AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.68914
Consolidating below 0.6900 after NY pop faded.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 on the USD wobble then faded the entire move, leaving price pinned just under the 0.6900 psych level. Asia is thin and flat, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with no momentum in either direction.
Support: 0.68857, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69000 then 0.69156 reopens the 0.6935 cap
Break below 0.68857 session low exposes 0.6865
US NFP in ~13h is the dominant driver for this pair
23:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 44 · price 0.68915
Faded spike back into range, quiet consolidation.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69156 on a burst of volume then faded the entire move back below 0.6900, with USD firm on rising yields into NFP. Price now grinds sideways around 0.6892 on very thin late-session volume, RSI mid-40s and no momentum.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68823 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6865 support zone
Reclaim of 0.6900 needed to reopen the 0.69156 spike high
US NFP in ~13h is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
23:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6892
NY spike faded, back inside range.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then faded the entire move, dumping AUDUSD back to 0.6892 as USD held a firm bid. Now grinding lower on thin Asian-session volume, pinned just under the 0.6935 cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 support zone
Close above 0.6935 negates the downside range read
US Nonfarm Payrolls in ~13h is the dominant catalyst for this pair
23:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.6892
Consolidation below 0.6900 after spike rejection.
Quiet Asia session drift, coiling near 0.6892 below the 0.6900 round number after the London-NY spike to 0.6916 was rejected. Volume has thinned and ATR is compressing; no setup in play while price holds the 0.6885-0.6900 band.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6916
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6900 reopens the 0.6916 session high
Loss of 0.6885 confirms a lower low toward 0.6865
US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69156 during NY hours before fading back under 0.6900, and the Asian session is now grinding a tight 0.6890-0.6896 range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, price under both EMA20 and EMA50 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.68857, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 reopens the 0.69156 session high
Break below 0.68857 exposes 0.68823 then the 0.6865 cluster
AU Trade Balance ~01:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
22:31 UTC
Sideways after spike faded · RSI 46 · price 0.68928
Range below 0.6900, holding above session low.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69128 during NY hours then faded back below 0.6900, now grinding in a tight 0.6885-0.6895 range through quiet Asian session hours. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 46; no setup in play into the coming session.
Support: 0.68857, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69128, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 psych reopens the 0.69128 spike high
Loss of 0.68857 session low exposes 0.68823 swing low then the 0.6865 support zone
US ADP/ISM/NFP sequence is the dominant USD driver and can break this range
22:16 UTC
Downtrend fading into range · RSI 44 · price 0.68908
AUDUSD faded a NY-session spike to 0.6913 back to 0.6890 and is now consolidating in a tight band, RSI(14) mid-range near 43. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with the session low at 0.68857 still holding.
Support: 0.68857, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6897, 0.6913
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68857 confirms a lower low toward 0.68823
Reclaim of 0.68970 would reopen the 0.69130 spike high
US ADP/ISM/NFP flow ahead is the dominant driver for the next sessions
22:02 UTC
Range, slight downdrift · RSI 44 · price 0.68908
Consolidating below 0.6900 after spike faded.
London spike tagged 0.69156 then fully faded, leaving AUDUSD pinned below the 0.6900 round number with RSI in the mid-40s. Price is chopping in a tight 0.6884–0.6900 band into the Asia session as USD stays firm.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.68999, 0.69128
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 reopens the 0.69128 spike high
Break below 0.68844 session low exposes the 0.6865 support cluster
US NFP later this week is the dominant external driver for this pair
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, faded from NY spike · RSI 43 · price 0.68915
Range with lower highs post-spike.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then reverted hard, and price has since bled lower into Asia, printing lower highs back toward the 0.68857 session low. USD stays firm ahead of Friday's NFP, capping any AUD relief below the 0.6900 psych level.
Support: 0.68857, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69035, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.69000 psych would negate the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.68823 range low opens further downside
US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
21:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.68923
Capped below 0.6900 after midday spike faded.
The NY-session spike to 0.69156 faded back below 0.6900 within hours, leaving price ranging 0.6889–0.6905 as USD held firm into the payrolls window. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 with price back under both EMAs.
Support: 0.68885, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68885 confirms a lower-low toward 0.68823 day low
Reclaim and close above 0.6900 round number reopens the 0.69156 session high
US Nonfarm Payrolls (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
21:17 UTC
Down then flat, fading · RSI 44 · price 0.68945
Spike swept, retraced, now ranging.
NY session spiked to 0.69156, sweeping the range high before fading straight back below 0.6900 as USD firmed. Price has fully retraced the move and is now grinding sideways near 0.6894 into Asia hours on thinning volume, RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.68882, 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6935-0.6940 cap negates the downside read
Loss of 0.68882 session low exposes the 0.6865 support cluster
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver via USD
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then fully faded back below 0.6900, leaving a false break above the range. Price now grinds along 0.6890-0.6905 into the Asia handover with RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flat.
Support: 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69035, 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68844 session low opens the 0.6865 support cluster
Reclaim above 0.69035 recent high needed to re-test the 0.69156 ny spike high
US NFP later this week is the dominant external driver for this pair
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then faded, printing lower highs back to the session low near 0.6885 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. USD stayed firm ahead of Friday NFP, capping any AUD bounce as price drifts into the Asia open.
