Gold has trended lower all week, with the slide accelerating through the NY session as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs near 102; price broke 4100, sliced the 4023 YTD low and tagged a 3959 swing low before a shallow bounce stalled right under the 4000 psych level. RSI(14) is oversold and curling up but price remains capped below EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the structure of lower highs and lower lows intact. The bounce off 3959 is so far being absorbed near 4000.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,023.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4023 ytd low would soften the breakdown read
Failure to hold 3959 swing low confirms continuation of the downtrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has trended lower all week, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs near 102 on hawkish-Fed pricing, driving price through the 4100 and 4044 shelves to a 3959 swing low. The bounce back to the 4000 psych level has stalled and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-40. Demand stepped in at 3959 to spark the relief, while supply has capped the rebound at the 4000 round number.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,044.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
Sustained reclaim of 4044 would challenge the lower-high structure
H1 close below 3959 confirms continuation of the downtrend toward 3900
Gold has trended down all week, accelerating through the NY session as the Dollar pushed to fresh 13-month highs and slicing below $4,100 toward the $4,023 YTD low. Price is now hovering just under the $4,000 psychological level after tagging 3959, with RSI(14) pressed into oversold territory and price holding well below EMA20 and EMA50. The 3959 swing low and 4000 round number frame the immediate battleground into Thursday's data.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,038.36
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4038 would break the run of lower highs
Acceptance below 3959 confirms continuation toward the $4,000-area downside targets cited in the news
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has trended lower all week, slicing below the $4,100 handle and the $4,023 YTD low into the NY session as the Dollar pressed fresh 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price now hovers either side of the $4,000 psychological level after tagging 3959, with RSI(14) stretched but ticking up off the lows. The former YTD low at 4023 now caps as overhead supply, and price holds well below EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,023.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4023 would ease the breakdown read and re-open 4046
Loss of 3959 confirms continuation toward the cited $4,000-area downside targets
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has bled steadily lower all week, breaking below $4,100 and the $4,046 area into the NY session as the Dollar Index pressed fresh 13-month highs near 102 on hawkish-Fed bets and beat US PMIs. Price now hovers at the $4,000 psychological line after tagging a 3959 swing low, with RSI(14) near 33 and price well under EMA20/EMA50. The bounce off 3959 is shallow against an extended, one-directional sequence of lower highs.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,046.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 25 Jun 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
Hourly close below the 3959 swing low confirms downtrend continuation
Reclaim of the 4046 prior low would challenge the run of lower highs
Fourth-week downtrend extended this week, with the prior $4,100–$4,220 shelf giving way as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs; the slide accelerated through the NY session yesterday on the broad risk-off wave. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and is now probing the $4,000 psychological level after tagging a 3959 week low, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold on the small bounce. Core PCE tomorrow is the dominant catalyst into the next session.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 3959 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 4000 psych break
Reclaim of 4044 prior support needed to question the downtrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold is in a fourth-week downtrend, accelerating through 4100 and the 4000 psych level as the DXY pushed to 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed pricing. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, having printed a fresh swing low at 3959.13 before a shallow bounce back toward 3987; RSI(14) near 41 is off its lows but momentum stays heavy under the descending lower-highs line. The 4000–4006 prior-high zone now caps as resistance after the breakdown.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,042.07
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Failure to hold 3959.13 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
An hourly close back above 4042 swing high would neutralise the downtrend structure
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 35 · price 3,987.53
Lower highs, lower lows since Monday.
Gold extended its slide through the NY session, breaching the $4,000 psychological level and the $4,023-4,025 YTD lows as DXY pressed 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. The H1 sequence of lower highs and lower lows has held since Monday's $4,220 rejection, with price now hovering just under $4,000 after probing the 3959 swing low. RSI(14) sits in oversold territory following the sharp leg lower.
