Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
19:35 UTC
Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 38 · price 4,155.54
Lower highs, lower lows; below broken 4200 support.
Gold remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows since the $4,382 peak, with the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC and USD at YTD highs driving the leg lower. Price has broken and now sits below the $4,200 support cluster, with rallies rejected into the $4,280-4,300 supply zone. ATR(14) stays elevated, consistent with an expanding, trend-extending move rather than compression.
Support: 4,121.00, 4,024.00
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
- H4 close below 4121 swing low opens the path to the 4024 month low
- Reclaim of 4200 prior support needed to neutralise the breakdown read
- S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read via USD
19:35 UTC
Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 36 · price 4,155.54
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh leg down.
Gold remains in a clean H4 downtrend, accelerated by the hawkish FOMC dot plot and USD pushing YTD highs. Price broke below the 4219 support after rejection near 4382 and is now probing toward the prior cycle lows; ATR(14) is expanded, confirming an impulsive leg rather than compression. Bounces have repeatedly stalled into the 4280-4300 cap cluster.
Support: 4,121.00, 4,067.00, 4,023.00
Resistance: 4,219.00
What it said to watch
- H4 close back above 4219 would ease downside pressure
- Break of 4121 opens the path to 4067/4023
- S&P Global PMIs (Tue 13:45 UTC) could materially extend or unwind this move