AUDUSD chopped in a 0.6865–0.6930 band for most of the week before a sharp leg up as the soft US NFP print drove broad USD selling, tagging a 0.6943 week high. Price has since eased back to consolidate above the 0.6900 round number, holding above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Lower highs into 0.6930 mark the prior cap capping the pullback.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68865, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6900 round number reopens the 0.68865 week base
H1 close above 0.6930 prior cap exposes the 0.6943 week high
US ISM Services Mon could reshape the post-NFP USD read
AUDUSD coiled on its 200-EMA near 0.6900 for most of the week before a sharp impulse lifted it to 0.6943 as softer US labour data pressured the dollar. Price has since drifted back and is holding a range floor around 0.6914, still above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 0.6930 cap has contained the pullback highs; upside stalls there while 0.6900 remains the pivot below.
Support: 0.6914, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6914 reopens the 0.6900 200-EMA pivot
Break above 0.6930 cap exposes the 0.6943 week high
US NFP / ISM Services repricing could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spent most of the week coiling around the 0.6900 psych pivot before the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) fired a spike through the 0.6930 range cap to a week high near 0.6943. Price has since settled back around 0.6920, holding above EMA20 with RSI cooling from the impulse. The prior coil top now sits as the first reference below.
Support: 0.6912, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6943, 0.6930
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 psych pivot reopens the 0.6865–0.6930 range
Break above 0.6943 week high extends the recovery toward 0.6980
US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift this read
The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp AUDUSD spike from 0.6887 to the 0.6943 week high in the NY session, breaking out of the prior 0.6865-0.6930 coil. Price has since eased back and is consolidating between 0.6915 and 0.6935, holding above EMA20 and the 0.6900 pivot. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back toward mid-range as the impulse stalls under the week high.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 puts the NFP breakout back inside the prior coil
Sustained move above 0.6943 opens the 0.6980 range top
US ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could reprice the USD leg
AUDUSD ground sideways in a ~0.6885–0.6900 range for most of the week before a soft-headline US NFP print (57K vs 110K) lifted it in a sharp NY-session spike to 0.6943, breaking out above the prior consolidation. Price has since faded back to consolidate just above 0.6914 with RSI cooling off its post-NFP high; EMA20 and EMA50 both sit below price around the 0.6900 handle. The 0.6930 shelf that capped earlier rebounds is now the immediate overhead pivot.
Support: 0.6914, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6943
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6914 reopens the 0.6900 round number
Close above 0.6930 puts the 0.6943 week high back in focus
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the decisive USD catalysts for this range
21:04 UTC
Recovering off the range, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69217
Breakout above weekly range, now consolidating.
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned near 0.6900 below a 0.6930 cap, then broke higher into the NY session as the soft US NFP headline (57K vs 110K) knocked the dollar, spiking to 0.69429 before settling back to 0.6920. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-50s, and the pullback has stalled around a rising higher-low support near 0.6915. The move sits on a ~38% retrace of the NFP impulse.
Support: 0.6915, 0.6900, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6915 rising support would put the 0.6900 200-ema pin back in play
A close above 0.69429 week high opens the path toward the 0.6980 band top
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could reprice the USD and break this range
Breakout from range, now consolidating below week high.
AUD/USD popped off the 0.6900 base into a 0.6943 week high on Thursday's US NFP miss (57K vs 110K), which sold the dollar and lifted the Aussie as a broad-USD proxy. Since the spike it has consolidated in the upper 0.6910s, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) settling back into the mid-50s as momentum cooled. The 0.6900 pivot the pair has tracked all week now sits below as prior-range support.
