Since the 0.6967 NY low at 12:45 UTC, a steady higher-low chain has carried price back to retest the 0.6988 day high set in the Asia session, helped by the pullback in US yields. RSI(14) sits near 74 into the Friday close with ATR compressed near 2 pips. The 0.7000 psych level is still untested.
Support: 0.69825, 0.69777, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69881, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 day high puts the 0.7000 psych cap in play
Break of the rising trendline near 0.6982 stalls the higher-low chain, exposing the fib 50% at 0.6978
Loss of the 0.6967 ny low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
Weekend oil/diesel headlines and Westpac sentiment (Mon 23:30 UTC) could gap the open ahead of Tuesday's RBA Minutes
20:32 UTC
Uptrend off NY low, momentum firm · RSI 75 · price 0.69866
Higher-low chain from 0.6967, retesting Asian high.
After the NY open flush to the 0.6967 NY low, AUD built a steady higher-low chain through NY hours as US yields pulled back. Late NY broke above 0.6984, leaving that level as the breakout shelf. Price is now pressing the 0.6988 Asian high into the weekly close, with RSI(14) near 75 and the 0.6990 range cap just overhead.
Support: 0.6984, 0.6980, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6988, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6990 range cap opens the 0.7000 psych level
Close back below the 0.6984 breakout and the fib 38.2 at 0.6980 breaks the intraday trendline and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.6967 NY low would reverse the session structure
Weekend oil headlines could leave a gap at the open; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled risk
20:17 UTC
Uptrend through NY hours, pressing session high · RSI 77 · price 0.69875
Higher-low chain off the 12:45 UTC session low, testing the Asia high.
AUD has ground higher through NY hours on the US yield pullback. It is building higher lows off the 0.6967 session low and now sits at the 0.6988 Asia high, with RSI(14) near 77. Late-Friday conditions keep bars thin (ATR ~2.4 pips) into the weekly close.
Support: 0.69835, 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69879, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 Asia high opens the 0.7000 psych level, where the digest notes repeated stalls this week
Failure to hold the 0.6983 swing low breaks the latest leg; the 0.6975 higher low and the rising trendline are the next reference
A break below the 0.6967 session low invalidates the NY higher-low chain
Weekly close is imminent; weekend oil/diesel headlines could gap the open, and RBA Minutes on Tue 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows from the 0.6967 session low, holding just below the Asian high.
Late NY session, Friday. AUD has carried a higher-low trendline up from the 0.6967 session low, and the 18:45 UTC breakout above 0.6982 is holding as US yields ease; the swing low at 0.6979 and the higher low at 0.6975 sit underneath, with the NY leg fib measured off that session low. Price is pressing the 0.6988 Asian high, just under the 0.6990 psych cap flagged in the macro digest, with RSI(14) warm near 72.
Support: 0.69794, 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 Asian high opens a test of the 0.6990 psych cap
Close below the higher-low trendline and the 0.6979 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.6975 higher low puts the 0.6967 session low back in focus
Thin liquidity into the Friday close; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC could gap the Monday open
Higher lows from 0.6967 NY low, pressing session high below Asian high.
After the NY-open flush to the 0.6967 NY low, AUD has built higher lows along a rising trendline, from the 0.6975 swing low to the 0.6979 retest, as US yields pulled back and risk appetite recovered. Late NY is now pressing the 0.6985 session high, just under the 0.6988 Asian high and the 0.6990 range cap the digest flags.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69848, 0.69876, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 Asian high opens the 0.6990–0.7000 range cap
Break of the trendline near 0.6979 and the 0.6975 swing low would end the higher-low chain
Thin late-Friday NY liquidity; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled AUD risk
Higher lows from 0.6967 NY low, testing Asia high.
The NY rebound has retraced the full 12:30 UTC drop to the 0.6967 NY low via a chain of higher lows, and a late-NY breakout above 0.6981 followed as US yields eased. Price is pressing just under the 0.6988 Asia high in thin late-Friday trade, with RSI(14) near 65 and ATR(14) around 2 pips.
Support: 0.6981, 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 Asia high exposes the 0.6990–0.7000 range cap flagged in the macro digest
Slip back below the 0.6981 breakout pt puts the 0.6975 higher low and the NY rebound 50% retracement in focus
Break of the NY higher-low trendline and the 0.6967 NY low would undo the NY rebound
Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mon 23:30 UTC) and RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) could reset this read at the weekly open
HH/HL chain off the NY low, pressing the Asian high.
The NY rebound from the 0.6967 NY low has built a clean higher-low chain back to 0.6984, as easing US yields and the UoM sentiment miss took the edge off USD. Price now sits just under the 0.6988 Asian high, with the 0.6990 range cap overhead into the Friday close. RSI(14) is near 71, hot but not stretched.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 Asian high puts the 0.6990 range cap and 0.7000 round number in play
Loss of the 0.6980 pivot, then the 0.6975 swing low, breaks the higher-low chain and the NY low trendline
Late-Friday NY session: thin liquidity into the weekly close, and weekend gap risk
RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Range-bound, NY recovery pressing range top · RSI 57 · price 0.69801
0.6967–0.6988 range since Asia; higher lows through NY.
Asia set the session high at 0.6988, London capped twice at the 0.6984 london high, and a 12:30 UTC drop printed the 0.6967 swing low. Through NY, price rebuilt on higher lows off a 0.6975 ny base as US yields eased. It now sits at 0.6980, just under the 0.6982 late ny high, with RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR compressed to about 2 pips into the Friday close.
Support: 0.69752, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 session high and the 0.6990–0.7000 cap
Break of the 0.6975 ny base and the ny higher lows trendline returns focus to the 0.6967 swing low
Thin late-Friday liquidity; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled drivers
18:33 UTC
Intraday recovery off NY low, below Asia high · RSI 58 · price 0.69799
Higher lows off 0.6967 NY low, capped under the London highs.
After the NY-open drop to the 0.6967 NY low, AUD printed higher lows at 0.6970 and 0.6975 as US yields eased, and it now sits at the 61.8% retrace of the Asia high–NY low move near 0.6980. The 0.6982 NY high sits just above, and the 0.6984 London high saw two rejections earlier. With the 0.6988 Asia high above that, price is mid-to-upper range in late NY Friday trade.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6984, 0.6988
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 London high reopens the 0.6988 Asia high and the 0.6990–0.7000 cap
Break of the 0.6975 higher low takes out the NY rising support and exposes the 0.6967 NY low
Late-NY Friday liquidity is thin into the weekend; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled AUD catalyst
18:04 UTC
Intraday range, NY recovery stalling at 0.6980 · RSI 62 · price 0.69801
Lower highs from the 0.6988 Asian high; higher lows from the 0.6967 NY low.
