XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into Asia · RSI 64 · price 67.418
Higher highs and higher lows since the 64.55 low; shallow consolidation under the 67.53 NY high.
Silver squeezed 300 cents off the 64.55 low through the NY session, clearing the 66.42 breakout base and last week's 67.25–67.30 shelf before topping at 67.53 — a straight unwind of the hawkish-Fed-driven slide. Early Asia is drifting higher in a tight band above the 67.18 asia low with RSI(14) near 63, no sign of distribution yet.
Support: 67.18, 67.029, 66.421
Resistance: 67.529, 68.00
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 67.53 ny high extends the breakout leg toward the 68.00 round number
Loss of the 67.18 asia low breaks the rising-lows sequence and puts the 67.03 prior low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can materially reset this intraday structure
Higher highs / higher lows since the 64.55 washout; tight consolidation under the session high.
Europe's slide to 64.55 was fully reversed through NY hours: a breakout from the 66.42 base ran to 67.53 as the hawkish-Fed dollar bid stalled, and the pullback held 67.03. Thin post-NY and early Asia trade has ground back up to 67.41 in a tight band above the 67.14 asia low, RSI(14) near 64 with ATR(14) around 170 pips.
Support: 67.14, 67.03, 66.42
Resistance: 67.53, 68.00
What it said to watch
A sustained push through the 67.53 session high extends the breakout leg toward the 68.00 round number
Loss of 67.03 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built off 64.55
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday read
Higher highs / higher lows, now coiling under the session high.
Silver reversed the London slide from 64.55 and ran a full 300-cent NY leg into a session high of 67.53, squeezing through the 66.42 prior break area that the hawkish-Fed repricing had capped earlier. Since NY close it has gone flat, holding a tight 67.03–67.32 band into early Asia with RSI(14) near 66 and thin post-close ranges; nothing structural in play until one side of that band gives.
Support: 67.03, 66.71, 66.42
Resistance: 67.32, 67.53
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 67.32 range top re-opens the 67.53 session high
Loss of the 67.03 range base puts the 66.71 swing low back in focus and breaks the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially reset this intraday structure
Higher highs/higher lows off 64.55, now coiling in a tight Asian range under the session high.
Silver squeezed through the 66.39 area during NY hours and extended to a prior high of 67.53 before settling; the leg ran against the hawkish-Fed drag that had capped price all week. Asia has since held a tight 67.03–67.32 band, with the range base sitting just above the 67.00 psych level and RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 67.03, 67.00, 66.71
Resistance: 67.32, 67.53
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 67.32 session high re-opens the 67.53 prior high
Loss of the 67.03 range base and 67.00 psych puts the 66.71 swing low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows since the 64.55 low; shallow consolidation under the session high.
Silver broke out of the 66.42 breakout base during NY hours and ran to a session high of 67.529 — the squeeze scenario back through 67.00/67.25 rather than the hawkish-Fed grind lower. Price then consolidated into the rollover with a 67.029 cons. low, and Asia has reopened firm, printing an asia high at 67.310 with RSI(14) near 64 and ATR(14) around 172 pips.
Support: 67.029, 66.668, 66.421
Resistance: 67.31, 67.529
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 67.310 asia high puts the 67.529 session high back in play
Loss of the 67.029 cons. low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 66.668 swing low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next scheduled catalysts and could materially reset this read
22:32 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive NY leg cooling · RSI 64 · price 67.255
Higher highs and higher lows since 65.39; late-session consolidation under the highs.
NY session produced a clean breakout from 65.39 through the 66.39 100-dma to a 67.529 session high, a squeeze against the hawkish-Fed drag flagged in the digest. Price then coiled at 67.03–67.13 into the close and pushed to a 67.31 prior high on thin post-rollover Asia volume, with RSI(14) near 64 — extended but not stretched.
Support: 67.029, 66.39
Resistance: 67.31, 67.529
What it said to watch
Loss of the 67.029 ny range low breaks the rally's last higher low and re-opens the 66.39 100-dma
Failure to hold above the 67.31 prior high would leave the thin post-rollover push as a false break
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can materially reset this read
Higher highs/higher lows off 64.55, now flat consolidation under 67.23.
NY hours drove silver from 65.65 up through the 66.39–66.56 pivot that had capped price twice earlier, a breakout that extended to a 67.53 session high before fading. Asia has opened in a tight 67.03–67.23 consolidation on thin turnover, RSI(14) around 66 and price holding above EMA20/EMA50; ATR(14) is running ~221 pips per bar.
Support: 67.03, 66.56
Resistance: 67.23, 67.53
What it said to watch
Loss of the 67.03 asia low would break the consolidation floor and put the 66.56 pivot back in play
A close above the 67.23 asia high re-exposes the 67.53 session high
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after could materially shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows since 65.63, now flat consolidation under session high.
NY session drove silver from 65.63 to a 67.529 session high, clearing the 66.39-66.56 100-DMA area that had capped price earlier in the week — a squeeze of a market positioned for range-to-lower. Late NY has stalled into a tight 67.03-67.13 shelf with RSI(14) near 71 and ATR(14) around 265 pips, so the pause is consolidation rather than reversal so far.
Support: 67.03, 66.67
Resistance: 67.13, 67.529
What it said to watch
Loss of the 67.030 shelf low would put the 66.670 swing low back in play
Reclaim of the 67.529 session high extends the higher-high chain
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Mfg 53.5) could materially reset this read
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive then pausing · RSI 70 · price 67.047
Higher highs and higher lows since the 65.39 NY low; consolidation just above 67.00.
NY hours cleared the 66.39/66.56 cap and the 67.00 psych level in one impulse to a 67.53 session high — the squeeze scenario rather than the range read, helped by softer yields. Last four bars are coiling in a 67.03–67.13 band into the close with RSI(14) near 70 and ATR at ~245 pips.
Support: 67.00, 66.67, 66.42
Resistance: 67.13, 67.529
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 67.13 prior high re-exposes the 67.53 session high
Loss of the 67.00 psych level shifts focus to the 66.67 swing low
Acceptance back under 66.42 break level would negate the breakout
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr can reset this intraday structure
Higher highs and higher lows since the 64.55 low; last four bars coiling under the session high.
NY session drove silver through the 66.39/66.56 area that had capped it twice, with the impulse off the 66.42 breakout base peaking at the 67.53 session high before settling into a tight shelf around 67.00-67.13. RSI(14) near 69 after the squeeze the digest flagged as the crowded-positioning pain trade; last four bars are a 10-cent coil into the late NY hours, ATR(14) about 250 pips.
Support: 67.00, 66.67, 66.42
Resistance: 67.13, 67.53
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes back under the 67.00 round number would put the 66.67 pullback low back in play
A close above the 67.13 recent high re-engages the 67.53 session high
Loss of 66.42 breakout base invalidates the breakout read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 could materially reset this range
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after impulse · RSI 71 · price 67.047
Higher highs and higher lows, tight range near highs.
NY hours produced a clean impulsive break out of the 66.42 breakout lvl and through last week's 67.00-67.30 zone, topping at the 67.53 session high before settling into a four-bar coil just above the 67.00 psych level on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with trend; ATR(14) ~250 pips, so the current 10-pip bars are unusually compressed.
Support: 67.00, 66.71, 66.42
Resistance: 67.12, 67.53
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below the 67.00 psych level, then the 66.71 swing low, would negate the breakout read
A 15m close above the 67.12 prior high reopens the 67.53 session high
Late-session compression means the first hour of Asia can expand the range either way
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this structure
21:08 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into the close · RSI 69 · price 67.047
Higher highs and higher lows off 64.55; late-session consolidation under the 67.53 high.
NY session drove a full reversal of the European slide to 64.55, reclaiming the 66.39/66.56 pivot band and breaking the 67.00 round number to a session high of 67.53 — the dovish-repricing squeeze scenario rather than the bearish base case in the current Fed-driven digest. Last four bars are pinned in a 67.00–67.13 consolidation with RSI(14) near 69, momentum flattening into the late NY hours; ATR(14) at roughly 250 pips ($0.25) per bar.
Support: 67.00, 66.67, 66.42
Resistance: 67.13, 67.53
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 67.00 round number would negate the breakout and put 66.67 swing low back in play
Acceptance above 67.13 minor pivot re-opens the 67.53 session high
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Mfg f/c 53.5) can materially reset this intraday read
Loss of 66.42 breakout base would return price inside the prior 64.85–66.45 range
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling late NY · RSI 69 · price 67.072
Higher highs / higher lows, now flat consolidation under session high.