Support: 0.6914, 0.6900, 0.6887
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6943
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6943 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.6900 negates the breakout and reopens the 0.6887 base
US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spent most of the week coiled around the 0.6900 psych level before the NFP miss softened the USD and drove a sharp break to 0.6942, the week high, during the NY session. Price has since pulled back to 0.6919, holding above EMA20 as the 0.6935 cap contains the retest. The 0.6900 pivot below remains the structural line separating the breakout from a slide back toward the 0.6885 range base.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6942
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 negates the breakout and reopens the range
Break above 0.6935 cap toward the 0.6942 week high extends the move
US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes could reprice the USD leg here
AUD/USD ranged tightly around the 0.6900 psych pivot for most of the week before spiking to 0.69429 in the NY session after June NFP badly missed (57K vs 110K), pressuring the USD. Price has since eased back toward 0.6919, holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cooling from the spike. The 0.6930 cap now separates this pullback from a renewed push toward the week high.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 negates the breakout and returns price to the pre-break range
Reclaim of the 0.6930 cap opens the path back to the 0.69429 week high
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could shift the USD read
AUDUSD coiled around 0.6900 all week before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD lower and pushed the pair to a week high of 0.69429 in the NY session. Price has since eased back toward the 0.6920 area, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) off its peak near 59. The 0.6900 pivot, tracking the 200-day EMA, is the pivot the breakout now leans on.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68873, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6900 pivot would neutralise the breakout and re-open 0.68873
H1 close above 0.69429 week high extends the post-NFP move
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC minutes (Wed) could materially shift this USD-driven read
AUDUSD spent most of the week coiled around the 0.6900 psych pivot before a sharp NY-session spike to 0.69429 on the soft US June payrolls miss (57K vs 110K), driving a broad USD sell-off. Price has since faded back toward 0.6915, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 as the 0.6930 cap contains the pullback. RSI(14) has cooled off its post-NFP peak but sits above 50.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.6900 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss of it re-opens the prior range toward 0.6887
Sustained close above 0.6930 clears the cap and exposes the 0.69429 week high
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC and Monday US ISM Services could shift this read
AUDUSD coiled around 0.6900 all week before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD and drove a sharp NY-session leg from 0.6886 to the 0.69429 week high. Price is now retracing that impulse, holding above the 0.6900 pivot and both EMAs, with RSI easing back from stretched levels. The 0.6935/0.69429 zone is the area to watch after the breakout.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68862, 0.6894
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6935
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6900 pivot would reopen the 0.68862 swing low
A close back above 0.6935 keeps the breakout intact toward the week high
US ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) could reshape the USD leg driving this move
AUD/USD coiled around the 0.6890-0.6900 200-day pivot for most of the week before the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD and spiked the pair to 0.6943 during the NY session. Price has since eased back toward 0.6920, retesting the broken 0.6900 range top from above with RSI cooling off its post-data peak. Both EMAs sit below price, the first constructive alignment on this timeframe after days of chop.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6890, 0.68649
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69429
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 negates the breakout-retest read and returns price into the week's range
Rejection at 0.6935 rebound cap keeps the 0.6900-0.6943 band in play
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUD/USD had been glued to the 0.6900 pivot all week before a soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) lifted it through the 0.6930 cap into the NY session, printing a 0.69429 week high. Price is now unwinding into a shallow pullback, holding above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) easing off the mid-60s. The 0.6913 area is the immediate retest zone; the prior 0.6888 base held as demand earlier this week.
Support: 0.6913, 0.6888, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6930
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 would negate the breakout and return the pair into the prior range
Close above 0.69429 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC and Mon ISM Services could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Turning up after range break · RSI 67 · price 0.69283
Broke above this-week range, holding gains.