Asia ran from 0.6957 to a 0.6988 Asian high on the US-yield pullback. London was capped twice at the 0.6984 London high, and the early-NY drop to the 0.6967 session low has been fully retraced to the 61.8% fib at 0.6980, which is pressing the descending trendline as Friday's NY session winds down.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 London high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.6988 Asian high and the 0.6990–0.7000 cap in view
Failure to hold the 0.6975 NY base, which is also the 38.2% retracement, reopens the 0.6967 session low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and weekend headline risk (Iran/oil) could gap the open; RBA Minutes on Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled AUD risk
17:48 UTC
Range, recovering from NY dip · RSI 56 · price 0.69785
Inside Asian range; NY false break of London low reclaimed, higher lows since.
The Asia session rallied from the 0.6957 asian low to a 0.6988 session high. London then held a 0.6974–0.6984 band beneath it, with the london high at 0.6984. The NY open broke the London low to a 0.6967 ny low, roughly the 61.8% of the Asian rally fib, as the dollar recovered intraday, and the break was reclaimed within the hour; price has since built higher lows along a rising trendline and is pressing the 0.6980 ny high in thin late-Friday trade, with a 0.6975 late floor beneath.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69672, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 ny high and 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 session high
Failure to hold the 0.6975 late floor and the NY trendline exposes the 0.6967 ny low
Loss of the ny low puts the 0.6957 asian low in play
Friday close in ~3h; Westpac Confidence Mon 23:30 UTC and RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the first event risk on reopen
The Asia session ran to a day high of 0.6988 on the US-yield pullback. London held 0.6975–0.6984 until the 12:30 UTC drop to the NY low at 0.6967. Late NY has retraced to the 61.8% fib near 0.6978 on higher lows, with RSI(14) neutral at 58 and the ny high at 0.6980 capping price.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6984, 0.6988
What it said to watch
M15 close above the ny high at 0.6980 reopens the london high at 0.6984 and the 0.6988 day high
Break of the london low at 0.6975 and the ny higher lows line exposes the 0.6967 ny low
Thin Friday-close liquidity; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk
17:17 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, momentum neutral · RSI 53 · price 0.69769
Range 0.6967–0.6988, NY low reclaimed, compressing mid-range.
The Asia session rally from the 0.6957 asia low to the 0.6988 asia high, driven by the US-yield pullback, set the day's top, and London held a 0.6975–0.6984 range under the london high. A drop around the NY open swept to the 0.6967 session low, near the 61.8% of the Asia rally fib, then recovered to the 0.6980 ny high. Price is now compressing just above the 0.6975 range floor late in NY hours, with RSI(14) near 53 and price straddling its EMAs.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6967, 0.6957
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6984, 0.6988
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6967 session low breaks the 61.8% retrace and exposes the 0.6957 asia low
Close above the 0.6984 london high puts the 0.6988 asia high and the 0.6990–0.7000 cap back in play
Repeated holds at the 0.6975 range floor keep the late-NY compression intact
Thin Friday-close liquidity; Westpac Mon 23:30 UTC and RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled risks
The Asia session rally on softer US yields and risk-on peaked at the 0.6988 asia high. London held a 0.6975–0.6984 band, then the dollar's recovery into the NY open swept the london low to a 0.6967 ny low. The rebound since has stalled at the 0.6980 ny high, near the 61.8% of the asia hi-ny low fib, with price now drifting on rising lows late in the NY session.
Support: 0.69754, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 london low and the rising lows line exposes the 0.6967 ny low
Close above the 0.6980 ny high reopens the 0.6984 london high and 0.6988 asia high
Late-Friday NY hours and the weekend close thin liquidity; RBA Minutes and US CPI next week could reset this range
Higher lows off 0.6967 session low, tight 0.6976–0.6980 cap.
Asia ran from 0.6957 to the 0.69876 asia high on the US-yield pullback. The USD recovery into the NY session knocked price from the 0.69843 pre-drop high to a 0.69672 session low, and the Michigan miss failed to extend that drop. Since then the pair has set higher lows at 0.6970 and 0.69738 and retraced about 60% of the drop, but it is now stalling under the 0.6980 ny high late in NY with ATR near 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.69738, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 ny high opens the 0.69843 pre-drop high, then the 0.69876 asia high
Break of the 0.69738 higher low snaps the rising trendline and exposes the 0.69672 session low
Friday afternoon liquidity thinning into the weekly close can leave the 0.6976–0.6980 band unresolved
16:18 UTC
Flat intraday, compressing after NY dip · RSI 56 · price 0.69771
Higher lows from 0.6967 against lower highs from 0.6984, coiling 0.6976–0.6980.
The Asia session rally on the US-yield pullback set the day high at 0.6988 (asia high). London's retest stalled at the 0.6984 london high, and the NY open drop printed the 0.6967 session low. Since then a rising higher low near 0.6976 has met a falling lower high at 0.6980, with price pinned on the EMA20/50 cluster into the late-NY Friday close.
Support: 0.69762, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 lower high breaks the compression, with the 0.6984 london high and 0.6988 asia high next
Loss of the 0.6976 higher low and the rising support line reopens the 0.6967 session low
Thin post-London Friday liquidity; US yield headlines remain the main driver, with no scheduled data before the weekend
16:04 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows through NY · RSI 58 · price 0.69783
Higher lows off 0.6967, capped below 0.6984 lower high.
Friday's Asia rally on the US-yield pullback topped at the 0.6988 day high. London faded into a 0.6984 lower high, and the 12:30 UTC drop set the 0.6967 NY low. NY has since built higher lows off the 0.6970 base and reclaimed the 61.8% retracement of that drop, pressing the 0.6980 NY high with RSI(14) near 58 and EMAs flat around 0.6976–0.6977.
Support: 0.69738, 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 ny high opens a retest of the 0.6984 lower high and 0.6988 day high
Break of the 0.6974 higher low and ny trendline returns focus to the 0.6970 ny base and 0.6967 ny low
Session is after London close into the Friday close, so thinning liquidity can produce outsized wicks relative to the 3.6-pip ATR
15:48 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since 12:45 UTC · RSI 47 · price 0.69771
NY higher-low chain inside 0.6967–0.6988 day range, capped near 0.6980.
The Asian session rally on softer US yields topped at 0.6988 (asia high). London capped at 0.6984 (london high), and the pre-NY flush to the 0.6967 session low was a false break of London's 0.6974 floor. The UoM miss at 14:00 UTC tested the 0.6970 ny base, and that base held. Price has since built a ny higher lo at 0.6974 and sits at the 61.8% retracement, pressing the 0.6980 ny high, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR(14) only ~4 pips.
Support: 0.69738, 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6980 ny high extends the higher-low chain and puts the 0.6984 london high and 0.6988 asia high in play
Break below the 0.6974 ny higher lo puts the trendline and the 0.6970 ny base in focus. Losing 0.6967 session low negates the NY recovery
Late Friday NY with London closing; thin liquidity into the weekend, then RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC could reset the range
15:33 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, recovering off NY low · RSI 52 · price 0.69781
Higher lows from 0.69672 inside a 0.6967–0.6988 day range.
The Asia rally on softer US yields topped at the 0.69876 day high, and the london high at 0.69843 capped price before a NY drop to 0.69672 as the dollar pared early losses. Price has since built a chain of higher lows back to 0.6978, the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop, sitting just above both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 52 around London close.
