Lower highs / lower lows since Wednesday's reversal.
Gold imploded from the $4,382 peak into Wednesday's hawkish Warsh-led FOMC, slicing through the $4,300 cluster and grinding to fresh weekly lows near $4,201 with the USD at 8-week highs. Price trades well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) on every pullback this week, and RSI(14) sits in oversold territory after the sustained slide. The $4,256 lower-high has capped the latest bounce attempt.
Support: 4,201.47
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4201 opens the path toward fresh yearly lows
Reclaim of the 4256 lower-high needed to challenge the 4300 cluster
Core PCE Thu and S&P Global PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 34 · price 4,207.39
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday's reversal.
Gold rolled over violently after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, dumping from the 4382 week high to sub-4300 and grinding to fresh session lows near 4201. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s, confirming sustained downside pressure into the NY-to-Asia transition. The 4256 lower high has capped the lone recovery attempt, while the 4219 weekly-low zone has already given way.
Gold has trended lower since Wednesday's hawkish-Fed reaction, the FOMC-hour bar tearing from ~4382 down to 4286 and the slide extending through the week. Price has since broken the 4219 weekly low and printed a fresh swing low at 4201, with EMA20 and EMA50 capping well overhead. Each bounce has stalled below 4277, leaving a sequence of lower highs into the NY close.
Support: 4,201.47, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,277.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4219 would ease the breakdown read
Failure to reclaim 4300 keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) / Core PCE (Jun 25) could materially shift this read
Gold rallied to 4382 into Wednesday before a violent post-FOMC collapse — the hawkish Warsh hold and lifted dots, reinforced by strong US retail sales, drove the leg down to the 4219 weekly low. Price has since ground lower beneath EMA20 and EMA50, printing successive lower highs and a fresh swing low at 4201 with RSI(14) pinned in the low-30s. The 4300 pivot, lost on the drop, now sits as the first overhead reference.
Support: 4,201.47, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4201 swing low extends the downtrend toward sub-4200
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would neutralise the post-FOMC breakdown
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23, 13:45 UTC) could reprice the hawkish-Fed read and shift this structure
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 37 · price 4,209.02
Lower highs, lower lows since FOMC drop.
Gold has been in a steady downtrend since the post-FOMC collapse from the $4,382 high, with the hawkish Fed hold and firmer USD weighing across the week. The $4,219 weekly low has given way and now caps as resistance, while price grinds to fresh lows near $4,201. RSI sits in the high-30s with price holding well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 4,201.47
Resistance: 4,219.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4219 would neutralize the breakdown of the weekly low
Failure to hold 4201 extends the lower-low sequence
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) could reinforce USD strength and pressure gold further
21:04 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 32 · price 4,209.02
Lower highs, lower lows; weekly low broken.
Gold collapsed off the $4,382 high after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC hold and dot-plot lift, shedding roughly 4% into a string of lower highs and lower lows. The bounce attempts toward $4,256 have faded under firmer USD and yields, and into the NY-Asia transition price has slipped through the $4,219 weekly low to print fresh lows near $4,201. RSI(14) sits in oversold territory with price well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Resistance: 4,219.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4219 weekly low would negate the fresh breakdown
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to challenge the broader bearish tilt
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Downtrend, off the lows · RSI 38 · price 4,216.29
Lower highs, lower lows since Wed crash.
Gold rallied to a June high near 4382 early in the week then violently reversed during the post-FOMC NY session Wednesday, dumping ~2% as the hawkish Fed and 8-week-high USD repriced hike risk. Price has trended lower since, stacking lower highs and trading well below EMA20/EMA50, and is now pinned near the 4201 weekly low. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s with the late-session bounce off 4201 only a shallow recovery.
Support: 4,201.47
Resistance: 4,270.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below the 4300 pivot keeps the bearish post-FOMC tone intact
A break of the 4201 weekly low exposes fresh downside
Reclaim of 4270 prior high needed to challenge the 4300 pivot
S&P Global PMIs Tue and Core PCE Thu are the next catalysts that could shift this read
Gold rallied to a June high near 4382 early in the week before Wednesday's hawkish FOMC triggered a violent reversal, the post-decision bar alone shedding over 100 points. Since then price has carved a clean sequence of lower highs back toward the 4201 weekly low, trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the NY session. The 4300 pivot has capped every recovery attempt while RSI(14) holds in the mid-30s.