AUD/USD spent most of the week pinned to the 200-EMA in a ~65-pip band (0.6865-0.6930), then surged through the 0.6930 cap into the NY session on the 57K US payrolls miss versus 110K forecast. Price tagged 0.69429 before easing back to 0.6928; the prior range top now sits below as a reference. RSI(14) is elevated near 67 after cycling in the 45-55 zone all week.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68865
Resistance: 0.69429, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 would negate the range break and pull price into the old band
Australia Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c 49.9/49.8) could reshape this read
Sustained acceptance above 0.69429 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
AUD/USD spent most of the week pinned to its 200-DMA near 0.6900 before the NY-session NFP miss (57K vs 110K) knocked the USD and drove a sharp break above the 0.6930 cap to a week high at 0.6943. Price has since settled back to 0.6928, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI stretched into the upper 60s. The prior 0.6865–0.6930 range top is now the pivot being retested from above.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68862, 0.68656
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69429
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.6930 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below invalidates the range-break read
Loss of 0.6900 (200-dma) returns price into the prior week range
Australia S&P Global Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
15:02 UTC
Breakout higher from range · RSI 69 · price 0.69326
Range break above 0.6930 cap.
AUD spent most of the week coiled either side of the 200-day EMA near 0.6900 in a tight 0.6865-0.6930 range. The pair surged into the NY session after the 57K NFP miss knocked USD, driving a clean range break above the 0.6930 cap to a fresh week high at 0.6943. RSI(14) has pushed toward the high-60s on the impulse, with the prior cap at 0.6930 now the first area of interest below.
Support: 0.6930, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6943, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.6930 negates the range break and returns price into the week's 0.6865-0.6930 body
0.6980 barrier is the next resistance area to watch for rejection or break
ISM Services (Mon) and FOMC Minutes (Wed) could materially shift the USD read
15:02 UTC
Breakout from range, momentum up · RSI 69 · price 0.69326
Range break above 0.6930 cap.
AUDUSD spent most of the week coiled around the 0.6900 200-day EMA in a ~0.6865-0.6930 range, then the 57K US NFP miss drove a clean breakout, tagging 0.6943 in the NY session. Price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushed into the high-60s; the prior 0.6930 cap is the level flipped on the break.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6943
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6930 negates the range break read
Failure to hold the 0.6900 pivot re-opens the 0.6865 range base
ISM Services (Mon) could reshape the USD leg driving this move
AUDUSD sat coiled around the 0.6900 200-day EMA inside a 0.6865-0.6930 range for most of the week before the US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) sent USD lower and drove a clean break above the 0.6930 cap into the NY session. RSI(14) has pushed into overbought as price prints a fresh week high near 0.6943, and both EMAs now sit below spot. The prior cap at 0.6930 flips to the first support to watch on any pullback.
Support: 0.6930, 0.6900, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6943, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 hold above 0.6930 confirms the range break; a close back below re-enters the 0.6865-0.6930 range
Rejection wick into 0.6980 barrier would cap the extension
Aussie Services/Composite PMI tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift the intraday read
14:02 UTC
Range breaking higher · RSI 68 · price 0.6937
Coiled around 0.6900, NFP break above cap.
AUDUSD spent the week pinned to its 200-day EMA near 0.6900, coiling in a tight 0.6865-0.6935 band as traders parked ahead of payrolls. The US NFP miss (57K vs 110K) drove a sharp break of the 0.6935 cap in the NY session, printing a 0.6942 week high on the two largest bars of the window. RSI(14) has pushed into the high-60s on the impulse, its most stretched reading of the week.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6874, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6980
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.6900 reverts the read to the prior range
Sustained trade above 0.6942 opens the path toward the 0.6980 barrier
US Factory Orders and Daly speech in the next hour could extend or fade the NFP move
13:03 UTC
Range breakout attempt, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 0.69222
Week-long range, cap under test.
