XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 9 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 32 · price 4,238.96

Lower highs, fresh lower lows.

Gold has sold off hard through this week, accelerating after Friday's 172K NFP shock and snapping the descent below the $4,268 cycle low into the $4,232 area. Price sits well under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory; the prior $4,268 floor now caps as resistance, with $4,350 the weekly cap above. The late move stalled on a tiny final bar but no recovery structure has formed.

Support: 4,232.42, 4,200.00

Resistance: 4,268.00, 4,300.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst — a hot print risks extension below the 4232 swing low, a clear miss could fuel a relief bounce toward 4300/4350
  • An hourly close back above the 4268 prior low would be the first sign of basing
  • Failure to hold 4232 confirms continuation toward the 4200 round number

23:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 32 · price 4,238.96

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh cycle lows.

Gold has been in a one-way breakdown all week, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session yesterday as price sliced from ~4363 through the 4268 cycle low into fresh lows near 4232 — the hawkish-Fed repricing after Friday's 172K NFP shock. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory and only a shallow stabilisation into the close. The 4268 prior floor now caps as resistance, with 4259-4274 the immediate band overhead.

Support: 4,232.42

Resistance: 4,259.47, 4,274.29

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4232 swing low confirms continuation to fresh cycle lows
  • An hourly close back above 4274 would challenge the breakdown structure

22:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 35 · price 4,259.47

Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 4268 cycle low.

Gold extended its breakdown into the NY session, slicing through the 4268 cycle low to fresh lows at 4236 before a shallow bounce that has so far stalled below the 4300 psych level. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with lower highs intact since Monday's open, the slide driven by hawkish Fed repricing after Friday's 172K NFP. The 4350 weekly cap has held every recovery attempt and RSI sits near oversold.

Support: 4,200.00

Resistance: 4,268.00, 4,300.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Reclaim of 4268 would ease the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 4236 confirms continuation toward 4200

22:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 36 · price 4,259.47

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh cycle lows.

Gold has bled lower all week, a two-day collapse from the 4514 high through the $4,268 cycle low after Friday's 172K NFP shock reinforced hawkish Fed pricing. Price now sits near the 4236 week low with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s and trading well below EMA20/EMA50. Each bounce into the 4300/4330 area has been sold, leaving the broken 4268 level as overhead supply.

Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Sustained close below 4236 confirms continuation to fresh cycle lows
  • Reclaim of 4300 round level would challenge the lower-high structure

21:05 UTC

Downtrend, extended lower · RSI 31 · price 4,259.47

Lower highs, lower lows; broke cycle low.

Gold extended its multi-day breakdown, slicing the $4,268 cycle low after Friday's 172K NFP shock cemented hawkish Fed pricing. The flush bottomed at 4236.78 before a shallow bounce stalled below the broken low, leaving the $4,268 level now acting as overhead resistance with the $4,300 round figure and $4,351 prior high capping further. RSI(14) sits near 31 with price well below both EMAs, reflecting an oversold but firmly bearish H1 structure.

Support: 4,236.78

Resistance: 4,268.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Sustained break below 4236.78 week low confirms continuation to fresh cycle lows
  • Reclaim of 4268 cycle low needed to ease downside pressure

21:05 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 4,259.47

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh cycle low.

Gold extended its breakdown through the NY session, slicing the $4,268 cycle low to print fresh lows at 4236.78 before a shallow bounce to 4259. Price has tracked below EMA(20) and EMA(50) all week as the >4% collapse driven by hawkish Fed repricing after Friday's 172K NFP keeps recovery attempts capped at lower highs. The prior 4268 floor now acts as overhead resistance, with 4341 marking the failed bounce earlier today.

Support: 4,236.78, 4,200.00

Resistance: 4,268.00, 4,341.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • H1 close back above 4268 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 4237 confirms continuation to fresh cycle lows toward 4200

20:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,257.78

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh cycle lows.

