AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 2 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69186
Consolidation below spike high, drifting to lower band.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) as the dollar sold off, then consolidated in a ~0.6910–0.6940 band. Price is now sitting at the lower edge near 0.6918 in thin Asian-session trade, RSI flat around 50.
Support: 0.6911, 0.6900, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69240 reopens the spike high at 0.69430
Loss of 0.69110 session low exposes 0.6900
ISM Services PMI Mon is the next catalyst that could break the range
23:47 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69186
Consolidation below post-NFP high.
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 before it faded back into a range. Thin Asia trade has pinned price near 0.6919, holding above 0.69111 with the session high at 0.69225 capping.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69225 session high reopens the 0.69429 nfp high
Break below 0.69111 session low exposes 0.6900 psych then 0.6865
Liquidity thin in Asia — ranges can compress before London
23:32 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69195
Post-breakout consolidation near 0.6920.
The NFP miss drove AUDUSD sharply from 0.6888 to a 0.69429 session high on broad USD selling, then faded back to consolidate around 0.6920 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 and volume has collapsed, leaving price coiling between 0.69142 and 0.69225.
Support: 0.69142, 0.69116
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.6934, 0.69429
What it said to watch
A close above 0.69225 reopens the 0.69340–0.69429 spike highs
Loss of 0.69116 session low confirms a lower-low
AU S&P Global PMI (sub-50 forecast) could nudge this thin Asia range
23:32 UTC
Spike faded, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69195
Pullback into range after impulse high.
AUDUSD ripped ~55 pips to 0.69429 on the broad USD selling after the NFP miss, then faded through NY into a tight Asia-hours coil around 0.6919. Price is pinned to EMA20 between the 0.69225 range cap and the 0.69116 session low, volume thinning with no fresh drive.
Support: 0.69116, 0.69142, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69225 reopens the 0.69347/0.69429 highs
Loss of 0.69116 confirms a lower-low back toward 0.6900
Asia PMI already out; next macro catalyst is ISM Services Mon
23:17 UTC
Consolidating after breakout spike · RSI 47 · price 0.69188
Post-spike range, drifting off highs.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the USD sell-off after the soft US payrolls read, then bled lower to 0.69111 before settling into a tight 0.6911–0.6923 band. Thin Asian-session liquidity now (last bars sub-100 volume); RSI(14) flat near 47, price pinned to EMA20 with no fresh impulse.
Support: 0.69111, 0.69142
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69225 reopens the 0.69429 spike high
Loss of 0.69111 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 pivot
Liquidity remains thin until London open; ISM Services and NFP fallout the wider drivers
23:17 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69188
Post-spike consolidation, lower highs.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the soft-USD impulse mid-window, then faded through a chain of lower highs back to 0.6919. Now coiling in a tight 0.69111–0.69225 band in thin Asian liquidity, RSI(14) flat near mid-range with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69225 range top reopens the 0.69429 spike high
Loss of 0.69111 session low confirms a lower-low
Thin Asian liquidity — spikes may not hold
23:03 UTC
Impulsive up then consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.69192
Range after breakout, mid-range.
AUDUSD spiked ~50 pips to 0.69429 on the soft US NFP print before pulling back and coiling in the Asian session between 0.6911 and 0.6922, now near 0.6919 on thin volume. RSI(14) sits neutral around 48 with momentum flat inside the post-breakout range.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69225 reopens the 0.69429 session high
Loss of 0.69111 confirms a lower-low back toward the 0.6900 200-EMA
AU S&P Global Services/Composite PMI (sub-50 forecast) due imminently could break the coil
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print, then bled back to 0.6919 in a run of lower highs. Price now coils tight in a thin, low-volume Asian session between 0.6911 and 0.6922, RSI flat near 46.
Support: 0.6911, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6922, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6922 range top reopens the 0.6943 session high
Failure to hold 0.6911 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
ISM Services Mon is the next dollar catalyst
22:47 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69193
Consolidation below post-NFP high.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.68878 to 0.69429 on the NFP miss, then settled into a 0.6911–0.6935 consolidation and is now grinding in its lower third near 0.69193 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is pinned to EMA20 with the spike high as the ceiling.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6915
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69111 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6915 swing zone lower
Reclaim of 0.69240 reopens the 0.6935 prior high and 0.69429 spike high
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC (both f/c sub-50) could shift this read within the next bar
22:47 UTC
Range after breakout spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69193
Coiling below post-spike highs.
A sharp breakout candle to 0.69429 mid-window faded, and price has since coiled near 0.6919 in thin Asia hours between the 0.69116 session low and the 0.6930 cap. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with volume drying up.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could inject volatility into the coil
Close below 0.69116 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.6930 reopens the 0.69429 session high
22:32 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 0.69196
Post-spike consolidation, lower highs.
The NFP-miss spike to 0.6943 has fully faded, with price now grinding in a thin Asia-session range between the 0.69110 session low and the 0.69230 range top. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 47 and volume is drying up into the current bars; no setup in play.
Support: 0.69145, 0.6911
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69230 range top reopens the 0.6943 spike high
Failure to hold 0.69110 session low confirms a lower low
AU Composite/Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could nudge this thin range
22:32 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69196
Consolidation below spike high, holding ~0.692.
The soft US NFP print spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.69429 before the move faded through the NY session. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6911–0.6922 band around 0.692, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6915
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
AU S&P Global PMI due ~23:00 UTC (both f/c sub-50) could jolt this coil
M15 close above 0.69225 reopens the spike high at 0.69429
Loss of 0.69116 confirms a lower-low
22:17 UTC
Consolidating after breakout · RSI 53 · price 0.69204
Range coiling near 0.6920 post-spike.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 in a single burst before the move stalled. Price has since drifted lower and coiled into a tight 0.6911–0.6923 band through thin Asia-session hours, holding just above the 0.6900 200-EMA pivot.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69111 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
Break above 0.69225 reopens the 0.69430 range top
AU S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
AUDUSD spiked ~55 pips to 0.69429 during NY hours on the soft US jobs read, then drifted into a lower-high sequence and now consolidates around 0.6920. Buyers stepped in at 0.6911 late in the session; range top near 0.6925 still capping with volume thin into the Asia open.
Support: 0.69111, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6925, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6925 reopens the 0.6943 spike high
Loss of 0.6911 exposes the 0.6900 round number
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
22:03 UTC
Range after impulsive spike · RSI 50 · price 0.6921
Consolidation below post-spike high.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on the 57K US NFP miss that broadly sold the dollar, then rolled into a tight coil around 0.6920 through quiet Asia hours. Price is holding a 0.6911–0.6943 range with RSI(14) flat near 50, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 0.6911, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could break the coil
Close above 0.6943 extends the post-spike leg
Loss of 0.6911 opens the 0.6900 pivot
22:03 UTC
Consolidating after NFP spike · RSI 50 · price 0.6921
Range post-breakout, slight downward drift.
The US NFP miss (~12:30 UTC) spiked AUD/USD from 0.6888 to the 0.6943 nfp high; since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6911–0.6935 band and drifted back to 0.6921. Asia session volume is thin and RSI(14) sits neutral near 50, with the range top capping and the session low holding.
Support: 0.6911, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6935 range top reopens the 0.6943 nfp high
Loss of 0.6911 session low exposes the 0.6900 200-ema
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
The mid-window NFP-driven spike to 0.6943 was rejected and the pair has ground lower through NY into Asia hours, now pressing the session low near 0.6912 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI sits mid-40s, no extreme; structure is a drift toward range support after failed pushes at 0.6922.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6912 opens the 0.6900 200-ema psych level
Reclaim of 0.6922 needed to challenge descending resistance
AU S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the Asia-hours read
Friday's NFP miss spiked AUD/USD to 0.69426 before the move faded into a 0.6915–0.6935 consolidation. Price is now drifting toward the session low at 0.6912 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s and price back below EMA20/50; volumes thin into the Asia session.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69426
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6900 200-ema opens a retest of range lows
Reclaim of 0.6935 range top revives the post-NFP move
AU S&P Global Services PMI (23:00 UTC) could nudge the range
21:32 UTC
Spiked then faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69191
Range post-NFP breakout, holding 50% retrace.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP miss (57K), then faded to a 50% retrace near 0.6915 which has held. Now coiling in a tight 0.6915–0.6922 band into the Asia open with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69404
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69116 swing low opens the 0.6900 200-ema pivot
Reclaim of 0.6943 session high needed to resume the post-NFP push
AU S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could nudge AUD from the coil
21:32 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69191
Post-spike consolidation near 0.6920.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the US NFP miss then faded, and has since coiled in a tight 0.69116–0.69225 band. Price is pinned around the EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 47 — no directional setup in play, just post-spike drift.
