AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 19 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.70117
Range above 0.7000 after breakdown.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7050 mid-week as the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing knocked the pair ~80 pips, with a leg to 0.6989 before buyers stabilised it at the 0.7000 handle. Price has since coiled in a tight range between 0.7000 and a series of lower highs near 0.7040, RSI(14) flat around the midline. Bounces have lacked follow-through, keeping price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.7000 / 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7040 lower-high line needed to challenge 0.7050
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.70117
Post-break range above 0.7000 psych.
AUDUSD knifed through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip, then settled into a tight 0.7000-0.7020 band into the thin Juneteenth tape. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI cycling neutral around the midline; the 0.7000 psych mark has been defended repeatedly while the 0.69888 week low caps the downside. Recovery attempts have stalled below the 0.70370 swing high, leaving the post-break structure intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.69888 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70370 then 0.7050 needed to challenge the downtrend
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next domestic lever
US-Iran headlines could drive the USD bid and pressure 0.7000
19:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after impulse · RSI 47 · price 0.70126
Tight range pinned above 0.7000 post-drop.
Wednesday's FOMC flipped the 2026 dots hawkish and sent AUD/USD ~80 pips lower, breaking through 0.7050 to a sub-0.7000 low at 0.69888. Since then price has compressed into a tight band above the 0.7000 psychological pivot through thin Juneteenth trade, with RSI(14) mid-range and price holding the EMA20 but capped well below the EMA50. Lower highs from 0.70412 mark the post-break supply.
Reclaim of the 0.7050 cap / 100-d sma needed to negate the downtrend read
High-impact Australian CPI Wed Jun 24 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70126
Post-FOMC break lower, ranging above 0.7000.
Wednesday's FOMC, which flipped the 2026 dots to a hike, drove AUD/USD ~80 pips lower through 0.7050 to a sub-0.7000 week low at 0.6989. Since then price has consolidated in a tight band around 0.7010, holding just above the 0.7000 psychological pivot with RSI(14) flat near 50. EMA20 has flattened beneath price while EMA50 caps overhead, reflecting the post-break drift.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.7040 / 0.7050 100-day SMA needed to unwind the FOMC break
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUD/USD broke down through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 after Wednesday's hawkish Warsh-Fed dot-plot flip, then printed a fresh low at 0.6989 before stabilising. Price has spent the last two sessions coiling between 0.7000 and 0.7037, pinned to a flat EMR(20) with RSI(14) cycling around 45-50 and EMA50 capping overhead. The 0.7000 handle is acting as a pivot, with demand stepping in on each test of the figure.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6990 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.7050 needed to undo the FOMC breakdown
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into range · RSI 45 · price 0.70111
Consolidating just above 0.7000 after the FOMC drop.
AUD/USD shed ~80 pips through Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, slicing below 0.7050 and basing on the 0.7000 handle. Since then price has ranged 0.6989–0.7040 with a sequence of lower highs, and is now pinned just above the psychological pivot, holding below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is mid-range with no clear momentum into thin Juneteenth tape.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70237, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.7000 exposes the 0.69888 week low
A close back above 0.7037 negates the lower-high sequence
High-impact AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near 0.7000 · RSI 45 · price 0.70083
Lower highs into a tight range above 0.6989.
AUDUSD broke through 0.7050 mid-week after the hawkish Fed dot-plot flip, dropping ~80 pips through 0.7000 to a 0.6989 low. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6989–0.7037 range, pinned just under EMA20 with RSI hovering near 45 — no follow-through on either the break or the bounce. The 0.7000 handle remains the pivot for the week's read.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7041, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly acceptance below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7041 would challenge the lower-high sequence
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 46 · price 0.70083
Lower highs after Fed-driven drop, holding above the figure.
AUD/USD trended lower this week, the dominant leg an ~80 pip drop through 0.7050 after Wednesday's hawkish Fed flipped the 2026 dots to a hike. Price is now basing just above the 0.7000 psychological pivot, trading below EMA20 with RSI in the mid-40s. The 0.69888 week low and the figure have absorbed selling, while a string of lower highs caps rebounds near 0.7037.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.7000 opens the 0.69888 week low
H1 close above 0.7037 breaks the week's lower-high sequence
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.7008
Lower highs since Fed, basing above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke down ~80 pips through 0.7050 on Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot-plot flip, bottoming at 0.6989 before steadying. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6989–0.7022 band, pinned to the 0.7000 handle with RSI(14) hovering near 45 and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. The week's lower highs remain intact; 0.7022 has capped each bounce.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7037
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7037 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
High-impact Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.7008
Lower-high / lower-low, basing above 0.7000.
