AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 3 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

20:47 UTC

Up early, now drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69349

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ran up to a 0.69491 session high on the soft US NFP-driven USD selloff, then handed most of it back and is now grinding sideways near 0.6935 into thin Independence Day liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed; price capped at 0.6938 with the 0.69327 session low holding so far.

Support: 0.69327, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6938, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69327 opens the day low toward 0.69103
  • Reclaim of 0.6938 needed to retest the 0.69491 spike high
  • US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving the pair

20:47 UTC

Range after rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69349

Consolidation below spike high, testing lows.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69491 on the soft-USD/NFP theme then spent the NY holiday session ranging around 0.6937 in thin liquidity. Price is now slipping to the session low near 0.69327 with the 0.6940 round number capping, RSI mid-40s.

Support: 0.69327, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 reopens the 0.69491 spike high
  • Loss of 0.69327 exposes 0.69103 swing low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg

20:32 UTC

Range after rally, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69343

Consolidation below 0.6949 spike high.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY session to a 0.6949 spike high on broad USD selling after Thursday's weak US payrolls, then rolled over into a slow drift, now 0.6934 in thin US-holiday liquidity. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 42; the 0.6940-0.6950 weekly resistance zone capped the move and buyers have not reclaimed it.

Support: 0.69327, 0.69285, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69443, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69327 session low opens the 0.69285 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69443 prior high re-tests the 0.69491 spike high
  • ISM Services and Fed minutes next week are the bigger USD catalysts

20:32 UTC

Corrective pullback after London peak · RSI 42 · price 0.69343

Drift lower off session high into low.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69491 during London on post-NFP USD softness, then rejected and drifted back to 0.6934 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of that leg. Action is grinding near session lows in thin US holiday liquidity, price sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI cooled to the low 40s.

Support: 0.69327, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69491, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69327 session low exposes the 0.69103 asia low
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 psych would repair the pullback toward 0.6942 prior swing
  • Thin US holiday liquidity keeps moves erratic

20:17 UTC

Up early, now flat and drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69347

Consolidation near session lows after failed push to 0.6949.

AUDUSD extended for a second day on soft US NFP-driven USD selling, spiking to a session high of 0.6949 before fading. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.6934-0.6938 range through the late NY session, holding just under EMA20 with volume drying up into the thin holiday close.

Support: 0.69339, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6938, 0.6940, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69339 opens a lower low toward 0.6930
  • Reclaim of 0.69400 psych level needed to re-engage the session high
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves; ISM Services Mon is next USD catalyst

20:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.69347

Range after London push, drifting to lower edge.

AUDUSD pushed to 0.6949 through London on broad USD selling after the soft US payrolls miss, then handed back the extension and has coiled into a tight 0.6934-0.6940 range through the thin, US-holiday NY session. Price is pinned at the lower edge with RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flat.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69405, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6934 opens the 0.6920 area and voids the range read
  • Reclaim of 0.69491 spike high needed to extend the London rally
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD leg driving this pair

20:02 UTC

Uptrend stalled, flat consolidation · RSI 45 · price 0.6936

Range top after London rally.

AUDUSD rallied through London to a spike high at 0.6949 on USD softness after Thursday's weak NFP, then drifted into a tight 0.6934-0.6940 consolidation through thin US Independence Day liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 and ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips, reflecting the dead holiday tape.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6912

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6940 reopens the 0.6949 spike high
  • Loss of 0.6934 range low exposes the 0.6912 session low
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst for the USD leg

20:02 UTC

Up early, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.6936

Consolidation after intraday rally.

AUDUSD rallied through the London session from 0.6910 to a session high at 0.6949 on the softer USD, then handed back the top and has coiled into a tight 0.6934-0.6940 band. Thin Independence Day liquidity has kept the pair pinned near the consol floor with RSI(14) neutral around 47.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6919, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 reopens the 0.6950 weekly resistance
  • Loss of the 0.6934 consol floor exposes the 0.6919 swing low
  • ISM Services (Mon) could shift the USD leg driving this pair

19:47 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69363

Tight consolidation post-rally.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.6949 on the soft US payrolls-driven USD sell-off, then faded and has coiled into a razor-tight range around 0.6937 through thin Independence Day liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range near 46, ATR compressed to ~2 pips — no directional structure in play right now.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69430 swing high reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69340 swing low exposes 0.69300 psych level
  • ISM Services (Mon) and thin holiday liquidity raise whip risk

19:47 UTC

Uptrend faded into tight range · RSI 46 · price 0.69363

Consolidation below session high.

London session drove a rally off 0.6910 to 0.6949 on post-NFP USD softness, then faded to a tight range near 0.6937. Price is now coiled between 0.69338 and 0.69434 with RSI neutral around 46; no setup in play.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69338 exposes the 0.69103 session low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair

19:32 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69375

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 session high on the soft US NFP-driven USD selloff, then faded and has gone flat around 0.6937 into thin US Independence Day liquidity. Micro-structure is a tight consolidation between 0.69333 and 0.69434, no directional impulse in the last few hours.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 reopens the upside toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69333 range floor confirms a lower-low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair

19:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69375

Post-rally consolidation near highs.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6910 to a session high of 0.6949 during the European hours on the softer USD post-NFP theme, but that high was rejected and price has coiled tightly around 0.6937 since. Thin Independence Day liquidity has compressed ranges — ATR near 9 pips — with no directional move in play.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 reopens the session high push
  • Loss of 0.69338 confirms a lower low out of the consolidation
  • Thin holiday liquidity raising whip risk on any headline

19:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.6938

Tight consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.6949 earlier in the window on soft-US-NFP-driven USD weakness, then faded and has coiled into a very tight 0.6934-0.6940 consolidation. Volatility has collapsed in thin holiday liquidity with US markets closed; price is pinned near EMA20 with no directional impulse.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6949 session high reopens the path toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69338 range low exposes the 0.6912 session low
  • ISM Services Mon and thin holiday liquidity can whip this narrow range

19:17 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.6938

Tight consolidation under session high.

AUD/USD spiked to a session high near 0.6949 during the second-day USD-led bounce, then handed it back and has flatlined around 0.6938 in thin Independence Day liquidity. Price is coiling in a 0.6934-0.6940 band with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 reopens the 0.6950 spike-high
  • Loss of 0.6934 range low exposes 0.6910 intraday low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could break the range

19:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 0.69387

Tight consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied through London/NY to a session high at 0.69491 on the soft US payrolls-driven USD selloff, then flattened into a very tight consolidation around 0.6938 as thin holiday liquidity (US closed) drained the range. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed to a couple of pips.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69185

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69445

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 reopens the path toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69338 swing low exposes 0.69185
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could break the thin-liquidity range

19:03 UTC

Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69387

Tight consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.6949 on soft US NFP dragging the dollar, then spent the back half of the window grinding sideways around 0.6938 in ultra-thin US holiday liquidity. Micro-range is 0.6934-0.6945 with RSI flat near 53 and ATR compressed to ~2 pips.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6947

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 session high reopens the 0.6950 spike area
  • Loss of 0.6934 range low exposes the session low near 0.6910
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could break this consolidation

18:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69377

Tight consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied through London to a 0.69491 session high on the soft-USD leg after Thursday's weak NFP, then flattened into a razor-tight coil around 0.6938 as US markets sit shut for Independence Day. Volatility has collapsed — ATR barely 2 pips — leaving price pinned between 0.69340 and 0.69434 with no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69340 breaks the consolidation lower
  • Move above 0.69491 resumes the intraday advance
  • Thin holiday liquidity raises gap risk into next session
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD driver for this pair

18:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69377

Consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 session high on the soft US NFP-driven USD slide, then handed it back to grind flat around 0.6937 into thin US holiday liquidity. Price is pinned in a tight micro-range with RSI near 50 — no momentum in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69278

Resistance: 0.6944, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.6944 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.6934 exposes the 0.69278 breakout base
  • Thin US holiday liquidity raises gap risk

18:32 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69377

Tight consolidation below session high.

London-session breakout ran AUDUSD from 0.69103 to a session high 0.69491 on post-NFP USD softness, then faded. Late NY hours on a thinly-traded US holiday have price coiling in a narrow 0.6934-0.6938 band with volume drying up and RSI(14) neutral around 53.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491, 0.6945

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69434 reopens the 0.6950 cap
  • Loss of 0.6934 swing low confirms a lower-low into range low 0.69103
  • ISM Services Mon could set the USD leg driving this pair

18:31 UTC

Uptrend stalled, flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69377

Tight consolidation after rally.

AUDUSD coiled dead flat near 0.6938 after the London rally from 0.6910 stalled below 0.69491, RSI(14) neutral around 51. Thin Independence Day holiday liquidity has price pinned in a 0.6934-0.6940 band with almost no range in the last few hours.

Support: 0.69339, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.69434 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69339 swing low signals a deeper pullback
  • US markets shut — liquidity returns Monday with ISM Services

18:17 UTC

Uptrend faded to flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69379

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69491 on post-NFP USD softness, then faded and has gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.69340–0.69434 band. Price is pinned near 0.6938 in thin US-holiday liquidity, RSI(14) neutral around 52 — no setup in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69340 range low exposes 0.69116
  • Thin holiday liquidity raises gap risk into next session

18:17 UTC

Uptrend faded to flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69379

Tight consolidation near session highs.

