XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:48 UTC
Mild downward drift, thin Asia open · RSI 35 · price 4,371.44
Lower highs since Sunday open, inside Friday's range.
New week opened with a small gap below Friday's 4378.20 close, printed a session high at 4382.13 in the first bar and has ground out lower highs since, now pressing the session low at 4371.00. Price sits on the 50% retracement of Friday's 4343–4396 leg with RSI(14) near 34; ranges are thin (ATR ~4.4 dollars) in early Asia after gold's post-Fed recovery stalled below the $4,400 gate.
Support: 4,371.00, 4,361.80
Resistance: 4,378.20, 4,382.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4382.13 breaks the lower highs chain and reclaims the fri close
Acceptance below 4371.00 session low opens the 4361.80 fri pivot
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first post-FOMC steer and could reset this intraday read
23:34 UTC
Flat, drifting lower off the weekly open · RSI 34 · price 4,374.24
Small gap-down open, lower highs inside an 11-dollar Asia range.
Monday's Asia session opened with a small gap down from Friday's 4378 close and has since ground out a 4371.00–4382.13 range, price pinned on the EMA50 near 4374 and under the EMA20 at 4377. The pullback is holding above the 38.2% retracement of Friday's 4343–4397 leg, which stalled under the 4400 psych gate as post-FOMC dollar strength faded; RSI(14) at 34 reflects the drift, not a trend.
Support: 4,371.00, 4,363.60
Resistance: 4,382.13, 4,396.98, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4382.13 session high would break the lower-high chain off the weekly open
Loss of the 4371.00 session low opens the 50% and 61.8% fib retracement zone at 4370.00–4363.60
Thin early-Asia liquidity — the session range is still in development until the London open
Fed's Goolsbee at 10:30 UTC is the first event risk that could reset this range
Lower highs / lower lows since the Asia open, price under EMA20 and EMA50.
Friday's post-Fed bounce stalled at the 4399.53 friday high before an afternoon fade; Monday's Asia open gapped ~3 dollars lower, was rejected at the 4382.13 session high and has ground into the 4371.00 session low. Price sits below EMA20 (4377) and EMA50 (4374) with RSI(14) near 47, mid-way between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of Friday's leg — thin early-Asia liquidity, no structure in play yet.
Support: 4,371.00, 4,360.02
Resistance: 4,382.13, 4,390.80, 4,399.53
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4382.13 session high would negate the lower-high sequence off the open
Failure to hold the 4371.00 session low exposes the 61.8% retracement near 4363.6 and the 4360.02 swing low
4390.80 prior high still caps the late-Friday chop range
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC today, then S&P Global US PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC, are the near-term drivers that could reset this read
Lower highs off 4396.98, holding a tight 4373-4382 reopen range.
Gold reopened with a small gap below Friday's 4378 close and has drifted to the bottom of a 4373.63-4382.13 Asia session range on thin early-Monday volume, price sitting on EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38. The fade from Friday's 4396.98 high is holding — the post-Fed bounce stalled under the 4400 area that the macro digest flags as the cap.
Support: 4,373.63, 4,363.08
Resistance: 4,382.13, 4,396.98
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4373.63 session low exposes 4363.08 swing low
Reclaim of the 4382.13 session high invalidates the lower-highs sequence
Thin liquidity until London open — early-Asia range may not hold
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC ahead of Wed US flash PMIs could reset this range
Lower highs off 4397 double top, thin reopen drift.
Friday's NY session twice stalled at 4397 (double top) after the 4343 low, then faded into the close; the new week's thin reopen bars have drifted to 4374.33, under EMA20 at 4377.6 and pinned on EMA50 at 4374.4. RSI(14) at 44 is neutral — no directional impulse while volumes are near-zero, with the immediate band 4374.3–4382.1.
Support: 4,374.30, 4,370.70, 4,363.10
Resistance: 4,382.10, 4,397.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4382.1 session high would break the lower-high chain off the 4397 double top
Loss of the 4374.3 session low exposes the 4370.7 swing low, then 4363.1
Liquidity is minimal on these reopen bars — early Asia hours can void the range read
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC is the first event risk to this intraday structure
The new week opened with a small weekend gap lower and price has since held a tight 4374.43–4382.13 band in early Asia, parked on the 38.2% retracement of Friday's 4343.02–4396.98 leg. Lower highs have built since the Friday NY fade near 4399.53, with RSI(14) around 41 and price under EMA20 — three bars into the session, nothing structural resolved yet.
Support: 4,374.43, 4,370.71, 4,363.08
Resistance: 4,382.13, 4,390.80, 4,399.53
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4382.13 session high re-opens the 4390.80 prior high
Loss of 4374.43 session low exposes 4370.71 swing low and the 4363.08 prior low
Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC today can inject intraday volatility into this range
S&P Global US PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's main event risk for gold
Lower highs into a flat 4374 base; reopen range 4374–4382.
