, with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The 162.48 week high has capped rallies twice and remains the topside marker into the 162.70/163.00 intervention zone.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 163.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path toward the 162.70/163.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could reprice this read
07:02 UTC
Sideways, recovering within range · RSI 54 · price 162.203
Range-bound below week high, higher lows off week low.
USDJPY has chopped in a 161.28–162.48 band all week after soft US June CPI trimmed Fed hike bets and knocked the pair off its 162.48 highs. Price sits back above EMA(20)/EMA(50) near 162.20 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s, keeping the pair inside the well-respected 160.60–163.00 range as the 162.84 four-decade high caps upside. Two dips to the 161.60 area were bought back this week, leaving a mild higher-low structure.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; hot core reintroduces USD bid
H1 close above 162.48 opens the path back toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.60 recent low reopens the 161.28 week low
Proximity to 162.84 keeps intervention-headline risk live
07:02 UTC
Sideways, no clear H1 direction · RSI 51 · price 162.203
Range within 160.60–163.00 band.
USDJPY has chopped inside the well-respected band this week: an early flush to 161.28 was bought back to the 162.50 week high, then a second dip toward 161.60 during Tuesday's NY session before recovery back to 162.20. Soft US CPI yesterday capped the dollar and pulled price off the highs, leaving H1 pinned around EMA20 with RSI near 50. The 162.00 round number is holding as near-term support while 162.50 keeps a lid on rallies.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.50, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 162.50 opens the path back toward 162.70/162.84
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 swing low
Proximity to the 162.84 40yr high keeps intervention headlines in play
USD/JPY has consolidated near 40-year highs all week, boxed roughly between 161.28 and the 162.51 week high. Tuesday's dip to 161.28 and yesterday's 161.60 drop on the soft US CPI print were both bought back, leaving price hovering around EMA20 into the current session. Range top at 162.51 still caps, with 162.70 and the 162.84 40-year high untested above.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.506, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.51 opens the path to 162.70/162.84 where intervention risk is live
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.60 recent low
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY is consolidating around 162.20 after recovering from Monday's flush to 161.28, with the week high at 162.48 capping the last two NY-session attempts. Soft US CPI trimmed the dollar but the yen bounce stayed shallow, keeping price pinned in a 162.00-162.48 band just below the 40-year high. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and price is hugging its EMAs, reflecting balance rather than direction.
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.48 opens the path to 162.70 and the 162.84 40-year high
Loss of round 162.00 exposes 161.90 and the 161.60 swing low
Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Range-bound, choppy near highs · RSI 49 · price 162.218
Sideways band 161.60-162.50, capped topside.
USD/JPY has chopped in a 161.60-162.50 band this week, pinned near 40-year highs. Soft US CPI knocked the pair to 161.60 in the NY session yesterday before it recovered back above 162.00; RSI(14) is hovering around 50 with price sitting on EMA20. Attempts toward 162.48 have been capped, with intervention risk noted near the 162.70 supply and 162.84 four-decade low.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.70 exposes the 162.84 40yr low
Failure to hold 162.00 opens the 161.60 swing low then week low 161.28
US PPI and Warsh testimony today could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound near highs · RSI 50 · price 162.218
Range between week low and prior high.
USDJPY has chopped in a 161.28–162.48 range this week, with the pair pulled off session highs near 162.48 after the soft US June CPI trimmed Fed tightening bets. Price is now consolidating around 162.20, sitting just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 50 — a balanced, two-way tape. The 162.70/162.84 four-decade-low zone continues to cap the upside as intervention risk lingers.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
Grind above 162.70 exposes the 162.84 40yr low and opens 163.00
Failure to hold 162.00 psych targets the 161.60 swing low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Any MoF/BoJ verbal intervention near 162.84 could spark a sharp reversal toward 162.00
USDJPY based twice at 161.28 midweek and recovered toward 162.48, where two NY-session attempts were rejected; soft US June CPI gave the Yen only modest relief with the pair pinned near four-decade highs. Price is now consolidating around 162.10, slipping back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) sub-50. The 162.48 week high still caps, while 162.00 is the immediate floor for the range.
