USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 29 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 162.00 · RSI 63 · price 161.912
Higher-lows, capped under multi-decade high.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher since the week reopened, riding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s on each pullback. The advance stalled just under the 162.00 multi-decade high, where the week high at 161.98 has capped the latest push and price is consolidating near 161.91. The grind reflects soft yen versus a firm dollar, with two-way risk flagged around the 162.00 intervention line.
Support: 161.72
Resistance: 162.00, 161.98
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 opens the path higher, but intervention risk is flagged into that zone
Failure to hold the 161.72 higher-low breaks the rising structure
Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) and US ADP/ISM Wed could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, capped under 162.00.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's open, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half on each pullback. Strong May retail trade supported the BoJ-normalisation story but did little to slow the climb; the pair has stalled just under the 161.98 week high with the 162.00 intervention line flagged repeatedly above. Pullbacks into the NY sessions have found demand near EMA20.
Support: 161.56, 161.25
Resistance: 162.00, 161.98
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 opens path higher, but intervention risk is repeatedly flagged at that interv line
Failure to hold 161.56 weekly open would negate the week's uptrend, exposing the 161.25 supt cluster
ADP/ISM Wed and NFP later this week could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 161.932
Higher highs into 162.00 cap.
USD/JPY has ground higher since Monday's open, riding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The advance has pushed price to 161.93, just under the 162.00 zone repeatedly flagged for Japan intervention; the week high at 161.98 caps the latest attempt. Retail/CPI-driven BoJ normalisation has done little for the yen, leaving the pair pinned by the intervention threat rather than data.
Support: 161.72, 161.53
Resistance: 162.00, 161.98
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 162.00 clears the week high and tests the perceived intervention line
Loss of 161.72 weekly open opens the path back to the 161.53 swing low
ADP and ISM Manufacturing Wed could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 161.944
Higher highs and higher lows since week open.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher since the week opened near 161.71, holding above EMA(20) on every pullback with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band. The 161.98 week high sits just under the 162.00 psychological/intervention cap, which has repeatedly capped this pair; price is pressing into that zone with the dollar firm on the high-for-longer Fed narrative. Demand has consistently stepped in around EMA(20) on the climb.
Support: 161.71
Resistance: 162.00, 161.98
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 162.00 opens the path higher but sits in the flagged MoF/BoJ intervention zone
Loss of 161.71 week open would break the run of higher lows
Tankan (Tue) and US NFP later this week are the dominant cross-drivers for this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend grinding into 162.00 cap · RSI 67 · price 161.955
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing weekly high.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's session, carving higher lows and holding above EMA(20) on every pullback as the pair edges into the 162.00 intervention cap. RSI(14) sits near 67 with price tagging the week high at 161.98; the prior 161.80 shelf has flipped to support. Yen-side calendar risk is live with the Tankan release and US data later in the week the dominant cross-drivers.
Support: 161.80
Resistance: 162.00, 161.98
What it said to watch
Repeated rejection at 162.00 would confirm the psych cap holding
An hourly close above 162.00 opens the path higher but sits in the flagged intervention zone
Loss of 161.80 prior high would mark the first lower low this week
Tankan and US jobs data this week could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 161.931
Higher highs into 162.00, capped below the figure.
USDJPY has ground higher through the week and into the NY session, printing a session high at 161.96 and now pinned just under the 162.00 figure, the cited intervention line. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–65 band on each pullback, and demand stepped in repeatedly off the 161.53 swing low. The advance is orderly rather than impulsive, with 162.00 capping the move so far.
Support: 161.53
Resistance: 162.00, 161.96
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 opens the path higher but elevated MoF/BoJ intervention risk sits on a break
Failure to hold 161.53 would mark the first lower-low this week
Jul 1 US data cluster (ADP, Warsh, ISM) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY has ground higher off the weekly open near 161.71, building a clean series of higher lows through the NY session and now testing the week high at 161.96 just under the 162.00 intervention line. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) holding the mid-60s, but the 40-yr high zone has repeatedly capped attempts. Sharp wicks back from 161.96 keep that level the pivotal cap into NFP week.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.96, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close and hold above 162.00 confirms a break of the multi-decade cap; sharp rejection there signals intervention risk
Loss of 161.71 weekly open breaks the higher-low sequence and opens 161.53
Jul 1 ADP, Warsh speech and ISM Manufacturing could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 162.00 · RSI 67 · price 161.93
Higher highs and higher lows toward range cap.
USDJPY has ground higher since the week reopened, posting a fresh swing high at 161.96 and holding above both EMA20 and EMA50 as the dollar's down-week stalled near the intervention-sensitive 162.00 line. RSI(14) sits near 67 with price extended after the late-NY push to 161.95. The 162.00 handle has repeatedly capped this multi-decade range and remains the structural ceiling.
Support: 161.54
Resistance: 162.00, 161.96
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.00 opens continuation but raises BoJ/MoF intervention-headline risk
Loss of 161.54 breaks the week's higher-low structure
US NFP later this week is the dominant catalyst for the next test of 162.00
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 66 · price 161.938
Higher lows, capped near 162.00.
