AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 23 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, now flat at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69688
Sold off then consolidating near session low.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7020 through the NY session down to 0.69618 and is now pinned in a tight Asian-session drift around 0.6968, ATR compressed to ~2.4 pips. Price sits just under the 0.6970 psych pivot with the swing low at 0.69618 intact.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69779 swing high needed to break the down sequence
US flash PMIs (Jul 24 13:45 UTC) are the next scheduled catalyst
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69688
Sold off then consolidating near lows.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.7020 area through the London-NY hours, bottoming at 0.69618 before flattening. Price is now grinding in a thin Asian-session range around 0.6968 above the 0.69657 floor, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with volume drying up.
Support: 0.69657, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 clears the descending highs and prior-high resistance
Loss of 0.69618 session low extends the down-leg toward 0.6970 area cited as macro support
US flash PMIs (Jul 24 13:45 UTC) could inject volatility after the quiet Asian range
AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.7020 spike high to a 0.69618 swing low through the session, a clean lower-high chain capping every bounce. Price has since gone flat around 0.6968 in thin, low-volume Asian trade with RSI recovering to the mid-40s; the 0.7000 pivot sits well overhead.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69776, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69776 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69618 opens the 0.6960 round number
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the key catalyst for the wider read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend, now flat into Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.69685
NY selloff base, consolidating near lows.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7020 to a session low of 0.6962 as USD firmed on strong jobless claims and Iran headlines. Price has since gone flat between 0.6963 and 0.6968 on thin Asian-session volume, holding just above the 0.6970 area flagged as key support, with RSI(14) recovered to neutral near 46.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6957
Resistance: 0.69745, 0.69786, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69745 would break the low consolidation and lift toward 0.6979
Loss of 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) and Bullock (Jul 28) are the pending catalysts for AUD
23:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69674
Decline from 0.7020 stalling into tight consolidation near lows.
AUDUSD slid through the NY session from 0.7020 to a session low at 0.6962, unable to hold near the 0.7000 pivot despite yesterday's jobs beat as a firm USD pressed. Late Asia hours have gone flat, coiling around 0.6967 with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed.
Support: 0.6963, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6975 breaks the late-session consolidation
Loss of 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
Q2 CPI (Jul 29) and RBA Bullock (Jul 28) are the week's catalysts
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into base · RSI 44 · price 0.69674
Lower highs, lower lows now basing near 0.6965.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.7020 session high early in Asia on the jobs beat, then sold off steadily through London-NY to a 0.6962 swing low. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6965-0.6980 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6980 needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 psych pivot
RBA Gov Bullock (Jul 28) and Q2 CPI (Jul 29) are the catalysts that reprice this base
AUDUSD sold off through NY hours from the 0.7020 cap to a 0.69618 session low, then stalled and is now consolidating in a thin 0.6963-0.6968 band on light early-Asia volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after basing; the pair stayed capped near 0.7020 despite yesterday's jobs beat.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69618 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69779 swing high needed to unwind the downtrend read
Aus flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC can inject volatility into the thin session
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69679
Sold from 0.7020, basing near lows.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 swing low despite the RBA jobs beat, hawkish bets already priced. Thin late-Asia trade has it consolidating around 0.6968 just under the 0.6970 round number, RSI back to neutral near 47.
Support: 0.69618, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69786, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 opens a fresh leg toward the session low
Reclaim of 0.69786 swing high would negate the downside pressure
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the USD side of this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 48 · price 0.69675
Lower highs into a flat base near 0.6965.
AUDUSD slid through the London-NY session from the 0.7020 cap to a 0.6963 low, then flattened into thin Asia-hours trade around 0.6967 with RSI back at neutral. Buyers held 0.6963 repeatedly; the 0.6970 round level is the immediate cap overhead.
Support: 0.6963, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6970 needed to break the descending sequence
Aus flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could inject volatility into thin liquidity
AUDUSD ground lower from 0.7020 through the London-NY session as the post-jobs bid faded, printing a low at 0.69618 before flattening into thin late-Asia hours around 0.6967. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~13 pips as the tape stalls under 0.69740.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69740 breaks the consolidation and threatens the descending highs
Break below 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low
Aus S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could break the base out of range
22:32 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into range · RSI 43 · price 0.6967
Session sell-off, now consolidating at lows.
AUDUSD faded steadily from the 0.7020 area down to a 0.6962 session low, unwinding the post-jobs pop as a firmer USD capped the pair. Price is now pinned in a tight 0.6962–0.6968 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward 43.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6955
Resistance: 0.6968, 0.6975, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6975 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Aus S&P Global PMIs (23:00 UTC) could break the tight range
AUDUSD ground lower through the session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 low, unwinding part of the post-jobs-beat pop, and is now consolidating around 0.6967 in thin late/Asian trade. Price is pinned to UOB's 0.6970 support with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; volume has collapsed on the final bars.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6962
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6980 would ease the intraday downtrend
Aus flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could inject volatility into a thin book
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.69669
Lower highs, basing near session low.
AUD gave back its jobs-beat gains after being capped near 0.7020, sliding through NY hours to a 0.69620 session low. Price is now basing around 0.69670 on thin Asian-session volume, sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range at 44.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.6993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69780 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
Aus flash PMIs (23:00 UTC) could break this quiet base
AUDUSD graded lower from the 0.7020 cap through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.69618 before flattening near 0.6967 in thin Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20/50; momentum has stalled rather than reversed, holding just above the 0.6970 UOB support.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69618 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69790 needed to break the descending highs
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Aus PMIs tonight could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7020 to a session low of 0.69618, tracking a chain of lower highs after failing to hold the 0.7000 psych level. Price now consolidates in a tight 0.6963–0.6968 band into the late/Asia handover with volume thinning; RSI(14) near 43, off its lows.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6963
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69618 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69790 breaks the descending lower-highs line
US flash PMIs (Jul 24) and AUD CPI (Jul 29) are near-term catalysts that could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on yesterday's jobs beat then bled lower through the NY session, pressured by oil-driven risk-off, and is now basing around 0.6965 in thin late-Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with the decline stalling but no reclaim of 0.6978 yet.
Support: 0.6963, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6963 confirms a lower low toward 0.69618
Reclaim of 0.6978 needed to re-challenge the 0.7000 psych level
S&P Global flash PMIs (23:00 UTC today, then US 13:45 UTC) could break the base
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7020 spike high through the NY session, carving a lower-high / lower-low sequence into a 0.69618 session low. The last few hours have flattened near the lows on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) mid-range and price holding below EMA20/50; the 0.7000 psych level sits well above.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69679, 0.69776, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69679 needed to ease the downtrend read
AUD S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, stalling near session low.
AUDUSD bled through the NY session from 0.7020 to a session low at 0.6962, staying pinned below EMA20/50 as oil-driven risk-off offset the strong jobs print. Price is now flat-lining near 0.6964 in thin late-session/rollover trade, RSI(14) around 41 with no clear reversal signal.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6968, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6970 needed to stall the decline
S&P Global flash PMIs (23:00 UTC) could shift the near-term read
AUDUSD sold off through the window from the 0.7020 area to session lows, now stalling near 0.6967 just above the 0.69640 session low as the AUD stays pinned below the 0.7000 psych mark. RSI(14) around 41 with the slide flattening into late NY hours; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.6964, 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69640 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.69618
Reclaim of 0.69740 pivot would question the downtrend read
S&P Global US flash PMIs (23:00 UTC) could reprice this move
AUDUSD leaked lower through the NY session, sliding off the 0.7020 spike high to a 0.6962 session low as oil-driven risk-off weighed on the Aussie. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6962–0.6977 band below the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) flat near 43 with volume thinning into the late-NY/Asia handover.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to unwind the down leg
S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC (AUD) could break the consolidation
21:17 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into Asia open · RSI 41 · price 0.69677
Lower highs, lower lows off 0.7020.
NY hours drove AUDUSD off the 0.7020 top and through the 0.7000 psych level, printing lower lows to 0.6962 as the oil-driven risk-off bid on the dollar bit. Price is now stalling around 0.6967 in thin Asia-open trade, RSI(14) recovering off oversold-adjacent levels but still sub-50 under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would invalidate the intraday lower-high sequence
Break below 0.6962 swing low extends the lower-low chain
US flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift dollar tone and this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.702 spike high down to a session low at 0.6962, spot now pinned near 0.6968 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows but price remains below both EMAs; consolidation just above the low with 0.6978 capping bounces.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69779 breaks the recent consolidation and stalls the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69618 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would neutralise the NY-session downdraft
AUDUSD faded the jobs-driven spike to 0.7021 through the session, grinding down to 0.69618 before flattening near 0.6967. RSI mid-40s and ATR ~26 pips; price now consolidating below the 0.6970 pivot with the descending sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.69618, 0.69565
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.69790 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Break below 0.69618 extends the down-leg
S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could break this consolidation
AUDUSD slid through the NY session from 0.7020 to a 0.6962 low, printing a clean chain of lower highs as risk-off oil headlines weighed. Price is now consolidating near 0.6967 on fading volume into the Asia open, RSI(14) recovering off its lows but still sub-50.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6974 breaks the descending lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.6962 swing low confirms continuation lower
S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session from the 0.7020 area — where the 0.7000 pin story capped — down to a 0.6964 session low, RSI(14) holding low-40s. Price is flattening into the late-NY/Asia transition just above 0.6964, no fresh lower low since.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6975/0.6980 needed to break the descending highs
S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reprice this move
AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours off the 0.7020 jobs-driven spike, printing a 0.6962 session low before stalling. Price now consolidates around 0.6967 just under EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s as the sell-off loses pace near the 0.7000 psych pivot.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6975 needed to challenge the descending highs
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near session low.