AUDUSD is coiling in a 0.6935-0.6940 band after Thursday's soft-NFP rally stalled at the 0.69491 session high, with thin US holiday liquidity (July 4 close) draining volume and range. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to a few pips — no momentum in play at the moment.

Support: 0.69335, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6950 would extend the NFP rally toward the band top
  • Close below 0.69335 opens the path back to the 0.69103 swing low
  • Thin holiday liquidity raises gap risk into the next session

18:02 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69377

Consolidation after push to 0.6949.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.6949 during London hours on the post-NFP USD softness, then drifted back and has coiled tight around 0.6937 into thin US-holiday liquidity. Now ranging 0.6934–0.6945 with RSI near neutral; no directional development in the last few hours.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69445 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69340 range floor exposes 0.69103 session low
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate any break of the range

18:02 UTC

Up-move faded, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69377

Consolidation near session-low of the up-leg.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6910 to a session high 0.69491 on the post-NFP USD softness, then faded and has coiled in a tight 0.6934-0.6940 range for the last several hours. Volume is thin into Friday's US holiday close and RSI(14) is flat around 50 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69275

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69420 reopens the 0.6945/0.6950 cap
  • Loss of 0.69340 exposes the 0.69275 swing low
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate any break

17:47 UTC

Rally faded, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 0.69373

Consolidation below session high.

London-session rally to a 0.69491 session high faded through NY, and the pair has since drifted into a tight 0.69339-0.69434 range, holding the 38.2% retrace of that move. Thin holiday liquidity (US closed for Independence Day) keeps ranges compressed with RSI(14) neutral near 47.

Support: 0.69339, 0.6928

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 lower high reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69339 range low exposes the 0.69280 swing low
  • Move is USD-led; fresh USD catalysts could shift this quickly

17:46 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69373

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6910 to a 0.6949 session high on post-NFP USD weakness, then rounded over and drifted into a tight 0.6934-0.6940 consolidation. Price is chopping around EMA20 with RSI near 50 — no directional development into late NY.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69449, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69449 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Break of 0.69338 range low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6912
  • AUD is USD-led; ISM Services and Fed minutes next week set the next leg

17:32 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69374

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6910 to a session high at 0.69491 during the USD-soft, post-NFP leg, then drifted back and is now consolidating 0.6934-0.6940 in thin July 4 holiday liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned around EMA20 and below EMA50.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69275

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.6934 swing low confirms a lower low
  • US closed for holiday — moves prone to thin-liquidity noise

17:31 UTC

Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.69374

Range near lows after NY rally rejection.

London/NY drove a rally from 0.69103 to a session high of 0.69491 before it stalled, part of the broader USD-led bounce after Thursday's soft NFP. Since then price has coiled into a tight 0.69338-0.69400 consolidation through late NY, RSI neutral in thin holiday liquidity with US markets closed.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 opens the path toward the 0.69103 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.69400 puts the 0.69491 session high back in play
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction

17:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69377

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69491 on the USD-led post-NFP bounce, then drifted back and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6934-0.6944 band in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ranges have compressed hard; no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69278

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69340 range floor exposes 0.69278 breakout base
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate any move on a stray USD headline

17:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69377

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 session high on the USD-led post-NFP bounce, then drifted back to consolidate 0.69340-0.69430 through thin US holiday liquidity. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 51 — no directional momentum in the last several hours.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69430 reopens a retest of the 0.69491 session high
  • Break below 0.69340 exposes the 0.69300 round number
  • ISM Services (Mon) and the USD leg will set direction — AUD is a passenger here

17:03 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69372

Consolidation below session high.

AUD rallied through the London-NY window toward 0.69491 on broad USD weakness after the soft NFP print, then stalled. Price is now consolidating tightly between 0.69338 and 0.69400 in thin holiday liquidity with US markets closed; RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed.

Support: 0.69338, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 reopens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Close below 0.69338 swing low exposes 0.6930
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could drive the USD leg AUD is tracking

17:03 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69372

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.69103 to a 0.69491 session high during London hours on post-NFP USD softness, then faded and has coiled tightly around 0.6937 through the NY session. Thin holiday liquidity (US closed) — last bars near flat with volume drying up, price pinned to EMA20.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6945 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69338 confirms a lower low and exits the coil
  • Thin Independence Day liquidity can exaggerate moves

16:47 UTC

Rally faded, now drifting sideways · RSI 45 · price 0.69351

Consolidation near session lows after rejection.

AUDUSD rallied to a 0.69491 session high through the London morning on post-NFP USD weakness, then faded and has since ground into a tight 0.69338-0.69420 range in thin July 4th US-holiday liquidity. Price sits near range lows around 0.69351 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR barely 2-3 pips — no momentum in play.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69338 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.69103 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69420 puts the 0.69491 session high back in range
  • US ISM Services (Mon) and the USD leg drive next direction — AUD is a passenger

16:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 0.69351

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD ran from 0.6910 through London to a 0.6949 session high on the USD-led post-NFP bounce, then drifted back to 0.6935 into thin July 4th holiday trade. Now consolidating below the high, RSI(14) mid-range near 44, price slipping under its short EMAs as volume dries up.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69445

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 session high resumes the upside
  • Break below 0.6934 intraday low opens 0.69103 swing low
  • Holiday-thin liquidity amplifies any USD-driven move

16:32 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69357

Range after impulsive leg up.

London session drove an impulsive leg from the 0.69103 session low to a 0.69491 session high on the USD-led post-NFP bounce, then buyers stalled. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.69338–0.69434 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46, holding just below EMA20.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 range floor opens a move back toward the 0.69103 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69491 session high would resume the up leg
  • Thin July 4th holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves; ISM Services Mon is the next USD catalyst

16:32 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting sideways · RSI 47 · price 0.69357

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD broke higher through the London session on post-NFP USD weakness, peaking at 0.69491 before fading. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.6934-0.6945 range, drifting just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6930, 0.6919

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945/0.6950 reopens the path toward the 0.6980 band top
  • Failure to hold 0.69340 exposes 0.69300
  • US ISM Services Mon is the USD catalyst that would drive the next leg

16:17 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.69353

Tight range under session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6910 to a session high of 0.6949 on the soft-USD/NFP bounce, then handed most of it back and has since coiled into a tight 0.6934-0.6949 range, now sitting near 0.6935 below both EMAs. RSI(14) neutral around 44 with momentum flat.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69476

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 session high reopens the path toward the 0.6980 band top
  • Break below 0.6934 range low exposes the 0.6910 swing low

16:17 UTC

Up then flattening, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69353

Rally stalled, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6910 to a session high at 0.6949 on broad USD weakness post-NFP, then rolled into a slow consolidation now drifting toward 0.6934. Price is back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44, momentum flattening in thin July 4th holiday liquidity.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6932, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6934 support exposes the 0.6932 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 pivot puts the 0.6949 session high back in play
  • Move driven by USD — next US catalysts could shift the read

16:02 UTC

Rally faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6936

Consolidation below highs.

AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69491 session high during the London-NY session on post-NFP USD weakness, then faded to consolidate in the low 0.6930s. Price now chops between the recent low at 0.6934 and the swing high at 0.6947, with RSI(14) flat near 46 and ATR compressed under 4 pips.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6947, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6947 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.6934 exposes a deeper leg toward the 0.6910 session low
  • US ISM Services Mon could drive the USD leg AUD is tracking

16:02 UTC

Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 0.6936

Rally to 0.6949 rolled into a tight range.

AUDUSD ran up to a 0.6949 session high on the post-NFP USD softness, then rolled over into a tight 0.6934-0.6940 range with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Follow-through is muted in thin, holiday-shortened liquidity with US markets closed for July 4.

Support: 0.6934, 0.6911, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above the 0.695 psych cap needed to retest 0.6980 band top
  • Break below 0.6934 range low opens the 0.6911 swing low
  • US ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD-side catalyst driving this pair

15:47 UTC

Corrective pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69362

Ranging below 0.6945 after rejection.

London open pushed AUD to a 0.69491 session high on lingering post-NFP USD softness, but the move stalled and price has drifted back into a 0.6934-0.6940 range through NY hours in thin holiday liquidity. Sitting just below EMA20/50 near the 61.8% retrace of the 0.6911-0.6949 leg, RSI(14) muted around 43 — no fresh impulse in play.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69111

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6945 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.6934 swing low exposes 0.69111 asia low
  • AUD is USD-led; next US catalysts (ISM Services Mon) drive the leg

15:46 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69362

Consolidation under session high.

AUD rallied from 0.6910 to 0.69491 on post-NFP USD softness, then stalled and has chopped sideways in a 0.6934-0.6949 band through thin US-holiday liquidity. Price is grinding along the range low near 0.6934 with RSI mid-40s, momentum flat.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6945, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69450 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69338 range low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6910
  • US ISM Services Mon could set the next USD-led leg

15:32 UTC

Rally faded, drifting sideways · RSI 46 · price 0.69348

Consolidation under session high after impulse up.

AUDUSD impulsed off 0.69103 through the London session on post-NFP USD softness, topping at 0.69491 before rolling into a tight NY drift. Price now hugs 0.6935 just under EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 46; the 0.69491 session high and 0.6950 psych cap remain unbroken.

