21:07 UTC
Downtrend since late-August peak, bouncing off fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 57.226
Lower highs and lower lows from 71.165; range break below the 58.50–62.07 consolidation.
Silver has printed lower highs and lower lows since the 71.165 late-August peak. Price sits below a falling EMA(50) near 62.19, and EMA(20) crossed beneath it in early October. Wednesday's hot US CPI print drove a range break out of the two-week 58.50–62.07 consolidation, through the aug low at 56.557, to a 55.385 oct low. Thursday's close back above the aug low came on falling yields and a softer USD rather than any change in the weekly sequence, and supply still sits overhead at the old range floor at 58.494.
Support: 56.557, 55.385, 54.756
Resistance: 58.494, 60.00, 61.413
What it said to watch
- Daily close back below the 55.385 oct low extends the lower-low sequence and exposes the 54.756 july low
- Failure to hold the 56.557 aug low on a closing basis would mark the bounce as a brief pause within the downtrend
- Recovery through the 58.494 range floor and the 60.00 round number puts price back inside the prior consolidation; the fib 38.2 at 61.413 sits just below EMA(50)
- Lower-highs trendline from 71.165 runs near 64.2; the downtrend read holds while price stays beneath it
- Fed Chair Warsh (Fri 03:30 UTC) on the hot CPI/PPI prints could materially shift this read via yields and the USD