Support: 0.69738, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69843, 0.69876, 0.6990
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.69843 london high reopens the 0.69876 day high and the 0.6990 cap noted in the digest
Break of the higher lows trendline and 0.69738 higher low puts the 0.69672 ny low back in play
Rejection at the 61.8% of the NY drop keeps the day range intact into the Friday close
Weekend gap risk, then RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC as the next scheduled AUD driver
15:18 UTC
Lower highs since Asian peak, NY rebound in progress · RSI 47 · price 0.69776
Lower highs 0.6988→0.6984; NY higher lows off 0.6967, retesting broken London floor.
AUD/USD ran to the 0.6988 asian high on the US-yield pullback, then printed lower highs through London before a 12:30 UTC drop to the 0.6967 ny low. Late in NY hours, price has built higher lows off the 0.6970 ny base and is retesting the broken London floor at the 61.8% retracement near 0.6978, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69843, 0.69876, 0.6990
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 london high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.6988 asian high and 0.6990 cap
Rejection at the 61.8% retracement followed by a loss of the 0.6970 ny base exposes the 0.6967 ny low
Thin liquidity into the Friday close; RBA Minutes Tue 13 Oct 00:30 UTC is the next scheduled AUD risk
Lower highs from Asia high; tight NY range above 61.8% fib.
The US-yield pullback carried AUD to a 0.69876 Asia high. London then capped twice at the 0.69843 London high, and an early-NY flush tagged the 0.69672 NY low, almost exactly the fib 61.8% of the overnight rally. Mid-NY, price is rotating in a 0.6970–0.6978 range just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6978 range high reopens the 0.69843 London high and the 0.69876 Asia high
Failure at the 0.6970 range low and the 0.69672 NY low breaks the fib 61.8% hold and exposes the 0.6955 overnight base
Liquidity thins into the Friday NY close; the next scheduled AUD catalyst is the RBA Minutes, Tue 00:30 UTC
Lower highs since Asia high; NY compressing in 0.6970–0.6976 range.
AUD's yield-pullback bounce ran from 0.6957 to the 0.6988 Asia high, but London capped below the 0.6984 London high. At 12:15 UTC price broke the 0.6974 London low and swept to the 0.6967 NY low, near the 61.8% of the Asian rally fib. Mid-NY, price is compressing between the 0.6970 range floor and the 0.6976 range top, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45 and the lower-highs line intact.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69761, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6976 range top puts the old London low back in play as support and targets the 0.6984 London high
Clearance of the 0.6984 London high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.6988 Asia high
Loss of the 0.6970 range floor and the 0.6967 NY low breaks the 61.8% of the Asian rally fib
Michigan at 14:00 UTC produced only a brief dip to the range floor; thin Friday NY close, with RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed) the next major risks
14:33 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69741
Lower highs from 0.6988; NY range 0.6970–0.6976.
The Asian bounce on softer US yields topped at the 0.6988 session high. London printed a lower high at 0.6984, and a 12:30 UTC drop then hit a 0.6967 session low. Price has since held inside the NY range of 0.6970–0.6976, capped at the 38.2% fib, and the 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment release did not break it. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672
Resistance: 0.69756, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6976 NY range top and 38.2% fib reopens the 0.6984 London high
A break of the lower-highs line and the 0.6988 session high would reverse the pullback read
Failure to hold the 0.6970 NY range low exposes the 0.6967 session low
Thin Friday NY afternoon liquidity into the weekly close can distort range edges
RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC are the next scheduled AUD catalyst
14:18 UTC
Intraday pullback after Asia rally, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69743
Lower highs from 0.6988; NY compressing in 0.6970–0.6976 range.
The Asia rally on the US-yield pullback ran from the 0.6957 asia low to a 0.6988 day high, stalling short of the 0.6990 cap. London then held a 0.6974–0.6984 range under a lower high at the 0.6984 london high. The NY open broke the London low to a 0.6967 ny low, near the 61.8% fib of the Asia move. NY has since compressed between the 0.6970 ny range low and 0.6976 ny range top, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69756, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6976 ny range top reopens the 0.6984 london high and the lower-highs trendline
Loss of the 0.6967 ny low breaks the 61.8% fib and exposes the 0.6957 asia low
The 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment bar stayed inside the NY range; late-Friday NY hours tend to thin out
RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled shifts beyond this window
14:04 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asia high, stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69745
London range broken lower at NY open; lower highs, holding above NY low.
Asia ran to an asia high at 0.6988 on the yield-led USD pullback, and London was capped twice at its london high of 0.6984. The 12:30 UTC NY drop then broke the london low at 0.6974 and set a ny low at 0.6967. Price is consolidating 0.6970–0.6975 at the 38.2% retrace of that decline, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6955, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6984, 0.6988
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) land in the current bar and could materially shift this read
A close back above the london low at 0.6975 and the lower-highs line puts the london high at 0.6984 back in play
Failure to hold the ny low at 0.6967 exposes the asia low near 0.6955, then the prior low at 0.6944
13:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, below both EMAs · RSI 40 · price 0.69723
Lower highs from Asian peak, London range broken lower.
AUD/USD ran to an asian high at 0.6988 on the US-yield pullback. London then printed lower highs and a double top at the 0.6984 london high before late-London selling broke the 0.6974 london low to a 0.6967 session low. Price is pinned at 0.6970 psych, right on the 50% fib of the Asia rally, with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69672, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.6974 london low neutralises the range break; the lower highs line and 0.6984 london high sit above
Failure to hold the 0.6967 session low extends the break toward the asian low near 0.6955
13:32 UTC
Intraday pullback after Asia rally, momentum soft · RSI 41 · price 0.69735
London range broken lower in early NY, basing above session low.
The yield-driven Asia rally peaked at the 0.6988 asian high. London then stalled twice at the 0.6984 london high before an 8-pip drop at the start of NY broke the 0.6975 london low and set a session low at 0.6967. Price is now basing at 0.6972–0.6974, right at the 38.2% retrace of the London-NY drop, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.69672, 0.69563
Resistance: 0.69755, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.6975 london low negates the range break; the 50% retrace sits just above at 0.6976
Failure to hold the 0.6967 session low exposes the 0.6956 asian low
A fresh rejection at the 0.6984 london high keeps the 0.6988 asian high intact as the day's cap
London range broken lower, price retesting the break from below.
The yield-led bounce carried AUD from the 0.6956 asian low to the 0.6988 asian high. London then held a 0.6974–0.6984 range under that peak. A 12:30 UTC drop broke the london low and set a 0.6967 session low near the 61.8% fib of the Asian leg. Price is now retesting 0.6974 from below with RSI(14) near 43, and the lower highs line keeps rallies capped.
Support: 0.69672, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6974 london low turns the break into a false break
Failure to hold 0.6967 session low exposes the 0.6956 asian low
Close above the lower highs line and 0.6984 london high puts the 0.6988 asian high back in play
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London range floor broken at NY open; price retesting it from below.
