0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; higher lows since Thursday's low.
AUDUSD has retraced nearly all of the London-led slide from Tuesday's 0.6990 week high to Thursday's 0.6932 week low. The recovery began in Thursday's NY session and extended through Friday's Asia session as US yields eased. Friday's NY dip held the 38.2% fib of that recovery at 0.6967, keeping the higher-lows sequence intact. Price now sits above the H1 ema20 with RSI(14) near 57, pressing back into the 0.6988–0.6990 range top that has rejected two pushes this week.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6967, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7000 psych level into view
Loss of the ema20 and the higher-lows line, then a break of the 0.6967 38.2% fib, would expose the 0.6932 week low
A third rejection at the 0.6988–0.6990 range top would leave a lower-high shape against Tuesday's peak
RBA Minutes (Tue 13 Oct 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 14 Oct 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:05 UTC
Range-bound, recovering toward range top · RSI 58 · price 0.69802
Higher lows since Thursday's 0.6932 week low, capped below the flat 0.6989 week high.
Tuesday's London-NY push set the week high at 0.6989. The hawkish FOMC Minutes then drove a two-day slide to the 0.6932 week low in Thursday's London session. Friday's Asia session rally followed the US-yield pullback and risk-on mood and retraced most of that drop, but stalled at 0.6988, a rejection just under the week high. The NY dip held the 38.2% fib of the Thursday-Friday rally at 0.6967, and price has since reclaimed the ema20 near 0.6974 along a rising trendline, with RSI(14) holding in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6967, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6989 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6967 38.2% fib and the rising trendline turns Friday's rebound into a lower high below the range top
A break of the 0.6932 week low would end the range read on the downside
RBA Minutes (Tue 13 Oct 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 14 Oct 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower high vs Tuesday's 0.6990 top; higher lows since Thursday's 0.6932 low.
Tuesday's 0.6990 week high gave way to lower highs and a London-session week low at 0.6932 on Thursday. A Friday Asia-session rally on the US-yield pullback and improved risk appetite then lifted price back to 0.6988. Through NY hours price has held a 0.6967–0.6984 band: the dip to the Friday NY low stalled at the 38.2% retracement of the Thursday–Friday rally, price is back above EMA(20) and EMA(50), and RSI(14) has cooled from near 69 to the mid-50s as the intraday cap at 0.6984 keeps rejecting.
Support: 0.69731, 0.69672, 0.69324
Resistance: 0.69843, 0.69895, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high clears the range top and exposes the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the Friday NY low at 0.6967 breaks the higher-low line from Thursday's 0.6932 week low
Sustained trade back below EMA(20) at 0.6973 returns price to the middle of the week range
RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read next week
Higher lows off Thursday's week low, capped below the 0.6990 week high.
AUDUSD has round-tripped the week. Tuesday's NY-session 0.6990 week high gave way to a midweek slide to the 0.6932 week low as hawkish FOMC Minutes lifted US yields, then Thursday's London-session reversal and Friday's Asia-session leg lifted price back to 0.6988 as yields eased. Price holds above EMA(20) at 0.6973 and EMA(50) near 0.6968, and the early-NY dip to the 0.6967 friday low held the 38.2% recovery fib, with RSI(14) near 61. Supply has capped the 0.6984 friday cap and the 0.6990 range top twice this week, below the 0.7000 psych level.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6967, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6967 friday low and the higher-low trendline exposes the 50% recovery fib near 0.6960, then the 0.6932 week low
Repeated failure at the 0.6984 friday cap with price slipping under ema20 would turn Friday's recovery into a lower-high
Weekend gap risk, then RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; higher low Friday, lower high just under Tuesday's top.
AUDUSD has rotated inside a 0.6932–0.6990 range all week. Tuesday's range top gave way to a London-led slide on Wednesday as hawkish FOMC Minutes lifted US yields, and Thursday's week low at 0.6932 printed before the NY session. Friday's Asia-session recovery on the US-yield pullback met rejection at 0.6988, just under the range top, while the 12:00 UTC dip held a 0.6967 swing low near the 38.2% fib of the Thursday–Friday leg. Price sits marginally above EMA(20) near 0.6972 and RSI(14) is flat around 55, with higher lows still intact from Thursday.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6960, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6989 range top and the 0.7000 psych level would break the week's cap
Loss of the 0.6967 swing low and the higher-lows trendline puts the fib 50% at 0.6960 in play
A break of the 0.6932 week low exposes the ~0.6900 three-month low
RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher low off 0.6932, second test of 0.6990 range top stalled.
