USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 28 May 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:45 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 47 · price 159.261

Lower highs into 159.11 swing low, sideways recovery since.

USDJPY sold off from 159.65 session high to a 159.11 swing low during NY hours, with a clear sweep candle through 159.18 support. Asia is now consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 range, RSI(14) recovering to mid-40s; price hugging EMA20 but capped below EMA50.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.29 micro swing opens path back to 159.45 prior pivot
  • Break of 159.11 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • Tokyo CPI on the docket — could materially shift this read on JPY

23:30 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 45 · price 159.249

Lower high then range above session low.

NY session sold the 159.65 high down to 159.11 on soft PCE and Iran-Hormuz headlines, with a sharp impulse leg through 159.45. Asia is consolidating tight between 159.18 and 159.29, RSI(14) basing near 45 with price hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.29 range top opens path back to 159.45 pre-drop swing
  • Break of 159.18 session low exposes 159.11 spike low
  • Tokyo CPI ahead is the next material catalyst for JPY

23:15 UTC

Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 44 · price 159.247

Lower high at 159.65, lower low at 159.11, now consolidating.

NY session sold off sharply from 159.49 to 159.11 on the softer PCE print and Iran-related risk headlines, then based through the late session. Last few hours of Asia have been a tight drift between 159.18 and 159.29 with RSI(14) neutral around 44, no recovery attempt at the 159.34 breakdown level.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.34, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.34 post-drop high would neutralise the downtrend read
  • Break of 159.11 swing low extends the leg lower
  • Tokyo CPI release in the coming Asia session could drive the next move

23:00 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 48 · price 159.25

Lower-high sequence into 159.10 sweep, now consolidating mid-range.

NY session drove a sharp leg lower from 159.65 into a 159.11 swing low after softer PCE pressured the dollar, then based out around 159.20–159.29 into the Asia handover. Price now ticking back into the micro high at 159.29 with RSI(14) recovering to neutral; no fresh impulse in either direction during low-volume Asian open.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Tokyo CPI release in the upcoming Asia session could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 159.29 micro high opens path back toward 159.45 rejection
  • Break of 159.18 session low re-tests 159.11 swing low
  • Iran/Hormuz headline risk continues to drive intraday whipsaws

22:45 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 159.274

Lower highs into 159.11 sweep, rebound stalling at 159.28.

NY session sold USDJPY from 159.49 down through 159.18 on the softer PCE print, with the 159.11 swing low sweeping before a recovery into 159.27. Price has since coiled in a tight 159.18–159.28 range through the late session, RSI(14) flat near 46.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.28, 159.34, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 159.34 prior pivot would negate the lower-high structure
  • Break below 159.11 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
  • Tokyo CPI release in the Asia session could materially shift this read

22:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing · RSI 43 · price 159.239

Lower highs into 159.10 sweep, now rangebound.

USDJPY rolled over from the 159.65 session high after softer PCE and US-Iran truce headlines, sweeping 159.18 down to 159.11 before basing. Price now consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 range into the Tokyo CPI release, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral.

Support: 159.111, 159.18

Resistance: 159.29, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.29 swing would unwind the intraday downtrend read
  • Break of 159.111 session low extends lower-low sequence
  • Tokyo CPI print in the Asia session could materially shift this read

22:15 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 42 · price 159.253

Lower highs into 159.11 low, basing above 159.18.

NY session sold USDJPY hard from 159.63 to 159.11 on US-Iran ceasefire and softer PCE headlines, with the sharpest leg coming on heavy volume into the 159.18 area. Price has since basked in a 159.18–159.29 range and is grinding back to 159.25 in thin late hours, RSI(14) recovering to ~42 from oversold.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45, 159.629

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.29 opens room back toward the 159.45 pre-drop shelf
  • Break of 159.18 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
  • Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could re-inject volatility into a quiet tape

22:00 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 41 · price 159.211

Lower highs into 159.18 low, consolidating.

USDJPY sold off through the NY session on US-Iran ceasefire and softer PCE headlines, breaking from 159.49 to a 159.11 spike low before stabilising in a tight 159.18–159.29 band into Asia open. Price now hovers at 159.21 with momentum flat; the late drift down to 159.18 lacks follow-through.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.42, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.29 micro high opens path back to 159.42 ny rejection zone
  • Break of 159.18 session low exposes the 159.11 spike low
  • Tokyo CPI release in the Asia session could materially shift this read

21:45 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 38 · price 159.189

Lower highs into 159.20 base, basing.

USDJPY sold off through NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire headlines and softer PCE pressured the dollar, with the pair sliding from 159.49 to a spike low at 159.11. Price has since based between 159.18 and 159.27, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but stalling sub-50 as Tokyo CPI looms in the Asia session.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.27, 159.34, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.34 rejection level would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
  • M15 close below 159.18 session low reopens 159.11 spike low
  • Tokyo CPI in the Asia open could materially shift this read

21:30 UTC

Intraday pullback from session highs · RSI 41 · price 159.183

Lower high, lower low after NY-session drop.

USDJPY took a sharp leg lower during NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire and softer PCE headlines pressured the dollar, printing a session low at 159.111 from a 159.650 high. Price is now consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 range into the Asia handover, holding just above the swing low with RSI(14) recovering toward 41.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.49, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.179 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 159.290 recent high opens room back toward 159.490 pre-drop high
  • Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could re-introduce volatility

21:15 UTC

Intraday downtrend after NY-session flush · RSI 31 · price 159.183

Lower highs into 159.18-159.30 range.

USDJPY broke down through 159.45 during NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines, flushing to 159.11 before stabilising. Price has since consolidated in a tight 159.18–159.29 range with RSI(14) recovering from oversold, and the late bar is pressing the session low again.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.34

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.18 reopens the flush low at 159.11
  • Reclaim of 159.34 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
  • Tokyo CPI in Asia session could shift JPY tone

21:00 UTC

Intraday downtrend, basing · RSI 47 · price 159.257

Lower-high lower-low sequence, now ranging near lows.

NY session sold off hard from 159.49 to 159.11 on US-Iran truce headlines pressuring the dollar, then based into a tight 159.20–159.29 range late session. RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s as price consolidates above the swing low; no fresh directional impulse in the last 3 hours.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.42, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.180 reopens the 159.111 swing low
  • M15 close above 159.290 range top targets the 159.420 shelf
  • Tokyo CPI in the upcoming Asia session could break the range

20:45 UTC

Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 43 · price 159.259

Lower high at 159.65, sweep low at 159.11, recovery stalling.

USD/JPY sold off through NY hours after US-Iran truce headlines, sweeping the session low at 159.11 before basing into the late session. Price has since coiled in a tight 159.20–159.29 range with RSI recovering toward 42; the broken shelf at 159.45 caps the recovery attempt.