Sharp H1 downtrend: gold sliced through the 4268 broken floor into fresh cycle lows after Friday's hot 172K NFP reinforced hawkish Fed pricing. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near oversold, the 4300 psych cap rejecting every recovery attempt this week. The latest leg stalled just above the 4236 swing low as selling momentum eases into the close.

Support: 4,200.00

Resistance: 4,268.00, 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 reclaim of the 4268 broken floor would ease the breakdown
  • Break of 4236 swing low opens the path toward 4200 psych
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read

20:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 4,257.78

Lower highs, fresh cycle lows.

Gold extended a >4% two-day collapse, breaking the $4,268 cycle low into fresh lows after Friday's 172K NFP shock reinforced hawkish Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory; the last few bars are stalling near 4252 swing low after the steep NY-session leg. The broken 4268 low now sits as nearest resistance, with 4300 round and the 4350 cap overhead.

Support: 4,252.11

Resistance: 4,268.00, 4,300.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Sustained break below 4236 week low confirms continuation to fresh cycle lows
  • H1 close back above 4300 round needed to ease the breakdown

19:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,267.73

Stair-step lower highs and lower lows.

Gold extended its weekly breakdown, slicing through the 4302 psych shelf into the NY session with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near the 4236 cycle low. The leg lower followed Friday's 172K NFP shock and hawkish Fed repricing, leaving price well below EMA20/50. Bounce attempts have been capped under the 4341 prior high all session.

Resistance: 4,302.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • close back above 4341 prior high needed to ease the downtrend
  • loss of 4236 cycle low confirms fresh lows

19:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 4,267.73

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh cycle lows.

Gold extended a >4% two-day collapse, with the dominant leg printing in the NY session as the post-NFP hawkish Fed repricing capped every bounce. Price broke the prior $4,268 cycle low and tagged 4236 before a shallow recovery into 4267, holding well below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits near 31 — stretched but not yet diverging as each rally fades into the descending lower-high structure.

Resistance: 4,302.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst — a hot core extends the breakdown, a clear miss could spark a relief bounce
  • An hourly close below 4236 confirms the next lower low
  • Reclaiming 4302 round number would be the first sign the breakdown is stalling

18:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 4,264.76

Lower highs, lower lows into cycle lows.

Gold extended Friday's NFP-driven breakdown, sliding from this week's 4332-4360 cap to a fresh cycle low at 4236.78 during NY hours before steadying around 4264. Price is pinned well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) oversold near 31, reflecting the hawkish-Fed repricing after the 172K payrolls beat. The 4252-4236 intraday/week low zone is the immediate floor under test.

Support: 4,252.00, 4,236.78

Resistance: 4,302.00, 4,332.00, 4,360.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI in ~18h (12:30 UTC Wed) is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Sustained break below 4236 week low opens deeper downside
  • Reclaim of 4302 psych would ease the breakdown momentum

18:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 4,264.76

Lower highs and lower lows, cycle low broken.

Gold extended its NFP-driven slide, breaking the prior ~4310-4346 consolidation during the NY session and printing a fresh 4236 low before stabilising near 4264. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, confirming the dominant bear leg that broke the 200-day SMA earlier this week. The $4,268 cycle area, now overhead, has flipped from support to the level to monitor.

Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,346.00

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade back above 4300 round number would relieve the breakdown pressure
  • Failure to hold 4236 session low opens deeper downside
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 27 · price 4,255.65

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh break below Monday low.

Gold extended the post-NFP downdraft, slicing through the $4,300-4,350 consolidation band and the $4,268 Monday pivot into the NY session as hawkish-Fed repricing kept yields and USD bid. RSI(14) is pressed into oversold and price sits well below EMA20/50, both of which capped every bounce attempt across the week. The metal now trades just above the $4,236 session low with no demand shelf yet established.

Resistance: 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4236 opens fresh bear continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 4300 needed to neutralise the breakdown back into the prior range

17:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 30 · price 4,255.65

Series of lower highs and lower lows, fresh leg down.