AUDUSD has rebounded off Thursday's London-session week low at 0.6932. Most of Friday's lift came during Asia session hours as US yields pulled back, but the advance stalled at 0.6988, just short of Tuesday's 0.6990 week high, a second rejection at the range top. London capped price at the 0.6984 session high, and the 12:00 UTC dip found demand at 0.6967, the 38.2% fib of the Thursday–Friday leg, which sits on the rising trendline from the week low. Price is holding marginally above ema20 near 0.6972, with RSI(14) near 57 and cooling.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6967, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations in the 14:00 UTC bar could materially shift this read via US yields
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold ema20 and the 0.6984 session high capping again keeps the Friday rebound contained
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 0.6967 and the rising trendline returns focus to the 0.6932 week low
RBA Minutes (Tue 00:30 UTC) and next week's US CPI are the next scheduled risks to the range
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; Friday rebound capped by a lower high.
AUDUSD has rotated inside a 0.6932–0.6990 band this week. Tuesday's NY-open high at the 0.6990 week high gave way to London-led selling on Wednesday and Thursday down to the 0.6932 week low, before a yield-pullback rebound in Friday's Asia session retraced most of that drop. A London cap at 0.6984 rejected price twice into the London-NY transition, pulling it back toward the fib 38.2 near 0.6967. Price now sits marginally above EMA(20) around 0.6972, with RSI(14) easing to about 58.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6955, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the fib 38.2 near 0.6967 exposes the asian low at 0.6955
Loss of 0.6955 reopens the 0.6932 week low and the lower half of the range
Higher lows since Thursday's low, testing range top.
AUDUSD has retraced nearly all of the Wednesday–Thursday slide. It bounced from Thursday's 0.6932 week low in the London session and extended through Friday's Asia session as US yields and oil eased on Trump's Iran pledge. Friday's 0.6988 high stalled just under Tuesday's 0.6990 week high, a rejection at the range top, but the pullback held the 0.6974 swing low. Price sits above a rising EMA(20) near 0.6972, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s and the higher lows trendline from Thursday intact beneath it.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6960, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens 0.7000 psych
Loss of the 0.6974 swing low and the higher lows trendline puts the 50% fib of the recovery at 0.6960 in play
Failure back below 0.6960 reopens the 0.6932 week low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read; RBA Minutes Tue 00:30 UTC next
Range 0.6932–0.6990; lower low Thursday, then a higher low from Thursday's 0.6944 base.
Friday's Asian session drove a 55-pip leg off the Thursday base into the London open, as the US Treasury yield correction softened the dollar. The move stalled at 0.6988, just under Tuesday's 0.6990 week high. That leaves a twin rejection at the range top below the 0.7000 psych handle. Price is holding above the H1 ema20 near 0.6971 with RSI(14) easing from the low 70s. The pullback so far is shallow, only about a quarter of the fib on Thursday-to-Friday's rally.
Support: 0.6971, 0.6942, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6989 week high, and then the 0.7000 psych level, would break the range top that capped both attempts
Loss of the ema20 at 0.6971 shifts focus to the 38.2% fib near 0.6967, with the wed low at 0.6942 below
Failure to hold the 0.6932 week low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read via yields
RBA Minutes on Tue 13 Oct 00:30 UTC are the next AUD-specific risk
0.6932-0.6990 range; lower-high line broken in Friday Asia, now testing the top.
The week high at 0.6990, set into Tuesday's NY open, gave way to a series of lower highs on hawkish FOMC Minutes and 2002-era US yields, bottoming at the 0.6932 week low during Thursday's London session. As yields corrected, price rebounded, and Friday's Asia session broke the lower-highs line from the 0.6955 asia base, running to 0.6988 just under the week high. Price is holding at 0.6977 above EMA(20) at 0.6969, which sits on the 38.2% of the Thu-Fri rally, with RSI(14) easing to 62.
Support: 0.6969, 0.6955, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.7020 range top.
A loss of EMA(20) at 0.6969 and the 0.6955 asia base would neutralise the lower-highs break and return price to mid-range.
Below the 0.6932 week low, the higher-lows line fails and the range read shifts to a lower-low.