Support: 159.20, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 159.20 reopens the 159.11 sweep low
  • Reclaim of 159.29 micro pivot opens path to the 159.45 broken shelf
  • Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could reprice the pair

20:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend after sharp NY drop · RSI 42 · price 159.246

Lower highs forming after capitulation low at 159.111, basing near 159.20-159.25.

USDJPY snapped a multi-hour grind lower with two NY-session impulse drops triggered by US-Iran truce headlines, bottoming at 159.111 before basing around 159.20. Last 10 bars are coiling 159.20-159.29 with RSI(14) rebounding from oversold into the low 40s — consolidation under the pre-drop shelf at 159.43.

Support: 159.20, 159.111, 159.00

Resistance: 159.29, 159.43

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 159.290 micro LH would shift the read from drift to recovery toward 159.43
  • Break of 159.20 session base re-opens 159.111 session low and the 159.00 psych
  • Tokyo CPI in the upcoming Asia session could materially shift this read

20:15 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 42 · price 159.246

Lower highs and lower lows since NY session, base forming at 159.15.

USDJPY broke down through 159.45 during NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines and a softer dollar, printing a session low at 159.11 before stabilising. Price is now coiling between 159.18 and 159.29 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still sub-50; no setup until one side of this micro-range gives.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.29 minor swing opens path back to 159.45 pre-drop base
  • Break of 159.18 session low exposes 159.11 spike low and extends the downtrend
  • Fresh US-Iran truce headlines could materially shift this read

20:00 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 38 · price 159.211

Lower highs after NY drop, basing near session low.

USDJPY sold off sharply during NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines, dropping from 159.650 to a 159.111 spike low before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 range late NY, with RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still sub-40.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Break of 159.180 session low reopens 159.111 spike low
  • Reclaim of 159.290 micro pivot would challenge the downtrend read
  • Asia session opens shortly; thin liquidity could widen the range

19:45 UTC

Intraday downtrend after NY drop · RSI 43 · price 159.234

Lower-high at 159.65, lower-low at 159.11, current bounce stalling.

USDJPY broke down through 159.40 during NY hours on US-Iran truce headlines and Musalem comments, printing a spike low at 159.11 before stabilising. Price is consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 range as the NY session winds down, RSI(14) recovering toward 43 but EMAs still capping above.

Support: 159.18, 159.11

Resistance: 159.29, 159.34, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 159.34 pre-drop area would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
  • Break of 159.11 spike low extends the leg lower
  • Headline risk from US-Iran MOU approval could materially shift this read

19:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 42 · price 159.271

Lower highs and lower lows since NY open, basing into late NY.

USDJPY took a sharp leg lower in the NY session on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, flushing from 159.65 to 159.11 before stabilising into a tight 159.18–159.29 range. Price is now grinding back toward the 159.29 micro pivot, RSI(14) recovering to 41 from oversold.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.43, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 micro pivot opens path back to 159.430 post-drop high
  • Break of 159.111 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • Further US-Iran ceasefire headlines could materially shift this read

19:15 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 43 · price 159.271

Lower highs, lower lows after NY-session breakdown.

USDJPY broke down sharply during NY hours, dropping from 159.49 to a session low at 159.111 as USD selling intensified on US-Iran ceasefire headlines. Price has since stabilised in a tight 159.18–159.29 range with RSI recovering toward neutral; sellers capped the bounce at the micro pivot 159.290.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.336, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.336 rebound high would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 159.111 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • Trump's approval of US-Iran MOU could trigger further USD volatility

19:00 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 43 · price 159.273

Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.

USD sold off sharply during NY hours on the US-Iran ceasefire headlines, dropping ~50 pips from 159.65 to a spike low at 159.111. Price is now consolidating in a tight 159.18–159.29 band as the late-NY session winds down, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward 42.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 intraday LH would signal the post-drop downtrend is stalling
  • Break of 159.180 session low reopens 159.111 spike low
  • Further headlines on Trump's approval of the US-Iran MOU could drive another USD leg

18:45 UTC

Downtrend, post-shock stabilisation · RSI 41 · price 159.257

Lower highs after impulsive break, basing near session lows.

USDJPY took a sharp leg down during NY hours as USD sold off on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines, breaking from 159.45 to a 159.11 spike low. Price has since stabilised in a tight 159.18–159.29 range with RSI recovering off oversold, no fresh impulse either way into the close.

Support: 159.18, 159.111

Resistance: 159.29, 159.336, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 159.336 post-drop high would neutralise the bearish read
  • Break of 159.180 session low reopens the 159.111 spike low
  • Trump's final approval on the Iran MOU could re-ignite USD-side volatility

18:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 38 · price 159.204

Lower highs and lower lows from 159.65 swing.

USDJPY broke down through 159.49 during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and USD selling, printing a session low at 159.111 before stabilising into a tight 159.18–159.24 range. Price is consolidating below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 38, neither oversold nor recovering.

Support: 159.111, 159.179, 159.00

Resistance: 159.24, 159.336, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.240 micro high opens path back to 159.336 bounce high
  • Break of 159.111 session low extends the downtrend toward 159.00 psych
  • Trump approval / rejection of US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read

18:15 UTC

Downtrend, post-drop consolidation · RSI 41 · price 159.209

Lower highs after impulsive sell-off.

NY session saw an impulsive break lower from 159.49 down to 159.11 after Musalem's hawkish remarks faded and ceasefire headlines pressured USD; price has since stabilised in a tight 159.15–159.29 range. RSI(14) recovered from oversold to 41 as the late-NY hour drifts sideways below all major EMAs.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.43, 159.49

What it said to watch

  • A 15m close back above the 159.290 swing high opens a path toward the 159.430 pre-drop shelf
  • Loss of the 159.111 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • Ceasefire MOU headline risk (Trump approval pending) could re-trigger USD volatility

18:00 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 40 · price 159.209

Lower highs, lower lows post-NY drop.

USDJPY broke down through 159.45 during NY hours on hawkish Musalem comments and softer new-home sales, printing a session low at 159.111 before stabilising. Price now consolidating in a tight 159.15–159.24 band, RSI(14) recovering from oversold toward 40.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 recent high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Break of 159.111 session low extends the leg lower
  • Headline risk from pending US/Iran MOU approval could trigger an outsized move

17:45 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 38 · price 159.228

Lower highs, lower lows after NY drop.

USDJPY sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking the 159.45 pivot and extending to 159.11 on Musalem hawkish comments and US-Iran ceasefire headlines. Price has since stabilised, grinding back to 159.23 with RSI lifting off oversold — corrective bounce inside the broader intraday downtrend.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.29 rebound high would neutralise the downside pressure
  • Break of 159.11 session low extends the leg lower
  • Further Trump headlines on the Iran MOU could re-ignite USD selling

17:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 33 · price 159.188

Lower highs into 159.18 base, attempted basing.