Support: 0.69338, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 reopens the 0.6950 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69338 session low confirms a lower-low into the range
  • Thin July-4 holiday liquidity keeps ranges compressed

15:32 UTC

Up-leg stalling, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69348

Consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.69103 to a 0.69491 session high on the post-NFP USD softness, then faded and has been chopping in a 0.69338-0.69445 range through the NY session. Price sits near the range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s; the corrective USD-led bounce has lost momentum.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 range floor opens the path back toward 0.69103
  • Reclaim of 0.69445 range top would re-expose the 0.69491 session high
  • AUD is USD-led — next US catalysts drive the leg, no domestic prints near-term

15:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69356

Consolidation below session high.

AUD rode the post-NFP USD bounce to 0.69491 during NY hours, then rolled into a tight range around 0.6935 with price now sitting below EMA20/EMA50 and RSI near 43. No setup in play — consolidation between 0.69338 and 0.69445 into thin holiday liquidity.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69445/0.69491 reopens the 0.6980 band top
  • Loss of 0.69338 session low exposes 0.69103
  • US-side catalysts drive USD leg — AUD is a passenger

15:17 UTC

Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69356

Consolidation below session high after rally stalled.

London drove a rally from 0.6910 to a session high 0.6949 on the softer USD post-NFP, but the move stalled and NY has drifted back to consolidate 0.6934-0.6940. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no fresh momentum in either direction.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6934 session low opens the path back toward 0.6912
  • Reclaim of 0.6945/0.6949 needed to resume the upside leg
  • US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC drives the USD leg — could reset this read

15:02 UTC

Corrective bounce faded, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69351

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.6910 to a session high at 0.69491 on broad USD weakness after Thursday's soft NFP, then rolled over into a tight consolidation between 0.6934 and 0.6947. Price now sits on the 0.6934 support cluster with RSI in the mid-40s and slipping under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69338, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 opens the 0.6930 range floor
  • Reclaim of 0.69491 needed to resume the bounce
  • US ISM Services Mon is the next USD-led catalyst

15:02 UTC

Rally stalling, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69351

Consolidation below session high after London rally.

London drove AUD from 0.69103 to a 0.69491 session high on the softer USD after Thursday's payrolls miss. NY hours have been corrective, consolidating in a 0.69338–0.69434 band with price now drifting toward the range low; RSI(14) around 43.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 opens the path back toward 0.69103
  • Reclaim of 0.69434 range top needed to re-challenge the 0.69491 session high
  • Thin July-4 holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction

14:47 UTC

Corrective bounce stalling, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69368

Consolidation below session high after pullback.

AUD extended a second USD-led leg to a 0.69491 session high before rolling over; price now consolidates 0.69338–0.69434 in thin, holiday-quiet liquidity with US desks shut for Independence Day. Price holds around the 38.2% retrace of the 0.69103–0.69491 move, RSI(14) mid-range near 45.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69271, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69434 needed to re-challenge the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.69338 session low opens 0.69271 then the 0.69103 day low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led move

14:47 UTC

Corrective bounce fading, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69368

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69491 session high and is consolidating in a tight 0.6934-0.6945 band, with price slipping under both EMAs in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) mid-40s and flat — the USD-led bounce off Thursday's soft NFP has stalled without an AUD bid to extend it.

Support: 0.6934, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69445, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69445 reopens the 0.69491 session high
  • Loss of 0.6934 range low exposes the 0.69103 swing low
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that can shift this read

14:32 UTC

Consolidation, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69384

Range after rally, lower highs.

AUDUSD rallied off the 0.69103 day low to a 0.69491 session high, then rounded over into a tight 0.69338–0.69440 range through NY hours on thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is pinned around EMA20 with the descending highs capping — no fresh direction while the USD stays soft after Thursday's payroll miss.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6944

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69338 range low opens the path back toward 0.69103 day low
  • Reclaim of 0.69440 micro high needed to retest the 0.69491 session high
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could break this range

14:32 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 0.69384

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

AUDUSD peaked at 0.69491 during Asian hours on the weak-USD tailwind, then drifted back to consolidate near 0.6938 in thin US-holiday liquidity. Lower highs since the peak and a mid-range RSI show the corrective bounce stalling below the 0.6950 pivot.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69338 opens the 0.69103 range low
  • Reclaim of 0.69491 needed to re-challenge the 0.6950 pivot
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

14:17 UTC

Consolidating below session high, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69371

Corrective pullback after intraday rally, tight range.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.69491 on the USD-led bid after Thursday's soft US payrolls, then rounded over into a slow drift back to 0.6937 in thin US-holiday liquidity. Price now sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; buyers held the 0.69338 swing low into the close.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69338 confirms a lower low and reopens the session low at 0.69103
  • Reclaim of 0.69434 needed to challenge the 0.69491 session high
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves on light order flow

14:17 UTC

Rally stalled, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 0.69371

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.6910 to a session high at 0.6949 on the soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's NFP miss, but the move stalled and price is now grinding sideways around 0.6937 in thin holiday liquidity. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price pinned to the EMA20/50 cluster; range floor at 0.6934 holding for now.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 reopens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.6934 range floor exposes the 0.6910 swing low
  • Move is USD-led; fresh US data next week dominates direction

14:02 UTC

Corrective pullback after rally faded · RSI 44 · price 0.69357

Lower highs since 0.69491 peak.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY session to 0.69491, stalling just under the 0.6950 psych level before rolling over; price now drifts back to 0.69357 with RSI cooling below 50 and sitting under both EMAs. Move is USD-led on Thursday's soft NFP, and liquidity is thin with US markets shut for the holiday.

Support: 0.69338, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • close below 0.69338 opens the 0.69103 session low
  • reclaim of 0.695 psych needed to resume the upside
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read

14:02 UTC

Corrective drift lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69357

Lower highs since 0.6949 peak, grinding down.

AUDUSD topped at the 0.6949 session high and has drifted back to 0.6936 in a slow chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s. The bounce is USD-led after Thursday's soft NFP; thin holiday liquidity around US Independence Day is keeping ranges tight (~4.5 pip ATR).

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69417, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69333 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6911
  • Reclaim of 0.69417 lower high reopens the 0.6949 session high
  • US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read

13:47 UTC

Uptrend stalled, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69356

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY window from 0.69103 to a session high at 0.69491 as the USD stayed soft after Thursday's weak NFP print, then rolled into a tight consolidation. Price is now grinding the lower end of the 0.69343-0.69491 range, back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69343, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69476, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69343 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
  • Clearance of 0.69491 puts the 0.6950 pivot in play
  • US holiday thin liquidity keeps ranges compressed; ISM Services Mon is next major catalyst

13:47 UTC

Corrective pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 0.69356

Consolidating below 0.6949 session high.

London rally into 0.69491 was rejected and price has drifted back to 0.6935, holding a tight consolidation into the session-low cluster around 0.69343. Move is USD-led after Thursday's soft NFP; liquidity is thin ahead of the US holiday, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s.

Support: 0.69343, 0.69278, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69343 opens the swing low at 0.69278
  • Reclaim of 0.69434 puts the 0.69491 session high back in play
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves either side of the range

13:32 UTC

Corrective bounce stalling, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69357

Rally topped at 0.6949, lower highs into pullback.

Corrective rally from the asian low at 0.6910 topped at the session high 0.6949 during London, stalling just under the 0.6950 pivot flagged in the macro read. Price now drifting back toward the session low near 0.6935 in thin US-holiday liquidity, RSI cooling below 50 with lower highs since the peak.

Support: 0.69349, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69444

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 session high opens the 0.6980 area
  • Break below 0.6935 session low exposes the 0.6910 asian low
  • US holiday thin liquidity — choppy action into the weekend

13:32 UTC

Corrective bounce fading, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69357

Post-rally grind down off session high.

AUDUSD rode the soft-USD, post-NFP tailwind up to a session high at 0.69491 before stalling and grinding back toward 0.69350 through the thin holiday session. Price now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 43; the 0.69434 swing high is capping while buyers keep defending 0.69349.

Support: 0.69349, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 reopens the 0.6950 pivot and session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69349 opens 0.69300 swing low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led move

13:17 UTC

Corrective pullback after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 0.69362

Lower highs off 0.6949, consolidating.

AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.6949 during NY hours then faded, now drifting at 0.6936 in thin US holiday liquidity. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; ATR is compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting the subdued Independence Day session.

Support: 0.69349, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6940 reopens the 0.6949 session high
  • Loss of 0.6935 near low exposes the 0.6912 swing low
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate any move

13:16 UTC

Corrective bounce fading, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69362

Range after rally, lower highs off session high.

AUDUSD is churning near 0.6936 after Thursday's soft US NFP lifted it to a session high of 0.6949; price has since drifted lower into thin US-holiday liquidity, printing lower highs. RSI(14) is mid-40s and price is pinned to the range floor around 0.6933.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6947

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6933 opens session low retest at 0.6911
  • Reclaim of 0.6949 session high needed to resume the corrective bounce
  • US markets closed for Independence Day — thin liquidity, subdued action into weekend

13:03 UTC

Corrective pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.6937

Lower highs since 0.6949, consolidating.

AUDUSD grinding lower after the London rally topped at the 0.6949 session high, now consolidating near 0.6937 in a thin US-holiday session with markets closed. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; a chain of lower highs has capped the tape since the peak.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6911

Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6949

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6936 opens the path toward the 0.6911 session low
  • M15 close back above 0.6940 challenges the lower-high sequence
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves into the weekend

13:02 UTC

Corrective pullback within intraday range · RSI 43 · price 0.6937

Lower highs off session high, holding above 0.6936.