Gold has trended lower all week, rolling over from Tuesday's $4,515 high after Friday's hot 172K NFP triggered hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has now broken below Monday's $4,268 pivot into the NY session, printing a fresh leg down to $4,236 with RSI(14) stretched into oversold territory. The $4,300-4,350 consolidation band that held since the prior selloff has given way; price sits well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of $4,268 would put the broken monday low back into play as support
  • Failure to hold $4,236 session low opens continuation toward the $4,200 psych level
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 33 · price 4,274.75

Lower highs and lower lows, range floor broken.

Gold broke down through the $4,300-4,350 consolidation in the NY session, sliding to a fresh session low at 4263 and retesting Monday's 4268 base. Hawkish Fed repricing after Friday's 172K NFP keeps the metal pinned below both EMAs, with RSI(14) in the lower third and no divergence to flag. The week's structure remains a clean sequence of lower highs since the 4515 peak.

Support: 4,263.14, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Sustained break below 4268 weekly low opens fresh bear continuation
  • Reclaim of 4300 then 4350 range top needed to neutralize the breakdown

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,274.75

Range break to fresh lows.

Gold sliced through the $4,300-4,350 consolidation band during NY hours and printed a fresh leg lower to 4263, undercutting Monday's 4268 low in a hawkish-Fed downdraft after Friday's hot NFP. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s as supply caps every bounce attempt. The reclaimed 4300 band low now acts as overhead resistance.

Support: 4,268.00, 4,263.14, 4,250.00

Resistance: 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 4300 neutralizes the breakdown and re-enters the consolidation band
  • Acceptance below 4263 opens fresh bear continuation toward 4250
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, below 200-dma · RSI 38 · price 4,297.55

Lower highs, range broke down.

Gold has been in a clean downtrend since Friday's 172K NFP print drove a sharp leg from the 4470s through the 200-DMA, bottoming at 4268. Price spent Monday-into-Tuesday consolidating 4321-4350 with 4345 capping rallies, but that range broke down in the latest NY session and price is back below the 4300 pivot, retesting toward the 4268 swing low. RSI(14) is sub-40 and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,268.00, 4,300.00

Resistance: 4,345.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Failure to hold 4268 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of the 4300 200-dma pivot would neutralise the downside break

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 4,297.55

Lower highs, breaking range support.

Gold remains in a clear downtrend after Friday's 172K NFP drove the break through the 200-DMA toward $4,268. Price held a $4,300-4,350 consolidation through the early-week sessions but the last two H1 bars sliced lower, closing back below the $4,300 pivot with RSI sub-40. EMA(20) and EMA(50) cap from above, both well overhead since the selloff.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,300.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
  • An hourly close below 4268 confirms a lower-low and extends the bear trend
  • Reclaim of the 4300 200-DMA pivot would ease the immediate downside pressure

14:02 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 4,331.08

Range below 200-DMA, 4268–4350.

Gold remains in bear-market structure after Friday's blowout 172K NFP drove a >4% slide and a break below the 200-DMA, bottoming at 4268. Since then price has carved a tight 4268–4350 range, with the last leg up rejected at 4363 before fading back toward EMA20 near 4333. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline, reflecting the range-bound, soft bias into the CPI catalyst.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,363.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could break this range
  • Hourly close above 4350 range top opens a path back toward the 200-DMA
  • Failure to hold 4300 reopens the 4268 cycle low

14:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,331.08

Range bound after NFP breakdown, holding above 4268 low.

Friday's blowout 172K NFP drove gold more than 4% lower and through the 200-DMA into a 4268 cycle low. Since then price has carved a range between 4268 and 4350, with the recent rebound stalling at 4363 and RSI(14) hovering mid-range. Price sits just under EMA(20) and well below EMA(50), keeping the broader decline intact.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,363.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst — could break this range either way
  • H1 close above 4350 range top reopens the path toward the 200-DMA reclaim
  • Failure to hold 4300 reopens the 4268 cycle low

13:03 UTC

Downtrend this week, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 4,342.22

Range 4300-4350 above the week low.