Support: 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6903, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68844 opens the 0.6865 support cluster
Reclaim of 0.69030 swing high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
20:31 UTC
Drift lower, spike faded · RSI 42 · price 0.68906
Rejection at spike high, back inside range.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 on the JOLTS/ISM-driven USD swings, then faded back below the 0.6900 psych level, now grinding around 0.6890 into a thin close. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum; price capped by a chain of lower highs off the spike.
Support: 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68844 swing low exposes the 0.6865 3mth low
Reclaim of 0.6900 psych needed to re-challenge the 0.69156 spike high
US NFP (Jul 2 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
20:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.68918
Range with faded intraday spike.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then fully faded, price grinding back below the 0.6900 psych level into late hours. Ranging 0.6888-0.6916 with a chain of lower highs; USD stays firm on hawkish-hold expectations.
Support: 0.6888, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6921
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 session high negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.68823 session low exposes the 0.6865 3-mth low
US NFP Jul 2 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6916 mid-NY on soft US ISM/ADP before the move faded, and price now grinds in a tight 0.6890-0.6900 band with RSI in the low 40s. Rejection under the 0.6900 psych level keeps the intraday tone flat into the Asia session, price holding just under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 swing high negates the fade
Break of 0.68844 swing low exposes the 0.6865 3mo low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, faded off NY spike · RSI 44 · price 0.68951
Ranging after failed push above 0.6915.
NY session spiked to a session high of 0.69156 then was rejected, price fading back to 0.6895 into the late-NY hours. Now ranging 0.6888–0.6912 below the 0.6900 round number, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum.
Support: 0.6888, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6912, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6912 (ny high) reopens the 0.69156 session high
Loss of 0.6888 session low exposes 0.68823 swing low and the 0.6865 3-mth low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
19:32 UTC
Consolidation after NY fade · RSI 44 · price 0.68963
Range below 0.6900 pivot, lower highs post-spike.
NY session spiked to 0.69128 midday then faded, and price now drifts in a tight 0.6892-0.6900 band as late-session volatility drains out. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with price under EMA20/50; no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.6892, 0.6882
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69128
What it said to watch
A close above 0.6900 psych reopens the 0.69128 ny high
Break below 0.68920 swing low exposes the 0.68820 day low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
19:16 UTC
Ranging near 0.6900, faded off NY spike · RSI 42 · price 0.68967
Range after spike rejection.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then faded straight back below 0.6905, and price has drifted lower into the close, coiling around the 0.6900 pivot near 0.68967. RSI(14) mid-40s with volatility compressing — no setup in play, just a stall above the 0.6882 session low.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6882 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.6865 three-month low
Reclaim of 0.6916 spike high reopens the 0.6940 range cap
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
NY session spiked to 0.69156 mid-afternoon then faded, price now back below the 0.6900 round number and drifting toward session lows into the close. RSI(14) near 41 with ATR compressed as the late-NY range tightens; move driven by a firm USD after resilient JOLTS.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number would reopen the 0.69156 session high
Loss of 0.68823 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6865 3-mth low
US NFP/ADP labor data is the dominant AUDUSD catalyst this week and could reset this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 0.68954
Range below 0.6900 after spike faded.
AUDUSD faded a NY-session spike to 0.6916 back below the 0.6900 handle, now drifting to 0.6895 as the USD stayed firm on hawkish Fed pricing. Price is pinned in a 0.6884-0.6916 range, RSI mid-40s with no momentum; ATR compressed to ~6 pips in the quiet late-session bars.
Support: 0.6884, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6884 session low reopens the 0.68823 day low
M15 close back above 0.6900 psych needed to re-test the 0.6916 spike high
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
NY session spiked to 0.69156 on the ADP/ISM misses then fully faded, price now back near the 0.6890 session low with RSI(14) around 44. Rejection at the spike high has left AUDUSD ranging 0.6885–0.6916, 0.6900 pivot capping the recovery attempts.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 opens the 0.6865 three-month low
Move above 0.6940 neutralizes the near-term downside read
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
18:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower off NY spike · RSI 43 · price 0.68955
Consolidation between 0.6889 and 0.6912 after spike faded.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 around the soft US ADP/ISM prints, then faded straight back below the 0.6900 round number and has since consolidated between 0.6889 and 0.6912. Price is holding under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 42, no directional resolution yet.
Support: 0.6889, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6912 reopens the 0.69156 session high; above 0.6940 neutralizes the near-term downside read
Loss of 0.6889 exposes the 0.68844 swing low
US NFP Jul 2 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
18:02 UTC
Range after NY fade · RSI 46 · price 0.68989
Consolidation near 0.6900 pivot.
NY session spiked to 0.6916 on the US data batch (soft ADP/ISM) then faded the whole move back to the 0.6900 pivot, a false break of the prior range. Price now coils in a tight 0.6898–0.6905 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6916 reopens the path to the 0.6940 range cap
Failure to hold 0.6882 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
17:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.68987
Consolidating below NY spike high.