AUDUSD topped at 0.6949 during NY hours and has drifted lower in a corrective grind, the USD-led bounce off the soft NFP print stalling short of the 0.6950 pivot. Price now coils 0.6936-0.6940 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range near 43.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6921, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6936 opens 0.6921 then the 0.6910 range low
  • Reclaim of 0.6949 needed to re-challenge the 0.6950 pivot
  • ISM Services Mon could shift the USD-led read

12:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.69374

Range near session high after rally.

AUDUSD rallied off 0.69103 to a session high at 0.69491 on the softer-USD tailwind after Thursday's weak US payrolls, then stalled into a tight range around 0.6937-0.6944. Price now drifting just below both EMAs with RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s; no fresh directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491/0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 band
  • Failure to hold 0.6936 exposes the 0.69103 swing low
  • Friday US holiday leaves thin tape; ISM Services Mon could re-arm USD direction

12:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.69374

Range after NY push to 0.6949.

NY session drove AUDUSD from the 0.6911 London low up to a 0.69491 session high before stalling, the second-day corrective bounce being USD-led after Thursday's soft NFP print. Price now consolidates tight between 0.6937 and 0.6944 in a thin holiday tape, RSI neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.

Support: 0.69363, 0.6932, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens a challenge of the 0.6980 area
  • Close below 0.69363 swing low exposes 0.6932
  • US ISM Services Monday 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led move

12:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 50 · price 0.69379

Consolidation below 0.6949 after intraday rally.

AUDUSD climbed from the 0.6910 session low to a high of 0.69491 on the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls, then stalled into thin Friday holiday tape. Price is now grinding sideways in a 0.6936–0.6945 band just under the 0.6950 pivot, RSI(14) flat near 50.

Support: 0.69363, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 / 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69363 exposes a deeper fade toward the 0.6910 session low
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could re-arm the USD and shift this read

12:31 UTC

Corrective bounce, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69379

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from the Asian low near 0.69103 into London/NY on the soft-USD payrolls tailwind, but stalled below the 0.69491 session high and has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.6938. RSI(14) neutral near 46 and thin Friday US-holiday tape keep ranges compressed.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6933, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Clearance above 0.69491 session high needed to challenge 0.6950 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.69360 swing low opens 0.69330 then 0.69200
  • ISM Services Mon could re-arm USD and cap this corrective bounce

12:17 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69383

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways around 0.6938 in a thin US-holiday tape, easing off the 0.69491 session high after a climb from the 0.6910 lows on a soft-USD tailwind post-NFP. ATR has collapsed to a few pips and RSI sits mid-range — no directional pressure in play.

Support: 0.69362, 0.69275, 0.6915

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the path to the 0.6950 psych pivot
  • Break below 0.69362 recent low shifts focus back toward 0.69275 swing low
  • Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate any breakout of the tight range

12:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating below highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69383

Pullback after rally into 0.6950, ranging 0.6936-0.6949.

AUD extended a USD-led bounce toward the 0.6950 pivot after Thursday's soft US NFP print, tagging a session high at 0.69491 before drifting back. Price now consolidates 0.6936-0.6949 with RSI(14) mid-range and momentum cooling off the highs.

Support: 0.69362, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6936 session low exposes 0.6910 prior low
  • Move is USD-led; US data flows dominate near-term direction

12:02 UTC

Corrective uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69388

Consolidating below session high.

London lifted AUDUSD off the 0.69103 low toward 0.69491 on the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls, but the move has since stalled into a tight 0.69363-0.69450 band with RSI(14) back to neutral. The 0.6950 pivot flagged in context remains untested; price is drifting mid-range in thin holiday liquidity.

Support: 0.69363, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 opens the 0.6950 pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.69363 exposes the 0.69103 session low
  • US cash markets closed — thin conditions can distort intraday moves

12:02 UTC

Up early, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69388

Consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher off the session low at 0.69103 on a weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft NFP, tagging 0.69491 before stalling under the 0.6950 psych pivot. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.6936–0.6949 band with RSI neutral and ATR compressed in thin holiday trade.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Slip below the 0.6936 swing low reopens 0.69103 session low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver into next session

11:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.69392

Consolidation below session high.

AUD ground higher through the NY session on a soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's NFP miss, peaking at 0.69491 before rejecting and drifting back to 0.6940. Now consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — corrective bounce, not fresh momentum.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491/0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69360 invites a fade toward the 0.69103 session low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next major USD-driven catalyst

11:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.69392

Range-bound below session high.

AUDUSD stalled after a USD-led grind higher on the soft NFP print, topping at 0.69491 during NY hours before drifting sideways into 0.6939. Price now chops in a tight 0.6936-0.6949 band, RSI neutral near 48 in thin holiday trade.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Slip below 0.6936 swing low exposes the 0.6930 range floor
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read

11:32 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69409

Consolidating below 0.6950 pivot.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session on a weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls, stalling just under the 0.6950 pivot at a 0.69491 session high. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.6936–0.6949 band with RSI(14) neutral near 53; no clear thrust either way.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6920, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6936 swing low exposes 0.6920 and the 0.6910 range low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD-led catalyst for this pair

11:32 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69409

Consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD is grinding sideways in a 0.6936–0.6949 band just under the session high after a USD-led leg up toward the 0.6950 pivot, sparked by Thursday's soft US payrolls. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with momentum flat; the bounce stalled at 0.69491 and price is holding above 0.6936.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6928, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • A close above the 0.6950 pivot opens the 0.6980 area
  • Slip back below 0.6936 swing low invites a fade toward 0.6928
  • Bounce is USD-led; ISM Services Mon could shift this read

11:17 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 0.69418

Consolidating below session high after NY rally.

AUDUSD rallied from 0.69103 to a session high at 0.69491 on the broad USD sell-off after Thursday's soft US payrolls, then stalled and is now drifting sideways near 0.694 with RSI(14) neutral. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 0.69491 high capped the advance.

Support: 0.69363, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491/0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Slip below 0.69363 swing low reopens the 0.69103 session low
  • Thin holiday liquidity (US July 4 closure) can distort intraday moves

11:16 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69418

Grinding higher, capped below 0.6950.

AUDUSD drifted higher through London on the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls, tagging a session high of 0.69491 before easing back to 0.6942. Price is coiling just under the 0.6950 pivot with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~15 pips — no expansion in play.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6928, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Clearance of 0.69491 opens the 0.6950 pivot and 0.6980 band
  • Loss of 0.69360 swing low invites a fade back toward 0.69280
  • ISM Services Mon could shift the USD-led read

11:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 46 · price 0.69373

Consolidating below 0.6950 after leg up.

AUDUSD rode the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls, tagging a session high at 0.69491 before rolling over. Price is now drifting back toward the 0.69333 swing low, with the 0.6950 pivot capping and RSI(14) cooling near neutral; US holiday flows keep ranges thin.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6919, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Clearance of 0.69491/0.6950 needed to challenge the 0.6980 area
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 opens a slide back toward 0.69190
  • ISM Services Mon could shift the USD-led read

11:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.69373

Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.

AUDUSD rode the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft US payrolls to a session high at 0.69491, but has since drifted into lower highs and slipped below EMA20/50 near 0.69373. RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s as the corrective bounce toward the 0.6950 pivot stalls.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69283, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6945, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6936 confirms a lower low and opens 0.69283
  • Reclaim of 0.695 needed to challenge the 0.6980 top of the range
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next major USD catalyst

10:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 0.6938

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.6949 session high and is drifting back into consolidation near 0.6938, part of a corrective USD-led bounce after Thursday's soft NFP. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s with ATR compressing to ~3.5 pips in holiday-thinned trade; the 0.6950 pivot has capped repeatedly.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6920, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • A close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward the 0.6980 area
  • Loss of 0.6936 swing low exposes 0.6920 and 0.6910 range low
  • Mon ISM Services could materially shift USD flows driving this pair

10:47 UTC

Consolidation, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 0.6938

Range below 0.6950, lower highs forming.

AUDUSD holds a tight consolidation below the 0.6950 pivot after a second day of USD-led gains off Thursday's soft NFP print. Price has faded from the 0.6949 session high into a series of lower highs, with RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price slipping under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.6936, 0.6928, 0.6911

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of the 0.6936 range base exposes the 0.6928 swing low and 0.6911 session low
  • Mon ISM Services / Waller (US) is the next major driver for this pair

10:32 UTC

Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69374

Rally into 0.6950 pivot, now pulling back.

AUDUSD climbed off the London low near 0.6910 to the session high at 0.6949 on the persistent post-NFP USD softness, but stalled below the 0.6950 pivot and has since drifted back to 0.6937. RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s as the move loses steam; price now sits below EMA20 with the 0.6936 swing low as first support.

Support: 0.6936, 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6936 swing low exposes the 0.6910 session low
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led read

10:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.69374

Pullback off session high after grind up from 0.6910.

AUDUSD ground up from 0.6910 toward the 0.6950 pivot through the London session on the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft NFP, then met rejection at the 0.69491 session high and drifted back to 0.6937 with RSI cooling to mid-40s. ATR near 4 pips reflects a thin, holiday-dampened Friday.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69185, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69333 swing low signals a deeper fade toward 0.69185
  • Mon ISM Services could reset USD flows and this read

10:17 UTC

Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69387

Consolidating below 0.6950 after intraday rally.

AUD spiked from 0.6886 to 0.6941 on the soft-USD tailwind, then extended to a session high of 0.69491 before stalling under the 0.6950 pivot. Price has drifted back to 0.6939, printing minor rejection at the highs with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69271, 0.69116

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Clearance of 0.6950 pivot needed to challenge the session high 0.69491
  • Loss of rising support / a close below 0.69116 swing low reopens downside
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next major USD catalyst driving this pair

10:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69387

Higher highs into session peak, now pulling back.