AUDUSD sold off through the US session, breaking the 0.7000 psych level and grinding to a session low of 0.69618 before stabilizing around 0.6966. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold-ish lows near 40 as the last few bars flatten on thin end-of-day volume.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6974 swing high would ease downside pressure
Loss of 0.69618 session low opens fresh intraday lows
Australia S&P Global flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could inject volatility on the Asia open
Lower highs and lower lows, basing at session low.
AUDUSD sold steadily through the NY session from 0.7020 to a session low of 0.69618, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the low-40s. Price is now basing around 0.6968 below both EMAs; the 0.696 round number sits just under the session low.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69618 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.696
Reclaim of 0.6970 needed to challenge the 0.69779 swing high
AUD S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.7020 session high to a fresh session low at 0.69618, spot pinned below the 0.7000 psych mark as oil-driven risk-off weighed. Last few bars are flattening near 0.6966 with RSI(14) around 38 — a shallow pause within the lower-highs sequence, not a reversal.
Support: 0.69618
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69780 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69618 confirms continuation lower
S&P Global PMIs (~23:00 UTC) could shift the intraday read
AUDUSD failed to hold the 0.7000 psychological mark through NY and drifted steadily lower, printing a chain of lower highs into the session low at 0.6962. Price has stalled into a tight 0.6963-0.6966 coil late in the day, RSI(14) near 37 with no oversold extreme.
Support: 0.6962, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych invalidates the downtrend read
AUD S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on yesterday's jobs beat but the move faded and NY sold it steadily back to session lows near 0.6962, breaking the 0.6970 support flagged in context. RSI(14) sits sub-40 with price below EMA20/50; a marginal bounce off 0.6962 into the late-NY bars is the only relief so far.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.6970 negates the lower-low read
Failure to hold 0.69618 confirms the next leg lower
AU S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.6970 support that had held earlier and printing a fresh low at 0.69618 before a shallow bounce to 0.69667. The pair was pinned near 0.7000 after this week's strong jobs beat but a firm USD has since dragged it down; RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69775, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 prior support would challenge the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69618 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6950
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the US session after being pinned near 0.7000 post jobs beat, breaking the 0.6970 support and printing fresh lows at 0.69618. Price is grinding along the lows with RSI(14) near 33, below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69618 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6950
Reclaim of 0.6970 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
19:47 UTC
Downtrend, steady · RSI 35 · price 0.69633
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD trended lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6970 prior support that had capped the post-jobs move. Price now grinds along the session low near 0.69618, RSI(14) around 35 but not yet at an extreme; chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69776, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69618 session low extends the downtrend
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows into session lows.
Steady grind lower through the NY session into the close; price broke the 0.6970 support the digest flagged and now sits at session lows near 0.6962. Lower-high chain intact with RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet washed out.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 negates the lower-high chain
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 0.69618 opens the 0.6950 round number
AUDUSD unwound the post-jobs move, rolling off the 0.7000/0.7020 cap during NY hours in a clean chain of lower highs, now printing a session low at 0.69618. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not yet extreme; 0.6970 context support has given way and price is grinding toward the next shelf.
Support: 0.69618, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.6995, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69780 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to reclaim 0.69700 keeps pressure on the 0.69618 low
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.7020 session high and has ground steadily lower through the NY session, slicing the 0.7000 psych level and printing fresh lows at 0.69632. The pair stays pinned below its post-jobs range as a firm USD caps it; RSI(14) near 34 with momentum still tilted down.
Support: 0.69632, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would neutralise the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.69632 opens the path toward 0.6970 area
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7020 spike through the NY session, breaking the 0.6970 prior support and grinding to fresh session lows at 0.69632. AUD stays capped after the jobs beat while a firm USD presses; RSI(14) near 33, hot but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.69632, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69776, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 prior support would neutralise the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.69632 session low opens the 0.6960 round number
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.70207 spike high, grinding into fresh session lows with RSI(14) near 33. The 0.69640 floor has been tested twice with buyers stepping in, while the 0.70000 pivot capped every bounce.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.69780 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69640 on a third test opens the 0.69500 psych level
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC a two-way risk for the pair
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on the jobs-driven pop then rolled over through the NY session, the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot capping cleanly. Price has ground lower to session lows near 0.6966 in a clean lower-high chain, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold; 0.6970 prior support now flipped to resistance.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6964 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6942
M15 close back above 0.6970 negates the breakdown read
Australia S&P PMIs at 23:00 UTC and US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD unwound the 0.7020 post-jobs high through the NY session, slicing the 0.7000 and 0.6970 handles and printing a chain of lower highs and lows. Price bounced off 0.69642 but is fading back toward that session low, with 0.6970 now capping as resistance and USD firmer on safe-haven flows.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69642 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6970 needed to challenge the 0.69779 swing high
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
18:47 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 37 · price 0.69659
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUD/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.70207 high before pressing to session lows near 0.6966 on a firm, safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) near 37 with price pinned under EMA20/50; the 0.69642 swing low is the last shelf holding.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.69642 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.70000 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC and US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could reprice this read
AUDUSD ground lower through NY hours after failing at the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot that capped the post-jobs move, slipping under 0.6970 to a session low at 0.69642. Price is now hugging 0.6968 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6970 puts the 0.7000 psych pivot back in play
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
18:32 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 40 · price 0.69679
Lower highs, lower lows after 0.7020 rejection.
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.7020 range high through the 0.7000 psych level during NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and lows down to a 0.6964 swing low. Price now hovers at 0.6968, below the 0.6970 prior support, RSI(14) near 39 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 0.69642 swing low confirms continuation lower
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session after the post-jobs spike to 0.70207 was capped, unwinding the move back to the 0.6970 support flagged by the context. Price is now leaking out the bottom of a tight 0.6970-0.6978 consolidation, with RSI(14) around 41 and ATR compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6978 range top negates the breakdown read
Australia S&P Global PMIs (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
NY session ground lower after the 0.7020 spike faded, breaking the 0.6970 psych level and printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows into 0.6964. Price now sits at 0.6968 just above the session low with RSI(14) near 38 — cooling but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6964 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6979 needed to stall the downtrend read
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.7020 high back below the 0.7000 round number, printing a session low at 0.69642. Late-session price is chopping between 0.6964 and 0.6979 with the 0.6970 psych level now capping bounces; price sits at 0.69688 after a soft downtick, RSI mid-40s.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back above 0.6970 psych would neutralise the lower-high sequence
NY session dragged AUDUSD down from the 0.7015 shelf to a session low of 0.6964, and price is now consolidating just under the 0.6970 support with RSI(14) recovering off the low. AUD stayed heavy despite yesterday's strong jobs beat as a firm USD capped the 0.7000/0.7020 pivot.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6978 needed to ease downside pressure
Australia S&P Global PMIs (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs into 0.6970s, consolidating above session low.
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 pivot down to a 0.69642 session low, with the USD holding firm after a strong US jobless-claims beat. The bounce stalled at 0.69779 and price is now fading back toward 0.6970 support; RSI(14) mid-range near 42.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.69779, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69779 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych level
US S&P Global PMIs (Fri 13:45 UTC) could shift this read
17:47 UTC
Downtrend off 0.7020, basing at 0.6970 · RSI 45 · price 0.69709
Lower highs from 0.7020, base around 0.6964-0.6970.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.7020 range top through the NY session, sliding to a 0.69642 low before buyers stepped in twice to build a base near 0.6970. Price now hovers at that 0.6970 psych level after a rejection at the 0.69786 session high; RSI(14) mid-range around 44.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.69786, 0.6998, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Break below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Hold of 0.6970 keeps the base intact
M15 close above 0.69786 opens the path back to 0.6998
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
17:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69735
Lower highs into a base near 0.6965-0.6979.
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.7000 psych level during NY hours and printed a session low at 0.69642, unwinding the post-jobs spike toward 0.7020. Price has since based between 0.6965 and 0.6979 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; the swing low at 0.69669 has held twice.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych needed to negate the downside leg
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this range
NY session unwound the post-jobs pop, dropping from the 0.7020 pivot through 0.6970 to a session low at 0.6964 as a firm USD (strong jobless claims) capped AUD. Price now consolidating 0.6970-0.6978, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44, holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.6978 puts the 0.7000 area back in play
Australia S&P PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing near support · RSI 43 · price 0.6974
Sold off from 0.7020, swept 0.6970 low, now consolidating.