USD/JPY has ground higher all week, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and pressing the 161.95 2024-high into the NY session with RSI(14) up near 66. The 162.00 handle — the perceived intervention line — remains the cap, with the latest push to 161.96 fading back. Yen weakness persists despite firm Tokyo data, with intervention fear rather than flow doing the capping just under the figure.
Support: 161.80, 161.54
Resistance: 162.00, 161.95
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.00 opens the path beyond the 161.95 2024 high
Loss of 161.80 then 161.54 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Sharp rejection at 162.00 would flag intervention-risk presence
US JOLTS/Confidence and Japan Tankan later this week could shift the read
USD/JPY has ground higher off the 161.53 swing low through this week's sessions, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The latest NY-hour push tagged 161.96 — just under the 162.00 intervention line — and the final bar rejected back to 161.86, leaving the week high intact as the cap. Move stays inside the broader 161.45-161.96 range with the dollar drifting on the US-Iran truce.
Support: 161.71, 161.53, 161.45
Resistance: 161.96, 162.00
What it said to watch
Clean break above 162.00 intervention line raises MoF action risk into thin early-July liquidity
Failure to hold 161.71 ema20 reopens the 161.53 swing low
Loss of 161.45 range floor confirms a lower-low
ADP/ISM Wed and NFP later this week are dominant USD/JPY catalysts
13:01 UTC
Grinding higher into range top · RSI 64 · price 161.893
Range with higher lows under 162.00.
USDJPY has ground higher since Monday's session open, sitting above EMA20 and EMA50 as it presses the 162.00 cap that has repeatedly defined the top of this week's 161.45-161.95 range. A soft USD into NFP week and intervention caution have kept moves contained, with demand stepping in on each dip toward the rising higher-lows line. RSI cycling in the low-60s reflects the slow grind rather than a momentum break.
Support: 161.72, 161.53, 161.25
Resistance: 162.00, 161.95
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 162.00 opens the path higher but invites MoF intervention risk
Loss of 161.72 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Wed Jul 1 ADP/ISM/Warsh cluster could materially shift the USD leg
Failure to hold 161.53 exposes the 161.25 range floor
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into cap · RSI 61 · price 161.845
Higher lows beneath 162.00 ceiling.
USD/JPY has ground higher off Friday's 161.54 swing low, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 50-62 band on each pullback. Price is pinned just under the 162.00 intervention line flagged by officials, with the week high at 161.95 capping. The grind is consistent with the soft-USD-but-shallow-dip tone, with intervention risk capping upside in thin early-July liquidity.
Support: 161.54
Resistance: 162.00, 161.95
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 breaches the intervention cap — raises BoJ/MoF headline risk
Loss of 161.54 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low sequence
US ADP (Jul 1 12:15 UTC) and ISM could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 161.848
Higher lows coiling below 162.00 cap.
USD/JPY has climbed steadily since the holiday-thinned reopen, posting higher lows along an ascending track with price holding above EMA(20) on each dip. The 161.95 week high has capped advances and the 162.00 psych level — flagged for MoF/BoJ intervention risk — sits just above, keeping the pair coiled. RSI(14) near 61 reflects firm but not stretched momentum as the rate-gap underpins the dollar.
Support: 161.71, 161.53
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 161.95 opens a test of the 162.00 psych cap
Loss of the 161.71 ema20 shifts focus to the 161.53 swing low
Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) and US ADP/ISM (Wed) could break the coil
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 65 · price 161.892
Higher lows, capped under 162.00.
USDJPY has ground higher all week off the 161.43 open, posting higher lows and trading back to 161.89 into the NY session after the weekend gap held. Price is pinned just under the 162.00 psychological/intervention line, which capped the 161.95 week high; RSI(14) is cycling in the low-60s on each pullback to EMA(20). The 161.95–162.00 zone is the obvious cap — an area to watch for rejection or a break.
Support: 161.76, 161.54, 161.45
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 162.00 raises intervention/two-way risk near the cycle high
Loss of 161.54 breaks the week's higher-low structure
US ADP/ISM Wed and NFP later this week are the cross-asset catalysts
Japan Tankan tonight could shift the BoJ-hike read
Consolidation in upper range, higher lows holding.
USDJPY has ground higher all week and is camped just under the 162.00 psych/intervention line, with the 161.946 week high capping topside. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and is building a series of higher lows off the 161.537 swing low; stronger Japan retail data (+5.3% YoY) failed to dent the bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58, reflecting a slow grind rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 161.537
Resistance: 161.946, 162.00
What it said to watch
Push to 162.00 raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk; repeated rejection there is the key tell
H1 close above 161.946 week high opens the path to 162.00
Loss of 161.537 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) and US ADP/ISM (Wed) could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat near cap · RSI 56 · price 161.817
Consolidation below 162.00.