USDJPY sold off through NY hours after Musalem's hawkish comments faded against US-Iran ceasefire headlines, breaking the 159.45 base and extending to a session low at 159.11. Price is now consolidating in a tight 159.15–159.20 range below the 159.29 micro pivot with RSI(14) lifting off oversold.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • 15m close back above 159.29 micro pivot would neutralise the leg lower
  • break of 159.11 session low extends the downtrend
  • Trump approval of US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read

17:15 UTC

Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 28 · price 159.155

Lower highs and lower lows post-breakdown.

USDJPY collapsed during NY hours, breaking the 159.45 floor on the US/Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and printing a session low at 159.111. Price is consolidating just above the low with RSI(14) near 28 — oversold but no reversal signal yet.

Support: 159.111, 159.00

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 micro pivot would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 159.111 session low opens the 159.00 round number
  • Further Trump/Iran MOU headlines could extend USD weakness

17:00 UTC

Intraday downtrend after NY break · RSI 34 · price 159.168

Lower highs, lower lows post-breakdown.

USDJPY broke down sharply during NY hours, slicing from 159.45 to a 159.11 session low as USD softened on US/Iran ceasefire headlines and Musalem's mixed Fed tone. Bounces have capped at 159.29, confirming a lower-high structure with RSI at 33.8 and price well below EMA20/50.

Support: 159.111, 159.179

Resistance: 159.29, 159.451

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 micro pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Loss of 159.111 session low extends the lower-low sequence
  • Trump's approval on the US/Iran MOU could materially shift this read

16:45 UTC

Downtrend, sharp NY sell-off · RSI 32 · price 159.176

Lower high then impulsive break of session range.

NY session printed a sharp impulsive drop from 159.49 to 159.11 as US/Iran ceasefire MOU headlines hit and USD broadly sold off, breaking the prior London-NY range. Price bounced to 159.29 and is rolling over again toward the session low, with RSI at 32 not yet oversold on the latest leg down.

Support: 159.111, 159.00

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.290 bounce high would neutralise the impulsive downside
  • Break of 159.111 session low opens path toward 159.00 psych level
  • Further US/Iran ceasefire headlines could re-accelerate the USD move

16:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 33 · price 159.28

Lower highs, lower lows after NY break.

NY session sold USDJPY hard, breaking the 159.45 floor with a ~30 pip impulse candle down to 159.18 alongside Musalem's hawkish-but-mixed remarks and a soft new home sales print. Price has since stabilised in a tight 159.18–159.34 range with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, suggesting the impulse has paused rather than reversed.

Support: 159.18, 159.00

Resistance: 159.34, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.45 breakdown lvl would neutralise the bearish read
  • M15 close below 159.18 session low opens 159.00 psych
  • Further Fed commentary or US-Iran deal headlines could re-accelerate the move

16:15 UTC

Intraday downtrend, sharp NY leg lower · RSI 33 · price 159.289

Broke session range lower, basing near lows.

NY session sold USDJPY hard, a 30-pip impulse from 159.49 to 159.18 on the heaviest volume of the window after USD-negative headlines (US-Iran MoU, soft new home sales). Price is now basing between 159.18 and 159.30, RSI(14) lifting off oversold but no reclaim of the 159.45 breakdown level yet.

Support: 159.18, 159.00

Resistance: 159.30, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 159.300 micro pivot would neutralise the downside impulse
  • Loss of 159.180 session low opens path to 159.000 psych level
  • Further USD-negative headlines on the Iran MoU could extend the leg lower

16:00 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 159.274

Broke session range, holding lows.

USDJPY collapsed during NY hours, dropping ~30 pips on the 17:00 broker-time bar as USD broadly weakened on the reported US-Iran MoU and softer new home sales. Price is consolidating just above the 159.18 session low with RSI(14) at 31; the broken 159.35 shelf now caps.

Support: 159.18, 159.00

Resistance: 159.35

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.35 would neutralise the breakdown
  • Sustained loss of 159.18 opens 159.00 psych
  • Headline risk around Trump's MoU approval could drive the next leg

15:45 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 159.203

Range break, lower-lows established.

NY session sold off sharply from 159.49 with a 30-pip impulsive drop on headlines around the US-Iran MoU and softer USD flows, breaking the 159.40 shelf that held through London. Price is now basing near 159.20 with RSI(14) at 31 — stretched but not yet diverging, and the broken shelf at 159.30 becomes the immediate cap.

Support: 159.18, 159.00

Resistance: 159.30, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 159.30 broken shelf would neutralise the downside read
  • Loss of 159.18 session low opens path toward the 159.00 psych level
  • Further USD-negative headlines on Iran MoU could extend the leg lower

15:30 UTC

Intraday downtrend after sharp NY drop · RSI 28 · price 159.21

Lower high at 159.65, fresh session low 159.18.

USDJPY collapsed during NY hours, breaking the 159.45 shelf on the soft Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales, printing a session low at 159.18 with the largest M15 range of the window. Price is consolidating just above the lows with RSI(14) near 28; the post-drop high at 159.29 caps the bounce.

Support: 159.18, 159.00

Resistance: 159.29, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.29 post-drop high would neutralise the breakdown read
  • M15 close below 159.18 session low extends the leg toward 159.00 psych
  • Hawkish Fed Musalem commentary still crossing the wires — headline risk into the close

15:15 UTC

Intraday reversal, downside momentum · RSI 27 · price 159.215

Range break lower after NY data dump.

NY session sold off sharply through the 159.45 shelf after the soft US Q1 GDP revision and mixed PCE/durables print, with a 30-pip impulse leg into a 159.18 spike low. Price now consolidating in a tight 159.20–159.23 band, RSI(14) at 27 reflecting stretched downside but no reclaim yet.

Support: 159.20, 159.18

Resistance: 159.35, 159.45

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 159.35 broken shelf would neutralise the range break lower
  • Sustained trade below 159.20 session low extends the impulse leg
  • Fed Williams commentary still filtering through USD — headline risk active

15:00 UTC

Intraday downtrend, sharp NY-session drop · RSI 31 · price 159.211

Lower high at 159.65, range break lower.

NY session knifed lower after a soft Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales, breaking the 159.40 shelf with a 30-pip impulse candle to 159.179. Price now consolidates just above the session low with RSI(14) at 31 — stretched but not extreme on M15.

Support: 159.179, 159.00

Resistance: 159.35

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.350 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Acceptance below 159.179 opens path toward the 159.00 psych level
  • Thin late-NY liquidity into Asia handover may amplify wicks

14:45 UTC

Intraday downtrend, sharp NY drop · RSI 28 · price 159.217

Range break to the downside, lower low printed.