AUDUSD rolled over through the 0.7000 round psych during NY hours and swept the 0.6970 support down to a 0.69642 session low before recovering. Price is now basing between 0.6970 and the 0.6978 base high, RSI(14) in the mid-40s; the 0.7020 post-jobs cap remains the ceiling.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69642 session low
M15 close back above 0.6978 base high opens the 0.7000 psych retest
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off 0.7020, consolidating near session lows.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.7020 post-jobs high through NY hours, sweeping 0.69642 before recovering to consolidate in a tight 0.6970–0.6978 band. RSI(14) near 43 and ATR compressing to ~6 pips as the sell-off loses steam; sellers capped rebounds at the 0.6978 swing high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.70000 negates the intraday downtrend read
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could break the 0.6970 consolidation
NY session rolled AUD/USD off the 0.7020 pivot down to 0.6964, with the 0.6970 psych support flagged post-jobs holding on a second test. Price now consolidating 0.6970–0.6978, RSI back near neutral as the USD safe-haven bid caps the recovery.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6978, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6964 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Reclaim of 0.6978 range top reopens the 0.7000 pivot
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7020, double bottom near 0.6964.
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY session from the 0.7020 peak down to a double bottom at 0.6964, and has since recovered to 0.6977 — roughly the 23.6% retrace of that decline. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.6964; 0.6970 is holding as near support while the 0.7000 psych level caps the wider range.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.69858, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69858 (38.2% fib) opens the path back to 0.7000
Loss of 0.6964 double bottom resumes the intraday downtrend
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight 23:00 UTC could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 45 · price 0.69763
Lower highs off 0.7020, basing above 0.6964.
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 top down to 0.6964 as USD firmed, unwinding the post-jobs spike. Price is now basing between 0.6970 and 0.6979 into late NY hours with RSI recovering off oversold; the 0.7000 psych level capped the earlier bounce.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6964 swing low confirms a lower low
M15 close above 0.6979 swing high opens a retest of 0.7000 psych
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 pivot in a clean chain of lower highs down to 0.6964, with the resilient USD capping the post-jobs move. Price is now basing 0.6970-0.6977; RSI(14) recovering from the selloff lows, no fresh lower low in the last few bars.
Support: 0.6964, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6980 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6970 support
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
16:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69767
Lower high off 0.7020, session low then bounce.
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 cap down to a session low of 0.69642; buyers stepped in twice at 0.6964/0.6967, forming a double bottom with RSI recovering off the lows. Price is now grinding back toward the 0.6980 swing high after two days of two-way trade capped below 0.7020.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
0.6970 psych holding keeps the bounce intact
Reclaim of 0.70000 round number needed to negate the downside
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
16:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69767
Lower highs into a base above 0.6964.
AUDUSD faded through the NY session from the 0.7020 post-jobs cap zone down to 0.6964, then based back to 0.6977 as RSI(14) recovered off its lows. Price is consolidating just under 0.6980 with the 0.6964 low intact.
Support: 0.69642, 0.69687
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session tagged a session high at 0.70207 before London-NY faded the whole move back to a 0.69642 session low, with AUD capped near the 0.7000 psych level after the jobs beat. Price is basing off a double bottom around 0.6966/0.6964 into NY hours, RSI(14) recovering off the low near 43.
Support: 0.69642, 0.69682
Resistance: 0.69819, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69819 swing high needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych level
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69778
Lower highs off 0.7020, session low tested twice.
NY session ground lower from the 0.7020 spike down to a session low of 0.69642, now recovering to 0.69778. AUD remains pinned near 0.7000 after yesterday's strong jobs beat while a firm USD caps rallies; demand stepped in twice at 0.6964, forming a double-bottom base with RSI(14) lifting off its lows.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69820 would confirm the bounce; failure keeps lower highs intact
Loss of 0.69642 opens a lower low toward 0.6970 breach risk
Australia S&P PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) and US PMIs Fri could shift this read
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.70203 spike high down to 0.69642, unwinding the post-jobs push toward 0.7020. Price now consolidates 0.6964–0.6979 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; 0.7000 caps overhead.
Support: 0.69642, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6979 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.6964 extends the intraday down-leg
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold AUDUSD from the 0.7020 highs down through the 0.7000 round number to a 0.69642 session low, unwinding the post-jobs bid. Price is now consolidating around 0.6973 just above the 0.6970 support zone, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 43.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69642
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6970 opens the session low at 0.69642
Reclaim of 0.69790 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69718
Lower highs into 0.6970, now consolidating.
NY session sold AUDUSD off from the 0.7010-0.7020 pivot down to test the digest-flagged 0.6970 support, RSI cooling into the low 40s. Price is now consolidating 0.6968-0.6982 just above that level, holding for now.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6964
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6964 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens downside
M15 close back above 0.6982 unwinds the consolidation drift lower
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.7020 area down to 0.69642, then based around 0.6968-0.6980 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. AUD stays pinned sub-0.7000 as a firm USD caps the post-jobs bounce; price is now consolidating just above the session low.
Support: 0.69642, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69642 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69790 needed to break the lower-high chain
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.6970 pivot support and printing a fresh low at 0.6967 as safe-haven USD demand offset this week's Aussie jobs beat. RSI(14) around 34 with price stacked below EMA20/50; sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 0.6967, 0.69743
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6979 would ease the downside pressure and re-open 0.7000
Sustained trade below 0.6967 confirms the range-break lower
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.7020 range top down to a session low of 0.6967, breaking the 0.6970 pivot support flagged by the desk. Price is now consolidating in the low 0.6970s with RSI(14) recovering from the selloff; sellers capped the bounce near 0.6979.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6980 negates the breakdown and reopens 0.7000
Failure to hold 0.6967 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 top, breaking the 0.6985-0.7020 band and printing a 0.69669 low before a shallow bounce. Price now chopping 0.6969-0.6982 with RSI(14) recovering from the flush; sellers still capping into 0.69819.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69819, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69669 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69850 negates the breakdown read
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift intraday tone
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band and printing a low at 0.69669 as the jobs-beat squeeze faded against firmer oil/USD. Price now consolidating 0.6968-0.6979 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; 0.6970 pivot holding for now.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69867, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.69669 keeps the pivot intact; a close below opens a fresh lower-low
M15 close back above 0.69790 swing high eases the downside pressure
US S&P Global PMIs tomorrow 13:45 UTC could reshape this read
AUDUSD faded the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation and broke down through 0.7000 during the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 0.69669 before a shallow bounce to 0.69728. RSI(14) near 42 off oversold territory; the earlier jobs-beat squeeze toward 0.7020 has fully unwound with the range top now well overhead.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69669 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7000 negates the downside break
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
NY session drove a clean break below 0.7000, printing a lower low at 0.6968 before buyers stepped in. Price now consolidating 0.6968-0.6982 with RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 41; the prior 0.6985-0.7020 band remains overhead as supply.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 would negate the NY breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6968 opens a deeper leg toward 0.6950
Aussie CPI 29 Jul is the primary swing factor for this pair
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session after the 0.7020 rejection, breaking below the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band and printing a swing low at 0.69669. Price is grinding a shallow bounce back toward the 0.6982 swing high, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 42.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6982 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.69669 swing low confirms trend continuation lower
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7018 to a 0.69669 swing low, breaking below the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band on a softer USD backdrop. Buyers stepped in at 0.6967 and price is now consolidating 0.6970-0.6982; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 42.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69819, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6985 re-enters the prior consolidation band
Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms a fresh lower low
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation during the London-NY session, printing a session low at 0.6967 before a shallow bounce to 0.6975. RSI(14) cooling near 37, not yet stretched; the prior range base at 0.6985 now caps.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6985 negates the range break
Break of 0.69669 confirms continuation lower toward the 0.6970 pivot
AUD CPI (29 Jul) and US PMIs (24 Jul) could reshape this read
14:32 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69755
Lower highs, lower lows into NY.
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 top down through the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band, printing a session low at 0.69669. Price bounced to 0.69819 and stalled, now holding near the 0.6970 pivot below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation and the 0.7000 round number to print a session low at 0.69669. RSI(14) near 34 as price stabilises with a weak bounce to 0.6974; the selloff runs against the firm-AUD jobs narrative, likely on a broader risk/USD shift into the US close.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms continuation of lower lows
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could reset the intraday read
NY session sold through the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band, printing a low of 0.6967 before a shallow bounce to 0.6974, sitting right on the 0.6970 pivot support. RSI(14) near 36 after the leg down, price well below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6970 pivot opens the path lower
Reclaim of 0.6982 band low negates the range-break read
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69742
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 top, breaking the 0.6985 prior floor and printing a session low at 0.69669. RSI(14) cooling near 40 as price bounces to 0.69742; the 0.6985 floor now caps as resistance.
NY session drove a clean breakdown off the 0.70207 range top through the 0.6970 pivot, printing lower highs and lows as a softer risk mood weighed on AUD. Price found buyers at 0.69669 and bounced to 0.69819, now hovering at 0.69742 with RSI(14) recovering from a stretched low.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.69819, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69819 would stall the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.69669 confirms the next lower low
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY leg lower · RSI 33 · price 0.69762
Break below consolidation, lower highs/lows.