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read via yields.
08:04 UTC
Range-bound, rebound pressing the top · RSI 65 · price 0.69804
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; V-recovery from Thursday's low into the week high.
AUD/USD has held a 0.6932–0.6990 range all week. Tuesday's London-NY run set the week high at 0.6990, and Wednesday's London slide ahead of the hawkish FOMC Minutes led to Thursday's week low at 0.6932 during London hours. Friday's Asia session added about 30 pips off the 0.6955 asian base as US yields corrected and Trump ruled out Iran strikes before the midterms, lifting price back above the ema20 near 0.6969. The 0.6988 print was rejected just below the week high, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s and short of overbought.
Support: 0.6969, 0.6955, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number, then the 0.7020 range edge
A drop back below the ema20 at 0.6969 and the 0.6955 asian base would return price to the middle of the range, near the 50% fib of the Thu-Fri rally
Loss of the rising support from Thursday's low exposes the 0.6932 week low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed Collins, could reverse the yield pullback behind the bounce
Higher lows off Thursday's 0.6932 low, retesting the 0.6990 week high.
AUDUSD has traded a 0.6932–0.6990 range all week. Tuesday's London-NY push set the 0.6990 week high, then hawkish FOMC Minutes and firmer US yields drove a two-day slide to Thursday's 0.6932 week low. The rebound since has printed higher lows along a rising trendline and extended in Friday's Asia session as the USD softened and yields corrected, retesting the week high with price above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and RSI(14) in the high 60s.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6960, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 0.6990 week high opens the 0.7000 round number, with the 0.7020 range top above
Loss of 0.6973 (Thursday's NY high, near EMA(20)) and the rising trendline would shift the read to a pullback toward the 0.6960 fib 50% of the Thursday-Friday rebound
Second rejection at the week high keeps the range read intact; a break of the 0.6932 week low would confirm a lower low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
06:04 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding into range top · RSI 65 · price 0.6983
Higher lows since Thursday's 0.6932 low inside a 0.6932–0.6990 weekly range.
Range-bound since Tuesday. The 0.6990 week high capped the NY-open push that day, then the Wednesday–Thursday slide on the hawkish FOMC Minutes and firm US yields printed a 0.6932 week low during London hours Thursday. That low marked a false break of Wednesday's 0.6942 low and was quickly reclaimed into the NY session. Friday's Asia session extended Thursday's rebound as the USD softened with yields, lifting price back above EMA(20) near 0.6967 and into the week high, with RSI(14) near 65 and short of overbought.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6955, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7000 round number into play
Rejection at the week high followed by a close back below the ema20 (0.6967) returns price to mid-range
Loss of the 0.6955 Asia low breaks the higher-lows trendline from Thursday's week low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could reprice yields and shift this read
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; higher lows off Thursday's low, price pressing range top.
From Monday's 0.6940 open, AUDUSD rallied to the 0.6990 week high on Tuesday. It reversed on Wednesday as hawkish FOMC Minutes and firm US yields pressed it lower, and the London session on Thursday made a false break of Wednesday's 0.6942 low to the 0.6932 week low. Since then the pair has printed a sequence of higher lows. In today's Asia session it cleared Thursday's 0.6973 prior-day high as the USD softened with yields, reclaiming the 82% retracement of the Tue–Thu decline. Price sits above EMA(20) near 0.6964 with RSI(14) around 64, short of overbought.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6964, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7000 round number into play
Failure to hold the 0.6973 prior-day high returns price toward EMA(20) at 0.6964 and the higher-lows line
Break of the higher-lows line and the 0.6932 week low would turn the rebound into a lower-low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via yields
RBA Minutes Tue Oct 13 00:30 UTC are the next AUD-specific risk to the range
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; higher lows since Thursday.
Tuesday's NY-open push set the week high at 0.6990. Hawkish FOMC Minutes and firm US yields then pulled the pair through the wed low at 0.6942 to a 0.6932 week low during Thursday's London session, a false break that reversed within hours. Friday's Asia session extended the higher-lows sequence as the USD softened on Iran de-escalation and easing yields. Price is back above the H1 ema20 near 0.6962 with RSI(14) around 61, pressing the 0.6978 session high just under the week high.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6942, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the range top and brings the 0.7000 round number and 0.7020 into play
Rejection at the 0.6978 session high followed by a close back below the ema20 (~0.6962) returns price to mid-range
A break of the rising-lows trendline and the 0.6942 wed low reopens the 0.6932 week low
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read via yields
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; Friday Asia breaking the lower-high line.