AUDUSD coiled around the 0.6900 200d ema all week inside a tight 0.6865–0.6935 band. The soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K) sank the dollar and spiked the pair to a 0.69413 session high before it slipped back below the 0.6935 range cap to 0.69222. RSI(14) has cycled up toward 63 on the surge, but the pullback under the cap leaves the breakout unconfirmed.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68862, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6935 confirms the range break and opens 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.6900 puts price back into the mid-range toward 0.6865
Fed's Daly and ISM Services Mon could reprice the USD leg driving this move
AUDUSD coiled all week in a tight 0.6865-0.6930 band around the 0.6900 pivot until the June NFP miss (57K vs 110K) spiked it to 0.69413 in the NY session before fading back to 0.6922. The wick swept the 0.6935 range cap and closed back beneath it, leaving price above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling into the low 60s. The dominant move of the week was this single USD-driven push off the 0.6865 base.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69413, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.6935 cap opens the 0.6980 barrier
Failure to hold 0.6900 pivot returns price into the 0.6865-0.6930 range
Loss of 0.6865 base confirms a lower low toward 0.6835
Fed Daly remarks could reprice the NFP-driven USD move
12:02 UTC
Range, coiling on 200-EMA · RSI 44 · price 0.68874
Tight coil, lower highs into support.
AUDUSD has spent the week glued to the 0.6900 psych pivot, compressing into a tight coil after the rebound from the 0.68649 week low stalled at 0.6930. A soft US ADP and less-hawkish Fed tone capped the dollar, but local data — including the large trade miss — was shrugged off, leaving direction outsourced to US payrolls. Price is drifting the lower edge of the range near 0.6887 with RSI sub-50 and holding below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.68649, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6930, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver of the next move
H1 close below 0.68649 opens the 0.6835 breakdown level
Reclaim of 0.6930 rebound high needed to challenge the 0.6980 range top
12:02 UTC
Sideways, coiling · RSI 47 · price 0.68874
Tight range on 200-ema near 0.6900.
AUDUSD has compressed into a tight 0.6870-0.6930 coil pinned to the 200-EMA near 0.6900, with local data — including a large trade balance miss — largely shrugged off this week. Wednesday's spike to 0.6929 on a softer USD (weak ADP, less-hawkish Warsh) faded back into the range, and price now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around neutral. The pair is trading as a USD proxy into US payrolls.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6930, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this coil either way
A close above 0.6930 opens the path back toward the 0.6980 range top
A break of 0.6835 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6707
11:02 UTC
Range-bound, coiled on 200-day EMA · RSI 49 · price 0.68968
Two-week consolidation around 0.6900.
AUDUSD has pinned to its 200-day EMA near 0.6900 all week, coiling in a tight range after the slide from 0.7200. A brief pop to 0.6929 during Tuesday's NY session faded quickly, and RSI(14) is idling near 50 with price hugging EMA(20). The May trade-balance miss was shrugged off; the pair sits parked ahead of US payrolls with the wk cap at 0.6935 unbroken.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst — likely to break the 0.6900 coil in either direction
Hourly close below 0.6865 three-month low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6835 break level
Reclaim above 0.6935 wk cap exposes the 0.6980 range top
11:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 50 · price 0.68968
Two-week range pinned to 0.6900.
AUD/USD has coiled around the 0.6900 handle all week, pinned to its 200-day EMA as a range anchor with RSI(14) hovering near 50. The lone impulse was a NY-session spike to the 0.69293 week high, since fully retraced into the 0.6890s where price now sits just above EMA20/EMA50. The A$3.0bn trade deficit miss was shrugged off as the pair holds mid-range into the US payrolls catalyst.
Support: 0.68835, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6930, 0.69293
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the decisive catalyst and likely to break this range
H1 close above the 0.6930 range cap opens the 0.69293 week high
Failure to hold the 0.6865 three-month low confirms a lower low toward 0.6835
10:02 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 0.69016
Consolidation pinned to 0.6900.
AUDUSD has spent the week coiled around the 0.6900 area, sitting just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) drifting near 53 — a flat, driverless read. A brief NY spike to 0.6929 midweek was faded straight back into the range, keeping the week cap intact, while the 0.6865 three-month low held on the risk-off dip. The May trade miss and hawkish RBA Minutes were both shrugged off as price pinned to its 200-day magnet ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls is the decisive catalyst and could break this range in either direction
H1 close above the 0.6930 week cap opens the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold the 0.6865 3mth low exposes the 0.6835 break level
10:02 UTC
Sideways, coiling near 0.6900 · RSI 55 · price 0.69016
Two-week range, choppy higher-lows into resistance.