NY session broke the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation to the downside, printing a session low at 0.69669 as the earlier jobs-driven AUD bid faded. RSI(14) near 32 after the drop; a small bounce to 0.69786 stalled into the close, leaving the lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6985 prior support negates the downside break
Loss of 0.6970 pivot opens the path toward the session low retest
Aussie flash PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this read
NY session drove AUDUSD out of the 0.6985-0.7020 consolidation band, breaking the 0.70000 round number and printing a session low at 0.69669, RSI(14) into oversold near 33. A shallow bounce to 0.69786 has faded back toward the lows; sellers still capping under 0.6980.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6960
Resistance: 0.69786, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70000 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.69669 confirms a lower low and opens the round number below
Aussie flash PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift intraday momentum
NY session sold off hard from the 0.7015-0.7020 top, slicing through the 0.7000 round number and printing a fresh session low at 0.69669, RSI(14) deep near 27. Sellers stepped in on each bounce; 0.7000 now caps as the immediate resistance.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70155, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6970 (UOB support) confirms extension of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.70000 neutralises the breakdown
AU S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold AUDUSD hard through the 0.7000 psych level, printing a fresh session low at 0.69669 with RSI(14) sub-30. The 0.70207 session high formed on the post-jobs spike now caps well above; price is pinned against the 0.6970 UOB support after a two-day USD slide gave way to oil-driven risk aversion.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6970 confirms continuation toward lower lows
Reclaim of 0.7000 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
AU S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7000-0.7020 top, and the last few bars sliced through the 0.6970 UOB support to print a session low at 0.69669. RSI(14) near 25 shows the leg is stretched but price closed on its lows with no reaction yet.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6965, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6970 would negate the downside range break
Sustained close below 0.69669 confirms continuation toward 0.6950
AU S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
Lower highs and lower lows after 0.7020 rejection.
NY session sold off from the 0.7020 top, slicing through 0.7000 and the 0.6970 UOB support to print a fresh session low at 0.69669, RSI(14) near 27. Sellers in control on a clean lower-high, lower-low chain with no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.69669, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6970 would ease the breakdown read
M15 close back above 0.7000 invalidates the downtrend structure
AU S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The jobs-beat rally to 0.70207 faded through the NY session and price has now broken back below the 0.7000 psych level, printing a fresh session low at 0.69743. RSI(14) near 30 shows the decline extended but not yet washed out; the 0.7000 handle now caps as former support turned resistance.
Support: 0.69743, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the breakdown
Loss of 0.6970 opens the path lower and confirms lower-low structure
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over through the NY session, losing the 0.7000 handle and printing a fresh session low at 0.69743 as the post-jobs bid faded against a resilient USD. RSI(14) near 32 after the impulsive leg down; 0.7000 now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 0.69743, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 0.7000 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms continuation lower
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session rolled over from the 0.7020 spike high and broke the 0.7000 psych level, printing a fresh session low at 0.69743 with RSI(14) near 31. Sellers pressed a clean lower-high chain through the last few hours, no bounce established yet.
Support: 0.69743, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70000 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 0.69700 opens further downside toward the pivot
NY session sold AUDUSD off the 0.7020 session high and drove it back through the 0.7000 handle, printing a fresh low at 0.69743 into the current bar. RSI(14) near 31 as the sequence of lower highs continues; the earlier post-jobs spike to 0.70203 has fully unwound.
Support: 0.69743, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.6995, 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number needed to stall the downtrend
Break below 0.6970 psych extends the lower-low sequence
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape the intraday read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 on yesterday's blowout jobs print but the move has fully unwound — price is back below the 0.7000 psych and printing fresh session lows at 0.69769 during NY hours. RSI(14) sub-35 shows momentum firmly with the downside as the spike gets rejected.
Support: 0.69769, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to stabilise the intraday read
Close below 0.6970 pivot negates the post-jobs bounce entirely
US Jobless Claims + S&P Global PMIs later could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on the jobs beat then rolled over through NY hours, losing the 0.7000 handle and printing fresh session lows at 0.6977. RSI(14) near 34 as sellers press; the post-data spike now looks like a false break of the 0.7020 area.
Support: 0.69769, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.6977 opens the 0.6970 pivot
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this range
12:17 UTC
Pullback, back under 0.7000 · RSI 42 · price 0.69901
Spike faded, lower highs into 0.6984.
The jobs-driven spike to 0.70203 has fully unwound; AUDUSD is back under the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) near 42 after a slide to the 0.69836 session low. Lower highs off 0.7020 into the NY session; 0.7000 now caps as former support turned resistance.
Support: 0.69836, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70000 reopens the 0.7020 session high
Break of 0.69836 session low exposes the 0.69798 swing low
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
12:17 UTC
Pulled back below 0.7000, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.69901
Spike to 0.70207 faded, lower highs into 0.699.
NY-session spike to 0.70207 has fully unwound, price back below the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Lower highs since the peak; sellers pressed the 0.69836 session low before a shallow bounce to 0.699.
Support: 0.69836, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the path toward 0.70207
Break of 0.69836 session low confirms a lower low
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
12:03 UTC
Rolled over off session high · RSI 40 · price 0.69915
Spike to 0.7020, faded back under 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70203 on the jobs beat, held 0.7010-0.7020 through the session, then rolled over back under the 0.7000 psych level. Rejection near 0.7020 has given way to a slide into the 0.69836 swing low, RSI cooling toward 40.
Support: 0.69836, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7020 session high
M15 close below 0.69836 swing low confirms a lower low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 in Asia then double-topped and bled lower through the session, now back at the session low near 0.6984 after a sharp drop on the last full bar. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 41; the 0.7000 handle and prior double top cap.
Support: 0.69836, 0.69824, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6982 opens the 0.6970 pivot
Reclaim of 0.7000 negates the double-top breakdown
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC (~30m out) could shift this read
11:47 UTC
Pulled back, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 0.69877
Double top at 0.7020, break back below 0.7000.
AUD spiked to 0.7020 on the Asian-session jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), then twin peaks at 0.7020 capped the move. Price has since faded back through the 0.7000 psych handle and is now printing a session low at 0.69836, RSI(14) cooling near 38.
Support: 0.69836, 0.69798, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the double-top break
Loss of 0.69836 opens the path toward the 0.6970 pivot
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~45m out) could jolt this read
11:47 UTC
Pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 0.69877
Lower highs off session high, below 0.7000.
AUD spiked to a session high of 0.70203 on the Asian jobs beat (+76.3K), then ground steadily lower through London to fade the entire move, slipping back below the 0.7000 round number. The last bar printed a fresh session low at 0.69836 with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.69836, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69836 confirms a lower low, exposing the 0.6970 pivot
Reclaim of 0.7000 needed to negate the fade back toward 0.7020
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift the read within the next bar
11:32 UTC
Intraday down after failed breakout · RSI 42 · price 0.69953
Faded back below 0.7000, consolidating near lows.
AUD spiked to 0.7020 during Asia on the jobs beat, then bled the entire move back through 0.7000 into London hours. Now pinned at 0.6994-0.7000 with RSI mid-range; the 0.7000 handle capping the recovery.
Support: 0.6994, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7020 session high
Break of 0.6970 negates the intraday bounce
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
11:32 UTC
Pulling back, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.69953
Faded jobs spike, lower highs into 0.6995.
The jobs-print spike to 0.7020 has fully faded; price rolled back through the 0.7000 psych level and is now pinned near 0.6995 session lows, below EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-40s, no oversold signal — a controlled drift lower rather than a flush.
Support: 0.6994, 0.6987
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7000 psych level needed to negate the fade
Break of 0.6994 session low opens the 0.6987 swing low
AUD spiked to 0.7020 during the Asian session on the RBA-hike repricing, then faded all day and slipped back below the 0.7000 handle. Now grinding sideways 0.6995-0.7000 with RSI mid-range; the intraday rally has almost fully retraced.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7020 session high
Loss of 0.6995 exposes the 0.6970 pivot
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could break this range
11:17 UTC
Pullback, gains unwound · RSI 42 · price 0.6997
Twin highs at 0.7020, lower highs since.
The jobs-beat spike to 0.7020 (session high) has fully unwound, with price grinding back below the 0.7000 handle to 0.6997 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 and both EMAs cap price; twin peaks at 0.7020 mark the ceiling.
Spike to 0.7020 rejected, retraced most of the move, now coiling at 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high at 0.7020 in Asian hours on the RBA-hike repricing, but the move was rejected and price has bled back to the 0.7000 psych level through London. Now coiling in a tight 0.6995-0.7005 band, RSI(14) mid-40s with price below both EMAs — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6995 opens the path toward the 0.6970 pivot
reclaim of 0.7020 needed to re-engage the session high
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 on the RBA-hike repricing then rolled over, and price now oscillates just under the 0.7000 handle sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that up leg. RSI(14) mid-range near 43 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; the 0.7000 round number caps and 0.69951 session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 0.69951, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70207 swing high
Break of 0.69951 exposes the 0.6970 pivot
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
10:47 UTC
Downtrend, pop fully faded · RSI 42 · price 0.6997
Overnight break of 0.7020 retraced, lower highs back below 0.7000.