NY session spiked from 0.6885 to 0.69156 on soft US ADP/ISM, then faded straight back to 0.6900 — rejection at the highs. Price now ranging 0.6896–0.6905 into the late session, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69128, 0.69156
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69128 reopens the 0.6940 area
Failure to hold 0.6896 exposes the 0.68823 day low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
17:31 UTC
Range-bound, off session lows · RSI 52 · price 0.69018
Range after NY spike faded.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 before fading straight back below 0.6905, leaving a false break at the highs. Price now consolidating 0.6898-0.6905 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6898, 0.68851, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69079, 0.69128, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69128 reopens the 0.6940 range cap
Loss of 0.6898 range floor exposes the 0.68823 session low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
17:16 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.68992
NY spike faded, consolidating at 0.6900.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 on the soft US ADP/ISM prints then faded straight back, leaving price pinned to the 0.6900 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 48 as the pair consolidates in a tight 0.68963–0.6905 range.
Support: 0.68963, 0.68851, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6905, 0.69156, 0.6900
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68851 confirms a lower-low and reopens session lows
Reclaim of 0.6905 puts the 0.69156 ny high back in play
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
AUDUSD spent London hours pinned in a 0.6885-0.6895 range before a sharp NY break higher to 0.69156, aided by a softer US data run (ADP miss). Price has since cooled back to the 0.6900 psych pivot and is consolidating, RSI(14) neutral near 50 after the spike.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69156 session high opens the 0.6920 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6900 psych exposes the 0.6885 range base
US NFP Thu 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
NY session spiked to 0.69156 on soft US ADP/ISM prints then faded, with AUD giving back most of the pop to consolidate around 0.6900. The session low at 0.68823 held during London, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6890, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69128, 0.69234
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69128 reopens the 0.69234 prior high
Loss of 0.68900 range base exposes the 0.68823 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead
Consolidating below spike high after session-low bounce.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68844 session low into NY hours, spiking to 0.69156 before rejection dragged it back into a tight 0.6896–0.6905 consolidation. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with ATR around 8 pips; the pair is pinned to the 0.6900 psych level as the firm-USD backdrop caps recovery.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68963, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.69104, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.69104 range top would expose the 0.69156 spike high
Loss of 0.69000 psych and 0.68963 swing low reopens the 0.68844 session low
US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
16:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.6903
Consolidation under session high.
AUDUSD rallied off the 0.6884 swing low into a 0.69156 spike during NY hours, then rejected and settled into a tight 0.6900-0.6905 consolidation, RSI(14) neutral near 52. No fresh direction while the session high caps and the 0.6884 base holds.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69156 reopens the 0.6940 range cap
Loss of 0.6884 swing low reasserts the downside toward the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
NY session spiked to 0.69156 then faded, now consolidating near 0.6900 between the 0.6896 swing low and the 0.69128 ny high; rejection capped the topside. USD held firm on the JOLTS beat while ADP/ISM misses tempered the bid, keeping AUDUSD hemmed in. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum edge.
Support: 0.6896, 0.6882
Resistance: 0.69128, 0.69234
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69128 ny high opens the path to 0.6935/0.6940
Failure to hold 0.6896 swing low exposes the 0.6882 session low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
NY session ripped from the 0.68844 session low to a 0.69156 spike high on the USD wobble after the ADP/ISM misses, then gave back roughly half the move. Price is now consolidating around 0.6900, RSI(14) back near neutral, with the spike high still capping.
Support: 0.68963, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.69128, 0.69156
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69156 reopens the 0.6940 topside cap
Break of 0.68844 confirms a fresh lower-low
US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
AUDUSD recovered off 0.6884 with a sharp NY-session spike to 0.6916 before rejection dragged it back to 0.6901. Now ranging 0.6885-0.6916 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; tone stays heavy sub-0.6940 as USD holds a safe-haven bid.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6916 session high reopens the 0.6940 topside cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6865 3-mo low
US NFP Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
15:17 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 0.68989
Sweep above then fade, back to mid-range.
NY session spiked to 0.69156 and was rejected, price fading back to 0.6899 near the middle of the day's range. Earlier London-into-NY sold down to the 0.68844 session low before demand recovered; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum edge either way.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.69035, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 reopens the 0.6935 cap
Failure to hold 0.68844 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6865
US NFP Thu is the dominant cross-market catalyst for the pair
15:02 UTC
Recovery off session lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69025
Range base held, intraday rally rejected.
NY session sparked a sharp AUD relief spike from 0.68844 to 0.69156, breaking above the 0.6900 round level after AUD had drifted near 3-month lows. That high was rejected and price settled back to 0.6903, holding above 0.6900. RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s as the move stalled.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69128, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6935 negates near-term downside targets
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens the 0.68844 session low
US NFP (Jul 2) is the dominant cross-market catalyst for AUD/USD
Sharp rally off session low, now pulling back below 0.6916 high.
NY session produced a sharp relief spike from the 0.68844 session low to 0.69156, part of the USD-driven AUD bounce, before stalling and drifting back to 0.6903. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike toward mid-range as price holds just above the 0.6900 psych level.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 reopens the 0.6935 cap
Failure to hold 0.6900 exposes the 0.68844 session low
US NFP (Jul 2, 12:30 UTC) is the key cross-market catalyst for this pair
NY session ripped from 0.6884 to a session high of 0.69156 in a USD-driven relief bounce, then got rejected straight back to 0.6904. Move stalled short of the 0.6940 cap flagged in the digest; RSI(14) cooling off its highs into mid-range.