Support: 3,959.13
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of $4,000 psych challenges the breakdown read
Failure to hold 3959 swing low opens the next leg down
Gold extended its slide through this week's sessions, breaking below 4100 and then losing the 4000 psychological level as DXY pressed 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in oversold territory after the sharp NY-session drop that bottomed at 3959. The former 4023-4025 YTD lows now flip to overhead resistance.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,023.00
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 3959 swing low opens the next leg down
Reclaim of the 4000 psych level would ease the bearish structure
Core PCE Thu 25 Jun 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for whether 4000 holds
Gold has trended lower all week, breaking below 4100 and the 4023 YTD lows before slicing through the 4000 psychological level into the NY session — driven by DXY printing 13-month highs and hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in oversold territory after the impulsive leg from 4276, and the fresh swing low at 3959 marks the week's extreme. The structure remains a clean stack of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 3,959.13
Resistance: 4,000.00, 4,023.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4000 psych would ease the downside pressure and put 4023 ytd lows back in focus
Failure to hold 3959 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read — defines whether 4000 caps or breaks
Gold has slid for a fourth straight session, breaking the $4,000 psychological level and YTD low near 4,023 as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price trades well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned near oversold; the sharp leg from 4,220 to 3,964 dominates the week with each pullback capped under descending lower highs. Last NY hours saw acceleration through 4,000 with the 3,964 session low now the active floor.
What it said to watch
Thursday 12:30 UTC Core PCE bundle is the week's primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 4,000 psych would relieve the breakout pressure
Break of 3,964 session low confirms continuation lower
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 3,969.62
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh lows printed.
Gold accelerated lower through the NY session, slicing the $4,000 psychological level and the $4,023 YTD low as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs on the hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned near oversold, and the down move has been one-directional since the failed bounce into 4220 mid-week. The 3964.5 swing low is the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 3,964.50, 3,950.00
Resistance: 4,000.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4000 psych would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 3964.5 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 3950 round
Core PCE bundle Thu/Fri 12:30 UTC is the week's primary catalyst and could shift this read
17:03 UTC
Downtrend, extended and accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,001.41
Successive lower highs and lower lows; sweep below 4000.
Gold has trended lower all week, breaking the 4100 shelf and then the 4000 psychological level into the NY session as DXY pressed fresh 13-month highs. The latest leg swept down to 3964 — the YTD-low area — before short-covering reclaimed 4000, leaving RSI(14) oversold near 31. Price remains well below EMA20 and EMA50, which have capped every pullback this week.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,038.36
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 4000 reopens the 3964 sweep low
An hourly close back above 4038-4044 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Gold has been in a steady downtrend all week, accelerating through the NY session yesterday as it broke below the $4,100 round number and the $4,023 YTD low toward the $4,000 psych level, bottoming at 3964.51 before a shallow bounce. The slide tracks a surging USD at 13-month highs on hawkish Fed repricing, with RSI(14) pressed into oversold and price holding well below EMA20 and EMA50. The 4044 prior support now caps as overhead, with 4100 the broader ceiling.
Support: 4,000.00, 3,964.51
Resistance: 4,044.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 4044 would ease the oversold pressure; reclaim of 4100 needed to challenge the broader downtrend
Failure to hold the 4000 psych level opens a retest of the 3964.51 swing low
Gold has been sold hard since Monday's rejection near 4220, extending a fourth weekly decline as a hawkish-Fed USD surge to a 13-month high pressured bullion through the NY session. The spike to 3964.51 swept the lows before a snap recovery to 4042, but price has since rolled back toward the 4000 round number with RSI deeply oversold. Structure stays firmly lower-high/lower-low, with the prior 4100 round number now capping.
Support: 3,964.51
Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Thursday's Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 3964.51 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 4042 bounce high needed to ease the downside pressure
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 32 · price 4,001.41
Lower highs, lower lows.
Gold has trended lower all week, accelerating into the NY session yesterday as a risk-off USD bid and hawkish-Fed pricing crushed bullion through the 4044 Bollinger support. The move sliced to a 3964 swing low before a thin stabilisation back near the 4000 psych handle; price remains deep below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) oversold. Stronger US PMIs reinforced the higher-for-longer narrative driving the slide.
Support: 4,000.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 3964 swing low confirms continuation toward the 2026 low at 4025... note the broader downside pivots
Reclaim of 4044 bb support needed to ease the bearish structure
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 33 · price 4,007.79
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh week low.