Support: 0.69116, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69225 reopens the 0.6930 cap and spike high
Loss of 0.69116 exposes the 0.6900 200-ema pivot
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this range
21:17 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6915
Range, testing lower edge.
AUD/USD spiked to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss then faded back into a 0.6915–0.6930 range, now sitting on the lower edge as Asia takes over. RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed near 3–4 pips — momentum flat with the 200-EMA pin near 0.6900 below.
Support: 0.6914, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6914 opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.6930 needed to challenge the 0.6943 spike high
AU S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this range read
21:17 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6915
Consolidating below spike high, lower highs.
NFP-driven spike tagged 0.6943 during NY hours, then faded steadily into the Asia session; price now sitting at 0.6915, right on the 50% retrace of that move. Lower highs building below 0.6923, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6900 exposes the 0.6865 range low
Reclaim of 0.6923 reopens the 0.6943 spike high
AU S&P Global PMI (23:00 UTC) could nudge the range
21:04 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting lower · RSI 49 · price 0.69217
Consolidation between 0.6915 and 0.6943.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c), then settled into a 0.6915–0.6943 range. Price has drifted lower toward 0.6920 into the close with RSI neutral near 48; the session high at 0.6943 and the 0.6930 cap remain intact.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6930 reopens the 0.6943 session high
Loss of 0.6915 exposes the 0.6900 round number
ISM Services Mon and later NFP fallout could break the range
21:04 UTC
Range after NFP spike, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69217
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c) around 12:30 UTC spiked AUD/USD to a session high of 0.69413, then faded through NY into a 0.6915-0.6935 range. Price is now hovering near the 38.2% retrace of that impulse at 0.6922, RSI flat mid-range.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6905
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6935 opens the path back to the 0.69413 session high
Break below 0.6915 confirms a lower low toward 0.6905
AU S&P Global Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this range read
20:47 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69211
Step-up then consolidation, micro range 0.6914-0.6922.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print before fading through the NY session, with 0.6930 capping the pullback. Late session is now coiled in a tight 0.6914-0.6922 range, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6919
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6930 reopens the 0.6943 session high
Break below 0.6914 confirms a lower low
AU S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could break the coil
20:47 UTC
Consolidation after impulse spike · RSI 51 · price 0.69211
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the firm-USD/NFP repricing then faded through the NY session, now consolidating around 0.6920 into the Asia handover. Dips have been held near 0.6914 while rebounds stall below the 0.6930 cap.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6914 opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim above 0.6930 would reopen the 0.69429 session high
AU S&P Global Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this range read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss that pressured the dollar, then bled back into a 0.6914–0.6925 consolidation as the move faded. Price is hugging the mid-range near 0.6922, RSI(14) neutral around 49, with the 0.6930 cap and 0.69138 session low bracketing the last few hours.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6930/0.6935 reopens the 0.6943 session high
Break below 0.69138 confirms a lower low toward 0.6890
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
20:32 UTC
Range after NFP spike, drifting sideways · RSI 53 · price 0.69224
Post-spike consolidation inside 0.6915-0.6943.
The 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 as the USD sold off. Since then price faded back to the 0.6915 swing low and recovered into the Asia open, leaving the pair coiled in a 0.6915-0.6943 range with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69300 mid-range opens a retest of the 0.69430 session high
Loss of 0.69150 swing low reopens the pre-nfp base near 0.68880
AUDUSD surged to 0.69429 on the USD-negative payrolls reaction, then bled lower through NY in a chain of lower highs before buyers stepped in at 0.69138. Price has recovered to 0.69211 near the 0.5 retrace of that spike with RSI(14) sitting mid-range around 51 — coiling below the prior highs.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69334, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69334 reopens the 0.69429 session high
Loss of 0.69138 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6900 psych pivot
Australia Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69426 about eight hours ago on USD softness after the NFP miss, then coiled between roughly 0.6915 and 0.6934 through NY hours. Price is pinned near 0.6920 with RSI(14) flat around 49; the session low at 0.69138 has held on the recent dip.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69245, 0.69334, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69138 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69245 then 0.69334 needed to revisit the 0.69426 spike high
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
20:03 UTC
Pulling back after NFP spike · RSI 44 · price 0.69193
Consolidation below post-spike high, lower highs.
AUDUSD spiked ~55 pips to 0.69429 on the NFP-driven USD wobble, then faded through the NY session as the pair reverted to its 0.6900 USD-proxy pivot. Price is grinding lower highs into 0.6919, sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the post-spike range has stalled with rejection at 0.6942.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69138 confirms a lower low toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69225 reopens the 0.69429 nfp high
Australia Services PMI ~23:00 UTC could shift this intraday read
20:02 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 47 · price 0.69193
Pullback after NFP breakout.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours, then the pair ground steadily lower through late NY into a shallow pullback. Now sitting near 0.6919 with RSI neutral; buyers stepped in twice around the 0.69140 session low.
Support: 0.69138, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69138 confirms a lower-low and opens the spike base at 0.68878
Reclaim of 0.69225 lower-highs line would negate the drift
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes are the next USD catalysts
19:47 UTC
Pulling back after spike, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 0.69171
Descending grind off session high.
AUD/USD spiked to 0.6943 on the post-NFP USD wobble, then bled lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, now grinding near 0.6917. Session low 0.6914 is holding with RSI(14) in the mid-40s — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69347, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6914 session low opens the 0.6900 psych level
reclaim of 0.69225 swing high needed to challenge the lower-highs line
US NFP / ISM Services risk could reprice this pair sharply
Lower highs since NFP spike, testing session lows.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss then faded steadily through the NY session, now grinding along session lows near 0.6917. RSI in the mid-40s with no extreme; a chain of descending highs has capped every bounce since the spike.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69138 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69225 breaks the descending-high structure
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 at the 12:30 UTC print, but NY hours have bled the pair back to 0.6915 in a steady lower-high sequence. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that spike, back under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cooling toward 40.
Support: 0.69138, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69138 opens the 0.6900 200d ema pivot
Reclaim of 0.69225 swing high needed to challenge the post-nfp high at 0.6943
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD off 0.6888 to a 0.6943 session high. Price has faded steadily through NY, printing lower highs and now testing the 0.6914 session low, with 0.6935 capping recovery attempts.
Support: 0.69138, 0.68873
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69138 opens the pre-spike base at 0.6888
Reclaim of 0.6935 needed to retest the 0.6943 session high
Lower highs since spike, grinding toward session low.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) then bled back through the session, printing lower highs into 0.69225. Price now drifts near the session low at 0.69143 with RSI cooling into the low-40s.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69394, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69143 confirms a lower low, exposing the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim of 0.69225 minor high needed to stall the drift lower
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off session high, fading toward swing low.
The June NFP miss spiked AUD off 0.6886 to a session high of 0.69426 around the US release. Since then price has bled lower in a lower-high sequence, now sitting on the 0.6915 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s; the descending drift has retraced roughly half the NFP pop.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69347, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69143 confirms a lower-low, opening 0.6900
Close above 0.69225 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) spiked AUD/USD to 0.6943 during NY hours, then price faded steadily through the afternoon back toward 0.6915. Lower highs are stacking under 0.6926 while the 0.6915 swing low still holds.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6926, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6915 opens the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim above 0.6926 needed to re-challenge the 0.6943 session high
Lower highs since spike top, holding above session low.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943, after which the pair bled lower through NY hours in a series of lower highs. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that move around 0.6919, RSI cooling to the mid-40s and holding above the 0.69143 session low.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69225, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69143 exposes the 0.6900 psych/200ema pivot
Reclaim of 0.69225 reopens the 0.6943 spike high
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD to 0.69429 mid-window, then a steady grind lower through NY hours carved out lower highs. Buyers stepped in at 0.69143 — the 50% fib of the spike — with a small bounce back to 0.692, still capped below the descending trendline.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69230 and the descending trendline invalidates the down-leg
Failure to hold 0.69143 opens the 0.6900 psych pivot
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
18:47 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 44 · price 0.69201
Descending highs after NFP breakout.