NY session drove silver off the 65.39 low through the 66.39/66.56 resistance cluster and the 66.42 breakout base, peaking at the 67.529 session high before flattening into a tight 67.008–67.122 box in the last four bars. RSI(14) near 69 has cooled from the highs of the impulse while price holds above EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) at roughly 245 pips reflects the expanded intraday ranges.
Support: 67.008, 66.71, 66.42
Resistance: 67.122, 67.529
What it said to watch
Loss of the 67.008 range floor puts the 66.71 swing low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 67.122 range top re-exposes the 67.529 session high
A slip back under the 66.42 breakout base would invalidate the NY reclaim
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr could materially reshape this read
20:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling late NY · RSI 69 · price 67.039
Higher highs / higher lows off 64.55; stalling under session high.
NY session broke out through the 66.42 breakout base and extended to a 67.529 session high before rejection into the last hour, with RSI(14) near 69 and ATR(14) around 248 pips. Price is now grinding sideways under the 67.12 prior high, the 66.67 pullback low the nearest shelf beneath.
Support: 66.67, 66.42
Resistance: 67.12, 67.529
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 67.529 session high would extend the higher-high chain
A close back under the 66.67 pullback low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Loss of 66.42 breakout base would invalidate the NY breakout read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr could materially reset this intraday structure
Higher highs and higher lows since the 65.39 London-NY low; pullback holding above 67.00.
Silver ripped through the 66.39/66.45 100-DMA pivot that capped it twice earlier in the window, running from the 65.39 session low to a 67.529 session high during NY hours before rejecting back to 67.07. RSI(14) at ~71 is hot but consistent with the impulse; the pullback is so far holding well above the 66.42 break base with ATR at ~266 pips (0.27) signalling wide intraday swings.
Support: 66.71, 66.42, 65.39
Resistance: 67.529
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 66.71 swing low would break the higher-low chain from the session low
A close back below 66.42 break base would invalidate the breakout read
Reclaim of 67.529 session high needed to extend the NY leg
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially reset this intraday structure
20:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended after NY breakout · RSI 77 · price 67.222
Chain of higher highs/higher lows; consolidating just under session high.
NY hours delivered a clean vertical break of the 66.42 prior high and the 67.00–67.30 shelf, tagging a session high at 67.53 before stalling into the late-NY lull with RSI(14) near 77. Price is holding the 67.10 breakout base, and the whole impulse is a squeeze against the hawkish-Fed, range-bound positioning flagged into Wednesday's US flash PMIs.
Support: 67.10, 66.87, 66.42
Resistance: 67.53, 68.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below the 67.10 breakout base would mark the first failed higher low of this leg
Loss of 66.87 swing low returns price inside the pre-breakout range
Reclaim of the 67.53 session high keeps the higher-high chain intact toward the 68.00 round number
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next event risk capable of resetting this read
NY session drove price clean through the 66.39/66.56 prior pivot zone and last week's 67.00–67.30 swing area, closing at the session high of 67.502 with RSI(14) near 84 — overbought, the squeeze the hawkish-Fed-positioned market was exposed to. Successive higher lows at 66.668 and the 66.950 breakout lvl define the leg; ATR(14) is elevated at ~257 pips.
Support: 67.113, 66.95, 66.56
Resistance: 67.502, 68.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 67.113 prior high would mark the first lower high of this leg
Acceptance above the 67.502 session high exposes the 68.000 round number
A slide back under the 66.560 prior pivot would invalidate the breakout read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr could materially reprice this move
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive and extended · RSI 81 · price 67.136
Higher highs and higher lows since the London-NY transition, breakout above the prior two-day cap.
NY session drove a clean breakout through the 66.39/66.56 100-dma cluster that capped the prior two sessions, with price extending to a 67.18 session high into late NY hours — the upside squeeze the digest flagged as the pain trade given trimmed length. RSI(14) near 81 is genuinely hot and ATR has widened to ~228 pips, so pullbacks into the 66.95 breakout area are the structure to monitor rather than fresh range extension.
Support: 66.95, 66.42
Resistance: 67.18, 67.30
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below 66.95 breakout area would mark the move as a false break of the 100-dma cluster
A close above 67.30 swing high extends the higher-high chain
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC could materially reset this read
Loss of 66.42 would put price back inside the prior 64.85-66.45 range
Silver broke the 66.42 range top in the late NY session and ran to 67.121, extending the recovery from the 64.55 European low as softer yields offset the hawkish Fed tone. RSI(14) near 80 is stretched; the 66.67 swing low is the first shelf under the breakout, with the 66.05 prior range beneath it.
Support: 66.67, 66.42, 66.05
Resistance: 67.121, 67.30
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 67.121 session high keeps the higher-high chain intact toward the 67.30 prior high
Loss of the 66.67 swing low would mark the first lower low since the breakout
A close back under the 66.42 range top invalidates the breakout read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially reset this intraday structure
Higher highs / higher lows since the 65.63 NY low; breakout above the 66.39–66.56 pivot holding.
Late NY session broke the 66.39–66.56 pivot that capped price twice earlier, spiking to a session high of 67.087 before settling around 66.9 — a squeeze consistent with softer yields offsetting the hawkish Fed tone. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but the pullback held above the breakout base at 66.421, keeping the higher-low chain from the 65.63 low intact.
Support: 66.668, 66.421
Resistance: 67.087, 67.30
What it said to watch
Loss of the 66.668 pullback low, then 66.421 breakout base, would flag failed-breakout behaviour
Acceptance above the 67.087 session high opens the 67.30 prior high
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially reset this intraday structure
Higher highs / higher lows off the 64.55 low; fresh session high then shallow fade.
NY afternoon squeeze pushed silver through the 66.42-66.56 area that capped it earlier in Europe, printing a session high of 67.09 before fading to 66.78 — the hawkish-Fed pressure that drove the 64.55 low has been unwound intraday. Structure is higher highs and higher lows off that 64.55 low with rising support intact, RSI(14) near 70 and ATR(14) at 220 pips; the 66.42 break base is the first reference below, with the 64.55-67.09 leg now the retracement frame.
Support: 66.42, 66.18
Resistance: 67.09, 67.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back under the 66.42 break base turns the move into a false break and re-opens 66.18 pre-break hi
Reclaim of the 67.09 session high is needed to expose 67.30 prior high
Loss of rising support off the 64.55 low breaks the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC can reset this intraday read
18:32 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive into NY close · RSI 77 · price 66.954
Higher highs/higher lows since the 64.55 London low; range break above 66.45.
Silver broke the 66.45 pivot in the second half of the NY session and ran to a session high at 67.087, reclaiming the level that capped it twice earlier in the day. RSI(14) near 76 with ATR(14) around 214 pips shows the move is extended but the pullback so far has been shallow, holding well above the 66.00 round number.
Support: 66.45, 66.00, 65.63
Resistance: 67.087, 67.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 66.45 on a 15-minute close would negate the breakout and put the 66.00 round number back in play
Acceptance above the 67.087 session high keeps the 67.30 prior high as the next reference
Failure to hold above 65.63 session low would rebuild the earlier intraday range
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after could materially reset this intraday read
Higher highs off the 64.55 low, NY breakout above the day's cap.
Late NY hours produced a vertical squeeze: two bars took price from 66.11 through the 66.39/66.45 cap that had rejected silver all day, printing a session high at 67.037 with RSI(14) near 80. The move reverses the Europe-session flush to 64.55 that came on the hawkish Fed chorus, and the breakout base at 66.448 is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 66.448, 66.15
Resistance: 67.037, 67.30
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 67.037 session high keeps the squeeze intact toward the 67.30 psych area
A close back under 66.448 breakout base turns the move into a false break
Loss of 66.15 prior high returns price into the pre-breakout range
RSI(14) near 80 with ATR ~224 pips means pullback bars can be large; US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
18:04 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive late-NY leg · RSI 75 · price 66.48
Higher lows since 14:30 UTC, breakout above 66.18.
Silver has run 1.9% off the 08:30 UTC London low at 64.55 and the last two bars broke the 66.18 brkout base, reclaiming the 66.39 area that capped the earlier hawkish-Fed selloff. Chain of higher lows from 65.63 session low through 65.89 micro pivot is intact with RSI(14) near 74 — hot but not extreme for a fresh intraday leg.