Friday's blowout NFP and oil-led inflation fears drove a >4% two-day slide that tore through 4400 and knocked gold below its 200-DMA to a 4268 low. Since Monday's reopen price has carved a tight 4300-4350 range, recovering off that low and now sitting just above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) back near the mid-50s. The 4350 ceiling has capped each recovery attempt this week.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 4350 would break the consolidation ceiling
  • Loss of 4300 reopens the path toward the 4268 week low
  • Reclaim of 4400 needed to challenge the week's decline
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

13:03 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after slide · RSI 54 · price 4,342.22

Range-bound below broken support, off the lows.

Gold sold off hard after Friday's 172K NFP, dropping from the 4515 high to a 4268 multi-month low and printing a steep H1 downtrend below EMA50. Since Monday's open price has carved a 4300–4350 range, bouncing off the round number and stalling under the 4350 range top, with RSI(14) recovering back near the midline. US CPI tomorrow is the dominant risk into this consolidation.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,377.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 4350 range top would open the path back toward the 4377 lower high
  • Failure to hold 4300 round number exposes the 4268 multi-mo low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

12:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after slide · RSI 54 · price 4,341.92

Recovery within broader down-leg, higher-lows off the week low.

Gold sliced more than 4% on Friday's 172K NFP beat, breaking to a 4268 week low before stabilising. Price has carved higher-lows back toward the 4353 range top, holding above EMA20 but still capped beneath EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s. The 4300–4353 band has contained trade ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,406.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 4353 range top opens the path back toward 4406
  • Loss of 4300 psych reopens the 4268 week low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the directional pivot for this range

12:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 53 · price 4,341.92

Basing above week low after impulse down.

Gold shed over 4% in Friday's NY session, breaking down through the prior range and bottoming at 4268 before stabilising. Price has spent the last two sessions chopping 4290-4350, now sitting just above EMA(20) near 4341 but capped below EMA(50). The 4353 prior high has rejected attempts this week while demand stepped in twice near 4268-4273.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,404.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the directional pivot for this read
  • Reclaim of 4353 prior high opens the path back toward 4404 swing high
  • Loss of 4300 psych exposes a retest of the 4268 week low
  • Break below 4268 confirms downside continuation

11:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after slide · RSI 51 · price 4,340.10

Range-bound above swing low, capped below EMAs.

Gold shed over 4% from above 4475 after Friday's 172K NFP blowout, breaking down through the week and probing 4268, the lowest since March. Price has since stabilised in a 4300–4353 band and now sits just above EMA(20) but below EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering to neutral around 50. The range top at 4353 has capped the bounce and 4300 has held as a floor.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 4300 reopens the 4268 week low
  • H1 close above 4353 range top would extend the relief bounce toward 4400

11:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 52 · price 4,340.10

Range-bound after impulsive break lower.

Gold collapsed >4% into Friday's NFP blowout, breaking from the 4470s down to a 4268 low before stabilising. Since Monday's open price has carved a 4300-4350 range, reclaiming EMA(20) but still pinned below EMA(50) as the broader downtrend dominates. The 4350 range top has capped two attempts this week ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 4350 invalidates the range-top cap
  • Failure to hold 4300 reopens the 4268 swing low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after sell-off · RSI 48 · price 4,331.63

Consolidation above 4268 low.

Gold dropped over 4% after Friday's 172K NFP blowout, breaking lower and probing 4268 before recovering into a 4320–4350 consolidation. Price is pinned around EMA20 and well below EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range as the slide pauses. The 4353 range top has capped recovery attempts this week; CPI Wednesday is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,310.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 4353 range top would extend the relief bounce toward 4400
  • Loss of 4310 range low reopens the 4268 swing low
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating after impulse low · RSI 49 · price 4,331.63

Ranging 4300-4350 after a sharp leg lower.