Gold has trended lower all week since Monday's rejection of 4220, with the decline accelerating through the NY session as a hawkish-Fed-driven USD pushed to a 13-month high. Price sliced through the 4044 pivot to a fresh 3964 week low before a shallow bounce stalled near 4040; it now sits at 4007 with RSI(14) oversold. EMA(20) and EMA(50) cap from above and pullbacks keep failing under the descending lower-high line.
Resistance: 4,044.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 4044 would ease the downside acceleration
Failure to hold 3964 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 36 · price 4,007.79
Successive lower highs and lower lows.
Gold has trended lower all week from the 4292 open, with the decline accelerating into the NY session yesterday as a risk-off, USD safe-haven bid drove price beneath the 4044 and 4025 pivots cited as Bollinger/2026-low support. The latest leg swept 3964 before a shallow bounce stalled near 4007, leaving prior support at 4025–4044 as overhead caps. RSI(14) is pressed into the mid-30s after the flush, and price sits well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Resistance: 4,025.00, 4,044.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4044 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 3964 week low confirms continuation toward the 2026 lows
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 38 · price 4,031.84
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
Gold has trended lower all week from the 4300s, accelerating into the NY session with a sharp break through 4000 to a 3964 swing low before a thin bounce back to 4031. The slide tracks the hawkish-Fed/strong-USD risk-off theme and beat US PMIs; price remains well below EMA20 (~4110) with RSI(14) pressing oversold. The 4046 bounce high now caps, while 4025 and the 4000 round number sit just beneath.
Support: 4,025.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,046.00, 4,110.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Failure to reclaim 4046 keeps the lower-high structure intact
Sustained break below 4000 opens the path toward the 3964 swing low
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 36 · price 4,031.84
Lower highs, lower lows; sweep then bounce.
Gold has trended steadily lower since Monday's open near 4306, with the dominant leg coming into the NY session as a tech-led equity rout and a one-year-high dollar drove a risk-off, hawkish-Fed bid. The last bars swept the round number, printing a 3964 spike low before recovering to 4031; RSI(14) remains depressed and price sits well below EMA20/EMA50. The 4076–4100 zone now caps any rebound.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,076.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4000 round number reopens 3964 sweep low
H1 close back above 4100 psych would challenge the lower-highs structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
13:03 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 26 · price 3,977.62
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh range break lower.
Gold has trended steadily lower all week and accelerated through the NY session, slicing the $4,000 round number and 2026 lows near $4,025 in a single impulsive leg to 3977. The slide reflects hawkish-Fed repricing and a risk-off flight into the USD at one-year highs; strong US PMIs reinforced firmer yields. RSI(14) is deep in oversold territory with price stretched well below EMA20 and EMA50.
Resistance: 4,046.00
What it said to watch
$4,000 round number now overhead — area to watch for retest or rejection
Reclaim of 4046 prior support needed to ease downside pressure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 24 · price 3,977.62
Successive lower highs and lower lows.
Gold has trended lower all week from the 4,309 open, with the decline accelerating through the NY session as it sliced the 4,000 round number and printed fresh lows near 3,977. The leg down tracks a hawkish-Fed/risk-off USD at one-year highs, reinforced by stronger US PMIs. RSI(14) is deeply oversold and price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with every pullback this week capped under descending lower highs.
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 4,000 round number would ease the breakdown read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Failure to stabilise above 3,950 psych extends the lower-low sequence
Gold has trended lower all week, pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 with each rally capped at progressively lower highs; the break below 4100 through the NY session accelerated the slide toward the 4037 swing low. The move tracks a one-year-high USD and broad risk-off liquidation flagged in the macro read, with RSI(14) sitting near 35 — soft but not yet washed out. Demand has yet to step in convincingly with price probing the lower end of the week's range.
Support: 4,037.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,097.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4097 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4037 swing low opens the 4000 psych level
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week below EMA(20) and EMA(50), accelerating through the $4,100 round number during the NY session as the USD pressed one-year highs and a broad risk-off/AI-valuation rout sparked liquidation across metals. Price now sits at 4046, probing the $4,037/$4,025 2026-low support cluster with RSI(14) near 36 — extended but not yet washed out. Each rally this week has been sold into lower, keeping the descending structure intact.