Overnight pop to 0.7020 after the AUD jobs beat has fully faded through the London session, with price grinding lower highs back under the 0.7000 round number to 0.6997. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; range top at 0.7015 held on the retest.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.7015 range top
Loss of 0.6995 session low confirms continuation toward 0.6985 pivot
AUD spiked to 0.70207 on yesterday's blowout jobs print, then faded through the session back below the 0.7000 handle. Price now grinds along the lows near 0.6997 with RSI mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; the 0.7000 round number caps the recent bounces.
Support: 0.69951, 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70207 session high
Failure to hold 0.6970 negates the post-jobs bounce
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on the jobs-driven bid early in the window, then rounded over through London and faded the entire move, now pinned at the 0.7000 psych handle. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 44 with momentum flat; price is back below the failed 0.7000 break with the session low at 0.69951 in focus.
Support: 0.69951, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69951 exposes the 0.6985 pivot
Reclaim of 0.70050 needed to re-challenge the 0.70207 session high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:32 UTC
Rally faded, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.69993
Lower highs off 0.70207, retesting 0.7000.
London session spiked to 0.70207 on the post-jobs bid then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, dragging price back under the 0.7000 round number. Price is now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the rally and the 0.6995 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 42.
Support: 0.6995, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7006, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70060 prior high
Break of 0.6995 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.69863
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:17 UTC
Pulling back from Asia high · RSI 42 · price 0.69966
Lower highs since 0.7020 spike, testing 0.7000.
Asia session spiked to 0.7020 on lingering RBA-hike momentum, but London has ground back down to the 0.7000 handle in a chain of lower highs. RSI mid-40s, price back below EMA20/50 — the spike is being fully retraced.
Support: 0.6997, 0.69824, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70054, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6970 negates the Asia-session bounce
Reclaim of 0.70054 needed to stall the pullback
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:17 UTC
Pullback after spike, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 0.69966
False break of 0.7020, lower highs back under 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high 0.70207 in the wake of yesterday's jobs beat, then rolled back under the 0.7000 round number and is now probing 0.69951. Lower highs have printed since the spike; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.69951, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
close back above 0.70000 needed to re-open the 0.70207 high
Retracing the jobs-beat spike, retesting 0.7000 from below.
AUD spiked to 0.7021 on the 01:30 UTC jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) then rolled over through London, printing a chain of lower highs. Price is back at the 0.7000 handle, now capping from above, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6997, 0.6985, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70064, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim of 0.7000 reopens 0.70064 and the 0.70207 spike high
Loss of the 0.6997 session low exposes 0.6985 then the 0.6970 pivot
Australia S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this read
10:02 UTC
Pullback after jobs-beat spike · RSI 43 · price 0.69977
Lower highs since 0.7020, back below 0.7000.
AUD spiked to the 0.70203 session high on the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then faded through the London-NY session back below the 0.7000 psych level. Now grinding a lower-high chain, holding a shallow range around 0.6997-0.7005.
Support: 0.6997, 0.69885, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70055, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would stall the pullback and reopen 0.70055
Loss of 0.6997 session low exposes 0.69885 prior low
AU S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
09:47 UTC
Pulled back from session high, flat near 0.7000 · RSI 43 · price 0.70008
Range after spike, holding the 0.7000 handle.
London session spiked to 0.70207 on the AU jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) then faded steadily back to the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price is now ranging just below the prior 0.70120 shelf; 0.7000 is being tested as support.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6997, 0.69885
Resistance: 0.70075, 0.7012, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.70120 reopens the 0.70207 session high
Loss of 0.7000 exposes 0.69970 then 0.69885
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could break this range
09:47 UTC
Up-move fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.70008
Post-spike consolidation breaking down toward 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.70207 session high after the jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then consolidated 0.7010-0.7020 before slipping through the range low to retest the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Sits right on the round number now, having given back most of the post-data pop.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6997, 0.69885
Resistance: 0.70075, 0.7016, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69970 confirms a lower low and negates the breakout structure
Reclaim of 0.70075 puts the 0.70160 range back in play
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Australia PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
09:32 UTC
Pulling back after breakout spike, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 0.69986
Back below 0.7000, lower highs off session peak.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 on the AU jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) mid-window, then failed to hold above 0.7000 and has drifted back to 0.6999. Price now sits just under the round number with a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.6997, 0.69824
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 reopens the 0.70207 session high
Failure to hold 0.69970 exposes the 0.6970 pivot from the context digest
Australia S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUD spiked to 0.70207 on the jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) then faded through London back below the 0.7000 handle, now pinned at 0.69986. Lower highs building since the top and 0.7000 psych now capping; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.6997, 0.69885
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69970 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.70000 puts price back into the post-spike range
Australia S&P Global PMIs tonight (23:00 UTC) could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Intraday up move fading · RSI 44 · price 0.69999
Breakout to 0.7020 then fade, retesting 0.7000.
Aussie broke 0.7000 during Asia on the RBA-hawkish jobs beat, ran to a session high 0.70207, then faded back through the round number into London hours. Price now retesting 0.7000 with RSI mid-40s; the 0.7020 cap held on the way up.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6997, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70055, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6997 confirms a lower low, opening 0.6970
Reclaim of 0.70055 puts 0.70207 session high back in play
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Up-move fading, back to origin · RSI 44 · price 0.69999
Spike high then retrace to 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 in the Asia session on the RBA-hawkish jobs beat, then bled back through London to retest the 0.7000 round number. RSI(14) neutral near 44 after the 0.7010–0.7018 consolidation gave way; price now pinned on psychological support.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6997, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.7016, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6997 confirms a lower-low, opens 0.6986
Reclaim of 0.7016 puts the 0.7020 session high back in play
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg
09:03 UTC
Up early, faded back to 0.7000 · RSI 43 · price 0.70003
Session-high rejection, retrace to psych level.
AUD spiked to a session high of 0.70207 on the hot AU jobs beat during the Asia session, then rolled over through the day and is now sitting on the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price gave back most of the impulse move; prior high at 0.7015 caps the pullback.
Support: 0.6997, 0.69824, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6997 swing low opens downside toward 0.6970
Reclaim of 0.7015 prior high reopens the 0.70207 session high
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
AUDUSD spiked through 0.7000 to a session high of 0.70203 on the hot jobs beat, then consolidated 0.7010-0.7020 before fading back to retest the 0.7000 psych level, which aligns with the 61.8% retrace of the up-leg. RSI(14) cooling near 43 as price sits right on 0.7000 in early London.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6997, 0.6988
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 (61.8% fib) exposes the 0.69970 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70170 swing high reopens the 0.70203 session high
S&P Global PMIs tonight 23:00 UTC could shift near-term range
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.70207 session high during Asia hours then bled lower through London, printing lower highs back into the 0.7000 round number where it now sits. The move is a retest of the 0.7000 breakout level from above, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 0.6997, 0.6990, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6997 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6990
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.7015 negates the fading read
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
Jobs beat (Employment 76.3K vs 15K) spiked AUD/USD to 0.70207 mid-window, but price faded through the session back to the 0.7000 psych level, printing lower highs the whole way down. Now retesting 0.7000 with RSI(14) near 42; session low at 0.6997 is the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.6997, 0.7000, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.70155, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70155 reopens the 0.7020 spike high
Loss of 0.6997 confirms a lower low toward 0.6970 support
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
08:32 UTC
Pulled back off session high, short-term down · RSI 42 · price 0.69995
Faded from 0.7020 back to the 0.7000 pivot.
AUDUSD spiked to the session high at 0.70207 during Asia hours, consolidated under the 0.70147 consol top, then London faded it back to the 0.7000 psych pivot. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s and price now sits on the range low at 0.6997 having handed back the entire advance.
Support: 0.6997, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70147, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6997 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.6970 uob support
Reclaim of 0.70147 consol top reopens the 0.70207 session high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:17 UTC
Breakout faded, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.7000
Retest of 0.7000 after failed push higher.
AUDUSD spiked above the 0.7000 handle to 0.70207 in the Asian session, then bled back to retest the psychological pivot through London hours. RSI(14) near 43 as breakout gains unwound; the 0.70150 range top now caps and price sits pinned on 0.7000.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69985
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69985 swing low confirms the breakout failed
Reclaim of 0.70150 range top would re-open the session high at 0.70207
Australia CPI Jul 29 is the gatekeeper for the broader range around 0.7000
08:17 UTC
Uptrend fading, pulling back to 0.7000 · RSI 38 · price 0.7000
Rejected 0.7020, retesting psych 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 in the Asia session then faded through the London open back to the 0.7000 psych pivot, RSI(14) cooling near 38. Move stalled at 0.70200 session high with price now sitting on 0.7000 after a lower-high sequence off the spike.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6986, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7015
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 opens the path toward 0.6986 swing low then 0.6970 support
Reclaim of 0.70200 session high reopens the Asia spike highs
AUDUSD broke above 0.7000 with a sharp spike to 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then ranged 0.7010–0.7020 before sliding back to retest the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move unwinds; price now sits back below EMA20.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69984, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7019
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6998 confirms failure of the breakout retest, exposing 0.6985
Reclaim of 0.7015 revives a test of the 0.70203 session high
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 GMT could shift the read
08:02 UTC
Pullback after breakout spike · RSI 43 · price 0.70019
Retesting 0.7000 breakout level.