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) fired a sharp spike to 0.69429, but the move faded through the NY session into a chain of lower highs, pressing back toward the 200-day pivot at 0.6900. Price now hovers at 0.69201 with RSI mid-range; the 0.69350 cap and 0.69143 swing low bracket the current drift.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69143 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69350 reopens the 0.69429 nfp high
AUD S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD gapped from 0.6888 to a 0.6943 top on the NFP miss (57K vs 110K) during NY hours, then bled back into a tight range. Price now sits in the lower half around 0.6921 with RSI(14) mid-40s and lower highs building since the spike.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69300 reopens the 0.69429 nfp high
Failure to hold 0.69150 session low exposes the 0.6900 psych pivot
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
Lower highs since NFP spike, drifting toward 0.6915.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K f/c) around the NY session, then faded steadily to print a lower low near 0.6915. Price now sits below EMA20/50 at 0.6921, RSI(14) mid-40s, unwinding the payrolls pop back toward the 0.6900 pivot.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69143 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6900 psych
Reclaim of 0.69300 recent high invalidates the post-spike fade
ISM Services and FOMC Minutes next week are the next catalysts
AUDUSD spiked ~55 pips to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) around 12:30 UTC, then faded through the NY session in a chain of lower highs back to the session low at 0.6915. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s with price now sitting below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6924, 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69143 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 0.6900 pivot
Reclaim of 0.69240 needed to re-challenge the 0.69347/0.69429 session highs
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
18:17 UTC
Pulling back after NFP spike · RSI 43 · price 0.69185
Post-spike consolidation, lower highs.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69429 into the NY morning NFP miss (57K vs 110K), then rejected and drifted into a lower-high consolidation. Price has since eased to the session low at 0.69143 and is holding just above it near 0.69185, RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69143 opens the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim above 0.69300 reopens the post-nfp high at 0.69429
AUD trading as broad-USD proxy — US ISM Services next data test could shift this read
The 57K US NFP miss spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on heavy volume, but the move has fully faded through the NY afternoon and price is grinding to session lows near 0.6915. Lower highs have built since the spike, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6915 opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.6923 needed to re-challenge the 0.6943 session high
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) then bled back to 0.6915, printing a steady chain of lower highs into the NY session. Momentum is heavy with RSI(14) near 35 and price pressing the 0.6914 session low, with the 0.6900 200-day pivot the next reference below.
Support: 0.69143, 0.6900, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
A close below 0.6914 confirms a fresh lower low and exposes the 0.6900 pivot
Reclaim of 0.6930 would stall the sequence of lower highs
Australia S&P Global Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
17:47 UTC
Post-spike drift lower · RSI 37 · price 0.69154
Lower highs off NFP high, testing session low.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) blew AUD/USD off 0.6886 to 0.6943 in a single bar; since then a steady chain of lower highs has walked price back to the session low near 0.6915, right on the 50% retrace of that spike. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-30s as momentum drains from the move.
Support: 0.69149, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69149 opens the 0.6900 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.69347 needed to re-challenge the 0.6943 nfp high
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
A June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD off 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours; the pair has since carved lower highs and is now sliding back to the session low at 0.6915, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. Momentum has faded the entire post-data pop.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6915 opens the path toward the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim of 0.6930 would negate the lower-high sequence
US NFP reaction largely digested; ISM Services next week is the next catalyst
17:32 UTC
Post-spike fade, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 0.69198
NFP breakout then lower highs into range low.
The soft June NFP (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD off 0.6888 to 0.6943, but the move faded through NY hours into a string of lower highs. Price is now grinding into the session low near 0.6919, RSI cooling toward 39; the 0.6930 cap has held on each bounce attempt.
Support: 0.69189, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6919 opens the 0.6900 psych pivot
Reclaim of 0.6930 needed to re-test the 0.6943 post-nfp high
Consolidation below 0.6935 after breakout, lower highs into session lows.
US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC ripped AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6942 as the dollar was sold. Since then the pair has coiled and is now grinding to session lows near 0.6919 through the NY afternoon, with supply capping around 0.6935.
Support: 0.69189, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6919 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
Reclaim above 0.6935 needed to retest the 0.6942 post-nfp high
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) during NY hours, a clean breakout of the pre-data 0.6900 coil. Since then it has ranged 0.6919-0.6943 and is now grinding toward the range low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and price back below EMA20.
Support: 0.6919, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6919 opens the path back to the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6935 cap puts the 0.6943 range top back in play
17:17 UTC
Spike higher, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.69215
Range below post-NFP high, drifting lower.
US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6886 to 0.6943 on heavy volume, ending its coil around the 0.6900 pivot. Price has since consolidated in the 0.6920-0.6943 band and is now drifting toward the lower edge, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range.
Support: 0.6919, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6920 opens the 0.6900 pivot
reclaim of 0.6935 needed to retest the 0.6943 nfp high
AUDUSD spiked ~55 pips off 0.6886 to the 0.6943 session high after the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) undercut the USD, then coiled in a 0.6920–0.6943 range through the NY session. Price now sits at the lower edge near 0.69216, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and back below EMA20.
Support: 0.69197, 0.69079, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69197 opens the 61.8% fib at 0.69079
Reclaim of 0.69347 puts the 0.69429 session high back in play
USD flow remains the driver post-NFP; follow-through repricing could break this range either way
17:03 UTC
Post-spike pullback after NFP · RSI 43 · price 0.69216
Coiling below post-NFP high, drifting to range low.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours; since then price has coiled and is now fading to the lower edge near 0.6920, RSI cooling into the low 40s. Lower highs are stacking under the 0.6935 range mid.
Support: 0.69197, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69197 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69347 re-opens the post-NFP high at 0.69429
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Up post-NFP, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.69243
Breakout then consolidation below session high.
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC spiked AUDUSD ~50 pips off the 0.6890 range into 0.6943 as the USD sold off. Since then price has consolidated 0.6920-0.6943 through the NY session, now drifting back toward the session low with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69197, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69197 opens a retest of the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6935 puts the 0.69429 session high back in play
US ISM Services (Mon) and Fed speakers could reshape the post-NFP USD read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) spiked AUDUSD ~50 pips off 0.6888 to 0.6943 into the NY session as the USD sold off. Since then price has coiled in a 0.6920-0.6943 band and is now probing the lower edge near 0.69243, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.69197, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6920 exposes the 0.6900 pivot
Reclaim of 0.6935 cap keeps the post-NFP range intact toward 0.6943
Australia Services/Composite PMI 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) that knocked the USD. Since then it has consolidated 0.6921-0.6943 and is now pressing the range low at 0.6921 with RSI cooling toward 43.
Support: 0.6921, 0.69178, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69347 reopens the 0.6943 session high
Failure to hold 0.6921 exposes the 0.69178 swing low and 0.6900
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUD/USD ~50 pips from 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours, a clean break of the prior 0.6890 range. Price has since coiled between 0.6920 and 0.6943 and is now pressing the lower edge with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6920 opens the 0.6900 200dma pivot
Reclaim of 0.6930 needed to retest the 0.6943 session high
Australia Services/Composite PMI 23:00 UTC could shift the read
16:17 UTC
Spiked higher, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69281
Post-breakout range near session high.
AUD/USD ripped from 0.6889 to 0.6942 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), a single-bar surge as the USD sold off. Since the spike price has coiled in a 0.6920–0.6942 band through the NY session, RSI cooled back to mid-range.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6892
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6942 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6920 returns price toward the pre-NFP 0.6892 area
Australia Services PMI 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ripped ~55 pips off 0.6888 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) as the dollar sold off, tagging 0.69429. Since then it has coiled in a 0.69217–0.69429 range, RSI cooling back to neutral with price drifting under EMA20.
Support: 0.69217, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69217 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6900
Break above 0.69429 extends the NFP move toward the 0.6980 range top
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6886 to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) that knocked the dollar during NY hours. Price has since coiled between the 0.69217 range floor and the 0.69429 session high, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 0.69217, 0.69178, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69217 range floor exposes the 0.69178 spike low
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
A soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) sank the dollar and drove AUD/USD from 0.6887 to a session high of 0.6943, decisively clearing the 0.6900 handle. Price has since consolidated in a 0.6920–0.6943 band, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-50s as the initial impulse fades.
Support: 0.69217, 0.69178, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69217 session low would confirm the breakout stalling
M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The 57K US NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943, clearing the prior 0.6930 cap in one bar. Price has since coiled 0.6921–0.6943 through NY hours with RSI cooling from the spike; the flat 0.6921 shelf has held twice.
Support: 0.69217, 0.6900, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6930
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69217 reopens the pre-spike 0.6900 zone
Close above 0.69429 extends the breakout toward 0.6980
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
15:46 UTC
Up after NFP spike, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69333
Breakout, now consolidating near session high.