Support: 0.68844, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69156 opens the 0.6940 cap
Failure to hold 0.68844 reopens the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP/ISM are the key cross-market catalysts that could reshape this read
NY session snapped a sharp rally off a double bottom near 0.6884, reclaiming the 0.6900 psych level to a session high at 0.69156 before pulling back to 0.69063; AUD downside this week is a USD story, so the bounce follows softer US labour prints. RSI(14) has cooled to ~58 after the pop and price now holds just above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68844, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens the 0.6884 double bottom
Close above 0.6935 cap extends the recovery
US ISM/NFP are cross-market catalysts that could reshape this read
Based 0.6882-0.6895 all day, broke higher into NY.
AUDUSD ground lower from 0.6929 through the session to a 0.6882 base, then spiked to 0.69156 in the NY window as softer US ADP muddied the pre-NFP dollar read. Price pulled back to 0.6907 after the breakout, holding above EMA20/50 but stalling below the 0.6929-0.6940 cap.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68823, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.69156, 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6940 negates near-term downside targets
Failure to hold the 0.6882 swing low reopens 0.6867 range low
AUDUSD snapped ~30 pips higher in the last three bars off a double bottom at 0.6882/0.6884, reclaiming the 0.6900 round number as USD softened into the ISM print. RSI(14) is hot near 71 after the impulse; the 0.69293 prior high is the next area to watch.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68851, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.69293, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing due imminently — could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6935 cap negates near-term downside targets
Failure to hold 0.6900 round puts the 0.6885 swing low back in play
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6929 session high into a base around 0.6884, then swept that low to 0.68844 before a sharp recovery to 0.69006, closing back at 0.6897 — the USD-driven downside noted in the digest. Price now ranges below the 0.6900 psych level with RSI(14) recovered to neutral.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens the 0.6929 session high
Break below 0.6884 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US ISM/NFP cluster ahead is the dominant AUDUSD catalyst
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to lows · RSI 42 · price 0.68856
Lower highs, session low retest.
AUDUSD rolled over from the early spike to 0.69293 and has ground lower all session on a firm USD tape, the last bar sweeping down to 0.68844. Price is back near session lows below EMA20/50; the 0.68992 rebound high capped the bounce and RSI(14) sits mid-40s.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68992, 0.69293, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing PMI due imminently — could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 three-month low
Close back above 0.68992 negates the lower-high sequence
13:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.6893
Consolidation below 0.6900 after slide off 0.6929.
AUDUSD pinned below 0.6900 after sliding from the 0.6929 session high into a 0.6882 low during Asia, with a firmer USD on the JOLTS beat driving the tape. Price now grinds a tight 0.6885-0.6898 range into the NY session; RSI(14) flat near 49, no directional impulse.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6929, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Warsh speech 13:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC can break this range fast
M15 close above 0.6898 reopens 0.6929 session high
Loss of 0.6885 range floor exposes 0.6882 swing low then 0.6865
12:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.68923
Consolidation near session lows after bounce.
AUDUSD slid toward 0.6890 near 3-month lows earlier as firmer US yields/USD post-JOLTS drove risk-off. A bounce off 0.68820 stalled below 0.68990, and price is now coiling in a tight 0.68865-0.68990 range with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.68865, 0.6882
Resistance: 0.6899, 0.6914, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68990 reopens the 0.69140 prior swing
Break below 0.68820 exposes further downside
Warsh speech 13:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could break this range
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 52 · price 0.6895
Consolidation after leg down from 0.6929.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.6929 to a 0.6882 session low as the JOLTS beat lifted US yields and the USD, then based in a tight 0.6885-0.6898 range. Price is chopping just under the 0.6900 round number with RSI near neutral; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69134, 0.69293
What it said to watch
ADP 12:15 UTC, Warsh 13:00 and ISM 14:00 could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.6882 exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
M15 close above 0.6913 negates the near-term downside structure
12:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.68947
Consolidation under 0.6900 after slide from 0.6929.
AUDUSD is coiling between 0.6885 and 0.6899 through the London-NY transition after the earlier slide from 0.6929, with the USD firm on the JOLTS beat and rising yields. Demand held twice near 0.6882-0.6885, forming a shallow double bottom, but supply capped the bounce below 0.6900. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52; intraday ATR is tight at ~4 pips.
Support: 0.68851, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68992, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68992 targets the 0.6935 cap and negates near-term downside
Failure to hold 0.68823 session low opens the 0.6865 three-month low
US NFP is the key cross-market catalyst and could reset this range
12:02 UTC
Range after early leg lower · RSI 50 · price 0.68935
Consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6929 high early in the window down to a 0.6882 swing low as firmer US yields drove a risk-off tape, then stabilised into a tight 0.6886-0.6898 range through NY hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with ATR compressed around 4 pips; price is chopping just under EMA50 with no directional break in play.
Support: 0.68865, 0.68823
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.69293, 0.6935
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6898 range top opens 0.6929
Failure to hold 0.6882 swing low exposes 0.6867
US ADP 12:15 UTC could break the range
11:46 UTC
Choppy, mild recovery within range · RSI 51 · price 0.68951
Ranging after fade from 0.6929 high.
AUDUSD faded from an early 0.6929 high back to 0.6882 as firmer US yields kept the pair pinned below 0.6900, and is now consolidating 0.6885–0.6899. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 0.6885; range top at 0.68992 still caps a shallow recovery.
Support: 0.68854, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68992, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68992 then 0.6935 negates near-term downside
Close below 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 3-month low
US ADP 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Consolidating, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.68966
Range after sell-off from 0.6929.