Support: 66.18, 65.89, 65.63
Resistance: 66.66, 66.80
What it said to watch
Stall or rejection into the 66.66 swing high and 66.80 day high defines the upper edge of the day's range
Loss of the 66.18 brkout base would mark the breakout as a false break and re-open 65.89 micro pivot
Close back under 65.63 session low breaks the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs 23 Sep 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday read
Higher highs and higher lows since the NY-session low.
Silver bottomed at 65.391 at the NY open after the hawkish fedspeak-driven slide from the 66.797 day high, then built a clean HH/HL chain through NY hours, breaking 65.890 and stalling at the 66.178 session high. RSI(14) at 64 is firm but not stretched; ATR is running ~21c per bar, so swings stay wide into the late-NY tape.
Support: 65.89, 65.70, 65.391
Resistance: 66.178, 66.453, 66.797
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 66.178 session high extends the chain toward the 66.453 prior high
Loss of the 65.890 breakout lvl, and then the 65.700 swing low, would end the NY higher-low sequence
US flash PMIs on Wednesday 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled event able to reshape this intraday read
17:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Europe low, momentum steady · RSI 57 · price 66.058
Higher highs / higher lows since 64.55, session high just broken.
The early-London slide to 64.55 on the hawkish fedspeak chorus has been fully retraced through NY hours; price cleared the 65.87 ema20 and tagged 66.178, the session high, before settling at 66.058. Chain of higher lows from 64.55 through 65.39 is intact, RSI(14) near 56 with ATR(14) around 200 pips.
Support: 65.87, 65.63, 65.39
Resistance: 66.178, 66.453
What it said to watch
A 15m close back under the 65.63 range low breaks the higher-low chain built from 64.55
Acceptance above the 66.178 session high exposes the 66.453 prior high
Loss of the 65.39 swing low invalidates the NY recovery structure
Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs are the next scheduled risk to this intraday read
Higher lows since NY open, fresh session high on last bars.
After the London slide to 64.55, price has ground back up through NY hours on a chain of rising lows off 65.39, breaking the earlier NY highs to print a session high at 66.18 before settling at 66.11. RSI(14) near 58 with ATR(14) around 205 pips — room left before the 100-dma at 66.39 that has capped the metal all week, with hawkish fedspeak still the backdrop.
Support: 65.63, 65.39
Resistance: 66.18, 66.39
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 66.18 session high puts the 100-dma at 66.39 in play
Loss of the 65.63 ny pivot breaks the rising lows structure and reopens 65.39
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC can reprice the front end within the next bars
17:05 UTC
Intraday recovery off the session low, momentum improving · RSI 55 · price 66.061
Higher lows since the 64.55 flush, pressing the session high.
Hawkish fedspeak drove the London-NY slide from the 66.80 Asia high into 64.55, and price has since built a chain of higher lows (65.39, 65.63, 65.72) back through 66.00 into the late NY session. Last two bars broke the 66.08 micro-pivot with RSI(14) near 55 and ATR(14) around 220 pips; session high 66.18 is the immediate cap.
Support: 65.63, 65.39, 64.55
Resistance: 66.18, 66.39, 66.80
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 65.63 swing low breaks the rising-lows chain
Acceptance above the 66.18 session high puts the 66.39 prior high in play
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the near-term headline risk for this read
Intraday range after V-recovery off 64.55; rising lows flattening.
European hours dumped silver from 66.10 to a window low of 64.55 on the hawkish fedspeak chorus, and NY has retraced most of it before being rejected at the 66.079 session high. Price has since coiled into a 65.63–66.08 band, RSI(14) back at 45 and price pinned under EMA20 but still above EMA50 — no clean intraday direction into the late NY session.
Support: 65.633, 65.391, 64.55
Resistance: 66.079, 66.797
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 66.079 session high reopens the 66.80 prior high area
Loss of the 65.633 session low exposes the 65.391 swing low, then 64.55 window low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC falls in the next bars and can break the range
Hawkish Fed chorus drove the London flush from 66.10 to 64.55 before NY hours bought it back to a session high of 66.08, and price has since drifted to 65.67, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral at ~48. Higher lows from 65.17 to 65.39 to 65.48 are still intact but the 65.93 prior-highs shelf has capped the last four attempts; ATR(14) ~244 pips.
Support: 65.48, 65.39, 65.17
Resistance: 65.93, 66.08
What it said to watch
M15 close below 65.39 ny sess low breaks the higher-low chain off 64.55
Reclaim of the 65.93 prior highs and 66.08 session high needed to extend the NY recovery
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC lands within the next bar period and can reprice this range
Higher lows since the European flush, capped under the 66.08 session high.
Silver flushed to 64.85 (64.55 wick) during European hours on the hawkish Fed chorus, then clawed back through NY open to 66.079, where the last three pushes were rejected. Price is now chopping in a 65.39–66.08 NY range with RSI(14) back to 48.6 and ATR(14) at ~255 pips per bar; 65.624 has held as the near pivot.
Support: 65.624, 65.391, 64.85
Resistance: 66.079, 66.283, 66.797
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 66.079 session high would extend the recovery leg toward the 66.283 asia pivot, then the 66.797 asian high
Loss of the 65.391 ny low re-exposes the 64.85 euro low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC lands one bar after this close and can break the NY range either way
15:48 UTC
Recovery off the low, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 65.667
Higher lows from 64.55 but capped under 66.08 — broad intraday range.
Hawkish Fed rhetoric drove the European slide into the 64.55 rebound low before NY hours retraced most of it, but the last two bars rejected the 66.079 session high and closed back at 65.667, under EMA20. RSI(14) near 48 and ATR ~285 pips — chop inside 65.39–66.08 with no directional resolution.
Support: 65.391, 64.55
Resistance: 66.079, 66.39
What it said to watch
Loss of the 65.391 session low breaks the chain of higher lows off 64.55
A close above the 66.079 session high puts the 66.39 100-dma back in play
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next event risk inside this session
15:33 UTC
Intraday recovery off the day low, momentum stalling · RSI 53 · price 65.863
Higher lows since 64.55, capped under the 66.08 session high.
Hawkish Fed rhetoric drove the European-hours flush to 64.55, the day low, and NY hours have retraced most of it via a chain of higher lows into a 66.08 session high. The last two bars rejected that high back to 65.86, with RSI(14) at 53 and ATR near 28 cents per bar.
Support: 65.39, 64.55
Resistance: 66.08, 66.45
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 66.08 session high opens the 66.45 prior high
Loss of the 65.39 ny low breaks the rising support drawn off the day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC falls inside the next bars and could reset the intraday range
Higher lows since the European flush, pressing the NY session high.
Hawkish fedspeak drove a vertical European-hours slide to an intraday low of 64.55 before NY hours built a chain of higher lows (65.06, 65.39) back to 66.02, right under the 66.057 session high. RSI(14) near 61 with ATR(14) at roughly 285 pips — ranges are wide, chop between 65.39 and 66.06 still intact.
Support: 65.391, 65.063, 64.55
Resistance: 66.057, 66.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 66.057 session high re-exposes the 66.39 100-dma area
Loss of 65.391 breaks the higher low sequence and returns focus to 65.06
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC could reprice this intraday recovery
Higher lows off 64.55, capped by 66.06 — range developing.
Hawkish fedspeak drove the European-hours flush to 64.55 before NY reclaimed 65.50; the recovery stalled at the ny high of 66.06 and price has since chopped back to 65.68, pinned to the EMA20. Higher lows at 65.13 and 65.39 remain intact, RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR(14) ~290 pips — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 65.39, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 66.057, 66.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 66.06 ny high would extend the recovery leg toward the 66.39 100-dma
Loss of the 65.39 swing low re-exposes 65.13 and the 64.55 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC can reprice this range late in the NY session
Lower highs off 66.06 after the 64.55 session low; price back in the lower half of the day's range.
London hours drove silver from the 66.80 asia high down to the 64.55 session low, with hawkish fedspeak and the higher-for-longer USD bid named as the driver. The NY-session rebound stalled at the 66.06 ny high — a clear lower high — and has unwound to 65.50, back beneath the 65.66 ema20; RSI(14) near 47 with ATR(14) around 264 pips reflecting today's expanded range.
Support: 65.39, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.66, 66.06, 66.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 65.66 ema20 and a close above the 66.06 ny high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 65.39 swing low re-exposes 65.13 prior low and the 64.55 session low
Fed's Barkin 17:00 UTC, then US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC — either can reset this intraday read
14:33 UTC
Recovery off the low, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 65.711
Higher lows since the London-open low, now consolidating under the session high.