Fresh week opened with a small gap lower to 4374.4 and an immediate recovery to 4378.91 on minimal volume, still pinned between the asia low and the 4382.1 asia high. Friday's structure was a rejection under the 4399.5 fri high after the NY recovery leg off 4343.0, with a chain of lower highs (4396.98, 4390.8, 4383.4) into the close; gold is holding the post-Fed bounce helped by softer US industrial production and easing crude.
Support: 4,374.40, 4,361.80, 4,343.00
Resistance: 4,382.10, 4,390.80, 4,399.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4382.1 asia high reopens the 4390.8 swing high and 4399.5 fri high band
Loss of 4374.4 asia low puts the 4361.8 swing low back in play and confirms a lower low from Friday's close
Liquidity is thin until London; Fed's Goolsbee 10:30 UTC is the first event risk of the week
Higher low then tight consolidation under the session high.
NY session drove gold off the 4343 ny low to a 4397 ny high, rejected there just under the 4400 psych level, then chopped in a 4374.80–4393.15 band into the close; the soft US industrial production print kept the Dollar capped through the move. Price is mid-range and pinned to EMA20, RSI(14) near 44 — no directional structure in play, and the latest bar is a thin new-week open print.
Support: 4,374.80, 4,361.90, 4,343.00
Resistance: 4,393.15, 4,397.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4393.15 range top is needed to put the 4397 ny high back in play
Loss of the 4374.80 session low exposes 4361.90 swing low, with the 4343 ny low beneath
Thin liquidity on the new-week open can distort the first few bars of range
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC is the first event risk capable of shifting this range read
Lower highs off the session high, flat base above the session low.
NY session pushed to a session high at 4396.98 just under the 4400 round number and was rejected, with the soft US industrial production miss keeping the Dollar capped but not extending the leg. Last three hours are a tight 4374.94–4383.40 base into the Friday close, price pinned just under EMA20 with RSI(14) back to 43 and ATR(14) around 580 pips.
Support: 4,374.94, 4,360.02
Resistance: 4,383.40, 4,396.98, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4383.40 micro cap reopens the 4396.98 session high
Loss of the 4374.94 session low puts the 4360.02 swing low back in play
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC is the first event risk after the weekend gap
Double-topped range under 4397, higher lows off 4343.
NY hours saw gold rebuild from the 4343.02 session low back to 4396.98, matching the earlier 4399 spike and leaving a double top that has since capped price — soft US industrial production (0.0% vs 0.3%) kept the USD offered into the bounce. Last four bars are coiled in a 4375–4383 pocket on thinning volume, RSI(14) back to the mid-40s and price pinned under EMA20 but on EMA50.
Support: 4,374.94, 4,370.71, 4,343.02
Resistance: 4,396.98
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4396.98 session high invalidates the double top read
Loss of the 4374.94 swing low, then 4370.71 prior low, confirms a lower low within the range
Late-session volume decay means the 4375–4383 pocket can hold until liquidity returns
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst that could reset this range
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling after the 4397 rejection · RSI 45 · price 4,378.16
Equal highs at 4397/4399 capping; price coiling in a 4375-4384 band.
Gold rallied off the 4342.73 NY low back to 4396.98 before being rejected against the earlier 4399 high — equal highs, and price has since bled into a tight 4374.94-4383.90 range in thin post-NY-close hours. RSI(14) near 45 with price under EMA20 but holding EMA50; soft US industrial production kept the Dollar capped through the NY session.
Support: 4,374.94, 4,361.87, 4,342.73
Resistance: 4,383.90, 4,396.98
What it said to watch
Close above the 4383.90 range top reopens the 4396.98 prior high and negates the double top read
Loss of the 4374.94 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4361.87 pivot low
ATR(14) near 580 pips — ranges compress into the session gap and can expand sharply on the Asia reopen
Fed's Goolsbee Mon 10:30 UTC is the first event risk capable of shifting this intraday structure
Lower highs off 4397 inside a 4375-4386 consolidation.
NY session drove gold from the 4352 low up to a session high at 4396.98, where the move was rejected just under the $4,400 gate, and price has since chopped in a 4375-4386 consolidation on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) near 43 with price under EMA20 but still above EMA50; soft US industrial production (0.0% vs 0.3%) kept the Dollar capped through the rally.
Support: 4,374.94, 4,370.71, 4,352.18
Resistance: 4,386.05, 4,396.98
What it said to watch
Close above the 4386 range top would re-open the session high at 4396.98
Loss of the 4374.94 range low exposes the 4370.71 swing low and confirms a lower low
Fed's Goolsbee (Mon 10:30 UTC) is the first event risk after the weekend gap