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) sent AUDUSD spiking off 0.68878 through the 0.6930 cap to a 0.69429 session high. Price is now consolidating in a 0.69217–0.69429 band, RSI cooling from the spike extreme while holding above both EMAs.
Support: 0.69217, 0.69178, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69429 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69217 confirms a fade back toward the pre-NFP base near 0.68878
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 in a single NY-session bar, clearing the prior 0.6865-0.6930 coil. Price is now consolidating 0.6921-0.6943 with RSI cooling from the breakout, holding above both EMAs.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6900, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6921 negates the breakout and reopens 0.6900
Close above 0.69429 session high opens the 0.6980 barrier
Aussie Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
15:31 UTC
Up after NFP spike, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69329
Consolidation in upper range post-breakout.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c), squeezing USD longs. Price has since coiled in the upper range near 0.6930, holding above 0.69217 with the session high at 0.69429 capping.
Support: 0.69217, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69429
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69217 opens a retest of the 0.6888 pre-spike base
Break above 0.69429 session high extends the NFP move higher
15:17 UTC
Uptrend after breakout, consolidating · RSI 62 · price 0.6932
Impulsive leg then higher lows.
AUD ripped ~55 pips higher on the 57K US NFP miss during the NY session, printing a session high at 0.6943. Price has since coiled between 0.6920 and the high with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike extremes, holding a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6943 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.6920 opens a fade back toward the 0.6888 pre-spike base
Aussie Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked ~55 pips off 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours as the US payrolls miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar. Price is now consolidating 0.6922-0.6943 just under the session high with RSI cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 0.69217, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69217 swing low would signal the spike is fading
Close above 0.69429 session high opens the path to the 0.6980 barrier
US ISM Services Mon could shift the USD read behind this move
15:02 UTC
Up post-NFP, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.69326
Range after impulsive breakout.
The 57K US NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943 during NY hours, a clean break of the pre-release 0.6900 coil. Price has since consolidated 0.6920–0.6943, holding the breakout with RSI cooling off from the impulse.
The 57K US NFP miss (vs 110K f/c) spiked AUDUSD from 0.6888 to 0.6943, breaking clear of the 0.6900 200-day EMA coil. Price has since consolidated 0.6922-0.6943, holding above the spike low at 0.69217 with RSI cooling from the surge.
Support: 0.69217, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69429
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69217 reopens the pre-NFP range toward the 0.6900 200-day EMA
Sustained hold above 0.69429 extends the breakout
Aussie Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
AUD gapped from 0.6889 to 0.6943 on the 12:30 UTC NFP miss (57K vs 110K), snapping the prior 0.6865-0.6930 range as USD sold off. Since the spike price has coiled between 0.69178 and 0.69429, RSI cooling from the impulse high but still above midline.
Support: 0.69178, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69178 swing low would negate the post-NFP breakout
Close above 0.69429 session high opens the 0.6980 barrier
Aussie Services PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ripped ~55 pips off the 0.6889 base after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tagging 0.6943 during NY hours. Price has since coiled between 0.6921 and 0.6943, RSI(14) cooling off the spike as buyers hold the breakout.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6900, 0.6887
Resistance: 0.6943, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6921 swing low reopens the 0.6900 200-day ema pivot
Close above 0.6943 session high extends the NFP move
Fed's Daly and ISM Services (Mon) could reshape the USD leg
14:32 UTC
Impulsive leg up, now consolidating · RSI 61 · price 0.69288
Post-spike range above 0.6920.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6888 to 0.6943 on the soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) at the NY open, breaking clear of the 0.6900 200-day pivot. Price has since coiled between 0.6920 and 0.6943, RSI(14) cooling off the spike toward mid-60s.
Support: 0.69218, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69429
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.69218 keeps the post-NFP breakout intact
NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove AUDUSD sharply off 0.6889 to a 0.6943 session high, a clean break of the 0.6865-0.6930 coil. Price is now consolidating between 0.6920 and 0.6943 with RSI(14) cooling from the spike, holding well above both EMAs.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6943
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6920 range low opens a pullback toward the 0.6900 200d ema
Break and hold above 0.6943 session high extends the post-NFP move
Aussie Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
14:17 UTC
Up post-NFP, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 0.69404
Breakout above range, consolidating near highs.
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at the 12:30 UTC print spiked AUDUSD ~55 pips off 0.6888, breaking the pre-release 0.6865-0.6930 range. Price is now consolidating in the 0.6920-0.6943 band just under the session high at 0.69426, RSI easing back from the spike.
Support: 0.69178, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69426
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69178 unwinds the NFP breakout
Reclaim of 0.69426 opens continuation higher
Aussie Services/Composite PMI 23:00 UTC could shift the read
AUDUSD ripped from the 0.6888 base to 0.6943 on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), snapping the tight 0.6865-0.6930 range it had coiled in around the 200-day EMA. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.6943 session high with RSI(14) elevated near 70; the 0.69178 spike low is the first support tested.
Support: 0.69178, 0.69004, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69426
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69178 would negate the breakout hold and put 0.6900 in play
Failure to reclaim 0.69426 keeps price capped under the session high
Aussie Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) at the London-NY transition sent AUDUSD vertical from 0.6888 to 0.6942, snapping the tight 0.6865-0.6930 range and clearing the 0.6900 200-day pivot. Price pulled back to 0.69218 then reclaimed the highs; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme after a ~50-pip impulse.
Support: 0.69218, 0.6900, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69426
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.69218 keeps the breakout intact; loss reopens the 0.6900 pivot
Close above 0.69426 session high extends the post-NFP leg
US Factory Orders and Daly speech could shift this read within the hour
14:02 UTC
Sharp uptrend post-NFP · RSI 72 · price 0.69362
Range break, consolidating at highs.
AUDUSD ripped out of its 0.6865-0.6930 coil on the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), tagging a session high at 0.69426 and clearing the 0.6930 cap. Price is now consolidating in the 0.6920-0.6942 zone, RSI(14) hot near 71 after the impulse.
Support: 0.69208, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.69426, 0.6930
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.69208 swing low keeps the breakout structure intact
Reclaim of 0.6930 cap from above would signal a false break back into range
US Factory Orders and Daly speech in coming hours could re-shape the USD read
13:47 UTC
Sharp NFP-driven leg up, now consolidating · RSI 71 · price 0.69385
Range break higher, holding gains.
AUDUSD ripped ~55 pips off 0.6888 through 0.6941 as the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) hit the dollar. Price is now consolidating between the 0.6920 spike low and the 0.69413 session high, holding well above the 0.6900 pivot.
Support: 0.69218, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6920 would fill part of the NFP spike
Close above 0.69413 extends the breakout toward the 0.6980 barrier
Aussie Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c sub-50) could shift the read
13:46 UTC
Range break higher, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 0.69385
Range broken to upside post-NFP.
AUDUSD ripped ~50 pips off 0.68862 to a session high 0.69413 after the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K f/c) hammered the USD, snapping the 0.6888-0.6910 coil that held all session. Price is consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) hot near 71; the 0.69208 post-spike low is the first shelf.
Support: 0.69208, 0.6900, 0.68862
Resistance: 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69208 threatens the breakout and reopens 0.6900
A close back below 0.69000 reasserts the prior range
Aussie Services PMI 23:00 UTC could add a fresh catalyst
13:32 UTC
Sharp NFP-driven leg up, now consolidating · RSI 62 · price 0.69244
Breakout above range, pulling back into new higher zone.
The 12:30 UTC US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) blew AUDUSD out of its tight 0.6885-0.6910 range, spiking from 0.6888 to 0.69413 in one bar on broad USD weakness. Price has since drifted back to consolidate around 0.6924, holding the 0.69178 spike low with the 0.69413 high untested since.
Support: 0.69178, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6930
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 reopens the upside path
Failure to hold 0.69178 fills the NFP spike back toward 0.6890
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could reprice the USD move
Range break on NFP, consolidating below spike high.
A soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) drove a vertical spike from the 0.6888 base to 0.69413, breaking a full day of ~0.6885-0.6910 consolidation. Price has since faded to 0.6924 and is holding above the 0.6900 round number, RSI(14) cooling from post-spike extreme.
Support: 0.69218, 0.6900, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6930
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6900 signals the NFP spike is being fully retraced
Reclaim of 0.69413 spike high reopens upside extension
Fed's Daly speech and how officials frame the payroll miss could shift this read
The June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) at 12:30 UTC blew AUDUSD out of its 0.6865-0.6930 coil, spiking to 0.69413 before fading to 0.6925. Price holds above the broken range and the 0.6900 200-day EMA pivot, RSI cooling off the spike after tagging the upper 60s.