Gold sits mid-range at 4331 after Friday's 172K NFP print drove a >4% slide from above 4460 and broke down below 4350. Since probing the 4268 swing low, price has carved out higher lows and chopped within a 4300-4350 band, with RSI(14) back near neutral. Rallies remain capped under the range top into Wednesday's US CPI.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 4350 range top would challenge the downtrend
  • Loss of 4300 round level reopens the 4268 swing low

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 4,326.32

Consolidation under broken support.

Gold collapsed over 4% from the 4515 high into a 4268 cycle low after Friday's blowout NFP, dragging price below its broken support shelf. Since the week reopened near 4321, price has churned a 4300-4351 range with RSI(14) cycling around 45-50 and a tentative bullish divergence off the 4268 low. Price sits just under the flattening EMA(20) at ~4331, with EMA(50) overhead capping the recovery.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,351.45, 4,331.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
  • Loss of 4268 cycle low confirms fresh breakdown
  • Hourly close above 4351 week high neutralises the consolidation read

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after slide · RSI 46 · price 4,326.32

Consolidation above cycle low after sharp drop.

Friday's blowout NFP drove gold below its 200-day and into a >4% two-day slide, bottoming at 4268 before a tepid recovery. Since the weekend reopen price has churned in a 4290–4350 band, with 4350 capping every push and a series of higher lows off the base hinting at bullish RSI divergence. Price sits just under EMA20 and well below EMA50, keeping the broader read heavy ahead of tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC in ~27h is the dominant catalyst for this read
  • Hourly close below 4268 cycle low opens fresh breakdown
  • Reclaim and hold above 4350 capped zone needed to neutralize the slide

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, churning after slide · RSI 46 · price 4,324.68

Lower highs, basing above cycle low.

Gold remains in a downtrend after Friday's 172K NFP blew past forecast and dragged price below its 200-day SMA, with the post-NFP slide bottoming at the 4268 cycle low. Since the weekend gap, price has based and ground back to 4324, but a string of lower highs caps each push and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-40s — heavy but not oversold.

Support: 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,353.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
  • Loss of 4268 cycle low confirms continuation of the breakdown
  • H1 close back above 4353 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating post-slide · RSI 45 · price 4,324.68

Lower highs into a tight 4300-4350 range above the 4268 cycle low.

Gold collapsed Friday from ~4515 to a 4268 cycle low after the blowout 172K NFP dragged price below its 200-day SMA. Since then H1 has churned in a 4300-4350 band, with rallies capped near 4351 and price sitting just under EMA20 and well below EMA50. RSI(14) is cycling in the 40s, reflecting heavy, range-bound trade ahead of tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,351.45

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
  • Loss of 4268 cycle low confirms further breakdown
  • Hourly close above 4351 range top neutralizes the near-term capping

07:03 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to base · RSI 50 · price 4,330.74

Consolidation after post-NFP slide, holding above the cycle low.

Gold collapsed roughly 4% from above 4500 after Friday's blowout NFP, bottoming at 4268 before stabilising in a 4290-4351 band through the new week. Price is hugging EMA20 but remains below EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling near neutral and supply capping every attempt toward 4351. The structure stays heavy below the broader trend, with a tentative Middle East de-escalation trimming the haven bid.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,351.45, 4,380.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4268 cycle low confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
  • H1 close above 4351 session high needed to extend the recovery toward 4380

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing after slide · RSI 48 · price 4,330.74

Lower highs into a 4300-4350 consolidation off the cycle low.

Gold remains in a downtrend after Friday's blowout NFP dragged it below the 200-day SMA, with the impulse bottoming at 4268 before a weak short-cover bounce. Since the gap-down it has churned in a 4300-4350 consolidation, holding just under EMA20 and well below EMA50 as RSI(14) cycles mid-range. The 4351 session high has capped recovery attempts while 4300 round number absorbs dips.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,351.00

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close below 4268 cycle low confirms a fresh leg lower
  • Reclaim of 4351 session high needed to ease the downside pressure
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 54 · price 4,345.67

Consolidating above 2-month low.