Silver bottomed at 64.55 into the London open and has ground back up in a chain of higher lows, now consolidating between the 65.62 range floor and the 66.057 session high during NY hours, with hawkish Fed rhetoric the backdrop to the earlier slide. Repeated rejection around the 65.99 prior high has capped the bounce, RSI(14) mid-50s and price sitting right on EMA20 — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 65.62, 65.47
Resistance: 65.99, 66.057
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close above the 66.057 session high would extend the recovery leg
Loss of the 65.620 range floor puts the 65.470 swing low back in play and breaks the rising lows sequence
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC and Wednesday's US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can reset this intraday range
14:17 UTC
Corrective recovery off the day's low, momentum flattening · RSI 60 · price 65.865
Higher-low chain from 64.55, stalling under 66.06 session high.
The sweep to 64.55 in the London morning was fully bought back and price has ground out a higher-low chain into the NY open, tagging 66.06 before easing to 65.87 — that high sits on the 61.8% retrace of the 66.80–64.55 slide. RSI(14) near 60 with ATR(14) around 252 pips ($0.25); the recovery is still corrective within yesterday's hawkish-fedspeak breakdown.
Support: 65.62, 64.55
Resistance: 66.06, 66.28
What it said to watch
Loss of the 65.62 higher low breaks the recovery's higher-low chain
A close above the 66.06 session high opens the path to the 66.28 prior swing
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next bars and can reprice the move
14:04 UTC
Recovery off session low, stalling under 66.00 · RSI 55 · price 65.858
Higher lows since the 64.55 London low, capped by a 65.99-66.06 supply shelf.
Hawkish fedspeak drove the slide into the 64.55 session low early in the London session; price has since retraced the whole leg, but the 65.99-66.06 shelf has capped four attempts in the first hour of NY. Higher lows at 65.39 and 65.62 remain intact with RSI(14) mid-range near 55 and ATR(14) around 239 pips.
Support: 65.62, 65.39, 64.55
Resistance: 66.06, 66.00, 66.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 66.06 session high would clear the psych 66.00 shelf and open the 66.50 prior high
Loss of 65.62 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built off the session low
Fed's Barkin 17:00 UTC could reset the intraday range read
The London slide to 64.55 — hawkish fedspeak keeping the dollar bid — has been largely retraced into the NY open, with price now pressing the 66.00 psych level for a third time and RSI(14) near 61. The 65.94 close sits exactly on the 61.8% retracement of the 66.80–64.55 leg, and the higher lows from 65.17 through the 65.62 swing low remain intact.
Support: 65.62, 65.34, 64.55
Resistance: 66.00, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 66.00 psych level opens the 66.10 prior high
Loss of the 65.62 swing low breaks the higher-lows chain, 65.34 pivot low next
Failure to hold gains leaves the 64.55 session low as the day's base
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next bars and could reprice the dollar leg
13:32 UTC
Intraday recovery off the flush, stalling · RSI 53 · price 65.656
Higher lows since 64.55, capped under 66.00.
London hours produced the flush to the 64.55 session low as hawkish Fedspeak (Musalem/Kashkari) firmed yields, then price built higher lows into the NY open and ran to 65.996 before the last two bars rejected the round number and cut back to 65.656. RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) 218 pips — the 65.47 swing low is the first structural marker beneath price.
Support: 65.47, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.996, 66.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.996 session high re-opens the 66.39 100-dma zone
Loss of 65.47 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 65.13 prior low / 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC fall in the next bars and could reset this intraday read
13:17 UTC
Recovery leg higher off the session low, momentum intact · RSI 58 · price 65.937
Higher highs / higher lows since the 64.55 sweep; grinding back into the pre-flush zone.
London hours flushed silver from the 66.10 prior base down to a 64.55 session low on hawkish Fed rhetoric, and that spike was swept back the same bar. Price has since built a chain of rising lows (65.17, 65.47) and is pressing the 66.00 psych level into the NY open with RSI(14) at 58 and ATR(14) near 218 pips.
Support: 65.47, 65.17, 64.55
Resistance: 66.00, 66.10
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 66.00 psych opens the 66.10 prior base as the next reference
Loss of the 65.47 swing low breaks the rising lows sequence and re-exposes 65.17 prior low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next bars and can reset this intraday read
13:06 UTC
Intraday recovery off the lows, capped · RSI 59 · price 65.826
Rising lows since 64.55, triple rejection at 65.94.
Silver was flushed from 66.80 to 64.55 through the Asia–London handover as hawkish Fedspeak revived October hike pricing, then ground back up in a rising-lows chain into the London-NY transition. The last three bars stalled at 65.93/65.94 — the 61.8% fib of that slide — with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around 230 pips keeping intraday swings wide.
Support: 65.47, 64.55
Resistance: 65.94, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 65.94 (61.8% fib) opens the 66.10 prior supp band
Loss of the 65.47 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence off 64.55
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and could reprice this read
Higher lows off session low inside a broader down leg.
London hours drove the slide from 66.10 to a 64.55 session low as hawkish Fed repricing lifted the dollar, and price has since stair-stepped back up through EMA20 and EMA50 with a chain of higher lows from 65.13 to 65.47. The last two bars stalled twice at 65.94 just under the 66.00 round number, RSI(14) at 57 with ATR(14) near 220 pips — still elevated.
Support: 65.47, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.94, 66.00
What it said to watch
Repeated rejection at the 65.94 session high — area to monitor for break or failure
Close above 66.00 round number would extend the corrective leg rather than the down move
Loss of the 65.47 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence built off the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land within the next few bars and could reprice this intraday read
V-recovery off 64.55 session low, higher lows into session high.
Hawkish Fed rhetoric drove the slide from 66.80 through 66.00 into a 64.55 session low at 08:30 UTC, since when silver has built a higher-low chain (65.19, 65.34, 65.47) and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50 at 65.52/65.64. The 12:15 UTC push tagged 65.94 and was rejected back to 65.70, leaving the session high as the immediate cap into the London-NY transition; RSI(14) mid-range at 56, ATR(14) ~206 pips.
Support: 65.47, 65.19, 64.55
Resistance: 65.94, 66.10
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 65.94 session high opens the 66.10 prior swing
A close back under 65.47 breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 65.19 swing low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can reset this intraday read
Impulsive European-session leg lower, now ranging 65.34-65.76 above the 64.55 session low.
Silver was flushed from 66.10 to 64.55 through the European session as hawkish Fed rhetoric lifted the Dollar and yields, then rebounded roughly 60% of that leg into 65.76 before stalling. Last four hours have been a tight 65.34-65.76 consolidation into the NY open with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49; ATR(14) ~25c per bar keeps ranges wide.
Support: 65.34, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.76, 66.10
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 65.76 session high extends the retracement toward the 66.10 prior high
Loss of the 65.34 swing low re-opens the 65.13 range low and the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
Sell-off to 64.55, rejection off the low, sideways 65.34-65.76 since.
Hawkish Fed rhetoric drove the slide from the 66.10 pre-drop shelf through the European morning into a 64.55 session low, where a long-tailed rejection recovered nearly 700 pips in two bars. Since then price has been boxed between the 65.34 range low and the 65.76 range top, RSI(14) back at neutral 51 and price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~245 pips keeps intraday swings wide.
Support: 65.34, 65.10, 64.55
Resistance: 65.76, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.76 range top would extend the recovery leg toward 66.10
Loss of the 65.34 range low re-exposes the 65.10 swing low and the 64.55 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can break this range
Sharp London sell-off to 64.55, then higher lows into a tight consolidation.
Silver was flushed through the European morning on hawkish Fed rhetoric, losing roughly 1.5 dollars from 66.10 to a session low of 64.55 before a fast recovery leg into 65.76. Since 10:15 UTC price has consolidated in a 65.34–65.76 band above EMA20 but still under EMA50, RSI(14) back to a neutral 53.5 after the washout. ATR(14) near 280 pips reflects how wide the intraday swings still are.
Support: 65.336, 65.166, 64.55
Resistance: 65.759, 66.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 65.76 bounce high extends the recovery leg toward the 66.00 round number
Loss of the 65.34 range low re-opens the 65.17 swing low and the 64.55 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice this consolidation
Sustained trade back below EMA20 would invalidate the higher-low sequence
Lower highs into 08:30 UTC session low, now ranging 65.40-65.76.