Support: 0.69178, 0.6900, 0.68862
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.69178 keeps the breakout intact
Close back below 0.6900 negates the range break and returns price into the prior 0.6865-0.6930 coil
Fed's Daly speech and Factory Orders could re-price the USD read within the next bars
AUDUSD ripped out of its 0.6886-0.6930 range to 0.69413 on the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K), the USD selloff snapping the coil around the 0.6900 200-day pivot. Price has since faded to 0.6925, holding above the broken 0.6900 level with RSI cooling off the spike.
Support: 0.69178, 0.6900, 0.68862
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6930
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.6900 negates the breakout and puts price back in range
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) and Factory Orders could reprice the USD move
Hold above 0.69178 keeps the higher-low structure intact
The 57K US NFP miss (vs 110K) spiked AUDUSD out of its coiled 0.6865-0.6930 range to 0.6941 during NY hours. Price has since retraced to 0.6924, holding above the 0.6900 round number; RSI cooling from the spike but structure now above the prior range.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900, 0.6887
Resistance: 0.6941
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.6900 would negate the breakout and return price into the prior range
Fed's Daly speech and Factory Orders in the next bars could extend or reverse the USD unwind
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) blasted AUDUSD out of a tight 0.6885-0.6910 coil to 0.6941, then it faded to 0.6924. RSI(14) near 71 after the spike; the move is retesting the 0.6910 range top from above.
Support: 0.69218, 0.6910, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.6910 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below fills the gap and negates it
Fed's Daly speech (13:45 UTC) could reprice the USD leg of this move
Aussie Services/Composite PMI tonight 23:00 UTC (f/c sub-50)
AUD/USD exploded out of the 0.6870–0.6930 range on the US NFP release, printing a 50+ pip spike bar to a session high at 0.69413 before settling near 0.69341. RSI(14) is hot above 80 after the vertical move; the former 0.6930 range top now flips to first support.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900, 0.6887
Resistance: 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6920 would negate the range break and put price back inside the prior 0.6870–0.6930 range
Fed's Daly speech shortly after NFP could add volatility to this move
Hold above 0.6900 keeps the breakout structure intact
AUDUSD ripped ~50 pips out of its tight 0.6887–0.6910 range on the US payrolls print, tagging 0.6941 before the current bar pulled back to 0.6934. RSI(14) is stretched near 77 straight off the spike; prior range top around 0.6910 now flips to first support.
Support: 0.6910, 0.6900, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.69413
What it said to watch
A hold above 0.6910 on a pullback confirms the range break
Slip back below 0.6900 would flag a false break of the range
US payrolls at 12:30 GMT detonated the 0.6870–0.6930 coil, the final M15 bar ripping from 0.68878 to 0.69231 as a soft print pressured the dollar. Price now sits above the old 0.69156 prior high with RSI(14) near 78 — hot on a vertical, unbacktested move. The 0.6930 range top is the immediate area to watch for continuation or rejection.
Support: 0.69156, 0.6900, 0.68878
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69156 signals the spike is being unwound
Sustained trade above 0.6930 range top confirms the break
Move is a single NFP bar — no retest yet, follow-through unproven
12:32 UTC
Range break, sharp NFP spike up · RSI 75 · price 0.69228
24h range broken, fresh high.
US NFP at the 12:30 GMT print triggered a sharp AUD spike, the final M15 bar surging from 0.68888 to 0.69231 and slicing through the 0.6890-0.6915 range that had held all session. RSI(14) is hot near 74 on the single impulsive bar; move is entirely news-driven and unretraced. Price now sits at the 0.6930 range top the digest flags.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68888, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69231, 0.6930
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.69 keeps the range break intact; failure back below invalidates it
Extension through 0.6930 range top opens the 0.6930-0.6980 upper band
Spike is a single unretraced NFP bar — a retest of 0.6900 would test the break
AUDUSD is pinned near 0.6889, coiling below the 0.6900 psych pivot with lower highs since the 0.6911 rejection during NY hours. Price is drifting toward the 0.6884 session low ahead of US payrolls; ATR is thin at ~5.5 pips, typical pre-event compression.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6911
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is imminent and will drive the next leg
M15 close below 0.6884 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6900 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD pinned to the 0.6900 200-day EMA, drifting off session highs to the 0.68862 session low with RSI(14) near 41. Price coiling in a tight 0.6884–0.6900 band, a proxy read into US payrolls due within the hour.
Support: 0.68862, 0.68837, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.68975, 0.6900, 0.69109
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst — likely to break this coil either direction
M15 close below 0.68837 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69000 puts the 0.68975–0.69109 supply back in play
12:02 UTC
Ranging, faded from highs · RSI 42 · price 0.68867
Coiling near 0.6900, sliding to session low.
AUD/USD coiling around 0.6900, faded from the 0.69109 swing high back to session lows near 0.6884, price now under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Move is USD-driven with US NFP at 12:30 UTC the imminent catalyst; local AU data has been shrugged off.
Support: 0.68843, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.6902, 0.69109
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver of the next move
Close below 0.6884 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835
Close above 0.69109 invalidates the fade read
12:02 UTC
Range, rolling off the top · RSI 40 · price 0.68867
Coiling on 200-EMA, micro lower highs.
AUDUSD faded off the 0.69109 swing high back toward the lower half of the 0.6884-0.6921 coil, pinned to the 200-EMA near 0.6900. Micro structure is a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) around 40 as price presses the session low at 0.68862. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the next bars.
Support: 0.68862, 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69109
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC will drive the next move and can invalidate the coil read
Loss of 0.68835 opens the 0.6835 break level
M15 close back above 0.6900 restores the 200-EMA coil
11:46 UTC
Rangebound, coiling near 0.6900 · RSI 43 · price 0.68924
Range 0.6884-0.6911, glued to 200-ema pivot.
AUDUSD is coiling around the 0.6900 200-EMA anchor, chopping in a tight 0.6884-0.6911 band with local data shrugged off. The NY push to 0.6911 was rejected and faded back to unchanged, RSI(14) drifting sub-45. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and price is parked ahead of it.
Support: 0.68893, 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6921
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver into the next bars
M15 close above 0.6911 reopens the 0.6921 range top
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower low toward 0.6865
11:46 UTC
Ranging, coiled near 0.6900 · RSI 44 · price 0.68924
Consolidation into NFP, pullback from 0.6911.
AUDUSD is pinned to its 200-EMA around 0.6900, pulling back from the 0.6911 London swing high to 0.6892 as the market waits on US NFP. Price is drifting under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — a coil, no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.68884, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.6909, 0.69128
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this coil
M15 close above 0.69090 reopens the 0.6921 range top
Break below 0.68837 confirms a lower low toward 0.6865
11:32 UTC
Ranging, coiled on 0.6900 · RSI 45 · price 0.68963
Consolidation around 200-day EMA pivot.
AUDUSD is pinned to the 0.6900 pivot, faded back to 0.6896 after a London-session push to 0.69109 stalled. Price ranges 0.6884–0.6911 with RSI(14) neutral near 45; no directional setup while the pair coils ahead of the US payrolls catalyst.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive driver — likely to break this range
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6935 range cap
Loss of 0.68837 session low confirms a lower-low
11:32 UTC
Ranging, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 46 · price 0.68963
Consolidation around the 0.6900 pivot.
AUDUSD is coiling around the 0.6900 handle, drifting off the 0.69089 swing high back toward the mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 46. Price has held the 0.68837 session low and the 0.68900 psych level through the London-NY transition; no directional break in play.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69089, 0.69128
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — could break this range within the hour
M15 close above 0.69128 opens the upper range toward 0.6935
Failure to hold 0.68837 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6865
11:17 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 46 · price 0.68953
Range-bound around the 0.6900 pivot.
AUDUSD is coiling around the 0.6900 pivot, having faded a NY push to 0.69109 back to 0.6895 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is chopping in a tight 0.6884-0.6911 band, no clean directional structure into US payrolls.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — likely overrides this range read
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6935 cap
Break of 0.68837 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
11:17 UTC
Rangebound, coiling near 0.6900 · RSI 47 · price 0.68953
Consolidation around 200-day EMA pivot.