AUDUSD is consolidating around 0.6890 after selling from the 0.6929 NY swing high overnight, pressured by firmer US yields post-JOLTS. London hours are grinding back toward the 0.6899 session high with the range floor near 0.6885 holding on repeated tests.
Support: 0.68854, 0.68823, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.68992, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68992 opens the 0.6935 cap
Break below 0.68854 exposes the 0.68823 swing low then 0.6867
ADP at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.68966
Range after intraday pullback.
AUD slid from 0.6929 into the Asia session on firm US yields and the JOLTS beat, but the 0.68823 swing low held and price bounced back to 0.6896. Through London it has ranged 0.68882–0.6900, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.68882, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69134
What it said to watch
US ADP at 12:15 UTC (~1h out) could shift this read
close above 0.6900 round then 0.69134 prior swing opens recovery
break of 0.68882 range low exposes 0.68823 swing low then 0.6865 3-mo low
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6930 ceiling during NY hours yesterday and bottomed at 0.6882 in the Asian session, twice defending that swing low. It's now grinding back toward the 0.6900 psych level into London-NY, RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6930
What it said to watch
US ADP at 12:15 UTC (next hour) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.6900 opens a retest of the 0.6930 ceiling
Break below 0.6882 swing low exposes the 0.6867 3-mo low
10:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.68954
Consolidation under 0.6896 after slide off 0.6929.
AUD spiked to 0.6929 during NY hours yesterday then bled back to 0.6882 as the USD-bid tape on rising US yields reasserted. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.6882-0.6896 band through Asia into London, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6896 opens a retest of the 0.6929 ceiling
Break of 0.6882 exposes the 0.6867 3-month low
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could break the range
10:31 UTC
Pullback stalling, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.68931
Tight range under a lower high.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.69293 during prior NY hours then slid to 0.68820 as US yields firmed on the JOLTS beat, and has since coiled in a tight 0.6882-0.6894 band through the Asian session into London. RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional setup in play, price ranging under a lower high.
Support: 0.6882, 0.68867
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.69293, 0.6930
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68944 range top opens the 0.6930 ceiling
Loss of 0.68820 exposes the 0.6867 3-month low
US ADP at 12:15 UTC could break this range
10:16 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.68892
Range after intraday selloff.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 early in the window then faded through London, slipping back under 0.6900 as USD firmed on the JOLTS beat and rising Fed hike bets. Price now coils in a tight 0.6882-0.6895 range with RSI(14) near midline and ATR compressed around 4 pips.
Support: 0.68821, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.68945, 0.6913, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.68945 range top would reopen 0.6913
Break of 0.68821 swing low points toward the 0.6867 3-mo low
US ADP at 12:15 UTC could break this consolidation
10:02 UTC
Pullback stalling into range · RSI 48 · price 0.68884
Consolidation under 0.6900 after retrace of NY rally.
AUDUSD is consolidating 0.6885–0.6895 during London hours after fully retracing the NY-session rally that topped at 0.6929. Heavy sub-0.6900 as firm US yields dominate the tape; RSI(14) neutral near 48 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6867
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Break of 0.6882 swing low opens the 0.6867 3-mo low
Reclaim of 0.6896 needed to challenge the 0.6929 session high
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 49 · price 0.68912
Consolidation near lows after decline from 0.6929.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6885–0.6894 after fading from the 0.6929 peak, pressed lower by a firmer USD on the hawkish-Fed/JOLTS repricing. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse into the NY session.
Support: 0.68854, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.6900, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68854 exposes 0.68823 range base then the 0.6865 3mo low
Move above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside per the digest
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could break this range
Consolidation near session lows after morning decline.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 in the London session then bled lower through the day as a firm USD (JOLTS beat, higher yields) kept the Aussie on the defensive. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6882-0.6894 band just above the session low, RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 3-month low
Reclaim of 0.6894 range top would ease the intraday downside
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Faded rally, now ranging near lows · RSI 48 · price 0.68919
Consolidation after lower high, holding 0.6882.
AUDUSD faded an early rally to 0.6929 and has been ranging 0.6882-0.6894 through the London session, capped by firm USD and rising UST yields. RSI(14) is flat near 48 with no momentum; price is pinned just below the 0.6940 pivot.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Mfg (14:00 UTC) could break this range
Close below 0.6882 opens the 0.6865 3-mo low
Move above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.68906
Range after morning selloff, sub-0.6900.
AUDUSD sold off through the London morning from 0.6929 to a 0.68823 swing low as a firmer USD kept it pinned below 0.6900, then stabilised into a tight 0.6885–0.6894 range. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price is chopping around EMA20 with no setup in play.
Support: 0.68865, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.6900, 0.69117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68823 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6865 3-month low
Close above 0.6900 negates the sub-figure range read
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) could break this range
Consolidation under pivot after rejection at 0.6929.
AUDUSD rallied to 0.6929 during yesterday's NY session then faded back under the 0.6900 pivot as a firmer USD reasserted itself. Price is now consolidating 0.6882-0.6944 into London hours with RSI(14) neutral near 49; supply capped attempts back toward 0.6944.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6944, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 pivot reopens 0.6944 session high
Break below 0.6882 swing low exposes the 0.6865 3-mo low
US ADP/ISM later today could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Retrace faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.68907
Range after decline off 0.6929.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 during NY hours before rolling over back below 0.6900 as a firm USD dominated. Price is now ranging 0.68823–0.6896 in the Asia-London handover, pinned near 3-month lows with RSI flat around 49.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69128, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68823 session low exposes the 0.6865 3-mo low
Reclaim above 0.6896 range top needed to challenge 0.69128 prior high
AUD Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could shift this range read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 48 · price 0.68915
Ranging 0.6882-0.6896 after fade from 0.6929.