NY session broke the 159.42–159.65 intraday range with a sharp impulse to 159.179, coinciding with soft Q1 GDP revision and Core PCE prints. Price now consolidating just above the session low with RSI(14) near 28, short-term stretched but no reclaim of the 159.45 broken shelf.

Support: 159.179, 159.00

Resistance: 159.35, 159.45, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.350 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Sustained trade below 159.179 opens path toward psych 159.000
  • Fed speakers / late NY headlines on Iran sanctions could extend volatility

14:30 UTC

Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 32 · price 159.278

Range break lower after rejection at 159.65.

NY session rejected 159.65 then broke the 159.40 floor with a sharp impulse to 159.18 on the back of softer US Q1 GDP, weak new home sales and a hot durable goods print. Price now consolidating just under the broken pivot at 159.45, RSI(14) at 32 after stretching oversold.

Support: 159.18

Resistance: 159.45, 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.45 invalidates the breakdown read
  • Acceptance below 159.18 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • Fed speakers in the NY afternoon could shift this read

14:15 UTC

Intraday range, mild fade from highs · RSI 44 · price 159.458

Session range 159.32–159.65, capped twice.

USDJPY popped to 159.65 after hot durable goods and in-line core PCE, then rejected and faded back into the 159.40s as soft GDP and weaker new home sales trimmed the dollar bid. NY session now mid-range between the 159.32 swing low and 159.65 range high, RSI(14) neutral at 44 with price hugging EMA20.

Support: 159.38, 159.319

Resistance: 159.466, 159.599, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 range high opens path to extension
  • Break of 159.319 swing low confirms lower-low and shifts session structure down
  • Sustained reclaim of 159.466 micro pivot would neutralise the fade from NY high

14:00 UTC

Rangebound, slight downside drift · RSI 41 · price 159.407

Range with lower-high after rejection.

USDJPY printed 159.650 after the US data drop then faded back through the range, with a sharp flush to 159.319 on the post-PCE leg before stabilising around 159.40. Price is now ranging 159.38–159.47 under both EMAs, RSI(14) at 41 — no constructive structure in play yet.

Support: 159.319, 159.379

Resistance: 159.47, 159.59, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.319 confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
  • Reclaim of 159.470 ema20 neutralises the rejection read
  • NY session still active — liquidity thinning into late afternoon

13:45 UTC

Intraday range, mild fade from session high · RSI 42 · price 159.388

Range with lower-high after 159.65 rejection.

USDJPY sold off after the soft Q1 GDP revision and in-line Core PCE, breaking the 159.46 micro pivot and tagging a session low at 159.32 before stabilising. Price is now coiling just under 159.40 round number, RSI(14) at 41.8 after rejection from the session high at 159.65.

Support: 159.32, 159.38

Resistance: 159.46, 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.32 session low extends the leg lower
  • Reclaim of 159.46 micro pivot neutralises the fade
  • NY session still developing, post-data flows can extend the range

13:30 UTC

Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 38 · price 159.389

Range top rejected, lower low printed.

USDJPY rejected the 159.60–159.65 range top twice during NY hours and broke session support at 159.38 on the soft US GDP revision, printing a lower low at 159.319. Price now consolidating just under 159.40 with RSI(14) at 38 after the impulsive leg down.

Support: 159.319, 159.38

Resistance: 159.464, 159.601, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.464 would neutralise the lower-low read
  • Sustained break of 159.319 session low extends the leg down
  • Aftershock from US GDP miss and PCE prints still bleeding into price

13:15 UTC

Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 38 · price 159.356

Rejection at 159.65, lower highs forming.

USDJPY rejected the 159.65 session high during NY hours after the in-line Core PCE and hot durable goods prints, then sold off to 159.32 — sharp impulse down on the 13:30 broker-time bar. Price now consolidating just below 159.40 with RSI cooling into the high 30s; near intervention-watch zone per JPY commentary.

Support: 159.32, 159.38

Resistance: 159.46, 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Break below 159.32 session low extends the leg lower
  • Reclaim of 159.46 micro pivot neutralises the rejection read
  • Proximity to intervention levels — verbal/MoF risk into Tokyo close

13:00 UTC

Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 34 · price 159.35

Lower high printed, testing range low.

USDJPY pushed to 159.65 on the durable goods beat then sold off through the NY session, with the last bar breaking the 159.38 swing low down to 159.32. RSI(14) at 34 reflects the downside momentum but price has stabilised around 159.35.

Support: 159.32, 159.38

Resistance: 159.46, 159.58, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.46 neutralises the lower-high read
  • Sustained break below 159.32 opens path to next leg lower
  • Pair remains close to MoF intervention zone — headline risk elevated

12:45 UTC

Intraday pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 38 · price 159.37

Rejection from 159.65 session high, lower highs forming.

NY session opened with a push to 159.65 followed by a sharp rejection, and the last bar swept down to 159.32 before closing at 159.37 — likely a reaction to the hot durable goods print. Series of lower highs from 159.59 confirms intraday momentum has flipped lower, RSI(14) at 38 with no oversold signal yet.

Support: 159.32, 159.38, 159.45

Resistance: 159.47, 159.59, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.47 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Sustained break below 159.32 session low extends the pullback
  • Upcoming US PCE release could materially shift this read

12:30 UTC

Consolidation after London push higher, fading into NY · RSI 41 · price 159.425

Range between 159.38 and 159.65, current bar at lower half.

Pair rallied through London to a 159.65 session high then rolled over into NY, with sellers stepping in twice around 159.59. Price now consolidates near 159.42 having swept the session low at 159.38 earlier; RSI(14) sub-50, ATR ~3.7 pips reflects compression.

Support: 159.38, 159.30

Resistance: 159.465, 159.59, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.38 session low extends the pullback toward 159.30 asia low
  • Reclaim of 159.465 micro pivot reopens the 159.59 session high
  • Middle East headline risk and US core PCE aftermath could disrupt the range read

12:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near intervention zone · RSI 45 · price 159.452

Higher-high then mean-revert; ranging 159.38–159.65.

USDJPY pushed to a 159.65 session high during early NY hours then mean-reverted, with sellers fading the move down to 159.38 before stabilising around 159.45. Price now drifts mid-range as the market sits within 1% of the perceived MoF intervention zone, with US PCE data on the wires today as the next catalyst.

Support: 159.38, 159.24

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path toward the 160.00 intervention zone
  • Loss of 159.38 session low exposes the 159.24 24h low
  • US PCE release later today could materially shift this read

12:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading late NY · RSI 44 · price 159.447

Range top capped, pullback in progress.

Pair grinded higher through London into NY, tagging 159.65 before sellers faded the move back under 159.45. Price now drifting just under both EMAs with RSI mid-range; intervention chatter near 160.00 keeps a lid on extension.