AUDUSD is pinned to its 0.6900 pivot, having faded a push to the 0.6910 swing high back toward the mid-range. Price is coiling in a tight 0.6884–0.6910 band with RSI(14) neutral near 47, offering no directional structure into the US payrolls print.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.6930
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — likely to break this coil
M15 close above 0.6910 opens the 0.6930 cap
Loss of 0.6884 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
11:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 0.68966
Consolidation pinned to 0.6900.
AUDUSD coiling around its 0.6900 anchor, with the NY push to 0.69109 rejected and price drifting back to 0.68966. Choppy two-way trade inside 0.6884–0.6911, RSI(14) mid-range — no clean setup with US NFP the imminent catalyst.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1.5h) is the primary driver and will decide the range break
M15 close below 0.6884 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 0.6865 3mth low
M15 close above 0.6911 opens the path back to the 0.6935 range cap
11:02 UTC
Ranging, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 48 · price 0.68966
Consolidation around 0.6900 pivot.
AUDUSD is coiled tight around the 0.6900 area, oscillating between 0.6884 and 0.6913 through the London-NY session with RSI(14) flat near 47. A quick push to 0.69109 was faded back toward 0.6897, keeping the range intact.
Support: 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69128, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69128 opens the 0.6935 cap
Loss of 0.68837 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
AUDUSD coiled around the 0.6900 pivot after NY hours faded a push to 0.69109, price now drifting back to 0.68975 on a shallow pullback. Range intact between the 0.68877 swing low and the 0.6910 session high; no directional setup while the pair sits on its 200-day EMA magnet.
Support: 0.68877, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — could break the 0.6890-0.6910 range either way
M15 close below 0.68877 exposes the 0.6865 3mo low
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6935 range cap
10:47 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 0.68975
Consolidation pinned to 0.6900.
AUDUSD is coiled around 0.6900, its 200-day EMA magnet, drifting inside a 0.6884-0.6911 intraday range. A NY-hours push to 0.69109 was rejected back to 0.6897, RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional structure ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.6889, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6913
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls (~2h out) is the decisive catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69130 cap opens the 0.6935 range top
Loss of 0.68837 session low exposes the 0.6865 area
10:32 UTC
Range, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.68995
Coiling around 0.6900 pivot.
London push to 0.69109 was rejected and price has faded back to the 0.6900 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Still boxed 0.68930–0.69109 with a thin final bar into the NFP window.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the decisive catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the path to 0.69156
Failure to hold 0.68930 exposes the session low at 0.68837
Coiled around 0.6900, higher lows since London low.
AUDUSD pinned to the 0.6900 pivot through the European morning; a push to the session high at 0.69109 was rejected and price eased back to 0.68995. Structure remains a tight range with a modest higher-low chain off the 0.68837 London low, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.6889, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69128
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the decisive catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69109 reopens the 0.6928-0.6935 cap
Higher low then push to session high, now consolidating.
London session lifted AUDUSD off 0.68893 to tag the session high at 0.69109 before pulling back into a tight range around the 0.6900 round level, RSI cooling from the push. Aussie remains pinned near its range anchor with US payrolls the decisive catalyst ahead.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.69109 reopens the 0.69156 window high
Early-London push to 0.6911, now consolidating near 0.6902.
AUDUSD rallied through early London from 0.68893 to a 0.6909 session high, pinned to the 0.6900 EMA anchor, then eased back to 0.6902 as momentum cooled. Price is now digesting just below the session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.6899, 0.68893, 0.6884
Resistance: 0.6909, 0.69128
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and could override this intraday read
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.68893 low to a session high of 0.69109, where it was rejected and has since eased back onto the 0.6900 200-day EMA pivot. RSI(14) cooling from the rally, ATR near 6 pips; price coiling on the range anchor ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6930
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the decisive catalyst for this pair
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the path to the 0.6930 cap
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.68893 swing low
10:02 UTC
Range with mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69016
Ranging 0.6884–0.6911, pinned to 0.6900 pivot.
London session grinding around the 0.6900 pivot after a push to 0.69109 was rejected and faded back to 0.69016. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR at ~6 pips — the pair is coiled at technical support into US NFP.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — likely resolves this range
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the path to 0.69156
Failure to hold the 0.6900 200d ema exposes session low at 0.68837
09:47 UTC
Recovering off range lows, momentum firming · RSI 57 · price 0.69035
Range pinned to 0.6900, recent push to session high.
AUDUSD is pinned to its 200-day EMA at 0.6900, grinding up to a session high of 0.69109 before easing back to 0.69035; a double bottom at 0.68837/0.68894 held earlier in the range. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 57 as the pair coils ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68894, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the decisive catalyst for this range
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the path to the 0.69156 prior high
AUDUSD pinned to the 0.6900 area all session, then pushed to a fresh session high at 0.69109 during London before easing back to 0.69035. RSI(14) near 59, no extreme; the pair remains coiled on its 200-day EMA magnet ahead of the US payrolls catalyst.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68884, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6930-0.6935 cap
Failure to hold 0.6900 shifts the range read lower toward 0.68837
US NFP later this week is the decisive driver via the USD
09:32 UTC
Sideways, coiling on 0.6900 · RSI 54 · price 0.69004
Range with intraday push higher into fade.
AUDUSD pushed to a session high 0.69109 during London hours then faded back to the 0.6900 200-day EMA pivot, RSI cooling to mid-range. The 50% retrace of that leg is holding near 0.68990; price coiling tightly around 0.6900 with NFP still ahead.
Support: 0.6899, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could break the coil
M15 close below 0.68893 confirms a lower-low and reopens the session low
Reclaim of 0.69109 puts the range cap back in play
Range-bound around 200-day EMA, recent micro higher-highs.
AUDUSD pushed off 0.68894 into the London session, tagging a session high at 0.69109 before fading back to retest the 0.6900 pivot (200-day EMA hinge). RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price still holds above EMA20/50, but the whole window is a tight coil ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.68894, 0.68835
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant driver — likely to break this coil either way
Close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6935 range cap
Loss of 0.68894 shifts focus to the 0.68835 range floor
London session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.68837 low in a clean higher-low chain, tagging 0.69109 before the current bar eased back to 0.69024 — sitting on the 0.6900 psych level and 200-day EMA pivot. Micro-uptrend intact while higher lows hold, but price is coiling under the range cap ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term USD driver and could reset this read
Close above 0.69110 opens the path to 0.69156
Loss of 0.6900 and the 0.68893 low breaks the higher-low chain
NY session lifted AUD off 0.6893 through the 0.6900 200-day EMA pivot to a session high of 0.69109 before the last bar pulled back to 0.69024. RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as the pair coils just above the pivot into US payrolls.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant near-term driver and could shift this read sharply
Close above 0.69109 opens the 0.6935 range cap
Loss of the 0.6900 200dma pivot returns focus to the 0.68837 session low
AUDUSD spent most of the window coiling around 0.6890-0.6900 before the London session drove a clean break above 0.6900 to 0.69109, price now consolidating just below. Move sits on the 200-day EMA pivot with RSI(14) mid-60s; US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this micro-structure.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.68835
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could reset this read entirely
Reclaim of 0.69109 opens the path to 0.69156 then the 0.6935 range cap
Loss of 0.6900 puts price back inside the 0.6889 coil
09:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 0.69067
Range break above 0.6900 pivot.
London session cleared the 0.6900 pivot after coiling in the 0.6885-0.6900 band for most of the Asia hours, printing higher highs into 0.69109 with RSI(14) around 67. The prior day's 0.69156 spike high is the next reference overhead; 0.6900 now acts as the near-term floor.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69109, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (f/c ~110K) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
M15 close back below 0.6900 negates the breakout and returns price into the coil
Break and hold above 0.69156 opens the 0.6935 range cap
AUDUSD pushed through the 0.6900 coil during the London session, printing a session high at 0.69093 with RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme. Price cleared the 0.68990 breakout shelf and is holding above both EMAs as it grinds toward the 0.69156 prior high.
Support: 0.6899, 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69093, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
Breakout above 0.6900 pivot, higher highs late NY/London.
AUDUSD broke back above the 0.6900 psych pivot on a clean impulse from 0.68894, printing a fresh session high at 0.69093 with RSI(14) near 69. Aussie is coiling as a USD proxy ahead of US payrolls; move stalling right under the 0.69128 prior high.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68894, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69093, 0.69128, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6900 puts the session low at 0.68894 back in play
Close above 0.69128 opens the 0.69156 day high
US Nonfarm Payrolls later this week is the dominant near-term driver via the USD
08:32 UTC
Range-bound, coiling near 0.6900 · RSI 58 · price 0.69004
Tight consolidation around 200-day ema pivot.