Wednesday's hawkish Fed flipped the 2026 dots to a hike and drove AUD/USD ~80 pips lower through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 in a single NY-session impulse. Price has since spent two days basing just above the 0.7000 psych pivot, capped repeatedly around 0.7020 with RSI hovering near 46 and price pinned below EMA20/50. The 0.7050 100-day region remains the ceiling for any recovery attempt.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6989 week low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 0.7037 swing high needed to challenge the 0.7050 100-day cap
Acceptance back above 0.7020 recent cap would ease the downside pressure
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed Jun 24 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation above the 0.7000 figure after the Fed-driven leg lower.
AUDUSD has spent the back half of the week pinned around the 0.7000 handle after Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot-plot knocked the pair ~80 pips through 0.7050. Since then price has carved a low-volatility range between 0.6989 and 0.7037, with each bounce off the figure capped by a string of lower highs into the NY-Asia transition. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price is hugging EMA(20), with the steeper EMA(50) overhead capping rallies.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low and resumes the week's downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7050 / 100-day SMA needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Wed) is the key catalyst that could break this range either way
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70129
Lower highs into the week, basing above 0.7000.
Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot-plot flip knocked AUD/USD ~80 pips through 0.7050 and briefly under the 0.7000 psych handle, with the week low printed at 0.6989. Price has since chopped sideways just above 0.7000, putting in twin lows near 0.6989 while RSI(14) cycles around the midline. The pair sits on its EMA20 but remains capped below EMA50 and the broken 0.7050 area.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
acceptance below 0.7000 / the 61.8% fib opens deeper downside through the week low
an H1 close back above 0.7050 / 100-day sma would challenge the lower-high structure
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 24 Jun could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.70093
Range above 0.7000 after Fed-driven leg lower.
AUDUSD sold off ~80 pips through 0.7050 into the Fed's hawkish hold and has since consolidated just above the 0.7000 handle, holding below EMA20 and EMA50. Two probes of 0.6989 found demand, while lower highs near 0.7037 cap rebounds; RSI sits mid-range as the pair coils. The 0.7000 psych level has been tested repeatedly this week and remains the line in the sand.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7000 opens the deeper pullback flagged in the news
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Wed) is the key catalyst that could shift this range
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.70093
Lower highs into 0.7000 base.
AUDUSD was knocked through 0.7050 by Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, with the dot-plot hike repricing driving an ~80 pip leg lower into the NY session. Price has since coiled in a 0.6989–0.7037 band, pinned at the 0.7000 handle, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 as each bounce stalls into lower highs. RSI(14) is mid-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum rather than washout conditions.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward a deeper corrective leg
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot would invalidate the lower-high structure
Australian CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst for this read
13:03 UTC
Downtrend this week, basing near 0.7000 · RSI 53 · price 0.70209
Lower highs into a flat base above the psych handle.
AUDUSD spent the back half of the week grinding lower after the Fed's hawkish dot-flip knocked it ~80 pips through the 0.7050 pivot and briefly sub-0.7000. Price has since carved a flat base just above the 0.7000 psych handle, with the 0.69888 week low marking the extreme; recoveries have stalled near the 0.70370 swing high. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 53 as the consolidation holds.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.70370 then 0.7050 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7000 and a close below 0.69888 confirms a fresh lower low
HIGH-impact AU Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24) is the key catalyst that could break this base
13:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 0.70209
Consolidation above 0.7000 after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7070 and was knocked ~80 pips through 0.7050 on Wednesday's hawkish Fed hold, briefly printing sub-0.7000 into the week low at 0.69888. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6990–0.7040 band around the psych handle, with RSI(14) flat near 51 and price hugging EMA20 below a downward-sloping EMA50. The range top near 0.7037 has capped each recovery attempt this week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70370 range top would challenge the downtrend read
Loss of 0.7000 psych re-opens the 0.69888 week low
High-impact AU CPI on Jun 24 could break this range
12:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, now flat near lows · RSI 48 · price 0.7012
Consolidation above 0.7000 after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD was knocked ~80 pips through 0.7050 to briefly sub-0.7000 mid-week after the hawkish Fed flip, then stabilised in a tight band between 0.7000 and 0.7037. Price now sits pinned to EMA20 with RSI mid-range, having failed to reclaim the broken 0.7050 pivot. The 0.7000 handle has absorbed repeated tests since the drop.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6989 week low
An hourly close back above 0.7037 reopens the 0.7050 pivot
AU CPI (Jun 24) is the next domestic catalyst and could break this range
Wednesday's hawkish-Fed leg lower knocked AUD/USD ~80 pips through the 0.7050 pivot toward sub-0.7000, and price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6989-0.7035 band beneath EMA20. The 0.7000 handle has absorbed repeated tests this week while a sequence of lower highs near 0.7035 keeps the recovery contained. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the stalled, range-bound tone after the impulse.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7000 opens the week low at 0.6989
Reclaim of 0.7035 / 0.7050 needed to challenge the downtrend
AU CPI (Jun 24) is the next domestic catalyst and could reset this range
11:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.70124
Range above 0.7000 after impulsive drop.