The Asia rally topped at the 0.6988 day high and gave way to a 0.6974–0.6984 London range with lower highs. A sharp drop into the NY open broke the range floor and the rising trendline. It tagged the 0.6967 NY low near the 61.8% fib before bouncing back to retest the 0.6974 London low from below. RSI(14) is around 42 and ATR(14) about 3.7 pips, with the USD firming as the yield pullback stalls.
Support: 0.69672, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.69843, 0.69876
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.6974 london low puts price back inside the London range
Failure to hold the 0.6967 ny low / 61.8% fib exposes the 0.6957 asian low
Lower highs at 0.6984 london high cap the range unless cleared toward the 0.6988 day high
London range 0.6974–0.6984 broken lower after lower highs.
The Asia rally on the US-yield pullback topped at the 0.6988 session high. London then capped at the 0.6984 London high, a lower high, before an 8-pip drop in early NY hours broke the 0.6974 range low. Price now rests on yesterday's 0.6972 prior high, the 50% retrace of the Asia leg, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6956
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6984, 0.6988
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.6974 range low would mark the drop as a false break.
Failure to hold the 0.6972 prior high exposes the 61.8% retrace near 0.6968 and the 0.6956 asian low.
A close above the 0.6984 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.6988 session high back in play.
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
12:32 UTC
Asia uptrend stalled; sideways below day high · RSI 54 · price 0.69794
London/early-NY range 0.6974–0.6984 under the 0.6988 day high.
Asia rallied from 0.6957 to a 0.6988 day high on the US-yield pullback and risk-on tone. London and the first hour of NY have held a 0.6974–0.6984 range, and the london low sits just above the fib 50% retracement of that move. Early NY is still inside the range, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6972
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 day high breaks the range and opens the 0.7000 psych level
Session high at 0.6984 has capped twice; a fresh rejection there keeps the range intact
Failure to hold the 0.6974 london low exposes the fib 50% at 0.6972
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (about 1.5h) could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend paused, ranging below Asian high · RSI 57 · price 0.69805
London range 0.6974–0.6984 inside the Asian rally leg, higher low held at the 38.2%.
The Asian rally on the US-yield pullback topped at the 0.6988 Asian high. London has since held a 0.6974–0.6984 range, with the London low sitting at the 38.2% retrace of the Asian leg. Price is back at the range top into the London-NY transition, and the London high has capped twice so far.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69843, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 London high opens the 0.6988 Asian high and 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6974 London low exposes the 50% retrace near 0.6972, then the 0.6957 Asian low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
12:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, consolidating below asia high · RSI 63 · price 0.69834
Asia rally then London range 0.6974–0.6984, price back at range top.
The Asia session carried a 31-pip rally from the 0.6957 asia low to the 0.6988 asia high as US yields eased and risk mood improved. London has held a 0.6974–0.6984 range, with the 0.6974 london low holding between the 38.2% and 50% fib of that move. Price is pressing the london high into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) at 63.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69843, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6984 london high puts the 0.6988 asia high and 0.7000 psych in play
A break below the 0.6974 london low and the 50% fib exposes the 0.6957 asia low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian breakout above prior high; London lower highs into a 0.6974 higher low, falling trendline now broken.
The Asian session pushed AUD through the 0.6973 prior high to a 0.6988 session high as US yields pulled back. London then retraced in lower highs but held the 0.6974 london low, near the 38.2% fib of the Asian leg. The latest bounce has broken the falling trendline off the session high; RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR is under 3 pips.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69726
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 session high and 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6974 london low exposes the 0.6973 prior high and the 50% fib near 0.6972
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (17:00 broker), about 2h out, could materially shift this read ahead of NY hours
11:32 UTC
Asian uptrend, London fading · RSI 50 · price 0.69797
Lower highs below Asian high, holding fib zone.
AUD rallied through the Asia session from the 0.6957 Asia low to the 0.6988 Asian high as US yields eased on Trump's Iran pledge. London has since printed lower highs from 0.6984 and dipped to a 0.6974 London low near the 38.2% fib, with the Asia shelf at 0.6972 just below. Price is now pressing the London lower-high trendline around 0.6980, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69723, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 London high breaks the lower-high trendline and puts the 0.6988 Asian high back in play
A break of the 0.6974 London low and the 0.6972 Asia shelf opens the 50% fib near 0.6972 and deeper retracement of the Asian leg
0.7000 psych remains the cap noted in the digest; repeated stalls below it keep the range read intact
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via US yields
11:17 UTC
Pullback within Asia-session advance · RSI 41 · price 0.69758
Lower highs since Asia high, pressing London low.
The Asia-session rally on the US yield correction ran from the 0.69565 Asia low to a 0.69876 Asia high. London opened with a rejection at 0.69842 and has since carved a descending trendline of lower highs. Price is now pressing the 0.69743 London low, which sits on the 38.2% of the Asia rally fib, with the prior high near 0.69725 aligned with the 50% retracement.
Support: 0.69743, 0.69725, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69807, 0.69842, 0.69876
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.69743 London low extends the lower-high sequence toward the prior high at 0.69725 (50% fib).
Failure to hold 0.69725 exposes the 0.69565 Asia low at the rally origin.
A break of the descending trendline and the 0.69807 lower high neutralises the London fade; the 0.69842 London high and 0.69876 Asia high sit above.
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via US yields.
Lower highs from 0.6988 Asia high, testing 38.2% retrace.
The US-yield correction drove an Asia-session rally from 0.6956 to the 0.6988 session high. Through London the pair has carved a flag-like pullback of lower highs (0.6984, 0.6982, 0.6981), and the London low at 0.6974 sits on the 38.2% retrace. Below that, the 0.6972 shelf is the old prior high, and it lines up with the 50% level.
Support: 0.69741, 0.69725, 0.69681
Resistance: 0.69807, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6972 prior high breaks the Asian shelf and exposes the fib 61.8 at 0.6968
Close back above the 0.6981 lower high voids the descending trendline and reopens the 0.6988 session high
0.7000 round number capped price midweek, so it is the next reference above the session high
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
ATR near 3 pips signals compressed ranges ahead of the NY open
10:48 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, lower highs since London open · RSI 42 · price 0.69766
Lower highs below 0.69876 session high, back under the Asian high.
London pushed through the Asian high at 0.69784 to a 0.69876 session high on the easing-yields AUD bounce, then faded back inside the Asian range on a run of lower highs. The 0.69753 swing low sits on the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London leg. Price is now coiling under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.69753, 0.69726
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.69807, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69753 swing low and 38.2% fib exposes 0.69726, Thursday's prior high
M15 close above the 0.69807 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.69876 session high back in play
Holding back above the 0.69784 Asian high would negate the false-break read
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could shift this read via US yields
Lower highs inside 0.6975–0.6984 London range, under Asia high.
AUD extended Thursday's recovery through the Asia session as US yields eased, printing a 0.6988 asia high before London faded it into a tight 0.6975–0.6984 range. Mid-London, price is flat on the EMA20 under a lower-high trendline, with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 3 pips showing compression.