AUDUSD coiling around the 0.6900 pivot through the London session, with the last two bars nudging back above it to 0.69010. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips — price is pinned to the 200-day EMA and glued inside a 0.6884-0.6912 band ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.68893, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.69019, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver — likely to break this coil
M15 close above 0.69019 opens the 0.6912 area
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower low
08:32 UTC
Ranging, coiling near 0.6900 · RSI 60 · price 0.69004
Range-bound between 0.6884 and 0.6916.
AUDUSD is coiling on the 0.6900 pivot, boxed between the 0.68837 session low and the 0.69156 swing high set early in the window. A late-window bar pushed back above 0.6900 with RSI near 60, but price remains inside the intraday range with no clean break. US NFP sits ~4h out and is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6889
Resistance: 0.6901, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6916 opens the path to the 0.6935 range cap
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower low toward 0.6867
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~4h) can materially shift this read via the USD
AUDUSD is pinned to the 0.6900 pivot in a tight range after fully retracing the NY-session pop to 0.6916; local Trade Balance miss drew no reaction, price trading on the USD/China narrative. Current bar sits near the lower band around 0.6890 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.69016, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68844 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6865 3m-low
Close above 0.69016 needed to reclaim the upper range and challenge 0.69156
US NFP later this week is the decisive catalyst and could break this range
08:16 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 46 · price 0.68906
Tight range, no clean swing chain.
AUDUSD is glued to the 0.6900 area (200-day EMA pivot), oscillating in a ~0.6884–0.6902 band through the Asia-into-London window with RSI neutral near 46. An intraday pop to 0.69019 was faded back below 0.6890; the earlier trade-balance miss drew no follow-through, keeping price rangebound on the broad USD/China narrative.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68893
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69019, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6902 reopens 0.6916; loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower-low
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could break the range
US NFP later this week is the decisive catalyst for this pair
08:02 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 0.68906
Tight range pinned to 200-day EMA near 0.6900.
AUDUSD is glued to the 200-day EMA around 0.6900, chopping in a ~0.6884–0.6916 band with RSI(14) flat near 46. An earlier London spike to 0.6916 was rejected and price has drifted back to the mid-range; local data (trade miss) has been ignored as the pair waits on the USD.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6916
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the decisive catalyst for this range
M15 close below 0.6884 opens the 0.6865 support
M15 close above 0.6900 puts 0.6916 back in play
08:02 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 46 · price 0.68906
Tight range, no clear swing bias.
AUDUSD coiled around its 200-day EMA near 0.6900, oscillating in a 0.68837–0.69019 band with ATR compressed under 5 pips. A brief London-session spike to 0.69156 was fully retraced and price has since drifted flat into the current bar.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69019, 0.6900, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) is the decisive catalyst and could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 0.68837 opens the path toward 0.6865 3m-low support
M15 close above 0.69019 puts 0.6935 topside cap in play
07:46 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 0.6900 · RSI 52 · price 0.68953
Tight range, mid-range.
AUDUSD stayed glued to its 200-day EMA at 0.6900 through the Asia session and into London, coiling in a tight 0.6885–0.6902 band with RSI(14) flat near 52. The NY spike to 0.6915 mid-window has fully retraced and the pair is drifting mid-range at 0.68953 — no setup in play ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6902, 0.6915
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the decisive catalyst for this range
M15 close above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside read
07:31 UTC
Sideways, coiled · RSI 49 · price 0.68934
Range-bound around 0.6893.
AUDUSD is glued to its 200-EMA pivot near 0.6900, chopping in a tight 0.6884–0.6899 band after the earlier spike to the 0.6916 session high faded. Demand held twice at the 0.68837 session low; RSI(14) flat near 49 confirms no directional impulse. Trade coiled ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6888
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.6916
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
M15 close above 0.68993 reopens the 0.6916 session high
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower low toward 0.6867
07:16 UTC
Sideways, coiled near 0.6900 · RSI 51 · price 0.68942
Range-bound, spike high faded.
AUDUSD is coiled around the 0.6900 pivot after a London spike to 0.69156 was rejected and faded back. Price probed the session low at 0.68837 during NY hours but recovered; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed under 7 pips.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the dominant catalyst and can break the range in either direction
Close above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside tilt
Break of 0.68837 exposes the 0.68865 3mo-low zone
07:02 UTC
Range, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.68913
Ranging sub-0.6900, holding above session low.
AUDUSD is ranging between the session low at 0.68837 and the 0.68993 swing high, pinned sub-0.6900 after Australia's shock trade deficit kept it offered. London hours are probing the lows with RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no momentum in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
Clean break of 0.68837 session low opens the 0.6865 3mo low
M15 close above 0.6940 cap negates the near-term downside
06:46 UTC
Sideways after pullback from 0.6915 · RSI 50 · price 0.68935
Range-bound below faded London high.
AUD is ranging 0.6884–0.6900 in quiet Asia trade after the London push to 0.69156 was sold off following Australia's shock trade deficit. RSI(14) sits flat near 50 with ATR compressing to ~5 pips; no intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.6884, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.68995, 0.6912, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h away) is the dominant driver and could break this range
Loss of 0.68840 session low opens the 0.68865 three-month low zone
M15 close above 0.68995 session high reopens the 0.69120 day high
06:31 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.68949
Range-bound below 0.6900.
AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.6884–0.6899 band through the Asia session, holding just under the 0.6900 handle after an earlier spike to 0.6916 was fully faded. RSI(14) sits near 52 with no momentum; the flat 0.6884 floor has held twice.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6916, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
Loss of the 0.6884 session low opens the 0.6865 three-month low
M15 close above 0.6899 session high puts 0.6916 back in play
06:17 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 0.68946
Range after intraday fade.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69156 then faded back below 0.6900 as the USD held firm and weak Aussie trade data weighed; price now consolidating in a tight 0.6884–0.6900 band through Asia hours with ATR compressed near 6 pips. RSI(14) flat around 52 — no momentum in play.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this range
Break of 0.68837 session low opens the 0.6867 three-month low
Close above 0.69012 needed to shift the read back toward 0.6940 cap
06:02 UTC
Sideways, below 0.6900 · RSI 53 · price 0.68956
Range after London rally faded.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6884–0.6900 in early London hours after the London rally to 0.69156 faded and price was rejected back under the 0.6900 psych level. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, no directional edge intraday; AUD stays heavy following the shock trade deficit.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6837
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.6900 psych opens a retest of 0.69156 session high
Loss of 0.6884 range low exposes the 0.6837 session low
05:46 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.68923
Consolidating mid-range after London spike faded.
AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.68840–0.68990 band, coiling after the London push to 0.69128 was rejected and faded through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with price pinned to its EMAs — no directional read, and AUD stays offered sub-0.6900 after the shock trade deficit.
Support: 0.6888, 0.68837, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.69128, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and will likely break this range
Loss of 0.68837 session low exposes the 0.68670 three-month low
Reclaim of 0.68993 session high needed to re-test the 0.69128 spike area
05:31 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.68918
Consolidation below 0.6916, holding above 0.6884.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways in the 0.6884–0.6900 zone during Asian hours, RSI(14) flat near 48 after the London-NY spike to 0.69156 faded. Price sits below the 0.6900 psych level with the shock June trade deficit keeping AUD offered; no setup in play ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
Clean break below 0.68837 opens the 0.6865 three-month low
Reclaim of 0.6900 needed before the 0.69156 session high comes into view
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6884–0.6900 after fading the earlier spike to the 0.69156 swing high, price now pinned under the 0.6900 round number as USD holds firm and AUD stays heavy post trade-deficit shock. Rejection off 0.6900 and repeated defence of the 0.68837 session low frame a tight intraday band with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
M15 close below 0.68837 opens the 0.6867 3-mo low
M15 close above 0.68993 round number needed to reopen 0.69156 swing high
London spike to 0.69156 was fully faded and AUD has since drifted back below 0.6900, offered after the shock trade-deficit miss. Now consolidating around 0.6890 with a chain of lower highs into 0.68993; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.6888, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.68993 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.68880 exposes the 0.68837 session low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can reshape this range
04:46 UTC
Range, mildly offered · RSI 46 · price 0.68913
Ranging below 0.6900 after spike fade.