Support: 159.38

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 159.60 reopens the path toward the 159.65 spike high
  • M15 close below 159.38 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
  • US core PCE release later today could materially shift this read

11:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 159.454

Intraday range with lower highs.

Pair pushed to 159.65 during NY hours before getting rejected, drifting back to 159.38 and now consolidating near 159.45. Price has slipped below both EMAs with RSI mid-40s — buyers stepping in at the session low but no reclaim of the 159.55 mid-range.

Support: 159.38, 159.24

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.38 opens path to 159.24 prior low
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high reopens the 159.65 swing high
  • US core PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 43 · price 159.432

Range 159.38–159.65 inside broader uptrend.

NY session printed a high at 159.65 then sold off, with sellers stepping in repeatedly under 159.60 and price now drifting back into the middle of the 159.38–159.65 range. RSI(14) at 42 confirms momentum has cooled; price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 after the rejection.

Support: 159.38

Resistance: 159.65, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path toward 160.00 intervention zone
  • Break of session low 159.38 confirms range break lower
  • US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 41 · price 159.451

Rising channel, intraday pullback from 159.65.

Pair pushed to a session high of 159.65 during NY hours then faded back below 159.50, with sellers stepping in twice near 159.58. Price now consolidating around 159.45 after rejecting the highs; RSI(14) at 41 reflects the pullback within an otherwise constructive intraday structure.

Support: 159.38, 159.244

Resistance: 159.50, 159.65, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.38 session low opens path toward 159.24
  • Reclaim of 159.50 intraday pivot would put 159.65 session high back in play
  • 160.00 psych level remains a known MoF intervention trigger per Credit Agricole and SocGen commentary

11:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 42 · price 159.448

Session range after NY push higher.

Price grinded higher through London into NY, tagging 159.65 before sellers faded the move back toward 159.38. Currently rotating in the lower half of the session range with RSI(14) near 42, momentum cooling after the rejection at the highs.

Support: 159.38, 159.244

Resistance: 159.629, 159.65, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.38 session low opens room toward the 159.24 spike low
  • Reclaim of 159.55 area would re-engage the push toward 159.65 / 160.00 psych
  • 159.00 / 160.00 area remains the BoJ intervention zone flagged by desks

10:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near intervention zone · RSI 38 · price 159.391

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback to 159.38.

NY session pushed to 159.65 then rejected, with sellers stepping in on each retest above 159.58 and RSI(14) rolling over from overbought. Price has slid back to the session low at 159.38 with momentum cooling; range now defined between 159.38 and the 159.65 high.

Support: 159.379, 159.244

Resistance: 159.65, 159.535, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.379 session low opens path toward 159.24 spike low
  • Reclaim above 159.535 prior high reopens the 159.65 session high
  • Approach toward 160.00 psych level raises BoJ intervention risk per Credit Agricole / SocGen commentary

10:30 UTC

Uptrend stalling near intervention zone · RSI 35 · price 159.383

Rising channel, late-NY pullback from session high.

USDJPY pushed to a NY session high at 159.629 before fading back to test the session low near 159.38, with price now sitting on that pivot. Buyers stepped in around 159.24 during the Asia spike earlier, but late-NY momentum has rolled over as the pair approaches the 160.00 MoF intervention zone flagged by Credit Agricole and SocGen.

Support: 159.379, 159.244

Resistance: 159.629, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.379 opens path back toward 159.24 asia spike low
  • Reclaim of 159.50 puts the 159.63 ny high and 160.00 psych zone back in play
  • Headline risk: any MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near 160.00 would reshape this read

10:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling late session · RSI 36 · price 159.413

Range break higher, now pulling back to breakout zone.

USDJPY pushed through the 159.50 range top during the NY session, tagged 159.65 then unwound the entire move back to 159.41 into the close. Price now sits at the breakout zone with RSI cooling to mid-30s — clean retest in progress.

Support: 159.379

Resistance: 159.501, 159.601, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.379 session low invalidates the breakout-retest read
  • Reclaim of 159.50 breakout level reasserts the uptrend
  • Approach toward 160.00 raises MoF intervention risk per Credit Agricole / SocGen commentary

10:00 UTC

Rangebound, rolling over late NY · RSI 34 · price 159.401

Intraday range 159.38–159.65, lower high forming.

USDJPY rejected twice near 159.60 during NY hours and is now grinding through the session low at 159.38 with RSI cooling to the mid-30s. Price holds above 159.00 but headlines flag intervention risk as the pair sits within 1% of the late-April MoF zone.

Support: 159.379, 159.29

Resistance: 159.50, 159.601, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.379 opens path toward 159.29 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.50 mid-range neutralises the rollover
  • Intervention headline risk increases on any push toward 160.00 psych level

09:45 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pullback into NY · RSI 32 · price 159.399

Range below 159.65 session high after rejection.

USDJPY pushed to a session high of 159.65 during the London-NY transition then faded; sellers stepped in on each retest of 159.60 and price has now bled to 159.40 with RSI(14) cooling to 32. Intervention chatter near 160 (Societe Generale) hangs over the topside as the pair sits within 1% of the late-April MoF zone.

Support: 159.38, 159.24

Resistance: 159.50, 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 159.50 reopens the session high
  • Break of 159.38 session low exposes 159.24 prior swing
  • Verbal intervention risk into 160 caps upside extensions

09:30 UTC

Uptrend stalling near range high · RSI 36 · price 159.426

Rotation inside 159.42-159.65 after London push.

USDJPY pushed to 159.65 during NY hours before sellers faded the move, with price now grinding back into the lower end of the session range at 159.42. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-30s and price has slipped under both EMA20 and EMA50, suggesting near-term momentum has rolled over despite the broader uptrend.

Support: 159.42, 159.33

Resistance: 159.535, 159.65, 160.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.42 session low opens path toward 159.33 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.535 London high would re-engage the upside toward 159.65
  • Pair sits within 1% of late-April BoJ intervention zone, headline risk elevated near 160.00 psych

09:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 41 · price 159.455

Intraday range below 159.65 swing high.

Price drifted higher through London into a 159.65 session high before sellers stepped in twice, dragging the pair back to 159.44 in the NY-Asia handover. Now compressing around 159.45-159.50 with RSI in mid-40s; safe-haven JPY bid on US-Iran headlines is capping upside but the broader uptrend off 159.24 is intact.

Support: 159.44, 159.30

Resistance: 159.59, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.44 session low opens 159.30 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.59 range top would re-engage the 159.65 session high
  • Further US-Iran escalation could deepen JPY bid and break the range lower

09:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 159.477

Intraday range cap at 159.65, holding 159.44 floor.