Wednesday's hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip knocked AUD/USD ~80 pips through 0.7050 to briefly sub-0.7000. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6989–0.7040 band, with the 0.7000 handle absorbing repeated tests and RSI(14) cycling mid-range. Price is pinned to EMA(20) but holding below EMA(50), keeping the broader weekly drift down while it ranges.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7000 / 0.69888 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.7050 (100-day sma) needed to undo the FOMC break
AU CPI next week and US PMIs/Waller are the next material catalysts
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7070 but lost ~80 pips on Wednesday's hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip, breaking 0.7050 and briefly probing sub-0.7000. Since the NY session of the drop, price has carved out a tight range between the 0.7000 handle and recovery highs near 0.7035, with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. EMA50 caps from above while price tracks EMA20, leaving the week's lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Repeated tests of 0.7000 psych — a clean break opens deeper downside
H1 close back above 0.7035 lower high would challenge the post-FOMC downtrend
AU PMIs and CPI later this week could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70168
Lower highs since FOMC, basing above 0.7000.
AUDUSD broke sharply through 0.7050 and the 0.7000 handle after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC dot plot, printing 0.6989 before stabilising. Price has since coiled in a 0.6990–0.7037 band, holding just above EMA(20) but capped by EMA(50) and a string of lower highs into 0.7037. RSI(14) is mid-range near 49, reflecting the indecision after the impulse leg down.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7037 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.7000 and 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70168
Lower highs into 0.7000, now consolidating.
AUDUSD spent the week under pressure after the Fed's hawkish dot plot flipped the 2026 path to a hike, knocking the pair ~80 pips through 0.7050 and sub-0.7000 across the NY session. Since then price has stabilised in a tight 0.6989–0.7037 band, with the 0.7000 handle holding on repeated tests and RSI(14) recovering back toward 50 off the lows. Price has reclaimed EMA20 but the descending series of lower highs and sub-EMA50 position keep the broader leg lower intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7000 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the weekly low
Reclaim of the 0.7050 pivot / 100d sma would neutralise the lower-high structure
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 50 · price 0.70186
Post-drop consolidation above 0.7000.
The dominant move of the week was the post-FOMC slide — a hawkish Fed hold knocked AUDUSD ~80 pips through 0.7050 to briefly under 0.7000 during the NY session. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.6990–0.7040 band, with the 0.699 area holding twice and a recovery back above the H1 EMA(20) into 0.7019. RSI(14) has cycled back to mid-range from oversold but lower highs near 0.7035 still cap the bounce.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70355, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next real catalyst and could reset this read
Hourly close below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot needed to break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD held the 0.7070-0.7085 zone through Monday and Tuesday before the hawkish Fed projection flip drove a sharp ~80pip break down through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.7000-0.7050 band, with RSI(14) cycling back near 50 and a sequence of lower highs capping each bounce; demand stepped in twice near 0.6990 overnight. Price sits just above the flattening EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050, 0.70751
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7050 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7000 handle exposes the 0.6989 swing low
S&P Global PMIs Mon 13:45 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
A hawkish-hold FOMC slammed AUD/USD ~80 pips through the 0.7050 pivot into 0.7000 mid-week, and price has since chopped in a tight 0.6989–0.7040 band. It trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with a chain of lower highs, while the 0.7000 psych level keeps absorbing dips. RSI(14) is sub-50, reflecting the corrective tone after the impulse lower.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.7050 pivot would negate the lower-high structure
Loss of the 0.69888 swing low opens the path toward 0.6890/0.6830
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key data risk for this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing near support · RSI 43 · price 0.70096
Lower highs, marginal lower low into 0.7000.