AUDUSD is ranging roughly 0.6884–0.6901 after an early London spike to 0.69156 was fully faded, price now sitting mid-range at 0.68913 below EMA20/50. The pair has stayed sub-0.6900 since Australia's shock trade deficit, with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and no intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6889
Resistance: 0.6901, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6901 opens a retest of the 0.69156 spike high
Loss of 0.68837 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver, ~8h out
AUDUSD ranging 0.6884–0.6900 through the Asia session, capped below the round number after an earlier London-NY spike to 0.6915 was rejected. AUD stayed heavy after the shock trade-balance flip to deficit; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum signal.
Support: 0.6884, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.68993, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens a retest of the 0.68993 prior high
Failure to hold 0.68840 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
04:16 UTC
Range, faded off the spike · RSI 47 · price 0.68921
Consolidating below 0.6900 after rejection of 0.6916.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6884–0.6896 in the Asian session after fading the London-NY spike to 0.6916, keeping 0.6900 as a ceiling. RSI(14) neutral near 47, no momentum edge; price sits just below EMA20/50 after the trade-deficit-driven slip under 0.6900.
Support: 0.68843, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68843 exposes the 0.68865 3-mo low and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69000 negates the sub-0.6900 range read
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
Range below 0.6900 after rejection of session high.
Asia session is drifting in the low 0.6890s after the London/NY spike to 0.69156 was rejected and unwound, with AUD heavy on the trade-balance flip to deficit. Price is capped under 0.6900 and holding above the 0.68837 session low; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68865 3mo low exposes 0.6835 then 0.6707
Reclaim and close above 0.6940 negates the downside read
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst this session
03:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.68898
Ranging under 0.6900, lower highs since spike.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6884–0.6912 and drifting back under 0.6900 in the Asia session, staying heavy after the shock trade-balance flip to deficit. The spike to 0.69156 hours ago has faded into a chain of lower highs, with 0.6900 now capping and RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6865 three-month low exposes 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6940 negates the downside read
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, fading from 0.6900 · RSI 43 · price 0.68885
Lower highs into Asia session.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6900 area back toward session lows near 0.6884 through the Asia session, keeping a lower-high sequence intact after the earlier spike to 0.6915 washed out. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price below EMA20/EMA50; the trade-balance deficit and firm USD keep 0.6900 as the ceiling.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Break of 0.68837 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
M15 close back above 0.69012 negates the lower-high read
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69156 during the London-NY overlap then bled back below 0.6900, which has since capped rebounds around 0.69012. Asia session is ranging quietly between 0.68837 and 0.6900 with ATR compressed near 5 pips, price sitting near the lower end after the trade-deficit shock kept AUD heavy.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Loss of 0.68837 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
M15 close above 0.6900 negates the rejection read
03:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 0.68945
Capped below 0.6900 after London spike faded.
AUDUSD is ranging roughly 0.68837–0.69012 after the London spike to 0.69156 faded; the trade-deficit shock kept AUD heavy and 0.6900 has capped rebounds. Asia hours are quiet, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with ATR compressed around 7 pips.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69012 reopens the 0.6900 ceiling toward 0.69156
Break of 0.68837 day low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69156 then faded through the session, tagging a session low of 0.68837 during Asia before buyers stepped in and lifted price back toward the 0.6900 handle. AUD stays heavy near 0.6900 after the shock trade-balance flip to deficit; RSI(14) neutral near 56 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68894
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.69128
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69012 opens 0.69128 swing high
Loss of 0.68837 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant AUDUSD catalyst
02:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, hovering near 0.6900 · RSI 56 · price 0.68973
Range 0.6884-0.6901, higher lows into 0.6900.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.68837 session low during Asia and is pinned at the 0.6900 round number, with a firm USD into Friday's NFP capping the topside. Higher lows built off 0.68837 but the 0.69012 recent high has rejected once; RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68885
Resistance: 0.69012, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69012 opens the 0.69156 london high
Loss of 0.68837 session low confirms a lower low
AU Services PMI 23:00 UTC and Friday US NFP could reshape this read
Asia session bounced off the 0.68837 low and reclaimed the 0.6900 psych level, RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. Price stays boxed between 0.6884 and the 0.69156 session high with no clean break yet; AUD pinned near 0.6900 per the firm-USD, risk-off backdrop.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 opens the 0.6935/0.6940 cap
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6865
Australia S&P Global PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Quiet Asian session — AUDUSD is ranging around 0.6895 after the London-NY spike to 0.69156 faded through the day on firm USD post-JOLTS. Price recovered off the 0.68837 session low and is pressing back toward the 0.6896 recent high; ATR compressed near 4 pips, RSI mid.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68837
Resistance: 0.68959, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.68959 then 0.69000 needed to reopen the 0.69156 session high
Loss of 0.68837 confirms a fresh lower-low
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could break the range
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant swing factor for the pair
01:46 UTC
Range, no clear trend · RSI 51 · price 0.6893
Consolidation below 0.6900 after spike faded.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6884–0.6896 in the Asia session after the earlier spike to 0.69156 was rejected and faded, with firm USD keeping the pair pinned below 0.6900. Price dipped to a 0.68837 session low then recovered; RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68959, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6900 and the 0.68959 swing high opens the 0.6935 topside cap
Break of the 0.68837 session low exposes the 0.6865 support zone
US Nonfarm Payrolls ~11h out is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read via USD
01:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 0.68912
Range below 0.6900 after NY spike faded.
Asia session sits below 0.6900 after the NY-hours spike to 0.69156 fully faded, with USD firm on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price dipped to 0.68837 and was bought back to 0.68960 before easing; RSI(14) neutral near 46, no clean setup while stuck in the 0.6884–0.6896 band.
Support: 0.68837, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69035, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68837 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6835 cluster
Reclaim above 0.68960 reopens 0.69035 and the session high at 0.69156
US Nonfarm Payrolls in ~12h is the dominant near-term driver via USD
01:17 UTC
Range, drifting lower off spike high · RSI 47 · price 0.68941
Consolidation below 0.6900 after failed push to 0.6915.
Quiet Asian session, ranging under the 0.6900 round number after an earlier NY-hours spike to the 0.69156 swing high was rejected and faded. Price dipped to the 0.68837 session low and was bought back to 0.68941; structure remains contained with 3m low support at 0.6865 untested.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 round number reopens the 0.69156 swing high
US Nonfarm Payrolls ~11h out is the dominant catalyst via USD
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, easing lower · RSI 44 · price 0.68899
Faded off session high, back below 0.6890.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.69156 session high during NY hours and drifted lower through the Asia session, printing a session low at 0.68837 before a shallow bounce to 0.68899. USD stays firm into NFP; price sits below EMA20/50 with the 0.6893 recent pivot and 0.6905 prior high capping.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6905, 0.69156
What it said to watch
AU Trade Balance at 01:30 UTC (~30m) can move this read sharply
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
Close back above 0.6893 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.68837 opens the 0.6865 support zone
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.68853
Lower highs, breaking consolidation floor.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6900 area and broke the 0.6890-0.6893 consolidation floor into fresh session lows at 0.6884 in early Asia trade, with the USD firm on rising yields. RSI(14) near 37 as price trades below EMA20 and EMA50; the 0.69156 spike high remains capped.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6865 support zone opens the 0.6835 area
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number negates the downside break
US Nonfarm Payrolls in ~12h is the dominant USD catalyst
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 0.6886
Faded off 0.6915 spike, printing fresh session lows.
Asia session drifting lower after the London/NY spike to 0.69156 faded back below 0.6900, a level that rejected repeatedly. Price is now cutting fresh session lows near 0.6884 as USD holds firm on rising yields; RSI(14) sub-40 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6865 3-mo low opens 0.6835 and the 0.6707 objective
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number would negate the lower-low read
US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst via USD/yields
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading NY spike · RSI 34 · price 0.68846
Lower highs, breaking Asian range low.
AUDUSD faded the NY-session spike to 0.69156 and ground lower through Asia, now breaking the tight range to test the 0.68837 session low with RSI(14) around 33. USD held a bid on firm Treasury yields; price sits below EMA20/50 with sellers pressing the lows.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6893, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68837 opens the 0.6865 support cluster
Reclaim of 0.6893 recent pivot negates the breakdown
US NFP later today is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Lower highs since spike rejection, tight consolidation.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high at 0.69156 during NY hours then bled back, printing lower highs into the Asia session and now coiling tight around 0.6889 on thin volume. Rejection above 0.6915 has left price below the EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 41; the 0.68857 swing low is the immediate floor.
Support: 0.68857, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68966, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68857 swing low exposes the 0.68823 window low and 0.6865 support zone
Reclaim of 0.68966 session res needed to re-approach the 0.69156 session high
US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for USD