USD/JPY has spent the week grinding up into 161.95, the YTD high just below the 162.00 intervention line, with two attempts capped there. Price is holding above the EMA(20) and pullbacks to the 161.53 area found demand; the strong May retail trade beat did little to shift the consolidation. RSI(14) is cycling mid-50s, consistent with a tight uptrend rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 161.535
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 162.00 opens the path higher but invites MoF/BoJ intervention risk
Loss of 161.535 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Japan Tankan Tue could shift the BoJ-hike read and this week's range
USDJPY has spent the week grinding up toward the 162.00 ceiling but stalled at the 161.95 week high, with repeated dips into the 161.55 dip zone bought back. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 55, reflecting flat momentum into thin early-July liquidity. The four-decade-high area continues to cap, with intervention risk near 162.00 keeping the advance contained.
Support: 161.55
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 161.95 opens the path toward the 162.00 ceiling and elevated intervention risk
Failure to hold the 161.55 dip zone confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Japan jobs data (23:30 UTC) and Tankan (Tue) could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling near cycle high · RSI 54 · price 161.794
Consolidation below 162.00.
USDJPY has ground higher all week off Monday's 161.32 low, but momentum has flattened with price hugging 161.80 just under the July-2024 peak near 161.95. The 162.00 zone — flagged as the new BoJ/MoF intervention line — capped the rally on Thursday, and price has consolidated in a tight 161.71–161.81 band through thin pre-holiday Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54, reflecting the loss of impulse rather than a turn.
Support: 161.60, 161.32
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 enters the 162-163 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.60 opens 161.32 week low
Japan Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) could shift the JPY read
USD/JPY has pinned just below the 162.00 intervention line all week, with attempts toward 161.95 repeatedly capped and price coiling in a tight upper range. Holding above EMA20 into thin holiday flow; firm Japan retail trade reinforced the hawkish-BoJ read but did little to move spot. RSI sits mid-range, reflecting the stall rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 161.54
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 161.95 opens the path toward the 162.00 interv line, where intervention risk is flagged
Failure to hold 161.54 swing low would confirm a lower-low and shift the range
Tankan Tue 23:50 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the week to a 161.95 high before stalling, with the 162.00 intervention line capping the advance. Price now consolidates in the 161.75–161.80 zone above EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) holding mid-50s after firmer Tokyo CPI internals gave JPY a mild bid. Thin holiday liquidity has kept ranges tight into the new week's open.
Support: 161.54, 161.73, 161.15
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Tankan Large Manufacturing (Tue 23:50 UTC) is high-impact for the BoJ path and this read
H1 close above 162.00 enters the flagged intervention zone, raising snapback risk
Loss of 161.54 swing low opens the path toward 161.15
03:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling below cap · RSI 55 · price 161.782
Range capped near 40-yr high.
USDJPY ground higher through the week to 161.95 but repeatedly stalled short of the 162.00 intervention line, leaving price boxed in a 161.27-161.95 band. Hot Tokyo CPI internals and a softer USD late-week kept the pair pinned just below the cap rather than extending. Holding above EMA(20) into thin early-week Asia liquidity with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, momentum has flattened beneath the highs.
Support: 161.54, 161.27, 161.15
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 risks an intervention response into thin liquidity
Failure to hold 161.54 opens the path toward the 161.27 week low
Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) could shift the BoJ read and this range
Consolidation below 162.00 after grind to YTD highs.
USDJPY has ground higher all week toward YTD highs, with price coiling in a 161.45–161.95 band just under the 162.00 intervention line into a thin holiday session. Friday's firm Tokyo CPI gave the yen a small floor but the rate gap kept the pair pinned near the highs; the 161.95 week high has capped two attempts and triggered profit-taking on intervention fears. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s.
Support: 161.45
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 opens the path higher but raises MoF/BoJ intervention risk in thin liquidity
Failure to hold 161.45 range base would confirm a lower low
Tankan (Tue 23:50 UTC) could shift the BoJ-hike read and this range
USDJPY has drifted higher off the week's 161.27 low but stalled under the 161.95 week high, with the 162.00 intervention line repeatedly flagged as the cap. Price is pinned just above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around 50, a balanced consolidation rather than a fresh impulse, helped by a firmer Tokyo CPI floor offset by a softer dollar post-PCE. The 161.53 swing low has held the recent dips.
Support: 161.53, 161.27
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 162.00 clears the intervention line; flagged BoJ/MoF action zone above
Failure to hold 161.53 exposes the 161.27 week low
Wed ADP and ISM could shift the dollar leg of this read
USDJPY ground higher all week from Monday's 161.57 open toward the July-2024 high at 161.95, where supply capped the rally in Thursday's NY session. Price now consolidates just under 162.00 — the cited intervention line — in thin early-July holiday liquidity, with firmer Tokyo CPI giving the yen a marginal bid. RSI(14) has cycled in the mid-50s on pullbacks while price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 161.54
Resistance: 161.95, 162.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 161.95 opens the 162.00 intervention zone — area to watch for sharp two-way spikes
Failure to hold 161.54 swing low confirms a lower-low
ADP and ISM Manufacturing (Jul 1) could materially shift the USD read