Support: 4,201.47
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4201 exposes fresh downside on the weekly low break
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to neutralize the post-FOMC tone
S&P Global PMIs Tue and Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed from the ~4370 June high through Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, shedding roughly 160 dollars in two H1 bars and grinding to fresh weekly lows around 4214–4219. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with each bounce capped under the 4256 lower high; RSI(14) compressed near the low-30s as supply caps the 4300 pivot. The firmer USD at 8-week highs has kept every recovery attempt shallow since the post-FOMC break.
Support: 4,214.18, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,370.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4214 swing low exposes the 4200 psych area
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to neutralize the post-FOMC downtrend
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC and Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
Gold imploded mid-week after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and a hot Retail Sales print, dropping ~2% from the ~$4,382 June high into the NY session and never recovering. Price has ground lower since, carving lower highs and now sitting on the $4,214 weekly low with RSI(14) pressed into the low-30s. Every bounce has stalled well below the $4,300 pivot, keeping price beneath both EMAs.
Gold collapsed roughly 2% after the hawkish FOMC and a hot Retail Sales beat mid-window, breaking from the 4382 high down to the 4214 session low and the 4219 weekly-low zone. Price now treads water in a 4214-4257 band, well below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) pinned near 21 — deeply oversold but no reversal structure yet. The 4300 pivot has repeatedly capped this week and remains the level to reclaim to ease the heavy tone.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,214.18
Resistance: 4,257.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4257 prior high needed to relieve downside pressure
Clean break of the 4214 session low / 4219 weekly low opens deeper downside
S&P Global PMIs Tue could reinforce or fade the hawkish-Fed/strong-USD read
Gold collapsed roughly 4% from the 4382 high after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC and a hot Retail Sales beat revived Fed-hike pricing, slicing to a 4219 weekly low. Price has since stalled in a 4214-4257 base, trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) still pinned in the 30s. The 4300 pivot has capped each attempt and remains the line that defines the heavy tone.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,214.18
Resistance: 4,256.62, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the post-FOMC pressure
S&P Global PMIs (Tue) and Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed roughly 2% from the $4,382 week high after the hawkish Warsh Fed and hot Retail Sales beat, slicing through the $4,300 pivot and grinding to fresh week lows at $4,214. Price has stair-stepped lower through every NY and Asia session since, holding well below EMA20 (~4290) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory near 32. The $4,257 NY bounce high and $4,300 pivot now cap any recovery attempts.
Support: 4,214.18, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,290.00, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4214 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the psych 4200 zone
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the heavy tone
S&P Global PMIs Tue could reinforce or fade the hawkish-Fed repricing driving USD/yields
17:03 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 32 · price 4,220.17
Lower highs, lower lows since post-FOMC reversal.
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed nearly 2% through the NY session after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and a hot Retail Sales beat lifted the dollar and yields. Price now treads water above the 4219 weekly low, having been repeatedly rejected below the 4300 pivot, with the failed bounce capping at 4256. RSI(14) sits near 31 and price trades well under both EMA20 and EMA50, confirming the heavy intraday tone.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4219 weekly low opens deeper downside
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the heavy tone
S&P Global PMIs (Tue) and Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
Lower highs after sharp break, basing above weekly low.
Gold collapsed roughly 2% Wednesday into the hawkish Warsh FOMC, breaking from 4382 down to a 4219 weekly low in two NY-session bars. Price has since traded as a series of lower highs, capped on each bounce below the 4300 pivot, and is sliding back toward the 4219-4250 weekly-low zone with RSI(14) sub-40. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit overhead, framing the structure as corrective rather than recovering.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,250.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the heavy tone
Clean break of 4219 weekly low opens deeper downside
S&P Global PMIs (Tue) could materially shift the USD/yield-driven read
Gold topped near 4382 mid-week then collapsed after the hawkish Warsh FOMC and a hot Retail Sales beat, with one H1 bar dumping over 100 dollars into the 4219 weekly low. Price has since traded heavy below EMA20 and EMA50, carving lower highs through the NY session and treading just above the 4219-4250 support zone. The 4300 pivot has capped every recovery attempt, keeping the structure firmly offered.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,204.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 4219 opens deeper downside toward 4204
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the bearish structure
S&P Global PMIs (Tue) and Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
Gold rallied toward the 4344 week high into Wednesday before the hawkish FOMC triggered a near-vertical collapse through the 4300 pivot to a 4219 two-day low. The bounce stalled at the 4328 swing high — a retest of the broken pivot from below — and price has carved lower highs back toward 4240 since. Trading well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s confirms the bearish post-FOMC structure remains intact.