Support: 0.69753, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 london high breaks the lower-high trendline and puts the 0.6988 asia high (UOB 0.6985 range cap) back in play
Failure to hold the 0.6975 london low exposes the 0.6972 pullback low from the Asia rally
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could reset the London range
10:03 UTC
Uptrend paused, drifting lower in London · RSI 48 · price 0.6979
Tight London range below Asia high, mild lower highs.
Asia ran from the 0.6955 Asian low to a 0.6988 Asia high as US yields eased and the dollar softened. London has compressed in a 0.6975–0.6984 band under a lower-highs line, with the 0.6975 session low sitting on the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and ATR is only about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69753, 0.6972, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 london high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.6988 asia high, with the 0.7000 round number above
Failure to hold the 0.6975 session low exposes the 0.6972 asia shelf at the 50% fib of the Asia leg
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
09:48 UTC
Uptrend from Thursday low, pulling back in London · RSI 42 · price 0.69772
London lower highs within a tight 0.6975–0.6984 range, holding above the Asia base.
The Asia session rally from 0.6955 ran to the 0.6988 asia high as the USD correction on easing Treasury yields extended, then met rejection. London has since printed lower highs from the 0.6984 london high, and the 0.6975 london low sits on the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg, with the prior high near 0.6973 the base below.
Support: 0.69753, 0.69725, 0.69676
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 london low exposes the 0.6973 prior high, then the 0.6968 fib 61.8 of the Asia leg
Reclaim of the 0.6984 london high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.6988 asia high, then the 0.7000 round number
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back in London · RSI 43 · price 0.69777
Lower highs since the 0.6988 day high; London low 0.6975 testing.
Friday's rebound on easing US yields carried AUD/USD to a 0.6988 day high just before London open, but London has printed lower highs under a falling trendline. Price is now holding the 0.6975 London low, which sits at the 38.2% retracement of the Asia rally fib. RSI(14) sits near 43 and ATR(14) is about 3 pips, with the 0.6972 prior high as the next shelf below.
Support: 0.69753, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 London low exposes the 0.6972 prior high and the 50% Asia rally fib near the same area
Close above the 0.6984 London high breaks the falling trendline, putting the 0.6988 day high and 0.7000 psych back in view
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could shift the read through US yields
09:18 UTC
Asia up leg fading, lower highs through London · RSI 37 · price 0.69762
Lower highs off 0.6988 session high; 0.6977 shelf broken.
AUD ran from the 0.6957 Asian low to a 0.6988 session high on the Asia leg, lifted by the US yield correction and firmer risk mood. Since then London has printed lower highs. The 0.6977 shelf gave way to a 0.6975 London low, with price now testing the 38.2% retracement of the Asia leg and RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.69753, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69771, 0.69842, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6972 Asia shelf (50% of the Asia leg) extends the pullback toward the 0.6957 Asian low
Reclaiming the 0.6977 broken shelf and a close above the 0.6984 London high would end the lower-highs sequence and expose the 0.6988 session high
UoM sentiment and 1Y/5Y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via US yields
09:04 UTC
Uptrend from Asia, fading in London · RSI 44 · price 0.69767
London lower highs below 0.6984, lows pressing 0.6977.
Asia lifted the pair from 0.6955 to the 0.6988 asian high as US yields pulled back and risk mood improved. London has since printed lower highs from the 0.6984 london high and is pressing the 0.6977 session low. RSI(14) sits at 44, with the 38.2% fib at 0.6975 just below.
Support: 0.69765, 0.69753, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 38.2% fib at 0.6975 opens the asia shelf at 0.6972 and the 50% retracement near 0.6971
Break of the London lower highs trendline and a close above the 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 asian high
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London range 0.6977–0.6984 with lower highs onto a flat floor.
AUD extended its yield- and risk-led bounce through Asia and stalled at the 0.6988 asian high, just above the 0.6985 range top flagged in the digest. London session has rotated in a 0.6977–0.6984 band. Lower highs are pressing the london low, which has held three times, with RSI(14) near 48 and price sitting on EMA20. Below, the prior-day high at 0.6973 lines up with the 50% fib of the Asian leg and EMA50.
Support: 0.6977, 0.6973, 0.6957
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6977 london low breaks the London range and exposes the 0.6973 prior high / 50% fib
Close above the 0.6984 session high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.6988 asian high, then 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold 0.6973 takes price through the 61.8% toward the 0.6957 asian low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
08:32 UTC
Intraday up, pausing below Asia high · RSI 48 · price 0.69797
Asia rally to 0.6988, London holding a tight 0.6977–0.6984 box.
AUD led the Asia session higher on the US yield correction and firmer risk mood, peaking at the 0.6988 asia high before stalling. Early London has rotated into a 0.6977–0.6984 box. The london low has held twice above the 38.2% retrace of the Asia leg, with price flat on EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69772, 0.69725
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6977 london low exposes the 0.6972 asia shelf and the 50% fib near 0.6972
Close above the 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 asia high
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing below Asia high · RSI 53 · price 0.6980
Higher lows from the Asian low; London ranging 0.6977–0.6984 beneath the 0.6988 Asia high.
AUD climbed through the Asia session as US yields corrected and risk mood improved. It cleared yesterday's 0.6973 prior high and printed a 0.6988 Asia high. London has since compressed into a 0.6977–0.6984 range, with the London low held twice near the 38.2% retrace and the rising trendline still intact. RSI(14) is neutral at 53 and ATR is about 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.6977, 0.6973
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6988, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 London high puts the 0.6988 Asia high and the 0.7000 round number back in play
Failure to hold the 0.6977 London low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.6973 prior high / 50% retrace
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing at London open · RSI 53 · price 0.69787
Asia breakout above prior high; London printing a lower high and testing the 0.6977 pivot.
AUD broke above yesterday's NY prior high at 0.6973 during the Asia session, lifted by the US-yield pullback and softer USD after the Iran headlines, and peaked at the 0.6988 asia high. Early London has capped at 0.6984, a lower london high, and is sitting just above the 0.6977 london low, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 and price a touch under EMA20.
Support: 0.69771, 0.69726
Resistance: 0.69842, 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6977 london low puts the 38.2% fib near 0.6976 and the 0.6973 prior high in play as the retest zone
Hold of the prior high keeps the Asia breakout intact; a close back below it marks a false break
A close above the 0.6984 london high reopens the 0.6988 asia high and the 0.7000 round number
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed Collins, could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the Asia session, capped below the asian high.
Asia extended the softer-USD bounce, clearing yesterday's prior high at 0.6973 and running to the 0.6988 asian high before a rejection. The pullback held a swing low at 0.6978, near the 23.6% fib and the Asia trendline. Early London is rotating 0.6980–0.6984 with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69781, 0.69726
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6978 swing low breaks the Asia trendline and higher-low chain, exposing the 0.6973 prior high
Close above the 0.6988 asian high opens the 0.7000 round number
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
HH/HL chain from 0.6955 rollover low; Asia broke prior-day high.