AUD/USD broke down through 0.7050 and 0.7000 mid-week after the hawkish FOMC slammed high-beta FX, then clawed back toward 0.7035 on a softer USD and risk-on flows before rolling over again. The pair has since printed a marginal lower low at 0.6989 and now sits at 0.7010, capped under EMA20 with RSI cycling in the low-40s. The 0.7000 handle is being repeatedly tested as the sequence of lower highs holds.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7035 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.7050 pivot
Sustained loss of 0.7000 with acceptance below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, holding off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.70121
Lower highs/lows below 0.7050.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7050 on Wednesday's hawkish Fed dot plot, dropping ~80 pips and briefly piercing 0.7000 before a USD-led stabilisation. Price has since built a lower-high structure below 0.7040, with the 0.6989 week low marking the floor and 0.7000 the psychological pivot. RSI(14) is cycling near the midline as the pair coils just above EMA(20) but well under EMA(50).
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7050 pivot would invalidate the lower-high read
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.6989 week low and below
High-impact Australian CPI Wed Jun 24 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 46 · price 0.70121
Lower highs and lower lows below 0.7050.
AUDUSD has trended lower since Wednesday's hawkish FOMC repricing, sliding ~80 pips through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000 before basing around the 0.69888 week low. Price is now hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling below 50, and the 0.7050 pivot plus lower-high sequence continue to cap recoveries. The 0.7000 handle has been reclaimed but two-way risk persists with the dollar firmly bid at YTD highs.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.69888 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward sub-0.6900
Reclaim of the 0.7050 pivot needed to challenge the downtrend
High-impact AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed Jun 24 could materially shift this read
Stair-step lower since FOMC, fresh sub-0.7000 low.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift sliced ~80 pips through 0.7050 and under 0.7000. Price is pinned below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the 35-45 zone, and the last NY session swept the 0.69888 low before clawing back to the 0.7000 handle. The 0.70370 prior high has capped each bounce, keeping the lower-high/lower-low sequence intact.
Support: 0.69888, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70175, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70175 (EMA20) would soften the downside read
Reclaim of the 0.7050 pivot needed to negate the lower-high/lower-low structure
Sustained break of 0.69888 swing low confirms continuation
Aussie CPI (Wed 24 Jun) is the next directional catalyst
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 42 · price 0.70046
Series of lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD has been in a clear downtrend since the hawkish FOMC dot-plot sliced it through 0.7050 and under 0.7000 on Wednesday's NY session. Price stalled below EMA20 with successive lower highs, and the latest bar tagged a fresh week low at 0.69888 before a shallow bounce to 0.70046. The 0.7050 pivot has capped every recovery attempt this week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7050, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69888 confirms the next leg of the lower-low sequence
An H1 close back above 0.7050 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Aussie CPI on 24 Jun is the next directional catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7080 open, accelerating mid-week after the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC repricing pushed USD to YTD highs. The 0.7000 round number has now given way, with price printing a fresh session low at 0.6991 and tracking below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout. RSI(14) sits in the low 30s, reflecting persistent supply on every bounce into 0.7035.
Support: 0.69906, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70399, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.7000 confirms the lower-low extension
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot needed to challenge the lower-highs structure
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24, 01:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69916
Lower highs, lower lows; broke 0.7000.
AUDUSD has trended lower since the hawkish Warsh FOMC mid-week, which drove the break through 0.7050 and a flush below the 0.7000 psych handle. Price consolidated 0.7010–0.7035 through the NY-Asia transition before rolling over into the latest session, now printing fresh lows near 0.6990 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s. Price sits well below EMA20, and the 0.7000 handle has flipped to a capping level on each bounce.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.6990 swing low opens the path toward the 0.6890 downside objective
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Jun 24, 01:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst and could materially shift this read
04:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69959
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking 0.7000.
AUDUSD has been in a steady downtrend since the hawkish-Fed leg drove price through 0.7050 and the 0.7000 handle mid-week, with the dollar bid across G10. The bounce off the 0.69946 low stalled at 0.7037 and rolled over into a fresh series of lower highs, and price is now back below 0.7000 pressing the prior swing low. Price sits under both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) hovering near 39 and no bullish divergence on the new lows.
Support: 0.69946, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Sustained close back above 0.7000 would ease the breakdown pressure
Reclaim of 0.7050 pivot needed to negate the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 0.69946 swing low confirms continuation lower
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69959
Lower highs, lower lows; below broken 0.7000.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7081 open, with the dominant leg coming on the hawkish Fed/Warsh repricing that drove price through 0.7050 and the 0.7000 handle. Bounces have stalled at progressively lower highs near 0.7035, and price is now pressing fresh week lows around 0.6995 below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI in the mid-30s. The break and hold below 0.7000 confirms the lower-low structure.