Support: 4,025.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,090.00
What it said to watch
Clean break of 4025 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
H1 close back above 4090 round number would ease the downside pressure
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 4,056.63
Consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Gold has trended lower all week from Monday's ~4324 open, pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) as the USD holds 13-month highs and Fed-hike pricing builds. The break below the 4100 pivot during the NY session pushed price to fresh 2026 lows near 4050, with the descending channel intact and RSI(14) hugging oversold. The 4097 swing high and 4144 area have capped each bounce attempt.
Support: 4,050.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,097.00, 4,144.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4097 would break the run of lower highs
Loss of 4050 opens the path toward 4025 lower-band support
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
Gold has trended one-way lower all week, sliding from ~4320 Monday to fresh lows near 4050 as the USD holds 13-month highs and Fed-hike pricing builds; this week's PMI beats reinforced the move. Price sits pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the 30s, and the 4100 pivot has now flipped to a ceiling. Each bounce into the descending lower-high line has been sold back toward the lows.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE YoY Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
Loss of 4050 swing low opens the 4025 2026-low zone
H1 close back above the 4097 prior high challenges the lower-high sequence
Persistent H1 downtrend since Monday's open with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50; the $4,100 pivot gave way through the NY session, extending losses to a ~4050 swing low as the USD held 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Bounce attempts have stalled — supply capped near the 4144 prior high and the 4198 rejection zone earlier in the week. RSI(14) near 38 reflects sustained selling without yet reaching oversold.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,044.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,144.00, 4,198.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 psych pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 4050 swing low opens the 4025-4044 2026-low band
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, near week lows · RSI 38 · price 4,063.18
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since Monday's open.
Gold has trended lower all week, sliding from the 4320s into the 4060s as a one-year-high USD and beat PMIs (Mfg 55.7, Svcs 51.3) reinforced hawkish-Fed pricing. Price broke the 4100 psych pivot during the NY session and is now grinding above the 4050 week low with RSI in oversold territory after a shallow bounce attempt. Each pullback rally has stalled below the prior lower high, keeping the structure intact below both EMAs.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4050 week low exposes the 2026 low zone near 4025
H1 close back above the 4100 psych pivot would challenge the lower-high sequence
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week, sliding from a 4220 rejection toward a 4052 base as the USD printed 13-month highs and hot US flash PMIs reinforced hawkish Fed pricing. The break below the 4100 pivot during the NY session held, and price is now grinding under it near 4078 with RSI(14) basing in the high-30s after dipping into oversold. EMA(20) and EMA(50) cap any bounce overhead.
Support: 4,052.12, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4052 week low opens the path toward the 4025 2026 low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, fourth weekly loss · RSI 42 · price 4,078.02
Series of lower highs and lower lows.
Gold has bled lower all week, breaking the $4,100 pivot and printing a swing low at 4050 as the USD held 13-month highs and hot US flash PMIs reinforced higher-for-longer pricing. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold after the 4050 print, but each NY-session bounce has stalled into lower highs near 4140. The $4,100 pivot now acts as overhead resistance.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,044.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4050 swing low opens the 4044 lower bollinger then 4025 2026 low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 41 · price 4,076.79
Lower highs, lower lows.
Gold has bled lower all week, sliding from the $4,220 rejection toward sub-$4,100 as a one-year-high USD and hot US flash PMIs reinforced higher-for-longer pricing. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with each NY session push lower finding only shallow bounces; the $4,100 pivot has flipped from support to a ceiling. RSI(14) at ~41 leaves room before oversold despite four straight weekly losses.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 4100 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 4050 swing low opens the path to the 4025 2026 low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE is the week's key catalyst — could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended near lows · RSI 42 · price 4,076.79
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
Gold has bled lower all week, sliding from Monday's open near 4308 to fresh ~2-week lows under 4100 as the USD pressed one-year highs and hot US flash PMIs reinforced higher-for-longer pricing. Price trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the 4100 pivot now broken and acting as overhead resistance; RSI(14) sits in the low-40s after probing the 4050 swing low. The bounce off 4050 stalled at 4097 and gave way again into the latest bar.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,044.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE cluster is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 4100 pivot would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 4050 swing low opens the path to 4044 lower boll then 4025 2026 low
Gold has bled steadily lower all week, breaking below the 4100 psych pivot into the prior NY session and tagging two-week lows at 4050 as the dollar printed fresh one-year highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, and each rally back toward 4100-4140 has been sold. A modest bounce off 4050 has lifted price to 4087 but RSI(14) is still sub-50, consistent with the dominant down leg.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.44
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close back above 4100 would neutralize the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4050 swing low opens the path to 4025 (2026 lows)
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 41 · price 4,087.19
Lower highs and lower lows, two-week low printed.