Asia built a higher-low chain off the 0.6955 asian low on a softer USD and easing yields. The move cleared the 0.6973 prior high and printed a 0.6988 session high around 05:30 UTC. The pullback into London open held the 0.6978 swing low, above rising support and the 38.2% of the Asia leg fib, with RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.69781, 0.69726, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6978 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.6973 prior high and Asia leg fib 50% back in play
Acceptance above the 0.6988 session high exposes the 0.7000 round number, then the 0.7020 range top
Loss of rising support with a return under 0.6955 asian low would negate the Asia breakout
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
07:04 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below Asian high · RSI 60 · price 0.69809
HH/HL chain through Asia; pullback holding above 0.6978 into London open.
Asia session broke Thursday's prior high at 0.6973 on the softer USD and yield correction, printing an Asian high at 0.6988 before easing. London open is retesting the 0.6978 swing low, which is also the top of the overnight base, with RSI(14) cooled to around 60 from the high-60s.
Support: 0.69781, 0.69726, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6978 swing low puts the 0.6973 prior high, near the fib 50%, back in play
Close above the 0.6988 Asian high opens the 0.7000 round number
A slide back toward the 0.6955 Asian low would unwind the whole Asia breakout
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 59 · price 0.69798
Asia breakout above prior high, retesting the consolidation top.
AUD lifted through the Asia session from the 0.6957 Asia low as the USD softened on Trump's Iran no-strike pledge and lower yields. It cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.6973, tagged a 0.6988 session high, then faded to a 0.6979 pullback low into the London open. The pullback is now retesting the 0.6975–0.6978 consolidation top, which sits just above the 38.2% of the Asia leg fib.
Support: 0.69792, 0.69725, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6979 pullback low puts the 0.6972 prior high and 50% Asia leg fib in play
Failure to hold 0.6972 prior high returns price inside yesterday's range toward the 0.6957 Asia low
Reclaim of the 0.6988 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 60 · price 0.69803
Higher highs through Asia, shallow pullback above breakout shelf.
Asia session extended the late-NY rebound as the USD and yields softened, clearing the 0.6973 prior high and running to a 0.6988 session high. Price has eased to 0.6980 heading into London open, still above the 0.6976 Asia shelf, with RSI(14) cooling toward 60. The rally is measured from the 0.6955 Asia low.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69726, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
London open in ~30 min: a break above the 0.6988 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in view
M15 close back below the 0.6976 Asia shelf and the 0.6973 prior high would mark a failed breakout
Loss of 0.6973 opens the 50% fib of the Asia rally near 0.6972 and the 0.6955 Asia low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia breakout above prior high, HH/HL chain intact.
Asia session lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6958 Asia low through yesterday's 0.6973 prior high as the USD softened with yields. Price stalled at a 0.6988 session high inside the digest's 0.6975–0.6985 cap and is holding a shallow pullback low at 0.6981 ahead of London open. RSI(14) near 64 with ATR around 2.8 pips; no overbought extreme.
Support: 0.69809, 0.69726, 0.69576
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6988 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Break of the 0.6981 pullback low ends the HH/HL chain
Close back below the 0.6973 prior high (50% of the Asia rally fib) returns price to yesterday's range
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Asia breakout above range top, HH/HL chain intact.
With USD softness carrying over, the Asia session cleared the prior NY high at 0.6973 and the mid-session range top at 0.6978, printing a 0.6988 session high just before London open. Price is now easing back toward the 0.6978 breakout level. RSI(14) at 64 is not stretched.
Support: 0.69784, 0.69726
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6978 range top into London open keeps the breakout intact
A return below the 0.6973 prior high, the 38.2–50% zone of the Asia rally fib, would mark a false break
An M15 close above the 0.6988 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
UoM sentiment, inflation expectations and Fed's Collins at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 82 · price 0.69863
HH/HL chain through Asia, prior-day high broken and held on the pullback.
Asia session lifted from the 0.6958 asian low through the 0.6973 prior-day high as USD softened with yields. A pullback held at that level, and price then cleared the 0.6978 early high. The new session high at 0.6988 sits at the top of the 0.6975–0.6985 cap in the digest, with RSI(14) near 82 about 75 minutes before London open.
Support: 0.69784, 0.69726, 0.69576
Resistance: 0.69876, 0.7000, 0.7002
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6978 early high keeps the Asia breakout intact; a slip back below the 0.6973 prior-day high (50% fib zone) negates it
A close above the 0.6988 session high exposes the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7020 range top
RSI(14) above 80 into London open: stretched for a 2.6-pip ATR tape
UoM sentiment, inflation expectations and Fed's Collins at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, extending into late Asia · RSI 74 · price 0.69829
HH/HL chain since the rollover, breakout above the Asian high.
USD softness on falling yields carried AUDUSD from the 0.6958 asia base through yesterday's 0.6973 prior high, and the 05:00 UTC push cleared the 0.6978 asian high to a 24h session high at 0.6983. Price now sits just under the 0.6985 range cap flagged in the digest, with Asia higher lows intact and RSI(14) near 74. London open is roughly 90 minutes out.
Support: 0.69784, 0.69726, 0.6958
Resistance: 0.69832, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6978 asian high keeps the breakout intact; a return below it marks a false break
A close below the 0.6973 prior high, which aligns with the 38.2% fib and the Asia higher lows, breaks the HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6985 range cap brings the 0.7000 round number into view
UoM sentiment, inflation expectations and Fed's Collins at 14:00 UTC could reverse the yield-driven USD dip
05:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh 24h high · RSI 69 · price 0.69814
HH/HL chain through Asia; consolidation broken to upside.
Asia session climbed steadily from the 0.6958 Asia base as USD softened with yields. Price then broke the 0.6978 Asian high around 05:00 UTC to a 0.6982 session high, now just under the 0.6985 range cap flagged in the AUD digest. The 0.6972 range low, which aligns with yesterday's NY spike high and the 38.2% fib, sits below. RSI(14) near 69 is warm, not stretched.
Support: 0.69784, 0.69723, 0.69576
Resistance: 0.69822, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6978 asian high on a retest turns the breakout into a false break
M15 close back below the 0.6972 range low (38.2% fib) breaks the HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6985 range cap opens the 0.7000 round number
London open in under 2h typically resets the session range
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD via yields
05:04 UTC
Uptrend through Asia, pressing new highs · price 0.69791
HH/HL chain since Tokyo open, prior high at 0.6972 now holding as base.
Asia breakout above prior-day high, tight consolidation beneath session high.
The Asia session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6955 Asian low, through the 0.6961 Asian pivot and above yesterday's NY prior high at 0.6973, as the USD softened with yields. Price set a 0.6978 session high and has since compressed in a 0.6972–0.6978 band, with two dips holding the prior high. RSI(14) sits near 63 and ATR(14) is under 3 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6961, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6972 prior high marks a false break and puts the 0.6961 Asian pivot and the fib 50% near 0.6967 back in view
Clearance of the 0.6978 session high opens the 0.6985 range cap cited in the digest, then 0.7000 psych
London open expansion from the sub-3-pip ATR could resolve the consolidation
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
Break of prior-day high, retest held, tight late-Asia consolidation.