Support: 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 would ease the downside pressure and challenge the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 0.6946 week low confirms continuation lower
Australia CPI Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the next major catalyst and could materially shift this read
Lower highs since FOMC drop, holding above 0.7000.
AUDUSD shed roughly 80 pips through the 0.7050 pivot and briefly under 0.7000 after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC under Warsh. The recovery to 0.7037 in the NY session faded, and price has since pressed back toward the 0.7000 handle, capped under EMA20 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting the slower grind rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens toward 0.6890
H1 close back above 0.7050 pivot negates the downside read
AU CPI/Trimmed Mean Jun 24 is the key catalyst and could reshape this read
The hawkish Fed mid-week sliced AUDUSD through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000 in a single impulsive H1 leg, marking a clear downtrend break. Price has since consolidated in a 0.7000-0.7040 band, printing lower highs and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is subdued in the low 40s, consistent with a tired, range-bound recovery rather than a turn.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AU CPI/Trimmed Mean Jun 24 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst — could break this range either way
Hourly close above 0.7050 pivot would negate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.7000 reopens the 0.69946 week low
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 42 · price 0.70048
Post-FOMC break, lower highs below 0.7037.
The hawkish Warsh FOMC drove the slice through 0.7050 and a brief break of 0.7000 to the 0.69946 week low; price bounced to 0.7037 before fading back. Since then AUDUSD has coiled in a tight 0.7000–0.7020 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s. The recovery high at 0.7037 has capped, keeping the lower-highs structure intact off the post-FOMC drop.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70175, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.69946 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI 24 Jun is the key swing event for this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.70048
Lower highs and lower lows below EMAs.
AUD/USD has trended lower since the hawkish FOMC repricing knocked it through 0.7050 and briefly under 0.7000 on Wednesday's NY session. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low-40s, and the recovery stalled at 0.7037 before fading back toward the 0.7000 psych pivot. Lower-highs structure intact while 0.7037 caps.
H1 close above 0.7037 recent high needed to challenge the lower-highs structure
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI on 24 Jun is the next swing factor for this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.70116
Lower highs/lows post-FOMC, basing above 0.7000.
AUDUSD sliced through 0.7050 and briefly broke 0.7000 after Wednesday's hawkish FOMC under Warsh knocked the pair ~80 pips. Since then price has based in a tight 0.7000–0.7035 band, capped below EMA20 (~0.7018) with RSI cycling in the 40s. The recovery high near 0.7035 and the week open at 0.7073 frame the corrective ceiling, while 0.7000 and the 0.69946 swing low mark the floor.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.70175, 0.7035, 0.70729
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (24 Jun, 01:30 UTC) is the key swing catalyst
Repeated closes below 0.7000 open the path to the 0.69946 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7035 recovery high needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
Lower highs after break below 0.7000, now consolidating.
The hawkish Fed knocked AUD/USD ~80 pips on Wednesday, slicing the 0.7050 shelf and briefly breaking 0.7000 before a US-Iran de-escalation bounce to 0.7037. That recovery has been capped, with a sequence of lower highs through the NY session and price now consolidating just above 0.7012, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7052
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.7037 then 0.7052 needed to neutralise the lower-highs structure
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the key swing event that could reset this read
The hawkish-Fed repricing drove the dominant move of the window: AUDUSD sliced through 0.7065 in one impulse and swept 0.6995 before a partial recovery. Price has since coiled between 0.7000 and 0.7035, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The 0.7035 area has capped each bounce, keeping the lower-highs structure intact.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7065
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7035 would neutralise the lower-highs structure
Sustained break below 0.7000 reopens the 0.6995 swing low
Australia CPI 24 Jun is the key swing event ahead
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.70134
Lower highs since week peak, basing near 0.7010.
The hawkish FOMC repricing knocked AUDUSD through 0.7050 and tagged 0.69946 in a single NY-session impulse before a partial recovery faded near 0.7037. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7010-0.7020 band below both EMAs with RSI(14) holding in the low 40s. The lower-highs structure from this week's 0.70878 peak remains intact while rallies stall under 0.7037.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69946
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70751, 0.70878
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI on 24 Jun is the key swing event for this read
Repeated closes below 0.7000 psych open the deeper week-low retest at 0.69946
H1 close back above 0.7037 prior high would challenge the lower-highs structure