Silver broke down from 66.10 through the Asia-London transition and printed the session low at 64.55 at 08:30 UTC, with hawkish Fed commentary keeping the metal heavy. The bounce off that low stalled at the 65.76 bounce high — roughly the 61.8% retracement of the drop — and the last six bars are compressing between 65.40 and 65.70 with RSI(14) back to the midline. ATR(14) near 270 pips shows intraday ranges are still wide versus the pre-selloff hours.
Support: 65.20, 64.55
Resistance: 65.76, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.76 bounce high extends the correction toward the 66.10 breakdown pt
Loss of the 65.20 bounce base re-exposes the 64.55 session low and confirms continuation of the downtrend
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
European break of the Asian range, then higher lows off 64.55 into a tight 65.39-65.76 consolidation.
Silver broke the Asian 65.9-66.1 range at the European open and extended to 64.55 as hawkish Fed rhetoric kept the Dollar and yields bid, then rebounded hard to 65.76. Last two hours have been a tight consolidation between 65.39 and 65.76 with RSI(14) back at neutral; ATR(14) near 276 pips shows conditions still fast.
Support: 65.394, 65.102, 64.55
Resistance: 65.759, 66.097
What it said to watch
Close above the 65.759 recent high puts the 66.097 breakdown pt back in play
Failure to hold the 65.394 swing low re-opens 65.102 prior low and the 64.550 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice this consolidation
Impulsive leg down to 64.55, higher lows since, now coiling under session high.
Silver dumped ~155 cents through the European morning into 64.55 on hawkish Fed rhetoric, then retraced roughly two-thirds of that leg, stalling at the 65.76 session high. Price is now coiling between the bounce low at 65.47 and 65.76 with RSI(14) back at the midline and ATR(14) elevated near 267 pips.
Support: 65.47, 65.19, 64.55
Resistance: 65.76, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 65.76 session high extends the correction toward the 66.10 prior high
Loss of 65.47 bounce low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 65.19 swing low, then the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next few bars and can reprice this range
Impulsive London leg lower, then sideways coil under 65.71.
Silver was flushed through the London session from the 66.10 prior base down to a 64.55 session low as hawkish Fed rhetoric lifted the Dollar and yields, then snapped back ~115 cents and has coiled between the 65.47 range floor and the 65.71 rebound high for the last two hours. RSI(14) has reset to 52 from washed-out levels, price holds above EMA20 near 65.47 but supply is capping just under EMA50 at 65.69. ATR(14) ~268 pips — moves here are wide.
Support: 65.47, 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.71, 66.10, 66.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.71 rebound high would extend the correction toward the 66.10 prior base and 66.40 round number
Loss of the 65.47 range floor re-exposes the 65.13 swing low and the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the NY session and could reset this intraday read
Lower highs into 64.55 low, now consolidating 65.20-65.71.
London session did the damage — 66.10 down to the 64.55 session low in roughly three hours as hawkish Fed rhetoric kept the Dollar and yields bid. Price has since retraced to 65.59 and is consolidating 65.19-65.71 with RSI(14) back near 51 from oversold; ATR(14) near 290 pips means moves are running wide.
Support: 65.19, 64.55
Resistance: 65.71, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.71 rebound high would extend the correction toward the 66.10 prior swing
Loss of the 65.19 swing low reopens the 64.55 session low and confirms the downtrend continuation
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can reprice this range
Lower highs / lower lows into 64.55, now retracing.
The Asian 65.94–66.10 balance gave way at the 05:15 UTC breakdown point and London extended the slide to a 64.55 session low, hawkish Fed rhetoric keeping the metal heavy. Price has since retraced to 65.52 after a rejection at the 65.71 session high, with higher lows building off 65.19 — EMA20 reclaimed, EMA50 still overhead; ATR(14) 291 pips shows the range is wide.
Support: 65.19, 64.55
Resistance: 65.71, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 65.71 session high extends the corrective leg toward the 66.10 breakdown point
Loss of the 65.19 bounce low re-opens the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset the intraday read
10:04 UTC
Downtrend, sharp bounce off the low · RSI 49 · price 65.65
Lower highs and lower lows into 64.55, now a V-recovery inside the breakdown range.
The European session broke down from the 66.10 breakdown point and ran ~155 cents to a 64.55 session low, hawkish Fed rhetoric keeping the metal heavy, before a two-bar V-recovery to the 65.71 bounce high. Price is now consolidating above the 65.20 micro pivot with RSI(14) back near 49 from deeply washed-out levels and ATR(14) around 280 pips — volatility well above the Asian-range norm.
Support: 65.20, 64.55
Resistance: 65.71, 66.10
What it said to watch
15m close back below the 65.20 micro pivot reopens the 64.55 session low
Acceptance above the 65.71 bounce high puts the 66.10 breakdown point back in play and invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset intraday direction
Lower highs and lower lows since the 66.10 breakdown; last four bars coiled 65.19-65.33.
Late-Asia into London-open selling broke 66.10 and ran to a session low of 64.55, with hawkish Fed repricing behind the flush; the snapback topped at 65.61 and price is now parked on the 50% fib of that leg near 65.32. Consolidation between 65.19 and 65.33 under EMA20, ATR(14) elevated at ~257 pips (25.7 cents).
Support: 65.10, 64.92, 64.55
Resistance: 65.61, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.61 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain off 66.10
Loss of the 65.10 swing low reopens 64.92 and the 64.55 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT could reprice the move intraday
Lower highs and lower lows; V-bounce off session low fading.
Silver broke out of the Asian range to the downside in early London, sliding from the 66.10 breakdown pt to a 64.55 session low as hawkish Fed repricing kept the dollar firm. The sharp V-bounce stalled at the 65.61 rebound high and price has faded back below EMA20 into the 65.20s, RSI(14) recovering off the low to the mid-40s.
Support: 65.13, 64.55
Resistance: 65.61, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 65.61 rebound high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 65.13 bounce low reopens the 64.55 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 GMT ahead of the NY session could materially shift this read
Lower highs/lower lows into a 64.55 spike low, then sharp retracement now fading.
Silver lost the 66.10 breakdown pt into the London open and slid in a clean lower-high chain to a 64.55 session low, a level swept and immediately reclaimed with a 100-pip candle, consistent with the dip demand the post-Fed repricing has shown all week. The rebound stalled at the 65.61 bounce high and price has slipped back under the ema20 near 65.36, leaving the 64.93 swing low as the first shelf beneath. ATR(14) around 310 pips — moves are large relative to the last 24h average.
Support: 64.93, 64.55
Resistance: 65.36, 65.61, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 65.61 bounce high would negate the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 64.93 swing low re-exposes the 64.55 session low
Reclaim of 66.10 breakdown pt would restore the prior congestion range
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC fall inside the next few bars
Lower highs into London, impulsive break below the 66.00 base then reversal candle off 64.55.
Late Asia cracked the 66.00 psych base and the breakdown extended through the London open to a 64.55 session low, where two bars swept and reclaimed hard back to a 65.61 bounce high. Price now sits mid-move at 65.505, just above EMA20 with RSI(14) back to 49 from deeply oversold, and the driver remains the hawkish-Fed versus falling-oil/yield tug-of-war flagged in the silver read.
Support: 65.10, 64.55
Resistance: 65.61, 66.00, 66.10
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 65.61 bounce high puts the 66.00 psych level and the 66.10 breakdown pt back in play
Loss of the 65.10 swing low re-opens the 64.55 session low and confirms the reclaim failed
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC, then Wed US flash PMIs, can reset this intraday range
Lower highs and lower lows since London open; snapback off session low.
London session broke the 66.030 prior base and 65.700 breakdown level in one impulse, with a sweep of 64.550 on the last full bar immediately bought back to 65.227 — the largest range bar of the window. Price is now mid-channel at 65.145, below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 35 after the snapback; the slide follows the firmer dollar and hawkish Fed rhetoric flagged in the digest.
Support: 64.55, 64.93
Resistance: 65.38, 65.70, 66.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 65.380 swing high would break the descending lower-high chain
A second failure at 64.930 swing low re-opens the 64.550 session low
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
08:32 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive and extending · RSI 21 · price 64.687
Chain of lower highs / lower lows, price at session lows.