AUDUSD climbed through the London-NY session to a peak of 0.69491, stalling just under the 0.6950 pivot as the soft-USD tailwind (Thursday's 57K NFP miss) faded. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price is easing back to 0.6939, holding above the recent 0.69363 low.

Support: 0.69363, 0.69103, 0.68878

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69363 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
  • Move is USD-led; US ISM Services (Mon) is next major catalyst

10:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 45 · price 0.69371

Consolidation off 0.6949, mild lower highs.

London session drifting off the 0.6949 session high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as the second up-day loses steam. Move is USD-led after the soft NFP print, not a genuine AUD bid; price now hovering above the 0.6939 pivot with supply capping into 0.6950.

Support: 0.6939, 0.6933, 0.6912

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6939 exposes the 0.6912 range low
  • Thin holiday liquidity (US closed) can exaggerate intraday swings

10:02 UTC

Corrective bounce, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 0.69371

Recovered off 0.6910, capped at 0.6949, easing.

AUDUSD rode the broad USD selloff after Thursday's soft NFP print, rallying off the 0.6910 low to a session high at 0.6949 before stalling into the 0.6950 pivot flagged by desks. Price is now easing back toward the 0.6934 fib retrace zone with RSI(14) cooling below 50.

Support: 0.69297, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 pivot opens the path toward the 0.6980 band top
  • Loss of 0.69103 swing low confirms the corrective bounce is fading
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst that could reprice this move

09:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.69389

London rally into 0.6949, now consolidating.

London hours pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69103 session low up to 0.69491, riding the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft NFP. Price has since eased to 0.69389 and is consolidating below the session high, RSI cooling to mid-50s.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69185, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the 0.6950 psych pivot
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 swing low signals a deeper pullback
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-led read

09:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 0.69389

Higher highs into 0.6949 cap, now consolidating.

AUDUSD rode the weak-USD tailwind after Thursday's soft NFP print, tagging a session high at 0.6949 before stalling just under the 0.6950 pivot. Price has drifted back to 0.6939 and is consolidating; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price slipped below EMA20.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.68873

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path to 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6910
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift USD direction

09:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.6940

Consolidating just under session high.

A second day of USD weakness after Thursday's soft NFP lifted AUD to a session high of 0.6949, where price was rejected and eased back to 0.6940. Momentum has flattened into the London session with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4-5 pips on thin, pre-holiday liquidity.

Support: 0.6939, 0.6915, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 psych pivot opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6939 swing low invites a fade back toward 0.6915
  • Thin July 4 liquidity can exaggerate moves on light flow

09:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 46 · price 0.6940

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session toward the 0.6950 pivot on a soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's weak US payrolls, tagging a session high at 0.6949 before stalling. Price now consolidates 0.6939-0.6949 in thin July 4 holiday liquidity, RSI cooling back toward mid-range.

Support: 0.6939, 0.6911

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6939 session low exposes the 0.6911 swing low
  • Thin US-holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves on light flow

09:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 0.69423

Grind higher, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session toward the 0.6950 pivot, riding a soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's weak US payrolls. Price stalled at the 0.69491 session high and is now consolidating a few pips below it, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 0.6940, 0.69381, 0.69278

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 invalidates the intraday uptrend and reopens 0.69278
  • US markets holiday-thinned; ISM Services Mon is the next major USD catalyst

09:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 0.69423

Higher highs, consolidating below session high.

London session grinding higher off the 0.69103 low, but the push stalled at 0.69491 and price is now consolidating around 0.6942. Advance is USD-led after Thursday's soft NFP; the 0.6950 pivot flagged in context is the near-term cap.

Support: 0.6939, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward the 0.6980 band
  • Failure to hold 0.6939 confirms a lower-high and invites a fade toward 0.69103
  • US ISM Services (Mon) is the next major driver for USD flows

09:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.69394

Higher highs into 0.6949, now consolidating.

AUD/USD ground higher through the London session toward 0.6949, riding a soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's weak US payrolls print, but the move is corrective and stalling into the 0.6950 psych level. Price is now pinning below the session high with RSI cooling to mid-range; the recent leg off the 0.6912 swing low remains intact above 0.69334.

Support: 0.69334, 0.6912

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Slip back below 0.69334 refocuses the 0.6912 swing low
  • Thin holiday liquidity (US July 4 close) can amplify moves on light volume

09:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 0.69394

Grind higher capped below 0.6950 pivot.

AUDUSD ground higher through London toward 0.69491 on the soft-USD tailwind after Thursday's weak NFP, but stalled just below the 0.6950 pivot and is now pulling back to 0.69394. Move is USD-led and corrective; price has slipped under EMA20 as momentum cools.

Support: 0.69333, 0.6919, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69500 opens the path toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 invites a fade toward 0.69190

08:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 0.69429

Higher highs / higher lows, capped below session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through London after the soft US NFP kept the USD offered, printing a higher-high/higher-low chain off the 0.69103 session low. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.69491 session high with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR near 5 pips — momentum is cooling into the highs.

Support: 0.69414, 0.6919, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491/0.6950 extends the leg toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69414 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 0.6919
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read

08:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 0.69429

Higher highs grinding into session high, now flattening.

AUDUSD ground higher through London hours to a session high of 0.69491 on the post-NFP USD selling, then stalled and is now flattening around 0.6943. Gains capped just shy of the 0.6950 psych level with RSI cooling off; rising support off the intraday leg lows sits near 0.6940.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6928, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 opens the 0.6950 psych level
  • Break below the 0.6940 hold zone breaks rising support toward 0.69280
  • US ISM Services Monday is the next USD catalyst for this proxy move

08:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 0.69426

Higher highs into session high, consolidating near top.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session, rising from the 0.6910 swing low to a session high at 0.6949 as USD stayed soft after the weak NFP miss. Momentum is easing near the top, with the last few bars stalling and tagging 0.6949 twice before slipping to 0.6943; RSI(14) mid-range around 57.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 session high opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 near support exposes the 0.6910 swing low, then the 200-dma at 0.6900

08:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 0.69426

Higher highs into session top, consolidating below 0.6949.

London session ground AUDUSD higher off the 0.6910 low to a session high at 0.6949 on continued post-NFP USD selling, now consolidating just below it. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, momentum flattening as price coils under the 0.6950 psych level.

Support: 0.6938, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the path to the 0.6950 round number and range-high test
  • Loss of 0.69380 swing low breaks the intraday rising structure
  • ISM Services (Mon) and Fed repricing remain the dominant USD driver

08:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.6945

Higher highs, grinding into range top.

AUDUSD ground higher through the London session on broad USD weakness after the soft US payrolls miss, printing a session high at 0.6949 and stalling just under the 0.6950 psych level. Rising lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme; price pinned at the top of the market's flagged 0.6930/0.6950 band.

Support: 0.6940, 0.6919, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the range high
  • Failure to hold 0.6940 exposes the 0.6919 swing low
  • Loss of 0.6910 breaks the rising structure

08:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.6945

Higher highs and higher lows since London open.

AUDUSD is grinding higher through the London session, printing higher lows off 0.6910 and pressing the session high at 0.6949 amid broad USD softness after the NFP miss. RSI(14) around 62 — firm, not stretched — with price holding above both EMAs.

Support: 0.6942, 0.6920, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Break above 0.6949 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6942 then 0.6920 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 57 · price 0.69441

Higher highs, higher lows since London.

AUDUSD grinding higher through London, clearing the 0.6930 cap that now acts as support after the NFP-driven spike earlier. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising base into 0.69491 session high, RSI(14) mid-range with room to run before extremes.

Support: 0.69388, 0.6932, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69388 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Failure at 0.69491 keeps the session range capped
  • ISM Services Mon and thin holiday liquidity could shift USD direction

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69441

Higher highs / higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the session, printing a fresh high at 0.69491 before easing to 0.6944; the leg extends the soft US NFP-driven dollar selling. RSI cooling from the highs while price holds above EMA20 and its rising higher-low sequence.

Support: 0.69388, 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.69434

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range ceiling
  • Failure to hold 0.69388 exposes the 0.69333 swing low
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD driver and could reset this read

07:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69437

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD ground higher through the NY-into-London hours, breaking and holding above the 0.6930 cap and stalling into the session high at 0.6949, still riding post-NFP USD softness. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows off 0.69103; price is above both EMAs with RSI(14) around 61, hot but not extended.

Support: 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6930 flips the broken cap back to resistance
  • US ISM Services Mon could re-arm USD and shift this read

07:46 UTC

Grinding uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 0.69437

Chain of higher highs / higher lows off 0.6910.

AUDUSD ground higher through the Asia-London transition, extending the post-NFP USD-soft bid to a session high at 0.69491 before easing to 0.6944. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-60s — steady, not stretched — but the 0.6930 200-DMA cap flagged by the macro read sits just below as the pivot the move is built on.

Support: 0.69388, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6950 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69388 exposes the 0.6930 200-dma cap
  • ISM Services (Mon) and thin holiday liquidity could exaggerate the next USD-driven move

07:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69463

Higher highs / higher lows since NFP spike.