Price grinded from 159.24 spike low through London into a 159.65 session high during NY hours, then rejected and pulled back to 159.44 before stabilising around 159.48. M15 now consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47; momentum cooled after the failed push toward UOB's flagged 159.70.

Support: 159.44, 159.34, 159.24

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 session high reopens the path to 159.70
  • Loss of 159.44 session low exposes 159.34 prior swing
  • Middle East headline flow could spike JPY demand and break the range

08:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 159.494

Range under 159.65 swing high.

Asia session pushed to a session high at 159.65 before sellers faded the move, with price now drifting around 159.49 below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) at 47 reflects the loss of upside momentum; pair is consolidating between the 159.44 session low and the 159.65 rejection zone.

Support: 159.44, 159.32

Resistance: 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path toward UOB target at 159.70
  • Break of 159.44 session low exposes the 159.32 prior swing
  • Middle East headlines remain a JPY safe-haven risk that could shift the read

08:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing into resistance · RSI 48 · price 159.504

Higher highs holding, intraday pullback off 159.65.

Asian session pushed to 159.65 before fading; price has drifted back to 159.50 and is consolidating into the European open with RSI flat near 48. Buyers stepped in at 159.47 twice — that level is the line for the intraday higher-low structure.

Support: 159.47, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.47 breaks the intraday higher-low chain and opens 159.32
  • Reclaim of 159.60 puts session high 159.65 and UOB target 159.70 back in focus
  • Middle East headline flow can produce JPY-bid spikes outside structure

08:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading at session high · RSI 42 · price 159.464

Higher highs through London, pullback into NY.

Asian session pushed to a fresh four-week high at 159.65 before London faded the move and NY opened with a clean rejection back to the 159.44 session low. Price now drifting at the lower end of the intraday range with RSI(14) near 42 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50 on this TF.

Support: 159.44, 159.32, 159.24

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 159.44 session low keeps the broader uptrend intact
  • Break below 159.32 spike low opens 159.24 swing low
  • Reclaim of 159.60 puts the 4wk high and UOB 159.70 target back in focus
  • Headline-driven volatility from US-Iran developments remains the main risk

08:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 159.489

Higher highs intact, intraday pullback from session high.

Price grinded higher through Asia and early London to a fresh four-week high at 159.65 before rejecting and rolling back to 159.49. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s after the pullback, with buyers stepping in around 159.44 on the latest dip.

Support: 159.44, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.44 session low opens 159.32 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high puts 159.70 uob target back in focus
  • US-Iran headline risk remains the dominant driver per forexlive

07:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling near session high · RSI 48 · price 159.495

Higher highs into 159.65, pulling back to mid-range.

USDJPY printed a four-week high at 159.65 during the London session before fading back to 159.49, with rejection wicks capping the 159.60 area. Price has slipped under EMA20/50 on this TF and RSI has cooled to mid-range, leaving the pair drifting in the upper half of the 159.44–159.65 range as Iran-headline risk keeps tone cautious.

Support: 159.44, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens path toward 159.70 UOB target
  • Loss of 159.44 session low exposes 159.32 prior swing
  • US-Iran headlines remain the dominant intraday driver

07:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 40 · price 159.48

Intraday range under session high.

USDJPY printed a fresh four-week high at 159.65 during the early European session before fading back under 159.50, with rejection wicks stacking at 159.60. Price is now drifting at the lower end of the day's range as the London session matures, RSI(14) cooling to ~40 from earlier highs near 70.

Support: 159.44, 159.30

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.70

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path to the 159.70 UOB target
  • Break of session low 159.44 exposes 159.30 asia low
  • US-Iran headline flow remains the dominant driver per forexlive

07:15 UTC

Uptrend stalling near session highs · RSI 38 · price 159.463

Intraday range 159.45–159.65, pullback in progress.

USDJPY tagged a four-week high at 159.65 during the Asian session then faded back into the 159.45–159.60 range, with the current bar pressing the session low. RSI(14) at 38 reflects the pullback but price is still holding above the 159.45 floor that capped earlier dips.

Support: 159.45, 159.38, 159.29

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.45 session low opens 159.38 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high re-engages the 4-wk high at 159.65
  • Iran/US headline flow remains the dominant driver — can override structure

07:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling near highs · RSI 42 · price 159.477

Higher highs into 159.65, now pulling back.

Asian session pushed to a fresh four-week high at 159.65 before sellers rejected, dragging price back to 159.47 with RSI(14) now mid-40s after a bearish divergence at the top. Pullback from session high holding above the prior pivot at 159.40 keeps the broader uptrend intact, but momentum has flipped lower into the European open.

Support: 159.47, 159.40, 159.33

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.40 prior pivot opens path to 159.33 swing low
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high reactivates the push toward 159.65 4-wk high
  • Iran/US headline risk remains the dominant intraday driver

06:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 46 · price 159.519

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback into mid-range.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high at 159.65 during late Asia/early London, then rejected sharply back to 159.52 as Gulf headlines turned markets cautious. Price now coiling just above the 159.50 intraday pivot, RSI(14) cooled to neutral after the failed breakout.

Support: 159.50, 159.45, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 159.50 pivot opens room toward 159.45 session low and 159.32 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high puts the 159.65 4wk high back in play
  • Iran/US headline flow remains the dominant driver and can override structure

06:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 159.517

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding 159.50.

Asia session pushed USDJPY to a fresh four-week high at 159.65 before sellers rejected and dragged price back to 159.50, with Gulf risk headlines and intervention chatter capping the move. Current bar sits mid-range between 159.50 support and 159.60 session high; RSI(14) cooled to neutral, momentum has flattened.

Support: 159.50, 159.45

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.45 swing low breaks the intraday uptrend
  • Reclaim of 159.60 session high reopens the 4wk high at 159.65
  • Headline risk on US-Iran remains the dominant driver

06:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 159.566

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding above 159.53.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high at 159.65 during the Asian session before sellers rejected the spike, pulling price back to 159.55. Structure remains constructive with higher lows from 159.45, but momentum has flattened with RSI back at neutral 52.

Support: 159.53, 159.45

Resistance: 159.65, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path higher
  • Loss of 159.53 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 159.45 session low
  • Hormuz/US-Iran headlines remain the dominant intraday driver

06:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 159.53

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback to mid-range.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high near 159.65 on Gulf-risk USD bid, then rejected back into the mid-range with RSI(14) flattening near 50. Price now hovers at 159.53, holding above the 159.45 session low after the prior swing low at 159.32 was defended yesterday.

Support: 159.45, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 NY high extends the uptrend
  • Loss of 159.45 session low opens 159.32 prior swing
  • Iran/Gulf headlines remain the primary driver into NY session

05:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 159.562

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback to mid-range.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high at 159.65 during the Tokyo session before sellers stepped in, with the pair now consolidating near 159.56 just above the EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the rejection, and price is holding the mid-range while waiting for European flows.