Support: 4,240.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,328.00, 4,344.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 4300 keeps the bearish post-FOMC tone; reclaim of 4300 eases pressure
Break of the 4219 two-day low opens further downside
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold collapsed ~2% off the $4,382 high after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC, slicing through the $4,300 pivot to a two-day low at $4,219 as USD and yields surged. The relief bounce stalled near $4,329 and price has rolled over again into the NY session, carving lower highs with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The $4,300 pivot now acts as resistance overhead while $4,242–4,219 marks the near-term floor.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close back above 4300 would ease the post-FOMC pressure
Break and close below 4219 confirms a fresh lower low
S&P Global PMIs Tue and Core PCE Thu are the key catalysts that could reset this read
Gold spiked to 4382 before the FOMC collapse gutted price to 4219 on the hawkish dot plot and USD surge through 8-week highs. The bounce stalled in the 4300-4330 zone and price is grinding back toward the lows, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI sub-40. Sequence of lower highs since the peak keeps the structure heavy below 4300.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 reopens yearly lows
Reclaim of 4300 pivot needed to ease downside pressure
S&P Global PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
Gold gutted during yesterday's NY session as the hawkish FOMC dots flipped the rate path, slamming price from the $4,382 spike to the $4,219 post-FOMC low. The bounce stalled into $4,300-$4,330 and price has since ground back to $4,248, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s. Lower highs since the bounce keep the bias heavy below the $4,300 pivot.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4300 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 post-fomc low reopens the yearly lows
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold imploded from the 4382 high into the 4219 post-FOMC low as hawkish Warsh commentary and a lifted dot-path drove the Dollar to 8-week highs. The recovery stalled sub-4328 and price has since carved lower highs, sliding back to the 4240s as the firmer US data tone reasserted. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s.
Support: 4,240.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,328.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 4300 then the 4328 bounce cap needed to negate the fade
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed reaction (12:30 UTC) still feeding into this read
Gold imploded from the $4,382 high straight to $4,219 on the hawkish FOMC hold and surging US 2yr yields, then bounced into a $4,329 lower high before rolling over again toward the lows. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s, and the $4,300 psych level capped this latest leg. Structure remains a sequence of lower highs since the FOMC collapse.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms continuation of the post-FOMC lower-low
Reclaim of 4300 then the 4323-4330 zone is needed to break the lower-high sequence
Today's Jobless Claims / Philly Fed reaction can extend or fade this leg
Gold imploded post-FOMC, slicing from the ~4382 week high to a 4219 low as the hawkish dot shift lifted yields and the Dollar. The bounce stalled in the 4328-4330 reversal zone and price has rolled over again into the NY session, trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI pressed into the low 30s. The 4300 pivot now caps and 4219 is back in focus.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the post-FOMC leg
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the downside pressure
Initial Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 32 · price 4,241.78
Lower highs, lower lows since FOMC.
Gold reversed hard after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC, slicing from the 4382 peak to the 4219 post-FOMC low before a bounce capped in the 4330 reversal zone. Price has since rolled over again, grinding under EMA20/EMA50 into 4242 with RSI(14) pressed near oversold. The 4300 pivot now acts as resistance on each attempt.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms the fomc low break and opens 4202
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to challenge the 4330 reversal zone
US Initial Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 4,253.59
Lower highs / lower lows, below EMAs.