AUDUSD has pinned to the 0.6900 round-number pivot all week, with the dominant move a NY-session spike to 0.69293 mid-week that was immediately rejected back into the range — the 0.6930-0.6935 area has since capped every attempt. Price is holding just above the H1 EMA(20)/EMA(50) after basing off the 0.6865 three-month low, but momentum is flat with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The May trade deficit miss was shrugged off as the pair stayed anchored to its range.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68835, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69293, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the decisive catalyst and could break the range either way
H1 close above 0.6935 opens the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6865 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6835
09:03 UTC
Range-bound, coiling around 0.6900 · RSI 55 · price 0.69081
Sideways coil, 0.6865-0.6929 range holding.
AUDUSD has spent the week glued to the 0.6900 area (its 200-day EMA pivot), coiling in a 0.6865-0.6929 range with the big May trade-deficit miss shrugged off. A single spike to 0.6929 mid-window faded back into the coil, and RSI(14) has cycled around the mid-50s with price hugging EMA(20). The last bar popped back above 0.6900 into the NY session, keeping the range intact ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT (f/c ~110K) is the dominant near-term driver via USD
H1 close above 0.6929 week high opens the 0.6980 range cap
Break of 0.6835 trigger would extend below the range low toward lower levels
09:03 UTC
Range-bound, coiling on 0.6900 · RSI 54 · price 0.69081
Sideways range around the pivot.
AUDUSD has coiled around the 0.6900 pivot since Monday, pinned inside a 0.6865–0.6930 range. The NY session mid-week drove a spike to 0.6929 before sellers capped it, and price has since drifted back to the pivot with RSI hovering near 50 and EMA20/50 flat. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver for this range.
Support: 0.68649, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6930, 0.69156
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.6930 opens the range top toward 0.6980
Break of 0.6835 range floor confirms a lower-low, exposes 0.6707
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could reset this range read
08:02 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 200d ema · RSI 46 · price 0.68913
Range, tight consolidation near 0.6900.
AUDUSD has been pinned to its 200-day EMA near 0.6900 all week, holding a tight 0.6865–0.6935 range with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. A midweek spike to 0.6929 was sold back into the range, and price now sits just under the 0.6900 pivot with EMA20/50 flattening overhead. This is a coiled, USD-led read ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC, the decisive catalyst for the pair.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst for this range
Close above 0.6935 topside cap flips the near-term read
Break below 0.6865 three-month low opens the path to 0.6835
08:02 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 200-day area · RSI 46 · price 0.68913
Tight range around 0.6900 after this-week impulse faded.
AUDUSD is coiled near 0.6900 all week, trading as a USD/China proxy — a large Trade Balance miss barely registered. The one clean impulse came in the NY session to 0.6929, but that spike was rejected and price has since drifted back below EMA20/EMA50 into a 0.6884–0.6935 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with momentum flat as the market waits on US payrolls.
Support: 0.6884, 0.68656, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69293
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC (~4.8h) is the decisive catalyst for this range
H1 close above 0.6935 topside cap negates the near-term downside read and opens 0.6980
Clean break of 0.6865 week low exposes 0.6835 then lower
Consolidation between 0.6866 floor and 0.6940 cap.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways just below 0.6900 after this week's shock trade deficit (-3018M) reasserted the offered tone; the hawkish-RBA pop to 0.6929 during Wednesday's session faded. Price has coiled in a tight 0.6884–0.6940 band with RSI(14) hovering near 47 and EMA20/50 flat and intertwined around spot. The 0.6866 three-month low still marks the range base.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6866, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
Clean H1 close below 0.6866 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6835
Close above 0.6940 negates the near-term downside targets
AUDUSD has coiled into a tight 0.6884–0.6895 consolidation after Wednesday's spike to 0.6929 was rejected and faded back below the 0.6900 psych line — the trade-balance miss (-3018M) reasserting the sub-0.6900 tone. Price is pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50, reflecting no directional commitment ahead of US NFP. The week low at 0.68649 remains the key downside pivot after buyers stepped in there twice.