An Asia-session flush from 66.10 sliced through the prior 65.70-66.10 base and London hours extended it, with every bounce capped under the descending lower highs and price printing a fresh session low at 64.669. RSI(14) near 21 is deeply oversold but no bullish divergence yet; ATR(14) has widened to roughly 245 pips per bar, consistent with the firm dollar tone after hawkish Fed commentary.
Support: 64.669, 64.50
Resistance: 65.13, 65.38, 65.70
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 64.669 opens the 64.50 round number as the next reference
Reclaim of the 65.130 micro pivot would be the first break of the lower-high sequence; the 65.380 supply shelf caps above
Recovery back above the 65.700 flush high would invalidate the breakdown read
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are near-term headline risk for this move
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 22 · price 64.89
Chain of lower highs and lower lows after the break below 66.00.
Late-Asia breakdown out of the 66.00–66.45 consolidation ran roughly 100 pips in two bars and European hours have extended it to a 64.88 session low, RSI(14) near 22 with no divergence yet. Supply has capped every attempt since, first at the 65.70 bounce high and then the 65.38 lower high, while the 66.10 breakdown lvl now sits well overhead; ATR(14) near 250 pips shows the volatility expansion versus the flat pre-drop hours.
Support: 64.88, 64.50
Resistance: 65.38, 65.70, 66.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 65.38 lower high would break the descending sequence off the breakdown
Failure to hold the 64.88 session low opens the 64.50 round number
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are headline risk into this oversold read
Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs the next scheduled catalyst that could reset the intraday range
08:04 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive and extending · RSI 25 · price 64.899
Lower highs / lower lows, fresh session low on the last bar.
Silver cracked out of the 65.90–66.10 shelf in late Asia hours and has kept grinding lower through the London open, losing the 65.00 handle and printing a fresh session low at 64.881 on the last bar — consistent with the hawkish Fed repricing that has capped the metal all week. RSI(14) near 25 with price well below EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) around 257 pips means moves are running wide, and each bounce so far has stalled at a lower high (65.699, then 65.378).
Support: 64.881, 64.50
Resistance: 65.378, 65.699, 66.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 65.378 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to stabilise at the 64.881 session low opens the 64.50 round number
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are near-term headline risk for this leg
Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs are the larger scheduled catalyst for the range read
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 29 · price 65.125
Range break lower, chain of lower highs and lower lows.
Silver broke down out of the 66.00 shelf from 05:15 UTC and shed roughly 115 cents into the London open, with the dollar holding its post-FOMC gains; the 64.943 session low printed on the prior bar. Bounces have been rejected at successively lower highs — 65.699 then 65.378 — and RSI(14) sits near 29 with ATR(14) around 218 pips.
Support: 64.943, 64.50
Resistance: 65.378, 65.699, 66.00
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the 65.378 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 64.943 session low extends the leg toward the 64.50 round number
Failure to hold above 65.05 keeps the breakdown structure intact
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are the next headline risks for this read
Lower highs / lower lows, now compressing above the session low.
Silver lost the 65.94 break level in the final Asian hours and dropped a full dollar into the early-European window, printing a session low at 65.063 as hawkish Fed repricing kept the dollar firm. The last six bars have consolidated in a 65.13–65.70 band with lower highs, RSI(14) around 31 and price well under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) near 226 pips shows how wide the ranges have become.
Support: 65.134, 65.063, 65.00
Resistance: 65.699, 65.94
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 65.699 bounce high would break the lower-high chain and question the breakdown read
Loss of the 65.134 recent low and then the 65.063 session low extends the impulse toward the 65.00 round number
Fed speakers later today, then Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs, are the headline risks that could reset this range
07:03 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg stabilising · RSI 28 · price 65.237
Range break lower, lower highs into tight consolidation.
Late-Asia hours cracked the 66.00 shelf that had contained the whole window, a fast ~100c flush to the 65.063 spike low as the post-Fed hawkish repricing kept pressure on the metal after repeated rejections near the 100-DMA. Price has since coiled between the 65.134 session low and the 65.363 micro high, with lower highs from the 65.699 rebound high and RSI(14) at 28.
Support: 65.134, 65.063, 65.00
Resistance: 65.363, 65.514, 65.699
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 65.514 swing high would unwind the downside range break
Loss of the 65.134 session low re-exposes the 65.063 spike low and the 65.00 psych level
Sustained rejection at the 65.363 micro high keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams/Jefferson (14:05/14:20 UTC) are headline risk into NY
Impulsive break of the 66.00 shelf, now basing above the flush low.
Two bars in the late-Asia hours took silver from 66.10 to 65.063, snapping the 66.00 shelf that had contained the prior 24 hours; RSI(14) at 27 with price well under EMA20 and EMA50. Since the flush low, price has chopped in a 65.23–65.70 band with each bounce capped lower — bounce high 65.699 then retrace high 65.589 — while ATR(14) has expanded to roughly 216 pips.
Support: 65.227, 65.063
Resistance: 65.589, 65.699, 66.095
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the retrace high 65.589 would neutralise the lower-high chain off the flush
Loss of the 65.227 session low re-exposes the 65.063 flush low
Sustained move back over 66.095 pre-drop level would invalidate the breakdown read
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) are headline risk into the next sessions
Late Asia session sliced through the 65.94 break level in three bars, printing a session low of 65.063 before a shallow bounce; RSI(14) at 26.6 and ATR(14) expanded to 217 pips, so the impulse is stretched rather than resolved. Price is now coiling 65.24–65.59 under a chain of lower highs from the 65.699 spike high, with dollar strength from hawkish Fed repricing the backdrop.
Support: 65.243, 65.063, 65.00
Resistance: 65.514, 65.699, 65.94
What it said to watch
Loss of the 65.243 micro low re-opens the session low at 65.063 and the 65.00 round number
A close back above the 65.514 bounce high would put the 65.94 break level back in play and negate the lower-high chain
US flash S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled event capable of resetting this intraday read; Fed speakers later today carry headline risk
06:17 UTC
Sharp intraday downtrend after range break · RSI 27 · price 65.33
Lower highs all session, then impulsive break below the 66.00 base; price basing near session low.
Silver chopped in a 65.85–66.15 band for most of the Asian session, then broke down hard in the last hour of Asia, losing a full dollar to 65.06 before stabilising around 65.33 — consistent with hawkish Fed repricing pressuring the high-beta metal. RSI(14) at 27 and ATR(14) near 225 pips show momentum and volatility both expanded on the break; the broken base at 66.10 now caps.
Support: 65.29, 65.06
Resistance: 65.70, 66.00, 66.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 66.00 round number would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 65.06 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
65.70 bounce high is the first area to monitor for rejection or break
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and Wednesday's US flash PMIs could materially shift this read
Range break lower, chain of lower highs into a 65.06 flush and partial recovery.
The Asian grind between 65.90 and the 66.10 pre-drop cap broke hard into the European open: two bars took out the 65.98 broken shelf and swept the session low at 65.063 before a bounce to 65.70, price now holding 65.53. RSI(14) at 29 with ATR(14) expanded to ~215 pips — momentum is one-way while the recovery stalls under the broken shelf, consistent with the hawkish-Fed repricing that capped the metal at the 66.80 high.
Support: 65.30, 65.063, 65.00
Resistance: 65.70, 65.98, 66.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 65.98 broken shelf would negate the range-break read
Failure to hold the 65.30 bounce low re-opens 65.063 and the 65.00 psych level
Rejection at the 65.70 bounce high keeps the sequence of lower highs intact
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are the next headline risk for this leg
Asia session ground sideways under 66.10 before two bars dumped 100 pips to a session low of 65.06, closing at 65.39 — a clean range break of the 65.90–66.10 band that had held since the daily reopen. RSI(14) at 29 and ATR(14) near 200 pips; the reaction bounce has so far stalled well under the 65.67 breakdown level, with 66.00 prior support now overhead.
Support: 65.06, 65.00
Resistance: 65.67, 66.00, 66.10
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 66.00 would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold the 65.06 session low extends the impulse toward the 65.00 psych level
Stalling under 65.67 breakdown keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
US S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next material risk to this intraday read
Two bars in the last half-hour of Asian hours dumped silver from 66.10 to 65.30, slicing the 65.70 prior low that had held the 24h base and closing the session at its low. RSI(14) at 26 with price under both EMA20 (65.97) and EMA50, ATR(14) blown out to ~198 pips — the move came without a fresh catalyst after repeated stalls near 66.80.