Asia session lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6955 asia base through yesterday's 0.6973 prior high to a 0.6978 session high, with the USD softening as yields corrected. The pullback held at 0.6972 as a retest of the prior high, and price is now compressed in a 5-pip band just under the session high and inside the 0.6975–0.6985 range cap. RSI(14) is near 63 and ATR is about 2.7 pips, so momentum is cooling rather than stretched.
Support: 0.69723, 0.69622, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6972 prior high voids the breakout-retest read and exposes the 0.6962 late ny high, near the 50% of the asia rally fib
Close above 0.6978 session high opens the 0.6985 range cap, then the 0.7000 round number
London open is the likely catalyst to resolve the tight late-Asia band
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could reverse the USD softness behind this move
Loss of the 0.6955 asia base would unwind the full session rally
Breakout above prior high, tight flag holding on top.
Asia session lifted AUD out of the pre-Tokyo range top at 0.6961 as the USD softened on correcting yields and the Iran pause. Price cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.6972, set a 0.6978 session high, and has since held a tight 0.6972–0.6978 band. Two dips have held the prior high and the rising support line from the 0.6956 low, and RSI(14) has cooled from overbought.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69612, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6972 prior high and rising support negates the breakout, with the 0.6961 range top / 50% fib next
Close above the 0.6978 session high opens the 0.6985 range cap, then the 0.7000 round number
Failure at 0.6944 NY low would erase the full Asia leg
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Collins in the NY session could materially shift this read
04:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below asia high · RSI 69 · price 0.69755
Asia breakout above Thursday's NY high, tight consolidation and retest.
Asia session lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6957 asia low to a 0.6978 asia high as the USD softened with yields, clearing Thursday's NY-session prior high at 0.6972. Price has since held a tight 0.6972–0.6978 band, with the prior high retested twice and holding. RSI(14) is near 69, ATR(14) is about 3 pips, and London open is still roughly 3h out.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6972 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and puts the fib 38.2 at 0.6970 in view
A break of the 0.6978 asia high exposes the 0.6985 range cap and the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6957 asia low unwinds the Asia rally
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 0.6957, retesting broken prior high.
The Asia session extended the softer-USD bounce from the 0.6957 swing low and cleared yesterday's 0.6973 prior high, set during NY hours, to print a 0.6978 session high. Three pullbacks since have held 0.6972–0.6973 as a retest of that broken level, with RSI(14) cooling to ~62 and ATR(14) under 3 pips, consistent with thin mid-Tokyo ranges.
Support: 0.69725, 0.6970, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6972 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break, exposing the 38.2% fib at 0.6970 and the 0.6957 swing low
Clearance of the 0.6978 session high puts the 0.6985 range cap and the 0.7000 round number in play
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus moves in US yields, could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after Asia push · RSI 62 · price 0.69725
Break of Thursday NY high, now retesting it.
Late in the Asia session. Price broke out of the early asia range top at 0.6961 and cleared Thursday's NY high at 0.6973 to a 0.6978 session high as the USD softened with yields. It is now back on the ny high at 0.6972 as a retest, with RSI(14) cooled to about 62 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.69723, 0.6970, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6972 ny high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.6970, then the asia range top at 0.6961
Close above the 0.6978 session high opens the 0.7000 round number, inside the 0.6975–0.6985 cap zone
London open in ~3.5h may set a new session range
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
Asia upleg broke prior high, now retesting it from above.
The Asia session lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6957 Asian base through Thursday's 0.6973 NY prior high as the USD softened with yields. It stalled at a 0.6978 session high, inside the 0.6975–0.6985 cap, and is now holding the prior high on a shallow pullback with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-60s.
Support: 0.69726, 0.69565, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6973 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.6957 asian base, then the 0.6944 ny low
Close above the 0.6978 session high reopens the 0.6985 cap and 0.7000 psych
Holding the 38.2% of the asia upleg fib near 0.6970 keeps the HL sequence intact
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range breakout, HH/HL chain since 00:00 UTC.
Asia session broke the 0.6956–0.6961 Asian range at 00:00 UTC and ran 21 pips to a session high at 0.6978. The rally cleared yesterday's NY spike high at 0.6973, as USD softened with yields. That prior high was retested at 0.6973 and held, with RSI(14) near 74 and bars compressing just under the high.
Support: 0.69727, 0.69614, 0.69576
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6973 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 0.6978 session high puts the 0.6985 range cap and the 0.7000 round number in view
Loss of the rising trendline from the 0.6958 Asian low reopens the 0.6961 Asian range top
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakout above prior high; HH/HL chain through Asia.
Asia session lifted off the 0.6956 asian base as the dollar softened with yields. It cleared Thursday's NY prior high at 0.6973 and printed a session high of 0.6978. The first pullback held at 0.6973 as a retest, with RSI(14) hot near 75 as price presses into the 0.6975–0.6985 range cap. The rising support line from the Asia launch is intact, and the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg sits near 0.6970.
Support: 0.69727, 0.69565, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6973 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.6956 asian base
Clearing the 0.6978 session high and the 0.6985 range cap opens the 0.7000 psych level
A slide through 0.6956 puts the 0.6944 ny low back in play and breaks the rising support
Iran-strike headlines or UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, extended in Asia · RSI 76 · price 0.69753
Higher lows since London low; prior high broken and retested.
Asia session ran from the 0.6955 asian base through the 0.6973 prior high, the NY-session spike high, to a 0.6978 session high as the USD softened with yields. The first pullback held at the prior high and has stalled there, with RSI(14) near 76 and the 0.6975–0.6985 cap overhead.
Support: 0.69726, 0.69608, 0.69553
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6973 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes fib 38.2 at 0.6961
Close above the 0.6978 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6955 asian base breaks the higher-lows trendline and the intraday uptrend read
Iran strike headlines and Friday's UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift USD and this read
Mid-Asia session, price pushed through Thursday's NY spike high (prior high 0.69726) as the USD softened with yields. It printed a session high at 0.69784, then saw rejection just inside the 0.6975–0.6985 range cap. Price is now retesting the prior high from above, with RSI(14) cooling from near 80 to about 71 along the steep Asia trendline.
Support: 0.69726, 0.6962, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the prior high at 0.6972 turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the Asia base at 0.6962 (fib 61.8% of the Asia leg sits near 0.6965)
Break of the Asia trendline and the 0.69565 Asia low retraces the entire Asia leg
Close above the 0.69784 session high opens the 0.6985 range cap, then the 0.7000 round number
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC and Iran strike-plan headlines could reprice USD
02:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first pause after Asia leg · RSI 70 · price 0.6973
Asia breakout above prior high, now retesting it.
Asia session ran out of the 0.6957–0.6961 early-Asia band and cleared Thursday's NY spike prior high at 0.6972, printing a 0.6978 session high into the 0.6975–0.6985 cap as the USD eased with yields. The current bar is retesting the prior high from above, with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6961, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6972 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and puts the 0.6961 asian high back in play
Holding the asia trendline and the 38.2% fib near 0.6970 keeps the HH/HL chain intact
Acceptance above the 0.6978 session high exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.6961 reopens Thursday's 0.6944 ny low
Iran strike headlines or a US yield rebound could shift this read before London open; UoM sentiment due 14:00 UTC
01:47 UTC
Uptrend, extended into Asia session · RSI 80 · price 0.6977
Breakout above prior high, stacked higher lows since 00:00 UTC.