Asia session spiked through the 0.7000 round number to a 0.70207 session high on the blowout AUD jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then leaked back into London to retest the round number, now trading 0.70019. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price grinds lower highs off the session high.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69984, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.7000 round number keeps the breakout intact
Close back below 0.69984 session low opens the 0.69863 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70170 puts the 0.70207 session high back in play
07:47 UTC
Pullback after spike higher · RSI 43 · price 0.7000
Faded from session high back to 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.70207 on the strong June jobs beat, ranged 0.7015–0.7020 through NY, then faded back to the 0.7000 round number as the move unwound. RSI(14) has cooled toward 43 and price is below both EMAs after the retrace.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69985, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69985 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.6985 zone
Reclaim of 0.7015 puts the 0.70207 session high back in play
S&P Global US PMIs at 23:00 GMT (medium) could shift the intraday tape
07:47 UTC
Uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.7000
Post-breakout retrace to 0.7000.
AUD jumped through 0.7000 to a session high of 0.70207 after the blowout June jobs beat, then stalled and drifted back into the 0.7000 psych level, now retesting it. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the post-spike momentum fades.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6986 negates the breakout and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.70170 reopens the 0.70207 session high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could move this read
07:32 UTC
Up leg fading after spike · RSI 43 · price 0.70061
Consolidation below session high, drifting lower.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 around 01:30 UTC on the blowout AU jobs beat, then consolidated near 0.7015 through the London morning. Price is now fading back toward the 0.70050 session low and the 0.7000 psych level, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.7005, 0.7000, 0.69885
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70050 exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70170 reopens the 0.70207 session high
S&P Global PMIs 23:00 GMT could shift this read into the next session
07:32 UTC
Pulled back from spike high, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.70061
Range after jobs-beat breakout, drifting to base.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70207 on the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then consolidated 0.7010–0.7020 before drifting back toward the 0.7000 base; RSI(14) cooled to ~45. Supply capped the 0.7015 area repeatedly and price is now testing session lows near 0.7005.
Support: 0.7005, 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70155, 0.70207
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7005 exposes the 0.7000 psych level and breakout base at 0.69955
Reclaim of 0.70155 consol area reopens the 0.70207 session high
US flash PMIs (Thu 13:45 UTC) could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Uptrend off jobs spike, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.70066
Impulse high then consolidation, now pulling back toward breakout zone.
AUD/USD spiked to 0.7020 on the blowout June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K) around 01:30 GMT, then consolidated 0.7010-0.7020 through the Asia-London handover. Price is now easing back toward the 0.7005 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s, retesting the breakout zone.
Support: 0.7005, 0.7000, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.7015, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7005/0.7000 exposes the 0.6990 prior range
Close back above 0.7015 revives the 0.7020 session high
S&P Global PMIs (23:00 GMT) could shift the intraday read
07:17 UTC
Uptrend fading after breakout · RSI 44 · price 0.70066
Post-breakout consolidation, pulling back.
London session broke 0.7000 with a sharp thrust to 0.70207 on the AUD rate-hike tailwind, then consolidated 0.7010–0.7020. Price is now fading back toward the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling below 50.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 psych opens the path back to 0.69863
Reclaim of 0.70170 revives the breakout structure
S&P Global PMIs later today could shift this read
07:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.70045
Breakout then consolidation, retesting 0.7000.
AUDUSD spiked above 0.7000 on the blowout June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), tagging a session high at 0.70207 before consolidating in the 0.7010–0.7020 band. The last few bars have slipped back to retest the 0.7000 psych level with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69955, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 exposes the 0.69955 pre-breakout level and 0.6985 support zone
Reclaim of 0.70170 puts the 0.70207 session high back in play
S&P Global PMIs (23:00 GMT) could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Up then stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.70045
Post-breakout consolidation retesting 0.7000.
AUD spiked above 0.7000 to 0.70207 on the blowout June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K f/c) during the Asian session, then drifted lower under a chain of lower highs. Price is now retesting the 0.7000 breakout level, RSI cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7015
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7000 puts the pre-breakout 0.69955 zone back in play
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.7020 during the Asia session on the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then settled into a tight 0.7010–0.7020 band. Price is now drifting toward the range low at 0.7010 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 0.7010, 0.6996, 0.6988
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7010 range low exposes the 0.6996 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7020 session high reopens the post-spike range top
Q2 CPI (Wed) and Fed decision are the week's dominant catalysts
AUD spiked through the 0.7000 psych level after the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K f/c), tagging 0.70207 at the 01:30 UTC print before settling into a tight 0.70100–0.70200 range. Price now drifting back toward the range low at 0.70100, RSI cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70100 exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Reclaim of 0.70207 session high resumes the breakout
Q2 CPI (Wed 29 Jul) is the week's dominant catalyst for AUD
AUDUSD spiked through 0.7000 to a session high of 0.7020 on the June jobs beat, then settled into a tight 0.7010-0.7020 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 49 as the range narrows and ATR falls to ~6 pips.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69824
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7020 opens the path to the 0.7045 50-day ema barrier
Failure to hold 0.7010/0.7000 negates the breakout back into prior range
Broke above 0.7000, now consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD spiked through 0.7000 into the 0.70207 session high on the June jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), then settled into a tight 0.7010–0.7020 consolidation. Price now hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral mid-50s after the impulse cooled.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70207 opens continuation higher
Loss of 0.70100 range low exposes a 0.7000 psych retest
06:17 UTC
Up off jobs spike, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.70126
Consolidation in upper half of post-breakout range.
The 76.3K jobs blowout (vs 15K f/c) spiked AUDUSD through 0.7000 to 0.70205 on the 01:30 UTC print. Price has since drifted into the lower half of a 0.7010-0.7020 consolidation, RSI back near neutral as the impulse cools.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70205, 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70100 opens a retest of 0.7000 psych
Break and hold above 0.70205 resumes the upside impulse
AUDUSD gapped through the 0.7000 psych pivot on the blockbuster AU jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), spiking to a 0.70207 session high before settling into a 0.70093-0.70207 range. Momentum has flattened, price now drifting near the lower half of that range with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000, 0.69855
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70185
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70093 range low would negate the breakout hold
Close above 0.70207 session high reopens the 0.7045 upside
AUDUSD spiked through the 0.7000 psych level to 0.7021 during the Asia session on the blockbuster jobs beat (76.3K vs 15K), and has since consolidated in a tight 0.7010-0.7021 band into the London open. RSI(14) cooled off the spike to the mid-50s; the breakout level is holding as support.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6985
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7010 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych pivot
Break and hold above 0.7021 session high opens the path to 0.7045
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reprice this read
London session broke the 0.7000 psych pivot with a sharp spike to 0.7020 after the AUD jobs blowout (76.3K vs 15K). Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7011-0.7020 band, RSI(14) flat near 52 as momentum cools.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7000 negates the breakout read
Break above 0.7020 session high opens the 0.7045 area
AUDUSD gapped ~25 pips higher on the blowout AU jobs print (+76.3K vs +15K) around 01:30 UTC, sweeping the range to 0.70207 before settling into a 0.7010–0.7020 consolidation through the Asian session. Price holds above both EMAs but RSI has cooled back to mid-50s as the post-data drive stalls under the session high.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70185
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70207 resumes the breakout, opens 0.7045 zone
Loss of 0.70100 range low exposes 0.69955 pre-spike base
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD side of this read
AUD spiked through 0.69955 on the blowout jobs print (76.3K vs 15K), tagging a session high at 0.70207 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.70100-0.70200 range through the London session, RSI(14) cooling to ~59 with ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70207
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.70100 breaks the range base and reopens 0.69955
Break above 0.70207 session high opens the 0.7045 resistance zone
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
AUDUSD gapped from 0.6995 to a 0.70207 session high on the blowout Australian jobs print (+76.3K vs +15K), then settled into a tight consolidation above 0.7010. RSI(14) cooled off the spike into the high-50s and price is holding higher lows just under the session high.
Support: 0.70093, 0.69955, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70093 range low breaks the post-spike higher-low chain
Close above 0.70207 session high opens the path toward the 0.7045 cap
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift the read via USD
AUD gapped higher through 0.6996 on the blowout jobs print (+76.3K vs +15K), tagging 0.70207 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7010–0.7020 band, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 60; the 0.70100 base has held on each dip.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.70100 range base opens 0.69955 pre-breakout zone
Close above 0.70207 session high extends toward 0.7045 cap
Flash PMIs (23:00 UTC) could reset this range
05:03 UTC
Uptrend after breakout, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 0.7014
Higher highs, holding above breakout level.
AUD broke out of the 0.6990–0.7000 grind on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), spiking to 0.70207 before settling into a tight consolidation between 0.7010 and 0.7020. RSI(14) cooling from the breakout push but holding above 60; session high 0.7020 is the immediate cap, aligned with the flagged 50-day EMA resistance.
Support: 0.70093, 0.69955, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70207 opens the path to the 0.7045 upside target
Loss of 0.70093 negates the consolidation and exposes the 0.69955 breakout level
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT and S&P PMIs later could shift this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend after breakout, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 0.7014
Breakout above 0.7000, higher lows into session high.
