Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend, sequencing lower highs and lower lows since the breakdown through the $69.11 200-day SMA and the FOMC hawkish hold that knocked price from ~$71.5 to a $64.85 weekly low. Monday's US-Iran de-escalation relief bounce stalled near $67.13 and has since faded back toward the lows, keeping price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) stays elevated, reflecting the two-way geopolitical swings still in play.
Support: 64.85, 63.30, 61.80
Resistance: 66.81, 69.11
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 66.81 then 69.11 needed to neutralize the bearish structure
Loss of 64.85 confirms a lower-low and exposes 63.30 / 61.80
Silver remains in a clear multi-week downtrend, sliding from $78 to a $64.85 weekly low as the hawkish-Fed/firm-USD theme drove price through the $69.11 200-day SMA. The latest bounce stalled into the $66.80-$67.13 band and faded back toward the lows, leaving structure capped below the descending lower-highs line. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR still elevated after the recent expansion.
Support: 64.85, 61.80
Resistance: 66.80, 69.11
What it said to watch
Loss of 64.85 weekly low exposes 61.80
Reclaim of 69.11 200-day sma needed to neutralise the bearish structure
S&P Global flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD-driven read
Silver has trended lower through the window from ~78 to a 63.30 swing low, slicing the 200-day near 69.11 after the hawkish FOMC hold. The latest leg is a corrective bounce on the US-Iran peace roadmap, lifting price off the lows but stalling near 67.13; the last bar gave most of that back to close at 65.45. ATR remains elevated, so swings stay wide inside the developing 63-67 base.
Support: 63.30, 61.80
Resistance: 67.13, 69.11
What it said to watch
H4 close above 67.13 would extend the relief bounce toward the 69.11 200-day
Loss of the 63.30 swing low resumes the downtrend toward the 61.80 stack low
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Structural downtrend intact — price sliced below the 200-day near 69.11 after the hawkish Fed and trades well under EMA50. The bounce off the 64 zone, lifted by the US-Iran de-escalation, stalled at 67.13 and is rolling back over toward the lows. ATR(14) stays elevated, keeping swings wide on this timeframe.
Support: 64.18, 63.29
Resistance: 67.13, 69.11
What it said to watch
H4 close above 67.13 swing high needed to challenge the 200-day near 69.11
Failure to hold 64.18 swing low reopens the 63.29 range low
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
H4 remains a clear downtrend after the brutal slide from ~78 to a sub-62 low on a hawkish Fed and strong US data. The current push to ~$66 is a geopolitical relief bounce on renewed US-Iran tensions, stalling right at the 38.2% retrace (~66.44) of the 71.54→63.29 leg and just under the 67.13 swing high. ATR(14) stays elevated, reflecting the still-active selloff regime.
Support: 63.29, 61.49
Resistance: 67.13, 70.18
What it said to watch
H4 close above 67.13 extends the relief bounce toward the 69-70.18 zone
Failure to hold 63.29 reopens the 61.49 range low
S&P PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) and Waller could materially shift this read
Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend after the slide from $71.54, having shed roughly $8 on the hawkish Fed dot-plot and the unwind of the Iran safe-haven premium. Price based around the 63.29 swing low and is now rebounding toward 66, but trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the 200-DMA cap at 69.11 unchallenged. ATR remains elevated, consistent with the recent expansion rather than compression.
Support: 63.29, 61.50
Resistance: 69.11
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the 69.11 200-DMA would neutralise the breakdown read
A close below 63.29 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 61.50 pivot
Fed's Waller at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend after the ~$78→$63 slide, with the leg lower accelerating once the hawkish Fed dot plot and the Iran ceasefire stripped out the safe-haven bid. Price has carved a double bottom near 63.30 and is rebounding to 66.17, but the move sits well below both EMAs and the 200-DMA cap at 69.11. The bullish RSI divergence off the 63.30 lows points to oversold relief rather than a structural turn.
Support: 63.32, 61.50
Resistance: 69.11
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller speech 13:00 UTC could firm USD/yields and fade the rebound
Reclaim of the 69.11 200-DMA would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 63.32 confirms a lower-low and exposes 61.50
Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend after breaking below $70 and the prior $65.77 shelf, bottoming at $63.29 on the hawkish-Fed repricing and cooling US-Iran risk premium. The latest leg is a corrective bounce that tagged $67.13 before fading back toward the broken $65.77 level, now acting as resistance. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the bearish structure intact.
Support: 63.29, 61.50
Resistance: 65.77, 67.13
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 65.77 would neutralize the bearish structure and reopen 67.13
Failure to hold 63.29 confirms continuation toward 61.50
Waller speech (13:00 UTC) and Tue S&P PMIs could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 65.496
Lower highs and lower lows, testing broken support from below.
Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend, having sliced ~8% from the $70 area to the mid-$60s after the hawkish Fed dot-plot and US-Iran de-escalation drained the safe-haven bid. Price found a base at the 63.32 swing low and is bouncing toward the 65.77 broken support, now acting as resistance. ATR(14) stays elevated, reflecting the expansion that drove the breakdown, with EMA20 capping below EMA50.
Support: 63.32, 61.50
Resistance: 65.77
What it said to watch
H4 close above 65.77 (broken supp) would neutralize the bearish structure
Failure to hold 63.32 swing low opens the path to the 61.50 support tgt
Waller speech 13:00 UTC and Tue PMIs could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 33 · price 64.585
Lower highs, lower lows since the 71.54 swing.
Silver round-tripped the early-month bounce: the rally to 71.30 was rejected and price has bled back toward the lows, breaking below the 200-dma reference around 65.77 after the hawkish Fed dot-plot lifted the dollar to YTD highs. Structure is a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with the 63.29 swing low the immediate floor and 61.49 the range low beneath it. ATR remains elevated, consistent with an extending trend rather than compression.
Support: 63.29, 61.49
Resistance: 65.77, 71.30
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close back above 65.77 (200-dma) would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 63.29 swing low opens the path toward 61.49 range low
Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) and Tue S&P PMIs could materially shift this read
Silver remains in a clear H4 downtrend, having shed roughly 8% from the 71.54 swing high after the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing and collapsing US-Iran talks drove the dollar to YTD highs. Price has stalled into a 64-66 consolidation, holding above the 63.30 swing low while capped well below the 65.77 area that aligns with the 200-DMA reclaim. ATR remains elevated, consistent with the recent impulsive leg lower.
Support: 63.30, 61.50
Resistance: 65.77
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 65.77 would neutralize the bearish structure
Failure to hold 63.30 confirms a lower-low and opens 61.50
Fed's Waller (13:00 UTC) and Tue S&P PMIs could materially shift this read