Support: 162.00, 161.83, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI cluster at 12:30 UTC is the key USD swing factor for the next bars
Approach to 162.84 raises intervention risk into that 40yr-low zone
H1 close below 162.00 opens the path back toward 161.83/161.28
Reclaim of 162.48 would end the consolidation read
USDJPY is consolidating just under the 162.48 week high after soft US June CPI drove a sharp leg down to 161.60 in the prior NY session; buyers reclaimed the 162.00 round level but price is now pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 48. The week has been a two-sided range, with 162.48 capping attempts and 161.60 marking the CPI-driven swing low.
Support: 162.00, 161.60
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC is the key near-term swing factor and could shift this read
H1 close below 161.60 confirms a lower-low and opens the range floor
Approach toward 162.84 puts price into the 40-year-low intervention zone
USDJPY flushed to a 161.28 week low after Tuesday's soft US CPI print, then ground steadily back above 162 through the week to retest the 162.48 week high. Two attempts stalled at that resistance and price has since slipped back below EMA(20), with the prior high at 162.28 now capping. The 162.84 intervention zone remains the ceiling on any renewed push.
Support: 161.96, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.28, 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI cluster 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 162.28 reopens the 162.48 week high
Loss of 161.96 session low exposes the 161.60 swing low
USD/JPY recovered from Monday's 161.28 low back to 162.46 before soft US June CPI knocked the dollar and dragged the pair off its highs during yesterday's NY session. Price has since coiled between 162.00 and the 162.28 session high, slipping below EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering near 45. The 162.46 week high capped the advance twice and the pair is drifting into a tighter range.
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.28
Resistance: 162.28, 162.46, 162.84
What it said to watch
US PPI cluster at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 162.46 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40yr low intervention zone
Loss of 162.00 exposes 161.90 swing low and confirms a lower-low
Range under week high after rebound from week low.
USDJPY rebounded off the 161.28 week low through Monday and Tuesday, tagging 162.48 before lower highs set in over the NY session. Soft US CPI yesterday briefly knocked the pair to 161.60 but buyers reclaimed 162.00, leaving price ranging just below the 40-year-low zone. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price back under EMA20.
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close below 162.00 exposes the 161.90 swing low and 161.28 week low
Reclaim of 162.48 reopens the 162.84 40yr low, where intervention risk is live
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Range, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 162.089
Ranging 161.30-162.48, below EMA20.
USDJPY has spent the week boxed between the 161.28 week low and 162.48 week high, with the softer US CPI keeping the dollar capped near the top of the range. A sharp drop through the NY session yesterday tagged 161.60 before buyers recovered it, but price has since slipped back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The 40-year 162.84 high and MoF intervention risk continue to overhang any push higher.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.70, 162.84
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 week high opens the path to 162.70
Failure to hold 162.00 psych exposes 161.60 swing low
US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USDJPY has churned in a 161.28–162.48 range this week, holding near four-decade highs as the wide rate gap keeps the yen soft. The soft US June CPI capped the advance below the 162.48 week high, and price has since drifted through the NY session to test the 162.00 psych area with RSI sub-50. Lower highs off 162.48 mark a mild loss of upside momentum near the range top.
Support: 162.00, 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.28, 162.478, 162.84
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 162.00 opens 161.60 swing low
Reclaim of 162.28 puts the 162.48 week high back in play
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Proximity to 162.84/163.00 keeps intervention risk elevated
00:02 UTC
Range within broader uptrend · RSI 51 · price 162.189
Consolidating mid-range near 40yr highs.
USD/JPY sold off on yesterday's soft US CPI, dipping to 161.60 before recovering back into the week's 161.28–162.48 band; price now sits mid-range around EMA(20). The 162.48 prior high has capped attempts, keeping spot below the twice-failed 162.80 range cap. RSI(14) is cycling near neutral with no clear directional impulse.
Support: 161.60, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.80
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 exposes the 162.80 range cap
loss of 161.60 swing low reopens the 161.28 week low
PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could shift this read
intervention headlines near 162.80 remain an idiosyncratic risk
USDJPY dipped to 161.28 mid-week as a soft US June CPI pressured the dollar, but the pair recovered through the NY session and is back consolidating near 162.20, holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The week high at 162.57 has capped, and the broader 162.80 cap remains the ceiling flagged near four-decade highs. Higher-lows since the 161.28 print keep structure constructive while price ranges below 162.48.
Support: 161.91, 161.28
Resistance: 162.48, 162.57, 162.80
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.48 reopens the 162.80 prior cap
Failure to hold 161.91 swing low reopens the 161.28 week low
PPI cluster 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could shift this read
Intervention-risk headlines near 162 as spot sits by 40yr highs