Gold rolled over from this week's high near 4382 after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC, a sharp breakdown that drove price into two-day lows around 4219. The bounce stalled below the 4280 recovery zone and price is grinding lower again into the NY session, trading under both EMA20 and EMA50 with successive lower highs capping at 4329 and 4308. RSI(14) is pinned in the low-30s as supply keeps pressing toward the 4219 pivot.
Support: 4,235.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,280.00, 4,308.00, 4,329.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4235 flush low opens the 4219 2-day low
Recovery above 4280 zone needed to ease the breakdown read
Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold collapsed from the 4382 week high to 4219 after the hawkish Warsh-led Fed lifted the USD to 8-week highs. The post-flush bounce stalled at 4329 — a clear lower high — and price has since rolled back toward the 4253 area, sliding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the high-30s. The 4280 prior-range pivot has capped recovery attempts; the 4219 two-day low is the immediate downside reference.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,280.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4280 eases the bearish tone toward the 4329 lower high
Break of 4219 confirms a lower low and opens the recent year-lows
Initial Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 4328, rolling back toward two-day low.
Gold imploded from the 4382 peak to a 4219 two-day low on the hawkish Warsh-led Fed and the broad USD bid. The subsequent recovery stalled near 4328 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of that drop — and price has rolled back below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40. Supply capped each rebound attempt into the NY session, and the tape is sliding back toward the lows.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,288.00, 4,308.00, 4,328.00
What it said to watch
Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 4256 swing low opens the 4219 two-day low
Reclaim of 4288 / 4308 needed to ease the bearish structure
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over · RSI 39 · price 4,267.66
Lower highs after post-Fed flush.
Gold spiked to the 4382 week high before the hawkish Warsh-led Fed triggered a ~110-point H1 flush to 4219, with USD pushing 8-week highs. The bounce stalled at the 4330 range top and price has since drifted back below EMA20/50, carving lower highs into 4267. Demand at 4259 is the immediate pivot; a sustained move under it reopens the 4219 low.
Support: 4,259.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,290.00, 4,330.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4259 confirms a lower low toward the 4219 two-day low
Reclaim of 4290 needed to ease the post-Fed bearish tone
Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high after sharp sell-off, rolling back toward lows.
Gold rallied from Monday's open near $4,170 to a week high of $4,382 into Wednesday's NY session, then collapsed roughly 2% on the hawkish Warsh-led Fed, flushing to a two-day low at $4,219. The bounce stalled below the $4,330 range top, leaving a lower high, and price is rolling back below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) sub-40. The week's impulse is now being unwound and the fed low at $4,235 is back in play.
Support: 4,235.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,280.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4235 fed low exposes the 4219 two-day low
Reclaim of 4280 recovery needed to ease the bearish tone toward the range top
Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since recovery, pressing toward 4219 low.
Gold rallied through the early week toward 4382 before the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and 8-week USD highs triggered a sharp flush to 4219. The bounce stalled around 4330 and has rolled into lower highs, with price now sliding back below 4288 toward the post-FOMC lows. Trade sits beneath EMA(20) with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, reflecting the renewed selling pressure.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,288.00, 4,330.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4219 confirms a lower low and opens the recent year-lows
Reclaim above 4288 needed to ease the post-FOMC selling
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold spiked to a 4382 week high before collapsing through the 4300 pivot to a 4219 low after the hawkish FOMC dot path and hot US Retail Sales lifted the dollar to eight-week highs. The recovery bounce stalled at 4329 and price is sliding back below the pivot, trading under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s. Supply has capped each push toward 4300-4329 since the reversal.
Support: 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4300 reclaims the pivot and eases the downside read
Failure to hold 4257 swing low opens a retest of the 4219 post-fomc low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Broke down from uptrend, now consolidating lower · RSI 41 · price 4,285.93
Sharp reversal off 4382, capped by lower highs.
Gold ripped to 4382 into Wednesday's NY session then collapsed after the hawkish FOMC dot plot, slicing the 4300 pivot to a 4219 post-FOMC low as the dollar hit eight-week highs. The bounce back to 4330 has faded under a string of lower highs, and price now sits at 4285 below both EMA20 and EMA50. The hawkish drop is being digested in a 4219–4330 band.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,330.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4300 pivot would reclaim the broken level
Failure to hold 4256 opens the 4219 post-FOMC low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Sharp reversal off week high, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,306.64
Lower high after 4382 rejection, basing 4296-4330.