Friday's blowout NFP collapse dragged gold sub-200-DMA and into a 4268 two-month low, and price has since based out in a 4268–4353 zone with higher lows printing since Monday's open. The recovery has reclaimed the EMA(20) near 4330 but the 4353 session high has capped progress, and the EMA(50) overhead still leans heavy. Price sits near the 23.6% retrace of the down-leg into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.36

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close above 4353 session high opens the 4400 prior-high / 200-DMA retrace
  • Loss of the 4268 2mo low opens further downside
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce · RSI 54 · price 4,345.67

Consolidating above two-month low after impulsive drop.

Friday's blowout NFP triggered a sharp H1 collapse from the 4515 area down to a 4268 two-month low, leaving price below the 200-DMA in bear-market territory. Since Monday's open price has carved higher lows off 4268 and now sits near 4345, back above EMA(20) but capped under the 4353 prior high and lagging EMA(50). The bounce reads as corrective within the 4268-4353 zone with firm yields limiting recovery.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Break of 4268 week low opens further downside
  • H1 close above 4353 prior high needed to extend the bounce

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 4,334.76

Range above two-month low.

Gold collapsed through Friday's NFP print (172K vs 85K) and the 200-DMA, bottoming at 4268 before stabilising. Since the weekend gap it has consolidated in a 4268-4347 band, with price now hugging EMA20 and RSI(14) cycling back to neutral after the oversold washout. EMA50 overhead near 4360 still caps the recovery, keeping the broader bias heavy below the breakdown shelf.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,406.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk into the next sessions
  • H1 close above 4347 range top would open 4406
  • Failure to hold 4268 week low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 53 · price 4,334.76

Consolidation above two-month low.

Gold cratered through Friday's NY session on the blowout 172K NFP, slicing below the 200-DMA and extending to a 4268 two-month low into Monday's open after the weekend gap lower. Price has since clawed back into a 4310-4347 range, with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range and price reclaiming the H1 EMA(20) while still sitting below EMA(50). The 4347 area has capped this week's bounce attempts.

Support: 4,310.00, 4,292.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,347.00, 4,380.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 4347 range top would extend the recovery toward 4380
  • Break of 4268 low opens further downside
  • Failure to hold 4310 reopens the 4292-4268 zone

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 52 · price 4,334.70

Consolidation above swing low after sharp markdown.

Gold sold off more than 4% from Friday's 4515 high into a fresh 11-week low at 4268 after the blowout 172K NFP smashed forecasts and bid the dollar. Since the Asia-into-London bounce it has stabilised in a 4288–4353 band, recovering above the H1 EMA(20) near 4329 but still capped under the EMA(50) and the falling supply line. RSI(14) has lifted out of oversold back toward the midline as the decline pauses.

Support: 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,353.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4268 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens the markdown
  • Hourly close above 4353 recovery high challenges the falling supply line

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 50 · price 4,334.70

Lower highs into a base above the swing low.

Gold sold off hard through this window, dropping from ~4515 to a fresh swing low at 4268 after Friday's blowout NFP forced a hawkish-Fed repricing and broke the 200-DMA. Price has since based and is consolidating in a 4300–4353 zone, reclaiming the H1 EMor(20) but stalling well under the 200-DMA, now overhead resistance. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral around 50 as the decline pauses.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 4268 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
  • Reclaim of 4353 session high opens room toward the 200-dma near 4400
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major risk for this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising after breakdown · RSI 54 · price 4,336.34

Bounce off 4268 low, ranging 4290-4353.

Friday's blowout 172K NFP drove gold over 4% lower, breaking the 200-DMA and bottoming at 4268 before this week's open. Price has since carved a range between 4290 and 4353, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold and price holding back above its EMA(20). The 4353 bounce high has capped the recovery while the broader structure stays below the EMA(50).

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4268 swing low invites continuation
  • H1 close above 4353 opens the path back toward 4400
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next directional trigger for this read

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 4,336.34

Range above the 4268 low, capped near 4350.