Gold extended its downtrend into a fresh two-week low at 4050.43, having broken the 4100 psych pivot as the USD pressed one-year highs on hawkish-Fed repricing and beat US PMIs. Price is pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 with each session's bounce capped beneath the descending lower highs near 4135. The latest recovery off 4050 has lifted RSI(14) off its lows but stalled back under the 4100 pivot, which now acts as resistance.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,135.00
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 4050 opens the path toward the 4025 2026 low
Reclaiming 4100 and the 4135 prior high needed to neutralise the downtrend
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, below broken 4100 pivot.
Gold has trended lower all week, sliding from the 4329 high into a fresh 4052 low as the USD pushed to a one-year high on hawkish-Fed repricing and strong US PMIs. The 4100 pivot broke during the NY session and is now capping; price is mounting a shallow bounce to 4078 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Price remains well below EMA20 and EMA50 with the descending lower-high structure intact.
Support: 4,052.00, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4052 confirms continuation toward the 4025 2026 low
Reclaim of the broken 4100 pivot needed to neutralize the bearish structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week, breaking the $4,100 pivot during the NY session and printing fresh lows near $4,050 as the USD trades at a one-year high on hawkish-Fed pricing. Price sits well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 30s–40s; the bounce off $4,050 into the latest close at $4,078 is a retest of the broken $4,100 from beneath. Strong US flash PMIs reinforced the higher-for-longer tone capping each recovery attempt.
What it said to watch
Loss of $4,050 week low opens continuation toward the $4,025 2026 low
Reclaim of the $4,100 broken pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week, sliding from above $4,250 Monday to fresh lows near $4,050 as the USD prints one-year highs on hawkish-Fed pricing and upbeat US flash PMIs. The $4,100 pivot broke decisively in the NY session and price has stayed pinned below it, holding under both H1 EMAs with RSI(14) hugging the mid-30s. Each bounce into $4,140 has been sold, keeping the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4050 opens continuation toward the 4025 2026-low area
H1 close back above the 4100 broken pivot would neutralize the bearish structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week, breaking the $4,100 pivot into fresh ~2-week lows near 4050 as the USD hit a one-year high on a hawkish Fed and strong US flash PMIs. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each bounce capped at successively lower highs; RSI(14) is pinned in the low 30s, reflecting the persistent supply on every rally into the NY sessions.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4050 opens continuation toward the 4025 2026-low area
Reclaim of the 4100 broken pivot needed to neutralize the downtrend read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst — a hot print could extend the move, a cooler one risks a squeeze back toward 4144
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 31 · price 4,062.96
Lower highs, lower lows.
Gold has stair-stepped lower all week, losing the 4100 pivot during the NY session and printing a fresh swing low at 4050 as a 1-year-high USD and hawkish-Fed repricing overpower the safe-haven bid. Price is pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hugging the 30 line, reflecting persistent supply on every bounce. The 4100 reclaim is the level that would flip the near-term tone.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 4100 keeps pressure on the 4025 2026 low
H1 close back above 4100 would challenge the lower-high structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has bled lower all week, losing the $4,100 psych pivot during the NY session as the USD pressed a fresh one-year high on the hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) pinned near 30, and each bounce into 4100 has been sold. The $4,025 2026-low zone is now the next reference into Thursday's PCE.