Support: 65.30, 65.00
Resistance: 65.70, 65.97, 66.10
What it said to watch
Recovery back above 65.700 prior low would negate the range break
Failure to hold 65.300 session low puts the 65.000 psych level in play
London open in the next hour is the first test of whether the flush is absorbed or extended
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT is the next high-impact event for this read
05:19 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asia high, bounce in progress · RSI 48 · price 66.097
Lower highs and lower lows since 66.80, holding the 66.00 round number.
Asia session topped at the 66.80 session high and rolled over in a clean chain of lower highs into a 65.86 session low, before reclaiming the 66.00 round number in the last three bars. Price is still pinned under the 66.11 EMA20 and the 66.155 ema50 with RSI(14) at 48 — the yield-relief rebound flagged in the macro read is stalling rather than extending.
Support: 66.00, 65.86, 65.70
Resistance: 66.155, 66.33, 66.80
What it said to watch
A close above the 66.155 ema50 and then the 66.33 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 65.86 session low confirms a lower low, with 65.70 prior low the next reference
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can reset this intraday read; Wed US PMIs are the larger risk
Lower highs and lower lows off the Asia high, last five bars basing.
Asia gave back the whole 66.80 spike, price grinding down in a clean lower-high chain and now flattening just above the 65.86 session low with RSI(14) near 34. Softer crude/yield relief that fuelled the early-Asia bid has faded; ema20 at 66.08 is capping every bounce, with the 65.70 swing low from late NY the next marker below.
Support: 65.86, 65.70
Resistance: 66.08, 66.33, 66.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 66.08 ema20 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 65.86 session low confirms continuation toward the 65.70 swing low
Reclaim of 66.33 lower high needed to put the 66.80 asia high back in play
US S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next event risk for this range
Early Asia pushed to 66.797 and was rejected there, and the session has faded in a clean chain of lower highs since — 66.326 the most recent — with price now 65.982, under EMA20 at 66.11 and EMA50 at 66.16. RSI(14) at 33 with no divergence yet; the stall is consistent with repeated failure into the 66.40 area flagged as heavy supply, ATR(14) ~155 pips.
Support: 65.858, 65.703
Resistance: 66.115, 66.326, 66.797
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the ema20 at 66.11 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the session low at 65.858 exposes the prior low at 65.703
US S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT could reprice this intraday structure quickly
04:32 UTC
Downtrend within Asia session, momentum stretched · RSI 29 · price 65.938
Lower highs and lower lows since the 66.80 session high.
Asia opened with a push to 66.797, a rejection just under Monday's 66.90 NY high, and price has bled ~90 pips since in a clean chain of lower highs, now at 65.938 under both EMA20 and EMA50. The 66.39 pivot that capped Monday flipped back to resistance on the way down; RSI(14) near 29 is oversold-leaning as price grinds at the 65.858 session low, with ATR(14) around 167 pips.
Support: 65.858, 65.703
Resistance: 66.39, 66.797
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 65.858 session low exposes the 65.703 prior day low
A reclaim of the 66.39 pivot would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Thin Asia liquidity ahead of London open can extend or fully retrace this leg
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT is the nearest high-impact risk to this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the 66.797 session high.
Asia hours opened bid and ran to a 66.797 session high before rejection set in, and price has bled back through the whole advance in an unbroken chain of lower highs, now at 65.890 with the session low at 65.858. RSI(14) near 29 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) about 183 pips, with silver still the higher-beta leg of a firm-dollar post-Fed tape.
Support: 65.858, 65.703
Resistance: 66.15, 66.266, 66.797
What it said to watch
Loss of 65.858 session low exposes the 65.703 prior low
A reclaim of the 66.150 minor high would be the first break in the lower-highs chain
Acceptance back above the 66.266 swing pivot invalidates the downtrend read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT is the next high-impact print for the dollar leg
Lower highs and lower lows from 66.80; back into the lower half of Monday's 65.70–66.90 range.
Asia hours lifted silver to 66.80 before the move was rejected shy of Monday's NY high, and the entire leg has since been handed back — price trades 65.955, under EMA20 (66.19) with RSI(14) near 38. The 66.40 range pivot that capped Monday's advances is now overhead, leaving the 65.91 session low as the immediate floor ahead of the late-NY low at 65.70.
Support: 65.91, 65.70
Resistance: 66.19, 66.40, 66.80
What it said to watch
Loss of the 65.91 session low confirms continuation toward the 65.70 ny low
Reclaim of the 66.40 range pivot would invalidate the lower-high sequence off the asia high
US ADP average and Fed speakers later today, ahead of Wednesday's flash PMIs, could reshape this read
03:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia spike · RSI 31 · price 66.013
Fade off Asia high, series of lower highs into a flat 66.00 floor.
Early Asia print to 66.80 was fully unwound — price has ground back to 66.01 in a clean chain of lower highs (66.59, 66.34, 66.19, 66.15), with the 66.00 floor holding on four separate pokes into 65.97/65.98. RSI(14) at ~31 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~203 pips (20c) per bar.
Support: 65.975, 65.703
Resistance: 66.15, 66.33, 66.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 66.150 breaks the lower-highs sequence and re-opens 66.330
Loss of the 65.975 session low extends the fade toward the 65.703 monday low
Fed speakers later today (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 GMT) and Wednesday's US PMIs can reprice this range quickly
03:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asian high · RSI 36 · price 66.083
Lower highs, lower lows since 66.80; price under EMA20/EMA50.
The Asia-session push stalled at 66.797 and has bled back in a clean lower-high chain — 66.522, then 66.343 — with price now pinned near the session low at 65.977 and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. Move is secondhand: a firm Dollar post-Fed keeps the 66.39 area capping rallies, RSI(14) at 36 is soft but not extreme, and ATR(14) is running ~200 pips per bar.
Support: 65.977, 65.793, 65.703
Resistance: 66.343, 66.522, 66.797
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 66.343 lower high would break the descending sequence from the asian high
A close below the 65.977 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 65.793 swing low and 65.703 monday low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson later today, then Wed S&P Global PMIs, could materially shift this intraday read
Lower highs from 66.80, back inside Monday's range.
Asia hours pushed through the 66.39 100-day sma to a session high of 66.797 and the entire leg has since been retraced, price back at 66.09 with a clean chain of lower highs (66.68 / 66.47 / 66.33). RSI(14) near 34 with price under EMA20 and EMA50; the failed acceptance above 66.39 is the defining feature of the last four hours, consistent with the digest's read of that level repeatedly capping.
Support: 65.975, 65.703
Resistance: 66.39, 66.797
What it said to watch
Close below the 65.975 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 65.703 prev day low
Reclaim and hold of the 66.39 100-day sma would invalidate the lower-high sequence
S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the nearest high-impact print and could reset this range
Asia session high rejected, chain of lower highs back into Monday's band.
Early Asia hours pushed through the $66.39 pivot to a session high at 66.797 before the move was rejected, and price has since traced a clean chain of lower highs (66.590, 66.523, 66.343) back under the EMA20 at ~66.33. Buyers stepped in at the session low of 66.011 on the last two attempts, with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR(14) around 190 pips.
Support: 66.011, 65.868, 65.703
Resistance: 66.33, 66.47, 66.797
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the EMA20 at 66.33 and then the 66.470 lower high would break the descending sequence
Loss of the 66.011 session low exposes the 65.868 prior low and 65.703 swing low
Push back above the 66.797 session high would negate the false break read
S&P Global PMIs (Wed 13:45 GMT) are the nearest high-impact print and could reset this intraday structure
Lower highs from 66.80, back inside Monday's band.
Asia session opened bid and pushed to a session high of 66.80, clearing the 100d sma at 66.39, but the break failed and price has given back the entire move to 65.98 before stabilising at 66.18. Lower highs at 66.59 and 66.34 mark the fade; RSI(14) back to 46 and ATR(14) near 202 pips, with price sitting just under EMA20 and EMA50 — no directional resolution in the post-Fed range.
Support: 65.98, 65.70
Resistance: 66.39, 66.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim and acceptance above the 100d sma at 66.39 would reinstate the Asia-session uptrend toward the 66.80 session high
A close below the 65.98 session low extends the lower-high sequence and puts the 65.70 mon low back in play
ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fed speakers from 14:05 GMT are the nearest USD inputs before Wednesday's S&P Global PMIs
02:33 UTC
Asia leg higher fading, lower highs forming · RSI 46 · price 66.218
Impulse off 65.70 rejected at 66.80, now retracing into the 66.12-66.25 fib band.