AUDUSD gapped higher on yesterday's soft US NFP (57K) and has since ground up in a tidy channel, now testing the session high near 0.6949 with RSI(14) around 61. Rising support off the 0.6910 swing low held through the London-NY transition; 0.6949 remains the near-term cap.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6932 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
  • ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) are the next USD risk events

07:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69463

Higher highs/higher lows off the intraday low.

AUDUSD grinding higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 0.6949 after basing at 0.6910 in Asia; the broader lift stems from post-NFP USD softness (57K miss). RSI(14) around 62, steady rather than stretched, with price holding above both EMAs.

Support: 0.6944, 0.6932, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.6944 then 0.6932 would break the higher-low chain
  • Break above 0.6949 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) could shift the USD read

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.6943

Higher highs into session high.

London session grinding higher, clearing the 0.6930 cap and printing a 0.6949 session high on lingering post-NFP USD softness. RSI(14) around 61, still short of extreme; pullbacks have been shallow with demand holding above 0.6932.

Support: 0.6932, 0.6919, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6949 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6932 negates the intraday higher-high chain
  • US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could shift the USD tone

07:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.6943

Chain of higher lows into session high.

London session grinding higher, printing a fresh session high at 0.6949 as the post-NFP USD softness lingers. Buyers stepped in near 0.6910 and price has held a clean higher-low chain into the 0.6930/0.6950 cap flagged in the broader range.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.6949, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.6949 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven tone

07:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69417

Chain of higher highs and higher lows off 0.6910.

AUDUSD ground higher off 0.6910 through NY and into Asia, printing a session high at 0.69491 as the USD stayed offered after the soft US NFP miss. Structure is a clean higher-high/higher-low chain, RSI mid-60s with room before overbought; pullbacks holding above 0.69381.

Support: 0.69381, 0.6930, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69491 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69381 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.69300
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven tone

07:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 0.69417

Chain of higher lows, testing 0.6949.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher from the 0.6910 swing low into early London, printing a session high at 0.69491 as broad USD softness post-NFP miss persists. Price now consolidating just below the 0.6949 high with RSI cooling from the push; higher-low structure intact above 0.69333.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.68878

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69491 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69333 breaks the higher-low chain
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read

06:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69472

Higher highs into session high, above prior 0.6930 cap.

AUDUSD is grinding higher through the London session toward the 0.69491 session high, holding above the 0.6930 cap flagged post-NFP miss. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; the leg up from 0.6910 remains intact with an unbroken chain of higher lows.

Support: 0.69388, 0.69333, 0.6930

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens continuation higher
  • Slip back under 0.6930 prior cap negates the breakout
  • Move under 0.69333 swing low breaks the rising structure

06:47 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 69 · price 0.69472

Higher highs, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD is grinding higher through the Asia-into-London window, extending the leg that followed yesterday's soft US payrolls print (57K), and now probing the session high at 0.69491. Higher lows have held since 0.69103, with RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not stretched.

Support: 0.69388, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69491, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 0.69491 opens 0.6950 psych area
  • Loss of 0.69388 breaks the higher-low chain
  • USD ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-led move

06:32 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 69 · price 0.69456

Higher highs and higher lows post-NFP spike.

AUD spiked to 0.6941 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) mid-session yesterday, then based out. Asian session has ground steadily higher into a fresh session high at 0.6947, RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not stretched. ATR is thin at ~8 pips.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6947, 0.69434, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6947 opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 stalls the higher-low chain
  • US ISM Services later today could shift the USD-driven read

06:31 UTC

Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 67 · price 0.69456

HH/HL chain off 0.6910 low.

AUDUSD ground higher through the session in the wake of the 57K NFP miss that knocked the USD, printing a fresh session high at 0.6947 off the 0.6910 low. RSI(14) is elevated near 67 but not extreme; the rising sequence of higher lows off 0.69330 remains intact.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6919, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6947, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69330 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • Break and hold above 0.69470 extends the session high
  • US ISM Services (Mon) is the dominant near-term USD driver post-NFP

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to session highs · RSI 68 · price 0.69454

HH/HL chain, prior spike high reclaimed.

AUDUSD is grinding higher into a fresh session high at 0.69456, extending the leg that started with yesterday's NFP-driven USD selloff. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — as the 0.6930 area digest cap has been cleared.

Support: 0.69375, 0.6932, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69456, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained trade above 0.69456 opens the path to the 0.69500 round number
  • Failure to hold 0.69320 breaks the rising HL chain
  • US ISM Services Mon could reset the USD-driven read

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 67 · price 0.69454

Higher highs into session high.

AUDUSD ground steadily higher through the Asian session to a fresh session high at 0.69456, extending the USD-led bounce after yesterday's 57K NFP miss. Chain of higher lows from the 0.69103 base intact, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme.

Support: 0.69375, 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69456

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6950 opens the range top
  • Loss of 0.69275 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • USD direction post-NFP remains the dominant near-term driver

06:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into cap · RSI 63 · price 0.69406

Higher lows off 0.6910, testing session high.

AUDUSD held the NFP-driven spike from yesterday and ground higher through the Asian session, lifting off 0.6910 back to retest the 0.6943 cap into the London open. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed near 3-4 pips — a quiet, low-range recovery leg rather than a fresh impulse.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6910 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.6900
  • US ISM Services (Jul 6) is the next major USD catalyst

06:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 0.69406

Higher highs and higher lows off 0.6910.

AUDUSD ground higher through Asian hours after yesterday's NFP-miss spike (57K vs ~110K) knocked the dollar, price now pressing the 0.69434 session high with RSI(14) around 62. Steady chain of higher lows off 0.6910; the session high is the near-term cap.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69434 opens the 0.6950 round number
  • Loss of 0.69333 pivot risks a lower low back toward 0.69103 swing low
  • ISM Services (Jul 6) is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read

05:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, grinding · RSI 64 · price 0.69405

Higher highs, higher lows off 0.6910.

AUDUSD ground higher through the Asian session, extending from the 0.69103 swing low to a session high at 0.69434 as the USD stayed offered after yesterday's 57K NFP miss. A clean higher-high, higher-low chain is intact and RSI sits mid-60s — hot but not extreme.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69434

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69333 breaks the rising hl sequence
  • 0.6930-area cap noted in the AUD read — rejection here stalls the grind
  • London open could inject volatility into the current session range

05:47 UTC

Uptrend, steady grind higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69405

Higher highs and higher lows since 0.69103.

Asia session grinding higher into the NFP spike high at 0.69434 after the 57K US payrolls miss knocked the dollar yesterday. A clean chain of higher lows off 0.69103 holds, price now above the 0.6930 prior cap; RSI mid-60s leaves room before overbought.

Support: 0.6933, 0.6930, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.69426

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69434 opens the top of the 0.6870–0.6980 range
  • Loss of 0.6930 breaks the higher-low chain
  • ISM Services (Jul 6) is the next major USD catalyst

05:32 UTC

Grinding up, testing cap · RSI 67 · price 0.69424

Post-NFP range, probing top.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US payrolls miss, then consolidated in a 0.6910–0.6943 range through the London-NY session. Price is back at the session high 0.6943 cap in early Asia with RSI(14) near 67; buyers stepped in twice around 0.6932 on the grind higher.

Support: 0.6932, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69434, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the path to 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.6932 reopens the range low at 0.6910

05:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 66 · price 0.69424

Higher lows off 0.6910, retesting spike high.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.6943 cap that held after yesterday's NFP-driven spike, with buyers stepping in twice at 0.6910 and 0.6930 flipping from cap to support. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but short of extremes as price presses the session high in Asia hours.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 confirms a lower-low and revives the downside
  • US ISM Services Mon could materially shift this USD-led read

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 67 · price 0.69424

Higher highs and higher lows since London low.

AUD ground higher through the quiet Asian session, retesting the post-NFP high at 0.69429 after the 57K US payrolls miss knocked the dollar. Micro-structure is a clean chain of higher lows off 0.69103, RSI(14) firm near 67 with no divergence.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of the 0.69333 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend chain
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, testing prior high · RSI 67 · price 0.69424

Higher lows into post-NFP high retest.

AUDUSD is grinding back to 0.69429, the post-NFP spike high printed after the 57K US payrolls miss knocked the dollar. Price has built higher lows off 0.69103 through the Asia session; a double top is forming as buyers retest the prior high with RSI(14) around 67.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path to 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.69333 higher low reopens 0.69103
  • Move remains USD-driven post-NFP; fresh dollar direction can shift the read

05:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back toward session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69382

Higher lows off 0.6910, testing prior high.

AUD/USD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US NFP miss, then consolidated and based at 0.6910 before grinding back up. Price now retesting the 0.6943 session high with RSI mid-range, no extreme in play.

Support: 0.69328, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path back toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.69328 rising support puts the 0.6910 swing low back in play
  • Move is USD-led post-NFP; ISM Services Mon is the next catalyst

05:03 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69382

Recovery off 0.6910 low, testing range top.

AUDUSD sits at 0.6938 after the NFP-miss spike to 0.6943 earlier; price dipped to a 0.6910 session low then rebuilt in a steady chain of higher lows off the swing low at 0.6933. Now pressing the session high — the post-payrolls cap that stalled the move twice.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 session high extends the recovery toward psych 0.6950
  • Slip back under 0.6933 swing low re-opens the 0.6910 session low
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 64 · price 0.69402

Higher lows since 0.6910, pressing session high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6941 on the 57K US NFP miss during NY hours, then consolidated 0.6910–0.6940. Asian session has ground quietly back up to retest the session high with ranges compressed and RSI mid-60s.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69426, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69426 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69103 breaks the rising support and revives the downside
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.69402

Higher lows since NFP spike, testing spike high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69413 on the 57K US NFP miss, then consolidated and is now grinding back into that spike high through the Asia session, RSI(14) near 64. Chain of higher lows off 0.69103 holding; the 0.69413 cap is the immediate hurdle.