After Tuesday NY set the week high at 0.6990, the pair slid through Wednesday and Thursday's London sessions as US yields firmed around the hawkish FOMC Minutes. It printed a week low at 0.6932, just under Monday's open area. Thursday NY spiked to 0.6973 on USD selling after the Iran headlines but faded. Friday's Asia session has extended the higher lows off that week low, taking price back above EMA(20) to a 0.6978 session high. That move breaks the lower-high line from Tuesday's peak and sits at the 78.6% retracement of the Tuesday-Thursday decline, with RSI(14) in the mid-60s.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6942, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high takes the pair out of this week's range toward the 0.7000 psych level
Rejection at the 0.6978 session high and a slip back under ema20 at 0.6961 returns price to mid-range
Break of the higher lows and the 0.6942 wed low reopens the 0.6932 week low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read via yields
0.6932–0.6990 range; lower highs since Tuesday's peak broken in Asia.
AUDUSD has traded a 0.6932–0.6990 range this week. Highs have stepped lower since Tuesday's first-hour-of-NY peak at the week high, and Thursday's London dip to the week low was followed by an NY spike that faded back to the 0.6944 swing low. In Asia, the pair pushed through the falling trendline and the EMA20/EMA50 ema cluster near 0.6960 as the USD softened with yields, then stalled at the asia high of 0.6978, close to the 78.6% retracement of the tue-thu drop. RSI(14) at 61 has recovered from Thursday's lows without reaching an extreme.
Support: 0.69596, 0.69438, 0.69324
Resistance: 0.69784, 0.69895, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.6990 week high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.7000 round number
Repeated stalls at the 0.6978 asia high keep the move a range-internal retracement of the tue-thu drop
Return below the 0.6960 ema cluster and back under the falling trendline negates the Asia break
Failure at the 0.6944 swing low exposes the 0.6932 week low again
US prelim UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins and Iran strike-plan headlines, could materially shift this read
01:05 UTC
Range with lower highs since Tuesday · RSI 57 · price 0.69656
Lower highs from 0.6990, twin lows at 0.6932.
The pair ran from the 0.6932 week low on Monday's London open to the 0.6990 week high in Tuesday's NY session. Hawkish Fed minutes, 2002-high US yields and the AI-led equity sell-off then produced lower highs on Wednesday and Thursday, and London selling on Thursday retested the week low area at 0.6932. The NY rebound to the 0.6973 Thu high met rejection, and price is now edging back above EMA(20) near 0.6955 in Asia, testing the 50–61.8% retracement of the Tue-Thu decline under the falling lower-highs trendline.
Support: 0.6955, 0.6942, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6990
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 0.6973 Thu high breaks the sequence and puts the 0.6990 week high back in view
Failure to hold EMA(20) at 0.6955 and the 0.6942 Wed low shifts focus back to the 0.6932 week low
Break of the 0.6932 week low, where the Monday and Thursday lows sit together, would end the twin-low read
US prelim UoM sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Iran strike-plan headlines and AI/tech equity moves remain the main risk-off drivers for AUD
0.6932–0.6990 weekly range; twin lows at the week low, highs stepping down.
AUDUSD has round-tripped the week inside 0.6932–0.6990. Tuesday's London-NY push printed the 0.6990 week high, then two days of lower highs followed as hawkish FOMC minutes and the AI-led equity sell-off weighed on the high-beta Aussie. Thursday's London drop held just above Monday's 0.6932 week low. The NY rebound met rejection at the 0.6973 Thursday high, and price is now settling near the week open, back above EMA(20) around 0.6956 and close to the 50% fib of the Tuesday-Thursday drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 55, and ATR(14) has compressed to about 9 pips in the Asia session.
Support: 0.69558, 0.69438, 0.69324
Resistance: 0.69726, 0.69895
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 0.6973 Thursday high breaks the sequence of lower highs since Tuesday
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.6956 exposes the 0.6944 Thursday NY low
A break of the 0.6932 week low would end the twin-low hold and the range read
Recovery through the 61.8% of the Tuesday-Thursday fib reopens a test of the 0.6990 week high
UoM sentiment, inflation expectations and Fed's Collins (Fri 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read