London session grinding in a tight 0.6882-0.6896 range after NY faded the rally from 0.6929 into the session low at 0.6882. AUD stays pinned sub-0.6900 with a firmer USD in play; RSI(14) sits mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6882 session low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
Reclaim of 0.6896 swing high needed to re-test 0.6929 day high
US ADP/ISM later today could shift the USD-led read
08:02 UTC
Faded from session high, now ranging sub-0.6900 · RSI 49 · price 0.68922
Lower highs off 0.6929 peak, basing near 0.6890.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 during yesterday's London-NY overlap then faded through NY and Asia back below 0.6900 as a firm USD dominated. Now consolidating around 0.6890 into the London open, RSI(14) flat near 49 with the 0.6900 pivot capping recovery attempts.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6912, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.6900 pivot would negate the sub-figure fade
Break of 0.6885 recent low exposes the 0.6865 three-month low
US ADP (12:15 GMT) and ISM (14:00 GMT) could shift this USD-led read
07:46 UTC
Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.68889
Lower highs off 0.6929, consolidating.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 in early London then faded back below 0.6900, printing lower highs as a firmer USD reasserted on Fed hike bets. Now consolidating around 0.6889 in a tight 0.6885-0.6896 band with RSI mid-40s, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.68854, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6900, 0.6921
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68823 session low opens the path toward the 0.6865 3-mo low
Reclaim of 0.6900 psych needed to negate the fade from 0.6929
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs since NY peak, chopping near session lows.
AUDUSD was rejected at 0.6929 during NY hours yesterday and has ground steadily lower, now pinned near session lows around 0.6886 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. USD strength on Fed hike bets keeps AUD heavy; 0.68823 is the immediate floor, with the 0.6865 3-month low just beneath.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6920, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68823 exposes the 0.6865 3-month low
Reclaim of 0.6896 / 0.6920 would negate the intraday lower-high sequence
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
AUDUSD rallied to 0.6929 in the prior NY session then rolled back under 0.6900, with USD strength on Fed hike bets overriding hawkish RBA. Price now grinds in a tight 0.6882-0.6896 range into the London open, holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6913, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6882 session low exposes the 0.6865 3-month low
Close above 0.6896 swing high needed to re-challenge 0.6913 prior high
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Faded from NY spike, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.68915
Consolidation after lower high.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 in the NY session on hawkish RBA minutes and a firm local PMI, then faded through Asia to a 0.6882 session low. Price is now consolidating 0.6885-0.6895 into the London open, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 after the pullback.
Support: 0.68865, 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69173, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6940 negates the near-term downside read
Clean break of 0.6865 support opens the 0.6830 leg
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Warsh (13:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
06:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.68887
Consolidating after fade from 0.6929 peak.
AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.6929 during NY hours on hawkish RBA minutes and a firm local PMI beat, then faded steadily back to a session low at 0.68823. Now consolidating 0.6885-0.6896 in early European hours, capped below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6915, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Break of 0.6865 key support opens the 0.6830 leg
Reclaim of 0.6915 prior high negates the near-term downside
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Warsh 13:00 UTC could shift this read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend off peak, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.68902
Faded from 0.6929, ranging in Asia.
NY session drove AUDUSD to 0.6929 before it faded into the Asia session, bottoming at 0.6882 on the RBA-vs-firm-USD standoff. Price is now compressed in a tight 0.6885-0.6896 range into the London open, RSI neutral near 47 and ATR down to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69134, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6882 opens the 0.6865 support
Reclaim of 0.69134 negates the near-term downside read
US ADP 12:15 GMT could break this consolidation
06:16 UTC
Pullback from highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.68898
Lower highs off 0.6929, basing near 0.6882.
AUD/USD pulled back from the NY-session peak at 0.6929 and found demand near 0.6882, now consolidating around 0.6890 into the Asia-London handover. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with the 0.6896 range top capping attempts higher.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6912, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6882 opens the 0.6865 support
Reclaim of 0.6912 needed to re-challenge the 0.6929 day high
AUD Trade Balance Thu 01:30 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD rallied into the NY session to peak at 0.6929, then faded overnight through Asia, basing at 0.68823 before recovering to consolidate near 0.6890 into early London. RSI(14) is neutral around 54 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips; price sits back above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6915, 0.6940
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69150 then 0.6940 would negate the pullback read
Break of 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 support
US ADP (12:15 GMT) and ISM (14:00 GMT) could shift the USD leg materially
AUDUSD sold off from the NY-session high at 0.6929 to 0.6882, then based through Asia and is grinding back toward 0.689. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6885; price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.68823, 0.68865, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.68957, 0.6915, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside read
Break of 0.6882 opens 0.6835
US ADP 12:15 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
05:31 UTC
Faded from highs, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.68939
Lower highs off 0.6929 peak, basing near lows.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 during NY hours yesterday on hawkish RBA digestion, then bled back through the session and is now consolidating 0.6882-0.6894 in Asian trade. Buyers stepped in twice at 0.6882; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68944, 0.69147, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69147 negates the near-term downside read
Failure to hold 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 support
US ADP/ISM (12:15/14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg materially
AUD spiked to 0.6929 during the London-NY window on hawkish RBA minutes and a firm local PMI, then faded steadily as the USD stayed bid, printing lower highs into the Asia session. Price is now consolidating 0.6882-0.6894 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hovering near neutral.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6912, 0.6924
What it said to watch
Break below 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 key support
Reclaim of 0.6912 would negate the lower-highs sequence
US ADP/ISM later today could shift the USD leg materially
05:02 UTC
Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.68915
Lower highs off 0.6929, consolidating near lows.
AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.69293 during NY hours then faded steadily through the Asian session, now consolidating around 0.6889 near the 61.8% retracement of that move. Price is pinned between 0.6882 and 0.6920 with RSI(14) neutral; ADP and ISM later today are the near-term catalysts.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68823 session low opens 0.6865 support
Break above 0.6920 neutralizes the fade off 0.69293
US ADP/ISM later today can drive the next range break
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.6929 during NY hours, then drifted steadily lower through the Asian session, now sitting on the 61.8% fib retrace near 0.6891. Buyers stepped in at 0.6882 to arrest the slide; range support at 0.6865 remains untested.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6921, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68823 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6865 range support
Reclaim of 0.6921 prior high neutralizes the pullback
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rallied to a 0.6929 swing high before fading through the prior session, with a rejection near the 0.6923 range top leaving a chain of lower highs. Price is now consolidating around 0.6888 in early Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and holding just above the 0.68823 swing low.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68823 opens the 0.6865 downside pivot
Reclaim of the 0.691 range top negates the lower-high sequence
US ADP/ISM later today can materially shift this read
AUDUSD rejected the 0.69293 session high early and sold through Asia hours to a 0.68823 swing low, with a hawkish-RBA/China-PMI tailwind still capped by a firm USD. Price is now consolidating 0.6886–0.6892 just under the 0.68921 swing high; RSI(14) has recovered off its lows but sits below 50.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.68921, 0.6910, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.68921 swing high would ease the downside pressure toward prior range at 0.6910
Loss of 0.68823 swing low opens the 0.6865 pivot
US ADP (12:15 UTC), Warsh and ISM later today can materially shift this read
AUDUSD rallied into the London-NY overlap to a 0.6929 session high, then faded steadily through NY and Asia to sit near the 61.8% retrace around 0.689. Sellers capped the bounce at the 0.6921 lower high; buyers stepped in at 0.6882 to stall the slide.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6921, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6921 lower high would break the down-sequence
Loss of 0.68823 swing low opens the 0.6865 pivot
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, leg lower into Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.68883
Lower highs, broke below consolidation floor.
AUDUSD topped at the 0.6929 session high during London-NY, then rolled over and broke below the 0.6910 consolidation floor through the Asia session, printing a low at 0.68823 as the firm USD capped the RBA-driven bounce. Price is now hovering at 0.68883 with RSI(14) near 41, below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.6910 invalidates the breakdown read
Break below 0.6865 pivot opens the path toward 0.6835
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM could reprice USD and shift this read
Lower highs off 0.6929, now consolidating near 0.6890.
AUDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.6929 during the London-NY window before rolling over, sliding back to 0.6882 as a firm USD and Fed-hike repricing capped the RBA-hawkish tailwind. Price is now consolidating around 0.6890 in the Asian session, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6915, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6882 opens the 0.6865 pivot
Reclaim above 0.6915 negates the lower-high sequence
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.6929 session high and printed a chain of lower highs into the Asia session, bottoming at 0.6882 before a shallow bounce to 0.6890. RSI(14) near 42 shows fading downside momentum, with price capped below EMA20/50 inside the digest's 0.6870–0.6915 box.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6912, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6882 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.6865 downside pivot
Reclaim of 0.6912 range top negates the intraday lower-high sequence
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and ISM could materially shift this read via Fed-hike repricing
03:02 UTC
Intraday pullback from NY high · RSI 36 · price 0.68884
Lower highs, fading toward range low.
AUD/USD spiked to 0.6929 during the NY session, then faded steadily through the Asian hours back to the 0.6888 area near the session low. RSI(14) around 36 with price under EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the pair pinned at the lower end of the 0.6870-0.6915 range.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6865 pivot opens 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.69130 range top negates the fade
US ADP/ISM later today could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend after session-high rejection · RSI 45 · price 0.68922
Lower highs, lower lows off 0.6929, modest bounce.
AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY window to a session high of 0.6929, then rolled over and carved lower highs and lower lows back to 0.68823 into Asia. Price is bouncing to 0.68922 near the 61.8% retrace of the prior up-leg, RSI recovering off its lows, still capped by the 0.6915 range top.
Support: 0.68823, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6915, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68823 confirms lower-low, opens 0.6865 pivot
Reclaim of 0.6915 range top negates the pullback read
US ADP/ISM later today plus NFP this week can shift this range
02:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 36 · price 0.68891
Lower highs, testing session low.
AUDUSD rallied into the NY session to a high at 0.6929 on the softer US data before rolling over through late NY and Asia back to 0.6889. Price now presses the session low at 0.6882 with RSI(14) near 36; the 0.6914 breakdown level capped the last bounce and macro support at 0.6865 sits below.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6914, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6882 opens the 0.6865 macro support
Recovery above 0.6914 breakdown level negates the lower-high sequence
US ADP/Warsh later today and NFP this week are the dominant USD-side catalysts
02:16 UTC
Rolling over, downside pressure · RSI 32 · price 0.68851
Lower highs after rejection from 0.6929.