Support: 0.68843, 0.68649, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69293, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
Clean break below 0.6865 signals a lower low, opening 0.6835
H1 close above 0.6900 then 0.6929 negates the near-term downside read
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.6929 week high on hawkish RBA minutes but the move stalled and faded back below 0.6900 after Australia's shock trade-balance miss and a firm USD. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6884–0.6942 range, sitting right on the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50. The 0.6940 cap held two attempts while the 0.6865 three-month low anchors the downside.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range either way
Clean break of 0.6865 three-month low opens 0.6835
H1 close above 0.6940 cap negates the near-term downside picture
AUDUSD has ranged around 0.6890 since Monday's open, capped repeatedly below the 0.6900 psych level after a midweek spike to 0.6929 was rejected. The surprise Australian trade deficit (-3018M) reinforced heaviness, keeping RSI mid-range and price pinned just under EMA20. The 0.6865 three-month low remains the floor of this week's range.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
Consolidation between 0.6884 floor and 0.6929 week high.
AUDUSD has consolidated below the 0.6900 psych level after the surprise Australian trade deficit weighed on the Aussie, with RSI(14) hovering near 48 and price pinned to EMA20. The 0.6929 week high was rejected mid-week and lower highs have formed since, while the 0.6884 range floor has held repeatedly into the Asia session. Price sits just above the 0.6865 three-month low.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant catalyst — a hot print pressures the 0.6865 three-month low
H1 close below 0.6884 range floor exposes 0.6865
Break above 0.6940 negates the range read
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 0.68952
Boxed below 0.6935, mid-range near 0.6900 pivot.
AUDUSD has spent the week pinned around the 0.6900 pivot, capped repeatedly below 0.6935 despite Tuesday's hawkish RBA minutes and rejected on the spike to 0.69293. Firm US yields and safe-haven USD demand keep the pair grinding sideways, with price hugging EMA(20) and RSI(14) idling near 50. The 0.6865 3-month low held into this week's dip; range remains intact heading into US labour data.
Support: 0.68649, 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.69293, 0.6980
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC today is the swing factor and could break this range either way
H1 close above 0.6935 cap flips the range read to the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6865 3-mo low, then 0.6835 trigger, opens the downside path toward 0.6707
Australia S&P Global PMI 23:00 UTC (sub-50 f/c) a secondary risk
01:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.68908
Consolidation below week high after rejection.
AUDUSD has spent the week boxed in a 0.6865-0.6935 range as a firm USD kept the Aussie pinned despite hawkish RBA minutes. Yesterday's push to 0.69293 in the NY session was rejected and price has since drifted back to the 0.6890 area, coiling either side of EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. The 61.8% retrace of that impulse sits right at current price, keeping the range read intact.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.69293, 0.6935
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls in ~12h is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 0.6935 range cap negates the downside read toward 0.6865
Loss of 0.68837 swing low exposes the 0.6865 range low
AUDUSD is pinned in this week's 0.6865-0.6935 range, with a NY-session spike to 0.6929 rejected and faded back under 0.6900 as a firm USD and rising US yields capped the move. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cycling near neutral, showing no directional conviction. In-line China PMI and soft AU building permits gave the Aussie no lift into the payrolls catalyst.
Support: 0.6865, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6929, 0.6940
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to break this range
Close above 0.6940 cap negates the downside range read
Loss of 0.6865 opens the path toward 0.6835 and the 0.6707 objective