The Asia session broke out of the 0.6955–0.6961 range from 00:00 UTC. AUD extended its bounce as the USD softened with yields and cleared yesterday's prior high at 0.6973 to a session high at 0.6978. RSI(14) near 80 is stretched after seven straight higher lows along the asia trendline, and the 0.6985 range cap from the macro read sits just overhead.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6961, 0.6955
Resistance: 0.69775, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6973 prior high marks the breakout as a false break
Loss of the asia trendline and the 0.6961 asian high returns price toward the 0.6955 asian low
Acceptance through the 0.6985 range cap opens the 0.7000 round number
RSI(14) at ~80: a stall at the session high would leave a momentum gap for a pullback into the 0.6973 retest
Iran strike-plan headlines or a jump in US yields can reverse the soft-USD move; UoM sentiment is due 14:00 UTC
Asian range break, HH/HL chain testing prior high.
Asia session lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.6955–0.6961 Asian range and straight into the prior high at 0.6973. That level capped yesterday's NY spike before a 29-pip reversal. RSI(14) near 80 with ATR(14) at about 2.6 pips, and the push comes against a heavy AUD backdrop of hawkish Fed pricing and risk-off in tech.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6955, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6985
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6973 prior high opens the 0.6985 upper cap flagged as resistance in the AUD digest
A second rejection at 0.6973 would leave a double top against yesterday's NY spike high
A break of the asian trendline and loss of the 50% asian rally fib (~0.6964) would mark the breakout as stalling
Back below the 0.6961 asian high puts price inside the Asian range again, with the 0.6955 asian low and 0.6944 NY low below
Iran strike-plan headlines or a deeper AI-equity selloff could reverse the risk tone ahead of US UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC)
01:17 UTC
Uptrend off yesterday's London low, momentum firm · RSI 76 · price 0.69692
Higher lows since 0.6932; Tokyo open broke early-Asia range high.
The Tokyo open broke the early-Asia high at 0.6961, and price has retraced most of yesterday's NY selloff. It is now pressing the 0.6973 NY high, with RSI(14) near 76, hot but not extreme. Rising lows hold from 0.6932, though the bounce runs against a heavy AUD backdrop of risk-off and a hawkish Fed.
Support: 0.69614, 0.69553, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69726, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 ny high and 0.6975 band top extends the breakout toward 0.6985
Slip back below the 0.6961 asia high marks a false break, exposing the 0.6955 asia low
Loss of the 0.6944 swing low breaks the rising lows sequence
AI-equity risk-off, Iran headlines or UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.69652
Higher lows off rollover low, prior high broken.
Asia session has carried AUDUSD through the 0.6962 prior high to 0.6965, building higher lows off the 0.6955 rollover low and clearing the 61.8% level of yesterday's NY drop fib. The push comes against a soft AUD backdrop from hawkish Fed minutes and the AI-stock sell-off. Yesterday's 0.6968 Asia high and the 0.6973 NY high sit directly overhead, with RSI(14) near 68.
Support: 0.69622, 0.69553, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69679, 0.69726
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6962 prior high puts price back inside the overnight range
Break of the 0.6955 rollover low ends the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 0.6944 NY low
Rejection at the 0.6968 Asia high or the 0.6973 NY high would cap this Asia advance; a clearance runs into the 0.6975-0.6985 band
US prelim UoM sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC, plus Iran strike-plan headlines, could materially shift this read
00:48 UTC
Short-term uptrend, higher lows since NY low · RSI 66 · price 0.69639
Higher-low chain pressing through 0.6962 range top.
The NY spike to the 0.6973 NY high on the USD fade was fully reversed into 0.6944. Since that NY low AUD/USD has printed higher lows, and early Asia is now pressing through the 0.6962 range top, the 61.8% of the NY reversal, with RSI(14) firm at 66 and ATR a thin 2.5 pips.
Support: 0.69622, 0.69563, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69679, 0.69726
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6962 range top would turn the push into a false break
Clearing the 0.6968 asia high from Oct 8 exposes the 0.6973 ny high
Loss of the 0.6956 asian low and the rising lows trendline breaks the higher-low chain back toward the 0.6944 ny low
Iran strike headlines and AI-stock risk tone can jolt thin Asian liquidity
00:32 UTC
Sideways, grinding higher off the NY low · RSI 58 · price 0.69617
Tight 0.6955–0.6962 range with higher lows.
Early Friday Asia session has price pressing the 0.6962 range top. That level capped the late-NY drift and sits on the 61.8% retracement of the NY drop fib from the 0.6973 prior-day high. Thursday's rejection there came amid hawkish-Fed and AI-equity risk-off headlines. Higher lows from the 0.6951 NY pullback through the 0.6955 rollover low keep rising support intact. ATR is about 2 pips and RSI(14) is neutral near 58.
Support: 0.69553, 0.69514, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69622, 0.69679, 0.69726
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 range top opens Thursday's Asia high at 0.6968, then the prior-day high at 0.6973
Break of rising support and the 0.6955 rollover low exposes the 0.6951 NY pullback, then the 0.6944 NY swing low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) and AI/tech equity tone could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Recovering from the 0.6932 low, compressing under the range cap · RSI 59 · price 0.69609
Higher lows from 0.6944 into a flat 0.6961-0.6962 range cap.
AUD/USD hit 0.6932 on Thursday, weighed by the hawkish Fed minutes and the AI-led risk-off. It bounced to a 0.6973 ny high, was rejected, and has since printed rising lows at the 0.6944 ny low, the 0.6951 swing low and the 0.6956 asian low. Early Asia is pressing the 0.6961-0.6962 range cap again with ATR near 2.3 pips, so this is a compression with no break yet.
Support: 0.6956, 0.6951, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6973
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 range cap would open the 0.6973 ny high
Loss of the 0.6956 asian low and the rising-lows trendline would expose the 0.6951 swing low, then the 0.6944 ny low
Deeper AI/tech equity weakness or a jump in US yields could undercut the rising-lows structure
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC Friday could materially shift this read
AUD rebounded from the 0.6932 London low to a 0.6973 NY high, then gave it all back to the 0.6944 NY low as AI-stock risk-off weighed on the Aussie. Since then lows have stepped up through the 0.6951 swing low and the 0.6955 asia low, while the 0.6962 range top has capped three tests. Early Asia is compressing inside 0.6955–0.6962, with ATR near 2.4 pips.
Support: 0.69553, 0.69514, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.69622, 0.69726
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 range top opens a retest of the 0.6973 NY high
Break of the rising lows trendline and the 0.6955 asia low exposes the 0.6951 swing low, then the 0.6944 NY low
Equity and AI-stock tone stays the main AUD driver into London; a renewed sell-off would test the rising lows