Support: 0.69333, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69413 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69103 breaks the higher-low chain

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69373

Range-bound after NFP breakout.

A sharp candle at the NFP miss lifted AUD from 0.6888 to 0.6943, after which price settled into a 0.6910–0.6943 range. Asia hours have ground price back toward the session high at 0.69429, RSI(14) around 61 with no extreme in play.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the top of the range toward 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.6910 shifts the read back toward the 0.6900 200-ema pivot
  • USD follow-through after the 57K NFP miss remains the dominant driver

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, low-volume grind · RSI 63 · price 0.69373

Higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD is grinding higher through a thin Asian session, pressing the 0.69429 session high after yesterday's NFP-miss spike lifted the pair off 0.68878. A chain of higher lows off 0.69103 keeps price pinned near the top of the day's range, RSI(14) firm but not stretched near 63.

Support: 0.69328, 0.69103, 0.6890

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69328 signals a slip back into the range toward 0.69103
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could reset this read

04:17 UTC

Recovering higher within range · RSI 62 · price 0.69361

Range, price back near top.

Asia session ground higher off the 0.6910 session low, retracing most of the earlier dip back toward the 0.6943 range top set after yesterday's USD sell-off on the 57K NFP miss. RSI(14) near 62, ATR thin at ~6 pips as the window sits inside the post-NFP 0.6910–0.6943 band.

Support: 0.69103, 0.69149

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69103 revives a lower-low
  • ISM Services later today could drive USD and shift this read

04:17 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69361

Higher lows off 0.6910 session low.

AUDUSD is grinding back up through Asia after the London dip to 0.6910, tracking the USD-led lift from yesterday's 57K NFP miss. Price now sits just under the 0.69429 session high with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) firm near 62, ATR compressed at ~5 pips.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.69413

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens continuation beyond the session high
  • Loss of 0.69275 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
  • Thin domestic calendar leaves USD/Fed pricing as the dominant driver

04:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into cap · RSI 60 · price 0.6935

Higher lows off London low, capped near spike high.

AUDUSD recovered off the London low near 0.6910 and has ground higher through the Asia session into 0.6937, holding above EMA20/50 — the move is USD-led after the 57K NFP miss knocked the dollar. Upside is stalling just under the 0.69386–0.69429 post-NFP spike highs.

Support: 0.6920, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6920 breaks the rising-low chain toward 0.69103
  • US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term USD driver

04:02 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher into resistance · RSI 61 · price 0.6935

Range post-NFP, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD spiked from 0.689 to 0.6943 during NY hours after the 57K US payrolls miss knocked the dollar, then settled into a 0.6910–0.6940 range. Asia session has ground back up on higher lows toward the 0.6939 session high, RSI(14) around 61.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69386 opens a retest of the 0.6943 nfp high
  • Loss of 0.6910 swing low shifts the read back toward the range floor and 0.6900 psych
  • ISM Services later today could reset the USD-driven move

03:47 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 0.69329

Grinding higher into range top, stalling.

AUDUSD holds ~0.6933 after the NFP miss knocked the USD and spiked price to 0.6943 earlier. Asia-session grind higher off the 0.6910 swing low is stalling just under the 0.6930 cap, RSI(14) around 57 with no extreme reading.

Support: 0.6920, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69375, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.69429 opens the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.69103 swing low negates the intraday recovery
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD driver for this range

03:46 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.69329

Higher lows since NY open, holding under session high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US NFP miss that knocked the dollar, then consolidated and dipped to a 0.69103 session low. Thin Asia liquidity has price grinding back to 0.6933, holding a chain of higher lows below the 0.69375 recent high.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69375, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • close above 0.69429 opens the top of the 0.6870-0.6980 range
  • loss of 0.69103 session low breaks the higher-low chain
  • US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD driver

03:32 UTC

Recovering off intraday low, grinding up · RSI 62 · price 0.69352

Range-bound post-NFP, higher lows into session high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on yesterday's 57K NFP miss, then settled into a 0.6910–0.6939 range. Buyers stepped back in off the 0.69103 session low and price is grinding toward the 0.69386 session high in thin Asia trade.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69429 opens the top of the post-NFP range
  • Failure to hold 0.69275 reopens the 0.69103 session low
  • US ISM Services (Mon) is the next major USD catalyst

03:32 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.69352

Post-spike range, higher lows into 0.6938.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US NFP miss, then faded into a 0.6910–0.6943 range. Quiet Asia grind has lifted it back to the 0.6938 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s with ATR only ~6 pips.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69386 session high, then 0.69429 prior high, opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.69275 swing low exposes the 0.69103 session low
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD catalyst and could break this range

03:17 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 0.6937

Post-NFP range, testing top.

Asia session is grinding back toward 0.6943, the NFP-spike high, after the 57K US payrolls miss popped AUD yesterday. Buyers stepped in near 0.6910 through Asian hours and price has reclaimed the 0.6930 cap; RSI mid-60s, ATR tight around 6 pips.

Support: 0.6930, 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.6910 session low reopens the 0.6900 round number
  • USD-driven — ISM Services (Mon) is next major catalyst

03:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding back to cap · RSI 67 · price 0.6937

Higher lows off session low, testing post-NFP high.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US payrolls miss, then consolidated near 0.6920 before grinding back up through the Asia session to 0.6937. Price is retesting the post-NFP high cap with RSI(14) near 67; higher lows intact off the 0.6910 session low.

Support: 0.6920, 0.6910

Resistance: 0.6943, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
  • Loss of 0.6920 returns price into consolidation toward 0.6910
  • ISM Services (Mon) and USD follow-through the dominant driver near-term

03:02 UTC

Recovery, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69353

Higher lows off session low, testing prior spike zone.

Asia session grinding the recovery back toward yesterday's NFP spike high, printing higher lows off 0.69103 with price now at 0.69353. The USD-led bounce (57K payrolls miss) has AUDUSD retesting the 0.69386 session high; the 0.69429 spike high still caps above.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69386, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens continuation past the spike high
  • Loss of 0.69103 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.6900
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 0.69353

Higher lows into session high retest.

Asia session grinding higher back toward the post-NFP session high near 0.6943, after the 57K US payrolls miss spiked AUD yesterday. Buyers stepped in near 0.6910 and price broke the 0.6912-0.6920 consolidation, RSI(14) ~63 with room before overbought.

Support: 0.69275, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 opens continuation toward the range top
  • Loss of 0.69275 breaks the higher-low chain
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is next USD catalyst, could shift this read

02:47 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69377

Rising lows into range top.

AUDUSD is grinding back up toward the 0.6940 session-high cap during Asia hours, extending the rally off the 0.69103 low on a chain of rising lows. Price stalled at 0.69429 earlier after the NFP-miss spike; RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69429 opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69103 rising-lows structure reopens 0.6900
  • ISM Services and USD follow-through post-NFP could shift the read

02:47 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 0.69377

Higher lows off 0.6910, retesting post-NFP high.

AUDUSD is grinding back toward the 0.6943 post-NFP spike high during Asia hours after basing at 0.6910, a chain of higher lows carrying price above EMA20/50. The move remains USD-led following the 57K payrolls miss; RSI(14) near 67 leaves room before it runs hot.

Support: 0.6920, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69429 opens the top of the 0.6870-0.6980 range
  • Loss of 0.6920 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.6910
  • ISM Services and thin Asian liquidity could shift this USD-driven read

02:32 UTC

Recovering, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.69354

Higher lows off 0.6910, testing session high.

AUDUSD is pressing the session high at 0.69358 after building higher lows off 0.69103 through the Asia session, still inside the post-NFP 0.6910–0.6943 range. Price sits right at the 0.6930 cap flagged in the macro read, with RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR near 10 pips.

Support: 0.69185, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69358, 0.69426

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69358 opens the path to 0.69426 post-nfp high
  • Failure to hold 0.69185 swing pivot revisits 0.69103
  • US ISM Services (Mon) is the next USD driver that could shift this read

02:32 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 63 · price 0.69354

Consolidation after NFP spike, higher lows building.

Asia session grinding back toward the post-NFP spike high at 0.6943 after basing twice near 0.6910 during the prior drift. Price has been range-bound 0.6910–0.6943 since the payroll miss knocked the dollar, RSI(14) climbing to ~63 on the recovery leg.

Support: 0.69103, 0.69187

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.69354

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the range top toward 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 revives the downside within the range
  • ISM Services (Mon) and Fed pricing post-NFP remain the dominant USD driver

02:17 UTC

Recovering off intraday low · RSI 63 · price 0.6932

Consolidation after NFP spike, holding upper range.

AUD spiked to 0.6943 on the 57K US NFP miss during NY hours, then consolidated between 0.6910 and 0.6935. The Asia session recovered off the 0.6910 swing low back toward the 0.6935 session-high cap, RSI(14) in the mid-60s.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6889

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6943 opens the top of the broader range
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 reopens 0.6889 prior base
  • Thin Asia liquidity keeps price USD-driven near-term

02:17 UTC

Recovering within range · RSI 62 · price 0.6932

Consolidation, pushing back to session high.