Gold rallied to the 4382 week high before the hawkish FOMC SEP slammed it ~2% to the 4219 fomc low in two bars, the dominant move of the week. Price has since recovered to base around 4296-4330, but the 4330 recent cap has held the bounce and price sits just below EMA(20). RSI(14) is mid-range near 46 after working off the post-FOMC washout.
Support: 4,296.00, 4,257.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4330 recent cap is the first sign the post-FOMC selloff is stabilizing
Close below 4296 session low reopens 4257 recovery low and the 4219 fomc low
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower high after sweep of week high, recovery into range.
Gold ran to a week high near 4382 then collapsed roughly 2% to 4219 as the hawkish FOMC and lifted dot path sent the Dollar to 8-week highs. Price has since recovered into a 4296-4330 consolidation, with 4330 capping the bounce and demand stepping in around 4296. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 after working off the post-FOMC washout.
Support: 4,296.00, 4,280.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,355.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4330 then 4355 needed to repair the post-FOMC break
Failure to hold 4296/4280 reopens the 4219 two-day low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Uptrend broken, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,307.03
Consolidation after sharp reversal.
Gold climbed steadily from Monday's open to a 4382 high before a violent reversal after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC dumped it to 4219 in two bars. Price has since clawed back into a 4280-4330 band, with the 4300 pivot now in play and RSI cycling mid-range. Spot sits just under EMA20 after the recovery stalled at 4330.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4330 would reclaim the range top and re-engage 4382
Sustained break below 4280 opens 4219 then 4200
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, corrective range · RSI 47 · price 4,307.03
Range-bound after sharp lower-high off 4382.
Gold ran to a 4382 week high into Wednesday's NY session then dumped over 160 dollars on the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and hot US retail sales, printing a sharp lower high. Price has since clawed back to the 4280–4330 corrective range and is hovering at the 4300 pivot, with the 4330 area capping the rebound near the 0.68 retrace of the drop. RSI(14) has reset back to neutral around 47 as both EMA20 and EMA50 sit just overhead.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4300 pivot opens 4280 range low then 4219
Reclaim of 4330 range top needed to reopen the path toward 4382
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend reversed, recovering after FOMC drop · RSI 46 · price 4,313.12
Lower high after spike rejection, basing above 4270.
Gold ran to a 4382 week high before a hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot retail sales beat triggered a sharp rejection, dumping ~160 dollars to 4219 in two bars yesterday. Price has since clawed back to 4313 but sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) stalled near 46, leaving a lower high intact below the 4382 week high. The recovery off the crash low is finding sellers into the 4330 swing zone.
Support: 4,270.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,348.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4348 then 4382 week high would repair the broken uptrend
Failure to hold 4270 crash low reopens 4219 then the 4200 area
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed ~160 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat, printing a 4219 week low before clawing back to 4320. Price is now churning around EMA20 with RSI near 48, capped well under the 4394 resistance band. The 4300 pivot has held on the recovery while the 4348 swing high marks the first hurdle.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,270.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,382.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4300 pivot reopens the 4270 fomc low and 4219 week low
Reclaim of 4348 needed to challenge the 4382 week high and 4394 resistance
Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:03 UTC
Uptrend reversed, recovering after sharp drop · RSI 53 · price 4,321.00
Lower high off 4382, sharp drop into 4219, retracing higher.
Gold rejected the 4382 week high and dumped over $160 into 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and hot retail sales print, the dominant move of the window. Price has since clawed back roughly 61.8% of that drop to 4321, now pressing the underside of the 4300-4400 range with RSI(14) back near the midline. The 4300 pivot is holding as a floor while 4329 caps the recovery so far.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,257.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,329.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4300 pivot opens 4257 then the 4219 fomc low
Reclaim of 4329 puts the 4382 week high back in play
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
False break of week high, recovering toward 4300 pivot.