Support: 159.53, 159.45

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 reopens the path higher
  • Loss of 159.45 session pivot would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • Headline risk from Gulf hostilities could disrupt the structural read

05:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 159.553

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback into mid-range.

USDJPY pushed to a fresh four-week high at 159.65 during the Asian session before sellers faded the move back to 159.55, with the rejection candle the cleanest event in the window. Price now sits mid-range between the 159.60 session high and 159.52 intraday pivot, RSI(14) at 54 reflecting cooled momentum after the Hormuz-driven yen weakness reported earlier.

Support: 159.52, 159.45

Resistance: 159.60, 159.65

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.65 extends the four-week high
  • Loss of 159.52 pivot opens 159.45 session low
  • Geopolitical headlines around Gulf hostilities can override structure

05:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 159.578

Higher highs / higher lows after Asia sweep.

Price grinding higher into Tokyo open, tagging a four-week high at 159.650 before a quick rejection back to 159.53 and recovery. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows from the 159.244 spike-low during yesterday's NY session; buyers stepping in around 159.45–159.53 each time.

Support: 159.53, 159.45

Resistance: 159.65, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.650 session high extends the trend
  • Break of 159.530 intraday HL signals loss of momentum
  • Hormuz / Gulf headline risk could spike USD demand and override structure

05:00 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 159.578

Higher highs and higher lows since 159.25 base.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high at 159.65 in early Asia trade before sellers stepped in and faded the move back to 159.53. Price has since stabilised just below the round number, with the broader 24h structure intact — higher lows from 159.25, EMA20/50 supporting underneath.

Support: 159.53, 159.45

Resistance: 159.65, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.53 session pivot opens the path back to 159.45 prior swing
  • Acceptance above 159.65 session high extends the four-week high run
  • Gulf headline risk could spike USD demand and override structure

04:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 159.553

Higher highs into 159.65, pullback in progress.

Price pushed to a four-week high at 159.65 during the Asian session before sharp rejection back to 159.53, with the JPY-soft narrative on BoJ/LDP fiscal worry still in play. Pullback holding above EMA20 keeps the uptrend intact; RSI cooled from overbought back to neutral.

Support: 159.53, 159.45

Resistance: 159.65, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.53 opens 159.45 pivot
  • Reclaim of 159.60 reopens session high test
  • Gulf headline risk could spike volatility

04:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 52 · price 159.525

Higher highs into NY close, shallow pullbacks.

Pair tagged a fresh four-week high at 159.65 during the late NY/Asia handover before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 159.52, cleanly through the EMA20. Asia session is now consolidating just above the 159.45 session pivot with RSI back to neutral, structure still constructive while that shelf holds.

Support: 159.45, 159.38

Resistance: 159.65, 159.599

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 159.45 session pivot opens 159.38 prior swing
  • Reclaim of 159.60 puts the 159.65 session high back in play
  • Hormuz/Gulf headline risk remains a tape-driver into London

04:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 159.603

Stair-step higher highs after liquidity flush.

USDJPY printed a fresh four-week high at 159.65 during Asia after a clean grind off the 159.45 swing low, with buyers stepping back in following the earlier flush to 159.29. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) at 62 — hot but not stretched, ATR around 4 pips per bar.

Support: 159.54, 159.45, 159.29

Resistance: 159.65, 159.58

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above session high 159.65 extends the trend
  • M15 close back under intraday HL 159.54 signals momentum loss
  • BoJ rate-hike speculation and Hormuz headlines remain the active drivers

04:00 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 159.624

Higher highs, higher lows intraday.

USDJPY pushed to a four-week high near 159.63 in late Asia, extending the grind after a sharp midday spike to 159.24 was fully reabsorbed. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 64 — momentum firm but not stretched, with Hormuz risk headlines underpinning the bid.

Support: 159.54, 159.45

Resistance: 159.629, 159.601, 159.535

What it said to watch

  • Break above 159.629 session high extends the uptrend
  • M15 close back below 159.540 asia low weakens the read
  • Loss of 159.450 swing low invalidates the higher-low chain

03:45 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 159.588

Stair-step higher highs, shallow pullbacks.

Price is grinding into the 159.60 session high after a sharp wick down to 159.244 earlier shook out longs and was quickly bought back. Last 4 hours have coiled in a tight 159.52–159.60 range with RSI mid-band, consistent with continued bid tone fed by Hormuz risk premium and BoJ rate-hike speculation in the JGB story.

Support: 159.52, 159.45

Resistance: 159.60, 159.535

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.600 session high opens 159.70 round number
  • Loss of 159.450 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
  • BoJ / Katayama jawboning headlines could trigger intervention fears

03:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 159.567

Higher highs into 159.60 supply.

USDJPY printed a four-week high at 159.60 during the Asia session before stalling, with price now drifting in a tight 159.53–159.60 consolidation. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at 159.50 through the late NY-Asia handover, but momentum has cooled and RSI has unwound from earlier highs.

Support: 159.50

Resistance: 159.601, 159.535

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break above 159.601 session high opens fresh upside extension
  • M15 close below 159.500 intraday pivot breaks the higher-low chain
  • BoJ June hike speculation and Katayama wage comments could swing JPY tone intraday

03:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 159.551

Higher highs into Asia, stalling below 159.60.

USDJPY ground higher through London and NY with a sharp flush to 159.244 mid-session quickly bought back, JGB-yield-driven yen softness reinforcing the bid. Asia is now coiling between 159.45 session low and 159.60 session high, RSI(14) neutral around 54 and momentum flattening into the Tokyo open.

Support: 159.45, 159.32, 159.244

Resistance: 159.601

What it said to watch

  • Break above 159.601 session high opens 159.70+
  • Loss of 159.450 session low exposes 159.320 swing low
  • BOJ rate-hike chatter / JGB yield moves can shift this read intrabar

03:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 58 · price 159.563

Higher highs and higher lows intraday.

Tokyo session grinding higher after the Asia low at 159.45 held, with buyers stepping in around 159.52 on the latest pullback. Price coiling just under the 159.60 session high; RSI mid-band, ATR around 3.6 pips reflecting thin pre-Tokyo conditions.

Support: 159.52, 159.45

Resistance: 159.60, 159.535

What it said to watch

  • Close above 159.60 session high opens path toward 159.70
  • Loss of 159.52 swing low shifts read back toward 159.45 asia low
  • JGB yield rise and BOJ June hike chatter could amplify yen moves

02:45 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 159.53

Higher highs, higher lows intraday.