Asia hours lifted silver from 65.98 to a session high at 66.80 before supply capped it, and price has since bled back through the 66.39 pivot into the 50% retracement of that leg near 66.25. RSI(14) at ~46 and a chain of lower highs off 66.80; ATR(14) ~204 (0.204) sets the expected bar range.
Support: 65.98, 65.70
Resistance: 66.39, 66.68, 66.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 66.39 pivot would put the 66.68 swing high back in play
Loss of the 65.98 pullback low confirms a lower-low and re-exposes 65.70 prior low
Session is thin pre-London; US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next high-impact print for this read
The Asia-session leg off 65.70 topped at the 66.797 session high and has been fully retraced, with price back at 66.10 — the 61.8% retrace of that move — and RSI(14) near 41. The 100-dma at 66.39 capped the push higher and price has since printed lower highs; session low 66.085 is the immediate floor.
Support: 66.085, 65.95, 65.79
Resistance: 66.39, 66.797
What it said to watch
Close below the 66.085 session low exposes 65.95 asia low then the 65.79 swing low
Reclaim of the 66.39 100-dma would re-validate the Asia leg toward the 66.797 session high
Thin pre-London liquidity; ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later today are the first data risk
02:03 UTC
Asia recovery leg stalling, corrective pullback · RSI 53 · price 66.263
Higher low at 65.70 then lower highs from 66.80.
Asia session bought the 65.70 prior low and pushed silver to 66.80 on crude/yield relief, but the last six bars have carved lower highs into 66.52 and price is back under the 66.32 ema20. Pullback is so far holding the 66.144 session low with RSI(14) flat near 53 — corrective, not impulsive.
Support: 66.144, 65.96, 65.703
Resistance: 66.32, 66.52, 66.797
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 66.52 swing high would end the lower-high chain
Loss of the 66.144 session low exposes the 65.96 swing low
Acceptance above the 66.797 asia high needed to re-engage last week's 67.25-67.30 area
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT is the next high-impact print and can reset this range
Higher lows off 66.09 broken by lower highs from the 66.80 session high; chopping 66.23–66.47.
Asia hours lifted silver off the 66.01 base to a 66.80 session high before supply capped it, and the last four bars have carved lower highs into a 66.23–66.47 band — the oil/yield-relief bounce is losing thrust rather than reversing. RSI(14) back to 55 from the highs, price under EMA20 but still just above EMA50; ATR(14) ~182 pips keeps intraday swings wide.
Support: 66.23, 66.01, 65.70
Resistance: 66.47, 66.80, 67.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 66.47 swing pivot re-opens the 66.80 session high and Monday's 67.03 prior-day high
Loss of 66.23 pullback low shifts focus to the 66.01 asia base, then 65.70 prior-day low
Fed speakers (Williams/Jefferson/Barkin) later today and Wed's S&P Global PMIs can override this intraday structure
HH/HL chain from Asia low, first lower high printed after 66.797 rejection.
Asia session drove silver off the 65.934 asia low up to 66.797, then the last four bars faded back under the 100-dma pivot at 66.390, with the pullback low at 66.253 holding twice. RSI(14) near 57 has cooled from the mid-60s and price is sitting marginally under EMA20 (66.32), so the advance has stalled rather than reversed; ATR(14) ~184 pips.
Support: 66.253, 65.934
Resistance: 66.39, 66.797
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold of the 66.390 100-dma keeps the HH/HL chain intact and re-exposes the 66.797 asia high
Acceptance below the 66.253 pullback low confirms a lower low and turns focus to the 65.934 asia low
Thin liquidity into the London handover can distort the current range; Wed S&P Global PMIs are the next material risk to this read
01:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 66.523
Higher highs / higher lows since the 65.70 swing low, now consolidating under the session high.
Asia session extended the late-NY recovery off the 65.70 session low, clearing the 66.39 area that capped Monday and tagging a session high at 66.80 before stalling. Price is now consolidating 66.30–66.60 with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR(14) around 168 pips; the higher-high/higher-low chain is intact but the last four bars have gone sideways.
Support: 66.30, 66.16, 65.70
Resistance: 66.80, 66.90, 67.01
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 66.80 session high would put the 66.90 prior high and the 67.01 range cap back in play
A close back below the 66.30 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and re-opens the 66.16 breakout base
Fed speakers Williams (14:05 GMT) and Jefferson (14:20 GMT) later today can reprice yields and materially shift this intraday read
01:04 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 66 · price 66.37
Higher highs / higher lows off 65.70, pulling back from 66.80.
Asia session picked up where Monday's late bid left off, driving a clean break of the 66.00–66.16 shelf up to a session high of 66.80 before the last four bars faded to 66.37. RSI(14) near 66 with ATR ~157 pips; the pullback is so far holding above the 66.27 recent low, keeping the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 66.27, 66.09, 65.70
Resistance: 66.80, 66.90
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back under 66.09 asia low would negate the breakout and re-open the 65.70 prior day low
Reclaiming 66.80 session high puts the 66.90 prior day hi back in play
Fed speakers later Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could materially shift this intraday read
00:47 UTC
Short-term uptrend, momentum cooling after session high · RSI 68 · price 66.446
Higher highs / higher lows since the 66.09 session low; breakout above the 66.39 cap holding.
Asia session took silver from the 66.086 session low through the 66.39 prior cap that rejected price repeatedly on Monday, tagging a session high at 66.797 before fading to 66.45 — a shallow retest so far, with RSI(14) near 68 off its peak. ATR(14) at ~143 pips; the move is yield-led, consistent with the softer long end noted in the digest, and 67.029 remains the prior high overhead.
Support: 66.39, 66.086, 65.703
Resistance: 66.797, 67.029
What it said to watch
A 15m close back below 66.39 turns the breakout into a false break and re-opens the 66.086 session low
Acceptance above 66.797 session high puts the 67.029 prior high back in play
Loss of 66.086 would put the 65.703 prev day low back in focus
Fed speakers later Tuesday (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and Wednesday's US flash PMIs can reshape this intraday read
00:32 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive but extended · RSI 69 · price 66.477
Higher highs off 65.70, first pullback after session high rejection.
Asia reopened bid and pushed a clean breakout out of the 65.95–66.15 coil, tagging a session high of 66.797 before a sharp rejection back to 66.477 — the yield-led squeeze in silver still doing the work. RSI(14) near 68 after the impulse, ATR(14) ~145 pips, with the 66.29 breakout retest area the first reference beneath price.
Support: 66.29, 66.00, 65.703
Resistance: 66.797, 67.029
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 66.797 session high re-opens the 67.029 prior high
Loss of the 66.290 breakout retest area, then the 66.000 round number, would negate the Asia breakout read
Failure to hold above 66.000 puts the 65.703 swing low back in play
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 / Jefferson 14:20 GMT later today could reprice the read
00:17 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive Asia leg · RSI 72 · price 66.586
Higher highs and higher lows since the 65.70 day low; prior-day chop broken to the upside.
Tuesday's Asia session broke out of the 65.95–66.30 late-Monday chop, running ~86 cents off the base to a session high of 66.797 and reclaiming the 100-dma at 66.39 that capped Monday. RSI(14) near 72 with the final bar fading to 66.586 — first pause in the leg, ema20 now ~66.28 and rising beneath price.
Support: 66.39, 66.28, 66.09
Resistance: 66.797, 67.03
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below the 100-dma at 66.39 would re-establish the prior-day range read
A close above the 66.797 session high opens the 67.03 prior high
Loss of the 66.09 asia low would break the higher-low chain off the 65.70 day low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 / Jefferson 14:20 GMT could reset intraday direction
00:03 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive Asia leg · RSI 73 · price 66.638
Double-bottom base then higher highs, breakout above 66.39.
After the NY drift into 65.703, the session low, price built a flat double-bottom base and the early Asia session has ripped 90+ cents, closing 66.638 and reclaiming the 66.39 100-dma that capped Monday. RSI(14) at ~73 is hot but not extreme; the yield-led bounce leaves 66.806 prior high as the next reference.
Support: 66.39, 66.00, 65.703
Resistance: 66.806, 67.029
What it said to watch
A close back below the 66.39 100-dma negates the breakout and puts the 66.00 round number back in play
Acceptance above 66.806 prior high opens the 67.029 24h high
Thin Asia liquidity — ATR ~128 pips means the move can retrace as fast as it came
Fed speakers Tue (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20, Barkin 17:00 GMT) can reshape this read intraday