AUDUSD spiked through the 0.7000 grind on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), tagging a session high of 0.70207. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7010-0.7020 band with RSI(14) holding in the low 60s.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6986
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7020 opens the path to the 0.7045 target
Failure to hold 0.7010 breakout retest opens a move back toward 0.7000
US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift USD side of the pair
AUD spiked ~25 pips on the +76.3K June jobs beat around 01:30 UTC, breaking cleanly above the 0.7000 psych level. Price has since coiled between 0.7009 and the 0.70207 session high with RSI(14) cooling off the impulse peak.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70207 session high opens the 0.7045 target
Loss of the 0.70093 swing low would signal the breakout is fading back toward 0.7000 psych
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
AUDUSD gapped higher off the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), spiking from 0.6996 to 0.70207 and clearing the multi-hour 0.6990/0.7000 grind. Price is now consolidating 0.70090–0.70207 near the session high with RSI cooling from the spike; higher lows are holding into the pullback.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.70185
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70100 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior 0.6990/0.7000 range
Break above 0.70207 opens the path toward the 0.7045 area
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this read
04:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 66 · price 0.70191
Breakout, holding above prior range.
AUDUSD ground sideways below 0.69967 through London/NY before a sharp Asia-session breakout on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), spiking to 0.70203. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.70100-0.70200 band holding the breakout, RSI(14) cooling near 66.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69967, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.70100 range floor signals a fade of the breakout back toward 0.69967
M15 close above 0.70203 session high opens the path to the 0.7045 next cap
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs since jobs-print break, consolidating under session high.
AUDUSD broke the 0.6990-0.7000 grind with a sharp spike to 0.70207 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), the 50-day EMA/0.7020 cap flagged in context. Price is now consolidating just under that session high in a tight 0.7010-0.7020 band, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7020 session high opens path to 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7010 breakout retest revives the 0.7000 grind
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:17 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 0.7020
Range break higher, HH/HL developing.
AUDUSD broke the 0.6990-0.7000 grind on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), spiking through the 0.7020 cap and now pressing the session high at 0.70207. RSI(14) is hot near 71 but normal in a breakout; the 0.7010 breakout low is holding as intraday support.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70207, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7010 breakout lo keeps the higher-low chain intact
Close back under 0.7000 psych would negate the range break
A push through 0.70207 session high opens the 0.7045 target
The +76.3K jobs beat (vs +15K f/c) sparked a clean breakout of the multi-hour 0.6996 range near 01:45 UTC, AUDUSD spiking to 0.7020 and holding gains into the Asia session. Price has ground steadily higher on a chain of higher lows and now presses the 0.7020 50-day EMA cap; RSI(14) around 71, hot but normal in this thrust.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.7020 opens the path to the 0.7045 target
Loss of the 0.7010 breakout base reopens the 0.6996 range
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
The +76.3K jobs beat spiked AUDUSD through 0.7000 to a session high of 0.70203 during Asia hours, RSI(14) firm near 67. Price has consolidated 0.70090-0.70180 since, holding the breakout gains rather than fading.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70090 negates the breakout and reopens 0.7000
Session high 0.70203 — area to watch for rejection or continuation
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs since data spike, holding breakout base.
Asia session: AUD ripped out of the 0.6996 grind ~2.5h ago on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), spiking to 0.70203 before basing at 0.7010. Price is now grinding back toward the session high at 0.70181, RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.7010, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70203 spike high opens the path to the 0.7045 area
Failure to hold the 0.7010 breakout base signals the data pop is fading
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could inject fresh volatility
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7020 on the +76.3K June jobs beat during the Asia session, breaking the multi-hour 0.7000 grind. Price now consolidates in a tight 0.7010–0.7020 band with RSI cooling from the impulse; the breakout level at 0.7000 has flipped to support.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.7010 session low would signal the spike fading toward the 0.7000 breakout level
A push above 0.7020 spike high opens the 0.7045 upside cap — area to watch for rejection or break
AU S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
AUDUSD broke the 0.7000 grind and spiked to 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), then settled into a tight 0.70100–0.70170 consolidation during Asian hours. RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; the session high at 0.70203 caps for now.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70203 opens the 0.7045 context cap
Loss of 0.70100 range floor exposes the 0.7000 psych level
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c) sparked a breakout above the 0.6990/0.7000 grind, spiking to 0.70203. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7010–0.7017 band above the breakout base, RSI cooling from post-spike highs but still holding gains.
Support: 0.7010, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7017
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70100 spike base would flag a failed breakout back into range
Break above 0.70203 session high opens the 0.7045 zone
S&P Global PMIs today 23:00 UTC could shift this read
03:32 UTC
Uptrend after data spike, consolidating · RSI 66 · price 0.70156
Breakout above 0.7000, holding gains.
AUDUSD ripped above the 0.7000 grind to a session high of 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), then settled into a tight 0.70093-0.70171 range through the Asian hours. RSI(14) cooled from post-spike highs but stays firm near 66; the breakout level at 0.7000 has not been retested.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reopens 0.69863 swing low
A break of 0.70203 session high opens the path to 0.7045
S&P Global PMIs today 23:00 UTC could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend after breakout, consolidating · RSI 64 · price 0.70114
Post-spike range above 0.7010.
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6996 to 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), clearing the 0.7000 grind. Price is now consolidating 0.7010–0.7017 in early Asia hours, holding above the breakout base with RSI cooling from the spike.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70171, 0.70203
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70203 opens the path toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the post-jobs breakout
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
03:17 UTC
Uptrend after data spike, consolidating · RSI 62 · price 0.70114
Range break higher, holding gains.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70203 on the +76.3K jobs beat (vs +15K f/c), breaking out of the 0.6990/0.7000 grind. Price is now consolidating 0.7009–0.7017 through Asia hours, holding the bulk of the move with RSI cooling from post-print highs.
Support: 0.70093, 0.6996, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70171, 0.70203
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 0.70093 would fill the breakout and re-open 0.6996
A push through 0.70203 extends the post-data leg
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape the intraday read
Asian session ripped higher on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), AUDUSD spiking from 0.6996 to a session high 0.70203 at the 01:30 UTC release. Price now consolidating in the 0.7009–0.7020 band, holding above the breakout level with RSI(14) cooling off the spike.
Support: 0.70093, 0.6996
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 0.70093 opens the 0.6996 breakout level
Close above 0.70203 opens the 0.7045 upside target
Aussie broke the 0.7000 grind on the +76.3K June jobs beat, spiking to 0.70203 before settling into a tight 0.7009–0.7017 band. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme; the 0.7010 floor has held on each dip since the impulse.
Support: 0.7010, 0.7000, 0.69863
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7017
What it said to watch
A close below 0.7000 negates the breakout and re-opens the prior range
A push through 0.70203 (session high) extends the move higher
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Range break above 0.6997, consolidating under session high.
Asia session snapped a full day of 0.6990–0.6997 chop with a sharp jump to 0.70203 on the +76.3K AUD jobs beat. Price now holds a tight 0.7010–0.7015 shelf above the breakout base, RSI(14) cooling from the spike near 68.
Support: 0.70093, 0.6990, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.70093 breakout base keeps the higher-high structure intact
Reclaim and close above 0.70203 session high opens the path to 0.7045
Loss of 0.6990 prior range signals the breakout has failed
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
Broke the 0.6990–0.6997 grind, now consolidating below session high.
Asian session AUD spiked to 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), snapping the 0.6990–0.6997 grind. Price now consolidating around 0.7015 just below the session high, RSI cooling from overbought; the 0.70093 pullback low has held.
Support: 0.70093, 0.6996, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6996 breakout base negates the breakout read
Reclaim of 0.70203 session high opens the 0.7045 target
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD spiked from 0.6996 to a session high 0.70203 on the +76.3K June jobs beat, breaking the 0.6990-0.7000 grind. Price now consolidating between 0.7009 and the 0.70171 range high in Asia hours, holding above the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs.
Support: 0.70093, 0.7000, 0.69955
Resistance: 0.70171, 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.7000 psych negates the breakout into the prior grind
Break above 0.70203 session high opens the 0.7045 cap
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
02:32 UTC
Uptrend after breakout, consolidating · RSI 67 · price 0.70114
Broke above 0.7000 range, holding gains.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.6996 to 0.7020 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c), clearing the multi-hour 0.7000 range in one bar. Price is now consolidating in the 0.7010–0.7015 zone; the 0.70203 session high caps and 0.70000 marks the recovered breakout floor.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69955, 0.69824
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70171
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70000 negates the breakout and re-opens the range toward 0.69955
Break above 0.70203 extends the post-jobs leg
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reprice this move
AUDUSD sat pinned in a 0.6985–0.7000 range through the Asia session before the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) spiked price to 0.70203, clearing the 0.7000 round number on heavy volume. Now consolidating around 0.7012 with RSI(14) cooling from post-spike highs; the breakout level at 0.7000 is the reference to hold.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69956, 0.69824
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70171
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7000 negates the breakout and reopens the prior range
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to reclaim 0.70203 leaves the spike high as an untested cap
02:17 UTC
Breakout higher after range · RSI 71 · price 0.70124
Range break above 0.7000, pullback holding.