AUDUSD sits at 0.6932 in thin Asia hours, having recovered off the 0.6910 swing low and broken back above the overnight consolidation toward the session high. The pair remains USD-driven after yesterday's 57K NFP miss knocked the dollar; price is retesting the 0.6935 cap that has held since the NFP spike to 0.69413.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69413

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6935 opens a retest of the 0.69413 spike high
  • Loss of 0.6910 swing low reopens 0.6900 psych level
  • ISM Services and USD follow-through are the near-term driver

02:02 UTC

Recovered post-NFP, consolidating higher · RSI 60 · price 0.69298

Range after breakout spike, higher low forming.

The soft US NFP print spiked AUDUSD ~53 pips off 0.68862 to 0.69429, after which price consolidated in a 0.6910–0.6935 band. Asia session is grinding back toward the session high at 0.69350, RSI(14) around 60 with buyers defending 0.6910.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900, 0.68862

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 extends the post-NFP move
  • Failure to hold 0.69103 opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset the USD-driven read

02:02 UTC

Recovering off intraday low · RSI 63 · price 0.69298

Consolidation after NFP spike, recent higher lows.

Early Asia session, AUDUSD grinding back up to 0.6930 after basing at 0.69103; the whole window sits under the NFP-miss spike that ripped price from 0.6889 to 0.6943 yesterday. Price has consolidated in a 0.6910–0.6943 band since, RSI(14) around 63 as buyers stepped in off the session low.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69349, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69349 opens the path back to the 0.6943 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.69103 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read

01:47 UTC

Post-spike range, near-term bid · RSI 59 · price 0.6931

Consolidation between 0.6910 and 0.6943.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the softer USD tone after the NFP miss, then drifted back to a 0.6910 low before recovering to 0.6931. Price is holding a 0.6910–0.6943 range, now pressing the 0.6935 bounce high with RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6920

Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.6943 opens continuation toward the 0.6980 range top
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 signals downtrend resumption toward 0.6865
  • ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset the USD tone driving this range

01:47 UTC

Recovering, momentum up · RSI 64 · price 0.6931

Higher low, pushing session high.

AUDUSD gapped higher earlier on the soft US NFP print and settled into a 0.6910–0.6935 band through the Asia session. Buyers stepped back in off 0.6910 and price is now pressing the session high at 0.69349, RSI(14) firm near 63.

Support: 0.6910, 0.69185

Resistance: 0.69349, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69349 opens the path to the 0.69429 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.6910 swing low resets the range back toward 0.69185
  • ISM Services and lingering NFP flow could shift this read

01:32 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 0.69297

Higher low after post-NFP spike, consolidating.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69413 on the soft US NFP miss, then spent the Asia session consolidating and drifting to a 0.69116 session low. Buyers stepped back in twice near 0.6911, pushing price back toward the 0.69349 session high with RSI mid-range.

Support: 0.69116, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.69349, 0.69426

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69349 session high opens the 0.69426 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.69116 exposes 0.6900 psych then 0.6865 june low

01:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.69297

Consolidation after NFP spike, pressing range top.

AUD spiked to 0.6943 on Wednesday's soft US NFP, then drifted back to a 0.6910 session low before buyers stepped in during Asia hours, lifting price to 0.69297. Structure is a 0.6910–0.6943 band with the current leg pressing back toward the session high.

Support: 0.69195, 0.69103

Resistance: 0.69349, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69349 opens the path to the 0.69429 spike high
  • Failure to hold 0.69195 exposes the 0.69103 session low

01:17 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.69287

Consolidation after NFP spike, holding 0.6910.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the US payrolls print then drifted back into a 0.6910–0.6943 range, pinned near the 200-day EMA at 0.6900. Buyers stepped in at 0.69103 late in the Asia session and price is now pressing 0.69287, RSI(14) recovering toward 61.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69300 opens a retest of the 0.69429 swing high
  • Failure to hold 0.69103 exposes the 0.6900 handle
  • Further US data / payroll follow-through could shift this range read

01:17 UTC

Range after NFP spike, edging higher · RSI 61 · price 0.69287

Post-spike consolidation, holding above range floor.

A soft US NFP print launched AUDUSD ~50 pips higher to a 0.69429 session high, after which price ranged 0.6910–0.6943 through the US-Asia handover. Quiet Asia session bars have drifted lower to 0.69103 before the last few candles rallied back toward the range midpoint at 0.69287, RSI(14) near 60.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69429, 0.69413

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69429 session high reopens the upper spike-high area at 0.69413
  • Loss of 0.69103 session low turns focus to the 0.6900 200-day ema pin
  • US ISM Services later in the week is the next catalyst that could break this range

01:03 UTC

Post-spike drift lower, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.69184

Consolidation after NFP breakout, minor lower highs.

The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD from 0.6886 to a 0.6943 high during NY hours, then price bled lower through the session. It is now consolidating near 0.6918 in the Asia session with RSI(14) mid-range as the move cools; minor lower highs cap the drift.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69228, 0.6943

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6910 session low opens the path toward the 0.6900 200-day EMA
  • Reclaim of the 0.69228 swing high needed to re-challenge the 0.6943 spike high

01:03 UTC

Consolidation after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69184

Range-bound below post-NFP high.

The US NFP miss spiked AUDUSD to 0.6941 mid-session before it faded back and settled into a tight 0.6910–0.6925 band. In quiet Asia hours price is pinned near 0.6918 with RSI in the mid-40s and volume thin; range top has capped repeated pokes.

Support: 0.69103, 0.68878

Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69413

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69225 range top reopens the 0.6941 nfp high
  • Loss of 0.69103 session low signals continuation of the post-spike drift
  • ISM Services (Mon) is the next major catalyst, not imminent this session

00:47 UTC

Pullback after NFP spike · RSI 41 · price 0.69118

Consolidating below session high, grinding lower.

AUD spiked to 0.69429 on the soft US NFP print, then consolidated and drifted lower through the thin Asia session toward 0.6910. RSI(14) around 40 as price sits near the lower edge of the post-spike range.

Support: 0.69103, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69215, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6910 opens the path to 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69215 puts price back into the post-spike range

00:47 UTC

Drifting lower after NFP spike · RSI 39 · price 0.69118

Lower highs unwinding the spike.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the NFP miss then drifted steadily lower through NY into the Asia session, now pressing session lows near 0.6910 with RSI(14) sub-40. Price has retraced roughly 60% of that spike and sits back at the 200-day EMA psych level of 0.6900.

Support: 0.6910, 0.6900, 0.6865

Resistance: 0.69215, 0.6935, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6910 opens the 0.6900 200d ema then 0.6865 3mo low
  • Reclaim of 0.69215 swing high would stall the lower-high sequence

00:32 UTC

Post-spike pullback, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 0.69127

Consolidation below post-NFP high, lower highs.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on yesterday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c), then faded through the NY session into a slow drift lower. Quiet Asia session now has price pinned near 0.6913 below EMA20, with the 0.69116 session low the near-term floor and RSI(14) around 41.

Support: 0.69116, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69116 opens the path toward the 0.6900 200-day EMA
  • Reclaim of 0.69200 pivot would stall the pullback
  • Move back above 0.69429 needed to re-test the post-NFP high

00:32 UTC

Post-spike fade, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 0.69127

Lower highs off NFP spike into 0.6911 support.

AUD/USD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print then faded steadily through the session, printing lower highs and now testing 0.6911. RSI(14) sits mid-low around 41 with price under both EMAs; nothing new building into thin Asia hours.

Support: 0.6911, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69225 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69110 opens the 0.6900 psych level
  • US ISM Services Mon is the next catalyst for this pair

00:17 UTC

Downtrend fading post-spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69139

Consolidation after NFP spike faded.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print, then faded steadily back to 0.6915 through the session. Now grinding sideways near 0.6914 in early Asia, price sitting under EMA20 with the spike gains fully unwound.

Support: 0.69116, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6921, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69116 session low opens 0.6900 psych
  • Reclaim of 0.69210 needed to challenge 0.6943 spike high
  • ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could reshape the USD read

00:17 UTC

Consolidation after post-NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69139

Range-bound below spike high, lower highs into Asia.

AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the soft US NFP print then faded, now grinding in a thin Asia-session range around 0.6915 below EMA20. Price is drifting into the lower end of the range with RSI(14) near 41; the 0.69111 session low is the pivot.

Support: 0.69111, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.69228, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69111 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.69228 range top needed to revisit the spike high at 0.69429

00:02 UTC

Post-NFP spike faded, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69162

Lower highs into tight Asian range.

The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD to 0.6943 mid-session before a steady fade back toward 0.6915. Asian hours now show a tight consolidation of lower highs beneath the 0.69225 range top, price hugging just under EMA20 with RSI near 42.

Support: 0.69116, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.69225, 0.6934, 0.69426

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69225 opens the path to 0.69340
  • Failure to hold 0.69116 exposes the 0.69065 swing
  • Range compression — a break of either edge sets the next intraday leg

00:02 UTC

Consolidation after spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69162

Post-breakout range, lower-end drift.

AUD/USD spiked to 0.69429 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) around midday, then consolidated into a 0.69116–0.69429 range and drifted toward the lower end into the Asia session. Price now sits at 0.69162, back below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range and no fresh momentum.

Support: 0.69116, 0.6889

Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below the 0.69116 range low would confirm a lower-low and give back the NFP pop
  • Reclaim of the 0.69225 recent pivot puts the 0.69429 spike high back in view
  • Thin Asia liquidity keeps moves choppy until London

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