AUDUSD topped at 0.6929 during NY hours then rounded over, and the Asian session has broken the 0.6910 consolidation floor, dragging price to a session low of 0.6882 with RSI(14) near 31. The move fits the downside-biased AUD read as the USD firms into this week's US labor data.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6913, 0.6929
What it said to watch
A break of 0.6865 support opens 0.6835 per desks
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number would neutralise the breakdown
US ADP/ISM later today could shift the USD leg materially
02:02 UTC
Pullback after rally, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.68904
Lower highs off 0.6929, testing 0.6890.
Asia session grinding lower after the earlier rally stalled at the 0.6929 session high; price has now retraced 61.8% of that move and sits on the 0.6888 session low with RSI(14) near 34. AUD is logging a third day of losses near 3-month lows as a firm USD offsets hawkish RBA minutes, keeping the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 0.6888, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6921, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6888 exposes the 0.6865 range floor
Recovery above 0.6921 negates the lower-high sequence
US NFP later this week the dominant external driver
01:46 UTC
Rolled over from highs, downside momentum · RSI 32 · price 0.68939
Lower highs after rounded top, at session lows.
AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.69293 in the prior session before rolling over into a rounded top, and has now broken back below the 0.6900 round number during early Asia hours, printing lower highs. RSI(14) near 31 as the pair sits at session lows around 0.6894, with the digest citing firm USD ahead of NFP capping any rebound.
Support: 0.68924, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6921, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68924 session low opens the 0.6865 key support
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number would ease the downside read
US NFP Thursday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this structure
AUDUSD faded a NY-session pop to 0.6929, rolling over through Asia and slicing below the 0.6910 range base to print fresh session lows sub-0.6900. RSI(14) near 31 as the slide accelerates, price back below both EMAs; 0.6865 is the next support in focus per the broader USD-firm backdrop.
Support: 0.68937, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.69234, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6910 negates the range break
Break below 0.6865 opens the 0.6835 support zone
US ADP/ISM today and NFP Thursday could reset this read
NY session peaked at 0.69293 then faded through the overnight hours, with a firmer USD pre-payrolls capping the AUD rebound. Asia hours broke back below the 0.6900 round number and printed a session low at 0.68950, RSI(14) cooling into the low 30s.
Support: 0.6895, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6921, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 round number would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.68950 session low opens the 0.6865 key support zone
Reclaim of 0.69210 swing high needed to repair intraday structure
US ADP/ISM today and NFP Thursday could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 then rolled into a 0.6915-0.6920 range through the Asian session, and price has now broken the 0.6915 floor, testing the 0.6900 psych level with RSI(14) cooling near 34. Firm USD off the JOLTS beat is the backdrop keeping the Aussie heavy despite hawkish RBA minutes.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6915, 0.6920, 0.6929
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6915 range floor negates the breakdown
M15 close below 0.6900 psych opens the 0.6865 cxt support
ADP/NFP US labor data this week could shift the USD leg
00:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high, momentum down · RSI 39 · price 0.69031
NY rally faded, Asia drifting lower off consolidation.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6929 during NY hours then faded, consolidating near 0.6915-0.6920 through Asia before rolling over to 0.6903. RSI(14) at 38 with price back below EMA20/50; the pullback is now testing the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally around 0.6889.
Support: 0.68894, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6889 opens 0.6865 key support
Reclaim of 0.6920 consol top negates the pullback toward 0.6929
US ADP and ISM Manufacturing later today could shift the USD leg
00:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.69069
Rally to session high, now fading from consolidation.
AUDUSD ran to a session high of 0.69293 during NY hours on the USD wobble, then consolidated 0.6910-0.6920 before fading to 0.6906 in thin early-Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price has slipped back under both EMAs; the range top held on the retest.
Support: 0.69058, 0.6890, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69293
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69058 session low opens 0.6890 then the 0.6865 major support
Reclaim of 0.6920 range top needed to re-challenge the 0.69293 session high
US ADP/ISM later today could materially shift the USD leg
00:16 UTC
NY rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.69106
Consolidation below 0.6929 high.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the Asian range to a 0.6929 session high before rejection, RSI now cooling near 42. Price has since consolidated 0.6910–0.6920 and is edging toward the lower end in thin Asia hours, with USD firmness into Wed ADP/ISM the backdrop.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69293
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6900 psych opens the 0.6865 key supp
Reclaim of 0.6920 swing high puts the 0.6929 session high back in play
US ADP/ISM (Wed) could materially shift the USD leg
00:02 UTC
Rally stalling, fading into Asia · RSI 42 · price 0.69108
Consolidation below session high after breakout.
NY session broke the prior range and spiked to 0.6929 before rejection, then price consolidated in the 0.6915-0.6923 band. Asia hours have drifted the pair back to the session low near 0.69100 on thin volume, RSI(14) easing toward 42.
Support: 0.6910, 0.6890, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69234, 0.6929
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69234 reopens the 0.6929 range top
Loss of 0.69100 exposes the 0.6890 breakout retest
US ADP/ISM (Wed) could shift the USD leg and this read