USDJPY grinding up through Asia session after a sharp spike-and-recover during NY hours bottomed at 159.24. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 159.45, with the session high at 159.60 capping. JGB yields rising on BOJ hike chatter haven't dented yen weakness here.

Support: 159.45, 159.24

Resistance: 159.60, 159.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.60 opens path to extend the intraday uptrend
  • Loss of 159.45 support breaks the recent higher-low chain
  • BOJ rate-hike speculation could sharply shift this read on any headline

02:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 159.569

Higher highs and higher lows since Asia low.

Steady grind higher through Asia session, with price stair-stepping from 159.33 toward a session high at 159.601 and now consolidating just below it. RSI(14) at 60 leaves room before stretched, and JGB-yield headlines flagging BOJ hike speculation have kept yen soft without forcing a one-way break.

Support: 159.54, 159.45, 159.33

Resistance: 159.601, 159.577

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 159.601 session high opens path toward 159.70 round number
  • Loss of 159.540 micro pivot signals failure of the channel and shifts focus back to 159.450 session low
  • Tokyo fixing flows around 03:00 broker time can distort the read

02:15 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 159.584

Higher highs holding above 159.45 base.

Grinding higher through the Asia session after the JGB-yield/bridging-bond story softened the yen; current bar coiling just under the 159.60 session high. Pullbacks have been bought at the 159.45 base with RSI around 60 — extension or rejection still unresolved.

Support: 159.45, 159.38

Resistance: 159.60

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 159.60 session high opens 159.70+
  • Loss of 159.45 base flips structure back into the prior range
  • BOJ rate-hike chatter or MoF intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read

02:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 60 · price 159.585

Higher highs into stall below 159.60.

USDJPY ground higher through Asia after recovering the 159.245 spike low from prior NY hours, with the session high tagged at 159.599 and capping multiple attempts. Price is consolidating just below that ceiling, RSI cooling into the low 60s — JGB yields and BOJ June-hike chatter are weighing but not breaking the bid.

Support: 159.45, 159.38, 159.245

Resistance: 159.599, 159.535

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.599 session high opens path toward 159.70
  • Loss of 159.450 intraday pivot would crack the uptrend structure
  • BOJ rate-hike headlines remain the live risk for a yen bid

01:45 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 159.551

Higher highs, higher lows after Asia dip.

USDJPY has ground higher through the late NY and into Asia, recovering the sharp spike-down to 159.244 and printing fresh session highs at 159.599. Price is now coiling just under that high with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s, with JGB-yield rise and bridging-bond fiscal worry keeping yen soft.

Support: 159.45, 159.38, 159.244

Resistance: 159.599, 159.577

What it said to watch

  • Acceptance above 159.599 session high extends the uptrend
  • M15 close back below 159.450 session low neutralises the read
  • Failure at the prior high 159.577 on retest signals exhaustion

01:30 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 159.553

Higher highs, higher lows after intervention dip.

USDJPY recovered fully from the sharp 159.244 dip mid-window and is grinding back toward the session high at 159.60, where the prior push was rejected. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI in the upper half but not stretched; Asia hours have been quiet and constructive.

Support: 159.45, 159.32, 159.19

Resistance: 159.60, 159.58

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above session high 159.60 extends the uptrend
  • Loss of 159.45 session pivot opens revisit of the 159.32 intervention low
  • BoJ/MoF intervention risk remains elevated near recent highs per overnight commentary

01:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 159.559

Higher highs into 159.60 cap.

USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session into a 159.60 cap, last bar printed a rejection wick from 159.599. Price holding above the 159.45 intraday base with BoJ/MoF intervention memory still in the tape per Forexlive overnight commentary.

Support: 159.45, 159.32

Resistance: 159.60, 159.58

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.60 opens room toward 159.80
  • Loss of 159.45 intraday base puts 159.32 spike low back in play
  • Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo today could shift the read

01:00 UTC

Uptrend, drifting higher into Asia · RSI 60 · price 159.559

Stair-step higher highs, shallow pullbacks.

USDJPY ground higher through NY and into Asia, with a sharp wick down to 159.244 mid-window absorbed and fully reclaimed within an hour. Price now coils just under the 159.600 session high after a clean retest of 159.450 during the Asia lull.

Support: 159.45, 159.19

Resistance: 159.60, 159.577

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 159.600 extends the uptrend toward fresh highs
  • M15 close back below 159.450 asia low breaks the stair-step structure
  • BoJ/MoF intervention headlines remain a tail risk given prior rescue noted in news flow

00:45 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 159.559

Higher highs into NY, pullback holding above 159.45.

USDJPY has ground higher through the NY and Asia sessions after a sharp dip to 159.24 was bought, with price reclaiming the 159.50 handle and pressing the session high at 159.58. Late Asia is consolidating in a tight 159.54–159.58 band, RSI mid-50s, no fresh thrust in either direction.

Support: 159.45, 159.19

Resistance: 159.58, 159.54

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.58 session high opens path toward 159.60+ psych zone
  • Loss of 159.45 pullback low would break the intraday higher-low chain
  • BoJ/MoF intervention headlines remain a tail risk after yen rescue commentary

00:30 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 159.563

Stair-step higher highs into Asia open.

NY session ground higher into 159.58 before a thin liquidity dip to 159.45 around the late-NY rollover, with Asia open now retesting the ny high. Price stair-stepped from 159.20 through the session with two clean pullbacks holding above EMA20; RSI(14) at 60 leaves room before stretched, ATR sits at 3.7 pips.

Support: 159.45, 159.38, 159.244

Resistance: 159.581, 159.577, 159.60

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.581 session high opens path to 159.60 psych
  • loss of 159.450 asia low would break the higher-low chain
  • BoJ-related headlines remain a live risk after recent intervention chatter

00:15 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 159.574

Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.

USDJPY ground higher through the NY session and into Asia, printing a fresh session high at 159.581 in the last hour. Earlier dip to 159.244 was bought aggressively and price has since reclaimed all of it, with the 159.45 area holding as support on the latest pullback.

Support: 159.45, 159.38, 159.24

Resistance: 159.58, 159.61

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 159.45 session low would break the higher-low chain
  • Acceptance above 159.58 session high opens 159.61 round number
  • BoJ/MoF intervention risk flagged in news — yen rescue narrative fading per fxstreet

00:00 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 159.542

Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below 159.57.

Grind higher through London and NY, peaking at 159.57 before a shallow pullback into the Asia handover. Price now coiling in a 159.49–159.55 range with RSI cooling from earlier highs; carry-driven yen weakness theme noted in news flow.

Support: 159.45, 159.32

Resistance: 159.57, 159.55

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 159.57 extends the session high
  • Loss of 159.45 swing low opens 159.32 NY spike low
  • BoJ/MoF intervention headlines could break this read

All markets that day · Today’s USD/JPY Live Scan in the terminal