Gold rallied ~6.5% off last week's lows into a 4382 peak before a hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat triggered a violent one-bar rejection that erased over $110 and drove price to 4219. The bounce since has reclaimed back toward the 4300 pivot but stalls just under EMA20 with RSI cycling near 47. The week's character has flipped from impulsive advance to corrective chop beneath the 4350-4394 supply band.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,257.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,382.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4300 pivot opens the path to 4257 then the 4219 week low
Reclaim of the 4350-4382 zone needed to repair the rejection
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:03 UTC
Pullback recovery after FOMC drop · RSI 46 · price 4,310.54
Clawing back off 4219 low, capped under 4382.
Gold's three-day ~6.5% recovery topped at 4382 before yesterday's hawkish FOMC dots and a hot retail sales beat triggered a sharp NY-session selloff to 4219. Price has since clawed back toward the 4300 pivot but is stalling near 4330 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold and price below EMA20/EMA50. The 4382 week high and 4394 resistance band continue to cap any rebound.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,382.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4300 pivot opens 4219 swing low then 4200 support
Reclaim of 4382 week high needed to challenge the 4394 resistance band
Initial Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Gold's three-day ~6.5% rebound topped at 4382 before a hawkish FOMC and a hot 0.9% retail sales print sent it crashing to 4219 in two hours of heavy selling. Price has since clawed back above the 4300 pivot to 4317, recovering more than half the FOMC drop but sitting below EMA20 and EMA50, which now cap near 4325-4330. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral around 49 as buyers absorbed the lows.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,257.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims + Philly Fed today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 4300 pivot reopens 4257 and the 4219 week low
Reclaim of 4340 needed to challenge the 4382 week high
Rejection at 4382, lows swept to 4219, back near pivot.
Gold's three-day climb peaked at 4382 before the hawkish FOMC dots and a hot retail sales beat triggered a sharp rejection, dropping price to 4219 in two bars. The subsequent recovery into the NY session has lifted price back to 4317, stalling near the 61.8% retrace of the drop and the $4,300 pivot, with RSI(14) back to neutral. A reclaim of the 4348 swing high is needed to re-test the 4382 week high and the 4394 resistance band.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,270.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,382.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4300 pivot reopens the 4270 fomc low and 4219 week low
Reclaim of 4348 swing high needed to challenge the 4382 week high
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Sharp breakdown then partial recovery into prior range.
Gold's ~6.5% three-day recovery topped at the 4382 week high before a violent drop to 4219 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat. Price has since clawed back toward 4320, retracing roughly 62% of the FOMC drop and now testing the prior 4332 range floor as overhead resistance. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-40s with price sitting just under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,277.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,332.00, 4,360.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaiming 4332 opens the path back toward the 4360 supply band
Failure to hold the 4300 pivot reopens 4277 and the 4219 swing low
Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sharp lower-high after FOMC, bouncing into prior range.
Gold ran up to 4382 through the week before a violent reversal — the hawkish FOMC dot-plot lift and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat triggered a 160-dollar drop to 4219 in two H1 bars. Price has since clawed back to 4320, recovering into the Asia session but still sitting below the EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster and back inside the 4300–4400 range. The 4382 high stands as a clear rejection and lower-high after the data-driven flush.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,270.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,360.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens the 4270 swing low and 4219 crash low
Reclaim of 4360 would put the 4382 week high back in play
Initial Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could re-drive this read
Gold's week-long climb to 4382 reversed violently after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and a hot retail sales print, dumping ~160 dollars into 4219 in two NY-session bars. Price has since based and recovered toward 4281, but sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 42. The 4300 pivot now caps the bounce while the 4332 former-support shelf sits above; 4256-4219 marks the base built after the drop.
Support: 4,256.00, 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,332.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to ease the reversal pressure
Failure to hold 4219 week low opens the 4200 psych support
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower high in place after FOMC flush, bouncing off lows.
Gold ran from Monday's 4208 base up to 4382 by Wednesday before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift and a hot retail sales beat triggered a sharp single-bar flush to 4219, erasing the prior session's gains. Price has since recovered to 4281 but trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, with the 4300 pivot now acting as the first overhead reference. RSI(14) is climbing off oversold but holds under 50, consistent with a bounce inside a broken structure.
Support: 4,270.00, 4,219.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4270 reopens the 4219 week low
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read