Friday's blowout NFP drove a >4% slide that broke below 4300 and bottomed at the 4268 swing low. Since then gold has based and chopped in a 4290-4350 band, with price now back above the H1 EMA20 but still capped under the EMA50 near 4385. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s as the range top at 4350 held two attempts.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.00

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,385.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below 4268 confirms downtrend continuation
  • H1 close above 4350 invalidates the range cap

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 51 · price 4,335.24

Consolidation above the week low after a sharp breakdown.

Gold sold off more than 4% from the 4515 swing into a fresh week low at 4268 after Friday's 172K NFP blowout reset Fed expectations and bid the dollar. Price has since carved a tight 4268-4350 consolidation, reclaiming the H1 EM(20) but still capped below the EMA(50). The 4350 range top has held two recovery attempts this week while demand has stepped in repeatedly near 4290-4300.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,407.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • H1 close above 4350 invalidates the capped-range read and opens 4407
  • Failure to hold 4300 reopens the 4268 week low

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, basing after washout · RSI 53 · price 4,335.24

Rebound off fresh swing low, capped below broken structure.

Gold sold off more than 4% from Friday's $4,515 region into the $4,268 swing low after the blowout 172K NFP repriced the Fed hawkish and broke the 200-DMA. Price has since based and clawed back above EMA(20), with a higher low above $4,268 and RSI lifting off oversold, but the move stalls under the $4,350 range top with EMA(50) overhead. Action remains a corrective bounce inside the $4,268–$4,350 zone flagged in the macro read.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next pivot — a hot print risks a retest of the 4268.47 week low
  • H1 close above 4350 range top opens the path back toward 4400
  • Failure to hold 4300 psych re-exposes the 4268.47 low

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilize · RSI 47 · price 4,323.12

Lower highs/lows, bouncing off 2mo low.

Gold remains in a clear downtrend, having shed over 4% from the 4514 high after Friday's blowout NFP flipped the Fed narrative hawkish and lifted the USD. Price bottomed at 4268 and has since stabilized in a 4268-4346 band, with the recent low holding while a higher low has formed — a tentative bullish RSI divergence into the bounce. Price is hovering around EMA20 but capped below EMA50, with the day high at 4346 marking the first cap.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,346.00, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4300 psych re-exposes the 4268 2mo low as the next downside trigger
  • Hourly close above 4346 day high would open the path toward the 4400 200-day sma

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 49 · price 4,323.12

Consolidation after impulsive drop.

Gold extended a sharp slide on Friday's blowout NFP that revived Fed-hike bets, puncturing the 200-day SMA and bottoming at 4268 before stabilizing. Since then price has consolidated 4300–4350 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to neutral, and the H1 EMA(20) flattening as the freefall pauses. The broader structure stays heavy below EMA(50), with supply capping near 4346.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
  • H1 close below 4268 reopens the downside extension
  • Reclaim of 4400 / 200d sma needed to question the bearish break

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 44 · price 4,316.28

Lower highs, consolidating above 2-mo low.

Gold remains in a clear H1 downtrend after Friday's blowout NFP (172K vs 85K) revived Fed-hike bets and slammed price below the 200-day region, with the sharp leg from 4475 to a fresh two-month low at 4268. Since then price has carved a choppy consolidation between 4300 and 4353, capped by a string of lower highs and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows but stalled near 44, reflecting fading bounce momentum into the close.

Support: 4,300.00, 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,353.36, 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 4268 opens the path to an extension lower
  • Reclaim of 4353/4400 needed to question the bearish break
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 45 · price 4,316.28

Lower highs, bounce off 4268 fading.

Gold has been in a clean downtrend all week, accelerating into the slide that broke the 200-day SMA after Friday's blowout NFP flipped the Fed read hawkish and bid the USD. Price found a floor at 4268, bounced into the NY session to 4346, but has since faded back to 4316 and sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s, recovering from oversold but no bullish divergence on the fresh low.

Support: 4,268.47

Resistance: 4,400.00

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 4268 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 4400 / 200-day SMA needed to question the bearish break
  • US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

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