Support: 4,050.43, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 trade back above 4100 would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4050 confirms a push toward the 4025 2026 low
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE is the key catalyst and could shift this read sharply
Gold has bled steadily lower all week, breaking the $4,100 pivot and printing a fresh session low at 4052 into the latest bars as the USD sits at a one-year high on the hawkish-Fed read. Price is pinned well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the low-30s, deeply oversold but with no divergence yet. The $4,220 rejection from Monday and the 4144 swing now cap rallies; structure remains a clean staircase of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 4,052.12, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,144.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 4052 opens the path to the 4025 2026 low
An H1 close back above the 4100 pivot would relieve downside pressure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT (f/c 3.4%) is the key catalyst into the next sessions
Gold has bled lower all week, rejecting near 4220 early and rolling over through the 4190 shelf into a sharp NY-hours acceleration that broke the 4100 pivot. The latest leg printed a fresh session low at 4052 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory, consistent with the hawkish-Fed/strong-USD backdrop weighing on bullion. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50, both sloping down.
Support: 4,052.12, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 4100 keeps the 4025 2026-low zone in focus
Reclaim of 4100 pivot needed to ease the downside pressure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst — a hot print could extend this leg
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 35 · price 4,092.19
Lower highs and lower lows, below EMAs.
Gold has bled lower all week, sliding from the 4220 rejection cap into a fresh sub-4100 low at 4068.5 as the USD held a 13-month high and US flash PMIs beat. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, and the 4100 pivot has flipped from support to resistance after the break. Each bounce into the 4140 prior swing has been sold back.
Support: 4,068.50, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.00, 4,220.00
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 4068 opens the path toward the 4025 2026 low
Reclaim of the 4100 pivot would ease the downside pressure toward 4140
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 37 · price 4,092.19
Lower highs and lower lows.
Gold has bled lower all week, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 since the rejection near 4220 and printing a clean sequence of lower highs into the NY session. The break below the 4100 pivot extends the hawkish-Fed/strong-USD theme, with DXY at a one-year high and yesterday's US PMI beats reinforcing higher-for-longer. RSI(14) sits in oversold territory but price keeps grinding to fresh lows toward the 4068 swing.
Support: 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.00, 4,220.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 would neutralise the breakdown and reopen the 4140 swing
Sustained trade below 4068 exposes the 4025 2026-low zone
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 38 · price 4,091.80
Lower highs and lower lows, broke 4100 pivot.
Gold extended its weekly decline through the H1 window, sliding from 4380 toward the 4080 area as the USD pressed fresh 13-month highs after the PMI beats reinforced the hawkish-Fed read. Price has traded below EMA20 and EMA50 all week, with the 4100 pivot lost into the latest sessions and bounces toward 4140 repeatedly capped. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, tracking the lower-low structure without a clear divergence yet.
Support: 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 4080 opens the path toward the 4025 2026-low zone
An H1 close back above 4100 would neutralise the breakdown read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Gold has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 4220 rejection through the 4100 pivot, which now caps as resistance after the break. The leg has been a USD story — the dollar at a 13-month high on hawkish-Fed pricing strips the safe-haven bid, with price now grinding into the 4080 session low. RSI(14) near 34 is stretched but has not yet diverged against the latest lows.
Support: 4,080.90, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,140.00, 4,220.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4080.9 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 4025 area
A reclaim of 4100 is needed to flip near-term tone back toward 4140
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 4380 area to a sub-4100 print as the dollar pressed a fresh one-year high and firm US flash PMIs (Mfg 55.7, Svcs 51.3) reinforced the higher-for-longer read. Price sliced the 4100 pivot during the NY session and is pinning the 4080 session low, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, stretched but not yet diverging on this fresh lower low.
Support: 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4100 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 4080 session low opens the path toward the 4025 2026 low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key swing factor for this read
Gold has trended lower all week, sliding from 4382 to sub-4100 as the dollar pressed a one-year high on the hawkish-Fed repricing and firmer US PMIs. The break below the 4100 pivot extended the sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with price holding under EMA20 and EMA50 throughout. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, stretched but not yet diverging as the recent session low at 4080.90 caps the downside for now.
Support: 4,080.90, 4,025.00
Resistance: 4,135.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 4080.90 confirms a fresh lower-low, opening the path toward 4025
Reclaim of 4135 would challenge the lower-high structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 GMT is the key swing factor for this read