AUDUSD spiked from a tight 0.6990-0.6996 consolidation to 0.70203 on the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K), snapping the multi-hour range and the 0.7000 cap. Price has since eased to 0.70124, holding above the broken 0.7000 level; RSI(14) hot near 71 post-breakout.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69955, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.70171
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.70000 would negate the breakout and signal a false break
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could add fresh direction
Sustained hold above 0.70000 keeps the breakout structure intact toward 0.70203
AUDUSD spent the window grinding 0.6985–0.7000 before spiking to a session high of 0.70203 on the blowout June jobs print (+76.3K vs +15K), a clean break of the prior range. Price is now consolidating near 0.7011 just under the 0.7020 cap, RSI(14) around 69 after the impulse.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69955, 0.69824
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.7000 would negate the breakout and revert into the prior range
A push through 0.70203 opens the 0.7045 area — zone to watch for rejection or continuation
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
AUDUSD chopped in a 0.6985–0.7000 band through the Asia session before the +76.3K June jobs beat drove a sharp break, spiking to 0.70203 then settling at 0.70112. RSI(14) near 74 reflects the impulse; the 0.7000 round number now flips to first support.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6990, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reverts to the prior range
0.70203 spike high — area to watch for continuation or rejection
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
Aussie chopped in a 0.6985–0.7000 Asian range for most of the window before the June employment beat (+76.3K vs +15K f/c) spiked price to 0.70203, closing 0.7015. RSI(14) hot near 74 on the impulse; 0.7020 EMA cap now the immediate line, with 0.7000 flipping to support.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7020 opens the 0.7045 target
Failure to hold 0.7000 negates the breakout back into range
S&P Global PMIs at 23:00 UTC could reshape this read
01:47 UTC
Range broken to upside on jobs beat · RSI 78 · price 0.7015
Range break, fresh session high.
AUDUSD chopped in a tight 0.6987–0.7005 range through Asia before the June jobs beat (+76.3K vs +15K) spiked price to a session high of 0.70203, RSI(14) running hot near 78. Range top at 0.6996 flipped to support as the breakout holds above 0.7000.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70203, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it returns price into the prior range
0.70203 session high — area to watch for continuation toward 0.7045 or rejection
Post-spike RSI near 78 signals short-term stretch; a stall here would flag exhaustion
01:32 UTC
Breakout higher on jobs print · RSI 74 · price 0.70074
Range break above 0.7000 figure.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70085 on the AU June labour print, clearing the 0.7000 figure after hours of consolidation in the 0.6985-0.7000 band. RSI(14) hot near 74 on the impulse; 0.7020 (50-day EMA cap) is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69863, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70085, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7000 figure back inside the range negates the breakout
Reaction at the 0.7020 50d ema cap that has repeatedly rejected upside
Jobs-print volatility still unwinding — read may shift as the spike settles
01:32 UTC
Range breaking higher on jobs print · RSI 71 · price 0.70074
Reclaim of 0.7000 figure after tight range.
AUDUSD popped through the 0.7000 figure on the AU June jobs print, tagging 0.70085 after hours of churn in a 0.6985-0.7000 range. RSI(14) spiked toward 71 on the reaction bar; the figure now flips to first support.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6985, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.70085, 0.7020
What it said to watch
Hold above 0.7000 keeps the 0.7020 50d ema cap in focus
Fade back below 0.6985 reinstates the prior range
Reaction extends against the 0.7020 area that has rejected repeatedly
01:17 UTC
Sideways, pinned at 0.7000 · RSI 58 · price 0.69969
Range around the figure, recovering off session low.
AUDUSD churned in a 0.6980-0.7005 range for the session, rejected repeatedly at the 0.7000 figure. Price is recovering off the 0.6988 session low into 0.6997 as RSI(14) firms near 58, but the figure cap remains untested this hour.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005
What it said to watch
AU June labour force at 01:30 UTC is imminent and will drive the next leg
M15 close above 0.7000/0.7020 breaks the range cap that has rejected bulls
Loss of 0.6980 opens the 0.6970 support
01:17 UTC
Sideways, capped at figure · RSI 56 · price 0.69969
Consolidation under 0.7000 after sweep low.
AUDUSD churned sideways sub-0.7000 through the Asia session, the figure capping repeatedly while a sweep of 0.69798 earlier was bought back. Price has recovered to 0.6997 into the AU jobs print, RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 0.6986, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70075
What it said to watch
AU June labour force at 01:30 UTC is imminent — will materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path to the 0.70075 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69860 reopens the 0.69798 sweep low
AUDUSD drifted off 0.7010 through London-NY and has been pinned in a tight Asia-session range around 0.6990-0.6995, capped by the 0.7000 round number. A brief spike to 0.6980 during the transition was bought back; price is grinding higher into the AU jobs print.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6982
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70025
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (HIGH) lands imminently and will drive the next leg
Close above 0.7000 invalidates the sub-figure range read
Break below 0.6982 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6970
AUDUSD has churned in a thin Asia-session range beneath the 0.7000 psych level, poking a session low at 0.69798 before recovering to 0.69949. Move is grinding on low volume ahead of the 01:30 GMT Australia jobs report, no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.6987, 0.69798, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70044
What it said to watch
Australia June jobs at 01:30 GMT (~28 min) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
A close above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70044 prior high
Loss of 0.69798 session low exposes the 0.6970 range floor
Quiet early-Asia session with thin volume; AUDUSD has ground down from 0.7012 to sit flat around 0.6990, capped by a descending line of lower highs and holding under the 50-EMA. Price is basing above the 0.69824 session low with RSI mid-range — no directional impulse ahead of the data.
Support: 0.69824, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.69975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (in ~45min) is a HIGH-impact catalyst that could break this range
Close back above 0.69975 prior high reopens 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold 0.69824 session low exposes the 0.69798 swing low
00:47 UTC
Sideways, slight down drift · RSI 44 · price 0.69911
Range below 0.7000 psych.
AUDUSD churning around 0.6990 in thin Asia-session trade, pinned below the 0.7000 psych level and drifting just under both EMAs. A sweep of 0.69798 earlier held and price recovered to the 0.6990 area; range remains intact ahead of AU jobs.
Support: 0.69865, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (~45m) could break this range in either direction
M15 close above 0.69960 targets the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of 0.69865 session low reopens 0.69798 swing low
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69909
Lower highs, capped below 0.7000.
AUDUSD drifted off 0.7012 through London-NY and has coiled in a thin Asian range near 0.6990, holding just above the 0.69860 session low with RSI(14) flat mid-40s. Rejections stack below 0.7000 as the pair sits pinned under the 50-day EMA cap noted this week.
Support: 0.6986, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.69975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (~1h) is a high-impact catalyst that could break this range either way
Loss of 0.69860 exposes the 0.69798 swing low
M15 close back above 0.70000 negates the lower-high drift
AUDUSD drifting lower through thin Asian hours, pinned below 0.7000 after repeated rejections near 0.69975. Price marking lower highs into 0.69863 session low; volume light ahead of the June jobs report at 01:30 GMT.
Support: 0.69863, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.69975, 0.7000, 0.70044
What it said to watch
AUD June jobs at 01:30 GMT is a HIGH-impact catalyst that can break this range
Close back above 0.70000 psych level negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69863 exposes the 0.69798 swing low
AUDUSD ticked lower through the Asia session on thin volume, holding below EMA20/50 and coiling around 0.6988 just above the 0.6982 session low. Price has drifted off 0.7000 all day, capped repeatedly near 0.6996; RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6982
Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.70045
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (in ~1h) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Break below 0.6982 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6970
Reclaim of 0.7000 invalidates the drift-lower structure
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into Asia session · RSI 42 · price 0.69885
Lower highs, pinned sub-0.7000.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session and is now pinned at 0.6988, flattening just above the 0.69863 session low after being rejected below 0.7000 repeatedly this window. Thin Asia bars, RSI(14) mid-range near 42, no momentum in play ahead of the data.
Support: 0.69863, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.69975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia June jobs at 01:30 GMT is a HIGH-impact catalyst that can break this range
Loss of 0.69863 session low opens 0.69798 swing low
Reclaim of 0.70000 negates the lower-high structure
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into lows · RSI 43 · price 0.6989
Lower highs, pinned below 0.7000.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asian session, capped repeatedly below the 0.7000 round number after an early poke to 0.7012. A quick sweep to 0.69798 was bought back, but price is now basing near session lows around 0.6989 with RSI(14) soft in the low 40s.
Support: 0.69863, 0.69798
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT (~1.5h) is a high-impact catalyst that could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the lower-high drift
Loss of 0.69863 session low exposes the 0.69798 sweep low
AUDUSD drifted lower through thin Asia volume, grinding to 0.6986 after repeated rejection at the 0.7000 handle. RSI(14) near 41 with no divergence; price pinned below EMA20/EMA50 in a slow lower-high sequence.
Support: 0.6986, 0.6980, 0.6970
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012
What it said to watch
AU June jobs at 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the lower-high drift